ROSE-ROTH /GSM 004 SEM 12 E rev.3 Original: English

NATO Parliamentary Assembly

Joint Rose-Roth and Special Mediterranean Group Seminar

in co-operation with the French Delegation to the NATO Parliamentary Assembly

Political and Economic Transition in the Maghreb, Machrek and Persian Gulf Countries

Marseilles, France 11-13 April 2012 DRAFT PROGRAMME updated April 04, 2012

With the Support of

International Secretariat Place du Petit Sablon 3, 1000 Brussels - Belgium | Tel: + 32 (0) 2 513 28 65 | Fax: + 32 (0) 2 514 18 47 http:// www.nato-pa.int 004 SEM 12 E rev3 1

TUESDAY 10 APRIL

ARRIVAL OF PARTICIPANTS

No organised transfers between the airport/train station and the hotels

Accommodation Sofitel Marseille Vieux Port 36 Bd Charles Livon, 13007 Marseilles Reservations: +33 (0) 4 91 15 59 00 E-mail: [email protected]

Novotel Marseille Vieux Port 36 Bd Charles Livon, 13007 Marseilles Reservations: +33 (0) 4 96 11 42 17 E-mail: [email protected]

Venue Hôtel de Région Hémicycle du Conseil de la Région Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur 27 place Jules Guesde 13481 Marseilles Cedex 20 Phone: +33 (0) 4 91 57 50 57 Fax: +33 (0) 4 91 57 51 51

18:00-19:30 Registration of participants in the Sofitel hotel lobby

Evening Free

WEDNESDAY 11 APRIL

7:00-8:15 Registration of participants in the Sofitel hotel lobby

8:15 Departure by bus from the Sofitel hotel

8:45 Arrival at the Regional Council of Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur

8:55 Seating of participants in the Hemicycle

OPENING SESSION

Moderator Loïc BOUVARD, Head of the French Delegation to the NATO PA and Vice-chairman of the Mediterranean and Middle East Special Group (GSM)

Opening remarks by Loïc BOUVARD

9:00-9:15 Remarks by Michel VAUZELLE, Chairman of the region Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur

9:15-9:35 Presentation by Gérard LONGUET, Minister of Defence, France (TBC)

9:35-9:45 Introductory remarks by Karl A. LAMERS, President of the NATO PA 004 SEM 12 E rev3 2

9:45-10:10 Keynote presentation by Speaker TBC, French Ministry of Foreign Affairs, on “Opportunities and Risks in a New Middle Eastern Order”

10:10-10:50 Discussion

10:50-11:00 Coffee Break

SESSION II DEMOCRACY, HUMAN RIGHTS AND ISLAM

Moderator Antonio CABRAS (Italy), Chairman of the Mediterranean and Middle East Special Group (GSM)

11:00- 11:20 Presentation by Stéphane LACROIX, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Sciences Po, , on “Democracy and Islam”

11:20-11:40 Presentation by Heba MORAYEF, Researcher, Middle East and North Africa Division,Human Rights Watch, Egypt, on “Human Rights and the Arab Spring”

11:40-12:30 Discussion

12:30-14:00 Lunch at the Regional Council of Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur (at members’ own expense – compulsory pre-registration required before 30 March)

SESSION III THE ROLE OF EXTERNAL ACTORS IN THE MENA REGION

Moderator Raynell ANDREYCHUK (Canada), Rapporteur of the Mediterranean and Middle East Special Group (GSM)

14:00-14:15 Presentation by Bernardino LEON, European Union Special Representative (EUSR) for the Southern Mediterranean, on “Changing EU Perspective of the MENA Region”

14:15-14:30 Presentation by Speaker TBC, Embassy of the United States in France, on “The Evolving US Perspective of the MENA Region”

14:30-14:45 Presentation by Fadi HAKURA, Associate Fellow, Europe, The Royal Institute of International Affairs Chatham House, London, on “Turkey’s Perspective on Change in the MENA Region”

14:45-15:00 Presentation by Gabriele CASCONE, Analyst, Strategic Analysis Capability Section, Division Emerging Security Challenges, NATO, on "Strategic developments in the MENA Region - a NATO perspective"

15:00-15h10 Presentation by Fayez AL-TARAWNEH, Member of the Jordanian Senate, President of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Mediterranean (PAM), on “PAM Mediterranean parliamentary diplomacy in an evolving region”

15:10-16:00 Discussion

16:00-16:15 Coffee Break 004 SEM 12 E rev3 3

SESSION IV ECONOMIC EXPECTATIONS GENERATED BY THE ARAB SPRING: A CHALLENGE FOR THE NEW ORDER

Moderator Hugh BAYLEY (United Kingdom), Vice-president of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly

16:15-16:35 Presentation by Ambassador Richard A. BOUCHER, Deputy Secretary-General of the OECD on “Economic Conditions and Social Change in the MENA Region”

16:35-16:55 Presentation by Zohra DRISS, Vice-President of the Tunisian Union for Industry and Trade (UTICA), on “Business Environment in the MENA Region”

16:55-17:45 Discussion

17:50 Departure by bus to the hotels

18:00 Arrival at the hotels

18:30-19:45 Apéritif provençal, hosted by the French Delegation to the NATO Parliamentary Assembly the Sofitel hotel, Salon Pinque and Salon Felouque (7th floor)

THURSDAY 12 APRIL

8:30 Bus departure from the Sofitel hotel

9:00 Arrival at the Regional Council of Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur

9:10 Seating of participants in the Hemicycle

SESSION V SECURITY CHALLENGES IN THE MIDDLE EAST AFTER THE ARAB SPRING

Moderator Jean-Michel BOUCHERON (France), former Vice-president of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly and former Chairman of the GSM

9:15-9:35 Presentation by Eric HOOGLUND, Visiting Professor and Senior Research Scholar, Centre for Middle Eastern Studies, Lund University, Sweden, on “Iran’s Domestic and International Challenges After the Arab Spring”

9:35-9:55 Presentation by Dr Alan GEORGE, Senior Associate Member, Middle East Politics/Economics, St Antony's College, University of Oxford, on “Developments in Syria and their Impact on the

9:55-10:00 Presentation by Lahcen BIYJEDDIGEN, Vice-president of the Assembly of Councillors, Morocco 004 SEM 12 E rev3 4

10:00-10:45 Discussion

10:45-11:00 Coffee Break

11:00-11:20 Presentation by Sammy RAVEL, Minister plenipotentiary, Embassy of in Paris, on “Israeli Goals, Concerns, and Negotiating Positions”

11:20-11:45 Discussion

11:45-12:05 Presentation by Ilan HALEVI, Advisor of President , Political advisor at the Mission of Palestine to France and at the Embassy of Palestine in Berlin, on “Palestinian Goals, Concerns, and Negotiating Positions”

12:05-12:30 Discussion

12:30-14:30 Lunch at the Regional Council of Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur (at members’ own expense – compulsory pre-registration required before 30 March 2012)

SESSION VI THE ARAB SPRING: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE ARABIAN PENINSULA

Moderator Nathalie GOULET (France), member of the French delegation to the NATO PA

14:30-14:50 Presentation by Abdullah BAABOOD, Director, Gulf Research Centre Cambridge, Centre of Islamic Studies, Faculty of Asian and Middle Eastern Studies, Cambridge University, on “Prospects for an Arab Spring in the Gulf” (TBC)

14:50-15:10 Presentation by Fatiha DAZI-HENI, Political scientist, Specialist of the Arabian Peninsula, Paris, on "The impact of the Arab Spring on Saudi Arabian regional policy"

15:10-16:00 Discussion

16:00-16:15 Coffee break

SESSION VII CHANGING SOCIAL DYNAMICS: WOMEN, YOUTH AND NEW MEDIA

Moderator Joëlle GARRIAUD-MAYLAM (France), member of the French delegation to the NATO PA

16:15-16:35 Presentation by Dr Maria HOLT, Senior Lecturer, Democracy and Islam Programme, Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Westminster, on “Women and the Arab Spring”

16:35-16:55 Presentation by Speaker TBC, on “Youth, New Media and the Arab Spring”

16:55-18:00 Discussion

18:00-19:30 Reception hosted by the Regional Council of Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur 004 SEM 12 E rev3 5

FRIDAY 13 APRIL

8:15 Departure by bus from the Sofitel hotel

8:45 Arrival at the Council of Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur and seating of participants in the Hemicycle

SESSION VIII SECURITY SECTOR REFORM IN THE MENA REGION

Moderator Julio MIRANDA CALHA (Portugal), Vice-president of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly

9:00-9:20 Presentation by Barah MIKAIL, Senior researcher, Foundation for International Relations and External Dialogue (FRIDE), Geneva Centre for the Democratic Control of the Armed Forces (DCAF) on “Challenges of Security Sector Reform in the MENA Region”

9:20-9:40 Presentation by Simon LUNN, Senior Fellow, DCAF, former Secretary General of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly, on “The NATO Parliamentary Assembly’s experience in supporting democratic oversight of the Armed Forces in Eastern and Central Europe – potential lessons for the MENA Region”

9:40-10:00 Discussion

10:00-10:15 Coffee break

CONCLUDING SESSION DELIVERING DEMOCRATIC ASSISTANCE TO PARLIAMENTS: WHAT IS ON OFFER AND WHAT IS NEEDED?

Moderator Antonio CABRAS (Italy), Chairman of the Mediterranean and Middle East Special Group (GSM)

10:15-10:30 Presentation by Dina MEHLEM, Head of Middle East and North Africa Programmes, Westminster Foundation for Democracy, on “The European Experience”

10:30-10:45 Presentation by François DULUC, Chief of Parliamentary Assistance, Co-operation Service, National Assembly, France, on “The French Experience”

10:45-11:00 Presentation by Speaker TBC, Member of Egyptian Parliament, on “The Egyptian Perspective”

11:00-11:15 Presentation by Mohamed ABBOU, Vice-president of the Assembly of Representatives, Morocco, on “The Moroccan Perspective”

11:15-11:30 Presentation by Suadad NAJIM, First Secretary in Charge of the European Organizations and Institutions, European Affairs Department, League of Arab 004 SEM 12 E rev3 6

States, on “The League's role in the path towards democracy in the Arab World”

11:30-12:15 Discussion

12:15-12:30 Presentation by Georgi KANDELAKI, Head of the Georgian Delegation to the NATO PA, on “Lessons Learned from the Georgian transition and their potential relevance for the MENA Region”

12:30-12:45 Discussion

12:45-12:50 Closing remarks by Antonio CABRAS (Italy), Chairman of the Mediterranean and Middle East Special Group (GSM)

13:00 Departure by bus to the hotels or to the airport

END OF THE SEMINAR