History, Philosophy of Public Opinion and Public Opinion Research
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Logical Fallacies Moorpark College Writing Center
Logical Fallacies Moorpark College Writing Center Ad hominem (Argument to the person): Attacking the person making the argument rather than the argument itself. We would take her position on child abuse more seriously if she weren’t so rude to the press. Ad populum appeal (appeal to the public): Draws on whatever people value such as nationality, religion, family. A vote for Joe Smith is a vote for the flag. Alleged certainty: Presents something as certain that is open to debate. Everyone knows that… Obviously, It is obvious that… Clearly, It is common knowledge that… Certainly, Ambiguity and equivocation: Statements that can be interpreted in more than one way. Q: Is she doing a good job? A: She is performing as expected. Appeal to fear: Uses scare tactics instead of legitimate evidence. Anyone who stages a protest against the government must be a terrorist; therefore, we must outlaw protests. Appeal to ignorance: Tries to make an incorrect argument based on the claim never having been proven false. Because no one has proven that food X does not cause cancer, we can assume that it is safe. Appeal to pity: Attempts to arouse sympathy rather than persuade with substantial evidence. He embezzled a million dollars, but his wife had just died and his child needed surgery. Begging the question/Circular Logic: Proof simply offers another version of the question itself. Wrestling is dangerous because it is unsafe. Card stacking: Ignores evidence from the one side while mounting evidence in favor of the other side. Users of hearty glue say that it works great! (What is missing: How many users? Great compared to what?) I should be allowed to go to the party because I did my math homework, I have a ride there and back, and it’s at my friend Jim’s house. -
Bias and Critical Thinking
BIAS AND CRITICAL THINKING Point: there is an alternative to • being “biased” (one-sided, closed-minded, etc.) • simply having an “opinion” (by which I mean a viewpoint that has subjective value only: “everyone has their own opinions”) • being neutral and not taking a position In thinking about bias, it is important to distinguish between four things: 1. a particular position taken on an issue 2. the source of that position (its support and basis) 3. the resistance or openness to other positions 4. the impact that position has on other positions and viewpoints taken by the person Too often, people confuse these four. One result is that people sometimes assume that taking any position on an issue (#1) is an indication of bias. If this were true, then the only way to avoid bias would be to not take a position but rather simply present what are considered to be facts. In this way one is supposedly “objective” and “neutral.” However, it is highly debatable whether one can really be objective and neutral or whether one can present objective facts in a completely neutral way. More importantly, there are two troublesome implications of such a viewpoint on bias: • the ideal would seem to be not taking a position (but to really deal with issues we have to take a position) • all positions are biased and therefore it is difficult if not impossible to judge one position superior to another. It is far better to reject the idea that taking any position always implies bias. Rather, bias is a function either of the source of that position, or the resistance one has to other positions, or the impact that position has on other positions and viewpoints taken. -
Lessons from the History of UK Science Policy
Lessons from the History of UK Science Policy August 2019 2 Science Policy History Foreword The British Academy is the UK’s national body for the humanities and social sciences. Our purpose is to deepen understanding of people, societies and cultures, enabling everyone to learn, progress and prosper. The Academy inspires, supports and promotes outstanding achievement and global advances in the humanities and social sciences. We are a fellowship of over 1000 of the most outstanding academics, an international community of leading experts focused on people, culture and societies, and are the voice for the humanities and social sciences.1 The British Academy aims to use insights from the past and the present to help shape the future, by influencing policy and affecting change in the UK and overseas. Given this, the Academy is well-placed to bring humanities and social science insight from the past into policymaking for the present and the future. One way to do this is in using historical insights to inform policymaking – ‘looking back to look forward’. To support these efforts, the Academy’s public policy team in collaboration with the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, has undertaken a new programme of work on policy histories. The policy histories series develop historical analyses for individual policy areas. These analyses are used to provide: • a structured, rigorous and objective account of the history of a given policy area and the significance of key milestones in context, • an informed basis for analysis and insights from the timelines as well as dialogue and discussion about what history can tell us about the future. -
Science and Public Policy: What's Proof Got to Do With
Environmental Science & Policy 7 (2004) 369–383 Science and public policy: what’s proof got to do with it? Naomi Oreskes Department of History and Science Studies Program, University of California, San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, CA 92093-0104, USA Abstract In recent years, it has become common for opponents of environmental action to argue that the scientific basis for purported harms is uncertain, unreliable, and fundamentally unproven. In response, many scientists believe that their job is to provide the “proof” that society needs. Both the complaint and the response are misguided. In all but the most trivial cases, science does not produce logically indisputable proofs about the natural world. At best it produces a robust consensus based on a process of inquiry that allows for continued scrutiny, re-examination, and revision. Within a scientific community, different individuals may weigh evidence differently and adhere to different standards of demonstration, and these differences are likely to be amplified when the results of inquiry have political, religious, or economic ramifications. In such cases, science can play a role by providing informed opinions about the possible consequences of our actions (or inactions), and by monitoring the effects of our choices. © 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Environmental policy; Science policy; Scientific proof; Uncertainty; Values; Politics; Lomborg 1. Introduction centive for manipulation and misrepresentation of informa- tion. This is particularly true in the domain of environmental The heart of Bjørn Lomborg’s recent critique of envi- policy. ronmentalism is that many assertions of the environmen- Lomborg assures us that everyone is for the environment— tal movement are unproven and therefore provide no good just as everyone is for world peace and against hunger—but grounds for sensible public policy. -
An Introduction to Philosophy
An Introduction to Philosophy W. Russ Payne Bellevue College Copyright (cc by nc 4.0) 2015 W. Russ Payne Permission is granted to copy, distribute and/or modify this document with attribution under the terms of Creative Commons: Attribution Noncommercial 4.0 International or any later version of this license. A copy of the license is found at http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ 1 Contents Introduction ………………………………………………. 3 Chapter 1: What Philosophy Is ………………………….. 5 Chapter 2: How to do Philosophy ………………….……. 11 Chapter 3: Ancient Philosophy ………………….………. 23 Chapter 4: Rationalism ………….………………….……. 38 Chapter 5: Empiricism …………………………………… 50 Chapter 6: Philosophy of Science ………………….…..… 58 Chapter 7: Philosophy of Mind …………………….……. 72 Chapter 8: Love and Happiness …………………….……. 79 Chapter 9: Meta Ethics …………………………………… 94 Chapter 10: Right Action ……………………...…………. 108 Chapter 11: Social Justice …………………………...…… 120 2 Introduction The goal of this text is to present philosophy to newcomers as a living discipline with historical roots. While a few early chapters are historically organized, my goal in the historical chapters is to trace a developmental progression of thought that introduces basic philosophical methods and frames issues that remain relevant today. Later chapters are topically organized. These include philosophy of science and philosophy of mind, areas where philosophy has shown dramatic recent progress. This text concludes with four chapters on ethics, broadly construed. I cover traditional theories of right action in the third of these. Students are first invited first to think about what is good for themselves and their relationships in a chapter of love and happiness. Next a few meta-ethical issues are considered; namely, whether they are moral truths and if so what makes them so. -
Philosophy, Politics, and Economics
Where Can PPE Take You? By facilitating a multidisciplinary approach to practical problems, the PPE major offers a liberal arts education that prepares students for leadership roles in a variety of fields. The major prepares students for careers in public policy and business. It is a good preparation for law school and for a variety of graduate programs in the humanities and social sciences. Moreover, it helps students become PHILOSOPHY, informed and engaged citizens. POLITICS, AND ECONOMICS For more information contact: Professor Frank Howland [email protected] wabash.edu About the Major Courses Offered Philosophy, Politics, and Economics (PPE) majors learn to Common PPE Requirements: Economics Courses: investigate the social phenomena that philosophy, political PPE-200: Introduction to PPE PPE-251: Law and Economics science, and economics address from different perspectives. (every spring) PPE-252: Public Policy Philosophy fosters clear and creative thinking, ethical PPE-400: Senior Seminar PPE-254: Environmental Economics reflection, and the capacity to interrogate received opinion. (every fall) Political science offers both theoretical and empirical PPE-255: Health Economics approaches to studying governing institutions and political relationships. PPE-256: The Global Economy Philosophy Courses: By studying economics, students learn to analyze the role of incentives, PPE-264: Development Economics PPE-213: Philosophy of Law markets, and governments in the allocation of scarce resources and PPE-265: History of Economic Thought distribution -
Subjective Logic Draft, 18 February 2013
Subjective Logic Draft, 18 February 2013 Audun Jøsang University of Oslo Web: http://folk.uio.no/josang/ Email: [email protected] Preface Subjective logic is a type of probabilistic logic that allows probability values to be expressed with degrees of uncertainty. The idea of probabilistic logic is to combine the strengths of logic and probability calculus, meaning that it has binary logic’s capacity to express structured argument models, and it has the power of probabilities to express degrees of truth of those arguments. The idea of subjective logic is to extend probabilistic logic by also expressing uncertainty about the probability values themselves, meaning that it is possible to reason with argument models in presence of uncertain or incomplete evidence. In this manuscript we describe the central elements of subjective logic. More specifically, we first describe the representations and interpretations of subjective opinions which are the input arguments to subjective logic. We then describe the most important subjective logic operators. Finally, we describe how subjective logic can be applied to trust modelling and for analysing Bayesian networks. Subjective logic is directly compatible with binary logic, probability calculus and classical probabilistic logic. The advantage of using subjective logic is that real world situations can be more realistically modelled, and that conclusions more correctly reflect the ignorance and uncertainties that necessarily result from partially uncertain input arguments. Contents 1 Introduction 3 2 Elements of Subjective Opinions 7 2.1 Motivation . ............................................. 7 2.2 Flexibility of Representation . .................................. 7 2.3 The Reduced Powerset of Frames .................................. 8 2.4 Belief Distribution over the Reduced Powerset . -
Philosophy in Contemporary Time: Relevance Vs. Public Perception
Mgbakoigba, Journal of African Studies. Vol.6 No.1. July 2016 PHILOSOPHY IN CONTEMPORARY TIME: RELEVANCE VS. PUBLIC PERCEPTION C.O. Abakare & V.C. Okeke Abstract What is the relevance of philosophy in this contemporary time? Philosophy is viewed by many people as an irrelevant discipline- one of no social and/or practical significance. It is sometimes seen also as an abstract and drab enterprise fit only for the intellectuals. Overtime also, philosophy has come to be perceived as having enjoyed its relevance in the past and no longer has any relevance in this era of “science and technology”. However, certain questions arise: Given this perception, is philosophy actually of any relevance to the contemporary society? In practical terms, what are the roles of philosophy to society? Using the traditional philosophical method of analysis and exposition, this paper finds that philosophy plays and continues to play a vital role in contemporary society. The paper submits that philosophy is essential for an all- encompassing human development. As philosophy trains the human mind to reason correctly and rationally, the paper recommends a little bit of philosophy for all in the different levels of the educational sector. This proper training of the human mind with the tool of philosophy translates to human cum societal enhancement. Keywords: Philosophy, Contemporary, Reason, Public Perception, Societal Development Introduction Philosophy, as an area of study is nowadays attracting a lot of lack of patronage for the singular reason that it does not put “food on the table nor does it build bridges”. This is a manner of describing the common place opinion that philosophy is an abstract “speculative reasoning or exercise about cosmos or reality and thus has no direct relevance or contribution to make in practical issues of human existence”1. -
Public Policy Priorities
THE SOUTHERN EDUCATION FOUNDATION’S Public Policy Priorities www.SouthernEducation.org THE SOUTHERN EDUCATION FOUNDATION’S Public Policy Priorities ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The Southern Education Foundation (SEF) would like to thank Center for Community Organizing and Engagement at New York University, Communities for Just Schools, Education Counsel, the Learning Policy Institute, and SEF’s Racial Equity Leadership Network Fellows for offering thoughtful feedback and advice in preparation of this document. We appreciate your willingness to share your time and insights as we developed a comprehensive set of policy priorities for policymakers, community advocates, and families. This would not have been possible without your valuable input and feedback. Thank you once again. © 2019 Southern Education Foundation, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. Portions of this work may be reproduced without permission, provided that acknowledgement is fully given to the Southern Education Foundation. Limited permission is also granted for larger portions to be reproduced by nonprofit and public agencies and institutions only, solely for non-commercial purposes so long as full acknowledgement to the Southern Education Foundation as the source is prominently given. Reproduction or storage in any electronic form for any commercial purpose is prohibited without the express written permission of the Southern Education Foundation. SOUTHERN EDUCATION FOUNDATION 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword.…………………….............................……………………………..................... -
Chapter 8: Economics, Economists and Public Policy in Australia
Economics, economists and public policy in Australia* The topic for the 2011 Symposium, ‘Does Australian public policy get the economics it deserves?’ has been partitioned into two questions. One asks ‘whether public policy gets the economics it needs?’ The other, no doubt inspired by Alexis de Tocqueville’s famous observation about people and their elected governments, is ‘whether Australian economics gets the public policy it deserves’. My answer to the first question came readily: in short, no — or at least not often. The answer to the de Tocquevillian one required reflection, however, not only about the state of public policy in Australia, but also about that of Australian economics. And my answer to that one is: I’m not sure! Much could be said from both perspectives. In setting the scene, I will confine myself to some observations about what might be called the ‘contextual’ influences on public policy and its use of economics (or information generally). My key message, which should not be surprising, is that systems determine outcomes. Public policy will only get the economics it needs, or indeed that society needs, if the processes, the institutions and the individuals responsible for developing it are receptive to good economics, and responsive to it. Equally, I’d argue that how ‘deserving’ Australian economics or economists might be — in other words, the health of the supply-side — is not independent of the incentives generated by the policy system — the demand side. What sort of ‘economics’? Now the term ‘needs’ might suggest that it is challenging to discover and apply this necessary economics. -
Philosophical Intuitions – Philosophical Analysis A
PHILOSOPHICAL INTUITIONS – PHILOSOPHICAL ANALYSIS A Dissertation presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School at the University of Missouri-Columbia In Partial Fulfillment Of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy By JAMES F. MCBAIN JR. Dr. Peter J. Markie, Dissertation Supervisor AUGUST 2008 © Copyright by James F. McBain Jr. All Rights Reserved The undersigned, appointed by the Dean of the Graduate School, have examined the dissertation entitled PHILOSOPHICAL INTUITIONS—PHILOSOPHICAL ANALYSIS presented by James F. McBain Jr., A candidate for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy, And hereby certify that, in their opinion, it is worthy of acceptance. ____________________________________ Professor Peter J. Markie ____________________________________ Professor Paul Weirich ____________________________________ Professor Donald Sievert _____________________________________ Professor Matthew McGrath _____________________________________ Professor Todd R. Schachtman This work is dedicated to Elizabeth I. McBain and in loving memory of James F. McBain Sr. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This dissertation has been a long time coming. I have received enormous encouragement and support from so many for so long. First, I would like to thank Dr. Peter J. Markie for his never ending support and belief in me. Dr. Markie not only has helped me through this project, but has shown me what it means to be a philosopher and a teacher. I can never adequately express my gratitude. None of this would have ever been possible if it were not for him. I would also like to thank the members of my committee – Dr. Paul Weirich, Dr. Donald Sievert, Dr. Matthew McGrath, and Dr. Todd Schactman. The feedback they gave me helped this work become what it has. -
Three Schools of Thought on “Public Opinion” Measures Literalism Nihilism
Articles Three Schools of Thought on “Public Opinion” Measures David W. Moore* Tags: survey practice Survey Practice Vol. 4, Issue 6, 2011 Three Schools of Thought on “Public Opinion” Measures Responses to my article in the August 2011 issue of Survey Practice, “Contemporary Issues with Public Policy Polls,” suggest there are possibly three general schools of thought with respect to measuring opinion. These are somewhat arbitrary classifications, and I don’t hold to them tenaciously, but I think they may be useful as a heuristic device to stimulate discussion about the various views that scholars and practitioners have about “public opinion.” literalism At one end of the spectrum is Literalism , what Howard Schuman (in the article in this issue) refers to as “survey fundamentalism” – “the belief that some polls tell us the literal truth about public opinion.” I believe that most public policy polls reported by the major news media outlets fall into this category. Associated with this school is the implicit, though prevalent, view that public opinion is what the pollsters say it is – regardless of whether pollsters measure intensity of opinion, non-opinion, or hypothetical opinion (see my Survey Practice article for an elaboration of these points). Often times, pollsters asking about the same issues will produce conflicting results, but rather than assessing which results might be more valid, the effort is to harmonize the results – to explain that differences occur because of legitimate differences in question wording, questionnaire context, and timing, but that essentially all are valid measures of a complex issue. Rarely are judgments made that perhaps one approach is more valid than another.