CEU eTD Collection

THE in partial fulfillment for the degree of Master of Arts inPublic Policy THE

EMERGENCE

CASES AND Supervisor: Professor Agnes Batory Central European University

Department of Public THE OF Budapest, Hungary

REPUBLIC

Iva Popova

Submitted to CZECH OF 2013 By

NEW

REPUBLIC

SMALL Policy

OF

BULGARIA

PARTIES

CEU eTD Collection

CEU eTD Collection Signature: (printedName letters): Date: This revisions. final is trueincluding ofthethesis, a copy requireme the of part as accepted been degreeacademic ornon has which material no contains thesis This made. been has acknowledgement due where except person other any by published previously sol the am I that declare hereby Popova………………………………. ………………Iva undersigned the I, Author’s Declaration

ato o ti tei. o h bs o m kolde hs hss otis o material no contains thesis this knowledge my of best the To thesis. this of author e

- degree program, inEnglish otherlanguage. degree orinany ……v Popova…………………………………………… …………Iva …………Iva … 31

December 2013………………………………………………December Popova……………………………………………

t o ay other any of nts

CEU eTD Collection

CEU eTD Collection

CEU eTD Collection be reasons the identifying by process this analyze to is paper this of purpose The fractions. different into transform or arena political the from dissolve fast equally which parties, political small new of multi with democracies parliamentary are countries the Currently to 1990s. early transition the in and period past democracy communist similar experienced They Union. European the of members European Eastern Central are Republic Czech the and Bulgaria of Republic Abstract hind its existen - party systems. In their recent history they history recent their In systems. party

ce and compare and itin ce

Bulgaria and Bulgaria and Republic. the Czech

both experience the phenomenon of fast emergence emergence fast of phenomenon the experience both i

countries, as well as as well as countries, CEU eTD Collection Appendix Conclusions 3:Analysis Chapter Chapter 1:Liter Chapter Introduction Abstract Table of Contents Party Ab QuestionsInterview ListInterview regularities? 3.4. consistencies? 3.3. W 3.2. 3.1. 2.7. 2.6. 2.5. 2.4. 2.3. 2.2. 2.1. 1.3. 1.2. 1.1. 3.3.3. 3.3.2 3.3.1. 3.2.2. 3.2.1. 3.1.2. 3.1.1.

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Young democracies effect Young democracies Ta -

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outlines the major reasons for emergence of new parties very precisely and in a in and precisely very parties new of emergence for reasons major the outlines ce, in addition to the general prestige of being in politics and attempting to attempting and politics in being of prestige general the to addition in ce,

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Cleavage Theory Cleavage alysis that is referred when cleavage theory is being implemented is that of that is implemented being is theory cleavage when referred is that alysis

center/periphery, land/industry, owner/worker and c and owner/worker land/industry, center/periphery, e of new parties. Bertoa and Spirova added that: “The relationship “The that: added Spirova and Bertoa parties. new of e mall parties go back to back go parties mall t least, the high levels of electoral viability discussed by Tavits Tavits by discussed viability electoral of levels high the least, t

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select two cases to compare in order to isolate the causal mechanisms or conditions that facilitate that conditions or mechanisms causal the isolate to order in compare to cases two select diss olution, ofsmall parties (Mill

asl ehns, u rte o toe pcfc oiia pris I ohr od, t is it words, other In parties. political specific those on rather but mechanism, causal ion, and abrupt dissolution, of small political parties. Firstly, I will systematically re systematically will I Firstly, parties. political small of dissolution, abrupt and ion, have only one circumstance in common, the circumstance in which alone all the all alone which in circumstance the common, in circumstance one only have

cases for comparison: the states for comparison should not have any have not should comparison for states the comparison: for cases

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Although the Czech andSlovak Republics were not independent each of other during the interwar period,

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, allowing forof theselection most different cases. the least. Therefore, Bulgaria and the Czech Republic are likely the best cases for cases best the likely are Republic Czech the and Bulgaria Therefore, least. the Selection thod is implemented is thod ity with some ity with ofthe variables

F country. the within reality the vrl als Frty a mnind te aa rvdd a not may provided data the mentioned, as Firstly, faults. everal variables, the Czec the variables,

in Table 1. The cases are listed alphabetically, and and alphabetically, listed are cases The 1. Table in 17

h Republic is Republic h e statistics, thus giving the additional indicator additional the giving thus statistics, e – rough

social inclusionscoressocial andpressfreedom or example, the GDP per capita does capita per GDP the example, or , it does provide a gene a provide does it ,

the most democratically developed democratically most the

ral picture of picture ral

I am I CEU eTD Collection Table business” or start a business, Bulgaria is one of the easiest. Though Hungary beats out Bulgaria in Bulgaria out beats Hungary Though easiest. the of one is Bulgaria business, a start or business” comparisons.differenceWh of method Cze the that evidence similar provide 2, Table in illustrated rankings, business doing of ease rankings, development democratic the to addition In in capita dollars.*****Gross per US Domestic Product, Report,Development 2012. Development.” Human “Low representing 186 and Development” Human High **** 2012. Eurostat, exclusion. social or poverty of risk at is that population the of percent the Represents *** 2012. Borders,2011/2012. Reporterswithout Index Press Freedom the rankingsfrom overall **Represents countrythat a iscorrupt perceived as100. highly and * Slovakia Romania Poland Hungary Republic Czech Bulgaria this ranking as the “easiest” place to do business, this ranking combined with that of the of that with combined ranking this business, do to place “easiest” the as ranking this

Figure represents overall ranking in the Corruptions Perceptions Index from 0 from Index Perceptions Corruptions the in ranking overall represents Figure 1

:Comparison Democratic of Development

ersns h oeal akn wti te ua Dev Human the within ranking overall the Represents

Country 16932,00 12708,00 12622,00 18608,00 7943,00 6986,00

GDP per capita***** Economy

2 5 3 4 1 6 GDP per capita Internal ranking Inst 62 66 41 46 49 75 ile the Czech Republic is by far the most difficult place to “doto themostplace far bydifficult is RepublictheCzech ile

CPI Score* itutions 5 1 2 3 6 4

ch Republic and Bulgaria are appropriate are Bulgaria and Republic ch CPI Internal Ranking 18

47 24 40 14 80 25

Transparency International,2013. Press

Press Freedom** World Bank,World 2012 5 2 4 1 6 3 Press Freedom Internal

ranking elopment Index, 1 representing “Very “Very representing 1 Index, elopment 0,044% 0,026% 0,032% 0,015% 0,049% 0,021% Poverty/Social exclusion*** Demographics

5 3 4 1 6 2 Poverty/Social exclusion

- Internal Ranking 100, where 0 means 0 where 100,

Though Human Human Though 56 39 37 28 57 35

HDI score**** cases for for cases democratic 5 4 3 1 6 2

HDI Internal Ranking Overall the the 25 30 13 13 17 7 Internal Ranking overall

score CEU eTD Collection determined. be develo the on impact an have to seem that each within conditions common are there If compared. and examined be will case each of conditions level country the trend, a such is there that shown is it If dissolution. then tre a been has there whether determine to compared be will cases two the of parties political national The parties. political national their involving developments and trends compare to order in chosen been have Republic Czech the and Bulgaria of cases The 2.4. Table for cases best the cases. comparison from theselected are Republic Czech the and Bulgaria that suggests still ranking development Country conducting business.conducting Bank, 2012. World hardest. the being ** Corporation DoingBusinessInternational Finance databases. Project, 2012. paid and cost, days, of number Business” a “Starting The difficult. Econ * Republic Czech Poland Slovakia Romania Bulgaria Hungary

Economies are ranked 1 ranked are Economies 2 : Ease ofBusiness: Doing Quantitative Method forComparison Method Quantitative

omies are ranked from1 ranked omies are

pment and dissolution of small political parties, then a causal mechanism may mechanism causal a then parties, political small of dissolution and pment h rnig vrgs countries’ averages ranking The

- 189, - 189, 1 189, - in minimum capital. Data is compiled from World Bank and and Bank World from compiled is Data capital. minimum in 1 140 124 80 65 58 54 Business*Starting a

being the easiest economy in which to do business, and 189 and business, do to which in economy easiest the being

akn icue idctr sc a nme o procedures, of number as such indicators includes ranking

being the easiest to start a business, and 189 business,and theeasiest a start being to

19

akns n 0 ifrn tpc rltd to related topics different 10 in rankings nd of small party rapid emergence and emergence rapid party small of nd 68 48 43 73 57 52 ** Business doing of Ease

being the mostthe being CEU eTD Collection anal the of part second the question, relevant the examine properly can that data quantitative reliable or clear no is there Since countries?” both in phenomenon this facilitated have conditions “what or “why?” of question important to and difficult proceed will I present, is phenomenon the that shown been has it Once 2.5. isphenomenon i the if determine to Database Election European the from data analyze will I method. quantitative na small of dissolution subsequent T 2013Wikipedia, Figure he first part of the analysis focuses on determining on focuses analysis the of part first he

4 : The Czech : Republic Bulgaria and Method of Process Tracing ofProcess Method

n factpresent inbothcountries.

inl oiia pris It parties. political tional

ysis will be conducted using qualitative methods. In methods. qualitative using conducted be will ysis 20

whether there has been a rapid emergence and emergence rapid a been has there whether il e odce truh simple a through conducted be will challenge

h more the CEU eTD Collection the that possibility the strengthening hypotheses, and literature existing with them qualify then will I phenomenon, fac that conditions the are regularities these whether determine to order In systematic. or “ dissolution and development the to related patterns established any are there if determine to collected information the analyze will I Secondly, be accounted for,already subsequent simplifying my analysis. current by frame conceptual this Within contrasted standards. developmental then and chosen, been have histories political similar with cases analysis: the in set been has framework conceptual the extent, large a To 2011). meriti as seen topics the link and “identify or framework, conceptual predetermined a within analysis the conduct will I Firstly, (1979). Waltz of influences definitional of framework a within data analyze will I analysiscomparative will be. two a of conclusions the reliable more the investigation, the in included evidence of types more of methods mentioned, as because, analy comparative also but phenomenon), the could, of them cause of the one any be (since theoretically, possible as factors many as consideration into take to only not evide of types various consider to me allow will it because instance this in tool useful a is investigator” the by posed hypotheses and questions research of light in analyzed and selected evidence diagnostic of examination “systematic or tracing, political describing to contribute decisive “can since it tracing system process chosen of I touse have a this instance, recurring empirical regularities empirical recurring sis are highly limited due to the to due limited highly are sis re is a causal mechanism (Waltz mechanism causal a is re and social phenomena and to eva to and phenomena social and

,” which can be used to examine whether a connection is coincidentalis connection a whether examine usedto be can which ,”

process tracing as tracing process of small political parties. Waltz (1979) calls these patterns these calls (1979) Waltz parties. political small of nce for the comparison (Collier comparison the for 21

1979). During this final stage, it will be important be will it stage, final this During 1979).

small number of cases examined, therefore, examined, cases of number small work, many potentially influential factors can can factors influential potentially many work, luating causal claims” (Collier claims” causal luating described by Collier (2011) supported by supported (2011) Collier by described

ng analytic attention” ( attention” analytic ng shaping

2011). This is important, is This 2011).

down of cases for cases of down

2011). Pro 2011). ilitate the ilitate ly bothly Collier - case

cess the

CEU eTD Collection experts Czech while Bulgarian, were interviewed inEnglish.in interviewed were experts Bulgarian email. over or person, in interviewed standardize a asked were They elections. 3 a asked were and academics to politicians former from r Experts Republic. Czech the and Bulgaria in experts with interviews of series a conducted var analyze will I “snapshots,” these assemble to order In evidencetowhyprovide as parties the lost power. electio the following events the parties. the Similarly, of development the explain will elections the to up leading events office, into voted re the While elections. (Collier analysis specific of snapshots “good provide to order in information background and events dep is tracing processof method the within analyzed data the etc.,intention, motivation, itis impossible tocol poli As 2.6. if present.phenomenon O parties. whether determine occur to phenomenon il relationships these whether determine to

Experts were selected according to publications related to the research question or direct participation in theinparticipationdirect or questionresearch the topublications related toaccording selectedwere Experts

already ia peoea Mroe, ic m rsac qeto my agl icue usin of questions include largely may question research my since Moreover, phenomena. tical

Data Collection and Analysis and Data Collection r if if r

etoe, ti dfiut o olc dt i odr o efr a oprtv aayi of analysis comparative a perform to order in data collect to difficult is it mentioned, X

2011). In this instance, the snapshots in time are focused around the national national the around focused are time in snapshots the instance, this In 2011). s eesr fr t for necessary is

X

always facilitates the development and subsequent dissolu subsequent and development the facilitatesalways , or simply necessary (Van Evera (Van necessary simply or , ut o te lcin so wehr ml pris ee ail fre and formed rapidly were parties small whether show elections the of sults

e hnmnn o cu, but occur, to phenomenon he d set of questions that can be found in the appendix. Experts were Experts appendix. the in found be can that questions of set d

ns utae atr ta ae ufcet odtos o the for conditions sufficient are that factors lustrate –

lect such data without large without such data lect specifical 22

1997). In other words, it is important to to important is it words, other In 1997). y sasos ewe el between snapshots ly,

tnadzd e o questions. of set standardized endent on careful description of related of description careful on endent os documents ious

o awy poue h same the produce always not

field Therefore, research. Adtoal, have I Additionally, . tion of small political small of tion ections

moments” for moments” 3

– Though

should ange

CEU eTD Collection available enough soon for inclusion in this paper. 4 elections. yea few every election major a only usually is wh tracing process the limits resource constraints and time to due Furthermore, decades. two over little a for configuration current their Republ Czech the Bulgaria, time. over trend robust a assess to difficult is it analysis, for span time short the to due Secondly, paper this of scope the beyond testing myfinal interestingHowever, provide theory would research. additional is this constraints, resource and time to due However, cases. other to theory final my apply or comparison, for cases more include would I results, my of validity countries two in instances issue validity a encounters parties political of comparison national cross a Firstly, phenomena. political comparing to challenges many are there mentioned, already As 2.7. withthe documents.together the versus interviews person in 1999 Knight and for (Arksey questionnaire justification main the is questions) to answer dialogue a for allowed t interviews between person in questions, of set provided a to responded experts

Though there were also were there Though

Methodological Challenges Methodological

hem 4 , only elections from the past eight years will be analyzed in depth. This short time frame frame time short This depth. in analyzed be will years eight past the from elections only ,

n msl. hs rcns o rsos” atrd by captured response” of “richness This myself. and

parliamentary electionparliamentary c n al f h post the of all and ic on t going ich is best done over a over done best is ich

o e plcbe n te cutis I odr o teghn the strengthen to order In countries? other in applicable be ). Answers to these questions were catalogued and analyzed and catalogued were questions these to Answers ).

s

in both countries in 2013, the data for this election was not was election this for data the 2013, in countries both in rs, that limits the scope of the analysis to about four about to analysis the of scope the limits that rs, 23 - communist

longer period of time (Collier time of period longer

democraci

– a dialogue (not just a static static a just (not dialogue a

s n CEE in es is

the comparison of two two of comparison the

2011). Since there Since 2011).

ae xse in existed have use of a a of use .

CEU eTD Collection from information the should the gathered interviews. andqualify ground anal framework, conceptual the this, for provide cannot own, its on and, factors external by (Spradley an social educational, cultural, different by framed are answers interview of interpretation response, the of meaning the hearing on based is interviewing since importantly, Most ques the example, influen is dialogue the within transmitted information the Specifically, analysis. this in present are data interview using to challenges common is process interview the during gathered information since Finally,

1979). Therefore, the information gathered from the interviews may be highly influenced highly be may interviews the from gathered information the Therefore, 1979). in poie my ae udd h rsodns o nwr n priua way. particular a in answer to respondents the guided have may provided tions

ss f uniaie aa s el s nlss f documentation of analysis as well as data quantitative of ysis ced b ced y many factors that may affect its final analysis. For analysis. final its affect may that factors many y 24

complete

analysis. In order to account for for account to order In analysis. foundational to this analysis, the analysis, this to foundational

d

other understandings other CEU eTD Collection 5 part becameEuropeancountry inofthe Union 2004 during CEEthe big enlargement. regime fell, there CzechRepublic The wasCommunist regime(1948 41 foryears under 3.1.2. European 2013Database, Election Table of different p parts are who parliament of members 240 are There citizens. the from directly elected are mandate) where democracy t of part became country The 2005). (Spirova economy market free and democracy to transition of period a years 45 for regime Communist under was Bulgaria 3.1.1. 3.1. Analysis 3: Chapter

Year * Party Party abbreviations and translations can befound inthe annex.

2009 2005 2001 1997 1994

3

: Voting : Results National in Bulgarian Parliamentary Elections

Bulgaria trend? a Is there Czech Republic Czech he European Union in 2007, along with Romania with along 2007, in Union European he GERB - - - -

116 olitical parties totheolitical enter parl thethreshold orcoalitions and

BSP

wasa of toperiod transition markets democracy(Tavitsopen and 2011). The 125 oh h peiet 5 er mnae ad h uiaea primn ( years (4 parliament unicameral the and mandate) years (5 president the both 40 82 48 58

DPS

38 34 21 19 15

- - - ATAKA

21 21

S SD 137

15 20 51 69

- - - - S RZ 25

10

(1944

- - - V NDS

5 - . The country is multi is country The .

120 1989) and when the regime fell, there was there fell, regime the when and 1989)

53

- - - - B DS

17

- - - - v EvroLe

-

1989)whenthe and iament is 4%. 14

- - - - - S BN party parliamentary party

13

- - - B BB

12 13

- - - - - BZNS DP

18

CEU eTD Collection

workin this 6 the and Affairs.Public party Green the TOP09, Democrats, Christian were arena the on actors new major the new that shows table This table. the from omitted were 5% than less with parties Other Parliament. in seats hold to able be to threshold 5% the reached have that parties political includes only table above The European 2013Database, Election Table 2013). Senate of (websites year) 2 every replaced are them of 1/3 where term, year (6 representatives 81 with Senate a and term) year (4 representatives 200 with Deputies bi the multi is country The

Since Bulgaria hasaunicameral parliamentary system, the Senate theC of Election Year 4 - : Voting : Results in Czechthe Republic

cameral parliament are elected directly from the citizens. The parliament has a Chamber of Chamber a has parliament The citizens. the from directly elected are parliament cameral

2010 2006 2002 1998 1996 1992 1990 parties took a significant number of seats in the Chamb the in seats of number significant a took parties ; the

------OF 49.5

Chamber of Deputies represents enough the participation of small parties in the government.

- KSCM party parliamentary democracy where both the president (5 years mandate) and mandate) years (5 president the both where democracy parliamentary party 11.27 12.81 18.51 11.03 10.33 14.05 13.24

- - - - - MORSL

10.03 5.87

6

CSL KDU 14.28 8.08 6.28 8.42 4.39 7.23

Political Party (percentage of votes) - 9

26 CSSD 26.44 22.09 32.32 30.21 32.31 6.53 4.11

- ODS 29.62 29.73 20.22 35.38 24.48 27.74

the Czech Chamber of Deputies and the and Deputies of Chamber Czech the

- - - 09 TOP - - -

16.71 er of Deputies in 2006 and 2010 2010 and 2006 in Deputies of er

zech Republic will not

- SZ 6.52 2.44 6.29 2.37 1.12

4.1

- - - VV - - - 10.88

- ODA - - -

6.36 5.93 0.51 be covered

------US 8.6

– - - RMS

0.97 8.01 5.98

3.9 1

CEU eTD Collection have stay and constantwhich support, clearer goals. agenda with and bigger somewhat are parties, the that confirms again once and Bulgaria in situation current the summarizes opinion This be can May 2013) described: in (interviewed Pardew J. by commented Bulgaria in parties political strong current the Furthermore, promises.huge and talking populist through result impressive this reach to managed who person charismatic very f a was party this 39.72% won party new small rather abeing which (GERB) Bulgaria of Development European for Citizens were winner big the 2009 In 2005). form (Savkova undesired an coalition power its of lot a lost elections, previous the in party new small a was which NMSS that fact the is conclusion main Bulgaria in population Turkish the by supported party strongestethnic the considered (Liberal, (Liberals) II Simeon Movement National (Socialists), Bulgaria for Coalition between coalition a through formed was government The fragmented. rather 2005 In 3.2.1. W 3.2.

hy is there a trend? a is there hy What happened in parties with various personalities and agendas pop upin their place. Simeon, Kostov, based: personality are pers parties the small Borisov...When the right, the On suicide. committed UDF sig lost The afterwards. fighting internal destructive and UDFpower in whengovernance bad with the itself destroyed but right, center the on party primary the be Bulgaria) in community Turkish the to association its of because case agenda clear a has it years, 100 for around been has It BSP. the party, national oneonly has Bulgaria me, To t wenty

and it has an effective national organization and national leadership. (The MRF is a special a is MRF (The leadership. national and organization national effective an has it and

- and voters support, therefore they were second power in these elections and had had and elections these in power second were they therefore support, voters and w pris n caiin etrd h primn ad h pltcl rn seemed arena political the and parliament the entered coalitions and parties two raction that separated from separated that raction Bulgaria?

onality is no longer favored by the voters, the party fades as well and new and well as fades party the voters, the by favored longer no is onality of the votes (Savkova and Stoyanov 2009). It is interesting that interesting is It 2009). Stoyanov and (Savkova votes the of

NMSS and the prime the and NMSS 27

n Mvmn fr ihs n Freedoms and Rights for Movement and t f t oiia nm (S) and (BSP) enemy political its of ht - a was Borissov Boyko minister . The UDF had the potential to potential the had UDF The

) . The. to

CEU eTD Collection authors the all, in All VV). and 09 (TOP created (KDU representation their lost which parties, two with quo status the of change somewhat the described by turbulent as seen was elections the of outcome The with:votes intheChamber and (Hloušek 20% with Party Democratic theCivic 22%,followedby with Social Democratic place thefirst PartyCzech held 2010 In clarifying which help would proportional ormajoritarian, roleofparties the themajor (ibid). The (ibid). the namely continued, decade or minority of “succession last the for politics Czech defining deadlock” political “pattern overa The time. first the for alone, parliament into it made party Green the that was news big the but threshold, the make not did Democrats Christian the and party Communist the like parties Smaller 2006). (Hanley support) enough won SZ and CLS ones mentioned already the to addition (in Deputies of Chamber the into it made Democratic closesupport Theparty Social asa and than expected. came second total offive parties a In 3.2.2.

06 h Cvc Dem Civic the 2006

- S ad Z ad h vr scesu etac o to e sal ate, hc wr just were which parties, small new two of entrance successful very the and SZ) and CSL What happened in the Czech Republic? Czech What happened in the governance and the impossibility of reaching a clear governing majority.” (SZ) Party Green the and Union DemocraticChristianand(ODS), Party Democratic Right seats. 100 won (KSČM), Moravia and “ one of the major issues was the absence of European issues in any o any in issues European of absence the was issues major the of one T e zc l Czech he lcin rie sm mjr sus s o hte te lcoa sse sol b more be should system electoral the whether to as issues major some raised elections f, aey h Ceh oil eortc at (SD ad omns Pry of Party Communist and (ČSSD) Party Democratic Social Czech the namely eft,

cas opsto center (opposition ocrats Kaniok weak majority governments sustained by unstable left unstable by sustained governments majority weak

2010). The authors commented on the interesting distribution of distribution interesting the on commented authors The 2010). -

lo o 10 et. hs iuto ol eaebtd h faiiy of fragility the exacerbated only situation This seats. 100 won also 28 defined the elections as somewhat positive, as the as positive, somewhat as elections the defined -

ih pry wn h eetos n gie more gained and elections the won party) right

ll assessment of the 2006 elections was that the that was elections 2006 the of assessment ll - ig n cnrs parties centrist and wing lue ad Kaniok and Hloušek - CzechoslovakPeoples’Party(KD

f the discussions. The The discussions. the f - righ ’s -

report. They’ve They’ve report. Civic the namely

t co t KSCM, KDU KSCM, - operation” operation”

U - ČSL) - CEU eTD Collection parties smallerDissolutionentitiesthe into of bigger New the political systems in changes 3.3.1. void. political Eachfill of a their with these categories, respective sub categories the within fell themesthese speaking, Broadly phenomenon. political the describe to theories and themes recurring Howe occurred. expertise had and nationalities parties these of emergence rapid the why describing theories of plethora a offered interviewees broadly, more sometimes and elections, two rapidly parties these were only es Not parties. political small of emergence an indeed, was, there 2005 of period the between countries both in elections parliamentary of Analyses empirical 3.3. the government. left traditional tablished, but they also gained a significant number of seats in parliament. In reference to these to reference In parliament. in seats of number significant a gained also they but tablished,  

interviewees mentioned examples like NMSS, UDF, etc. which seem to be having prosper having be to seem which etc. UDF, NMSS, like examples mentioned interviewees dissolu of phenomenon The Structural changes e the Regarding the political system and bring back the faith inindividual the faith system bring back the political and politicians. “political the that she achieved, be to this for order In elections. following the before party the of long focuson to have who Bulgaria, Maria consistencies - iiiv cmetd n h ne o cag o te etlt o pry edr in leaders party of mentality the of change of need the on commented Divizieva right axis was broken which could have been a potential good sign for the stability of stability the for sign good potential a been have could which broken was axis right

of structural changes, disillusionment with the status quo, and attempts to attempts and quo, status the with disillusionment changes, structural of nomadism” needs to be overcome, which would probably affect positively affect probably would which overcome, be to needs nomadism” – ? mergence

ranging from profe from ranging tion of bigger bigger of tion

f e parties new of - term tasks, instead of quick win, followed by dissolution by followed win, quick of instead tasks, term 29 ssional politician to academic to politician ssional

ate i seii fr ugra n al the all and Bulgaria for specific is parties

: Are there any patterns/recurring patterns/recurring any there Are : - themes arediscussed below. e, ept te variation the despite ver,

there were several were there - 2010 show that show 2010 suggested

of

CEU eTD Collection May in interview an real one only within country, two is misrepresentation this Bulgaria, In making. and they ( past” the in power in been already have who parties large the of any with happy not are “voters Currently, countries. often is old, this the with Republic, disappointment Czech to the related and specifically Bulgaria of systems parliamentary the to regards With world. the in change political major all, not if most, for accounts quo status the with Disillusionment 3.3.2. Government new for parties subsidies  

from both countries. Dr. Sean Hanley commented on the small parties in the Czech Republic theCzech in parties small the on Hanley commented Sean Dr. countries. both from interviewees the all by discussed elaborately was parties small for subsidies of question The to serious crash inter instead but them, of ahead future Tomov. commented vote), cents/per euro (0.85 outrageous is example for rece threshold 1% the passed have that parties the all Bulgaria in generous: extremely is subsidy the currently the that appears It ca deposits election and “ that: Disillusionment status the with

hi itrss r nt dqaey ersne wti te tutr o pltcl decision political of structure the within represented adequately not are interests their I thin I In the Czech Republic thethresholdIn 1.5% ishigher theCzech littlebit a k on the whole proliferation is related to the change in rules concerning electoral concerning rules in change the to related is proliferation whole the on k 2013). In addition to the limited scope of representation, the individuals that are are that individuals the representation, of scope limited the to addition In 2013). Nikolay Vassilev during an interview in May 2013 May in interview an during Vassilev Nikolay es during elections. es during left party with limited supp limited with party left mpaign funding”.

ive 12 leva (6 euro)/pervote (6 leva 12 ive quo - od Frty Blai i peoiaey center a predominately is Bulgaria Firstly, fold.

- party clashes were the reason for splitting, which led led which splitting, for reason the were clashes party

30

establish political parties of their respective respective their of parties political establish ort –

the rest is fragmented (Pardew fragmented is rest the

which compared to Germany Germany to compared which ). Generally, voters feel that feel voters Generally, ).

the sociologist the

Tsvetozar Tsvetozar during - right right CEU eTD Collection 7 Disappointmentwith the old parties established devel economic deliver to failed corrupt, as “viewed are and effectively” govern to “fail office to elected

Information provided during the interviews the during provided Information opment, ruleoflaw allowed the and 3) 2) 1)

T find an party and the big p D been inthe past ( power already have who parties large the of any with happy not are Voters . . .

henomenon of ‘newness’” ( ‘newness’” of henomenon hose alternatives areeitherhose parties votingfor alternatives ora new isillusionment with existing partie existing with isillusionment When voters have supported new parties (1998, 2006, 2010) it has been been has it 2010) 2006, (1998, parties new supported have voters When parties aga votes protest are they cases, some In Agrarians). the Sometimes novelty of means a as voters by “chosen often small are parties resources” limited (often) and parties) established from difference of “lack their Despite electorate pu enough accumulate to abilities parties' new the to related turn in elected.Thisis being of chance a stand and credible politically are question in parties new the that perception a t related

(Pardew) ” (Han

o dissatisfaction with one or both of the main established parties and and parties established main the of both or one with dissatisfaction o

(Hanely) , these parties represent a very specific agenda (the Green Party, Green (the agenda specific very a represent parties these , ley)

Vassilev)

mafias to flourish” (ibid . An . An beexample can

alternative thesmall party in (P blicity and resources to get their m their get to resources and blicity

organization Cisar) 31

7

s prompts a “search for new alternatives…the new for “search a prompts s and v and , experience, clear programme (or real real (or programme clear experience, , oters are disappointed or disgusted with with disgusted or disappointed are oters

VV ).

in the Czech Republic. negative/protest vote ardew)

protesting and/or as a a as and/or protesting essage across to the to across essage inst the established the inst

in CEU eTD Collection Excitem Desirefor Adequate representation 3.3.3.

Filling Void the ent/enthusiasmindividuals for follow individual follow M 1) ( is there thus accountability, 2) 1) Strmiska)

I deological void deological . . . . Tee ar “There any voters are not strongl not are voters any

Bulgaria. (Pardew)Bulgaria. in voters disgusted the capture can who someone for opportunity great a is not are Bulgarians of lot a parliament, in not are which parties for voted but did who those of 25% the and vote not did who voters eligible of 50% the away take you if election, last the In center voidonthe a right(Pardew) Bulgaria in parties political small of number The has 15 has electo Bulgarian the of aspects Some party” political (Hanley)a with strongly identify who voters few very there Europe Eastern and Central undecided are “they

- aonig rbes oh ih rpeetto quality’ ‘representation with both problems amounting e 20

% it can always count on in an an in on count always can it %

– a space for space a

– messiah

more generally in t in generally more y associated with a party, therefore are more are therefore party, a with associated y 32

new parties or at least fo least at or parties new

rate are very predictable. BSP probably probably BSP predictable. very are rate

represented in this parliament. There parliament. this in represented he Czech Republic as elsewhere in elsewhere as Republic Czech he election. The MRF vote is fairly is vote MRF The election. represents an attempt to fill to attempt an represents r new party projects” party new r

likely to likely

and

CEU eTD Collection from difference establishedreal parties) and(often) limitedresources.” of lack their “to to attributed be usually can failure r other no have parties these failure credibility, and promises new of basis the on elected show been has as Since, damaging. particularly be can parties political conside electorate unf Though the promises, their keep personalities this fell,and wasnotsurprising. not could they dissolution: quick their regarding opinions fewer were parties,theresmall of theemergence for to account offeredwereof theories number large a Whereas empirical regularities? 3.4.

the only foundation on whi on foundation only the eadn te rcs of process the Regarding ulfilled election promises can be taken for g for taken be can promises election ulfilled and join the political jointhe aren and try to willing people more makes party, a creating of process easy relatively The 3) thecountrylife in 2)

“ rs it the norm from politicians politicians from norm the it rs . M

any new potential leaders are willing to try to become a factor in the political the in factor a become to try to willing are leaders potential new any personality party, the represents who individual the of appeal the is it cases, some In center 3 has probably Ataka fixed.

- ecord to refer to. According to Hanley to According to. refer to ecord right butmajorparty fixed (Pardew) without a ” (Vassilev) ch the parties were established, were parties the ch cult if you will if will cult you (P

a (Stoyanovich) a fading away: Are there any patterns/recurring patterns/recurring any there Are away: fading

33 - ardew)

5 – %. That leaves a majority of Bulgarians on the on Bulgarians of majority a leaves That %.

organization nufle poie md b nwy formed newly by made promises unfulfilled h fiue o opee omtet made commitments complete to failure the ranted in the study of politics of study the in ranted

, experience, clear programme (or programme clear experience, , with with

(interview in May 2013) May in (interview no , hs sal ate were parties small these n, n -

existing

historical legacy, historical –

much of the of much , this this ,

a CEU eTD Collection tapping. 8 ofBulgaria: the case once them disappoint to sure are that parties oldthe to back them drive and voters disappoint to only party, established the by left disillusionment of void the fill to emerges party new a cycle: a in stuck be to seem parties political these way, this In voters favoredby longer (Pardew based personality ( ‘newness’…tends of phenomenon “the reason, this For dissatisfaction. with associated often are personalities (Pardew power in effectively govern not do they when down go personalities Since disillusionment. of state a into back sink voters politicians, existing to similar be to shown is vis newly (or new in personified hope and enthusiasm shown, have I As personality. of cult the assets: election their d the for reason major second The party top their delegitimizedcompletely with associated scandals corruption affairs”), “public meaning literally Věci of example (Strmiska undermined and/ it change to new give to and parties established the substitute to neither r voters Once parties. established the from themselves damagi More

Cisar For example,For party boss Vít Bárta s interview ’s

ng to the party image than the inability to fulfill promises is the inability to inability the is promises fulfill to inability the than image party the to ng veřejné: though they ran on a platform of transparency and credibility (their name (their credibility and transparency of platform a on ran they though veřejné: . hs s la i te ae f ugra te ml pris n h ri the on parties small the Bulgaria: of case the in clear is This ). ible) public figures often attracts often figures public ible) or to open a distinctly new path,” their major platform resting on “n on resting platform major their path,” new distinctly a open to or –

Kostov, Simeon Kostov, –

their existence. interview in May in interview

was associated with several scandals including bribing MPs and illegal wire ’s interview ownfall of newly developed political parties also rests on one of one on rests also parties political developed newly of ownfall

II, Borisov II,

the first point (unfulfilled promises) thus amplifying public public amplifying thus promises) (unfulfilled point first the 8

2013). This can be seen in the Czech Repu Czech the in seen be can This 2013). ).

more. As Pardew points out, this cycle can be seen in seen be can cycle this out, points Pardew As more.

34 –

voters to new parties. However, when when However, parties. new to voters

faded when the respective personalities were no were personalities respective the when faded ealize that these parties “ parties these that ealize

life to the established par established the to life

o ok n tr only” term one work to ’s interview ’s have not been able been not have h wih are which ght ty system, nor system, ty b differentiate ), the fall of fall the ), lic with the with lic this person this wes is ewness” leaders

CEU eTD Collection parties for thenew. i see to voters of curve learning the examine to be would research for topic interesting and paper, this of scope the beyond is this Though decisions. political worse p the Though loe te ais o luih A iecatd ouain hn he te ot n ao o the of favor personality onthe right. in out them threw then population party, disenchanted default A flourish. to mafias the allowed center a for develop economic deliver to failed corrupt, is as viewed became They effectively. Bulgaria in it see I as trend The arties are stuck in a cycle, it is really the voters that are trapped between a bad and a and bad a between trapped are that voters the really is it cycle, a in stuck are arties

the BSP. The BSP then govern then BSP The BSP. the

35

effectively and the cycle repeated itself with a new a with itself repeated cycle the and effectively - ih pry o i a eeto ad al o govern to fail and election an win to party right f they continue to trade in old old in trade to continue they f ment, rule of law and law of rule ment, CEU eTD Collection E lead the of popularity the as away, fading quick the explains countries. the of front in riddles political complicated the all solve and come will Third for becausesmallincentive parties ofthesubsidy tobecreated strong. tobevery appears the that, me convinces field the in specialists with discussion The subsidy. state receiving for allows the enter to not if elections during votes enough get to hoping niche, particular a fill can they that decide backgrounds various with people different and stage political the of infinity of feeling the creates parties small new of number high the Second, political trust,onisgain later through visible which votes duringelections. adequately very use politicians arena. political the in offered is that change any support to willingness show and quo status the with dissatisfied emerg parties First,new conclusions.particular following the to lead which trends several show interviews conducted the from findings primary T countries. the in elections parliamentary two last the particularly is and Communism of fall the after started It decades. last the in Republic theCzech Bulgariaand spread in widely thatis phenomenon a parties is small ofnew The emergence Conclusions xamples of small parties who are led by messiah leaders are numerous and they usually achieve very achieve usually they and numerous leadersare messiah by led are parties who small of xamples , both Bulgaria and the Czech Republic nations are looking for the figure of the leader, who leader, the of figure the for looking are nations Republic Czech the and Bulgaria both ,

hs xlis h hg vltlt i vtn peeecs n bo in preferences voting in volatility high the explains This

e easily because there is need for change. The population in both countries is is countries both in population The change. for need is there because easily e

this fact and exercise their creativity in political promises in order to to order in promises political in creativity their exercise and fact this 36 parliament, at least to reach the minimum level that level minimum the reach to least at parliament,

e ehd f comparison of method he r olpe, o os h pry itself. party the does so collapses, er

h countries. th

This reason also reason This ,

s el s the as well as

tangible since tangible

New CEU eTD Collection is now which the when moment the until quickly fall and rise to continue predic definite with engage not did parties small new of future the to comes it When for determinant are thesuccess afterelections. duringand qualities its therefore party, any of future the for key is platform the of role The decisions. political po of only solutions,instead offerwill actual which platform, d usually elections before sim pretty countriesinboth parties smallof such away fading thequick to it comes When their disappearance. to leads which elections, the in reelected not are they parliament, the enter to manage they if even lon maintain not could general in parties such that shows Republic Czech the and from leadof usually formation.themselves tothe new creation which Theexamples political Bulgaria the in figures strong several between created conflict the is this behind reason the Usually, fragments. several in party existing already of breakup the also is parties new of creation the for reason obvious an Naturally, (significantRepublic ex elections during results impressive ilar. The major one is the fact that usually parties that are formed rather quickly shortly quickly rather formed are that parties usually that fact the is one major The ilar. here inthenearhere future.

party who seek dominance. They form different circles of influence around around influence of circles different form They dominance. seek who party amples: Verjene). TOP09 Veci and nt ae h necessary the have on’t

– in, u te overall the but tions,

ugra sgiiat xmls NS, EB ad Czech and GERB) NMSS, examples: (significant Bulgaria , the experts who took part of the interview process interview the of part took who experts the , 37

oiia eprec t cet sal ad feasible and stable create to experience political

inting out the weaknesses of the currentweaknessesthe out the of inting opinions show that these parties will will parties these that show opinions party oe i cmltl changed, completely is model –

the reasons are alsoare reasons the g political life and life political g CEU eTD Collection 8. 7. 6. 5. 4. 3. 2. 1.

(Interviews period7May inthe conducted List Interview Appendix Strmiska, Ph.D. Maxmilian Maria Divizieva Kopecek, Ph.D. Lubomir Andrysova Lenka Kolev Kolyo Pardew W. James Dimitrova Boryana Adelina Marini Name

Social Studies; Social Facultyof Science; Political of Professor the Department at partyof NMSS political Minister Member inBulgaria; of CabinetChief ofthe Prime Masaryk University; Brno ofSocial Faculty Studies; Institute Science; ofPolitical International Science and Department of Political Associate professor the at LIDEM party political of member Parliament; intheCzech Deputie of ofMember theChamber Agency Studies Research Social and Marketing Political, sociologistChief atMediana Diplomat US Social Research and Agency Research Alpha at partner Managing Insidemedia EU online Editor Position - in

- chief

Masaryk

Marketing

21 May 2013)

38

Former USAmbassadorto Previous (ifrelevant) position 2009) Administrative (2005 Reform Administration and Formerof DeputyMinisterState party (until2012) political Former Verejne of member Veci Bulgaria (2002

- 2005)

-

Bulgaria Bulgaria Bulgaria country Discussed Republic Czech Bulgaria Republic Czech Republic Czech Bulgaria

CEU eTD Collection 13. 12. 11. 10. 9.

TomovTsvetozar Dr. SeanHanley Peter Stoyanovich Ph.D. Ondrej Cisar, Nikolay Vassilev

Agency – sociologist atSkala Managing College London Studies; UniversityEuropean of School LecturerSenior inthe Minister of Culture Prague CharlesScience; University; Department of Political Associate Profe Republic;Czech Academy ofSciences of the Institute ofthe ofSociology Review”,Sociological Editor party political MemberCapital; of NMSS atExpat partner Managing University; Brno

Political and Social Research and Political -

in

- chief of “Czech ofchief “Czech Slavonic EastSlavonic and

ssor atthe

39

(2005 Administrativeand Reform Minister of Administration State Communications MinisterTransport and of 2003); Minister (2001 of Economy (2001 Former DeputyPrime Minister party (2007 political ofFormer Gergiovden leader - -

2009) 2005);

(2003 - 2010) - 2005);

-

Republic Czech Bulgaria Bulgaria Republic Czech Bulgaria

CEU eTD Collection stay usually parties, 1 for which than in parliament notmore trend this that think you do and future near the for predictions your are What 8. passed partygenerous that state every the support for 1%voters’ support threshold? followingsupport elections? each party in different to tend who voters undecided of preferences voting the in volatility the explain you would How 6. country? p the are What 5. the part ofEuropean represented managea Parliament party? country ifthey tobecome in setting agenda the influence to ability their in confidence more have parliament in parties and parties) representative MS their supporting families party EU (large EU the entering between correlation a is there think you Do 4. process? making the decision atmosphere political in difference the between for reasons potential the are what you, to According 3. factorchoice that is Europeans)? always important tocontemporary creation the influencing factor a as choice) voting actual no party, ruling (one past communist the find you Do 2. away, politicalhistoryequally abruptly fade Bulgarian/Czech recent inthe (last 8years)? 1. Questions Interview 7. Do you think 7. Doyou How would you explain the quick emergence of a a of emergence quick the explain you would How

Bulgaria and the old established democracies in terms of allowing new actors to influence to actors new allowing of terms in democracies established old the and Bulgaria of new parties (confidence that there will always be at least some voters’ support/the support/the voters’ some least at be always will there that (confidence parties new of

that a possible incentive for the creation of small parties in the country might be the be countrymight ofinthe small parties for the creation incentive possible that a tnil rvn icnie bhn te oes spot o sal ate i the in parties small for support voters’ the behind incentives driving otential

h goig ubr f e pris D nwy lce small elected newly Do parties? new of number growing the 40

large number of rather small parties, which also which parties, small rather of number large - 2 terms, continue will toexist?

of emerging of new of emerging of

CEU eTD Collection Translations and Abbreviations Party                                 

SNK US KAN Ceskoslovenskych Podnikatelu, Zivnostnikua Rolniku) SCPZR Strana) Narondne Socialni SD SZZJ ODA CSS VV SZ TOP 09 SZV ODS CSSD uniedemokraticka KDU samosprávnou (Hnutíza Silesia demokracii MORSL KSCM OF BBB BNS EvroLev DSB ATAKA DPS the same.Vtori), acronym vazhod) i stabilnost NDSV Balgariya) na GERB SDS BSP DEU RMS Suveren. SPOZ SNK ED - - - LSNS - -

- -

Green PartyGreen (Strana zelenych) - Freedom Union (Unie Svobody) Freedom (Unie Union - - - - - Civic Forum (Obcanskéfórum)Civic

Public AffairsPublic (Veci verejne) -

- - -

- -

Czechoslovak SocialistCzechoslovak Party strana (Ceskoslovenská socialistická)

- Bulgarian Socialist PartyBulgarian Socialist Socialisticeska (Balgarska Partija) -

CSL CSL Union of Democratic Forces (Suyuz na demokratichnite Forces ofna Union sili) Democratic (Suyuz

Movement for Freedoms Rights and (Dviz - Alliance of zemedelcuAlliance Farmers venkova) theCountryside(Spojenectví a and Bulgarian Bulgarian People's Union (Balgarski Union Sajuz) Bulgarian People's Naroden Balgarija) Silna Bulgaria (Demokratiza astrong Democrats for

- Republicans ofSladek(Republikani Miroslav Miroslava Sladek)

Association of Independents (Sdruzeni nezavislych)Association (Sdruzeni of Independents Civic Democratic Democratic Party demokratickastrana)Civic (Obcanska

- Movement of Guaranteesjistoty) Pensionerszivotni Social za (Strana for - Democratic Union unie) Democratic (Demokratické Club of Active Non ofActive Club Democratic (Obcanska Civic demokraticka ealianceAllianc Czech Social Democratic strana Party (Ceská demokratická) sociálne

- Party of Civic RightsParty ofCivic - - Moravia and Communist ofBohemia Party Citizens for European Development of Bulgarian (Grazhdani za evropeysko razvi evropeyskoza (Grazhdani Bulgarian of Development European for Citizens

- - - -

- "Tradition Responsibility "Tradition Responsibility

h Ntoa Mvmn fr tblt ad rges Ncoan diei za dvizenie (Nacionalno Progress and Stability for Movement National The Sovereignty National Union (NatsionalenSayuzNational Attack Ataka)

Euroleft (Evrolevitsa) - at o Cehsoa Eternus Sal uiess a Businesses Small Entrepreneurs, Czechoslovak of Party (HSD SNK European Democ

-

re Democrats Free Christian Democratic Union and Czechoslovak People's Party (Krestanska a a (Krestanska Party People's Czechoslovak and Union Democratic Christian

Business BlockBusiness (Bulgarska biznesblok) - SMS) -

- Ceskoslovenska strana l

former National Movement Simeon II (Nacionalno Dvizenie (Nacionalno II Simeon Movement National former -

-

Jana Bobosikova Bloc

Movem

- partisans (Klub Angazovanych Nestraniku) partisans (KlubAngazovanych - – iea Sca Ntoa Pry Soon Demokrati ( Party National Social Liberal

Zemanovci (Strana (Strana PravZemanovci Obcanu

Democracy Autonomous for ent

rats (SNKEvropští demokraté) Prosperity (Tradice Odpovednost Prosperita 09) 09"

41 - idova)

Spolecnost Slezsko) a pro Moravu

(Suverenita (Suverenita henie za prava isvobodi) za henie

-

blok J.Bobosikove)

) Zemanovci)

-

Party for Moravia and Moravia for Party

nd Farmers (Strana (Strana Farmers nd

- - Liberalni

Simeon

tie CEU eTD Collection

  

Other RZS Party suyuz (Naroden BZNS,DP -

Order, Lawfulness, ispravedlivost) zakonnost Justice (Red, -

Popular Union of the Bulgarian Agrarian National Union and the and Union of AgrarianDemocratic theBulgarian National Union Popular -

BZNS, DP) BZNS,

42

CEU eTD Collection Science Political southeastern 1 International Europe.” Review and central in democracy to transition in parties political and elections “Free Stanislaw. Gebethner, 381 in formation government and “Europeanization Obert. multi Peter and Müller, Jochen Marc, Debus, Senatehttp://www.senat.cz/indexCzech C (1992,Constitution ofamendment Republic last theCzech 2009) Constitution of Republic ofamendment last Bulgaria(1991, 1997) 830. 823 (2011): 44/4 Politics and Science Political PS: Tracing.” Process “Understanding David. Collier, eastern in democracy to transition the and NationalitiesEurope.” Papers 38 legitimacy regimes, “Communist Monica. Ciobanu, Politics, Vol. 189 No.2(Jan.,Comparative 2002): 34, Inst “The Jack Bielasiak, Leiden ofScience, 29, Department Political University(2013) No. Parties, Political of Regulation Legal the on Series Paper Working Europe” Eastern in Survival Casal, Fernando Bértoa Journal agendas.” ofpolicy Policy Public (2006):959 13, No.7 European Green Christoffer R., Frank Baumgartner, Central in E Strategy and Competition Party Stability of “Patterns Sitter. Nick and Elisabeth, Bakke, with resource introductory An scientists: social for Sage (1999). examples.” “Interviewing T. P. Knight, and H. http://worldsavvy.org/monitor/ Arksey, at: online Available Monitor. 30Aug (Accessed: 2013). Savvy World 2013. index 2012.“Democracy astandstill.”Democracy at The Economist Intelligence(2013). Unit “Czech References zech of Deputieszech Chamber http://www.psp.cz/sqw/hp.sqw 4April (Accessed: 2013) urope since 1989.” Party 1989.” urope since PoliticsNo.2(2005):243 11, -

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tems: Evidence from the Czech Republic.” European Union Politics 12, No. 3 (2011): (2011): 3 No. 12, Politics Union European Republic.” Czech the from Evidence tems:

ttoaiain f lcoa ad at Sses n otomns States” Postcommunist in Systems Party and Electoral of itutionalization n Mra prv “e a usd o Prs! ulc udn ad Party and Funding Public Perish! or Subsidy a “Get Spirova Maria and , No. 1 (2010): 3 , No.1(2010): - eng.php 4April2013) (Accessed: - Pedersen, and Bryan D. Jones. “Comparative studies of studies “Comparative Jones. D. Bryan and Pedersen, 43 - 21

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- -

693. em h. A hoy f minor of theory “A Ohn. Geum

- Eeto Bifn No57 Briefing “Election Hall (1968). (1968). Hall - 9 00 Erpa Pris lcin ad eeedm Network, Referendums and Elections Parties European 2010” 29

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l cec. taa N: Cornell NY: Ithaca, Science. al - 97. - 133 -

Hill Hill (1979).

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