London Elections 2021

Home , Anne Clarke (politician), Caroline Russell, Elly Baker, Emma Best, Greater London Authority, Hina Bokhari

BRIEFING PAPER Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021

By Brigid Francis-Devine

Inside: 1. How London votes 2. Party summaries 3. Candidates 4. Mayoral election – issues 5. Mayoral election - results 6. London Assembly elections 7. Comparison of Mayoral and Assembly results 8. Turnout Appendix I: Mayoral election - first preference votes Appendix II: Mayoral election - second preference votes

Appendix III: Votes cast in Assembly constituency election Appendix IV: Votes cast in Assembly London-wide election

www.parliament.uk/commons-library | intranet.parliament.uk/commons-library | [email protected] | @commonslibrary Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 2

Contents

Summary 3 1. How London votes 4 2. Party summaries 6 Labour summary 6 Conservatives summary 8 Green summary 10 Liberal Democrat summary 12 3. Candidates 14 4. Mayoral election – issues 16 4.1 Crime and policing 16 4.2 Housing 16 4.3 Jobs and a Covid recovery 16 4.4 Transport 17 4.5 Environment/air quality 17 4.6 Other issues 17 5. Mayoral election - results 18 6. London Assembly elections 21 7. Comparison of Mayoral and Assembly results 25 8. Turnout 29 8.1 Rejected ballots 30 Appendix I: Mayoral election - first preference votes 31 Appendix II: Mayoral election - second preference votes 32 Appendix III: Votes cast in Assembly constituency election 33 Appendix IV: Votes cast in Assembly London-wide election 34

3 London Elections 2021

Summary

Elections for the London Mayor and London Assembly were held on 6 May 2021. • Labour candidate Sadiq Khan was elected as Mayor of London. Khan won 1,013,721 first preference votes (40.0%), compared to 893,051 for Conservative Party candidate Shaun Bailey (35.3%). The total number of votes cast for Khan rose to 1,206,034 after second preference votes were redistributed, ahead of Bailey, with 977,601 votes. • The Green Party’s candidate for Mayor, Siân Berry, came third with 197,976 first preference votes. Luisa Porritt of the Liberal Democrats finished fourth with 111,716 first preference votes. • Out of the 2,531,357 people who cast a valid vote in the first round of the mayoral election, 314,893, or 12.4% did not vote for the top four parties as their first preference. • Labour won 11 of the 25 seats in the London Assembly elections, one fewer than in 2016, and remain the largest party in the Assembly. They won 41.7% of the Assembly constituency votes, down from 43.5% in 2016. • The Conservatives have 9 seats, one more than in 2016. The Green Party and Liberal Democrats both gained one seat, and now the Green Party hold three seats and the Liberal Democrats hold two.

2021 London Assembly elections: elected Members

Constituency Members London-wide Members LAB Anne Clarke Barnet & Camden LAB Elly Baker LAB Krupesh Hirani Brent & Harrow LAB Sakina Sheikh LAB Unmesh Desai City & East CON Emma Best LAB Onkar Sahota Ealing & Hillingdon CON Susan Hall LAB Joanne McCartney Enfield & Haringey CON Shaun Bailey LAB Len Duvall Grewich & Lewisham CON Andrew Boff LAB Marina Ahmad Lambeth & Southwark GRN Siân Berry LAB Léonie Cooper Merton & Wandsworth GRN Caroline Russell LAB Sam Moema North East GRN Zack Polanski CON Peter Timothy Bexley & Bromley LD Caroline Pidgeon CON Neil Garratt Croydon & Sutton LD Hina Bokhari CON Keith Prince Havering & Redbridge CON Nicholas Rogers South West CON Tony Devenish West Central

• Turnout was 40.9% in the mayoral election, down from 45.2% in 2016. Turnout was 41.8% in the Assembly London-wide election, up from 45.6% in 2016. • Elections were also held on the same day for the Welsh Assembly, Scottish Parliament, local councils and mayors in some English local authorities, and Police and Crime Commissioners in England and Wales.

Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 4

1. How London votes

The Greater London Authority was established in 2000. Elections for the Results Mayor of London and the 25 Members of the London Assembly take The results data place every four years. published in this paper Elections were due to take place on 7 May 2020 but were postponed are as published on the until 6 May 2021 due to the coronavirus pandemic, under sections 59- London elects website 70 of the Coronavirus Act.1 More information on the process by which the elections were postponed and measures taken to allow the elections to go ahead in 2021 is in Library briefing paper, Coronavirus: elections. Like other mayors in England, the Mayor of London is elected using the Supplementary Vote system. Voters select a first and a second preference candidate. If no candidate receives more than half of first preference votes, the two candidates who received the most first preference votes go through to a second round, where any second preference votes for these two candidates are redistributed. The candidate who receives the most votes at the end of this process is elected. If a voter selects the same candidate as their first and second preference, the second preference vote is not counted. Similarly, if a voter cast their first preference vote for one of the two candidates in the second round, then their second preference vote is not counted. The UK Government has announced its intention to change the voting system for the Mayor of London (as for well as combined authority mayors and police and crime commissioners) to first-past-the-post in future elections.3 There are fourteen London Assembly Members representing Assembly constituencies and eleven London-wide Members. They are elected using the Additional Member System (also used in elections for the Scottish Parliament and National Assembly for Wales). Two separate ballots are held. Constituency members are elected using the First Past the Post voting system, where the winner of the plurality of votes wins the seat). The other (London-wide) ballot is used to elect London-wide Members from a party list of candidates. Once the constituency

Box 1: The Greater London Authority turns 21 The abolition of the Greater London Council in 1986 left London as a whole without a directly elected government for the first time in almost 100 years. Following a referendum in May 1998, the Greater London Authority Act 1999 was passed, establishing the Greater London Authority (GLA). The first mayoral and Assembly elections were held in May 2000.2

Library paper The Greater London Authority provides more information on the role and powers of the Mayor of London and the Greater London Authority.

1 Institute for Government, Delaying elections, 28 January 2021 2 Institute for Government, Elections 2021: the mayor of London and London Assembly, 8 April 2021 3 Statement UIN HCWS849, Concluding Part One of the Police and Crime Commissioner Review, 16 March 2021 5 London Elections 2021

Members are elected, the eleven London-wide seats are allocated between the parties based on their vote share in the London-wide ballot and taking into account how many seats they already have. The fourteen Assembly constituencies are built up from London boroughs:

The fourteen Assembly constituencies are built up from London boroughs

Assembly Assembly constituency London boroughs constituency London boroughs

Barnet & Barnet Greenwich & Greenwich Camden Camden Lewisham Lewisham Bexley & Bexley Havering & Havering Bromley Bromley Redbridge Redbridge Brent & Brent Lambeth & Lambeth Harrow Harrow Southwark Southwark City of London Merton & Merton Barking & Dagenham Wandsworth City & East Wandsworth Newham Tower Hamlets Croydon North East Hackney Croydon & Sutton Islington Sutton Waltham Forest Ealing South West Hounslow Ealing & Hillingdon Kingston upon Thames Hillingdon Richmond upon Thames Enfield West Central Hammersmith & Fulham Enfield & Haringey Kensington & Chelsea Haringey Westminster

Labour • Labour Party candidate Sadiq Khan has been London mayor since 2016 and won the 2021 mayoral elections. The highest level of support for Khan was found in North East London, and the lowest in Bexley and Bromley. Labour candidate Ken Livingstone won the mayoral elections in 2004. • In 2021 Labour won 11 London Assembly seats including 9 constituency seats, the same as 2016, and 2 London-wide seats, 1 less than 2016. • The Labour Party won comparable vote shares (between 38% and 42%) in all three London elections. Khan received a lower share of the vote in the first round of the mayoral elections (40.0%) than the Labour party did in the Assembly elections (41.7%).

Summary: votes and seats 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 Mayoral election Votes (1st round) 223,884 685,548 893,877 889,918 1,148,716 1,013,721 % votes 13% 37% 37% 40% 44% 40%

Constituency seats 6 5 6 8 9 9 Votes 501,296 444,738 673,855 933,438 1,138,576 1,083,215 % votes 32% 25% 28% 42% 44% 42% Seats 6 5 6 8 9 9 Constituency seats 32% 25% 28% 42% 44% 42% London-wide seats 3 2 2 4 3 2 Votes 502,874 468,247 665,443 911,208 1,054,801 986,609 % votes 30% 25% 28% 41% 40% 38% Seats 3 2 2 4 3 2 London-wide seats 30% 25% 28% 41% 40% 38% Assembly total Seats 9 7 8 12 12 11 % seats 36% 28% 32% 48% 48% 44% Note: Labour candidate Ken Livingston was elected Mayor of London in 2004, and Sadiq Khan in 2016 Assembly share of the vote Assembly seats 45% 12 Constituency seats 10 London-wide seats

30% 8

15% Constituency seats 4

London-wide seats 2

0% 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 Mayoral first round share of the vote 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Haringey North East Lambeth & City & East Greenwich & Wandsworth London Barnet & & Brent Hillingdon Central West West South & Croydon & Havering & Bexley Enfield & Harrow Bromley Southwark Camden Redbridge Ealing & Lewisham Merton & Merton Sutton London elections 2021 - Labour Party

Constituency ballot London-wide ballot

% vote share % vote share 0 - 20% (0) 0 - 20% (0) 20% - 30% (2) 20% - 30% (2) 30-35% (1) 30-35% (1) 35%-45% (5) 35%-45% (5) 45%+ (6) 45%+ (6)

Mayoral ballot - percentage share of ﬁrst preference votes

% vote share 0 - 20% (0) 20% - 30% (2) 30-35% (1) 35%-45% (5) 45%+ (6) Conservative • Boris Johnson was London Mayor between 2008 and 2016, but Conservative Party candidate Shaun Bailey did not win the mayoral election in 2021. Bailey received his highest level of support in Bexley and Bromley, and his lowest in Lambeth and Southwark. • The Conservative Party won five constituency seats in the London Assembly elections, the same as in 2016. The party won four London-wide seats, one more than in 2016. The party did not match its 2008 high of 11 Assembly seats. • Shaun Bailey achieved a higher vote share in the first round of the mayoral elections (35.3%) than the Conservative Party did in the Assembly elections (32.1%).

Summary: votes and seats 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 Mayoral election Votes (1st round) 464,434 542,423 1,043,761 971,931 909,755 893,051 % votes 27% 29% 43% 44% 35% 35%

Constituency seats 8 9 8 6 5 5 Votes 526,707 562,048 900,569 722,280 812,415 833,021 % votes 33% 31% 37% 33% 31% 32% Seats 8 9 8 6 5 5 Constituency seats 33% 31% 37% 33% 31% 32% London-wide seats 1 0 3 3 3 4 Votes 481,053 533,696 835,535 708,528 764,230 795,081 % votes 29% 28% 35% 32% 29% 31% Seats 1 0 3 3 3 4 London-wide seats 29% 28% 35% 32% 29% 31% Assembly total Seats 9 9 11 9 8 9 % seats 36% 36% 44% 36% 32% 36% Note: Conservative candidate Boris Johnson was elected as Mayor of London in 2008 and 2012 Assembly share of the vote Assembly seats 12 45% Constituency seats London-wide seats 10

30% 8 6

15% 4 Constituency seats 2 London-wide seats 0% 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 Mayoral first round share of the vote 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% North East Lambeth & Bexley & Bexley & Havering & Croydon & Brent Hillingdon Central West Barnet & West South London Wandsworth Haringey City & East Greenwich & Enfield & Harrow Bromley Southwark Camden Redbridge Ealing & Lewisham Merton & Merton Sutton London elections 2021 - Conservative party

Constituency ballot London-wide ballot

% vote share % vote share 0 - 20% (2) 0 - 20% (2) 20% - 30% (3) 20% - 30% (3) 30%-35% (4) 30%-35% (4) 35%-45% (3) 35%-45% (4) 45%+(2) 45%+(1) Mayoral ballot - percentage share of ﬁrst preference votes

% vote share 0 - 20% (1) 20% - 30% (4) 30%-35% (1) 35%-45% (6) 45%+(2) Green • The Green Party candidate for Mayor of London, Sian Berry, achieved a 7.8% share of the vote. This is the highest level of support the party has achieved since mayoral elections started in 2000. Berry attracted her highest vote share in Lambeth and Southwark. • Although the Green Party did not win any constituency seats, it attracted the third highest share of the vote in this election. The party won three London-wide seats, one more than in 2016, and its joint highest number of seats, the same as 2000. • The Green Party's share of the vote in the Assembly elections (13.0%) was higher than in the mayoral elections (7.%). Summary: votes and seats 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021

Mayoral election Votes (1st round) 38,121 57,332 77,374 98,913 150,673 197,976 % votes 2% 3% 3% 4% 6% 8%

Constituency seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 Votes 162,457 138,243 194,059 188,623 236,809 336,840 % votes 10% 8% 8% 9% 9% 13% Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 Constituency seats 10% 8% 8% 9% London-wide seats 3 2 2 2 2 3 Votes 183,910 160,445 203,465 189,215 207,959 305,452 % votes 11% 9% 8% 9% 8% 12% Seats 3 2 2 2 2 3 London-wide seats 11% 9% 8% 9% 8% 12% Assembly total Seats 3 2 2 2 2 3 % seats 12% 8% 8% 8% 8% 12%

Assembly share of the vote Assembly seats

45% 12 Constituency seats London-wide seats 10

30% London-wide seats 8

15% 4

0% 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021

Mayoral first round share of the vote 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Haringey Barnet & Lambeth & North East Greenwich & Wandsworth London West South Central West & Croydon & Bexley City & East Hillingdon & Brent & Havering Enfield & Harrow Bromley Southwark Camden Redbridge Ealing & Lewisham Merton & Merton Sutton London elections 2021 - Green Party

Constituency ballot London-wide ballot

% vote share 0 - 8% (0) 8% - 10% (2) 10%-12% (6) % vote share % vote share 12%+ (6) 0 - 6% (0) 0 - 6% (0) 0.12 - 1 6 - 8% (0) 6 - 8% (1) 8-10% (2) 8-10% (4) 10%-12% (6) 10%-12% (5) 12%+ (6) 12%+ (5)

Mayoral ballot - percentage share of ﬁrst preference votes

% vote share 0 - 6% (2) 6 - 8% (8) 8-10% (2) 10%-12% (2) 12%+ (0) Liberal Democrats • The Liberal Democrat candidate for Mayor of London, Luisa Porritt, achieved a 4.4% share of the vote in the first round of the election. This is one percentage point lower than in 2016, and 11 percentage points lower than in 2004, when the party achieved a 15% share of the vote. Porritt received her highest vote share in South West London. • The Liberal Democrat Party did not win any constituency seats, and won two London-wide Assembly seat. This is one more than in 2016 but down from the party's high of 5 in 2004. • The Liberal Democrats' share of the vote in the Assembly elections (10.3%) was higher than in the mayoral elections (4.4%). Summary: votes and seats 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021

Mayoral election Votes (1st round) 203,452 284,647 236,685 91,774 120,005 111,716 % votes 12% 15% 10% 4% 5% 4%

Constituency seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 Votes 299,998 332,237 330,018 193,842 195,820 266,595 % votes 19% 18% 14% 9% 7% 10% Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 Constituency seats 19% 18% 14% 9% 7% 10% London-wide seats 4 5 3 2 1 2 Votes 245,555 316,218 275,272 150,447 165,580 189,522 % votes 15% 17% 11% 7% 6% 7% Seats 4 5 3 2 1 2 London-wide seats 15% 17% 11% 7% 6% 7% Assembly total Seats 4 5 3 2 1 2 % seats 16% 20% 12% 8% 4% 8%

Assembly share of the vote Assembly seats

45% 12 Constituency seats London-wide seats London-wide seats 10

30% 8

15% 4

0% 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021 Mayoral first round share of the vote 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% South West South Lambeth & Wandswor… & Croydon Central London Barnet & & Lewisham & Haringey Hillingdon & Brent & Bexley North East City & East & Havering Enfield & Harrow Bromley Southwark Camden Redbridge Merton & Merton Greenwich Ealing & West Sutton London elections 2021 - Liberal Democrats

Constituency ballot London-wide ballot

% vote share % vote share 0 - 5% (1) 0 - 5% (2) 5% - 7% (2) 5% - 7% (7) 7-9% (5) 7-9% (3) 9%-11% (5) 9%-11% (1) 11%+(3) 11%+(1) Mayoral ballot - percentage share of ﬁrst preference votes

% vote share 0 - 5% (10) 5% - 7% (3) 7-9% (0) 9%-11% (1) 11%+(0) Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 14

3. Candidates

Twenty candidates contested the mayoral election, six of whom were women (30%). In 2016, there were twelve candidates including three women (25%). Candidates for London Mayor Number of candidates, 2000-2021

20 18 Women Men 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2021

228 candidates stood for election to the London Assembly in May 2021, 24 of whom contested both constituency and London-wide ballots. Of these, 94 (41%) were women, 113 (40%) were men, 1 identified as non-binary, and the gender is unknown for 20. 15 London Elections 2021

Number of assembly candidates by gender London wide Constituency

Animal Welfare Party Wom en Men Christian Peoples Alliance Unknown Communist Party of Britain Non binary Conservati ve Party Green Party Heritage Party Independent Labour Party Let London Live Liberal Democrats Londependence London Real Party National Liberal Party Reform UK Rejoin EU Social Democratic Party TUSC UK Independence Party (UKIP) Women's Equality Party

0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15

Note: Candidates may contest both constituency and London-wide ballots Source: Democracy Club 2021 London Assembly Election (Additional) and 2021 London Assembly Election (Constituency) CSV data downloads

Of 80 candidates contesting constituency ballots, 37 (46%) were women. Lambeth and Southwark constituency had the highest proportion of women constituency candidates (83%). City and East London had the lowest at 0%, the only area in which no women stood on the constituency ballot. Among parties fielding more than one constituency candidate, the Green Party had the highest proportion of women candidates (71%) and Reform UK had the lowest (14%). Of 172 candidates contesting London-wide ballots, 65 (38%) were women, and one identified as non-binary. Among parties fielding more than one London-wide candidate, the Women’s Equality Party had the highest proportion of women candidates (100%) and Reform UK had the lowest (9%).

Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 16

4. Mayoral election – issues

This section provides an overview of five issues which featured in the majority of the manifestos of the 20 candidates for London mayor, and provides further detail on the manifestos of the four candidates with the most first preference votes: Sadiq Khan (Labour), Shaun Bailey (Conservative), Siân Berry (Green Party) and Luisa Porritt (Liberal Democrat).

4.1 Crime and policing 16 out of 20 candidates included crime in their manifestos. • Police: Khan, Bailey and Porritt pledged to hire more police officers, and Bailey and Berry pledged to reopen closed police stations. More community policing was proposed by Berry, Porritt and Bailey.

• Stop and search: All four manifestos included references to stop and search. Bailey proposed wider powers, Khan discussed better monitoring, and Berry and Porritt proposed rolling back the use of stop and search.

• Violence against women: All four manifestos included plans to tackle violence against women and girls.

• Drugs: Khan, Berry and Porritt proposed considering relaxing laws or deprioritising the policing of cannabis use.

4.2 Housing 15 out of 20 candidates included housing in their manifestos. • Affordable housing: All four made proposals around affordable housing. Khan proposed setting a target of 50% of all new homes to be affordable, Bailey proposed building 100,000 affordable homes, Berry proposed making renting and student accommodation more affordable, and Porritt proposed converting office space into affordable homes. Khan and Berry also committed to building more council houses.

• Renters rights: All four discussed renters rights and/or regulating landlords in their manifestos.

• Homelessness: All four pledged to take action on homelessness. 4.3 Jobs and a Covid recovery 10 of the 20 candidates discussed job creation in their manifestos, and 14 discussed the coronavirus pandemic. • Jobs: Khan, Bailey and Berry set out plans to create jobs, all of which included green jobs. Khan focused on returning tourism and nightlife, while Bailey proposed creating jobs using construction. 17 London Elections 2021

• High streets: All four manifestos include plans to support high streets and small businesses.

4.4 Transport 17 out of 20 candidates included transport in their manifestos. • Transport for London (TfL) funding: Khan, Bailey and Porritt proposed ways of increasing funding TfL, Khan by cutting costs and lobbying for government funding, Bailey through corporate sponsorship of the Tube network, and Porritt through road charges. Khan, Bailey and Berry pledged to keep fares low.

• Crossrail: All four candidates committed to pushing ahead with Crossrail Two.

• Congestion charges: Khan and Berry pledged to extend the Ultra-Low Emissions Zone (ULEZ), and Berry pledged to extend congestion charges. Bailey pledged to reduce congestion charges and reverse plans to extend the ULEZ charge. Porritt pledged to reform both.

4.5 Environment and air quality 17 out of 20 candidates referenced the environment in their manifestos. Environmental policies varied more than other issues discussed in this section. Khan and Berry both set out detailed ‘Green New Deal’s for London and all four manifestos included various ways to improve bio- diversity, air quality, and green spaces. The following areas featured most: • Buses: Khan, Bailey and Berry pledged to work towards a zero- emission bus fleet in the next few years (Khan and Berry by 2030, Bailey by 2025). Porritt proposed to ensure buses are electric or run on hydrogen by 2028.

• Zero-carbon: Khan, Bailey and Berry also included a pledge to make London zero-carbon by 2030.

• Green spaces: All four candidates promised to plant more trees and improve and increase parks.

4.6 Other issues Of the 20 candidates, four ran on an anti-lockdown platform. The majority mentioned furthering gender and racial equality and supporting diversity. Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 18

5. Mayoral election - results

Twenty candidates contested the 2021 mayoral election, eight more Mayoral election than in 2016. The Labour and Conservative candidates attracted the results most first preference votes and went through to a second round, as had The number of happened in 2008, 2012 and 2016. When votes for the other votes displayed in candidates were redistributed, Labour candidate Sadiq Khan was the tables in this elected with 1,013,721 votes, compared to 893,051 votes for section is the Conservative candidate Shaun Bailey. number of valid votes After the first round, Khan was ahead of Bailey by 120,670 votes (4.8% of all first preference votes). At the 2016 mayoral election, Khan was ahead of Conservative Candidate Zac Goldsmith by 237,751 votes (9.2% of all first preference votes).

Mayoral election: number of first preference votes and vote share

Labour Conservative Votes Vote share Votes Vote share 2000 223,884 13.1% 464,434 27.1% 2004 685,548 36.8% 542,423 29.1% 2008 893,877 37.0% 1,043,761 43.2% 2012 889,918 40.3% 971,931 44.0% 2016 1,148,716 44.2% 909,755 35.0% 2021 1,013,721 40.0% 893,051 35.3% Note: Ken Livingstone won 667,877 first preference votes (39%) as an independent candidate in 2000

276,863 second preference votes were redistributed when the other candidates were eliminated: 192,313 (69.4%) of these went to Khan and 84,550 (30.5%) to Bailey. The number of second preference votes that was redistributed in 2016 was lower, at 246,286. Out of these, 65.5% went to the Labour candidate Sadiq Khan, and 34.5% to the Conservative candidate Zac Goldsmith.

Mayoral elections - summary results

2nd preferences 1st preferences redistributed Total Votes % Votes % Votes %

Sadiq Khan LAB 1,013,721 40.0% 192,313 69.5% 1,206,034 55.2% Shaun Bailey CON 893,051 35.3% 84,550 30.5% 977,601 44.8% Sian Berry GRN 197,976 7.8% Luisa Porritt LD 111,716 4.4% Others Others 314,893 12.4% Total votes 2,531,357 276,863 2,183,635

19 London Elections 2021

Sadiq Khan received the most first preference votes in seven out of fourteen Assembly constituencies. He won an outright majority of first preference votes in two of these. In 2016, Khan received the most first preference votes in nine Assembly constituencies and won an outright majority in five constituencies. Khan received his highest vote shares in the North East (52.0%) and in Lambeth and Southwark (50.9%). The lowest vote share he received was in Bexley and Bromley (24.1%). Shaun Bailey received the most first preference votes in the other seven constituencies. A majority of voters in Bexley and Bromley (54.6%) and Havering and Redbridge (50.3%) selected Bailey as their first preference candidate. In North East London, he won only 19.9% of the vote.

Change in share of vote received by party at Mayoral election 2016-2021

Change in Votes % vote share 2016 2021 2016 2021 % points First preferences LAB 1,148,716 1,013,721 44.2% 40.0% -4.2% CON 909,755 893,051 35.0% 35.3% 0.2% GRN 150,673 197,976 5.8% 7.8% 2.0% LD 120,005 111,716 4.6% 4.4% -0.2% UKIP 94,373 14,393 3.6% 0.6% -3.1% Others 160,114 300,500 6.2% 11.9% 5.7% Total 2,596,961 2,531,357

Second preferences LAB 388,090 400,478 17.5% 18.2% 0.6% CON 250,214 263,812 11.3% 12.0% 0.7% GRN 468,318 486,798 21.2% 22.1% 0.9% LD 335,931 264,912 15.2% 12.0% -3.2% UKIP 223,253 72,425 10.1% 3.3% -6.8% Others 510,744 714,952 23.1% 32.4% 9.4% Total 2,212,718 2,203,377

Note: this table lists all second preference votes that were cast, including those that were not redistributed

The Green Party candidate Siân Berry polled the third highest number of first preference votes (197,976, or 7.8%). This is 47,303 more than Berry received in 2016, an increase in vote share from 5.8%, and 99,063 more than the Green Party received in 2012. Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 20

As in 2012 and 2016, the Liberal Democrats came fourth in the mayoral election. The party’s candidate, Luisa Porritt, won 111,716 first preference votes, 8,289 less than in 2016. UKIP’s candidate Peter Gammons won 0.6% of the vote share, compared to 3.6% in 2016, and won less than a sixth (15%) of the number of votes the party won in 2016. Out of the 2,531,357 people who cast a valid vote in the first round of the mayoral election, 314,893, or 12.4% did not vote for the top four parties as their first preference.

There were eight other candidates who won more than 0.5% of first preference votes each and together won 8.8% of first preference votes. Candidates who won more than 1% of the vote included independent candidate Niko Omilana (2.0%), Laurence Fox (1.9%) for the Reclaim Party, Brian Rose (1.2%) from the London Real Party, and Richard Hewison (1.1%) from Rejoin EU.

21 London Elections 2021

6. London Assembly elections

Of the 14 constituency seats on the London Assembly, Labour won nine and the Conservatives won five. The Conservatives won four London-wide seats, the Green party won three, and Labour and the Liberal Democrats each won two.

2021 London Assembly elections: elected Members

Labour won eleven seats on the London Assembly, holding all the constituencies it won in 2016. The party won two seats on the London- wide list, one fewer than in 2016. Labour remain the largest party in the Assembly. Labour polled 1,083,215 votes (41.7%) in the Assembly constituency ballot, 55,361 less than in 2016 and a fall in share from 43.5%. The party won over 40% of the vote in nine constituencies (which all elected a Labour Member) and won over half of the vote in two. This is similar to Labour’s performance in 2016, when it won over 40% of the vote in nine constituencies and over half of the vote in four. Labour achieved its highest vote share in the City & East London (56.7%) and North East London (51.2%) constituencies, where it also received the highest share of the vote in the mayoral election. These highest vote shares were lower than the highest vote shares Labour achieved in 2016, in North East London (60%) and City and East London (59%). As in 2016, and in the mayoral election, Labour’s lowest share of the vote was in Bexley and Bromley (25.5%), higher than the vote share achieved in 2016 (24.1%). The party increased its share of the vote in two constituencies (Bexley and Bromley increased from 24.1% to 25.5% and West Central from 34.7% to 37.3%) and retained the same vote share as in 2016 in two constituencies (Havering Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 22

& Redbridge and Merton & Wandsworth). Vote share declined in all other constituencies. Conservatives won nine Assembly seats, one more than in 2016. The party retained all five of the constituency seats it won in 2016, and won four London-wide seats, one more than in 2016. Labour and the Conservatives were the highest placed parties in all fourteen constituencies in both the London-wide and the constituency elections. The party received 833,021 votes (32.0%) in the Assembly constituency election, 20,606 more than in 2016, and an increase in vote share from 31.1%. The party received more than 40% of the vote in three constituencies, with their highest share in Bexley and Bromley (52.6%) and in Havering and Redbridge (46.0%). These shares were higher than in 2016 when Conservatives won 49.9% of the vote in Bexley and Bromley, and 44.0% in Havering and Redbridge. The Conservatives’ lowest vote share in the constituency election was in Lambeth and Southwark (16.5%), compared to 14.2% in North East London in 2016. The party increased its share of the vote in eight constituencies, with the highest increase in Havering and Redbridge (37.7% to 46.0%). Vote share declined in all other constituencies. Labour and the Conservatives both received more votes in the constituency election than the London-wide ballot; 96,606 more for Labour and 37,940 more for the Conservatives. Labour’s share of the vote in the London-wide election was 38.1% compared to 41.7% in the constituency wide election, while the Conservative’s vote share was 30.7% in the London-wide election, compared to 32.0% in the constituency election.

23 London Elections 2021

London Assembly elections - summary results

Votes % vote Change 2016 2021 2016 2021 % points Constituency ballot

LAB 1,138,576 1,083,215 43.5% 41.7% -1.9% CON 812,415 833,021 31.1% 32.0% 1.0% GRN 236,809 336,840 9.1% 13.0% 3.9% LD 195,820 266,595 7.5% 10.3% 2.8% Others 31,844 79,979 1.2% 3.1% 1.9%

Total 2,614,912 2,599,650

London-wide ballot

LAB 1,054,801 986,609 40.3% 38.1% -2.2% CON 764,230 795,081 29.2% 30.7% 1.5% GRN 207,959 305,452 8.0% 11.8% 3.8% LD 165,580 189,522 6.3% 7.3% 1.0% UKIP 171,069 27,114 6.5% 1.0% -5.5% CPA 27,172 28,878 1.0% 1.1% 0.1% AWP 25,810 44,667 1.0% 1.7% 0.7% WEP 91,772 55,684 3.5% 2.2% -1.4% Others 65,959 156,261 2.5% 6.0% 3.5%

Total 2,615,676 2,589,268

Names explained: Christian People's Alliance; Animal Welfare Party; Women's Equality Party

The Green Party won 336,840 votes in the constituency election, the third highest number of votes. This is a vote share of 13.0%, up from 9.1% in 2016. The party performed strongest in North East London with a 19.8% vote share, and Lambeth and Southwark with 19.7%. In 2016, the party won its highest share of the vote (13.7%) in Lambeth and Southwark. In the London-wide ballot, the Green Party won 11.8% of the vote, up from 8.0% in 2016. The party won three London-wide Assembly seats, one more than in 2016. The Liberal Democrats came fourth in both the constituency and London-wide election. The party received 336,840 votes in the constituency election, 10.3% of the vote, up from 7.5% in 2016.The Liberal Democrats did best in South West London, where they received 29.2% of the vote share, up from 14.3% in 2016. The party’s lowest vote share was in Havering and Redbridge (4.8%). The Liberal Democrats achieved a 7.3% share of the vote in the London-wide ballot, compared to 6.3% in 2016. The party won two London-wide Assembly seats, one more than in 2016. UKIP did not field any candidates in the constituency ballot. In the London-wide ballot, the party won 27,114 votes, a vote share of 1.0%. Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 24

In all, 18 parties entered the London-wide election. 8 parties entered the constituency election. In 2021 no independent candidates contested either London Assembly election.

Assembly seats won by party, 2000 to 2021 Constituency Total seats won seats London-wide seats CON LAB GRN LD UKIP BNP CON LAB CON LAB GRN LD UKIP BNP 2000 9 9 3 4 8 6 1 3 3 4 2004 9 7 2 5 2 1 9 5 2 2 5 2 1 2008 11 8 2 3 0 8 6 3 2 2 3 2012 9 12 2 2 0 6 8 3 4 2 2 2016 8 12 2 1 2 5 9 3 3 2 1 2 2021 9 11 3 2 5 9 4 2 3 2

25 London Elections 2021

7. Comparison of Mayoral and Assembly results

The Labour candidate for Mayor, Sadiq Khan, won 69,494 fewer first preference votes in the mayoral election than his party received in the Assembly constituency elections. The share of the vote received was similar: 40.0% in the first round of the mayoral election compared to 41.7% in the Assembly constituency election. Khan received a lower share of the vote in the first round of the mayoral election than his party did in the Assembly elections in 8 out of the 14 constituencies.

Labour vote shares by contest

London Mayor

Barnet & Camden Assembly constituency Bexley & Bromley Assembly list

Brent & Harrow

City & East

Croydon & Sutton

Ealing & Hillingdon

Enfield & Haringey

Greenwich & Lewisham

Havering & Redbridge

Lambeth & Southwark

Merton & Wandsworth

North East

South West

West Central

0% 20% 40% 60%

Shaun Bailey received 60,030 more votes than the Conservatives attracted in the Assembly constituency elections, with 38.5% of first preference votes compared to a 36.3% vote share in the Assembly constituency elections. Bailey received a higher share of the vote in the Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 26

first round of the mayoral election than his party did in the Assembly elections in 12 out of the 14 constituencies.

Conservative vote shares by contest Mayor

London Assembly constituency Barnet & Camden Assembly London- wide Bexley & Bromley

Brent & Harrow

City & East

Croydon & Sutton

Ealing & Hillingdon

Enfield & Haringey

Greenwich & Lewisham

Havering & Redbridge

Lambeth & Southwark

Merton & Wandsworth

North East

South West

West Central

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

In all constituencies but two, the party that won the constituency seat was also the party that attracted the greatest number of first preference votes in the mayoral election. The exceptions were Brent and Harrow and Ealing and Hillingdon, where Labour won constituency seats but Shaun Bailey won the most first preference votes. Labour decreased its vote share in the mayoral election in all constituencies other than North East London and West Central London, where vote share increased. The party’s vote share in the Assembly constituency election also decreased in most constituencies, but to a lesser degree.

27 London Elections 2021

Change in Labour vote share 2016-2021 Percentage points

London Mayor Barnet & Camden Assembly constituency Bexley & Bromley Brent & Harrow City & East Croydon & Sutton Ealing & Hillingdon Enfield & Haringey Greenwich & Lewisham Havering & Redbridge Lambeth & Southwark Merton & Wandsworth North East South West West Central

-14% -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4%

The Conservatives’ vote share in the mayoral election increased in 9 of the 14 constituencies, and the party’s vote share in the Assembly constituency election increased in 8. Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 28

Change in Conservative vote share 2016-2021 Percentage points London Mayor

Barnet & Camden Assembly constituency

Bexley & Bromley

Brent & Harrow

City & East

Croydon & Sutton

Ealing & Hillingdon

Enfield & Haringey

Greenwich & Lewisham

Havering & Redbridge

Lambeth & Southwark

Merton & Wandsworth

North East

South West

West Central

-12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

The Green Party and the Liberal Democrats received higher shares of the vote in the Assembly elections than in the mayoral elections.

Comparison of votes received in Assembly and mayoral elections

Mayor - 1st preferences Assembly constituency Assembly London-wide Votes % vote Votes % vote Votes % vote

LAB 1,013,721 40.0% 1,083,215 41.7% 986,609 38.1% CON 893,051 35.3% 833,021 32.1% 795,081 30.7% GRN 197,976 7.8% 336,840 13.0% 305,452 11.8% LD 111,716 4.4% 266,595 10.3% 189,522 7.3% Others 314,893 12.4% 79,979 3.1% 326,138 12.6%

Total 2,531,357 2,595,428 2,589,268

29 London Elections 2021

8. Turnout

Turnout was similar across all contests and decreased since 2016. Turnout was 41.8% in the Assembly (London-wide) election, down from 45.2% in 2016, and 40.9% in the mayoral election, down from 45.6% in 2016. Lower turnout may be partly due to the coronavirus pandemic.4 The constituency with the lowest turnout was City and East London (33.0% in the mayoral election). South West London had the highest turnout (46.1%). Turnout decreased in all fourteen constituencies apart from Ealing and Hillingdon, where it increased slightly. City and East London saw the largest fall in turnout. Turnout in Mayoral and Assembly elections Change since 2016 % Turnout (% pts)

Mayor Assembly Mayor Assembly Electorate

Barnet & Camden 42.4% 43.0% -4.9% -4.5% 412,332 Bexley & Bromley 43.4% 43.9% -3.2% -3.1% 423,901 Brent & Harrow 38.3% 39.6% -6.5% -5.6% 426,373 City & East 33.0% 34.3% -8.6% -7.7% 637,319 Croydon & Sutton 41.1% 41.9% -3.8% -3.3% 432,130 Ealing & Hillingdon 45.2% 46.4% 0.5% 1.1% 447,103 Enfield & Haringey 40.3% 41.6% -3.8% -3.1% 404,492 Greenwich & Lewisham 41.0% 42.1% -3.6% -2.7% 402,501 Havering & Redbridge 40.7% 41.6% -3.6% -3.1% 402,404 Lambeth & Southwark 39.8% 40.6% -4.0% -3.4% 461,056 Merton & Wandsworth 46.0% 46.6% -3.4% -3.0% 387,795 North East 40.4% 41.4% -4.9% -4.2% 529,229 South West 46.1% 47.0% -2.6% -2.0% 459,309 West Central 38.2% 38.8% -5.7% -5.3% 365,443 London 40.9% 41.8% -4.4% -3.7% 6,191,387

Assembly election turnout is in the London-wide ballot. Turnout in the constituency ballot was similar.

4 The Guardian, Polling stations focus on Covid safety as millions vote across UK, 6 May 2021 Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 30

8.1 Rejected ballots Around 114,000 first preference votes were rejected in the mayoral election, 5% of the votes cast. This is more than double the number of rejected ballots than the previous record in 2004 when 56,874 first preference votes were rejected. 87,214 of these were rejected because more than one candidate was selected in the first preference column. There were twenty mayoral candidates in 2021, which meant the ballot paper was split into two sections, which may have caused confusion.5 Around 55,000 ballots were spoiled in the London-wide Assembly race, or 2% of votes cast, up from 1.1% in 2016.

5 BBC news, London elections 2021: Record number of mayoral votes rejected, 10 May 2021 31 London Elections 2021

Appendix I: Mayoral election - first preference votes

Appendix I: Mayoral election - first preference votes by constituency and party

First preference votes CON LAB GRN LD UKIP Others Total Barnet & Camden 65,822 67,610 13,934 7,689 692 19,152 174,899 Bexley & Bromley 100,630 44,350 12,236 6,225 1,740 18,960 184,141 Brent & Harrow 65,566 61,778 9,378 5,853 761 20,153 163,489 City & East 58,145 99,971 13,616 5,906 1,589 31,067 210,294 Croydon & Sutton 78,368 57,317 11,923 9,153 1,147 19,764 177,672 Ealing & Hillingdon 79,863 74,854 13,041 7,267 1,287 25,709 202,021 Enfield & Haringey 48,101 74,646 13,600 5,903 782 19,831 162,863 Greenwich & Lewisham 43,306 76,731 16,322 6,291 1,159 21,218 165,027 Havering & Redbridge 82,361 49,818 7,967 3,669 1,454 18,544 163,813 Lambeth & Southwark 36,471 93,437 21,149 9,773 770 21,843 183,443 Merton & Wandsworth 59,460 76,403 14,050 9,445 644 18,300 178,302 North East 44,233 111,359 24,257 6,931 808 26,446 214,034 South West 77,012 73,939 16,264 21,104 1,047 22,439 211,805 West Central 53,713 51,508 10,239 6,507 513 17,074 139,554

London 893,051 1,013,721 197,976 111,716 14,393 300,500 2,531,357

% vote share CON LAB GRN LD UKIP Others Barnet & Camden 37.6% 38.7% 8.0% 4.4% 0.4% 11.0% Bexley & Bromley 54.6% 24.1% 6.6% 3.4% 0.9% 10.3% Brent & Harrow 40.1% 37.8% 5.7% 3.6% 0.5% 12.3% City & East 27.6% 47.5% 6.5% 2.8% 0.8% 14.8% Croydon & Sutton 44.1% 32.3% 6.7% 5.2% 0.6% 11.1% Ealing & Hillingdon 39.5% 37.1% 6.5% 3.6% 0.6% 12.7% Enfield & Haringey 29.5% 45.8% 8.4% 3.6% 0.5% 12.2% Greenwich & Lewisham 26.2% 46.5% 9.9% 3.8% 0.7% 12.9% Havering & Redbridge 50.3% 30.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.9% 11.3% Lambeth & Southwark 19.9% 50.9% 11.5% 5.3% 0.4% 11.9% Merton & Wandsworth 33.3% 42.9% 7.9% 5.3% 0.4% 10.3% North East 20.7% 52.0% 11.3% 3.2% 0.4% 12.4% South West 36.4% 34.9% 7.7% 10.0% 0.5% 10.6% West Central 38.5% 36.9% 7.3% 4.7% 0.4% 12.2%

London 35.3% 40.0% 7.8% 4.4% 0.6% 11.9%

Change in share since 2016 (% pts) CON LAB GRN LD UKIP Others Barnet & Camden -2.6% -2.3% 1.8% 0.1% -2.0% 5.3% Bexley & Bromley 3.0% -1.4% 2.1% -1.4% -6.9% 5.2% Brent & Harrow 1.4% -5.6% 1.5% -0.2% -1.7% 5.2% City & East 8.4% -12.6% 1.2% -0.1% -3.5% 7.3% Croydon & Sutton 1.8% -3.1% 2.1% -1.7% -4.3% 5.8% Ealing & Hillingdon 1.1% -4.2% 1.7% -0.1% -3.2% 5.4% Enfield & Haringey 2.4% -7.1% 1.8% -0.6% -2.1% 6.1% Greenwich & Lewisham 2.1% -5.6% 2.2% -0.8% -3.5% 6.3% Havering & Redbridge 5.9% -4.7% 1.2% -1.1% -6.3% 5.7% Lambeth & Southwark -0.6% -4.6% 2.8% -1.5% -1.5% 5.8% Merton & Wandsworth -6.1% -0.6% 2.6% 1.1% -1.9% 5.1% North East 2.9% -8.1% 2.5% -0.5% -2.0% 5.5% South West -9.3% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% -2.4% 4.9% West Central -7.5% 0.8% 2.1% 0.4% -1.7% 6.2%

London 0.2% -4.2% 2.0% -0.2% -3.1% 5.7%

Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 32

Appendix II: Mayoral election - second preference votes

Appendix II: Mayoral election - second preference votes by constituency and party Second preference votes CON LAB GRN LD UKIP Others Total Barnet & Camden 18,641 25,641 35,518 19,668 3,666 95,802 198,936 Bexley & Bromley 22,256 18,443 32,546 17,685 11,993 78,937 181,860 Brent & Harrow 21,674 27,987 25,013 15,918 3,551 87,041 181,184 City & East 23,000 41,903 31,431 14,946 4,854 106,426 222,560 Croydon & Sutton 20,937 24,321 30,162 21,314 7,034 89,700 193,468 Ealing & Hillingdon 23,118 31,343 31,754 19,239 6,427 99,027 210,908 Enfield & Haringey 14,532 27,807 34,517 14,829 3,559 88,126 183,370 Greenwich & Lewisham 14,672 29,601 37,408 15,165 4,311 92,535 193,692 Havering & Redbridge 20,651 21,012 24,203 12,240 9,215 68,891 156,212 Lambeth & Southwark 14,170 34,836 46,710 20,959 2,467 114,208 233,350 Merton & Wandsworth 17,524 27,277 38,049 22,700 3,433 102,117 211,100 North East 15,189 40,595 56,121 16,851 3,753 125,003 257,512 South West 22,261 30,412 37,804 37,465 5,490 122,452 255,884 West Central 15,187 19,300 25,562 15,933 2,672 73,310 151,964

London 263,812 400,478 486,798 264,912 72,425 1,343,575 2,832,000

% vote share CON LAB GRN LD UKIP Others Barnet & Camden 9.4% 12.9% 17.9% 9.9% 1.8% 48.2% Bexley & Bromley 12.2% 10.1% 17.9% 9.7% 6.6% 43.4% Brent & Harrow 12.0% 15.4% 13.8% 8.8% 2.0% 48.0% City & East 10.3% 18.8% 14.1% 6.7% 2.2% 47.8% Croydon & Sutton 10.8% 12.6% 15.6% 11.0% 3.6% 46.4% Ealing & Hillingdon 11.0% 14.9% 15.1% 9.1% 3.0% 47.0% Enfield & Haringey 7.9% 15.2% 18.8% 8.1% 1.9% 48.1% Greenwich & Lewisham 7.6% 15.3% 19.3% 7.8% 2.2% 47.8% Havering & Redbridge 13.2% 13.5% 15.5% 7.8% 5.9% 44.1% Lambeth & Southwark 6.1% 14.9% 20.0% 9.0% 1.1% 48.9% Merton & Wandsworth 8.3% 12.9% 18.0% 10.8% 1.6% 48.4% North East 5.9% 15.8% 21.8% 6.5% 1.5% 48.5% South West 8.7% 11.9% 14.8% 14.6% 2.1% 47.9% West Central 10.0% 12.7% 16.8% 10.5% 1.8% 48.2%

London 9.3% 14.1% 17.2% 9.4% 2.6% 47.4%

Change in share since 2016 (% pts) CON LAB GRN LD UKIP Others Barnet & Camden -2.0% -3.3% -5.7% -6.0% -6.4% 24.5% Bexley & Bromley 0.1% -0.9% 0.2% -6.2% -14.4% 23.8% Brent & Harrow -2.7% -4.6% -3.1% -5.5% -6.0% 23.5% City & East -0.8% -3.2% -3.6% -3.4% -5.4% 18.5% Croydon & Sutton -1.9% -1.8% -2.1% -7.9% -10.5% 26.1% Ealing & Hillingdon -2.5% -3.8% -2.7% -4.1% -8.3% 23.3% Enfield & Haringey -1.8% -4.7% -5.5% -5.9% -5.9% 25.2% Greenwich & Lewisham -2.1% -3.7% -5.9% -6.1% -6.3% 25.8% Havering & Redbridge -0.1% -0.3% -0.5% -4.7% -12.1% 20.5% Lambeth & Southwark -2.3% -6.0% -6.2% -8.2% -3.5% 27.2% Merton & Wandsworth -3.2% -4.2% -4.7% -6.3% -6.7% 26.3% North East -1.8% -5.4% -6.8% -5.2% -3.9% 24.1% South West -3.5% -3.2% -4.9% -6.6% -8.0% 27.5% West Central -1.3% -2.8% -4.1% -5.9% -7.6% 22.9%

London -2.0% -3.4% -4.0% -5.8% -7.5% 24.4% 33 London Elections 2021

Appendix III: Votes cast in Assembly constituency election

Votes % vote share Change in share since 2016 (% pts) First CON LAB GRN LD Other Total CON LAB GRN LD Other CON LAB GRN LD Other Barnet & Camden LAB 62,178 75,180 22,180 14,172 4,107 177,817 35.0% 42.3% 12.5% 8.0% 2.3% -0.5% -2.0% 3.2% 1.9% -2.6% Bexley & Bromley CON 97,966 47,389 21,600 13,305 5,861 186,121 52.6% 25.5% 11.6% 7.1% 3.1% 6.6% 1.3% 4.9% 0.8% -13.6% Brent & Harrow LAB 56,560 77,782 17,472 14,783 3,916 170,513 33.2% 45.6% 10.2% 8.7% 2.3% -0.7% -0.1% 4.6% 2.1% -5.9% City & East LAB 46,718 125,025 25,596 14,136 9,060 220,535 21.2% 56.7% 11.6% 6.4% 4.1% 5.8% -1.1% 2.7% 1.3% -8.8% Croydon & Sutton CON 75,246 56,975 18,069 26,258 5,211 181,759 41.4% 31.3% 9.9% 14.4% 2.9% 2.8% -0.8% 2.5% 4.1% -8.6% Ealing & Hillingdon LAB 76,974 85,216 22,620 16,435 7,415 208,660 36.9% 40.8% 10.8% 7.9% 3.6% 2.0% -2.0% 3.0% 1.3% -4.3% Enfield & Haringey LAB 43,626 81,620 21,921 17,363 4,304 168,834 25.8% 48.3% 13.0% 10.3% 2.5% 2.2% -5.7% 3.8% 3.1% -3.5% Greenwich & Lewisham LAB 38,889 82,048 30,808 12,744 5,540 170,029 22.9% 48.3% 18.1% 7.5% 3.3% 4.0% -4.2% 5.6% 0.6% -5.9% Havering & Redbridge CON 77,268 61,941 13,685 8,150 6,999 168,043 46.0% 36.9% 8.1% 4.8% 4.2% 8.3% 0.0% 2.5% 0.7% -11.5% Lambeth & Southwark LAB 30,855 91,949 36,933 20,920 6,836 187,493 16.5% 49.0% 19.7% 11.2% 3.6% -2.0% -2.6% 6.0% -0.3% -1.1% Merton & Wandsworth LAB 60,968 75,468 22,793 18,818 3,080 181,127 33.7% 41.7% 12.6% 10.4% 1.7% -5.7% 0.0% 4.7% 4.6% -3.5% North East LAB 41,398 112,739 43,601 14,827 7,487 220,052 18.8% 51.2% 19.8% 6.7% 3.4% 4.6% -7.5% 7.0% 0.5% -4.6% South West CON 69,212 56,945 23,135 61,222 6,232 216,746 31.9% 26.3% 10.7% 28.2% 2.9% -7.5% -3.2% 1.4% 13.9% -4.6% West Central CON 55,163 52,938 16,427 13,462 3,931 141,921 38.9% 37.3% 11.6% 9.5% 2.8% -5.3% 2.6% 2.4% 2.6% -2.3% London 833,021 1,083,215 336,840 266,595 79,979 2,599,650 32.0% 41.7% 13.0% 10.3% 3.1% 1.0% -1.9% 3.9% 2.8% -5.8% Number CBP9231, 21 May 2021 34

Appendix IV: Votes cast in Assembly London-wide election

Votes % vote share Change in share since 2016 (% pts) First CON LAB GRN LD Other Total CON LAB GRN LD Other CON LAB GRN LD Other Barnet & Camden LAB 60,902 64,039 21,293 11,536 20,649 177,504 34.3% 36.1% 12.0% 6.5% 11.6% -1.5% -0.6% 3.5% 0.8% -1.7% Bexley & Bromley CON 92,819 41,551 19,192 10,218 23,534 185,997 49.9% 22.3% 10.3% 5.5% 12.7% 7.4% -0.2% 4.5% -0.5% -10.4% Brent & Harrow LAB 60,269 66,701 14,127 8,831 19,773 169,024 35.7% 39.5% 8.4% 5.2% 11.7% 2.3% -2.9% 3.1% 0.3% -2.4% City & East LAB 44,957 116,148 20,106 9,001 29,536 218,762 20.6% 53.1% 9.2% 4.1% 13.5% 6.2% -4.5% 2.5% 0.4% -4.1% Croydon & Sutton CON 71,168 53,534 18,450 16,683 22,170 180,970 39.3% 29.6% 10.2% 9.2% 12.3% 4.4% -1.9% 4.1% -0.5% -5.5% Ealing & Hillingdon LAB 72,377 79,281 19,653 10,919 26,290 207,517 34.9% 38.2% 9.5% 5.3% 12.7% 2.5% -2.2% 3.5% 0.5% -3.8% Enfield & Haringey LAB 41,834 74,654 21,128 10,100 21,253 168,123 24.9% 44.4% 12.6% 6.0% 12.6% 2.5% -4.4% 3.8% 0.0% -1.5% Greenwich & Lewisham LAB 36,001 75,665 24,592 9,685 24,688 169,610 21.2% 44.6% 14.5% 5.7% 14.6% 2.8% -3.1% 3.9% 0.0% -2.9% Havering & Redbridge CON 73,657 55,903 12,002 5,570 21,220 167,296 44.0% 33.4% 7.2% 3.3% 12.7% 8.6% -0.4% 2.7% -0.6% -9.6% Lambeth & Southwark LAB 29,213 83,844 33,406 15,984 25,436 187,049 15.6% 44.8% 17.9% 8.5% 13.6% -1.2% -2.9% 5.0% -0.7% 0.4% Merton & Wandsworth LAB 55,625 67,251 22,852 15,860 19,777 180,563 30.8% 37.2% 12.7% 8.8% 11.0% -4.9% -0.1% 4.8% 2.8% -2.1% North East LAB 36,853 105,520 37,353 11,091 29,495 219,250 16.8% 48.1% 17.0% 5.1% 13.5% 2.9% -5.7% 4.7% 0.1% -1.5% South West CON 67,971 56,154 24,978 43,302 24,641 215,969 31.5% 26.0% 11.6% 20.1% 11.4% -5.0% -2.5% 3.6% 8.3% -3.9% West Central CON 51,435 46,364 16,320 10,742 17,676 141,634 36.3% 32.7% 11.5% 7.6% 12.5% -5.4% 1.1% 4.2% 1.9% -1.2% London 795,081 986,609 305,452 189,522 326,138 2,589,268 30.7% 38.1% 11.8% 7.3% 12.6% 1.5% -2.2% 3.8% 1.0% -3.6%

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