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The New York Times NEW YORK CITY POLL

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The New York Times NEW YORK CITY POLL For paper of Oct. 28 The New York Times NEW YORK CITY POLL Oct. 21-26, 2005 Total N = 993 Registered N = 758 Likely voters N = 616 Results are based on the total citywide sample unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents. TRENDS ARE BASED NEW YORK TIMES POLLS, EXCEPT: NEW YORK TIMES/CBS NEWS POLLS: OCT. 1998 - OCT. 2000, OCT. 6-9, 2001, JUNE AND AUG. 2002, AND JULY 2003; NEW YORK TIMES/WCBS NEWS POLLS: APRIL 1985 - JUNE 1990, MAY 1993 - OCT. 1994. 1. What's your long range view for the city -- do you think that ten or fifteen years from now, New York City will be a better place to live than it is now, a worse place, or about the same? Better Worse Same Better & worse DK/NA 11/731 38 32 26 4 8/77 27 42 18 13 12/77 38 34 17 11 12/7-14/81 30 40 22 7 1/5-10/85 30 31 27 5 6 1/4-6/87 26 35 31 4 5 1/10-12/88 24 42 28 6 6/11-17/89 22 48 24 1 5 6/17-10/90 20 51 24 4 11/2-12/91 19 58 17 5 5/10-14/93 22 50 23 - 5 3/1-6/97 28 36 29 1 6 8/5-12/01 34 25 32 1 9 10/6-9/01 54 11 26 1 8 10/27-11/1/01 51 12 26 2 9 6/4-9/02 41 20 31 1 6 8/25-29/02 33 23 38 1 6 1/11-15/03 34 26 32 2 7 6/6-11/03 30 33 29 1 7 8/31-9/4/03 34 31 26 1 8 4/16-21/04 33 28 32 2 6 8/20-25/04 30 32 30 1 6 2/4-13/05 28 29 36 3 4 6/21-26/05 31 29 33 2 5 8/22-28/05 30 26 37 1 5 10/21-26/05 36 24 34 1 5 1 Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the election district where you now live, or aren't you? Yes No 10/21-26/05 68 32 THE ORDER OF QUESTIONS 2 AND 3 WAS ROTATED 2. Is your opinion of Fernando Ferrer favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Fernando Ferrer yet to have an opinion? Not Haven't Favorable favorable Undecided heard enough Refused 3/1-6/97* 23 9 18 50 1 8/5-12/01* 26 14 25 34 1 10/6-9/01* 30 27 26 15 2 4/16-21/04 25 12 18 43 1 2/4-13/05* 31 13 25 31 1 6/21-26/05* 23 20 28 27 1 8/22-28/05* 22 25 26 26 1 10/21-26/05* 19 29 27 23 2 3. Is your opinion of Michael Bloomberg favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Michael Bloomberg yet to have an opinion? Not Haven't Favorable favorable Undecided heard enough Refused 8/5-12/01* 26 16 26 31 1 10/6-9/01* 26 16 27 29 2 10/27-11/1/01* 37 15 30 17 1 6/4-9/02* 39 13 18 30 - 1/11-15/03 26 30 28 15 1 8/31-9/4/03 21 39 28 9 2 4/16-21/04 28 33 23 13 3 8/20-25/04 28 34 24 13 1 2/4-13/05* 41 34 22 2 1 6/21-26/05* 48 33 17 1 - 8/22-28/05* 50 28 19 2 - 10/21-26/05* 52 23 21 2 2 4. Is your opinion of Thomas Ognibene favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Thomas Ognibene yet to have an opinion? Not Haven't Favorable favorable Undecided heard enough Refused 2/4-13/05* 3 3 11 81 2 6/21-26/05* 3 5 9 82 1 10/21-26/05* 2 6 9 81 2 2 5. How much attention have you been able to pay to this year's campaign for mayor of New York City - a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? A lot Some Not much No attention DK/NA 4/27-5/3/85* 18 30 50 2 6/11-17/89* 25 39 29 7 1 5/10-14/93* 18 41 31 10 1 9/29-10/3/93* 41 41 15 3 1 10/20-24/93* 41 42 13 2 1 3/1-6/97* 14 35 32 17 2 10/13-18/97* 30 44 19 5 1 8/5-12/01* 19 39 31 11 - 10/6-9/01* 25 38 28 9 1 10/27-11/1/01* 26 41 26 5 1 2/4-13/05* 16 30 36 19 - 6/21-26/05* 18 38 29 14 - 8/22-25/05* 17 41 31 10 - 10/21-26/05* 26 42 24 7 - 6. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2005 election for Mayor this November -- would you say you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the election for Mayor? Definitely Probably Probably Definitely DK/NA vote vote not vote not vote 10/21-26/05* 73 19 4 1 2 7. If the 2005 election for Mayor were being held today, would you vote for Fernando Ferrer, the Democratic candidate or Michael Bloomberg, the Republican candidate or Thomas Ognibene, the Conservative party candidate? CANDIDATES= NAMES WERE ROTATED Ferrer Bloomberg Ognibene Other Won't vote DK/NA 10/21-26/05* 29 52 1 1 2 15 10/21-26/05*W 30 57 1 - - 12 VARIED QUESTION: If the 2005 election for Mayor were being held today, and the Democratic candidate was Fernando Ferrer and the Republican candidate was Michael Bloomberg, would you vote for Fernando Ferrer or Michael Bloomberg? Candidates’ names were rotated Ferrer Bloomberg Other Won't vote DK/NA 6/21-26/05* 35 48 1 1 16 8/22-25/05* 32 54 1 1 12 8. ASKED OF THOSE WHO HAS NO ANSWER IN Q.7: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Fernando Ferrer or Michael Bloomberg or Thomas Ognibene? PERCENTAGES INCLUDE RESULTS FROM Q.7 AND Q. 8 Ferrer Bloomberg Ognibene Other Won't vote DK/NA 10/21-26/05* 30 55 1 1 2 12 10/21-26/05*W 30 59 1 - - 8 — Percentages labeled W are likely voters, determined by intention to vote this year, the level of interest paid to this year’s campaign and past voting behavior with adjustments to reflect past turnout by borough. 3 9. ASKED OF THOSE WHO NAMED A CANDIDATE IN Q.7: Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? Made up Might change DK/NA 10/21-26/05*W 74 26 1 Ferrer voters*W 70 29 2 Bloomberg voters*W 77 23 - 10. ASKED OF THOSE WHO NAMED A CANDIDATE IN Q.7 OR Q.8: What is the main reason you are thinking of voting for [Fernando Ferrer/Michael Bloomberg/Thomas Ognibene], instead of one of the other candidates? Ferrer voters*W Bloomberg voters*W Controls spending/budget/handling of finances 1 5 Handles government like a business - 4 Smoking law 1 Taxes 1 1 Jobs/unemployment/city contracts 5 3 Crime/safety 10 World Trade Center / 9-11/Terrorism 1 Education 3 12 General quality of life 1 Welfare/poor/downtrodden 2 1 Affordable housing 1 1 Westside stadium/Brooklyn arena 1 Helping the middle class 1 1 He has done good job 6 41 Bloomberg has done a bad job 2 His party 29 1 Honesty 3 2 Change/no change 2 - Don't like others / lesser of evils 14 8 Like views/idea 12 3 Time for Hispanic mayor 11 Other 2 3 DK/NA 4 1 — Percentages labeled W are likely voters, determined by intention to vote this year, the level of interest paid to this year’s campaign and past voting behavior with adjustments to reflect past turnout by borough. — Separate results are not provided for Ognibene voters because there are too few respondents in the survey to be statistically reliable. 4 11. ASKED OF THOSE WHO DID NOT NAME FERRER IN Q.7 OR Q.8: Would you consider voting for Fernando Ferrer, or is that something you would not consider? Would consider Would not consider DK/NA 10/21-26/05*W 28 62 10 Bloomberg voters*W 26 70 4 12. ASKED OF THOSE WHO DID NOT NAME BLOOMBERG IN Q.7 OR Q.8: Would you consider voting for Michael Bloomberg, or is that something you would not consider? Would consider Would not consider DK/NA 10/21-26/05*W 29 58 13 Ferrer voters*W 26 68 5 13. ASKED OF THOSE WHO NAMED A CANDIDATE IN Q.7 OR Q.8: Would you describe your support for (Fernando Ferrer/Michael Bloomberg/Thomas Ognibene) as strongly favoring him, or do you like (Fernando Ferrer/Michael Bloomberg/Thomas Ognibene) but with reservations, or do you support (Fernando Ferrer/Michael Bloomberg/Thomas Ognibene) because you dislike the other candidates? Strongly favor Reservations Dislike others DK/NA 10/21-26/05*W 47 34 16 3 Ferrer voters*W 34 34 26 6 Bloomberg voters*W 57 33 9 1 14.
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