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China Autos Driving the EV Revolution
Building on principles One-Asia Research | August 21, 2020 China Autos Driving the EV revolution Hyunwoo Jin [email protected] This publication was prepared by Mirae Asset Daewoo Co., Ltd. and/or its non-U.S. affiliates (“Mirae Asset Daewoo”). Information and opinions contained herein have been compiled in good faith from sources deemed to be reliable. However, the information has not been independently verified. Mirae Asset Daewoo makes no guarantee, representation, or warranty, express or implied, as to the fairness, accuracy, or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this document. Mirae Asset Daewoo accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any loss arising from the use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. Information and opin- ions contained herein are subject to change without notice. This document is for informational purposes only. It is not and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to purchase or sell any securities or other financial instruments. This document may not be reproduced, further distributed, or published in whole or in part for any purpose. Please see important disclosures & disclaimers in Appendix 1 at the end of this report. August 21, 2020 China Autos CONTENTS Executive summary 3 I. Investment points 5 1. Geely: Strong in-house brands and rising competitiveness in EVs 5 2. BYD and NIO: EV focus 14 3. GAC: Strategic market positioning (mass EVs + premium imported cars) 26 Other industry issues 30 Global company analysis 31 Geely Automobile (175 HK/Buy) 32 BYD (1211 HK/Buy) 51 NIO (NIO US/Buy) 64 Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK/Trading Buy) 76 Mirae Asset Daewoo Research 2 August 21, 2020 China Autos Executive summary The next decade will bring radical changes to the global automotive market. -
A Long-Term Competitor, Maintain "Accumulate" 一个长期的竞争者,维持“收集”
股 票 研 [Table_Title] Company Report: Geely Automobile (00175 HK) Toliver Ma 马守彰 究 (852) 2509 5317 Equity Research 公司报告: 吉利汽车 (00175 HK) [email protected] 31 March 2020 [Table_Summary] A Long-Term Competitor, Maintain "Accumulate" 一个长期的竞争者,维持“收集” Geely Auto’s 2019 profit attributable to shareholders was down 34.8% [Table_Rank] 公 yoy to RMB8,190 million, below market and our expectations. Revenue Rating: Accumulate Maintained decreased by 8.6% as dragged by weak vehicle sales (-10.6% yoy). ASP 司 stayed flat despite sales mix improvement, which was offset by higher 评级: 收集 (维持) 报 customer incentives. Gross margin dropped by 2.8 ppts yoy to 17.4%. In 告 terms of cost, R&D expense was up 56% and drove up administrative expenses. Share of profit from auto finance business doubled yoy but the 6[Table_Price-18m TP 目标价] : HK$12.82 Company Report Lynk & Co. JV profit was down 27%. The Board proposed final dividend of Revised from 原目标价: HK$16.50 HK$0.25 per share, which represents a payout ratio of 25.1% (vs. 2018: Share price 股价: HK$11.280 22.0%). A long-term competitor in the auto industry. We expect that Geely will benefit from the market consolidation and consumption upgrade in China. Its Stock performance leading position will extend into 2020 as propelled by its new model launches. 股价表现 These models will be mainly underpinned by its modular platform, which 30.0 should maintain relatively superior profitability. % of return 20.0 We have adjusted downwards shareholders’ profit in 2020 and 2021 by 20.6% and 19.2%, respectively, on lowered sales and margin. -
Geely Auto 吉利汽车 (175 HK) ACCUMULATE
Hong Kong Equity | Automobile Company in-depth Geely Auto 吉利汽车 (175 HK) ACCUMULATE Sales Rebound Following Mid-2019 Weak Performance Share Price Target Price Geely ranked No. 7 among Chinese auto makers in 2018, according to CAAM. HK$15.36 HK$16.7 Though Geely’s sales volume declined in 2Q2019, it has recovered gradually since 9/2019 and sold 143,234 units (+1.1%/10% YoY/MoM) in 11/2019. We believe the launch of 6-8 new models in 2020E and fuel vehicles sales pick-up in China may China / Automobile / Auto Maker continue to boost its sales volume. Combined with rising contribution from mid-to-high end vehicles to support ASP, we estimate 2020E profit to improve by 9 December 2019 26% YoY to RMB11.3 bn. We initiate Accumulate with TP of HK$16.7, suggesting 9% upside potential. Alison Ho (SFC CE:BHL697) Sales decline narrowed down: Geely sales dropped significantly in 2Q2019 & 3Q2019 (852) 3519 1291 mainly due to 1) the implementation of China VI vehicle emission standard from [email protected] 1/Jul/2019 in some cities resulting in customers squeezing demand for new cars in 1H2019; 2) the uncertainties on relations between China and US; 3) economic downturn to drag consumer’s purchasing power. However, we saw Geely’s auto sales decline has Latest Key Data narrowed since 9/2019 and recorded a growth of 1.1% yoy in 11/2019. Under Total shares outstanding (mn) 9,146 consideration that December and January are regarded as the high season for auto sales, Market capitalization (HK$mn) 140,476 with customers traditionally making purchases before Chinese New Year, we therefore Enterprise value (HK$mn) 126,335 believe Geely’s auto sales growth will keep improving in the near future. -
Corporate Presentation
Corporate Presentation Nov 2020 Sales Performance Oct 2020 Jan-Oct 2020 Overall: 140,260 units +8% YoY 1,015,498 units -7% YoY Domestic: 129,495 units +2% YoY 966,481 units -7% YoY Exports: 10,531 units +253% YoY 49,017 units -5% YoY NEEV*: 5,826 units -43% YoY 54,142 units -39% YoY Sedans 360,309 units -15% YoY SUVs 632,076 units -1% YoY MPV 23,113 units -17% YoY 1 *New Energy and Electrified Vehicle which including MHEV,HEV,PHEV and BEV at this moment. Sales Performance Monthly Sales Volume (Units) Domestic Sales Volume (3MMA+/-%) 200,000 domestic exports 150% 150,000 100% 100,000 50% 50,000 0 0% -50% Market Share Annual Sales Volume & Market Share 10.00% 160 7.00% 140 6.00% 8.00% 120 5.00% 100 6.00% 4.00% 80 3.00% 4.00% 60 2.00% 2.00% 40 20 1.00% 0.00% 0 0.00% 2 Source: The Company, CAAM Preface & Xingyue Monthly Sales Volume of Xingyue (Units) 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 - 3 Boyue & Borui • Borui GE: the B segment sedan was awarded the“Grand Car in China” • Boyue is one of the best-selling SUV models in China & Malaysia. Monthly Sales Volume of Boyue & Borui (Units) 40,000 Boyue Borui Geely’s SUV Sales Volume Ranking 35,000 30,000 Country 2019 2020H1 25,000 20,000 China #3 #3 15,000 10,000 Malaysia #1 #1 5,000 0 4 Binrui & Binyue & Icon • All 3 models are based on BMA platform • Binyue Launched in Malaysian Market in Aug 2020. -
Geely Holding Group Corporate Social Responsibility Report
Geely Holding Group 2019 CSR Corporate Social Responsibility Report CSR 2019 - - Geely Holding Group Corporate Social Responsibility Report 1 2 Geely Holding Group 2019 CSR Corporate Social Responsibility Report About this report 1 Overview of Geely 17 Respecting, supporting and providing 45 Integration and co-existence with 59 Organisation chart 18 happy lives to people the environment Geely’s 2019 Timeline 22 Responsibility focus 45 Responsibility focus 59 Maintaining a strategic determi- 3 Honours and social evaluation 23 Multi-pronged approach to ensure 45 Multi-line approach for and accel- 60 nation and strengthening confi- workers' rights eration of the new energy strategy dence to advance a high-quali- Being people-oriented and caring for 47 upgrade ty development Responsible management 25 employee’s occupational health and Redefining Geely’s green factories 62 Governance Structure 25 safety Challenging the zero-CO2 emissions 63 Compliance management 26 Finding the formula for talent cultiva- 47 lifecycle Building smart city solutions 5 Corporate Social Responsibility 27 tion and designing intelligent travel Management Sharing and caring to enhance the 49 Let society experience love 65 blueprints employees’ happiness Responsibility focus 65 Integration across disciplines, deep- 66 Making fine cars for everyone 33 Growing with partners 53 ening philanthropic work Good engine makes great work 10 Responsibility focus 33 Responsibility focus 53 Encouraging ingenuity, solidifying 67 while precision at the micron Building a community -
Corporate Presentation
Corporate Presentation April 2020 Sales Performance Jan-Mar 2020 Overall: 206,027 units -44% YoY Domestic: 198,028 units -43% YoY Exports: 7,999 units -60% YoY NEEV: 8,924 units -62% YoY Sedans(New Emgrand+Vision+Emgrand GL+Borui+Binrui+03+Geometry A) 73,815 units -53% YoY SUVs (Vision SUV+Boyue+Xinyue+X3+Emgrand GS+Binyue+01+02+ICON) 129,113 units -38% YoY MPV(Jiaji) 3,099 units 2 New Energy and Electrified Vehicles New NEEV models NEEVs - Sales Volume (units) 2020* 2019 2019 2018 2017 2016 Xingyue MHEV Xingyue PHEV Geometry A 0 50000 100000 150000 *End to 1Q2020 EV - Range Per Charge(km) Binyue MHEV Binyue PHEV 2019 Jiaji MHEV/PHEV 2018 2018 2017 2016 Borui GE MHEV Borui GE PHEV 01 PHEV 0 200 400 600 Price Range (RMB '000) 2019 Emgrand EV350 Emgrand EV450 GSe 2018 2017 2017 2016 2016 Emgrand EV300 Emgrand PHEV Emgrand EV (2017) (2017) (2016) 0 100 200 300 3 Sales Performance Monthly Sales Volume Domestic Sales Volume (3MMA+/-%) 180,000 140% 160,000 Exports 140,000 Domestic 120% 120,000 100% 100,000 80% 80,000 60% 60,000 40% 40,000 20,000 20% 0 0% 3 5 7 9 3 5 7 9 3 5 7 9 3 5 7 9 3 4 7 4 7 4 7 4 7 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 -20% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 2016 -40% -60% Market Share 10.00% Yearly Sales Vol & Market Share 9.00% 160 150.1 8.00% 136.2 8.00% 7.16% 140 124.7 7.00% 6.30% 6.35% 7.00% 120 6.00% 6.00% 100 5.00% 5.00% 76.6 5.00% 80 4.00% 4.00% 60 51.2 3.10% 3.00% 2.40% 3.00% 40 2.00% 20.6 2.00% 20 1.00% 1.00% 0 0.00% 0.00% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 4 6 8 4 6 8 4 6 8 4 6 8 2 10 12 10 12 10 12 10 12 *End to 1Q2020 -
吉利汽車控股有限公司 GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED (Incorporated in the Cayman Islands with Limited Liability) (Stock Code: 175)
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited take no responsibility for the contents of this announcement, make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this announcement. 吉利汽車控股有限公司 GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED (Incorporated in the Cayman Islands with limited liability) (Stock code: 175) ANNOUNCEMENT OF INTERIM RESULTS FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2019 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Six months ended 30 June 2019 2018 Change (Unaudited) (Unaudited) % Revenue (RMB’000) 47,558,617 53,708,605 (11) Profit attributable to the equity holders of the Company (RMB’000) 4,009,475 6,670,023 (40) Earnings per share Basic (RMB cents) 44.39 74.33 (40) Diluted (RMB cents) 43.92 72.65 (40) Sales volume (Units) (Note 2) 651,680 766,630 (15) At 30 At 31 June 2019 December 2018 (Unaudited) (Audited) Total assets (RMB’000) 91,536,361 91,460,980 0 Equity attributable to the equity holders of the Company (RMB’000) 46,536,333 44,943,977 4 Net assets per share attributable to the equity holders of the Company (RMB) 5.11 5.00 2 Note: 1. At a meeting of the Board held on 21 August 2019, the Board resolved not to pay an interim dividend to the Company’s shareholders (2018: Nil). 2. It included the sales volume of “Lynk&Co” vehicles sold by the Group’s 50%-owned joint venture. -
2021년 자동차 산업 전망 Breaking Through the Ceiling 자동차/부품/타이어 장문수 3787-2639 [email protected]
Research Color Series #16 2021년 자동차 산업 전망 Breaking through the Ceiling 자동차/부품/타이어 장문수 3787-2639 [email protected] 조준우 3787-2570 [email protected] Contents Executive Summary 3 2021년 자동차 수요 전망 7 2021년 자동차 경쟁환경 분석 29 2021년 자동차 투자 전략 35 기업분석 64 2 Chapter 0. Executive Summary 3 Executive Summary 1. 2021년 자동차 산업 전망: COVID-19 영향에서 완만한 회복세. 기저효과로 볼륨 반등하나 2019년 수준 수요는 2023년이후회복전망 - 수요 전망: COVID-19 영향에서 완만한 회복세. 기저효과로 수요 반등하나 2019년 수준 수요는 2023년 이후 회복 전망 1) 미국, 유럽 중심 수요 회복세 뚜렷: 감소폭 컸던 미국, 유럽 등 선진시장과 브라질, 러시아 등 신흥시장 기저효과 大 전망 2) 유럽친환경차성장및업체간차별화: 주요 OEM 신차 공급 확대로 경쟁이 심화되나 COVID-19에도 xEV 전략을 적극 대응한 업체의 두각은 지속 전망 - 경영 환경: 2020과 마찬가지로 Q 보다는 P와 C의 개선에 주력. 선택과 집중 전략 지속되며 업체간 차별화 뚜렷 1) 선택과 집중: COVID-19 국면에서 구조조정과 신차/미래전략 적극 대응한 업체 두각. 유동성 보유사의 M&A, 투자 확대 2) only the strong survive: (공급) 공급 과잉 완화, (수요) 신차 집중된 점유율 상승 현상 지속 제한된 수요 상황 속 경쟁사간 격차 심화 - 전망: 국내 자동차, 신흥 시장의 회복에 편승하며 주요국 신차 효과로 인한 점유율 상승 추세 지속 전망 1) 긍정 요인: 인도, 브라질, 러시아 등 이머징 시장의 수요 회복, 미국 신차 Pipeline 긍정적, 유럽 xEV 전용 플랫폼 대응 업체의 옥석 가리기에서 두각 기대 2) 부정 요인: 달러 약세(원화 강세), COVID-19 재확산세로 인한 추가 경기 후퇴는 위험 요인 2. 섹터 전략: 완성차/대형주/친환경차 관련 부품주로 압축 전략이 유효. 현대차/기아차/현대모비스/한온시스템 추천 - 근거: ’21년 투자포인트는 제한된 수요 회복 속 ‘P 상승 지속’과 ‘C 하락’, ‘EV 성장’. -
[Press Release]
[Press Release] Geely Automobile Holdings Limited TOTAL SALES VOLUME FOR OCTOBER 2019 WAS 130,180 UNITS TOTAL SALES VOLUME UP 1% YOY (HONG KONG, 06 November, 2019) --- Geely Automobile Holdings Limited (‘Geely Automobile’/the ‘Group’)(Stock code: 175) announces that the total sales volume of the Group (including the sales volume of LYNK & CO-branded vehicles sold by the Group’s 50%-owned joint venture) for the month of October 2019 was 130,180 units, an increase of approximately 1% from the same period last year and up approximately 14% from September 2019. Of the total sales volume in October 2019, 10,294 units were new energy and electrified vehiclesNote (NEEVs), continuing its recovery trend from a monthly low of 4,476 units since July 2019. The Group’s exports volume was up around 124% year-on-year to 2,986 units in the month of October 2019. During the month of October 2019, the Group’s total sales volume in the China market was 127,194 units, around the same level maintained for the same period last year. The total sales volume in the first ten months of 2019 was 1,088,290 units, a decrease of approximately 14% from the same period last year, and achieving 80% of the Group’s revised full year sales volume target of 1,360,000 units in 2019. The Spokesman of Geely Automobile said, ‘During the month of October 2019, the sales volumes of “New Emgrand” and “Vision” sedan were 18,379 units and 7,388 units, respectively. The sales volume of“Geely Boyue”(吉利博越) was 21,396 units. -
786774 Jingyou Zhang Master
COPENHAGEN BUSINESS SCHOOL A COMPARATIVE STUDY ON CHINESE COMPANIES’ PATHS TO BUSINESS ECOSYSTEMS —Cases of Alibaba, Tencent, Geely and Haier MSc in International Business Jingyou Zhang SUPERVISED BY DE115385 Peter Ping Li 16. Sep. 2019 Abstract Purpose - The aim of this research is to explore and compare the development paths of Chinese companies to business ecosystem model, using four cases of both internet companies and traditional manufacturers, namely Alibaba, Tencent, Geely and Haier. Approach - This thesis used both chronological sequences and four-approach method, viz. investment, incubation, innovation and internationalization, to present four cases’ second-hand information collected from both online and offline sources. After checking within-case models, Group A could form a cross-case synthesis: companies in internet business sector, however Group B did not reach a consensus. Finally, case-comparison method was used to compare Group A (internet companies) and the other two cases in manufacturing sector. Findings – Internet companies and Geely & Haier have different development paths to ecosystem business model. The internet firms are more advanced in BE than manufacturers and spend less time in moving to next stage. For internet companies, incubation and innovation are the most important, while investment and internalization are the key contributors for Geely and Haier. Acknowledgements Firstly, many thanks go to my supervisor, Peter, who always supports me. In the beginning, he helped me to find this interesting topic to dig inside. He is a pioneering scholar in this research filed. He sent me some useful reading materials and paid time and efforts to reading through parts of my work. -
FYG OEM Сatalog 2019.Pdf
Страна Автопроизводитель Марка Модель Код модели Год Austria Hutchinson SNC JLR I-PACE X590 2018 Austria JAGUAR & LAND ROVER JLR JLR BEV X590 2018 Belgium DURA AUTOMOTIVE.CZ,S.R.O Volvo V50 V50 2010 Belgium DURA AUTOMOTIVE.CZ,S.R.O Volvo V60 S60 2010 Belgium FUYAO EUROPE GMBH Audi C-BEV AU516 2018 Brazil Brazil PEUGEOT Peugeot CHEVROLET AI58 2014 Brazil Brazil PEUGEOT Peugeot CHEVROLET AI58 2015 Brazil Brazil PEUGEOT Peugeot CHEVROLET AI58 2016 Brazil General Motors (Thailand) Limited Buick Traiblazer 31UX 2014 Brazil General Motors (Thailand) Limited Buick Traiblazer 31UX 2015 Brazil General Motors (Thailand) Limited Buick Traiblazer 31UX 2016 Brazil General Motors (Thailand) Limited Buick Traiblazer 31UX 2017 Brazil General Motors (Thailand) Limited Buick Traiblazer 31UX 2018 Brazil General Motors do Brasil Buick Chevrolet montana VIVA PICK UP 2014 Brazil General Motors do Brasil Buick Chevrolet montana VIVA PICK UP 2015 Brazil General Motors do Brasil Buick Chevrolet montana VIVA PICK UP 2016 Brazil General Motors do Brasil Buick Chevrolet montana VIVA PICK UP 2017 Brazil General Motors do Brasil Buick Chevrolet montana VIVA PICK UP 2018 Brazil General Motors do Brasil Buick Traiblazer 31UX 2014 Brazil General Motors do Brasil Buick Traiblazer 31UX 2015 Brazil General Motors do Brasil Buick Traiblazer 31UX 2016 Bulgaria Standard Profil Bulgaria EAD Opel Astra D2JO 2015 Bulgaria Standard Profil Bulgaria EAD Opel Astra Kombi D2WO 2015 China BAIC Motor Corporation Ltd. Beijing Branch Saab D20 BC301 2012 China BAIC Motor Corporation Ltd. Beijing Branch Saab D50 C40D 2017 China BAIC Motor Corporation Ltd. Beijing Branch Saab D50 C50 2015-2018 China BAIC Motor Corporation Ltd. -
Corporate Presentation
Corporate Presentation January 2021 Sales Performance Dec 2020 2020 FY Overall: 154,202 units +19% YoY 1,320,217 units -3% YoY Domestic: 142,297 units +12% YoY 1,247,526 units -4% YoY Exports: 11,905 units +255% YoY 72,691 units +25% YoY NEEV*: 7,171 units -28% YoY 68,142 units -40% YoY Sedans 472,538 units -11% YoY SUVs 818,907 units 2% YoY MPV 28,772 units -9% YoY *New Energy and Electrified Vehicle which including MHEV,HEV,PHEV and BEV at this moment. 1 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 Monthly Sales Volume (units) 0 10.00% 2016 8.00% 4 6.00% domestic 4.00% 7 2.00% 10 0.00% 2017 4 Source: The Company, CAAM 7 exports 2016 Sales Performance Market Share10 4 2018 7 4 10 7 2017 10 4 2019 7 4 10 7 2018 10 4 2020 7 4 10 7 150% 2019 10 4 100% 7 50% Domestic Sales Volume (3MMA+/ 10 2020 0% 4 -50% 7 2,000,000 10 1,500,000 2016 1,000,000 4 7 500,000 Annual Sales Volume & Market Share 10 2017 4 0 7 10 2015 2018 4 7 - %) 2016 10 2019 4 7 2017 10 2020 4 2018 7 10 2019 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 2020 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 2 Xingrui 14,000 12,000 10,000 Monthly Sales Volumn of Xingyue 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 5 6 7 8 Xingyue 9 10 Xingrui 11 12 & 2020 Xingrui 2 3 (units) 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 3 Boyue & Borui • Borui GE: the B segment sedan was awarded the“Grand Car in China 2019” • Boyue is one of the best-selling SUV models in China & Malaysia.