Survey Report
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YouGov Survey Results Sample Size: 1141 adults in London Fieldwork: 2nd - 4th May 2021 Mayoral Voting Intention Westminster VI Shaun Sadiq Luisa Siân Mandu Peter David Laurence Brian Don’t Would Lib Total Other Refused Con Lab Bailey Khan Porritt Berry Reid Gammons Kurten Fox Rose know not vote Dem Weighted Sample 1141 241 336 39 78 8 11 5 19 18 32 174 120 59 262 415 55 Unweighted Sample 1141 234 349 40 80 9 9 5 22 14 31 179 117 52 264 415 63 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 29 March- 2-4 1 April May HEADLINE MAYORAL VOTING INTENTION Mayoral Voting Intention - Round 1 [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Shaun Bailey 26 31 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 84 6 5 Sadiq Khan 47 43 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 77 43 Luisa Porritt 7 5 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 38 Siân Berry 9 10 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 6 Mandu Reid 1 1 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peter Gammons 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 David Kurten 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 Laurence Fox 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 Brian Rose 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 Some other candidate 2 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 1 2 5 Mayoral Voting Intention - Round 2 [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Shaun Bailey 34 41 100 0 37 11 56 72 0 100 65 21 0 0 70 95 8 13 Sadiq Khan 66 59 0 100 63 89 44 28 0 0 35 79 0 0 30 5 92 87 1 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.co.uk YouGov Survey Results Sample Size: 1141 adults in London Fieldwork: 2nd - 4th May 2021 Vote in 2019 GE EU Ref 2016 Gender Age Social Grade Region Ethnicity Lib Inner Outer Total Con Lab Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE White BME Dem London London Weighted Sample 1141 276 415 129 513 337 561 580 123 606 236 176 673 468 398 743 687 437 Unweighted Sample 1141 284 403 127 579 293 475 666 120 608 246 167 726 415 421 720 720 402 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 29 March- 2-4 1 April May HEADLINE MAYORAL VOTING INTENTION Mayoral Voting Intention - Round 1 [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Shaun Bailey 26 31 75 6 14 13 64 31 31 14 26 28 55 27 38 23 35 38 20 Sadiq Khan 47 43 8 69 50 63 11 42 45 57 47 43 27 45 41 52 39 35 56 Luisa Porritt 7 5 4 4 12 5 4 6 4 6 5 4 6 7 2 5 5 6 4 Siân Berry 9 10 2 14 7 12 5 9 11 11 12 7 6 11 8 10 9 10 9 Mandu Reid 1 1 0 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 Peter Gammons 1 1 1 0 3 0 2 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 David Kurten 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Laurence Fox 4 3 6 1 0 1 6 3 2 1 2 5 3 2 3 3 2 3 1 Brian Rose 3 2 3 1 3 1 3 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 Some other candidate 2 4 2 4 8 4 3 5 3 6 4 6 1 4 4 3 4 4 4 Mayoral Voting Intention - Round 2 [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Shaun Bailey 34 41 91 8 19 17 85 42 39 17 35 42 66 36 48 31 46 49 26 Sadiq Khan 66 59 9 92 81 83 15 58 61 83 65 58 34 64 52 69 54 51 74 2 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.co.uk Sample Size: 1141 adults in London Fieldwork: 2nd - 4th May 2021 Mayoral Voting Intention Westminster VI Shaun Sadiq Luisa Siân Mandu Peter David Laurence Brian Don’t Would Lib Total Other Refused Con Lab Bailey Khan Porritt Berry Reid Gammons Kurten Fox Rose know not vote Dem Weighted Sample 1141 241 336 39 78 8 11 5 19 18 32 174 120 59 262 415 55 Unweighted Sample 1141 234 349 40 80 9 9 5 22 14 31 179 117 52 264 415 63 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 29 March- 2-4 1 April May HEADLINE ASSEMBLY VOTING INTENTION London Assembly Voting Intention - Constituency [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 29 30 84 3 11 7 0 16 29 53 38 8 21 42 29 93 3 4 Labour 46 43 8 81 14 21 44 35 0 8 48 15 40 55 42 1 83 9 Liberal Democrat 12 9 5 6 67 1 0 0 42 0 0 30 15 3 0 4 3 77 Green Party 8 13 2 9 5 67 10 14 0 6 0 19 18 0 29 1 10 11 Reform UK 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 14 29 21 7 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 Some other party 2 3 0 0 4 3 46 21 0 11 6 23 4 0 0 1 0 0 London Assembly Voting Intention - Party List [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 29 31 85 3 11 6 0 19 29 56 28 8 22 43 28 93 2 6 Labour 44 41 8 77 8 17 43 18 0 5 59 19 38 53 57 2 80 9 Liberal Democrat 11 8 2 6 68 1 0 22 0 0 0 24 9 4 0 2 3 69 Green Party 11 15 2 12 8 72 15 0 0 7 0 15 24 0 15 1 12 13 Reform UK 3 2 2 0 2 1 0 16 71 20 7 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 Some other party 2 3 0 2 3 2 42 25 0 13 6 35 6 0 0 1 2 1 3 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.co.uk Sample Size: 1141 adults in London Fieldwork: 2nd - 4th May 2021 Vote in 2019 GE EU Ref 2016 Gender Age Social Grade Region Ethnicity Lib Inner Outer Total Con Lab Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE White BME Dem London London Weighted Sample 1141 276 415 129 513 337 561 580 123 606 236 176 673 468 398 743 687 437 Unweighted Sample 1141 284 403 127 579 293 475 666 120 608 246 167 726 415 421 720 720 402 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 29 March- 2-4 1 April May HEADLINE ASSEMBLY VOTING INTENTION London Assembly Voting Intention - Constituency [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 29 30 82 3 13 12 67 35 25 14 25 29 56 26 37 22 35 37 19 Labour 46 43 7 76 30 58 14 38 48 59 48 43 20 44 40 53 38 35 56 Liberal Democrat 12 9 5 4 38 11 7 10 9 8 8 12 13 11 6 6 12 11 7 Green Party 8 13 3 14 16 16 5 12 14 13 16 9 8 14 10 17 11 12 13 Reform UK 3 2 3 0 0 0 4 2 1 1 1 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 Some other party 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 2 3 5 2 4 2 2 4 1 3 2 4 London Assembly Voting Intention - Party List [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 29 31 85 2 15 11 71 35 26 13 25 31 57 27 38 24 35 39 18 Labour 44 41 6 72 29 55 12 36 46 66 43 42 21 41 40 47 38 32 56 Liberal Democrat 11 8 3 4 33 10 4 10 6 7 8 8 10 10 4 6 9 8 8 Green Party 11 15 2 17 19 19 5 15 15 13 19 12 8 17 12 19 13 15 14 Reform UK 3 2 3 0 1 1 4 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 Some other party 2 3 1 4 3 4 4 2 5 0 4 6 2 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 © 2021 YouGov plc.