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Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons
Pakistan’s Nuclear Weapons Paul K. Kerr Analyst in Nonproliferation Mary Beth Nikitin Specialist in Nonproliferation August 1, 2016 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov RL34248 Pakistan’s Nuclear Weapons Summary Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal probably consists of approximately 110-130 nuclear warheads, although it could have more. Islamabad is producing fissile material, adding to related production facilities, and deploying additional nuclear weapons and new types of delivery vehicles. Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal is widely regarded as designed to dissuade India from taking military action against Pakistan, but Islamabad’s expansion of its nuclear arsenal, development of new types of nuclear weapons, and adoption of a doctrine called “full spectrum deterrence” have led some observers to express concern about an increased risk of nuclear conflict between Pakistan and India, which also continues to expand its nuclear arsenal. Pakistan has in recent years taken a number of steps to increase international confidence in the security of its nuclear arsenal. Moreover, Pakistani and U.S. officials argue that, since the 2004 revelations about a procurement network run by former Pakistani nuclear official A.Q. Khan, Islamabad has taken a number of steps to improve its nuclear security and to prevent further proliferation of nuclear-related technologies and materials. A number of important initiatives, such as strengthened export control laws, improved personnel security, and international nuclear security cooperation programs, have improved Pakistan’s nuclear security. However, instability in Pakistan has called the extent and durability of these reforms into question. Some observers fear radical takeover of the Pakistani government or diversion of material or technology by personnel within Pakistan’s nuclear complex. -
Pak-Us Strategic Partnership Amidst Conflicting Approaches Towards Militancy (2005-2015)
PAK-US STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP AMIDST CONFLICTING APPROACHES TOWARDS MILITANCY (2005-2015) ASIF SALIM Ph.D (Scholar) DEPARTMENT OF POLITICAL SCIENCE UNIVERSITY OF PESHAWAR SESSION: 2014-15 PAK-US STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP AMIDST CONFLICTING APPROACHES TOWARDS MILITANCY (2005-2015) Thesis submitted to the Department of Political Science, University of Peshawar, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award of the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY IN POLITICAL SCIENCE MARCH, 2018 i ABSTRACT International system based on anarchic theories and approaches in which power politics and statism are the basic components which play vital role when states conduct the relations with one another. The power of the state can be appraised through its ability to protect its national interests at any cost. States in relation with equal strength can easily protect their national interests but when the small and big state interests are clashed with each other, double standers and distrust take birth. Pakistan and the US relation is the best example of the realistic ideas in which it can be safely quoted „There is no permanent friendship and enmity. There are interests that decide the faith of friendship and enmity‟. After the partition of subcontinent civil and military leadership deviated from the golden principles of the founder (Quaid-e-Azam Muhammad Ali Jinnah) and joined the western bloc. America warmly welcomed Pakistan as the US needed partner in South and Southwest Asia and Asia Pacific to counter the spread of communistic ideologies in the region. From the day one the leader ship of Pakistan was not concerned with the communism but interested to acquire economic and military assistance from the US so as to keep balance with India. -
'Pashtunistan': the Challenge to Pakistan and Afghanistan
Area: Security & Defence - ARI 37/2008 Date: 2/4/2008 ‘Pashtunistan’: The Challenge to Pakistan and Afghanistan Selig S. Harrison * Theme: The increasing co-operation between Pashtun nationalist and Islamist forces against Punjabi domination could lead to the break-up of Pakistan and Afghanistan and the emergence of a new national entity: an ‘Islamic Pashtunistan’. Summary: The alarming growth of al-Qaeda and the Taliban in the Pashtun tribal region of north-western Pakistan and southern Afghanistan is usually attributed to the popularity of their messianic brand of Islam and to covert help from Pakistani intelligence agencies. But another, more ominous, reason also explains their success: their symbiotic relationship with a simmering Pashtun separatist movement that could lead to the unification of the estimated 41 million Pashtuns on both sides of the border, the break-up of Pakistan and Afghanistan, and the emergence of a new national entity, an ‘Islamic Pashtunistan’. This ARI examines the Pashtun claim for an independent territory, the historical and political roots of the Pashtun identity, the implications for the NATO- or Pakistani-led military operations in the area, the increasing co-operation between Pashtun nationalist and Islamist forces against Punjabi domination and the reasons why the Pashtunistan movement, long dormant, is slowly coming to life. Analysis: The alarming growth of al-Qaeda and the Taliban in the Pashtun tribal region of north-western Pakistan and southern Afghanistan is usually attributed to the popularity of their messianic brand of Islam and to covert help from Pakistani intelligence agencies. But another, more ominous reason also explains their success: their symbiotic relationship with a simmering Pashtun separatist movement that could lead to the unification of the estimated 41 million Pashtuns on both sides of the border, the break-up of Pakistan and Afghanistan, and the emergence of a new national entity, ‘Pashtunistan,’ under radical Islamist leadership. -
The Battle for Pakistan
ebooksall.com ebooksall.com ebooksall.com SHUJA NAWAZ THE BATTLE F OR PAKISTAN The Bitter US Friendship and a Tough Neighbourhood PENGUIN BOOKS ebooksall.com Contents Important Milestones 2007–19 Abbreviations and Acronyms Preface: Salvaging a Misalliance 1. The Revenge of Democracy? 2. Friends or Frenemies? 3. 2011: A Most Horrible Year! 4. From Tora Bora to Pathan Gali 5. Internal Battles 6. Salala: Anatomy of a Failed Alliance 7. Mismanaging the Civil–Military Relationship 8. US Aid: Leverage or a Trap? 9. Mil-to-Mil Relations: Do More 10. Standing in the Right Corner 11. Transforming the Pakistan Army 12. Pakistan’s Military Dilemma 13. Choices Footnotes Important Milestones 2007–19 Preface: Salvaging a Misalliance 1. The Revenge of Democracy? 2. Friends or Frenemies? 3. 2011: A Most Horrible Year! 4. From Tora Bora to Pathan Gali 5. Internal Battles 6. Salala: Anatomy of a Failed Alliance 7. Mismanaging the Civil–Military Relationship 8. US Aid: Leverage or a Trap? 9. Mil-to-Mil Relations: Do More 10. Standing in the Right Corner 11. Transforming the Pakistan Army 12. Pakistan’s Military Dilemma 13. Choices Select Bibliography ebooksall.com Acknowledgements Follow Penguin Copyright ebooksall.com Advance Praise for the Book ‘An intriguing, comprehensive and compassionate analysis of the dysfunctional relationship between the United States and Pakistan by the premier expert on the Pakistan Army. Shuja Nawaz exposes the misconceptions and contradictions on both sides of one of the most crucial bilateral relations in the world’ —BRUCE RIEDEL, senior fellow and director of the Brookings Intelligence Project, and author of Deadly Embrace: Pakistan, America and the Future of the Global Jihad ‘A superb, thoroughly researched account of the complex dynamics that have defined the internal and external realities of Pakistan over the past dozen years. -
Pakistan's Nuclear Weapons Program and Implications for US National
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by SFA ScholarWorks Stephen F. Austin State University SFA ScholarWorks Faculty Publications Government 2010 Pakistan’s Nuclear Weapons Program and Implications for US National Security. Michael Tkacik Stephen F Austin State University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.sfasu.edu/government Part of the International Relations Commons Tell us how this article helped you. Repository Citation Tkacik, Michael, "Pakistan’s Nuclear Weapons Program and Implications for US National Security." (2010). Faculty Publications. 1. https://scholarworks.sfasu.edu/government/1 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Government at SFA ScholarWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in Faculty Publications by an authorized administrator of SFA ScholarWorks. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Pakistan’s Nuclear Weapons Program and Implications for US National Security Michael Tkacik Abstract This article analyzes Pakistan’s nuclear weapons program and the characteristics of the environment in which the program is nested. These characteristics include Pakistan’s history of internal and external instability; nuclear saber rattling during crises; support for Islamic terrorism in order to advance state goals; indigenous production of many elements of its nuclear forces; possession of delivery and command and control systems with destabilizing characteristics; and finally, nuclear -
Cover Page – Title
KASHMIR: THE VIEW FROM ISLAMABAD 4 December 2003 ICG Asia Report N°68 Islamabad/Brussels TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ..................................................................................................... i I. INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1 II. HISTORY OF THE KASHMIR CONFLICT – A PAKISTANI PERSPECTIVE 3 III. PERCEPTIONS OF NATIONAL SECURITY ........................................................... 4 A. HISTORY OF WAR .................................................................................................................4 B. SIMLA AGREEMENT ..............................................................................................................5 C. KASHMIRI MILITANCY, PAKISTANI INTERVENTION AND NEAR WAR CRISES.........................5 D. COSTS OF CONFLICT .............................................................................................................8 IV. DOMESTIC OPPORTUNITIES AND CONSTRAINTS......................................... 10 A. CIVIL AND MILITARY BUREAUCRACIES ..............................................................................10 B. REGIONAL DIFFERENCES.....................................................................................................15 C. POLITICAL PARTIES.............................................................................................................16 1. Regional Parties .......................................................................................................17 -
A Cold Start for Hot Wars? a Cold Start for Walter C
A Cold Start for Hot Wars? A Cold Start for Walter C. Ladwig III Hot Wars? The Indian Army’s New Limited War Doctrine The latent conºict be- tween nuclear-armed rivals India and Pakistan makes continued strategic sta- bility in South Asia uncertain. A breakdown of deterrence between the two countries would have serious consequences, including the potential use of nu- clear weapons. Since 1999 there have been two military crises involving India and Pakistan that escalated to the point where outside actors felt the need to intervene to prevent the outbreak of war. A low-level, Pakistani-backed insur- gency in Indian-controlled Kashmir adds to the tense relations between the two nations. Given the nuclear dimension involved, as well as India’s increas- ingly prominent role in world affairs and Pakistan’s domestic instability, stra- tegic and military developments on the subcontinent are of great concern to the broader international community. In response to the perceived inability of the Indian military to react to the December 2001 attack on the Parliament building in New Delhi by Pakistani- backed Kashmiri militants and the subsequent military standoff with Pakistan, known as Operation Parakram (Operation Victory), the Indian Army an- nounced a new limited war doctrine in April 2004 that would allow it to mobi- lize quickly and undertake retaliatory attacks in response to speciªc challenges posed by Pakistan’s “proxy war” in Kashmir. This Cold Start doctrine marked a break from the fundamentally defensive orientation that the Indian military has employed since independence in 1947. Requiring combined arms operat- ing jointly with airpower from the Indian Air Force, Cold Start represents a signiªcant undertaking for the Indian military. -
Pakistan's Strategic Thinking and the Role of Nuclear Weapons
SAND 2004-3375P Unlimited Release July 2004 Pakistan’s Strategic Thinking and the Role of Nuclear Weapons Major General Mahmud Ali Durrani, Retired Rawalpindi, Pakistan Cooperative Monitoring Center Occasional Paper 37 Sandia Contract No. 95502 Sandia is a multiprogram laboratory operated by Sandia Corporation, a Lockheed Martin Company, for the United States Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000. Cooperative Monitoring Center The Cooperative Monitoring Center (CMC) at Sandia National Laboratories assists political and technical experts from around the world to acquire the technology-based tools they need to assess, design, analyze, and implement nonproliferation, arms control, and other cooperative security measures. As part of its mission, the CMC sponsors research on cooperative security and the role of technology. Reports of that work are provided through the Occasional Papers series. Research is conducted by Sandia staff, international technical experts, and visiting scholars. (The CMC’s Visiting Scholars Program is administered by the Institute for Public Policy at the University of New Mexico.) For additional information on the CMC’s programs, visit the CMC home page on the World Wide Web at <http://www.cmc.sandia.gov> or write to: Cooperative Monitoring Center Sandia National Laboratories PO Box 5800 Mail Stop 1373 Albuquerque, NM 87185-1373 For specific information on this report contact: George Baldwin at the above address. This report was prepared by Sandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, NM 87185 and Livermore, CA 94550 4 Pakistan’s Strategic Thinking and the Role of Nuclear Weapons Abstract The introduction of nuclear weapons into the national defense structures of Pakistan and India in 1998 has not brought an era of peace and stability as some had forecast. -
Downloaded Pakistani Song of the Year of Its Release
ROCKISTAN HISTORY OF THE MOST TURBULENT MUSIC GENRE IN PAKISTAN ROCKISTAN HISTORY OF THE MOST TURBULENT MUSIC GENRE IN PAKISTAN TAYYAB KHALIL COVER DESIGNED BY ANUM AMEER Copyright © 2021 by Tayyab Khalil All rights reserved This book or any portion thereof may not be reproduced or used in any manner whatsoever without the express written permission of the publisher except for the use of brief quotations in a book review ISBN: 978-969-23555-0-6 (Hard cover) ISBN: 978-969-23555-1-3 (E-book) Daastan Publications Floor # 1, Workspace 2, Office # 3, National Incubation Center, Islamabad Phone: +92-3219525753 Email: [email protected] www.daastan.com CONTENTS Preface 8 1. Only a Music Concert 11 2. A Game of Chance 20 3. Emergence of the Vital Empire 29 4. An Unholy Alliance 74 5. The Double-edged Sword 115 6. Underground Reverberations 169 7. Unveiling the Partition 236 8. Rock Renaissance 257 9. The Unconventional Path 315 10. Political Upheaval 344 11. Dimes, Crimes and Hard Times 368 12. Tragedy to Triumph 433 Acknowledgements 459 8 PREFACE The road travelled by Pakistani rock musicians is beset with challenges such as staunch criticism, struggling to have a socially acceptable image, having the door slammed in the face by record label owners and lowball offers by concert organizers. Not only are their careers mentally grueling and physically demanding but they also have an added risk of high investment and low returns. The rock genre has struggled to achieve its righteous place in the country whereas folk, qawalli, pop, bhangra and Bollywood music experienced skyrocketing popularity. -
Deterrence Stability and Escalation Control in South Asia, Edited by Michael Krepon and Julia Thompson
DETERRENCE STABILITY AND ESCALATION CONTROL IN SOUTH ASIA Edited by Michael Krepon and Julia Thompson © 2013 The Stimson Center All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent from the Stimson Center. ISBN: 978-1-939240-06-4 Stimson 1111 19th Street, NW, 12th Floor Washington, DC 20036 Tel: 202.223.5956 | Fax: 202.238.9604 www.stimson.org Contents Preface 5 Key Terms and Acronyms 7 Introduction 9 Michael Krepon and Julia Thompson, Stimson Center The Non-unitary Model and Deterrence Stability in South Asia 21 George Perkovich, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Pakistan’s Nuclear Strategy and Deterrence Stability 41 Michael Krepon, Stimson Center The US Experience With Tactical Nuclear Weapons: Lessons for South Asia 65 David O. Smith, independent consultant Doctrine, Capabilities, and (In)Stability in South Asia 93 Christopher Clary and Vipin Narang, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Prospects for Limited War and Nuclear Use in South Asia 107 Neil Joeck, University of California, Berkeley Missile Proliferation and Deterrence Stability in South Asia 123 Dinshaw Mistry, University of Cincinnati, Ohio Deterrence Stability and the Conventional Balance of Forces in South Asia 135 Christopher Clary, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Strategic Restraint Regime 2.0 161 Feroz Hassan Khan, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey The Yin and Yang of Strategic Transparency: Tools to Improve Nuclear Stability and Deterrence in South Asia 175 Zachary S. Davis, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Beyond Incrementalism: Rethinking Approaches to CBMs and Stability in South Asia 187 Toby Dalton, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Contributors 209 Preface | 5 Preface I am pleased to present the latest publication of the Stimson Center’s South Asia pro- gram: Deterrence Stability and Escalation Control in South Asia, edited by Michael Krepon and Julia Thompson. -
Compliance and Defiance in Patron-Client State Relationships: a Case Study of Pakistan‘S Relationship with the United States, 1947-2013
COMPLIANCE AND DEFIANCE IN PATRON-CLIENT STATE RELATIONSHIPS: A CASE STUDY OF PAKISTAN‘S RELATIONSHIP WITH THE UNITED STATES, 1947-2013 A THESIS SUBMITTED FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY OF THE AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY ALY ZAMAN AUGUST 2015 © Copyright by Aly Zaman 2015 Declaration I declare that this thesis is my own work and, to the best of my knowledge, does not contain material previously written or published by any other person except where due acknowledgment is made in the text or footnotes. Aly Zaman 2 Dedication This thesis is dedicated to my parents for their prayers and their unwavering faith in me even as I myself often struggled to overcome those twin evils of self-doubt and despair. It is also dedicated to my wife Sahar for the constancy of her love, encouragement and support, and to my daughter Fatima, my pride and joy. 3 Acknowledgements First and foremost, I must express my profound gratitude to Almighty Allah for having blessed me with the ability to complete this project. An undertaking of this magnitude inevitably throws up a variety of challenges, some of them quite formidable, of which I faced my fair share. Whatever success I achieved in overcoming them I owe overwhelmingly to Allah‘s boundless grace and generosity. I thank the members of my supervisory panel for their comments and suggestions, particularly my thesis supervisor, Professor Amin Saikal, who was always generous and forthcoming in providing advice, encouragement and support. Dr Samina Ahmed, my former employer at the International Crisis Group, was an advisor on my panel and provided valuable feedback and suggestions on many occasions. -
The US Army and the Battle for Baghdad: Lessons Learned
C O R P O R A T I O N The U.S. Army and the Battle for Baghdad Lessons Learned—And Still to Be Learned David E. Johnson, Agnes Gereben Schaefer, Brenna Allen, Raphael S. Cohen, Gian Gentile, James Hoobler, Michael Schwille, Jerry M. Sollinger, Sean M. Zeigler For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/RR3076 Library of Congress Control Number: 2019940985 ISBN: 978-0-8330-9601-2 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © Copyright 2019 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface This report documents research and analysis conducted as part of a project entitled Lessons Learned from 13 Years of Conflict: The Battle for Baghdad, 2003–2008, spon- sored by the Office of Quadrennial Defense Review, U.S.