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South Oxfordshire Data Pack

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South Oxfordshire Data Pack South Oxfordshire Data Pack latest update: 04/08/17 District Data Analysis Service Bella Image ([email protected]) Index (Hover over a word, right 1. Population click, and press ‘L’) 2. Travel 3. Economy a. Enterprises b. Employment 4. Welfare & Benefits 5. Education & Skills 6. Housing 7. Deprivation 8. Crime 9. Health South Oxfordshire 2017 2 Can’t find what you need in this data pack? Try one of the following : • District Data website • Health Profiles – Charts of the Month (data for whole county) • Strategic Intelligence – South Oxfordshire homepage Assessment (crime data) – South Oxfordshire reports for small areas (parishes, wards etc) • Local Insight (ask the District Data …or the District Data Analyst will Analyst for a password) be happy to help! Bella Image (part-time) • JSNA (Joint Strategic Needs [email protected] Assessment) for Oxfordshire 07483 011 142 South Oxfordshire 2017 3 1. POPULATION 4 Population: growth In mid-2016, South Oxfordshire’s total population was estimated at 138,128. Between 2004 and 2016, the population has grown by 9,821 people or 8%. CHART: Population of South Oxfordshire, 2001-2016 140,000 1.4% 138,000 Population 1.2% Percentage Change 136,000 1.0% 134,000 132,000 0.8% 130,000 0.6% Population 128,000 0.4% Change Percentage 126,000 0.2% 124,000 128.8k 129.4k 130.7k 132.6k 133.9k 135.5k 137.0k 138.1k 128.3k 128.9k 130.1k 131.6k 133.5k 135.0k 136.0k 137.4k 122,000 0.0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: ONS, 2016 mid-year estimates South Oxfordshire 2017 5 Population change • South Oxfordshire’s population estimate increased by 716 between 2015 and 2016. • Most (52%) of this increase has been from natural change (births minus deaths). • Migration can be divided into: – Internal migration (from within the UK): net inflow of 170 persons – International migration: net inflow of 77 persons • In all, migration accounts for 247 persons or 3% of South Oxfordshire’s increase. 2,500 CHART: Population change, 2015 to 2016 Other 22 2,000 Migration Natural Change 1,500 747 1,647 1,000 76 100 22 500 971 247 690 406 78 369 71 0 -1 -86 Cherwell Oxford South Oxf Vale WH West Oxf -500 Source: ONS 2016 mid year estimates South Oxfordshire 2017 6 Population change: international immigration In 2011, 9% of South Oxfordshire residents were born outside the UK. • Between 2001 and 2011, the total number of residents of South Oxfordshire born outside the UK increased from 9,400 to 12,400 (an increase of 32%). CHART: Country of birth of South Oxfordshire residents , 2001 to 2011 – selected countries 2001 2011 1,026 917 958 886 851 829 614 622 599 648 445421 408 137 178 27 France Germany India Ireland Poland Romania South United Sources: ONS Census 2001 table UV08; Census 2011 table QS203 Africa States South Oxfordshire 2017 Distribution of age groups 66% Age 65+: 21% 65% 64% 63% 63% 62% Working Age: 60% 61% 60% 60% South Oxf 59% 58% England 57% ≈ Age 0-15: 19% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 CHART1: Distribution of different ages CHART2: Working Age as a proportion of the population In South Oxfordshire, 60% of the population are working age (16-64). This is below the England proportion (63%). The proportion of the population which is working-age has been declining since around 2007, due largely to the growth in those aged 65+. South Oxfordshire 2017 8 Population: estimates by ward, 2015 Ward Name All Ages 65 plus % 65+ In 2015, the largest ward in South Benson & Crowmarsh 7,983 1,558 20% Oxfordshire was Thame (11,766 Berinsfield 4,072 796 20% residents) and the smallest was Chalgrove 3,427 693 20% Chalgrove (3,427 residents). Chinnor 7,915 1,712 22% Cholsey 8,646 1,845 21% Didcot North East 10,532 645 6% Older people (aged 65+) make up at Didcot South 9,935 1,736 17% Didcot West 6,561 905 14% least a quarter of the population in 4 Forest Hill & Holton 3,661 785 21% wards (Garsington & Horspath, Goring, Garsington & Horspath 3,510 860 25% Henley, Sonning Common). Overall, Goring 3,755 1,228 33% Haseley Brook 4,085 761 19% 22% of the district is aged 65+. Henley-on-Thames 11,744 2,895 25% Kidmore End & Whitchurch 3,799 849 22% Sandford & the Wittenhams 3,940 845 21% The population of Didcot is 27,028 (of Sonning Common 7,313 1,921 26% whom 12% are aged 65+). Thame 11,766 2,377 20% Wallingford 7,905 1,618 20% Watlington 4,057 979 24% Wheatley 4,032 970 24% Woodcote & Rotherfield 8,774 1,893 22% TABLE: Population by ward, 2015 Total 137,412 27,871 22% Source: ONS, SAPE18 DT8, mid-year 2015 South Oxfordshire 2017 9 Population characteristics: Rural vs Urban • South Oxfordshire is the 7th most rural Rural: hamlet district in the South East region (out and isolated dwellings of 67). 10,529 (8%) Rural: village • It has a density 2.0 people per 22,501 (17%) hectare compared with 4.7 people Urban: city / per hectare across the South East and town 5.0 across England. 67,252 (50%) • The 2011 Census suggested that 50% Rural: town of South Oxfordshire’s population & fringe lives in urban contexts, while the 33,975 (25%) other 50% live in rural contexts. CHART: South Oxfordshire However, due to building rural vs. urban population, programmes this will now have changed. 2011 Census Sources: Population from ONS 2015 mid-year population estimates . Hectares from ONS Census 2011 table KS101 South Oxfordshire 2017 10 Population projections South Oxfordshire is projected to have a population Data Note: This graph uses sub- national population projections of 154,000 in 2039. (SNPPs) published by the ONS. • In 2039, older people (65+) are expected to make up 29% of These do not allow for scheduled the population. The number of older people will have house-building within local areas. increased by 62% since 2014. 2014: 2039: population population 180 137,000 154,000 Age 65+ 160 Age 20-64 140 44 44 31 31 32 33 33 34 35 36 36 38 38 39 40 41 42 42 43 44 120 27 28 29 29 30 30 100 80 77 78 78 78 78 78 78 78 78 78 78 77 77 77 77 77 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 60 40 Population, in thousandsin Population, 20 32 32 32 32 32 32 33 33 33 33 33 34 33 33 34 34 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 0 2017 2020 2036 2039 2014 2015 2016 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2037 2038 Source: ONS 2014-based SNPPs South Oxfordshire 2017 11 Aging population: the oldest group 7.0% • Proportionally, those aged 85+ 2039: 10,000 people represented 3% of the district’s South Oxfordshire (7% of all residents) population in in 2014. 6.0% England – This is higher than the England rate, 2014: 3,800 people where 2% of residents were estimated 5.0% (3% of all residents) to be 85+ in 2014. 4.0% England 2039: 5% • By 2039, the number of people aged 3.0% 85+ in South Oxfordshire is expected to reach 10,000. 2.0% – This is 7% of the local population. (The England figure is 5%). England 1.0% 2014: 2% • The number of individuals aged 85+ 0.0% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 will grow by 263% between 2014 and 2014 2039. CHART: Proportion of the population that is aged 85+ Source: ONS 2014-based SNPPs South Oxfordshire 2017 12 2. TRAVEL Data under the theme of ‘travel’ is from the 2011 Census 13 Commuting: location of work, 2011 The number of commuters has increased by 9% since the 2011 census. Working within Commuting South Oxon Commuting (incl. homeworking / no South Oxfordshire has net in 23,654 regular place of work) out 32,012 commuting outflows of 38,702 8,358 persons. Vale of White Horse 3,946 Oxford 7,369 Aylesbury Vale 2,622 Vale of White Horse 6,217 Reading 2,615 London 3,518 Oxford 2,541 Reading 2,514 Wycombe 1,521 Wycombe 2,236 Aylesbury Vale 1,586 Wokingham 1,336 West Berkshire 1,256 West Berkshire 1,170 2011 Commuting Wokingham 1,076 2011 Commuting Cherwell 1,150 Cherwell into South 1,014 out of South London 836 Windsor and Maidenhead Oxfordshire 699 West Oxfordshire 828 West Oxfordshire 516 Oxfordshire 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 Source: ONS 2001 Census table T103 and T10; 2011 Census table WU03 South Oxfordshire 2017 14 Commuting: to Oxford • According to the Census 2011 survey, 14% commuters in South Oxfordshire travelled to Oxford to work. • The area with the highest proportion was the rural area to the east of the city including Stanton St John with 50% commuting to Oxford. Oxford Middle layer super output areas Source: ONS Census 2011 table WU02 South Oxfordshire 2017 15 Commuting: to Science Vale CHART: Number of people by local authority of residence commuting to work to Science Vale MAP: Areas of Oxfordshire (Harwell, Milton Park, Culham), 2011 with highest % of people commuting to Science Vale 64% 8% 4% 4% Total = 18,600 Source: ONS Census 2011 table WU01 South Oxfordshire 2017 16 Commuting: mode of travel 50,000 Taxi: 103 45,000 Passenger: 2,800 CHART: Commuting 40,000 to work in South 35,000 30,000 Oxfordshire 25,000 Source: Census 2011, QS701EW Driver: 44,000 20,000 15,000 Bicycle: 2,600 10,000 Bus: 2,200 5,000 On foot: 7,700 Motorbike etc: 1,000 0 Train: 3,600 Public transport Car /van Manpower Other At the 2011 Census 63,900 South Oxfordshire residents commuted to work.
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