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Ncsoft (036570 KS ) Rally to Be Stronger in 2019 Than in 2017
NCsoft (036570 KS ) Rally to be stronger in 2019 than in 2017 Games 4Q18 preview: Lineage M to continue QoQ growth Earnings Preview For 4Q18, we forecast NCsoft to deliver revenue of W407bn (-23.7% YoY, +0.7% QoQ) January 17, 2019 and operating profit of W131bn (-30.9% YoY, -6.0% QoQ). For Lineage M , which exhibited its highest user indicators of 2018 following its update on September 28 th , we estimate 4Q18 revenue grew 0.6% QoQ to W218bn. Despite the slight revenue gain QoQ, we believe operating profit contracted QoQ, due (Maintain) Buy to: 1) a one-off payment for the signing of new players for the NC Dinos baseball team; and 2) advertising spending on Lineage Remastered . Target Price (12M, W) 700,000 Why 2019 is likely to be even stronger than 2017 Share Price (01/16/19, W) 465,500 In 2017, NCsoft’s stock gained 85.3% (vs. +22.0% for the KOSPI), boosted by expectations on Lineage M (released on June 21 st ). In 2019, we believe the stock will Expected Return 50% experience an even bigger rally. As we outline in <Table 3>, Lineage M was the only new title the company launched in 2017, and revenue was predominately concentrated in the domestic market. OP (18F, Wbn) 633 In 2019, NCsoft has two to five new mobile titles set for release, including Lineage II M Consensus OP (18F, Wbn) 634 (1H19). We also expect overseas expansion to gather steam in 2019. We note that EPS Growth (18F, %) 3.1 Lineage II , Aion , and Blade & Soul have seen overseas revenues either comparable to Market EPS Growth (18F, %) 6.2 or much higher than their domestic revenues. -
Lineage 2M Pre-Registration Faring Well
NCSOFT (036570.KS) Lineage 2M pre-registration faring well Company Comment │ Sep 9, 2019 Pre-registration for NCSOFT’s Lineage 2M chalked up over 2mn subscribers within the first 18 hours. Large-scale marketing events for the title are scheduled for Oct 15, with an official launch expected in November. In light of strong expectations for Lineage 2M, we anticipate considerable earnings Buy (maintain) growth in 2020. TP W750,000 (maintain) CP (’19/09/09) W552,000 Sector Game Lineage 2M set to make domestic mobile game history Kospi/Kosdaq 2,009.13 / 631.15 Market cap (common) US$10,150.43mn We maintain a Buy rating on NCSOFT, our top pick in the game sector, with a Outstanding shares (common) 22.0mn TP of W750,000. Following a showcase for Lineage 2M and the initiation of 52W high (’19/09/06) W552,000 low (’18/09/06) W399,500 pre-registration for the title on Sep 5, preparations for the game’s official launch Average trading value (60D) US$27.89mn are now in the final stages. Large-scale marketing events are slated for Oct 15, Dividend yield (2019E) 1.10% with an official launch expected in November. With the success of Lineage 2M Foreign ownership 50.8% becoming more and more certain, expectations towards NCSOFT’s earnings Major shareholders should rise, in turn pumping the company’s share price. NPS 12.6% TJ Kim & 8 others 12.0% Pre-registration for Lineage 2M drew over 2mn subscribers in just the first 18 Share perf 3M 6M 12M hours, an incredible figure. -
Ncsoft Reported 1Q18 Operating Profit That Topped the Consensus and an OP Margin May 11, 2018 of Over 40%
NC soft (036570 KS ) New title releases pushed back , but existing IP remains popular Game 1Q18 review: OP tops consensus on strong royalties Results Comment NCsoft reported 1Q18 operating profit that topped the consensus and an OP margin May 11, 2018 of over 40%. Positives: Margin expansion was driven by strong royalties, which grew 33% YoY and 41% QoQ to a record W84.2bn thanks to Lineage M revenue in Taiwan (launched on December 11, 2017). Six months into its release, Lineage M remains the top-grossing (Maintain) Buy game on both Android and iOS in Taiwan, where Lineage intellectual property (IP) enjoys huge popularity. Target Price (12M, W) ▼ 500,000 Among PC titles, Aion was a standout performer, boosted by in creased usage following the conversion of the title’s business model from subscription-based to Share Price (05/10/18, W) 347,000 microtransaction-based on January 17 th . Despite the launch of a major rival title, marketing spend actually fell QoQ and YoY. Expected Return 44% Negatives: Revenue from Lineage M (the company’s flagship mobile title) declined QoQ. We estimate daily average revenue slipped from W3.6bn in 4Q17 to W2.9bn in OP (18F, Wbn) 696 1Q18. In addition, revenue fell more than expected for PC titles Lineage , Lineage II , Consensus OP (18F, Wbn) 786 and Guild Wars 2 . EPS Growth (18F, %) 14.5 Major new releases pushed back to 2019; Performance of current games will Market EPS Growth (18F, %) 16.2 be key near-term variable P/E (18F, x) 15.1 New release schedule pushed back: NCsoft said it had pushed back the release of its Market P/E (18F, x) 9.4 highly anticipated new title Blade & Soul II (B&S II ) from 2018 to 2019. -
Ncsoft(036570.Ks)
NCSOFT (036570.KS) Earnings to enter recovery phase from November With the launch of B&S2 having been pushed back to 1Q21 (vs the previous Company Note │ Oct 19, 2020 expectation of an end-2020 release), NCSOFT’s share price has been adjusting as of late. However, noting both that the specifics of the B&S2 Refer to page 2 for ESG index/event tables launch are to be announced in November and that subsidiaries are slated to roll out new titles by the end of this year, we expect to see an accompanying resurgence in NCSOFT’s earnings momentum. Buy (maintain) TP W1,220,000 (lower) CP (’20/10/16) W767,000 Set to release B&S2; subsidiaries rolling out new offerings as well Sector Game Kospi/Kosdaq 2,341.53 / 833.84 We reiterate a Buy rating on NCSOFT, continuing to suggest it as our sector top Market cap (common) US$14,732.02mn pick. The company’s share price has recently been undergoing adjustment due Outstanding shares (common) 22.0mn 52W high (’20/07/06) W995,000 to both concerns over the delayed release of Blade & Soul 2 (B&S2) and low (’19/12/03) W485,000 slowing sales of Lineage 2M. However, we point out that the pushing back of Average trading value (60D) US$90.03mn the B&S2 launch stems from merely a scheduling issue, not a development Dividend yield (2020E) 0.79% issue. The new title appears safely on track to be released in 1Q21, with specific Foreign ownership 48.8% information regarding the launch to be released next month. -
Esg Playbook
ESG PLAYBOOK . . NCSOFT ESG PLAYBOOK 2020 . * NCSOFT ESG PLAYBOOK 2020 . Contents NC Overview PLAY for Sustainability CEO 04 44 Who We Are 06 46 What We Create 07 48 Highlight ‘PUSH, PLAY’ 08 54 10 55 56 ESG Appendix ESG 14 60 , 16 ESG 61 28 GRI Standards Index 63 34SASB Index 75 383 76 NC Overview 2 01 Blade & Soul 2 NC Overview CEO 04 Who We Are 06 07 08 10 NC Overview PLAY for Sustainability CEO 4 CEO NC Overview CEO 5 “ .” . . . . 1997 . . . NC Overview Who We Are 6 Who We Are NC . ) 1997 3 11 NC West Holdings 2012.12 418 Publishing/DeVeLopment , NC Japan KK 2001.09 151 Publishing/DeVeLopment NC Taiwan Co., Ltd. 2003.08 83 Publishing/DeVeLopment 4,231 ) NC Vietnam Visual Studio Co., Ltd. 2020.01 103 Art Outsourcing NC Europe, Ltd. 2004.07 10 Core Value 1996.10 90 , NEVER ENDING INTEGRITY PASSION CHALLENGE 2009.04 151 2011.04 69 6 12 12 _ ) 2 NC Overview What We create 7 1998 & What We Create IP . PC · · 2 2 M 2M Lineage Lineage 2 GuiLd Wars 2 Lineage M Lineage2M UNIVERSE & H3 AION Blade & Soul FUSER Pro BasebalL H3 PURPLE BUFFTOON NC Overview Highlight ‘PUSH, PLAY’ 8 PUSH, Highlight NC . . NC NC . PC , PURPLE & Yeti AI AI , ‘VocGAN’ -
Units Result Record Roi Total Units
DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 10 | 1:00PM PST UNDER 155.5 PENDING PENDING � The Basketball Tournament -110 House Of ‘Paign @ Red Scare RISK 1 UNIT JUL 10 | 1:00PM PST REAL MADRID PENDING PENDING ⚽ Spanish Primera División -1.5 -135 Depor Alaves @ Real Madrid RISK 1.5 UNITS JUL 10 | 12:42 PST CHRIS KIRK ML PENDING PENDING ⛳ Workday Charity Open RD 2 -110 Chris Kirk @ Joel Dahmen RISK 1 UNIT JUL 10 | 12:15PM PST UNDER 2.5 PENDING PENDING ⚽ English League Championship -135 Cardiff City @ Fulham RISK 1.5 UNITS JUL 10 | 4:23AM PST PARTICK REED ML -2.1 LOSER 61-41-3 31.3% 31.925 ⛳ Workday Charity Open RD 2 -105 Collin Morikawa vs Patrick Reed RISK 2 UNITS DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 10 | 2:30AM PST NC DINOS RL -1.5 2 WINNER 61-40-3 33.9% 34.025 ⚾ Korean Baseball -110 NC Dinos @ LG Twins RISK 2 UNITS JUL 10 | 2:30AM PST OVER 9.5 1 WINNER 60-40-3 32% 32.025 ⚾ Korean Baseball -115 SK Wyverns @ Hanwha Eagles RISK 1 UNIT JUL 10 | 2:00AM PST HIROSHIMA CARP -2.025 LOSER 59-40-3 31.5% 31.175 ⚾ Japan Baseball ML -135 Hiroshima Carp @ Chunichi Dragons RISK 1.5 UNITS JUL 10 | 1:00AM PST OVER 188.5 -1.1 LOSER 59-39-3 33.9% 33.2 � Chinese Basketball Association -110 Bayi Rockets @ Jiangsu Dragons RISK 1 UNIT JUL 9 | 5:00PM PST MONTREAL -1.8 LOSER 59-38-3 35.4% 34.3 ⚽ Major League Soccer IMPACT +.5 -120 NE Revolution @ Montreal Impact RISK 1.5 UNITS DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 9 | 4:55AM PST XANDER 1.5 WINNER 59-37-3 37.6% 36.1 -
Units Result Record Roi Total Units
DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 21 | 5:00PM PST COLUMBUS PENDING PENDING ⚽ Major League Soccer CREW ML +115 Columbus Crew @ Atlanta United RISK 1.5 UNITS JUL 21 | 12:15PM PST OVER 2.5 -2.7 LOSER 105-85-9 15.4% 29.3 ⚽ English Premier League -135 Arsenal @ Aston Villa RISK 2 UNITS JUL 21 | 11:00AM PST UNDER 2.5 1 WINNER 104-85-9 19.9% 32 ⚽ Portuguese Liga -105 Victoria Setubal @ Sporting Lisbion RISK 1 UNIT JUL 21 | 10:00AM PST OVER 3.5 1.3 WINNER 103-85-9 16.5% 31 ⚽ English Premier League +130 Manchester City @ Watford RISK 1 UNIT JUL 21 | 2:30AM PST NC DINOS -1 LOSER 102-85-9 15.9% 29.7 ⚾ Korean Baseball RL -1.5 +115 Samsung Lions @ NC Dinos RISK 1 UNIT (RUN LINE) OVER 10.5 3 WINNER 102-84-9 16.5% 30.7 RISK 3 UNITS (TOTAL) -120 DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI TOTAL UNIT RISK UNITS JUL 21 | 2:30AM PST KIA TIGERS RL 0.5 WINNER 101-84-9 15% 27.7 ⚾ Korean Baseball -1.5 -130 Kia Tigers @ Hanwha Eagles RISK .5 UNIT JUL 21 | 2:00AM PST SEIBU LIONS 1.4 WINNER 100-84-9 14.9% 27.2 ⚾ Japan Baseball RL -1.5 +140 Chiba Lotte Marines @ Seibu Lions RISK 1 UNIT JUL 21 | 2:00AM PST OVER 8.5 1 WINNER 99-84-9 14.1% 25.8 ⚾ Japan Baseball -115 Yakult Swallow @ Yokohama Baystars RISK 1 UNIT JUL 20 | 5:00PM PST PHILA UNION PK 0 PUSH 98-84-9 13.6% 24.8 ⚽ Major League Soccer -115 Orlando City FC @ Philadelphia Union RISK 2 UNITS JUL 20 | 12:15AM PST WOLVES -1 1.5 WINNER 98-84-8 13.6% 24.8 ⚽ English Premier League -120 Crystal Palace @ Wolverhampton RISK 1.5 UNITS DATE/GAME & PICK/ODDS UNITS RESULT RECORD ROI -
Ncsoft (036570 KS ) a Compelling Buy
NCsoft (036570 KS ) A compelling buy Game 4Q18 review: Earnings come in slightly below our expectation Results Comment For 4Q18, NCsoft reported revenue of W399.7bn (-1% QoQ, -25% YoY). Operating profit February 13, 2019 fell to W112.6bn (-19% QoQ, -41% YoY), due to the recognition of bonus payouts and a one-off payment for the signing of new players for the NC Dinos baseball team. Both revenue and operating profit fell slightly short of our estimates (W407bn and W131bn, respectively). However, revenue from Lineage M continued to grow (+3% (Maintain) Buy QoQ), confirming a longer lifecycle for mobile titles. Target Price (12M, W) 700,000 New title release schedule has yet to be confirmed Investors were looking forward to more clarity on the new-title release schedule, as the Share Price (02/12/19, W) 433,500 company has several times mentioned that it has up to five new mobile titles set for release in 2019. However, it did not offer a timeline for the first mobile title re lease Expected Return 61% during the earnings call. Nevertheless, the company stressed that its plan to globally release blockbuster mobile titles such as Lineage II M , Aion II , and Blade & Soul II in 2019 remains unchanged. In OP (18P, Wbn) 615 addition, a beta test for the upcoming PC/console game The Lineage will be carried out Consensus OP (18F, Wbn) 632 as scheduled in mid-2019. EPS Growth (18P, %) -5.1 No changes to the big picture; recommend Buy from a medium-term perspective Market EPS Growth (18F, %) 5.1 P/E (18P, x) 24.4 We made marginal changes to our 2019 earnings forecast, reflecting the 4Q18 Market P/E (18F, x) 9.1 earnings release (see Table 1). -
Internationalisation Strategy (“GCA’S Internationalisation Strategy”)
Ref. Ares(2019)4111434 - 28/06/2019 Global Content Alliance Grant Agreement n° 783405 Internationalisation Strategy (“GCA’s Internationalisation Strategy”) Grant Agreement Deliverable D4.1 Actual Date submission date: 07/01/2019 Due date of deliverable: M11 Start date of the Project: 01/01/2018 Duration: 18 months 06/01/2019 GCA D4.1 Internationalisation Strategy – PUBLIC DOCUMENT Page 1 of 64 Credits This document has been elaborated in the frame of the GCA - Global Content Alliance - project (Agreement N°783405) co-funded by the European Commission COSME programme (2014-2020). The contributors to this Document: Editor: Emre Koca, GCA WP4 leader at Transmedia Bayern, Germany Coached by Philippe Dubois, in-house consultant at Transmedia Bayern, Germany Contributors: Egbert Van Wyngaarden, CEO at Transmedia Bayern, Germany Pierre Collin, CEO at Cluster TWIST, Belgium Pervenche Beurier, CEO at Pôle Média Grand Paris, France Pernilla Lavesson, Community Manager at Media Evolution, Sweden Disclaimer The content of this document represents the views of the authors only and is their sole responsibilities; it cannot be considered to reflect the views of the European Commission and/or the Executive Agency for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (EASME) or any other body of the European Union. The European Commission and the Agency do not accept any responsibility for use that may be made of the information it contains. This document is part of the project GCA which has received funding from the European Commission COSME programme (2014-2020) - grant agreement No. 783405. 06/01/2019 GCA D4.1 Internationalisation Strategy – PUBLIC DOCUMENT Page 2 of 64 Table of Contents 1 THE KEY CHALLENGES FOR INTERNATIONALISATION ............................................................................................................. -
TIGER KRX Game K-New Deal ETF to Increase 24% in 2020 and 17% in 2021
[Korea] October 8, 2020 TIGER KRX Game K -New Deal ETF (364990 KS) Three positives in 2021 : N ext -generation consoles, new title releases, and contactless trend Mirae Asset Daewoo Co., Ltd. Chang-kwean Kim [email protected] HeeSeok Lim [email protected] 20 21 to mark an inflection point Gaming is at the heart of the entertainment industry ’s future for the gaming industry In 2021, the era of gaming anytime, anywhere will begin in earnest. Despite COVID-19 and the uncertain economic outlook for 2021, we expect the gaming industry to perform strongly, as: 1) the industry is inherently resilient to economic downturns; 2) gaming is rising in popularity among older adults; and 3) IT technologies are continuing to advance. In terms of investment strategy, we recommend focusing on new platforms and/or new title momentum. Key events in 2021 include: 1) the release of next-generation consoles; 2) the full- fledged deployment of cloud gaming; and 3) new title releases by major companies. New growth opportunities amid Key drivers of the domestic and global gaming markets: N ext -generation consoles, e- the pandemic sports, and mobile games We expect Korea’s console gaming and e-sports markets to expand at CAGRs of 12% and 9% through 2024, respectively. We estimate the global console gaming and e-sports markets will expand at CAGRs of 7% and 14% through 2024, respectively. In Nov. 2020, Sony and Microsoft are due to release next-generation game consoles for the first time in eight years. Tech giants (e.g., Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Apple) are launching cloud gaming services in 2020. -
Chris Flexen Changeup 23
Chris Flexen End of Season Report By: Ben Howell Email: [email protected] Twitter: @benhowell71 Website: benhowell71.com Contents Introduction 2 Stats and Graphics 3 Chris Flexen 4-Seam Fastball 8 Chris Flexen Cutter 14 Chris Flexen Curveball 18 Chris Flexen Changeup 23 Resources 26 1 Introduction Vitals Pitch Type Avg MPH Usg% Throws: RHP 4-Seam 92.6 61.8% Age: 26 Cutter 87.2 16.9% DOB: 7/01/1994 Curveball 76.1 12.5% Height: 6’ 3" Changeup 81.1 8.8% Weight: 249 lbs In his first KBO season, Chris Flexen, a former New York Mets pitcher and prospect, turned in a fantastic season with the Doosan Bears. Over 116.2 regular-season innings and 28.1 playoff innings (145 total IP), Flexen flashed his swing and miss ability and increased confidence in some of his secondary pitches, and helped pull the Bears to the Korean Series, where they fell to the dominant NC Dinos in six games. Flexen was the second-hardest throwing starting pitcher in the KBO in 2020 (behind teammate Raúl Alcántara), which has always been a strength for him. In a bullpen role with the Mets, Flexen’s fastball averaged around 94 mph; with Doosan, he averaged about 92.6 mph on his 4-seam, getting stronger as the season continued. He was able to ride that velocity to the highest K% in the KBO among starting pitchers. Flexen’s stellar season in the KBO, which included an IL stint partway through, was likely good enough to draw MLB interest in him as a potential reliever/swing-man or from a team interested in developing him as a starter. -
Inter-Varsity Stock Research Challenge 2018 Building a League of Hidden Champions
Inter-Varsity Stock Research Challenge 2018 Building a League of Hidden Champions Disclaimer 1. The booklet and its contents contain the opinions and the ideas of its authors. It is not a recommendation to purchase or sell the securities of any of the companies or investments herein discussed. The booklet is sold with the understanding that the authors and the organisers are not engaged in rendering legal, accounting, investment or other professional services. If the reader of this booklet requires expert financial or other assistance or legal advice, a competent professional should be consulted. Neither the authors nor the organisers can guarantee the accuracy of the information contained herein the booklet and its contents. 2. The organisers are not in any way related to the companies mentioned in the booklet. 3. The authors and organisers specifically disclaim any responsibility for any liability, loss or risk, professional or otherwise, which is incurred as consequence, directly or indirectly, or the use and application of any of the contents of the booklet. i Preface “Strive not to be a success, but rather to be of a value.” - Albert Einstein Impact. Impact is created when one strives to be of value to They will be passing on the plaque to the next craft insightful research reports on outstanding champion which will be unveiled in our 2nd companies to leave an indelible mark of benefit to Intervarsity Stock Research Challenge. It will be held the business and investment community. within the 7th Value Investing Summit (VIS), a two- day event which attracts a 1,500-strong community Impact is delivered by Warren Buffett, long before of like-minded value investors to participate and is he was the billionaire Chairman of Berkshire held on 27-28 January 2018 at the Singapore Expo.