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Literature on GCR Literature on GCR GCR general *Bostrom, N. & Cirkovi´c,´ M.M. 2008, “Introduction”, in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovic (eds.) Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP: Oxford. *Bostrom, N. 2007, “Technological Revolutions: Ethics and Policy in the Dark”, in: B. Gordijn & R. Chadwick (eds.), Medical Enhancement and Posthumanity, Springer: New York. Bostrom, N. 2006, “Dinosaurs, dodos, humans?” in: Global Agenda, 230–231. *Bostrom, N. 2002, “Existential Risks: Analyzing human extinction scenarios and related hazards”, in: Journal of Evolution and Technology 9. Grossi, P. & Kunreuther, H. 2006, “Models for hard times”, in: Contingencies March/April 2006, 33–36. *Haimes, Y.Y. 2008, “Systems-based risk analysis”, in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovi´c´ (eds.) Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP, Oxford. *Hanson, R. 2008, “Catastrophe, social collapse, and and human extinction”, in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovi´c(eds.)´ Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP, Oxford. Hanson, R. 2007, Catastrophe, Social Collapse, and Human Extinction Hawking, S., Life in the universe Hempsell, C.M. 2004, “The Investigation of Natural Global Catastrophes”, in: JBIS 57, 2–13. Hempsell, C.M. 2004, “The Potential for Space Intervention in Global Catastro- phes”, in: JBIS 57, 14–21. Horton, R. 2005, “Threats to human survival: a WIRE to warn the world”, in: www.thelancet.com 365. Joy, B. 2000, “Why the future doesn’t need us”, in: Wired Magazine 8.04. 1 Kent, A. 2003, A critical look at risk assessments for global catastrophes, in: Risk Analysis 24(1), 157–168. *Leslie, J. 1996, The End of the World. The Science and Ethics of Human Extinc- tion, Routledge: New York. *Matheny, J.G. 2007, “Reducing the Risk of Human Extinction”, in: Risk Analysis 27(5). Parson, E.A. 2007, “The Big One: A Review of Richard Posners Catastrophe: Risk and Response”, in: Journal of Economic Literature XLV, 147-164. *Posner, R. 2008, “Public policy toward catastrophe”, in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovi´c´ (eds.) Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP, Oxford. Posner, R. 2005, “Catastrophic Risks, Resource Allocation, and Homeland Securi- ty”, in: Journal of Homeland Security. *Posner, R.A. 2004, Catastrophe – Risk and Response, OUP: Oxford. Powell, C.S. 2000, “20 Ways the World Could End Swept away”, in: Discover 21(10). *Rees, M. 2003, Our Final Century, Random House, London; published in US as Our Final Hour, Basic Books. *Sunstein, C.R. 2007, Worst Case Scenarios, Harvard University Press: Cambridge, MA. Smil, V. 2005, “The Next 50 Years: Fatal Discontinuities”, in: Population and De- velopment Review 31(2), 201-236. WEF 2008, Global Risks 2008. A Global Risk Network Report. WEF 2006, World Economic Forum Global Risk Report 2006. WEF 2006, Global Risks 2006, A World Economic Forum Report, in collaboration with MMC (Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.) Merrill Lynch and Swiss Re. *Weitzman, M.L. 2008, On Modeling and Interpreting the Economics of Catastro- phic Climate Change *Taylor, P. 2008, “Catastrophes and insurance”, in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovi´c´ (eds.) Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP, Oxford. 2 Artificial Intelligence Bostrom, N. 1998, “How long before superintelligence?”, Originally published in original in Int. Jour. of Future Studies, 1998, vol. 2. Reprinted in Linguistic and Philosophical Investigations, March 2006. Omohundro, S.M. 2007, The Nature of Self-Improving Artificial Intelligence. Vinge, V. 1993, The Singularity, in: Whole Earth Review, Winter 1993. *Yudkowsky, E. 2008, “Artificial intelligence as a positive and negative factor in global risk” in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovic (eds.) Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP, Oxford. Animal Extinction Cardillo, M., et al. 2005, “Multiple causes of high extinction risk in large mammal species” in: Science 309 1239–1241. Kiehl, J.T. & Shields, C.A. 2005, “Climate simulation of the latest Permian: Im- plications for mass extinction” in: Geology 33(9), 757-760. Ludwig, D. 1999, “Is it meaningful to estimate a probability of extinction?” in: Eco- logy 80(1), 298–310. Moravec, H. 2000, Robot. Mere Machine to Transcendant Mind, OUP: Oxford. O’Grady, J.J., Reed, D.H., Brook, B.W. & Frankham, R. 2004, “What are the best correlates of predicted extinction risk?” in: Biological Conservation 118, 513- 520. Asteroids Becker, L. 2002, “Repeated Blows”, in: Scientific American, 286 (3). Chapman, C.R. & Morrison, D. 1994, “Impacts on the Earth by asteroids and comets: assessing the hazard”, in: Nature 367, 33–40. Chapman, C.R. 2004, “The hazard of near-Earth asteroid impacts on earth”, in: Earth and Planetary Science Letters 222, 1-15. 3 Chapman, C.R., Durda, D.D. & Schweickart, R.L. 2006, “Mitigation: Interfa- ces between NASA, Risk Managers, and the Public”, White Paper submitted to NASA Workshop on ‘Near-Earth Object Detection, Characterization, and Threat Mitigation’, Vail CO, 26 June 2006. Firestone, R. B. et al. 2007, “Evidence for an extraterrestrial impact 12,900 years ago that contributed to the megafaunal extinctions and the Younger Dryas coo- ling” in: NAS 104(41), 16016-16021. Gerrard, M.B. 2000, “Risk of hazardous waste sites versus asteroid and comet im- pacts: accounting for discrepancies in the U.S. resource allocation”, in: Risks Analysis 20 (6), 895–904. Gritzner, C., Durfeld,¨ K., Kasper, J. & Fasoulas, S. 2006, “The asteroid and comet impact hazard: risk assessment and mitigation options”, in: Naturwissen- schaften 93, 361-373. *Napier, W. 2008, “Hazards from comets and asteroids”, in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovi´c(eds.)´ Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP, Oxford. Morrison, D., et al. 2003, “Dealing with the Impact Hazard” NASA 2003, “Study to Determine the Feasibility of Extending the Search for Near- Earth Objects to Smaller Limiting Diameters”, Report of the Near-Earth Object Science Definition Team, Prepared at the Request of National Aeronautics and Space Administration Office of Space Science Solar System Exploration Division. NASA 2006, “2006 Near-Earth object survey and deflection study”. NASA 2007, “Near-Earth Object Survey and Deflection Analysis of Alternatives”, Report to Congress. Schweickart, R.L. et al., “Threat Characterization: Trajectory Dynamics”, White Paper 039. Schweickart, R.L. 2007, “Technical Critique of NASA’s Report to Congress and as- sociated of ‘2006 Near-Earth Object Survey and Deflection Study: Final Report’ Published 28 Dec. 2006”, Sommer, G.S. 2004, Astronomical Odds A Policy Framework for the Cosmic Impact Hazard, dissertation. 4 Urias, J.M. et al. 1996, “Planetary Defense: Catastrophic Health Insurance for Pla- net Earth”, research paper presented to Air Force 2025. Astro Risks *Adams, F. 2008, “Long-term astrophysical processes”, in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovi´c´ (eds.) Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP, Oxford. Adams, F.C. & Laughlin, G. 1997, “A dying universe: the long-term fate and evo- lution of astrophysical objects”, in: Reviews of Modern Physics 69(2), 337–372. Caldeira, K. & Kasting, J.F. 1991, “The lifespan of the biosphere revisited”, in: Nature 360, 721. Cirkovi´c,´ M.M. 2002, “Cosmological forecast and its practical significance”, in: Jour- nal of Evolution and Technology 12. Cirkovi´c,´ M.M. 2003, “Resource Letter: PEs-1: Physical eschatology” in: Am. J. Phys. 71 (2), 122–133. Cirkovi´c,´ M.M. 2004, “Forecast for the Next Eon: Applied Cosmology and the Long-Term Fate of Intelligent Beings”, in: Foundations of Physics, 34 (2), 239– 261. Cirkovi´c,´ M.M., “A Resource Letter on Physical Eschatology”, in: Am. J. Phys. 71, 122-133. Dyson, F.J. 1979, “Time without end: physics and biology in an open universe”, in: Reviews of Modern Physics 51(3), 447–460. Freese, L. & Kinney, W.H., “The Ultimate Fate of Life in an Accelerating Univer- se”. Gehrels, N., et al. 2003, “Ozone depletion from nearby Supernovae”, in: The Astro- physical Journal, 585, 1169-1176. Korycansky, D.G., Laughlin, G. & Adams, F.C. 2001, “Astronomical enginee- ring: a strategy for modifying planetary orbits”, in: Astrophysics and Space Science 275, 349366. 5 Krauss, L.M. & Starkman, G.D., “Life, The Universe, and Nothing: Life and Death in an Ever-Expanding Universe” Noyes, H.P. & Lindesay, J.V. 2005, Scientific Eschatology Rybicki, K.R. & Denis, C. 2001, “On the final destiny of the Earth and the Solar system”, in: Icarus 151, 130-137. Sackmann, I.-J., Boothroyd, A.I. & Kraemer, K.E. 1993, “Our Sun III. Pre- sent and future”, in: The Astrophysical Journal 418, 457–468. Scalo, J. & Wheeler, J.C. 2002, “Astrophysical and astrobiological implications of gamma-ray burst properties”, in: The Astrophysical Journal 418, 457–468. Biases Axelrod, L.J., McDaniels, T. & P. Slovic 1999, “Perceptions of ecological risk from natural hazards”, in: Journal of Risk Research 2(1), 31-53. Gerrard, M.B. 2000, “Risk of hazardous waste sites versus asteroid and comet im- pacts: accounting for discrepancies in the U.S. resource allocation”, in: Risks Analysis 20 (6), 895–904. *Hughes, J.J. 2008, “Millenial tendencies in responses to apocalyptic threats”, in: N. Bostrom and M. Cirkovi´c(eds.)´ Global Catastrophic Risks, OUP, Oxford. Kunreuther, H., Novemsky, N. & Kahneman, D. 2000, Making Low Probabi- lities Useful, Kunreuther, H. & Pauly, M. 2004, “Neglecting Disaster: Why Dont People Insu- re Against Large Losses?”, in: The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 28(1), 5-21. Schuler, E. 2004, “Perception of Risks and Nanotechnology”, in: D. Baird, A. Nord- mann & J. Schummer (eds.), Discovering the Nanoscale, Amsterdam: IOS Press. Slovic, P. et al. 1977, “Preferences for insuring against probable small losses: ins- urance implications”, in: Journal of Risk and Insurance 44(2), 237–258. Sunstein, C.R. 2002, “Probability neglect: Emotions, worst cases, and law”, in: The Yale Law Journal 112, 61–107. 6 Sunstein, C.R. 2003, “Terrorism and Probability Neglect”, in: The Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 26(2/3), 1211136. Sunstein, C.R. 2007, “The catastrophic harm precautionary principle”, in: Issues in Legal Scholarship. Catastrophic risks: prevention, compensation, and recovery. *Yudkowsky, E. 2008, “Cognitive biases potentially affecting judgment of global risks”, in: N.
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