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Home , South Oxfordshire

South Data Pack

latest update: 04/08/17

District Data Analysis Service Bella Image (iimage@.gov.uk) Index

(Hover over a word, right 1. Population click, and press ‘L’) 2. Travel 3. Economy a. Enterprises b. Employment 4. Welfare & Benefits 5. Education & Skills 6. Housing 7. Deprivation 8. Crime 9. Health

South Oxfordshire 2017 2 Can’t find what you need in this data pack? Try one of the following :

• District Data website • Health Profiles – Charts of the Month (data for whole county) • Strategic Intelligence – South Oxfordshire homepage Assessment (crime data) – South Oxfordshire reports for small areas (parishes, wards etc)

• Local Insight (ask the District Data …or the District Data Analyst will Analyst for a password) be happy to help! Bella Image (part-time) • JSNA (Joint Strategic Needs [email protected] Assessment) for Oxfordshire 07483 011 142

South Oxfordshire 2017 3 1. POPULATION

4 Population: growth

In mid-2016, South Oxfordshire’s total population was estimated at 138,128. Between 2004 and 2016, the population has grown by 9,821 people or 8%. CHART: Population of South Oxfordshire, 2001-2016 140,000 1.4%

138,000 Population 1.2% Percentage Change 136,000 1.0% 134,000

132,000 0.8%

130,000 0.6% Population 128,000 0.4% Change Percentage 126,000 0.2% 124,000 128.8k 129.4k 130.7k 132.6k 133.9k 135.5k 137.0k 138.1k 128.3k 128.9k 130.1k 131.6k 133.5k 135.0k 136.0k 137.4k 122,000 0.0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: ONS, 2016 mid-year estimates

South Oxfordshire 2017 5 Population change

• South Oxfordshire’s population estimate increased by 716 between 2015 and 2016. • Most (52%) of this increase has been from natural change (births minus deaths). • Migration can be divided into: – Internal migration (from within the UK): net inflow of 170 persons – International migration: net inflow of 77 persons • In all, migration accounts for 247 persons or 3% of South Oxfordshire’s increase. 2,500 CHART: Population change, 2015 to 2016 Other 22 2,000 Migration Natural Change 1,500 747 1,647 1,000 76 100 22 500 971 247 690 406 78 369 71 0 -1 -86 Cherwell Oxford South Oxf Vale WH West Oxf -500 Source: ONS 2016 mid year estimates

South Oxfordshire 2017 6 Population change: international immigration

In 2011, 9% of South Oxfordshire residents were born outside the UK. • Between 2001 and 2011, the total number of residents of South Oxfordshire born outside the UK increased from 9,400 to 12,400 (an increase of 32%).

CHART: Country of birth of South Oxfordshire residents , 2001 to 2011 – selected countries 2001 2011 1,026 917 958 886 851 829 614 622 599 648 445421 408 137 178 27

France Germany India Ireland Poland Romania South United Sources: ONS Census 2001 table UV08; Census 2011 table QS203 Africa States South Oxfordshire 2017 Distribution of age groups

66% Age 65+: 21% 65% 64% 63% 63% 62% Working Age: 60% 61% 60% 60% South Oxf 59% 58% 57% ≈

Age 0-15: 19%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

CHART1: Distribution of different ages CHART2: Working Age as a proportion of the population

In South Oxfordshire, 60% of the population are working age (16-64). This is below the England proportion (63%).

The proportion of the population which is working-age has been declining since around 2007, due largely to the growth in those aged 65+.

South Oxfordshire 2017 8 Population: estimates by ward, 2015

Ward Name All Ages 65 plus % 65+ In 2015, the largest ward in South Benson & 7,983 1,558 20% Oxfordshire was (11,766 4,072 796 20% residents) and the smallest was 3,427 693 20% Chalgrove (3,427 residents). 7,915 1,712 22% 8,646 1,845 21% North East 10,532 645 6% Older people (aged 65+) make up at Didcot South 9,935 1,736 17% Didcot West 6,561 905 14% least a quarter of the population in 4 Forest Hill & Holton 3,661 785 21% wards ( & , Goring, Garsington & Horspath 3,510 860 25% Henley, ). Overall, Goring 3,755 1,228 33% Haseley Brook 4,085 761 19% 22% of the district is aged 65+. Henley-on-Thames 11,744 2,895 25% & Whitchurch 3,799 849 22% Sandford & the Wittenhams 3,940 845 21% The population of Didcot is 27,028 (of Sonning Common 7,313 1,921 26% whom 12% are aged 65+). Thame 11,766 2,377 20% Wallingford 7,905 1,618 20% Watlington 4,057 979 24% Wheatley 4,032 970 24% & Rotherfield 8,774 1,893 22% TABLE: Population by ward, 2015 Total 137,412 27,871 22% Source: ONS, SAPE18 DT8, mid-year 2015

South Oxfordshire 2017 9 Population characteristics: Rural vs Urban

• South Oxfordshire is the 7th most rural Rural: hamlet district in the South East region (out and isolated dwellings of 67). 10,529 (8%) Rural: village • It has a density 2.0 people per 22,501 (17%) hectare compared with 4.7 people Urban: city / per hectare across the South East and town 5.0 across England. 67,252 (50%)

• The 2011 Census suggested that 50% Rural: town of South Oxfordshire’s population & fringe lives in urban contexts, while the 33,975 (25%) other 50% live in rural contexts. CHART: South Oxfordshire However, due to building rural vs. urban population, programmes this will now have changed. 2011 Census Sources: Population from ONS 2015 mid-year population estimates . Hectares from ONS Census 2011 table KS101

South Oxfordshire 2017 10 Population projections

South Oxfordshire is projected to have a population Data Note: This graph uses sub- national population projections of 154,000 in 2039. (SNPPs) published by the ONS. • In 2039, older people (65+) are expected to make up 29% of These do not allow for scheduled the population. The number of older people will have house-building within local areas. increased by 62% since 2014. 2014: 2039: population population 180 137,000 154,000 Age 65+ 160 Age 20-64 140 44 44 31 31 32 33 33 34 35 36 36 38 38 39 40 41 42 42 43 44 120 27 28 29 29 30 30

100

80 77 78 78 78 78 78 78 78 78 78 78 77 77 77 77 77 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 60

40 Population, in thousandsin Population, 20 32 32 32 32 32 32 33 33 33 33 33 34 33 33 34 34 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33 33

0

2017 2020 2036 2039 2014 2015 2016 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2037 2038 Source: ONS 2014-based SNPPs South Oxfordshire 2017 11 Aging population: the oldest group

7.0% • Proportionally, those aged 85+ 2039: 10,000 people represented 3% of the district’s South Oxfordshire (7% of all residents) population in in 2014. 6.0% England – This is higher than the England rate, 2014: 3,800 people where 2% of residents were estimated 5.0% (3% of all residents) to be 85+ in 2014. 4.0% England 2039: 5% • By 2039, the number of people aged 3.0% 85+ in South Oxfordshire is expected to reach 10,000. 2.0% – This is 7% of the local population. (The England figure is 5%). England 1.0% 2014: 2%

• The number of individuals aged 85+ 0.0%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 will grow by 263% between 2014 and 2014 2039. CHART: Proportion of the population that is aged 85+ Source: ONS 2014-based SNPPs

South Oxfordshire 2017 12 2. TRAVEL

Data under the theme of ‘travel’ is from the 2011 Census

13 Commuting: location of work, 2011

The number of commuters has increased by 9% since the 2011 census. Working within Commuting South Oxon Commuting (incl. homeworking / no South Oxfordshire has net in 23,654 regular place of work) out 32,012 commuting outflows of 38,702 8,358 persons.

Vale of White Horse 3,946 Oxford 7,369 2,622 6,217 Reading 2,615 London 3,518 Oxford 2,541 Reading 2,514 Wycombe 1,521 Wycombe 2,236 Aylesbury Vale 1,586 Wokingham 1,336 West 1,256 1,170 2011 Commuting Wokingham 1,076 2011 Commuting Cherwell 1,150 Cherwell into South 1,014 out of South London 836 Windsor and Maidenhead Oxfordshire 699 828 West Oxfordshire 516 Oxfordshire 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000

Source: ONS 2001 Census table T103 and T10; 2011 Census table WU03 South Oxfordshire 2017 14 Commuting: to Oxford

• According to the Census 2011 survey, 14% commuters in South Oxfordshire travelled to Oxford to work. • The area with the highest proportion was the rural area to the east of the city including Stanton St John with 50% commuting to Oxford.

Oxford

Middle layer super output areas

Source: ONS Census 2011 table WU02

South Oxfordshire 2017 15 Commuting: to Science Vale

CHART: Number of people by local authority of residence commuting to work to Science Vale MAP: Areas of Oxfordshire (Harwell, Milton Park, ), 2011 with highest % of people commuting to Science Vale 64%

8% 4% 4%

Total = 18,600

Source: ONS Census 2011 table WU01 South Oxfordshire 2017 16 Commuting: mode of travel

50,000 Taxi: 103 45,000 Passenger: 2,800 CHART: Commuting 40,000 to work in South 35,000 30,000 Oxfordshire 25,000 Source: Census 2011, QS701EW Driver: 44,000 20,000 15,000 Bicycle: 2,600 10,000 Bus: 2,200 5,000 On foot: 7,700 Motorbike etc: 1,000 0 Train: 3,600 Public transport Car /van Manpower Other

At the 2011 Census 63,900 South Oxfordshire residents commuted to work. • Of these, 9% used public transport, 73% were in a car and 16% were cycling or on foot. • Nationally 13% use public transport.

Changes since 2011 are not available for South Oxfordshire specifically but national factsheets for 2016 (including on school runs and shopping trips) can be found on the National Transport Survey website.

South Oxfordshire 2017 17 Home working

Across South Oxfordshire, 6% of MAP: Home working as a workers work from home. proportion of those • This compares to 3% nationally and economically active by LSOA 4% in the South East.

Homeworking is highest in the area around Henley.

The LSOA with the lowest homeworking is in southern Didcot (2%). The LSOA with the highest homeworking covers Lower (21%).

Lower layer super output areas (LSOAs) are areas used mainly for reporting statistical data. They have an average of around 1,500 residents and 650 households. Source: ONS Census 2011 table QS701

South Oxfordshire 2017 18 A third of lone older people in rural areas have no car

In 2011, 12% of South This is higher for lone older households (where a person Oxfordshire households had no 65+ lives alone): 43% of lone older households (2,800 car. (The England figure is 26%). older people) had no car. Of those who live rurally, over a Urban households were more third had no car. In urban areas, nearly a half had no car. likely not to have a car. 60% CHART: % of All household types 50% South Oxon One person aged 65+ households 40% with no car 30%

20%

10% 8% 37% 15% 48% 0% Source: ONS Census 2011 Rural Urban

South Oxfordshire 2017 19 3A. ECONOMY: ENTERPRISES

20 Enterprises: size & sector

Agriculture/ CHART: Number of enterprises by Other, 645 mining, 380

sector, South Oxfordshire 2016 Manufacturing, 375 Arts & leisure, In South Oxfordshire, in 2016, 580 Construction, 710

Business 91% of enterprises are ‘micro’ (ie. admin, 685 with 0-9 employees). 8,025 • This is similar to the England Trade & Retail, proportion of 89%. enterprises 935

A further 8% of enterprises are ‘small’ (ie. with 10-49 employees). Professional, Hospitality, scientific & 235 • This is similar to the England technical, proportion of 9%. 1,900 Comms, financial & Any given enterprise may have more property, 1,270 than one local unit. Source: Business Counts, Nomis 12/05/17 South Oxfordshire 2017 21 Enterprises: distribution by MSOA

CHART: Distribution Definition: MSOAs (middle of enterprises across layer super output areas) are used for reporting South Oxfordshire, Census data. They have an 2016, by MSOA average of around 7,500 Source: UK Business Counts, Nomis residents and 3,000 households. In 2016, in South Oxfordshire,

…the area with the greatest number of enterprises was in the area containing and Chalgrove (545).

…the area with the smallest number of enterprises was in Didcot (125).

Any enterprise may have more than one local unit (premises).

South Oxfordshire 2017 22 Enterprises: births & deaths

1,000 930 900 Births. Since 2010 there has been 920 860 800 an increasing number of new South Oxf 770 740 businesses. 700 705 • In 2015 there were 11 new Cherwell 600 businesses per 100 existing Vale WH 500 enterprises. This is lower West Oxf 400 than the national rate (15 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 births per 100 businesses). 750 700 695 660 Deaths. Since 2010 deaths have 650 South Oxf 650 665 610 625 600 remained roughly the same. Cherwell 550 • There were 8 deaths per 100 500 Vale WH businesses (compared to 10 450 West Oxf per 100 nationally). 400 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

South Oxfordshire 2017 23 3B. ECONOMY: EMPLOYMENT

24 Numbers of jobs: various estimates

There are a number of sources of jobs data for South Oxfordshire. The table below shows the latest data, with a note of what is included within each dataset.

Source of jobs data South Note Oxfordshire ONS Census 2011 61,700 Workplace population has a usual place of work in the area, Workplace population (2011) including both individuals who live and work in area and individuals who work in the area but commute from a home elsewhere. Includes all types of jobs but with some undercounting as some people will have more than one job. Available for small areas. Updated every 10 years. ONS Business Register and 59,000 “Employee jobs” – from ONS survey of businesses. Excludes Employment Survey (2015) self-employed, government-supported trainees and HM Forces. Available for small areas. Updated annually. ONS Jobs 73,000 A workplace-based measure, includes employee jobs, self- (2015) employed, government-supported trainees and HM Forces. Available for LAs only. Updated annually.

South Oxfordshire 2017 25 Employment: jobs through time

Number of jobs: At latest count there were Job Density: There are around 0.88 jobs 73,000 jobs in South Oxfordshire. per person aged 16-64.

This is the highest value since the series There are more jobs per person in South began. Oxfordshire compared to England (0.84) or the South East (0.86).

75k 73k 73k 71k 69k 69k 70k 68k 68k 67k 67k 66k 66k 66k 65k 65k 64k 65k 63k

60k ≈ 55k 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

CHART: Count of jobs in South Oxfordshire Source: ONS. Taken from Nomis “Jobs Density”

South Oxfordshire 2017 26 Employment: number of employees

GRAPH: Count of business employees, In 2015, businesses in South South Oxfordshire 2015 Oxfordshire employed Source: ONS Business Register and Employment survey 59,000 people, of whom a 45,000 FULL TIME third were part time. (NB this 40,000 PART TIME excludes the self-employed). 35,000

30,000

Since 2009, full-time 25,000

employment in South 20,000 39 k 39 k 33 k 34 k 34 k 35 k 35 k Oxfordshire has increased by 15,000

18%. Part-time employment 10,000 20 k 21 k 20 k 21 k 20 k 20 k has been roughly stable. 18 k 5,000

Definitions: 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 “Full-time”: those working more than 30 hours per week. Definitions: “Employee” is anyone aged 16+ that an organization “Part-time”: those working 30 pays directly from its payroll, in return for a full- or hours or fewer per week. part-time job or training scheme. It excludes the self-employed, voluntary workers, working owners who are not paid via PAYE.

South Oxfordshire 2017 27 Employment: by occupation

In South Oxfordshire, in 2016, 60.6% of employees are managerial or professional. • This is higher than the rate either regionally (49.7%) or nationally (45.5%). • In particular, a third of employees are in professional occupations, compared to only a fifth nationally.

Source: Nomis area profiles

South Oxfordshire 2017 28 Employment: national comparison

Source: ONS Annual Population Survey 90% As measured by the Annual

85% Population Survey, South Oxfordshire 80% • 66% of the working age population is employed 80% • 14% of the working age 79% population is self- 75% Oxfordshire employed

74% • In all, 80% of the working aged are employed or 70% ≈ England self-employed.

65% Employment has been higher than the national average since the series began.

GRAPH: Proportion of those 16-64 who are employed or self-employed

South Oxfordshire 2017 29 Self-employment

In South Oxfordshire in 20% 18% 2011, 18% of those in 15% 17% 17% 15% 15% employment were self 15% 13% employed. 10% • Men are more likely than women to be self- 5% employed. 0% • Those in rural areas are Cherwell Oxford South Oxf Vale WH West Oxf England SE more likely to be self- CHART: Self-employment in Oxfordshire, 2011 employed than those in Source: Census 2011 cities.

Also older people are more likely to be self-employed than younger people. • Of workers aged 60+ in South Oxfordshire, 32% are self-employed. • This compares to 9% of workers aged 25-29. • (However, far fewer older people are economically active).

South Oxfordshire 2017 30 Unemployment

England 10.0% CHART: Unemployment (model-based) Cherwell Source: Labour Force Survey 9.0% South Oxfordshire 8.0% Vale of White Horse In Mar-17, the South West Oxfordshire Oxfordshire unemployment rate 7.0% was 2.8%. 6.0% • (This is the number of 4.8% people out of work, divided 5.0% by the number of economically active 4.0% individuals aged 16+). 3.0% • This was equivalent to 1,800 persons unemployed. 2.0% 2.8% 1.0% Unemployment in all Oxfordshire rural districts has 0.0% been consistently below England’s unemployment for over a decade.

South Oxfordshire 2017 31 Employees: Job Sectors

In 2015, CHART: Employment by sector • 20% of South Oxfordshire employees Manufacturing were in ‘Scientific, technical, Other 5,200 professional’ employment. 3,100 Construction – This is more than twice the England 2,800 proportion (England 9%). Health 4,600 • 16% of South Oxfordshire employees Trade (motor, work in ‘Trade’ (England 16%). retail, • Conversely, compared to the England South Oxfordshire 2015: wholesale) proportions, South Ox employs fewer Education 9,600 than average people in Manufacturing, 5,900 Admin, and Health. 58,600

Compared to 2009, there are 7,300 more jobs. Hospitality jobs 5,100 • There have been over 1,000 new jobs in Admin 5,100 each of ‘Trade’, ‘Hospitality’ and ‘IT / Scientific, financial’ services. technical, • There have been 2,300 new jobs in the professional IT, financial, ‘Scientific, technical, professional’ sector. 11,600 property 5,600 • 500 jobs altogether have disappeared in ‘Manufacturing’ and ‘Construction’. Source: Business Register and Employment Survey

South Oxfordshire 2017 32 Earnings: full-time

In 2016, the median gross earnings of full-time employees resident in South Oxfordshire was £635 per week GRAPH: Median (equivalent to around £34,378 a year). weekly earnings for full-time workers

Source: ONS Annual Survey of This is significantly higher than the national average. Hours and Earnings, 02/05/17

England £800 average: £545

£400 £635 £632 £583 £589 £575 £545 £582

£- Cherwell Oxford South Ox Vale WH West Ox England South East

South Oxfordshire 2017 33 Earnings: part-time

GRAPH: Part time In 2016, the median gross earnings of part-time employees workers: (a) resident in South Oxfordshire was £193 per week. average earnings and (b) average This was based on an average of 16.9 hours per week, at an hours worked average rate of £11.45 an hour. (The England average for part-

Source: ONS Annual Survey of time workers is £8.95 an hour). Hours and Earnings, 02/05/17

£200 30 Gross weekly earnings Hours worked 25 £190 19. h 18.6 h 18.1 h 18. h 18.5 h 20 16.9 h £180 15.9 h 15 £170

10 worked Hours

Gross weekly earnings weekly Gross £160 5

£184 £164 £193 £193 £181 £177 £183 £150 0 Cherwell Oxford South Ox Vale WH West Ox England South East

South Oxfordshire 2017 34 NINO registrations: breakdown in 2016

Americas Other /NK In 2016, overseas nationals 44 (5%) 68 (8%) EU-15 890 144 (16%) based in South Oxfordshire registered for a National Insurance number. Africa 93 (11%) 76% are aged between 18 and 34.

Asia 48% came from EU countries other 110 (12%) than the EU15. (This mostly means ‘accession’ countries and/or those in EU-Other Eastern Europe.) 430 (48%) CHART: Number of NINO registrations in South Definition of “EU-other”: Estonia, Czechia, Slovakia, Oxfordshire, 2016 Source: DWP Stat X-plore, 02/05/17 Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Malta, Cyprus, Croatia

South Oxfordshire 2017 35 NINO registrations: change through time

1400 1,260 1200 CHART: Number of 1,099 1,045 1,015 NINO registrations 1000 917 936 890 884 in South Oxfordshire, 800 728 678 700 622 2002-2016 600 Source: DWP Stat X-plore, 522 02/05/17 467 412 400

200 This data covers NINo allocations (a) for all types of work, incl. self- 0 employed & part-time students (b) whatever the length of stay in the UK (c) adult overseas nationals allocated a Since 2013 there has been a growth in the number of NINO NINo to claim benefits registrations. However, Brexit may change the pattern in or tax credits. future years.

South Oxfordshire 2017 36 4. WELFARE & BENEFITS

37 Benefit claimants: client groups (working-age)

bereaved, 160 In Nov-16, there were 4,470 working-age benefit job seeker, other income disabled, 550 280 claimants in South related, 40 Oxfordshire. • Of these, 52% are in the category “Employment Support Allowance or other incapacity carer, 700 benefits”.

ESA & incapacity In South Oxfordshire, 5.4% benefits, of the working-age lone parent, 2,320 population are on benefits. 420 • This is lower than the rate England (10.7%) CHART: Categories of benefit claimants, Nov-16 Source: DWP working-age client group data, accessed through Nomis

South Oxfordshire 2017 38 Benefit claimants: proportion of population (working age)

20.0%

15.0% England 10.7% 10.0% South Oxfordshire 5.4% 5.0%

0.0%

CHART: Proportion of working- age population claiming benefits In South Oxfordshire, 5.4% of working-age Source: DWP working-age client group data, residents today are on benefits, compared to accessed through Nomis 5.7% in Aug-99.

In England, today’s figure is 10.7% compared to 14.2% in 1999.

South Oxfordshire 2017 39 Jobseekers: June 2017

5.0% GRAPH: Claimants as % of economically active population, 4.3% Jun-13 and Jun-17 4.0% Source: DWP through Nomis

In June 2017, in South Jun-13 Jun-17 Oxfordshire, 0.6% of 3.0% economically active people 2.6% 2.5% were on unemployment 2.3% benefit. 2.0%

1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% This compares with a 1.3% national average of 2.3%. 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6%

0.0% Cherwell Oxford South Oxf Vale WH West Oxf England South- East

South Oxfordshire 2017 40 Jobseekers: Change through time

1,200 GRAPH: South Oxfordshire Claimant Count, Jan-13 to Jun-17

1,000

Feb, Mar 2013 Jun 2017 1130 800 425 In June 2017, 425 residents of South Oxfordshire were claiming 600 benefits in respect of worklessness (either 400 Jobseeker’s Allowance or Universal Credit). 200

0

Jul-14 Jul-13 Jul-15 Jul-16

Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17

Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15 Sep-16

Nov-13 Nov-14 Nov-15 Nov-16

Mar-15 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-16 Mar-17

May-13 May-14 May-15 May-16 May-17

Source: DWP (Nomis), 14/07/17

South Oxfordshire 2017 41 5. EDUCATION & SKILLS

42 GCSE attainment

70% 65% 60% 61% 61% 60% 57% 58% 58% In 2014/15, 65% of KS4 pupils resident in 50% South Oxfordshire attained the 40% benchmark of 5+ A*to C grades including 30% English and Maths. 20% CHART: Proportion of This is the highest in pupils achieving 5 the district. 10% GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English 0% England South Cherwell Oxford S.Oxon Vale WH W.Oxon East

Source: Department for Education, 2014/15 results NOTE: data excludes pupils in private schools South Oxfordshire 2017 43 GCSE attainment: by school

In 2014/5, most of South Chiltern Edge Community School has the Oxfordshire’s secondary schools lowest score on this measure; however, it also were above the national average on has the highest number of disadvantaged the % of pupils achieving 5+ A*-C children (19%, nearly a fifth). GCSEs (incl. English & Maths).

73% 72% 70% 65% 60% 57% 52% 46%

South East England Chiltern Edge Didcot Girls' Gillotts School Icknield Langtree School Lord Williams's Community School Community School CHART: Proportion of pupils School College achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English Source: Department for Education (2014/15 results) South Oxfordshire 2017 44 Free School Meals pupils: attainment

In Aug-14, the proportion of South The attainment gap (ie. the gap between Oxfordshire’s resident pupils achieving five the FSM and non-FSM pupils) was 29 GCSEs A*-C (including English and percentage points. Mathematics) was 39%. This was greater than the gap for England This was higher than the England average. (27 percentage points). 80% 68% 70% 64% 63% 61% 62% 58% 60% 60%

50% England 39% FSM 40% 34% 35% average 29% 26% 30% 25% 24% 20% Free School Meals 10% Not on FSM 0% England South East Cherwell Oxford S.Oxon Vale WH W.Oxon

CHART: Proportion of pupils achieving 5 GCSEs A*-C, incl. Maths & English Source: Neighbourhood Statistics, based on Aug-14 results South Oxfordshire 2017 45 Free School Meals pupils: non-attainment

40% Free School Meals 36% 35% Not on FSM 31% 30% In Aug-14, in South 25% 24% Oxfordshire, 20% 20% 19% 17% 17% 19% of free school 15% meal pupils did not

10% achieve 5 GCSEs (A*-G)

6% 6% 6% at end of Key Stage 4. 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

0% This is higher than the EnglandSouth East Cherwell Oxford S.Oxon Vale WHW.Oxon national figure of 17%. CHART: Proportion of pupils who do not achieve 5 GCSEs Source: Neighbourhood Statistics, based on Aug-14 results

South Oxfordshire 2017 46 NEETs (Not in Education, Employment or Training)

5.0%

4.5% Cherwell 4.0% 3.5% West Ox Vale WH 3.0% South Ox 2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% CHART: NEETs in South Oxfordshire

0.5% Source: Oxfordshire County Council, Early Intervention Service 0.0% Apr-14 Apr-15 Apr-16 Apr-17

Definition: NEETs are In Apr 2017 2.0% of young people in young people aged 17-19 South Oxfordshire were classed as NEETs. (Years 12 to 14) who are not in education, employment or training. The proportions are currently very similar across the Oxfordshire districts.

South Oxfordshire 2017 47 Apprenticeship participation stable over the past few years

2,500 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

2,000 1700 1640 1660

1,500

1,000

500

0 Cherwell Oxford S. Oxon Vale WH W. Oxon CHART: Numbers participating in apprenticeship programmes Source: FE data, through Oxfordshire LEP Apprenticeship participation has remained stable in South Oxfordshire over the past few years.

However, trends may change in future. This will be the last year in which apprenticeship funding is largely grant funded. From April 2017, apprenticeships will be funded through a new apprenticeship levy on businesses.

South Oxfordshire 2017 48 Qualifications

60% Bars: South Oxfordshire 50% 2004 Crosses: England 2015 40% 37%

30% 26%

20% 20% 20% 16% 15% 15% 15% 12% 9% 8% 10% 7% 10% 13% 16% 20% 38% 57% 4% 3% 10% 14% 13% 2% 0% No quals NVQ1 NVQ2 NVQ3 NVQ4+ Other No quals NVQ1 NVQ2 NVQ3 NVQ4+ Other Source: Annual Population Survey, via Nomis In 2004, 38% of South Oxfordshire In 2015, 57% (three-fifths) of South residents aged 16-64 were at NVQ4 or Oxfordshire residents were at NVQ4+; NVQ5 (indicating a BA degree /higher much higher than the national average diploma or above). (37%).

This was more than the national Moreover, now only 3% of residents have average of 26%. no qualification at all.

South Oxfordshire 2017 49 6. HOUSING

50 Housing: South Oxfordshire key facts

54,100 households (Census 2011)

Average house price 2016: £365k 73% of households own their property (England 63%)

11% of households are in socially rented property (England 18%)

Source: House price & increase: ONS, HPSSA table 9. Renting /ownership info: Census 2011. South Oxfordshire 2017 51 Social rented sector: occupancy

Single person social rented households in CHART: Occupancy of social rented households by number of bedrooms (South Oxfordshire 2011) South Oxfordshire 1% occupied: 100% 2% 2% 6% 6 or more people in 90% 12% • 78% of 1 bed 20% 11% 23% household • 32% of 2 bed 80% 17% 5 people in household 23% • 15% of 3 bed 70% 18% • 9% of 4 bed or 60% 4 people in household

more 50% 36% 23% 25% 3 people in household 40% 78% 30% 2 people in household 22% 16% 20% 32% 10% 1 person in household 10% 15% 9% 0% 1 bedroom 2 bedrooms 3 bedrooms 4 or more bedrooms

Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC4405 South Oxfordshire 2017 52 Social rented sector: over-crowding

In the 2011 Census, • 3,797 (62%) of South Oxfordshire social rented households had one or two bedrooms. • Of these, 322 (8.5%) were occupied by four or more people. • On this measure of over-crowding, South Oxfordshire was above the national average.

Overcrowding: Percentage of social rented households with ONE OR TWO bedrooms that were occupied by four or more people (2011)

Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC4405 South Oxfordshire 2017 53 Social rented sector: under-occupancy

In Census 2011, • 4,489 social rented households in South Oxfordshire had 2 or more bedrooms • Of these, 1,005 (22%) were occupied by one person. • South Oxfordshire’s rate of under-occupancy was below the national average but above the regional average.

Under-occupancy: Percentage of social rented homes with TWO OR MORE bedrooms that were occupied by one person (2011)

Source: ONS Census 2011, table DC4405 South Oxfordshire 2017 54 Housing (un)affordability ratio

In 2016, median housing was 11.26 14.00 times the income of the average CHART: Ratio of house price to earnings (“affordability ratio”) worker. 12.00 11.84 • This is higher than the national 11.26 value (7.72). 10.00

The cheapest market housing is 8.00 7.72 more unaffordable, being 11.84 7.16 times more than the income of the 6.00 England (median) lowest salaried workers (both measured as the lowest quartile). 4.00 South Oxfordshire (median) England (lower quartile)

South Oxfordshire (lower quartile) Example: In 2016, mean house price in South 2.00 Oxfordshire was £355,000 and median workplace earnings was £31,533. 0.00 Dividing house price by earnings gives a ratio of 11.26. Source: Ratio of house price to workplace based earnings, ONS. Downloaded July 2017

South Oxfordshire 2017 55 7. DEPRIVATION

56 Index of Multiple Deprivation MAP: Index of Multiple According to the Indices of Deprivation Deprivation (2015), 2015, there were no areas of the district ranked within the 20% most by decile deprived in England.

Of the district’s 89 LSOAs, 92% are in the top four deciles (score 7, 8, 9, 10).

One LSOA in Didcot is in the third decile. There are two LSOAs in the fourth decile, in Didcot and Berinsfield.

Definition: “Lower Definition: The Index of Super Output Areas” Multiple Deprivation (IMD) is (LSOAs) are used for a combined index made up of seven domains: income, the reporting of small employment, skills, health, area statistics and housing & services, crime, typically include a living environment. population of between Source: Department 1,000 and 3,000. for Communities and Local Government

South Oxfordshire 2017 57 Deprivation affecting Children MAP: Income Deprivation affecting children (2015), by decile

Of the district’s 89 LSOAs, only 51% are in the top four deciles (score 7 – 10) for the IDACI.

9 LSOAs (10%) score 1; of these, five are in Didcot, two in Berinsfield and one each in Wallingford and Thame.

Two more LSOAs (2%) score 2, in Wallingford and near Chalgrove.

Definition: This chart shows IDACI or Income Deprivation affecting Children & Young People Index.

The IDACI measures the proportion of children (aged 0-15) living in households below the poverty line. Source: Department for Communities and Local Government South Oxfordshire 2017 58 Deprivation: Geographical barriers to services MAP: Geographical barriers to services, Rural South Oxfordshire generally scores by decile (2015) badly for access to services.

• 25 LSOAs (28%) have a score of 1. • A further 17 LSOAs (19%) have a score of 2.

In all, almost half of South Oxfordshire’s LSOAs are among the worst 20% in England for access to services.

Definition: “Geographical barriers to services” is a sub-domain of the IMD. Same colour scale as It is made of four indicators previous maps! measuring road distance to GP surgery, post office, primary school, and supermarket / general store. Source: Department for Communities and Local Government

South Oxfordshire 2017 59 MAP: Fuel Poverty 2015, % of households Fuel Poverty

In South Oxfordshire in 2015, an estimated 4,809 households (8.5%) experienced fuel poverty. • This compares with 11.0% of English households, and 9.6% of Oxfordshire households. • Fuel poverty has increased since 2013 when 3,854 households were estimated fuel poor.

The area containing and has the highest fuel poverty at 15.5%.

Definition: Fuel Poverty is assessed using the ‘Low Income, High Costs’ indicator. This looks at households below the poverty line who have higher Source: Department for Business, Energy & fuel costs than expected for their housing type. Industrial Strategy, publ. June 2017

South Oxfordshire 2017 60 8. CRIME

61 Crime: overall

100 CHART: Crimes per 1,000 80 population, YTD Sep-16 Source: Oxfordshire Strategic Intelligence 60 Assessment 2017

40

20 60.3 89.7 37.7 33.7 30.6 52.9 0 Cherwell Oxford South Ox Vale WH West Ox Oxfordshire

• There were 5,178 reported crimes in South Oxfordshire in the year to September 2016. These figures do not include fraud. • Crime in South Oxfordshire is around average when compared to its ‘statistical neighbours’ (which include places like Vale WH, West Oxfordshire, Chiltern and Horsham). • Since the previous year, there was a reduction in ‘robbery’, but a growth ‘possession of weapons offences’.

South Oxfordshire 2017 62 Crime: a few specific offences

CHART: Crimes per 1,000 This chart indicates rates 20 for a few specific population, YTD Sep-16 offences. Source: Oxfordshire Strategic Intelligence Assessment 2017 16.1

It is expected for crime to 15 Violence against the person

be higher in cities (e.g. 13.2 Theft: Shoplifting Oxford). Theft: Burglary

10.6 9.9 South Oxfordshire has a 10 slightly higher rate of ‘violence against the 7.8 7.6 7.0 person’ and ‘burglary’ 6.4 than Vale WH or West 5 Oxfordshire. 4.1 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.5 For more crime figures, refer to the Strategic Intelligence Assessment 0 for Oxfordshire. Cherwell Oxford South Ox Vale WH West Ox

South Oxfordshire 2017 63 Crime: Child Sexual Offences, Hate Crime

In 2016 there were 65 hate crimes in There were 15 ‘child sexual offences’ the ‘racism’ category. Hate crime in South Oxfordshire in the year to increased in the months after June 2016 date Sep-2016. This is 9% of but has now decreased again. However, Oxfordshire’s total. it is also now more likely to be reported.

100 92 90 400 2014 2014 80 2015 303 300 2015 2016 263 2016 60 195 43 200 165 38 36 40 116 29 26 100 69 62 63 65 54 15 15 16 20 12 37 31 11 9 24 25 26 8 6 0 0 Cherwell Oxford S Ox Vale WH W Ox Cherwell Oxford S Ox Vale WH W Ox CHART: Child Sexual Offences CHART: Hate Crime: Race Source: Oxfordshire SIA 2017 Source: Oxfordshire SIA 2017

South Oxfordshire 2017 64 9. HEALTH

65 Health: Year 6 obesity

30%

In South Oxfordshire, in England 2015/16, 20% 19.8%

152 Year 6 children were 11.8% 10% obese. This is 11.8% of the South Oxfordshire cohort.

This is significantly less than 0% the England rate of 19.8%. • (i.e. the blue line is outside the error bars on the red line) CHART: Proportion of Year 6 children who are obese Other public health info available through the South Oxfordshire Health Profile, available through Public Source: Public Health England Health England here

South Oxfordshire 2017 66 Health: long-term limiting illness (self-defined)

20% Daily activities limited 'a little' In South Oxfordshire in 2011, Daily activities limited 'a lot' 18,500 individuals (14%) felt 15% that their day-to-day activities were limited either ‘a little’ or ‘a 9% lot’ by a health problem or disability that had lasted more 10% 8% than 12 months. (11,000 NB: totals may not sum due to persons) rounding. 5% 8% 6% This is lower than the England rate of 18%. (7,500 persons) 0% (This measure is self-defining, S. Oxon England and thus would differ from DWP CHART: Persons feeling their benefit claimants.) activities have been limited for at least a year by health Source: Census 2011, Table QS303EW

South Oxfordshire 2017 67 Health: Sport participation in South Oxfordshire above national average

CHART: % of adult population (16+) playing sport at least three times a week

Source: Active People Survey Sport England, up to 2016. Interactive Tool http://activepeople.sportengland.org/ Since 2008, Sports England reports In South Oxfordshire, 19.8% of adults that there has been a steady meet this measure, which is more increase in the proportion of adults than the England level of 17.7%. engaging in sport at least three However the data is volatile and may times a week. not be significant.

South Oxfordshire 2017 68 Health: eating

CHART 2: % of adults daily eating CHART 1: % of adults with ‘healthy’ weight 5+ portions of fruit and veg 100% 60% 16% 13% 14% 12% Obese Overweight 80% 50% Healthy weight 32% 29% 34% 34% Underweight 60% 40% 68% 30% 60% 40% 55% 58% 58% 58% 51% 53% 48% 53% 54% 51% 20% 20% 2013 10% 3% 2% 0% 0% 2014 0% England Oxfordshire South Vale of White 0% Oxfordshire Horse England Oxfordshire South Oxfordshire Vale of White Horse Source: Active People Survey, Sport England

A healthy weight is one with a BMI between In 2014/5, three-fifths of South Oxfordshire residents ate at least five 18.4 and 24.9 (as defined by the World portions of fruit or veg daily. Health Organization). In 2014/15, 54% of South Oxfordshire This is higher than the national residents were in this bracket. The others average, and a slight increase since the previous year. were mostly overweight.

South Oxfordshire 2017 69 END

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