VOLUME 2, ISSUE 11 NOVEMBER 5 – 11, 2019
POWERED BY SPORTS.DRF.COM UNBEATEN SAN FRANCISCO CAN PUT A STRANGLEHOLD ON THE NFC WEST
MONDAY NIGHT Showdown:
VS.
SEAHAWKS AT 49ERS
Plus: • POWER RATINGS FOR COLLEGE AND PRO • INSIGHT ON ALL 13 WEEK 10 NFL GAMES • BREAKDOWN OF 49 COLLEGE MATCHUPS DRF SPORTS FORM
ISSUE #11 • NOVEMBER 5 - NOVEMBER 11, 2019
StatFox NFL Power Rating Lines 2 NFL Best Bets / StatFox Staff Selections 3 StatFox NFL Outplay Factor Rating Lines 3 NFL Game-by-Game Breakdowns 4 NFL Top Statistical Edges 7 College Football Best Bets / StatFox Staff Selections 8 College Football Week 11 Rotation Schedule 9 StatFox College Football Power Rating Lines 11 StatFox College Football Outplay Factor Rating Lines 12
College Football Game-by-Game BreakdownsStatFox NFL Power Rating Lines 13 - Week 10 ** The StatFox Power Ratings are determined from a formula that is takes into account several key factors, ABBREVIATIONS: College Football Top Statisticalincluding point margins, Edges difficulty of schedule, team statistics and more. The ratings are typically not as reactive OL - Opening Line as those you will find elsewhere, and thus prove to be a great long term handicapping tool. Here are 19the StatFox Power Rating lines and edges for this week's games, with our exclusive home field advantage points built into PR - StatFox Power Rating - adjusted StatFoxeach NFL home Power team's rating Rating and corresponding Lines line. - Week Note that 10the point edge between the Power Rating Line and for home field advantage. ** The StatFox Power Ratings are determined from a formulathe actualthat is takesopening into line account is denoted several for key the factors, team with the edge. Use theABBREVIATIONS: W/L column to keep track of the winners and losers. PRL - Calculated Power Rating Line including point margins, difficulty of schedule, team statistics and more. The ratings are typically not as reactive OL - Opening Line as those you will find elsewhere, and thus prove to be a great long term handicapping tool. Here are the StatFox Power Rating lines and edges for this week's games, with ourThu exclusive - 11/7,8:20 home PMfield advantageOL PR pointsPRL builtEdge into W/LPR - SunStatFox - 11/10,1:00 Power PM RatingOL - PRadjustedPRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L each home team's rating and corresponding line. Note that107 the LApoint CHARGERS edge between the Power 25Rating-5 Line7.5 and for 251home KANSAS field CITY advantage.-3 29 -7 4 253 BUFFALO 16 2 the actual opening line is denoted for the team with the edge.108 Use OAKLAND the W/L column to keep-2.5 track20 of the winners 252 TENNESSEE 22 254 CLEVELAND -3 17 -1 and losers. PRL - Calculated Power Rating Line Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Thu - 11/7,8:20 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 255Sun ARIZONA - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR14PRL Edge W/L Sun257 - NY11/10,1:00 GIANTS PM OL PR PRL13 Edge-5 W/L5 259 ATLANTA 14 107 LA CHARGERS 25 -5 7.5 251256 KANSASTAMPA BAYCITY -3-6 2922 -7 -8 4 2 253 258BUFFALO NY JETS p16k 8 2 260 NEW ORLEANS -13 29 -15 2 108 OAKLAND -2.5 20 252 TENNESSEE 22 254 CLEVELAND -3 17 -1 Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,4:25 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 261 BALTIMORE -10 28 -15 5 263 CAROLINA 21 1 265 DETROIT 19 255 ARIZONA 14 257 NY GIANTS 13 -5 5 259 ATLANTA 14 262 CINCINNATI 13 264 GREEN BAY -6 26 -5 266 CHICAGO -3 24 -5 2 256 TAMPA BAY -6 22 -8 2 258 NY JETS pk 8 260 NEW ORLEANS -13 29 -15 2 Sun - 11/10,4:05 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,4:25 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,8:20 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,4:25 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 261 BALTIMORE -10 28 -15 5 263267 CAROLINAMIAMI 21 4 1 265 269DETROIT LA RAMS -319 27 271 MINNESOTA 29 -3 5.5 262 CINCINNATI 13 264268 GREENINDIANAPOLIS BAY -6-16 2627 -5-23 7 266 270CHICAGO PITTSBURGH -3 24 -527 20 3 272 DALLAS -2.5 26 Sun - 11/10,4:05 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L SunMon - -11/10,4:25 11/11,8:15 PM PM OLOL PRPRPRLPRLEdgeEdgeW/LW/L Sun - 11/10,8:20 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 267 MIAMI 4 269273 LASEATTLE RAMS -3 2722 271 MINNESOTA 29 -3 5.5 268 INDIANAPOLIS -16 27 -23 7 270274 PITTSBURGHSAN FRANCISCO -6.5 2731 0 -9 3 2.5 272 DALLAS -2.5 26 Mon - 11/11,8:15 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L TOP STATFOX POWER RATING 1. LA CHARGERS (+2.5) over OAKLAND 7.5 273 SEATTLE 22 EDGES: 2. INDIANAPOLIS (-16) over MIAMI 7 274 SAN FRANCISCO -6.5 31 -9 2.5 3. MINNESOTA (+2.5) over DALLAS 5.5 TOP STATFOX POWER RATING 1. LA CHARGERS (+2.5) over OAKLAND 7.5 EDGES:2 / DRF Sports Form 2. INDIANAPOLIS (-16) over MIAMI 7 3. MINNESOTA (+2.5) over DALLAS 5.5 DRF SPORTS FORM
PRESENTS THE WEEK’S STAFF PICKS
WEEK 10 NFL MATCHUPS: NOVEMBER 7 - NOVEMBER 11 StatFox StatFox StatFox StatFox StatFox StatFox TIM GARY SCOTT BRIAN FORECASTER CONSENSUS (BB) = Best Bet LINE • Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders +1 LA CHARGERS (BB) OAKLAND OAKLAND LA CHARGERS (BB) LA CHARGERS LA CHARGERS • Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans +3 KANSAS CITY (BB) KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY (BB) TENNESSEE KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY • Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns -2½ BUFFALO CLEVELAND CLEVELAND (BB) BUFFALO BUFFALO BUFFALO • Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 TAMPA BAY ARIZONA (BB) ARIZONA (BB) TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY • New York Giants vs. New York Jets pk NY GIANTS (BB) NY GIANTS (BB) NY GIANTS (BB) NY GIANTS NY GIANTS NY GIANTS • Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints -12½ NEW ORLEANS (BB) ATLANTA NEW ORLEANS NEW ORLEANS (BB) ATLANTA NEW ORLEANS • Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals +10 BALTIMORE CINCINNATI (BB) CINCINNATI CINCINNATI (BB) CINCINNATI CINCINNATI • Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers -5½ GREEN BAY CAROLINA (BB) CAROLINA (BB) GREEN BAY CAROLINA CAROLINA • Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears -2½ CHICAGO (BB) CHICAGO DETROIT CHICAGO (BB) CHICAGO CHICAGO • Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts -11½ INDIANAPOLIS MIAMI StatfoxMIAMI NFL MIAMIOutplay INDIANAPOLIS Factor RatingMIAMI Lines - Week 10 • Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers +4 ** TheLA OutplayRAMS FactorPITTSBURGH Ratings (BB) made famousPITTSBURGH by StatFox PITTSBURGH are a great (BB) Team StrengthPITTSBURGH Indicator PITTSBURGHas they provide a ABBREVIATIONS: • Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys -2½ quantitativeDALLAS measure MINNESOTAof how teams are MINNESOTAoutplaying (+ value)DALLAS or being outplayedMINNESOTA by (- value) theirMINNESOTA opponents. They • Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers -6 SEATTLE SEATTLE SEATTLE SAN FRANCISCO SAN FRANCISCO SEATTLE OL - Opening Line are determined by a complicated formula that takes into account a team's points for/against as compared to how their previous opponents have fared. Here are the StatFox Team Outplay Factor Ratings and the corresponding OF - StatFox Outplay Factor Rating - Statfox NFLgame Outplay lines derived Factor from them. Rating Note that the Lines point edge - Weekbetween the 10 Outplay Factor Rating Line and the actual adjusted for home field advantage. opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the W/L column to keep track of the winners and losers. ** The Outplay Factor Ratings made famous by StatFox are a great Team Strength Indicator as they provide a ABBREVIATIONS: OFL - Calculated Outplay Factor Line quantitative measure of how teams are outplaying (+ value) or being outplayed by (- value) their opponents. They OL - Opening Line are determined by a complicated formula that takes into account a team's points for/against as compared to how their previous opponents have fared. Here are the StatFox TeamThu Outplay- 11/7,8:20 Factor PM RatingsOL and theOF correspondingOFL Edge W/L OF -Sun StatFox - 11/10,1:00 Outplay PM FactorOL OFRatingOFL -Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L game lines derived from them. Note that the point edge between107 LA the CHARGERS Outplay Factor Rating Line23 and the actual2.5 adjusted251 KANSAS for home CITY field advantage.-3 31 -8 5.0 253 BUFFALO 18 3.0 opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the W/L column to keep track of the winners and losers. 108 OAKLAND -2.5 23 0 OFL252 - TENNESSEECalculated Outplay Factor23 Line 254 CLEVELAND -3 18 0 Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Thu - 11/7,8:20 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 255Sun ARIZONA - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF15OFL Edge W/L Sun257 - NY11/10,1:00 GIANTS PM OL OF OFL15 Edge-4 W/L4.0 259 ATLANTA 12 107 LA CHARGERS 23 2.5 251256 KANSASTAMPA BAYCITY -3-6 3123 -8 -8 5.02.0 253258 BUFFALO NY JETS p18k 11 3.0 260 NEW ORLEANS -13 29 -17 4.0 108 OAKLAND -2.5 23 0 252 TENNESSEE 23 254 CLEVELAND -3 18 0 Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,4:25 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 261 BALTIMORE -10 29 -12 2.0 263 CAROLINA 23 265 DETROIT 21 255 ARIZONA 15 257 NY GIANTS 15 -4 4.0 259 ATLANTA 12 262 CINCINNATI 17 264 GREEN BAY -6 30 -7 1.0 266 CHICAGO -3 24 -3 0.0 256 TAMPA BAY -6 23 -8 2.0 258 NY JETS pk 11 260 NEW ORLEANS -13 29 -17 4.0 Sun - 11/10,1:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sun -- 11/10,4:2511/10,4:05 PM PM OLOL OFOFOFLOFLEdgeEdgeW/LW/L SunSun - 11/10,1:00 - 11/10,4:25 PM PMOL OLOF OFLOF EdgeOFL EdgeW/L W/L Sun - 11/10,8:20 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 261 BALTIMORE -10 29 -12 2.0 263267 CAROLINAMIAMI 231 265269 DETROIT LA RAMS -321 27 271 MINNESOTA 27 2.5 262 CINCINNATI 17 264268 GREENINDIANAPOLIS BAY -6-16 3025 -7-241.08.0 266270 CHICAGO PITTSBURGH -3 24 -329 0.0-2 5.0 272 DALLAS -2.5 27 0 Sun - 11/10,4:05 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L SunMon - - 11/10,4:25 11/11,8:15 PM PM OLOL OFOFOFLOFLEdgeEdgeW/LW/L Sun - 11/10,8:20 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 267 MIAMI 1 269273 LASEATTLE RAMS -3 2722 271 MINNESOTA 27 2.5 268 INDIANAPOLIS -16 25 -24 8.0 270274 PITTSBURGHSAN FRANCISCO -6.5 2935 -2-135.06.5 272 DALLAS -2.5 27 0 Mon - 11/11,8:15 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L TOP STATFOX OUTPLAY 1. INDIANAPOLIS (-16) over MIAMI 8 273 SEATTLE 22 FACTOR RATING EDGES: 2. SAN FRANCISCO (-6.5) over SEATTLE 6.5 274 SAN FRANCISCO -6.5 35 -13 6.5 3. PITTSBURGH (+3) over LA RAMS 5 TOP STATFOX OUTPLAY 1. INDIANAPOLIS (-16) over MIAMI 8 FACTOR2019 RATINGNFL STAFF EDGES: PICKS STANDINGS2. SAN FRANCISCO (-6.5) over SEATTLE 6.5 3. PITTSBURGH (+3) over LA RAMS 5 All Games W L T Pct Last Week Best Bets W L T Pct Last Week
StatFox Tim 70 63 2 52.6% 8-5-1 StatFox Tim 20 25 0 44.4% 4-1
StatFox Brian 63 70 2 47.4% 7-6-1 StatFox Scott 19 26 0 42.2% 3-2
StatFox Gary 63 70 2 47.4% 4-9-1 StatFox Brian 18 26 1 40.9% 2-3
StatFox Forecaster 61 72 2 45.9% 4-9-1 StatFox Gary 18 26 1 40.9% 1-3-1
StatFox Scott 59 74 2 44.4% 6-7-1
StatFox Consensus 56 77 2 42.1% 6-7-1
DRF Sports Form / 3 DRF SPORTS FORM (107) LA CHARGERS (-1) (SU: 4-5, ATS: 4-4) at (108) OAKLAND (SU: 4-4, ATS: 5-3) - Thursday, 11/7/2019 8:20 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD LA CHARGERS +1.7 2020 21 22-79 (3.6) 37-25-281 (7.6) 59-360 (6.1) 1-119 19 27-114 (4.2) 28-20-209 (7.4) 55-323 (5.9) 0-1 -3 OAKLAND -4.3 23 23 20 28-136 (4.8) 32-22-245 (7.8) 60-381 (6.4) 0-0 27 22 25-92 (3.7) 35-24-297 (8.4) 60-389 (6.5) 0-0 -1 LA CHARGERS: 11-0 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. over the L3 seasons....19-5 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins over the L3 seasons....22-7 UNDER after the first month of the season over the L3 seasons....19-7 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L3 seasons....29-12 OVER away after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. OAKLAND: 3-19 ATS at home after allowing 400 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1992....14-43 ATS at home when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992....12-2 UNDER versus division opponents over the L3 seasons....0-8 ATS off a home win over the L3 seasons....40-82 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992....34-52 ATS as a home underdog since 1992. Betting System: Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG) after 8 or more games, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. (113-55 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: OAKLAND is 4-4 ATS (4-4 SU) vs. LA CHARGERS (1-2 ATS, 2-2 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: LA CHARGERS 25, OAKLAND 23 (251) KANSAS CITY (-3) (SU: 6-3, ATS: 5-4) at (252) TENNESSEE (SU: 4-5, ATS: 3-5) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 1:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD KANSAS CITY +5.3 2228 22 21-90 (4.3) 37-24-300 (8.1) 58-390 (6.7) 1-023 23 29-140 (4.8) 36-23-230 (6.4) 65-370 (5.7) 1-1 +2 TENNESSEE +0.3 1919 19 26-101 (3.9) 31-20-213 (6.9) 57-314 (5.5) 0-1 18 19 26-103 (4.0) 36-22-236 (6.6) 62-339 (5.5) 1-1 +5 KANSAS CITY: 8-1 ATS away against conference opponents over the L2 seasons....10-2 ATS away in games played on a grass field over the L3 seasons....42-24 OVER away after having won 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992....Andy Reid is 23-9 ATS away after 1 or more consecutive wins as coach of KANSAS CITY....Andy Reid is 19-8 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less as coach of KANSAS CITY. TENNESSEE: 104-77 OVER in home lined games since 1992....118-157 ATS against conference opponents since 1992....104-77 OVER at home in games played on a grass field since 1992....56-36 OVER off a road loss since 1992....37-63 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992....100-72 OVER after playing their last game on the road since 1992. Betting System: Road teams - off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. (68-124 ATS) Play = TENNESSEE against the spread Series History – Last 5 Seasons: TENNESSEE is 3-0 ATS (3-0 SU) vs. KANSAS CITY (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: KANSAS CITY 25, TENNESSEE 20 (253) BUFFALO (SU: 6-2, ATS: 5-3) at (254) CLEVELAND (-2.5) (SU: 2-6, ATS: 2-6) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 1:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD BUFFALO +3.4 1520 20 28-129 (4.6) 32-20-207 (6.4) 60-336 (5.6) 0-116 17 26-112 (4.4) 33-20-184 (5.6) 59-296 (5.0) 1-1 -1 CLEVELAND -6.6 22 19 18 23-121 (5.2) 34-20-225 (6.6) 57-346 (6.1) 1-226 20 29-141 (4.9) 31-20-216 (7.1) 60-357 (6.0) 1-0 -8 BUFFALO: 8-1 UNDER away when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L2 seasons....9-1 UNDER away off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L3 seasons....103-72 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992....13-4 UNDER as a road underdog over the L3 seasons....31-15 UNDER as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992....9-2 UNDER in road lined games over the L2 seasons. CLEVELAND: 0-9 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return over the L3 seasons....13-2 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs over the L3 seasons....25-55 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992....17-4 UNDER at home after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992....110-81 UNDER in home lined games since 1992. Betting System: Any team against the total - after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a losing record. (39- 13 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: CLEVELAND is 0-2 ATS (0-2 SU) vs. BUFFALO (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: CLEVELAND 22, BUFFALO 20 (255) ARIZONA (SU: 3-5-1, ATS: 6-3) at (256) TAMPA BAY (-4) (SU: 2-6, ATS: 2-6) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 1:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD ARIZONA -6.2 2022 19 24-121 (5.0) 35-23-224 (6.4) 59-345 (5.8) 0-028 24 28-127 (4.5) 36-26-281 (7.8) 64-408 (6.4) 1-0 +3 TAMPA BAY -2.8 2229 23 26-99 (3.8) 38-23-277 (7.2) 64-376 (5.9) 1-2 32 22 23-78 (3.4) 41-26-292 (7.2) 64-370 (5.8) 1-1 -5 ARIZONA: 15-4 OVER away off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival since 1992....26-12 OVER off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival since 1992....6-0 UNDER after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the L2 seasons....60-40 OVER away after 1 or more consecutive losses since 1992....42-73 against the 1H line away in games played on a grass field since 1992. TAMPA BAY: 0-9 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs over the L2 seasons....3-16 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the L3 seasons....0-9 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games over the L3 seasons....0-9 ATS after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored over the L3 seasons....1-9 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the L2 seasons. Betting System: Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. (27-4 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: TAMPA BAY is 0-2 ATS (0-2 SU) vs. ARIZONA (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: TAMPA BAY 31, ARIZONA 23 (257) NY GIANTS (SU: 2-6, ATS: 3-5) at (258) NY JETS (pk) (SU: 1-7, ATS: 2-6) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 1:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD NY GIANTS -7.5 20 20 20 22-102 (4.7) 38-24-231 (6.1) 60-333 (5.6) 1-127 20 30-122 (4.0) 31-22-264 (8.5) 61-386 (6.3) 0-1 -9 NY JETS -14.4 2112 14 20-66 (3.3) 32-20-157 (5.0) 52-223 (4.3) 1-2 26 21 28-89 (3.1) 38-24-263 (7.0) 66-352 (5.3) 1-1 -7 NY GIANTS: 7-0 ATS away vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game over the L2 seasons....3-15 ATS away vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992....14-3 ATS away against AFC East division opponents since 1992....34-16 UNDER away vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game since 1992. NY JETS: 7-0 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the L2 seasons....7-0 OVER at home vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the L2 seasons....7-0 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the L3 seasons....1-8 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the L2 seasons....45-72 ATS off a road loss since 1992. Betting System: Home teams against the total - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. (29-7 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: NY JETS is 0-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. NY GIANTS (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: NY GIANTS 25, NY JETS 20
4 / DRF Sports Form DRF SPORTS FORM (259) ATLANTA (SU: 1-7, ATS: 1-6) at (260) NEW ORLEANS (-12.5) (SU: 7-1, ATS: 6-2) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 1:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD ATLANTA -10.6 2221 24 18-68 (3.7) 43-31-317 (7.4) 61-385 (6.3) 1-131 23 31-118 (3.8) 31-22-261 (8.4) 62-379 (6.1) 0-0 -11 NEW ORLEANS +4.9 21 24 21 26-114 (4.3) 36-25-261 (7.2) 62-375 (6.0) 0-1 20 17 20-84 (4.1) 36-22-232 (6.5) 56-316 (5.6) 1-0 +3 ATLANTA: 1-11 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game over the L2 seasons....0-7 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the L2 seasons....0-8 ATS away after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the L3 seasons....2-12 ATS after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the L3 seasons....6-17 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS: 16-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the L3 seasons....13-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the L2 seasons....9-0 OVER versus terrible rushing teams - averaging <=70 rushing yards/game since 1992....7-0 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games over the L2 seasons....10-2 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the L2 seasons. Betting System: Any team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 - versus division opponents, off a home win. (92-42 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 ATS (5-5 SU) vs. ATLANTA (3-2 ATS, 3-2 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: NEW ORLEANS 27, ATLANTA 23 (261) BALTIMORE (-10) (SU: 6-2, ATS: 3-4) at (262) CINCINNATI (SU: 0-8, ATS: 3-5) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 1:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD BALTIMORE +9.4 19 31 25 37-205 (5.5) 30-20-222 (7.3) 67-427 (6.4) 0-1 22 19 19-83 (4.3) 37-22-266 (7.2) 56-349 (6.2) 0-1 +2 CINCINNATI -10.8 2216 19 19-60 (3.2) 42-26-258 (6.1) 61-318 (5.2) 1-126 22 35-178 (5.1) 30-19-258 (8.6) 65-436 (6.7) 0-0 -9 BALTIMORE: 12-1 ATS away versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=375 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992....30-13 UNDER after scoring 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992....12-3 UNDER after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992....36-20 UNDER vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season since 1992. CINCINNATI: 37-15 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992....19-6 OVER at home vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game after 8+ games since 1992....21-8 ATS at home after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992....36-20 OVER at home revenging a road loss against opponent since 1992. Betting System: Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - after 5 or more consecutive losses, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season. (24-4 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: CINCINNATI is 8-3 ATS (7-4 SU) vs. BALTIMORE (3-2 ATS, 4-1 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: BALTIMORE 26, CINCINNATI 18 (263) CAROLINA (SU: 5-3, ATS: 5-3) at (264) GREEN BAY (-5.5) (SU: 7-2, ATS: 6-3) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 4:25 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD CAROLINA +0.6 21 26 19 26-133 (5.1) 35-21-206 (5.9) 61-339 (5.6) 1-126 22 26-133 (5.1) 38-24-227 (6.1) 64-360 (5.6) 1-2 +6 GREEN BAY +4.1 2225 20 24-95 (4.0) 35-23-257 (7.3) 59-352 (6.0) 1-021 21 27-128 (4.7) 34-21-255 (7.6) 61-383 (6.3) 1-1 +7 CAROLINA: 44-19 OVER away vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game since 1992....120-89 ATS as an underdog since 1992....82-58 ATS as a road underdog since 1992....172-138 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992....57-36 OVER off a non-conference game since 1992....61-41 ATS away in games played on a grass field since 1992....Ron Rivera is 23-9 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points . GREEN BAY: 41-16 OVER after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992....37-14 ATS at home when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992....48-21 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992....27-11 OVER against NFC South division opponents since 1992. Betting System: Home teams against the total - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. (36-8 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: GREEN BAY is 1-2 ATS (1-2 SU) vs. CAROLINA (1-0 ATS, 1-0 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: GREEN BAY 27, CAROLINA 24 (265) DETROIT (SU: 3-4-1, ATS: 4-4) at (266) CHICAGO (-2.5) (SU: 3-5, ATS: 2-6) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 1:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD DETROIT -1.6 2126 21 26-96 (3.7) 36-23-295 (8.1) 62-391 (6.3) 1-127 24 29-136 (4.7) 39-24-288 (7.4) 68-424 (6.2) 1-0 +1 CHICAGO -0.3 2118 17 23-80 (3.6) 34-22-186 (5.4) 57-266 (4.7) 0-1 18 21 26-94 (3.7) 37-25-230 (6.2) 63-324 (5.1) 1-1 +2 DETROIT: 7-23 ATS away vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season since 1992....11-28 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, more than 24 yards per return in the second half of the season since 1992....8-1 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the L2 seasons. CHICAGO: 11-0 ATS at home after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992....18-4 ATS after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992....8-0 UNDER at home vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992....22-8 ATS at home after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992. Betting System: Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - with a poor offense - averaging 285 or less total yards/game, after being outgained by 200 or more total yds in their previous game. (28-6 Over) Play = Over the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: CHICAGO is 6-3 ATS (3-7 SU) vs. DETROIT (3-1 ATS, 2-3 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: CHICAGO 21, DETROIT 17 (267) MIAMI (SU: 1-7, ATS: 4-4) at (268) INDIANAPOLIS (-11.5) (SU: 5-3, ATS: 4-4) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 4:05 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD MIAMI -19.1 2013 17 20-64 (3.1) 36-21-198 (5.6) 56-262 (4.7) 1-232 22 32-151 (4.8) 30-20-252 (8.3) 62-403 (6.5) 0-0 -13 INDIANAPOLIS +0.6 21 23 23 31-130 (4.2) 33-21-214 (6.5) 64-344 (5.4) 1-0 22 21 24-108 (4.6) 33-23-231 (6.9) 57-339 (5.9) 0-1 -1 MIAMI: 3-13 ATS away when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons....7-21 ATS off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1992....0- 7 ATS away after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game over the L3 seasons....65-32 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992....19-7 UNDER as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992. INDIANAPOLIS: 107-68 UNDER at home against conference opponents since 1992....46-24 UNDER at home off a road loss since 1992....13-3 UNDER at home vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. in the second half of the season since 1992....129-97 UNDER in home lined games since 1992....98-69 UNDER at home when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992....129-97 UNDER at home in dome games since 1992. Betting System: Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - after a game where they committed no turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers. (47-16 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 ATS (2-0 SU) vs. MIAMI (0-1 ATS, 1-0 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: INDIANAPOLIS 31, MIAMI 14
DRF Sports Form / 5 DRF SPORTS FORM (269) LA RAMS (-4) (SU: 5-3, ATS: 6-2) at (270) PITTSBURGH (SU: 4-4, ATS: 4-3) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 4:25 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD LA RAMS +5.0 2027 22 25-97 (3.9) 39-24-288 (7.3) 64-385 (6.0) 1-1 22 21 27-97 (3.6) 36-23-241 (6.6) 63-338 (5.4) 1-1 0 PITTSBURGH +0.9 2222 17 23-88 (3.8) 33-21-202 (6.2) 56-290 (5.2) 0-121 22 28-108 (3.9) 35-23-228 (6.6) 63-336 (5.3) 1-1 +11 LA RAMS: 11-2 ATS away vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the L3 seasons....7-0 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=90 rushing yards/game over the L3 seasons....58-37 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992....199-242 ATS in all lined games since 1992....72-105 ATS in games played on a grass field since 1992....23-11 OVER off 3 or more consecutive unders since 1992. PITTSBURGH: 64-30 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992....0-7 ATS at home off 1 or more straight overs over the L3 seasons....7-0 OVER at home after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the L3 seasons....68-38 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game since 1992....82-55 ATS as an underdog since 1992. Betting System: Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - average passing team (5.9-6.7 PYA) against an average passing defense (5.9-6.7 PYA) after 8+ games, after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game. (39-14 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: PITTSBURGH is 1-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. LA RAMS (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: LA RAMS 23, PITTSBURGH 21 (271) MINNESOTA (SU: 6-3, ATS: 5-4) at (272) DALLAS (-2.5) (SU: 4-3, ATS: 4-3) - Sunday, 11/10/2019 8:20 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD MINNESOTA +8.4 1926 21 32-153 (4.7) 28-19-234 (8.3) 60-387 (6.4) 1-0 18 19 22-96 (4.3) 36-25-225 (6.2) 58-321 (5.5) 1-1 +4 DALLAS +9.4 1627 25 30-146 (4.9) 34-24-292 (8.6) 64-438 (6.8) 0-1 18 20 23-97 (4.2) 35-23-228 (6.4) 58-325 (5.6) 1-0 0 MINNESOTA: 20-8 ATS in games played on turf over the L3 seasons....8-1 UNDER vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the L2 seasons....28-12 OVER away vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season since 1992....35-19 OVER away after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992....29-13 OVER away after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992. DALLAS: 58-22 OVER at home vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. since 1992....32-12 OVER at home vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better in the second half of the season since 1992....10-1 OVER at home when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992....24-10 OVER at home against NFC North division opponents since 1992. Betting System: None available Series History – Last 5 Seasons: DALLAS is 0-1 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. MINNESOTA (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: MINNESOTA 23, DALLAS 22 (273) SEATTLE (SU: 7-2, ATS: 4-4) at (274) SAN FRANCISCO (-6) (SU: 8-0, ATS: 5-3) - Monday, 11/11/2019 8:15 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD SEATTLE +2.0 2028 23 30-132 (4.3) 33-22-263 (8.1) 63-395 (6.3) 1-026 21 22-103 (4.7) 38-25-278 (7.2) 60-381 (6.4) 1-1 +7 SAN FRANCISCO +16.6 18 29 22 38-171 (4.5) 28-20-219 (7.7) 66-390 (5.9) 1-113 13 22-103 (4.7) 28-16-139 (4.9) 50-242 (4.8) 1-1 +4 SEATTLE: 40-16 OVER away when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992....73-41 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992....41-18 OVER vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game since 1992....25-9 OVER vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game in the second half of the season since 1992. SAN FRANCISCO: 33-11 ATS when playing on Monday night since 1992....18-5 UNDER at home vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992....19-6 UNDER at home versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game since 1992....26-10 UNDER at home versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season since 1992. Betting System: Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - excellent offensive team (>=370 YPG) against a terrible defense (>=370 YPG) after 8+ games. (26-5 Under) Play = Under the total Series History – Last 5 Seasons: SAN FRANCISCO is 3-7 ATS (1-9 SU) vs. SEATTLE (2-3 ATS, 1-4 SU at home.) StatFox Forecaster: SAN FRANCISCO 30, SEATTLE 19 StatFox.com Providing Unprecedented Handicapping Content
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6 / DRF Sports Form DRF SPORTS FORM Top NFL Statistical Edges - Week 10 Here is a listing of the top team statistical edges when compared head-to-head with their opponents. Keep track of the ATS wins and losses of the top teams for each of the various statistics to determine if any particular category stands out in terms of success.
OFFENSIVE STATISTICS DEFENSIVE STATISTICS OFF/DEF DIFFERENTIALS Points Scored (PPG) W/L Points Allowed (PPG) W/L Scoring Differential (PPG) W/L 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +15.9 1. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +12.8 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +20.1 2. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +9.9 2. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +11.8 2. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +19.8 3. KANSAS CITY (vs TEN): +9.3 3. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +9.9 3. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +15.5 4. DETROIT (vs CHI): +7.8 4. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +9.3 4. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +14.6 5. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +7.8 5. CHICAGO (vs DET): +9.1 5. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +10.0 6. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +7.1 6. LA CHARGERS (vs OAK): +8.3 6. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +6.9 7. LA RAMS (vs PIT): +4.8 7. GREEN BAY (vs CAR): +4.5 7. LA CHARGERS (vs OAK): +5.9
Rushing Yards Gained (RYPG) W/L Rushing Yards Allowed (RYPG) W/L Rushing Yds Differential (RYPG) W/L 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +145.3 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +94.6 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +239.9 2. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +66.0 2. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +48.8 2. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +108.5 3. OAKLAND (vs SD): +56.9 3. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +42.5 3. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +79.8 4. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +45.8 4. CHICAGO (vs DET): +42.3 4. OAKLAND (vs SD): +78.5 5. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +39.3 5. TENNESSEE (vs KC): +36.4 5. TENNESSEE (vs KC): +47.0 6. CAROLINA (vs GB): +37.5 6. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +34.0 6. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +39.1 7. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +36.1 7. NY JETS (vs NYG): +33.1 7. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +37.9
Yards Per Rush Gained (YPR) W/L Yards Per Rush Allowed (YPR) W/L Yards Per Rush Differential (YPR) W/L 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +2.3 1. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +1.1 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +3.1 2. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +1.4 2. CHICAGO (vs DET): +1.1 2. OAKLAND (vs SD): +1.6 3. ARIZONA (vs TB): +1.2 3. NY JETS (vs NYG): +0.9 3. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +1.2 4. OAKLAND (vs SD): +1.2 4. TENNESSEE (vs KC): +0.8 4. CHICAGO (vs DET): +0.9 5. CAROLINA (vs GB): +1.1 5. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +0.8 5. CAROLINA (vs GB): +0.8 6. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +1.1 6. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +0.5 6. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +0.5 7. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +0.6 7. OAKLAND (vs SD): +0.5 7. TENNESSEE (vs KC): +0.4
Passing Yards Gained (PYPG) W/L Passing Yards Allowed (PYPG) W/L Passing Yds Differential (PYPG) W/L 1. DETROIT (vs CHI): +109.0 1. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +139.2 1. LA CHARGERS (vs OAK): +124.5 2. KANSAS CITY (vs TEN): +87.4 2. LA CHARGERS (vs OAK): +88.5 2. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +95.0 3. LA RAMS (vs PIT): +86.0 3. CHICAGO (vs DET): +58.1 3. KANSAS CITY (vs TEN): +94.0 4. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +74.1 4. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +31.9 4. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +72.6 5. DALLAS (vs MIN): +58.2 5. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +28.9 5. LA RAMS (vs PIT): +72.6 6. ATLANTA (vs NO): +56.0 6. CAROLINA (vs GB): +28.2 6. DALLAS (vs MIN): +55.3 7. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +53.5 7. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +20.4 7. DETROIT (vs CHI): +50.9
Yards Per Pass Attempted (PYA) W/L Yards Per Pass Allowed (PYA) W/L Yards Per Pass Differential (PYA) W/L 1. DETROIT (vs CHI): +2.7 1. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +2.3 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +2.6 2. GREEN BAY (vs CAR): +1.4 2. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +1.8 2. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +2.3 3. KANSAS CITY (vs TEN): +1.2 3. NY JETS (vs NYG): +1.5 3. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +1.9 4. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +1.2 4. CAROLINA (vs GB): +1.5 4. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +1.7 5. LA RAMS (vs PIT): +1.1 5. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +1.5 5. DETROIT (vs CHI): +1.5 6. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +1.1 6. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +1.4 6. KANSAS CITY (vs TEN): +1.4 7. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +0.9 7. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +1.4 7. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +1.4
Total Yards Gained (TYPG) W/L Total Yards Allowed (TYPG) W/L Total Yds Differential (TYPG) W/L 1. DETROIT (vs CHI): +124.5 1. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +139.0 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +197.0 2. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +110.3 2. CHICAGO (vs DET): +100.4 2. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +144.3 3. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +109.8 3. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +87.3 3. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +134.2 4. LA RAMS (vs PIT): +94.9 4. LA CHARGERS (vs OAK): +66.8 4. LA RAMS (vs PIT): +92.1 5. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +81.4 5. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +62.9 5. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +75.6 6. KANSAS CITY (vs TEN): +76.9 6. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +62.9 6. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +69.2 7. DALLAS (vs MIN): +51.2 7. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +61.4 7. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +52.6 DRF Sports Form Yards Per Play Attempted (YPP) W/L Yards Per Play Allowed (YPP) W/L Yards Per Play Differential (YPP) /W/L 7 1. DETROIT (vs CHI): +1.6 1. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +2.4 1. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +3.1 2. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +1.2 2. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +2.0 2. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +2.6 3. KANSAS CITY (vs TEN): +1.2 3. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +1.9 3. SAN FRANCISCO (vs SEA): +2.0 4. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +1.1 4. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +1.3 4. NY GIANTS (vs NYJ): +1.6 5. LA RAMS (vs PIT): +0.8 5. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +1.1 5. LA RAMS (vs PIT): +1.5 6. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +0.7 6. CHICAGO (vs DET): +1.1 6. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +1.2 7. CLEVELAND (vs BUF): +0.5 7. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +1.1 7. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +0.9
Turnovers Committed Per Game (TOPG) W/L Turnovers Forced Per Game (TOPG) W/L Turnover Differential (TODiff) W/L 1. ARIZONA (vs TB): +1.8 1. PITTSBURGH (vs LA): +1.3 1. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +1.8 2. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +1.1 2. TAMPA BAY (vs ARZ): +0.8 2. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +1.5 3. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +0.9 3. CAROLINA (vs GB): +0.8 3. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +1.4 4. GREEN BAY (vs CAR): +0.8 4. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +0.6 4. PITTSBURGH (vs LA): +1.4 5. BALTIMORE (vs CIN): +0.8 5. INDIANAPOLIS (vs MIA): +0.6 5. ARIZONA (vs TB): +1.0 6. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +0.6 6. NEW ORLEANS (vs ATL): +0.6 6. BUFFALO (vs CLE): +0.9 7. SEATTLE (vs SF): +0.5 7. TENNESSEE (vs KC): +0.3 7. MINNESOTA (vs DAL): +0.4 DRF SPORTS FORM
PRESENTS THE WEEK’S STAFF PICKS
WEEK 11 COLLEGE FOOTBALL StatFox StatFox StatFox StatFox StatFox StatFox TIM GARY SCOTT BRIAN FORECASTER CONSENSUS (BB) = BEST BET LINE
• Temple at South Florida +2½ TEMPLE SOUTH FLORIDA SOUTH FLORIDA TEMPLE SOUTH FLORIDA SOUTH FLORIDA
• Central Florida at Tulsa +17 UCF TULSA UCF UCF UCF UCF
• Washington at Oregon State +9½ WASHINGTON OREGON ST OREGON ST (BB) OREGON ST (BB) WASHINGTON OREGON ST
• Clemson at NC State +31 CLEMSON NC STATE CLEMSON NC STATE NC STATE NC STATE
• Florida State at Boston College -1½ BOSTON COLLEGE BOSTON COLLEGE FLORIDA STATE FLORIDA STATE BOSTON COLLEGE BOSTON COLLEGE
• Texas Tech at West Virginia +1½ TEXAS TECH TEXAS TECH (BB) TEXAS TECH WEST VIRGINIA WEST VIRGINIA TEXAS TECH
• Louisville at Miami -4½ LOUISVILLE LOUISVILLE LOUISVILLE (BB) LOUISVILLE LOUISVILLE LOUISVILLE
• Notre Dame at Duke +6 NOTRE DAME (BB) DUKE NOTRE DAME NOTRE DAME (BB) DUKE NOTRE DAME
• Maryland at Ohio State -42 OHIO STATE MARYLAND MARYLAND OHIO STATE MARYLAND MARYLAND
• Illinois at Michigan State -13 ILLINOIS (BB) ILLINOIS (BB) ILLINOIS (BB) ILLINOIS ILLINOIS ILLINOIS
• Wake Forest at Virginia Tech +2½ VIRGINIA TECH WAKE FOREST (BB) WAKE FOREST WAKE FOREST (BB) VIRGINIA TECH WAKE FOREST
• Penn State at Minnesota +7 PENN STATE MINNESOTA (BB) MINNESOTA PENN STATE PENN STATE PENN STATE
• Vanderbilt at Florida -24½ FLORIDA VANDERBILT FLORIDA VANDERBILT FLORIDA FLORIDA
• Southern Cal at Arizona State -1 ARIZONA ST (BB) USC USC ARIZONA ST USC USC
• Baylor at Texas Christian +1 BAYLOR (BB) BAYLOR BAYLOR (BB) TCU BAYLOR BAYLOR
• LSU at Alabama -6½ LSU ALABAMA LSU ALABAMA (BB) LSU LSU
• Iowa State at Oklahoma -13 OKLAHOMA (BB) IOWA STATE OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA IOWA STATE OKLAHOMA
• Kansas State at Texas -5½ TEXAS TEXAS KANSAS STATE TEXAS (BB) KANSAS STATE TEXAS
• Iowa at Wisconsin -8½ WISCONSIN IOWA (BB) IOWA (BB) IOWA WISCONSIN IOWA
• Washington State at California +7½ WASHINGTON ST WASHINGTON ST WASHINGTON ST CALIFORNIA CALIFORNIA WASHINGTON ST
2019 COLLEGE FOOTBALL STAFF PICKS STANDINGS
Featured Matchups W L T Pct Last Week Best Bets W L T Pct Last Week
StatFox Brian 105 91 0 53.6% 14-6 StatFox Brian 32 18 0 64.0% 3-2
StatFox Tim 102 94 0 52.0% 11-9 StatFox Scott 25 25 0 50.0% 2-3
StatFox Consensus 99 97 0 50.5% 9-11 StatFox Tim 24 26 0 48.0% 3-2
StatFox Scott 96 100 0 49.0% 6-14 StatFox Gary 23 27 0 46.0% 4-1
StatFox Forecaster 93 103 0 47.4% 8-12
StatFox Gary 91 105 0 46.4% 9-11
8 / DRF Sports Form DRF SPORTS FORM College Football 2019 - Week #11 College Football 2019 - Week #11 Tuesday, November 05, 2019 Saturday, November 09, 2019 7:00 PM 3:30 PM 101 KENT ST 125 LOUISVILLE
102 TOLEDO -7.5 -11 -7 126 MIAMI -5 -13 -4.5 8:00 PM 7:30 PM 103 BALL ST 127 NOTRE DAME -6 -6
104 W MICHIGAN -8 -9 -7 128 DUKE ev Wednesday, November 06, 2019 12:00 PM 129 MARYLAND 8:00 PM 130 OHIO ST -42 -45 -42 105 MIAMI OHIO 12:00 PM 106 OHIO U -6.5 -12 -6.5 131 MASSACHUSETTS
Thursday, November 07, 2019 132 ARMY -35.5 -39 -34.5 7:30 PM 3:30 PM 109 LA LAFAYETTE -12 -12 -13.5 133 CONNECTICUT
110 COASTAL CAROLIN 134 CINCINNATI -34.5 -39 -34.5 8:00 PM 3:30 PM 111 TEMPLE -1 -2.5 135 ILLINOIS
112 S FLORIDA ev 136 MICHIGAN ST -11.5 -11 -13 Friday, November 08, 2019 3:30 PM 137 WAKE FOREST -3 -3 -2.5 7:00 PM 138 VIRGINIA TECH 113 UCF -16 -20 -17 7:00 PM 114 TULSA 139 APPALACHIAN ST 10:30 PM 140 S CAROLINA -3.5 -1 -4 115 WASHINGTON -9.5 -16 -9.5 12:00 PM 116 OREGON ST 141 PENN ST -6 -8 -7 Saturday, November 09, 2019 142 MINNESOTA 7:30 PM 12:00 PM 117 CLEMSON -30.5 -31 -31 143 VANDERBILT
118 NC STATE 144 FLORIDA -24 -26 -24.5 12:00 PM 12:00 PM 119 FLORIDA ST 145 PURDUE -2 -1.5
120 BOSTON COLLEGE -1 -9 -1.5 146 NORTHWESTERN ev 12:30 PM 2:00 PM 121 GEORGIA TECH 147 AIR FORCE -21.5 -23 -21.5 122 VIRGINIA -17 -16 -17 148 NEW MEXICO 12:00 PM 3:00 PM 123 TEXAS TECH -1.5 149 STANFORD -3.5 -5 -3.5
124 W VIRGINIA pk -6 150 COLORADO
DRF Sports Form / 9 DRF SPORTS FORM College Football 2019 - Week #11 College Football 2019 - Week #11 Saturday, November 09, 2019 Saturday, November 09, 2019 2:00 PM 3:30 PM 151 UTSA 177 GA SOUTHERN -1 -2.5 152 OLD DOMINION -3.5 -6 -4.5 178 TROY ev 3:30 PM 7:30 PM 153 USC -1 -1 179 TENNESSEE 154 ARIZONA ST -1 180 KENTUCKY -2.5 -9 -2.5 10:15 PM 155 WYOMING 7:00 PM 181 MISSOURI 156 BOISE ST -11.5 -11 -13 7:30 PM 182 GEORGIA -17 157 LIBERTY 3:30 PM 158 BYU -18 -20 -17 183 KANSAS ST 3:00 PM 184 TEXAS -5 -5 -5.5 -11.5 -10 -11.5 159 CHARLOTTE 4:00 PM 160 UTEP 185 NORTH TEXAS 12:00 PM 186 LOUISIANA TECH -6 -9 -5.5 161 BAYLOR -1 -1 5:00 PM 162 TCU -2 187 GEORGIA ST -2.5 -1 -2 12:00 PM 188 LA MONROE 163 E CAROLINA 6:00 PM 164 SMU -23 -25 -23.5 189 FLA INT'L 3:00 PM 165 S ALABAMA 190 FLA ATLANTIC -10 -15 -10
166 TEXAS ST -7 -4 -7.5 7:00 PM 3:30 PM 191 UTAH ST 167 LSU 192 FRESNO ST -3 -4 -3.5 168 ALABAMA -6.5 -8 -6.5 4:00 PM 4:00 PM 193 IOWA 169 NEW MEXICO ST 194 WISCONSIN -9.5 -4 -8.5 170 OLE MISS -28.5 -34 -28.5 7:00 PM 12:00 PM 195 WASHINGTON ST -7 -8 -7.5 171 W KENTUCKY 196 CALIFORNIA 172 ARKANSAS -2.5 -1 -2 10:30 PM 8:00 PM 197 NEVADA 173 IOWA ST 198 SAN DIEGO ST -16.5 -15 -17 174 OKLAHOMA -13 -16 -13 3:30 PM 11:00 PM 175 UAB 199 SAN JOSE ST
176 SOUTHERN MISS -7 -4 -6 200 HAWAII -7 -4 -7
10 / DRF Sports Form DRF SPORTS FORM StatFox College Football Power Rating Lines - Week 11 ** The StatFox Power Ratings are determined from a formula that is takes into account several key factors, StatFox College Football Power Rating Lines -ABBREVIATIONS: Week 11 including point margins, difficulty of schedule, team statistics and more. The ratings are typically not as reactive OL - Opening Line as those you will find** Theelsewhere, StatFox Powerand thus Ratings prove are to determinedbe a great fromlong aterm formula handicapping that is takes tool. into Hereaccount are several the StatFox key factors, ABBREVIATIONS: Power Rating linesincluding and edges point for margins, this week's difficulty games, of schedule, with our team exclusive statistics home and field more. advantage The ratings points are typically built into not as reactivePR - StatFoxOL - Opening Power LineRating - adjusted each home team's asrating those and you corresponding will find elsewhere, line. andNote thus that prove the point to be edgea great between long term the handicapping Power Rating tool. Line Here and are the forStatFox home field advantage. Power Rating lines and edges for this week's games, with our exclusive home field advantage points built into PR - StatFox Power Rating - adjusted the actual opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the W/L column to keep track of the winners each home team's rating and corresponding line. Note that the point edge between the Power Rating LinePRL and - Calculatedfor home field Power advantage. Rating Line and losers. the actual opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the W/L column to keep track of the winners and losers. PRL - Calculated Power Rating Line Tue - 11/5,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Tue - 11/5,8:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Wed - 11/6,8:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 101 KENT ST Tue - 11/5,7:0021 PM OL PR PRL103Edge BALLW/L ST Tue - 11/5,8:00 PM26 OL PR PRL Edge105W/L MIAMI OHIOWed - 11/6,8:00 PM 28OL PR PRL Edge W/L 102 TOLEDO 101 KENT-7.5 ST 33 -12 4.5 21 104 W MICHIGAN103 BALL ST -8 36 -10 262 106 OHIO105 U MIAMI OHIO -6.5 40 -1228 5.5 102 TOLEDO -7.5 33 -12 4.5 104 W MICHIGAN -8 36 -10 2 106 OHIO U -6.5 40 -12 5.5 Thu - 11/7,7:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Thu - 11/7,8:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Fri - 11/8,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 109 LA LAFAYETTE Thu - 11/7,7:30-12 38 PM-14 OL2 PR PRL111Edge TEMPLEW/L Thu - 11/7,8:00-1 PM33 -1OL PR PRL Edge113W/L UCF Fri - 11/8,7:00 PM-16 51OL -20PR PRL4 Edge W/L 110 COASTAL CAROLIN109 LA LAFAYETTE24 -12 38 -14112 2S FLORIDA111 TEMPLE 32 -1 330 -1 114 TULSA113 UCF 31-16 51 -20 4 110 COASTAL CAROLIN 24 112 S FLORIDA 32 0 114 TULSA 31 Fri - 11/8,10:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Fri - 11/8,10:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 115 WASHINGTON -9.5 49 -17 7.5 117 CLEMSON -30.5 67 -29 119 FLORIDA ST 37 115 WASHINGTON -9.5 49 -17 7.5 117 CLEMSON -30.5 67 -29 119 FLORIDA ST 37 116 OREGON ST 116 OREGON ST32 32 118 NC STATE118 NC STATE 38 1.538 1.5120 BOSTON120 BOSTONCOLLEGE COLLEGE-1 44-1 -744 6-7 6
Sat - 11/9,12:30 PMSat - 11/9,12:30OL PR PMPRL EdgeOL PRW/LPRL EdgeSat - W/L11/9,12:00Sat PM - 11/9,12:00OL PMPR PRLOL EdgePR PRLW/L Edge SatW/L - 11/9,3:30Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM PMOL PROLPRLPREdgePRL W/LEdge W/L 121 GEORGIA TECH121 GEORGIA TECH32 1 32 123 1TEXAS TECH123 TEXAS TECH 38 38 125 LOUISVILLE125 LOUISVILLE 32 32 122 VIRGINIA 122 VIRGINIA-17 48 -16 -17 48 -16124 W VIRGINIA124 W VIRGINIApk 45 -7pk 457 -7 7126 MIAMI126 MIAMI -5 46-5 -1446 9-14 9
Sat - 11/9,7:30 PMSat - 11/9,7:30OL PR PMPRL EdgeOL PRW/LPRL EdgeSat - W/L11/9,12:00Sat PM - 11/9,12:00OL PMPR PRLOL EdgePR PRLW/L EdgeSatW/L - 11/9,12:00Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OLPM PROLPRLPREdgePRL W/LEdge W/L 127 NOTRE DAME127 NOTRE-6 DAME46 -1 -6 46 -1129 MARYLAND129 MARYLAND 33 33 131 MASSACHUSETTS131 MASSACHUSETTS -2 -2 128 DUKE 128 DUKE 45 5 45 130 5OHIO ST 130 OHIO ST -42 78 -45-42 783 -45 3132 ARMY132 ARMY -35.5 35-35.5-3735 1.5-37 1.5 W/L W/L W/L Sat - 11/9,3:30 PMSat - 11/9,3:30OL PR PMPRL EdgeOL PRW/LPRL EdgeSat - 11/9,3:30Sat PM - 11/9,3:30OL PMPR PRLOL EdgePR PRLW/L Edge Sat - 11/9,3:30Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM PMOL PROLPRLPREdgePRL W/LEdge 133 CONNECTICUT 7 135 ILLINOIS 33 137 WAKE FOREST -3 43 -4 1 133 CONNECTICUT 7 135 ILLINOIS 33 137 WAKE FOREST -3 43 -4 1 134 CINCINNATI -34.5 45 -38 3.5 136 MICHIGAN ST -11.5 45 -12 0.5 138 VIRGINIA TECH 39 134 CINCINNATI -34.5 45 -38 3.5 136 MICHIGAN ST -11.5 45 -12 0.5 138 VIRGINIA TECH 39 Sat - 11/9,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:00 139PM APPALACHIANOL PR STPRL Edge W/L45 Sat3.5 - 11/9,12:00141 PENN PM ST OL PR PRL-6 Edge60 W/L-10 4 Sat - 11/9,12:00143 VANDERBILT PM OL PR PRL32Edge W/L 139 APPALACHIAN140 ST S CAROLINA45 -3.53.5 45 0141 PENN ST142 MINNESOTA-6 60 -10 504 143 VANDERBILT144 FLORIDA 32-24 58 -26 2 140 S CAROLINA -3.5 45 0 142 MINNESOTA 50 144 FLORIDA -24 58 -26 2 Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,2:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,3:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00145 PM PURDUEOL PR PRL Edge-2 W/L37 -2 Sat - 11/9,2:00147 AIR PM FORCEOL PR PRL-21.5Edge41 W/L-24 2.5 Sat - 11/9,3:00149 STANFORD PM OL PR-3.5PRL37Edge-5 W/L1.5 145 PURDUE 146 NORTHWESTERN-2 37 -2 35 147 0AIR FORCE148 NEW MEXICO-21.5 41 -24 2.517 149 STANFORD150 COLORADO -3.5 37 -532 1.5 146 NORTHWESTERN 35 0 148 NEW MEXICO 17 150 COLORADO 32 Sat - 11/9,2:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,10:15 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,2:00 151PM UTSAOL PR PRL Edge W/L11 Sat - 11/9,3:30153 USC PM OL PR PRL-1 Edge43 W/L Sat - 11/9,10:15155 WYOMING PM OL PR PRL37Edge W/L2.5 151 UTSA 152 OLD DOMINION11 -3.5 17 -61532.5 USC 154 ARIZONA ST-1 43 44 -1 2155 WYOMING156 BOISE ST 37-11.5 46 2.5-9 152 OLD DOMINION Sat - 11/9,7:30-3.5 17 PM -6 OL2.5 PR PRL154Edge ARIZONAW/L STSat - 11/9,3:00 PM44 -1OL PR2 PRL Edge156W/L BOISE STSat - 11/9,12:00-11.5 PM 46OL -9PR PRL Edge W/L 157 LIBERTY 25 159 CHARLOTTE -11.5 21 -11 161 BAYLOR -1 45 W/L W/L W/L Sat - 11/9,7:30 158PM BYU OL PR PRL Edge-18 43 -18 Sat0 - 11/9,3:00160 UTEP PM OL PR PRL Edge10 0.5 Sat - 11/9,12:00162 TCU PM OL PR PRL46Edge-1 2 157 LIBERTY 25 159 CHARLOTTE -11.5 21 -11 161 BAYLOR -1 45 158 BYU Sat - 11/9,12:00-18 43 PM-18 OL0 PR PRL160Edge UTEPW/L Sat - 11/9,3:00 PM10 OL 0.5PR PRL Edge162W/L TCU Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM 46OL -1PR PRL2 Edge W/L 163 E CAROLINA 20 165 S ALABAMA 12 4 167 LSU 63 Sat - 11/9,12:00164 PM SMU OL PR PRL Edge-23 W/L45 -25 Sat2 - 11/9,3:00166 TEXAS PM STOL PR PRL-7 Edge15 W/L-3 Sat - 11/9,3:30168 ALABAMA PM OL PR-6.5PRL70Edge-7 W/L0.5 163 E CAROLINA 20 165 S ALABAMA 12 4 167 LSU 63 Sat - 11/9,4:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,8:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 164 SMU -23 45 -25 2 166 TEXAS ST -7 15 -3 168 ALABAMA -6.5 70 -7 0.5 169 NEW MEXICO ST 9 171 W KENTUCKY 25 0.5 173 IOWA ST 49 Sat - 11/9,4:00 170PM OLE MISSOL PR PRL-28.5Edge W/L42 -33 Sat4.5 - 11/9,12:00172 ARKANSAS PM OL PR PRL-2.5 Edge27 W/L-2 Sat - 11/9,8:00174 OKLAHOMA PM OL PR-13PRL66Edge-17 W/L4 169 NEW MEXICO STSat - 11/9,3:309 PM OL PR PRL171Edge W KENTUCKYW/L Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM25 OL 0.5PR PRL Edge173W/L IOWA STSat - 11/9,7:30 PM 49OL PR PRL Edge W/L 170 OLE MISS 175 UAB-28.5 42 -33 4.5 30 172 3ARKANSAS177 GA SOUTHERN-2.5 27 -2-1 34 -4 3174 OKLAHOMA179 TENNESSEE -13 66 -1739 4 176 SOUTHERN MISS -7 34 -4 178 TROY 30 180 KENTUCKY -2.5 48 -9 6.5 Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 175 UAB Sat - 11/9,7:0030 PM OL3 PR PRL177Edge GA W/LSOUTHERNSat - 11/9,3:30-1 PM34 -4OL PR3 PRL Edge179W/L TENNESSEESat - 11/9,4:00 PM 39OL PR PRL Edge W/L 176 SOUTHERN MISS181 MISSOURI-7 34 -4 48 178 TROY 183 KANSAS ST 30 46 180 KENTUCKY185 NORTH TEXAS-2.5 48 -928 6.5 182 GEORGIA 63 -15 184 TEXAS -5 51 -5 0 186 LOUISIANA TECH -6 36 -8 2 Sat - 11/9,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,4:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 181 MISSOURI Sat - 11/9,5:0048 PM OL PR PRL183Edge KANSASW/L ST Sat - 11/9,6:00 PM46 OL PR PRL Edge185W/L NORTH SatTEXAS - 11/9,7:00 PM 28OL PR PRL Edge W/L 182 GEORGIA 187 GEORGIA ST63 -15 -2.5 25 -2184 TEXAS 189 FLA INTERNATION-5 51 -5 250 186 LOUISIANA191 UTAH TECH ST -6 36 -836 2 188 LA MONROE 23 0.5 190 FLA ATLANTIC -10 38 -13 3 192 FRESNO ST -3 39 -3 0 Sat - 11/9,5:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,6:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,4:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,10:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 187 GEORGIA ST -2.5 25 -2 189 FLA INTERNATION 25 191 UTAH ST 36 193 IOWA 53 6.5 195 WASHINGTON ST -7 45 -7 197 NEVADA 24 4.5 188 LA MONROE 194 WISCONSIN23 -9.50.5 56 -3190 FLA ATLANTIC196 CALIFORNIA-10 38 -13 383 0192 FRESNO198 SANST DIEGO ST-3 39-16.5 -336 0-12
Sat - 11/9,4:00 PMSat - 11/9,11:00OL PR PMPRL EdgeOL PRW/LPRL EdgeSat -W/L 11/9,7:00 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,10:30 PM OL PR PRL Edge W/L 193 IOWA 199 SAN JOSE ST53 6.5 21 195 4WASHINGTON ST -7 45 -7 197 NEVADA 24 4.5 194 WISCONSIN 200 HAWAII-9.5 56 -3 -7 24 -3196 CALIFORNIA 38 0 198 SAN DIEGO ST -16.5 36 -12
Sat - 11/9,11:00TOP PM STATFOXOL PR POWERPRL Edge RATINGW/L 1. MIAMI (-5) over LOUISVILLE 9 2. WASHINGTON (-9.5) over OREGON ST 7.5 199 SAN JOSE STEDGES: 21 4 3. W VIRGINIA (pk) over TEXAS TECH 7 4. IOWA (+9.5) over WISCONSIN 6.5 200 HAWAII -7 24 -3 5. KENTUCKY (-2.5) over TENNESSEE 6.5 6. BOSTON COLLEGE (-1) over FLORIDA ST 6 TOP STATFOX POWER RATING 1. MIAMI (-5) over LOUISVILLE 9 2. WASHINGTON (-9.5) overDRF OREGON Sports ST Form7.5 / 11 EDGES: 3. W VIRGINIA (pk) over TEXAS TECH 7 4. IOWA (+9.5) over WISCONSIN 6.5 5. KENTUCKY (-2.5) over TENNESSEE 6.5 6. BOSTON COLLEGE (-1) over FLORIDA ST 6 DRF SPORTS FORM Statfox College Football Outplay Factor Rating Lines - Week 11 ** The Outplay Factor Ratings made famous by StatFox are a great Team Strength Indicator as they provide a Statfox College Football Outplay Factor Rating LinesABBREVIATIONS: - Week 11 quantitative measure of how teams are outplaying (+ value) or being outplayed by (- value) their opponents. They OL - Opening Line are determined by a** complicatedThe Outplay Factorformula Ratings that takes made into famous account by StatFox a team's are points a great for/against Team Strength as compared Indicator as to theyhow provide a ABBREVIATIONS: their previous opponentsquantitative have measure fared. Here of how are teams the StatFox are outplaying Team Outplay(+ value) Factoror being Ratings outplayed and by the (- value)corresponding their opponents. OF They - StatFox OL - Opening Outplay Line Factor Rating - game lines derivedare from determined them. Note by athat complicated the point formulaedge between that takes the into Outplay account Factor a team's Rating points Line for/against and the as actual compared adjusted to how for home field advantage. their previous opponents have fared. Here are the StatFox Team Outplay Factor Ratings and the corresponding OF - StatFox Outplay Factor Rating - opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the W/L column to keep track of the winners and losers. game lines derived from them. Note that the point edge between the Outplay Factor Rating Line and theOFL actual - Calculatedadjusted for Outplay home field Factor advantage. Line opening line is denoted for the team with the edge. Use the W/L column to keep track of the winners and losers. OFL - Calculated Outplay Factor Line Tue - 11/5,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Tue - 11/5,8:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Wed - 11/6,8:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 101 KENT ST Tue - 11/5,7:0016 PM OL0.5 OF OFL103Edge BALLW/L ST Tue - 11/5,8:00 PM27 OL 3.0OF OFL Edge105 W/LMIAMI OHIOWed - 11/6,8:00 PM 19OL OF OFL Edge W/L 102 TOLEDO 101 KENT-7.5 ST 23 -7 16 1040.5 W MICHIGAN103 BALL ST -8 32 -5 27 3.0106 OHIO105 U MIAMI OHIO -6.5 30 -1119 4.5 102 TOLEDO -7.5 23 -7 104 W MICHIGAN -8 32 -5 106 OHIO U -6.5 30 -11 4.5 Thu - 11/7,7:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Thu - 11/7,8:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Fri - 11/8,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 109 LA LAFAYETTE Thu - 11/7,7:30-12 37 PM-10 OL OF OFL111Edge TEMPLEW/L Thu - 11/7,8:00-1 PM25 OL OF OFL Edge113 W/LUCF Fri - 11/8,7:00 PM-16 39OL -11OF OFL Edge W/L 110 COASTAL CAROLIN109 LA LAFAYETTE27 -122.0 37 -10112 S FLORIDA111 TEMPLE 25 0-1 1.025 114 TULSA113 UCF 28-16 39 5.0-11 110 COASTAL CAROLIN 27 2.0 112 S FLORIDA 25 0 1.0 114 TULSA 28 5.0 Fri - 11/8,10:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Fri - 11/8,10:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 115 WASHINGTON -9.5 36 -10 0.5 117 CLEMSON -30.5 50 -26 119 FLORIDA ST 31 -3 4.0 115 WASHINGTON -9.5 36 -10 0.5 117 CLEMSON -30.5 50 -26 119 FLORIDA ST 31 -3 4.0 116 OREGON ST 116 OREGON ST26 26 118 NC STATE118 NC STATE 24 4.524 4.5120 BOSTON120 BOSTONCOLLEGE COLLEGE-1 28-1 28 Sat - 11/9,12:30 PMSat - 11/9,12:30OL OF PMOFL EdgeOL OFW/LOFL EdgeSat - W/L11/9,12:00Sat PM - 11/9,12:00OL PMOF OFLOL EdgeOF OFLW/L EdgeSatW/L - 11/9,3:30Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM PMOL OFOLOFLOFEdgeOFLW/LEdge W/L 121 GEORGIA TECH121 GEORGIA TECH18 18 123 TEXAS TECH123 TEXAS TECH 27 27 125 LOUISVILLE125 LOUISVILLE 30 30 1.0 1.0 122 VIRGINIA 122 VIRGINIA-17 36 -18 -171.0 36 -181241.0 W VIRGINIA124 W VIRGINIApk 29 -2pk 2.029 -2 2.0126 MIAMI126 MIAMI -5 34-5 -434 -4 Sat - 11/9,7:30 PMSat - 11/9,7:30OL OF PMOFL EdgeOL OFW/LOFL EdgeSat - W/L11/9,12:00Sat PM - 11/9,12:00OL PMOF OFLOL EdgeOF OFLW/L EdgeSatW/L - 11/9,12:00Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OLPM OFOLOFLOFEdgeOFLW/LEdge W/L 127 NOTRE DAME127 NOTRE-6 DAME41 -9 -63.0 41 -91293.0 MARYLAND129 MARYLAND 23 23 131 MASSACHUSETTS131 MASSACHUSETTS -8 -8 0.5 0.5 128 DUKE 128 DUKE 32 32 130 OHIO ST 130 OHIO ST -42 74 -51-42 9.074 -51 9.0132 ARMY132 ARMY -35.5 27-35.5-3527 -35 Sat - 11/9,3:30 PMSat - 11/9,3:30OL OF PMOFL EdgeOL OFW/LOFL EdgeSat -W/L 11/9,3:30Sat PM - 11/9,3:30OL PMOF OFLOL EdgeOF OFLW/L EdgeSatW/L - 11/9,3:30Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM PMOL OFOLOFLOFEdgeOFLW/LEdge W/L 133 CONNECTICUT 7 1.5 135 ILLINOIS 26 137 WAKE FOREST -3 32 -3 133 CONNECTICUT 7 1.5 135 ILLINOIS 26 137 WAKE FOREST -3 32 -3 134 CINCINNATI -34.5 40 -33 136 MICHIGAN ST -11.5 41 -15 3.5 138 VIRGINIA TECH 29 0.0 134 CINCINNATI -34.5 40 -33 136 MICHIGAN ST -11.5 41 -15 3.5 138 VIRGINIA TECH 29 0.0 Sat - 11/9,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:00 139PM APPALACHIANOL OF STOFL Edge W/L39 -7 Sat10.5 - 11/9,12:00141 PENN PM ST OL OF OFL-6 Edge53 W/L-11 5.0 Sat - 11/9,12:00143 VANDERBILT PM OL OF OFL17Edge W/L 139 APPALACHIAN140 ST S CAROLINA39 -7 -3.510.5 32 141 PENN ST142 MINNESOTA-6 53 -11 5.042 143 VANDERBILT144 FLORIDA 17-24 43 -26 2.0 140 S CAROLINA -3.5 32 142 MINNESOTA 42 144 FLORIDA -24 43 -26 2.0 Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,2:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,3:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00145 PM PURDUEOL OF OFL Edge-2 W/L28 -6 Sat4.0 - 11/9,2:00147 AIR PM FORCEOL OF OFL-21.5Edge36 W/L-24 2.5 Sat - 11/9,3:00149 STANFORD PM OL OF-3.5OFL24Edge W/L 145 PURDUE 146 NORTHWESTERN-2 28 -6 4.0 22 147 AIR FORCE148 NEW MEXICO-21.5 36 -24 2.512 149 STANFORD150 COLORADO -3.5 24 25 -1 4.5 146 NORTHWESTERNSat - 11/9,2:0022 PM OL OF OFL148Edge NEWW/L MEXICOSat - 11/9,3:30 PM12 OL OF OFL Edge150 W/LCOLORADOSat - 11/9,10:15 PM 25OL -1OF 4.5OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,2:00 151PM UTSAOL OF OFL Edge W/L8 Sat - 11/9,3:30153 USC PM OL OF OFL-1 Edge32 W/L Sat - 11/9,10:15155 WYOMING PM OL OF OFL29Edge W/L0.5 151 UTSA 152 OLD DOMINION8 -3.5 15 -71533.5 USC 154 ARIZONA ST-1 32 33 -1 2.0155 WYOMING156 BOISE ST 29-11.5 40 0.5-11 152 OLD DOMINION Sat - 11/9,7:30-3.5 15 PM -7 OL3.5 OF OFL154Edge ARIZONAW/L STSat - 11/9,3:00 PM33 -1OL 2.0OF OFL Edge156 W/LBOISE STSat - 11/9,12:00-11.5 PM 40OL -11OF OFL Edge W/L 157 LIBERTY 21 7.0 159 CHARLOTTE -11.5 18 -10 161 BAYLOR -1 38 -1 Sat - 11/9,7:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,3:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 158 BYU -18 32 -11 160 UTEP 8 1.5 162 TCU 37 0.0 157 LIBERTY 21 7.0 159 CHARLOTTE -11.5 18 -10 161 BAYLOR -1 38 -1 158 BYU Sat - 11/9,12:00-18 32 PM-11 OL OF OFL160Edge UTEPW/L Sat - 11/9,3:00 PM8 OL 1.5OF OFL Edge162 W/LTCU Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM 37OL OF 0.0OFL Edge W/L 163 E CAROLINA 17 165 S ALABAMA 9 1.0 167 LSU 51 Sat - 11/9,12:00164 PM SMU OL OF OFL Edge-23 W/L42 -25 Sat2.0 - 11/9,3:00166 TEXAS PM STOL OF OFL-7 Edge15 W/L-6 Sat - 11/9,3:30168 ALABAMA PM OL OF-6.5OFL62Edge-11 W/L4.5 163 E CAROLINA 17 165 S ALABAMA 9 1.0 167 LSU 51 Sat - 11/9,4:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,12:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,8:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 164 SMU -23 42 -25 2.0 166 TEXAS ST -7 15 -6 168 ALABAMA -6.5 62 -11 4.5 169 NEW MEXICO ST 6 2.5 171 W KENTUCKY 25 -5 7.5 173 IOWA ST 43 5.0 Sat - 11/9,4:00 170PM OLE MISSOL OF OFL -28.5Edge W/L32 -26 Sat - 11/9,12:00172 ARKANSAS PM OL OF OFL-2.5 Edge20 W/L Sat - 11/9,8:00174 OKLAHOMA PM OL OF-13OFL51Edge-8 W/L 169 NEW MEXICO STSat - 11/9,3:306 PM OL2.5 OF OFL171Edge W KENTUCKYW/L Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM25 -5OL 7.5OF OFL Edge173 W/LIOWA STSat - 11/9,7:30 PM 43OL OF 5.0OFL Edge W/L 170 OLE MISS 175 UAB-28.5 32 -26 23 1723.0 ARKANSAS177 GA SOUTHERN-2.5 20 -1 29 -7 6.0174 OKLAHOMA179 TENNESSEE -13 51 -830 176 SOUTHERN MISS -7 27 -4 178 TROY 22 180 KENTUCKY -2.5 33 -3 0.5 Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 175 UAB Sat - 11/9,7:0023 PM OL3.0 OF OFL177Edge GA SOUTHERNW/L Sat - 11/9,3:30-1 PM29 -7OL 6.0OF OFL Edge179 W/LTENNESSEESat - 11/9,4:00 PM 30OL OF OFL Edge W/L 176 SOUTHERN MISS181 MISSOURI-7 27 -4 34 178 TROY 183 KANSAS ST 22 39 2.0180 KENTUCKY185 NORTH TEXAS-2.5 33 -322 0.5 182 GEORGIA 49 -15 184 TEXAS -5 42 -3 186 LOUISIANA TECH -6 31 -9 3.0 Sat - 11/9,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,3:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,4:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 181 MISSOURI Sat - 11/9,5:0034 PM OL OF OFL183Edge KANSASW/L ST Sat - 11/9,6:00 PM39 OL 2.0OF OFL Edge185 W/LNORTH TEXASSat - 11/9,7:00 PM 22OL OF OFL Edge W/L 182 GEORGIA 187 GEORGIA ST49 -15 -2.5 26 -91846.5 TEXAS 189 FLA INTERNATIONA-5 42 -3 21 186 LOUISIANA191 UTAH TECH ST -6 31 -926 3.0 188 LA MONROE 17 190 FLA ATLANTIC -10 37 -16 6.0 192 FRESNO ST -3 29 -3 0.0 Sat - 11/9,5:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,6:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,4:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,10:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 187 GEORGIA ST 193 IOWA-2.5 26 -9 6.5 40 189 FLA INTERNATIONA195 WASHINGTON ST21 -7 33 -3 191 UTAH197 ST NEVADA 26 11 188 LA MONROE 194 WISCONSIN17 -9.5 60 -2019010.5 FLA ATLANTIC196 CALIFORNIA-10 37 -16 6.030 4.0192 FRESNO198 SANST DIEGO ST-3 29-16.5 -332 0.0-21 4.5 Sat - 11/9,4:00 PMSat - 11/9,11:00OL OF PMOFL EdgeOL OFW/LOFL EdgeSat -W/L 11/9,7:00 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L Sat - 11/9,10:30 PM OL OF OFL Edge W/L 193 IOWA 199 SAN JOSE ST40 17 195 WASHINGTON ST -7 33 -3 197 NEVADA 11 194 WISCONSIN 200 HAWAII-9.5 60 -20 10.5-7 29 -121965.0 CALIFORNIA 30 4.0 198 SAN DIEGO ST -16.5 32 -21 4.5 Sat - 11/9,11:00TOP PM STATFOXOL OF OUTPLAYOFL Edge W/L 1. WISCONSIN (-9.5) over IOWA 11 2. APPALACHIAN ST (+3.5) over S CAROLINA 11 199 SAN JOSE STFACTOR RATING17 EDGES: 3. OHIO ST (-42) over MARYLAND 9 4. W KENTUCKY (+2.5) over ARKANSAS 7.5 200 HAWAII -7 29 -12 5.0 5. LIBERTY (+18) over BYU 7 6. GEORGIA ST (-2.5) over LA MONROE 6.5 12TOP / STATFOX DRF Sports OUTPLAY Form 1. WISCONSIN (-9.5) over IOWA 11 2. APPALACHIAN ST (+3.5) over S CAROLINA 11 FACTOR RATING EDGES: 3. OHIO ST (-42) over MARYLAND 9 4. W KENTUCKY (+2.5) over ARKANSAS 7.5 5. LIBERTY (+18) over BYU 7 6. GEORGIA ST (-2.5) over LA MONROE 6.5 DRF SPORTS FORM
(101) KENT ST (SU: 3-5, ATS: 4-4) at (102) TOLEDO (-7) (SU: 5-3, ATS: 4-4) - Tuesday, 11/5/2019 7:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD KENT ST -7.0 2724 21 39-171 (4.4) 30-19-195 (6.6) 69-366 (5.3) 1-031 24 49-251 (5.1) 25-16-217 (8.6) 74-468 (6.3) 1-0 +1 TOLEDO +0.4 2528 21 45-245 (5.4) 26-15-200 (7.5) 71-445 (6.3) 1-128 23 37-200 (5.4) 36-22-273 (7.5) 73-473 (6.5) 0-1 -4 Key Game Trends: Jason Candle is 7-0 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game as coach of TOLEDO....TOLEDO is 7-0 ATS at home vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the L3 seasons....Jason Candle is 8-1 ATS at home after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game as coach of TOLEDO....Jason Candle is 9-2 ATS at home off 1 or more straight overs as coach of TOLEDO. StatFox Forecaster: TOLEDO 37, KENT ST 24
(103) BALL ST (SU: 4-4, ATS: 5-3) at (104) W MICHIGAN (-7) (SU: 5-4, ATS: 4-4) - Tuesday, 11/5/2019 8:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD BALL ST +4.4 2733 24 42-194 (4.7) 33-21-248 (7.6) 75-442 (5.9) 1-129 21 39-160 (4.1) 36-20-240 (6.8) 75-400 (5.3) 1-2 +7 W MICHIGAN +10.2 2436 23 37-206 (5.5) 32-19-256 (8.1) 69-462 (6.7) 0-126 23 38-178 (4.6) 35-24-252 (7.1) 73-430 (5.9) 1-1 +6 Key Game Trends: W MICHIGAN is 1-9 ATS after playing a game at home over the L2 seasons....Mike Neu is 7-0 UNDER as a road underdog of 7 points or less as coach of BALL ST....W MICHIGAN is 6-0 UNDER as a favorite this season....Tim Lester is 2-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread as coach of W MICHIGAN....Tim Lester is 4-13 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins as coach of W MICHIGAN. StatFox Forecaster: W MICHIGAN 33, BALL ST 27
(105) MIAMI OHIO (SU: 4-4, ATS: 4-4) at (106) OHIO U (-6.5) (SU: 4-4, ATS: 2-6) - Wednesday, 11/6/2019 8:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD MIAMI OHIO -10.5 34 22 15 39-124 (3.2) 26-13-172 (6.8) 65-296 (4.6) 1-133 23 42-184 (4.3) 31-18-211 (6.8) 73-395 (5.4) 1-1 +2 OHIO U +0.9 2730 22 39-194 (5.0) 26-15-218 (8.3) 65-412 (6.3) 1-130 22 38-205 (5.5) 32-20-241 (7.6) 70-446 (6.4) 0-0 -5 Key Game Trends: Chuck Martin is 14-1 ATS away after playing 2 straight conference games as coach of MIAMI OHIO....Chuck Martin is 23-7 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games as coach of MIAMI OHIO....Chuck Martin is 11-1 ATS away after playing 3 straight conference games as coach of MIAMI OHIO....OHIO U is 12-2 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: OHIO U 38, MIAMI OHIO 19
(109) LA LAFAYETTE (-13.5) (SU: 6-2, ATS: 7-1) at (110) COASTAL CAROLINA (SU: 4-4, ATS: 5-3) - Thursday, 11/7/2019 7:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD LA LAFAYETTE +18.8 27 37 25 43-288 (6.8) 26-17-203 (7.7) 69-491 (7.1) 1-018 21 38-152 (4.0) 31-18-199 (6.4) 69-351 (5.1) 0-1 -1 COASTAL CAROLIN +5.0 2233 23 42-195 (4.7) 29-20-210 (7.2) 71-405 (5.7) 1-128 19 40-176 (4.3) 24-16-176 (7.5) 64-352 (5.5) 0-1 -1 Key Game Trends: COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the L2 seasons....LA LAFAYETTE is 15-6 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons....LA LAFAYETTE is 11-3 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L2 seasons....LA LAFAYETTE is 13-5 ATS in games played on turf over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: LA LAFAYETTE 31, COASTAL CAROLINA 25
(111) TEMPLE (-2.5) (SU: 5-3, ATS: 4-4) at (112) S FLORIDA (SU: 4-4, ATS: 5-3) - Thursday, 11/7/2019 8:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD TEMPLE -0.1 3228 21 40-138 (3.5) 37-22-264 (7.1) 77-402 (5.2) 1-128 22 42-168 (4.0) 36-18-235 (6.5) 78-403 (5.2) 1-1 -3 S FLORIDA -2.3 2926 18 36-180 (5.0) 28-15-173 (6.2) 64-353 (5.5) 1-128 23 47-199 (4.2) 27-17-186 (7.0) 74-385 (5.2) 1-1 +7 Key Game Trends: Charlie Strong is 0-9 ATS at home after having won 3 out of their last 4 games ....Charlie Strong is 26-10 UNDER at home against conference opponents ....Charlie Strong is 3-13 ATS at home in November games ....Charlie Strong is 5-17 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4 games ....Charlie Strong is 0-7 ATS at home after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games . StatFox Forecaster: S FLORIDA 26, TEMPLE 25
(113) UCF (-17) (SU: 7-2, ATS: 4-5) at (114) TULSA (SU: 2-7, ATS: 5-4) - Friday, 11/8/2019 7:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD UCF +23.9 28 46 26 42-226 (5.3) 33-20-325 (9.7) 75-551 (7.3) 1-122 21 39-138 (3.5) 38-20-210 (5.5) 77-348 (4.5) 0-1 +2 TULSA -8.6 39 24 22 42-132 (3.1) 38-21-272 (7.1) 80-404 (5.0) 1-133 20 42-205 (4.9) 27-15-202 (7.6) 69-407 (5.9) 1-0 0 Key Game Trends: Montgomery Philip is 1-9 ATS at home after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as coach of TULSA....Montgomery Philip is 0-7 ATS at home after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as coach of TULSA....Montgomery Philip is 9-1 UNDER at home after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as coach of TULSA. StatFox Forecaster: UCF 42, TULSA 22
(115) WASHINGTON (-9.5) (SU: 5-4, ATS: 5-4) at (116) OREGON ST (SU: 4-4, ATS: 6-2) - Friday, 11/8/2019 10:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD WASHINGTON +12.1 3535 21 35-159 (4.5) 32-21-257 (8.0) 67-416 (6.2) 1-123 21 36-144 (4.0) 33-20-231 (6.9) 69-375 (5.4) 1-1 +5 OREGON ST +1.3 3234 24 35-177 (5.0) 34-21-254 (7.4) 69-431 (6.2) 0-032 25 43-186 (4.3) 31-19-253 (8.2) 74-439 (5.9) 0-0 +4 Key Game Trends: OREGON ST is 0-8 ATS at home after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the L3 seasons....Chris Petersen is 9- 1 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games as coach of WASHINGTON....Chris Petersen is 15-3 ATS away after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread ....OREGON ST is 21-10 OVER in all lined games over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: WASHINGTON 41, OREGON ST 30
(117) CLEMSON (-31) (SU: 9-0, ATS: 6-3) at (118) NC STATE (SU: 4-4, ATS: 3-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 7:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD CLEMSON +32.6 32 44 26 39-272 (7.0) 33-21-273 (8.3) 72-545 (7.6) 0-112 12 38-113 (3.0) 24-12-134 (5.5) 62-247 (4.0) 1-1 +5 NC STATE -0.5 3025 22 35-152 (4.4) 41-22-244 (6.0) 76-396 (5.2) 0-125 21 35-119 (3.4) 38-24-243 (6.4) 73-362 (5.0) 0-0 -5 Ke y Game Trends: Dabo Swinney is 11-0 ATS away after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game as coach of CLEMSON....Dabo Swinney is 10-0 ATS away after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game as coach of CLEMSON....Dabo Swinney is 13-1 ATS away after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game as coach of CLEMSON....Dabo Swinney is 9-0 ATS away after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game . StatFox Forecaster: CLEMSON 40, NC STATE 14 DRF Sports Form / 13 DRF SPORTS FORM
(119) FLORIDA ST (SU: 4-5, ATS: 3-5) at (120) BOSTON COLLEGE (-1.5) (SU: 5-4, ATS: 6-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD FLORIDA ST -1.6 40 27 22 37-128 (3.4) 36-24-265 (7.4) 73-393 (5.4) 1-129 24 41-155 (3.7) 39-24-279 (7.1) 80-434 (5.4) 1-1 0 BOSTON COLLEGE +2.7 32 34 23 52-282 (5.5) 24-13-199 (8.2) 76-481 (6.3) 1-031 23 41-185 (4.5) 35-23-297 (8.4) 76-482 (6.3) 0-1 +4 Key Game Trends: FLORIDA ST is 0-10 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the L3 seasons....BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-0 OVER as a home favorite over the L2 seasons....BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the L3 seasons....FLORIDA ST is 1-9 ATS after playing a game at home over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: BOSTON COLLEGE 33, FLORIDA ST 29
(121) GEORGIA TECH (SU: 2-6, ATS: 1-6) at (122) VIRGINIA (-17) (SU: 6-3, ATS: 4-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD GEORGIA TECH -12.0 3617 16 38-158 (4.2) 23-11-141 (6.1) 61-299 (4.9) 1-129 22 46-218 (4.7) 27-16-188 (6.9) 73-406 (5.6) 1-1 -2 VIRGINIA +8.9 3231 21 32-109 (3.4) 36-24-255 (7.0) 68-364 (5.4) 1-1 22 17 36-121 (3.3) 27-15-190 (7.0) 63-311 (4.9) 0-1 -6 Key Game Trends: GEORGIA TECH is 7-0 OVER vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the L2 seasons....VIRGINIA is 14-4 OVER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the L3 seasons....Bronco Mendenhall is 14-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs as coach of VIRGINIA....Geoff Collins is 10-1 ATS away after playing a conference game . StatFox Forecaster: VIRGINIA 34, GEORGIA TECH 15
(123) TEXAS TECH (-1.5) (SU: 3-5, ATS: 3-4) at (124) W VIRGINIA (SU: 3-5, ATS: 3-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD TEXAS TECH +1.4 33 31 26 36-175 (4.8) 44-29-304 (6.8) 80-479 (6.0) 0-129 20 39-176 (4.5) 30-19-285 (9.4) 69-461 (6.7) 0-1 +5 W VIRGINIA -9.8 3822 17 30-79 (2.6) 36-23-223 (6.2) 66-302 (4.6) 0-131 24 44-178 (4.1) 29-18-236 (8.1) 73-414 (5.7) 1-0 -3 Key Game Trends: TEXAS TECH is 10-1 OVER vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better over the L2 seasons....Matt Wells is 0-8 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games ....Neal Brown is 11-2 UNDER at home vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return ....W VIRGINIA is 10-2 OVER vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: TEXAS TECH 28, W VIRGINIA 28
(125) LOUISVILLE (SU: 5-3, ATS: 5-3) at (126) MIAMI (-4.5) (SU: 5-4, ATS: 5-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD LOUISVILLE +0.9 38 33 20 45-219 (4.9) 23-13-226 (9.7) 68-445 (6.5) 1-132 22 38-178 (4.7) 36-21-259 (7.3) 74-437 (5.9) 1-1 0 MIAMI +8.4 3427 20 31-112 (3.7) 34-21-269 (7.8) 65-381 (5.9) 1-1 18 17 35-98 (2.8) 30-17-191 (6.5) 65-289 (4.4) 1-1 +5 Key Game Trends: MIAMI is 11-0 UNDER after playing their last game on the road over the L3 seasons....MIAMI is 18-3 UNDER after playing a conference game over the L3 seasons....MIAMI is 15-2 UNDER after playing 2 straight conference games over the L3 seasons....MIAMI is 8-0 UNDER after playing 3 straight conference games over the L2 seasons....MIAMI is 16-4 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: MIAMI 30, LOUISVILLE 28
(127) NOTRE DAME (-6) (SU: 6-2, ATS: 4-4) at (128) DUKE (SU: 4-4, ATS: 3-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 7:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD NOTRE DAME +13.0 3734 21 35-160 (4.6) 33-19-256 (7.8) 68-416 (6.1) 1-021 19 41-164 (4.0) 29-16-180 (6.3) 70-344 (4.9) 1-1 +7 DUKE +3.6 3630 21 43-166 (3.9) 32-19-197 (6.1) 75-363 (4.8) 1-126 19 38-145 (3.8) 31-17-207 (6.7) 69-352 (5.1) 1-1 -5 Key Game Trends: David Cutcliffe is 35-14 ATS in non-conference games as coach of DUKE....Brian Kelly is 33-15 UNDER off a home win as coach of NOTRE DAME....DUKE is 7-0 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play over the L3 seasons....David Cutcliffe is 15-5 ATS after a bye week as coach of DUKE....David Cutcliffe is 19-7 ATS at home in non-conference games as coach of DUKE. StatFox Forecaster: DUKE 29, NOTRE DAME 25
(129) MARYLAND (SU: 3-6, ATS: 4-5) at (130) OHIO ST (-42) (SU: 8-0, ATS: 7-1) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD MARYLAND -0.4 3530 18 37-184 (5.0) 31-16-200 (6.5) 68-384 (5.6) 0-130 20 39-151 (3.9) 33-21-263 (8.0) 72-414 (5.8) 1-1 0 OHIO ST +40.4 38 48 27 46-285 (6.2) 26-18-230 (8.9) 72-515 (7.2) 1-0 8 14 36-92 (2.5) 26-14-133 (5.0) 62-225 (3.6) 1-1 +11 Key Game Trends: OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games over the L2 seasons....OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game over the L2 seasons....OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game over the L2 seasons....OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS after a win by 17 or more points this season. StatFox Forecaster: OHIO ST 53, MARYLAND 14
(131) MASSACHUSETTS (SU: 1-8, ATS: 1-8) at (132) ARMY (-34.5) (SU: 3-6, ATS: 3-6) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD MASSACHUSETTS -29.8 1722 17 37-138 (3.7) 33-18-172 (5.3) 70-310 (4.4) 0-152 26 42-268 (6.4) 30-21-301 (10.0 72-569 (7.9) 1-1 +1 ARMY +2.1 2625 20 54-249 (4.6) 11-5-91 (8.5) 65-340 (5.2) 1-0 23 19 38-170 (4.5) 25-16-182 (7.3) 63-352 (5.6) 1-1 +2 Key Game Trends: MASSACHUSETTS is 2-13 ATS as an underdog over the L2 seasons....MASSACHUSETTS is 0-9 ATS away in games played on turf over the L3 seasons....MASSACHUSETTS is 2-11 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the L2 seasons....MASSACHUSETTS is 10-1 OVER after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the L2 seasons....MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS in all lined games this season. StatFox Forecaster: ARMY 53, MASSACHUSETTS 11
(133) CONNECTICUT (SU: 2-7, ATS: 4-5) at (134) CINCINNATI (-34.5) (SU: 7-1, ATS: 5-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD CONNECTICUT -19.4 2920 20 36-136 (3.7) 32-19-204 (6.5) 68-340 (5.0) 1-140 23 38-220 (5.7) 26-17-226 (8.6) 64-446 (7.0) 1-1 -6 CINCINNATI +7.5 38 31 20 42-192 (4.6) 26-15-204 (7.9) 68-396 (5.8) 1-1 23 22 38-134 (3.5) 34-17-247 (7.3) 72-381 (5.3) 1-2 +8 Ke y Game Trends: CONNECTICUT is 1-8 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the L2 seasons....Luke Fickell is 0-7 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals ....Randy Edsall is 34-14 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game ....Randy Edsall is 40-24 ATS after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers ....Randy Edsall is 19-34 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game . StatFox Forecaster: CINCINNATI 43, CONNECTICUT 14 14 / DRF Sports Form DRF SPORTS FORM
(135) ILLINOIS (SU: 5-4, ATS: 6-3) at (136) MICHIGAN ST (-13) (SU: 4-4, ATS: 2-6) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD ILLINOIS +5.2 3030 17 40-163 (4.1) 25-14-163 (6.5) 65-326 (5.0) 1-025 21 45-189 (4.2) 27-16-209 (7.7) 72-398 (5.5) 2-1 +12 MICHIGAN ST -0.1 44 22 20 33-113 (3.4) 36-20-233 (6.5) 69-346 (5.0) 1-122 18 35-117 (3.3) 31-20-196 (6.2) 66-313 (4.7) 1-1 0 Key Game Trends: MICHIGAN ST is 10-0 UNDER after playing 2 straight conference games over the L2 seasons....MICHIGAN ST is 8-0 UNDER after playing 3 straight conference games over the L2 seasons....MICHIGAN ST is 8-0 UNDER in the second half of the season over the L2 seasons....MICHIGAN ST is 11-2 UNDER after playing a conference game over the L2 seasons....MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS in home games over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: MICHIGAN ST 27, ILLINOIS 19
(137) WAKE FOREST (-2.5) (SU: 7-1, ATS: 4-3) at (138) VIRGINIA TECH (SU: 5-3, ATS: 3-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD WAKE FOREST +13.4 2938 26 46-187 (4.1) 39-25-324 (8.4) 85-511 (6.0) 0-125 20 38-156 (4.2) 34-21-244 (7.1) 72-400 (5.6) 1-1 +8 VIRGINIA TECH +0.5 2729 20 43-166 (3.8) 27-15-210 (7.9) 70-376 (5.4) 1-128 21 36-140 (3.9) 38-22-262 (6.9) 74-402 (5.4) 0-1 -4 Key Game Trends: Justin Fuente is 12-1 OVER at home after having won 2 out of their last 3 games ....Dave Clawson is 15-3 ATS away in November games ....Dave Clawson is 15-3 UNDER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games ....Dave Clawson is 11-1 ATS off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival ....Dave Clawson is 14-2 ATS away in weeks 10 through 13 ....Dave Clawson is 25-12 ATS in November games . StatFox Forecaster: WAKE FOREST 32, VIRGINIA TECH 31
(139) APPALACHIAN ST (SU: 7-1, ATS: 5-3) at (140) S CAROLINA (-4) (SU: 4-5, ATS: 5-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 7:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD APPALACHIAN ST +18.9 2338 21 42-237 (5.7) 28-18-205 (7.3) 70-442 (6.3) 0-020 18 38-164 (4.3) 26-14-165 (6.4) 64-329 (5.1) 1-1 +7 S CAROLINA +2.2 41 27 21 36-185 (5.1) 37-22-225 (6.0) 73-410 (5.6) 1-125 20 36-141 (3.9) 35-20-242 (7.0) 71-383 (5.4) 0-1 +3 Key Game Trends: Will Muschamp is 12-2 UNDER vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as coach of S CAROLINA....APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the L2 seasons....APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the L3 seasons....Will Muschamp is 14-3 UNDER vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game . StatFox Forecaster: APPALACHIAN ST 27, S CAROLINA 25
(141) PENN ST (-7) (SU: 8-0, ATS: 5-3) at (142) MINNESOTA (SU: 8-0, ATS: 5-2) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD PENN ST +28.9 36 38 22 38-170 (4.4) 30-18-252 (8.4) 68-422 (6.2) 0-0 10 16 34-68 (2.0) 36-20-212 (5.9) 70-280 (4.0) 1-1 +7 MINNESOTA +18.4 2738 23 47-204 (4.4) 22-14-225 (10.3 69-429 (6.2) 1-020 18 32-117 (3.6) 29-15-166 (5.8) 61-283 (4.6) 0-1 +5 Key Game Trends: James Franklin is 11-2 ATS off a road win against a conference rival as coach of PENN ST....James Franklin is 24-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival as coach of PENN ST....James Franklin is 11-2 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals as coach of PENN ST....James Franklin is 16-4 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals as coach of PENN ST. StatFox Forecaster: PENN ST 29, MINNESOTA 20
(143) VANDERBILT (SU: 2-6, ATS: 1-7) at (144) FLORIDA (-24.5) (SU: 7-2, ATS: 3-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD VANDERBILT -15.4 4117 16 30-126 (4.2) 34-19-191 (5.6) 64-317 (5.0) 0-132 22 39-203 (5.2) 30-19-251 (8.5) 69-454 (6.6) 0-0 -2 FLORIDA +14.1 3731 22 31-129 (4.1) 34-23-275 (8.1) 65-404 (6.2) 1-1 17 17 33-124 (3.8) 29-18-205 (7.0) 62-329 (5.3) 1-1 +3 Key Game Trends: VANDERBILT is 1-9 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the L2 seasons....VANDERBILT is 15-5 UNDER when playing on a Saturday over the L2 seasons....Dan Mullen is 30-12 UNDER at home against conference opponents ....Dan Mullen is 7-0 UNDER at home vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game ....Derek Mason is 43-25 UNDER in all lined games as coach of VANDERBILT. StatFox Forecaster: FLORIDA 49, VANDERBILT 15
(145) PURDUE (-1.5) (SU: 3-6, ATS: 5-4) at (146) NORTHWESTERN (SU: 1-7, ATS: 2-6) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD PURDUE -3.9 3925 20 30-77 (2.6) 42-26-302 (7.2) 72-379 (5.3) 1-128 20 37-163 (4.4) 33-20-245 (7.5) 70-408 (5.8) 0-1 -9 NORTHWESTERN -15.9 4410 17 40-134 (3.4) 31-14-124 (4.0) 71-258 (3.6) 1-126 18 40-158 (3.9) 27-17-191 (7.1) 67-349 (5.2) 1-0 -10 Key Game Trends: Jeff Brohm is 12-1 UNDER away when playing on a Saturday as coach of PURDUE....PURDUE is 10-1 UNDER away against conference opponents over the L3 seasons....PURDUE is 9-1 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs over the L2 seasons....Pat Fitzgerald is 6-19 ATS at home off 2 or more consecutive unders as coach of NORTHWESTERN....Jeff Brohm is 11-2 UNDER in road games as coach of PURDUE. StatFox Forecaster: PURDUE 22, NORTHWESTERN 20
(147) AIR FORCE (-21.5) (SU: 7-2, ATS: 5-4) at (148) NEW MEXICO (SU: 2-7, ATS: 3-6) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 2:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD AIR FORCE +13.6 28 34 22 59-324 (5.4) 10-5-108 (11.3 69-432 (6.3) 1-0 21 16 29-97 (3.4) 28-18-217 (7.6) 57-314 (5.5) 1-0 -4 NEW MEXICO -12.3 2323 21 40-200 (5.0) 30-15-219 (7.3) 70-419 (6.0) 1-136 23 37-150 (4.0) 38-24-340 (9.1) 75-490 (6.5) 1-0 -12 Key Game Trends: Troy Calhoun is 21-6 OVER away after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers as coach of AIR FORCE....Troy Calhoun is 13-2 OVER away vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as coach of AIR FORCE....Troy Calhoun is 16-3 OVER away vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return as coach of AIR FORCE....Bob Davie is 8-21 ATS at home off a road loss . StatFox Forecaster: AIR FORCE 33, NEW MEXICO 20
(149) STANFORD (-3.5) (SU: 4-4, ATS: 3-5) at (150) COLORADO (SU: 3-6, ATS: 4-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD STANFORD -5.4 4123 20 32-120 (3.7) 35-21-228 (6.5) 67-348 (5.2) 0-028 21 34-150 (4.5) 33-21-264 (8.0) 67-414 (6.2) 0-1 +4 COLORADO -8.8 3926 22 36-152 (4.2) 36-23-255 (7.0) 72-407 (5.7) 0-134 24 35-165 (4.8) 36-24-316 (8.8) 71-481 (6.8) 1-1 +3 Ke y Game Trends: COLORADO is 0-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L3 seasons....David Shaw is 8-0 ATS away after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored as coach of STANFORD....COLORADO is 3-15 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games over the L3 seasons....COLORADO is 0-8 ATS in November games over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: COLORADO 28, STANFORD 25 DRF Sports Form / 15 DRF SPORTS FORM
(151) UTSA (SU: 3-5, ATS: 4-4) at (152) OLD DOMINION (-4.5) (SU: 1-8, ATS: 4-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 2:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD UTSA -14.6 26 19 17 38-169 (4.5) 28-16-142 (5.0) 66-311 (4.7) 1-133 22 38-217 (5.7) 25-15-190 (7.7) 63-407 (6.5) 1-0 -4 OLD DOMINION -13.9 2715 15 37-89 (2.4) 27-15-148 (5.5) 64-237 (3.7) 0-1 29 19 37-134 (3.6) 29-18-226 (7.8) 66-360 (5.5) 1-1 +1 Key Game Trends: UTSA is 0-7 ATS after playing a non-conference game over the L2 seasons....UTSA is 2-12 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the L3 seasons....Bobby Wilder is 13-3 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) as coach of OLD DOMINION....Bobby Wilder is 9-21 ATS at home when playing on a Saturday as coach of OLD DOMINION....Bobby Wilder is 6-16 ATS off a road loss . StatFox Forecaster: OLD DOMINION 21, UTSA 18
(153) USC (SU: 5-4, ATS: 4-5) at (154) ARIZONA ST (-1) (SU: 5-3, ATS: 3-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD USC +2.1 42 30 23 32-140 (4.4) 38-26-293 (7.8) 70-433 (6.2) 1-128 23 39-184 (4.8) 34-21-242 (7.1) 73-426 (5.8) 1-0 -9 ARIZONA ST +2.3 3223 17 35-129 (3.7) 28-17-238 (8.5) 63-367 (5.8) 1-021 20 36-115 (3.2) 35-22-243 (6.9) 71-358 (5.0) 1-0 +7 Key Game Trends: Clay Helton is 0-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less as coach of USC....USC is 7-0 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the L2 seasons....Clay Helton is 4-13 ATS as an underdog as coach of USC....Clay Helton is 4-13 ATS away when playing against a team with a winning record as coach of USC....USC is 12-23 ATS in all lined games over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: USC 29, ARIZONA ST 26
(155) WYOMING (SU: 6-2, ATS: 5-3) at (156) BOISE ST (-13) (SU: 7-1, ATS: 5-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 10:15 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD WYOMING +11.3 2229 17 45-239 (5.3) 17-7-125 (7.2) 62-364 (5.9) 0-0 18 22 35-98 (2.8) 42-24-289 (6.9) 77-387 (5.0) 1-1 +8 BOISE ST +14.0 2637 25 40-178 (4.4) 34-21-291 (8.6) 74-469 (6.3) 1-123 19 31-116 (3.7) 34-18-234 (6.9) 65-350 (5.4) 1-1 0 Key Game Trends: Bryan Harsin is 10-0 UNDER at home after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as coach of BOISE ST....WYOMING is 8-0 UNDER after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the L3 seasons....Craig Bohl is 9-1 OVER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest as coach of WYOMING....Craig Bohl is 9-1 OVER after a bye week as coach of WYOMING. StatFox Forecaster: BOISE ST 28, WYOMING 22
(157) LIBERTY (SU: 6-3, ATS: 4-5) at (158) BYU (-17) (SU: 4-4, ATS: 4-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 7:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD LIBERTY +7.7 1534 22 33-144 (4.4) 33-20-300 (9.2) 66-444 (6.7) 1-026 21 42-196 (4.7) 29-17-223 (7.6) 71-419 (5.9) 0-1 +1 BYU -2.3 40 26 21 35-134 (3.8) 34-21-279 (8.1) 69-413 (6.0) 1-128 23 44-205 (4.6) 29-19-214 (7.5) 73-419 (5.7) 1-2 +7 Key Game Trends: Hugh Freeze is 15-2 UNDER away after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games ....Hugh Freeze is 12-1 UNDER away vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. ....Hugh Freeze is 29-7 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play ....Kalani Sitake is 11-2 ATS in November games as coach of BYU....Kalani Sitake is 7-0 UNDER off a road win as coach of BYU. StatFox Forecaster: BYU 32, LIBERTY 23
(159) CHARLOTTE (-11.5) (SU: 4-5, ATS: 4-5) at (160) UTEP (SU: 1-7, ATS: 2-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD CHARLOTTE -5.0 2832 20 40-211 (5.3) 25-15-207 (8.2) 65-418 (6.4) 0-137 20 39-201 (5.2) 24-16-209 (8.6) 63-410 (6.5) 0-0 -3 UTEP -17.4 2319 17 38-136 (3.6) 24-13-160 (6.6) 62-296 (4.8) 1-136 22 36-180 (5.0) 30-20-248 (8.3) 66-428 (6.5) 0-0 -3 Key Game Trends: UTEP is 1-9 ATS in home games over the L2 seasons....UTEP is 1-9 ATS in home lined games over the L2 seasons....UTEP is 1-9 ATS at home when playing on a Saturday over the L2 seasons....UTEP is 1-9 ATS at home in games played on turf over the L2 seasons....UTEP is 0-8 ATS at home after a loss by 17 or more points over the L3 seasons....Dana Dimel is 7-21 ATS at home against conference opponents . StatFox Forecaster: CHARLOTTE 35, UTEP 26
(161) BAYLOR (-1) (SU: 8-0, ATS: 4-4) at (162) TCU (SU: 4-4, ATS: 3-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD BAYLOR +17.6 3036 24 38-199 (5.2) 30-20-281 (9.4) 68-480 (7.1) 1-018 19 36-122 (3.4) 36-22-219 (6.1) 72-341 (4.7) 1-1 +5 TCU +7.3 3633 23 44-220 (5.0) 33-19-222 (6.7) 77-442 (5.7) 1-126 14 33-128 (3.8) 29-15-196 (6.8) 62-324 (5.2) 0-1 -4 Key Game Trends: Gary Patterson is 8-0 UNDER at home after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse as coach of TCU....Matt Rhule is 10-0 UNDER vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game ....BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the L2 seasons....Gary Patterson is 10-2 UNDER at home after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers as coach of TCU. StatFox Forecaster: BAYLOR 31, TCU 25
(163) E CAROLINA (SU: 3-6, ATS: 5-4) at (164) SMU (-23.5) (SU: 8-1, ATS: 6-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD E CAROLINA -6.3 2624 23 39-149 (3.8) 35-20-254 (7.4) 74-403 (5.4) 1-130 22 42-207 (4.9) 28-17-218 (7.7) 70-425 (6.1) 1-1 -1 SMU +12.9 3144 26 44-191 (4.3) 39-25-319 (8.2) 83-510 (6.1) 0-1 31 21 35-122 (3.5) 39-22-280 (7.2) 74-402 (5.4) 1-1 +5 Key Game Trends: SMU is 8-0 OVER in all lined games this season....SMU is 8-0 OVER when playing on a Saturday this season....Sonny Dykes is 29-8 OVER as a favorite ....SMU is 7-0 OVER off 1 or more straight overs this season....SMU is 7-0 OVER after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored this season....Sonny Dykes is 8-0 OVER at home after a loss by 6 or less points . StatFox Forecaster: SMU 44, E CAROLINA 22
(165) S ALABAMA (SU: 1-7, ATS: 4-4) at (166) TEXAS ST (-7.5) (SU: 2-6, ATS: 0-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD S ALABAMA -15.8 2915 17 40-150 (3.7) 24-12-141 (5.8) 64-291 (4.5) 1-130 21 45-222 (5.0) 25-16-192 (7.7) 70-414 (5.9) 1-1 -5 TEXAS ST -13.9 2916 17 28-79 (2.8) 37-23-226 (6.1) 65-305 (4.7) 0-230 21 46-226 (4.9) 28-17-189 (6.8) 74-415 (5.6) 1-1 -2 Ke y Game Trends: TEXAS ST is 9-0 UNDER after playing a conference game over the L2 seasons....TEXAS ST is 8-0 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival over the L2 seasons....S ALABAMA is 7-0 UNDER as an underdog this season....S ALABAMA is 20-8 UNDER in games played on turf over the L3 seasons....S ALABAMA is 14-4 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: TEXAS ST 18, S ALABAMA 16 16 / DRF Sports Form DRF SPORTS FORM
(167) LSU (SU: 8-0, ATS: 5-2) at (168) ALABAMA (-6.5) (SU: 8-0, ATS: 4-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD LSU +26.8 3747 26 35-158 (4.5) 36-28-378 (10.5 71-536 (7.5) 0-1 20 18 33-98 (3.0) 35-19-218 (6.3) 68-316 (4.6) 0-1 +4 ALABAMA +33.4 3449 25 33-168 (5.0) 32-24-339 (10.5 65-507 (7.8) 0-015 19 35-127 (3.7) 33-18-180 (5.5) 68-307 (4.5) 1-1 +13 Key Game Trends: Nick Saban is 33-12 UNDER after playing 3 straight conference games as coach of ALABAMA....Nick Saban is 26-8 UNDER off 3 straight wins against conference rivals as coach of ALABAMA....Ed Orgeron is 11-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. as coach of LSU....Nick Saban is 35-16 UNDER at home after playing a conference game as coach of ALABAMA. StatFox Forecaster: LSU 37, ALABAMA 35
(169) NEW MEXICO ST (SU: 0-8, ATS: 3-5) at (170) OLE MISS (-28.5) (SU: 3-6, ATS: 5-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 4:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD NEW MEXICO ST -24.4 3418 19 32-118 (3.7) 38-24-227 (5.9) 70-345 (4.9) 1-242 22 42-265 (6.3) 28-18-214 (7.6) 70-479 (6.8) 1-0 -15 OLE MISS -1.7 38 25 21 45-225 (5.0) 29-16-190 (6.6) 74-415 (5.6) 1-0 26 23 35-129 (3.7) 38-25-291 (7.6) 73-420 (5.8) 1-1 +3 Key Game Trends: Doug Martin is 4-17 ATS after allowing 300 or more rushing yards last game as coach of NEW MEXICO ST....Doug Martin is 8-0 OVER after scoring 9 points or less last game as coach of NEW MEXICO ST....Doug Martin is 3-17 ATS after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses ....Doug Martin is 1-12 ATS after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses ....NEW MEXICO ST is 4-14 ATS as an underdog over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: OLE MISS 43, NEW MEXICO ST 13
(171) W KENTUCKY (SU: 5-4, ATS: 6-3) at (172) ARKANSAS (-2) (SU: 2-7, ATS: 2-7) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 12:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD W KENTUCKY +1.9 2423 20 33-108 (3.3) 36-24-253 (7.0) 69-361 (5.2) 1-1 21 16 37-126 (3.4) 25-14-191 (7.6) 62-317 (5.1) 0-1 -9 ARKANSAS -12.6 38 23 19 30-137 (4.5) 36-19-218 (6.1) 66-355 (5.4) 1-135 23 42-221 (5.3) 28-18-222 (7.9) 70-443 (6.3) 1-1 -6 Key Game Trends: W KENTUCKY is 9-0 UNDER away after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the L3 seasons....W KENTUCKY is 9-1 UNDER as a road underdog over the L3 seasons....Chad Morris is 1-9 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games ....W KENTUCKY is 11-3 UNDER away when playing on a Saturday over the L3 seasons....Chad Morris is 8-19 ATS in the second half of the season . StatFox Forecaster: ARKANSAS 25, W KENTUCKY 23
(173) IOWA ST (SU: 5-3, ATS: 5-3) at (174) OKLAHOMA (-13) (SU: 7-1, ATS: 4-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 8:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD IOWA ST +13.0 3536 25 32-151 (4.7) 38-26-328 (8.8) 70-479 (6.8) 1-123 19 34-118 (3.5) 36-24-224 (6.2) 70-342 (4.9) 1-0 -3 OKLAHOMA +26.3 33 49 25 36-252 (7.1) 27-19-346 (12.9 63-598 (9.5) 0-023 20 36-140 (3.9) 31-19-200 (6.5) 67-340 (5.1) 0-0 -2 Key Game Trends: Matt Campbell is 9-0 UNDER away after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games ....Matt Campbell is 10-0 UNDER away in weeks 10 through 13 ....IOWA ST is 12-2 ATS after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the L3 seasons....IOWA ST is 10-1 UNDER away after playing a game at home over the L3 seasons....Matt Campbell is 30-16 ATS in all lined games as coach of IOWA ST. StatFox Forecaster: OKLAHOMA 41, IOWA ST 31
(175) UAB (SU: 6-2, ATS: 5-3) at (176) SOUTHERN MISS (-6) (SU: 5-3, ATS: 4-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD UAB +9.5 1527 19 39-142 (3.7) 27-15-242 (9.1) 66-384 (5.8) 1-2 18 16 33-92 (2.8) 28-14-163 (5.8) 61-255 (4.2) 2-0 -4 SOUTHERN MISS +0.4 27 29 20 34-118 (3.5) 32-22-315 (9.8) 66-433 (6.6) 0-129 18 32-112 (3.5) 29-17-255 (8.8) 61-367 (6.0) 0-1 -5 Key Game Trends: UAB is 9-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders over the L2 seasons....UAB is 9-1 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the L2 seasons....Bill Clark is 9-1 UNDER away after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as coach of UAB....UAB is 7-0 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the L3 seasons....UAB is 16-5 ATS against conference opponents over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: UAB 30, SOUTHERN MISS 23
(177) GA SOUTHERN (-2.5) (SU: 5-3, ATS: 3-4) at (178) TROY (SU: 3-5, ATS: 2-6) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD GA SOUTHERN -2.1 2925 16 53-270 (5.1) 9-4-45 (4.8) 62-315 (5.1) 1-027 17 37-136 (3.6) 30-18-216 (7.2) 67-352 (5.3) 1-0 +2 TROY +2.1 2135 25 35-147 (4.2) 40-26-317 (8.0) 75-464 (6.2) 1-133 22 37-143 (3.8) 32-21-275 (8.5) 69-418 (6.1) 1-1 0 Key Game Trends: GA SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: TROY 31, GA SOUTHERN 25
(179) TENNESSEE (SU: 4-5, ATS: 5-4) at (180) KENTUCKY (-2.5) (SU: 4-4, ATS: 6-2) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 7:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD TENNESSEE +0.6 3925 19 37-139 (3.8) 27-15-210 (7.8) 64-349 (5.5) 1-124 21 37-138 (3.7) 30-18-213 (7.1) 67-351 (5.2) 0-1 +2 KENTUCKY 0.0 4021 18 39-201 (5.2) 26-13-154 (5.9) 65-355 (5.5) 1-121 18 35-175 (5.0) 28-17-180 (6.4) 63-355 (5.6) 1-1 -3 Key Game Trends: KENTUCKY is 12-2 UNDER against conference opponents over the L2 seasons....KENTUCKY is 10-2 UNDER after playing a conference game over the L2 seasons....KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS off a home win over the L2 seasons....KENTUCKY is 8-1 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the L2 seasons....Mark Stoops is 7-18 ATS in November games as coach of KENTUCKY. StatFox Forecaster: KENTUCKY 25, TENNESSEE 22
(181) MISSOURI (SU: 5-3, ATS: 4-4) at (182) GEORGIA (nl) (SU: 7-1, ATS: 4-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 7:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD MISSOURI +13.6 3232 23 42-184 (4.4) 31-19-244 (7.8) 73-428 (5.9) 1-118 15 37-137 (3.7) 26-13-144 (5.5) 63-281 (4.5) 1-1 +3 GEORGIA +23.1 3534 23 39-222 (5.7) 29-20-240 (8.3) 68-462 (6.8) 0-0 11 15 27-78 (2.8) 33-19-190 (5.7) 60-268 (4.5) 0-1 +1 Ke y Game Trends: Kirby Smart is 11-2 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games as coach of GEORGIA....Kirby Smart is 9-1 UNDER at home after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game as coach of GEORGIA....GEORGIA is 14-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the L3 seasons....Kirby Smart is 8-1 UNDER at home after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game as coach of GEORGIA. StatFox Forecaster: GEORGIA 32, MISSOURI 16 DRF Sports Form / 17 DRF SPORTS FORM (183) KANSAS ST (SU: 6-2, ATS: 6-2) at (184) TEXAS (-5.5) (SU: 5-3, ATS: 4-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 3:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD KANSAS ST +13.0 3433 21 45-217 (4.8) 23-14-172 (7.5) 68-389 (5.7) 1-020 16 32-167 (5.3) 25-14-186 (7.4) 57-353 (6.2) 0-1 +5 TEXAS +7.6 4139 27 38-168 (4.4) 40-26-309 (7.8) 78-477 (6.1) 0-132 23 35-160 (4.5) 37-24-305 (8.2) 72-465 (6.5) 0-1 +3 Key Game Trends: KANSAS ST is 10-1 UNDER after playing their last game on the road over the L3 seasons....KANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the L2 seasons....Tom Herman is 12-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points ....KANSAS ST is 11-3 UNDER against conference opponents over the L2 seasons....KANSAS ST is 10-3 UNDER after the first month of the season over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: KANSAS ST 31, TEXAS 31
(185) NORTH TEXAS (SU: 4-5, ATS: 3-6) at (186) LOUISIANA TECH (-5.5) (SU: 7-1, ATS: 5-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 4:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD NORTH TEXAS +2.6 2335 23 35-161 (4.6) 39-25-301 (7.7) 74-462 (6.2) 0-132 21 38-186 (4.9) 33-20-231 (7.1) 71-417 (5.9) 1-0 -3 LOUISIANA TECH +12.8 1736 24 35-177 (5.1) 35-23-294 (8.3) 70-471 (6.7) 1-124 23 38-143 (3.7) 38-24-254 (6.7) 76-397 (5.2) 1-1 +3 Key Game Trends: Seth Littrell is 0-9 ATS away vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as coach of NORTH TEXAS....Skip Holtz is 27-7 OVER after a win by 21 or more points ....Skip Holtz is 8-0 OVER at home after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins as coach of LOUISIANA TECH....NORTH TEXAS is 7-0 UNDER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: LOUISIANA TECH 38, NORTH TEXAS 22
(187) GEORGIA ST (-2) (SU: 6-2, ATS: 5-1) at (188) LA MONROE (SU: 3-5, ATS: 2-6) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 5:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD GEORGIA ST +1.8 2437 26 49-257 (5.3) 30-20-221 (7.3) 79-478 (6.1) 1-135 22 37-197 (5.3) 29-19-252 (8.6) 66-449 (6.8) 1-1 0 LA MONROE -9.9 2829 22 38-208 (5.4) 34-20-221 (6.5) 72-429 (6.0) 1-139 24 42-235 (5.6) 32-20-260 (8.2) 74-495 (6.7) 1-1 +3 Key Game Trends: GEORGIA ST is 1-9 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game over the L2 seasons....Matt Viator is 0-7 ATS at home vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better as coach of LA MONROE....LA MONROE is 1-8 ATS in home games over the L2 seasons....LA MONROE is 1-8 ATS in home lined games over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: GEORGIA ST 39, LA MONROE 37
(189) FLA INTERNATIONAL (SU: 5-4, ATS: 2-7) at (190) FLA ATLANTIC (-10) (SU: 6-3, ATS: 6-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 6:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD FLA INTERNATIONA +2.8 1828 21 40-188 (4.6) 27-16-206 (7.6) 67-394 (5.9) 1-025 18 38-199 (5.2) 26-15-165 (6.3) 64-364 (5.7) 0-1 +3 FLA ATLANTIC +7.1 30 33 22 39-139 (3.6) 36-23-279 (7.8) 75-418 (5.6) 0-126 20 36-142 (4.0) 34-20-262 (7.8) 70-404 (5.8) 1-1 +11 Key Game Trends: FLA INTERNATIONAL is 12-2 OVER after playing 2 straight conference games over the L3 seasons....Butch Davis is 7-0 OVER away after playing a conference game as coach of FLA INTERNATIONAL....Butch Davis is 7-0 OVER away after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as coach of FLA INTERNATIONAL....Butch Davis is 30-10 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game . StatFox Forecaster: FLA ATLANTIC 34, FLA INTERNATIONAL 22
(191) UTAH ST (SU: 4-4, ATS: 4-4) at (192) FRESNO ST (-3.5) (SU: 4-4, ATS: 3-4) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 7:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD UTAH ST +0.8 3327 21 34-154 (4.6) 39-24-266 (6.9) 73-420 (5.8) 1-226 24 47-186 (4.0) 34-20-258 (7.6) 81-444 (5.5) 1-1 -3 FRESNO ST +2.4 2634 21 33-182 (5.5) 32-20-233 (7.2) 65-415 (6.4) 1-132 22 38-165 (4.3) 35-20-244 (6.9) 73-409 (5.6) 1-1 +5 Key Game Trends: FRESNO ST is 14-2 UNDER off a win against a conference rival over the L3 seasons....FRESNO ST is 18-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the L3 seasons....Jeff Tedford is 19-5 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest as coach of FRESNO ST....UTAH ST is 7-0 UNDER away when playing on a Saturday over the L2 seasons....FRESNO ST is 24-10 ATS in all lined games over the L3 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: FRESNO ST 31, UTAH ST 28
(193) IOWA (SU: 6-2, ATS: 3-5) at (194) WISCONSIN (-8.5) (SU: 6-2, ATS: 5-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 4:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD IOWA +14.3 3824 21 38-146 (3.9) 34-21-247 (7.3) 72-393 (5.5) 0-1 10 14 29-88 (3.1) 31-18-177 (5.7) 60-265 (4.4) 0-1 +2 WISCONSIN +24.3 3936 22 45-216 (4.8) 24-18-196 (8.0) 69-412 (6.0) 1-0 11 13 30-84 (2.8) 29-13-139 (4.8) 59-223 (3.8) 1-1 +5 Key Game Trends: Kirk Ferentz is 44-21 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as coach of IOWA....Kirk Ferentz is 40-18 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game as coach of IOWA....Kirk Ferentz is 41-19 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play as coach of IOWA....Paul Chryst is 10-2 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as coach of WISCONSIN. StatFox Forecaster: WISCONSIN 23, IOWA 13
(195) WASHINGTON ST (-7.5) (SU: 4-4, ATS: 3-5) at (196) CALIFORNIA (SU: 4-4, ATS: 3-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 7:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD WASHINGTON ST +12.0 3242 25 17-86 (5.1) 52-36-436 (8.4) 69-522 (7.6) 0-130 23 39-193 (5.0) 31-20-257 (8.2) 70-450 (6.4) 1-1 0 CALIFORNIA -3.4 3617 17 38-117 (3.1) 27-14-177 (6.5) 65-294 (4.5) 0-121 21 40-161 (4.0) 34-19-213 (6.3) 74-374 (5.1) 1-0 0 Key Game Trends: CALIFORNIA is 17-3 UNDER in all lined games over the L2 seasons....CALIFORNIA is 12-1 UNDER after playing a conference game over the L2 seasons....CALIFORNIA is 15-3 UNDER when playing on a Saturday over the L2 seasons....CALIFORNIA is 14-2 UNDER in games played on turf over the L2 seasons....CALIFORNIA is 8-0 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: WASHINGTON ST 29, CALIFORNIA 22
(197) NEVADA (SU: 5-4, ATS: 3-5) at (198) SAN DIEGO ST (-17) (SU: 7-1, ATS: 5-3) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 10:30 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD NEVADA -15.2 2519 19 37-121 (3.3) 37-23-237 (6.3) 74-358 (4.8) 1-135 20 34-146 (4.4) 33-19-268 (8.2) 67-414 (6.2) 1-1 -4 SAN DIEGO ST +7.6 2322 20 44-152 (3.4) 27-17-177 (6.5) 71-329 (4.6) 0-0 14 15 27-70 (2.6) 34-21-214 (6.2) 61-284 (4.7) 1-1 +10 Ke y Game Trends: Rocky Long is 18-2 UNDER vs. poor teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season as coach of SAN DIEGO ST....Rocky Long is 10-1 UNDER at home vs. poor teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season as coach of SAN DIEGO ST....SAN DIEGO ST is 16-5 UNDER in all lined games over the L2 seasons....SAN DIEGO ST is 8-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the L2 seasons. StatFox Forecaster: SAN DIEGO ST 25, NEVADA 12
(199) SAN JOSE ST (SU: 4-5, ATS: 5-3) at (200) HAWAII (-7) (SU: 5-4, ATS: 4-5) - Saturday, 11/9/2019 11:00 PM Team Offense Team Defense PDif SS PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I PPG FD Rushing Passing Total F-I TOD SAN JOSE ST -2.0 2630 21 25-82 (3.3) 40-24-325 (8.1) 65-407 (6.3) 0-032 24 52-238 (4.6) 27-16-207 (7.6) 79-445 (5.6) 1-2 +12 HAWAII +0.8 2937 26 27-142 (5.2) 45-28-354 (7.8) 72-496 (6.9) 1-136 23 36-214 (5.9) 33-19-232 (7.1) 69-446 (6.5) 0-1 -12 Key Game Trends: Nick Rolovich is 1-12 ATS at home after playing 2 straight conference games as coach of HAWAII....Nick Rolovich is 4-17 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games as coach of HAWAII....Nick Rolovich is 0-8 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=120 rushing yards/game as coach of HAWAII....Nick Rolovich is 0-8 ATS vs. poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game as coach of HAWAII. StatFox Forecaster: HAWAII 41, SAN JOSE ST 34 18 / DRF Sports Form DRF SPORTS FORM Top College Football Statistical Edges - Week 11 Here is a listing of the top team statistical edges when compared head-to-head with their opponents. Keep track of the ATS wins and losses of the top teams for each of the various statistics to determine if any particular category stands out in terms of success.
OFFENSIVE STATISTICS DEFENSIVE STATISTICS OFF/DEF DIFFERENTIALS Points Scored (PPG) W/L Points Allowed (PPG) W/L Scoring Differential (PPG) W/L 1. WASHINGTON ST (vs CAL): +24.4 1. ARMY (vs MAS): +29.4 1. OHIO ST (vs MD): +40.8 2. UCF (vs TLS): +21.9 2. OHIO ST (vs MD): +22.1 2. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +33.1 3. SMU (vs ECU): +19.7 3. SAN DIEGO ST (vs NEV): +20.4 3. UCF (vs TLS): +32.4 4. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +19.3 4. CINCINNATI (vs CON): +16.5 4. ARMY (vs MAS): +31.9 5. OHIO ST (vs MD): +18.7 5. OLE MISS (vs NMS): +16.2 5. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +29.5 6. PURDUE (vs NW): +14.8 6. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +15.7 6. CINCINNATI (vs CON): +26.9 7. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +13.8 7. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +14.9 7. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +25.9
Rushing Yards Gained (RYPG) W/L Rushing Yards Allowed (RYPG) W/L Rushing Yds Differential (RYPG) W/L 1. BOSTON COLLEGE (vs FSU): +154.0 1. OLE MISS (vs NMS): +135.8 1. OLE MISS (vs NMS): +242.6 2. GA SOUTHERN (vs TRO): +123.5 2. ARMY (vs MAS): +97.9 2. ARMY (vs MAS): +208.3 3. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +123.4 3. VIRGINIA (vs GAT): +97.2 3. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +176.3 4. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +120.9 4. W KENTUCKY (vs ARK): +94.8 4. UCF (vs TLS): +161.6 5. ARMY (vs MAS): +110.4 5. CINCINNATI (vs CON): +85.6 5. OHIO ST (vs MD): +160.5 6. OLE MISS (vs NMS): +106.8 6. SMU (vs ECU): +85.2 6. CINCINNATI (vs CON): +141.9 7. LOUISVILLE (vs MIA): +106.5 7. OLD DOMINION (vs TSA): +82.6 7. GA SOUTHERN (vs TRO): +130.1
Yards Per Rush Gained (YPR) W/L Yards Per Rush Allowed (YPR) W/L Yards Per Rush Differential (YPR) W/L 1. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +2.6 1. OLE MISS (vs NMS): +2.6 1. OLE MISS (vs NMS): +3.9 2. OKLAHOMA (vs ISU): +2.4 2. CINCINNATI (vs CON): +2.2 2. UCF (vs TLS): +3.6 3. UCF (vs TLS): +2.2 3. OLD DOMINION (vs TSA): +2.1 3. CINCINNATI (vs CON): +3.1 4. TEXAS TECH (vs WV): +2.2 4. MIAMI (vs LOU): +1.9 4. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +3.0 5. UTSA (vs ODU): +2.1 5. ARMY (vs MAS): +1.9 5. ARMY (vs MAS): +2.8 6. LA LAFAYETTE (vs CCU): +2.1 6. W KENTUCKY (vs ARK): +1.9 6. OHIO ST (vs MD): +2.6 7. BOSTON COLLEGE (vs FSU): +2.1 7. SAN DIEGO ST (vs NEV): +1.8 7. LA LAFAYETTE (vs CCU): +2.4
Passing Yards Gained (PYPG) W/L Passing Yards Allowed (PYPG) W/L Passing Yds Differential (PYPG) W/L 1. TROY (vs GSU): +272.4 1. OHIO ST (vs MD): +130.0 1. BOISE ST (vs WYO): +220.5 2. WASHINGTON ST (vs CAL): +259.4 2. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +123.9 2. WASHINGTON ST (vs CAL): +215.6 3. PURDUE (vs NW): +177.3 3. ARMY (vs MAS): +119.7 3. TROY (vs GSU): +213.8 4. BOISE ST (vs WYO): +166.1 4. KANSAS ST (vs TEX): +119.1 4. OHIO ST (vs MD): +160.3 5. TEXAS (vs KSU): +137.1 5. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +109.1 5. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +137.6 6. VIRGINIA (vs GAT): +113.8 6. FLA INTERNATIONAL (vs FAU): +96.6 6. WAKE FOREST (vs VAT): +131.9 7. WAKE FOREST (vs VAT): +113.8 7. UAB (vs SM): +92.4 7. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +130.2
Yards Per Pass Attempted (PYA) W/L Yards Per Pass Allowed (PYA) W/L Yards Per Pass Differential (PYA) W/L 1. OKLAHOMA (vs ISU): +4.1 1. UAB (vs SM): +3.0 1. ARMY (vs MAS): +6.0 2. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +4.1 2. OHIO ST (vs MD): +3.0 2. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +5.5 3. ARMY (vs MAS): +3.2 3. ARMY (vs MAS): +2.7 3. OHIO ST (vs MD): +5.4 4. TROY (vs GSU): +3.2 4. UCF (vs TLS): +2.0 4. UCF (vs TLS): +4.7 5. PURDUE (vs NW): +3.2 5. SAN DIEGO ST (vs NEV): +2.0 5. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +4.1 6. BAYLOR (vs TCU): +2.7 6. CALIFORNIA (vs WSU): +1.9 6. OKLAHOMA (vs ISU): +3.8 7. UCF (vs TLS): +2.6 7. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +1.5 7. BAYLOR (vs TCU): +3.4
Total Yards Gained (TYPG) W/L Total Yards Allowed (TYPG) W/L Total Yds Differential (TYPG) W/L 1. WASHINGTON ST (vs CAL): +228.0 1. ARMY (vs MAS): +217.6 1. OHIO ST (vs MD): +320.8 2. TEXAS TECH (vs WV): +176.5 2. OHIO ST (vs MD): +189.5 2. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +264.3 3. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +149.4 3. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +176.8 3. ARMY (vs MAS): +246.6 4. TROY (vs GSU): +148.9 4. MIAMI (vs LOU): +147.8 4. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +211.9 5. UCF (vs TLS): +147.2 5. SAN DIEGO ST (vs NEV): +131.2 5. UCF (vs TLS): +206.4 6. WAKE FOREST (vs VAT): +134.9 6. W KENTUCKY (vs ARK): +125.8 6. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +190.0 7. OHIO ST (vs MD): +131.3 7. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +124.9 7. VIRGINIA (vs GAT): +159.5
Yards Per Play Attempted (YPP) W/L Yards Per Play Allowed (YPP) W/L Yards Per Play DifferentialDRF Sports (YPP) Form / W/L19 1. WASHINGTON ST (vs CAL): +3.0 1. OHIO ST (vs MD): +3.0 1. OHIO ST (vs MD): +4.5 2. OKLAHOMA (vs ISU): +2.7 2. ARMY (vs MAS): +2.7 2. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +3.7 3. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +2.3 3. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +2.5 3. ARMY (vs MAS): +3.5 4. UCF (vs TLS): +2.3 4. VIRGINIA (vs GAT): +2.1 4. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +3.3 5. OHIO U (vs MOH): +1.8 5. W KENTUCKY (vs ARK): +2.1 5. AIR FORCE (vs NM): +2.7 6. PURDUE (vs NW): +1.6 6. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +2.1 6. UCF (vs TLS): +2.7 7. CHARLOTTE (vs UTP): +1.6 7. MIAMI (vs LOU): +1.9 7. VIRGINIA (vs GAT): +2.5
Turnovers Committed Per Game (TOPG) W/L Turnovers Forced Per Game (TOPG) W/L Turnover Differential (TODiff) W/L 1. SAN JOSE ST (vs HAW): +1.7 1. CLEMSON (vs NCS): +1.4 1. SAN JOSE ST (vs HAW): +2.7 2. OLE MISS (vs NMS): +1.6 2. CINCINNATI (vs CON): +1.3 2. OLE MISS (vs NMS): +2.2 3. SAN DIEGO ST (vs NEV): +1.6 3. FLORIDA (vs VAN): +1.1 3. ARIZONA ST (vs USC): +1.9 4. NOTRE DAME (vs DUK): +1.3 4. SAN JOSE ST (vs HAW): +1.0 4. SAN DIEGO ST (vs NEV): +1.7 5. ARIZONA ST (vs USC): +1.2 5. S FLORIDA (vs TEM): +1.0 5. CINCINNATI (vs CON): +1.7 6. WAKE FOREST (vs VAT): +1.0 6. LOUISIANA TECH (vs NTX): +1.0 6. NOTRE DAME (vs DUK): +1.5 7. OREGON ST (vs WAS): +0.9 7. WASHINGTON (vs ORS): +0.9 7. WAKE FOREST (vs VAT): +1.5