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Carbon Fund Emission Reductions

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Carbon Fund Emission Reductions FCPF Carbon Fund ER-PD Template version July 2014 Forest Carbon Partnership Facility (FCPF) Carbon Fund Emission Reductions Program Document (ER-PD) ER Program Name and Country: Guatemala Guatemala National Program for the Reduction and Removal of Emissions Date of Submission or Review: August 30November 5, 2019 WORLD BANK DISCLAIMER The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in the Emissions Reductions Program Document (ER-PD) submitted by REDD+ Country Participant and accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in ER-PD does not imply on the part of the World Bank any legal judgment on the legal status of the territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. The Facility Management Team and the REDD+ Country Participant shall make this document publicly available, in accordance with the World Bank Access to Information Policy and the FCPF Disclosure Guidance (FMT Note CF- 2013-2 Rev, dated November 2013). 1 FCPF Carbon Fund ER-PD Template version July 2014 Content 1. ENTITIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MANAGEMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION OF THE PROPOSED ER PROGRAM ......................................................................................................................................... 10 1.1 ER Program Entity expected to sign the Emission Reduction Payment Agreement (ERPA) with the FCPF Carbon Fund .............................................................................................................................................................. 10 1.2 Organization(s) responsible for managing the proposed ER Program ......................................................... 10 1.3 Partner agencies and organizations involved in the ER Program ................................................................. 10 2. STRATEGIC CONTEXT AND RATIONALE FOR THE ER PROGRAM .................................................... 12 2.1 Current status of the Readiness Package and summary of additional achievements of readiness activities in the country ................................................................................................................................................................ 12 2.2 Ambition and strategic rationale for the ER Program .................................................................................. 13 2.3 Political commitment ................................................................................................................................... 13 3. ER PROGRAM LOCATION ............................................................................................................ 16 3.1 Accounting area of the ER Program ............................................................................................................. 16 3.2 Environmental and social conditions in the ERP Accounting Area ............................................................... 17 4. DESCRIPTION OF ACTIONS AND INTERVENTIONS TO BE IMPLEMENTED UNDER THE PROPOSED ER PROGRAM. ........................................................................................................................................ 18 4.1 Analysis of drivers and underlying causes of deforestation and forest degradation, and existing activities that can lead to conservation or increase of forest carbon stocks ........................................................................... 18 4.2 Assessment of the major barriers to REDD+ ................................................................................................ 24 4.3 Description and justification of the planned actions and interventions under the ER Program that will lead to emission reductions and/or removals .................................................................................................................. 26 4.4. Assessment of land and resource tenure in the Accounting Area ............................................................... 40 4.5 Analysis of laws, statutes and other regulatory frameworks ....................................................................... 77 4.6 Expected lifetime of the proposed ER Program ........................................................................................... 92 5. STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION, AND PARTICIPATION ................................................................. 92 5.1 Description of stakeholder consultation process ......................................................................................... 92 5.2 Summary of the comments received and how these views have been taken into account in the design and implementation of the ER Program ........................................................................................................................ 109 6. OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL PLANNING ............................................................................... 114 6.1 Institutional and implementation arrangements ....................................................................................... 114 6.2 ER Program Budget..................................................................................................................................... 116 7. CARBON POOLS, SOURCES AND SINKS ...................................................................................... 121 7.1 Description of selected sources and sinks .................................................................................................. 121 7.2 Carbon pools and selected greenhouse gases ........................................................................................... 124 8 REFERENCE LEVEL .......................................................................................................................... 127 8.1 Reference Period ........................................................................................................................................ 127 8.2 Forest definition used in the construction of the Reference Level ............................................................ 128 8.3 Average annual historical emissions over the Reference Period ............................................................... 131 8.4. Emission and removal factors .................................................................................................................... 141 Upward or downward adjustments to the average annual historical emissions over the Reference Period (if applicable) ............................................................................................................................................................... 155 2 FCPF Carbon Fund ER-PD Template version July 2014 8.5. Estimated Reference Level ......................................................................................................................... 155 Relation between the Reference Level, the development of a FREL/FRL for the UNFCCC and the country’s existing or emerging greenhouse gas inventory .................................................................................................................. 156 9. APPROACH FOR MEASUREMENT, MONITORING AND REPORTING ................................................. 157 9.1. Measurement, monitoring and reporting approach for estimating emissions occurring under the ER Program within the Accounting Area ..................................................................................................................................... 157 9.2. Organizational structure for measurement, monitoring and reporting........................................................... 165 9.3. Relation and consistency with the National Forest Monitoring System .......................................................... 170 10. DISPLACEMENTS ........................................................................................................................ 171 10.1. Identifying the risk of displacement ............................................................................................................... 171 10.2 Elements of the ER Program to prevent and minimize the potential of displacements ................................. 179 11. REVERSALS ................................................................................................................................. 180 11.1. Identifying the risk of reversals ...................................................................................................................... 180 11.2 Elements of the ER Program to prevent and minimize the reversal potential ............................................... 196 11.3 Mechanisms for managing reversals in the ER Program ................................................................................. 197 11.4 Monitoring and reporting of emissions associated with reversals ................................................................. 197 12. UNCERTAINTIES OF THE CALCULATION OF EMISSION REDUCTIONS ........................................ 201 12.1 Identification and assessment of sources of uncertainty ........................................................................... 201 12.2 Quantification of uncertainty in Reference Level setting ........................................................................... 205 13. CALCULATION OF EMISSION REDUCTIONS................................................................................... 207 13.1 Ex-ante estimation of the Emission Reductions ........................................................................................
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