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The State of Oklahoma's 14Th Electric System Planning Report

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The State of Oklahoma's 14Th Electric System Planning Report The State of Oklahoma’s 14th Electric System Planning Report Prepared by the Oklahoma Corporation Commission’s Public Utility Division November 2018 Oklahoma Corporation Commission - Public Utility Division 2018 Electric System Planning Report - Page i This publication was printed and issued by the Oklahoma Corporation Commission’s Public Utility Division as authorized by Title 17 Okla. Stat., § 157. Twenty five (25) copies of this publication have been prepared and distributed at a cost of $231.75. This publication is located at the following website: http://www.occeweb.com/pu/pudhome.html at the link for “Important Active Case List, Critical Projects Report, and Periodic Reports Prepared by PUD.” Copies have been deposited with the Publications Clearinghouse of the Oklahoma Department of Libraries. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page TABLE OF CONTENTS ................................................................................................................. i INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 1 OVERVIEW OF OKLAHOMA SERVICE PROVIDERS ............................................................ 2 Empire District Electric Company .............................................................................................. 4 Map of Empire District Electric’s Oklahoma service area ..................................................... 5 Empire District Electric Cost and MWh Sales........................................................................ 7 Grand River Dam Authority ....................................................................................................... 8 Map of GRDA service area and facilities ............................................................................... 9 GRDA Generation and Power Resources ............................................................................... 9 GRDA Fuel and Purchased Power Costs .............................................................................. 11 KAMO ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE: .................................................................................... 11 Map of KAMO service area in Oklahoma and Missouri ...................................................... 12 Associated Electric Cooperative, Inc. – Generation Resources ............................................ 13 OKLAHOMA GAS AND ELECTRIC COMPANY: .............................................................. 14 Map of OG&E service area ................................................................................................... 15 OG&E Generation Resources: 2017 Peak Planning Capacity .............................................. 15 OG&E Fuel and Purchased Power Costs .............................................................................. 18 OKLAHOMA MUNICIPAL POWER AUTHORITY: ........................................................... 21 Map of OMPA Member Cities.............................................................................................. 22 Current OMPA Electric Generation Resources .................................................................... 23 Total Cost of Fuel by Type ................................................................................................... 24 PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF OKLAHOMA: .............................................................. 26 Map of Public Service of Oklahoma service area ................................................................. 26 PSO Customer Counts at End of 2016 .................................................................................. 27 PSO-Owned Generation Assets ............................................................................................ 27 PSO Power Purchase Agreements ........................................................................................ 28 PSO 2015 Fuel and Purchased Power Expenses ................................................................... 30 PSO 2016 Fuel and Purchased Power Expenses ................................................................... 32 SOUTHWESTERN POWER ADMINISTRATION: .............................................................. 32 SWPA Generating Resources in Oklahoma.......................................................................... 33 Southwestern Power Administration System Map ............................................................... 34 WESTERN FARMERS ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE: .......................................................... 37 Western Farmers Electric Cooperative Generation Resources in Oklahoma ....................... 38 WFEC Fuel and Purchased Power Costs - 2015 and 2016 ................................................... 39 CURRENT MAJOR ISSUES IN 2017 ......................................................................................... 42 EPA Regional Haze Rule, Mercury & Air Toxics Standards .................................................. 45 OG&E Projected Emissions - 2020 versus 2007 .................................................................. 47 Oklahoma Corporation Commission - Public Utility Division 2018 Electric System Planning Report - Page i WIND GENERATION ............................................................................................................. 47 U.S. Installed Wind Generating Capacity by State – Second Quarter 2017 ......................... 49 SPP INTEGRATED MARKETPLACE ................................................................................... 50 Southwest Power Pool Integrated Marketplace Cost Savings .............................................. 53 RESOURCE PROJECTIONS AND FORECASTS ..................................................................... 55 Empire District Electric ............................................................................................................ 55 Empire District Weighted Average Coal Price Projection.................................................... 58 Empire Oklahoma Annual Sales Forecast ............................................................................ 60 Empire Demand and Reserve Forecast in MW ..................................................................... 61 Empire’s Expected Generation Capacity Additions ............................................................. 62 Empire Wind Farm PPAs ...................................................................................................... 63 Empire Planned Oklahoma Transmission/Infrastructure Projects 2017-2021 ...................... 65 Grand River Dam Authority ..................................................................................................... 66 GRDA Wind PPA Resources ................................................................................................ 67 GRDA Annual Sales Forecast in GWh ................................................................................. 69 GRDA Demand and Reserve Forecast for Oklahoma .......................................................... 69 KAMO Electric Cooperative .................................................................................................... 70 AECI Forecast Summer and Winter Peak Demand and ....................................................... 70 Annual Net Energy for Load ................................................................................................. 70 KAMO Forecast of Oklahoma Annual Sales and Summer Peak Demand ........................... 71 KAMO Projected Investment in Oklahoma Transmission and Network 2017--2026 .......... 72 OG&E ....................................................................................................................................... 73 OG&E Annual Sales Forecast in GWh ................................................................................. 74 OG&E Planned Generation Capacity Additions/Retirements for Oklahoma ....................... 78 OG&E's Projected Capital Expenditures for 2017 through 2021 ......................................... 80 OG&E Wind Power Purchases 2014—2016 ........................................................................ 82 OG&E Planned Transmission-Related Projects ................................................................... 86 OMPA ....................................................................................................................................... 89 Forecast Summer and Winter Peak Demand and Annual Net Energy for Load ................... 90 Demand and Reserve Forecast for OMPA’s Oklahoma System in MW .............................. 91 Annual Sales Forecast in GWh ............................................................................................. 91 Long-Term PPAs with Independent Wind Power Generators .............................................. 92 PSO ........................................................................................................................................... 92 Projected PSO Customer Electric Demand ........................................................................... 92 PSO Projected System Demand, Generation and Reserve ................................................... 93 PSO Projected Generation Capacity Additions and/or Retirements ..................................... 94 AEP/PSO Planned Transmission-Related Projects ............................................................... 95 SWPA ....................................................................................................................................... 98 Western Farmer
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