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What If the Uemachi Fault Belt Became Active and a Great Hanshin

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What If the Uemachi Fault Belt Became Active and a Great Hanshin Earthquakes/Tsunamis Earthquakes/Tsunamis There are no safe places in Japan that do not experience earthquakes What if the Uemachi fault belt became active and a What if the Tokai, Tonankai, or Nankai Earthquake were to occur? Areas where there is expected to be severe damage through strong shaking and large tsunamis in the event of the Tokai, Tonankai and Earthquakes/Tsunamis Nankai Earthquakes have been designated in advance, and disaster prevention countermeasures are being strengthened. Great Hanshin Earthquake-level struck Suita City? "Earthquake Disaster Preventative Countermeasures Strengthening Area" and "Disaster Preventative Countermeasures Promotion Area" Estimated seismic intensity Estimated liquefaction Estimated physical damage The Tokai, Tonankai and Nankai Earthquakes are expected to cause severe damage in broad areas of western Japan. Given this, areas that have a particular need to promote earthquake disaster prevention measures have been designated. For the Tokai Earthquake the The entire Suita City would suffer an upper Liquefaction of sand would be developed About 60% of wooden buildings and 30% of "Earthquake Disaster Preventative Countermeasures Strengthening Area" (orange) has been established, and for the Tonankai and Nankai Fires 6-level on the Japanese earthquake scale. 7 on through the outburst and fluxion of sand in not other type buildings would be half or Earthquakes the "Disaster Preventative Countermeasures Promotion Area" (yellow) has been established, and e¤ orts toward earthquake the scale would also be registered in not only only the low-lying area on the Kanzaki River completely destroyed in the city. preparedness are being advanced. Suita City has been designated a part of the "Tonankai and Nankai Earthquake Disaster Preventative the low-lying area on the Kanzaki River and Ai and Ai River in River in the south of the city but the the south of the Countermeasures Promotion Area". 新潟県 福島県 embankments. c i t y b u t t h e Estimated embankments. ●Map of the Estimated Epicenter Ranges of the Tokai, Tonankai and Nankai Earthquakes, the "Earthquake Disaster Estimated physical Preventative Countermeasures Strengthening Area" and the "Disaster Preventative Countermeasures富山県 Promotion Area" seismic damage Tokai Earthquake Disaster Preventative Countermeasures Strengthening Area As of April 1, 2011 Ishikawa Tochigi intensity Prefecture Gunma Prefecture Estimated Tonankai and Nankai Earthquake Disaster Preventative Countermeasures Promotion Area As of April 1, 2011 Nagano Prefecture Prefecture Fukui Ibaraki Overlapping Towns and Cities Prefecture Gifu Prefecture liquefaction Prefecture Saitama Prefecture Nuclear Power Station Tottori Prefecture Storm and Flood Damage/Landslides Yamanashi Tokyo Metropolis Damage/Landslides Shimane Kyoto Prefecture Prefecture Prefecture Shiga Okayama Prefecture Prefecture Sea of Japan Kanagawa Hyogo Prefecture Prefecture Hiroshima Prefecture Aichi Prefecture Chiba Prefecture Mie Shizuoka Prefecture Yamaguchi Prefecture Osaka Prefecture Prefecture Nara Kagawa Prefecture Prefecture Hamaoka Nuclear Power Station Fukuoka Prefecture Estimated Range of Tokushima Prefecture Wakayama the Tokai Earthquake Epicenter Ehime Urban Disasters Prefecture Prefecture Estimated Range of Kochi Prefecture the Tonankai Earthquake Epicenter Oita Prefecture Kumamoto Prefecture Estimated Range of the Nankai Earthquake Epicenter Tokyo Metropolis Seismic intensity ● Tokyo Metropolis Miyazaki ■ Scale 7 ● Rate of complete collapse Prefecture ● Risk of liquefaction ■ Scale 6 (upper) ■ 60% and up ■ 20 to 30% Tokyo Metropolis Pacic Ocean Exceedingly high possibility of liquefaction ■ 50 to 60% ■ 10 to 20% Everyday Preparations ■ Kagoshima ■ High possibility of liquefaction ■ 40 to 50% ■ 10% or less Prefecture Ogasawara Islands 30 to 40% ■ Low possibility of liquefaction ■ As of April 1, 2011 Earthquake Disaster Preventative Countermeasures There is also the possibility of the concurrent outbreak Estimated location of Promotion Area for the Tokai and Nankai Earthquakes ● Estimated casualties (three earthquakes in tandem) of the Tokai, Tonankai earthquake source fault Estimated In principle, areas that are forecast to experience one Prevention People killed People injured of the below damage types as a result of the Tonankai and Nankai Earthquakes. Prevention casualties or Nankai Earthquakes. Suita City is in category one. Regional Disaster Number Population ratio Number Population ratio In the past, the Tokai, Tonankai Arima Takatsuki fault belt Areas of Seismic Intensities of Six-Weak and and Nankai Earthquakes 1,474 0.4% 2,598 0.8% Above (Conspicuous Damage Caused by A great number of casualties 1 have occurred about every Earthquake Shaking) Suita City would be produced by direct 100-150 years. As is shown 1498 : Meio M8.2-8.4 Ikoma fault belt Ikoma Estimated evacuees 1500 damage from the earthquake. in the diagram at right, there 107 Areas forecast to experience a large tsunami 1600 Temporary evacuation Evacuation life are many cases in which the 1605 : Keicho M7.9 Uemachi fault belt Uemachi About 60,000 people would (more than three meters) and/or will have 1700 102 inland ooding depths of two meters at high three large earthquakes occur 1707 : Hoei M8.4 be forced to live in evacuation Number Population ratio Number Population ratio 2 tide (1.2 meters in areas expected to have simultaneously or within a 1800 147 200,484 58.5% 60,145 17.5% large amounts of jetsam). 1854 : Ansei Nankai M8.4 1854 : Ansei Tokai M8.4 centers. short period of time of one 1900 92 Years 90 another. 1946 : Nankai M8.0 1944 : Tonankai M7.9 Seismic Gap ●Temporary evacuation" denotes those who temporarily evacuate for the prevention of secondary disaster. *Areas expected to have large amounts of jetsam: Important 2000 Harbors and Designated Important Ports and Harbors Disaster Prevention Map Reference: "Shinpen Nihon no Katudanso” ●Evacuation life" denotes, of which people in temporary evacuation, those who temporarily live in Tokai Earthquake Epicenter Range evacuation centers due to a complete or half collapse or complete or partial loss of houses by fire. 4 5.
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