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Survey Report YouGov / QMUL Survey Results Sample Size: 1192 adults in London Fieldwork: 29th March - 1st April 2021 Mayoral Voting Intention Westminster VI Shaun Sadiq Luisa Siân Mandu Peter David Laurence Brian Don’t Would Lib Total Other Refused Con Lab Bailey Khan Porritt Berry Reid Gammons Kurten Fox Rose know not vote Dem Weighted Sample 1192 201 378 58 74 11 9 1 34 26 15 258 71 56 257 415 68 Unweighted Sample 1192 192 429 53 84 16 7 2 34 18 17 241 53 46 236 469 73 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 16-19 29 March- Nov 1 April HEADLINE MAYORAL VOTING INTENTION Mayoral Voting Intention - Round 1 [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Shaun Bailey 30 26 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 76 3 1 Sadiq Khan 51 47 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 83 39 Luisa Porritt 4 7 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 36 Siân Berry 9 9 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 14 Mandu Reid 1 1 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 Peter Gammons 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 David Kurten - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Laurence Fox - 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 7 Brian Rose - 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 Some other candidate 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 2 0 0 Mayoral Voting Intention - Round 2 [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Shaun Bailey 36 34 100 0 14 12 40 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 59 91 3 10 Sadiq Khan 64 66 0 100 86 88 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 9 97 90 1 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.co.uk YouGov / QMUL Survey Results Sample Size: 1192 adults in London Fieldwork: 29th March - 1st April 2021 Vote in 2019 GE EU Ref 2016 Gender Age Social Grade Region Ethnicity Lib Inner Outer Total Con Lab Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE White BME Dem London London Weighted Sample 1192 288 434 135 536 352 586 606 129 633 247 184 703 489 415 777 718 457 Unweighted Sample 1192 263 458 137 629 285 498 694 163 636 250 143 785 407 457 735 722 453 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 16-19 29 March- Nov 1 April HEADLINE MAYORAL VOTING INTENTION Mayoral Voting Intention - Round 1 [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Shaun Bailey 30 26 71 6 8 10 55 22 29 10 19 33 48 23 31 21 28 32 15 Sadiq Khan 51 47 4 74 52 63 16 46 48 65 54 38 24 52 38 50 45 37 63 Luisa Porritt 4 7 3 6 22 9 3 10 5 6 9 4 8 8 6 9 6 7 8 Siân Berry 9 9 2 10 14 13 4 9 9 10 10 10 6 8 11 9 9 12 5 Mandu Reid 1 1 1 2 0 1 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Peter Gammons 2 1 4 0 0 0 4 2 1 0 0 5 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 David Kurten - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Laurence Fox - 4 10 1 1 1 10 6 2 2 4 3 9 4 5 4 4 6 2 Brian Rose - 3 3 1 0 1 4 3 2 2 3 3 0 1 5 1 3 2 4 Some other candidate 2 2 2 0 3 2 2 2 2 3 1 3 3 1 3 3 1 2 1 Mayoral Voting Intention - Round 2 [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Shaun Bailey 36 34 93 6 16 14 75 31 36 12 25 44 63 29 42 28 37 44 19 Sadiq Khan 64 66 7 94 84 86 25 69 64 88 75 56 37 71 58 72 63 56 81 2 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.co.uk Sample Size: 1192 adults in London Fieldwork: 29th March - 1st April 2021 Mayoral Voting Intention Westminster VI Shaun Sadiq Luisa Siân Mandu Peter David Laurence Brian Don’t Would Lib Total Other Refused Con Lab Bailey Khan Porritt Berry Reid Gammons Kurten Fox Rose know not vote Dem Weighted Sample 1192 201 378 58 74 11 9 1 34 26 15 258 71 56 257 415 68 Unweighted Sample 1192 192 429 53 84 16 7 2 34 18 17 241 53 46 236 469 73 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 16-19 29 March- Nov 1 April HEADLINE ASSEMBLY VOTING INTENTION London Assembly Voting Intention - Constituency [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 30 29 92 4 8 6 33 40 0 40 21 21 20 0 33 92 2 0 Labour 50 46 4 83 16 26 16 0 0 4 49 15 52 100 46 2 90 9 Liberal Democrat 8 12 1 8 60 9 19 0 52 6 14 7 23 0 0 2 4 80 Green Party 9 8 1 5 3 58 17 0 0 4 0 8 3 0 21 1 4 8 Reform UK 3 3 2 0 12 0 0 20 0 45 8 12 0 0 0 2 0 1 Some other party 1 2 1 0 1 1 15 40 48 0 8 37 2 0 0 1 0 2 London Assembly Voting Intention - Party List [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 29 29 88 4 0 7 41 20 0 35 23 28 29 15 37 90 1 1 Labour 49 44 5 81 16 16 0 0 0 7 44 5 45 85 38 2 85 9 Liberal Democrat 7 11 0 7 75 5 30 0 0 3 15 7 19 0 10 1 4 76 Green Party 10 11 2 7 5 72 24 0 0 4 14 0 5 0 14 2 9 11 Reform UK 3 3 2 1 3 0 0 10 0 50 0 19 0 0 0 2 1 3 Some other party 1 2 2 0 2 0 5 70 100 1 4 41 2 0 0 2 0 0 3 © 2021 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.co.uk Sample Size: 1192 adults in London Fieldwork: 29th March - 1st April 2021 Vote in 2019 GE EU Ref 2016 Gender Age Social Grade Region Ethnicity Lib Inner Outer Total Con Lab Remain Leave Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE White BME Dem London London Weighted Sample 1192 288 434 135 536 352 586 606 129 633 247 184 703 489 415 777 718 457 Unweighted Sample 1192 263 458 137 629 285 498 694 163 636 250 143 785 407 457 735 722 453 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % 16-19 29 March- Nov 1 April HEADLINE ASSEMBLY VOTING INTENTION London Assembly Voting Intention - Constituency [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 30 29 83 5 7 12 60 29 29 13 20 35 57 24 36 22 32 35 19 Labour 50 46 5 79 31 59 20 42 50 67 54 40 18 49 41 53 42 36 64 Liberal Democrat 8 12 2 7 47 15 6 13 11 6 13 9 16 14 8 8 14 13 9 Green Party 9 8 2 7 12 11 4 9 8 11 9 8 5 8 8 9 8 10 5 Reform UK 3 3 6 2 1 2 7 6 1 2 4 3 4 3 4 5 2 4 2 Some other party 1 2 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 2 1 5 1 1 3 2 2 2 1 London Assembly Voting Intention - Party List [Weighted by likelihood to vote in mayoral election, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Conservative 29 29 81 6 8 13 59 27 31 12 19 36 57 24 37 24 32 36 17 Labour 49 44 5 74 33 57 18 40 47 67 52 34 20 47 38 49 41 33 62 Liberal Democrat 7 11 1 6 45 13 5 12 9 4 11 10 13 13 7 9 12 13 7 Green Party 10 11 4 12 13 15 6 12 10 13 13 12 3 11 12 12 11 13 8 Reform UK 3 3 6 1 0 1 7 5 2 2 3 2 4 3 4 4 3 4 2 Some other party 1 2 4 1 1 1 4 4 1 2 1 5 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 4 © 2021 YouGov plc.
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