Development Pressures on the Antarctic Wilderness
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XXVIII ATCM – IP May 2004 Original: English Agenda Items 3 (Operation of the CEP) and 4a (General Matters) DEVELOPMENT PRESSURES ON THE ANTARCTIC WILDERNESS Submitted to the XXVIII ATCM by the Antarctic and Southern Ocean Coalition DEVELOPMENT PRESSURES ON THE ANTARCTIC WILDERNESS 1. Introduction In 2004 the Antarctic and Southern Ocean Coalition (ASOC) tabled information paper ATCM XXVII IP 094 “Are new stations justified?”. The paper highlighted proposals for the construction of no less than five new Antarctic stations in the context of at least 73 established stations (whether full year or summer only), maintained by 26 States already operating in the Antarctic Treaty Area. The paper considered what was driving the new station activity in Antarctica, whether or not it was necessary or desirable, and what alternatives there might be to building yet more stations. Whilst IP 094 focused on new station proposals, it noted that there were other significant infrastructure projects underway in Antarctica, which included substantial upgrades of existing national stations, the development of air links to various locations in Antarctica and related runways, and an ice road to the South Pole. Since then, ASOC has become aware of additional proposals for infrastructure projects. This paper updates ASOC’s ATCM XXVII IP 094 to include most infrastructure projects planned or currently underway in Antarctica as of April 2005, and discusses their contribution to cumulative impacts. The criteria used to select these projects are: 1. The project’s environmental impact is potentially “more than minor or transitory”; 2. The project results in a development of infrastructure that is significant in the Antarctic context; 3. The project takes place in parts of Antarctica that are essentially virgin or pristine,1 which condition will change irreversibly as a result of the project; and/or 4. The project enhances access to remote areas of Antarctica. It should be noted that ASOC is not a priori opposed to any of the development activities mentioned here – although we have reservations about the motivations for some of them, and the effectiveness of the EIA process followed in others. 1 By this is meant areas that were previously remote and where no substantive infrastructure has previously stood. 2 2. Overview of the projects ASOC has compiled a list of 17 infrastructure projects planned or already underway (Table 1). 2 Appendix 1 provides additional information on each project. TABLE 1 – SUMMARY OF INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS Country Type of project Australia 1. Airlink development B elgium 2. New station, summer only – capacity 20 China 3. New station C onsortium of 11 states3 4. Airlink development (DROMLAN Project) Czech Republic 5. New station, summer only – capacity 15 E stonia 6. New station, summer only – capacity 6 F rance-Italy 7. Upgrading station to year round (Concordia) Germany 8. Rebuilding station (Neumayer) G roup of four states4 9. Stratigraphic drilling (ANDRILL Program) India 10. New station, initially summer only, eventually year round N orway 11. Upgrading station to year round (Troll) 12. Blue ice runway Russia 13. Subglacial lake research (Lake Vostok) South Korea 14. New station U nited Kingdom 15. Rebuilding station (Halley) U nited States of America 16. Surface traverse McMurdo Sound-South Pole 17. Construction of neutrino telescope (Ice Cube Project) Ea ch of the projects listed here meets one or more of the criteria listed above. The projects fall into four categories: (i) new station construction; (ii) upgrade of existing stations; (iii) development of inter- and intra-continental transportation links and (iv) large-scale research projects (Fig 1). Eighteen Antarctic Treaty Consultative Parties (ATCPs) are undertaking 15 of these projects. Two Non Consultative Parties (NCPs) are carrying out the remaining two projects. Most ATCPs – but 2 ASOC is aware of additional projects for which there is not yet official confirmation to Antarctic Treaty states and which are not discussed in this paper. 3 Belgium, Finland, Germany, India, Japan, The Netherlands, Norway, Russia, South Africa, Sweden, and the United Kingdom. 4 Germany, Italy, New Zealand and USA. 3 not all of them – have legislation implementing the Protocol on Environmental Protection to the Antarctic Treaty and its Annexes, in accordance to their respective legal systems. ASOC’s understanding is that the process of acceding to the Protocol is underway in both NCPs. Fig. 1 - Number and type of infrastructure projects 6 4 4 2 Upgrading New station Transportation Research station link project An EIA under the Protocol has been prepared and submitted to the Committee for Environmental Protection (CEP) for at least ten of the projects.5 Of these, nine have been Comprehensive Environmental Evaluations (CEEs), of which at least three reached the final stage, and one an Initial Environmental Evaluation (IEE) (Fig. 2). (Of course, it is not mandatory to submit IEEs to the CEP, merely an annual list of those prepared.) Fig. 2 - Infrastructure projects and EIAs 1 1 5 1 4 2 2 Upgrading New station Transportation Research station link project No EIAs IEEs CEEs 5 According to listing of IEEs and CEEs submitted since 1987, last updated September 2004, available at www.cep.aq (accessed April 2005). 4 At least five of the projects, including subglacial lake research, will take place partly or fully in essentially pristine sites. Since ATCM XXVII, at least seven of these projects have started, and two have apparently been completed. Most of the projects are due to be completed by 2007 or earlier. At least four of the projects are explicitly linked to the International Polar Year (IPY) 2007-08, and the IPY may have influenced the timing of the other projects. 3. Contribution of science and associated logistics to cumulative impacts The present trend of Antarctic research appears to be towards growing infrastructure development in remote and/or pristine areas. Each of the infrastructure development project listed here may be worthwhile in is own right, but in connection with other past, present and foreseeable future Antarctic activities they have the potential to cause significant cumulative impacts on the Antarctic environment and on the intrinsic value of Antarctica that the Protocol seeks to protect. The projects described here will take place in the lead up period to the IPY 2007-08. During the period between March 2007 and March 2009 the IPY is expected to be an “intensive burst of internationally coordinated … scientific research”6 at the polar regions, bringing together international and interdisciplinary cooperation, with the goals of “develop[ing] … new logistical capabilities”, and “leav[ing] a legacy of observing sites , facilities and systems to support ongoing polar research and monitoring”. By April 2005, 261 “Expressions of Intent” for Antarc tic research during the IPY 2007-2008 had been submitted to the IPY Planning Group. As per the request of the Planning Group, research projects requiring substantial logistical support were registered at this early stage. As a result, the current list of Antarctic projects proposed for IPY includes large-scale projects such as traverses, deep ice core drilling and subglacial lake exploration – some of which are listed here. The IPY Planning Group has specified that IPY projects should “follow guidelines, as appropriate, to be ethically and environmentally sensitive”7 and “maximize effective utilization of available logistical assets, as appropriate”8. Environmental considerations are not among the criteria that the 6 Executive Summary of “A Framework for the International Polar Year 2007 -2008” produced by the ICSU IPY 2007 -2008 Planning Group, November 2004. 7 Clause 8, Section 1.6 of “A Framework for the International Polar Year 2007 -2008”. 8 Clause 9, Section 1.6 of “A Framework for the International Polar Year 2007-2008”. 5 Planning Group uses to identify research projects for IPY endorsement.9 They appear to be only desirable characteristics of IPY projects. Thus, the environmental considerations for IPY- related projects and other projects taking place simultaneously are left to the standard EIA process under the Protocol, with EIAs produced by individual Parties and discussed, as appropriate, at the meetings of the Committee for Environmental Protection. Generally speaking the focus of this process are individual projects and EIAs. In view of the expanding human activities in the Antarctic, on the one hand, and current Antarctic EIA practise, on the other hand, ASOC wonders whether or not anybody is looking at the cumulative impact of the activities being planned for the lead up period to the IPY, and those of the IPY itself. The environmental impact assessments required under Arts. 3 and 8, and Annex I of the Protocol require the consideration of cumulative impacts. In most of the EIAs prepared for the projects examined in this document greater emphasis has been placed on the direct impact of the development project itself, and lesser emphasis on the cumulative and downstream impacts of the new facilities. Recent intersessional work has resulted in some progress in improving cumulative impacts assessment, mainly on understanding that a greater information exchange that hitherto is required among all operators. However, to a considerable extent the assessment and monitoring of cumulative impacts remains as elusive as ever. The projects examined in this document raise several key issues from the perspective of cumulative impacts: - At a local scale there is the cumulative effect of the proposed activities on the sites in which they occur, when combined with past, present and foreseeable future activities at those sites. - At an Antarctic-wide scale – and particularly for those developments taking place in remote areas – the progressive encroachment on a vast but ultimately finite wilderness is another form of cumulative impact. In addition, the expansion of scientific infrastructure should not been considered in isolation but in the broader context of expanding Antarctic activities not related to scientific research, such as commercial activities.