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Volume 2 I 2019 College Football Betting Guide $19.99

Volume 2 I 2019 College Football Betting Guide $19.99

Volume 2 I 2019 Betting Guide $19.99 2019 COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE CONTENTS 3 COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS UPON US 4 WHO’S WHO AFTER BIG TWO 5 KEEP IT SIMPLE AND TAKE STOCK IN THIS HANDICAPPING ADVICE 8 VSiN STAFF PREDICTIONS 6 13 RANKING THE STARTING QBS BY CONFERENCE 17 ASSESSING THE NEW COACHING STAFFS IN 25 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE PREVIEW PREDICTIONS 51 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE PREVIEW 81 PREVIEW 103 PREVIEW 133 CONFERENCE USA PREVIEW 163 FBS INDEPENDENTS PREVIEW 23 176 MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE PREVIEW 202 PREVIEW 2019 BET ON 228 PAC-12 CONFERENCE PREVIEW AND BET 254 PREVIEW 284 PREVIEW AGAINST TEAMS

DATABASE CREATIVE COO EDITOR MANAGER DIRECTOR VSiN STEVE MAKINEN JASON LATUS MATT DEVINE BILL ADEE CONTRIBUTING WRITERS AND EDITORS: Kelley Bydlon, Ron Flatter, Brady Kannon, Mike Lombardi, Bruce Marshall, Patrick Meagher, Mitch Moss, Brent Musburger, Wes Reynolds, Paul Stone, Dave Tuley, Jonathan Von Tobel, and Matt Youmans photos by USA Today Sports Images

COMMON ABBREVIATIONS USED THROUGHOUT THIS GUIDE ATS – Against the Spread • Avg - Average • DC - • Def - Defense • Dog - Underdog Eff Strg - Steve Makinen Effective Strength Rating • Fav - Favorite • FL – Final Line • FT – Final Total • HC - H2h – Head-to-Head • L - Losses • L# - Last number of games • LY – Last Year • MOV – Margin of Victory • O - Over OC - • Off - Offense • OL – Opening Line • OT – Opening Total • Opp – Opponent O/U – Over/Under • PA - Points Against • Pct - Percentage • PF - Points For • PPG - Points Per Game PYPG – Passing Yards per Page • RS - Returning Starters • RYPG – Rushing Yards per Game SM BR - Steve Makinen Bettors’ Rating • SM PR - Steve Makinen Power Rating • SU - Straight Up • TO - Turnovers TYPG – Total Yards per Game • U - Under • W - Wins • YPP – Yards per Play • YPPT – Yards per Point • YPR – Yards per Rush

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 2 COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS UPON US BY STEVE MAKINEN - @STEVEMAKINEN

Hello college football enthusiasts! I have to assume the various conferences across the college football that because you’ve chosen to purchase the 2019 landscape. Matt Youmans tackles the Pac-12, Big VSiN College Football Betting Guide, at least Ten, and Independents, Bruce Marshall breaks down you’re taking your preparations for the 2019 the Big 12 & Sun Belt, Wes Reynolds gives us a look kickoff seriously. It fgures to be a great season at the ACC & American, Dave Tuley shares his Takes and in being along for the ride with VSiN, you’re on the MAC & SEC, and fnally, Jonathan Von Tobel giving yourself a great chance at making it a highly sizes up the Mountain West and Conference USA. proftable one as well. This is just one of many resources that you’ll be able to utilize this season Add all of that to 2-page spreads on each of the from VSiN, as we also offer 24-hour programming 130 teams in FBS and you have the makings of a on our website and numerous other media, daily massive and valuable publication that you’ll want to email newsletters, a weekly digital magazine called keep handy all season long. Point Spread Weekly that just celebrated publishing its 100th edition, and NEW FOR 2019, daily From last year, I recall getting all kinds of emails updated online statistics, trends, and other matchup from readers asking me for tips on how to best data that you can access 24/7. With so much utilize the info in the VSiN College Football Guide. information coming from experts that the industry To start off, I would say to read the editorials has come to trust, your betting fortunes are certainly frst. Our guys are experts that pour hours into in the right hands with VSiN. After all, as the legend studying the teams and massaging their approaches Brent Musburger always says, “Cashing tickets is to wagering. If they spot a team that looks like what it’s all about.” a good OVER bet on a season win total wager, there’s probably a sound reason for it. Also, make Speaking of Brent, we are extremely pleased to special note of the key games they point out in the have him contributing to this year’s College Football conference preview pages. These are spots that Betting Guide, as he brings us an Opening Lines teams could be looking ahead in the prior week, column in which he addresses our cover subject: or perhaps facing a letdown afterward. Finding Can anyone prevent another Clemson-Alabama value in a wager for a particular game can often be title game rematch? It is certainly the top story done when looking at it in the context of the games heading into the season, as both of those teams around it. are loaded for 2019, and each has a that can stake claim to being the nation’s best. See I have personally designed and uncovered the data what Brent has to say on the subject in his exclusive for each of the team pages. I put a lot of stock into piece. teams’ situational records in recent years, how they are trending as a program, who they tend to match In this guide you will fnd plenty of features that are up best & worst with on their annual schedules, and designed with a specifc purpose in mind…helping above almost anything else, the experience they you build your betting bankroll. We know you are have coming back for this season. This last point using VSiN for a reason and we don’t step around is not only done quantitatively by the amount of the matter. We want you to win this season! Other returning starters shown, but also qualitatively by well-respected preview magazines will give you the articles I have contributed to the guide. I have a good idea of the players and teams, but they been handicapping football for well over 20 years, won’t give you the odds, stats, facts, and other and there is very little I fnd more valuable than handicapping tidbits that you will need to make it returning player experience and coaching staffs in a big season at the betting window. Thank you for college football, and quality of quarterback play. recognizing the difference. If any of you are looking for the piece I ran last Some of the articles you will fnd in this publication year on Teams Expected to Improve or Decline in come from: 2019 based upon trends and stats of recent years, that article will be published in an upcoming Point • Michael Lombardi, who gives us some sound Spread Weekly edition. If you aren’t on board for betting advice to take into the season your subscription to that yet, what are you waiting • Paul Stone, who has fve Bet On & Against Teams for? There is a ton of great information like that to recognize for 2019 published each and every week. • Myself, Steve Makinen, on ranking the across the country Enjoy the guide, and best of luck this season from • Myself, on the impact that each of the coaching everyone at VSiN. changes will have on success and/or totals Steve Makinen @SteveMakinen We also have fve of the most prominent contributors Editor to VSiN year round offering up their predictions for [email protected]

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 3 WHO’S WHO AFTER BIG TWO BY BRENT MUSBURGER - @BRENTMUSBURGER

Which four schools will at , Eason never regained his job from Jake make it to the College Fromm. There’s no shame in losing out to Fromm, and Football Playoff the last Eason has something to prove back in his home state. week of December? I begin with Clemson and Oregon is led by QB Justin Herbert, a future NFL frst- Alabama, thus joining rounder. But guess what? This season the Ducks draw everybody else with an the Auburn Tigers on Aug. 31 at Arlington, . Their opinion. rivalry game against Washington will be played at . The schedule works against the Ducks as it does I can only guess how against Texas. The Longhorns host LSU early September, many times and that’s a tall order for a team replacing three has studied his low Tide offensive-line starters. (16-44) vs. Clemson in last season’s fnal. Obviously, he thirsts for a rematch. And he may be rewarded.

Who will join the Big Two is a bigger puzzle. Leading candidates include Ohio State and Michigan of the Big Ten, Oklahoma and Texas of the Big 12, Oregon and Washington of the Pac-12, Georgia and Florida of the SEC and independent Notre Dame.

I’m predicting Michigan and Washington will join Clemson and Alabama.

Admittedly, Michigan is a risky choice. Part of my reasoning focuses on the committee, which has snubbed the Big Ten conference the last two years. That’s bad business. The Big Ten produces huge TV ratings, and that means more money for the colleges in the next contract. Barring a performance meltdown, I cannot see the Oregon Quarterback conference being snubbed a third straight season. Justin Herbert

The easy selection is Ohio State. The Buckeyes buried Michigan last year 62-39. But there are three reasons I’m looking elsewhere in the Big Ten.

1) No one knows if Ryan Day is as good a coach as was, especially on game day. Urban stepped away a perfect 7-0 against “that team up north,” as always referred to Michigan.

2) This year’s showdown will be played at Ann Arbor, and is counting on senior QB Shea Patterson and an excellent offensive line to give him his frst victory (0-4) against Ohio State

3) is now a Washington Redskin quarterback, which means Day is counting on Georgia The last school I eliminated was Oklahoma. I have transfer to keep the Buckeyes atop the Big tremendous respect for ’s program in Ten and a return to the Final Four. Norman, but I’m not convinced Alabama transfer is a good ft for the Air Raid attack orchestrated by As for the fnal team, it boiled down to Oklahoma, Texas, Baker Mayfeld and the last four seasons. Oregon and Washington. The schedule – and two more There’s enormous pressure on OU’s offense to score transfer QBs – led me to the Huskies of the Pac-12. enough to overcome a very average defense. But if Hurts blossoms, the Sooners will be in the Final Four argument. Coach and his team lost their opener a year ago to Auburn 21-16 at . This year So who wins the championship? Roll Tide! Alabama Washington opens against Eastern Washington followed avenges last year’s debacle. Nick Saban wins his sixth by and Hawaii. All three games will be played national championship, and quarterback at Seattle, and that signals a strong start for transfer QB also hoists the Heisman. As usual, it’s a good time to be . Because of an injury his sophomore season in Tuscaloosa.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 4 KEEP IT SIMPLE AND TAKE STOCK IN THIS HANDICAPPING ADVICE BY MICHAEL LOMBARDI - @MLOMBARDINFL

What do Patriots head Force the great teams to prove they are coach talented on the field, not just on paper. and Berkshire Hathaway chairman • Before making any bet, always ask the Warren Buffett have in question: Why might this bet fail? Invert your common besides being decision and force yourself to defend your ultra-successful in their wager. Belichick tells the team all the time, we chosen fields? must avoid losing before we can win. Reverse engineer your work. They both have • NEVER NEVER NEVER bet with your heart and a similar simple always leave emotion out of all decisions. strategy they always follow whether it’s relating to investing or on • It’s far better to buy a fantastic company at the football field which then helps make smart a fair price than an honest company at an choices. Even though they work in different incredible price.” – Warren Buffett. And this industries, both jobs require assessing talent, theory applies to football teams. Understand evaluating the value, predicting outcomes and the difference between good and great and understanding trends. Both men have gone know when a team has a great moment, but against the grain, have been able to zig when cannot have a great season. everyone else zags, and because of their simple strategies they have soundly defeated the • Most news is noise, not news. When spending competition. And you can do the same thing time researching, focus on the numbers of each when it comes to betting since wagering on teams team and the injuries, ignore the false bravado is no different than investing in stocks. coming from the locker rooms. Focus on the important stuff, don’t let the media and noise But before you can win, you must set some simple confuse you; Belichick never gets distracted. rules as both Belichick and Buffet have done. No one is going to pick every game correctly, but • The stock market is littered with people who if you follow some guidelines, your chances of claim to know the price of everything but don’t winning will increase and as Brent always says: understand the value. The value of a team “Cashing tickets is what it’s all about.” always lies with the coach, the quarterback and a team’s ability to close out games. Don’t Here would be my advice to follow: ever go against coaches and quarterbacks. Just because a team is favored, don’t assume • When it comes to college betting, don’t the value is correct. attempt to know all the teams. Pick two or three conferences to spend time studying those • Find variances in the market. Find hidden gems teams and find hidden values. Don’t move like Army last year and keep riding them all around from conference to conference. Pick a season. Don’t run away from a good thing. few and get to know them exceptionally well. Invest in what you know…and nothing more. • Spend time studying. Work hard to make money and as Buffett and Belichick always • Use the month of September to watch the claim, nothing is ever easy. Power Five teams and don’t fall for the hype.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 5 PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS BRENT MUSBURGER #1 SEED #2 SEED

#4 SEED #3 SEED MATT YOUMANS #1 SEED #2 SEED

#4 SEED #3 SEED DAVE TULEY #1 SEED #2 SEED

#4 SEED #3 SEED JONATHAN VON TOBEL #1 SEED #2 SEED

#4 SEED #3 SEED

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 6 PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS WES REYNOLDS #1 SEED #2 SEED

#4 SEED #3 SEED BRUCE MARSHALL #1 SEED #2 SEED

#4 SEED #3 SEED POWER RATINGS #1 SEED #2 SEED

#4 SEED #3 SEED CONSENUS #1 SEED #2 SEED

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 7 VSiN STAFF PREDICTIONS MITCH MOSS, VSiN HOST - @MITCHMOSSRADIO #1 #2 #3 #4

Nick Saban’s crew Phil Steele told us on At frst glance, the I really wanted to pick has one of the easiest “Follow The Money” Bulldogs appear to have Oregon as a wildcard nonconference schedules in June that he has this a solid chance to run entry this year, but I in the country. They do Clemson team pegged the table in the regular simply couldn’t pull the play Texas A&M and as a minimum 17-point season. They avoid LSU, trigger with a neutral LSU off a bye-week, favorite for every regular and Alabama, and host vs. Auburn, at Stanford, and Western Carolina season game in 2019! Notre Dame as part at Washington, at USC is conveniently slated Nobody is close to this of their nonconference and at Arizona State. the week before their program in the ACC. schedule. Looking So, rather than having annual Iron Bowl tilt They can lose in Week 2 deeper you will notice a the Ducks in the playoff, with Auburn. QB Tua at home to Texas A&M, four-game stretch that is I’ll go chalky with the Tagovailoa and this and still coast into a going to prove diffcult Sooners. I need to see offense will be on a playoff slot. The offense for UGA. From Nov. improvement with the OU after missing out can score as many points 2 to Nov. 23 it plays defense to believe it, BUT on both the Heisman as it wants this year, but Florida (in Jacksonville), bringing in Alex Grinch Trophy and the national I am mildly concerned Missouri (at home), at as the new defensive championship in 2018- about the overall Auburn, and Texas A&M coordinator should help. 2019. They are loaded at loss of talent on the (at home). The frst three As much as that unit still RB, WR, and across the defensive side of the ball. teams - Florida, Missouri, needs to prove it to me, board on defense. I think Realistically it’s a coin and Auburn - are all I trust the offense even they get payback against fip between Clemson coming off bye-weeks to more. Yes, that’s even Clemson after the Tigers and Alabama before the prepare for the Dogs! If considering how much mauled them in the title season starts. I would Georgia goes undefeated talent they lost on that game a year ago. give the edge to Bama in and eventually loses to side of the ball, which a rematch, but things can Alabama in the SEC title was a ton. It obviously change throughout the game, I can foresee the includes season and injuries can committee placing this winning/No. 1 overall obviously play a big part team in the playoff at pick in the draft Kyler in that for any team. 12/1. Murray. The reason why I trust it is simple - Lincoln Riley. Two years as head coach, two different Heisman Trophy-winning QB’s. That’s enough for me to think Jalen Hurts will run this offense at an extremely high level. OU won games 51-46, 48-47, 55-40, and 59-56 a year ago. The defense can’t be any worse, but the offense might be nearly as good.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 8 VSiN STAFF PREDICTIONS

KELLEY BYDLON, VSiN PRODUCER - @KELLEYVSIN #1 #2 #3 #4

2018 was an absolute Behind Clemson to The Bulldogs played Were my top 3 choices cakewalk of a season me, but clearly still Alabama tough in the too chalky for you? Well, for the Tigers, and I’m above everyone else is SEC championship game here you go. I’m taking not sure how different Alabama. I know you’ll last year before blowing the bait on Nebraska this year will be. Yes, see a lot of this from it at the end. They’ll likely this year and have Alabama is still around, our staff, but the stars get a shot at revenge. already bet on them at but Clemson proved who do seem to be aligning Yes, they lose a few key 60-1 to win the national the top dog is in college again this season for pieces from last year’s championship. Now, football right now after both of these teams. Just team, but they should do I really think they’re destroying the Tide like Clemson, Alabama have a strong year better than any of the 44-16 in the National returns a LOT of stars, running the football as three teams above? No, Championship game. The and of course, has some they’ll lean on Junior but I’m just hoping for ACC is not any tougher great depth to work D’Andre Swift. Last year, a playoff appearance this year and Clemson with as usual. Tua’s Swift averaged 6.4 YPC before hedging out. should once again easily back and so is one of while totaling over 1,000 take care of business the top groups of wide yards. He also found the I personally think the in the conference (and receivers in the country. endzone on 10 of those Big Ten is more open this comes from an FSU This team was 9-0 last carries. Expect to see a this year than most. I grad). The Tigers get season in the SEC and lot of him this season. think Jim Harbaugh is back, beat those opponents by Yes, Georgia does have overrated at Michigan who might end up being 29.7 points per game. a couple of tough spots and will stumble again the best QB to ever They’ll have one of the on its schedule, but last this year and who knows play at Clemson (Sorry easiest schedules in the year it lost to two teams: what we’ll get with Ohio ). SEC this year as they Alabama and LSU. Guess State. A new coach and They also return three avoid both Georgia and what? Neither one of a new quarterback are starters on the offensive Florida in the regular them are on the Bulldogs not something I usually line, their top three season. So yes, I think schedule this season. like to back. I do think receivers, and one of the they’ll roll pretty easily Regular season schedule will be better most dynamic running into the college football at least. in his second season as backs in the nation playoffs as well, and if Nebraska’s coach, but with . He they do end up facing I’m far more excited to only averaged 8.1 YPC Clemson again there, see what quarterback last season. So yes, it will be hard to shake Adrian Martinez can Clemson is easily my the revenge factor when do this season, and he pick to win the National betting that game. could have a big year. Championship. Oh, and the schedule is pretty easy for Nebraska. My favorite bet this Nothing to really worry offseason was “Clemson about early in the out- to make the college of-conference schedule. football playoffs” at Their two toughest -250. It is one of only games in conference two bets I’ve made in the are against Ohio State offseason futures market and Wisconsin, which (the other is coming up) certainly will be diffcult and that number is long games, but both games gone now. Despite the will be played in Lincoln. -250 price, it is hard for me to see this team even losing a game before the playoffs.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 9 VSiN STAFF PREDICTIONS

MATT YOUMANS, VSiN HOST - @MATTYOUMANS247 #1 #2 #3 #4

After kicking Nick The Bulldogs let Alabama With Urban Meyer out of Two SEC teams in the Saban’s butt by 28 off the hook in the teams’ the picture, it’s tempting playoff? Despite the points in the national past two meetings. In to pick Michigan in the complaints, it’s probably championship game, their third high-stakes Big Ten. But this fact going to happen after gets the game in three seasons, remains: The Wolverines the Tide run the table nod. The Tigers, who will fnally have dropped 14 of the in the regular season. might get an unexpected avoid the dumb coaching past 15 in the one-sided Saban will have a scare or two, are the mistakes and rivalry, so the pressure battle-tested team after safest bet to reach the will outplay Tua in the is on and Jim Harbaugh Alabama takes down playoff. Sophomore SEC title game. has a lot to prove against nonconference giants quarterback Trevor the Buckeyes. Duke, New Mexico State Lawrence would have and Western Carolina. been the No. 1 pick in this year’s NFL Draft, yet he’ll have to wait two more seasons, and that’s lucky for Swinney.

STEVE MAKINEN, VSiN PSW EDITOR - @STEVEMAKINEN #1 #2 #3 #4

I have been very effusive Why go against the While I am not a huge Naturally the choice here about my belief in Trevor Tide? Both fguratively believer in Jalen Hurts or comes down to Michigan, Lawrence as the top and literally. Everything his ability to take over for Ohio State, Georgia, quarterback in college seems to be pointing to where Baker Mayfeld or some unexpected football, and you’ll see yet another Clemson- and Kyler Murray left team. Of course there from my list that I’ve Alabama title game off, I am realistic in that will be some teams that chosen four teams whose rematch, and with there doesn’t seem to surprise and are in the starting QB’s are both Alabama now the even be a challenger mix at the end of the solid and experienced. one with a chip on to Oklahoma in the Big year, but I am going to I feel the only thing that its shoulder from the 12 this season. In fact, go with the Wolverines could prevent another run beatdown in January, I my projections have the and senior QB Shea to the title by Clemson think this will be a team Sooners winning three Patterson. This offense would be an injury to that shows a different more games than any might be a stronger unit Lawrence. This offense is type of motivation and other conference rival in than the defense this going to be explosive with focus that was perhaps the regular season. This year and that would be eight starters back, and missing last year. Talent- year’s schedule is very a real good thing, as the the defense, while only wise, no question this manageable because defense, like Clemson’s, having four returnees, is team can make it back. of it. is loaded with high loaded with highly rated Avoiding a stumble in the level athletes ready to players who’ve been regular season and/or replace NFL draftees. waiting in the wings for in the SEC title game will The schedule lines up their opportunity. The only line up the rematch. favorably with Notre game where I feel the Dame, Michigan State, Tigers won’t be HEAVILY and Ohio State all at the favored is the season Big House this fall. fnale at South Carolina.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 10 VSiN STAFF PREDICTIONS

BRADY KANNON, VSiN HOST - @LASVEGASGOLFER #1 #2 #3 #4

If you look at the This is as simple as too This is my 2nd leg of the This is my wild card. I prices to make the much talent and too SEC two team parlay think Jim Harbaugh gets College Football weak of a conference that gets in. They’ve a bit of a bad rap when Playoff, it appears that in which they reside. I nearly beaten Alabama in truth, he is a heckuva the oddsmakers feel mean, what’s the “No” in two straight seasons coach. He’s always there will be two SEC that they won’t make and should have at least had a great history representatives and I the playoff? +8000? once. Jake Fromm is an developing quarterbacks don’t disagree. This is Barring injury, Tigers excellent leader and and Shea Patterson will part handicap and part are in. now he is that much be crucial for whatever money theory – like more experienced. Let’s this team does, good the NCAA rooting for also remember that or bad, in 2019-2020. the Yankees and the many outlets have called The Pac-12 isn’t sending Red Sox’s of the world Georgia’s recruiting anyone to the playoff, I to keep the college classes under Kirby Smart believe Oklahoma will football cash fow in high the tops in the country. skip a beat this year, gear. Other than that, I There’s enough talent ‘Bama and Clemson have think we all know Nick here to win the whole to be on every list of this Saban will send out one thing. type, and Georgia is the of the most talented, third-best team in the deepest, squads in the country in my opinion. whole country once Ohio State will feel the again. Finally, there affects of Urban Meyer is the revenge angle. not being on the sidelines After getting blown and the Wolverines will out by Clemson in the take advantage of that championship game last opportunity so gimme the season, The Tide will be Tide, Tigers, Bulldogs, back in a big way to and Maize & Blue to go make amends for that. to this year’s Final Four.

RON FLATTER, VSiN HOST - @RONFLATTER #1 #2 #3 #4

Even though my top three are the usual suspects, I hate chalk. So I am fshing for a path for a team carrying 6-1 preseason odds to come through. Since it does not face Alabama in the crossover, Georgia can run the table into the SEC Championship game. I am presuming that a new group of receivers will be able to step up for Jake Fromm, and that the defense will do better stopping the run for Kirby Smart. If the Bulldogs pull off the upset over the Crimson Tide on Dec. 7 in Atlanta, I am counting on them getting the #1 seed in the playoff. That will leave Tua Tagovailoa and a reloaded Alabama defense to avenge last winter’s loss to Trevor Lawrence and Clemson in the . It is hard to imagine Nick Saban failing in that game, especially if provides balance by capping a big season grinding out yards. Presuming that Oklahoma loses a shootout sometime during the Big 12 season and that the Pac-12 lives down to its recent form, the Big Ten winner would get the fourth spot and draw Georgia in the . The thought here is that Ohio State’s biggest obstacle to another conference championship is not a new coach or new quarterback or the false annual alarm that is Michigan but a soft, nonconference schedule that could sound a clunk with the committee. Still, a 13-0 record is very possible, and it resonates. And there may well be three of them - belonging to Georgia, Clemson and Ohio State along with a 12-1 Alabama. The biggest fy in this ointment may be having an all-SEC national championship game, leaving the Bulldogs with the challenge to beat the Tide twice in a little more than fve weeks let alone Smart becoming the frst of Saban’s assistants to beat him. Twice. But that is part of why the Bulldogs are 6-1 and not 2-1 or 5-2. But if a Georgia-Alabama showdown does pan out, then ‘Bama will be there to provide a betting hedge, and I will have my feet up with a big cigar and at least one winning ticket even before they kick off Jan. 13 in .

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 11 VSiN STAFF PREDICTIONS

PATRICK MEAGHER, VSiN HOST - @THEWRAPRADIO #1 #2 #3 #4

Very simple with the Shocker. I do Like the Georgia is an easy No. A lot of Michigan Love top two. No need to revenge year angle for 3 on this list for me. The out of the Big Ten but overthink. We’ve had Saban and his hyper Bulldogs are easily the there’s an overreaction to fve college football awareness of not letting class of a weak SEC east. Meyer leaving and Ryan playoffs and aside from the team feel they matter Kirby Smart has the best Day replacing him at Ohio State in year one, until all is said and done. job in the country. Put a Ohio State. I’ll take Ohio it’s been ALL Bama and Saban has made excuses fence around Georgia, State as my fourth-best Clemson. I’ll go with for getting blown out recruit the state, and team in the country. Day Clemson at No. 1 for in the championship you can win a national is a stud, He got a feel of another simple reason: game and he lost pretty championship. He’s done what being a head coach Trevor Lawrence. Would much every assistant on an insanely good job feels like in Columbus, have been the #1 overall his staff. HOWEVER, recruiting. Georgia has he’ll be fne. As for the pick if he came out this Heisman favorite Tua the best OL in the country team, replacing Dwayne year and CFB has to Tagovailoa and the best protecting future pro Jake Haskins at QB is the deal with him for two WR’s in the country led Fromm at QB. Four deep obvious question. Justin more years. Dabo has by . Huge at RB led by D’andre Fields is immediately started to even up with recruiting class replaces Swift. The Bulldogs are so eligible after transferring Saban in recruiting and much on defense but deep on defense it’s not from GA. Fields was has surpassed the master it’s rinse / repeat for worth listing names, just a legit fve-star dual- when it comes to keeping Alabama. Terrible know Georgia will make threat recruit out of assistants happy and nonconference schedule Bama sweat in the SEC. high school who played continuity in the program. and pissed Saban is bad in the SEC and has a The Tigers are loaded for the SEC and CFB. chip on his shoulder. again. J.K. Dobbins is back at RB and he is lethal. The Buckeyes welcome Penn State, Michigan State and Wisconsin to the Horseshoe, but the season should come down to the Nov. 30 matchup in Ann Arbor against Michigan.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 12 RANKING THE STARTING QBS BY CONFERENCE BY STEVE MAKINEN - @STEVEMAKINEN

If you read my work regularly in Point Spread Weekly, achieve in 2019. In all, there are 87 out of 130 teams you would know that I am a huge believer in the across FBS that have a starting quarterback from importance of the starting quarterback position in 2018 returning. This doesn’t mean that they were college football. To me there is no more important full-time starters, OR that they will be in that position job, as the plays a QB executes or fails to execute again in 2019, but it does provide an overall value on are almost always the difference in a team winning how much returning experience there is this season. a game or covering the point spread. Furthermore, I’ll make note of specifc unique situations regarding with turnovers being such a key part of how games returnees in the rankings. play out, the one most responsible for these are the quarterbacks. Those signal callers comfortable in their In case you’re wondering about my overall rankings, systems and confdent in their abilities can take a team I have not been shy on the air with VSiN in terms of to heights previously unknown. my affection for Lawrence’s overall size, arm strength, mobility, and overall football savvy, and I’ve even Let’s take for instance the situation at Clemson the gone so far as a Packers’ fan to encourage the team last few years. With Deshaun Watson and Trevor to do whatever it takes to line up to somehow obtain Lawrence under center, the Tigers won national titles, him as Aaron Rodgers’ eventual replacement. twice in three years. Sandwiched in between those titles was a year they came up short, losing in the In any case, enjoy the rankings, and feel free to semifnals, and I frmly believe it was because the send me ([email protected]) your comments, kudos, starting QB that season was , who while objections, and any other feedback you deem not a horrible option, was clearly not the level of necessary after viewing. And of course, good luck performer that Watson was or Lawrence is for the with your college football wagering this fall. Note that program. the player in parenthesis is the expected starter. This of course can and will change in some circumstances For bettors preparing for the 2019 season, it pays prior to Week 1 games. to know the quality of the quarterbacks manning their respective teams. To me, there are four different scenarios for evaluating. In cases where the starter ACC is returning from the prior season with the same 1. CLEMSON (Trevor Lawrence): Top QB in the coaching staff in place, the assessment is as easy as country in my opinion. Size, arm strength, mobility, looking at last year’s performance and making minor 30/4 TD/Int ratio in 2018 adjustments for the players that will be surrounding 2. VIRGINIA (Bryce Perkins): Original Arizona State him this season. When the starter is the same but will recruit and JC transfer, good numbers last year, over be playing in a new offense under a new head coach 2600 yards passing and 900 rushing and/or offensive coordinator, it gets a little trickier, 3. FLORIDA ST (James Blackman): Had decent year as but for the most part you can make some assumptions freshman, one start last year, tall wiry kid about the quality of that player. In the case of a new 4. MIAMI FL (): Ohio State transfer, 5-star starter taking over the same system that has been recruit with dual-threat ability. Small though, only in place, the best way to analyze is to compare the 5’11” physical attributes and recruiting grades of the new 5. LOUISVILLE (Jawon Pass): Struggled last year with player, and then perhaps do some reading of local rest of teammates but big percent mobile, thought of coverage on that team in regards to spring practices, as heir apparent to Lamar Jackson scrimmages, and other tidbits. Where the analysis 6. SYRACUSE (Tommy DeVito): Filled in reasonably gets most unpredictable is when a new quarterback well for injured last year, 6’2”, strong kid takes the controls for a new coaching staff at a school. 7. WAKE FOREST (Sam Hartman): Smaller of the top There is really no concrete way to predict the success two QB options at Wake, 16/8 TD/Int ratio in nine level of the new combination as compared to the starts last year previous regime, and in this case, the more resourceful 8. NC STATE (Matt McKay): Prototype size with big you can be in digging up info the better your chances. arm and a dual-threat. First-time starter, 7 of 8 in only action last year With all of that said, I thought I’d run through all of 9. (Sam Howell): De-committed the expected quarterback situations across the country from Florida State. Highly rated in-state recruit that and do a ranking of the teams in this key area by broke NC passing records conference. Naturally, the better the quarterback 10. VIRGINIA (Ryan Willis): Decent but not situation, the more success that team is bound to fashy numbers after taking over for injured Josh

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 13 RANKING THE STARTING QBS BY CONFERENCE

Jackson last year, Kansas transfer 6. KANSAS ST (Skylar Thompson): Has started 14 11. BOSTON COLLEGE (Anthony Brown): Third-year games in his frst two seasons, threw for 1,391 yards starter hasn’t put up big numbers consistently last year with 9/4 TD/Int ratio 12. (Kenny Pickett): Started all 14 games 7. IOWA ST (Brock Purdy): Decent dual-threat last year, threw just 12 TD’s and struggled in bowl quarterback who started eight games as a freshman, game ending season with 16/7 TD/Int ratio 13. DUKE (Quentin Harris): Started twice last year but 8. WEST VIRGINIA (): Wildcard frst full-time job as a senior, dual-threat quarterback in the Big 12 for ‘19, transferred from 14. (Lucas Johnson): Junior with Oklahoma after seeing limited action as frosh percent good size but seeing frst action after strong spring sophomore, good arm strength game, having to learn new pro-style attack 9. TCU (): Good running quarterback that had six starts at Kansas State in ‘18 but threw just two touchdowns AMERICAN ATHLETIC 10. KANSAS (Thomas MacVittie): Started career at 1. (D’Eriq King): Top QB in the AAC, now Pitt before going JUCO last year, good sized kid at running offense for . Small frame but 6’5” 215 but learning new system quick, agile, and a fantastic playmaker that produced 50 TD’s in 2018 2. MEMPHIS (): Original Arizona State BIG TEN recruit had 14 starts with a 26/9 TD/Int ratio last year, 1. NEBRASKA (Adrian Martinez): Has Cornhuskers numbers below Memphis predecessors fans excited for the future, Martinez had big freshman 3. CINCINNATI (Desmond Ridder): 6’5” kid, solid season accounting for 25 TD’s, a number which should 20/5 TD/Int ratio in 2018 in 12 starts improve in ‘19 4. SMU (Shane Buechele): Texas transfer with two years eligibility left and 19 starts under his belt, threw 30 TD’s in his Longhorns career 5. TULANE (Justin McMillan): LSU transfer that got six starts for Tulane in ‘18, throwing for 1,304 yards and 10/4 TD/Int ratio 6. EAST CAROLINA (Holton Ahlers): Had three huge games for ECU last year out of his fve starts to earn 2019 job, in all 12/3 TD/Int ratio for 240-pound kid with running ability 7. UCF (Brandon Wimbush): McKenzie Milton injury leaves job open for Notre Dame transfer Wimbush. Only modest numbers and success for Irish in 16 starts 8. SOUTH FLORIDA (Blake Barnett): Former Alabama recruit Barnett started 10 games last year for USF but had just a 12/11 TD/Int ratio 9. NAVY (Malcolm Perry): Typical small, quick, and agile Navy QB to run , gained over 1100 yards rushing in ‘18 10. TULSA (Zach Smith): Baylor transfer played two years for Bears, posting modest numbers of 56 percent Nebraska Quarterback completions, 21/15 TD/Int ratio Adrian Martinez 11. TEMPLE (Anthony Russo): Good size but only 14/14 TD/Int ratio in Geoff Collins’ offense, now learning new system of 12. CONNECTICUT (Steven Krajewski): Redshirt freshman saw very limited action last year and appears to have won battle of attrition for QB job

BIG 12 1. TEXAS (Sam Ehlinger): Coming off great season, Ehlinger is the face of Texas football for ‘19, but only one of eight starters back, had 25/5 TD/Int ratio 2. OKLAHOMA (Jalen Hurts): Alabama transfer that 2. MICHIGAN (Shea Patterson): Senior season, has was 24-2 in 26 starts with the Tide, mobile QB that will 23 starts to his record, threw for 22/7 TD/Int ratio in be hard-pressed to match the numbers of last two OU ‘18 but consistency was missing QB’s 3. NORTHWESTERN (Hunter Johnson): Clemson 3. TEXAS TECH (Alan Bowman): Had injury problems transfer that can run percent throw, very highly as a freshman in ‘18 but started seven games while recruited out of high school, best talent for throwing for 2,600+ yards, will adjust to new Matt Northwestern at QB perhaps ever Wells offense 4. OHIO ST (Justin Fields): Very highly touted recruit 4. OKLAHOMA ST (Spencer Sanders): Good athlete by Georgia, played in three games for Bulldogs, with big arm fgures to be next in line to put up big better running ability than passing numbers for in OSU attack 5. MARYLAND (Josh Jackson): transfer, 5. BAYLOR (Charlie Brewer): Junior QB with 16 starts missed most of last season with injury but has 16 starts on his ledger, has thrown for 27 TD’s against 13 on his ledger, could put up huge numbers , average size at 6’1” 6. IOWA (Nate Stanley): Underrated and consistent

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 14 RANKING THE STARTING QBS BY CONFERENCE

quarterback for Iowa the last two seasons, with 13 starts 2. FLA ATLANTIC (Deondre Francois): Florida State and 26 TD’s in EACH of those years, big kid at 240+ lbs transfer with 25 starts and over 6,000 yards passing 7. PURDUE (Elijah Sindelar): Sindelar is offcially a already in his career, playing senior season junior and has eight starts for Purdue back in ‘17, 6’4” 3. FLA INTERNATIONAL (James Morgan): Had big kid with big arm year in 2018 after transferring from Bowling Green, 8. WISCONSIN (Graham Mertz): Highly touted 26/7 TD/Int ratio, 6’4” pure passer, missed bowl freshman QB that chose Wisconsin over the likes of game win Clemson percent Alabama, big arm, great athlete 4. SOUTHERN MISS (Jack Abraham): Started nine 9. MICHIGAN ST (): Struggled with games last year as sophomore and completed 73 8/11 TD/Int ratio last year but has 25 career starts in percent of his 305 attempts for modest 7.70 yards per three different seasons for MSU attempt, played JUCO as frosh 10. INDIANA (Peyton Ramsey): Has 16 career starts 5. MARSHALL (Isaiah Green): Had nine starts last for Indiana, accounted for 24 TD’s a year ago, but year as a freshman including last six games, modest could be pushed by freshman Michael Penix for job 15/10 TD/Int ratio 11. ILLINOIS (Isaiah Williams): Freshman is highest 6. UAB (Tyler Johnston): Had fve starts last year rated recruit for Illinois in over 10 years, dual-threat as freshman, with 1,300+ yards passing and 350+ playmaking capability but VERY small at 5’10” 175 rushing, including big effort 12. PENN ST (Sean Clifford): 6’2” sophomore 7. TECH (J’Mar Smith): Has 27 starts now appeared in four games last year, has big shoes to fll for Bulldogs, decent dual-threat ability, has 33/16 TD/ after replacing Trace McSorley Int ratio career but just 15/10 last year 13. MINNESOTA (Tanner Morgan): Six starts last year 8. W KENTUCKY (Ty Storey): Grad transfer from as a freshman, modest 9/6 TD/Int ratio, not a clear cut Arkansas, had nine starts last year but only 11/10 TD/ option heading into ‘19 Int ratio, mobile QB 14. RUTGERS (McLane Carter): Senior transfer that 9. OLD DOMINION (Messiah deWeaver): Have seen saw limited action at Texas Tech, fgures to be stopgap three different starters named on various depth chart measure until QB of the future is found sites, deWeaver is biggest (6’5”) and highest rated option, having frst landed at Michigan State before going JUCO CONFERENCE USA 10. TX-SAN ANTONIO (Frank Harris): Harris 1. NORTH TEXAS (): Only 5’11” 185 but was injured all of last year and was one of fve has had stellar college career at UNT (36 starts), quarterbacks in hunt for starting spot in spring, Lowell including 27/5 TD/Int ratio last year and 300 straight Narcisse, a highly rated recruit at 6’4” 230 could passes without a pick challenge 11. CHARLOTTE (Chris Reynolds): A seemingly wide- open race for starting spot, Reynolds (5’11) with six starts last year will have tough time holding off Brett Kean, a senior and transfer from South Florida North Texas Quarterback 12. RICE (Tom Stewart): Grad transfer from Harvard, Mason Fine started nine games with sharp 14/2 TD/Int ratio there, 6’3” 220 13. MIDDLE TENN ST (Asher O’Hara): Played only two games as freshman going 9 for 20 passing, only 6’0”, could be pushed by 6’5” JUCO transfer Randall Johnson 14. UTEP (Kai Locksley): Locksley struggled last year in eight starts throwing nine interceptions against three touchdowns and less than 50 percent completions FBS INDEPENDENTS 1. BYU (): Started fnal seven games of season including bowl game in which he completed all 18 passes he threw, 12/3 TD/Int ratio, big things expected 2. NOTRE DAME (Ian Book): Decent frst year as starter last year starting nine games with 19/7 TD/Int ratio, only 6’0” however 3. ARMY (Kelvin Hopkins): Typical small, savvy Army option QB had 23 total TD’s last year, plus threw AND ran for 1,000+ yards, now a senior 4. LIBERTY (Stephen Calvert): Fourth-year starter at Liberty with 30 career starts to his record, had 18 interceptions last year however, pocket passer 5. NEW MEXICO ST (Josh Adkins): Started eight games as frosh last year with 13 TD’s and 2,500+ yards, has makings of good long career as NMSU starter 6. MASSACHUSETTS (Ross Comis): Have seen senior Comis, junior Andrew Brito, and senior Michael Curtis all atop depth charts, Comis had 14/3 TD/Int ratio so could be decent option

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 15 RANKING THE STARTING QBS BY CONFERENCE

elsewhere as team looks to replace Tyree Jackson MAC 11. BALL ST (Drew Plitt): Has three starts in each of his frst two seasons but just a combined 9/11 TD/Int ratio, 1. OHIO U (Nathan Rourke): Third-year starter after not real mobile either two straight years being 2nd team All-MAC, career 12. MIAMI OHIO (Jackson Williamson): Sophomore 40/15 TD/Int ratio, also ran for 15 TD’s in ‘18, big that appeared in two games last year without a pass time playmaker attempt, could be pushed by freshman Brett Gabbert, a higher rated recruit MOUNTAIN WEST 1. UTAH ST (): Love was phenomenal for former coach Matt Wells and is onle of only two starters back, at 6’4 230 could be better this year with far lesser numbers 2. HAWAII (Cole McDonald): Threw for 36 TD’s in ‘18 and has eight other offensive starters back around him, big for Hawaii QB at 6’4”, should post big numbers again 3. SAN DIEGO ST (Ryan Agnew): Started seven games last year, now a senior, had 10/6 TD/Int ratio, somewhat dual-threat and has top three rushers back around him 4. COLORADO ST (Collin Hill): Junior who has four starts in each of his frst two seasons, coming off torn ACL, not great numbers in 2018 (7/7 TD/Int ratio, 6.86 PYA) 5. UNLV (Armani Rogers): Has less than 50 percent completion percentage in 14 career starts, missed time last year with foot injury, highly rated signee two Ohio Quarterback years ago though 6. AIR FORCE (DJ Hammond): Hammond and fellow Nathan Rourke competitor Isaiah Sanders had similar numbers last year but Hammond accounted for 14 TD’s, Sanders 10, and Hammond is a bit stronger and perhaps better at running the offense 7. NEW MEXICO (Tevaka Tuioti): Started three games as sophomore last year accounting for 6 TD’s, charted ahead of Sheriron Jones, who started seven games in ‘18 and was original Tennessee recruit 8. BOISE ST (Chase Cord): Very little experience in Boise State QB rotation, sophomore Cord (6’2”) has thrown nine passes, but could be pushed by highly rated recruit Hank Bachmeier 9. SAN JOSE ST (Josh Love): Had respectable 14/9 TD/Int ratio for 1-11 team in ‘18, not much of a running 2. KENT ST (Woody Barrett): Original Auburn recruit, threat, 6’2”, returns with six other offensive starters accounted for over 3,000 yards and 18 TD’s last year 10. NEVADA (Cristian Solano): Threw 45 passes last in 12 starts, dual-threat ability at 6’2” 236 year with 0 TD’s and 4 interceptions, started in 21-3 3. W MICHIGAN (Jon Wassink): Senior has battled loss to Fresno State, could be pushed by Florida State injuries and has 17 career starts, last year accounted transfer Malik Henry for 22 TD’s in nine games 11. WYOMING (Sean Chambers): 6’3” mobile QB 4. TOLEDO (Mitchell Guadagni): Not a sure-fre who ran for more yards than passed last year (329- starter at this point, 6’2” senior started seven games, 266) but was still able to redshirt and is a freshman, going 13/3 TD/Int ratio, while challenger Eli Peters good size at 6’3” 218 (18/7) started six 12. FRESNO ST (Jorge Reyna): Big shoes to fll in 5. C MICHIGAN (Quinten Dormady): Originally replacing Marcus McMaryion who had 33 TD’s, with Tennessee, played three years there starting fve senior JC transfer who threw 12 passes for FSU in ‘18, games, 6’4” 215 SEC level talent 6’0” 215 6. E MICHIGAN (Mike Glass): Had 61.5 percent completion percentage and 9/1 TD/Int ratio in three starts last year, can also run (412 RY/6 TDs) PAC 12 7. AKRON (Kato Nelson): Mobile quarterback the likes 1. OREGON (Justin Herbert): Heisman Trophy of which new HC utilized at Chattanooga, candidate has sparkling 63/13 TD/Int ratio in 28 had 15/8 TD/Int ratio last year as a sophomore career starts, big kid at 6’6” 233 has improved every 8. N ILLINOIS (Marcus Childers): Dual-threat option year with 21 career starts heading into junior season in new 2. STANFORD (K.J. Costello): Has 20 starts in frst two offense, was sacked 43 times in 14 games years and 43/15 TD/Int ratio, not much of a runner 9. BOWLING GREEN (Grant Loy): Big 6’5” 226 kid but good size (6’5”) and pure passer that threw 12 passes as a sophomore last year but 3. ARIZONA (Khalil Tate): Has 20 career starts, considered a running quarterback posted impressive 26/8 TD/Int ratio in ‘18, clear 10. BUFFALO (Kyle Vantrease): Sophomore that leader of Wildcats offense and big year is expected threw just nine passes last year, not much experience

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 16 RANKING THE STARTING QBS BY CONFERENCE

4. USC (JT Daniels): Highly touted QB that started 11 2. GEORGIA (Jake Fromm): If not for Tua, best QB in SEC, games as freshman with 14/10 TD/Int ratio, 6’3”, big has 54-/3 TD/Int ratio in frst two seasons, could put up things expected in year two even bigger numbers if more was asked of him 5. WASHINGTON (Jacob Eason): Transfer from 3. FLORIDA (Feleipe Franks): Highly touted out of high Georgia had 13 starts there in two years, now a school, struggled freshman year but came on in ‘18, going junior, 6’6” 227 with huge arm, replaces 4-year 24/6 TD/Int ratio, 6’6” 240 dual-threat playmaker starter Jake Browning 4. TEXAS A&M (Kellen Mond): Now has 21 starts for 6. WASHINGTON ST (Gage Gubrud): Grad transfer Aggies, dual-threat playmaker accounted for 31 TD’s in from FCS power Eastern Washington, much heralded ‘18, should be in for big 2019 campaign at that level, 6’2” 205 modest size for Pac-12 5. LSU (): Started career at Ohio State before 7. UCLA (Dorian Thompson-Robinson): Had six starts transferring prior to ‘18, accounted for 23 TD’s in ‘18 in 13 last year as highly touted freshman before shoulder starts last year including huge bowl effort injury, decent numbers but should be better in year two 6. SOUTH CAROLINA (Jake Bentley): Entering fourth year of offense with nine offensive starters back as starter, has 32 starts to his record, posted career high 8. COLORADO (Steven Montez): Senior had decent numbers last year (3171 yards, 27 TDs), tough competitor 2018 season, throwing for 2,800+ yards and 19 TD’s, 7. TENNESSEE (Jarrett Guarantano): Junior now has 18 6’5” 230 big kid who has 27 career starts and fgures career starts, threw for 12/3 TD/Int ratio percent 1900+ to climb Colorado record books in ‘19 yards last year, good size at 6’4” 215 and is surrounded 9. UTAH (Tyler Huntley): Third-year starter has 19 by nine other returning offensive starters starts on his ledger with modest 27 TD passes, could be 8. MISSOURI (Kelly Bryant): Transfer from Clemson, pushed for job by Jason Shelley and Cameron Rising started in between Watson percent Lawrence, had 10. OREGON ST (Jake Luton): One of tallest QB’s in modest numbers there by comparison country at 6’7”, has battled injury woes and has only nine 9. AUBURN (Joey Gatewood): Played in one game as starts over last two years, posted 10/4 TD/Int ratio in ‘18 true frosh last year, highly touted at 6’5” 237, has big 11. CALIFORNIA (Chase Garbers): Had 10 starts as a arm but listed ahead of 5* recruit Bo Nix right now freshman, threw for 1500+ yards, ran for 400+, 6’2” 10. ARKANSAS (Ben Hicks): Grad transfer who 205 QB returns with only three other offensive starters started 33 games at SMU, originally recruited by and 12. ARIZONA ST (Dillon-Sterling Cole): Have to played for Arkansas coach replace multi-year starter Manny Wilkins, DSC was 11. OLE MISS (Matt Corral): Played four games as true frosh last highly rated recruit that has one start as frosh, threw year then redshirted, completed 73% of his 22 attempts, 6’1” two passes in ‘18 205 small by SEC standards 12. KENTUCKY (Terry Wilson): Original Oregon recruit before JUCO, had modest numbers last year for UK (1,800+ yards, 11/8 TD/Int ratio) in 13 starts SEC 13. VANDERBILT (Riley Neal): Neal making big jump in 1. ALABAMA (Tua Tagovailoa): Started all 15 games for competition coming over from Ball State, had 46 TD’s in three ‘Bama last year amassing incredible 43/6 TD/Int ratio years, has good size at 6’5” 218 and nearly 4,000 yards passing, Heisman frontrunner 14. MISSISSIPPI ST (Keytaon Thompson): 6’4” 225 junior has seen limited action in frst two seasons, threw six TD’s in 18 completions (46%) last year, not locked in as starter yet however SUN BELT 1. APPALACHIAN ST (Zac Thomas): Accounted for 31 TD’s last year for Mountaineers, now a junior, has nine other starters back on offense alongside him 2. LA MONROE (Caleb Evans): Dual-threat QB that had 16 TD’s throwing 10 TD’s rushing in ‘18, has decent size at 6’2” and had 17/6 TD/Int ratio in ‘17 so has shown ability 3. GEORGIA ST (Dan Ellington): Senior was leading rusher for GSU last year (625 yards) and threw for 2,100+ as well, good size for Sun Belt at 6’3” 205, should be better with experienced unit around him Alabama Quarterback 4. TROY (Kaleb Barker): Barker started fast last year with 13 Tua Tagovailoa total TD’s in six games before tearing ACL, now a senior, has played in 23 games for Troy 5. GA SOUTHERN (Shai Werts): Threw 10 TD’s versus 0 interceptions in 118 total attempts in ‘18, third-year starter has started 23 games despite smaller stature, 5’11” 200 6. TEXAS ST UNIV (Gresch Jensen): Shown #1 on depth chart despite two QB’s from ‘18 being back, JUCO kid with size 6’2” 225 and eight other starters back on offense 7. ARKANSAS ST (Logan Bonner): Has diffcult task of replacing Justice Hanson, a big-time performer in last two years for ASU, 6’1” 215 with nine games in mop up duty 8. COASTAL CAROLINA (Fred Payton): Started four games and threw 6 TD’s a year ago but was effcient with 65% completion percentage as a freshman 9. LA LAFAYETTE (Levi Lewis): Small at 5’11” 185, started three games as frosh, then played in all 14 last year (no starts) 10. S ALABAMA (Cephus Johnson): Limited action as freshman, completed but 7 of 19 passes, started one game last year, struggled and was replaced

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 17 ASSESSING THE NEW COACHING STAFFS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL A look at the new coaches from a betting perspective BY STEVE MAKINEN - @STEVEMAKINEN

As bettors, one of the most important things to do in preparing for the upcoming college footbalI season is to get a handle on all of the coaching changes that came about since last season. For 2019, there are 27 different new head coaches across FBS football. Of course, each of the programs hopes to have landed a new leader that will help them to improve or reach the promised land. Unfortunately, that is not always the case, and often the exact opposite happens. Finding the right ft is not an easy job. Let’s take a quick look at the teams welcoming in new staffs. I’ll even take a stab at how I feel the change might affect the program for the near future.

Note: for the coordinators, a star “*” indicator means that coach is new in the position for 2019.

AKRON New Head Coach: Tom Arth Ofensive Coordinator: Tommy Zagorski* Defensive Coordinator: Matt Feeney* Steve’s Thoughts: The era at Akron lasted seven seasons, two of which ended in bowl bids. Tom Arth comes over from FCS Chattanooga, who was just 6-5 last season and lost its last three games. Arth brings with him his DC and another FCS coordinator for offense. The Zips have just 10 starters back and would seem to be plummeting. Expect it to get worse before it gets better.

APPALACHIAN STATE New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Eliah Drinkwitz* Defensive Coordinator: * Steve’s Thoughts: Eliah Drinkwitz, most recently the offensive coordinator at NC State, inherits a nice situation at Appalachian State. He gets 16 returning starters including profcient QB Zac Thomas. Drinkwitz will be the OC and he brings DC Ted Roof over with him. This should be a solid staff and there’s no reason the Mountaineers shouldn’t maintain the success of the last handful of seasons.

BOWLING GREEN New Head Coach: Scot Loeffer Ofensive Coordinator: Terry Malone* Defensive Coordinator: Brian VanGorder* Steve’s Thoughts: Scot Loeffer comes over from Boston College, where he was offensive coordinator. His offense was very high tempo, certainly compared to what Bowling Green was used to playing. Loeffer will have 12 starters back from a 3-9 team and I would project that the Falcons have room for modest improvement in 2019.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN New Head Coach: Jim McElwain Ofensive Coordinator: Charlie Frye* Defensive Coordinator: * Steve’s Thoughts: The hiring of Jim McElwain at Central Michigan could prove to be a huge coup for the university, or alternatively, a career death blow for the coach. McElwain spent two and a half years at Florida before manning the sidelines as wide receivers coach at Michigan last year. He brings two coordinators that were with him at Florida, as well as a new QB in Quinten Dormandy that was at Houston last year and started fve games with Tennessee the year prior. After going 1-11 last year and scoring just 15 PPG, there is nowhere to go but up, and that is exactly where I expect the Chippewas to go, both in wins and scoring.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 18 ASSESSING THE NEW COACHING STAFFS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL

CHARLOTTE New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Alex Atkins* Defensive Coordinator: Brandon Cooper / Marcus West* Steve’s Thoughts: Despite a 4-game improvement from 2017 to 2018, Brad Lambert was fred at Charlotte following his 6th season. He is replaced by 33-year old Will Healy, who led a remarkable turnaround at FCS Austin Peay. His OC is former offensive line coach at Tulane, and DC Cooper was with him at Charlotte. His new QB will be grad transfer Brett Kean from South Florida. With 12 starters back in all, Kean could be the piece that gets this team from 5 to 6 wins and a potential bowl bid.

COASTAL CAROLINA New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: / Newland Isaac* Defensive Coordinator: Marvin Sanders Steve’s Thoughts: Jamey Chadwell was the OC the last two seasons at Coastal Carolina under , who stepped down after a successful 6-year run at the school. There will be 15 starters back but this team lost its L4 games of 2018 to fnish 5-7. Despite the fact that Chadwell spent time as interim coach at CC in 2017, this is truly his frst head job. With the negative momentum carrying over from the end of ’18, I would project the Chanticleers slightly down for this season.

COLORADO New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Jay Johnson* Defensive Coordinator: * Steve’s Thoughts: Mel Tucker is a fairly high profle hire for Colorado after he spent the L3 seasons guiding Georgia’s well-respected defense. He won’t have the same defensive talent in Boulder, that is for sure, and in fact, only has four starters back from that side of the ball. His coordinators come over with him from the Bulldogs. Georgia ran a far more deliberate offense than Colorado, and combined with Tucker’s defensive prowess, I would expect scores to be down for the Buffaloes in 2019. I would also project some stumbling blocks this fall but eventual success for Tucker here.

EAST CAROLINA New Head Coach: Mike Houston Ofensive Coordinator: * Defensive Coordinator: * Steve’s Thoughts: The 2019 season was the third straight that ended with a 3-9 record for East Carolina, so a change coming at head coach was obviously needed. Mike Houston gets the job after spending three years at FCS power James Madison. One of those seasons ended with a championship. Not surprisingly, the JUM coordinators make the trek to Greenville with Houston. Part of the problem for ECU was an up-tempo offense that didn’t have the talent to be run that way. James Madison’s offense was not nearly as high paced so expect fewer plays per game, and hence lower scoring. QB Holton Ayers had a 12/3 TD/Int ratio last year and is one of 14 starters back. I give the Pirates a good shot at a 2-3 win improvement in 2019.

GEORGIA TECH New Head Coach: Geoff Collins Ofensive Coordinator: Dave Patenaude* Defensive Coordinator: Nathan Burton / Andrew Thacker* Steve’s Thoughts: One of the more impactful coaching staff changes in college football is at Georgia Tech, where Geoff Collins (& his coordinators) come over from Temple. Gone is the option offense of Paul Johnson, who spent 11 years in Atlanta. The new pro-style attack will be higher paced and naturally result in more scoring, likely on both sides of the ball, so expect higher totals than you’re used to from the Yellow Jackets. After a 7-6 season that ended with back-to-back 24-point losses, and only nine starters back, expect growing pains in 2019 for Collins and Georgia Tech.

HOUSTON New Head Coach: Dana Holgorsen Ofensive Coordinator: / Brandon Jones* Defensive Coordinator: Joe Cauthen / Doug Belk* Steve’s Thoughts: Dana Holgorsen, most recently at West Virginia, is a pretty strong hire for Houstson, and with QB D’Eriq King back for his senior season, I would put Houston as one of the top contenders in the American Conference. Ironically, Houston might actually slow down this year compared to the last couple of seasons under . That’s not to say the Cougars won’t be prolifc on offense, as they certainly will, but the games probably won’t be nearly as wild. Holgorsen’s new OC was with him at WVU, and the DC Cauthen comes over from Arkansas State.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 19 ASSESSING THE NEW COACHING STAFFS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL

KANSAS New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Les Koenning* Defensive Coordinator: DJ Eliot* Steve’s Thoughts: Between Les Miles at Kansas and new UNC coach , it’s debatable as to which program made the bigger splash. Both will be newsworthy all season long. Miles of course comes from LSU, where he spent 12 seasons, ending in 2016. He has a career record of 142-55 so the most interesting aspect of this hire will be how he deals with the adversity of losing. Miles already has had an impact on recruiting but he only brings back 10 starters from a team that won its most games in fve seasons. My speculation is valleys come before the peaks for KU.

KANSAS STATE New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Courtney Messingham* Defensive Coordinator: Scottie Hazelton* Steve’s Thoughts: The sideline will look a lot different in Manhattan in 2019 as Chris Klieman takes over for , who spent 27 seasons at K-State. Klieman’s name should be familiar to football fans, as he has led North Dakota State’s tremendous FCS run over the L5 seasons. He brings his OC over with him and his DC is the former defensive leader at Wyoming. He has half of the starters back from last year’s 5-7 team, a group that failed to reach a bowl game for the frst time in nine years. This year’s team looks like a potential similar team with a lean to a game worse.

LIBERTY New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Kent Austin / Maurice Harris* Defensive Coordinator: Scott Symons* Steve’s Thoughts: retired following last year’s 6-6 season, the frst one for the program at the FBS-level. A big-name hire replaces Gill in Hugh Freeze, best known for his 5 years spent atop the Ole Miss program. Things are looking pretty solid for Freeze’s frst year with 15 starters back, especially if he can help senior QB Steven Calvert cut down on his interceptions. His new OC comes from CFL’s Hamilton Ti-Cats. The schedule is extremely manageable and I could see this team being anywhere from 5-7 to 8-4 in the regular season.

LOUISVILLE New Head Coach: Scott Satterfeld Ofensive Coordinator: Dwayne Ledford* Defensive Coordinator: Bryan Brown / Cort Dennison* Steve’s Thoughts: The 2018 season was a forgettable one in Louisville, and the last for , who “led” the team to a 2-10 record. The numbers were ugly, as the Cardinals were outscored 44.1 to 19.8 on average. Former Appalachian State head man Scott Satterfeld takes over after a tremendous run with the Mountaineers. It’s a big job, but improvement could come quickly with 16 starters back, including highly rated Jawon Pass, a big & mobile QB. Satterfeld’s OC is Dwayne Ledford, who led NC State’s offensive line last year. Expect improved numbers on both sides of the ball and overall improvement, if for no other reason than 2018 was likely rock bottom.

MARYLAND New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: / * Defensive Coordinator: * Steve’s Thoughts: With all of the turmoil surrounding Maryland’s program last season, Mike Locksley steps in as the new head coach. The team lost its last four games of 2018 but was entertaining and competitive in the process, including nearly upsetting Ohio State. Locksley’s new OC is Scottie Montgomery, the former HC at East Carolina. That could be a key factor, as ECU ran a very high tempo’d offense compared to the Terps. In fact, the difference was 2.73 plays per minute of offense to 2.07 PPM. Games could be on the wild side for Marlyand in 2019. Ten total starters are back and talented QB Josh Jackson (Virginia Tech) is expected to take over. I like Maryland’s chances of matching or beating its 5-7 record last year with the turmoil seemingly in the rear view mirror now.

MASSACHUSETTS New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Walt Bell* Defensive Coordinator: Aazaar Abdul-Rahim / Tommy Restivo* Steve’s Thoughts: Walt Bell gets his frst head coaching job after serving as OC at Florida State last year and Maryland prior. He will be the play caller at UMass as well, and tempo should be up slightly for the Minutemen in 2019. Bell only has eight starters back from last year’s 4-8 team though and it’s diffcult to project improvement. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 2-10 or 3-9 type of season.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 20 ASSESSING THE NEW COACHING STAFFS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL

MIAMI FL New Head Coach: Manny Diaz Ofensive Coordinator: * Defensive Coordinator: Blake Baker / Ephraim Banda* Steve’s Thoughts: Miami’s Manny Diaz hire was not unexpected after ’s abrupt retirement. Diaz has been DC the L3 years and dubbed the inventor of the famous “Turnover-Chain”. Diaz named Dan Enos his new OC, stealing him away from his role as QB coach at Alabama. His new DC Baker was last in the same position at Louisiana Tech. There are 12 total starters back for 2019 and the new QB is expected to be highly rated Tate Martell, a transfer from Ohio State. I’ll be honest when I say I don’t expect much to be different with the Hurricanes in 2019, won-lost wise nor scoring-wise.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Eric Eidsness* Defensive Coordinator: Derrick Jackson* Steve’s Thoughts: Thomas Hammock is one of a handful of new coaches in the MAC, coming over from the , where he was RB coach. His OC comes from South Dakota State, his DC from Purdue. The six years under Rod Carey were strong, with fve ending in bowl games. However, the Huskies didn’t win any of those bowl games so there is still room to get better. There are 13 starters back, but in my opinion, this is a rather unorthodox hire, and it feels like a situation that could get bumpy in 2019 before it gets better.

NORTH CAROLINA New Head Coach: Mack Brown Ofensive Coordinator: Phil Longo* Defensive Coordinator: Jay Bateman / * Steve’s Thoughts: Mack Brown spent 10 seasons at UNC back in the late 80’s-90’s, and returns some 22 years and one national championship later. That title of course came with Texas. His new OC is Phil Longo, architect of Ole Miss’ high-tempo offense. The Tar Heels already ran a fast offense so any change should be marginal. Brown inherits a team that was just 2-9 last year despite being outscored by just 7.1 PPG. Being that competitive with 14 starters returning should produce more wins in Brown’s frst season. Let’s call for 4-8 or 5-7 in an exciting fashion.

OHIO STATE New Head Coach: Ryan Day Ofensive Coordinator: Kevin Wilson / Defensive Coordinator: Jeff Hafey / Greg Mattison* Steve’s Thoughts: Ryan Day’s task of replacing Urban Meyer may seem diffcult on paper, but keep in mind that Day was 3-0 while Meyer was suspended last year, has a fantastic rapport with players, and has the same OC in place that has been in Columbus the L3 seasons. He even managed to steal DC Greg Mattison from rival Michigan’s highly rated defense. The biggest challenge for Day in year one fgures to be replacing QB Dwayne Haskins, that is even lessened when you look at the stable of highly rated potential candidates. Last year the Buckeyes averaged 42.4 PPG offensively and allowed 25.5 PPG on defense. With four starters back on offense and nine on defense, I expect both numbers to fall signifcantly this season.

TEMPLE New Head Coach: Rod Carey Ofensive Coordinator: Mike Uremovich* Defensive Coordinator: Jeff Knowles* Steve’s Thoughts: Rod Carey’s strong run at Northern Illinois helped him bump up a step to Temple, where he’ll face new challenges in the American Athletic Conference. He brings both of his coordinators with him from NIU. The Owls now have their ffth head coach in four years, and despite that, have won at least seven games each season. As such, with 14 starters back and a similar offensive pace expected, I would project Temple to continue its run of bowl seasons again in 2019.

TEXAS STATE New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Bob Stitt* Defensive Coordinator: Zac Spavital / Archie McDaniel* Steve’s Thoughts: Jake Spavital gets his frst head coaching gig after spending the last two years as West Virginia’s OC. That should be exciting news in itself for offensively- starved TSU, who hasn’t scored over 20 PPG since 2015. Nine starters are back on offense and if the unit can quickly adapt to Spavital’s new system, should be much improved. The defense was actually pretty strong last year allowing a respectable 5.3 yards per play and could also be better with 10 starters back. Jake’s brother Zac is the DC, after serving similarly at Texas Tech. This team could surprise people in the Sun Belt in 2019 despite the complete coaching changeover.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 21 ASSESSING THE NEW COACHING STAFFS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL

TEXAS TECH New Head Coach: Matt Wells Ofensive Coordinator: David Yost* Defensive Coordinator: * Steve’s Thoughts: Texas Tech is well known for its offensive prowess over the last couple of decades in college football. Well, new Head Coach Matt Wells had a pretty good offense at Utah State last year too, one that scored 47.5 PPG. With 7 starters back on offense, including QB Alan Bowman, expect there to be a lot of freworks in 2019 in Lubbock. Wells brings his two coordinators over with him from USU, and their frst job will be to erase Red Raiders’ players memories of the season-ending 5-game losing skid that cost a bowl bid. All fve were by 15 points or less though. Expect Texas Tech back in a bowl game this December.

TROY New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: * Defensive Coordinator: Brandon Hall* Steve’s Thoughts: Chip Lindsey is another frst-time head coach that takes over a program that has enjoyed success recently. Filling ’s shoes won’t be easy for the former OC at Auburn, as Troy won 10 games or more in each of the L3 seasons. Lindsey has 13 starters back including senior QB Kaleb Barker, so this is anything but a rebuild. The new OC is from BYU and the new DC is the LB’s coach of the Trojans. Expect status quo for Lindsey & Troy in 2019.

UTAH STATE New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Mike Sanford Jr.* Defensive Coordinator: Justin Ena* Steve’s Thoughts: Gary Anderson is familiar with USU, having coached here from ’09-12, but a lot has changed system-wise since then. His new OC is Mike Sanford, the former coach at Western Kentucky. Anderson’s past teams at his previous stops ran different offenses from Sanford, but the talent in Logan is a better ft for Sanford’s systems, so there shouldn’t be much difference from what you got used to from the Aggies under Mike Wells. Quarterback Jordan Love was fantastic last year for Wells and is one of only two starters back on offense. New DC Justin Ena coached LB’s at Utah and gets seven starters back. Despite optimistic projections, I’m going to say it’s unrealistic for the Aggies to match last year’s magic, and I expect a plummet of at least three games.

WESTERN KENTUCKY New Head Coach: Ofensive Coordinator: Bryan Ellis* Defensive Coordinator: Clayton White Steve’s Thoughts: Just above, I mentioned Mike Sanford going to Utah State as the new OC after being fred by Western Kentucky. Sanford’s teams clearly underachieved compared to the previous regime, so WKU brass is looking for new guy Tyson Helton to restore the magic. Helton was Tennessee’s OC last year and was with USC before that. His new OC is also from USC, a former QB coach. The defensive staff remains in place. A total of 16 starters are back from the 3-9 team of a year ago. However, when you consider that they lost four games by a FG (probably much of reason Sanford was fred), there is plenty of reason for optimism. I expect this team to be improved and challenge for a bowl bid.

WEST VIRGINIA New Head Coach: Neal Brown Ofensive Coordinator: Matt Moore / Chad Scott* Defensive Coordinator: Steve’s Thoughts: It was a bit of a surprise that Dana Holgorsen chose Houston over West Virginia, but with only nine starters back in the tough Big 12, the former Mountaineers’ head coach may have seen rough waters ahead. The pressure falls on Neal Brown, who comes off a successful tenure at Troy. Moore & Koenning were with Brown previously, and combine that with a new quarterback coming town, this is legitimately the most unstable situation in college football for 2019. Troy was known for playing a deliberate pace so scoring and potentially entertainment value could be down big time in Morgantown this fall. This team could be lucky to win four games.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 22 2019 BET ON AND AGAINST TEAMS BY PAUL STONE - @PAULSTONESPORTS

One of my offseason frst-round selection in the 2020 NFL Draft. If Auburn college football fnds its quarterback, do not sleep on the Tigers. handicapping assignments every MICHIGAN STATE year is to attempt to Off the heels of a top-shelf identify teams likely sophomore season, Brian to be overvalued or Lewerke entered the 2018 undervalued by the campaign as one of the more betting markets during talented quarterbacks in all of the upcoming season. college football. But Lewerke suffered a midseason shoulder injury and slumped To reach my ultimate badly as the offensively-challenged Spartans started conclusions, I consume the year ranked No. 11 and fnished it with an ugly as much relevant personnel, statistical and other 7-6 loss to Oregon in the . information as possible, perusing digital newspapers, related websites, and annual publications such as Phil Lewerke should be 100 percent healthy and looking Steele’s College Football Preview and Athlon Sports to atone for last season’s surprising showing, which College Football to develop power ratings for all 130 saw him throw 11 interceptions against just eight FBS teams. touchdowns.

The process of crafting a power rating for a college Equally as important is ’s performance football team whose roster may have experienced off a season failing to meet expectations. When his massive turnover is a tricky proposition — part art and Michigan State teams have won seven games or fewer part science. But with more than a quarter century’s worth in a season, he has rebounded to win an average of of experience, I’m comfortable my fnal work product will 10.8 games the following year. be superior to the linemaker’s more often than not. AIR FORCE That is especially true in September before For the frst time since he took everybody’s numbers start looking the same since we over at Air Force in 2007, Troy then have data points (results) to more clearly refect Calhoun’s Falcons are coming each team’s place in the 130-team pecking order. off back-to-back losing seasons, after their second straight 5-7 Without further ado, here are four ‘Play On’ and ‘Play fnish. Against’ recommendations for 2019: There are reasons for optimism, however, and not the least of those is a seasoned roster that returns PLAY-ON TEAMS a somewhat uncharacteristic seven starters on both offense and defense, including a pair of quarterbacks AUBURN — Donald Hammond and Isaiah Sanders — who have It’s no secret that Gus seen substantial action. Malzahn’s teams have been money burners at the betting Although failing to record any eye-popping victories window over the past fve last season, Air Force was competitive in all 12 of seasons, posting an overall its games, with its most decisive defeats being only ATS record of 24-40-2. Plus 10 points (to both Utah State and Boise State). the Tigers lack experience at the critical quarterback With veteran returnees across both interior lines, position, with either true freshman Bo Nix or redshirt the Falcons look primed to turn some of those close freshman Joey Gatewood the likely heir apparent to encounters into victories. the departed Jarrett Stidham. UCLA While there are clearly questions, Auburn is talented Predictably, it took awhile for and experienced in the trenches on both sides of the switch to fip, but, when the ball, sporting a Top 10-caliber offensive line it did, Chip Kelly’s inaugural and arguably the nation’s top defensive front led by UCLA team was a tough out in dominating Derrick Brown, who is a probable its fnal four games of 2018.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 23 2019 BET ON AND AGAINST TEAMS

The Bruins and true freshman quarterback Dorian The Longhorns lose both defensive ends, their top Thompson-Robinson only won one of those fnal four three tacklers, both starting cornerbacks, and must contests (a 34-27 victory over cross-town rival USC), retool their offensive line. All told, a total of just eight but their offense came to life late averaging 31.3 starters return in Austin. points during that stretch. KENTUCKY UCLA lost at Arizona State by three points (31-28) Led by defensive star Josh Allen during that span and then only fell to Stanford by (seventh overall pick in the seven points (49-42) at home in its season fnale. The 2019 NFL Draft), the Wildcats Bruins led 42-41 with nine minutes to go before the allowed a stingy average of just Cardinal rallied for the win. 16.8 points in 2018. Only one team (Georgia) scored more Kelly’s Bruins should naturally be improved in his than 24 points against Kentucky. second season, plus they are one of the nation’s more experienced teams with 19 returning In each of ’ previous six seasons, the starters. Wildcats had allowed an average of at least 27.4 points per game, so last year’s stellar showing was PLAY-AGAINST TEAMS an extreme outlier. FLORIDA Unfortunately for the Wildcats, the defensive A lopsided win over an defections do not end with Allen. Kentucky also loses uninspired Michigan team (41- two members of a highly-regarded secondary who 15) in the Peach Bowl last year were high NFL picks in cornerback Lonnie Johnson artifcially elevated Florida’s (second round) and safety Mike Edwards (third stock entering the 2019 season. round).

The Gators, who were +12 in the turnover category Offensively, Benny Snell leaves Lexington as the in 2018, will have lots of new faces on the offensive school’s all-time leading rusher after recording three line as only a single starter (senior center Nick straight 1,000-yard seasons in as many years. Buchanan) returns and 141 career starts are out the door. The returning linemen boast a total of only 24 NEBRASKA career starts, half those by Buchanan. After starting his Nebraska tenure with six straight losses, Even though junior quarterback Feleipe Franks favorite son Scott Frost and appears ready to take another step in his continuing his Cornhuskers rebounded development, Florida won’t match last year’s scoring nicely to win four of their fnal average of 35 points per game, which was its highest six games and create some since Urban Meyer’s next-to-last season in 2009 renewed optimism in Lincoln. (35.9 points per game average). By the looks of its slotting in some of the preseason TEXAS publications and across digital media, the Basking in the immediate expectations of many onlookers in just Frost’s second afterglow of Texas’ 28-21 season as coach seem to be somewhat unfounded. upset victory over Georgia in the 2018 , a smiling Sam Ehlinger Sure, sophomore Adrian Martinez, who hails proudly proclaimed on the foor of the Superdome, from California, already merits mention as one of “Longhorn Nation...we’re back.” the top dual-threat quarterbacks in the land after amassing more than 3,200 total yards offense Not so fast, Sam. (2,617 passing and 629 rushing) in his true freshman campaign. Ehlinger, a 6-3, 230-pound junior who competes with a ’s mentality, was recently named the Big But while Martinez serves as a nice centerpiece for 12 preseason Offensive Player of the Year and the the overall presentation, the Cornhuskers are not numbers certainly support that designation. In fact, without questions. And, frankly, lots of them. he became just the sixth Power Five quarterback in the past 20 years to throw for at least 25 Nebraska must fnd replacements for four starting touchdowns (25) and rush for at least 15 scores (16) offensive linemen, a 1,000-yard receiver (Stanley last season. Morgan) and a 1,000-yard rusher (Devine Ozigbo).

So with such a leading man under center, why fade Defensively, the Cornhuskers have been downright the Longhorns? Quite frankly, Ehlinger doesn’t bad over the past two seasons, serving up an have enough headliners among his supporting cast, average of 36 points per game in conference contests especially on defense. over that period. That unit loses fve of their top six tacklers and there is no reason to anticipate marked improvement.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 24 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY WES REYNOLDS - @WESREYNOLDS1

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's EAST DIVISION UCF 50.5 2.5 0.5 35.63 87 9.4 2.6 6.5 1.5 CINCINNATI 47 2 -0.5 41.67 61 7. 4 4.6 5.3 2.7 TEMPLE 42 3.75 0.5 33.81 104 7. 6 4.4 4.7 3.3 SOUTH FLORIDA 39 4 0.25 36.50 79 6.3 5.7 4.4 3.6 EAST CAROLINA 30 3 -0.75 32.38 112 5.1 6.9 2.5 5.5 CONNECTICUT 19 2 -0.5 35.63 86 2.2 9.8 0.8 7. 2 WEST DIVISION MEMPHIS 49 4 0 33.77 105 9.8 2.2 6.2 1.8 HOUSTON 40 4 0 38.58 70 6.2 5.8 4.6 3.4 SMU 36.5 3 -0.75 38.33 72 5.5 6.5 3.7 4.3 TULANE 35.5 3.75 -0.75 38.13 74 5.2 6.8 3.4 4.6 TULSA 34 3 0.75 39.85 68 4.4 7. 6 2.9 5.1 NAVY 28.5 4.25 0 35.56 89 4.3 7. 7 2.9 5.1

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME EAST UCF CINCINNATI UCF CINCINNATI UCF UCF UCF UCF DIVISION WEST HOUSTON HOUSTON HOUSTON MEMPHIS MEMPHIS HOUSTON MEMPHIS HOUSTON DIVISION AMERICAN UCF CINCINNATI UCF CINCINNATI MEMPHIS UCF UCF UCF CHAMPIONSHIP

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 25 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITES UCF (Eastern Division) and Memphis (Western Division) These two teams have met in the American Athletic Conference Championship Game in each of the last two seasons. UCF, on its home feld, has gotten the better of the Tigers in both meetings (2017: 62-55 in 2OT; 2018: 56-41). This season could be a different story though as Memphis has the highest win total of any AAC team at 9.5 and looks to have a realistic shot at a New Year’s Six bowl. The Tigers return 14 starters (6 O, 8 D) but are also replacing all coordinators. ‘s new OC is Kevin Johns, who was in the same role at Texas Tech last season and served in similar capacities at Western Michigan and Indiana in prior stops. Johns’s offense at Texas Tech ran an average of 81 plays/game last season, so expect the Tigers to go even more uptempo, which should be music to second-year starting QB Brady White’s ears. White threw for just under 3,300 yards and a 26/9 TD/INT ratio last season. Adam Fuller comes in from Marshall to man the defense. His defense at Marshall was a top 25 overall defense and was especially stingy against the run (8th in nation; 104.2 ypg). This year the Tigers return fve of their front seven and are now all upperclassmen so defensive improvement is expected. Furthermore, Memphis only plays four teams with winning records last season and should be favored in every game and potentially force UCF to come to Beale Street. The QB battle may have been settled by default as sophomore Darriel Mack suffered a broken ankle in mid-July and McKenzie Milton is already out for the season. Enter Notre Dame transfer Brandon Wimbush (16 starts at Notre Dame) to man the controls. The Golden Knights have a tougher schedule but face their tougher opponents at opportune times. They get FAU in Week 2 off a trip to Ohio State, then get Stanford already in a USC and Oregon sandwich having to travel cross country. A road trip to Pitt follows but the Panthers will be off a rivalry game with Penn State. The game at Cincinnati on Oct. 4 likely determines the Eastern Division title. LIVE DOGS Temple (Eastern Division) and Tulane (Western Division) The Owls undergo some adversity and now have their fourth head coach since November 2018. Geoff Collins left for Georgia Tech, (retained as TE/ST coach) was the interim coach for the bowl game, Manny Díaz took the job and then returned to Miami and fnally Rod Carey comes in from Northern Illinois. Temple rebounded from an 0-2 start last year, losing outright as home favorites to Villanova and Buffalo, to go a respectable 8-5. Moreover, the Owls lost their starting QB Frank Nutile (now graduated) after two weeks and Anthony Russo took over the reins and went 7-3 as a starter while having some expected ups and downs (14/14 TD/Int ratio) but he did throw for 444 yards at then unbeaten and 9th ranked UCF. Carey doesn’t inherit a bare cupboard here with 14 starters (7 O, 7 D) back. Tulane carries some positive momentum into this season. They started 2-5 last season but made a QB change and went to LSU graduate transfer Justin McMillan, who led them to a 5-1 fnish including winning his frst two starts on the road at Tulsa and at USF and to the Green Wave’s frst bowl win since 2002. Now in his fourth season, looks to have the better personnel to run his hybrid spread option offense. Fritz led Georgia Southern to a Sun Belt Title in his frst year there in 2014 and took Sam Houston State to back-to-back FCS Title Games in the 2011 and 2012 seasons. He has improved Tulane every year he has been there. DEAD MONEY Connecticut was called back into action in Storrs after a successful stint from 1999-2010 (fve bowl appearances, including a then-BCS bowl in the 2010 Fiesta Bowl). However, the sequel has not proven to be as good as the original as the Huskies went 4-20 overall in the last two seasons and didn’t beat an FBS team last season. They had to score in the fnal minute just to get by FCS Rhode Island. UConn was also a money-burning 2-10 ATS last season. They gave up 605 points in 12 games and started the second-most freshmen in the nation last season. The good news is that they can’t really get worse but they still look far away from getting much better. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Cincinnati at Ohio State, Sept. 7 Georgia Tech at Temple, Sept 28 spent four years in Columbus as a player The Owls don’t have to wait long to get a crack at (1993-1996) and 15 years on staff (2002-2016) their former head coach as Geoff Collins returns to including the 2011 season as interim head coach. He Philadelphia. was the AAC Coach of the Year last season improving the Bearcats from 4-8 to 11-2 in his second season. UCF at Cincinnati, Oct. 4 A solid performance in the “Horseshoe” could open UCF (then #11) defeated Cincinnati (then #19) 38-13 some eyes that they are a bonafde title contender. and easily covered as 7.5-point favorites with ESPN College Gameday in town last season. This looks to be Stanford at UCF, Sept. 14 the game that will decide the Eastern Division. For the last two years, critics have pointed to UCF’s soft nonconference schedule as the primary reason for not Memphis at Houston, Nov. 16 being taken seriously as a legitimate College Football Memphis should be favored in every game this season Playoff contender, in spite of having two straight but will likely be the smallest favorite they will be here unbeaten regular seasons and a 25-game winning in this showdown. Mike Norvell is 3-0 SU and ATS vs. streak. Well, now here is their chance to gain respect as the Cougars since arriving in Memphis, but he locks a Stanford team, off a road game at USC and before a horns this time with Dana Holgorsen, who is in his frst- big showdown with Oregon, comes across the country year in H-Town. to face them in Orlando.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 26 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION UCF KNIGHTS Location: Orlando, FL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Spectrum Stadium 50.5 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 12-1 2.5 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Josh Heupel SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 35.63 (#87 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 FLORIDA AM 9/7/19 at FLA Atlantic 9/14/19 STANFORD 9/21/19 at Pittsburgh 9/28/19 CONNECTICUT ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of UCF-CON series 10/4/19 at Cincinnati FAVORITES are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of CIN-UCF series 10/19/19 EAST CAROLINA UCF is 6-4 SU & 8-2 ATS vs. EAST CAROLINA since 2008 10/26/19 at Temple OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of TEM-UCF series 11/2/19 HOUSTON ROAD TEAMS are 6-0 ATS in L6 games of HOU-UCF series 11/8/19 at Tulsa UNDER the total is 6-2 in L8 games of UCF-TLS series 11/23/19 at Tulane HOME TEAMS are 7-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in L8 games of TUL-UCF series 11/29/19 SOUTH FLORIDA ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of USF-UCF series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 at Connecticut 56-17 W -23.5 W 69 O 9/8/18 S CAROLINA ST 38-0 W -51 L 65.5 U 9/21/18 FLA ATLANTIC 56-36 W -14 W 75 O 9/29/18 PITTSBURGH 45-14 W -13.5 W 65.5 U 10/6/18 SMU 48-20 W -26 W 73 U 10/13/18 at Memphis 31-30 W -4.5 L 80 U 10/20/18 at East Carolina 37-10 W -21.5 W 65 U 11/1/18 TEMPLE 52-40 W -10 W 60 O 11/10/18 NAVY 35-24 W -23.5 L 69 U 11/17/18 CINCINNATI 38-13 W -6.5 W 60 U 11/23/18 at South Florida 38-10 W -15.5 W 69.5 U 12/1/18 MEMPHIS 56-41 W -1 W 65 O 1/1/19 vs. LSU 32-40 L 7 L 58 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 9 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE This is a number you really want to shop for in the market. There are a couple 10s with heavier juice (around -130) to the Under and the market average is at 9.5. At 9, this is still worth a look to the Over. The schedule is much tougher on the surface than last year’s when you consider the Knights have nonconference road games at FAU and at Pittsburgh and get a likely ranked Stanford club at home. However, the spots on the schedule are favorable. In Week 2, they go to FAU, who will just have faced Ohio State. Then Stanford comes to town in a sandwich spot between USC and Oregon. Next, they go to face a Pitt team who will be off a revenge spot (51-6 loss) from last season against Penn State. In the following week, the Knights will go to Cincinnati and the Bearcats are off a sneaky and tricky type of spot at Marshall in the prior week. After the more diffcult early part of the schedule, UCF is likely favored in all of its last six games. There is not much of a drop off from Darriel Mack, Jr to Notre Dame transfer Brandon Wimbush. Wimbush started 16 career games at Notre Dame and while his passing numbers (51 percent; 2606 yards, 20 TD, 12 INT) are fairly pedestrian, he also ran for 1,155 yards and was 13-3 as a starter in South Bend against much tougher competition. If the number is higher than 9, I wouldn’t recommend the Over.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 27 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION UCF KNIGHTS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 43.7 5 Points Per Game 24.6 43 Yards Per Point 11. 9 10 Yards Per Point 18.3 8 Plays Per Game 76.2 30 3rd Down Conv. % 43.5% 101 Time of Possession 25:33 127 Total Yards Per Game 450.3 102 3rd Down Conv. % 50.0% 6 Yards Per Play 5.5 59 Total Yards Per Game 519.3 4 Rush Yards Per Game 226.2 113 Yards Per Play 6.8 6 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 93 Rush Attempts Per Game 45.5 12 Completion % 56.6% 31 Rush Yards Per Game 261.2 8 Passing Yards Per Game 224.2 57 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.7 8 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 38 Pass Attempts Per Game 29.1 86 Sacks 2.1 66 Completion % 57.9% 81 Turnovers 2.1 11 Passing Yards Per Game 258.1 33 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.9 11 Turnovers 0.9 9 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 0-12 6-7 13-0 12-1 31-20 (61%) 43 Overall ATS 2-10 8-5 8-4 9-4 27-23 (54%) 37 Over-Under 5-6 4-8 8-5 5-8 22-27 (45%) 90 at Home ATS 0-6 4-2 4-3 6-2 14-13 (52%) 49 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 4-3 4-1 3-2 13-10 (57%) 41 Conference ATS 2-6 5-3 5-3 7-2 19-14 (58%) 25 Non-Conf. ATS 0-4 3-2 3-1 2-2 8-9 (47%) 78 Favorite ATS 0-3 5-3 6-4 9-3 20-13 (61%) 7 Underdog ATS 2-7 3-2 2-0 0-1 7-10 (41%) 101 After SUW ATS 0-0 3-3 7-4 8-4 18-11 (62%) 15 After SUL ATS 2-9 4-2 0-0 0-0 6-11 (35%) 115

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 54.5 27.6 2.26 -11.8 6-QB, OC 44 7.41 12.98 6-DC 16.4 5.15 24.76 2017 58 31.4 2.7 -16.9 9 47.5 8.16 12.2 4 16.1 5.46 24.89 2016 Yes 40 16.9 0.96 0.9 10- OC 35.8 5.37 11.23 7-DC 18.9 4.41 18.37 2015 18 -14 -1.46 20.6 5- OC 18.7 4.52 15.73 4-DC 32.7 5.99 13

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• UCF is 6-1 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - On Friday

• UCF is 1-6 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• UCF is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) at HOME - In September

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 28 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION CINCINNATI BEARCATS Location: Cincinnati, OH STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 47 Head Coach: Luke Fickell - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 11-2 2 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Mike Denbrock SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Marcus Freeman 41.67 (#61 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 UCLA 9/7/19 at Ohio St HOME TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in L5 games of OSU-CIN series 9/14/19 MIAMI OHIO UNDERDOGS are 2-4 SU but 6-0 ATS in L6 games of MOH-CIN series 9/28/19 at Marshall ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MAR-CIN series 10/4/19 UCF FAVORITES are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of CIN-UCF series 10/12/19 at Houston CINCINNATI is 8-4 SU & 8-3 ATS vs. HOUSTON since 1993 10/19/19 TULSA ROAD TEAMS are 1-4 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of TLS-CIN series 11/2/19 at East Carolina HOME TEAMS are 11-5 SU & 13-3 ATS in ECU-CIN series since 1992 11/9/19 CONNECTICUT UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of CON-CIN series 11/16/19 at South Florida SOUTH FLORIDA is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. CINCINNATI 11/23/19 TEMPLE TEMPLE is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. CINCINNATI 11/29/19 at Memphis CINCINNATI is 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games at MEMPHIS 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at UCLA 26-17 W 14 W 63 U 9/8/18 vs. Miami Ohio 21-0 W 1 W 45 U 9/15/18 ALABAMA A&M 63-7 W -43.5 W 51 O 9/22/18 OHIO U 34-30 W -7 L 56 O 9/29/18 at Connecticut 49-7 W -16 W 62.5 U 10/6/18 TULANE 37-21 W -7 W 48 O 10/20/18 at Temple 17-24 L 2.5 L 46.5 U 10/27/18 at SMU 26-20 W -8.5 L 49.5 U 11/3/18 NAVY 42-0 W -13 W 47 U 11/10/18 SOUTH FLORIDA 35-23 W -15.5 L 51.5 O 11/17/18 at UCF 13-38 L 6.5 L 60 U 11/23/18 EAST CAROLINA 56-6 W -15 W 50.5 O 12/31/18 vs. Virginia Tech 35-31 W -5 L 48.5 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 8.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS The Bearcats were arguably the most improved team in the country going from 4-8 to 11-2 in Luke Fickell’s second year. However, this squad overachieved a bit and caught breaks. They were 3-1 in games decided by one score or less. Against Ohio, the Bearcats were down 21-0 (24-7 at halftime) but came back to win after Ohio got to the UC 2 and threw a goal line on the game’s fnal drive. In their game at SMU, they trailed in the fnal two minutes but SMU couldn’t convert for a frst down and Cincinnati tied the game and then won in OT on an 86-yard INT TD return. Then, in the , Virginia Tech had a late 4th-quarter lead and got stopped on 4th & 1 at the UC 3 and the Bearcats scored two drives later for the win. These breaks one season tend to even out the other way in the following campaign. The Bearcats schedule also looks tougher as they open with what should be an improved UCLA team looking for revenge and then a homecoming game for Fickell at Ohio State. They have tough road games at Marshall, at Houston, at USF and at Memphis. In Fickell’s two seasons in Cincinnati, he is only 1-5-1 ATS as a single-digit favorite. There will be several of those spots this season as UC will be overvalued from their surprising 11-win campaign last season.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 29 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION CINCINNATI BEARCATS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 32.6 31 Points Per Game 18.1 9 Yards Per Point 13.3 40 Yards Per Point 17.4 13 Plays Per Game 76.2 29 3rd Down Conv. % 29.4% 7 Time of Possession 32:54 14 Total Yards Per Game 314 12 3rd Down Conv. % 47.3% 10 Yards Per Play 4.6 16 Total Yards Per Game 434.9 30 Rush Yards Per Game 118.8 17 Yards Per Play 5.7 53 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.5 17 Rush Attempts Per Game 45.4 13 Completion % 49.1% 2 Rush Yards Per Game 225.3 17 Passing Yards Per Game 195.2 24 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 27 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.2 21 Pass Attempts Per Game 29 87 Sacks 2.5 40 Completion % 59.2% 63 Turnovers 1.6 48 Passing Yards Per Game 209.6 86 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 2 73 Turnovers 1.6 80 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 4-8 4-8 11-2 26-24 (52%) 66 Overall ATS 6-7 3-9 4-8 7-6 20-30 (40%) 122 Over-Under 6-7 2-10 6-6 6-7 20-30 (40%) 119 at Home ATS 3-3 1-6 1-5 4-2 9-16 (36%) 112 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 2-3 3-3 3-4 11-14 (44%) 101 Conference ATS 5-3 2-6 2-6 4-4 13-19 (41%) 108 Non-Conf. ATS 1-4 1-3 2-2 3-2 7-11 (39%) 105 Favorite ATS 3-5 1-3 0-4 5-4 9-16 (36%) 115 Underdog ATS 3-2 2-6 4-4 2-2 11-14 (44%) 90 After SUW ATS 3-4 1-3 1-2 5-5 10-14 (42%) 102 After SUL ATS 3-2 2-5 3-5 1-1 9-13 (41%) 97

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 50.5 23.9 2 -6.8 5-QB 35.8 6.36 13.42 7 11. 9 4.36 23.3 2017 Yes 28.5 -2.1 0.35 9 5- OC 23.2 5.75 16.65 5-DC 25.2 5.4 15.71 2016 33 3.8 1.05 4.6 5- OC 24.3 5.89 17.13 8 20.6 4.84 18.61 2015 44.5 13.1 1.74 -7.5 8 39.3 7. 21 15.25 5 26.2 5.47 14.87

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - After playing CONNECTICUT

• CINCINNATI is 1-6 ATS (L7G) - After playing HOUSTON

• CINCINNATI is 13-2 UNDER (L15G) on ROAD - On grass feld

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 30 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION Location: Philadelphia, PA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 42 Head Coach: Rod Carey - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3.75 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Mike Uremovich * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jeff Knowles * 33.81 (#104 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 BUCKNELL 9/14/19 MARYLAND ROAD TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 8-0 ATS in L8 games of TEM-MD series 9/21/19 at Buffalo ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in L7 games of TEM-BUF series 9/28/19 GEORGIA TECH 10/3/19 at East Carolina TEMPLE is 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in its L6 games vs. EAST CAROLINA 10/12/19 MEMPHIS TEMPLE is 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. MEMPHIS 10/19/19 at SMU TEMPLE is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. SMU 10/26/19 UCF OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of TEM-UCF series 11/7/19 at South Florida UNDERDOGS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of TEM-USF series 11/16/19 TULANE FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of TEM-TUL series 11/23/19 at Cincinnati TEMPLE is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. CINCINNATI 11/30/19 CONNECTICUT UNDER the total is 10-0 in TEM-CON series since 2001 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 VILLANOVA 17-19 L -14.5 L 39.5 U 9/8/18 BUFFALO 29-36 L -4 L 52.5 O 9/15/18 at Maryland 35-14 W 16 W 56 U 9/20/18 TULSA 31-17 W -6 W 54.5 U 9/29/18 at Boston College 35-45 L 13.5 W 54.5 O 10/6/18 EAST CAROLINA 49-6 W -10 W 53 O 10/13/18 at Navy 24-17 W -6.5 W 49 U 10/20/18 CINCINNATI 24-17 W -2.5 W 46.5 U 11/1/18 at UCF 40-52 L 10 L 60 O 11/10/18 at Houston 59-49 W 3 W 69.5 O 11/17/18 SOUTH FLORIDA 27-17 W -14 L 62.5 U 11/24/18 at Connecticut 57-7 W -30.5 W 68.5 U 12/27/18 vs. Duke 27-56 L -3.5 L 55 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Unlike what we saw from USF last season, we can’t question Temple’s heart and their ability to deal with adversity. The tough times started last season as Temple lost their frst two games of the campaign as home chalk vs. FCS Villanova and Buffalo. They also lost their senior starting QB Frank Nutile to injury. Enter sophomore Anthony Russo, who went on to lead the Owls to a 7-3 record as a starter. HC Geoff Collins left before the game to take the job at Georgia Tech. Special Teams coach Ed Foley served as the interim in the bowl (56-27 loss vs. Duke). Manny Diaz accepted the job and actually signed most of the incoming recruiting class before going back to take the head job at Miami. Rod Carey now assumes the reins after six seasons as the HC at Northern Illinois. Carey inherits a program that has reached four straight bowl games and returns 14 starters. He brings both coordinators with him from NIU. More often than not, you’d want to go against frst-year coaches implementing new systems but this is a more of a retooling than a rebuilding process. Carey can pitch to his players that he wasn’t the frst choice and that these players have had two head coaches leave them but that he really wants to be here and coach these guys. Most of the tougher games on the schedule are at home (Maryland, Memphis and UCF) but this is an experienced bunch returning four of fve OL starters and fve of their front seven defensively.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 31 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION TEMPLE OWLS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 36.4 15 Points Per Game 27.8 64 Yards Per Point 11. 6 5 Yards Per Point 13.3 91 Plays Per Game 74.6 44 3rd Down Conv. % 41.3% 85 Time of Possession 29:10 80 Total Yards Per Game 369.8 43 3rd Down Conv. % 37.2% 81 Yards Per Play 4.5 9 Total Yards Per Game 423.2 36 Rush Yards Per Game 188 82 Yards Per Play 5.7 55 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4 45 Rush Attempts Per Game 39 62 Completion % 53.3% 9 Rush Yards Per Game 165.6 65 Passing Yards Per Game 181.8 13 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 71 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.5 1 Pass Attempts Per Game 34.2 42 Sacks 2.7 30 Completion % 56.8% 89 Turnovers 2.5 1 Passing Yards Per Game 257.7 35 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 54 Turnovers 1.9 108 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-4 10-4 7-6 8-5 35-19 (65%) 30 Overall ATS 9-5 12-2 7-6 8-5 36-18 (67%) 1 Over-Under 5-9 6-7 6-7 6-7 23-30 (43%) 100 at Home ATS 5-1 6-1 2-4 3-3 16-9 (64%) 8 Road/Neutral ATS 4-4 6-1 5-2 5-2 20-9 (69%) 5 Conference ATS 6-3 9-0 5-3 6-2 26-8 (76%) 2 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 3-2 2-3 2-3 10-10 (50%) 71 Favorite ATS 4-4 7-2 4-3 5-4 20-13 (61%) 7 Underdog ATS 5-1 5-0 3-3 3-1 16-5 (76%) 6 After SUW ATS 6-4 9-1 2-4 5-3 22-12 (65%) 8 After SUL ATS 2-1 3-0 5-1 3-1 13-3 (81%) 2

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 46.5 17.9 2.02 -4 6-QB 37.2 6.25 12.07 6-DC 19.3 4.22 17.38 2017 Yes 40.5 5.9 0.9 2.6 6-QB, OC 26.9 6.02 15.79 4-DC 20.9 5.12 17.25 2016 47 23.9 2.26 -6.7 6- OC 37.1 6.53 12.12 6 13.2 4.28 19.48 2015 47 19.6 1.32 -6.8 9 34.1 5.89 11.69 10 14.5 4.56 21.1

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TEMPLE is 10-0 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After SU loss

• TEMPLE is 1-6 ATS (L7G) - VS MAC

• TEMPLE is 13-1-1 UNDER (L15G) at HOME - After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 32 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS Location: Tampa, FL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 39 Head Coach: - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 4 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 9 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Kerwin Bell * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brian Jean-Mary 36.5 (#79 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 WISCONSIN 9/7/19 at Georgia Tech 9/14/19 S CAROLINA ST 9/28/19 SMU HOME TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of USF-SMU series 10/5/19 at Connecticut UNDERDOGS are 4-7 SU but 8-2 ATS in CON-USF series since 2007 10/12/19 BYU 10/19/19 at Navy 10/26/19 at East Carolina SOUTH FLORIDA is 6-1 SU & ATS in its L7 games vs. EAST CAROLINA 11/7/19 TEMPLE UNDERDOGS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of TEM-USF series 11/16/19 CINCINNATI SOUTH FLORIDA is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. CINCINNATI 11/23/19 MEMPHIS ROAD TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 7-0 ATS in L8 games of USF-MEM series 11/29/19 at Ucf ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of USF-UCF series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 ELON 34-14 W -27.5 L 56.5 U 9/8/18 GEORGIA TECH 49-38 W 3.5 W 60 O 9/15/18 vs. Illinois 25-19 W -14 L 59 U 9/22/18 EAST CAROLINA 20-13 W -19 L 67 U 10/6/18 at Massachusetts 58-42 W -15.5 W 72.5 O 10/12/18 at Tulsa 25-24 W -10 L 59.5 U 10/20/18 CONNECTICUT 38-30 W -33.5 L 67.5 O 10/27/18 at Houston 36-57 L 9.5 L 77.5 O 11/3/18 TULANE 15-41 L -5.5 L 60.5 U 11/10/18 at Cincinnati 23-35 L 15.5 W 51.5 O 11/17/18 at Temple 17-27 L 14 W 62.5 U 11/23/18 UCF 10-38 L 15.5 L 69.5 U 12/20/18 MARSHALL 20-38 L 3 L 49 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 7 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The total of 7 seems about right for this team. The juice is heavy to the over seeing that there are nine starters back on offense including former Power 5 conference players seniors QB Blake Barnett (Alabama/Arizona State) and RB Jordan Cronkite (Florida). Former Gators QB Kerwin Bell comes in as the new OC from being the HC at Valdosta State the last three seasons. Bell wants to play fast and score fast and that unit should be improved but the defense is still a major question mark. The Bulls gave up 30 points at UConn and 42 points at UMass plus gave up 38 in the Gasparilla Bowl to a Marshall club that only eclipsed 35 points a single time in the prior 12 games. That bowl loss for USF was in their own home stadium (Raymond James Stadium) where they only drew a paltry 14,135 and the crowd was the lowest in the history of that bowl game. Keep in mind that the previous games were held at the dumpy Tropicana Field. USF was the frst team in college football history to start a season 7-0 and fnish 7-6. That’s not a team that inspires confdence going forward as it shows that they’ll quit if they have to undergo adversity. They beat one team with a winning record last season (Georgia Tech). There are a few coin fip games on the schedule that could go either way (BYU, at East Carolina, Temple, Cincinnati). More than likely they split those games and end up on 7, but I’d rather not lay almost two dollars on a club that seems to mail it in when times get tough.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 33 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28 64 Points Per Game 33.5 97 Yards Per Point 15.4 83 Yards Per Point 13.9 75 Plays Per Game 75 39 3rd Down Conv. % 42.1% 93 Time of Possession 27:00 120 Total Yards Per Game 464.4 112 3rd Down Conv. % 35.2% 99 Yards Per Play 5.8 85 Total Yards Per Game 430.8 33 Rush Yards Per Game 252.2 121 Yards Per Play 5.7 49 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.2 115 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.8 54 Completion % 55.5% 23 Rush Yards Per Game 197.4 34 Passing Yards Per Game 212.2 45 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 28 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 2 59 Pass Attempts Per Game 32.2 60 Sacks 2.2 59 Completion % 57.8% 83 Turnovers 1.6 52 Passing Yards Per Game 233.4 62 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 72 Turnovers 1.8 99 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 11-2 10-2 7-6 36-15 (71%) 19 Overall ATS 9-3 8-5 6-6 4-9 27-23 (54%) 37 Over-Under 7-6 10-3 5-7 6-7 28-23 (55%) 24 at Home ATS 5-0 5-2 3-3 1-6 14-11 (56%) 25 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 3-3 3-3 3-3 13-12 (52%) 63 Conference ATS 6-1 5-3 4-4 2-6 17-14 (55%) 38 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 3-2 2-2 2-3 10-9 (53%) 54 Favorite ATS 3-0 8-4 5-6 1-6 17-16 (52%) 49 Underdog ATS 6-3 0-1 1-0 3-3 10-7 (59%) 38 After SUW ATS 6-2 5-5 5-4 2-5 18-16 (53%) 53 After SUL ATS 2-1 2-0 1-1 2-3 7-5 (58%) 26

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 33 4.2 1.01 6.4 6 29.5 6.42 16.01 5 25.3 5.41 16.48 2017 Yes 49 18.5 1.66 -10.8 7- OC 37.3 6.25 14.01 9-DC 18.8 4.6 17.79 2016 49.5 22.2 2.67 -9.1 7 47.7 7.99 11.82 7-DC 25.5 5.32 17.39 2015 47.5 21 2.2 -0.3 4-QB 37 6.86 12.52 7-DC 16.1 4.65 20.84

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• SOUTH FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 20 points

• SOUTH FLORIDA is 2-12-1 ATS (L15G) at HOME - After a conference SU loss

• SOUTH FLORIDA is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) - Underdog of more than 20 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 34 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION EAST CAROLINA PIRATES Location: Greenville, NC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Bagwell Field at Dowdy–Ficklen Stadium 30 Head Coach: Mike Houston - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 3 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Donnie Kirkpatrick * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Bob Trott * 32.38 (#112 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at NC State HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of ECU-NCS series 9/7/19 GARDNER WEBB 9/14/19 at Navy OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of NAV-ECU series 9/21/19 WILLIAM & MARY 9/28/19 at Old Dominion 10/3/19 TEMPLE TEMPLE is 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in its L6 games vs. EAST CAROLINA 10/19/19 at Ucf UCF is 6-4 SU & 8-2 ATS vs. EAST CAROLINA since 2008 10/26/19 SOUTH FLORIDA SOUTH FLORIDA is 6-1 SU & ATS in its L7 games vs. EAST CAROLINA 11/2/19 CINCINNATI HOME TEAMS are 11-5 SU & 13-3 ATS in ECU-CIN series since 1992 11/9/19 at SMU ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of ECU-SMU series 11/23/19 at Connecticut HOME TEAMS are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of ECU-CON series 11/30/19 TULSA HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of TLS-ECU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/2/18 N CAROLINA A&T 23-28 L -14 L 65 U 9/8/18 NORTH CAROLINA 41-19 W 15 W 59 O 9/22/18 at South Florida 13-20 L 19 W 67 U 9/29/18 OLD DOMINION 37-35 W -7 L 61.5 O 10/6/18 at Temple 6-49 L 10 L 53 O 10/13/18 HOUSTON 20-42 L 16 L 69 U 10/20/18 UCF 10-37 L 21.5 L 65 U 11/3/18 MEMPHIS 41-59 L 11 L 66.5 O 11/10/18 at Tulane 18-24 L 10.5 W 52.5 U 11/17/18 CONNECTICUT 55-21 W -17.5 W 71 O 11/23/18 at Cincinnati 6-56 L 15 L 50.5 O 12/1/18 at NC State 3-58 L 25.5 L 59.5 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 4 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL In what looks to be one of the best coaching upgrades in all of FBS, Mike Houston comes in from James Madison (2016 FCS Champion) to replace Scottie Montgomery, who was a disaster in his three seasons (9-27 overall; 1-15 away). Houston went 37-6 in his three seasons at JMU and actually won at East Carolina in 2017 (34-14). The Pirates only lose 20 lettermen and return 49, including 14 starters (4 OL, 3 DL). ECU has two likely wins versus FCS opponents (Gardner Webb, William & Mary) and more than likely at UConn. The games at Navy, at Old Dominion, at SMU and vs. Tulsa are also winnable games.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 35 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION EAST CAROLINA PIRATES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.7 103 Points Per Game 38.2 117 Yards Per Point 18.4 127 Yards Per Point 11. 9 122 Plays Per Game 84 3 3rd Down Conv. % 39.5% 65 Time of Possession 30:02 60 Total Yards Per Game 455.4 106 3rd Down Conv. % 36.0% 93 Yards Per Play 6 99 Total Yards Per Game 417.4 44 Rush Yards Per Game 177.7 77 Yards Per Play 5 103 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 68 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.2 91 Completion % 62.0% 85 Rush Yards Per Game 135.3 102 Passing Yards Per Game 277.6 126 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 102 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.6 112 Pass Attempts Per Game 45.6 2 Sacks 3 14 Completion % 49.2% 124 Turnovers 1 117 Passing Yards Per Game 282.1 20 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.2 112 Turnovers 2 111 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 3-9 3-9 3-9 14-34 (29%) 117 Overall ATS 5-7 3-9 3-9 4-8 15-33 (31%) 128 Over-Under 5-7 6-6 8-4 7-5 26-22 (54%) 29 at Home ATS 1-5 3-3 2-5 2-5 8-18 (31%) 125 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 0-6 1-4 2-3 7-15 (32%) 129 Conference ATS 2-6 1-7 2-6 3-5 8-24 (25%) 128 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 2-2 1-3 1-3 7-9 (44%) 91 Favorite ATS 2-5 2-3 0-0 1-2 5-10 (33%) 122 Underdog ATS 3-2 1-6 3-9 3-6 10-23 (30%) 124 After SUW ATS 3-2 1-2 0-3 1-2 5-9 (36%) 120 After SUL ATS 2-4 1-7 3-5 3-5 9-21 (30%) 125

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 24.5 -5.5 -0.2 9.8 5 24.7 5.46 18.33 7-DC 30.2 5.66 13.42 2017 24 -7.5 -0.62 16.4 6-QB 29.3 6.24 16.68 6 36.8 6.86 13.09 2016 Yes 31 2.5 0.76 2.5 5-QB, OC 32.5 6.56 16.11 6-DC 30 5.81 13.62 2015 38.5 12.1 1.36 -1.2 6-QB, OC 32.7 6.27 14.04 5 20.6 4.91 17.76

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• EAST CAROLINA is 5-2 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• EAST CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (L7G) - as AP top 25

• EAST CAROLINA is 13-2 OVER (L15G) - Less than 6 days rest

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 36 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION CONNECTICUT HUSKIES Location: East Hartford, CT STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field 19 Head Coach: Randy Edsall - 14th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 1-11 2 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 10 Offensive Coordinator: Frank Giufre * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Lou Spanos * 35.63 (#86 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 WAGNER 9/7/19 ILLINOIS 9/21/19 at Indiana 9/28/19 at Ucf ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of UCF-CON series 10/5/19 SOUTH FLORIDA UNDERDOGS are 4-7 SU but 8-2 ATS in CON-USF series since 2007 10/12/19 at Tulane TULANE is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. CONNECTICUT 10/19/19 HOUSTON 10/26/19 at Massachusetts 11/1/19 NAVY FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of CON-NAV series 11/9/19 at Cincinnati UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of CON-CIN series 11/23/19 EAST CAROLINA HOME TEAMS are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of ECU-CON series 11/30/19 at Temple UNDER the total is 10-0 in TEM-CON series since 2001 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 UCF 17-56 L 23.5 L 69 O 9/8/18 at Boise St 7-62 L 33.5 L 63 O 9/15/18 RHODE ISLAND 56-49 W -9 L 61.5 O 9/22/18 at Syracuse 21-51 L 31 W 74.5 U 9/29/18 CINCINNATI 7-49 L 16 L 62.5 U 10/6/18 at Memphis 14-55 L 35.5 L 77.5 U 10/20/18 at South Florida 30-38 L 33.5 W 67.5 O 10/27/18 MASSACHUSETTS 17-22 L 3.5 L 64.5 U 11/3/18 at Tulsa 19-49 L 18.5 L 59.5 O 11/10/18 SMU 50-62 L 17.5 W 66.5 O 11/17/18 at East Carolina 21-55 L 17.5 L 71 O 11/24/18 TEMPLE 7-57 L 30.5 L 68.5 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 2.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Huskies went 1-11 last season and barely beat FCS Rhode Island, 56-49. While they might make a slight improvement returning 61 lettermen and 16 starters, this is a program that has lost 17 straight vs. FBS foes. Last season, UConn was outgained by an average of 241 ypg and outscored by 28 ppg. They gave up 605 total points in the 2018 campaign. Earlier this summer it was announced that UConn will be returning to the Big East in 2020. The problem from a football perspective is that the Big East is a non-football conference. So you already have a program with an uncertain future in an athletic department that lost over $41 million just in 2018. This season may not get worse than last year for the Huskies, but it doesn’t seem to be getting much better.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 37 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION CONNECTICUT HUSKIES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 19.1 120 Points Per Game 50.5 130 Yards Per Point 18.9 129 Yards Per Point 12.3 114 Plays Per Game 72.3 65 3rd Down Conv. % 51.6% 128 Time of Possession 31:23 32 Total Yards Per Game 623.6 130 3rd Down Conv. % 41.1% 45 Yards Per Play 8.7 130 Total Yards Per Game 360.1 98 Rush Yards Per Game 347.5 130 Yards Per Play 5 102 Yards Per Rush Attempt 7. 7 130 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.5 44 Completion % 72.1% 128 Rush Yards Per Game 193.9 40 Passing Yards Per Game 276.2 124 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 39 Yards Per Pass Attempt 10.7 130 Pass Attempts Per Game 29.5 81 Sacks 0.7 130 Completion % 55.3% 98 Turnovers 0.8 126 Passing Yards Per Game 166.2 112 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.6 125 Turnovers 2.3 124 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 3-9 3-9 1-11 13-36 (27%) 121 Overall ATS 5-8 2-10 5-7 3-9 15-34 (31%) 130 Over-Under 2-11 5-7 6-6 7-5 20-29 (41%) 111 at Home ATS 3-3 1-6 2-4 1-5 7-18 (28%) 126 Road/Neutral ATS 2-5 1-4 3-3 2-4 8-16 (33%) 126 Conference ATS 3-5 2-6 5-3 2-6 12-20 (38%) 118 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 0-4 0-4 1-3 3-14 (18%) 129 Favorite ATS 1-2 0-3 0-2 0-1 1-8 (11%) 130 Underdog ATS 4-6 2-7 5-5 3-8 14-26 (35%) 119 After SUW ATS 2-4 1-2 1-2 1-0 5-8 (38%) 116 After SUL ATS 2-4 1-7 4-4 2-8 9-23 (28%) 127

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 13.5 -17.3 -2.09 26.9 7-OC 24.7 5.91 16.99 2 41.9 7.99 13.37 2017 Yes 26 -4.4 -0.06 16.6 7- OC 23.9 6.1 19.28 7-DC 28.3 6.16 16.67 2016 23.5 -3.1 0.1 8 10 19.8 5.32 17.87 6 22.9 5.22 16.41 2015 36 7. 4 0.62 8 6-QB, OC 23.4 5.43 14.89 8 16 4.81 20.28

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• CONNECTICUT is 20-8-1 ATS (S2000) at HOME - In November

• CONNECTICUT is 1-14 ATS (L15G) - Nonconference VS NON-POWER 5

• CONNECTICUT is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) - VS TEMPLE

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 38 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION MEMPHIS TIGERS Location: Memphis, TN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium 49 Head Coach: Mike Norvell - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-6 4 / 0 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Kevin Johns * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Adam Fuller * 33.77 (#105 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 OLE MISS HOME TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in L8 games of MEM-MIS series 9/7/19 SOUTHERN 9/14/19 at S Alabama 9/26/19 NAVY NAVY is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. MEMPHIS 10/5/19 at LA Monroe 10/12/19 at Temple TEMPLE is 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. MEMPHIS 10/19/19 TULANE MEMPHIS is 14-4 SU & 13-4 ATS vs. TULANE since 1995 10/26/19 at Tulsa ROAD TEAMS are 7-6 SU & 10-3 ATS in MEM-TLS series since 1992 11/2/19 SMU FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MEM-SMU series 11/16/19 at Houston MEMPHIS is 7-8 SU but 9-6 ATS vs. HOUSTON since 2000 11/23/19 at South Florida ROAD TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 7-0 ATS in L8 games of USF-MEM series 11/29/19 CINCINNATI CINCINNATI is 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games at MEMPHIS 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 MERCER 66-14 W -31 W 65.5 O 9/8/18 at Navy 21-22 L -6.5 L 67 U 9/14/18 GEORGIA ST 59-22 W -29 W 63.5 O 9/22/18 S ALABAMA 52-35 W -31.5 L 66 O 9/28/18 at Tulane 24-40 L -14.5 L 66 U 10/6/18 CONNECTICUT 55-14 W -35.5 W 77.5 U 10/13/18 UCF 30-31 L 4.5 W 80 U 10/20/18 at Missouri 33-65 L 9 L 70.5 O 11/3/18 at East Carolina 59-41 W -11 W 66.5 O 11/10/18 TULSA 47-21 W -15.5 W 65.5 O 11/16/18 at SMU 28-18 W -8 W 75 U 11/23/18 HOUSTON 52-31 W -10 W 76 O 12/1/18 at UCF 41-56 L 1 L 65 O 12/22/18 vs. Wake Forest 34-37 L -2.5 L 71 T WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 9.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS This is a legit dark horse candidate for the New Year’s Six. First, they only play four games against FBS opponents with winning records last season. Although three of those contests are on the road (at Temple, at Houston, at USF), the Tigers will be favored in every game. They also get their bye weeks at opportune times with one coming before the game at Navy that gives them an extra week to prepare for the and the other before playing at Houston, who should be their closest competitor in the division. Next, Memphis slowed the tempo a bit on offense last year with a frst-year starting QB in Brady White after the graduation of Riley Ferguson. This year with new OC Kevin Johns (81 plays/game last year at Texas Tech; 4th nationally) running the offense, expect Memphis to speed it up. The other coordinators are also a bit of an upgrade on Mike Norvell’s staff. Adam Fuller led a Top 25 national defense last season at Marshall and Pete Lembo, the former head coach at Ball State from 2011-2015, is an excellent special teams coach. The Tigers also lost three games by three points or less last season (at Navy, UCF and Wake Forest in the Birmingham Bowl). With a productive QB in his second year, 11 of their top 12 tacklers back, upgrades on the coaching staff and a manageable schedule, the Tigers have a solid shot to go unbeaten in the regular season. At 7/2 (+350), the Tigers are also worth a look to win the AAC Championship.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 39 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION MEMPHIS TIGERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 41.2 8 Points Per Game 33.3 96 Yards Per Point 12.3 17 Yards Per Point 13.4 88 Plays Per Game 74.3 45 3rd Down Conv. % 40.4% 78 Time of Possession 28:46 96 Total Yards Per Game 447.7 99 3rd Down Conv. % 45.5% 19 Yards Per Play 5.5 63 Total Yards Per Game 505.5 6 Rush Yards Per Game 180.4 78 Yards Per Play 6.8 7 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 55 Rush Attempts Per Game 43.7 15 Completion % 57.7% 50 Rush Yards Per Game 276.5 4 Passing Yards Per Game 267.3 116 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.3 3 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 83 Pass Attempts Per Game 28.8 89 Sacks 2.5 38 Completion % 61.0% 47 Turnovers 1.5 75 Passing Yards Per Game 229 67 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8 30 Turnovers 1.2 33 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 8-5 10-3 8-6 35-18 (66%) 25 Overall ATS 6-6 5-8 7-6 8-6 26-26 (50%) 70 Over-Under 6-7 8-5 9-4 8-5 31-21 (60%) 8 at Home ATS 3-3 3-4 4-4 6-1 16-12 (57%) 19 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 2-4 3-2 2-5 10-14 (42%) 111 Conference ATS 3-4 3-5 6-3 6-3 18-15 (55%) 39 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 2-3 1-3 2-3 8-11 (42%) 96 Favorite ATS 4-5 4-4 5-4 7-4 20-17 (54%) 34 Underdog ATS 2-1 1-4 2-2 1-2 6-9 (40%) 108 After SUW ATS 3-5 3-5 6-4 4-4 16-18 (47%) 84 After SUL ATS 2-1 2-2 1-1 3-2 8-6 (57%) 36

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 47 17.2 2.34 -5.2 7-OC 42.2 7.68 13.24 8 25 5.34 16.08 2017 50.5 21.7 2.57 -7.4 9 43.8 8.04 13.5 6 22.1 5.47 20.07 2016 Yes 46 23.2 1.84 -6.5 6-QB, OC 43 6.96 11. 9 7-DC 19.8 5.12 20.43 2015 49.5 24 1.78 -9 8 42.8 6.89 12.89 3-DC 18.8 5.12 20.19

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MEMPHIS is 21-4 ATS (L25G) on ROAD - In November

• MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• MEMPHIS is 21-4 UNDER (L25G) on ROAD - In November

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 40 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION Location: Houston, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: John O’Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium 40 Head Coach: Dana Holgorsen - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 4 / 0 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: Marquel Blackwell / Brandon Jones * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Joe Cauthen / Doug Belk * 38.58 (#70 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Oklahoma 9/7/19 PRAIRIE VIEW 9/13/19 vs. Washington St 9/19/19 at Tulane FAVORITES are 13-2 SU & 12-3 ATS in HOU-TUL series since 2003 9/28/19 at North Texas FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of HOU-NTX series 10/12/19 CINCINNATI CINCINNATI is 8-4 SU & 8-3 ATS vs. HOUSTON since 1993 10/19/19 at Connecticut 10/24/19 SMU UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of HOU-SMU series at HOUSTON 11/2/19 at Ucf ROAD TEAMS are 6-0 ATS in L6 games of HOU-UCF series 11/16/19 MEMPHIS MEMPHIS is 7-8 SU but 9-6 ATS vs. HOUSTON since 2000 11/23/19 at Tulsa UNDERDOGS are 8-7 SU & 12-3 ATS in TLS-HOU series since 1992 11/30/19 NAVY 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Rice 45-27 W -25 L 56 O 9/8/18 ARIZONA 45-18 W -3.5 W 71 U 9/15/18 at Texas Tech 49-63 L 2 L 68.5 O 9/22/18 TEXAS SOUTHERN 70-14 W -55.5 W 65 O 10/4/18 TULSA 41-26 W -17 L 72 U 10/13/18 at East Carolina 42-20 W -16 W 69 U 10/20/18 at Navy 49-36 W -11 W 59.5 O 10/27/18 SOUTH FLORIDA 57-36 W -9.5 W 77.5 O 11/3/18 at SMU 31-45 L -14 L 71.5 O 11/10/18 TEMPLE 49-59 L -3 L 69.5 O 11/15/18 TULANE 48-17 W -7.5 W 67.5 U 11/23/18 at Memphis 31-52 L 10 L 76 O 12/22/18 vs. Army 14-70 L 6.5 L 55.5 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE The Dana Holgorsen era gets under way in a hurry with an opening week trip to Oklahoma. This should be a good hire long-term as Holgorsen returns to Houston, where he served as OC/QB coach in 2008-2009. Nevertheless, this is a new system being brought in this season. QB D’Eriq King accounted for 50 total touchdowns (36 passing, 14 rushing) and just under 3800 yards of total offense and that side of the ball will always be potent under Holgorsen’s tutelage; however, questions remain whether the Cougars can stop anyone. Last year, they allowed 45 ppg per game in the second half of the season. Houston allowed Army to hang 70 on them in the Armed Forces Bowl. This is after playing Navy a few weeks prior. Granted the Cougars were very banged up on defense but it is concerning that they showed such poor discipline, the key to stopping the triple option, with extra preparation time. Houston does have to face UCF (Memphis avoids them) and will be prepping for that triple option during Thanksgiving week as they host Navy. With seven and the hook, the under is still worth a look but at seven it would be a pass.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 41 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION HOUSTON COUGARS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 41.8 7 Points Per Game 39.1 121 Yards Per Point 12 12 Yards Per Point 13.1 100 Plays Per Game 79 11 3rd Down Conv. % 47.8% 122 Time of Possession 24:44 129 Total Yards Per Game 510.1 127 3rd Down Conv. % 44.8% 21 Yards Per Play 5.9 91 Total Yards Per Game 499.2 8 Rush Yards Per Game 234.8 117 Yards Per Play 6.3 13 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 92 Rush Attempts Per Game 41.1 30 Completion % 60.9% 77 Rush Yards Per Game 211.3 25 Passing Yards Per Game 275.3 123 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 21 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 87 Pass Attempts Per Game 35.4 36 Sacks 1.8 89 Completion % 59.1% 66 Turnovers 1.8 21 Passing Yards Per Game 287.9 19 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.1 24 Turnovers 1.5 71 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 13-1 9-4 8-4 8-5 38-14 (73%) 10 Overall ATS 9-5 5-7 7-5 6-7 27-24 (53%) 49 Over-Under 6-7 5-8 3-9 9-4 23-28 (45%) 86 at Home ATS 4-4 2-3 4-2 4-2 14-11 (56%) 25 Road/Neutral ATS 5-1 3-4 3-3 2-5 13-13 (50%) 70 Conference ATS 5-4 2-6 4-4 4-4 15-18 (45%) 87 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 3-1 3-1 2-3 12-6 (67%) 7 Favorite ATS 6-5 3-7 6-5 6-4 21-21 (50%) 61 Underdog ATS 3-0 2-0 1-0 0-3 6-3 (67%) 16 After SUW ATS 8-4 4-4 4-3 4-4 20-15 (57%) 26 After SUL ATS 1-0 0-3 2-2 2-2 5-7 (42%) 94

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 42.5 15.2 1.4 -2.8 5-QB, OC 45.2 6.96 12.03 5 30.1 5.56 15.79 2017 Yes 44 14.7 1.8 -2.4 8-QB, OC 28.4 6.72 16.87 7-DC 13.7 4.92 27.96 2016 49.5 23.9 1.48 -8 6 40.6 5.92 12.25 5 16.8 4.44 17.99 2015 Yes 51 23.9 1.28 -7.8 5- OC 41 6.55 12.32 6-DC 17.1 5.27 21.57

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• HOUSTON is 19-6 ATS (S2000) - [vs OPP] Less than 6 days rest

• HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (L8G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• HOUSTON is 10-0 OVER (L10G) - Underdog of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 42 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION SMU MUSTANGS Location: University Park, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium 36.5 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 9 Offensive Coordinator: Rhett Lashlee SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Kevin Kane 38.33 (#72 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Arkansas St FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of SMU-AKS series 9/7/19 NORTH TEXAS FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of NTX-SMU series 9/14/19 TEXAS ST UNIV 9/21/19 at TCU ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of SMU-TCU series 9/28/19 at South Florida HOME TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of USF-SMU series 10/5/19 TULSA UNDERDOGS are 5-11 SU but 13-3 ATS in TLS-SMU series since 2002 10/19/19 TEMPLE TEMPLE is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. SMU 10/24/19 at Houston UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of HOU-SMU series at HOUSTON 11/2/19 at Memphis FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MEM-SMU series 11/9/19 EAST CAROLINA ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of ECU-SMU series 11/23/19 at Navy NAVY is 5-1 SU & ATS in its L6 games vs. SMU 11/30/19 TULANE ROAD TEAMS are 9-7 SU & 13-3 ATS in TUL-SMU series since 1992 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at North Texas 23-46 L 3 L 71 U 9/7/18 TCU 12-42 L 23.5 L 59 U 9/15/18 at Michigan 20-45 L 36.5 W 55 O 9/22/18 NAVY 31-30 W 6.5 W 58 O 9/29/18 HOUSTON BAPTIST 63-27 W -44.5 L 69.5 O 10/6/18 at UCF 20-48 L 26 L 73 U 10/20/18 at Tulane 27-23 W 9.5 W 55 U 10/27/18 CINCINNATI 20-26 L 8.5 W 49.5 U 11/3/18 HOUSTON 45-31 W 14 W 71.5 O 11/10/18 at Connecticut 62-50 W -17.5 L 66.5 O 11/16/18 MEMPHIS 18-28 L 8 L 75 U 11/24/18 at Tulsa 24-27 L -2.5 L 54.5 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The big story with this club is the incoming transfer of former Texas QB Shane Buechele. Buechele had 19 starts in Austin and threw for 4636 yards to go with 30 TD versus 16 INT. He also completed 62 percent of his passes which is an upgrade of the 56 percent mark produced by Ben Hicks. In fact, Hicks, who is SMU’s all-time passing leader, was told there would be open competition for the job and elected to transfer. This tells us that SMU feels better about its QB position and that Sonny Dykes will go to his usual passing-heavy offense. On defense, SMU returns nine starters and eight of its top 11 tacklers. Both sides of the ball should be upgraded and the Mustangs get a more favorable schedule being able to avoid the top two in the East: UCF and Cincinnati.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 43 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION SMU MUSTANGS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.5 67 Points Per Game 36 109 Yards Per Point 13.2 34 Yards Per Point 12.3 115 Plays Per Game 73.7 52 3rd Down Conv. % 47.8% 121 Time of Possession 26:50 123 Total Yards Per Game 443.8 93 3rd Down Conv. % 31.6% 123 Yards Per Play 5.6 68 Total Yards Per Game 363.1 94 Rush Yards Per Game 211.6 101 Yards Per Play 4.9 106 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 71 Rush Attempts Per Game 31.8 122 Completion % 64.2% 112 Rush Yards Per Game 103.9 121 Passing Yards Per Game 232.2 66 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.3 123 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 85 Pass Attempts Per Game 39.2 10 Sacks 2.1 63 Completion % 56.6% 92 Turnovers 1.7 34 Passing Yards Per Game 259.2 31 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.6 100 Turnovers 1.1 23 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 2-10 5-7 7-6 5-7 19-30 (39%) 106 Overall ATS 5-7 7-5 6-7 5-7 23-26 (47%) 87 Over-Under 8-4 5-7 7-6 5-7 25-24 (51%) 40 at Home ATS 3-4 2-4 5-2 3-3 13-13 (50%) 58 Road/Neutral ATS 2-3 5-1 1-5 2-4 10-13 (43%) 103 Conference ATS 2-6 5-3 2-6 4-4 13-19 (41%) 108 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 2-2 4-1 1-3 10-7 (59%) 22 Favorite ATS 2-1 2-1 4-4 0-3 8-9 (47%) 81 Underdog ATS 3-6 5-4 2-3 5-4 15-17 (47%) 83 After SUW ATS 1-1 3-2 4-3 1-4 9-10 (47%) 83 After SUL ATS 3-6 3-3 1-4 4-2 11-15 (42%) 93

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 35.5 4.2 0.71 7. 7 6-QB, OC 31.9 5.83 13.23 8-DC 27.7 5.12 14.35 2017 35.5 13.3 1.06 3 9 39.7 7.22 13.6 5 26.3 6.15 17.02 2016 37 6 1.03 0.7 9 32.2 6.33 15.28 7 26.2 5.3 15.25 2015 Yes 26 -4.4 -0.28 11. 7 9- OC 30.2 6.02 14.43 7-DC 34.6 6.3 12.92

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• SMU is 8-2 ATS (L3Y) at HOME - On Saturday

• SMU is 0-15 ATS (L15G) - Before playing TULSA

• SMU is 7-0 OVER (L7G) at HOME - [vs OPP] 1000 or more travel miles

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 44 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION TULANE GREEN WAVE Location: New Orleans, LA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Benson Field at 35.5 Head Coach: Willie Fritz - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3.75 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 5 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Will Hall * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jack Curtis 38.13 (#74 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 FLA INTERNATIONAL 9/7/19 at Auburn 9/14/19 MISSOURI ST 9/19/19 HOUSTON FAVORITES are 13-2 SU & 12-3 ATS in HOU-TUL series since 2003 10/5/19 at Army HOME TEAMS are 10-7 SU & 10-6 ATS in ARM-TUL series since 1996 10/12/19 CONNECTICUT TULANE is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. CONNECTICUT 10/19/19 at Memphis MEMPHIS is 14-4 SU & 13-4 ATS vs. TULANE since 1995 10/26/19 at Navy NAVY is 10-7 SU & 11-5 ATS vs. TULANE since 1992 11/2/19 TULSA FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of TLS-TUL series 11/16/19 at Temple FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of TEM-TUL series 11/23/19 UCF HOME TEAMS are 7-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in L8 games of TUL-UCF series 11/30/19 at SMU ROAD TEAMS are 9-7 SU & 13-3 ATS in TUL-SMU series since 1992 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 WAKE FOREST 17-23 L 7. 5 W 55.5 U 9/8/18 NICHOLLS ST 42-17 W -17 W 49.5 O 9/15/18 at UAB 24-31 L -3.5 L 58 U 9/22/18 at Ohio St 6-49 L 38 L 66 U 9/28/18 MEMPHIS 40-24 W 14.5 W 66 U 10/6/18 at Cincinnati 21-37 L 7 L 48 O 10/20/18 SMU 23-27 L -9.5 L 55 U 10/27/18 at Tulsa 24-17 W -2 W 48 U 11/3/18 at South Florida 41-15 W 5.5 W 60.5 U 11/10/18 EAST CAROLINA 24-18 W -10.5 L 52.5 U 11/15/18 at Houston 17-48 L 7. 5 L 67.5 U 11/24/18 NAVY 29-28 W -6 L 50 O 12/15/18 vs. La Lafayette 41-24 W -3.5 W 60 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 5.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Green Wave have improved every season under Willie Fritz going 4-8, 5-7 and 7-6 in succession the last three seasons. In his fourth season, Fritz fnally has all of his recruits to run his spread option offense. Tulane won fve of its last six once they went to graduate transfer QB Justin McMillan. The former LSU product led them to road victories in his frst two starts at Tulsa and South Florida. The Wave should start no worse than 2-2 through September and a home game with Houston is winnable. Then they will have a bye before traveling to Army and facing the triple option. Connecticut and Tulsa are home games where they will be favored. They will likely have to steal one on the road at Navy, Army or SMU but this program looks to be on an upward trajectory.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 45 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION TULANE GREEN WAVE 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25.6 81 Points Per Game 28.4 70 Yards Per Point 15.5 87 Yards Per Point 14.3 63 Plays Per Game 73.1 56 3rd Down Conv. % 33.9% 21 Time of Possession 32:29 18 Total Yards Per Game 407.4 71 3rd Down Conv. % 34.3% 107 Yards Per Play 5.3 48 Total Yards Per Game 396.9 66 Rush Yards Per Game 146.2 42 Yards Per Play 5.4 73 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 38 Rush Attempts Per Game 46.8 8 Completion % 52.2% 4 Rush Yards Per Game 214.6 23 Passing Yards Per Game 261.2 106 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 47 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 68 Pass Attempts Per Game 23.6 118 Sacks 3.2 7 Completion % 49.1% 125 Turnovers 1.3 89 Passing Yards Per Game 182.3 101 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 39 Turnovers 1.5 70 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 4-8 5-7 7-6 19-30 (39%) 106 Overall ATS 6-6 6-5 8-4 6-7 26-22 (54%) 34 Over-Under 7-5 6-6 6-6 4-9 23-26 (47%) 76 at Home ATS 3-3 2-3 5-1 3-3 13-10 (57%) 20 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 4-2 3-3 3-4 13-12 (52%) 63 Conference ATS 4-4 3-4 6-2 3-5 16-15 (52%) 54 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 3-1 2-2 3-2 10-7 (59%) 22 Favorite ATS 1-0 3-1 4-2 3-4 11-7 (61%) 6 Underdog ATS 5-6 3-4 4-2 3-3 15-15 (50%) 74 After SUW ATS 1-2 2-0 4-1 2-4 9-7 (56%) 34 After SUL ATS 5-3 3-5 3-3 3-3 14-14 (50%) 65

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 38.5 8.4 1.27 5.1 9-QB 28.7 6.41 15.25 5 20.2 5.14 18.94 2017 35 8.2 0.31 7. 8 8 28.4 6.4 15.33 8 20.2 6.1 19.66 2016 Yes 33.5 6.9 0.45 9.6 5-QB, OC 28.6 5.34 13.22 8-DC 21.6 4.89 15.36 2015 22 -8 -0.25 15.6 9 23.6 5.15 14.56 7 31.5 5.4 12.14

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TULANE is 6-1 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - AT GERALD J. FORD STADIUM

• TULANE is 5-20 ATS (L25G) at HOME - After a conference SU loss

• TULANE is 14-1 UNDER (L15G) at HOME - [vs OPP] More than 6 days rest

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 46 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE Location: Tulsa, OK STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Skelly Field at H. A. Chapman Stadium 34 Head Coach: - 5th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 3 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Philip Montgomery SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Joseph Gillespie * 39.85 (#68 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 at Michigan St 9/7/19 at San Jose St HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of SJS-TLS series 9/14/19 OKLAHOMA ST HOME TEAMS are 8-2 SU & ATS in OKS-TLS series since 1994 9/21/19 WYOMING HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of WYO-TLS series 10/5/19 at SMU UNDERDOGS are 5-11 SU but 13-3 ATS in TLS-SMU series since 2002 10/12/19 NAVY NAVY is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 games at TULSA 10/19/19 at Cincinnati ROAD TEAMS are 1-4 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of TLS-CIN series 10/26/19 MEMPHIS ROAD TEAMS are 7-6 SU & 10-3 ATS in MEM-TLS series since 1992 11/2/19 at Tulane FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of TLS-TUL series 11/8/19 UCF UNDER the total is 6-2 in L8 games of UCF-TLS series 11/23/19 HOUSTON UNDERDOGS are 8-7 SU & 12-3 ATS in TLS-HOU series since 1992 11/30/19 at East Carolina HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of TLS-ECU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 C ARKANSAS 38-27 W -11.5 L 62 O 9/8/18 at Texas 21-28 L 21 W 59.5 U 9/15/18 ARKANSAS ST 20-29 L -1.5 L 71 U 9/20/18 at Temple 17-31 L 6 L 54.5 U 10/4/18 at Houston 26-41 L 17 W 72 U 10/12/18 SOUTH FLORIDA 24-25 L 10 W 59.5 U 10/20/18 at Arkansas 0-23 L 7 L 53.5 U 10/27/18 TULANE 17-24 L 2 L 48 U 11/3/18 CONNECTICUT 49-19 W -18.5 W 59.5 O 11/10/18 at Memphis 21-47 L 15.5 L 65.5 O 11/17/18 at Navy 29-37 L 5.5 L 51 O 11/24/18 SMU 27-24 W 2.5 W 54.5 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 4.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Golden Hurricane have not won a road game in two years so they will need at least one to reach this total (Week 2 at San Jose State is best opportunity). Tulsa never really could settle on a QB last season but adds Baylor transfer Zach Smith (10 starts in two seasons there) and he looks to be the front-runner to win the gig. Their leading rusher Shamari Brooks returns along with three of their top four receivers so the offense (only 24.1 ppg last year) should be improved. The defense returns 10 of its top 11 tacklers but do replace their DC Bill Young. Last season Tulsa had its best defense in HC Philip Montgomery’s four seasons and it should improve as well with so much returning personnel. The conference schedule is tough plus they have nonconference tilts at Michigan State and vs. Oklahoma State but they should be better on both sides of the ball and will have an outside shot at a bowl game with so many teams in the Western Division being equal.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 47 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.8 102 Points Per Game 29.8 78 Yards Per Point 16.2 105 Yards Per Point 14.2 64 Plays Per Game 76.9 22 3rd Down Conv. % 48.5% 124 Time of Possession 28:48 93 Total Yards Per Game 423.6 80 3rd Down Conv. % 41.1% 44 Yards Per Play 5.7 72 Total Yards Per Game 369.2 91 Rush Yards Per Game 248.2 120 Yards Per Play 4.8 113 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.2 116 Rush Attempts Per Game 47.2 7 Completion % 57.2% 44 Rush Yards Per Game 193.8 41 Passing Yards Per Game 175.5 9 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 81 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 36 Pass Attempts Per Game 26.6 105 Sacks 1.2 119 Completion % 53.2% 109 Turnovers 1.6 40 Passing Yards Per Game 175.4 107 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.6 102 Turnovers 1.9 103 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 10-3 2-10 3-9 21-29 (42%) 98 Overall ATS 7-5 9-4 5-7 5-7 26-23 (53%) 45 Over-Under 7-5 8-5 5-7 4-8 24-25 (49%) 58 at Home ATS 0-5 4-2 2-4 3-3 9-14 (39%) 102 Road/Neutral ATS 7-0 5-2 3-3 2-4 17-9 (65%) 12 Conference ATS 4-4 6-2 3-5 4-4 17-15 (53%) 45 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 3-2 2-2 1-3 9-8 (53%) 49 Favorite ATS 2-2 5-3 1-2 1-2 9-9 (50%) 70 Underdog ATS 5-3 4-1 4-5 4-5 17-14 (55%) 49 After SUW ATS 5-1 5-4 1-1 1-1 12-7 (63%) 11 After SUL ATS 2-3 3-0 4-5 4-5 13-13 (50%) 66

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 33 1.8 0.13 10.4 8-QB 24.9 5.41 16.23 7 23.1 5.28 16.52 2017 30 2.4 -0.26 10.3 7-QB 29.6 6.37 15.84 6 27.2 6.63 17.59 2016 50 19.7 1.6 -9.6 7 45.5 6.68 12.61 7 25.8 5.08 15.48 2015 Yes 34 5.8 0.48 10.3 10- OC 36.9 6.54 14.76 6-DC 31.1 6.05 15.86

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TULSA is 6-1 ATS (L7G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a close SU win of 3 points or less

• TULSA is 0-6-1 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Nonconference VS POWER 5

• TULSA is 6-1 OVER (L7G) at HOME - Nonconference VS POWER 5

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 48 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION NAVY MIDSHIPMEN Location: Annapolis, MD STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Navy–Marine Corps Memorial Stadium 28.5 Head Coach: - 13th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-10 4.25 / 0 Returning Starters: 8 - Offense: 4 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brian Newberry * 35.56 (#89 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 HOLY CROSS 9/14/19 EAST CAROLINA OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of NAV-ECU series 9/26/19 at Memphis NAVY is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. MEMPHIS 10/5/19 AIR FORCE UNDER the total is 12-3 in AF-NAV series since 1992 10/12/19 at Tulsa NAVY is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 games at TULSA 10/19/19 SOUTH FLORIDA 10/26/19 TULANE NAVY is 10-7 SU & 11-5 ATS vs. TULANE since 1992 11/1/19 at Connecticut FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of CON-NAV series 11/16/19 at Notre Dame ROAD TEAMS are 2-12 SU but 12-2 ATS in ND-NAV series since 1993 11/23/19 SMU NAVY is 5-1 SU & ATS in its L6 games vs. SMU 11/30/19 at Houston 12/14/19 vs. Army UNDER the total is 13-0 in NAV-ARM series since 2006 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Hawaii 41-59 L -14 L 62.5 O 9/8/18 MEMPHIS 22-21 W 6.5 W 67 U 9/15/18 LEHIGH 51-21 W -33 L 57.5 O 9/22/18 at SMU 30-31 L -6.5 L 58 O 10/6/18 at Air Force 7-35 L -2 L 47 U 10/13/18 TEMPLE 17-24 L 6.5 L 49 U 10/20/18 HOUSTON 36-49 L 11 L 59.5 O 10/27/18 vs. Notre Dame 22-44 L 22.5 W 57 O 11/3/18 at Cincinnati 0-42 L 13 L 47 U 11/10/18 at UCF 24-35 L 23.5 W 69 U 11/17/18 TULSA 37-29 W -5.5 W 51 O 11/24/18 at Tulane 28-29 L 6 W 50 O 12/8/18 vs. Army 10-17 L 7. 5 W 38.5 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Midshipmen had their worst season since 2002’s 2-10 campaign. They also lose a senior class that started over 60% of its games, which was the third most in the nation. Navy was especially poor on defense last season having given up the highest points per game (33.5) in the last seven seasons. While the Middies have slipped, they should have a slight rebound with a much more manageable schedule at least early on. Last year, they opened at Hawai’i but this year they ease into the season with a home opener vs. Holy Cross, then a bye, followed by East Carolina and a second September bye before closing the month at Memphis. Ordinarily having the byes front loaded might not be a good thing but it might work to Navy’s advantage incorporating so many new starters. This year they are also tailoring the offense more to returning starting QB Malcolm Perry’s liking so expect even more running the ball from under center.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 49 2019 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION NAVY MIDSHIPMEN 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.8 100 Points Per Game 34.6 103 Yards Per Point 14.3 66 Yards Per Point 12.6 109 Plays Per Game 66.8 110 3rd Down Conv. % 46.9% 119 Time of Possession 33:00 13 Total Yards Per Game 434.5 89 3rd Down Conv. % 37.4% 79 Yards Per Play 6.6 120 Total Yards Per Game 326.2 119 Rush Yards Per Game 194.6 89 Yards Per Play 4.9 108 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 103 Rush Attempts Per Game 55.6 4 Completion % 69.7% 127 Rush Yards Per Game 259.3 9 Passing Yards Per Game 239.9 77 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 44 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9 121 Pass Attempts Per Game 9.6 127 Sacks 0.8 129 Completion % 41.7% 130 Turnovers 1.3 88 Passing Yards Per Game 66.8 130 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7 86 Turnovers 1.2 37 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 11-2 9-5 7-6 3-10 30-23 (57%) 51 Overall ATS 9-4 8-5 7-5 6-7 30-21 (59%) 10 Over-Under 7-5 9-5 5-8 7-6 28-24 (54%) 31 at Home ATS 6-1 4-2 3-2 2-3 15-8 (65%) 6 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 4-3 4-3 4-4 15-13 (54%) 58 Conference ATS 6-2 5-3 4-3 4-4 19-12 (61%) 15 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 3-2 3-2 2-3 11-9 (55%) 42 Favorite ATS 8-3 5-3 5-4 1-4 19-14 (58%) 18 Underdog ATS 1-1 3-2 2-1 5-3 11-7 (61%) 31 After SUW ATS 8-2 4-4 4-2 1-2 17-10 (63%) 13 After SUL ATS 0-2 3-1 2-3 5-4 10-10 (50%) 63

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 35 2.1 -0.09 5.7 4-QB 29.5 5.96 13.59 5 27.3 6.05 14.59 2017 44 14.4 1.17 -3.5 4-QB 32.4 6.93 15.55 8 18 5.76 19.66 2016 45 20.1 1.81 -4.5 1-QB 42.2 7.63 12.1 7 22.1 5.82 17.83 2015 48 24.9 1.83 -6.1 4 40.3 6.94 11. 37 6 15.3 5.11 22.27

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NAVY is 11-1 ATS (L12G) on ROAD - After a close SU win of 3 points or less

• NAVY is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - After playing NOTRE DAME

• NAVY is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) - VS ARMY

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 50 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY WES REYNOLDS - @WESREYNOLDS1

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's ATLANTIC DIVISION CLEMSON 71.5 3.25 0.75 42.60 57 11. 6 0.4 7. 8 0.2 FLORIDA ST 51.5 3 -0.5 43.56 50 7. 3 4.7 4.7 3.3 NC STATE 47 3 0.5 40.60 65 7. 4 4.6 4.1 3.9 SYRACUSE 47.5 3.5 -0.5 42.65 56 7. 2 4.8 4.0 4.0 BOSTON COLL 43.5 3 0.5 44.19 45 5.8 6.2 3.1 4.9 WAKE FOREST 43 3 0.5 43.06 55 6.1 5.9 3.0 5.0 LOUISVILLE 38 3.25 -0.5 46.75 22 3.4 8.6 1.7 6.3 COASTAL DIVISION MIAMI FL 52 3.25 -0.25 40.90 64 8.4 3.6 5.4 2.6 VIRGINIA TECH 49.5 4 0.25 39.88 67 8.1 3.9 5.0 3.0 VIRGINIA 49 2.5 -0.5 41.21 63 7. 7 4.3 4.6 3.4 PITTSBURGH 46 2.5 0 45.35 37 6.1 5.9 3.8 4.2 DUKE 44 3 0.5 46.38 26 5.3 6.7 3.5 4.5 NORTH CAROLINA 44.5 3.75 -0.25 46.31 27 5.2 6.8 3.0 5.0 GEORGIA TECH 40.5 3.75 -0.5 47.17 17 4.3 7. 7 2.3 5.7

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME ATLANTIC CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON DIVISION COASTAL VIRGINIA MIAMI VIRGINIA VIRGINIA MIAMI VIRGINIA VIRGINIA VIRGINIA DIVISION TECH (FL) TECH TECH (FL) TECH ACC CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CLEMSON CHAMPIONSHIP

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 51 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITES Clemson (Atlantic Division) and Miami FL (Coastal Division) The Clemson Tigers are currently on a 21-game winning streak (last loss Oct. 13, 2017, at Syracuse) and are the reigning National Champions and have taken home the title in two of the last three seasons. Expectations are high again in Death Valley with Heisman Trophy co-favorite (11/4) sophomore QB Trevor Lawrence, leading rusher Travis Etienne (1,658 yards; 24 TD) and fve of their top six receivers back. The Tigers averaged 44.3 ppg and could very well be the nation’s top offense with eight starters back. The losses are much heavier on the defensive side where the entire starting unit of the best defensive line in college football was selected in the 2019 NFL Draft, including three of the top 17 overall picks. Five Clemson defensive starters overall were drafted by the middle of the fourth round. Nevertheless, the Tigers don’t rebuild; they reload as the new defensive line starters are all four-star recruits or better. Clemson has won 10 straight games by 20+ points, including a thrashing of then-No. 1 Alabama, 44-16, in the CFP Championship. No one in the Atlantic can get in their way. The Coastal Division is way more wide open as Miami, Virginia Tech and Virginia could all stake a claim. Most oddsmakers have Miami as a small favorite even with a frst-year HC in Manny Diaz (DC the last 3 years). The Hurricanes defense was elIte yet again, only allowing 279 ypg and 19.5 ppg with 40 sacks and the “Turnover Chain” making an appearance 25 times. The key to Miami’s success will be if they can settle on one QB because the defense should be stout yet again. LIVE DOGS Wake Forest (Atlantic) and Virginia Tech (Coastal) While certainly not a contender for the division, Wake Forest is the team under the radar. Last year, Wake fnished the season with its third QB on the preseason depth chart () but still won three of its last four including road wins at NC State, at Duke and a Birmingham Bowl comeback win over Memphis. In April, HC was signed to an eight-year contract extension so his bosses clearly believe the program is heading in a positive direction. This year they can realistically start out 4-0 going into conference play. In addition, this team won four times outright as underdogs last season. Virginia Tech endured its frst losing season since 1992 after losing the Military Bowl to Cincinnati and fnishing 6-7. The usually stout and highly-ranked Hokies defense was decimated by injuries and lost three starters before the season even began and ended up allowing 31 ppg and 437 ypg. This year, longtime DC welcomes back 10 starters. They also should be better on offense with Ryan Willis solidifed as the starting QB and better depth with the addition of highly touted Oregon transfer Braxton Burmeister. Almost 60% of their overall starts were made by freshmen or sophomores last season, so the Hokies should be much improved with 41 returning letter-winners that have been through the fre and the adversity of a disappointing season. DEAD MONEY Louisville (Atlantic) and Georgia Tech (Coastal) The Cardinals were expected to have a bit of a drop-off last season with the loss of Lamar Jackson, but the slight drop-off was more like a dumpster fre, leading to Bobby Petrino being shown the door with two games left in the season. Louisville had six losses of 31 points or more last season. Scott Satterfeld, coming in from Appalachian State, could very well be a good hire long-term but this team is going to need more than a year to get competitive again. Playing 10 teams that went bowling last season won’t exactly expedite the process. Georgia Tech is switching to a spread attack under new coach Geoff Collins after Paul Johnson retired. However, the bulk of this team was recruited to run the triple option and the defense only returns four starters. The departing senior class from last season also started 60 percent of the games for the Yellow Jackets. It’s going to take time for this team to learn new concepts on both sides of the ball and it’s going to take a couple of recruiting classes for Collins to get the players he wants especially to run a more pro-style offense. Starting the season on the road against the defending National Champions is more than being thrown into the deep end of the pool. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Florida vs. Miami (Orlando, FL), Aug. 24 Tigers and nearly ruined their CFP hopes in 2017. They These two recruiting rivals meet for the frst time since nearly did the same last year in Death Valley before 2013 and only for the second time in the last 15 years. falling short. Miami HC Manny Diaz gets an early baptism for his frst game as head coach, taking on a 10-win Florida team Virginia Tech at Miami, Oct. 5 that’s a dark horse SEC contender under . The Hurricanes have won four of the last fve meetings in the series. Texas A&M at Clemson, Sept. 7 Texas A&M made a furious comeback but a failed Virginia at Miami, Oct. 12 two-point conversion allowed Clemson to escape The Hurricanes are slight favorites to win the Coastal College Station last season. Division largely because they host their two closest competitors in back-to-back weeks. Clemson at Syracuse, Sept. 14 Florida State is really Clemson’s chief rival in the Virginia Tech at Virginia, Nov. 29 Atlantic Division but it’s been Syracuse that has really UVA was actually favored on the road against the been the biggest obstacle for the Tigers in recent rival Hokies last season but lost yet again in overtime seasons. The Orange upset the then second-ranked to lose its 15th straight Commonwealth Cup.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 52 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION CLEMSON TIGERS Location: Clemson, SC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Frank Howard Field at Clemson Memorial Stadium 71.5 Head Coach: Dabo Swinney - 12th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 15-0 3.25 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: Tony Elliott / SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 42.6 (#57 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 GEORGIA TECH CLEMSON is 14-12 SU & 17-8 ATS vs. GEORGIA TECH since 1994 9/7/19 TEXAS A&M UNDERDOGS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of TAM-CLM series 9/14/19 at Syracuse UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of SYR-CLM series 9/21/19 CHARLOTTE 9/28/19 at North Carolina HOME TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of CLM-UNC series 10/12/19 FLORIDA ST OVER the total is 14-7 in CLM-FSU series since 1992 10/19/19 at Louisville HOME TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of CLM-LOU series 10/26/19 BOSTON COLLEGE ROAD TEAMS are 5-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in L8 games of BC-CLM series 11/2/19 WOFFORD 11/9/19 at NC State ROAD TEAMS are 10-13 SU but 15-7 ATS in NCS-CLM series since 1996 11/16/19 WAKE FOREST ROAD TEAMS are 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in WF-CLM series since 2009 11/30/19 at South Carolina SOUTH CAROLINA is 5-1 ATS in its L6 games hosting CLEMSON 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 FURMAN 48-7 W -51 L 59.5 U 9/8/18 at Texas A&M 28-26 W -11.5 L 49 O 9/15/18 GA SOUTHERN 38-7 W -32 L 49.5 U 9/22/18 at Georgia Tech 49-21 W -15.5 W 55.5 O 9/29/18 SYRACUSE 27-23 W -24.5 L 65 U 10/6/18 at Wake Forest 63-3 W -20.5 W 61 O 10/20/18 NC STATE 41-7 W -18.5 W 57 U 10/27/18 at Florida St 59-10 W -18 W 49.5 O 11/3/18 LOUISVILLE 77-16 W -39 W 61.5 O 11/10/18 at Boston College 27-7 W -17.5 W 52 U 11/17/18 DUKE 35-6 W -29.5 L 60.5 U 11/24/18 SOUTH CAROLINA 56-35 W -25.5 L 59 O 12/1/18 vs. Pittsburgh 42-10 W -27.5 W 53.5 U 12/29/18 vs. Notre Dame 30-3 W -10.5 W 58 U 1/7/19 vs. Alabama 44-16 W 5 W 57.5 O WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 11.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET The Tigers could absolutely run the table and are -500 to make the CFP. The schedule sets up relatively easy and they avoid facing the top three teams in the Coastal Division (Miami, Virginia Tech and Virginia). They also have two of their only fve away games (seven home games) against two teams in Louisville and North Carolina that are rebuilding with new coaches. Nonetheless, there are a couple tricky spots on the schedule very early on against two teams (Texas A&M and at Syracuse) that put them on the brink of defeat last season. They also close with their Palmetto State rival South Carolina, who they’ve owned in recent years, but also gave up 600 yards of offense to last season. Clemson is loaded with talent to replace their entire defensive line that was drafted into the NFL but it’s still a brand new group that may need some time to gel together. As dominant as the Tigers were after the close call with Syracuse, they still did have close calls and having a total of 11.5 means they have to go undefeated to win the bet, which leaves literally zero margin for error.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 53 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION CLEMSON TIGERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 44 4 Points Per Game 13.6 1 Yards Per Point 12 13 Yards Per Point 21.7 2 Plays Per Game 73 57 3rd Down Conv. % 27.9% 5 Time of Possession 28:59 86 Total Yards Per Game 294.7 4 3rd Down Conv. % 46.3% 15 Yards Per Play 4.1 2 Total Yards Per Game 526.9 3 Rush Yards Per Game 94.9 2 Yards Per Play 7. 2 3 Yards Per Rush Attempt 2.5 1 Rush Attempts Per Game 38.1 68 Completion % 53.4% 10 Rush Yards Per Game 248.1 10 Passing Yards Per Game 199.9 29 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.5 2 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 25 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.8 49 Sacks 3.6 1 Completion % 64.5% 21 Turnovers 1.6 56 Passing Yards Per Game 278.8 21 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.3 21 Turnovers 1.2 32 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 14-1 14-1 12-2 15-0 55-4 (93%) 1 Overall ATS 8-6 8-7 8-5 9-6 33-24 (58%) 14 Over-Under 9-6 7-7 4-10 7-8 27-31 (47%) 79 at Home ATS 3-3 4-3 4-2 2-5 13-13 (50%) 54 Road/Neutral ATS 5-3 4-4 4-3 7-1 20-11 (65%) 17 Conference ATS 4-4 4-5 4-4 7-2 19-15 (56%) 34 Non-Conf. ATS 4-2 4-2 4-1 2-4 14-9 (61%) 18 Favorite ATS 6-6 5-7 8-4 8-6 27-23 (54%) 37 Underdog ATS 2-0 3-0 0-1 1-0 6-1 (86%) 4 After SUW ATS 7-6 8-5 7-5 9-5 31-21 (60%) 20 After SUL ATS 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 (0%) 130

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 77.5 45.7 4.81 -34.4 7-QB 51.1 8.42 11.88 8 5.3 3.62 45.87 2017 67 41.1 3.62 -22.5 5-QB 45.3 7.25 12.05 7 4.1 3.63 56.95 2016 70 37.9 3.36 -29.5 8 49.5 7.38 11. 87 4 11. 6 4.02 23.58 2015 63.5 34.7 3.43 -24.2 7- OC 48.2 7. 51 12.35 3 13.5 4.08 19.06

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• CLEMSON is 12-2 ATS (L14G) - Before playing BOSTON COLLEGE

• CLEMSON is 1-6 ATS (L7G) at HOME - After playing BOSTON COLLEGE

• CLEMSON is 13-3 UNDER (L5Y) at HOME - [vs OPP] After SU win

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 54 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION FLORIDA ST SEMINOLES Location: Tallahassee, FL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Field at Doak S. Campbell Stadium 51.5 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Kendal Briles * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Harlon Barnett 43.56 (#50 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Boise St 9/7/19 LA MONROE 9/14/19 at Virginia UNDER the total is 9-0 in L9 games of VIR-FSU series 9/21/19 LOUISVILLE OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of LOU-FSU series 9/28/19 NC STATE NC STATE is 9-13 SU but 17-4 ATS vs. FLORIDA ST since 1997 10/12/19 at Clemson OVER the total is 14-7 in CLM-FSU series since 1992 10/19/19 at Wake Forest UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of FSU-WF series 10/26/19 SYRACUSE HOME TEAMS are 6-2 SU & ATS in L8 games of SYR-FSU series 11/2/19 MIAMI FL UNDERDOGS are 16-4 ATS in MIA-FSU series since 1999 11/9/19 at Boston College HOME TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of BC-FSU series 11/16/19 ALABAMA ST 11/30/19 at Florida FAVORITES are 19-2 SU & 17-4 ATS in FSU-FLA series since 1998 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/3/18 VIRGINIA TECH 3-24 L -7.5 L 54.5 U 9/8/18 SAMFORD 36-26 W -31 L 57 O 9/15/18 at Syracuse 7-30 L -3.5 L 70 U 9/22/18 N ILLINOIS 37-19 W -10 W 46 O 9/29/18 at Louisville 28-24 W -5 L 49 O 10/6/18 at Miami Fl 27-28 L 14.5 W 48.5 O 10/20/18 WAKE FOREST 38-17 W -10.5 W 59 U 10/27/18 CLEMSON 10-59 L 18 L 49.5 O 11/3/18 at NC State 28-47 L 9.5 L 51.5 O 11/10/18 at Notre Dame 13-42 L 17 L 51.5 O 11/17/18 BOSTON COLLEGE 22-21 W 3 W 49.5 U 11/24/18 FLORIDA 14-41 L 8 L 52 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 7 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET The Seminoles bring in their lowest rated recruiting class (19th per 24/7 Sports) since 2007. That’s not necessarily the best sign going forward but the ‘Noles had their worst season last year since Bobby Bowden’s fnal year in 2009. Nevertheless, there is still a lot of high-end talent on this roster. Willie Taggart was very disappointing in his sole year at Oregon (2017) and was the same last season in Tallahassee. However, he brings in a reinforcement in new OC Kendal Briles. Briles was in the same role in Houston last year and improved the Cougars offense by almost 16 ppg and 85 ypg in just one season. The year before, Briles was at Florida Atlantic as OC and improved its ppg from 26 to 40 and its ypg to 498 from 398. Briles will also have two veteran starting QBs to work with in sophomore James Blackman and Wisconsin graduate transfer Alex Hornibrook. DC Harlon Barnett has eight starters back on defense and he was on the Michigan State staff under Mark D’Antonio and , so you know he can coach that side of the ball. Last season ended FSU’s 36-year bowl streak. They should be able to at least steady the ship this season.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 55 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION FLORIDA ST SEMINOLES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 20.6 112 Points Per Game 32 87 Yards Per Point 17.1 114 Yards Per Point 12.7 106 Plays Per Game 72.8 61 3rd Down Conv. % 37.2% 44 Time of Possession 27:05 119 Total Yards Per Game 406.5 70 3rd Down Conv. % 28.9% 128 Yards Per Play 5 31 Total Yards Per Game 352.7 106 Rush Yards Per Game 156.5 53 Yards Per Play 4.8 109 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.6 20 Rush Attempts Per Game 32.5 121 Completion % 52.9% 7 Rush Yards Per Game 87.2 128 Passing Yards Per Game 249.9 92 Yards Per Rush Attempt 2.7 129 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7 53 Pass Attempts Per Game 37.2 22 Sacks 2.5 36 Completion % 56.0% 96 Turnovers 0.9 123 Passing Yards Per Game 265.5 27 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 77 Turnovers 2.3 127 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 10-3 7-6 5-7 32-19 (63%) 35 Overall ATS 8-5 8-4 4-8 4-8 24-25 (49%) 78 Over-Under 6-7 6-6 4-9 8-4 24-26 (48%) 64 at Home ATS 5-2 3-2 2-4 3-4 13-12 (52%) 42 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 5-2 2-4 1-4 11-13 (46%) 91 Conference ATS 5-3 4-4 0-7 3-5 12-19 (39%) 114 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 4-0 4-1 1-3 12-6 (67%) 7 Favorite ATS 7-5 5-3 4-5 2-4 18-17 (51%) 50 Underdog ATS 1-0 3-1 0-3 2-4 6-8 (43%) 93 After SUW ATS 5-5 5-3 3-3 1-4 14-15 (48%) 78 After SUL ATS 2-0 2-1 1-4 3-3 8-8 (50%) 61

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 42.5 9.7 1.76 -5 8-QB, OC 31 6.21 14.15 4-DC 21.3 4.45 16.59 2017 57 22.3 2.72 -13.2 6 34.8 6.78 11. 91 9 12.5 4.06 22.99 2016 62 28.4 3.07 -21.5 11-QB 44.2 7.75 12.82 6 15.8 4.69 19.44 2015 59.5 29.9 3.33 -14.6 4-QB 40.2 7.52 12.05 7 10.3 4.19 28.42

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• FLORIDA ST is 7-0-1 ATS (L8G) at NEUT - as Non-ranked team

• FLORIDA ST is 2-12-1 ATS (L15G) - VS NC STATE

• FLORIDA ST is 9-0 UNDER (L9G) - VS VIRGINIA

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 56 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION NORTH CAROLINA ST WOLFPACK Location: Raleigh, NC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Wayne Day Family Field at Carter–Finley Stadium 47 Head Coach: - 7th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 3 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 4 - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Des Kitchings / George McDonald * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Tony Gibson / Dave Huxtable 40.6 (#65 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 EAST CAROLINA HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of ECU-NCS series 9/7/19 W CAROLINA 9/14/19 at West Virginia 9/21/19 BALL ST 9/28/19 at Florida St NC STATE is 9-13 SU but 17-4 ATS vs. FLORIDA ST since 1997 10/10/19 SYRACUSE UNDERDOGS are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of NCS-SYR series 10/19/19 at Boston College ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in L6 games of NCS-BC series 11/2/19 at Wake Forest WAKE FOREST is 9-2 SU & 10-1 ATS in its L11 games hosting NC STATE 11/9/19 CLEMSON ROAD TEAMS are 10-13 SU but 15-7 ATS in NCS-CLM series since 1996 11/16/19 LOUISVILLE ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in L7 games of NCS-LOU series 11/21/19 at Georgia Tech ROAD TEAMS are 7-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in L7 games of NCS-GAT series 11/30/19 NORTH CAROLINA UNDERDOGS are 13-8 SU & 16-5 ATS in UNC-NCS series since 1998 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 JAMES MADISON 24-13 W -14 L 56.5 U 9/8/18 GEORGIA ST 41-7 W -25 W 56 U 9/22/18 at Marshall 37-20 W -6 W 56 O 9/29/18 VIRGINIA 35-21 W -6.5 W 53 O 10/6/18 BOSTON COLLEGE 28-23 W -6 L 60 U 10/20/18 at Clemson 7-41 L 18.5 L 57 U 10/27/18 at Syracuse 41-51 L -2 L 64.5 O 11/3/18 FLORIDA ST 47-28 W -9.5 W 51.5 O 11/8/18 WAKE FOREST 23-27 L -18.5 L 66.5 U 11/17/18 at Louisville 52-10 W -15 W 66.5 U 11/24/18 at North Carolina 34-28 W -7 L 63 U 12/1/18 EAST CAROLINA 58-3 W -25.5 W 59.5 O 12/31/18 vs. Texas A&M 13-52 L 7. 5 L 58 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Wolfpack have to replace Ryan Finley, a three-year starter at QB and 4th round draft pick (Bengals). Furthermore, they also must replace an 1,100 yard rusher and two 1,000+ yard receivers. The replacement theme continues with the coaching staff as it adds two new OCs, a new co-DC and a new ST coordinator. This is a fairly young team that will have to face Clemson and has a relatively diffcult road schedule having to go to West Virginia, Florida State, Boston College and Wake Forest. The Wolfpack are also only 6-12 on the road vs. divisional foes during Dave Doeren’s tenure. They face three straight mid season games vs. opponents off bye weeks (Syracuse, at Boston College and at Wake Forest). After that sequence of games, in comes Clemson on Nov. 9.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 57 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION NORTH CAROLINA ST WOLFPACK 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 34.7 20 Points Per Game 25.9 50 Yards Per Point 13.3 39 Yards Per Point 15.2 42 Plays Per Game 76.6 25 3rd Down Conv. % 31.7% 11 Time of Possession 33:31 9 Total Yards Per Game 394.9 62 3rd Down Conv. % 45.2% 20 Yards Per Play 5.8 79 Total Yards Per Game 461.6 18 Rush Yards Per Game 128.9 23 Yards Per Play 6 24 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 59 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.9 69 Completion % 57.3% 47 Rush Yards Per Game 148.1 88 Passing Yards Per Game 266 115 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 92 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 79 Pass Attempts Per Game 37.8 20 Sacks 2.8 25 Completion % 67.3% 10 Turnovers 1.5 67 Passing Yards Per Game 313.5 8 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.3 18 Turnovers 1.4 53 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 7-6 9-4 9-4 32-20 (62%) 39 Overall ATS 6-7 9-4 5-7 6-7 26-25 (51%) 64 Over-Under 7-6 5-7 5-8 6-7 23-28 (45%) 86 at Home ATS 2-4 5-2 2-4 4-3 13-13 (50%) 56 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 4-2 3-3 2-4 13-12 (52%) 63 Conference ATS 2-6 5-3 4-3 3-5 14-17 (45%) 90 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 4-1 1-4 3-2 12-8 (60%) 20 Favorite ATS 6-2 6-2 2-5 6-5 20-14 (59%) 13 Underdog ATS 0-5 3-2 3-2 0-2 6-11 (35%) 117 After SUW ATS 3-4 4-2 4-4 4-5 15-15 (50%) 70 After SUL ATS 2-3 4-2 1-2 2-1 9-8 (53%) 48

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 49.5 24.5 1.77 -6.4 6-QB 40.4 6.94 13.02 3 15.9 5.17 21.6 2017 54.5 24.3 2.6 -14.5 9 39.9 7.23 13.72 8 15.7 4.63 20.39 2016 50.5 18 2.09 -9.1 5-QB, OC 33.5 6.7 14.56 8 15.5 4.61 20.12 2015 48.5 22 1.57 -10.3 7 40.6 6.36 11.39 8 18.7 4.79 16.06

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NC STATE is 12-2-1 ATS (L15G) - VS FLORIDA ST

• NC STATE is 1-8 ATS (L9G) on ROAD - VS WAKE FOREST

• NC STATE is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) - Less than 6 days rest

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 58 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION SYRACUSE ORANGE Location: Syracuse, NY STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Carrier Dome 47.5 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-3 3.5 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Mike Lynch SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brian Ward 42.65 (#56 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Liberty 9/7/19 at Maryland ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MD-SYR series 9/14/19 CLEMSON UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of SYR-CLM series 9/21/19 W MICHIGAN 9/28/19 HOLY CROSS 10/10/19 at NC State UNDERDOGS are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of NCS-SYR series 10/18/19 PITTSBURGH HOME TEAMS are 16-11 SU & 17-9 ATS in SYR-PIT series since 1992 10/26/19 at Florida St HOME TEAMS are 6-2 SU & ATS in L8 games of SYR-FSU series 11/2/19 BOSTON COLLEGE UNDERDOGS are 7-3 SU & ATS in SYR-BC series since 2002 11/16/19 at Duke 11/23/19 at Louisville FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of LOU-SYR series 11/30/19 WAKE FOREST FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & ATS in L7 games of SYR-WF series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 at W Michigan 55-42 W -4.5 W 65 O 9/8/18 WAGNER 62-10 W -45 W 68.5 O 9/15/18 FLORIDA ST 30-7 W 3.5 W 70 U 9/22/18 CONNECTICUT 51-21 W -31 L 74.5 U 9/29/18 at Clemson 23-27 L 24.5 W 65 U 10/6/18 at Pittsburgh 37-44 L -3 L 57.5 O 10/20/18 NORTH CAROLINA 40-37 W -9.5 L 66 O 10/27/18 NC STATE 51-41 W 2 W 64.5 O 11/3/18 at Wake Forest 41-24 W -6.5 W 80 U 11/9/18 LOUISVILLE 54-23 W -20.5 W 69 O 11/17/18 vs. Notre Dame 3-36 L 10 L 64.5 U 11/24/18 at Boston College 42-21 W 3.5 W 61 O 12/28/18 vs. West Virginia 34-18 W -3 W 66.5 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 8 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA The Orange made a huge leap to win 10 games after going 4-8 in consecutive seasons. Eric Dungey, a four-year starter at QB, has graduated and while Tommy DeVito is probably a better ft for the uptempo Dino Babers offense, he does lack experience. Syracuse was +13 in turnover margin last year but that was also largely due to having an experienced starter in the shotgun. They likely won’t be as fortunate this year with a younger, inexperienced starter. They could start out 4-1 but then have to go to NC State and host Pitt with both teams off bye weeks before going to Florida State, who will be looking for revenge. The majority of the market has the Cuse at 7 or 7.5 juiced to the over.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 59 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION SYRACUSE ORANGE 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 38.4 11 Points Per Game 28.4 69 Yards Per Point 12.2 16 Yards Per Point 15.4 37 Plays Per Game 84.3 2 3rd Down Conv. % 28.7% 6 Time of Possession 31:00 40 Total Yards Per Game 438.1 91 3rd Down Conv. % 39.4% 60 Yards Per Play 5.7 77 Total Yards Per Game 468.6 15 Rush Yards Per Game 172.6 74 Yards Per Play 5.6 64 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 82 Rush Attempts Per Game 45.8 11 Completion % 55.4% 20 Rush Yards Per Game 201.9 32 Passing Yards Per Game 265.5 114 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 58 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 72 Pass Attempts Per Game 35.5 34 Sacks 3.4 5 Completion % 58.0% 79 Turnovers 2.3 4 Passing Yards Per Game 266.7 26 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 55 Turnovers 1.4 55 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 4-8 4-8 4-8 10-3 22-27 (45%) 90 Overall ATS 8-4 5-7 6-5 9-4 28-20 (58%) 12 Over-Under 10-2 3-9 2-10 7-6 22-27 (45%) 90 at Home ATS 6-1 2-4 2-4 4-2 14-11 (56%) 25 Road/Neutral ATS 2-3 3-3 4-1 5-2 14-9 (61%) 28 Conference ATS 6-2 3-5 4-3 6-2 19-12 (61%) 15 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-2 2-2 3-2 9-8 (53%) 49 Favorite ATS 2-2 1-0 1-2 5-3 9-7 (56%) 25 Underdog ATS 6-2 4-7 5-3 4-1 19-13 (59%) 37 After SUW ATS 2-1 1-3 3-1 7-2 13-7 (65%) 7 After SUL ATS 5-3 3-4 3-3 1-2 12-12 (50%) 64

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 54.5 23.8 0.95 -10 8-QB 43.6 6.28 11. 87 6 19.8 5.32 19.65 2017 40.5 13.9 1.11 -5.9 9 37.3 6.52 14.98 10 23.4 5.42 16.06 2016 Yes 36.5 4.9 0.58 2.5 8- OC 34.3 6.53 15.38 8-DC 29.4 5.94 14.65 2015 36 11.1 0.42 7. 6 7 37.4 5.91 9.89 3 26.3 5.49 14.7

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• SYRACUSE is 14-3 ATS (L17G) - VS MAC

• SYRACUSE is 2-5 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - VS BIG 10

• SYRACUSE is 13-2 UNDER (L15G) - [vs OPP] After SU win

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 60 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES Location: Chestnut Hill, MA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Alumni Stadium 43.5 Head Coach: - 7th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-5 3 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 9 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 3 Offensive Coordinator: * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Bill Sheridan * 44.19 (#45 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 VIRGINIA TECH BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-14 SU but 14-7 ATS vs. VIRGINIA TECH since 1999 9/7/19 RICHMOND 9/13/19 KANSAS 9/21/19 at Rutgers FAVORITES are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in BC-RUT series since 1995 9/28/19 WAKE FOREST ROAD TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of BC-WF series 10/5/19 at Louisville OVER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of LOU-BC series 10/19/19 NC STATE ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in L6 games of NCS-BC series 10/26/19 at Clemson ROAD TEAMS are 5-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in L8 games of BC-CLM series 11/2/19 at Syracuse UNDERDOGS are 7-3 SU & ATS in SYR-BC series since 2002 11/9/19 FLORIDA ST HOME TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of BC-FSU series 11/23/19 at Notre Dame UNDERDOGS are 5-15 SU but 14-6 ATS in BC-ND series since 1993 11/30/19 at Pittsburgh UNDER the total is 6-2 in L8 games of PIT-BC series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 MASSACHUSETTS 55-21 W -20.5 W 62 O 9/8/18 HOLY CROSS 62-14 W -45 W 57 O 9/13/18 at Wake Forest 41-34 W -6 W 59 O 9/22/18 at Purdue 13-30 L -6 L 62.5 U 9/29/18 TEMPLE 45-35 W -13.5 L 54.5 O 10/6/18 at NC State 23-28 L 6 W 60 U 10/13/18 LOUISVILLE 38-20 W -10.5 W 56.5 O 10/26/18 MIAMI FL 27-14 W 3.5 W 49.5 U 11/3/18 at Virginia Tech 31-21 W -2 W 57 U 11/10/18 CLEMSON 7-27 L 17.5 L 52 U 11/17/18 at Florida St 21-22 L -3 L 49.5 U 11/24/18 SYRACUSE 21-42 L -3.5 L 61 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE The Eagles have new coordinators on both sides of the ball. While BC returns starting QB Anthony Brown and RB AJ Dillon, they lose three of their top four receivers and three OL starters. The defense must also replace seven starters, including three on the DL. Football is still won up front and the Eagles don’t have a great deal of experience on either line. While they have an easy nonconference schedule (FCS Richmond, Kansas and at Rutgers), the latter half of the schedule is brutal. In the fnal fve weeks of the season BC travels to Clemson and then to Syracuse. A home game with Florida State is sandwiched in between four road games as BC closes out at Notre Dame and at Pittsburgh. They can’t drop either home game to equal division teams Wake Forest or NC State. A diffcult opener, albeit at home, also is on the horizon against a potentially revitalized Virginia Tech team that should be improved.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 61 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29.3 50 Points Per Game 26.7 58 Yards Per Point 13.2 33 Yards Per Point 15.6 35 Plays Per Game 76.7 24 3rd Down Conv. % 38.4% 53 Time of Possession 27:53 106 Total Yards Per Game 416 75 3rd Down Conv. % 33.7% 109 Yards Per Play 5.1 36 Total Yards Per Game 385.6 73 Rush Yards Per Game 151.5 45 Yards Per Play 5 99 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 32 Rush Attempts Per Game 46 9 Completion % 56.9% 36 Rush Yards Per Game 173.1 54 Passing Yards Per Game 264.5 112 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 99 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 47 Pass Attempts Per Game 28.8 88 Sacks 2.9 20 Completion % 56.5% 93 Turnovers 2.2 8 Passing Yards Per Game 212.5 84 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 66 Turnovers 1.6 87 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 7-6 7-6 7-5 24-26 (48%) 78 Overall ATS 4-7 6-6 8-4 7-5 25-22 (53%) 43 Over-Under 2-10 5-8 5-8 6-6 18-32 (36%) 126 at Home ATS 1-6 2-4 3-2 4-3 10-15 (40%) 96 Road/Neutral ATS 3-1 4-2 5-2 3-2 15-7 (68%) 6 Conference ATS 2-5 2-5 6-1 5-3 15-14 (52%) 53 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 4-1 2-3 2-2 10-8 (56%) 37 Favorite ATS 1-4 3-2 3-1 5-4 12-11 (52%) 46 Underdog ATS 3-3 3-4 5-3 2-1 13-11 (54%) 53 After SUW ATS 2-1 3-3 4-2 5-2 14-8 (64%) 9 After SUL ATS 2-5 3-3 4-1 1-3 10-12 (45%) 82

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 48 20.6 1.76 -10.3 10-QB 37.5 6.27 12.48 6 16.9 4.5 20.75 2017 49.5 22.4 1.59 -5.2 8-QB 35.1 6.22 13.52 7 12.6 4.63 26.62 2016 38.5 6.4 0.39 0.1 8- OC 26 4.98 12.57 7-DC 19.6 4.59 14.28 2015 40.5 13.7 1.26 -1.2 4-QB, OC 23.8 4.93 12.95 6 10.1 3.68 22.71

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-1 ATS (L12G) - After playing NC STATE

• BOSTON COLLEGE is 0-8 ATS (L8G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• BOSTON COLLEGE is 19-4 UNDER (L23G) on ROAD - More than 6 days rest

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 62 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS Location: Winston-Salem, NC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: BB&T Field 43 Head Coach: Dave Clawson - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Warren Ruggiero SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Lyle Hemphill 43.06 (#55 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 UTAH ST 9/7/19 at Rice 9/12/19 NORTH CAROLINA HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of WF-UNC series 9/21/19 ELON 9/28/19 at Boston College ROAD TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of BC-WF series 10/12/19 LOUISVILLE WAKE FOREST is 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. LOUISVILLE 10/19/19 FLORIDA ST UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of FSU-WF series 11/2/19 NC STATE WAKE FOREST is 9-2 SU & 10-1 ATS in its L11 games hosting NC STATE 11/9/19 at Virginia Tech FAVORITES are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of VAT-WF series 11/16/19 at Clemson ROAD TEAMS are 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in WF-CLM series since 2009 11/23/19 DUKE ROAD TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of WF-DUK series 11/30/19 at Syracuse FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & ATS in L7 games of SYR-WF series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 at Tulane 23-17 W -7.5 L 55.5 U 9/8/18 TOWSON 51-20 W -33.5 L 57.5 O 9/13/18 BOSTON COLLEGE 34-41 L 6 L 59 O 9/22/18 NOTRE DAME 27-56 L 6 L 59.5 O 9/29/18 RICE 56-24 W -28 W 66 O 10/6/18 CLEMSON 3-63 L 20.5 L 61 O 10/20/18 at Florida St 17-38 L 10.5 L 59 U 10/27/18 at Louisville 56-35 W 3 W 67.5 O 11/3/18 SYRACUSE 24-41 L 6.5 L 80 U 11/8/18 at NC State 27-23 W 18.5 W 66.5 U 11/17/18 PITTSBURGH 13-34 L 4.5 L 62.5 U 11/24/18 at Duke 59-7 W 8.5 W 62 O 12/22/18 vs. Memphis 37-34 W 2.5 W 71 T

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET The Demon Deacons apparently felt good enough about their returning QBs that Kendall Hinton, the man that was supposed to start the opener last season, was moved to to replace All-American Greg Dortch in the slot. Wake Forest showed some toughness last year through some adversity. They fnished with Jamie Newman, who was the third team QB to start the season, starting the last four games and going 3-1. Dave Clawson fred his DC Jay Sawyer immediately after being torched for 566 yards in Ian Book’s frst start as Notre Dame QB. Two weeks later, Clemson lowered the boom on them to a tune of 63-3. The team had some bad moments but also responded when the chips were down. They won at a ranked NC State with a QB making his frst start. After losing to a red-hot Pitt team that won the Coastal, the Deacs had to go win at Duke to get bowl eligible and did so by throttling the Blue Devils 59-7. In the Birmingham Bowl, they got down 28-10 to Memphis before coming back to win.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 63 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 31.3 34 Points Per Game 34.4 102 Yards Per Point 14 57 Yards Per Point 13.4 87 Plays Per Game 85 1 3rd Down Conv. % 42.6% 95 Time of Possession 28:15 101 Total Yards Per Game 462.7 110 3rd Down Conv. % 40.2% 53 Yards Per Play 5.8 86 Total Yards Per Game 440.1 29 Rush Yards Per Game 203.2 96 Yards Per Play 5.2 90 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.9 96 Rush Attempts Per Game 47.6 6 Completion % 62.3% 92 Rush Yards Per Game 204.5 30 Passing Yards Per Game 259.5 104 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 65 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 56 Pass Attempts Per Game 34.6 41 Sacks 1.7 103 Completion % 55.4% 97 Turnovers 1.2 95 Passing Yards Per Game 235.6 59 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 94 Turnovers 1.4 52 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 7-6 8-5 7-6 25-26 (49%) 71 Overall ATS 6-6 8-5 9-4 5-8 28-23 (55%) 27 Over-Under 6-6 5-7 7-6 7-5 25-24 (51%) 40 at Home ATS 3-3 3-4 5-1 1-6 12-14 (46%) 70 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 5-1 4-3 4-2 16-9 (64%) 20 Conference ATS 4-4 6-2 6-2 3-5 19-13 (59%) 20 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-3 3-2 2-3 9-10 (47%) 76 Favorite ATS 1-1 2-4 4-3 1-2 8-10 (44%) 93 Underdog ATS 5-5 6-1 5-1 4-6 20-13 (61%) 33 After SUW ATS 0-3 4-2 5-2 1-5 10-12 (45%) 91 After SUL ATS 5-3 4-2 3-2 4-2 16-9 (64%) 16

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 46 13.3 0.96 -3.7 8 38.9 6.26 13.12 6 25.6 5.3 16.11 2017 52 24.1 2.77 -9 9 42.1 7.47 12.81 5-DC 18 4.7 21.26 2016 41 10.4 0.35 -0.7 9 26.5 5.13 13.11 7 16.2 4.78 20.44 2015 35.5 9 0.79 4.3 7 26.2 5.64 14.98 7 17.1 4.86 18.51

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• WAKE FOREST is 8-1 ATS (L9G) at HOME - VS NC STATE

• WAKE FOREST is 3-12 ATS (L15G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

• WAKE FOREST is 6-0-1 UNDER (L7G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 64 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION LOUISVILLE CARDINALS Location: Louisville, KY STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Cardinal Stadium 38 Head Coach: Scott Satterfeld - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 2-10 3.25 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 10 Offensive Coordinator: Dwayne Ledford * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Bryan Brown / Cort Dennison * 46.75 (#22 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 9/2/19 NOTRE DAME 9/7/19 E KENTUCKY 9/14/19 at W Kentucky 9/21/19 at Florida St OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of LOU-FSU series 10/5/19 BOSTON COLLEGE OVER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of LOU-BC series 10/12/19 at Wake Forest WAKE FOREST is 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. LOUISVILLE 10/19/19 CLEMSON HOME TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of CLM-LOU series 10/26/19 VIRGINIA HOME TEAMS are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in L4 games of LOU-VIR series 11/9/19 at Miami Fl LOUISVILLE is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. MIAMI FL 11/16/19 at NC State ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in L7 games of NCS-LOU series 11/23/19 SYRACUSE FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of LOU-SYR series 11/30/19 at Kentucky ROAD TEAMS are 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of KEN-LOU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Alabama 14-51 L 22.5 L 60 O 9/8/18 INDIANA ST 31-7 W -42 L 68.5 U 9/15/18 W KENTUCKY 20-17 W -23.5 L 54 U 9/22/18 at Virginia 3-27 L 4.5 L 53.5 U 9/29/18 FLORIDA ST 24-28 L 5 W 49 O 10/5/18 GEORGIA TECH 31-66 L 5.5 L 56.5 O 10/13/18 at Boston College 20-38 L 10.5 L 56.5 O 10/27/18 WAKE FOREST 35-56 L -3 L 67.5 O 11/3/18 at Clemson 16-77 L 39 L 61.5 O 11/9/18 at Syracuse 23-54 L 20.5 L 69 O 11/17/18 NC STATE 10-52 L 15 L 66.5 U 11/24/18 KENTUCKY 10-56 L 16 L 53 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 3.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS Welcome to Louisville, Scott Satterfeld. You open with Notre Dame out of the box. No pressure, right? Then the Cardinals get Eastern and Western Kentucky, which should be wins. However, the schedule really kicks in with a trip to Florida State, the only remaining team on the schedule that didn’t make a bowl game last season. The fnal eight opponents on the docket all made bowl appearances. Eventually the Cardinals should return to respectability but it won’t be this year.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 65 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE ATLANTIC DIVISION LOUISVILLE CARDINALS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 18.7 121 Points Per Game 47.5 128 Yards Per Point 18.8 128 Yards Per Point 10.7 130 Plays Per Game 70.5 75 3rd Down Conv. % 55.2% 130 Time of Possession 29:42 70 Total Yards Per Game 509.9 126 3rd Down Conv. % 34.8% 104 Yards Per Play 7.1 125 Total Yards Per Game 352.6 107 Rush Yards Per Game 288.3 127 Yards Per Play 5 101 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.3 126 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.1 118 Completion % 66.2% 125 Rush Yards Per Game 137.3 99 Passing Yards Per Game 221.6 53 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 77 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.8 116 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.8 48 Sacks 0.9 126 Completion % 52.7% 112 Turnovers 1.2 100 Passing Yards Per Game 215.4 81 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 107 Turnovers 2.1 116 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 9-4 8-5 2-10 27-24 (53%) 62 Overall ATS 7-6 5-7 5-8 1-11 18-32 (36%) 127 Over-Under 7-6 8-5 6-7 8-4 29-22 (57%) 17 at Home ATS 3-3 3-3 2-4 1-6 9-16 (36%) 112 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 2-4 3-4 0-5 9-16 (36%) 122 Conference ATS 3-5 4-4 4-4 1-7 12-20 (38%) 118 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 1-3 1-4 0-4 6-12 (33%) 117 Favorite ATS 4-4 5-6 4-7 0-3 13-20 (39%) 111 Underdog ATS 3-2 0-1 1-1 1-8 5-12 (29%) 126 After SUW ATS 3-4 4-4 3-5 0-2 10-15 (40%) 108 After SUL ATS 3-2 0-3 2-2 1-8 6-15 (29%) 126

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 23.5 -4.9 0.63 6 7 28.9 6.47 14.86 4-DC 33.8 5.84 12.12 2017 55 24.8 3.64 -13.8 4 46.5 8.65 13.76 7-DC 21.8 5.01 15.79 2016 56 34.7 4.28 -15.5 9- OC 52.3 8.43 12.07 8 17.6 4.14 16.14 2015 49.5 20.4 2.7 -9.5 5 37.7 6.88 12.6 4 17.3 4.18 16.31

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• LOUISVILLE is 13-2 ATS (L15G) on ROAD - Nonconference VS POWER 5

• LOUISVILLE is 1-11 ATS (L2Y) - as Non-ranked team

• LOUISVILLE is 7-0 OVER (L7G) - [vs OPP] AP top 5

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 66 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION MIAMI FL HURRICANES Location: Miami Gardens, FL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium 52 Head Coach: Manny Diaz - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3.25 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Dan Enos * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Blake Baker / Ephraim Banda * 40.9 (#64 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/24/19 vs. Florida MIAMI FL is 5-1 SU & ATS in its L6 games vs. FLORIDA 9/7/19 at North Carolina HOME TEAMS are 6-5 SU & 9-2 ATS in MIA-UNC series since 2008 9/14/19 BETHUNE-COOKMAN UNDER the total is 3-0 in L3 games of B/C-MIA series at MIAMI FL 9/21/19 C MICHIGAN 10/5/19 VIRGINIA TECH FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MIA-VAT series 10/11/19 VIRGINIA UNDERDOGS are 7-8 SU but 12-3 ATS in VIR-MIA series since 1996 10/19/19 GEORGIA TECH MIAMI FL is 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS vs. GEORGIA TECH since 2009 10/26/19 at Pittsburgh MIAMI FL is 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1996 11/2/19 at Florida St UNDERDOGS are 16-4 ATS in MIA-FSU series since 1999 11/9/19 LOUISVILLE LOUISVILLE is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. MIAMI FL 11/23/19 at FLA International ROAD TEAMS are 0-3 SU but 3-0 ATS in L3 games of FIU-MIA series 11/30/19 at Duke MIAMI FL is 6-2 SU & ATS in its L8 games vs. DUKE 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/2/18 vs. LSU 17-33 L -3 L 47.5 O 9/8/18 SAVANNAH ST 77-0 W -61 W 69 O 9/15/18 at Toledo 49-24 W -11.5 W 58.5 O 9/22/18 FLA INTERNATIONAL 31-17 W -26 L 58.5 U 9/27/18 NORTH CAROLINA 47-10 W -18 W 55.5 O 10/6/18 FLORIDA ST 28-27 W -14.5 L 48.5 O 10/13/18 at Virginia 13-16 L -7 L 47 U 10/26/18 at Boston College 14-27 L -3.5 L 49.5 U 11/3/18 DUKE 12-20 L -9 L 50.5 U 11/10/18 at Georgia Tech 21-27 L -1 L 51 U 11/17/18 at Virginia Tech 38-14 W -6.5 W 52.5 U 11/24/18 PITTSBURGH 24-3 W -5 W 45.5 U 12/27/18 vs. Wisconsin 3-35 L -3 L 44 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 8.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA More often than not, it’s not recommended to go Over on season wins with a frst-year and especially a frst-time head coach but Manny Diaz has been a successful DC the last three years at Miami and knows his personnel on that side of the ball. The defense should still be the strength of the team and the offense should be improved as new OC Dan Enos (QB coach at Alabama last year) brings in a “spreadcoast” offense that should involve more creativity than the previous years’ offenses during Mark Richt’s tenure. The U has to pick a QB though and stick with him whether its sophomore N’Kosi Perry, Ohio State transfer Tate Martell or redshirt freshman . Miami does get its main two Coastal rivals (Virginia Tech and Virginia) at home in back to back weeks and only leaves the state of Florida in three of twelve games so the schedule is favorable.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 67 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION MIAMI FL HURRICANES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 24.8 90 Points Per Game 21.1 21 Yards Per Point 14 56 Yards Per Point 14 71 Plays Per Game 66 116 3rd Down Conv. % 26.5% 1 Time of Possession 29:18 77 Total Yards Per Game 295.3 5 3rd Down Conv. % 39.4% 59 Yards Per Play 4.3 3 Total Yards Per Game 347.5 110 Rush Yards Per Game 152.4 46 Yards Per Play 5.3 84 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 37 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.8 83 Completion % 53.4% 11 Rush Yards Per Game 187.5 44 Passing Yards Per Game 142.9 1 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 23 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.6 4 Pass Attempts Per Game 27.1 102 Sacks 3 13 Completion % 50.2% 121 Turnovers 1.8 30 Passing Yards Per Game 160 116 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.9 119 Turnovers 2 113 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 9-4 10-3 7-6 34-18 (65%) 28 Overall ATS 7-5 9-4 5-8 5-8 26-25 (51%) 64 Over-Under 7-6 6-7 3-10 5-8 21-31 (40%) 114 at Home ATS 3-2 4-2 3-5 3-3 13-12 (52%) 42 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 5-2 2-3 2-5 13-13 (50%) 72 Conference ATS 5-3 5-3 3-6 3-5 16-17 (48%) 68 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 4-1 2-2 2-3 10-8 (56%) 37 Favorite ATS 3-2 9-2 4-6 5-8 21-18 (54%) 38 Underdog ATS 4-3 0-2 1-2 0-0 5-7 (42%) 99 After SUW ATS 2-5 7-1 5-5 3-4 17-15 (53%) 51 After SUL ATS 4-0 1-3 0-2 2-3 7-8 (47%) 80

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 53.5 24.3 2.57 -12.7 7-QB 36.7 6.33 11.43 7 12.4 3.76 19.59 2017 54.5 26 3.31 -16.7 7-QB 38.4 7.39 12.61 8 12.4 4.08 25.08 2016 Yes 58.5 28.2 3.06 -17 9- OC 40.5 7.39 12.05 6-DC 12.3 4.33 25.71 2015 47.5 17 1.93 -4 5 36.4 7. 01 13.02 6 19.5 5.08 18.12

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MIAMI FL is 14-1 ATS (L15G) on ROAD - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• MIAMI FL is 1-9 ATS (L10G) at HOME - VS lower ranked team

• MIAMI FL is 21-4 UNDER (L25G) - After a conference SU win

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 68 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION Location: Blacksburg, VA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Lane Stadium/Worsham Field 49.5 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 6-7 4 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 10 Offensive Coordinator: Brad Cornelsen SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Bud Foster 39.88 (#67 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Boston College BOSTON COLLEGE is 7-14 SU but 14-7 ATS vs. VIRGINIA TECH since 1999 9/7/19 OLD DOMINION 9/14/19 FURMAN 9/27/19 DUKE UNDERDOGS are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of DUK-VAT series 10/5/19 at Miami Fl FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MIA-VAT series 10/12/19 RHODE ISLAND 10/19/19 NORTH CAROLINA UNDER the total is 10-2 in VAT-UNC series since 2007 11/2/19 at Notre Dame 11/9/19 WAKE FOREST FAVORITES are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of VAT-WF series 11/16/19 at Georgia Tech UNDERDOGS are 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of GAT-VAT series 11/23/19 PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH is 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. VIRGINIA TECH 11/29/19 at Virginia VIRGINIA TECH is 15-0 SU & 11-4 ATS vs. VIRGINIA since 2004 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/3/18 at Florida St 24-3 W 7. 5 W 54.5 U 9/8/18 WILLIAM & MARY 62-17 W -41.5 W 49.5 O 9/22/18 at Old Dominion 35-49 L -28.5 L 52.5 O 9/29/18 at Duke 31-14 W 7 W 52.5 U 10/6/18 NOTRE DAME 23-45 L 6.5 L 53.5 O 10/13/18 at North Carolina 22-19 W -6.5 L 57.5 U 10/25/18 GEORGIA TECH 28-49 L -3 L 58 O 11/3/18 BOSTON COLLEGE 21-31 L 2 L 57 U 11/10/18 at Pittsburgh 22-52 L 4.5 L 53 O 11/17/18 MIAMI FL 14-38 L 6.5 L 52.5 U 11/23/18 VIRGINIA 34-31 W 4 W 49 O 12/1/18 MARSHALL 41-20 W -3.5 W 52 O 12/31/18 vs. Cincinnati 31-35 L 5 W 48.5 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 8 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA The Hokies should be a team that rebounds with 10 starters back on defense that should more resemble the quality groups that Bud Foster has felded in the 23 years he has been the DC. The schedule gives them some breaks as well since they don’t have any back-to-back road trips. Should they be able to avenge last year’s loss to BC in the opener, a 4-0 start would be likely heading to Miami. This should be a hungry bunch coming off their frst losing season since 1992.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 69 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.2 72 Points Per Game 32.2 90 Yards Per Point 15.3 81 Yards Per Point 14.1 69 Plays Per Game 75.4 34 3rd Down Conv. % 39.0% 59 Time of Possession 30:14 54 Total Yards Per Game 453.1 104 3rd Down Conv. % 34.6% 105 Yards Per Play 6.4 116 Total Yards Per Game 415 48 Rush Yards Per Game 225 112 Yards Per Play 5.5 69 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.7 122 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.2 58 Completion % 59.6% 65 Rush Yards Per Game 163.4 69 Passing Yards Per Game 228.1 62 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 76 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 81 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.8 47 Sacks 1.9 79 Completion % 57.6% 85 Turnovers 1.4 81 Passing Yards Per Game 251.6 41 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 62 Turnovers 1.2 36 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 10-4 9-4 6-7 32-21 (60%) 45 Overall ATS 6-7 8-6 6-7 6-7 26-27 (49%) 75 Over-Under 6-7 8-6 4-9 8-5 26-27 (49%) 51 at Home ATS 3-3 4-2 3-3 3-4 13-12 (52%) 44 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 4-4 3-4 3-3 13-15 (46%) 86 Conference ATS 4-4 5-4 3-5 3-5 15-18 (45%) 87 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 3-2 3-2 3-2 11-9 (55%) 42 Favorite ATS 4-5 6-5 6-4 2-3 18-17 (51%) 50 Underdog ATS 2-2 2-1 0-3 4-4 8-10 (44%) 88 After SUW ATS 3-3 4-5 5-4 3-3 15-15 (50%) 74 After SUL ATS 3-3 4-0 0-3 2-4 9-10 (47%) 73

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 47.5 11. 9 0.94 -4.8 7-QB 37.3 6.64 12.94 5 25.5 5.7 15.37 2017 53.5 28.9 1.92 -13.3 5-QB 35.9 6.19 13 7 7 4.27 38.39 2016 Yes 55.5 27.1 2.27 -14.5 8-QB, OC 41.5 6.68 12.5 7 14.4 4.41 20.91 2015 49 19 1.11 -7.2 8 36.8 5.9 11.46 8 17.8 4.8 17.63

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• VIRGINIA TECH is 9-0 ATS (L9G) - [vs OPP] Less than 6 days rest

• VIRGINIA TECH is 1-9 ATS (L10G) - VS PITTSBURGH

• VIRGINIA TECH is 12-1 UNDER (L13G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 70 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION VIRGINIA CAVALIERS Location: Charlottesville, VA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Scott Stadium 49 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 2.5 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Nick Howell / Kelly Poppinga 41.21 (#63 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Pittsburgh PITTSBURGH is 5-1 SU & ATS in its L6 games vs. VIRGINIA 9/6/19 WILLIAM & MARY ROAD TEAMS are 0-3 SU but 3-0 ATS in L3 games of W&M-VIR series 9/14/19 FLORIDA ST UNDER the total is 9-0 in L9 games of VIR-FSU series 9/21/19 OLD DOMINION 9/28/19 at Notre Dame 10/11/19 at Miami Fl UNDERDOGS are 7-8 SU but 12-3 ATS in VIR-MIA series since 1996 10/19/19 DUKE UNDER the total is 11-4 in VIR-DUK series since 1995 10/26/19 at Louisville HOME TEAMS are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in L4 games of LOU-VIR series 11/2/19 at North Carolina UNDER the total is 15-5 in UNC-VIR series since 1995 11/9/19 GEORGIA TECH HOME TEAMS are 18-4 SU & 15-5 ATS in VIR-GAT series since 1997 11/23/19 LIBERTY 11/29/19 VIRGINIA TECH VIRGINIA TECH is 15-0 SU & 11-4 ATS vs. VIRGINIA since 2004 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 RICHMOND 42-13 W -14.5 W 53.5 O 9/8/18 at Indiana 16-20 L 5 W 49.5 U 9/15/18 vs. Ohio U 45-31 W -4 W 55.5 O 9/22/18 LOUISVILLE 27-3 W -4.5 W 53.5 U 9/29/18 at NC State 21-35 L 6.5 L 53 O 10/13/18 MIAMI FL 16-13 W 7 W 47 U 10/20/18 at Duke 28-14 W 6.5 W 45.5 U 10/27/18 NORTH CAROLINA 31-21 W -8.5 W 51 O 11/2/18 PITTSBURGH 13-23 L -7 L 45 U 11/10/18 LIBERTY 45-24 W -25 L 57.5 O 11/17/18 at Georgia Tech 27-30 L 6 W 51.5 O 11/23/18 at Virginia Tech 31-34 L -4 L 49 O 12/29/18 vs. South Carolina 28-0 W 3.5 W 53.5 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN OVER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL UVA has improved every year under Bronco Mendenhall and had its frst winning year since 2011 capped off by a shutout win (28-0) over South Carolina in the Belk Bowl. The strength of the squad is still the defense that only allowed 20.1 ppg and 331 ypg and returns eight starters. The Cavaliers also went 1-3 in games decided by four points or less last season and those tend to even out the following season. Virginia has also scheduled smart with what should be easily winnable home games vs. William & Mary, Old Dominion and Liberty (at Notre Dame is the other nonconference game). They only play four out of 12 teams that had winning records the previous season.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 71 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION VIRGINIA CAVALIERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.3 69 Points Per Game 20.7 19 Yards Per Point 13.7 48 Yards Per Point 16.5 22 Plays Per Game 67.6 104 3rd Down Conv. % 40.9% 83 Time of Possession 33:10 11 Total Yards Per Game 340.2 21 3rd Down Conv. % 48.1% 8 Yards Per Play 5.2 43 Total Yards Per Game 375.6 85 Rush Yards Per Game 157.8 54 Yards Per Play 5.6 63 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 70 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.6 72 Completion % 53.5% 12 Rush Yards Per Game 162.2 70 Passing Yards Per Game 182.3 14 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 64 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 24 Pass Attempts Per Game 27.7 99 Sacks 1.8 85 Completion % 64.5% 22 Turnovers 1.6 49 Passing Yards Per Game 213.3 83 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 41 Turnovers 1.5 74 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 4-8 2-10 6-7 8-5 20-30 (40%) 103 Overall ATS 8-3 5-7 6-7 9-4 28-21 (57%) 15 Over-Under 6-6 4-7 6-7 7-6 23-26 (47%) 76 at Home ATS 4-3 2-4 3-4 4-2 13-13 (50%) 58 Road/Neutral ATS 4-0 3-3 3-3 5-2 15-8 (65%) 15 Conference ATS 7-1 2-6 4-4 5-3 18-14 (56%) 31 Non-Conf. ATS 1-2 3-1 2-3 4-1 10-7 (59%) 22 Favorite ATS 0-2 0-1 2-3 4-3 6-9 (40%) 110 Underdog ATS 8-1 5-6 4-4 5-1 22-12 (65%) 23 After SUW ATS 3-1 1-1 3-3 5-2 12-7 (63%) 11 After SUL ATS 5-2 4-5 3-3 3-2 15-12 (56%) 42

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 51 18.2 1.74 -9.3 5 33 6.59 12.94 8 14.8 4.84 20.66 2017 41 12.3 1.2 0.6 6 32.2 5.87 12.97 8 20 4.68 15.66 2016 Yes 33 4.6 0.15 -0.2 6- OC 30 5.68 13.76 6-DC 25.4 5.53 15.37 2015 42 11. 6 1.21 -0.3 5-QB 34.1 6.56 13.43 5 22.5 5.35 15.71

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• VIRGINIA is 6-0-1 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Revenging a loss vs - GEORGIA TECH

• VIRGINIA is 1-7 ATS (L8G) - After playing PITTSBURGH

• VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - Revenging a loss vs - FLORIDA ST

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 72 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION PITTSBURGH PANTHERS Location: Pittsburgh, PA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Heinz Field 46 Head Coach: Pat Narduzzi - 5th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-7 2.5 / 0 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 5 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Randy Bates 45.35 (#37 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 VIRGINIA PITTSBURGH is 5-1 SU & ATS in its L6 games vs. VIRGINIA 9/7/19 OHIO U HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of PIT-OHU series 9/14/19 at Penn St 9/21/19 UCF 9/28/19 DELAWARE 10/5/19 at Duke PITTSBURGH is 4-0 SU & ATS in its L4 games vs. DUKE 10/18/19 at Syracuse HOME TEAMS are 16-11 SU & 17-9 ATS in SYR-PIT series since 1992 10/26/19 MIAMI FL MIAMI FL is 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1996 11/2/19 at Georgia Tech UNDERDOGS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of PIT-GAT series 11/14/19 NORTH CAROLINA NORTH CAROLINA is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. PITTSBURGH 11/23/19 at Virginia Tech PITTSBURGH is 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. VIRGINIA TECH 11/30/19 BOSTON COLLEGE UNDER the total is 6-2 in L8 games of PIT-BC series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 ALBANY 33-7 W -27 L 43.5 U 9/8/18 PENN ST 6-51 L 7 L 49.5 O 9/15/18 GEORGIA TECH 24-19 W 3.5 W 54 U 9/22/18 at North Carolina 35-38 L -3 L 48 O 9/29/18 at UCF 14-45 L 13.5 L 65.5 U 10/6/18 SYRACUSE 44-37 W 3 W 57.5 O 10/13/18 at Notre Dame 14-19 L 21 W 55.5 U 10/27/18 DUKE 54-45 W 3 W 46 O 11/2/18 at Virginia 23-13 W 7 W 45 U 11/10/18 VIRGINIA TECH 52-22 W -4.5 W 53 O 11/17/18 at Wake Forest 34-13 W -4.5 W 62.5 U 11/24/18 at Miami Fl 3-24 L 5 L 45.5 U 12/1/18 vs. Clemson 10-42 L 27.5 L 53.5 U 12/31/18 vs. Stanford 13-14 L 3.5 W 53 U WES REYNOLDS SEASON WIN UNDER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET Pitt caught fre at the right time and won fve ACC games in a row to clinch the Coastal with one game to play. This season, they have to replace their two leading rushers who accounted for just under 2,400 yards on the ground and four OL starters. Pitt only averaged 142 ypg passing last year and only 6.4 yards per pass attempt last season. New OC Mark Whipple (lastly the HC at UMass from 2014-18) should improve upon that but the rebuilding of the offensive line could pose problems protecting Kenny Pickett and they surely will not duplicate last year’s rushing attack.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 73 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION PITTSBURGH PANTHERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25.1 86 Points Per Game 29.4 77 Yards Per Point 14.6 70 Yards Per Point 13.4 89 Plays Per Game 66.1 115 3rd Down Conv. % 39.9% 74 Time of Possession 33:57 5 Total Yards Per Game 393.5 59 3rd Down Conv. % 34.9% 103 Yards Per Play 5.7 74 Total Yards Per Game 366.9 92 Rush Yards Per Game 188.3 84 Yards Per Play 5.6 65 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 99 Rush Attempts Per Game 41.1 32 Completion % 55.4% 21 Rush Yards Per Game 227.2 16 Passing Yards Per Game 205.2 36 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.5 11 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7 51 Pass Attempts Per Game 22.5 121 Sacks 2.1 69 Completion % 56.3% 94 Turnovers 1.2 98 Passing Yards Per Game 139.7 123 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.2 111 Turnovers 1.1 16 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 8-5 5-7 7-7 28-24 (54%) 59 Overall ATS 6-7 5-7 5-6 8-6 24-26 (48%) 82 Over-Under 6-7 11-2 3-9 5-9 25-27 (48%) 62 at Home ATS 1-5 2-4 3-4 4-2 10-15 (40%) 96 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 3-3 2-2 4-4 14-11 (56%) 44 Conference ATS 4-4 5-3 4-3 6-3 19-13 (59%) 20 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 0-4 1-3 2-3 5-13 (28%) 121 Favorite ATS 2-4 2-5 1-2 2-2 7-13 (35%) 118 Underdog ATS 4-3 3-2 4-4 6-4 17-13 (57%) 44 After SUW ATS 4-4 3-4 1-2 4-3 12-13 (48%) 79 After SUL ATS 2-2 2-2 4-3 4-2 12-9 (57%) 37

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 51 18.6 2.33 -9.8 4 36.3 7.32 12.65 9-DC 17.7 4.99 19.07 2017 48.5 15.2 1.4 -4.4 6-QB, OC 32.6 6.48 13.6 4 17.4 5.08 19.39 2016 52 24 2.7 -10.5 8- OC 50.9 7. 91 10.43 8 26.9 5.21 14.52 2015 Yes 48.5 20.5 1.83 -7.2 8- OC 36.8 6.67 12.25 7-DC 16.2 4.84 18.42

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• PITTSBURGH is 9-1 ATS (L10G) - VS VIRGINIA TECH

• PITTSBURGH is 11-25-1 ATS (S2000) - [vs OPP] More than 13 days rest

• PITTSBURGH is 22-9 UNDER (S2000) on ROAD - In October

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 74 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION DUKE BLUE DEVILS Location: Durham, NC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Brooks Field at Stadium 44 Head Coach: - 12th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 4 - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Zac Roper SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Ben Albert / Matt Guerrieri 46.38 (#26 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Alabama 9/7/19 N CAROLINA A&T 9/14/19 at Middle Tenn St 9/27/19 at Virginia Tech UNDERDOGS are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of DUK-VAT series 10/5/19 PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH is 4-0 SU & ATS in its L4 games vs. DUKE 10/12/19 GEORGIA TECH DUKE is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. GEORGIA TECH 10/19/19 at Virginia UNDER the total is 11-4 in VIR-DUK series since 1995 10/26/19 at North Carolina UNDERDOGS are 7-10 SU but 12-5 ATS in UNC-DUK series since 2002 11/9/19 NOTRE DAME 11/16/19 SYRACUSE 11/23/19 at Wake Forest ROAD TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of WF-DUK series 11/30/19 MIAMI FL MIAMI FL is 6-2 SU & ATS in its L8 games vs. DUKE 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 ARMY 34-14 W -13.5 W 46.5 O 9/8/18 at Northwestern 21-7 W 3 W 47.5 U 9/15/18 at Baylor 40-27 W 2 W 51 O 9/22/18 NC CENTRAL 55-13 W -44.5 L 55.5 O 9/29/18 VIRGINIA TECH 14-31 L -7 L 52.5 U 10/13/18 at Georgia Tech 28-14 W 1.5 W 55.5 U 10/20/18 VIRGINIA 14-28 L -6.5 L 45.5 U 10/27/18 at Pittsburgh 45-54 L -3 L 46 O 11/3/18 at Miami Fl 20-12 W 9 W 50.5 U 11/10/18 NORTH CAROLINA 42-35 W -8 L 59 O 11/17/18 at Clemson 6-35 L 29.5 W 60.5 U 11/24/18 WAKE FOREST 7-59 L -8.5 L 62 O 12/27/18 vs. Temple 56-27 W 3.5 W 55 O

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET In spite of losing Daniel Jones, who went sixth overall in the NFL Draft, Duke returns a QB in Quentin Harris who saw action in 12 games last year and made two starts. Harris is more of a running threat than a passer (only 50% completion percentage), so David Cutcliffe will have to adjust his offense to better ft Harris’s abilities. Cutcliffe is perfectly capable of doing just that and he will likely have to by necessity since Duke loses its top four receivers from last year. The Duke defense returns eight starters and that likely needs to be the strength of the team with the transition to a more run-based attack. The Blue Devils open with Alabama and they will be overmatched and you worry about a team going forward that’s going to get beat up pretty good in the opener.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 75 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION DUKE BLUE DEVILS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.2 70 Points Per Game 28.6 72 Yards Per Point 14.2 63 Yards Per Point 14.9 50 Plays Per Game 74 48 3rd Down Conv. % 42.5% 94 Time of Possession 27:27 115 Total Yards Per Game 427.2 83 3rd Down Conv. % 41.7% 38 Yards Per Play 5.5 61 Total Yards Per Game 387.2 70 Rush Yards Per Game 215.4 105 Yards Per Play 5.2 85 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 102 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.1 104 Completion % 56.1% 27 Rush Yards Per Game 141.9 96 Passing Yards Per Game 211.8 44 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4 86 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 27 Pass Attempts Per Game 36.4 25 Sacks 1.8 86 Completion % 59.0% 67 Turnovers 1.1 112 Passing Yards Per Game 245.2 51 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.7 97 Turnovers 1.6 83 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 4-8 7-6 8-5 27-24 (53%) 62 Overall ATS 7-6 7-5 7-5 7-6 28-22 (56%) 21 Over-Under 6-7 4-8 4-9 7-6 21-30 (41%) 108 at Home ATS 2-4 4-2 4-2 1-5 11-13 (46%) 75 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 3-3 3-3 6-1 17-9 (65%) 12 Conference ATS 3-5 4-4 3-4 3-5 13-18 (42%) 105 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 3-1 4-1 4-1 15-4 (79%) 3 Favorite ATS 4-4 2-2 3-3 1-6 10-15 (40%) 109 Underdog ATS 3-2 5-3 4-2 6-0 18-7 (72%) 9 After SUW ATS 4-3 1-3 5-1 3-4 13-11 (54%) 46 After SUL ATS 2-3 5-2 1-4 3-2 11-11 (50%) 59

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 47.5 15.4 1.34 -6.8 7-QB 35.1 6.3 13.05 8 19.7 4.95 18.59 2017 49 18.6 1.07 -7.1 7 33.7 5.68 12.99 5 15.1 4.61 19.62 2016 38.5 11.1 0.53 -0.8 6-QB, OC 31.6 6.02 14.58 6 20.5 5.49 17.7 2015 43.5 16.5 1.24 -5.3 6-QB 37.8 6.01 12.56 7 21.3 4.77 15.97

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• DUKE is 25-4 ATS (L29G) - On non-grass feld

• DUKE is 0-7 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a close SU win of 3 points or less

• DUKE is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) at HOME - Favorite of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 76 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS Location: Chapel Hill, NC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 44.5 Head Coach: Mack Brown - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 2-9 3.75 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Phil Longo * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jay Bateman / Tommy Thigpen * 46.31 (#27 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. South Carolina UNDER the total is 3-0 in L3 games of UNC-SC series 9/7/19 MIAMI FL HOME TEAMS are 6-5 SU & 9-2 ATS in MIA-UNC series since 2008 9/12/19 at Wake Forest HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of WF-UNC series 9/21/19 APPALACHIAN ST 9/28/19 CLEMSON HOME TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of CLM-UNC series 10/5/19 at Georgia Tech GEORGIA TECH is 17-8 SU & 15-10 ATS vs. NORTH CAROLINA since 1994 10/19/19 at Virginia Tech UNDER the total is 10-2 in VAT-UNC series since 2007 10/26/19 DUKE UNDERDOGS are 7-10 SU but 12-5 ATS in UNC-DUK series since 2002 11/2/19 VIRGINIA UNDER the total is 15-5 in UNC-VIR series since 1995 11/14/19 at Pittsburgh NORTH CAROLINA is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. PITTSBURGH 11/23/19 MERCER 11/30/19 at NC State UNDERDOGS are 13-8 SU & 16-5 ATS in UNC-NCS series since 1998 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at California 17-24 L 7 T 57.5 U 9/8/18 at East Carolina 19-41 L -15 L 59 O 9/22/18 PITTSBURGH 38-35 W 3 W 48 O 9/27/18 at Miami Fl 10-47 L 18 L 55.5 O 10/13/18 VIRGINIA TECH 19-22 L 6.5 W 57.5 U 10/20/18 at Syracuse 37-40 L 9.5 W 66 O 10/27/18 at Virginia 21-31 L 8.5 L 51 O 11/3/18 GEORGIA TECH 28-38 L 4.5 L 65 O 11/10/18 at Duke 35-42 L 8 W 59 O 11/17/18 W CAROLINA 49-26 W -29.5 L 81.5 U 11/24/18 NC STATE 28-34 L 7 W 63 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 5.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Mack Brown returns for his second stint in Chapel Hill as he was here previously from 1988-1997. He’s been out of the game for fve years and working TV for ABC/ESPN. Oftentimes, that’s a very tough transition as fve years is an eternity nowadays in college football. On the other hand, Bill Snyder had a good run in his second act at Kansas State so it’s not impossible. This is a club that will likely be better with 16 returning starters but it might not show in the W column the frst year as the Tar Heels play eleven teams that went to bowl games last season.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 77 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25.2 85 Points Per Game 35.4 105 Yards Per Point 16.7 110 Yards Per Point 12.7 107 Plays Per Game 74.8 43 3rd Down Conv. % 44.7% 111 Time of Possession 27:32 113 Total Yards Per Game 449.1 100 3rd Down Conv. % 33.8% 108 Yards Per Play 5.8 80 Total Yards Per Game 420.9 38 Rush Yards Per Game 227.4 114 Yards Per Play 5.6 60 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 108 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.2 100 Completion % 57.1% 38 Rush Yards Per Game 182.7 49 Passing Yards Per Game 221.7 54 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.2 20 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 2 58 Pass Attempts Per Game 38.6 14 Sacks 2.7 26 Completion % 58.0% 78 Turnovers 1.5 66 Passing Yards Per Game 238.2 56 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.2 113 Turnovers 2 115 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 11-3 8-5 3-9 2-9 24-26 (48%) 78 Overall ATS 8-6 8-5 5-7 5-5 26-23 (53%) 45 Over-Under 8-6 4-9 6-6 7-4 25-25 (50%) 44 at Home ATS 5-2 3-3 2-5 3-2 13-12 (52%) 42 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 5-2 3-2 2-3 13-11 (54%) 51 Conference ATS 6-3 4-4 3-5 5-3 18-15 (55%) 39 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 4-1 2-2 0-2 8-8 (50%) 67 Favorite ATS 7-4 5-3 2-2 0-2 14-11 (56%) 28 Underdog ATS 1-2 3-2 3-5 5-3 12-12 (50%) 69 After SUW ATS 7-4 4-4 2-1 1-1 14-10 (58%) 24 After SUL ATS 1-1 4-0 3-5 4-4 12-10 (55%) 44

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 40 6.9 1.54 1.6 5-QB 33.8 6.84 15.04 8 26.9 5.3 14.76 2017 40.5 11 1.28 4.7 5-QB 34.2 6.32 12.82 7-DC 23.3 5.05 16.19 2016 52.5 24.3 3.21 -11.8 7-QB 41.3 7. 94 12.55 7 17 4.73 21.41 2015 57.5 31.3 3.55 -15.3 10 49.9 8.29 11. 04 7-DC 18.6 4.75 19.85

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NORTH CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (L13G) - After playing VIRGINIA TECH

• NORTH CAROLINA is 1-6 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

• NORTH CAROLINA is 7-0 OVER (L7G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 78 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS Location: Atlanta, GA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Bobby Dodd Stadium at Historic Grant Field 40.5 Head Coach: Geoff Collins - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3.75 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 9 - Offense: 5 - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: Dave Patenaude * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Nathan Burton / Andrew Thacker * 47.17 (#17 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 at Clemson CLEMSON is 14-12 SU & 17-8 ATS vs. GEORGIA TECH since 1994 9/7/19 SOUTH FLORIDA 9/14/19 THE CITADEL 9/28/19 at Temple 10/5/19 NORTH CAROLINA GEORGIA TECH is 17-8 SU & 15-10 ATS vs. NORTH CAROLINA since 1994 10/12/19 at Duke DUKE is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. GEORGIA TECH 10/19/19 at Miami Fl MIAMI FL is 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS vs. GEORGIA TECH since 2009 11/2/19 PITTSBURGH UNDERDOGS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of PIT-GAT series 11/9/19 at Virginia HOME TEAMS are 18-4 SU & 15-5 ATS in VIR-GAT series since 1997 11/16/19 VIRGINIA TECH UNDERDOGS are 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of GAT-VAT series 11/21/19 NC STATE ROAD TEAMS are 7-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in L7 games of NCS-GAT series 11/30/19 GEORGIA GEORGIA is 9-1 SU & 10-0 ATS in its L10 games at GEORGIA TECH 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 ALCORN ST 41-0 W -42 L 59.5 U 9/8/18 at South Florida 38-49 L -3.5 L 60 O 9/15/18 at Pittsburgh 19-24 L -3.5 L 54 U 9/22/18 CLEMSON 21-49 L 15.5 L 55.5 O 9/29/18 BOWLING GREEN 63-17 W -28 W 65 O 10/5/18 at Louisville 66-31 W -5.5 W 56.5 O 10/13/18 DUKE 14-28 L -1.5 L 55.5 U 10/25/18 at Virginia Tech 49-28 W 3 W 58 O 11/3/18 at North Carolina 38-28 W -4.5 W 65 O 11/10/18 MIAMI FL 27-21 W 1 W 51 U 11/17/18 VIRGINIA 30-27 W -6 L 51.5 O 11/24/18 at Georgia 21-45 L 17 L 60.5 O 12/26/18 vs. Minnesota 10-34 L -5.5 L 57 U

WES REYNOLDS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 4 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL This is a complete rebuild for Geoff Collins coming in from Temple. He inherits an offensive roster that was recruited to run Paul Johnson’s triple option so this team clearly is lacking in receivers and at quarterback. The defense also only returns four starters. Collins did a good job at Temple leading them to two winning seasons and bowl appearances, but inherited a better situation there replacing . This will be a much tougher adjustment in Atlanta and they will get a quick dose of reality opening with Clemson.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 79 2019 ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE COASTAL DIVISION GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 33 27 Points Per Game 31.8 85 Yards Per Point 12 15 Yards Per Point 12.2 117 Plays Per Game 67.9 100 3rd Down Conv. % 53.3% 129 Time of Possession 33:35 8 Total Yards Per Game 387.8 52 3rd Down Conv. % 41.8% 36 Yards Per Play 6.1 103 Total Yards Per Game 397.6 65 Rush Yards Per Game 164.7 62 Yards Per Play 5.9 41 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 90 Rush Attempts Per Game 57.6 3 Completion % 64.7% 115 Rush Yards Per Game 315.5 2 Passing Yards Per Game 223.2 55 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.5 12 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 9 97 Pass Attempts Per Game 9 129 Sacks 1.2 118 Completion % 43.5% 129 Turnovers 1.8 24 Passing Yards Per Game 82.1 129 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.1 6 Turnovers 1.2 26 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 9-4 5-6 7-6 24-25 (49%) 75 Overall ATS 3-9 7-4 7-3 5-8 22-24 (48%) 84 Over-Under 6-6 6-6 5-6 8-5 25-23 (52%) 36 at Home ATS 3-4 3-3 5-1 2-4 13-12 (52%) 42 Road/Neutral ATS 0-5 4-1 2-2 3-4 9-12 (43%) 109 Conference ATS 1-7 3-4 5-2 4-4 13-17 (43%) 100 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 4-0 2-1 1-4 9-7 (56%) 34 Favorite ATS 2-6 4-1 4-2 3-6 13-15 (46%) 84 Underdog ATS 1-3 3-3 3-1 2-2 9-9 (50%) 67 After SUW ATS 1-2 4-3 3-1 3-4 11-10 (52%) 57 After SUL ATS 1-7 3-1 3-2 2-3 9-13 (41%) 97

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 48.5 19.9 1.78 -9.5 8-QB 41.8 7. 04 11.44 5-DC 21.9 5.25 14.97 2017 48 21.3 2.49 -12.5 8-QB 40.2 7.12 12.08 8 18.9 4.62 15.74 2016 49 17.8 2.5 -8.5 6 36.1 7.68 12.48 5 18.3 5.18 19.78 2015 46.5 21.6 2.01 -8 5 38.1 7. 01 11.88 8 16.5 5 19.19

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• GEORGIA TECH is 10-0 ATS (L10G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

• GEORGIA TECH is 0-9 ATS (L9G) at HOME - VS GEORGIA

• GEORGIA TECH is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - After playing NC STATE

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 80 BIG 12 CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY BRUCE MARSHALL FROM THE GOLD SHEET - @BRUCEAMARSHALL

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's OKLAHOMA 64.5 3.5 0.5 43.81 49 10.9 1.1 8.0 1.0 TEXAS 52 3.25 -0.25 45.98 32 7. 3 4.7 5.2 3.8 OKLAHOMA ST 51.5 3 0.5 43.19 53 7. 9 4.1 5.1 3.9 IOWA ST 51 4.25 0 44.88 43 7. 5 4.5 5.0 4.0 BAYLOR 49.5 3.25 0.25 39.46 69 7. 8 4.2 4.9 4.1 TCU 49 2.5 0.5 42.02 60 6.8 5.2 4.4 4.6 WEST VIRGINIA 47 3.5 0.25 48.10 12 5.7 6.3 4.1 4.9 TEXAS TECH 47 3.75 -0.25 43.98 47 6.4 5.6 4.0 5.0 KANSAS ST 44.5 2.75 0.25 45.60 33 5.4 6.6 3.4 5.6 KANSAS 30.5 2.5 -0.5 46.23 28 2.2 9.8 0.7 8.3

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME REGULAR TEXAS OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA TEXAS OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA SEASON 1ST REGULAR OKLAHOMA TEXAS TEXAS IOWA ST TEXAS OKLAHOMA TEXAS TEXAS SEASON 2ND BIG 12 OKLAHOMA TEXAS OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA TEXAS OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA CHAMPIONSHIP

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 81 BIG 12 CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITES Oklahoma and Texas Here we go again with new reality in the Big 12...two Red River Rivalry battles! While that might mean sensory overload in the region, the Sooners and Longhorns fgure to meet up for the second straight year in the conference title game...for good reason. In his two years on the job, has progressed Texas to the point where it is thinking national title once again, especially after last year’s wins over OU (regular season) and Georgia (Sugar Bowl). Rough-hewn junior QB Sam Ehlinger (accounted for 41 TDs in 2018) is the ultimate gamer, and regional sources expect to see dividends from Herman’s upgraded recruiting efforts that should soften the blow of nine departed starters on defense. Meanwhile, Lincoln Riley is 2-for-2 in Norman with Final Four trips and Heisman Trophy winners. A three-peat for each likely rests on winning another Big 12 title game (likely vs. the Horns) and Bama transfer QB Jalen Hurts picking up where Baker Mayfeld and Kyler Murray have left off. Don’t discount either. Before conference play begins, keep an eye on Texas and its major intersectional matchup vs. LSU at Austin on Sept. 7. LIVE DOG Iowa State Back-to-back 8-5 records might get fred at LSU, but at Iowa State they’re ready to build a statue for underrated coach Matt Campbell after reaching the “big 8” two years running. Still, we suspect the Cyclones are going to be a bit undervalued this season because of the departure of two key offensive cogs, RB David Montgomery and WR Hakeem Butler, both off to the NFL. But Campbell did uncover a new QB last fall in then-frosh Brock Purdy, who discarded his redshirt year and took over the offense a month into the campaign and promptly led wins in 7 of 8 starts to close the regular season. Even if the offense regresses a bit, Campbell’s stop unit has had as much to do with the recent resurgence as anything, and led the Big 12 in scoring defense last fall. Seven starters, including the entire DL and several playmakers, remain in the fold. Spread-wise, note that Campbell has only had one losing season in seven at Toledo and ISU (that came in 2014 with the Rockets). Along the way, Campbell has established himself as one of the top underdog coaches in the land, with a 19-8-1 mark as the “short” since his last campaign at Toledo (2015). With odds at roughly 11-1, ISU is also the only longshot we might consider with a small investment to steal the Big 12 crown. DEAD MONEY West Virginia While we expect the hire of Neal Brown from Troy could eventually work quite well for West Virginia, we’re not sure things get off to a smooth start. A roster in transition coupled with a new staff and new terminology add up to a bumpy ride. Riding into the sunset after last season with HC Dana Holgorsen (off to Houston) were several key cogs spending summer in NFL camps, specifcally QB , WR David Sills V, and LB David Long. We saw the Mounties struggle in the Camping World Bowl minus Grier, and neither holdover Jack Allison (who started that bowl vs. Syracuse) nor Oklahoma transfer Austin Kendall grabbed the QB job in the spring. Meanwhile, a defensive roster built for Holgorsen’s 3-3-5 “stack” is adjusting to more of a 4-2- 5 preferred by new DC Vic Koenning. The schedule is also no picnic, even the opener FCS James Madison, one of the top contenders in that division. Dropoff time in Morgantown. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD LSU at Texas, Sept. 7 48-45, and had a shot at Kyler Murray & Co. No, it’s not a conference game, but it is perhaps in the title game. Rankings, possible Heisman the biggest intersectional clash of the year and ramifications, you name it, a lot will be on the line an indicator if Tom Herman’s Longhorns really as Dallas once again grows still when these old are ready to contend for national honors, not to enemies clash. mention a barometer of the top tier of the Big 12 vs. the SEC. Early summer prices on this battle have Iowa State at Oklahoma, Nov. 9 the visiting Tigers a slight favorite, which means Since the Cyclones don’t draw either OU or Texas it’s time for “Tom Herman-as-a-dog” references, until November (when they’ll face them back-to- because Herman’s Houston and Texas teams are back), some regional observers believe ISU could 13-2-1 as the “short” the past four seasons. be in a threatening position in the league race entering that crucial two-game stretch. This is the Oklahoma vs. Texas (at Dallas), Oct. 12 first of those clashes. Remember, it was in Norman The only possible distraction for this annual battle two years ago that Matt Campbell fired his first at the is that it likely looms as a real warning shot at ISU, when the 31-point dog prequel to the conference title game in December Cyclones pulled a 38-31 shocker behind little-used that could well decide a berth in the Final Four. QB Kyle Kempt. Rest assured Lincoln Riley hasn’t But if this isn’t the game of the regular season in forgotten about that result. the Big 12, you’ve got a scoop. The Longhorns won Round One in breathless fashion last October,

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 82 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE Location: Norman, OK STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium 64.5 Head Coach: Lincoln Riley - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 12-2 3.5 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 4 - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Bill Bedenbaugh / SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Alex Grinch * 43.81 (#49 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 HOUSTON 9/7/19 S DAKOTA 9/14/19 at UCLA OVER the total is 3-0 in L3 games of OKL-UCLA series 9/28/19 TEXAS TECH HOME TEAMS are 3-4 SU but 7-0 ATS in L7 games of TT-OKL series 10/5/19 at Kansas ROAD TEAMS are 12-8 ATS in OKL-KAN series since 1992 10/12/19 vs. Texas UNDERDOGS are 9-16 SU but 15-10 ATS in TEX-OKL series since 1994 10/19/19 WEST VIRGINIA OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of WVU-OKL series 10/26/19 at Kansas St OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of OKL-KSU series at KANSAS ST 11/9/19 IOWA ST OVER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of ISU-OKL series 11/16/19 at Baylor ROAD TEAMS are 10-13 SU but 15-8 ATS in OKL-BAY series since 1996 11/23/19 TCU UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of TCU-OKL series at OKLAHOMA 11/30/19 at Oklahoma St ROAD TEAMS are 8-2 ATS in OKS-OKL series since 2009 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 FLA ATLANTIC 63-14 W -18.5 W 69 O 9/8/18 UCLA 49-21 W -30.5 L 65.5 O 9/15/18 at Iowa St 37-27 W -18.5 L 55.5 O 9/22/18 ARMY 28-21 W -28.5 L 60 U 9/29/18 BAYLOR 66-33 W -21 W 69.5 O 10/6/18 vs. Texas 45-48 L -7 L 59 O 10/20/18 at TCU 52-27 W -8.5 W 61 O 10/27/18 KANSAS ST 51-14 W -23.5 W 64.5 O 11/3/18 at Texas Tech 51-46 W -14 L 77.5 O 11/10/18 OKLAHOMA ST 48-47 W -21.5 L 80 O 11/17/18 KANSAS 55-40 W -35 L 68 O 11/23/18 at West Virginia 59-56 W -3 T 87 O 12/1/18 vs. Texas 39-27 W -9.5 W 79 U 12/29/18 vs. Alabama 34-45 L 15 W 80.5 U BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN UNDER 10.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL While new QB Jalen Hurts was indeed 26-2 as a starter at Alabama, there is a dangerous assumption that he will simply pick up where Heisman winners (and fellow transfers) Baker Mayfeld and Kyler Murray left off before him. We’re not so sure, considering the record-breaking numbers posted by Mayfeld and Murray that helped each become the top picks in the last two NFL Drafts. And OU’s accelerated pace or not, let’s not forget the Sooners ranked dead last nationally in pass defense a year ago. Even though fve starters return in the secondary, new DC Alex Grinch (over from Ohio State) was tinkering constantly with coverages and possible position switches in spring. For the moment, a vet DL looms as the strength of the platoon, while tackling-machine MLB Kenneth Murray could be the star. Whoever plays on the stop end, the Sooners need to force more than the 11 TOs they caused a year ago, and let’s not forget that OU allowed 40 points or more in fve of their last six games. Until the issues on the stop end are solved, we’re not as convinced as we were the past two seasons with Mayfeld and Murray that OU is simply going to outscore everyone again. Remember, it was a very wild ride to get to 11 wins each of the past two years after early-October losses in both seasons. Especially a year ago, as OU had several harrowing escapes (a scrap vs. Iowa, an escape vs. Army–which is off of this year’s schedule, pleasing Lincoln Riley, plus narrow wins in basketball-type scorelines vs. Texas Tech, Ok State, and Baylor). Another loss in Dallas vs. Texas, like a year ago, would have the Sooners very precariously perched to reach the 11 wins needed to make the “Over” work. That might be asking a lot.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 83 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE OKLAHOMA SOONERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 48.4 1 Points Per Game 33.3 95 Yards Per Point 11. 8 7 Yards Per Point 13.6 80 Plays Per Game 67.6 105 3rd Down Conv. % 46.4% 118 Time of Possession 29:04 82 Total Yards Per Game 453.8 105 3rd Down Conv. % 50.7% 5 Yards Per Play 6 95 Total Yards Per Game 570.4 1 Rush Yards Per Game 159.8 59 Yards Per Play 8.4 1 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 50 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.5 75 Completion % 64.6% 113 Rush Yards Per Game 247.6 11 Passing Yards Per Game 294 129 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.6 1 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.4 107 Pass Attempts Per Game 28.6 93 Sacks 2.1 70 Completion % 68.3% 5 Turnovers 0.8 127 Passing Yards Per Game 322.9 6 Yards Per Pass Attempt 11. 3 1 Turnovers 0.9 11 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 11-2 11-2 12-2 12-2 46-8 (85%) 4 Overall ATS 9-4 7-6 8-6 6-7 30-23 (57%) 17 Over-Under 8-5 6-7 7-7 11-3 32-22 (59%) 9 at Home ATS 4-2 4-2 5-1 3-4 16-9 (64%) 8 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 3-4 3-5 3-3 14-14 (50%) 73 Conference ATS 7-2 6-3 5-5 4-5 22-15 (59%) 19 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 1-3 3-1 2-2 8-8 (50%) 67 Favorite ATS 8-4 7-5 6-5 5-7 26-21 (55%) 29 Underdog ATS 1-0 0-1 2-1 1-0 4-2 (67%) 19 After SUW ATS 7-4 6-4 7-5 4-7 24-20 (55%) 44 After SUL ATS 1-0 1-1 0-1 1-0 3-2 (60%) 21

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 65 34.3 5.13 -25 6 57.4 10.35 11. 91 6 23.1 5.22 16.77 2017 Yes 67 38 5.43 -23.9 9 51.4 10.23 13.76 7 13.3 4.81 24.52 2016 65 33.2 3.95 -24.6 7 50.4 9.06 13.25 6 17.2 5.11 21.94 2015 67.5 41.1 4.06 -23.4 7- OC 49.1 8.15 12.96 6 8 4.09 38.56

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• OKLAHOMA is 10-0 ATS (L10G) - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• OKLAHOMA is 2-8 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

• OKLAHOMA is 9-0 OVER (L9G) - Before playing TCU

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 84 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TEXAS LONGHORNS Location: Austin, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium 52 Head Coach: Tom Herman - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-4 3.25 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 8 - Offense: 5 QB - Defense: 3 Offensive Coordinator: Tim Beck / Herb Hand SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Todd Orlando / Craig Naivar 45.98 (#32 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 LOUISIANA TECH 9/7/19 LSU 9/14/19 vs. Rice HOME TEAMS are 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS in RIC-TEX series since 1992 9/21/19 OKLAHOMA ST FAVORITES are 20-1 SU & 14-6 ATS in TEX-OKS series since 1998 10/5/19 at West Virginia ROAD TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of TEX-WVU series 10/12/19 vs. Oklahoma UNDERDOGS are 9-16 SU but 15-10 ATS in TEX-OKL series since 1994 10/19/19 KANSAS HOME TEAMS are 8-6 SU & 10-4 ATS in KAN-TEX series since 2000 10/26/19 at TCU UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of TEX-TCU series 11/9/19 KANSAS ST HOME TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 8-0 ATS in L8 games of TEX-KSU series 11/16/19 at Iowa St UNDER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of ISU-TEX series 11/23/19 at Baylor UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of BAY-TEX series 11/29/19 TEXAS TECH ROAD TEAMS are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of TT-TEX series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Maryland 29-34 L -12 L 54.5 O 9/8/18 TULSA 28-21 W -21 L 59.5 U 9/15/18 USC 37-14 W -3 W 47.5 O 9/22/18 TCU 31-16 W 2.5 W 50 U 9/29/18 at Kansas St 19-14 W -8.5 L 48.5 U 10/6/18 vs. Oklahoma 48-45 W 7 W 59 O 10/13/18 BAYLOR 23-17 W -14 L 59 U 10/27/18 at Oklahoma St 35-38 L -1.5 L 59.5 O 11/3/18 WEST VIRGINIA 41-42 L -1 L 57.5 O 11/10/18 at Texas Tech 41-34 W -2 W 62.5 O 11/17/18 IOWA ST 24-10 W -1.5 W 51 U 11/23/18 at Kansas 24-17 W -15 L 51 U 12/1/18 vs. Oklahoma 27-39 L 9.5 L 79 U 1/1/19 vs. Georgia 28-21 W 13.5 W 60 U BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 9 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Though there are some QBs in the country with gaudier stats than Horns junior Sam Ehlinger, there might not be a better leader. The rough-hewn Ehlinger is a TD machine, at 235 pounds also a bruising runner who scored 16 rush TDs a year ago, and can keep drives alive with his jarring runs that rarely avoid contact. He also threw 25 TD passes in 2018. That reckless bent, however, is something Herman might want to curb, as Ehlinger missed the Baylor and Iowa State games last fall when hurting his shoulder while pretending he was Earl Campbell on some scrambles. But as long as Ehlinger stays on the feld, the Horns will be a load, and don’t forget that Ehlinger was 2-1 vs. Oklahoma and Georgia last season. Ehlinger’s supporting cast is solid, and regional insiders expect little or no drop-off on the stop end even with the loss of nine defensive starters, as Tom Herman’s upgraded recruiting efforts begin to bear fruit. Being unable to avoid banana peels vs. underdogs such as Maryland (twice), Oklahoma State, and West Virginia the past two years have reduced the recent win totals, but as the Horns mature into a national contender for Herman, those sort of slips should begin to disappear. Besides, Texas is very capable of beating both LSU and Oklahoma. Win those two, and the ceiling shoots a lot higher than 9.5 wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 85 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TEXAS LONGHORNS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 31.1 36 Points Per Game 25.9 49 Yards Per Point 13.2 35 Yards Per Point 15.2 43 Plays Per Game 76.4 27 3rd Down Conv. % 44.1% 106 Time of Possession 32:13 23 Total Yards Per Game 393.6 60 3rd Down Conv. % 46.4% 14 Yards Per Play 5.4 55 Total Yards Per Game 411.6 55 Rush Yards Per Game 131.4 26 Yards Per Play 5.4 74 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 34 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.5 43 Completion % 60.8% 76 Rush Yards Per Game 153.4 80 Passing Yards Per Game 262.3 110 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 97 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 73 Pass Attempts Per Game 34 43 Sacks 2.3 51 Completion % 65.1% 18 Turnovers 1.4 78 Passing Yards Per Game 258.2 32 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 50 Turnovers 0.8 4 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 5-7 7-6 10-4 27-24 (53%) 62 Overall ATS 5-6 6-6 9-4 6-8 26-24 (52%) 55 Over-Under 5-7 4-8 3-10 6-8 18-33 (35%) 128 at Home ATS 3-2 4-2 3-3 3-3 13-10 (57%) 20 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 2-4 6-1 3-5 13-14 (48%) 75 Conference ATS 4-4 4-5 6-3 4-6 18-18 (50%) 66 Non-Conf. ATS 1-2 2-1 3-1 2-2 8-6 (57%) 31 Favorite ATS 2-2 3-4 4-3 3-7 12-16 (43%) 99 Underdog ATS 3-4 3-2 5-1 3-1 14-8 (64%) 26 After SUW ATS 2-2 2-3 4-2 4-5 12-12 (50%) 73 After SUL ATS 3-3 3-3 5-1 2-2 13-9 (59%) 23

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 57 24.5 1.96 -14 7-QB 39 6.78 12.96 7 14.5 4.82 23.55 2017 Yes 53.5 25.6 1.99 -11.8 7- OC 34.9 6.36 14.23 10-DC 9.3 4.37 33.26 2016 43.5 16.9 2.06 -9.9 7- OC 36.1 6.95 16.04 8 19.2 4.89 20.33 2015 46.5 15.3 2.12 -2.6 7 31.3 6.9 14.34 5 16 4.79 24.08

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TEXAS is 10-0 ATS (L10G) - Before playing IOWA ST

• TEXAS is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - Before playing OKLAHOMA

• TEXAS is 14-1 UNDER (L15G) on ROAD - as Non-ranked team

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 86 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE OKLAHOMA ST COWBOYS Location: Stillwater, OK STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Boone Pickens Stadium 51.5 Head Coach: Mike Gundy - 15th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Sean Gleeson * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jim Knowles 43.19 (#53 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 at Oregon St 9/7/19 MCNEESE ST 9/14/19 at Tulsa HOME TEAMS are 8-2 SU & ATS in OKS-TLS series since 1994 9/21/19 at Texas FAVORITES are 20-1 SU & 14-6 ATS in TEX-OKS series since 1998 9/28/19 KANSAS ST OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of KSU-OKS series at OKLAHOMA ST 10/5/19 at Texas Tech ROAD TEAMS are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in TT-OKS series since 2009 10/19/19 BAYLOR OKLAHOMA ST is 9-1 SU & ATS in its L10 games hosting BAYLOR 10/26/19 at Iowa St OVER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of ISU-OKS series 11/2/19 TCU UNDERDOGS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of OKS-TCU series 11/16/19 KANSAS OKLAHOMA ST is 14-3 SU & ATS vs. KANSAS since 1994 11/23/19 at West Virginia OKLAHOMA ST is 4-0 SU & ATS in its L4 games vs. WEST VIRGINIA 11/30/19 OKLAHOMA ROAD TEAMS are 8-2 ATS in OKS-OKL series since 2009 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 MISSOURI ST 58-17 W -45 L 73 O 9/8/18 S ALABAMA 55-13 W -30.5 W 64.5 O 9/15/18 BOISE ST 44-21 W 1 W 66 U 9/22/18 TEXAS TECH 17-41 L -14.5 L 77 U 9/29/18 at Kansas 48-28 W -17 W 55.5 O 10/6/18 IOWA ST 42-48 L -10 L 55.5 O 10/13/18 at Kansas St 12-31 L -8 L 62.5 U 10/27/18 TEXAS 38-35 W 1.5 W 59.5 O 11/3/18 at Baylor 31-35 L -6.5 L 68.5 U 11/10/18 at Oklahoma 47-48 L 21.5 W 80 O 11/17/18 WEST VIRGINIA 45-41 W 6 W 73 O 11/24/18 at TCU 24-31 L -6 L 54.5 O 12/31/18 vs. Missouri 38-33 W 10 W 72 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN PUSH 7 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Mike Gundy’s offenses are usually potent, and after pulling QB out of his hat last season, we don’t doubt Gundy can make the strike force again with former Hawaii transfer or RS frosh Spencer Sanders taking snaps. Especially with some of the new wrinkles that frst-year OC Sean Gleeson (over from Princeton, which led the FCS in scoring at 47 ppg a year ago) will add to the Gundy spread. But holding back the Cowboys like a year ago could be the defense, which at times in 2018 looked positively raucous for coordinator Jim Knowles, such as the frst few weeks when leading the nation in sacks. Though by the end of the season the Cowboy D had sunk to a 112th ranking nationally. The stop unit, according to some Big 12 scouts, was “all over the place,” suggesting Knowles was either uncomfy with his schemes or personnel combinations. If he wants to stick into 2020, he’d better fgure things out a bit. Almost everyone returns in the secondary, but here is where things really struggled in 2018, ranking 118th vs. the pass. OSU should get some non-league wins on the cheap vs. Oregon State, McNeese, and Tulsa that will help Mullet Man get bowl-eligible for a 14th straight season, but a better idea where the Cowboys ft in the Big 12 puzzle, and how far Brown or Sanders (or both) have progressed at QB, comes in their conference opener at Texas on September 21. Remember, OSU went only 3-6 in the Big 12 a year ago, but that soft nonconference slate makes 7 wins the most-likely landing spot this fall.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 87 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE OKLAHOMA ST COWBOYS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 36.8 14 Points Per Game 33.8 98 Yards Per Point 13.1 30 Yards Per Point 13.9 74 Plays Per Game 79.2 9 3rd Down Conv. % 38.2% 51 Time of Possession 27:16 118 Total Yards Per Game 468.8 115 3rd Down Conv. % 43.2% 28 Yards Per Play 6 97 Total Yards Per Game 480 11 Rush Yards Per Game 192 85 Yards Per Play 6.1 21 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 89 Rush Attempts Per Game 38.7 65 Completion % 63.2% 102 Rush Yards Per Game 170.2 61 Passing Yards Per Game 276.8 125 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 59 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 96 Pass Attempts Per Game 37.9 17 Sacks 2.8 22 Completion % 58.7% 73 Turnovers 0.9 119 Passing Yards Per Game 309.8 10 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.2 23 Turnovers 1.7 88 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 10-3 10-3 7-6 37-15 (71%) 16 Overall ATS 5-7 8-5 7-6 7-6 27-24 (53%) 49 Over-Under 8-5 7-6 9-4 8-5 32-20 (62%) 6 at Home ATS 3-4 4-3 3-3 4-3 14-13 (52%) 49 Road/Neutral ATS 2-3 4-2 4-3 3-3 13-11 (54%) 51 Conference ATS 4-4 5-4 3-6 4-5 16-19 (46%) 85 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 3-1 4-0 3-1 11-5 (69%) 6 Favorite ATS 3-4 4-3 7-6 2-6 16-19 (46%) 87 Underdog ATS 2-3 4-2 0-0 5-0 11-5 (69%) 15 After SUW ATS 5-4 4-5 5-4 2-4 16-17 (48%) 77 After SUL ATS 0-2 3-0 1-2 5-1 9-5 (64%) 14

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 53 20.8 2.3 -10.3 5 44.1 7.47 13.11 7-DC 23.3 5.17 16.51 2017 60.5 32.5 3.96 -22.5 7 51.5 8.7 13.3 5 18.9 4.74 18.25 2016 58.5 25.5 2.46 -18.1 10 42.3 7. 76 13.47 7 16.9 5.3 23.86 2015 54 25.9 2.54 -13.1 8 43.9 7.45 12.76 8 18 4.91 21.22

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• OKLAHOMA ST is 16-3 ATS (L19G) - Before playing TEXAS TECH

• OKLAHOMA ST is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - VS KANSAS ST

• OKLAHOMA ST is 36-8 OVER (L44G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After SU loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 88 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE IOWA ST CYCLONES Location: Ames, IA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Jack Trice Stadium 51 Head Coach: Matt Campbell - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 4.25 / 0 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Tom Manning * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jon Heacock 44.88 (#43 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 N IOWA UNDER the total is 4-1 in L5 games of UNI-ISU series at IOWA ST 9/14/19 IOWA IOWA ST is 10-11 SU but 14-7 ATS vs. IOWA since 1998 9/21/19 LA MONROE 9/28/19 at Baylor ROAD TEAMS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of ISU-BAY series 10/5/19 TCU UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of ISU-TCU series 10/12/19 at West Virginia FAVORITES are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of WVU-ISU series 10/19/19 at Texas Tech HOME TEAMS are 10-5 SU & 9-6 ATS in ISU-TT series since 1998 10/26/19 OKLAHOMA ST OVER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of ISU-OKS series 11/9/19 at Oklahoma OVER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of ISU-OKL series 11/16/19 TEXAS UNDER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of ISU-TEX series 11/23/19 KANSAS UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of ISU-KAN series at IOWA ST 11/30/19 at Kansas St UNDERDOGS are 2-10 SU but 8-2 ATS in ISU-KSU series since 2007 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/8/18 at Iowa 3-13 L 3 L 46 U 9/15/18 OKLAHOMA 27-37 L 18.5 W 55.5 O 9/22/18 AKRON 26-13 W -18.5 L 47.5 U 9/29/18 at TCU 14-17 L 11. 5 W 45 U 10/6/18 at Oklahoma St 48-42 W 10 W 55.5 O 10/13/18 WEST VIRGINIA 30-14 W 4.5 W 55.5 U 10/27/18 TEXAS TECH 40-31 W -6 W 58.5 O 11/3/18 at Kansas 27-3 W -18 W 46 U 11/10/18 BAYLOR 28-14 W -17 L 51 U 11/17/18 at Texas 10-24 L 1.5 L 51 U 11/24/18 KANSAS ST 42-38 W -10.5 L 42 O 12/1/18 DRAKE 27-24 W -39.5 L 53.5 U 12/28/18 vs. Washington St 26-28 L 2.5 W 56 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 8 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL To get beyond 8 wins will not necessarily require the Cyclones to beat either Oklahoma or Texas in mid-November; rather, the key game could be the showdown with cross-state Iowa on Sept. 14. The ante has been upped for the Hawkeyes game, the importance of which is not lost upon ISU, which takes the frst of its two byes after the Aug. 31 home opener vs. Northern Iowa. Which is no accident as Matt Campbell hopes to work out some of the kinks for his troops before hosting and his bunch from Iowa City two weeks later. After losing four straight in the “Cy-Hawk” series, the Cyclones are treating that in-state showdown as something of a crusade. It’s also effectively a one-game non-league slate (ULM the other to visit Ames besides UNI). Win that one over the Hawkeyes and ISU will have an extra loss to play with in Big 12 play even if losing to the Sooners and Longhorns. Speaking of bye weeks, ISU has strategically placed its second of those on the slate in early November, right before what could be that back-to-back vs. Oklahoma and Texas. And beating either would be no surprise after pushing both the past two seasons and even beating the Sooners in 2017 at Norman. Remember, Campbell steered the Cyclones to 8 wins a season ago even after a slow 1-3 break from the gate, and does not lose outright when favored (10 straight-up wins in a row as chalk), and the core of the most-robust defense in the Big 12 returns almost en masse. As long as soph QB Brock Purdy continues to progress, the Cyclones could be a sleeper on a national scale as well.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 89 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE IOWA ST CYCLONES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 26.8 75 Points Per Game 22.8 30 Yards Per Point 14.2 61 Yards Per Point 15.5 36 Plays Per Game 65.6 122 3rd Down Conv. % 41.7% 88 Time of Possession 28:46 95 Total Yards Per Game 355 33 3rd Down Conv. % 38.1% 71 Yards Per Play 4.9 27 Total Yards Per Game 379.3 83 Rush Yards Per Game 119.8 18 Yards Per Play 5.8 44 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 10 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.2 102 Completion % 62.3% 90 Rush Yards Per Game 131.6 107 Passing Yards Per Game 235.2 71 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 101 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 44 Pass Attempts Per Game 28 95 Sacks 2.5 39 Completion % 65.5% 14 Turnovers 1.2 97 Passing Yards Per Game 247.8 45 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.8 12 Turnovers 1.4 56 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 3-9 8-5 8-5 22-28 (44%) 91 Overall ATS 5-5 7-5 11-2 7-6 30-18 (63%) 6 Over-Under 5-7 6-5 4-9 4-9 19-30 (39%) 120 at Home ATS 4-2 5-2 5-1 3-4 17-9 (65%) 5 Road/Neutral ATS 1-3 2-3 6-1 4-2 13-9 (59%) 34 Conference ATS 4-4 6-3 7-2 6-3 23-12 (66%) 9 Non-Conf. ATS 1-1 1-2 4-0 1-3 7-6 (54%) 47 Favorite ATS 2-0 1-2 4-0 2-4 9-6 (60%) 10 Underdog ATS 3-5 6-3 7-2 5-2 21-12 (64%) 25 After SUW ATS 0-3 2-1 5-2 5-3 12-9 (57%) 27 After SUL ATS 4-2 5-3 5-0 2-2 16-7 (70%) 6

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 51 19 2.06 -10.6 6-QB, OC 33.5 6.52 12.37 6 14.5 4.46 21.33 2017 54.5 26.8 2.31 -11.4 6 36.4 6.88 12.99 6 9.6 4.57 32.77 2016 Yes 41 13.7 1.88 -0.3 4- OC 33.9 7.02 14.76 8-DC 20.3 5.15 19.29 2015 43 14.2 1.57 -3.2 7 32.1 6.71 15.84 6 17.9 5.14 21.1

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• IOWA ST is 13-4 ATS (L17G) - [vs OPP] After a close SU win of 3 points or less

• IOWA ST is 1-6 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - as AP top 25

• IOWA ST is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) - Underdog of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 90 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE BAYLOR BEARS Location: Waco, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: McLane Stadium 49.5 Head Coach: Matt Rhule - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3.25 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Glenn Thomas / Jeff Nixon SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Phil Snow 39.46 (#69 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 STEPH F AUSTIN 9/7/19 TX-SAN ANTONIO 9/21/19 at Rice FAVORITES are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of BAY-RIC series 9/28/19 IOWA ST ROAD TEAMS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of ISU-BAY series 10/5/19 at Kansas St UNDERDOGS are 4-8 SU but 10-2 ATS in BAY-KSU series since 2003 10/12/19 TEXAS TECH TEXAS TECH is 6-0 SU & ATS in its L6 games at BAYLOR 10/19/19 at Oklahoma St OKLAHOMA ST is 9-1 SU & ATS in its L10 games hosting BAYLOR 10/31/19 WEST VIRGINIA HOME TEAMS are 6-1 SU & ATS in L7 games of WVU-BAY series 11/9/19 at TCU TCU is 8-4 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. BAYLOR since 1995 11/16/19 OKLAHOMA ROAD TEAMS are 10-13 SU but 15-8 ATS in OKL-BAY series since 1996 11/23/19 TEXAS UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of BAY-TEX series 11/30/19 at Kansas FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & ATS in L7 games of BAY-KAN series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 ABILENE CHRISTIAN 55-27 W -41 L 54.5 O 9/8/18 at Tx-San Antonio 37-20 W -16.5 W 54.5 O 9/15/18 DUKE 27-40 L -2 L 51 O 9/22/18 KANSAS 26-7 W -7.5 W 54.5 U 9/29/18 at Oklahoma 33-66 L 21 L 69.5 O 10/6/18 KANSAS ST 37-34 W -3.5 L 54.5 O 10/13/18 at Texas 17-23 L 14 W 59 U 10/25/18 at West Virginia 14-58 L 14.5 L 67 O 11/3/18 OKLAHOMA ST 35-31 W 6.5 W 68.5 U 11/10/18 at Iowa St 14-28 L 17 W 51 U 11/17/18 TCU 9-16 L 1 L 49 U 11/24/18 vs. Texas Tech 35-24 W 7 W 61.5 U 12/27/18 vs. Vanderbilt 45-38 W 4.5 W 56.5 O

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL We have to admit we’re a bit disappointed in the Bears’ non-league slate, which has been geared down considerably for 2019, with Stephen F. Austin, UTSA, and, renewing an old rivalry from the long-ago SWC days, Rice (the only game of the trio on the road). Read that as you wish, but such a downgraded slate is not accidental. That won’t prepare Baylor for the Big 12 wars, but at least Matt Rhule doesn’t have to worry about either Oklahoma or Texas until mid-November. By that time the Bears should have secured their bowl eligibility for a 10th time in 11 years, not to mention on their way to the 8 wins necessary to make this “Over” recommendation work. But it’s more than a forgiving slate that makes the “Over” worth a look; last year’s recovery to a winning record and a thrilling Texas Bowl win over Vanderbilt has temporarily rehabilitated the reputations of both the Baylor and Rhule.. The offense made progress in “Rhule 2” at McLane Stadium thanks mainly to jr. QB Charlie Brewer, who displayed the sort of moxie that his dad Robert once showed as a Texas QB in the early 80s. Brewer, thrown into the fre early in his career, saved his best for last a season ago when passing for 384 yards and 2 TDs plus running for another 109 yards in the bowl win over Vandy. With Chris Platt getting a ffth-year waiver, the receiving corps has depth and experience (fellow sr. Denzel Mims, who dipped a bit from his 1087 receiving yards in 2017, combined with Platt for 91 catches last season). The top four rushers also return including jr. Trestan Ebner, who starred in the bowl. Enough playmakers also remain on Phil Snow’s D to push the win total to 8.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 91 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE BAYLOR BEARS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.4 68 Points Per Game 32.1 88 Yards Per Point 16.3 106 Yards Per Point 13.1 95 Plays Per Game 80.2 7 3rd Down Conv. % 44.2% 107 Time of Possession 32:54 15 Total Yards Per Game 421.5 79 3rd Down Conv. % 44.6% 23 Yards Per Play 6.3 114 Total Yards Per Game 446.8 24 Rush Yards Per Game 180.6 79 Yards Per Play 5.6 62 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 118 Rush Attempts Per Game 38.8 64 Completion % 59.5% 64 Rush Yards Per Game 158.6 74 Passing Yards Per Game 240.9 80 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 83 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 93 Pass Attempts Per Game 38.1 16 Sacks 2 73 Completion % 60.8% 48 Turnovers 0.8 128 Passing Yards Per Game 288.2 18 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 53 Turnovers 1.5 73 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 7-6 1-11 7-6 25-26 (49%) 71 Overall ATS 6-7 4-9 5-7 7-6 22-29 (43%) 102 Over-Under 8-5 4-9 5-7 7-6 24-27 (47%) 72 at Home ATS 2-4 2-4 2-4 2-4 8-16 (33%) 121 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 2-5 3-3 5-2 14-13 (52%) 66 Conference ATS 4-5 3-6 5-4 5-4 17-19 (47%) 75 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 1-3 0-3 2-2 5-10 (33%) 116 Favorite ATS 5-7 2-8 1-2 2-3 10-20 (33%) 121 Underdog ATS 1-0 2-1 4-5 5-3 12-9 (57%) 42 After SUW ATS 4-5 2-4 0-1 4-2 10-12 (45%) 89 After SUL ATS 2-1 2-4 5-5 3-3 12-13 (48%) 68

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 44.5 12.3 1.28 1.2 9-QB 34.8 6.79 14.74 8 22.6 5.51 16.07 2017 Yes 39.5 6.5 1.25 3.1 6-QB, OC 30.8 6.74 16 7-DC 24.3 5.49 16 2016 Yes 49.5 16.6 1.88 -9.5 5 37.5 6.88 15.67 4 20.9 5 18.73 2015 61.5 33.9 3.7 -27.7 9-QB, OC 48.8 8.22 14.04 9 15 4.52 23.22

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• BAYLOR is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - VS KANSAS

• BAYLOR is 1-9 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - VS OKLAHOMA ST

• BAYLOR is 7-0 OVER (L7G) - [vs OPP] 1000 or more travel miles

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 92 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TCU HORNED FROGS Location: Fort Worth, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium 49 Head Coach: - 20th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 2.5 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: / Curtis Luper SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Chad Glasgow 42.02 (#60 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 AK-PINE BLUFF 9/14/19 at Purdue 9/21/19 SMU ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of SMU-TCU series 9/28/19 KANSAS KANSAS is 4-6 SU but 8-2 ATS vs. TCU since 1995 10/5/19 at Iowa St UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of ISU-TCU series 10/19/19 at Kansas St ROAD TEAMS are 4-0 ATS in L4 games of TCU-KSU series 10/26/19 TEXAS UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of TEX-TCU series 11/2/19 at Oklahoma St UNDERDOGS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of OKS-TCU series 11/9/19 BAYLOR TCU is 8-4 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. BAYLOR since 1995 11/16/19 at Texas Tech TEXAS TECH is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games hosting TCU 11/23/19 at Oklahoma UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of TCU-OKL series at OKLAHOMA 11/29/19 WEST VIRGINIA HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of TCU-WVU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 SOUTHERN 55-7 W -50 L 58.5 O 9/7/18 at SMU 42-12 W -23.5 W 59 U 9/15/18 vs. Ohio St 28-40 L 12 T 60 O 9/22/18 at Texas 16-31 L -2.5 L 50 U 9/29/18 IOWA ST 17-14 W -11.5 L 45 U 10/11/18 TEXAS TECH 14-17 L -7.5 L 57.5 U 10/20/18 OKLAHOMA 27-52 L 8.5 L 61 O 10/27/18 at Kansas 26-27 L -13 L 47 O 11/3/18 KANSAS ST 14-13 W -10 L 43.5 U 11/10/18 at West Virginia 10-47 L 13 L 55 O 11/17/18 at Baylor 16-9 W -1 W 49 U 11/24/18 OKLAHOMA ST 31-24 W 6 W 54.5 O 12/26/18 vs. California 10-7 W -2.5 W 38.5 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN UNDER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Since nobody is sure if the Frogs have found a QB, getting bowl-eligible might be as hard as last season, when Gary Patterson needed a Houdini act to win three of his last four to merely get to six wins. (Which really was a neat trick, considering TCU was effectively minus a QB and might as well have been using the single wing last November). To say offense was a problem for the Frogs in 2018 would be an understatement, considering they scored 17 points or fewer in over half (seven) of their games. Unsurprisingly, TCU ranked 107th nationally in scoring even after piling up 97 points in the frst two tilts vs. outmanned Southern U and SMU. No one blocked the door in the offseason when erratic QB Shawn Robinson decided to transfer to Missouri, but the best Patterson and o.c Sonny Cumbie might be able to do in the fall is Kansas State transfer Alex Delton (when was the last time a transfer QB from K-State played anywhere?), who started a handful of games for Bill Snyder, and has rushed for almost as many yards (868) as he has passed (1,202) in his college career. Maybe not the type to ignite the Frog aerial show. Meanwhile, though Chad Glasgow’s stop unit isn’t likely to get run over this fall, it did lose more than 400 tackles with the departures of LBs Ty Summers and Arrico Evans, and a four-year starter at safety in Niko Small. As it’s an odd-numbered year, TCU will play fve conference games on the road, compared to just four at home, and getting to 8 wins looks to be asking a bit much in Fort Worth.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 93 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TCU HORNED FROGS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 20.9 111 Points Per Game 24.4 42 Yards Per Point 17.2 118 Yards Per Point 14.4 61 Plays Per Game 70.2 80 3rd Down Conv. % 32.4% 15 Time of Possession 30:42 44 Total Yards Per Game 351 29 3rd Down Conv. % 36.3% 89 Yards Per Play 4.8 22 Total Yards Per Game 359.2 101 Rush Yards Per Game 143.2 38 Yards Per Play 5.1 94 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 29 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.5 74 Completion % 56.8% 35 Rush Yards Per Game 152.2 83 Passing Yards Per Game 207.8 39 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 85 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 26 Pass Attempts Per Game 31.4 66 Sacks 2.7 28 Completion % 57.8% 82 Turnovers 1.5 70 Passing Yards Per Game 207.1 90 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.6 101 Turnovers 2.2 118 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 11-2 6-7 11-3 7-6 35-18 (66%) 25 Overall ATS 7-6 3-10 7-7 4-8 21-31 (40%) 120 Over-Under 6-7 6-7 4-10 6-7 22-31 (42%) 107 at Home ATS 4-2 0-7 3-3 1-5 8-17 (32%) 123 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 3-3 4-4 3-3 13-14 (48%) 75 Conference ATS 5-4 2-7 5-5 2-7 14-23 (38%) 117 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 1-3 2-2 2-1 7-8 (47%) 83 Favorite ATS 4-6 1-8 6-5 3-6 14-25 (36%) 117 Underdog ATS 3-0 2-2 1-2 1-2 7-6 (54%) 56 After SUW ATS 6-4 1-5 4-6 3-2 14-17 (45%) 94 After SUL ATS 1-1 2-4 2-1 1-5 6-11 (35%) 115

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 47.5 17.9 2.29 -7.3 5 31.3 6.51 14.28 6 13.4 4.22 22.14 2017 59.5 30.1 2.65 -19.7 10 37 7.02 13.08 7 6.9 4.37 41.85 2016 47.5 20.1 2.5 -7.1 3-QB 36.2 7.25 15.42 8 16 4.75 23.22 2015 60.5 29.2 3.29 -17.1 10 43.4 7.88 14.88 5-DC 14.2 4.59 24.8

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TCU is 8-2 ATS (L10G) - VS BAYLOR

• TCU is 0-6-1 ATS (L7G) - Before playing TEXAS

• TCU is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) on ROAD - On grass feld

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 94 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS Location: Morgantown, WV STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium 47 Head Coach: Neal Brown - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-4 3.5 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 9 - Offense: 3 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Matt Moore / Chad Scott * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Vic Koenning 48.1 (#12 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 JAMES MADISON 9/7/19 at Missouri WEST VIRGINIA is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. MISSOURI 9/14/19 NC STATE 9/21/19 at Kansas ROAD TEAMS are 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of WVU-KAN series 10/5/19 TEXAS ROAD TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of TEX-WVU series 10/12/19 IOWA ST FAVORITES are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of WVU-ISU series 10/19/19 at Oklahoma OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of WVU-OKL series 10/31/19 at Baylor HOME TEAMS are 6-1 SU & ATS in L7 games of WVU-BAY series 11/9/19 TEXAS TECH ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of WVU-TT series 11/16/19 at Kansas St UNDER the total is 7-0 in L7 games of WVU-KSU series 11/23/19 OKLAHOMA ST OKLAHOMA ST is 4-0 SU & ATS in its L4 games vs. WEST VIRGINIA 11/29/19 at TCU HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of TCU-WVU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Tennessee 40-14 W -10 W 59.5 U 9/8/18 YOUNGSTOWN ST 52-17 W -30.5 W 63.5 O 9/22/18 KANSAS ST 35-6 W -15 W 61.5 U 9/29/18 at Texas Tech 42-34 W -3.5 W 75.5 O 10/6/18 KANSAS 38-22 W -27.5 L 63.5 U 10/13/18 at Iowa St 14-30 L -4.5 L 55.5 U 10/25/18 BAYLOR 58-14 W -14.5 W 67 O 11/3/18 at Texas 42-41 W 1 W 57.5 O 11/10/18 TCU 47-10 W -13 W 55 O 11/17/18 at Oklahoma St 41-45 L -6 L 73 O 11/23/18 OKLAHOMA 56-59 L 3 T 87 O 12/28/18 vs. Syracuse 18-34 L 3 L 66.5 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN PUSH 5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL On the surface it would appear as if Brown might have a bit of a bumpy ride in his frst spin around the track at Morgantown after the graduation of most of last year’s prolifc Holgorsen WVU offense. That would include record-setting QB Will Grier (37 TDP in 2018; 3rd-round pick of the Panthers in April’s NFL Draft) and top receivers David Sills V (Bills camp this summer) and Gary Jennings (Seahawks 4th-round pick in April). Brown is hoping that either Oklahoma transfer Austin Kendall, who was shuffed behind Heisman winners Baker Mayfeld and Kyler Murray in Norman, or former Miami transfer Jack Allison, who held his own in the Camping World Bowl vs. Syracuse (a game Grier bypassed), can pick up the baton, but neither separated from the other in spring. There are also some major holes to fll on the OL now minus star T Yodny Cajuste, a 3rd-round pick of the Patriots in April. At the outset, Brown might have to lean on the infantry a bit more with all of last year’s top runners including Kennedy McKoy, who gained 802 YR in 2018, and Martell Pettaway (who added another 623 YR), still in the fold. Whatever, don’t expect another 40 ppg showing for the O as last season. Meanwhile vet DC Vic Koenning will be abandoning the 3-3-5 “stack” looks of the Holgorsen defense with more of a 4-2-5 alignment featuring various hybrid players disguising themselves in differing roles. But Brown and Koenning were forced to mine the juco ranks for replacements up front after the line and LB spots were hit hard by graduation.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 95 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 39.2 10 Points Per Game 28.1 67 Yards Per Point 12.8 26 Yards Per Point 14.8 52 Plays Per Game 74.8 42 3rd Down Conv. % 36.3% 34 Time of Possession 28:49 90 Total Yards Per Game 416.8 76 3rd Down Conv. % 42.1% 35 Yards Per Play 5.7 76 Total Yards Per Game 502 7 Rush Yards Per Game 148.9 43 Yards Per Play 6.7 8 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4 41 Rush Attempts Per Game 34.5 108 Completion % 64.7% 114 Rush Yards Per Game 149.3 84 Passing Yards Per Game 267.9 117 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 63 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.1 101 Pass Attempts Per Game 37.8 19 Sacks 2.4 48 Completion % 64.7% 20 Turnovers 2.1 10 Passing Yards Per Game 352.7 3 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.3 5 Turnovers 1.5 59 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 10-3 7-6 8-4 33-18 (65%) 31 Overall ATS 5-8 5-7 5-8 7-4 22-27 (45%) 97 Over-Under 4-9 5-8 8-5 7-5 24-27 (47%) 72 at Home ATS 4-3 2-4 3-3 4-1 13-11 (54%) 33 Road/Neutral ATS 1-5 3-3 2-5 3-3 9-16 (36%) 122 Conference ATS 3-6 4-5 4-5 5-3 16-19 (46%) 85 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 1-2 1-3 2-1 6-8 (43%) 95 Favorite ATS 5-5 5-5 4-4 6-3 20-17 (54%) 34 Underdog ATS 0-3 0-2 1-4 1-1 2-10 (17%) 129 After SUW ATS 4-3 3-6 2-5 5-3 14-17 (45%) 94 After SUL ATS 0-5 1-1 3-2 1-1 5-9 (36%) 114

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 57 32.7 3.42 -14 7-QB 50.1 8.48 12.24 5 17.4 5.06 20.18 2017 47 18.4 2 -9.2 5-QB, OC 39.9 7. 54 14.03 3 21.6 5.55 18.52 2016 53.5 25.1 2.9 -12 8- OC 38.1 7. 7 7 15.61 3 12.9 4.87 29.04 2015 54 25.7 2.09 -11.9 6-QB 36.9 6.69 14.63 9 11.1 4.6 30.5

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• WEST VIRGINIA is 6-1 ATS (L7G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• WEST VIRGINIA is 2-8 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - Revenging a loss

• WEST VIRGINIA is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - VS KANSAS ST

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 96 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS Location: Lubbock, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Jones AT&T Stadium 47 Head Coach: Matt Wells - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3.75 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: David Yost * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Keith Patterson * 43.98 (#47 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 MONTANA ST 9/7/19 UTEP HOME TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of TT-UTEP series 9/14/19 at Arizona 9/28/19 at Oklahoma HOME TEAMS are 3-4 SU but 7-0 ATS in L7 games of TT-OKL series 10/5/19 OKLAHOMA ST ROAD TEAMS are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in TT-OKS series since 2009 10/12/19 at Baylor TEXAS TECH is 6-0 SU & ATS in its L6 games at BAYLOR 10/19/19 IOWA ST HOME TEAMS are 10-5 SU & 9-6 ATS in ISU-TT series since 1998 10/26/19 at Kansas FAVORITES are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in TT-KAN series since 2008 11/9/19 at West Virginia ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of WVU-TT series 11/16/19 TCU TEXAS TECH is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games hosting TCU 11/23/19 KANSAS ST OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of KSU-TT series at TEXAS TECH 11/29/19 at Texas ROAD TEAMS are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of TT-TEX series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Ole Miss 27-47 L 2.5 L 72 O 9/8/18 LAMAR 77-0 W -48.5 W 74 O 9/15/18 HOUSTON 63-49 W -2 W 68.5 O 9/22/18 at Oklahoma St 41-17 W 14.5 W 77 U 9/29/18 WEST VIRGINIA 34-42 L 3.5 L 75.5 O 10/11/18 at TCU 17-14 W 7. 5 W 57.5 U 10/20/18 KANSAS 48-16 W -18.5 W 59 O 10/27/18 at Iowa St 31-40 L 6 L 58.5 O 11/3/18 OKLAHOMA 46-51 L 14 W 77.5 O 11/10/18 TEXAS 34-41 L 2 L 62.5 O 11/17/18 at Kansas St 6-21 L -6.5 L 55.5 U 11/24/18 vs. Baylor 24-35 L -7 L 61.5 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Red Raider backers aren’t too worried about the offense sagging post-, as the new HC Matt Wells saw his Utah State attack score a robust 47 ppg last season (10 ppg more than Kingsbury’s Tech). Wells and his OC from Logan, David Yost, will not change from the Kingsbury spread, though Big 12 sources expect the Wells version to do a bit more with the run game, and slowly begin to scheme more with the infantry. Wells has a pair of QB with differing skill sets, and might use both, with passer Alan Bowman having completed better than 69 percent last season, though he missed four games entirely due to a collapsed lung. Jett Duffey, who led Tech in rushing last season, is still around as a valuable change-of-pace option. Veteran targets Seth Collins and T.J. Vasher combined for 86 pass receptions last season when neither was the frst aerial option, and the all-apostrophe RB corp of Da’Leon Ward and Ta’Zhawn Henry should have more opportunities to run downhill this fall. Four starters are back along a deep, experienced OL that is right down the alley of Wells, who likes to rotate along his forward wall. Meanwhile, the D might beneft from the fact Wells is likely to have the offense play a gear or two slower, and run the ball a bit more, moving the clock and somewhat limiting possessions. Which itself should help the stop unit post some better numbers after former DC David Gibbs found himself in track meets every week. New DC Keith Patterson (over with Wells from Logan) will use an aggressive scheme that will rely upon different coverages with the ability to pressure the opposition. That disruptive bent helped Patterson’s Utags force a BCS-best 32 turnovers a year ago and could come in handy in Lubbock. Tech could hit Big 12 action at 3-0, and the Red Raiders will be for-sure underdogs only vs. Texas and Oklahoma in league play.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 97 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 33.7 24 Points Per Game 33.9 99 Yards Per Point 13.8 51 Yards Per Point 14 73 Plays Per Game 82.6 4 3rd Down Conv. % 40.3% 76 Time of Possession 30:10 58 Total Yards Per Game 473.2 119 3rd Down Conv. % 46.4% 13 Yards Per Play 6.1 104 Total Yards Per Game 466.6 16 Rush Yards Per Game 165.9 65 Yards Per Play 5.6 57 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 60 Rush Attempts Per Game 34.9 106 Completion % 58.7% 61 Rush Yards Per Game 120.1 116 Passing Yards Per Game 307.3 130 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 117 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.4 106 Pass Attempts Per Game 45.5 3 Sacks 2.4 47 Completion % 66.2% 12 Turnovers 1.3 92 Passing Yards Per Game 346.5 4 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 44 Turnovers 1.9 104 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 5-7 6-7 5-7 23-27 (46%) 86 Overall ATS 7-5 8-4 6-6 6-6 27-21 (56%) 19 Over-Under 10-3 6-6 5-8 8-4 29-21 (58%) 14 at Home ATS 4-1 4-2 2-3 4-2 14-8 (64%) 10 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 4-2 4-3 2-4 13-13 (50%) 74 Conference ATS 5-4 6-3 4-5 4-5 19-17 (53%) 52 Non-Conf. ATS 2-1 2-1 2-1 2-1 8-4 (67%) 10 Favorite ATS 3-1 3-1 3-2 3-2 12-6 (67%) 3 Underdog ATS 4-4 5-3 3-4 3-4 15-15 (50%) 72 After SUW ATS 4-3 2-2 2-3 3-2 11-10 (52%) 57 After SUL ATS 3-2 5-2 3-3 3-3 14-10 (58%) 29

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 49.5 22.4 1.86 -12.1 6-OC 42.4 7.03 13.44 10 19.9 5.17 19.56 2017 48 20.9 2.74 -6.2 8-QB 39.6 7.56 14.41 6 18.7 4.82 19.69 2016 44.5 14.6 1.29 -1.6 6 45.4 7.52 14.37 6 30.8 6.23 15.88 2015 47 22 2.76 -7.5 9 49.8 8.54 14.32 8 27.8 5.78 16.8

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TEXAS TECH is 6-0-1 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Nonconference VS NON-POWER 5

• TEXAS TECH is 0-10 ATS (L10G) at HOME - as AP top 25

• TEXAS TECH is 10-0 OVER (L10G) on ROAD - as AP top 25

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 98 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE KANSAS ST WILDCATS Location: Manhattan, KS STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium 44.5 Head Coach: Chris Klieman - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 2.75 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Courtney Messingham * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Scottie Hazelton * 45.6 (#33 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 NICHOLLS ST 9/7/19 BOWLING GREEN 9/14/19 at Mississippi St 9/28/19 at Oklahoma St OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of KSU-OKS series at OKLAHOMA ST 10/5/19 BAYLOR UNDERDOGS are 4-8 SU but 10-2 ATS in BAY-KSU series since 2003 10/19/19 TCU ROAD TEAMS are 4-0 ATS in L4 games of TCU-KSU series 10/26/19 OKLAHOMA OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of OKL-KSU series at KANSAS ST 11/2/19 at Kansas FAVORITES are 20-3 SU & 17-6 ATS in KSU-KAN series since 1996 11/9/19 at Texas HOME TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 8-0 ATS in L8 games of TEX-KSU series 11/16/19 WEST VIRGINIA UNDER the total is 7-0 in L7 games of WVU-KSU series 11/23/19 at Texas Tech OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of KSU-TT series at TEXAS TECH 11/30/19 IOWA ST UNDERDOGS are 2-10 SU but 8-2 ATS in ISU-KSU series since 2007 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 S DAKOTA 27-24 W -23.5 L 64.5 U 9/8/18 MISSISSIPPI ST 10-31 L 6.5 L 51.5 U 9/15/18 TX-SAN ANTONIO 41-17 W -20 W 46.5 O 9/22/18 at West Virginia 6-35 L 15 L 61.5 U 9/29/18 TEXAS 14-19 L 8.5 W 48.5 U 10/6/18 at Baylor 34-37 L 3.5 W 54.5 O 10/13/18 OKLAHOMA ST 31-12 W 8 W 62.5 U 10/27/18 at Oklahoma 14-51 L 23.5 L 64.5 O 11/3/18 at TCU 13-14 L 10 W 43.5 U 11/10/18 KANSAS 21-17 W -10 L 45.5 U 11/17/18 TEXAS TECH 21-6 W 6.5 W 55.5 U 11/24/18 at Iowa St 38-42 L 10.5 W 42 O

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN UNDER 5.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Picking up the baton from legendary Bill Snyder, who fnally hung ‘em up after 2018, is Chris Klieman, most recently winning national titles in the FCS ranks at North Dakota State. Klieman knows about following a legend as had won back-to-back FCS titles with the Bison before Klieman took over in 2014, and darned if he didn’t do the same thing in four of his fve seasons in charge at Fargo. He is not, however, inheriting a powerhouse at Manhattan, as the Cats sagged to below .500 (5-7) a year ago. (Nor is he inheriting a QB like Carson Wentz, who led the earlier Klieman/NDSU editions.) And NDSU didn’t have to worry about facing Oklahoma or Texas the past few years, either. Kleiman’s frst order of business in spring was to reboot an attack that ranked 111th in scoring (mere 22.5 ppg) and 114th overall (345 ypg) last season. The offense lost its top four RBs from 2018, including the jarring Alex Barnes (1356 YR), so it appears a proper time to open up the strike force. But we’ll see, as at NDSU, Klieman was running a variation of the Bohl offense, heavy on between-the-tackle runs, and has brought along his OC from the Bison, Courtney Messingham. Some Big 12 observers like holdover QB Skylar Thompson, but are unsure about a defense that was uncharacteristically pliable in Snyder’s last season. Unless Klieman pulls an upset in non-league play at Mississippi State (which romped 31-10 at Manhattan last September), hard to see K-State getting beyond fve wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 99 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE KANSAS ST WILDCATS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.1 108 Points Per Game 25.5 48 Yards Per Point 15.3 82 Yards Per Point 16.1 26 Plays Per Game 68.4 95 3rd Down Conv. % 47.0% 120 Time of Possession 31:18 34 Total Yards Per Game 410.1 73 3rd Down Conv. % 37.6% 76 Yards Per Play 6 98 Total Yards Per Game 338.9 114 Rush Yards Per Game 165.4 64 Yards Per Play 5 105 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 97 Rush Attempts Per Game 41.8 28 Completion % 62.8% 95 Rush Yards Per Game 175.9 50 Passing Yards Per Game 244.7 84 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 73 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 65 Pass Attempts Per Game 23.8 116 Sacks 1.5 111 Completion % 58.4% 76 Turnovers 1.7 35 Passing Yards Per Game 163 113 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 92 Turnovers 1.2 29 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 9-4 8-5 5-7 28-23 (55%) 55 Overall ATS 6-6 6-6 6-7 7-5 25-24 (51%) 60 Over-Under 8-5 7-6 6-7 4-8 25-26 (49%) 52 at Home ATS 3-3 2-4 3-4 4-3 12-14 (46%) 70 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 4-2 3-3 3-2 13-10 (57%) 41 Conference ATS 5-3 4-5 3-6 6-3 18-17 (51%) 59 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 2-1 3-1 1-2 7-7 (50%) 61 Favorite ATS 2-2 1-5 3-4 1-2 7-13 (35%) 118 Underdog ATS 4-4 5-1 3-3 6-3 18-11 (62%) 30 After SUW ATS 4-2 3-5 3-4 2-3 12-14 (46%) 87 After SUL ATS 2-3 3-1 2-3 5-1 12-8 (60%) 19

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 47.5 14.1 1 0 8-QB, OC 30.1 6.15 13.57 5-DC 16 5.15 21.81 2017 52.5 21.3 2.1 -9.7 8 36.8 7.16 11. 7 6 15.6 5.06 24.21 2016 54 24.3 1.38 -14 5-QB 36.3 6.48 12.21 7 12 5.1 28.36 2015 46.5 15.1 0.36 -2.3 6-QB 33.7 5.71 11.69 6 18.6 5.35 20.91

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• KANSAS ST is 9-1 ATS (L10G) - After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

• KANSAS ST is 1-6 ATS (L7G) - Before playing TEXAS

• KANSAS ST is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - VS WEST VIRGINIA

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 100 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE KANSAS JAYHAWKS Location: Lawrence, KS STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium 30.5 Head Coach: Les Miles - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 2.5 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 5 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Les Koenning * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: DJ Eliot * 46.23 (#28 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 INDIANA ST 9/7/19 COASTAL CAROLINA 9/13/19 at Boston College 9/21/19 WEST VIRGINIA ROAD TEAMS are 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of WVU-KAN series 9/28/19 at TCU KANSAS is 4-6 SU but 8-2 ATS vs. TCU since 1995 10/5/19 OKLAHOMA ROAD TEAMS are 12-8 ATS in OKL-KAN series since 1992 10/19/19 at Texas HOME TEAMS are 8-6 SU & 10-4 ATS in KAN-TEX series since 2000 10/26/19 TEXAS TECH FAVORITES are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in TT-KAN series since 2008 11/2/19 KANSAS ST FAVORITES are 20-3 SU & 17-6 ATS in KSU-KAN series since 1996 11/16/19 at Oklahoma St OKLAHOMA ST is 14-3 SU & ATS vs. KANSAS since 1994 11/23/19 at Iowa St UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of ISU-KAN series at IOWA ST 11/30/19 BAYLOR FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & ATS in L7 games of BAY-KAN series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 NICHOLLS ST 23-26 L -9 L 57 U 9/8/18 at C Michigan 31-7 W 3 W 48 U 9/15/18 RUTGERS 55-14 W 1 W 44.5 O 9/22/18 at Baylor 7-26 L 7. 5 L 54.5 U 9/29/18 OKLAHOMA ST 28-48 L 17 L 55.5 O 10/6/18 at West Virginia 22-38 L 27.5 W 63.5 U 10/20/18 at Texas Tech 16-48 L 18.5 L 59 O 10/27/18 TCU 27-26 W 13 W 47 O 11/3/18 IOWA ST 3-27 L 18 L 46 U 11/10/18 at Kansas St 17-21 L 10 W 45.5 U 11/17/18 at Oklahoma 40-55 L 35 W 68 O 11/23/18 TEXAS 17-24 L 15 W 51 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN PUSH 3 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Reactions have run the gamut in the region about KU’s wisdom of hiring a 65-year-old coach. Les Miles, who has been out of the mix the past two seasons after being jettisoned early in 2016 campaign in Baton Rouge. It is not lost upon us the opinion of one of our radio contacts in the SEC region who once described Miles as “John L. Smith with players” when analyzing his tenure at LSU. We remain a bit skeptical about this hire in Lawrence, too. But matching last year’s 3 wins looks do-able. Before he was pushed out at LSU, Miles recruited 6-5 QB Thomas MacVittie, who would ink instead with Pitt before starring in the juco ranks. A pro-style QB, MacVittie will hopefully ignite an offense that ranked a lowly 106th in scoring (23.8 ppg) and 110th overall (351 ypg) in 2018. There is some quality in the backfeld with all of last year’s top RBs still in the fold, including Pooka Williams, Jr., the 2018 Big 12 Frosh of the Year when he gained 1125 YR LY. (An off-feld incident will result in a one-game suspension for Pooka in the opener vs. Indiana State). It is hoped that ex-Bama transfer WR Daylon Charlot will emerge as MacVittie’s top target after disappointing in 2018, though he did feature in spring work. On the other side, last year’s defense wasn’t as bad as some recent KU editions, and the Jayhawks kept playing hard for David Beaty even when he became a lame-duck last November. Anything beyond three wins will be gravy in Lawrence, where the fan base has been patient for a decade and is willing to wait a couple of more years before any possible payoff with Miles.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 101 2019 BIG 12 CONFERENCE KANSAS JAYHAWKS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 23.9 95 Points Per Game 30.4 82 Yards Per Point 15 78 Yards Per Point 14.1 70 Plays Per Game 69.8 85 3rd Down Conv. % 44.9% 112 Time of Possession 30:13 57 Total Yards Per Game 426.8 82 3rd Down Conv. % 39.3% 62 Yards Per Play 6.1 105 Total Yards Per Game 359.5 100 Rush Yards Per Game 170.5 71 Yards Per Play 5.1 92 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 73 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.5 97 Completion % 65.9% 123 Rush Yards Per Game 167.9 62 Passing Yards Per Game 256.3 102 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 42 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.4 105 Pass Attempts Per Game 32.2 59 Sacks 1.8 90 Completion % 58.8% 70 Turnovers 2.4 3 Passing Yards Per Game 191.6 98 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6 118 Turnovers 0.9 8 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 0-12 2-10 1-11 3-9 6-42 (13%) 130 Overall ATS 2-9 6-6 4-8 7-5 19-28 (40%) 114 Over-Under 6-6 4-7 7-5 5-7 22-25 (47%) 78 at Home ATS 1-6 4-2 3-4 3-3 11-15 (42%) 87 Road/Neutral ATS 1-3 2-4 1-4 4-2 8-13 (38%) 117 Conference ATS 2-7 5-4 4-5 5-4 16-20 (44%) 94 Non-Conf. ATS 0-2 1-2 0-3 2-1 3-8 (27%) 122 Favorite ATS 0-0 1-1 0-2 0-1 1-4 (20%) 128 Underdog ATS 2-9 5-5 4-6 7-4 18-24 (43%) 94 After SUW ATS 0-0 1-1 0-1 1-2 2-4 (33%) 122 After SUL ATS 2-8 4-5 4-6 6-2 16-21 (43%) 91

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 39 10.2 0.81 6.5 9-QB 31.3 6.07 13.18 10 21.1 5.26 17.24 2017 24 -6.9 0.17 15.2 8- OC 24.6 5.65 16.26 5 31.6 5.48 12.63 2016 28.5 -0.7 0.62 14.2 8 25.6 5.86 16.59 8 26.3 5.24 15.04 2015 Yes 19 -11.3 -0.4 19.7 4- OC 20.9 5.48 19.56 3 32.2 5.88 14.74

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• KANSAS is 6-1 ATS (L7G) - VS TCU

• KANSAS is 1-14 ATS (L15G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] More than 6 days rest

• KANSAS is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - Before playing KANSAS ST

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 102 BIG TEN CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY MATT YOUMANS - @MATTYOUMANS247

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's EAST DIVISION MICHIGAN 63 3.75 0.25 46.92 20 9.9 2.1 7. 3 1.7 OHIO ST 61 3.75 0.5 46.02 31 9.8 2.2 6.9 2.1 PENN ST 57 4.25 0.5 44.06 46 8.8 3.2 6.0 3.0 MICHIGAN ST 54.5 2.75 -0.5 47.15 19 8.0 4.0 5.4 3.6 INDIANA 46.5 3 0 42.40 58 6.4 5.6 3.5 5.5 MARYLAND 43.5 2 0 46.58 24 4.6 7. 4 2.7 6.3 RUTGERS 32.5 2.25 -1 47.17 18 2.6 9.4 0.9 8.1 WEST DIVISION WISCONSIN 55.5 3 0.75 45.13 41 8.5 3.5 5.7 3.3 IOWA 52.5 4 0.25 45.04 42 7. 8 4.2 5.5 3.5 MINNESOTA 49.5 2.75 0 45.33 38 7. 3 4.7 5.2 3.8 NEBRASKA 49 2 -0.5 45.27 40 6.9 5.1 4.5 4.5 PURDUE 45.5 2.75 0.75 46.79 21 5.6 6.4 3.9 5.1 NORTHWESTERN 46 3.25 0.5 45.54 34 5.8 6.2 3.6 5.4 ILLINOIS 38 2.75 -0.5 43.35 52 4.5 7. 5 2.0 7. 0

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME EAST DIVISION OHIO OHIO OHIO MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN CHAMPION STATE STATE STATE WEST DIVISION NWSTERN NEBRASKA WISCONSIN MINNESOTA WISCONSIN NEBRASKA WISCONSIN WISCONSIN CHAMPION BIG TEN OHIO OHIO OHIO MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN CHAMPIONSHIP STATE STATE STATE

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 103 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITES Ohio State and Nebraska Change is in the air in the Big Ten, a conference desperate to return to the College Football Playoff. Urban Meyer, who won the 2014 national championship, is history. Meyer’s final season in Columbus was riddled with more drama than a TV show about housewives, but he’ll be missed. How much he will be missed is up to Ryan Day, who has a tough act to follow on the field. Ohio State won 13 games, including the Rose Bowl, to wrap the Meyer era. He went 7-0 against Michigan. The Buckeyes remain loaded and Day’s new quarterback is ultra-talented Justin Fields, a Georgia transfer. Day will feel the heat from Jim Harbaugh breathing down his neck. Led by senior quarterback Shea Patterson, the Wolverines see this as their best shot at a breakthrough. The Buckeyes must visit Ann Arbor on Nov. 30. Entering his fifth year, Harbaugh is 1-9 versus Top 10 teams and 0-4 against Ohio State. Not far behind is Michigan State as the third-best team in the East. Look to play the Spartans Over 7½ as the best bet of any win total in the Big Ten. The West is wide open with six teams in the hunt. Nebraska is the pick by a narrow margin. In coach Scott Frost’s second year, the Cornhuskers return dual-threat QB Adrian Martinez and their schedule is favorable with Ohio State, Northwestern, Wisconsin and Iowa set to visit Lincoln. LIVE DOGS Minnesota and Purdue and P.J. Fleck entered the league at the same time and both aggressive, young coaches are ready to climb the conference ladder. Brohm is 13-13 straight up (15-11 against the spread) in two years with the Boilermakers, who run a wide-open offense featuring fast-and-furious wideout Rondale Moore. As a freshman, Moore made 114 receptions. Purdue pulled off last year’s most significant conference upset by overwhelming Ohio State 49-20 as a 12-point home ‘dog. Fleck (12-13 straight up) has 16 starters returning, and the Golden Gophers get to host Nebraska and Wisconsin this year. DEAD MONEY Rutgers Scarlet Knights quarterbacks have totaled a paltry 12 TD passes in the past 24 games. Artur Sitkowski, who returns as the starter, threw for four touchdowns and 18 interceptions last year as a freshman. Rutgers still seems to be a step behind the league’s other basement dwellers, Illinois and Maryland. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Michigan at Wisconsin, Sept. 21 2018 opener, a 24-17 win for the Fighting Irish in The Wolverines will open with two easy wins and South Bend. The home team has won five in a row a bye before going to Madison. This is the frst big in this rivalry. test in Jim Harbaugh’s so-called make-or-break year. Michigan blasted the Badgers 38-13 last year. Nebraska at Purdue, Nov. 2 Scott Frost and the Cornhuskers face two key Ohio State at Nebraska, Sept. 28 road games in the West division, this one in West The favorites in each division meet in Lincoln, Lafayette and a trip to Minnesota in October. The where the Cornhuskers will be hungry ‘dogs. The Boilermakers were 3½-point favorites in a 42-28 Buckeyes were blown out on the road one time win at Nebraska last year. in each of the past two seasons, by 29 at Purdue last year and by 31 at Iowa in 2017. Michigan State at Michigan, Nov. 16 Mark Dantonio is 2-2 against Harbaugh. What’s Ohio State at Northwestern, Oct. 18 interesting is the home team has lost four straight Under the Friday night lights in Evanston, the in this series. Michigan has the advantage of a Wildcats and quarterback Hunter Johnson, a bye week before hosting the Spartans. Clemson transfer, will take their best shot at the Buckeyes. When the teams met here in 2013, the Ohio State at Michigan, Nov. 30 result was a historic bad beat for ‘dog bettors In a humiliating loss for Harbaugh, the Buckeyes when the purple ‘Cats fumbled into the end zone dropped a 62-point bomb on Michigan’s defense as time expired. last year. The Wolverines have dropped 14 of the past 15 in the game that means everything. But Notre Dame at Michigan, Oct. 26 Urban Meyer is gone. Harbaugh was outcoached by Brian Kelly in the

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 104 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION Location: Ann Arbor, MI STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Michigan Stadium 63 Head Coach: Jim Harbaugh - 5th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-3 3.75 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Don Brown 46.92 (#20 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 MIDDLE TENN ST 9/7/19 ARMY 9/21/19 at Wisconsin WISCONSIN is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games hosting MICHIGAN 9/28/19 RUTGERS OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of RUT-MIC series 10/5/19 IOWA UNDERDOGS are 5-11 SU but 13-3 ATS in IOW-MIC series since 1993 10/12/19 at Illinois ROAD TEAMS are 10-8 SU & 11-6 ATS in ILL-MIC series since 1992 10/19/19 at Penn St FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MIC-PSU series 10/26/19 NOTRE DAME HOME TEAMS are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of ND-MIC series 11/2/19 at Maryland FAVORITES are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of MIC-MD series 11/16/19 MICHIGAN ST MICHIGAN ST is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games at MICHIGAN 11/23/19 at Indiana ROAD TEAMS are 8-11 SU but 11-6 ATS in MIC-IND series since 1992 11/30/19 OHIO ST OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of MIC-OSU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Notre Dame 17-24 L -3 L 48.5 U 9/8/18 W MICHIGAN 49-3 W -27.5 W 56 U 9/15/18 SMU 45-20 W -36.5 L 55 O 9/22/18 NEBRASKA 56-10 W -18 W 52.5 O 9/29/18 at Northwestern 20-17 W -14.5 L 46.5 U 10/6/18 MARYLAND 42-21 W -17.5 W 44.5 O 10/13/18 WISCONSIN 38-13 W -9.5 W 46.5 O 10/20/18 at Michigan St 21-7 W -7.5 W 38.5 U 11/3/18 PENN ST 42-7 W -12.5 W 49 T 11/10/18 at Rutgers 42-7 W -37 L 45 O 11/17/18 INDIANA 31-20 W -28 L 53 U 11/24/18 at Ohio St 39-62 L -4 L 51 O 12/29/18 vs. Florida 15-41 L -4 L 51 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 9.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET The time is now for Jim Harbaugh. That was said last year, too, but this time it’s serious. Senior quarterback Shea Patterson returns with seven other offensive starters. Patterson, who passed for 22 touchdowns with seven picks last year, will operate out of the shotgun in a no-huddle offense featuring elite receivers and arguably the league’s top line. Harbaugh has been too conservative and that seems to be changing. Defensive coordinator Don Brown has fve starters back from what was the nation’s top “D” until the season ended with blowout losses to Ohio State and Florida. The Buckeyes dropped a 62-point bomb on the Wolverines in the low point of Harbaugh’s four years. That should serve as motivation. Michigan fnished 10-3 and should at least equal that win total this season. The Wolverines must navigate road trips to Wisconsin and Penn State, but they get Notre Dame, Michigan State and Ohio State in Ann Arbor. Several signs point to Michigan fnally winning the East, but Harbaugh has to prove he can beat the Buckeyes. While the Wolverines’ win total is 10 at some books, the better bet is laying -175 to go Over 9½ at PointsBet.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 105 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION MICHIGAN WOLVERINES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 35.2 19 Points Per Game 19.4 14 Yards Per Point 11. 9 11 Yards Per Point 14.2 65 Plays Per Game 70.8 74 3rd Down Conv. % 33.7% 20 Time of Possession 34:18 3 Total Yards Per Game 275.2 2 3rd Down Conv. % 48.4% 7 Yards Per Play 4.4 4 Total Yards Per Game 419.5 41 Rush Yards Per Game 127.5 22 Yards Per Play 5.9 31 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 28 Rush Attempts Per Game 42.2 26 Completion % 49.6% 3 Rush Yards Per Game 203.8 31 Passing Yards Per Game 147.8 4 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 35 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.8 7 Pass Attempts Per Game 26.8 103 Sacks 2.6 31 Completion % 64.1% 27 Turnovers 1.3 90 Passing Yards Per Game 215.7 80 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.1 26 Turnovers 0.9 10 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 10-3 8-5 10-3 38-14 (73%) 10 Overall ATS 7-6 6-7 5-7 6-7 24-27 (47%) 85 Over-Under 8-5 9-4 8-5 7-5 32-19 (63%) 2 at Home ATS 4-3 4-4 2-4 5-2 15-13 (54%) 40 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 2-3 3-3 1-5 9-14 (39%) 115 Conference ATS 4-4 4-5 4-4 5-4 17-17 (50%) 65 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 2-2 1-3 1-3 7-10 (41%) 98 Favorite ATS 7-4 5-7 4-5 6-7 22-23 (49%) 75 Underdog ATS 0-2 1-0 1-2 0-0 2-4 (33%) 121 After SUW ATS 5-4 5-5 3-5 5-5 18-19 (49%) 76 After SUL ATS 2-1 0-2 1-2 1-1 4-6 (40%) 102

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 61 36.5 3.55 -25.2 8-QB 46.2 7. 34 10.99 9 9.7 3.79 23.42 2017 54.5 23.9 2.51 -13.2 4 34.7 6.36 12.18 1 10.8 3.85 21.44 2016 66 46 3.67 -25.5 8-QB 51.6 7.17 10.07 6-DC 5.6 3.5 39.09 2015 Yes 54.5 28 2.55 -14.8 8-QB, OC 38.2 6.45 11.65 7-DC 10.2 3.89 24.28

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MICHIGAN is 6-1 ATS (L7G) at HOME - VS INDEPENDENTS

• MICHIGAN is 1-9 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - VS lower ranked team

• MICHIGAN is 7-0 OVER (L7G) - Revenging a loss vs - OHIO ST

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 106 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION OHIO ST BUCKEYES Location: Columbus, OH STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Ohio Stadium 61 Head Coach: Ryan Day - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 13-1 3.75 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 4 - Defense: 9 Offensive Coordinator: Kevin Wilson / Mike Yurcich SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jeff Hafey / Greg Mattison * 46.02 (#31 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 FLA ATLANTIC 9/7/19 CINCINNATI HOME TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in L5 games of OSU-CIN series 9/14/19 at Indiana ROAD TEAMS are 9-11 SU but 14-6 ATS in IND-OSU series since 1995 9/21/19 MIAMI OHIO HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of OSU-MOH series 9/28/19 at Nebraska OHIO ST is 4-1 SU & ATS in its L5 games vs. NEBRASKA 10/5/19 MICHIGAN ST ROAD TEAMS are 13-7 SU & 15-5 ATS in OSU-MST series since 1992 10/18/19 at Northwestern FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of OSU-NW series 10/26/19 WISCONSIN UNDERDOGS are 14-6 ATS in WIS-OSU series since 1992 11/9/19 MARYLAND OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of MD-OSU series 11/16/19 at Rutgers FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of OSU-RUT series 11/23/19 PENN ST HOME TEAMS are 13-9 SU & 16-6 ATS in PSU-OSU series since 1997 11/30/19 at Michigan OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of MIC-OSU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 OREGON ST 77-31 W -39 W 62 O 9/8/18 RUTGERS 52-3 W -34 W 57.5 U 9/15/18 vs. TCU 40-28 W -12 T 60 O 9/22/18 TULANE 49-6 W -38 W 66 U 9/29/18 at Penn St 27-26 W -3.5 L 69.5 U 10/6/18 INDIANA 49-26 W -27.5 L 64.5 O 10/13/18 MINNESOTA 30-14 W -29 L 61 U 10/20/18 at Purdue 20-49 L -12.5 L 66 O 11/3/18 NEBRASKA 36-31 W -17 L 75.5 U 11/10/18 at Michigan St 26-6 W -3 W 49 U 11/17/18 at Maryland 52-51 W -14 L 61.5 O 11/24/18 MICHIGAN 62-39 W 4 W 51 O 12/1/18 vs. Northwestern 45-24 W -16.5 W 63 O 1/1/19 vs. Washington 28-23 W -4.5 W 54.5 U MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 9.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA Urban Meyer walked off into the Pasadena sunset with a 13-1 season and a Rose Bowl win. His retirement will not mean the demise of the Buckeyes. New coach Ryan Day will win at nearly the same level this season. Who knows how long Day can sustain what Meyer built, but there should be no immediate decline in Columbus. Nine defensive starters return. Day’s specialty is offense, and Ohio State has its usual surplus of talent. Justin Fields, formerly the nation’s No. 2-ranked prep quarterback and a smaller version of , has transferred from Georgia to fll the shoes of Dwayne Haskins and J.T. Barrett before him. J.K. Dobbins returns after topping 1,000 yards rushing, and speed burner K.J. Hill leads a deep group of pass catchers. The schedule sets up well for the Buckeyes, who get Michigan State, Wisconsin and Penn State at home. Their tricky road games are against Indiana, Nebraska, Northwestern and, of course, Michigan. The Buckeyes’ win total is 9½ (Over -165) at Circa Sports and 10½ at PointsBet. Day’s frst full season as coach — he went 3-0 last year while Meyer was suspended — should produce 10 wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 107 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION OHIO ST BUCKEYES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 42.4 6 Points Per Game 25.5 46 Yards Per Point 12.6 24 Yards Per Point 15.8 28 Plays Per Game 82.4 5 3rd Down Conv. % 32.7% 16 Time of Possession 31:56 29 Total Yards Per Game 404 68 3rd Down Conv. % 46.6% 12 Yards Per Play 5.6 64 Total Yards Per Game 535.7 2 Rush Yards Per Game 158.8 57 Yards Per Play 6.5 11 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 75 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.6 38 Completion % 55.6% 24 Rush Yards Per Game 171.4 58 Passing Yards Per Game 245.2 85 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 72 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7 52 Pass Attempts Per Game 40.1 8 Sacks 2.9 18 Completion % 70.6% 1 Turnovers 1.6 39 Passing Yards Per Game 364.3 1 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.1 7 Turnovers 1.2 31 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 12-1 11-2 12-2 13-1 48-6 (89%) 3 Overall ATS 6-7 6-7 7-7 7-6 26-27 (49%) 75 Over-Under 4-9 6-7 9-5 7-7 26-28 (48%) 61 at Home ATS 1-6 4-3 2-5 4-3 11-17 (39%) 101 Road/Neutral ATS 5-1 2-4 5-2 3-3 15-10 (60%) 30 Conference ATS 4-4 3-6 6-4 4-6 17-20 (46%) 84 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 3-1 1-3 3-0 9-7 (56%) 34 Favorite ATS 6-7 6-7 7-7 6-6 25-27 (48%) 77 Underdog ATS 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 (100%) 3 After SUW ATS 4-7 5-6 5-6 6-5 20-24 (45%) 90 After SUL ATS 1-0 0-1 1-1 0-1 2-3 (40%) 103

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 64 32.8 2.65 -22.1 7 52.6 7. 8 12.1 5 19.8 5.15 17.74 2017 69 40 4.62 -26.3 8- OC 51.8 8.37 12.11 7 11. 8 3.75 21.25 2016 66.5 47.3 3.8 -25.7 3 52.4 7.43 11.06 3 5.1 3.63 47.56 2015 63 32.7 3.19 -21.5 7 40.6 7.16 11. 87 7 7. 8 3.97 34.97

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• OHIO ST is 13-2 ATS (L15G) - First game of the season

• OHIO ST is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Before playing MICHIGAN

• OHIO ST is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) on ROAD - Underdog of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 108 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION PENN ST NITTANY LIONS Location: University Park, PA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Beaver Stadium 57 Head Coach: James Franklin - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 4.25 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: / Tim Banks 44.06 (#46 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 IDAHO 9/7/19 BUFFALO 9/14/19 PITTSBURGH 9/27/19 at Maryland PENN ST is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in its L7 games vs. MARYLAND 10/5/19 PURDUE UNDER the total is 8-2 in PSU-PUR series since 2000 10/12/19 at Iowa HOME TEAMS are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in PSU-IOW series since 2004 10/19/19 MICHIGAN FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MIC-PSU series 10/26/19 at Michigan St OVER the total is 15-5 in PSU-MST series since 1996 11/9/19 at Minnesota MINNESOTA is 5-7 SU but 8-4 ATS vs. PENN ST since 1997 11/16/19 INDIANA HOME TEAMS are 4-5 SU but 7-1 ATS in L9 games of PSU-IND series 11/23/19 at Ohio St HOME TEAMS are 13-9 SU & 16-6 ATS in PSU-OSU series since 1997 11/30/19 RUTGERS UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of RUT-PSU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 APPALACHIAN ST 45-38 W -24.5 L 53.5 O 9/8/18 at Pittsburgh 51-6 W -7 W 49.5 O 9/15/18 KENT ST 63-10 W -35 W 64.5 O 9/21/18 at Illinois 63-24 W -26.5 W 61 O 9/29/18 OHIO ST 26-27 L 3.5 W 69.5 U 10/13/18 MICHIGAN ST 17-21 L -13.5 L 54 U 10/20/18 at Indiana 33-28 W -14 L 58 O 10/27/18 IOWA 30-24 W -5 W 51 O 11/3/18 at Michigan 7-42 L 12.5 L 49 T 11/10/18 WISCONSIN 22-10 W -7.5 W 53.5 U 11/17/18 at Rutgers 20-7 W -28 L 53 U 11/24/18 MARYLAND 38-3 W -11.5 W 51.5 U 1/1/19 vs. Kentucky 24-27 L -4.5 L 48 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 8.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Recruiting is coach James Franklin’s strength. His obvious weakness is managing a game under pressure. The Nittany Lions’ season took a turn for the worse late in September when Franklin blew a home game against Ohio State. The losses are continuing. A year after stud Saquon Barkley took off for the NFL, the Lions said goodbye to his replacement, , and the winningest quarterback in school history, Trace McSorley. Penn State returns six starters on each side of the ball, and now we fnd out how well Franklin has recruited. It was widely assumed veteran Tommy Stevens would take over for McSorley, but Stevens lost the top job to dual-threat sophomore Sean Clifford after spring practice and transferred. While Clifford will lead a new-look offense, defense will be the team’s strength. Another positive is a soft early schedule. Penn State should start 5-0 (or 4-1 at worst) before hitting the road to Iowa, Michigan State, Minnesota and Ohio State. If Clifford excels, the Lions could defy cynics and win nine. But that’s a happy-go-lucky view. Even if Clifford plays well, the best-case scenario seems to be 8-4 for Franklin.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 109 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION PENN ST NITTANY LIONS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 33.8 23 Points Per Game 20.5 18 Yards Per Point 12.5 22 Yards Per Point 17.1 14 Plays Per Game 71.5 69 3rd Down Conv. % 33.5% 18 Time of Possession 27:41 110 Total Yards Per Game 350.5 28 3rd Down Conv. % 36.9% 83 Yards Per Play 4.5 10 Total Yards Per Game 423.2 37 Rush Yards Per Game 169 68 Yards Per Play 5.9 34 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4 43 Rush Attempts Per Game 40 49 Completion % 53.6% 13 Rush Yards Per Game 205.2 29 Passing Yards Per Game 181.5 12 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 22 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.7 5 Pass Attempts Per Game 29.2 85 Sacks 3.5 2 Completion % 54.1% 104 Turnovers 1.5 65 Passing Yards Per Game 218.1 74 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 57 Turnovers 1.6 85 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 11-3 11-2 9-4 38-15 (72%) 15 Overall ATS 4-9 9-4 9-4 7-6 29-23 (56%) 23 Over-Under 5-8 10-3 7-6 7-5 29-22 (57%) 17 at Home ATS 4-3 4-3 5-2 5-2 18-10 (64%) 7 Road/Neutral ATS 0-6 5-1 4-2 2-4 11-13 (46%) 91 Conference ATS 3-5 8-2 5-4 5-4 21-15 (58%) 22 Non-Conf. ATS 1-4 1-2 4-0 2-2 8-8 (50%) 67 Favorite ATS 4-5 5-3 8-4 6-5 23-17 (58%) 19 Underdog ATS 0-4 4-1 1-0 1-1 6-6 (50%) 71 After SUW ATS 4-3 9-1 8-2 6-3 27-9 (75%) 1 After SUL ATS 0-5 0-2 0-2 1-2 1-11 (8%) 129

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 58 29.7 3.07 -13.4 7-QB, OC 43 7.19 11.47 3 13.3 4.12 23.45 2017 66.5 41.1 3.55 -22.6 9 50.5 7.65 10.46 7 9.5 4.09 30.39 2016 60.5 30.6 3.5 -20 9-QB, OC 46.5 7.72 11.08 5-DC 15.9 4.22 19.05 2015 45 15 1.93 -7.7 8 31.2 6.2 12.49 7 16.3 4.27 17.9

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• PENN ST is 13-2 ATS (L15G) at HOME - After a conference SU win

• PENN ST is 0-8 ATS (L8G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] AP top 5

• PENN ST is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) at HOME - After playing OHIO ST

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 110 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION MICHIGAN ST SPARTANS Location: East Lansing, MI STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Spartan Stadium 54.5 Head Coach: Mark Dantonio - 13th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 2.75 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 17 - Offense: 9 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Brad Salem * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Mike Tressel 47.15 (#19 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 TULSA 9/7/19 W MICHIGAN HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of MST-WMU series 9/14/19 ARIZONA ST 9/21/19 at Northwestern ROAD TEAMS are 14-7 SU & 17-4 ATS in MST-NW series since 1992 9/28/19 INDIANA MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 SU & ATS in its L7 games hosting INDIANA 10/5/19 at Ohio St ROAD TEAMS are 13-7 SU & 15-5 ATS in OSU-MST series since 1992 10/12/19 at Wisconsin UNDERDOGS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of MST-WIS series 10/26/19 PENN ST OVER the total is 15-5 in PSU-MST series since 1996 11/9/19 ILLINOIS FAVORITES are 9-2 SU & ATS in MST-ILL series since 1998 11/16/19 at Michigan MICHIGAN ST is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games at MICHIGAN 11/23/19 at Rutgers UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of MST-RUT series 11/30/19 MARYLAND UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of MD-MST series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 UTAH ST 38-31 W -23.5 L 52.5 O 9/8/18 at Arizona St 13-16 L -4.5 L 53 U 9/22/18 at Indiana 35-21 W -6.5 W 52 O 9/29/18 C MICHIGAN 31-20 W -27.5 L 45.5 O 10/6/18 NORTHWESTERN 19-29 L -10.5 L 43.5 O 10/13/18 at Penn St 21-17 W 13.5 W 54 U 10/20/18 MICHIGAN 7-21 L 7. 5 L 38.5 U 10/27/18 PURDUE 23-13 W 2 W 49 U 11/3/18 at Maryland 24-3 W -3.5 W 42 U 11/10/18 OHIO ST 6-26 L 3 L 49 U 11/17/18 at Nebraska 6-9 L 1 L 48 U 11/24/18 RUTGERS 14-10 W -24 L 37.5 U 12/31/18 vs. Oregon 6-7 L -1.5 L 47.5 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET A year ago, the Spartans’ quarterback duo of Brian Lewerke and Rocky Lombardi turned into a disaster. Michigan State scored exactly six points in each of its three losses down the stretch to fnish 7-6. Lewerke was hampered by a shoulder injury that crippled the offense. When healthy the previous season, Lewerke was among the Big Ten’s best QBs, and he’s healthy again. Eight starters return for an offense that coach Mark Dantonio expects will be much improved. Dantonio’s foundation for success is defense, and the Spartans had the nation’s No. 1 rush defense (77.9 yards per game). Eight starters are back on that side, too, including dominant defensive linemen Raequan Williams and Kenny Willekes. The talent is there for Michigan State to replicate its 10-3 record from 2017, but this schedule might be the league’s most challenging. The Spartans face road trips to Northwestern, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan. Dantonio has a defense that can win on the road. Michigan State should go 7-0 at home and win at Rutgers, so Over 7½ qualifes as the best bet of any win-total play in the Big Ten this year.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 111 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION MICHIGAN ST SPARTANS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 18.7 122 Points Per Game 17.2 5 Yards Per Point 18.3 126 Yards Per Point 17.7 11 Plays Per Game 75.9 32 3rd Down Conv. % 30.2% 8 Time of Possession 32:48 17 Total Yards Per Game 303.2 8 3rd Down Conv. % 33.5% 112 Yards Per Play 4.4 5 Total Yards Per Game 342.1 113 Rush Yards Per Game 77.9 1 Yards Per Play 4.5 123 Yards Per Rush Attempt 2.6 2 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.8 95 Completion % 58.7% 60 Rush Yards Per Game 124.8 113 Passing Yards Per Game 225.2 59 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.5 115 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.1 19 Pass Attempts Per Game 38.2 15 Sacks 2.1 68 Completion % 51.4% 118 Turnovers 1.8 28 Passing Yards Per Game 217.2 77 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.7 123 Turnovers 1.7 89 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 12-2 3-9 10-3 7-6 32-20 (62%) 39 Overall ATS 5-9 4-8 8-5 4-9 21-31 (40%) 120 Over-Under 6-8 5-7 6-7 4-9 21-31 (40%) 114 at Home ATS 3-4 3-4 5-2 1-6 12-16 (43%) 85 Road/Neutral ATS 2-5 1-4 3-3 3-3 9-15 (38%) 118 Conference ATS 5-4 3-6 5-4 4-5 17-19 (47%) 75 Non-Conf. ATS 0-5 1-2 3-1 0-4 4-12 (25%) 127 Favorite ATS 3-8 1-7 6-3 2-6 12-24 (33%) 123 Underdog ATS 2-1 3-1 2-2 2-3 9-7 (56%) 47 After SUW ATS 4-8 2-1 5-4 1-6 12-19 (39%) 115 After SUL ATS 1-0 2-6 2-1 3-2 8-9 (47%) 78

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 50.5 20.6 1.74 -10.5 10-QB 29.4 5.68 14.12 9 8.7 3.94 30.35 2017 52.5 20.7 1.98 -8.8 4-QB 31.8 6.11 14.41 5 11.1 4.13 22.78 2016 43 15.2 2.09 -5.2 4-QB 35.1 6.8 13.58 6 19.9 4.72 15.62 2015 58 27.3 1.77 -11.3 7 38.4 6.48 12.03 7-DC 11.1 4.71 26.94

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 ATS (L7G) at HOME - VS INDIANA

• MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at HOME - VS lower ranked team

• MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 UNDER (L3Y) - as Non- ranked team

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 112 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION INDIANA HOOSIERS Location: Bloomington, IN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Memorial Stadium 46.5 Head Coach: Tom Allen - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3 / 0 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Kalen DeBoer * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: * 42.4 (#58 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Ball St BALL ST is 3-5 SU but 6-2 ATS in its L8 games vs. INDIANA 9/7/19 E ILLINOIS 9/14/19 OHIO ST ROAD TEAMS are 9-11 SU but 14-6 ATS in IND-OSU series since 1995 9/21/19 CONNECTICUT 9/28/19 at Michigan St MICHIGAN ST is 7-0 SU & ATS in its L7 games hosting INDIANA 10/12/19 RUTGERS HOME TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of IND-RUT series 10/19/19 at Maryland HOME TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of MD-IND series 10/26/19 at Nebraska 11/2/19 NORTHWESTERN HOME TEAMS are 11-3 SU & 10-4 ATS in IND-NW series since 1996 11/16/19 at Penn St HOME TEAMS are 4-5 SU but 7-1 ATS in L9 games of PSU-IND series 11/23/19 MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 8-11 SU but 11-6 ATS in MIC-IND series since 1992 11/30/19 at Purdue OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of PUR-IND series at PURDUE 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Fla International 38-28 W -13 L 56 O 9/8/18 VIRGINIA 20-16 W -5 L 49.5 U 9/15/18 BALL ST 38-10 W -15 W 61.5 U 9/22/18 MICHIGAN ST 21-35 L 6.5 L 52 O 9/29/18 at Rutgers 24-17 W -14.5 L 51 U 10/6/18 at Ohio St 26-49 L 27.5 W 64.5 O 10/13/18 IOWA 16-42 L 3.5 L 52 O 10/20/18 PENN ST 28-33 L 14 W 58 O 10/26/18 at Minnesota 31-38 L -2.5 L 53 O 11/10/18 MARYLAND 34-32 W 1 W 55 O 11/17/18 at Michigan 20-31 L 28 W 53 U 11/24/18 PURDUE 21-28 L 3.5 L 65.5 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE The Hoosiers’ recruiting is on the upswing as coach Tom Allen enters his third year. After back-to-back 5-7 fnishes, and with Penn State possibly taking a step back, there is an opportunity for Indiana to crack the top four in the East. There is skill-position talent with sophomore running back Stevie Scott (1,137 yards, 10 TDs) and hyped freshman Sampson James plus wideouts Donavan Hale and Nick Westbrook. Junior Peyton Ramsey is a talented quarterback, but he still must beat out redshirt freshman Michael Penix. Seven starters return for a defense that allowed 29.9 points and 424 yards per game. Allen can fx the defense. Indiana is propping up its bowl hopes with a weak nonconference lineup (Ball State, Eastern Illinois, Connecticut), and Rutgers and Maryland should be league wins. That would get the Hoosiers to fve, as usual, but the trick is getting over the hump and they will be signifcant underdogs at Michigan State, Nebraska, Penn State and Purdue. Indiana needs to spring an upset or two, and with Ohio State, Northwestern and Michigan as the other home games it’s tough to fnd the sixth win and 7-5 just looks highly unlikely.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 113 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION INDIANA HOOSIERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 26.4 77 Points Per Game 29.9 79 Yards Per Point 15.7 92 Yards Per Point 14.2 67 Plays Per Game 78 14 3rd Down Conv. % 42.0% 91 Time of Possession 28:48 92 Total Yards Per Game 423.8 81 3rd Down Conv. % 42.4% 33 Yards Per Play 5.8 88 Total Yards Per Game 415.2 47 Rush Yards Per Game 183.2 80 Yards Per Play 5.3 80 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 76 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.7 96 Completion % 61.0% 80 Rush Yards Per Game 157.3 76 Passing Yards Per Game 240.6 78 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 57 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 95 Pass Attempts Per Game 40.1 7 Sacks 1.8 87 Completion % 65.7% 13 Turnovers 2.2 9 Passing Yards Per Game 257.8 34 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 106 Turnovers 1.8 94 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 6-7 5-7 5-7 22-28 (44%) 91 Overall ATS 6-6 6-7 3-8 5-7 20-28 (42%) 107 Over-Under 11-2 4-9 6-6 7-5 28-22 (56%) 21 at Home ATS 3-3 2-5 2-3 3-4 10-15 (40%) 96 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 4-2 1-5 2-3 10-13 (43%) 103 Conference ATS 4-4 4-5 1-7 4-5 13-21 (38%) 116 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-2 2-1 1-2 7-7 (50%) 61 Favorite ATS 4-3 2-4 3-3 1-4 10-14 (42%) 102 Underdog ATS 2-3 4-3 0-5 4-3 10-14 (42%) 98 After SUW ATS 4-1 2-4 2-2 3-2 11-9 (55%) 40 After SUL ATS 2-4 3-3 1-5 2-4 8-16 (33%) 119

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 44 14.5 1.41 -1.9 7 36.8 6.56 13.48 3 22.4 5.15 16.27 2017 Yes 46.5 17.4 1.67 -4.9 6- OC 36.9 5.93 12.74 9-DC 19.5 4.26 15.11 2016 46.5 13.7 2.23 -6 6-QB 34.8 6.62 14.49 7-DC 21.1 4.39 15.52 2015 43.5 12.6 1.34 -0.5 7 42.7 7. 04 13.12 5 30 5.7 15.05

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• INDIANA is 8-2 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 20 points

• INDIANA is 0-9-1 ATS (L10G) at HOME - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• INDIANA is 20-4-1 OVER (L25G) at HOME - Underdog of more than 7 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 114 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION MARYLAND TERRAPINS Location: College Park, MD STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium 43.5 Head Coach: Mike Locksley - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 2 / 0 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 5 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Scottie Montgomery / Joker Phillips * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jon Hoke * 46.58 (#24 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 HOWARD 9/7/19 SYRACUSE ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MD-SYR series 9/14/19 at Temple ROAD TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 8-0 ATS in L8 games of TEM-MD series 9/27/19 PENN ST PENN ST is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in its L7 games vs. MARYLAND 10/5/19 at Rutgers UNDERDOGS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of MD-RUT series 10/12/19 at Purdue 10/19/19 INDIANA HOME TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of MD-IND series 10/26/19 at Minnesota 11/2/19 MICHIGAN FAVORITES are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of MIC-MD series 11/9/19 at Ohio St OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of MD-OSU series 11/23/19 NEBRASKA 11/30/19 at Michigan St UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of MD-MST series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Texas 34-29 W 12 W 54.5 O 9/8/18 at Bowling Green 45-14 W -13 W 65.5 U 9/15/18 TEMPLE 14-35 L -16 L 56 U 9/22/18 MINNESOTA 42-13 W -1 W 46.5 O 10/6/18 at Michigan 21-42 L 17.5 L 44.5 O 10/13/18 RUTGERS 34-7 W -23.5 W 51 U 10/20/18 at Iowa 0-23 L 9.5 L 44.5 U 10/27/18 ILLINOIS 63-33 W -16.5 W 55.5 O 11/3/18 MICHIGAN ST 3-24 L 3.5 L 42 U 11/10/18 at Indiana 32-34 L -1 L 55 O 11/17/18 OHIO ST 51-52 L 14 W 61.5 O 11/24/18 at Penn St 3-38 L 11. 5 L 51.5 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 4 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET Josh Jackson is the primary reason the Terrapins have hope. The former starting quarterback at Virginia Tech transferred to Maryland with two years of eligibility remaining, and Jackson will inject some action into an offense that last year was shut out in one conference game and held to exactly three points in two other losses. Anthony McFarland returns after rushing for 1,034 yards (7.9 per carry) as a freshman. The offense has potential, yet there are few other reasons for optimism. Mike Locksley inherits only nine returning starters, and Locksley was an incompetent head coach during his brief stay at New Mexico that was a disaster on the feld (2-26 from 2009 to 2011) and off. Locksley was the offensive coordinator at Alabama, so maybe he learned something from Nick Saban, but we have to see it to believe it. Until he proves otherwise, Locksley is a bet-against coach. After opening against Howard, Maryland is not a great bet to win another game. It’s mostly up to Jackson to elevate this team above low expectations. Syracuse, Temple, Rutgers and Indiana are beatable opponents, but repeating last year’s 5-7 record is probably a fantasy.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 115 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION MARYLAND TERRAPINS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.5 57 Points Per Game 28.7 73 Yards Per Point 13 29 Yards Per Point 13.6 81 Plays Per Game 63 128 3rd Down Conv. % 39.1% 60 Time of Possession 29:01 84 Total Yards Per Game 390.4 54 3rd Down Conv. % 40.0% 54 Yards Per Play 5.4 56 Total Yards Per Game 371.5 89 Rush Yards Per Game 183.9 81 Yards Per Play 5.9 37 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 67 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.5 42 Completion % 54.3% 17 Rush Yards Per Game 230.2 15 Passing Yards Per Game 206.5 38 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.7 9 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 64 Pass Attempts Per Game 20.1 125 Sacks 1.4 115 Completion % 51.9% 117 Turnovers 1.9 17 Passing Yards Per Game 141.2 121 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7 85 Turnovers 1.2 25 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 6-7 4-8 5-7 18-31 (37%) 110 Overall ATS 7-5 4-9 5-7 6-6 22-27 (45%) 97 Over-Under 8-4 5-8 9-3 6-6 28-21 (57%) 16 at Home ATS 3-3 3-3 2-4 4-2 12-12 (50%) 55 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 1-6 3-3 2-4 10-15 (40%) 114 Conference ATS 5-3 3-6 3-6 4-5 15-20 (43%) 102 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 1-3 2-1 2-1 7-7 (50%) 65 Favorite ATS 2-1 3-5 1-2 4-2 10-10 (50%) 63 Underdog ATS 5-4 1-4 4-5 2-4 12-17 (41%) 100 After SUW ATS 0-2 2-4 1-3 1-4 4-13 (24%) 127 After SUL ATS 6-3 2-4 3-4 4-2 15-13 (54%) 46

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 44.5 18.5 2.64 -6.8 8-QB, OC 38.2 7.38 11.72 5 19.8 4.75 16.88 2017 40.5 7. 9 1.82 -1.9 6-QB 36.1 6.48 11.28 7 28.2 4.66 12.35 2016 Yes 38.5 9.8 1.32 0.1 7- OC 32.9 6.44 13.15 5-DC 23.1 5.12 16.74 2015 36.5 10.1 1.92 1 6-QB 34.7 6.64 13.22 4 24.6 4.72 14.49

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MARYLAND is 8-2 ATS (L10G) at HOME - Favorite of more than 20 points

• MARYLAND is 0-15 ATS (L15G) - After a conference SU win

• MARYLAND is 7-0 OVER (L7G) - Underdog of more than 20 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 116 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS Location: Piscataway, NJ STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: High Point Solutions Stadium 32.5 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 1-11 2.25 / -1 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: John McNulty SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Andy Buh / Noah Joseph 47.17 (#18 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 MASSACHUSETTS 9/7/19 at Iowa 9/21/19 BOSTON COLLEGE FAVORITES are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in BC-RUT series since 1995 9/28/19 at Michigan OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of RUT-MIC series 10/5/19 MARYLAND UNDERDOGS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of MD-RUT series 10/12/19 at Indiana HOME TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of IND-RUT series 10/19/19 MINNESOTA 10/26/19 LIBERTY 11/2/19 at Illinois ROAD TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of ILL-RUT series 11/16/19 OHIO ST FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of OSU-RUT series 11/23/19 MICHIGAN ST UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of MST-RUT series 11/30/19 at Penn St UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of RUT-PSU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 TEXAS ST UNIV 35-7 W -16.5 W 47.5 U 9/8/18 at Ohio St 3-52 L 34 L 57.5 U 9/15/18 at Kansas 14-55 L -1 L 44.5 O 9/22/18 BUFFALO 13-42 L 6 L 53.5 O 9/29/18 INDIANA 17-24 L 14.5 W 51 U 10/6/18 ILLINOIS 17-38 L 4.5 L 51 O 10/13/18 at Maryland 7-34 L 23.5 L 51 U 10/20/18 NORTHWESTERN 15-18 L 20 W 48.5 U 11/3/18 at Wisconsin 17-31 L 29 W 51.5 U 11/10/18 MICHIGAN 7-42 L 37 W 45 O 11/17/18 PENN ST 7-20 L 28 W 53 U 11/24/18 at Michigan St 10-14 L 24 W 37.5 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 3 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE It’s a square approach to play bad teams under low win totals, but the Scarlet Knights went 1-11 last season, when their win total was four. Sometimes, obvious plays are the right plays. Chris Ash enters his fourth year, and his high-water mark was 4-8 in 2017. Raise your hand if you want to bet on the worst of the Big Ten’s 14 teams to overachieve … seeing no hands, let’s move on. Ash does have eight starters returning on offense, including 6-foot-5 quarterback Artur Sitkowski, who completed 49 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and 18 interceptions last year as a freshman. This is a ridiculous-but-true stat: Rutgers quarterbacks have totaled 12 TD passes in the past 24 games. Junior running back Raheem Blackshear is the team’s top offensive weapon. Ash felded a young team, knowing he would take some lumps. He’s hoping it pays off this year. The Knights did schedule two expected wins (Massachusetts and Liberty) and they have a shot against Maryland and Indiana, but the outlook remains bleak. Ash needs to show improvement to save his job. He’s likely headed for 2-10 or 3-9 and the unemployment line.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 117 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 13.5 130 Points Per Game 31.4 84 Yards Per Point 19.7 130 Yards Per Point 12.8 103 Plays Per Game 65.7 120 3rd Down Conv. % 48.7% 125 Time of Possession 28:54 89 Total Yards Per Game 401.5 65 3rd Down Conv. % 32.4% 119 Yards Per Play 5.6 69 Total Yards Per Game 266.2 128 Rush Yards Per Game 214.8 104 Yards Per Play 4.1 128 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 117 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.1 103 Completion % 55.7% 25 Rush Yards Per Game 134.1 103 Passing Yards Per Game 186.7 16 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 95 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.3 23 Pass Attempts Per Game 29.2 84 Sacks 1.3 117 Completion % 48.7% 127 Turnovers 1.2 93 Passing Yards Per Game 132.2 125 Yards Per Pass Attempt 4.5 129 Turnovers 2.4 130 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 4-8 2-10 4-8 1-11 11-37 (23%) 124 Overall ATS 4-7 4-8 8-4 7-5 23-24 (49%) 79 Over-Under 6-6 6-6 6-6 4-8 22-26 (46%) 82 at Home ATS 2-4 3-4 3-3 5-2 13-13 (50%) 58 Road/Neutral ATS 2-3 1-4 5-1 2-3 10-11 (48%) 85 Conference ATS 2-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 17-18 (49%) 67 Non-Conf. ATS 2-1 1-2 2-1 1-2 6-6 (50%) 70 Favorite ATS 2-2 1-1 1-1 1-1 5-5 (50%) 68 Underdog ATS 2-5 3-7 7-3 6-4 18-19 (49%) 75 After SUW ATS 1-3 2-0 4-0 0-1 7-4 (64%) 10 After SUL ATS 2-4 2-7 3-4 6-4 13-19 (41%) 101

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 33.5 -1 -0.03 14.4 7-QB, OC 23.1 4.91 13.66 8 24.1 4.94 14.4 2017 31.5 5.2 0.25 5.3 6- OC 26.3 5.22 11. 7 7 8 21.1 4.97 16.42 2016 Yes 24 -4.9 -0.57 11. 5 9- OC 24.8 4.92 13.55 7-DC 29.7 5.49 13.1 2015 33 4.1 0.1 7. 5 5-QB, OC 33.8 6.29 12.52 5 29.7 6.19 14.03

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• RUTGERS is 11-4 ATS (L15G) - Revenging a loss

• RUTGERS is 2-8 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After SU win

• RUTGERS is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) on ROAD - Favorite of more than 7 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 118 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION WISCONSIN BADGERS Location: Madison, WI STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium 55.5 Head Coach: - 5th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 45.13 (#41 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 at South Florida 9/7/19 C MICHIGAN 9/21/19 MICHIGAN WISCONSIN is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games hosting MICHIGAN 9/28/19 NORTHWESTERN HOME TEAMS are 14-7 SU & 15-6 ATS in NW-WIS series since 1992 10/5/19 KENT ST 10/12/19 MICHIGAN ST UNDERDOGS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of MST-WIS series 10/19/19 at Illinois OVER the total is 11-4 in WIS-ILL series since 1995 10/26/19 at Ohio St UNDERDOGS are 14-6 ATS in WIS-OSU series since 1992 11/9/19 IOWA ROAD TEAMS are 11-4 SU & ATS in WIS-IOW series since 2002 11/16/19 at Nebraska ROAD TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of WIS-NEB series 11/23/19 PURDUE ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of PUR-WIS series 11/30/19 at Minnesota ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of WIS-MIN series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 W KENTUCKY 34-3 W -35.5 L 52 U 9/8/18 NEW MEXICO 45-14 W -36 L 58 O 9/15/18 BYU 21-24 L -23.5 L 52.5 U 9/22/18 at Iowa 28-17 W -3 W 44 O 10/6/18 NEBRASKA 41-24 W -18.5 L 60 O 10/13/18 at Michigan 13-38 L 9.5 L 46.5 O 10/20/18 ILLINOIS 49-20 W -24 W 53 O 10/27/18 at Northwestern 17-31 L -4.5 L 50 U 11/3/18 RUTGERS 31-17 W -29 L 51.5 U 11/10/18 at Penn St 10-22 L 7. 5 L 53.5 U 11/17/18 at Purdue 47-44 W 3.5 W 56.5 O 11/24/18 MINNESOTA 15-37 L -11 L 52.5 U 12/27/18 vs. Miami Fl 35-3 W 3 W 44 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 8.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE It’s tough to pick a favorite in the Big Ten West, where six teams have a realistic shot to win it. Some signs hint at the Badgers’ decline, but their track record of success deserves the beneft of the doubt. After winning 34 games from 2015 to 2017, Wisconsin slipped to 8-5 (4-9 against the spread) in coach Paul Chryst’s fourth year. Poor quarterback play contributed to the slide, and Alex Hornibrook’s surprise decision to transfer to Florida State could be a good thing. The new starter will be either junior Jack Coan or freshman Graham Mertz, one of the nation’s top recruits who turned down Alabama, Ohio State and several other major offers. Mertz likely wins the job and must be a quick study, but he can turn to a star running back for help. Jonathan Taylor is back after rushing for 1,977 yards as a freshman and 2,194 yards and 16 touchdowns last year. The Badgers need to rebuild their offensive line, something that’s rarely a problem in this program. Wisconsin’s league schedule is about as diffcult as it gets, so a nine-win season seems unrealistic with inexperienced quarterbacks.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 119 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION WISCONSIN BADGERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29.7 47 Points Per Game 22.6 27 Yards Per Point 14.6 72 Yards Per Point 15.2 44 Plays Per Game 69.2 90 3rd Down Conv. % 37.4% 48 Time of Possession 32:04 27 Total Yards Per Game 344.2 24 3rd Down Conv. % 41.3% 42 Yards Per Play 5.4 50 Total Yards Per Game 434.6 31 Rush Yards Per Game 155.1 50 Yards Per Play 6.3 14 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 69 Rush Attempts Per Game 43.9 14 Completion % 57.9% 52 Rush Yards Per Game 273.4 5 Passing Yards Per Game 189.1 19 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.2 5 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 37 Pass Attempts Per Game 23.4 119 Sacks 1.5 112 Completion % 58.9% 68 Turnovers 1.9 14 Passing Yards Per Game 161.2 114 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 89 Turnovers 1.8 100 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 11-3 13-1 8-5 42-12 (78%) 6 Overall ATS 6-7 10-4 9-5 4-9 29-25 (54%) 42 Over-Under 5-8 6-8 8-6 6-7 25-29 (46%) 80 at Home ATS 3-4 3-3 4-3 1-6 11-16 (41%) 94 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 7-1 5-2 3-3 18-9 (67%) 9 Conference ATS 3-5 7-3 6-4 3-6 19-18 (51%) 60 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 3-1 3-1 1-3 10-7 (59%) 22 Favorite ATS 5-6 6-4 9-4 2-7 22-21 (51%) 55 Underdog ATS 1-1 4-0 0-1 2-2 7-4 (64%) 27 After SUW ATS 4-5 6-4 7-5 0-7 17-21 (45%) 97 After SUL ATS 2-1 3-0 1-0 4-1 10-2 (83%) 1

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 53 19.8 2.63 -12.5 9-QB 37.7 7.52 13.39 4 18 4.89 17.6 2017 64 36.9 3.72 -22.4 8 42.6 7. 37 11. 67 7-DC 5.7 3.66 38.54 2016 60.5 32.2 2.29 -20.1 5-QB 40 6.5 11.62 6-DC 7. 7 4.2 33.33 2015 Yes 51 22.9 1.69 -8.7 5- OC 32.5 5.76 12.62 6 9.7 4.06 25.6

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• WISCONSIN is 12-3 ATS (L15G) - After playing ILLINOIS

• WISCONSIN is 1-6 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - Favorite of more than 20 points

• WISCONSIN is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] AP top 10

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 120 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION IOWA HAWKEYES Location: Iowa City, IA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Kinnick Stadium 52.5 Head Coach: Kirk Ferentz - 21st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 4 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 45.04 (#42 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 MIAMI OHIO 9/7/19 RUTGERS 9/14/19 at Iowa St IOWA ST is 10-11 SU but 14-7 ATS vs. IOWA since 1998 9/28/19 MIDDLE TENN ST 10/5/19 at Michigan UNDERDOGS are 5-11 SU but 13-3 ATS in IOW-MIC series since 1993 10/12/19 PENN ST HOME TEAMS are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in PSU-IOW series since 2004 10/19/19 PURDUE ROAD TEAMS are 6-4 SU & 8-0 ATS in IOW-PUR series since 2007 10/26/19 at Northwestern UNDERDOGS are 11-10 SU & 13-8 ATS in NW-IOW series since 1996 11/9/19 at Wisconsin ROAD TEAMS are 11-4 SU & ATS in WIS-IOW series since 2002 11/16/19 MINNESOTA IOWA is 19-7 SU & 17-8 ATS vs. MINNESOTA since 1993 11/23/19 ILLINOIS FAVORITES are 15-1 SU & 12-4 ATS in IOW-ILL series since 1996 11/29/19 at Nebraska ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of NEB-IOW series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 N ILLINOIS 33-7 W -10 W 46.5 U 9/8/18 IOWA ST 13-3 W -3 W 46 U 9/15/18 N IOWA 38-14 W -21.5 W 43.5 O 9/22/18 WISCONSIN 17-28 L 3 L 44 O 10/6/18 at Minnesota 48-31 W -7 W 41.5 O 10/13/18 at Indiana 42-16 W -3.5 W 52 O 10/20/18 MARYLAND 23-0 W -9.5 W 44.5 U 10/27/18 at Penn St 24-30 L 5 L 51 O 11/3/18 at Purdue 36-38 L 2 T 52 O 11/10/18 NORTHWESTERN 10-14 L -10.5 L 45.5 U 11/17/18 at Illinois 63-0 W -16 W 59.5 O 11/23/18 NEBRASKA 31-28 W -8.5 L 52.5 O 1/1/19 vs. Mississippi St 27-22 W 7 W 40.5 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Senior quarterback Nathan Stanley had it good last year. That was obvious when Hawkeyes tight ends T.J. Hockenson (No. 8, Detroit) and Noah Fant (No. 20, Denver) went in the frst round of the NFL Draft. Stanley passed for 26 touchdowns, with half of those going to his star tight ends. It’s not easy to replace big-time targets like that, and it’s not going to be easy for coach Kirk Ferentz to rebuild a defense that lost seven starters. Iowa fnished 9-4 with an Outback Bowl victory over Mississippi State, but the results could have been so much better as the Hawkeyes lost three conference games by six points or fewer. Ferentz enters his 21st year in Iowa City facing more personnel questions than usual, and a few younger coaching stars — Nebraska’s Scott Frost, Purdue’s Jeff Brohm and Minnesota’s P.J. Fleck — are turning the West division into a dogfght top to bottom. The Hawkeyes draw a rigorous league road schedule with games at Michigan, Northwestern, Wisconsin and Nebraska. With only 10 returning starters, winning eight games is a lot to ask. Ferentz will keep the Hawkeyes in the hunt and most likely fnish 7-5.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 121 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION IOWA HAWKEYES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 30.6 39 Points Per Game 18.1 8 Yards Per Point 11. 8 8 Yards Per Point 16.5 21 Plays Per Game 69 92 3rd Down Conv. % 33.5% 19 Time of Possession 32:13 24 Total Yards Per Game 299.1 7 3rd Down Conv. % 43.2% 29 Yards Per Play 4.4 6 Total Yards Per Game 360.8 97 Rush Yards Per Game 118.2 16 Yards Per Play 5.2 86 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 16 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.5 87 Completion % 57.4% 49 Rush Yards Per Game 143.5 95 Passing Yards Per Game 180.9 11 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 88 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6 13 Pass Attempts Per Game 31.4 65 Sacks 2.7 27 Completion % 57.6% 86 Turnovers 2.1 12 Passing Yards Per Game 217.3 76 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 88 Turnovers 1.3 44 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 12-2 8-5 8-5 9-4 37-16 (70%) 22 Overall ATS 8-6 6-7 6-6 8-4 28-23 (55%) 27 Over-Under 9-5 5-8 6-7 9-4 29-24 (55%) 26 at Home ATS 2-5 3-4 4-2 4-3 13-14 (48%) 62 Road/Neutral ATS 6-1 3-3 2-4 4-1 15-9 (63%) 24 Conference ATS 5-4 5-4 4-4 4-4 18-16 (53%) 49 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 1-3 2-2 4-0 10-7 (59%) 22 Favorite ATS 6-5 4-4 4-3 7-2 21-14 (60%) 9 Underdog ATS 2-1 2-3 2-3 1-2 7-9 (44%) 91 After SUW ATS 7-5 4-4 3-4 5-3 19-16 (54%) 45 After SUL ATS 0-1 2-2 2-2 2-1 6-6 (50%) 62

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 58 28.9 2.37 -14.4 7-QB 40 6.4 11.25 6 11. 2 4.03 22.97 2017 51.5 27.3 2.14 -7.2 7-QB 38.7 6.4 10.78 8 11. 5 4.27 26.18 2016 50.5 25.6 1.93 -10 5 36.9 6.31 10.64 8 11. 3 4.38 26.97 2015 54 26.4 2.39 -10.2 5-QB 39.1 6.68 11.39 7 12.6 4.29 23.69

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• IOWA is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - Before playing WISCONSIN

• IOWA is 2-8 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - Favorite of more than 14 points

• IOWA is 7-0 OVER (L7G) - [vs OPP] After a close SU win of 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 122 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS Location: Minneapolis, MN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: TCF Bank Stadium 49.5 Head Coach: P. J. Fleck - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 2.75 / 0 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 9 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Kirk Ciarrocca SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Joe Rossi * 45.33 (#38 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 S DAKOTA ST 9/7/19 at Fresno St 9/14/19 GA SOUTHERN 9/28/19 at Purdue FAVORITES are 15-3 SU & 12-5 ATS in PUR-MIN series since 1997 10/5/19 ILLINOIS MINNESOTA is 14-8 SU & ATS vs. ILLINOIS since 1992 10/12/19 NEBRASKA OVER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of NEB-MIN series 10/19/19 at Rutgers 10/26/19 MARYLAND 11/9/19 PENN ST MINNESOTA is 5-7 SU but 8-4 ATS vs. PENN ST since 1997 11/16/19 at Iowa IOWA is 19-7 SU & 17-8 ATS vs. MINNESOTA since 1993 11/23/19 at Northwestern UNDER the total is 8-0 in L8 games of NW-MIN series 11/30/19 WISCONSIN ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of WIS-MIN series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 NEW MEXICO ST 48-10 W -21.5 W 49 O 9/8/18 FRESNO ST 21-14 W 1 W 50.5 U 9/15/18 MIAMI OHIO 26-3 W -14 W 47.5 U 9/22/18 at Maryland 13-42 L 1 L 46.5 O 10/6/18 IOWA 31-48 L 7 L 41.5 O 10/13/18 at Ohio St 14-30 L 29 W 61 U 10/20/18 at Nebraska 28-53 L 4 L 54.5 O 10/26/18 INDIANA 38-31 W 2.5 W 53 O 11/3/18 at Illinois 31-55 L -9 L 62 O 11/10/18 PURDUE 41-10 W 11 W 58.5 U 11/17/18 NORTHWESTERN 14-24 L -2.5 L 48.5 U 11/24/18 at Wisconsin 37-15 W 11 W 52.5 U 12/26/18 vs. Georgia Tech 34-10 W 5.5 W 57 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE If there’s a sleeper team in the West, this is it. The Golden Gophers return 16 starters (and 37 of 44 players on the two-deep roster) from a seven-win team, yet they are most often picked ffth or sixth in the division. One reason for skepticism is the quarterback position looks shaky. The battle between sophomores Zack Annexstad and Tanner Morgan is too close to call, with freshman Jacob Clark situated as a long shot for the job. Most other teams in the division are led by established and more talented QBs. But the Gophers’ quarterback will have talent around him. Mohamed Ibrahim rushed for 1,160 yards last season, and Tyler Johnson totaled 78 receptions for 1,169 yards and 12 touchdowns. Youth led to inconsistency last year, when Minnesota blew out Purdue and Wisconsin yet also got routed by lightweights Illinois and Maryland. The Gophers face arguably the softest schedule in the conference and could be 6-2 by the end of October — and they also could lose their fnal four games. Quarterback play will be the key, and for now that’s a mystery, so pencil in Fleck for 7-5 and another minor bowl.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 123 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.9 52 Points Per Game 26.5 55 Yards Per Point 13.1 32 Yards Per Point 14.5 56 Plays Per Game 68.9 93 3rd Down Conv. % 36.9% 41 Time of Possession 32:09 25 Total Yards Per Game 385.8 49 3rd Down Conv. % 39.8% 57 Yards Per Play 5.8 82 Total Yards Per Game 380 82 Rush Yards Per Game 173.4 75 Yards Per Play 5.5 68 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.2 111 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.2 47 Completion % 64.8% 117 Rush Yards Per Game 171.2 60 Passing Yards Per Game 212.4 46 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 69 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 35 Pass Attempts Per Game 26.6 107 Sacks 1.8 92 Completion % 54.9% 100 Turnovers 1.6 44 Passing Yards Per Game 208.8 87 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 33 Turnovers 1.9 109 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 9-4 5-7 7-6 27-24 (53%) 62 Overall ATS 7-6 7-5 4-7 8-5 26-23 (53%) 45 Over-Under 7-6 5-7 6-6 6-7 24-26 (48%) 64 at Home ATS 3-4 2-5 3-4 5-2 13-15 (46%) 67 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 5-0 1-3 3-3 13-8 (62%) 25 Conference ATS 5-3 5-3 2-6 4-5 16-17 (48%) 68 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 2-2 2-1 4-0 10-6 (63%) 14 Favorite ATS 3-3 2-5 2-3 2-2 9-13 (41%) 104 Underdog ATS 4-3 5-0 2-4 6-3 17-10 (63%) 29 After SUW ATS 0-5 4-3 2-2 3-3 9-13 (41%) 105 After SUL ATS 6-1 3-1 2-4 4-2 15-8 (65%) 10

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 47 16.6 1.3 -1.5 7 36.2 6.54 12.25 7 19.6 5.23 17.51 2017 Yes 41.5 12.7 0.75 -1.3 7-QB, OC 30 5.63 11.85 6-DC 17.3 4.87 17.75 2016 50 20.7 1.64 -8.9 7- OC 38.3 6.01 10.78 6-DC 17.7 4.37 17.83 2015 44 12.2 1.88 -4 5 32.5 6.21 12.83 7 20.3 4.33 15.27

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MINNESOTA is 8-0-1 ATS (L9G) at HOME - OU line of 60 or more

• MINNESOTA is 1-8-1 ATS (L10G) - After playing PURDUE

• MINNESOTA is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) at HOME - Underdog of more than 14 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 124 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS Location: Lincoln, NE STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Memorial Stadium, Tom Osborne Field 49 Head Coach: Scott Frost - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 4-8 2 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 45.27 (#40 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 S ALABAMA 9/7/19 at Colorado COLORADO is 5-11 SU but 12-4 ATS vs. NEBRASKA since 1996 9/14/19 N ILLINOIS 9/21/19 at Illinois UNDER the total is 4-2 in L6 games of NEB-ILL series 9/28/19 OHIO ST OHIO ST is 4-1 SU & ATS in its L5 games vs. NEBRASKA 10/5/19 NORTHWESTERN ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of NEB-NW series 10/12/19 at Minnesota OVER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of NEB-MIN series 10/26/19 INDIANA 11/2/19 at Purdue ROAD TEAMS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of NEB-PUR series 11/16/19 WISCONSIN ROAD TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of WIS-NEB series 11/23/19 at Maryland 11/29/19 IOWA ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of NEB-IOW series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/8/18 COLORADO 28-33 L -3 L 62 U 9/15/18 TROY 19-24 L -10 L 55 U 9/22/18 at Michigan 10-56 L 18 L 52.5 O 9/29/18 PURDUE 28-42 L 3.5 L 58 O 10/6/18 at Wisconsin 24-41 L 18.5 W 60 O 10/13/18 at Northwestern 31-34 L 3.5 W 58 O 10/20/18 MINNESOTA 53-28 W -4 W 54.5 O 10/27/18 BETHUNE-COOKMAN 45-9 W -47 L 70 U 11/3/18 at Ohio St 31-36 L 17 W 75.5 U 11/10/18 ILLINOIS 54-35 W -17 W 72.5 O 11/17/18 MICHIGAN ST 9-6 W -1 W 48 U 11/23/18 at Iowa 28-31 L 8.5 W 52.5 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 8 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET The Heisman hype is premature, but sophomore Adrian Martinez might develop into the second-best quarterback in the conference behind Michigan’s Shea Patterson. Martinez passed for 2,617 yards and 17 touchdowns and ran for 629 yards and eight TDs as a freshman. Expect those numbers to balloon in his second year under coach Scott Frost. Nebraska fnished 4-8 in Frost’s debut, but the way the Cornhuskers fnished — 4-2 in their last six games with a fve-point loss at Ohio State and a three-point loss at Iowa — is a strong indicator of what’s coming. It was no fuke that Frost led Central Florida to an undefeated season that included a Peach Bowl upset of Auburn. The offense will miss rushing leader Devine Ozigbo and top wideout Stanley Morgan, but Frost has recruited well and reinforcements are ready. If something holds back the Cornhuskers, their defense is a concern after allowing 31.2 points per game. It’s a big leap to go from four wins to West division champs, yet Nebraska’s schedule is ideal with Ohio State, Northwestern, Wisconsin and Iowa set to visit Lincoln. Frost will fip the record to 8-4 or better.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 125 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.6 54 Points Per Game 33.3 94 Yards Per Point 15.9 97 Yards Per Point 13.2 94 Plays Per Game 75.3 36 3rd Down Conv. % 43.1% 98 Time of Possession 28:02 104 Total Yards Per Game 440.7 92 3rd Down Conv. % 36.3% 88 Yards Per Play 5.7 78 Total Yards Per Game 455.1 20 Rush Yards Per Game 200.8 94 Yards Per Play 6 22 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 109 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.2 59 Completion % 57.1% 40 Rush Yards Per Game 207.5 27 Passing Yards Per Game 239.9 76 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 18 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.7 33 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.9 46 Sacks 1.9 82 Completion % 64.3% 23 Turnovers 1.5 62 Passing Yards Per Game 247.6 46 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 70 Turnovers 1.8 96 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 9-4 4-8 4-8 23-27 (46%) 86 Overall ATS 6-6 6-5 4-8 7-5 23-24 (49%) 79 Over-Under 8-5 4-9 7-4 7-5 26-23 (53%) 32 at Home ATS 3-4 3-2 0-7 3-4 9-17 (35%) 119 Road/Neutral ATS 3-2 3-3 4-1 4-1 14-7 (67%) 8 Conference ATS 4-4 4-4 3-6 7-2 18-16 (53%) 49 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-1 1-2 0-3 5-8 (38%) 107 Favorite ATS 2-5 5-2 1-4 3-3 11-14 (44%) 94 Underdog ATS 4-1 1-3 3-4 4-2 12-10 (55%) 52 After SUW ATS 1-3 5-3 2-2 3-1 11-9 (55%) 40 After SUL ATS 5-2 0-2 2-5 4-3 11-12 (48%) 70

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 52 14.9 2.34 -8.8 7-OC 39.3 7. 4 13.61 8-DC 24.4 5.06 15.47 2017 38.5 8.3 1.55 -4 4-QB 36.3 6.88 13.08 6-DC 27.9 5.34 13.15 2016 45 19 1.57 -4.7 7 34.7 6.32 12.91 6 15.7 4.75 19.6 2015 Yes 45.5 18.8 1.82 -4.8 6- OC 40.5 6.98 12.53 6-DC 21.6 5.16 16.44

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NEBRASKA is 4-1 ATS (L2Y) on ROAD - with Head coach - FROST

• NEBRASKA is 0-10 ATS (L10G) at HOME - as AP top 10

• NEBRASKA is 7-0-1 OVER (L8G) - After playing WISCONSIN

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 126 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION PURDUE BOILERMAKERS Location: West Lafayette, IN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Ross–Ade Stadium 45.5 Head Coach: Jeff Brohm - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 6-7 2.75 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 3 - Defense: 9 Offensive Coordinator: / JaMarcus Shepard SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: / 46.79 (#21 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 at Nevada 9/7/19 VANDERBILT 9/14/19 TCU 9/28/19 MINNESOTA FAVORITES are 15-3 SU & 12-5 ATS in PUR-MIN series since 1997 10/5/19 at Penn St UNDER the total is 8-2 in PSU-PUR series since 2000 10/12/19 MARYLAND 10/19/19 at Iowa ROAD TEAMS are 6-4 SU & 8-0 ATS in IOW-PUR series since 2007 10/26/19 ILLINOIS PURDUE is 14-7 SU & 12-8 ATS vs. ILLINOIS since 1992 11/2/19 NEBRASKA ROAD TEAMS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of NEB-PUR series 11/9/19 at Northwestern ROAD TEAMS are 12-10 SU & 16-6 ATS in NW-PUR series since 1992 11/23/19 at Wisconsin ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of PUR-WIS series 11/30/19 INDIANA OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of PUR-IND series at PURDUE 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 NORTHWESTERN 27-31 L -1 L 51 O 9/8/18 E MICHIGAN 19-20 L -15 L 50.5 U 9/15/18 MISSOURI 37-40 L 5.5 W 67 O 9/22/18 BOSTON COLLEGE 30-13 W 6 W 62.5 U 9/29/18 at Nebraska 42-28 W -3.5 W 58 O 10/13/18 at Illinois 46-7 W -11 W 62 U 10/20/18 OHIO ST 49-20 W 12.5 W 66 O 10/27/18 at Michigan St 13-23 L -2 L 49 U 11/3/18 IOWA 38-36 W -2 T 52 O 11/10/18 at Minnesota 10-41 L -11 L 58.5 U 11/17/18 WISCONSIN 44-47 L -3.5 L 56.5 O 11/24/18 at Indiana 28-21 W -3.5 W 65.5 U 12/28/18 vs. Auburn 14-63 L 3.5 L 58.5 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 7 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE No other offense in the Big Ten features more speed on the perimeter, and Jeff Brohm is the type of innovative coach who fnds ways to light up the scoreboard. Only three starters return on offense? No problem. Brohm recruited 6-foot-2 David Bell, the top prep player in Indiana, to line up with 5-9 speedster Rondale Moore. Senior Brycen Hopkins and a deep receiver corps will create matchup nightmares for defenses. It’s a dream for junior quarterback Elijah Sindelar, who has nine career starts and a bowl win on his resume. The Boilermakers scored 30.5 points per game — 49 in a blowout of Ohio State — but their defense allowed 30 per game a year ago. Nine defensive starters return, including four elite players (George Karlaftis, Lorenzo Neal, , Ben Holt) in the front seven. Purdue hosts Nebraska and avoids Ohio State, Michigan and Michigan State this year. Brohm brought in a highly-rated recruiting class that will make an immediate impact, and the schedule sets up for an eight-win season. It would not be a surprise if the Boilermakers win the West, but the same can be said for fve other teams.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 127 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION PURDUE BOILERMAKERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 30.5 40 Points Per Game 30 80 Yards Per Point 14.5 68 Yards Per Point 15.2 45 Plays Per Game 72.2 67 3rd Down Conv. % 36.4% 35 Time of Possession 29:38 72 Total Yards Per Game 456.2 107 3rd Down Conv. % 38.7% 65 Yards Per Play 5.9 90 Total Yards Per Game 443.9 25 Rush Yards Per Game 167.9 66 Yards Per Play 6.1 16 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 66 Rush Attempts Per Game 30.8 124 Completion % 62.3% 91 Rush Yards Per Game 136.4 101 Passing Yards Per Game 288.2 128 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 54 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 89 Pass Attempts Per Game 39.2 11 Sacks 1.9 77 Completion % 65.4% 15 Turnovers 1.1 114 Passing Yards Per Game 307.5 13 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 9 32 Turnovers 1.5 66 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 2-10 3-9 7-6 6-7 18-32 (36%) 113 Overall ATS 6-6 5-6 9-4 6-6 26-22 (54%) 34 Over-Under 7-5 8-4 4-9 7-6 26-24 (52%) 38 at Home ATS 2-5 1-5 4-2 3-3 10-15 (40%) 96 Road/Neutral ATS 4-1 4-1 5-2 3-3 16-7 (70%) 4 Conference ATS 5-3 4-5 5-4 4-4 18-16 (53%) 49 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 1-1 4-0 2-2 8-6 (57%) 31 Favorite ATS 1-0 1-0 4-2 3-5 9-7 (56%) 25 Underdog ATS 5-6 4-6 5-2 3-1 17-15 (53%) 59 After SUW ATS 0-2 0-3 4-2 3-3 7-10 (41%) 104 After SUL ATS 6-3 5-3 4-2 3-2 18-10 (64%) 15

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 47.5 23.3 2.83 -8.1 9-QB 41.9 7.86 13.21 4 18.6 5.04 20.43 2017 Yes 47 22.2 2.25 -4.8 5- OC 32.9 6.69 14.31 8-DC 10.7 4.44 29.73 2016 30 0.4 0.35 9.7 8- OC 35.2 5.86 12.77 8-DC 34.7 5.51 11. 37 2015 30.5 5.7 0.37 7. 4 8 34.5 5.68 12.65 7 28.8 5.32 13.81

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• PURDUE is 7-0 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 14 points

• PURDUE is 2-8 ATS (L10G) at HOME - Underdog of 10 or more points

• PURDUE is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a close SU win of 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 128 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS Location: Evanston, IL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Ryan Field 46 Head Coach: - 14th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-5 3.25 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Mick McCall SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 45.54 (#34 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Stanford 9/14/19 UNLV 9/21/19 MICHIGAN ST ROAD TEAMS are 14-7 SU & 17-4 ATS in MST-NW series since 1992 9/28/19 at Wisconsin HOME TEAMS are 14-7 SU & 15-6 ATS in NW-WIS series since 1992 10/5/19 at Nebraska ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of NEB-NW series 10/18/19 OHIO ST FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of OSU-NW series 10/26/19 IOWA UNDERDOGS are 11-10 SU & 13-8 ATS in NW-IOW series since 1996 11/2/19 at Indiana HOME TEAMS are 11-3 SU & 10-4 ATS in IND-NW series since 1996 11/9/19 PURDUE ROAD TEAMS are 12-10 SU & 16-6 ATS in NW-PUR series since 1992 11/16/19 MASSACHUSETTS 11/23/19 MINNESOTA UNDER the total is 8-0 in L8 games of NW-MIN series 11/30/19 at Illinois NORTHWESTERN is 13-7 SU & ATS vs. ILLINOIS since 1999 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 at Purdue 31-27 W 1 W 51 O 9/8/18 DUKE 7-21 L -3 L 47.5 U 9/15/18 AKRON 34-39 L -21 L 47.5 O 9/29/18 MICHIGAN 17-20 L 14.5 W 46.5 U 10/6/18 at Michigan St 29-19 W 10.5 W 43.5 O 10/13/18 NEBRASKA 34-31 W -3.5 L 58 O 10/20/18 at Rutgers 18-15 W -20 L 48.5 U 10/27/18 WISCONSIN 31-17 W 4.5 W 50 U 11/3/18 NOTRE DAME 21-31 L 10 T 49.5 O 11/10/18 at Iowa 14-10 W 10.5 W 45.5 U 11/17/18 at Minnesota 24-14 W 2.5 W 48.5 U 11/24/18 ILLINOIS 24-16 W -14.5 L 57 U 12/1/18 vs. Ohio St 24-45 L 16.5 L 63 O 12/31/18 vs. Utah 31-20 W 6.5 W 44 O MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Doubting the purple ‘Cats is a poor game plan. Pat Fitzgerald, entering his 14th year in Evanston, never has had a player picked in the frst three rounds of the NFL Draft, and yet Fitz has not had a losing season since 2014. Last year, Northwestern won the West by three games, going 8-1 in league play and 0-3 in nonconference games. The Wildcats have won three consecutive bowls. Although four-year starting quarterback Clayton Thorson is gone, Fitzgerald might have lured a future frst-round pick to replace Thorson, who had a mediocre senior year. Clemson transfer Hunter Johnson is the big-time passer Northwestern needs to try to repeat its division title. Junior middle linebacker Paddy Fisher, one of the league’s best at the position, will lead another solid “D” for Fitzgerald. The Wildcats, 19-8 the past two seasons, were the least-penalized team in the nation last year. The frst half of the schedule is brutal — Michigan State and Ohio State at home, Wisconsin and Nebraska on the road — but the second half is much softer. If Johnson proves to be the real deal, look for the ‘Cats to make a late push for seven or eight wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 129 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 24.2 92 Points Per Game 23.2 35 Yards Per Point 14.6 71 Yards Per Point 16.8 18 Plays Per Game 77.2 19 3rd Down Conv. % 36.6% 39 Time of Possession 29:59 62 Total Yards Per Game 390.9 57 3rd Down Conv. % 38.7% 64 Yards Per Play 5.4 54 Total Yards Per Game 354.4 104 Rush Yards Per Game 129.6 25 Yards Per Play 4.6 121 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 35 Rush Attempts Per Game 37 79 Completion % 64.1% 110 Rush Yards Per Game 114.9 118 Passing Yards Per Game 261.2 107 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.1 125 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 62 Pass Attempts Per Game 37.6 21 Sacks 1.7 99 Completion % 60.5% 51 Turnovers 1.8 27 Passing Yards Per Game 239.4 53 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 108 Turnovers 1.4 49 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 7-6 10-3 9-5 36-17 (68%) 24 Overall ATS 8-5 8-5 9-4 7-6 32-20 (62%) 7 Over-Under 5-8 4-9 5-7 7-7 21-31 (40%) 114 at Home ATS 4-3 3-4 5-2 2-4 14-13 (52%) 49 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 5-1 4-2 5-2 18-7 (72%) 3 Conference ATS 5-3 6-3 8-1 6-4 25-11 (69%) 5 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 2-2 1-3 1-2 7-9 (44%) 91 Favorite ATS 3-2 4-3 6-3 0-5 13-13 (50%) 67 Underdog ATS 5-3 4-2 3-1 7-1 19-7 (73%) 7 After SUW ATS 6-4 4-2 7-2 2-5 19-13 (59%) 21 After SUL ATS 1-1 4-2 2-1 4-1 11-5 (69%) 8

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 50 18.5 0.9 -8 7-QB 33.9 5.7 12.62 7 15.5 4.8 21.62 2017 51.5 24.4 1.79 -8.5 8 37.5 6.16 12.58 8 13.2 4.36 23.84 2016 50 21 1.7 -9.6 6 36.1 6.25 12.95 6 15.1 4.55 22.86 2015 45.5 18.1 1.19 -0.5 6-QB 28.7 5.17 13.26 8 10.6 3.98 26

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NORTHWESTERN is 10-0 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - As underdog

• NORTHWESTERN is 2-13 ATS (L15G) at HOME - VS MAC

• NORTHWESTERN is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) - Before playing OHIO ST

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 130 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI Location: Champaign, IL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Memorial Stadium 38 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 4-8 2.75 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 17 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 10 Offensive Coordinator: Rod Smith SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Lovie Smith * 43.35 (#52 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 AKRON 9/7/19 at Connecticut 9/14/19 E MICHIGAN 9/21/19 NEBRASKA UNDER the total is 4-2 in L6 games of NEB-ILL series 10/5/19 at Minnesota MINNESOTA is 14-8 SU & ATS vs. ILLINOIS since 1992 10/12/19 MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 10-8 SU & 11-6 ATS in ILL-MIC series since 1992 10/19/19 WISCONSIN OVER the total is 11-4 in WIS-ILL series since 1995 10/26/19 at Purdue PURDUE is 14-7 SU & 12-8 ATS vs. ILLINOIS since 1992 11/2/19 RUTGERS ROAD TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of ILL-RUT series 11/9/19 at Michigan St FAVORITES are 9-2 SU & ATS in MST-ILL series since 1998 11/23/19 at Iowa FAVORITES are 15-1 SU & 12-4 ATS in IOW-ILL series since 1996 11/30/19 NORTHWESTERN NORTHWESTERN is 13-7 SU & ATS vs. ILLINOIS since 1999 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 KENT ST 31-24 W -18 L 57 U 9/8/18 W ILLINOIS 34-14 W -8 W 51 U 9/15/18 vs. South Florida 19-25 L 14 W 59 U 9/21/18 PENN ST 24-63 L 26.5 L 61 O 10/6/18 at Rutgers 38-17 W -4.5 W 51 O 10/13/18 PURDUE 7-46 L 11 L 62 U 10/20/18 at Wisconsin 20-49 L 24 L 53 O 10/27/18 at Maryland 33-63 L 16.5 L 55.5 O 11/3/18 MINNESOTA 55-31 W 9 W 62 O 11/10/18 at Nebraska 35-54 L 17 L 72.5 O 11/17/18 IOWA 0-63 L 16 L 59.5 O 11/24/18 at Northwestern 16-24 L 14.5 W 57 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 4.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE For the past three years, Lovie Smith took his lumps. He took 27 losses while winning only nine games. That’s humbling for a coach with a pedigree. Still, he committed to rebuilding with young players and last season’s 4-8 record, while no reason for a Champaign toast, signaled a minor step in the right direction. Smith has 17 starters returning and a cupcake nonconference schedule (Akron, Connecticut, Eastern Michigan) that should mean a 3-0 start. After a mirage of early optimism, it could get ugly. The Fighting Illini will be favored in only one Big Ten game, against Rutgers in November. Smith can surprise the critics, but only if he fnds a quarterback and fxes a dreadful defense that surrendered 39.4 points and 508 yards per game, including a laughable 245 per game on the ground. Reggie Corbin returns after rushing for 1,085 yards, and Smith’s top recruit is dual-threat quarterback Isaiah Williams, a true freshman. Smith is all-in with Williams, who represents the future. Illinois can win four games against a schedule that is especially weak in September, but forecasting fve is too optimistic.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 131 2019 BIG TEN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25.3 84 Points Per Game 41.7 126 Yards Per Point 16.3 107 Yards Per Point 12.5 112 Plays Per Game 70.3 79 3rd Down Conv. % 46.2% 117 Time of Possession 28:08 103 Total Yards Per Game 521.8 128 3rd Down Conv. % 35.5% 98 Yards Per Play 7 124 Total Yards Per Game 412.2 54 Rush Yards Per Game 261.6 124 Yards Per Play 5.9 40 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.1 125 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.3 46 Completion % 63.6% 108 Rush Yards Per Game 244 12 Passing Yards Per Game 260.2 105 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.1 6 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.7 114 Pass Attempts Per Game 27.7 97 Sacks 1.6 106 Completion % 53.4% 108 Turnovers 1.5 58 Passing Yards Per Game 168.2 111 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.1 117 Turnovers 2.2 119 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 3-9 2-10 4-8 14-34 (29%) 117 Overall ATS 5-7 5-7 5-7 5-7 20-28 (42%) 107 Over-Under 4-8 6-6 5-7 7-5 22-26 (46%) 82 at Home ATS 3-3 2-5 3-4 2-4 10-16 (38%) 105 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 3-2 2-3 3-3 10-12 (45%) 97 Conference ATS 3-5 4-5 4-5 3-6 14-21 (40%) 112 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 1-2 1-2 2-1 6-7 (46%) 85 Favorite ATS 3-1 2-1 0-1 2-1 7-4 (64%) 5 Underdog ATS 2-6 3-6 5-6 3-6 13-24 (35%) 118 After SUW ATS 3-2 1-2 1-1 2-2 7-7 (50%) 67 After SUL ATS 1-5 3-5 4-5 3-4 11-19 (37%) 111

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 36 0.2 0.58 6.2 8-OC 34.2 6.84 13.7 8 34.1 6.26 13.27 2017 30.5 -0.7 0.55 7. 5 5-QB 23.7 5.46 13.94 6 24.4 4.92 14.91 2016 Yes 33.5 4.6 1.49 1.3 7- OC 29.6 6.29 12.6 4-DC 24.9 4.8 14.06 2015 42 14.9 1.46 -1.1 8 32.4 5.75 13.41 7 17.4 4.29 17.65

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS (L10G) - [vs OPP] AP top 5

• ILLINOIS is 0-7 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - After playing WISCONSIN

• ILLINOIS is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) - After playing WISCONSIN

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 132 CONFERENCE USA CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY JONATHAN VON TOBEL - @MEJVT

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's EAST DIVISION MARSHALL 39.5 2.75 -0.25 31.48 118 7. 8 4.2 5.6 2.4 FLA ATLANTIC 38 3 0 32.96 108 7. 3 4.7 5.4 2.6 FLA INTERNATIONAL 38.5 3.25 -0.5 31.23 122 7. 8 4.2 5.2 2.8 MIDDLE TENN ST 33.5 3.5 -0.75 36.27 82 5.4 6.6 4.1 3.9 W KENTUCKY 33 3.75 0.5 33.23 107 5.8 6.2 3.9 4.1 CHARLOTTE 27 2.25 -0.75 34.02 102 4.4 7. 6 2.7 5.3 OLD DOMINION 23.5 2.75 -0.5 32.81 109 3.5 8.5 2.1 5.9 WEST DIVISION SOUTHERN MISS 39.5 3.25 0.5 35.29 93 7. 4 4.6 5.9 2.1 NORTH TEXAS 38.5 3.5 -0.5 30.52 125 8.0 4.0 5.8 2.2 LOUISIANA TECH 37.5 3 0.5 28.75 128 8.1 3.9 5.3 2.7 UAB 34 3 0 26.02 130 7. 6 4.4 4.9 3.1 TX-SAN ANTONIO 21 3 0 34.56 96 2.9 9.1 2.2 5.8 RICE 20.5 2 -0.5 37.63 76 1.7 10.3 1.6 6.4 UTEP 16.5 2.25 -0.75 30.58 124 2.7 9.3 1.4 6.6

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME EAST DIVISION FLA MARSHALL MARSHALL MARSHALL MARSHALL FIU MARSHALL MARSHALL CHAMPION ATLANTIC WEST DIVISION LOUISIANA LOUISIANA SOUTHERN NORTH NORTH LOUISIANA SOUTHERN LOUISIANA CHAMPION TECH TECH MISS TEXAS TEXAS TECH MISS TECH CONFERENCE USA LOUISIANA FLA NORTH MARSHALL MARSHALL FIU MARSHALL MARSHALL CHAMPIONSHIP TECH ATLANTIC TEXAS

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 133 2019 CONFERENCE USA PREVIEW

THE FAVORITE Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic enters another season as the favorites to win Conference USA. ’s squad, specifically his offense, enters in a much better spot than a year ago. In 2018 the Owls were the favorites as well, despite returning just five starters from an offense that averaged 40.6 points and 498 yards per game. As expected, FAU took a step back, winning just five games, covering three and finishing with a 3-5 straight-up record in conference play. This year, FAU loses a transcendent talent in running back Devin Singletary, but seven starters are back on offense. Quarterback Chris Robison, Co-Freshman of the year in C-USA last season who started 11 games, is back and will line up behind one of the best offensive lines in the conference. The defense is less experienced than a season ago, as it loses its leading sack artist Ernest Bagner and All-Conference linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair. However, injuries were a huge part of the unit’s regression a season ago, and despite returning 10 starters they allowed 31.8 points per game in 2018. FAU should rightly be one of the favorites to win C-USA this season, but with so much parity in this conference the Owls could be a fragile favorite with such short odds. LIVE DOGS Florida International, Southern Miss and North Texas It is hard to look past teams like Florida International, Southern Miss and North Texas as the Live ‘Dogs in C-USA this season. has done a tremendous job since arriving in Miami, posting a 17-9 straight-up and 15-8-1 against-the-spread record as head coach. FIU brings back a total of 16 starters from a season ago, eight on each side of the field, and should be extremely live to win a conference title at about 5/1. Southern Miss loses just one starter on offense, and quarterback Jack Abraham looks primed to build on a 2018 campaign in which he threw 15 touchdowns in nine starts. Then there is North Texas, a team that returns nine starters on an offense that averaged 34.6 points and 461 yards per game. However, if bettors need more bang for their buck, look no further than Marshall at 9/1 to win the conference. The Thundering Herd return 14 starters from a nine-win team in 2018, including their quarterback Isaiah Green. The conference is not short on quality teams, and it would not be at all surprising should any one of six teams come out on top. DEAD MONEY Rice and UTEP Two representatives from the West division get the honor of being Dead Money heading into the 2019 season. Rice returns 12 starters in ’s second season as head coach, but with a brutal schedule will likely be underdogs in every game. The Owls could improve on their 18.9 points per game from a season ago, but is nearly impossible to make a case for Rice to win the conference. The same goes for UTEP and head coach . The Miners have 11 coming back this season. Among those returning is quarterback Kai Locksley, a one-time Texas commit. UTEP should improve on its single win last year, but is not even sniffing conference contention. Look toward the final game of the regular season on Nov. 30 for a barn-burner that will decide which of these long shots is the deadest of the ‘dogs. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD North Texas at Southern Miss, Oct. 12 Southern Miss at Florida Atlantic, A game that could decide the representative of Nov. 30 the West division in the C-USA Championship. Last season, Middle Tennessee and UAB met in Both teams will come in off of bye weeks, and the regular season finale, and then again the bettors can expect Southern Miss to be a short next week in the conference title game. Could favorite. bettors get another title game preview when these two programs meet on the final day of Marshall at Florida Atlantic, Oct. 18 the regular season? Another game that could make a difference in a division race, this one in the East. These two teams have split their last two matchups, with the home team coming out on top in each.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 134 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD Location: Huntington, WV STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Joan C. Edwards Stadium 39.5 Head Coach: Doc Holliday - 10th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 2.75 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Tim Cramsey SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: JC Price / Brad Lambert * 31.48 (#118 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 VMI 9/7/19 at Boise St 9/14/19 OHIO U HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of MAR-OHU series 9/28/19 CINCINNATI ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MAR-CIN series 10/5/19 at Middle Tenn St ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MTS-MAR series 10/12/19 OLD DOMINION FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MAR-ODU series 10/19/19 at FLA Atlantic UNDERDOGS are 1-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of FAU-MAR series 10/26/19 W KENTUCKY W KENTUCKY is 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. MARSHALL 11/2/19 at Rice HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in L6 games of MAR-RIC series 11/16/19 LOUISIANA TECH 11/23/19 at Charlotte HOME TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of MAR-CHA series 11/30/19 FLA INTERNATIONAL HOME TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in L5 games of FIU-MAR series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Miami Ohio 35-28 W 1.5 W 51.5 O 9/8/18 E KENTUCKY 32-16 W -31 L 52.5 U 9/22/18 NC STATE 20-37 L 6 L 56 O 9/29/18 at W Kentucky 20-17 W -3.5 L 51.5 U 10/5/18 MIDDLE TENN ST 24-34 L -3 L 51 O 10/13/18 at Old Dominion 42-20 W -4 W 56.5 O 10/20/18 FLA ATLANTIC 31-7 W 2.5 W 60.5 U 11/3/18 at Southern Miss 24-26 L -3 L 47.5 O 11/10/18 CHARLOTTE 30-13 W -13 W 42 O 11/17/18 TX-SAN ANTONIO 23-0 W -26.5 L 47 U 11/24/18 at Fla International 28-25 W -3.5 L 52.5 O 12/1/18 at Virginia Tech 20-41 L 3.5 L 52 O 12/20/18 at South Florida 38-20 W -3 W 49 O

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 7 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL It is hard not to like what Marshall brings to the table in Doc Holliday’s 10th season at the helm, especially on offense. At quarterback, the Thundering Herd have Isaiah Green, C-USA Freshman Player of the Year, and Alex Thomson a grad transfer from Wagner. Their signal-caller will lineup behind an offensive line that returns four starters, and adds former Florida State Seminole, and JUCO transfer, Josh Ball. The team’s top two rushers from 2018 return, and while they lose an All-Conference receiver in Tyre Brady, they add Kentucky transfer Tavin Richardson. Marshall is in a fantastic spot on offense, more than capable of improving on 28.2 points per game and 5.6 yards per play from last year. On defense, the defensive front returns six of eight linemen and add a graduate transfer from within the conference in Fermin Silva. The biggest question for Holliday will be the linebacker corps, which will lose two starters. The Herd will be tested early in their schedule, as they make the trip to Boise for a meeting with the Broncos, then play host to both Ohio and Cincinnati. Marshall must face both FAU and FIU in conference, but they get the Panthers at home. In fact, their conference schedule is light as they avoid the top three teams in the West. Look nowhere but over the win total for Marshall.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 135 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.9 65 Points Per Game 22.3 25 Yards Per Point 14.2 62 Yards Per Point 15.7 31 Plays Per Game 71.5 70 3rd Down Conv. % 31.2% 10 Time of Possession 29:54 64 Total Yards Per Game 351.3 30 3rd Down Conv. % 40.0% 55 Yards Per Play 4.8 23 Total Yards Per Game 396.2 67 Rush Yards Per Game 101.3 5 Yards Per Play 5.5 67 Yards Per Rush Attempt 2.9 4 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.1 77 Completion % 57.2% 45 Rush Yards Per Game 172.2 57 Passing Yards Per Game 250 95 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 46 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 46 Pass Attempts Per Game 32.8 55 Sacks 3.1 11 Completion % 55.1% 99 Turnovers 1.6 54 Passing Yards Per Game 223.9 70 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 93 Turnovers 1.8 92 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 3-9 8-5 9-4 30-21 (59%) 47 Overall ATS 8-5 4-7 9-4 5-8 26-24 (52%) 55 Over-Under 4-9 5-7 6-7 9-4 24-27 (47%) 72 at Home ATS 4-2 2-4 3-3 2-4 11-13 (46%) 75 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 2-3 6-1 3-4 15-11 (58%) 36 Conference ATS 5-3 2-6 4-4 3-5 14-18 (44%) 96 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 2-1 5-0 2-3 12-6 (67%) 7 Favorite ATS 8-3 1-5 3-4 3-6 15-18 (45%) 89 Underdog ATS 0-2 3-2 6-0 2-2 11-6 (65%) 22 After SUW ATS 5-4 0-3 5-2 1-7 11-16 (41%) 106 After SUL ATS 2-1 3-4 3-2 3-1 11-8 (58%) 32

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 41 9.8 1.17 -1.5 9-OC 30.4 5.74 13.19 9-DC 20.6 4.56 15.69 2017 35 9.6 0.6 3.8 6 28.4 5.46 13.34 7 18.9 4.86 17.48 2016 23 -8.7 -1.29 17.3 7 22.9 5.05 15.32 4 31.6 6.34 14.39 2015 41 13.4 0.66 4.1 6-QB 32.1 5.37 12.36 5 18.7 4.71 20.05

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - More than 13 days rest

• MARSHALL is 7-21-1 ATS (L29G) - Revenging a road loss

• MARSHALL is 10-0 OVER (L10G) - After a close SU win of 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 136 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS Location: Boca Raton, FL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: FAU Stadium 38 Head Coach: Lane Kiffn - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3 / 0 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Jr. SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Glenn Spencer * 32.96 (#108 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Ohio St 9/7/19 UCF 9/14/19 at Ball St 9/21/19 WAGNER 9/28/19 at Charlotte UNDER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of CHA-FAU series 10/12/19 MIDDLE TENN ST MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS vs. FLA ATLANTIC since 2009 10/19/19 MARSHALL UNDERDOGS are 1-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of FAU-MAR series 10/26/19 at Old Dominion OVER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of ODU-FAU series 11/2/19 at W Kentucky FLA ATLANTIC is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. W KENTUCKY 11/9/19 FLA INTERNATIONAL UNDERDOGS are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of FIU-FAU series 11/23/19 at Tx-San Antonio 11/30/19 SOUTHERN MISS 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Oklahoma 14-63 L 18.5 L 69 O 9/8/18 AIR FORCE 33-27 W -7.5 L 59.5 O 9/15/18 BETHUNE-COOKMAN 49-28 W -40.5 L 58.5 O 9/21/18 at UCF 36-56 L 14 L 75 O 9/29/18 at Middle Tenn St 24-25 L -2 L 65 U 10/6/18 OLD DOMINION 52-33 W -13.5 W 63.5 O 10/20/18 at Marshall 7-31 L -2.5 L 60.5 U 10/26/18 LOUISIANA TECH 13-21 L -3.5 L 58.5 U 11/3/18 at Fla International 49-14 W 2 W 59.5 O 11/10/18 W KENTUCKY 34-15 W -17.5 W 60 U 11/15/18 at North Texas 38-41 L 4.5 W 62.5 O 11/24/18 CHARLOTTE 24-27 L -16.5 L 53.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 8 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Lane Kiffn has won 16 games in his two years in Boca Raton, but 11 of those victories came in 2017 as part of a conference title run. This season Kiffn and the Owls are at the forefront of contention yet again with 13 returning starters, seven of which come on offense. FAU loses All-CUSA running back Devin Singletary, but replaces him with former Alabama running back BJ Emmons. He will likely lineup beside Chris Robison, an Oklahoma transfer that started 11 games last season for the Owls. The offense will need more from Robison (12 touchdowns, 12 interceptions) as a majority of the offensive production last year revolved around Singletary and a run-game that averaged 5.1 yards per carry and 242 yards per game. Defensively, FAU should improve with better health, and they implement a new system under defensive coordinator Glen Spencer. Spencer held the same position for Charlotte last season, leading them to their best defensive season in program history. The schedule sets up very well for the Owls. After brutal nonconference games at Ohio State and home against UCF they do not face a team that had a winning record in 2018 on the road. Their toughest opponents (Marshall, FIU, Southern Miss) all make the trip to FAU Stadium. It should be over or pass with the Owls’ win total.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 137 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29.5 49 Points Per Game 32.1 89 Yards Per Point 16.1 103 Yards Per Point 13.5 85 Plays Per Game 77.5 17 3rd Down Conv. % 40.0% 75 Time of Possession 28:48 94 Total Yards Per Game 432.9 87 3rd Down Conv. % 33.1% 116 Yards Per Play 5.8 81 Total Yards Per Game 475.2 13 Rush Yards Per Game 192.2 86 Yards Per Play 6.1 18 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 81 Rush Attempts Per Game 45.9 10 Completion % 64.1% 109 Rush Yards Per Game 230.6 14 Passing Yards Per Game 240.7 79 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 25 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 84 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.4 74 Sacks 2.1 61 Completion % 62.0% 36 Turnovers 1.1 105 Passing Yards Per Game 244.5 52 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.1 28 Turnovers 1.7 91 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 3-9 11-3 5-7 22-28 (44%) 91 Overall ATS 4-7 2-10 10-4 4-8 20-29 (41%) 112 Over-Under 4-8 8-4 6-8 7-5 25-25 (50%) 44 at Home ATS 1-5 0-6 6-2 2-4 9-17 (35%) 119 Road/Neutral ATS 3-2 2-4 4-2 2-4 11-12 (48%) 82 Conference ATS 2-5 2-6 7-2 4-4 15-17 (47%) 78 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 0-4 3-2 0-4 5-12 (29%) 120 Favorite ATS 0-4 0-4 9-2 2-6 11-16 (41%) 105 Underdog ATS 4-3 2-6 1-2 2-2 9-13 (41%) 104 After SUW ATS 1-1 0-3 7-3 2-3 10-10 (50%) 66 After SUL ATS 2-6 2-6 3-0 2-4 9-16 (36%) 113

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 37.5 6 1.07 1.4 5-OC 33.8 6.58 15.1 10 27.8 5.51 14.25 2017 Yes 48.5 19.2 1.86 -5.2 9- OC 41.4 7.03 12.27 8-DC 22.2 5.17 17.79 2016 20.5 -9 -0.71 19.3 8 26.1 5.94 15.93 7 35.1 6.65 14.1 2015 30 -1.4 0.03 11. 7 6 23.7 5.35 16.69 6 25.1 5.32 15.45

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• FL ATLANTIC is 8-2 ATS (L3Y) at HOME - OU line of 60 or more

• FL ATLANTIC is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at HOME - On Friday

• FL ATLANTIC is 11-3-1 UNDER (L15G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a conference SU loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 138 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS Location: Miami, FL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Riccardo Silva Stadium 38.5 Head Coach: Butch Davis - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 3.25 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jeff Copp / Jerod Kruse * 31.23 (#122 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 at Tulane 9/7/19 W KENTUCKY ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of FIU-WKU series 9/14/19 NEW HAMPSHIRE 9/21/19 at Louisiana Tech ROAD TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of LAT-FIU series 10/5/19 MASSACHUSETTS HOME TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of MAS-FIU series 10/12/19 CHARLOTTE ROAD TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of FIU-CHA series 10/19/19 UTEP 10/26/19 at Middle Tenn St HOME TEAMS are 6-1 SU & ATS in L7 games of FIU-MTS series 11/2/19 OLD DOMINION ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of FIU-ODU series 11/9/19 at FLA Atlantic UNDERDOGS are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of FIU-FAU series 11/23/19 MIAMI FL ROAD TEAMS are 0-3 SU but 3-0 ATS in L3 games of FIU-MIA series 11/30/19 at Marshall HOME TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in L5 games of FIU-MAR series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 INDIANA 28-38 L 13 W 56 O 9/8/18 at Old Dominion 28-20 W -3 W 51 U 9/15/18 MASSACHUSETTS 63-24 W -3.5 W 66 O 9/22/18 at Miami Fl 17-31 L 26 W 58.5 U 9/29/18 AK-PINE BLUFF 55-9 W -57 L 70.5 U 10/13/18 MIDDLE TENN ST 24-21 W -1 W 60.5 U 10/20/18 RICE 36-17 W -23 L 53.5 U 10/27/18 at W Kentucky 38-17 W -3 W 54 O 11/3/18 FLA ATLANTIC 14-49 L -2 L 59.5 O 11/10/18 at Tx-San Antonio 45-7 W -10.5 W 48 O 11/17/18 at Charlotte 42-35 W -3.5 W 45 O 11/24/18 MARSHALL 25-28 L 3.5 W 52.5 O 12/21/18 vs. Toledo 35-32 W 7 W 57.5 O

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 7.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Panthers are loaded with returning production at key positions, and seem primed for a breakthrough in 2019. Quarterback James Morgan returns after starting all 12 regular season games and throwing 26 touchdowns, an FIU single season record. Morgan will have every primary rusher from last season back, a unit which averaged 176 yards per game and 4.8 yards per carry. The only loss amongst the wide receivers is last year’s leader, but 1,731 yards return making this offense one of the most dangerous units in C-USA. The defense should be improved with eight returning starters. Three return along the defensive line, and backup Jason Mercier was an All-Conference Freshman. Their top two tacklers are back as well and Davis must replace one starting corner. The only thing that could hold this team back is a very challenging schedule. Three of their opponents this season come in off of byes, and the slate is backloaded. Two of FIU’s fnal three games are on the road, the other is a neutral feld meeting with Miami, FL. However, there is a very good chance the Panthers can enter their Nov. 9 trip to FAU with seven wins. If that’s the case then FIU needs just one win in its fnal three weeks to surpass its win total. The lean here is to the over.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 139 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL GOLDEN PANTHERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 32.9 28 Points Per Game 26.6 56 Yards Per Point 12.3 18 Yards Per Point 14.9 51 Plays Per Game 68.2 99 3rd Down Conv. % 40.7% 82 Time of Possession 31:23 33 Total Yards Per Game 395.5 63 3rd Down Conv. % 47.3% 11 Yards Per Play 5.7 71 Total Yards Per Game 406.4 59 Rush Yards Per Game 194.4 88 Yards Per Play 6 28 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 101 Rush Attempts Per Game 37 80 Completion % 59.9% 69 Rush Yards Per Game 173 55 Passing Yards Per Game 201.1 31 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 43 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 42 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.3 75 Sacks 1.7 102 Completion % 65.4% 16 Turnovers 1.7 38 Passing Yards Per Game 233.4 63 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 42 Turnovers 1.1 22 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 4-8 8-5 9-4 26-24 (52%) 66 Overall ATS 6-5 5-6 6-7 10-3 27-21 (56%) 19 Over-Under 6-5 7-5 8-5 8-5 29-20 (59%) 10 at Home ATS 3-1 3-4 4-3 4-3 14-11 (56%) 25 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 2-2 2-4 6-0 13-10 (57%) 41 Conference ATS 4-3 5-2 4-4 6-2 19-11 (63%) 12 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 0-4 2-3 4-1 8-10 (44%) 86 Favorite ATS 3-1 0-2 0-3 6-3 9-9 (50%) 59 Underdog ATS 3-4 5-4 6-4 4-0 18-12 (60%) 35 After SUW ATS 2-3 1-2 4-4 6-2 13-11 (54%) 46 After SUL ATS 3-2 4-3 2-2 3-1 12-8 (60%) 19

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 37 9.3 0.55 5 7 34.2 6.26 12.15 4 24.9 5.72 15.64 2017 Yes 30.5 0.1 0.02 13.6 7- OC 27.8 6 14.67 8-DC 27.7 5.98 14.87 2016 24.5 -6.8 -0.45 20.6 9 23.1 5.65 16.9 5 29.9 6.1 13.98 2015 23.5 -2.3 -0.44 9.2 7 25.5 5.16 13.92 8-DC 27.7 5.6 14.37

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• FLORIDA INTL is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - [vs OPP] 1000 or more travel miles

• FLORIDA INTL is 1-6 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Before playing FL ATLANTIC

• FLORIDA INTL is 9-2 OVER (L3Y) - After a conference SU win

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 140 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION MIDDLE TENN ST BLUE RAIDERS Location: Murfreesboro, TN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium 33.5 Head Coach: - 14th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-6 3.5 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 5 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Tony Franklin SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Scott Shafer 36.27 (#82 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Michigan 9/7/19 TENNESSEE ST 9/14/19 DUKE 9/28/19 at Iowa 10/5/19 MARSHALL ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MTS-MAR series 10/12/19 at FLA Atlantic MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS vs. FLA ATLANTIC since 2009 10/19/19 at North Texas FAVORITES are 8-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in L9 games of MTS-NTX series 10/26/19 FLA INTERNATIONAL HOME TEAMS are 6-1 SU & ATS in L7 games of FIU-MTS series 11/2/19 at Charlotte 11/16/19 RICE 11/23/19 OLD DOMINION MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 games vs. OLD DOMINION 11/30/19 at W Kentucky HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L6 games of WKU-MTS series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Vanderbilt 7-35 L 3 L 56 U 9/8/18 TENN-MARTIN 61-37 W -19 W 46.5 O 9/15/18 at Georgia 7-49 L 33.5 L 59.5 U 9/29/18 FLA ATLANTIC 25-24 W 2 W 65 U 10/5/18 at Marshall 34-24 W 3 W 51 O 10/13/18 at Fla International 21-24 L 1 L 60.5 U 10/20/18 CHARLOTTE 21-13 W -15.5 L 51 U 10/27/18 at Old Dominion 51-17 W -4.5 W 62 O 11/2/18 W KENTUCKY 29-10 W -11.5 W 53 U 11/10/18 at UTEP 48-32 W -13 W 48.5 O 11/17/18 at Kentucky 23-34 L 16.5 W 48.5 O 11/24/18 UAB 27-3 W 3 W 51.5 U 12/1/18 UAB 25-27 L -1 L 44 O 12/15/18 vs. Appalachian St 13-45 L 6.5 L 49 O JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 5.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE A brutal schedule, and an exodus of production from last season’s C-USA runner-up team has a very tough season on the horizon for the Blue Raiders. Rick Stockstill says farewell to his son, four-year quarterback Brent Stockstill, the program’s passing leader. The options to replace him are a JUCO transfer or two sophomores, so the experience is really lacking at the most important position. The top two rushers return, but this running game was pedestrian last season, averaging less than 140 yards per game and only 3.7 yards per carry. Defensively, Middle Tennessee is in better shape. They return two starters along the defensive line, and two very talented defensive backs in Jovante Moffatt and Reed Blankenship will roam the skies. However, All-Conference linebacker Darius Harris departs which leaves a gaping hole among the . The schedule is an absolute grind for the Blue Raiders. Middle Tennessee opens the year in Ann Arbor, and must meet Iowa on the road as well in nonconference play. Then, in a fve-week stretch they play four conference contenders: Marshall, FAU, North Texas and FIU. Those contests with the Owls and Mean Green come on back-to-back weeks, and both on the road. Rick Stockstill’s team will likely be underdogs in seven of their frst eight games! It is an absolute under or pass for the Blue Raiders in 2019.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 141 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION MIDDLE TENN ST BLUE RAIDERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25.5 82 Points Per Game 25.9 51 Yards Per Point 15 77 Yards Per Point 14.4 60 Plays Per Game 73.5 53 3rd Down Conv. % 44.6% 110 Time of Possession 30:53 43 Total Yards Per Game 373.2 45 3rd Down Conv. % 36.4% 86 Yards Per Play 5.4 52 Total Yards Per Game 382.2 79 Rush Yards Per Game 170.5 70 Yards Per Play 5.2 89 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 72 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.8 93 Completion % 56.5% 30 Rush Yards Per Game 132.7 106 Passing Yards Per Game 202.6 33 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 106 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7 50 Pass Attempts Per Game 34.8 39 Sacks 2.4 46 Completion % 68.8% 3 Turnovers 1.7 36 Passing Yards Per Game 249.5 43 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 2 74 Turnovers 1.5 65 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 8-5 7-6 8-6 30-23 (57%) 51 Overall ATS 8-5 5-6 6-7 8-6 27-24 (53%) 49 Over-Under 5-8 9-4 4-9 7-7 25-28 (47%) 71 at Home ATS 4-2 2-2 4-2 4-2 14-8 (64%) 10 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 3-4 2-5 4-4 13-16 (45%) 99 Conference ATS 5-3 2-4 3-5 6-3 16-15 (52%) 54 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 3-2 3-2 2-3 11-9 (55%) 42 Favorite ATS 6-2 4-5 4-3 4-2 18-12 (60%) 12 Underdog ATS 2-3 1-1 2-4 4-4 9-12 (43%) 95 After SUW ATS 5-2 1-5 1-5 5-3 12-15 (44%) 98 After SUL ATS 2-3 3-1 5-1 3-2 13-7 (65%) 11

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 39 11.1 0.94 5.1 8-QB 34.5 5.92 12.08 9 23.3 4.99 14.99 2017 35.5 2.7 0.96 8.1 6 25.8 5.82 15.69 6-DC 23.1 4.86 14.74 2016 34.5 6.4 1.58 6 6- OC 37.3 6.91 13.87 5 30.9 5.34 14.31 2015 40 12.8 1.09 3.2 8 37 6.14 12.98 8 24.2 5.05 15.62

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS (L9G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a close SU win of 3 points or less

• MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-7 ATS (L7G) - After playing FLORIDA INTL

• MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) at HOME - Underdog of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 142 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS Location: Bowling Green, KY STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Houches Industries - L. T. Smith Stadium 33 Head Coach: Tyson Helton - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 3.75 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 10 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Bryan Ellis * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Clayton White 33.23 (#107 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 C ARKANSAS 9/7/19 at FLA International ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of FIU-WKU series 9/14/19 LOUISVILLE 9/28/19 UAB 10/5/19 at Old Dominion OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of WKU-ODU series 10/12/19 ARMY 10/19/19 CHARLOTTE 10/26/19 at Marshall W KENTUCKY is 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. MARSHALL 11/2/19 FLA ATLANTIC FLA ATLANTIC is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. W KENTUCKY 11/9/19 at Arkansas 11/23/19 at Southern Miss 11/30/19 MIDDLE TENN ST HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L6 games of WKU-MTS series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 at Wisconsin 3-34 L 35.5 W 52 U 9/8/18 MAINE 28-31 L -10 L 50.5 O 9/15/18 at Louisville 17-20 L 23.5 W 54 U 9/22/18 at Ball St 28-20 W 3 W 52 U 9/29/18 MARSHALL 17-20 L 3.5 W 51.5 U 10/13/18 at Charlotte 14-40 L -9.5 L 44 O 10/20/18 OLD DOMINION 34-37 L -4 L 55 O 10/27/18 FLA INTERNATIONAL 17-38 L 3 L 54 O 11/2/18 at Middle Tenn St 10-29 L 11. 5 L 53 U 11/10/18 at Fla Atlantic 15-34 L 17.5 L 60 U 11/17/18 UTEP 40-16 W -7 W 48 O 11/24/18 at Louisiana Tech 30-15 W 10.5 W 51 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL First-time head coach Tyson Helton inherits a Western Kentucky program in relatively solid shape after a three-win season in 2018. The offense returns 10 starters, and he gets experience at the quarterback position. Steven Duncan started fve games a season ago, and Ty Storey transfers in from Arkansas where he made nine starts last year. The skill positions are in decent shape as well, with seven of the top eight pass-catchers and the leading rusher, Joshua Samuel, back in the fold. Even on defense, despite only six starters returning, there is returning production. While the linebackers get back just one returnee, he is Tacorian Darden, and All-Conference player. The Hilltoppers also have eight of their top 10 defensive linemen and six of their top eight defensive backs back in the mix. Plus, this team was very young last season, with 20 underclassmen getting the starting nod. Having said all of that, this could be a case in which the team improves, but the record does not. Western Kentucky draws FIU, Marshall and Southern Miss all on the road this season. Both UAB and FAU make the trip to L.T. Smith Stadium as well. The schedule is such a bear it is hard to look anywhere, but under fve wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 143 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 20.5 114 Points Per Game 27.5 62 Yards Per Point 17.7 123 Yards Per Point 15.7 33 Plays Per Game 75 40 3rd Down Conv. % 38.4% 52 Time of Possession 29:37 73 Total Yards Per Game 431.4 86 3rd Down Conv. % 40.8% 48 Yards Per Play 5.8 87 Total Yards Per Game 361.2 96 Rush Yards Per Game 176.5 76 Yards Per Play 4.8 112 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 85 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.2 76 Completion % 57.3% 46 Rush Yards Per Game 145.3 92 Passing Yards Per Game 254.8 98 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 91 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 74 Pass Attempts Per Game 35.5 35 Sacks 2.3 52 Completion % 59.2% 62 Turnovers 1.5 60 Passing Yards Per Game 215.9 79 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.1 116 Turnovers 1.4 50 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 12-2 11-3 6-7 3-9 32-21 (60%) 45 Overall ATS 9-3 7-6 3-9 6-6 25-24 (51%) 60 Over-Under 10-4 8-6 6-7 5-7 29-24 (55%) 26 at Home ATS 5-1 4-3 2-3 2-3 13-10 (57%) 20 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 3-3 1-6 4-3 12-14 (46%) 87 Conference ATS 7-2 6-2 3-5 3-5 19-14 (58%) 25 Non-Conf. ATS 2-1 1-4 0-4 3-1 6-10 (38%) 108 Favorite ATS 8-2 7-5 1-7 1-3 17-17 (50%) 73 Underdog ATS 1-1 0-1 2-2 5-3 8-7 (53%) 58 After SUW ATS 7-3 6-4 1-5 2-0 16-12 (57%) 29 After SUL ATS 2-0 0-2 2-3 3-6 7-11 (39%) 109

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 32 -4.7 -0.66 8.8 3 22.8 5.1 16.28 7 27.5 5.76 15.07 2017 Yes 30.5 -2.8 -0.42 9.5 4- OC 25.8 5.19 15.2 6-DC 28.6 5.61 13.34 2016 55 25.9 3.03 -15.5 8-QB 45 7.95 11. 97 4 19.1 4.92 18.47 2015 50.5 25.5 2.4 -7.7 7 46.8 7.62 11.75 9 21.2 5.22 17.34

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• W KENTUCKY is 12-3 ATS (L15G) - Underdog of more than 20 points

• W KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS (L9G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

• W KENTUCKY is 13-2 OVER (L15G) - In October

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 144 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION Location: Charlotte, NC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: McColl–Richardson Field at Stadium 27 Head Coach: Will Healy - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 2.25 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 5 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Alex Atkins * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brandon Cooper / Marcus West * 34.02 (#102 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 GARDNER WEBB 9/7/19 at Appalachian St 9/14/19 MASSACHUSETTS 9/21/19 at Clemson 9/28/19 FLA ATLANTIC UNDER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of CHA-FAU series 10/12/19 at FLA International ROAD TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of FIU-CHA series 10/19/19 at W Kentucky 10/26/19 NORTH TEXAS 11/2/19 MIDDLE TENN ST 11/9/19 at Utep 11/23/19 MARSHALL HOME TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of MAR-CHA series 11/30/19 at Old Dominion 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 FORDHAM 34-10 W -16.5 W 56 U 9/8/18 APPALACHIAN ST 9-45 L 14.5 L 48.5 O 9/13/18 OLD DOMINION 28-25 W 1 W 47.5 O 9/22/18 at Massachusetts 31-49 L 6 L 56 O 9/29/18 at UAB 7-28 L 14.5 L 52 U 10/13/18 W KENTUCKY 40-14 W 9.5 W 44 O 10/20/18 at Middle Tenn St 13-21 L 15.5 W 51 U 10/27/18 SOUTHERN MISS 20-17 W 6 W 45 U 11/3/18 at Tennessee 3-14 L 21 W 46 U 11/10/18 at Marshall 13-30 L 13 L 42 O 11/17/18 FLA INTERNATIONAL 35-42 L 3.5 L 45 O 11/24/18 at Fla Atlantic 27-24 W 16.5 W 53.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 4.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The calling-card for the 49ers in 2018 was a stout defense that fnished 11th in the country against the run, allowing just 3.4 yards per carry and 106 yards per game. Charlotte was actually 25th in the FBS in total defense as well, and that unit returns seven starters in what could be a surprising year. The questions will revolve around the offense, and new head coach Will Healy who comes from Austin Peay. Charlotte will have a stout running game to pair with that defense, as Benny LeMay returns for his senior season after rushing for over 1,200 yards and totaling nearly 1,500 yards from scrimmage. Healey will get the 49ers leading receiver from 2018 back, and a graduate transfer at tight end from Mississippi State. To top it off, the quarterback position is rife with experience. Chris Reynolds and Evan Shirreffs are back after combining for 10 starts here a season ago. Brett Kean transfers in from USF this season too, giving the 49ers plenty of options at quarterback. The schedule will defnitely push this intriguing team in 2019. The road trips to Appalachian State and Clemson in the nonconference portion are brutal. Then, they draw conference frontrunners FIU, FAU, North Texas and Marshall. However, getting the Mean Green and Thundering Herd at home is favorable for the 49ers. With an upgrade at head coach and a great, experienced defense it looks like Charlotte is a solid play over its win total.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 145 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION CHARLOTTE 49ERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 20.5 113 Points Per Game 28.1 66 Yards Per Point 16.1 102 Yards Per Point 12.2 118 Plays Per Game 72.3 64 3rd Down Conv. % 39.4% 62 Time of Possession 34:45 2 Total Yards Per Game 342.5 22 3rd Down Conv. % 41.7% 37 Yards Per Play 5.8 84 Total Yards Per Game 330 117 Rush Yards Per Game 116.6 14 Yards Per Play 4.6 122 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 27 Rush Attempts Per Game 43.5 20 Completion % 69.1% 126 Rush Yards Per Game 157.4 75 Passing Yards Per Game 225.8 60 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.6 108 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.7 115 Pass Attempts Per Game 25.7 108 Sacks 1.4 116 Completion % 59.7% 57 Turnovers 1.4 84 Passing Yards Per Game 172.6 109 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.7 98 Turnovers 1.3 40 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 2-10 4-8 1-11 5-7 12-36 (25%) 123 Overall ATS 2-6 5-7 6-6 7-5 20-24 (45%) 95 Over-Under 5-6 6-6 6-6 6-6 23-24 (49%) 60 at Home ATS 0-3 2-4 4-2 4-2 10-11 (48%) 65 Road/Neutral ATS 2-3 3-3 2-4 3-3 10-13 (43%) 103 Conference ATS 1-4 4-4 6-2 5-3 16-13 (55%) 37 Non-Conf. ATS 1-2 1-3 0-4 2-2 4-11 (27%) 123 Favorite ATS 0-0 1-1 0-1 1-0 2-2 (50%) 58 Underdog ATS 2-6 4-6 6-5 6-5 18-22 (45%) 85 After SUW ATS 0-1 2-2 1-0 2-2 5-5 (50%) 64 After SUL ATS 1-5 3-4 5-5 4-3 13-17 (43%) 90

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 29.5 -0.2 -0.42 15.5 8-QB, OC 24.9 5.12 14.24 10-DC 25.1 5.54 12.88 2017 16.5 -14.2 -0.73 22.6 6 17.3 5.16 18.37 6 31.5 5.88 13.79 2016 22 -7.8 -0.95 17.5 9-QB 23.8 4.99 15.69 7 31.7 5.94 14.08 2015 15.5 -16.2 -1.06 26.2 9 19 4.41 18.1 8-DC 35.3 5.47 11. 71

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• CHARLOTTE is 4-1 ATS (L2Y) - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• CHARLOTTE is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - Nonconference VS NON-POWER 5

• CHARLOTTE is 10-4 UNDER (L14G) - In October

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 146 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION OLD DOMINION MONARCHS Location: Norfolk, VA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Komblau Field at S. B. Ballard Stadium 23.5 Head Coach: Bobby Wilder - 11th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 4-8 2.75 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 9 - Offense: 4 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Brian Scott SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: David Blackwell * 32.81 (#109 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 NORFOLK ST 9/7/19 at Virginia Tech 9/21/19 at Virginia 9/28/19 EAST CAROLINA 10/5/19 W KENTUCKY OVER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of WKU-ODU series 10/12/19 at Marshall FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MAR-ODU series 10/19/19 at Uab 10/26/19 FLA ATLANTIC OVER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of ODU-FAU series 11/2/19 at FLA International ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of FIU-ODU series 11/9/19 TX-SAN ANTONIO 11/23/19 at Middle Tenn St MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 games vs. OLD DOMINION 11/30/19 CHARLOTTE 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Liberty 10-52 L -5 L 58.5 O 9/8/18 FLA INTERNATIONAL 20-28 L 3 L 51 U 9/13/18 at Charlotte 25-28 L -1 L 47.5 O 9/22/18 VIRGINIA TECH 49-35 W 28.5 W 52.5 O 9/29/18 at East Carolina 35-37 L 7 W 61.5 O 10/6/18 at Fla Atlantic 33-52 L 13.5 L 63.5 O 10/13/18 MARSHALL 20-42 L 4 L 56.5 O 10/20/18 at W Kentucky 37-34 W 4 W 55 O 10/27/18 MIDDLE TENN ST 17-51 L 4.5 L 62 O 11/10/18 NORTH TEXAS 34-31 W 15.5 W 67.5 U 11/17/18 VMI 77-14 W -32 W 73.5 O 11/24/18 at Rice 13-27 L -8.5 L 61.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 4.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL It has been quite the average run for the Monarchs the last fve years, with just one winning season during that span. From the looks of it, that trend will continue. Old Dominion returns just nine starters from last year’s four-win team, and Bobby Wilder is flling the holes with JUCOs and transfers. On defense alone, the Monarchs added a total of seven from the junior college ranks, four along the defensive line and three in the defensive backfeld. This was a defense that allowed 35.9 points per game and 6.2 yards per play a season ago. While there is nowhere to go but up, not much improvement should be expected. On offense, it is more of the same. Messiah deWeaver, another JUCO transfer, is expected to start at quarterback and they lose a pair of 1,000 yard receivers. Their top returning receivers combined for just 248 yards last season. The schedule makes it even worse for the Monarchs. They go to Blacksburg in their second game, a huge revenge spot for Virginia Tech which lost 49-35 to ODU last year at Foreman Field. That is followed up by a road game against Virginia, and the team gets to play four conference contenders in a four-week stretch. Three of those games (Marshall, UAB, FIU) will be on the road. This under is the strongest recommendation of the C-USA team win totals.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 147 2019 CONFERENCE USA EAST DIVISION OLD DOMINION MONARCHS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 26.6 76 Points Per Game 37.9 116 Yards Per Point 15.8 93 Yards Per Point 12.9 101 Plays Per Game 77.4 18 3rd Down Conv. % 41.3% 84 Time of Possession 28:38 98 Total Yards Per Game 488.1 122 3rd Down Conv. % 33.5% 110 Yards Per Play 6.3 112 Total Yards Per Game 420.4 39 Rush Yards Per Game 229.5 115 Yards Per Play 5.4 72 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 121 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.4 114 Completion % 63.0% 99 Rush Yards Per Game 111. 8 119 Passing Yards Per Game 258.5 103 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 121 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 92 Pass Attempts Per Game 41.4 6 Sacks 1.6 104 Completion % 60.4% 52 Turnovers 0.9 121 Passing Yards Per Game 308.5 12 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 58 Turnovers 1.8 97 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 10-3 5-7 4-8 24-25 (49%) 75 Overall ATS 3-9 8-4 4-8 5-7 20-28 (42%) 107 Over-Under 6-5 8-5 5-7 9-3 28-20 (58%) 11 at Home ATS 2-5 5-0 1-5 3-3 11-13 (46%) 75 Road/Neutral ATS 1-4 3-4 3-3 2-4 9-15 (38%) 118 Conference ATS 3-5 6-1 3-5 2-6 14-17 (45%) 90 Non-Conf. ATS 0-4 2-3 1-3 3-1 6-11 (35%) 113 Favorite ATS 1-3 8-1 1-3 1-3 11-10 (52%) 44 Underdog ATS 2-6 0-3 3-5 4-4 9-18 (33%) 122 After SUW ATS 1-4 5-3 2-3 2-2 10-12 (45%) 91 After SUL ATS 2-4 2-1 2-4 3-4 9-13 (41%) 97

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 26.5 -4.3 -0.49 13.9 9-QB 30.1 5.71 14.31 7 34.4 6.2 13.59 2017 22.5 -6.2 -0.39 15.9 8-QB 23.5 5.16 14.82 6 29.8 5.55 13.73 2016 36 7.1 0.93 4.5 9 34.7 6.38 12.49 8 27.6 5.44 13.74 2015 22 -11.3 -0.31 18.7 8-QB 23.4 5.36 15.89 5 34.7 5.66 12.57

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• OLD DOMINION is 7-2-1 ATS (L10G) at HOME - In November

• OLD DOMINION is 2-8 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 14 points

• OLD DOMINION is 11-4-1 OVER (L5Y) - In October

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 148 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES Location: Hattiesburg, MS STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Carlisle-Faulkner Field at M.M. Roberts Stadium 39.5 Head Coach: Jay Hopson - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 6-5 3.25 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 10 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Buster Faulkner * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: / Derek Nicholson 35.29 (#93 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 ALCORN ST 9/7/19 at Mississippi St 9/14/19 at Troy 9/21/19 at Alabama ALABAMA is 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS in its L10 games hosting SOUTHERN MISS 9/28/19 UTEP FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in L7 games of SM-UTEP series 10/12/19 NORTH TEXAS UNDER the total is 5-2 in L7 games of SM-NTX series 10/19/19 at Louisiana Tech ROAD TEAMS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of SM-LAT series 10/26/19 at Rice OVER the total is 8-0 in L8 games of SM-RIC series 11/9/19 UAB ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of SM-UAB series 11/16/19 at Tx-San Antonio UNDERDOGS are 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in L5 games of SM-UTSA series 11/23/19 W KENTUCKY 11/30/19 at FLA Atlantic 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 JACKSON ST 55-7 W -33 W 51 O 9/8/18 LA MONROE 20-21 L -6 L 67 U 9/22/18 RICE 40-22 W -13.5 W 55 O 9/29/18 at Auburn 13-24 L 27.5 W 50.5 U 10/13/18 at North Texas 7-30 L 7 L 53 U 10/20/18 TX-SAN ANTONIO 27-17 W -15 L 43 O 10/27/18 at Charlotte 17-20 L -6 L 45 U 11/3/18 MARSHALL 26-24 W 3 W 47.5 O 11/10/18 at UAB 23-26 L 14 W 45 O 11/17/18 LOUISIANA TECH 21-20 W -2 L 45.5 U 11/24/18 at UTEP 39-7 W -14 W 44 O

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 7.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Three of the last four seasons for Southern Miss have ended with winning records, and 2019 looks like it could follow in that trend. The offense should be much more consistent, and could blow away the 2018 production of 19.8 points per game with 10 returning starters. Among them will be quarterback Jack Abraham, who started nine games last year, and led the FBS in completion percentage at 73.1 percent. All three of the Golden Eagles’ top rushers return, too. The top fve receivers are all back as well, and four of the fve starting offensive lineman from last year will be on the feld. The defense is not lucky enough to have as much returning production, but still return six members of 2018’s unit. The defensive line is still anchored by All-Conference defensive end Jacques Turner, and they land a grad transfer from Penn State. The biggest losses are at linebacker, which sees four of their top fve depart, but three starters are back in the defensive backfeld. Southern Miss opens up with a gauntlet of nonconference opponents: Road trips to Mississippi State, Troy and Alabama. North Texas and Florida Atlantic are on the schedule as well. The blueprint for improvement is there, but eight wins seems like the program’s ceiling. If that’s the case, there is little room for error when betting this team Over its win total.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 149 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 23.3 98 Points Per Game 21.1 22 Yards Per Point 15.4 84 Yards Per Point 13.6 82 Plays Per Game 74.1 47 3rd Down Conv. % 35.7% 32 Time of Possession 32:28 19 Total Yards Per Game 286.5 3 3rd Down Conv. % 33.3% 114 Yards Per Play 4.5 11 Total Yards Per Game 358.7 102 Rush Yards Per Game 103.1 7 Yards Per Play 4.8 110 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.3 8 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.4 99 Completion % 53.7% 14 Rush Yards Per Game 103.7 122 Passing Yards Per Game 183.4 15 Yards Per Rush Attempt 2.9 127 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.2 20 Pass Attempts Per Game 35.6 32 Sacks 2 75 Completion % 68.5% 4 Turnovers 1.9 19 Passing Yards Per Game 255 38 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 2 75 Turnovers 2 114 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-5 7-6 8-5 6-5 30-21 (59%) 47 Overall ATS 10-4 4-9 8-5 6-5 28-23 (55%) 27 Over-Under 6-8 6-7 7-6 6-5 25-26 (49%) 52 at Home ATS 5-1 1-5 4-2 3-3 13-11 (54%) 31 Road/Neutral ATS 5-3 3-4 4-3 3-2 15-12 (56%) 47 Conference ATS 6-3 2-6 5-3 4-4 17-16 (52%) 56 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 2-3 3-2 2-1 11-7 (61%) 17 Favorite ATS 6-1 2-7 5-3 3-4 16-15 (52%) 48 Underdog ATS 4-3 2-2 3-2 3-1 12-8 (60%) 36 After SUW ATS 6-3 1-5 5-3 3-2 15-13 (54%) 48 After SUL ATS 3-1 2-4 2-2 2-3 9-10 (47%) 73

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 38 5.4 0.45 8.8 5-QB 28.9 5.08 12.61 4-DC 23.5 4.63 12.05 2017 34.5 6.2 0.86 6.9 6-QB 29.7 5.88 14.57 6 23.5 5.02 13.89 2016 Yes 36 4 0.17 4.5 7- OC 32.5 6.03 14.65 6-DC 28.5 5.87 11. 5 2015 43.5 16.7 1.89 0.8 10 38.7 7.03 13.47 5 22 5.13 16.53

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• SOUTHERN MISS is 21-9 ATS (S2000) on ROAD - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• SOUTHERN MISS is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - After playing a game that went into overtime

• SOUTHERN MISS is 8-0 OVER (L8G) - VS RICE

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 150 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN Location: Denton, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 38.5 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 3.5 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Bodie Reeder / Tommy Mainord * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Troy Reffett 30.52 (#125 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 ABILENE CHRISTIAN 9/7/19 at SMU FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of NTX-SMU series 9/14/19 at California 9/21/19 TX-SAN ANTONIO HOME TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of NTX-UTSA series 9/28/19 HOUSTON FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of HOU-NTX series 10/12/19 at Southern Miss UNDER the total is 5-2 in L7 games of SM-NTX series 10/19/19 MIDDLE TENN ST FAVORITES are 8-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in L9 games of MTS-NTX series 10/26/19 at Charlotte 11/2/19 UTEP HOME TEAMS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of NTX-UTEP series 11/9/19 at Louisiana Tech ROAD TEAMS are 7-1 SU & ATS in L8 games of NTX-LAT series 11/23/19 at Rice ROAD TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of NTX-RIC series 11/30/19 UAB UAB is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. NORTH TEXAS 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 SMU 46-23 W -3 W 71 U 9/8/18 INCARNATE WORD 58-16 W -44 L 79 U 9/15/18 at Arkansas 44-17 W 5 W 63 U 9/22/18 at Liberty 47-7 W -11.5 W 66.5 U 9/29/18 LOUISIANA TECH 27-29 L -7.5 L 62 U 10/6/18 at UTEP 27-24 W -25.5 L 54 U 10/13/18 SOUTHERN MISS 30-7 W -7 W 53 U 10/20/18 at UAB 21-29 L 2.5 L 53.5 U 10/27/18 RICE 41-17 W -30 L 58.5 U 11/10/18 at Old Dominion 31-34 L -15.5 L 67.5 U 11/15/18 FLA ATLANTIC 41-38 W -4.5 L 62.5 O 11/24/18 at Tx-San Antonio 24-21 W -24.5 L 52 U 12/15/18 vs. Utah St 13-52 L 7 L 67.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 7.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Seth Littrell’s Mean Green roll into the 2019 campaign on the heels of back-to-back nine-win seasons, primed for another winning year and a potential second West division title in three years. North Texas returns eight starters to an offense that averaged 34.6 points and 461 total yards per game a season ago, including All-Conference quarterback Mason Fine. Fine gets his leading wideout Rico Bussey back for his senior season and the program returns every running back. It is safe to say this offense should be able to match the numbers from last season. Defensively, there are fewer sure things at key positions. North Texas sees four All-Conference players depart on that side of the ball, two at linebacker and two at cornerback. In a conference littered with returning quarterbacks and skilled offenses, the losses on defense could haunt the Mean Green. The schedule presents a challenge as well. North Texas has a very arduous road slate with nonconference trips to SMU and Cal, and conference trips to Southern Miss, Charlotte and Louisiana Tech. The Mean Green get no breaks at home either, as Houston and UAB are among their visiting opponents. North Texas will be sizable favorites in four contests this season, and should be favored at home against Southern Miss, Middle Tennessee and UAB. It will be a sweat, but the lean here is to the over.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 151 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 32.7 29 Points Per Game 24.8 44 Yards Per Point 13.7 47 Yards Per Point 15.3 40 Plays Per Game 75.1 37 3rd Down Conv. % 35.7% 31 Time of Possession 31:17 35 Total Yards Per Game 381.2 48 3rd Down Conv. % 35.8% 95 Yards Per Play 5.2 41 Total Yards Per Game 448.3 22 Rush Yards Per Game 117. 8 15 Yards Per Play 6 27 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 13 Rush Attempts Per Game 35 105 Completion % 53.0% 8 Rush Yards Per Game 153.8 79 Passing Yards Per Game 263.3 111 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 60 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 2 60 Pass Attempts Per Game 37.9 18 Sacks 2.7 29 Completion % 63.5% 32 Turnovers 1.6 50 Passing Yards Per Game 294.5 15 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 37 Turnovers 1.3 46 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 1-11 5-8 9-5 9-4 24-28 (46%) 85 Overall ATS 4-8 7-5 8-6 4-9 23-28 (45%) 96 Over-Under 5-7 6-7 9-5 1-12 21-31 (40%) 114 at Home ATS 2-3 3-2 4-2 2-4 11-11 (50%) 57 Road/Neutral ATS 2-5 4-3 4-4 2-5 12-17 (41%) 113 Conference ATS 3-5 3-4 5-4 1-7 12-20 (38%) 118 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 4-1 3-2 3-2 11-8 (58%) 27 Favorite ATS 0-1 1-1 4-2 3-7 8-11 (42%) 100 Underdog ATS 4-7 6-4 4-4 1-2 15-17 (47%) 83 After SUW ATS 0-1 2-2 6-3 3-6 11-12 (48%) 81 After SUL ATS 4-6 5-2 1-3 0-3 10-14 (42%) 95

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 39 13.7 1.07 -2.6 9-QB 36.1 6.31 12.97 8 22.4 5.24 16.18 2017 35.5 5.1 0.77 4.8 6 36.5 6.53 13.2 5 31.4 5.76 13.34 2016 Yes 24.5 -4.9 -0.69 15.9 6-QB, OC 23.7 5.15 14.62 8-DC 28.5 5.83 14.73 2015 18 -17.7 -1.24 22.4 6 17 4.95 20.44 6-DC 34.7 6.19 13.41

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NORTH TEXAS is 8-2 ATS (L10G) at HOME - More than 6 days rest

• NORTH TEXAS is 5-12 ATS (L5Y) on ROAD - VS CUSA

• NORTH TEXAS is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 152 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS Location: Ruston, LA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Stadium 37.5 Head Coach: - 7th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Todd Fitch SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: * 28.75 (#128 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Texas 9/7/19 GRAMBLING 9/14/19 at Bowling Green 9/21/19 FLA INTERNATIONAL ROAD TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of LAT-FIU series 9/28/19 at Rice FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of RIC-LAT series 10/12/19 MASSACHUSETTS 10/19/19 SOUTHERN MISS ROAD TEAMS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of SM-LAT series 10/26/19 at Utep ROAD TEAMS are 7-3 ATS in LAT-UTEP series since 2001 11/9/19 NORTH TEXAS ROAD TEAMS are 7-1 SU & ATS in L8 games of NTX-LAT series 11/16/19 at Marshall 11/23/19 at Uab ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of UAB-LAT series 11/30/19 TX-SAN ANTONIO FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of LAT-UTSA series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at S Alabama 30-26 W -11 L 53.5 O 9/8/18 SOUTHERN 54-17 W -34.5 W 64.5 O 9/22/18 at LSU 21-38 L 18.5 W 51.5 O 9/29/18 at North Texas 29-27 W 7. 5 W 62 U 10/6/18 UAB 7-28 L -7 L 57 U 10/13/18 at Tx-San Antonio 31-3 W -13.5 W 46 U 10/20/18 UTEP 31-24 W -21 L 51 O 10/26/18 at Fla Atlantic 21-13 W 3.5 W 58.5 U 11/3/18 at Mississippi St 3-45 L 23 L 48.5 U 11/10/18 RICE 28-13 W -23 L 53 U 11/17/18 at Southern Miss 20-21 L 2 W 45.5 U 11/24/18 W KENTUCKY 15-30 L -10.5 L 51 U 12/22/18 at Hawaii 31-14 W -1 W 61 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 7.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL There are not many teams in the country that lost as much production on defense as Louisiana Tech did this offseason. The Bulldogs watched each of their starting defensive linemen leave, including defensive end Jaylon Ferguson who broke the NCAA career sack record with 45 takedowns. In all, Skip Holtz gets back fve starters on defense, and there is a clear path toward regression from last season in which the Bulldogs allowed 23 points per game. The offense returns eight starters, but the unit will need more production from quarterback J’Mar Smith. Smith has averaged just 7.05 yards per attempt, and completed no more than 57.3 percent of his passes as a full-time starter the last two seasons. The schedule does Louisiana Tech no favors either. The Bulldogs draw all but two of the conference contenders, being forced to go on the road for games with Marshall and UAB. Florida International, Southern Miss and North Texas all make the trip to Ruston. Having said that, they will face fve teams that won four or fewer games in 2018, giving Louisiana Tech an avenue to surpass its win total. If the Bulldogs can sweep those fve games they will be live for an eight win season. This is a very slight lean to the over for Louisiana Tech.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 153 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.2 107 Points Per Game 23.5 38 Yards Per Point 16.2 104 Yards Per Point 14.7 53 Plays Per Game 72.5 62 3rd Down Conv. % 34.1% 23 Time of Possession 30:29 48 Total Yards Per Game 345.9 26 3rd Down Conv. % 38.3% 68 Yards Per Play 4.9 25 Total Yards Per Game 359.9 99 Rush Yards Per Game 156.3 52 Yards Per Play 5 104 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 56 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.7 111 Completion % 55.5% 22 Rush Yards Per Game 125 112 Passing Yards Per Game 189.6 21 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 103 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.2 22 Pass Attempts Per Game 36.2 27 Sacks 3.2 6 Completion % 56.1% 95 Turnovers 1.8 29 Passing Yards Per Game 234.9 61 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.5 103 Turnovers 1.5 72 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 9-5 7-6 8-5 33-20 (62%) 37 Overall ATS 7-6 8-6 7-6 7-6 29-24 (55%) 32 Over-Under 8-5 11-3 6-7 4-9 29-24 (55%) 26 at Home ATS 4-2 3-2 2-5 1-4 10-13 (43%) 81 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 5-4 5-1 6-2 19-11 (63%) 22 Conference ATS 3-5 6-3 4-4 4-4 17-16 (52%) 56 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 2-3 3-2 3-2 12-8 (60%) 20 Favorite ATS 6-5 5-4 4-3 3-5 18-17 (51%) 50 Underdog ATS 1-1 3-2 3-3 4-1 11-7 (61%) 31 After SUW ATS 3-5 6-2 3-3 4-3 16-13 (55%) 38 After SUL ATS 3-1 1-4 4-2 3-2 11-9 (55%) 43

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 33.5 3.9 0.46 8.2 8-QB 28.1 5.47 13.72 7 24.2 5.01 14.07 2017 37.5 3.6 0.14 4.4 5-QB 29.9 5.83 13.79 6 26.3 5.69 14.8 2016 44.5 15.2 2.35 -4 6-QB, OC 41.8 7. 84 12.78 3 26.6 5.49 15.18 2015 41 13 1.63 -2.5 7-QB 35.7 6.85 13.38 6-DC 22.7 5.23 16.43

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• LOUISIANA TECH is 12-3 ATS (L15G) on ROAD - Favorite of 7 or less points

• LOUISIANA TECH is 1-6 ATS (L7G) at HOME - After SU loss

• LOUISIANA TECH is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 154 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION UAB BLAZERS Location: Birmingham, AL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Legion Field 34 Head Coach: Bill Clark - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 11-3 3 / 0 Returning Starters: 8 - Offense: 4 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: Bryant Vincent SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: David Reeves 26.02 (#130 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 ALABAMA ST 9/7/19 at Akron 9/21/19 S ALABAMA 9/28/19 at W Kentucky 10/5/19 RICE UAB is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games hosting RICE 10/12/19 at Tx-San Antonio 10/19/19 OLD DOMINION 11/2/19 at Tennessee UAB is 0-4 SU but 4-0 ATS in its L4 games at TENNESSEE 11/9/19 at Southern Miss ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of SM-UAB series 11/16/19 UTEP ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of UAB-UTEP series 11/23/19 LOUISIANA TECH ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of UAB-LAT series 11/30/19 at North Texas UAB is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. NORTH TEXAS 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 SAVANNAH ST 52-0 W -39 W 55 U 9/8/18 at Coastal Carolina 24-47 L -8.5 L 55 O 9/15/18 TULANE 31-24 W 3.5 W 58 U 9/29/18 CHARLOTTE 28-7 W -14.5 W 52 U 10/6/18 at Louisiana Tech 28-7 W 7 W 57 U 10/13/18 at Rice 42-0 W -17 W 53 U 10/20/18 NORTH TEXAS 29-21 W -2.5 W 53.5 U 10/27/18 at UTEP 19-0 W -15.5 W 50 U 11/3/18 TX-SAN ANTONIO 52-3 W -21.5 W 42.5 O 11/10/18 SOUTHERN MISS 26-23 W -14 L 45 O 11/17/18 at Texas A&M 20-41 L 16.5 L 46.5 O 11/24/18 at Middle Tenn St 3-27 L -3 L 51.5 U 12/1/18 at Middle Tenn St 27-25 W 1 W 44 O 12/18/18 vs. N Illinois 37-13 W -1.5 W 41 O JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 7 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Bill Clark has done a tremendous job in Birmingham during his tenure, and it culminated last season in a C-USA Title. However, all good things must come to an end, and it seems like this season is that end for the Blazers. The team from a season ago was loaded with returning production, and had 23 seniors make nearly 70 percent of the starts. Now, the rebuild begins anew on both sides of the ball with just eight total returning starters. Clark is set at quarterback though, which always helps. Tyler Johnston will be under center after starting fve games in 2018, taking the reins for good at season’s end in the C-USA Title and bowl games. Johnston will have his leading rusher back in Spencer Brown, but his top returning receiver reeled in just 197 yards. Oh, and four of the starting offensive linemen depart as well. The front seven which limited opponents to just 3.4 yards per carry and 4.8 yards per play returns just two members. The Blazers’ road schedule will be tough to navigate, as they go to WKU, Southern Miss, Tennessee and North Texas. The rest of their schedule is totally manageable, and in reality they play just three teams that posted winning records in 2018. However, factoring in expected improvement for their opponents seven wins seems like an absolute ceiling for this team. Hit the under.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 155 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION UAB BLAZERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.2 62 Points Per Game 18.3 12 Yards Per Point 14 55 Yards Per Point 16.9 17 Plays Per Game 69.2 89 3rd Down Conv. % 27.2% 3 Time of Possession 31:16 36 Total Yards Per Game 308.5 9 3rd Down Conv. % 43.3% 27 Yards Per Play 4.6 17 Total Yards Per Game 395.1 68 Rush Yards Per Game 115.2 13 Yards Per Play 5.7 52 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 12 Rush Attempts Per Game 43.5 19 Completion % 56.6% 32 Rush Yards Per Game 195.2 39 Passing Yards Per Game 193.3 23 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 51 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.6 31 Pass Attempts Per Game 23.9 114 Sacks 3.5 3 Completion % 54.0% 105 Turnovers 1.4 83 Passing Yards Per Game 199.9 94 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.4 17 Turnovers 1.3 41 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 0-0 0-0 8-5 11-3 19-8 (70%) 21 Overall ATS 0-0 0-0 8-5 10-4 18-9 (67%) 2 Over-Under 0-0 0-0 3-9 6-8 9-17 (35%) 129 at Home ATS 0-0 0-0 5-1 5-1 10-2 (83%) 1 Road/Neutral ATS 0-0 0-0 3-4 5-3 8-7 (53%) 61 Conference ATS 0-0 0-0 6-2 7-2 13-4 (76%) 3 Non-Conf. ATS 0-0 0-0 2-3 3-2 5-5 (50%) 72 Favorite ATS 0-0 0-0 2-2 7-3 9-5 (64%) 4 Underdog ATS 0-0 0-0 6-3 3-1 9-4 (69%) 14 After SUW ATS 0-0 0-0 4-4 7-3 11-7 (61%) 18 After SUL ATS 0-0 0-0 3-1 2-1 5-2 (71%) 5

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 44 12.4 0.97 -5.1 9-QB, OC 31.7 5.82 12.64 7 19.3 4.85 15.5 2017 28.5 0.2 -0.25 12.6 0-QB, OC 27.8 5.2 12.49 4-DC 27.6 5.46 13.64 2016 N/A N/A 2015 N/A N/A

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• UAB is 7-0 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Nonconference games

• UAB is 2-8 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - After a close SU win of 3 points or less

• UAB is 7-0 OVER (L7G) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 14 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 156 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION UTSA ROADRUNNERS Location: San Antonio, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 21 Head Coach: Frank Wilson - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 3 / 0 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Jeff Kastl * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jason Rollins 34.56 (#96 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 INCARNATE WORD 9/7/19 at Baylor 9/14/19 ARMY 9/21/19 at North Texas HOME TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of NTX-UTSA series 10/5/19 at Utep ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of UTSA-UTEP series 10/12/19 UAB 10/19/19 RICE UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of RIC-UTSA series 11/2/19 at Texas A&M 11/9/19 at Old Dominion 11/16/19 SOUTHERN MISS UNDERDOGS are 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in L5 games of SM-UTSA series 11/23/19 FLA ATLANTIC 11/30/19 at Louisiana Tech FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of LAT-UTSA series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Arizona St 7-49 L 17 L 52 O 9/8/18 BAYLOR 20-37 L 16.5 L 54.5 O 9/15/18 at Kansas St 17-41 L 20 L 46.5 O 9/22/18 TEXAS ST UNIV 25-21 W -7 L 48.5 U 9/29/18 UTEP 30-21 W -10.5 L 47 O 10/6/18 at Rice 20-3 W 1.5 W 50 U 10/13/18 LOUISIANA TECH 3-31 L 13.5 L 46 U 10/20/18 at Southern Miss 17-27 L 15 W 43 O 11/3/18 at UAB 3-52 L 21.5 L 42.5 O 11/10/18 FLA INTERNATIONAL 7-45 L 10.5 L 48 O 11/17/18 at Marshall 0-23 L 26.5 W 47 U 11/24/18 NORTH TEXAS 21-24 L 24.5 W 52 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 2.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL After back-to-back six-win seasons, UTSA found itself back in the cellar of C-USA with a three-win year in 2018. The issues start on offense, and with eight returning starters this unit must improve on the 14.2 points per game mark posted last season. An offensive line that loses just a single backup will help to make things better in San Antonio. The quarterback position will be between sophomore Lowell Narcisse or JUCO Cordale Grundy. Regardless, there is little experience between the two, but Grundy did get in seven starts last year. The defensive line is in good shape with nine of 10 guys back, and there should be an improvement in a unit that allowed 436 yards per game. The Roadrunners have a manageable schedule as well. They get both UTEP and Rice on the schedule, but have to go on the road to face the Miners. Road games against Baylor, North Texas and Texas A&M fgure to be lopsided. Plus, Army, Southern Miss and FAU are all part of the home schedule for UTSA. With a very limited amount of opportunities to snag wins on this schedule there is no choice but to recommend the Under for the Roadrunners’ win total.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 157 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION UTSA ROADRUNNERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 14.2 129 Points Per Game 31.2 83 Yards Per Point 17.4 120 Yards Per Point 14 72 Plays Per Game 66.2 113 3rd Down Conv. % 40.4% 79 Time of Possession 27:38 111 Total Yards Per Game 435.8 90 3rd Down Conv. % 32.4% 118 Yards Per Play 6.3 111 Total Yards Per Game 247.2 130 Rush Yards Per Game 160.5 61 Yards Per Play 3.7 129 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 57 Rush Attempts Per Game 29.4 126 Completion % 65.4% 120 Rush Yards Per Game 87.3 127 Passing Yards Per Game 275.2 122 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3 126 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.4 128 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.7 50 Sacks 1.9 80 Completion % 50.5% 120 Turnovers 1.6 47 Passing Yards Per Game 159.8 117 Yards Per Pass Attempt 4.7 128 Turnovers 1.5 68 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 6-7 6-5 3-9 18-30 (38%) 109 Overall ATS 5-6 7-6 3-8 4-8 19-28 (40%) 114 Over-Under 7-5 6-7 3-8 7-5 23-25 (48%) 69 at Home ATS 3-3 4-2 0-5 1-5 8-15 (35%) 115 Road/Neutral ATS 2-3 3-4 3-3 3-3 11-13 (46%) 91 Conference ATS 3-4 4-4 1-7 4-4 12-19 (39%) 114 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 3-2 2-1 0-4 7-9 (44%) 91 Favorite ATS 2-2 2-3 2-7 0-2 6-14 (30%) 124 Underdog ATS 3-4 5-3 1-1 4-6 13-14 (48%) 80 After SUW ATS 2-1 2-4 2-4 1-2 7-11 (39%) 114 After SUL ATS 2-5 5-1 0-4 3-5 10-15 (40%) 105

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 19 -11.8 -2.01 24.1 4-OC 19 4.11 13.64 6-DC 30.9 6.12 13.46 2017 34.5 5.6 0.58 3.5 7 22.7 5.6 16.88 7 17.1 5.02 17 2016 Yes 34.5 3 -0.23 7 7-QB, OC 27.4 5.43 13.92 5-DC 24.3 5.66 16.22 2015 22 -6.1 -0.46 17 2-QB 22.1 5.24 17.15 4 28.2 5.7 15.03

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 5-1-1 ATS (L7G) - On grass feld

• TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at HOME - As favorite

• TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) on ROAD - In October

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 158 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION RICE OWLS Location: Houston, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Rice Stadium 20.5 Head Coach: Mike Bloomgren - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 2-11 2 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Jerry Mack SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brian Smith 37.63 (#76 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 at Army ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 5-1 ATS in L7 games of RIC-ARM series 9/7/19 WAKE FOREST 9/14/19 vs. Texas HOME TEAMS are 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS in RIC-TEX series since 1992 9/21/19 BAYLOR FAVORITES are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of BAY-RIC series 9/28/19 LOUISIANA TECH FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of RIC-LAT series 10/5/19 at Uab UAB is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games hosting RICE 10/19/19 at Tx-San Antonio UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of RIC-UTSA series 10/26/19 SOUTHERN MISS OVER the total is 8-0 in L8 games of SM-RIC series 11/2/19 MARSHALL HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in L6 games of MAR-RIC series 11/16/19 at Middle Tenn St 11/23/19 NORTH TEXAS ROAD TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of NTX-RIC series 11/30/19 at Utep RICE is 11-5 SU & 13-3 ATS vs. UTEP since 2003 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/25/18 PRAIRIE VIEW 31-28 W -23 L 58.5 O 9/1/18 HOUSTON 27-45 L 25 W 56 O 9/8/18 at Hawaii 29-43 L 17 W 70 O 9/22/18 at Southern Miss 22-40 L 13.5 L 55 O 9/29/18 at Wake Forest 24-56 L 28 L 66 O 10/6/18 TX-SAN ANTONIO 3-20 L -1.5 L 50 U 10/13/18 UAB 0-42 L 17 L 53 U 10/20/18 at Fla International 17-36 L 23 W 53.5 U 10/27/18 at North Texas 17-41 L 30 W 58.5 U 11/3/18 UTEP 26-34 L 1.5 L 45.5 O 11/10/18 at Louisiana Tech 13-28 L 23 W 53 U 11/17/18 at LSU 10-42 L 41.5 W 51.5 O 11/24/18 OLD DOMINION 27-13 W 8.5 W 61.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 2.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Obviously the schedule is a huge part of handicapping win totals, as is the makeup of a program’s roster. When it comes to Rice, it’s hard to get past what looks like a brutal schedule without looking right at the Under as a bet. The Owls will face four teams that posted double-digit wins in 2018, fve teams that had nine or more wins and nine teams on the schedule had straight up winning records. Mike Bloomgren enters his second year at the helm, and the experience is solid. After all, he was forced to start the third most freshman in the FBS last season. The program adds a pair of Harvard transfers at quarterback and running back, and they only lose Brendan Harmon at receiver, a whopping 64 yards of production. On defense, they lose one backup in the linebacker group, and four of eight are returning in the defensive backfeld. Rice, despite all that, will likely be heavy underdogs in every single game this season. The best chance for a win seems to be in the fnal game of the regular season, on the road against UTEP and that is by no means a circle win. It’s hard to make a case for a two win season in Houston, so take the under here.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 159 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION RICE OWLS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 17.9 126 Points Per Game 36.7 112 Yards Per Point 17.4 119 Yards Per Point 12.3 116 Plays Per Game 67.3 107 3rd Down Conv. % 43.8% 102 Time of Possession 32:06 26 Total Yards Per Game 451.3 103 3rd Down Conv. % 28.7% 129 Yards Per Play 6.8 123 Total Yards Per Game 311.8 123 Rush Yards Per Game 168.2 67 Yards Per Play 4.6 118 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 91 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.7 85 Completion % 63.6% 107 Rush Yards Per Game 129.8 108 Passing Yards Per Game 283.1 127 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.5 111 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.4 125 Pass Attempts Per Game 28.7 91 Sacks 1.1 124 Completion % 53.8% 106 Turnovers 1.4 82 Passing Yards Per Game 182.1 102 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 109 Turnovers 1.9 107 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 3-9 1-11 2-11 11-38 (22%) 125 Overall ATS 5-6 6-6 4-8 7-6 22-26 (46%) 93 Over-Under 7-5 7-5 6-6 7-6 27-22 (55%) 22 at Home ATS 2-3 3-3 1-4 2-4 8-14 (36%) 109 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 3-3 3-4 5-2 14-12 (54%) 55 Conference ATS 3-5 4-4 4-4 4-4 15-17 (47%) 78 Non-Conf. ATS 2-1 2-2 0-4 3-2 7-9 (44%) 91 Favorite ATS 3-1 1-3 0-1 0-2 4-7 (36%) 114 Underdog ATS 2-5 5-3 4-7 7-4 18-19 (49%) 75 After SUW ATS 1-2 2-1 0-1 1-0 4-4 (50%) 71 After SUL ATS 3-4 4-4 4-6 6-5 17-19 (47%) 76

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 21.5 -12.6 -1.56 27.2 6-QB, OC 20.8 5.04 15.96 5-DC 33.4 6.6 12.8 2017 19.5 -12.8 -0.14 19.1 8-QB 20.1 5.86 17.78 8-DC 32.9 6 12.09 2016 21 -8.7 -1.87 21.7 7-QB 24.5 5.33 16.18 9 33.2 7. 2 14.74 2015 23 -8 -1.59 14.6 6 25.2 5.42 16.24 3 33.2 7. 01 13.25

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• RICE is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - Before playing NORTH TEXAS

• RICE is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - [vs OPP] After playing a game that went into overtime

• RICE is 8-0 OVER (L8G) - VS SOUTHERN MISS

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 160 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION UTEP MINERS Location: El Paso, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Stadium 16.5 Head Coach: Dana Dimel - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 1-11 2.25 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 30.58 (#124 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 HOUSTON BAPTIST 9/7/19 at Texas Tech HOME TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of TT-UTEP series 9/21/19 NEVADA ROAD TEAMS are 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS in L3 games of UTEP-NEV series 9/28/19 at Southern Miss FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in L7 games of SM-UTEP series 10/5/19 TX-SAN ANTONIO ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of UTSA-UTEP series 10/19/19 at FLA International 10/26/19 LOUISIANA TECH ROAD TEAMS are 7-3 ATS in LAT-UTEP series since 2001 11/2/19 at North Texas HOME TEAMS are 5-1 ATS in L6 games of NTX-UTEP series 11/9/19 CHARLOTTE 11/16/19 at Uab ROAD TEAMS are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of UAB-UTEP series 11/23/19 at New Mexico St FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in L6 games of UTEP-NMS series 11/30/19 RICE RICE is 11-5 SU & 13-3 ATS vs. UTEP since 2003 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 N ARIZONA 10-30 L 7 L 52.5 U 9/8/18 at UNLV 24-52 L 22.5 L 54 O 9/15/18 at Tennessee 0-24 L 33.5 W 51.5 U 9/22/18 NEW MEXICO ST 20-27 L 5.5 L 51.5 U 9/29/18 at Tx-San Antonio 21-30 L 10.5 W 47 O 10/6/18 NORTH TEXAS 24-27 L 25.5 W 54 U 10/20/18 at Louisiana Tech 24-31 L 21 W 51 O 10/27/18 UAB 0-19 L 15.5 L 50 U 11/3/18 at Rice 34-26 W -1.5 W 45.5 O 11/10/18 MIDDLE TENN ST 32-48 L 13 L 48.5 O 11/17/18 at W Kentucky 16-40 L 7 L 48 O 11/24/18 SOUTHERN MISS 7-39 L 14 L 44 O

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 3 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL An improved running game, offensive line and health at the quarterback position will be key for UTEP in 2018. Quarterback Kai Locksley is back for another go, will hopefully be able to make more than just eight starts as he did last season. Locksley will need to get a bit more explosive with his play though, as he was extremely pedestrian passing for 937 yards and three touchdowns in those eight starts. He will have a brand new crew to break in at receiver, as fve of the top six are gone, but four return along the offensive line which should help immensely. The defense will likely be the Achilles heel as head coach Dana Dimel transitions this unit to a 3-3-5 scheme. UTEP loses its top two tacklers, and three starters at . The Miners allowed 32.8 points per game last year, and will likely approach that fgure once more. Dimel catches a break with the schedule, with UTEP getting four truly winnable games against Houston Baptist, Nevada, UTSA and Rice. All of those will be at home. It is not a stretch to say the Miners will more than likely fnish winless on the road, but their other home opponents (Louisiana Tech and Charlotte) are no powerhouses. Four wins are attainable for UTEP, so the lean here is over.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 161 2019 CONFERENCE USA WEST DIVISION UTEP MINERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 18.4 124 Points Per Game 33 93 Yards Per Point 17.1 116 Yards Per Point 12.2 119 Plays Per Game 65.4 126 3rd Down Conv. % 36.6% 38 Time of Possession 29:21 76 Total Yards Per Game 401.6 66 3rd Down Conv. % 34.9% 102 Yards Per Play 5.9 89 Total Yards Per Game 314.8 122 Rush Yards Per Game 203.8 97 Yards Per Play 4.8 111 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 105 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.5 98 Completion % 62.2% 88 Rush Yards Per Game 125.6 111 Passing Yards Per Game 197.8 27 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.5 112 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 66 Pass Attempts Per Game 26.6 106 Sacks 1.7 98 Completion % 49.8% 122 Turnovers 1 115 Passing Yards Per Game 189.2 99 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 79 Turnovers 2.3 126 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 4-8 0-12 1-11 10-38 (21%) 126 Overall ATS 5-6 6-6 3-9 5-7 19-28 (40%) 115 Over-Under 4-8 7-5 4-8 7-5 22-26 (46%) 82 at Home ATS 3-2 3-4 1-4 1-5 8-15 (35%) 115 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 3-2 2-5 4-2 11-13 (46%) 92 Conference ATS 5-3 4-4 2-6 4-4 15-17 (47%) 78 Non-Conf. ATS 0-3 2-2 1-3 1-3 4-11 (27%) 123 Favorite ATS 0-1 2-1 0-1 1-0 3-3 (50%) 72 Underdog ATS 5-5 4-5 3-8 4-7 16-25 (39%) 112 After SUW ATS 1-3 1-2 0-0 0-1 2-6 (25%) 126 After SUL ATS 4-2 4-4 3-8 5-5 16-19 (46%) 81

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 16.5 -13.9 -0.88 16.5 6-QB, OC 19.7 4.98 15.82 6-DC 33.6 5.86 11. 6 2017 13 -16.2 -1.25 25.1 5 14.8 4.5 17.14 7 31 5.75 13.27 2016 21 -9.7 -0.25 19.7 7-QB, OC 23.3 5.97 15.7 6-DC 33 6.22 12.81 2015 21 -11.2 -1.84 24.9 6-QB 18.2 4.99 19.08 5 29.4 6.83 14.58

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• UTEP is 6-2 ATS (L8G) - Revenging a loss vs - LOUISIANA TECH

• UTEP is 2-10 ATS (L12G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] AP top 25

• UTEP is 6-1 UNDER (L7G) at HOME - Underdog of more than 20 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 162 FBS INDEPENDENTS PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY MATT YOUMANS - @MATTYOUMANS247

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's ARMY 41 2.5 1 26.19 129 10.0 3.0 -- NOTRE DAME 60.5 3.5 0 43.88 48 9.5 2.5 - - BYU 46.5 3 0.25 41.52 62 7. 0 5.0 -- LIBERTY 28 3 0.5 29.94 126 5.3 6.7 -- MASSACHUSETTS 21.5 3.5 -0.5 32.19 114 3.3 8.7 - - NEW MEXICO ST 23 2.75 -0.5 37.17 78 3.1 8.9 -- THE FAVORITES Notre Dame and Army A year after posting a perfect record in the regular season, the Fighting Irish fgure to be favored in all seven home games. But a couple of those — against Southern California on Oct. 12 and Virginia Tech on Nov. 2 — could be tricky spots because sandwiched in between is a monster road test at Michigan. Irish coach Brian Kelly will be seeing a determined Jim Harbaugh with revenge in his eyes. Army (11-2) fnished last season with one fewer win than Notre Dame. The Black Knights swept military rivals Air Force and Navy but failed to cover the spread in either narrow win. LIVE DOG Liberty Former Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze is getting an opportunity to revive his troubled coaching career with the Flames. In 2017, Liberty upended Baylor as a 30-point ‘dog. Freeze will look to pull off an upset or two with Syracuse, Rutgers, Brigham Young and Virginia on the schedule this year. DEAD MONEY Massachusetts New coach Walt Bell inherits only 10 returning starters from a 4-8 team. In Phil Steele’s preseason guide, the Minuteman are ranked No. 130 of 130 teams. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Utah at BYU, Aug. 29 in 2017. That was Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm’s A victory over the rival Utes would ease some of frst road start. The Irish are 11-point road ‘dogs in the the Cougars’ scheduling concerns. Utah opened rematch. as a 6-point favorite. BYU’s next three games — at Tennessee, USC, Washington — make for a rough Notre Dame at Michigan, Oct. 26 September stretch. The Wolverines opened as 7-point favorites.

Army at Michigan, Sept. 7 Army vs. Navy, Dec. 14 The Knights visit Ann Arbor seven weeks before the The Black Knights have won three in a row to fip the Irish do. rivalry.

Notre Dame at Georgia, Sept. 21 The Bulldogs were 5-point ‘dogs in a 20-19 win at ND

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 163 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS Location: West Point, NY STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Blaik Field at Michie Stadium 41 Head Coach: - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 11-2 2.5 / 1 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: Brent Davis SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: John Loose * 26.19 (#129 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 RICE ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 5-1 ATS in L7 games of RIC-ARM series 9/7/19 at Michigan 9/14/19 at Tx-San Antonio 9/21/19 MORGAN ST 10/5/19 TULANE HOME TEAMS are 10-7 SU & 10-6 ATS in ARM-TUL series since 1996 10/12/19 at W Kentucky 10/19/19 at Georgia St 10/26/19 SAN JOSE ST 11/2/19 at Air Force UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of ARM-AF series 11/9/19 MASSACHUSETTS 11/16/19 VMI 11/30/19 at Hawaii HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of ARM-HAW series 12/14/19 vs. Navy UNDER the total is 13-0 in NAV-ARM series since 2006 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 at Duke 14-34 L 13.5 L 46.5 O 9/8/18 LIBERTY 38-14 W -8 W 58 U 9/15/18 HAWAII 28-21 W -6.5 W 62 U 9/22/18 at Oklahoma 21-28 L 28.5 W 60 U 9/29/18 at Buffalo 42-13 W 7 W 54.5 O 10/13/18 vs. San Jose St 52-3 W -17.5 W 50.5 O 10/20/18 MIAMI OHIO 31-30 W -6.5 L 47 O 10/27/18 at E Michigan 37-22 W -1.5 W 48 O 11/3/18 AIR FORCE 17-14 W -4.5 L 41.5 U 11/10/18 LAFAYETTE 31-13 W -46 L 53.5 U 11/17/18 COLGATE 28-14 W -9 W 37 O 12/8/18 vs. Navy 17-10 W -7.5 L 38.5 U 12/22/18 vs. Houston 70-14 W -6.5 W 55.5 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 9.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Senior quarterback Kelvin Hopkins is not much of a passing threat, but he runs a potent offense and his experience will give the Black Knights another shot at double-digit wins. Hopkins rushed for 1,017 yards and 17 touchdowns last year, when Army went 11-2 capped by the biggest blowout of the bowl season, a 70-14 victory over Houston. With only four starters returning on defense, the Knights might not be as successful in close games, and they thrived in those situations last season by going 4-1 in games decided by seven points or fewer. Army topped Air Force and Navy in narrow wins, but a 28-21 overtime loss as a 30-point underdog at Oklahoma was most impressive. Jeff Monken, entering his sixth year as coach, has completely turned around a program that went 2-10 in 2015. The key to this win total is a 13-game schedule that includes a late trip to Hawaii. Only three opponents had a winning record last year. Aside from a September trip to Michigan, there is no other game Army almost certainly fgures to lose. If Hopkins stays healthy, look for 10 or more wins for the Knights. The Over price (-150) is reasonable.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 164 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 33.4 26 Points Per Game 18.5 13 Yards Per Point 12 14 Yards Per Point 16.9 16 Plays Per Game 72.4 63 3rd Down Conv. % 26.8% 2 Time of Possession 38:50 1 Total Yards Per Game 311.7 11 3rd Down Conv. % 53.8% 1 Yards Per Play 5.5 57 Total Yards Per Game 401 62 Rush Yards Per Game 101.3 4 Yards Per Play 5.5 66 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.6 22 Rush Attempts Per Game 64.3 1 Completion % 58.5% 57 Rush Yards Per Game 317.3 1 Passing Yards Per Game 210.5 43 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.9 30 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 94 Pass Attempts Per Game 7. 8 130 Sacks 2.3 53 Completion % 52.3% 115 Turnovers 1.5 61 Passing Yards Per Game 83.7 127 Yards Per Pass Attempt 10.7 3 Turnovers 0.5 2 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 2-10 8-5 10-3 11-2 31-20 (61%) 43 Overall ATS 5-6 7-6 7-6 8-5 27-23 (54%) 37 Over-Under 4-8 5-8 7-6 7-6 23-28 (45%) 86 at Home ATS 1-5 3-2 2-4 3-3 9-14 (39%) 102 Road/Neutral ATS 4-1 4-4 5-2 5-2 18-9 (67%) 7 Conference ATS 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-0 1-1 (50%) 61 Non-Conf. ATS 5-6 7-5 7-6 7-5 26-22 (54%) 46 Favorite ATS 1-3 4-4 2-4 6-4 13-15 (46%) 84 Underdog ATS 4-3 3-2 5-2 2-1 14-8 (64%) 24 After SUW ATS 1-0 3-4 5-4 6-4 15-12 (56%) 37 After SUL ATS 4-5 3-2 1-2 2-0 10-9 (53%) 50

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 46 16.8 -0.15 -4.3 3 32.9 5.51 12.22 8 16 5.66 18.01 2017 42 13.5 0.53 -0.9 9 32.3 6.43 12.85 7 18.8 5.9 18.51 2016 35 8.5 0.71 5.2 6-QB 29.9 5.8 13.38 9 21.4 5.09 13.89 2015 25 -5.5 -0.47 16.8 5-QB 23.6 5.63 14.34 5 29.2 6.1 13.07

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• ARMY is 8-2 ATS (L10G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• ARMY is 1-8 ATS (L9G) on ROAD - Before playing NAVY

• ARMY is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) - [vs OPP] Head coach - NIUMATALOLO

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 165 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH Location: Notre Dame, IN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Notre Dame Stadium 60.5 Head Coach: Brian Kelly - 10th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 12-1 3.5 / 0 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Chip Long SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 43.88 (#48 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 9/2/19 at Louisville 9/14/19 NEW MEXICO 9/21/19 at Georgia 9/28/19 VIRGINIA 10/5/19 BOWLING GREEN 10/12/19 USC HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of USC-ND series 10/26/19 at Michigan HOME TEAMS are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of ND-MIC series 11/2/19 VIRGINIA TECH 11/9/19 at Duke 11/16/19 NAVY ROAD TEAMS are 2-12 SU but 12-2 ATS in ND-NAV series since 1993 11/23/19 BOSTON COLLEGE UNDERDOGS are 5-15 SU but 14-6 ATS in BC-ND series since 1993 11/30/19 at Stanford UNDERDOGS are 4-16 SU but 13-7 ATS in ND-STA series since 1999 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 MICHIGAN 24-17 W 3 W 48.5 U 9/8/18 BALL ST 24-16 W -34 L 59.5 U 9/15/18 VANDERBILT 22-17 W -13.5 L 53 U 9/22/18 at Wake Forest 56-27 W -6 W 59.5 O 9/29/18 STANFORD 38-17 W -4.5 W 54.5 O 10/6/18 at Virginia Tech 45-23 W -6.5 W 53.5 O 10/13/18 PITTSBURGH 19-14 W -21 L 55.5 U 10/27/18 vs. Navy 44-22 W -22.5 L 57 O 11/3/18 at Northwestern 31-21 W -10 T 49.5 O 11/10/18 FLORIDA ST 42-13 W -17 W 51.5 O 11/17/18 vs. Syracuse 36-3 W -10 W 64.5 U 11/24/18 at USC 24-17 W -14 L 55 U 12/29/18 vs. Clemson 3-30 L 10.5 L 58 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 9.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA Brian Kelly has had only one bad season in the past four — and it was really bad with a 4-8 fnish in 2016 — and this another Fighting Irish team capable of winning 10 games. Kelly is stringing together outstanding recruiting classes and he’s a sharp game-planner. For evidence, look at how he took apart Michigan and owned Jim Harbaugh in the frst half of last year’s opener. With junior quarterback Ian Book returning along with four starters on the line, Kelly will feld another strong offense. The defense returns six starters after allowing an impressive 18.2 points per game. But the talent is not the same as last year’s 12-1 team. This roster is not on the level with Alabama, Clemson and other elite teams. Notre Dame will lose two road games (Georgia, Michigan) and the Nov. 30 date at Stanford is not going to be easy. The Irish open as 20-point favorites at Louisville and will be favored in all seven home games. The schedule is soft enough for Kelly to navigate the way to 9-3, with the best-case scenario being 10-2. This is most likely a nine-win team (Under 9½ is -145 at Circa) so forget a playoff repeat.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 166 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 31.4 33 Points Per Game 18.2 11 Yards Per Point 14 54 Yards Per Point 19.1 5 Plays Per Game 75.1 38 3rd Down Conv. % 38.9% 55 Time of Possession 29:04 83 Total Yards Per Game 347.4 27 3rd Down Conv. % 43.0% 31 Yards Per Play 4.6 12 Total Yards Per Game 440.4 28 Rush Yards Per Game 139.5 33 Yards Per Play 5.9 39 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 36 Rush Attempts Per Game 41.1 31 Completion % 56.9% 37 Rush Yards Per Game 182.9 48 Passing Yards Per Game 207.9 41 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 52 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.6 3 Pass Attempts Per Game 32.2 62 Sacks 2.6 32 Completion % 64.1% 26 Turnovers 1.6 43 Passing Yards Per Game 257.5 36 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8 29 Turnovers 1.3 42 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 4-8 10-3 12-1 36-15 (71%) 19 Overall ATS 8-5 4-8 8-5 6-6 26-24 (52%) 55 Over-Under 7-6 6-6 7-6 6-7 26-25 (51%) 42 at Home ATS 5-1 2-4 4-3 3-3 14-11 (56%) 25 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 2-4 4-2 3-3 12-13 (48%) 79 Conference ATS 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 (100%) 1 Non-Conf. ATS 8-5 3-8 8-5 6-6 25-24 (51%) 58 Favorite ATS 6-4 4-6 7-5 5-5 22-20 (52%) 43 Underdog ATS 2-1 0-2 1-0 1-1 4-4 (50%) 70 After SUW ATS 6-4 0-4 5-4 5-6 16-18 (47%) 84 After SUL ATS 1-1 4-3 2-1 0-0 7-5 (58%) 26

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 62.5 33 3.34 -19.1 6-QB 42 7. 27 12.77 9-DC 9 3.93 32.13 2017 59.5 33.6 3.78 -17.8 8-QB, OC 45.8 7.98 12.33 7-DC 12.2 4.2 25.11 2016 48.5 19.1 2.39 -10.2 4 39.5 7.1 12.38 4 20.4 4.71 16.17 2015 58 29.5 3.65 -17 7-QB 44.3 8.44 12.64 10 14.7 4.79 21.29

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NOTRE DAME is 18-2 ATS (L20G) on ROAD - In October

• NOTRE DAME is 10-24 ATS (S2000) at HOME - In November

• NOTRE DAME is 13-2 UNDER (L15G) - Before playing NAVY

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 167 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS BYU COUGARS Location: Provo, UT STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: LaVell Edwards Stadium 46.5 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 17 - Offense: 9 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 41.52 (#62 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 UTAH ROAD TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of BYU-UTA series 9/7/19 at Tennessee 9/14/19 USC 9/21/19 WASHINGTON HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L6 games of BYU-WAS series 9/28/19 at Toledo 10/12/19 at South Florida 10/19/19 BOISE ST ROAD TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of BSU-BYU series 11/2/19 at Utah St UNDERDOGS are 5-6 SU but 9-2 ATS in UTS-BYU series since 2008 11/9/19 LIBERTY 11/16/19 IDAHO ST 11/23/19 at Massachusetts ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MAS-BYU series 11/30/19 at San Diego St BYU is 13-2 SU & 11-4 ATS vs. SAN DIEGO ST since 1995 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Arizona 28-23 W 10.5 W 58.5 U 9/8/18 CALIFORNIA 18-21 L -2 L 47.5 U 9/15/18 at Wisconsin 24-21 W 23.5 W 52.5 U 9/22/18 MCNEESE ST 30-3 W -22.5 W 41.5 U 9/29/18 at Washington 7-35 L 18.5 L 47.5 U 10/5/18 UTAH ST 20-45 L -1 L 55 O 10/13/18 HAWAII 49-23 W -10.5 W 57 O 10/27/18 N ILLINOIS 6-7 L -7 L 44.5 U 11/3/18 at Boise St 16-21 L 12 W 52.5 U 11/10/18 at Massachusetts 35-16 W -13.5 W 56.5 U 11/17/18 NEW MEXICO ST 45-10 W -26 W 60.5 U 11/24/18 at Utah 27-35 L 10.5 W 45 O 12/21/18 vs. W Michigan 49-18 W -10 W 52 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 7 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Cougars coach Kalani Sitake has one of the nation’s most experienced teams with 17 returning starters, and he will need those veterans to be resilient in September. BYU’s opening four games — Utah, at Tennessee, USC, Washington — will make for a ridiculously tough stretch. Sophomore quarterback Zach Wilson, who fgures to win the starting job, has several talented receivers and a strong line in front of him, so expect an improvement on BYU’s 27.2 points per game. The defense appears to have few weaknesses. The Cougars wrap September with a trip to Toledo, followed by a game at South Florida and Boise State in Provo. While there is a lot to like about this team, the schedule is as distasteful as a plate of broccoli and Limburger cheese. The only three soft spots are against Liberty, Idaho State and Massachusetts. The Cougars will need to pull off a couple off upsets to reach eight wins. While that’s possible, it’s tough to bet on it with an unproven coach. A 1-3 or 0-4 start could lead to a tailspin and a late scramble for bowl eligibility. This forecast calls for 6-6 with seven wins at best.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 168 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS BYU COUGARS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27 74 Points Per Game 22.9 33 Yards Per Point 13.8 49 Yards Per Point 14.6 55 Plays Per Game 67.7 102 3rd Down Conv. % 39.4% 63 Time of Possession 30:15 53 Total Yards Per Game 333.8 18 3rd Down Conv. % 36.2% 91 Yards Per Play 4.6 18 Total Yards Per Game 371.5 90 Rush Yards Per Game 135.2 31 Yards Per Play 5.5 70 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 33 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.5 88 Completion % 59.8% 67 Rush Yards Per Game 152.9 82 Passing Yards Per Game 198.6 28 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 75 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.9 12 Pass Attempts Per Game 28.8 90 Sacks 2.1 64 Completion % 63.8% 28 Turnovers 1.2 101 Passing Yards Per Game 218.6 73 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 48 Turnovers 1.3 47 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 9-4 4-9 7-6 29-23 (56%) 54 Overall ATS 8-5 8-3 4-9 9-4 29-21 (58%) 13 Over-Under 7-6 3-10 5-8 4-9 19-33 (37%) 125 at Home ATS 5-1 2-2 1-5 3-3 11-11 (50%) 53 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 6-1 3-4 6-1 18-10 (64%) 18 Conference ATS 0-0 1-0 0-1 2-0 3-1 (75%) 4 Non-Conf. ATS 8-5 7-3 4-8 7-4 26-20 (57%) 33 Favorite ATS 5-3 4-3 3-4 5-3 17-13 (57%) 21 Underdog ATS 3-2 4-0 1-5 4-1 12-8 (60%) 34 After SUW ATS 5-4 5-2 1-2 3-3 14-11 (56%) 36 After SUL ATS 2-1 2-1 3-6 5-1 12-9 (57%) 34

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 46.5 14.9 1.53 -3.9 7-QB, OC 31.1 5.88 12.68 7 16.2 4.36 18.23 2017 32.5 1.1 0.69 7. 4 6 20.5 5.62 17.34 6 19.4 4.93 17.69 2016 Yes 50.5 21.6 0.92 -10.1 7- OC 35.5 6 12.77 8-DC 13.9 5.08 23.81 2015 50 20.9 2.01 -6.3 8 39.6 6.67 11. 74 5 18.7 4.66 17.79

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• BYU is 7-0 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - as Non- ranked team

• BYU is 0-6-1 ATS (L7G) - VS SEC

• BYU is 14-1 UNDER (L15G) - First game of the season

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 169 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS LIBERTY FLAMES Location: Lynchburg, VA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Arthur L. Williams Stadium 28 Head Coach: Hugh Freeze - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 6-6 3 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Kent Austin / Maurice Harris * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Scott Symons * 29.94 (#126 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 SYRACUSE 9/7/19 at LA Lafayette 9/14/19 BUFFALO 9/21/19 HAMPTON 9/28/19 NEW MEXICO 10/5/19 at New Mexico St 10/19/19 MAINE 10/26/19 at Rutgers 11/2/19 at Massachusetts 11/9/19 at BYU 11/23/19 at Virginia 11/30/19 NEW MEXICO ST 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 OLD DOMINION 52-10 W 5 W 58.5 O 9/8/18 at Army 14-38 L 8 L 58 U 9/22/18 NORTH TEXAS 7-47 L 11. 5 L 66.5 U 9/29/18 at New Mexico 52-43 W 7 W 65 O 10/6/18 at New Mexico St 41-49 L -3 L 65 O 10/13/18 TROY 22-16 W 10.5 W 62 U 10/20/18 IDAHO ST 48-41 W -6.5 W 78 O 11/3/18 at Massachusetts 59-62 L 1.5 L 67 O 11/10/18 at Virginia 24-45 L 25 W 57.5 O 11/17/18 at Auburn 0-53 L 30.5 L 65.5 U 11/24/18 NEW MEXICO ST 28-21 W -7.5 L 72 U 12/1/18 NORFOLK ST 52-17 W -30.5 W 59 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 5.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET Hugh Freeze, a disgraced former Mississippi coach, gets his second chance in Lynchburg, Virginia, and he’s actually taking over a program that’s not in a deep freeze. The Flames, 12-11 the past two years, return 16 starters. The headliner is senior quarterback Stephen Calvert, who passed for 3,068 yards and 21 touchdowns last year. He also tossed 18 interceptions. Expect his numbers to improve under Freeze, who coaches an up-tempo offense and has several talented runners and receivers to work with right away. Liberty upset Baylor as a 30-point ‘dog in 2017. This program was left in good shape, but the main problem is a schedule that opens with Syracuse and includes Buffalo, New Mexico, Rutgers, BYU and Virginia. Freeze is full of surprises — who knew his cell phone once had escort services on speed dial? — and he’s a good coach despite his embarrassing demise at Ole Miss. It’s not diffcult to fnd fve wins on the Flames’ schedule, so let’s give Freeze the beneft of the doubt and predict he wins six. There is enough talent at Liberty for Freeze to start a minor career revival.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 170 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS LIBERTY FLAMES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29.9 46 Points Per Game 38.4 118 Yards Per Point 13.5 45 Yards Per Point 12.7 105 Plays Per Game 79.1 10 3rd Down Conv. % 33.1% 17 Time of Possession 28:58 87 Total Yards Per Game 488.3 123 3rd Down Conv. % 39.4% 58 Yards Per Play 6.1 108 Total Yards Per Game 405 60 Rush Yards Per Game 232.2 116 Yards Per Play 5.1 93 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.2 114 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.3 45 Completion % 58.1% 53 Rush Yards Per Game 143.9 94 Passing Yards Per Game 256.1 101 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.6 110 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 86 Pass Attempts Per Game 36.8 24 Sacks 2.1 60 Completion % 52.7% 111 Turnovers 1.5 71 Passing Yards Per Game 261.1 30 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 80 Turnovers 2.2 122 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-5 6-5 6-5 6-6 24-21 (53%) 60 Overall ATS 2-0 2-0 1-0 6-6 11-6 (65%) 3 Over-Under 1-1 0-2 1-0 7-5 9-8 (53%) 34 at Home ATS 0-0 0-0 0-0 4-2 4-2 (67%) 3 Road/Neutral ATS 2-0 2-0 1-0 2-4 7-4 (64%) 21 Conference ATS 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-4 0-4 (0%) 130 Non-Conf. ATS 2-0 2-0 1-0 6-2 11-2 (85%) 1 Favorite ATS 1-0 0-0 0-0 2-2 3-2 (60%) 11 Underdog ATS 1-0 2-0 1-0 4-4 8-4 (67%) 18 After SUW ATS 1-0 1-0 0-0 2-3 4-3 (57%) 28 After SUL ATS 1-0 0-0 0-0 3-3 4-3 (57%) 35

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 24 -3.6 -0.91 16.7 9-QB 31.7 5.42 13.35 7 35.3 6.33 13.75 2017 20.5 -11 -2.19 30 N/A 28.3 5.24 14.07 N/A 39.3 7.42 13.11 2016 22 -6.3 -1.62 17 N/A 24.8 4.64 13.13 N/A 31.1 6.26 13.6 2015 20 -8.9 -1.19 10.5 N/A 24.8 5.09 14.3 N/A 33.6 6.29 12.05

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• LIBERTY is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - [vs OPP] More than 13 days rest

• LIBERTY is 3-5 ATS (L8G) - OU line of 60 or more

• LIBERTY is 4-1 UNDER (L2Y) - Underdog of more than 7 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 171 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS MASSACHUSETTS MINUTEMEN Location: Amherst, MA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium 21.5 Head Coach: Walt Bell - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 4-8 3.5 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 8 - Offense: 5 - Defense: 3 Offensive Coordinator: Walt Bell * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Aazaar Abdul-Rahim / Tommy Restivo * 32.19 (#114 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 at Rutgers 9/7/19 S ILLINOIS 9/14/19 at Charlotte 9/21/19 COASTAL CAROLINA 9/28/19 AKRON UNDER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of AKR-MAS series 10/5/19 at FLA International HOME TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of MAS-FIU series 10/12/19 at Louisiana Tech 10/26/19 CONNECTICUT 11/2/19 LIBERTY 11/9/19 at Army 11/16/19 at Northwestern 11/23/19 BYU ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MAS-BYU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/25/18 DUQUESNE 63-15 W -21.5 W 70 O 9/1/18 at Boston College 21-55 L 20.5 L 62 O 9/8/18 at Ga Southern 13-34 L 1.5 L 60.5 U 9/15/18 at Fla International 24-63 L 3.5 L 66 O 9/22/18 CHARLOTTE 49-31 W -6 W 56 O 9/29/18 at Ohio U 42-58 L 11. 5 L 70.5 O 10/6/18 SOUTH FLORIDA 42-58 L 15.5 L 72.5 O 10/20/18 COASTAL CAROLINA 13-24 L -2.5 L 75.5 U 10/27/18 at Connecticut 22-17 W -3.5 W 64.5 U 11/3/18 LIBERTY 62-59 W -1.5 W 67 O 11/10/18 BYU 16-35 L 13.5 L 56.5 U 11/17/18 at Georgia 27-66 L 41.5 W 67.5 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 2.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET The Minutemen return only 10 starters from a 4-8 season that spelled the end for former coach Mark Whipple. The rebuilding job goes to Walt Bell, a younger coach with the energy for the task. He does not have the personnel to win, though. UMass lost its top two quarterbacks, top three rushers and star receiver Andy Isabella, a second-round pick by the . Isabella graduated to the NFL after making 102 receptions for 1,698 yards and 13 touchdowns as a senior. The UMass defense allowed an astounding 42.9 points and 485 yards per game and might be worse. In Phil Steele’s preseason guide, the Minuteman are ranked No. 130 of 130 teams. UMass hosts No. 129 Connecticut in October. The good news is the winnable games are in the front half of the schedule. The certain losses to Army, Northwestern and BYU will come in November. A large numbers of losses are certain. There’s just no way to be hopeful about a miserable team that’s starting over, so expect 2-10 or worse. Three wins would be a huge victory for Bell in his debut.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 172 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS MASSACHUSETTS MINUTEMEN 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 30.1 42 Points Per Game 45.5 127 Yards Per Point 14.1 59 Yards Per Point 11. 2 126 Plays Per Game 71.9 68 3rd Down Conv. % 42.9% 96 Time of Possession 27:28 114 Total Yards Per Game 507.6 125 3rd Down Conv. % 35.2% 100 Yards Per Play 7.1 126 Total Yards Per Game 425.5 35 Rush Yards Per Game 289.5 128 Yards Per Play 5.9 33 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.1 124 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.6 113 Completion % 65.1% 118 Rush Yards Per Game 126.6 110 Passing Yards Per Game 218.2 49 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 98 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.6 129 Pass Attempts Per Game 34.8 38 Sacks 0.8 128 Completion % 63.7% 29 Turnovers 1.5 76 Passing Yards Per Game 298.8 14 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.6 14 Turnovers 2.1 117 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 2-10 4-8 4-8 13-35 (27%) 119 Overall ATS 4-8 7-5 6-6 5-7 22-26 (46%) 93 Over-Under 5-7 7-5 7-5 8-4 27-21 (56%) 20 at Home ATS 2-4 3-3 2-3 3-3 10-13 (43%) 81 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 4-2 4-3 2-4 12-13 (48%) 79 Conference ATS 2-6 0-1 1-0 1-1 4-8 (33%) 123 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 7-4 5-6 4-6 18-18 (50%) 66 Favorite ATS 2-4 1-0 1-3 4-1 8-8 (50%) 64 Underdog ATS 2-4 6-5 5-3 1-6 14-18 (44%) 92 After SUW ATS 0-2 2-0 3-1 1-3 6-6 (50%) 69 After SUL ATS 4-5 4-5 3-4 3-4 14-18 (44%) 88

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 29.5 -5.1 0.11 13.2 9-QB 33.7 6.71 13.63 6 38.7 6.6 12.01 2017 33.5 2.2 0.65 6.9 6 32.5 6.21 13.79 9-DC 30.3 5.56 12.9 2016 22.5 -3.2 0.1 15.7 5-QB 28.5 5.78 13.54 5 31.8 5.68 13.22 2015 26 -3.5 0.31 14.6 10 25.3 5.71 16.64 9 28.8 5.4 14.81

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MASSACHUSETTS is 8-2 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - On grass feld

• MASSACHUSETTS is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Revenging a loss

• MASSACHUSETTS is 12-3 OVER (L5Y) - [vs OPP] More than 6 days rest

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 173 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS NEW MEXICO ST AGGIES Location: Las Cruces, NM STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Aggie Memorial Stadium 23 Head Coach: Doug Martin - 7th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 2.75 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Doug Martin * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 37.17 (#78 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Washington St 9/7/19 at Alabama 9/14/19 SAN DIEGO ST 9/21/19 at New Mexico ROAD TEAMS are 12-9 SU & 15-6 ATS in NM-NMS series since 1998 9/28/19 FRESNO ST UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of NMS-FRS series 10/5/19 LIBERTY 10/12/19 at C Michigan 10/26/19 at Ga Southern ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of GSU-NMS series 11/9/19 at Ole Miss 11/16/19 INCARNATE WORD 11/23/19 UTEP FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in L6 games of UTEP-NMS series 11/30/19 at Liberty 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/25/18 WYOMING 7-29 L 5.5 L 46.5 U 8/30/18 at Minnesota 10-48 L 21.5 L 49 O 9/8/18 at Utah St 13-60 L 22 L 63 O 9/15/18 NEW MEXICO 25-42 L 3 L 60.5 O 9/22/18 at UTEP 27-20 W -5.5 W 51.5 U 10/6/18 LIBERTY 49-41 W 3 W 65 O 10/13/18 at La Lafayette 38-66 L 7. 5 L 66.5 O 10/20/18 GA SOUTHERN 31-48 L 10 L 52.5 O 10/27/18 at Texas St Univ 20-27 L 1.5 L 57 U 11/3/18 ALCORN ST 52-42 W -12.5 L 63.5 O 11/17/18 at BYU 10-45 L 26 L 60.5 U 11/24/18 at Liberty 21-28 L 7. 5 W 72 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 3.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Two weeks into the season, after trips to Washington State and Alabama, the Aggies could be demoralized. On the optimistic side, their schedule only gets easier from there. It’s not necessarily easy, however, with Mountain West opponents San Diego State, New Mexico and Fresno State next in line. After an historic bowl win in 2017, New Mexico State slipped from 7-6 back to reality and 3-9 last year. In Doug Martin’s seventh year as coach — the truth is few coaches survive so long in “Loss” Cruces, a hopeless place — he can look forward to 14 starters coming back. That group includes sophomore quarterback Josh Adkins and leading rushers Christian Gibson and Jason Huntley. The Aggies allowed 41.3 points per game last year and might be just as weak defensively. New Mexico State has another home- and-home series with independent Liberty — the teams split close games last season — and should beat Incarnate Word and Texas-El Paso, though there are no guaranteed wins for one of the worst programs in college football history. The schedule is tough, and the Aggies fnished 3-9 in three of the past four years.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 174 2019 FBS INDEPENDENTS NEW MEXICO ST AGGIES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.8 101 Points Per Game 41.3 124 Yards Per Point 15.6 91 Yards Per Point 11.1 127 Plays Per Game 77.7 16 3rd Down Conv. % 45.5% 115 Time of Possession 25:06 128 Total Yards Per Game 459.6 108 3rd Down Conv. % 34.6% 106 Yards Per Play 5.7 70 Total Yards Per Game 356.8 103 Rush Yards Per Game 262 125 Yards Per Play 4.6 120 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 98 Rush Attempts Per Game 29.5 125 Completion % 57.8% 51 Rush Yards Per Game 103.5 123 Passing Yards Per Game 197.6 26 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.5 113 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 80 Pass Attempts Per Game 44.8 4 Sacks 2.5 42 Completion % 53.8% 107 Turnovers 1.5 77 Passing Yards Per Game 253.3 39 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.7 124 Turnovers 2.2 121 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 3-9 7-6 3-9 16-33 (33%) 115 Overall ATS 5-6 7-5 8-5 3-9 23-25 (48%) 83 Over-Under 9-2 7-5 5-8 7-5 28-20 (58%) 11 at Home ATS 1-3 4-1 2-3 1-4 8-11 (42%) 89 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 3-4 6-2 2-5 15-14 (52%) 67 Conference ATS 4-4 4-4 3-5 2-1 13-14 (48%) 73 Non-Conf. ATS 1-2 3-1 5-0 1-8 10-11 (48%) 75 Favorite ATS 0-2 1-0 3-3 1-1 5-6 (45%) 90 Underdog ATS 5-4 6-5 5-2 2-8 18-19 (49%) 75 After SUW ATS 2-1 1-2 3-3 1-2 7-8 (47%) 86 After SUL ATS 3-4 6-2 4-2 2-6 15-14 (52%) 54

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 20 -13.8 -0.73 19.9 6 26.4 5.11 14.39 9 40.1 5.84 11. 6 4 2017 32 0.3 0.7 9.6 7 29.4 6.02 15.61 9 29.1 5.33 13.48 2016 21 -6.9 -0.41 19.5 6-QB 28.6 5.81 15.5 6-DC 35.5 6.22 13.28 2015 18.5 -12.4 -0.49 25.2 8- OC 28.1 6.05 16.07 10-DC 40.5 6.54 12.42

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NEW MEXICO ST is 5-2 ATS (L7G) - VS FRESNO ST

• NEW MEXICO ST is 0-6-1 ATS (L7G) - Before playing FRESNO ST

• NEW MEXICO ST is 21-9 OVER (S2000) on ROAD - VS SUNBELT

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 175 MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY DAVE TULEY - @VIEWFROMVEGAS

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's EAST DIVISION OHIO U 38 3.5 0.5 31.58 117 7. 9 4.1 5.7 2.3 BUFFALO 33 3.25 -0.25 29.83 127 6.5 5.5 4.6 3.4 MIAMI OHIO 34 2.75 0 34.65 95 5.7 6.3 4.5 3.5 KENT ST 27.5 2.25 -0.75 38.38 71 3.5 8.5 3.1 4.9 BOWLING GREEN 23.5 2.5 0 33.81 103 3.4 8.6 2.2 5.8 AKRON 22.5 2.75 0 32.13 115 3.1 8.9 2.2 5.8 WEST DIVISION W MICHIGAN 40 3.75 0.75 32.65 111 7. 8 4.2 5.6 2.4 TOLEDO 37 3.25 0.5 31.44 119 7. 5 4.5 5.4 2.6 N ILLINOIS 38 3.25 0 37.23 77 6.3 5.7 5.2 2.8 E MICHIGAN 32.5 2.5 0.75 31.38 120 6.3 5.7 4.3 3.7 BALL ST 29 2 -0.5 34.27 99 4.2 7. 8 2.8 5.2 C MICHIGAN 24.5 2.25 0.5 33.54 106 3.9 8.1 2.4 5.6

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME EAST DIVISION OHIO OHIO OHIO OHIO OHIO OHIO OHIO OHIO CHAMPION WEST DIVISION W W W W W TOLEDO TOLEDO TOLEDO CHAMPION MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MICHIGAN MAC W W OHIO TOLEDO OHIO OHIO OHIO OHIO CHAMPIONSHIP MICHIGAN MICHIGAN

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 176 2019 MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITES Ohio and Toledo Ohio and Toledo are +225 co-favorites at the Westgate SuperBook to win the MAC Championship Game on Dec. 7 at Ford Field in Detroit. Ohio is clearly the class of the East Division, but Toledo has a much tougher road to the expected title clash as the next three contenders in the MAC futures (Western Michigan +450, Northern Illinois +600 and upstart Eastern Michigan +800) are with Toledo in the West Division. Toledo has the good fortune of facing all three at home this season. LIVE DOGS Eastern Michigan, Western Michigan and Central Michigan If looking for live MACtion dogs, think “directional Michigan schools” as all three have quarterbacks that should be capable of a pulling off some upsets this season: Eastern Michigan (Mike Glass), Western Michigan (Jon Wassink) and Central Michigan (Quinten Dornady). EMU might contend for the division title, but the long losing reputation of the program should still have it as an underdog in most games. WMU is also a contender but will likely also be underdogs to the other contenders. Central Michigan is coming off an 1-11 season, but brings in coach Jim McElwain (formerly at Colorado State and Florida) in hopes of getting back to bowl eligibility. DEAD MONEY Kent, Akron, Bowling Green and Ball State A lot of people see the MAC as a wide-open league, but there’s a separation between the haves and the have nots. Kent, Akron, Bowling Green and Ball State are pretty much dead money (except when facing each other) and I’d need a lot of points before backing them against any of the upper tier teams. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Ohio at Buffalo, Oct. 5 Northern Illinois at Toledo, Nov. 13 Buffalo only returns seven starters from last If NIU is able to stay a contender with new year’s 10-win team. This game will probably coach Thomas Hammock replacing Rod Carey, show if Buffalo is going to contend again or then this should be a critical game in the West if Ohio is likely to run away with the East Division race. The lights will be bright as it’s a Division. MACtion Wednesday night special on ESPN.

Western Michigan at Toledo, Oct. 5 On the same day, this matchup should decide supremacy in the West Division.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 177 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION OHIO U BOBCATS Location: Athens, OH STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Peden Stadium 38 Head Coach: - 15th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 3.5 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 4 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Tim Albin / Scott Isphording SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Ron Collins / Pete Germano * 31.58 (#117 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 RHODE ISLAND 9/7/19 at Pittsburgh HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of PIT-OHU series 9/14/19 at Marshall HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of MAR-OHU series 9/21/19 LA LAFAYETTE 10/5/19 at Buffalo HOME TEAMS are 7-0 SU & ATS in L7 games of OHU-BUF series 10/12/19 N ILLINOIS UNDERDOGS are 3-5 SU but 7-1 ATS in L8 games of NIL-OHU series 10/19/19 KENT ST UNDER the total is 9-2 in KS-OHU series since 2008 10/26/19 at Ball St HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of BLS-OHU series 11/6/19 MIAMI OHIO UNDER the total is 8-2 in OHU-MOH series since 2009 11/12/19 W MICHIGAN OVER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of WMU-OHU series 11/19/19 at Bowling Green BOWLING GREEN is 11-9 SU & 15-5 ATS vs. OHIO U since 1998 11/26/19 at Akron UNDERDOGS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of OHU-AKR series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 HOWARD 38-32 W -30.5 L 62 O 9/15/18 vs. Virginia 31-45 L 4 L 55.5 O 9/22/18 at Cincinnati 30-34 L 7 W 56 O 9/29/18 MASSACHUSETTS 58-42 W -11.5 W 70.5 O 10/6/18 at Kent St 27-26 W -11.5 L 70 U 10/13/18 at N Illinois 21-24 L 5.5 W 52 U 10/20/18 BOWLING GREEN 49-14 W -16 W 66.5 U 10/25/18 BALL ST 52-14 W -10.5 W 65.5 O 11/1/18 at W Michigan 59-14 W -3.5 W 64.5 O 11/7/18 at Miami Ohio 28-30 L -4.5 L 59 U 11/14/18 BUFFALO 52-17 W -2.5 W 67 O 11/23/18 AKRON 49-28 W -24 L 57 O 12/19/18 vs. San Diego St 27-0 W -2 W 47.5 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Bobcats only return four starters on offense from a team that averaged 467 yards and 40 points per game last season, but the key component is QB Nathan Rourke, who passed for 2,400 yards and rushed for more than 1,000 yards, so the offense is in good hands (and feet). In a conference with a lot of coaching changes, Ohio also has the most stability with Frank Solich, who had led the Bobcats to four straight seasons with 8 or more wins. But even if you fnd this Over/Under at 8, I’d still go Over as they should go at least 2-2 on the nonconference portion of their schedule with wins over Rhode Island and Louisiana-Lafayette and possibility of a third win vs. Pittsburgh or Marshall. Their only tough MAC East Division game should be at Buffalo on Oct. 5, but they avoid having to play the West’s top team (Toledo) and get the other top West contenders, Northern Illinois and Western Michigan, at home. Eight wins should be the worst-case scenario on the way to a berth in the MAC title game.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 178 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION OHIO U BOBCATS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 40.2 9 Points Per Game 24 40 Yards Per Point 11. 7 6 Yards Per Point 15.4 38 Plays Per Game 67.6 103 3rd Down Conv. % 41.6% 86 Time of Possession 33:28 10 Total Yards Per Game 369.9 44 3rd Down Conv. % 51.1% 4 Yards Per Play 5.8 83 Total Yards Per Game 470.7 14 Rush Yards Per Game 135.2 30 Yards Per Play 7 4 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 64 Rush Attempts Per Game 43 21 Completion % 62.1% 87 Rush Yards Per Game 267.9 6 Passing Yards Per Game 234.7 69 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.2 4 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 82 Pass Attempts Per Game 23.1 120 Sacks 2 72 Completion % 59.6% 60 Turnovers 2.3 5 Passing Yards Per Game 202.8 92 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.8 13 Turnovers 1.6 82 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 8-6 9-4 9-4 34-19 (64%) 33 Overall ATS 9-4 8-6 9-4 8-5 34-19 (64%) 4 Over-Under 8-5 2-11 8-5 8-5 26-26 (50%) 47 at Home ATS 5-1 1-5 5-1 4-2 15-9 (63%) 13 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 7-1 4-3 4-3 19-10 (66%) 10 Conference ATS 4-4 5-4 5-3 5-3 19-14 (58%) 25 Non-Conf. ATS 5-0 3-2 4-1 3-2 15-5 (75%) 5 Favorite ATS 5-3 3-5 7-3 6-4 21-15 (58%) 15 Underdog ATS 4-1 5-1 2-1 2-1 13-4 (76%) 5 After SUW ATS 7-1 5-3 5-3 4-4 21-11 (66%) 5 After SUL ATS 1-3 3-2 3-1 4-0 11-6 (65%) 13

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 46 16.3 1.01 -4.9 8-QB 41.6 7.13 11.48 4 25.4 6.12 15.5 2017 42.5 13.1 0.98 -1.2 7 38.9 6.3 11.1 6 25.8 5.32 14.46 2016 35.5 5.8 0.45 5.5 6-QB 27 5.58 14.76 6 21.2 5.12 16.97 2015 34 5.2 0.28 11. 9 10 29 5.84 14.96 8 23.8 5.56 15.24

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• OHIO is 5-0-2 ATS (L7G) - After playing N ILLINOIS

• OHIO is 3-15-1 ATS (L19G) - Before playing BUFFALO

• OHIO is 9-0-1 OVER (L10G) - VS SUNBELT

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 179 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION BUFFALO BULLS Location: Amherst, NY STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: UB Stadium 33 Head Coach: - 5th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-4 3.25 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 8 - Offense: 5 - Defense: 3 Offensive Coordinator: Andy Kotelnicki / Jim Zebrowski SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brian Borland 29.83 (#127 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 ROBERT MORRIS 9/7/19 at Penn St 9/14/19 at Liberty 9/21/19 TEMPLE ROAD TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in L7 games of TEM-BUF series 9/28/19 at Miami Ohio FAVORITES are 11-0 SU & 9-1 ATS in BUF-MOH series since 2008 10/5/19 OHIO U HOME TEAMS are 7-0 SU & ATS in L7 games of OHU-BUF series 10/19/19 at Akron HOME TEAMS are 8-0 SU & ATS in L8 games of BUF-AKR series 10/26/19 C MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of CMU-BUF series 11/2/19 at E Michigan HOME TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of BUF-EMU series 11/14/19 at Kent St BUFFALO is 6-1 SU & ATS in its L7 games at KENT ST 11/20/19 TOLEDO BUFFALO is 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in its L5 games vs. TOLEDO 11/29/19 BOWLING GREEN BUFFALO is 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. BOWLING GREEN 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 DELAWARE ST 48-10 W -44 L 63 U 9/8/18 at Temple 36-29 W 4 W 52.5 O 9/15/18 E MICHIGAN 35-28 W -3 W 54 O 9/22/18 at Rutgers 42-13 W -6 W 53.5 O 9/29/18 ARMY 13-42 L -7 L 54.5 O 10/6/18 at C Michigan 34-24 W -6.5 W 52 O 10/13/18 AKRON 24-6 W -12 W 55 U 10/20/18 at Toledo 31-17 W 3 W 63 U 10/30/18 MIAMI OHIO 51-42 W -8 W 53 O 11/6/18 KENT ST 48-14 W -17 W 47.5 O 11/14/18 at Ohio U 17-52 L 2.5 L 67 O 11/23/18 at Bowling Green 44-14 W -15 W 63 U 11/30/18 vs. N Illinois 29-30 L -3.5 L 51.5 O 12/22/18 vs. Troy 32-42 L -2.5 L 52 O DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Bulls won 10 games last season before falling short, 29-28, to Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship Game. The cupboard isn’t completely bare, but Buffalo did lose QB Tyree Jackson and WR Anthony Johnson to the NFL and only return seven starters, so there’s a lot of holes to fll with those two being the biggest. Still, it seems the win total has been under- adjusted a little too low. The Sept. 7 game at Penn State is the only virtual lock in the loss column among the Bulls’ nonconference schedule. They also face Robert Morris, Liberty and Temple and even if they only beat Robert Morris to start 1-3, they should still get to at least .500. The Oct. 5 home game against Ohio is critical for Buffalo to show it is still a contender, but even if they also lose that matchup, there’s enough bottom-feeders in the MAC to beat up on (Akron, Kent State, Bowling Green that the Bulls should rack up enough wins to go Over. I’m not expecting them to win the East Division again, but a 7-5 record is still more likely than 5-7.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 180 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION BUFFALO BULLS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 33.5 25 Points Per Game 27.2 61 Yards Per Point 12.5 21 Yards Per Point 13.3 92 Plays Per Game 73.2 55 3rd Down Conv. % 37.2% 43 Time of Possession 31:41 31 Total Yards Per Game 361.5 39 3rd Down Conv. % 44.3% 24 Yards Per Play 5.2 40 Total Yards Per Game 419.3 42 Rush Yards Per Game 158.2 56 Yards Per Play 5.7 50 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 58 Rush Attempts Per Game 42 27 Completion % 54.0% 16 Rush Yards Per Game 192 43 Passing Yards Per Game 203.3 34 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 48 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 39 Pass Attempts Per Game 30 79 Sacks 2.6 33 Completion % 54.1% 103 Turnovers 1.5 64 Passing Yards Per Game 227.3 68 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 52 Turnovers 1.5 75 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 2-10 6-6 10-4 23-27 (46%) 86 Overall ATS 6-6 4-8 8-4 9-5 27-23 (54%) 37 Over-Under 7-5 3-9 5-7 10-4 25-25 (50%) 44 at Home ATS 3-3 3-3 5-1 4-2 15-9 (63%) 13 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 1-5 3-3 5-3 12-14 (46%) 87 Conference ATS 3-5 3-5 5-3 7-2 18-15 (55%) 39 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 1-3 3-1 2-3 9-8 (53%) 49 Favorite ATS 1-3 0-1 2-3 7-4 10-11 (48%) 78 Underdog ATS 5-3 4-7 6-1 2-1 17-12 (59%) 39 After SUW ATS 2-3 0-2 4-1 7-3 13-9 (59%) 22 After SUL ATS 3-3 4-5 3-3 2-1 12-12 (50%) 58

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 40.5 12.8 0.86 0.5 8-QB 37.7 5.93 11. 34 6 24.9 5.08 13.7 2017 33.5 6.5 1.08 8.8 6 29.5 6.44 15.07 8 23 5.36 16.88 2016 20 -13.2 -0.5 21.4 3-QB 19.3 5.29 18.8 8 32.5 5.79 13.1 2015 Yes 26.5 1.2 -0.13 12.7 7- OC 30 5.41 13.22 4-DC 28.7 5.54 14.08

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• BUFFALO is 6-0-1 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - VS KENT ST

• BUFFALO is 1-7 ATS (L8G) at HOME - On Friday

• BUFFALO is 13-2 UNDER (L15G) - Underdog of more than 7 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 181 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS Location: Oxford, OH STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Fred C. Yager Stadium 34 Head Coach: Chuck Martin - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 6-6 2.75 / 0 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 5 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: George Barnett / Eric Koehler SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: John Hauser / Spence Nowinsky 34.65 (#95 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Iowa 9/7/19 TENNESSEE TECH 9/14/19 at Cincinnati UNDERDOGS are 2-4 SU but 6-0 ATS in L6 games of MOH-CIN series 9/21/19 at Ohio St HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of OSU-MOH series 9/28/19 BUFFALO FAVORITES are 11-0 SU & 9-1 ATS in BUF-MOH series since 2008 10/12/19 at W Michigan 10/19/19 N ILLINOIS MIAMI OHIO is 2-5 SU but 6-1 ATS in its L7 games vs. N ILLINOIS 10/26/19 at Kent St UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of KS-MOH series 11/6/19 at Ohio U UNDER the total is 8-2 in OHU-MOH series since 2009 11/13/19 BOWLING GREEN ROAD TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MOH-BGSU series 11/20/19 AKRON ROAD TEAMS are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of AKR-MOH series 11/29/19 at Ball St MIAMI OHIO is 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS vs. BALL ST since 2001 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 MARSHALL 28-35 L -1.5 L 51.5 O 9/8/18 vs. Cincinnati 0-21 L -1 L 45 U 9/15/18 at Minnesota 3-26 L 14 L 47.5 U 9/22/18 at Bowling Green 38-23 W -6.5 W 55 O 9/29/18 W MICHIGAN 39-40 L 3 W 53 O 10/6/18 at Akron 41-17 W 4.5 W 47 O 10/13/18 KENT ST 31-6 W -11 W 58.5 U 10/20/18 at Army 30-31 L 6.5 W 47 O 10/30/18 at Buffalo 42-51 L 8 L 53 O 11/7/18 OHIO U 30-28 W 4.5 W 59 U 11/14/18 at N Illinois 13-7 W 6.5 W 48 U 11/20/18 BALL ST 42-21 W -14.5 W 56 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Miami-O should be good enough this year to be considered better than the dregs of the MAC, but not good enough to contend for the MAC title. They might be good enough to get to 6 wins and be bowl-eligible, but keep in mind that they did that last year and were just one of four 6-win teams snubbed by the bowls. The RedHawks play Iowa, Tennessee Tech, Cincinnati and Ohio State on their nonconference schedule with the game against Tennessee Tech being the only one where we can reasonably expect a victory. The conference slate doesn’t start much easier with Buffalo, Western Michigan and Northern Illinois. By the time they get to the “easy” part of the schedule (excluding a Nov. 6 date at MAC favorite Ohio), the RedHawks might be too beat up to get back to .500, so while I’d love to get a price on Miami-Ohio pushing on 6 wins, they’re more likely to end up 5-7 than 7-5.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 182 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.1 63 Points Per Game 25.5 45 Yards Per Point 13.3 36 Yards Per Point 14.4 59 Plays Per Game 69.7 88 3rd Down Conv. % 39.9% 72 Time of Possession 30:22 50 Total Yards Per Game 368.3 41 3rd Down Conv. % 37.4% 78 Yards Per Play 5.1 35 Total Yards Per Game 372.2 87 Rush Yards Per Game 159.8 60 Yards Per Play 5.3 77 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4 44 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.8 84 Completion % 58.2% 54 Rush Yards Per Game 159.9 73 Passing Yards Per Game 208.5 42 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 62 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 45 Pass Attempts Per Game 31.3 67 Sacks 2.4 45 Completion % 60.1% 55 Turnovers 1.3 87 Passing Yards Per Game 212.2 85 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 95 Turnovers 0.8 5 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 6-7 5-7 6-6 20-29 (41%) 102 Overall ATS 7-5 9-4 3-9 8-4 27-22 (55%) 25 Over-Under 6-6 4-9 4-8 7-5 21-28 (43%) 104 at Home ATS 4-2 3-3 1-5 4-1 12-11 (52%) 41 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 6-1 2-4 4-3 15-11 (58%) 36 Conference ATS 5-3 5-3 3-5 7-1 20-12 (63%) 13 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 4-1 0-4 1-3 7-10 (41%) 98 Favorite ATS 2-0 1-2 2-7 3-2 8-11 (42%) 100 Underdog ATS 5-5 8-2 1-2 5-2 19-11 (63%) 28 After SUW ATS 0-2 5-1 0-4 5-0 10-7 (59%) 23 After SUL ATS 6-3 3-3 3-4 3-3 15-13 (54%) 46

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 40.5 9.3 0.87 4.2 8-QB 31.8 5.81 12.45 8 22.6 4.94 15.39 2017 33.5 1.5 0.26 5.1 9 24.8 5.62 15.69 8 23.3 5.36 15.62 2016 33 1.7 0.64 10.3 10 25.4 5.74 14.59 6 23.7 5.09 14.62 2015 23 -9.4 -0.11 20.8 4-QB 21 5.33 16.94 8 30.4 5.44 12.87

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MIAMI OH is 5-0 ATS (L2Y) - Underdog of 7 or less points

• MIAMI OH is 1-6 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - OU line of 60 or more

• MIAMI OH is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - Before playing N ILLINOIS

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 183 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION KENT ST GOLDEN FLASHES Location: Kent, OH STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Dix Stadium 27.5 Head Coach: Sean Lewis - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 2-10 2.25 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 9 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Andrew Sowder SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Tom Kaufman 38.38 (#71 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 at Arizona St 9/7/19 KENNESAW ST 9/14/19 at Auburn 9/21/19 BOWLING GREEN ROAD TEAMS are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in BGSU-KS series since 2009 10/5/19 at Wisconsin 10/12/19 at Akron UNDERDOGS are 6-10 SU but 11-4 ATS in KS-AKR series since 2003 10/19/19 at Ohio U UNDER the total is 9-2 in KS-OHU series since 2008 10/26/19 MIAMI OHIO UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of KS-MOH series 11/5/19 at Toledo FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of TOL-KS series 11/14/19 BUFFALO BUFFALO is 6-1 SU & ATS in its L7 games at KENT ST 11/23/19 BALL ST HOME TEAMS are 7-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L7 games of KS-BLS series 11/29/19 at E Michigan KENT ST is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. E MICHIGAN 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Illinois 24-31 L 18 W 57 U 9/8/18 HOWARD 54-14 W -9.5 W 66 O 9/15/18 at Penn St 10-63 L 35 L 64.5 O 9/22/18 at Ole Miss 17-38 L 28.5 W 76 U 9/29/18 at Ball St 24-52 L 7 L 60 O 10/6/18 OHIO U 26-27 L 11. 5 W 70 U 10/13/18 at Miami Ohio 6-31 L 11 L 58.5 U 10/20/18 AKRON 23-24 L 4.5 W 49 U 10/30/18 at Bowling Green 35-28 W -1 W 67.5 U 11/6/18 at Buffalo 14-48 L 17 L 47.5 O 11/15/18 TOLEDO 34-56 L 13 L 59.5 O 11/23/18 E MICHIGAN 20-28 L 12 W 52.5 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 4 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Golden Flashes return a lot of starters, but that’s not necessarily a good thing when a team is coming off a 2-10 season (1-7 in the MAC), has an inaccurate quarterback when he actually has time to throw (KSU allowed an NCAA-worst 121 tackles for loss and 43 sacks) and a defense that allowed 467 yards and 37 points per game. Second-year coach Sean Lewis, who was the former offensive coordinator at Syracuse, needs to bring in better players and that will take time. As for this season and the Over/Under of 4 wins, Kent State certainly isn’t getting one against Arizona State, Auburn or Wisconsin (and the one winnable game vs. FCS Kennesaw can’t be considered a gimme). The Golden Flashes might be able to compete with the other bottom-feeders in the MAC, but to go Over 4 wins they’d have to sweep Bowling Green, Akron, Ball State and somehow pick up 2 more wins (assuming they beat Kennesaw State) on the rest of their MAC schedule and that’s not likely to happen. Three wins (or fewer) looks more like it.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 184 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION KENT ST GOLDEN FLASHES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 21.2 109 Points Per Game 38.7 119 Yards Per Point 17.6 122 Yards Per Point 12.5 111 Plays Per Game 79.4 8 3rd Down Conv. % 43.4% 99 Time of Possession 27:41 109 Total Yards Per Game 485.6 120 3rd Down Conv. % 33.3% 115 Yards Per Play 6.5 118 Total Yards Per Game 372.1 88 Rush Yards Per Game 234.8 118 Yards Per Play 4.7 116 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 120 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.1 48 Completion % 60.8% 74 Rush Yards Per Game 155.1 78 Passing Yards Per Game 250.8 97 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 93 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.6 111 Pass Attempts Per Game 35.5 33 Sacks 1.7 96 Completion % 59.9% 56 Turnovers 1.4 85 Passing Yards Per Game 217 78 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.1 115 Turnovers 1.5 62 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 3-9 2-10 2-10 10-38 (21%) 126 Overall ATS 3-9 6-6 4-8 7-5 20-28 (42%) 107 Over-Under 4-8 7-5 6-6 5-7 22-26 (46%) 82 at Home ATS 1-5 3-3 1-4 4-1 9-13 (41%) 93 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 3-3 3-4 3-4 11-15 (42%) 110 Conference ATS 1-7 4-4 3-5 4-4 12-20 (38%) 118 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-2 1-3 3-1 8-8 (50%) 63 Favorite ATS 1-2 2-3 0-1 2-0 5-6 (45%) 88 Underdog ATS 2-7 4-3 4-7 5-5 15-22 (41%) 107 After SUW ATS 1-2 1-2 0-2 0-2 2-8 (20%) 130 After SUL ATS 2-6 4-4 4-5 6-3 16-18 (47%) 77

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 24 -5.4 -0.47 14.9 7-OC 25.6 5.4 16.07 6-DC 30.9 5.87 14.15 2017 16 -14.8 -1.08 23 7 15.9 4.73 18.66 6 30.8 5.81 12.41 2016 24 -2 0.19 13.9 9 23.6 5.13 13.87 8 25.6 4.94 14.33 2015 23 -8.8 -0.4 14.8 8- OC 16.4 4.31 17.33 9 25.2 4.72 13.46

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• KENT ST is 6-1 ATS (L7G) - Before playing E MICHIGAN

• KENT ST is 0-6-1 ATS (L7G) at HOME - VS BUFFALO

• KENT ST is 6-1 UNDER (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a close SU win of 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 185 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION BOWLING GREEN FALCONS Location: Bowling Green, OH STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Doyt L. Perry Stadium 23.5 Head Coach: Scot Loeffer - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 2.5 / 0 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Terry Malone * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brian VanGorder * 33.81 (#103 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 MORGAN ST 9/7/19 at Kansas St 9/14/19 LOUISIANA TECH 9/21/19 at Kent St ROAD TEAMS are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in BGSU-KS series since 2009 10/5/19 at Notre Dame 10/12/19 TOLEDO ROAD TEAMS are 3-4 SU but 6-0 ATS in L7 games of BGSU-TOL series 10/19/19 C MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of BGSU-CMU series 10/26/19 at W Michigan W MICHIGAN is 7-4 SU & ATS vs. BOWLING GREEN since 1998 11/2/19 AKRON BOWLING GREEN is 9-2 SU & 10-1 ATS vs. AKRON since 2006 11/13/19 at Miami Ohio ROAD TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MOH-BGSU series 11/19/19 OHIO U BOWLING GREEN is 11-9 SU & 15-5 ATS vs. OHIO U since 1998 11/29/19 at Buffalo BUFFALO is 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. BOWLING GREEN 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Oregon 24-58 L 33.5 L 69.5 O 9/8/18 MARYLAND 14-45 L 13 L 65.5 U 9/15/18 E KENTUCKY 42-35 W -13.5 L 65 O 9/22/18 MIAMI OHIO 23-38 L 6.5 L 55 O 9/29/18 at Georgia Tech 17-63 L 28 L 65 O 10/6/18 at Toledo 36-52 L 22.5 W 71 O 10/13/18 W MICHIGAN 35-42 L 14.5 W 68.5 O 10/20/18 at Ohio U 14-49 L 16 L 66.5 U 10/30/18 KENT ST 28-35 L 1 L 67.5 U 11/10/18 at C Michigan 24-13 W 7. 5 W 50 U 11/17/18 at Akron 21-6 W 6 W 48 U 11/23/18 BUFFALO 14-44 L 15 L 63 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 3 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Bowling Green is coming off a 2-10 season and there was hope of the offense improving this fall – but then starting QB Jarret Deoge (2,660 yards passing last year, 27 TDs, 12 INTs) transferred to West Virginia. Of course, even with Deoge the wins would have been hard to fnd as there’s still plenty of holes on offense and a defense that was even worse. How bad was it? So bad that it ranked No. 6 in the nation in passing yards allowed per game. You might think that’s a good thing, but not when teams run over your defense at the rate of 281 rushing yards per game with a whopping 5.9 yards per carry. Teams didn’t need to pass, and then ran out the clock coasting to easy victories. Even if BGSU opens with a win over FCS Morgan State, it’s hard to fnd another win (especially in the other nonconference games against Kansas State, Louisiana Tech and Notre Dame) as every team is looking at the Falcons as one of their easy wins. That includes other MAC bottom-feeders like Kent State and Akron, and if you’ve read those previews you know I see both those teams with better upside.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 186 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION BOWLING GREEN FALCONS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.7 104 Points Per Game 40.5 123 Yards Per Point 15.6 89 Yards Per Point 11 128 Plays Per Game 69.7 86 3rd Down Conv. % 44.0% 104 Time of Possession 29:09 81 Total Yards Per Game 444.5 95 3rd Down Conv. % 37.5% 77 Yards Per Play 6.4 117 Total Yards Per Game 354 105 Rush Yards Per Game 271.5 126 Yards Per Play 5.1 98 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.8 123 Rush Attempts Per Game 34.2 109 Completion % 53.9% 15 Rush Yards Per Game 117.1 117 Passing Yards Per Game 172.9 7 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 118 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 90 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.1 54 Sacks 1 125 Completion % 61.0% 46 Turnovers 1 116 Passing Yards Per Game 236.9 58 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 2 76 Turnovers 1.9 106 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-4 4-8 2-10 3-9 19-31 (38%) 108 Overall ATS 10-4 4-8 3-9 4-8 21-29 (42%) 103 Over-Under 7-7 4-8 7-5 6-6 24-26 (48%) 64 at Home ATS 4-1 1-5 0-5 1-5 6-16 (27%) 128 Road/Neutral ATS 6-3 3-3 3-4 3-3 15-13 (54%) 58 Conference ATS 7-2 4-4 3-5 4-4 18-15 (55%) 39 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 0-4 0-4 0-4 3-14 (18%) 129 Favorite ATS 8-3 0-2 1-1 0-1 9-7 (56%) 23 Underdog ATS 2-1 4-6 2-8 4-7 12-22 (35%) 116 After SUW ATS 7-3 1-2 0-2 1-2 9-9 (50%) 63 After SUL ATS 3-0 3-5 3-6 3-5 12-16 (43%) 92

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 21.5 -9 -0.58 20.8 6-QB 26.5 5.53 14.29 7-DC 35.5 6.1 11.96 2017 25 -4 -0.09 15.3 6 30.1 6 14.06 6 34.1 6.09 13.67 2016 Yes 27 -5.9 -0.36 19.8 5-QB, OC 28.3 5.52 15.49 6-DC 34.1 5.89 12.71 2015 49 23.6 2.27 -8.4 10- OC 46.2 7. 2 4 12.93 5-DC 22.7 4.97 17.01

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• BOWLING GREEN is 9-1 ATS (L10G) - VS AKRON

• BOWLING GREEN is 0-10 ATS (L10G) - Nonconference games

• BOWLING GREEN is 7-0 OVER (L7G) - [vs OPP] AP top 25

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 187 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION AKRON ZIPS Location: Akron, OH STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: InfoCision Stadium–Summa Field 22.5 Head Coach: Tom Arth - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 4-8 2.75 / 0 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 3 Offensive Coordinator: Tommy Zagorski * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Matt Feeney 32.13 (#115 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Illinois 9/7/19 UAB 9/14/19 at C Michigan HOME TEAMS are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of AKR-CMU series 9/21/19 TROY 9/28/19 at Massachusetts UNDER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of AKR-MAS series 10/12/19 KENT ST UNDERDOGS are 6-10 SU but 11-4 ATS in KS-AKR series since 2003 10/19/19 BUFFALO HOME TEAMS are 8-0 SU & ATS in L8 games of BUF-AKR series 10/26/19 at N Illinois ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of AKR-NIL series 11/2/19 at Bowling Green BOWLING GREEN is 9-2 SU & 10-1 ATS vs. AKRON since 2006 11/12/19 E MICHIGAN E MICHIGAN is 0-5 SU but 5-0 ATS in its L5 games at AKRON 11/20/19 at Miami Ohio ROAD TEAMS are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of AKR-MOH series 11/26/19 OHIO U UNDERDOGS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of OHU-AKR series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/8/18 MORGAN ST 41-7 W -42.5 L 57.5 U 9/15/18 at Northwestern 39-34 W 21 W 47.5 O 9/22/18 at Iowa St 13-26 L 18.5 W 47.5 U 10/6/18 MIAMI OHIO 17-41 L -4.5 L 47 O 10/13/18 at Buffalo 6-24 L 12 L 55 U 10/20/18 at Kent St 24-23 W -4.5 L 49 U 10/27/18 C MICHIGAN 17-10 W -4 W 43.5 U 11/1/18 N ILLINOIS 26-36 L 5.5 L 37.5 O 11/10/18 at E Michigan 7-27 L 11 L 41.5 U 11/17/18 BOWLING GREEN 6-21 L -6 L 48 U 11/23/18 at Ohio U 28-49 L 24 W 57 O 12/1/18 at South Carolina 3-28 L 28 W 56.5 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 3.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL It’s hard to believe that this program was in the MAC Championship Game in 2017 as the Zips went 4-8 last season and Terry Bowden was fred. New coach Tom Arth has a huge rebuilding job on his hands, but there is still a core of decent players to build around, including QB Kato Nelson and four of his fve top receivers from a year ago. With the Over/Under set at 3.5, the Zips should be able to match last year’s win total and go Over. The nonconference schedule of Illinois, UAB, Troy and UMass isn’t exactly a murderer’s row, and if Arth can mold him team in time for the start of the season, the Zips should be able to get at least one (mostly likely vs. UMass) and maybe two wins before the MAC season kicks off. While I still consider Akron among the dregs of the league, someone has to win the games when they play each other and the Zips appear to have more upside compared to Kent State, Bowling Green and maybe even Miami-Ohio.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 188 2019 MID-AMERICAN EAST DIVISION AKRON ZIPS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 16.9 127 Points Per Game 29 75 Yards Per Point 16.8 111 Yards Per Point 14.1 68 Plays Per Game 65.8 118 3rd Down Conv. % 38.9% 54 Time of Possession 27:52 107 Total Yards Per Game 410.2 74 3rd Down Conv. % 27.6% 130 Yards Per Play 5.3 47 Total Yards Per Game 284.6 127 Rush Yards Per Game 208.8 100 Yards Per Play 4.3 127 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 86 Rush Attempts Per Game 31.7 123 Completion % 62.0% 86 Rush Yards Per Game 88.9 126 Passing Yards Per Game 201.4 32 Yards Per Rush Attempt 2.8 128 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 28 Pass Attempts Per Game 31.2 68 Sacks 1.8 91 Completion % 49.3% 123 Turnovers 1.6 42 Passing Yards Per Game 195.7 95 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.3 110 Turnovers 1.9 101 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 5-7 7-7 4-8 24-27 (47%) 81 Overall ATS 8-5 4-8 9-5 5-7 26-25 (51%) 64 Over-Under 5-8 5-7 3-11 4-8 17-34 (33%) 130 at Home ATS 3-3 1-5 4-2 1-4 9-14 (39%) 102 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 3-3 5-3 4-3 17-11 (61%) 29 Conference ATS 6-2 3-5 7-2 2-6 18-15 (55%) 39 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 1-3 2-3 3-1 8-10 (44%) 86 Favorite ATS 4-1 1-4 3-1 1-4 9-10 (47%) 80 Underdog ATS 4-4 3-4 6-4 4-3 17-15 (53%) 59 After SUW ATS 6-1 1-4 4-3 3-1 14-9 (61%) 19 After SUL ATS 2-3 3-3 5-1 2-5 12-12 (50%) 56

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 26.5 -2.3 -0.07 14.4 5 23.3 4.89 13.35 9 25.6 4.96 14.47 2017 28 2 -0.4 14.2 8 24.6 5.3 14.08 7 22.6 5.7 18.32 2016 25 -1.2 0.5 6.2 3 31.7 6.29 12.83 4 32.9 5.79 13.52 2015 32.5 4.1 0.57 11. 5 6 24.4 5.34 15.21 6 20.3 4.77 15.94

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• AKRON is 8-2 ATS (L10G) - Before playing MIAMI OH

• AKRON is 1-9 ATS (L10G) at HOME - OU line of 60 or more

• AKRON is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) at HOME - Favorite of 10 or more points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 189 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS Location: Kalamazoo, MI STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Waldo Stadium 40 Head Coach: Tim Lester - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3.75 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 17 - Offense: 7 QB’ - Defense: 10 Offensive Coordinator: Jake Moreland SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Lou Esposito 32.65 (#111 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 MONMOUTH NJ 9/7/19 at Michigan St HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of MST-WMU series 9/14/19 GEORGIA ST 9/21/19 at Syracuse 9/28/19 C MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in L8 games of CMU-WMU series 10/5/19 at Toledo ROAD TEAMS are 12-8 ATS in WMU-TOL series since 1999 10/12/19 MIAMI OHIO 10/19/19 at E Michigan ROAD TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of EMU-WMU series 10/26/19 BOWLING GREEN W MICHIGAN is 7-4 SU & ATS vs. BOWLING GREEN since 1998 11/5/19 BALL ST BALL ST is 10-8 SU & 11-7 ATS vs. W MICHIGAN since 2001 11/12/19 at Ohio U OVER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of WMU-OHU series 11/26/19 at N Illinois N ILLINOIS is 13-8 SU & 15-5 ATS vs. W MICHIGAN since 1998 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 SYRACUSE 42-55 L 4.5 L 65 O 9/8/18 at Michigan 3-49 L 27.5 L 56 U 9/15/18 DELAWARE ST 68-0 W -46.5 W 70 U 9/22/18 at Georgia St 34-15 W -9.5 W 61 U 9/29/18 at Miami Ohio 40-39 W -3 L 53 O 10/6/18 E MICHIGAN 27-24 W -4.5 L 58.5 U 10/13/18 at Bowling Green 42-35 W -14.5 L 68.5 O 10/20/18 at C Michigan 35-10 W -7 W 53.5 U 10/25/18 TOLEDO 24-51 L -4 L 68 O 11/1/18 OHIO U 14-59 L 3.5 L 64.5 O 11/13/18 at Ball St 41-42 L -10 L 57.5 O 11/20/18 N ILLINOIS 28-21 W 6.5 W 49 T 12/21/18 vs. BYU 18-49 L 10 L 52 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Broncos lost some talent with some of their top skill position players transferring since last season, but QB Jon Wassink is back after suffering a season-ending knee injury last October and RB LeVante Bellamy rushed for 1,228 yards last season with six TDs and has the core for a solid offensive line returning. The defense needs to improve for WMU to truly be a contender, but it does return eight starters and 13 of their top 14 tacklers. The Broncos should get two nonconference wins against Monmouth and Georgia State, but they had two very tough games at Michigan State and at Syracuse. If they can pull an upset in one of those two games, then I’d make them a lock to go Over 7.5 wins. As it is, the most pivotal game will probably be at Toledo on Oct. 5 as that should determine the West Division frontrunner. WMU should mostly roll through the rest of its schedule until a Nov. 12 date at Ohio (a MAC game, but Ohio is in the East Division) with the season fnale on Nov. 26 at Northern Illinois likely to play a huge part in the Broncos’ postseason fate (and might be the last win needed to go Over 7.5).

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 190 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29 51 Points Per Game 37.4 115 Yards Per Point 14.8 75 Yards Per Point 10.9 129 Plays Per Game 75.6 33 3rd Down Conv. % 37.3% 45 Time of Possession 33:36 7 Total Yards Per Game 408.9 72 3rd Down Conv. % 35.6% 97 Yards Per Play 6.2 110 Total Yards Per Game 430.2 34 Rush Yards Per Game 170.4 69 Yards Per Play 5.7 54 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 77 Rush Attempts Per Game 43.7 16 Completion % 63.0% 98 Rush Yards Per Game 196.8 35 Passing Yards Per Game 238.5 75 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 50 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9 120 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.2 77 Sacks 2.4 44 Completion % 60.6% 50 Turnovers 1.5 68 Passing Yards Per Game 233.3 64 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 40 Turnovers 1.6 84 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 13-1 6-6 7-6 34-18 (65%) 28 Overall ATS 8-5 9-5 5-7 4-9 26-26 (50%) 74 Over-Under 7-5 7-7 8-4 7-5 29-21 (58%) 14 at Home ATS 3-3 4-2 2-4 2-4 11-13 (46%) 75 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 5-3 3-3 2-5 15-13 (54%) 58 Conference ATS 4-4 5-4 4-4 2-6 15-18 (45%) 87 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 4-1 1-3 2-3 11-8 (58%) 27 Favorite ATS 4-3 8-4 3-5 3-5 18-17 (51%) 50 Underdog ATS 4-2 1-1 2-2 1-4 8-9 (47%) 82 After SUW ATS 5-2 8-5 2-4 2-5 17-16 (52%) 59 After SUL ATS 2-3 0-0 2-3 2-3 6-9 (40%) 106

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 34 3.6 0.55 1.3 8-QB 34.9 6.3 13.31 5 31.3 5.75 11. 67 2017 Yes 37.5 6.9 0.03 3.6 5-QB, OC 35.4 5.57 11. 2 4 7-DC 28.4 5.54 13.06 2016 52.5 26 1.24 -12.1 8 45.9 6.89 11 5 19.9 5.65 17.41 2015 43.5 15.1 1.36 1.7 9 37.9 7. 21 13.66 7 22.8 5.85 16.82

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• W MICHIGAN is 6-1 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• W MICHIGAN is 1-15-1 ATS (L17G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• W MICHIGAN is 8-2 OVER (L10G) at HOME - Favorite of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 191 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION TOLEDO ROCKETS Location: Toledo, OH STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Glass Bowl 37 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3.25 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Brian Wright SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brian George 31.44 (#119 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Kentucky 9/14/19 MURRAY ST 9/21/19 at Colorado St 9/28/19 BYU 10/5/19 W MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 12-8 ATS in WMU-TOL series since 1999 10/12/19 at Bowling Green ROAD TEAMS are 3-4 SU but 6-0 ATS in L7 games of BGSU-TOL series 10/19/19 at Ball St BALL ST is 7-13 SU but 12-8 ATS vs. TOLEDO since 1999 10/26/19 E MICHIGAN HOME TEAMS are 10-5 SU & 11-4 ATS in EMU-TOL series since 2004 11/5/19 KENT ST FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of TOL-KS series 11/13/19 N ILLINOIS UNDER the total is 7-0 in L7 games of NIL-TOL series 11/20/19 at Buffalo BUFFALO is 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in its L5 games vs. TOLEDO 11/29/19 at C Michigan FAVORITES are 10-0 SU & ATS in CMU-TOL series since 2009 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 VMI 66-3 W -48.5 W 57 O 9/15/18 MIAMI FL 24-49 L 11. 5 L 58.5 O 9/22/18 NEVADA 63-44 W -11 W 67.5 O 9/29/18 at Fresno St 27-49 L 10.5 L 61.5 O 10/6/18 BOWLING GREEN 52-36 W -22.5 L 71 O 10/13/18 at E Michigan 26-28 L -2.5 L 62.5 U 10/20/18 BUFFALO 17-31 L -3 L 63 U 10/25/18 at W Michigan 51-24 W 4 W 68 O 10/31/18 BALL ST 45-13 W -20.5 W 64 U 11/7/18 at N Illinois 15-38 L 3.5 L 54 U 11/15/18 at Kent St 56-34 W -13 W 59.5 O 11/23/18 C MICHIGAN 51-13 W -19.5 W 58.5 O 12/21/18 vs. Fla International 32-35 L -7 L 57.5 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 8 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Rockets are the co-favorites to win the MAC, but that doesn’t mean they’re a given to go Over their win total of 8. Actually, I think the number is set just about right as 8-4 does look like Toledo’s most likely fnishing record, but I have to say it’s more likely to fnish 7-5 (which, assuming that’s 6-2 in the MAC, could still put the Rockets in the conference title game) than go 9-3. Toledo’s nonconference schedule includes Kentucky, Murray State, Colorado State and BYU. It should beat Murray State and if the Rockets can pull an upset in one of the other games, that would certainly improve their chances to get to 9 wins. However, that still wouldn’t be a guarantee as they’re expected to have to battle Western Michigan, Northern Illinois and maybe even Eastern Michigan for the MAC’s West Division crown. The good news – besides the expected return of starting QB Mitchell Guadagni, who was having a great season until breaking his collarbone – is the Toledo gets the West Division’s other top contenders (Western Michigan, Northern Illinois and possibly Eastern Michigan) all at home in the Glass Bowl. The Rockets aren’t as good as their 2017 MAC champion team with a pass defense that lets other teams stay in games and makes them vulnerable to upsets.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 192 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION TOLEDO ROCKETS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 38.2 12 Points Per Game 32.8 92 Yards Per Point 11. 3 2 Yards Per Point 13.7 78 Plays Per Game 72.9 60 3rd Down Conv. % 34.7% 25 Time of Possession 29:12 79 Total Yards Per Game 449.8 101 3rd Down Conv. % 36.8% 84 Yards Per Play 5.9 93 Total Yards Per Game 431 32 Rush Yards Per Game 188 83 Yards Per Play 5.9 35 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 95 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.5 41 Completion % 60.8% 75 Rush Yards Per Game 216.6 20 Passing Yards Per Game 261.8 108 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 16 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 78 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.2 76 Sacks 2.3 50 Completion % 54.6% 102 Turnovers 1.5 72 Passing Yards Per Game 214.4 82 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 81 Turnovers 1.5 67 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-2 9-4 11-3 7-6 37-15 (71%) 16 Overall ATS 9-2 6-6 7-7 6-7 28-22 (56%) 21 Over-Under 3-9 5-7 7-7 9-4 24-27 (47%) 72 at Home ATS 3-2 3-3 3-3 4-3 13-11 (54%) 31 Road/Neutral ATS 6-0 3-3 4-4 2-4 15-11 (58%) 36 Conference ATS 6-2 2-5 6-3 4-4 18-14 (56%) 31 Non-Conf. ATS 3-0 4-1 1-4 2-3 10-8 (56%) 37 Favorite ATS 6-2 4-4 7-6 5-4 22-16 (58%) 17 Underdog ATS 3-0 2-2 0-1 1-3 6-6 (50%) 73 After SUW ATS 6-2 4-4 6-5 2-5 18-16 (53%) 53 After SUL ATS 2-0 1-2 1-1 3-2 7-5 (58%) 30

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 43 13.1 0.69 -0.7 6 42.5 6.37 10.77 6 29.4 5.68 14.38 2017 43 18 2.14 -1.9 5 39.6 7.47 13.52 7 21.6 5.33 16.84 2016 Yes 44 16.9 1.76 -3.5 7-QB, OC 40.7 7.45 13.45 3-DC 23.8 5.69 16.09 2015 45.5 21.1 1.65 -3.2 5 36.9 6.47 13.4 8 15.8 4.82 22.59

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TOLEDO is 20-6 ATS (S2000) at HOME - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• TOLEDO is 0-6-1 ATS (L7G) - Favorite of 7 or less points

• TOLEDO is 19-5-1 OVER (L10Y) - Favorite of more than 14 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 193 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES Location: DeKalb, IL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium 38 Head Coach: Thomas Hammock - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-6 3.25 / 0 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Eric Eidsness * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Derrick Jackson * 37.23 (#77 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 ILLINOIS ST 9/7/19 at Utah 9/14/19 at Nebraska 9/28/19 at Vanderbilt 10/5/19 BALL ST N ILLINOIS is 7-0 SU & ATS in its L7 games vs. BALL ST 10/12/19 at Ohio U UNDERDOGS are 3-5 SU but 7-1 ATS in L8 games of NIL-OHU series 10/19/19 at Miami Ohio MIAMI OHIO is 2-5 SU but 6-1 ATS in its L7 games vs. N ILLINOIS 10/26/19 AKRON ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of AKR-NIL series 11/2/19 at C Michigan C MICHIGAN is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. N ILLINOIS 11/13/19 at Toledo UNDER the total is 7-0 in L7 games of NIL-TOL series 11/19/19 E MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 11-10 SU & 14-6 ATS in NIL-EMU series since 1998 11/26/19 W MICHIGAN N ILLINOIS is 13-8 SU & 15-5 ATS vs. W MICHIGAN since 1998 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Iowa 7-33 L 10 L 46.5 U 9/8/18 UTAH 6-17 L 13 W 46.5 U 9/15/18 C MICHIGAN 24-16 W -13.5 L 48 U 9/22/18 at Florida St 19-37 L 10 L 46 O 9/29/18 at E Michigan 26-23 W 3.5 W 50.5 U 10/6/18 at Ball St 24-16 W -2.5 W 53.5 U 10/13/18 OHIO U 24-21 W -5.5 L 52 U 10/27/18 at BYU 7-6 W 7 W 44.5 U 11/1/18 at Akron 36-26 W -5.5 W 37.5 O 11/7/18 TOLEDO 38-15 W -3.5 W 54 U 11/14/18 MIAMI OHIO 7-13 L -6.5 L 48 U 11/20/18 at W Michigan 21-28 L -6.5 L 49 T 11/30/18 vs. Buffalo 30-29 W 3.5 W 51.5 O 12/18/18 vs. Uab 13-37 L 1.5 L 41 O DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 7 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL NIU comes into this season as the unlikely defending MAC champions. Buffalo was the best MAC team during the regular season but NIU somehow pulled out a 29-28 victory in the conference title game despite having a rather mediocre offense (averaged just 322 yards and 20 points per game last season). Now, the Huskies not only lose All-American pass rusher Sutton Smith but head coach Rod Carey left for Temple, so it’s a rebuilding job for new coach Thomas Haddock, a former Huskie RB. The defense should carry NIU to contention in the MAC again, but it’s going to be hard to get more than 7 wins if the offense doesn’t drastically improve. After an expected opening win over Illinois State, the Huskies must travel to Utah, Nebraska and Vanderbilt. The Huskies beat BYU last year and Nebraska two years ago, but those were better NIU teams and it’s hard to see them starting better than 1-3. That’s still not a death knell, but unless the Huskies are better than expected, it’s going to be hard to go on the road to Ohio (Oct. 12) and Toledo (Nov. 13) and come back home with victories. There’s some soft spots on the schedule, but while 7 looks just about right, a 6-6 season is more likely than 8-4.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 194 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 20.1 115 Points Per Game 22.6 28 Yards Per Point 16 100 Yards Per Point 15.8 30 Plays Per Game 74.3 46 3rd Down Conv. % 38.9% 56 Time of Possession 28:12 102 Total Yards Per Game 357 36 3rd Down Conv. % 36.0% 92 Yards Per Play 4.6 13 Total Yards Per Game 322.3 120 Rush Yards Per Game 109.2 10 Yards Per Play 4.3 126 Yards Per Rush Attempt 2.7 3 Rush Attempts Per Game 42.6 23 Completion % 56.8% 33 Rush Yards Per Game 166.9 64 Passing Yards Per Game 247.8 90 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 89 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 2 61 Pass Attempts Per Game 28.6 92 Sacks 3.4 4 Completion % 58.9% 69 Turnovers 1.4 86 Passing Yards Per Game 155.4 118 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.4 127 Turnovers 1.4 58 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-6 5-7 8-5 8-6 29-24 (55%) 57 Overall ATS 8-5 6-5 6-7 7-7 27-24 (53%) 49 Over-Under 7-7 7-5 7-6 4-9 25-27 (48%) 62 at Home ATS 3-2 2-3 3-3 2-3 10-11 (48%) 65 Road/Neutral ATS 5-3 4-2 3-4 5-4 17-13 (57%) 40 Conference ATS 5-3 6-1 2-6 5-4 18-14 (56%) 31 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 0-4 4-1 2-3 9-10 (47%) 76 Favorite ATS 5-3 4-3 3-5 3-4 15-15 (50%) 65 Underdog ATS 3-2 2-2 3-2 4-3 12-9 (57%) 42 After SUW ATS 6-1 3-0 3-5 4-4 16-10 (62%) 16 After SUL ATS 2-3 3-4 2-2 3-2 10-11 (48%) 72

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 39 9.4 0.83 0.8 8-QB 26.6 5.04 13.48 6-DC 17.2 4.21 18.5 2017 39.5 12.2 0.77 1.6 5-QB 31 5.23 12.76 7 18.8 4.46 16.98 2016 36.5 5.9 0.69 3.7 7- OC 31.4 6.18 15.6 6-DC 25.5 5.5 16.81 2015 41.5 11. 7 0.94 -1.5 5 34.3 5.79 12.93 8 22.6 4.85 17.06

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• N ILLINOIS is 7-0 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Underdog of 7 or less points

• N ILLINOIS is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

• N ILLINOIS is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) at HOME - Underdog of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 195 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES Location: Ypsilanti, MI STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Rynearson Stadium 32.5 Head Coach: - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 2.5 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Neal Neathery 31.38 (#120 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Coastal Carolina 9/7/19 at Kentucky 9/14/19 at Illinois 9/21/19 C CONN ST 10/5/19 at C Michigan ROAD TEAMS are 8-12 SU but 12-8 ATS in EMU-CMU series since 1999 10/12/19 BALL ST OVER the total is 9-1 in EMU-BLS series since 2009 10/19/19 W MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of EMU-WMU series 10/26/19 at Toledo HOME TEAMS are 10-5 SU & 11-4 ATS in EMU-TOL series since 2004 11/2/19 BUFFALO HOME TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of BUF-EMU series 11/12/19 at Akron E MICHIGAN is 0-5 SU but 5-0 ATS in its L5 games at AKRON 11/19/19 at N Illinois ROAD TEAMS are 11-10 SU & 14-6 ATS in NIL-EMU series since 1998 11/29/19 KENT ST KENT ST is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. E MICHIGAN 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 MONMOUTH NJ 51-17 W -22.5 W 60.5 O 9/8/18 at Purdue 20-19 W 15 W 50.5 U 9/15/18 at Buffalo 28-35 L 3 L 54 O 9/22/18 at San Diego St 20-23 L 10.5 W 48.5 U 9/29/18 N ILLINOIS 23-26 L -3.5 L 50.5 U 10/6/18 at W Michigan 24-27 L 4.5 W 58.5 U 10/13/18 TOLEDO 28-26 W 2.5 W 62.5 U 10/20/18 at Ball St 42-20 W -2.5 W 45 O 10/27/18 ARMY 22-37 L 1.5 L 48 O 11/3/18 C MICHIGAN 17-7 W -14 L 46.5 U 11/10/18 AKRON 27-7 W -11 W 41.5 U 11/23/18 at Kent St 28-20 W -12 L 52.5 U 12/15/18 vs. Ga Southern 21-23 L 2.5 W 45.5 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL After being perennial MAC doormats – including a 29-year bowl drought that ended in 2016, Eastern Michigan has been to two bowls in the past three years and is a darkhorse to contend for the MAC West Division title this season. EMU led the MAC in total defense and scoring defense last year and should be the key to success this season, though the offense is being counted on to improve under QB Mike Glass, who threw nine TDs with just one INT last season after replacing Tyler Wiegers. I expect the Eagles to be competitive and capable of pulling some upsets along the way, so while it will be diffcult to get to 7 wins, I believe it’s still more likely than to end up 6-6. While other MAC teams have three tough nonconference teams against Power 5 teams, EMU faces Kentucky and Illinois (which wouldn’t shock me if the Eagles pull off an upset) but then has easier games against Coastal Carolina and Central Connecticut State. They then start the MAC schedule against Central Michigan and Ball State before getting to the tougher past of their schedule. If they’re still short of their total in mid-to-late November, they close the regular season against Akron (Nov. 12) and Kent State (Nov. 29) in two of their last three games, sandwiched around Northern Illinois (Nov. 19), which could be down this year as well.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 196 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25 87 Points Per Game 22.5 26 Yards Per Point 14.6 69 Yards Per Point 15.7 34 Plays Per Game 70.4 77 3rd Down Conv. % 37.0% 42 Time of Possession 29:51 67 Total Yards Per Game 352.2 31 3rd Down Conv. % 31.2% 124 Yards Per Play 4.9 28 Total Yards Per Game 364.4 93 Rush Yards Per Game 206 98 Yards Per Play 5.2 91 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 74 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.8 71 Completion % 54.6% 18 Rush Yards Per Game 144 93 Passing Yards Per Game 146.2 2 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.8 96 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.9 10 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.1 78 Sacks 1.8 94 Completion % 62.1% 35 Turnovers 1.9 15 Passing Yards Per Game 220.4 72 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 68 Turnovers 1.2 27 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 1-11 7-6 5-7 7-6 20-30 (40%) 103 Overall ATS 4-7 10-3 8-4 8-5 30-19 (61%) 8 Over-Under 9-3 4-9 5-7 4-9 22-28 (44%) 96 at Home ATS 1-5 4-2 2-3 3-3 10-13 (43%) 81 Road/Neutral ATS 3-2 6-1 6-1 5-2 20-6 (77%) 1 Conference ATS 1-6 6-2 4-4 4-4 15-16 (48%) 72 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 4-1 4-0 4-1 15-3 (83%) 2 Favorite ATS 0-0 3-1 2-3 3-3 8-7 (53%) 40 Underdog ATS 4-7 7-2 6-1 5-2 22-12 (65%) 21 After SUW ATS 0-1 5-2 1-3 4-3 10-9 (53%) 55 After SUL ATS 3-6 4-1 6-1 3-2 16-10 (62%) 18

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 37 9.7 0.92 6 6 30.3 5.68 12.94 7 20.6 4.76 16.52 2017 35.5 7 0.53 5.3 8- OC 27.2 5.66 14.84 8 20.2 5.14 17.35 2016 32 2.1 0.43 8.5 8-QB 29.8 6.07 15.49 8-DC 27.8 5.64 15.29 2015 17 -11.8 -0.97 21.7 5 28.2 5.76 14.14 8 40 6.73 12.44

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• E MICHIGAN is 12-2-1 ATS (L15G) - After playing TOLEDO

• E MICHIGAN is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• E MICHIGAN is 7-0 OVER (L7G) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 20 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 197 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION BALL ST CARDINALS Location: Muncie, IN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Scheumann Stadium 29 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 4-8 2 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 17 - Offense: 8 - Defense: 9 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: / Tyler Stockton 34.27 (#99 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Indiana BALL ST is 3-5 SU but 6-2 ATS in its L8 games vs. INDIANA 9/7/19 FORDHAM 9/14/19 FLA ATLANTIC 9/21/19 at NC State 10/5/19 at N Illinois N ILLINOIS is 7-0 SU & ATS in its L7 games vs. BALL ST 10/12/19 at E Michigan OVER the total is 9-1 in EMU-BLS series since 2009 10/19/19 TOLEDO BALL ST is 7-13 SU but 12-8 ATS vs. TOLEDO since 1999 10/26/19 OHIO U HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of BLS-OHU series 11/5/19 at W Michigan BALL ST is 10-8 SU & 11-7 ATS vs. W MICHIGAN since 2001 11/16/19 C MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 11-5 SU & 13-3 ATS in CMU-BLS series since 2003 11/23/19 at Kent St HOME TEAMS are 7-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L7 games of KS-BLS series 11/29/19 MIAMI OHIO MIAMI OHIO is 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS vs. BALL ST since 2001 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 C CONN ST 42-6 W -20 W 61.5 U 9/8/18 at Notre Dame 16-24 L 34 W 59.5 U 9/15/18 at Indiana 10-38 L 15 L 61.5 U 9/22/18 W KENTUCKY 20-28 L -3 L 52 U 9/29/18 KENT ST 52-24 W -7 W 60 O 10/6/18 N ILLINOIS 16-24 L 2.5 L 53.5 U 10/13/18 at C Michigan 24-23 W 2 W 55 U 10/20/18 E MICHIGAN 20-42 L 2.5 L 45 O 10/25/18 at Ohio U 14-52 L 10.5 L 65.5 O 10/31/18 at Toledo 13-45 L 20.5 L 64 U 11/13/18 W MICHIGAN 42-41 W 10 W 57.5 O 11/20/18 at Miami Ohio 21-42 L 14.5 L 56 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 4 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Defense is probably what keeps Ball State among the dregs of the MAC this season. It does return nine starters, but those players allowed an average of 450 yards and 32 points per game. Unless they all mature, the Cardinals are in for a long season. The offense, which averaged 400 yards a game but had a hard time fnding the end zone should be improved with QB Drew Plitt expected to win the starting job. Plitt completed 65 percent of this passes but threw eight INTs. He does have a good corps of receivers returning, but it’s still going to be hard to overcome the defense’s shortcomings. The schedule doesn’t help either as Ball State opens with nonconference games against Indiana, Fordham, Florida Atlantic and North Carolina State, with just Fordham being a possible win. The Cardinals also have the misfortune of being in the tougher West Division of the MAC and doesn’t get to face Akron or Bowling Green from the East Division.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 198 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION BALL ST CARDINALS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.5 105 Points Per Game 34.8 104 Yards Per Point 17.2 117 Yards Per Point 13.4 90 Plays Per Game 78.6 12 3rd Down Conv. % 44.4% 109 Time of Possession 27:46 108 Total Yards Per Game 464.9 114 3rd Down Conv. % 40.2% 51 Yards Per Play 5.9 92 Total Yards Per Game 386.8 71 Rush Yards Per Game 246 119 Yards Per Play 4.9 107 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.2 112 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.2 92 Completion % 66.2% 124 Rush Yards Per Game 141.5 97 Passing Yards Per Game 218.9 50 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 90 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 71 Pass Attempts Per Game 40 9 Sacks 1.7 97 Completion % 59.1% 64 Turnovers 1.5 63 Passing Yards Per Game 245.4 50 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.1 114 Turnovers 1.9 102 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 4-8 2-10 4-8 13-35 (27%) 119 Overall ATS 4-8 7-5 3-8 5-7 19-28 (40%) 114 Over-Under 4-8 4-8 8-4 5-7 21-27 (44%) 99 at Home ATS 2-4 1-4 2-4 3-3 8-15 (35%) 115 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 6-1 1-4 2-4 11-13 (46%) 91 Conference ATS 3-5 3-5 1-7 3-5 10-22 (31%) 126 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 4-0 2-1 2-2 9-6 (60%) 19 Favorite ATS 1-2 2-4 1-1 2-1 6-8 (43%) 97 Underdog ATS 3-6 5-1 2-7 3-6 13-20 (39%) 111 After SUW ATS 1-2 2-2 0-1 1-3 4-8 (33%) 121 After SUL ATS 3-5 4-3 2-7 3-4 12-19 (39%) 110

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 28.5 -1 0.15 10.1 9-QB 28.3 5.69 15.47 7 29.3 5.54 14.4 2017 13 -18.8 -1.7 25.6 8 20.5 4.66 17.1 4-DC 39.3 6.36 10.29 2016 Yes 27 -1.1 -0.52 11. 9 6 27.9 5.75 16.42 9-DC 28.9 6.27 15.98 2015 21.5 -6.3 -1.06 15.3 10 25.8 5.31 15.33 8 32.1 6.36 15.19

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• BALL ST is 12-3 ATS (L15G) - VS BIG 10

• BALL ST is 0-7 ATS (L7G) - Revenging a loss vs - N ILLINOIS

• BALL ST is 9-1 OVER (L10G) - VS E MICHIGAN

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 199 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS Location: Mount Pleasant, MI STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Kelly/Shorts Stadium 24.5 Head Coach: Jim McElwain - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 1-11 2.25 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 3 Offensive Coordinator: Charlie Frye * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Robb Akey * 33.54 (#106 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 ALBANY 9/7/19 at Wisconsin 9/14/19 AKRON HOME TEAMS are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of AKR-CMU series 9/21/19 at Miami Fl 9/28/19 at W Michigan ROAD TEAMS are 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in L8 games of CMU-WMU series 10/5/19 E MICHIGAN ROAD TEAMS are 8-12 SU but 12-8 ATS in EMU-CMU series since 1999 10/12/19 NEW MEXICO ST 10/19/19 at Bowling Green ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of BGSU-CMU series 10/26/19 at Buffalo ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of CMU-BUF series 11/2/19 N ILLINOIS C MICHIGAN is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. N ILLINOIS 11/16/19 at Ball St ROAD TEAMS are 11-5 SU & 13-3 ATS in CMU-BLS series since 2003 11/29/19 TOLEDO FAVORITES are 10-0 SU & ATS in CMU-TOL series since 2009 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Kentucky 20-35 L 17 W 50.5 O 9/8/18 KANSAS 7-31 L -3 L 48 U 9/15/18 at N Illinois 16-24 L 13.5 W 48 U 9/22/18 MAINE 17-5 W -7 W 55 U 9/29/18 at Michigan St 20-31 L 27.5 W 45.5 O 10/6/18 BUFFALO 24-34 L 6.5 L 52 O 10/13/18 BALL ST 23-24 L -2 L 55 U 10/20/18 W MICHIGAN 10-35 L 7 L 53.5 U 10/27/18 at Akron 10-17 L 4 L 43.5 U 11/3/18 at E Michigan 7-17 L 14 W 46.5 U 11/10/18 BOWLING GREEN 13-24 L -7.5 L 50 U 11/23/18 at Toledo 13-51 L 19.5 L 58.5 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 4 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Jim McElwain, the former head coach at Colorado State and Florida who served as Michigan’s receivers coach last season, takes over the Central Michigan program this season after a disastrous 1-11 record last year. But don’t forget that CMU had been to four straight bowls and fve in six years before that debacle. There’s still some core talent left from those teams and they’re now joined by QB Quinten Dormady (a transfer from Tennessee via Houston) and WR Kalil Pimpleton (from Virginia Tech). If McElwain can mold the team in preseason drills, this should be a quick turnaround for the Chippewas. After an expected win against FCS Albany in the season open and an expected loss at Wisconsin, Central Michigan should get its second win against Akron on Sept. 14 and already be halfway to their Over/Under of 4 wins. The Chippewas face Miami (Fla., not Ohio) on Sept. 21 but have another winnable nonconference game Oct. 12 vs. New Mexico State. The West Division of the MAC is pretty competitive, but the Central Michigan has a chance to pulls some upsets and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Chippewas not only go Over with fve victories but become bowl-eligible with six.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 200 2019 MID-AMERICAN WEST DIVISION CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 14.8 128 Points Per Game 29.4 76 Yards Per Point 17.7 124 Yards Per Point 12.4 113 Plays Per Game 71.4 72 3rd Down Conv. % 39.9% 71 Time of Possession 26:47 124 Total Yards Per Game 364 40 3rd Down Conv. % 29.6% 126 Yards Per Play 5 33 Total Yards Per Game 261.7 129 Rush Yards Per Game 216.3 107 Yards Per Play 3.7 130 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 80 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.9 82 Completion % 57.4% 48 Rush Yards Per Game 122.5 115 Passing Yards Per Game 147.7 3 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.3 122 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6 14 Pass Attempts Per Game 31.5 64 Sacks 1.6 105 Completion % 48.8% 126 Turnovers 1.8 25 Passing Yards Per Game 139.3 124 Yards Per Pass Attempt 4.4 130 Turnovers 2.3 125 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 6-7 8-5 1-11 22-29 (43%) 96 Overall ATS 9-4 5-8 7-6 5-7 26-25 (51%) 64 Over-Under 5-8 6-7 7-5 4-8 22-28 (44%) 96 at Home ATS 4-2 3-3 2-3 1-5 10-13 (43%) 81 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 2-5 5-3 4-2 16-12 (57%) 39 Conference ATS 5-3 2-6 6-2 2-6 15-17 (47%) 78 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 3-2 1-4 3-1 11-8 (58%) 27 Favorite ATS 4-2 3-5 2-1 1-3 10-11 (48%) 78 Underdog ATS 5-2 2-3 5-5 4-4 16-14 (53%) 57 After SUW ATS 3-4 3-3 5-3 1-0 12-10 (55%) 43 After SUL ATS 5-0 1-5 2-2 3-7 11-14 (44%) 85

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 23 -5.1 -0.6 15.7 4 19.9 4.05 13.74 6 25 4.65 13.33 2017 33.5 6.5 0.8 10.2 9-QB, OC 30.6 5.73 13.3 6 24 4.92 15.32 2016 30 3.7 0.72 8.6 8 29.6 6.13 13.88 8 25.9 5.42 14 2015 Yes 36 10.4 1.23 3.5 5 29.3 6.1 14.88 5-DC 18.9 4.88 16.59

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• C MICHIGAN is 7-0 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - Favorite of more than 7 points

• C MICHIGAN is 0-7 ATS (L7G) - Revenging a loss vs - TOLEDO

• C MICHIGAN is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - Before playing BOWLING GREEN

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 201 MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY JONATHAN VON TOBEL - @MEJVT

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's MOUNTAIN DIVISION BOISE ST 49.5 2 0.75 34.25 100 9.8 2.2 7. 0 1.0 UTAH ST 42.5 3.75 -0.25 40.17 66 6.8 5.2 5.0 3.0 AIR FORCE 38.5 3.5 -0.25 35.67 85 6.9 5.1 4.7 3.3 WYOMING 34.5 3.25 0 35.83 83 5.6 6.4 3.6 4.4 NEW MEXICO 26.5 3.25 0 34.54 97 4.1 7. 9 2.2 5.8 COLORADO ST 28.5 3 0.25 38.23 73 3.1 8.9 2.0 6.0 WEST DIVISION FRESNO ST 43.5 4 -0.5 34.08 101 8.3 3.7 5.8 2.2 SAN DIEGO ST 42 2.75 0.75 35.04 94 8.2 3.8 5.7 2.3 NEVADA 36 3.5 0.25 35.52 91 6.2 5.8 4.2 3.8 HAWAII 35 2.25 -0.75 37.77 75 5.7 7. 3 3.6 4.4 UNLV 31.5 2.25 0.5 36.50 80 4.4 7. 6 2.9 5.1 SAN JOSE ST 25 2.75 -0.75 36.46 81 2.8 9.2 1.5 6.5

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME EAST DIVISION BOISE UTAH BOISE BOISE BOISE UTAH BOISE BOISE CHAMPION STATE STATE STATE STATE STATE STATE STATE STATE WEST DIVISION FRESNO SAN FRESNO SAN FRESNO FRESNO FRESNO HAWAII CHAMPION STATE DIEGO ST STATE DIEGO ST STATE STATE STATE MOUNTAIN WEST FRESNO SAN BOISE BOISE BOISE UTAH BOISE BOISE CHAMPIONSHIP STATE DIEGO ST STATE STATE STATE STATE STATE STATE

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 202 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITE Boise State Is it any surprise that the favorite to win the Mountain West resides in Boise, Idaho? The Broncos are the even-money favorite at the Westgate SuperBook, and the slight odds-on favorite at FanDuel with a minus-105 price tag. Although, this Broncos team is not as dominant, it seems, as squads of the past. heads into 2019 having to replace Brett Rypien, a four-year starter at quarterback. The group of passers they bring in have combined for a total of seven pass attempts, and clearly lack experience. The offense loses a 1,000-yard rusher as well, but the Broncos boast the best offensive line in the conference with all five starters back. Breaking in a new quarterback and running back becomes much easier behind a unit like that. Boise gets seven of their top eight defensive backs to return, so they also own arguably the best secondary in the Mountain West on top of it. Making the Broncos the favorites to win is almost a default each season, but it seems like they sit atop the odds mainly due to the lack of strength in other teams, as opposed to the strength of this current roster. LIVE DOGS Fresno State, Air Force and San Diego State A trio of programs sit at 5/1 to win this conference at the Westgate: Fresno State, Air Force and San Diego State. Fresno is going through what looks like a rebuild on offense, and while has done astounding work here, it is hard to be an effective offense with just three starters back. Air Force is a quality candidate, but must get through Boise State to represent the Mountain division in the title game, same with Utah State. The Aggies (7/1) do have one big thing going for them though, quarterback Jordan Love. Love amassed over 3,500 passing yards and led Utah State to 11 wins in 2018. With a quarterback of that level it is hard to overlook a program. With better health than a season ago, the Aztecs are back in the mix as well. Juwan Washington played just eight games last season and should provide SDSU with that presence at running back the program has so longly been associated with. Regardless of how you rank these underdogs there is one thing that is clear: There is a gap between the top five teams in the conference and the rest. It’s hard to make a case for any program on the outside. DEAD MONEY Colorado State, UNLV, New Mexico and San Jose State There are four options for this category in the Mountain West: Colorado State, UNLV, New Mexico and San Jose State. All four teams sit in the triple-digit range in the odds to win the conference. UNLV is a consistent underachiever that has yet to allow fewer than 430 yards per game on defense under Tony Sanchez. New Mexico returns just two members of a defense that allowed 36.6 points per game, and could be in for an even worse season than the three wins in 2018. Colorado State loses its leading rusher and receiver on offense and draws a brutal schedule. The Spartans of San Jose could actually be very much improved this season with 13 returning starters, but the talent still pales in comparison to the top programs in the conference. There is not a case to be made for any of these four programs as conference champions. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Air Force at Boise State, Sep. 20 Boise State at Utah State, Nov. 23 This Mountain matchup will carry weight at the A revenge spot for the Aggies, who dropped end of the year when it comes to deciding the a road game last season with the division on division winner. The Falcons are actually 3-2 the line. Boise will likely be a road favorite in straight up in the last five against the Broncos, a game that could once again have conference but those two losses have come in the last two title implications. years. San Diego State at Hawai’i, Nov. 23 Fresno State at San Diego State, On the same day two potential West Nov. 15 representatives will meet. The Rainbow Warriors If Fresno State can successfully compete in the return 18 starters after a surprising run to a Mountain West despite the loss of talent this bowl last season. This could be an extremely becomes a huge contest. The Bulldogs have won important game in deciding the West. SDSU will the last two meetings. be favored, but not by much.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 203 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION BOISE ST BRONCOS Location: Boise, ID STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Albertsons Stadium 49.5 Head Coach: Bryan Harsin - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-3 2 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Zak Hill / SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jeff Schmedding / Spencer Danielson * 34.25 (#100 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Florida St 9/7/19 MARSHALL 9/14/19 PORTLAND ST 9/21/19 AIR FORCE AIR FORCE is 3-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L7 games vs. BOISE ST 10/5/19 at UNLV ROAD TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of BSU-UNLV series 10/12/19 HAWAII FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of BSU-HAW series 10/19/19 at BYU ROAD TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of BSU-BYU series 11/2/19 at San Jose St FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of BSU-SJS series 11/9/19 WYOMING UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of WYO-BSU series at BOISE ST 11/16/19 NEW MEXICO ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of BSU-NM series 11/23/19 at Utah St BOISE ST is 15-1 SU & 12-3 ATS vs. UTAH ST since 1998 11/30/19 at Colorado St FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of BSU-CSU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Troy 56-20 W -8.5 W 48.5 O 9/8/18 CONNECTICUT 62-7 W -33.5 W 63 O 9/15/18 at Oklahoma St 21-44 L -1 L 66 U 9/29/18 at Wyoming 34-14 W -15 W 46.5 O 10/6/18 SAN DIEGO ST 13-19 L -13 L 50.5 U 10/13/18 at Nevada 31-27 W -14 L 58 T 10/19/18 COLORADO ST 56-28 W -23.5 W 61.5 O 10/27/18 at Air Force 48-38 W -10 T 57 O 11/3/18 BYU 21-16 W -12 L 52.5 U 11/9/18 FRESNO ST 24-17 W 2 W 55 U 11/16/18 at New Mexico 45-14 W -22 W 61.5 U 11/24/18 UTAH ST 33-24 W -3 W 63 U 12/1/18 FRESNO ST 16-19 L -2 L 51 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 10 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Replacing a four-year starting quarterback is no easy task, but it is something Bryan Harsin and the Broncos must do if they are to achieve double-digit wins for the fourth consecutive season. The keys will likely be handed off to freshman Hank Bachmeier, but even if that is the right choice there is still the matter of replacing a 1,400 yard rusher. Andrew Van Buren returns after rushing for 163 yards as a true freshman a season ago, and will attempt to be the next in what has been a long line of talented running backs in Boise. The two youngsters have the beneft of an offensive line that returns all fve starters, three members of which are seniors. It’s hard to see the Broncos matching the 35.4 points per game put up in 2018 with so much youth at key skill positions, so a lot will fall on the defense. Both the defensive line and defensive backfeld return three starters, and the unit as a whole is capable of matching its statistical output from 2018. However, with the lack of experience at key positions on offense it is hard to bet Over 10 wins with any confdence. The Broncos will be in Jacksonville to start the season against Florida State, and the play host to Marshall. Boise also has to make trips to BYU and Utah State. Bettors should not expect this team to lose just one game this season.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 204 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION BOISE ST BRONCOS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 35.4 18 Points Per Game 22.1 23 Yards Per Point 13 28 Yards Per Point 16.1 25 Plays Per Game 77.8 15 3rd Down Conv. % 31.1% 9 Time of Possession 33:03 12 Total Yards Per Game 355.9 34 3rd Down Conv. % 52.5% 2 Yards Per Play 5.4 51 Total Yards Per Game 459.5 19 Rush Yards Per Game 122.9 20 Yards Per Play 5.9 36 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.6 23 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.9 51 Completion % 62.8% 96 Rush Yards Per Game 167.5 63 Passing Yards Per Game 233 67 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 74 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 9 98 Pass Attempts Per Game 35.4 37 Sacks 3 15 Completion % 67.4% 9 Turnovers 1.8 20 Passing Yards Per Game 292 17 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.3 20 Turnovers 1 15 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 10-3 11-3 10-3 40-13 (75%) 8 Overall ATS 7-6 3-10 8-5 7-5 25-26 (49%) 77 Over-Under 7-6 5-8 6-8 5-7 23-29 (44%) 94 at Home ATS 2-4 0-6 2-4 4-3 8-17 (32%) 123 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 3-4 6-1 3-2 17-9 (65%) 12 Conference ATS 4-4 2-6 5-4 5-3 16-17 (48%) 68 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 1-4 3-1 2-2 9-9 (50%) 59 Favorite ATS 6-6 3-10 5-5 6-5 20-26 (43%) 96 Underdog ATS 1-0 0-0 3-0 1-0 5-0 (100%) 2 After SUW ATS 5-3 2-8 7-3 5-4 19-18 (51%) 61 After SUL ATS 2-2 0-2 1-2 1-1 4-7 (36%) 112

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 51.5 23.6 1.55 -8.6 6-QB 40.7 6.72 12.44 10 17.1 5.17 19.02 2017 48.5 20 2.09 -9.9 5 38.4 6.5 11.62 4 18.3 4.41 16.66 2016 47.5 22.5 3.05 -7 8- OC 38.4 7.75 13.64 5-DC 15.9 4.7 22.04 2015 47.5 20.5 1.27 -9.5 9-QB, OC 39.2 6.21 12.96 8 18.7 4.94 17.65

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• BOISE ST is 22-2-1 ATS (L25G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After SU loss

• BOISE ST is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at HOME - as AP top 10

• BOISE ST is 14-2 UNDER (L5Y) at HOME - On Saturday

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 205 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION UTAH ST AGGIES Location: Logan, UT STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium 42.5 Head Coach: Gary Andersen - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 11-2 3.75 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 9 - Offense: 2 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Mike Sanford Jr. * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Justin Ena * 40.17 (#66 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 at Wake Forest 9/7/19 STONY BROOK 9/21/19 at San Diego St SAN DIEGO ST is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 games vs. UTAH ST 9/28/19 COLORADO ST HOME TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in L7 games of CSU-UTS series 10/5/19 at LSU 10/19/19 NEVADA UNDERDOGS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of UTS-NEV series 10/26/19 at Air Force HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of AF-UTS series 11/2/19 BYU UNDERDOGS are 5-6 SU but 9-2 ATS in UTS-BYU series since 2008 11/9/19 at Fresno St UNDERDOGS are 2-8 SU but 7-3 ATS in UTS-FRS series since 2005 11/16/19 WYOMING FAVORITES are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in WYO-UTS series since 2003 11/23/19 BOISE ST BOISE ST is 15-1 SU & 12-3 ATS vs. UTAH ST since 1998 11/30/19 at New Mexico 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 at Michigan St 31-38 L 23.5 W 52.5 O 9/8/18 NEW MEXICO ST 60-13 W -22 W 63 O 9/13/18 TENNESSEE TECH 73-12 W -47.5 W 64.5 O 9/22/18 AIR FORCE 42-32 W -9 W 60.5 O 10/5/18 at BYU 45-20 W 1 W 55 O 10/13/18 UNLV 59-28 W -27 W 65 O 10/20/18 at Wyoming 24-16 W -13 L 50.5 U 10/27/18 NEW MEXICO 61-19 W -19 W 65.5 O 11/3/18 at Hawaii 56-17 W -17.5 W 73 T 11/10/18 SAN JOSE ST 62-24 W -31 W 62.5 O 11/17/18 at Colorado St 29-24 W -29.5 L 66.5 U 11/24/18 at Boise St 24-33 L 3 L 63 U 12/15/18 vs. North Texas 52-13 W -7 W 67.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 7 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL On the surface, it seems Utah State is due for some regression this season. In 2018, Matt Wells’ program reached unprecedented heights on offense. The Aggies scored 47.5 points and 497 yards per game, all while averaging 6.8 yards per play and 10.5 yards per pass attempt. Jordan Love is back at quarterback to lead the offense, but only one other starter from last year’s record-setting offense is back with him. Matt Wells also departs for the Big 12. There will be a drop, but how big will it be for Utah State? The defense does get back seven members, and the Aggies were a good defensive team. Especially in the front seven, which limited opponents to 3.5 yards per carry and returns fve this season. Safety is the position group on defense that suffers the most losses, as two starters depart. The question with this team becomes, how much value can a quarterback like Love carry with so much turnover around him? Especially with a very taxing schedule. The Aggies will make road trips to Wake Forest and LSU this season, and they draw each contender for the Mountain West. San Diego State, Air Force, Fresno State and Boise State will all meet Utah State. The Aggies do draw the Broncos at home in a revenge spot, but those others are all road trips. The strength of schedule, and lack of returning personnel on offense, make this an Under play on the win total.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 206 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION UTAH ST AGGIES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 45.4 2 Points Per Game 23.1 34 Yards Per Point 10.7 1 Yards Per Point 17 15 Plays Per Game 73 59 3rd Down Conv. % 35.0% 28 Time of Possession 26:46 125 Total Yards Per Game 392.3 58 3rd Down Conv. % 46.2% 16 Yards Per Play 5 30 Total Yards Per Game 487.4 10 Rush Yards Per Game 142.4 36 Yards Per Play 6.7 9 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.5 18 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.3 90 Completion % 54.8% 19 Rush Yards Per Game 192.9 42 Passing Yards Per Game 249.9 93 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 17 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7 49 Pass Attempts Per Game 35.8 31 Sacks 2.6 34 Completion % 63.5% 33 Turnovers 2.5 2 Passing Yards Per Game 294.5 16 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.2 22 Turnovers 1.3 45 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 3-9 6-7 11-2 26-25 (51%) 69 Overall ATS 5-8 3-9 6-7 10-3 24-27 (47%) 85 Over-Under 9-4 6-6 9-4 8-4 32-18 (64%) 1 at Home ATS 3-3 2-4 3-3 6-0 14-10 (58%) 17 Road/Neutral ATS 2-5 1-5 3-4 4-3 10-17 (37%) 120 Conference ATS 4-4 1-7 4-4 5-3 14-18 (44%) 96 Non-Conf. ATS 1-4 2-2 2-3 5-0 10-9 (53%) 54 Favorite ATS 3-6 2-3 3-1 8-2 16-12 (57%) 20 Underdog ATS 2-2 1-6 3-6 2-1 8-15 (35%) 120 After SUW ATS 3-3 0-3 2-4 7-3 12-13 (48%) 79 After SUL ATS 2-4 2-6 4-2 2-0 10-12 (45%) 82

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 52 27.1 2.05 -13.2 9-QB 48.6 7. 01 10.35 9-DC 21.5 4.96 17.51 2017 34.5 9.3 1.01 8.3 5- OC 32.9 5.99 12.63 5 23.6 4.99 16.2 2016 32.5 6.1 1.63 3.9 7- OC 29.1 6.36 14.44 3-DC 23 4.73 14.93 2015 40 12.5 1.5 -6.8 9- OC 34.8 6.03 11. 71 6-DC 22.3 4.53 13.86

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• UTAH ST is 7-0 ATS (L7G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After SU loss

• UTAH ST is 6-17 ATS (L5Y) - [vs OPP] After SU win

• UTAH ST is 7-0 OVER (L7G) on ROAD - Favorite of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 207 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION AIR FORCE FALCONS

Location: Colorado Springs, CO STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Falcon Stadium 38.5 Head Coach: - 13th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3.5 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Mike Thiessen SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: John Rudzinski 35.67 (#85 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 COLGATE 9/14/19 at Colorado 9/21/19 at Boise St AIR FORCE is 3-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L7 games vs. BOISE ST 9/28/19 SAN JOSE ST HOME TEAMS are 4-0 ATS in L4 games of AF-SJS series 10/5/19 at Navy UNDER the total is 12-3 in AF-NAV series since 1992 10/12/19 FRESNO ST HOME TEAMS are 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of FRS-AF series 10/19/19 at Hawaii HAWAII is 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. AIR FORCE 10/26/19 UTAH ST HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of AF-UTS series 11/2/19 ARMY UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of ARM-AF series 11/9/19 at New Mexico OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of NM-AF series 11/16/19 at Colorado St OVER the total is 7-0 in L7 games of CSU-AF series at COLORADO ST 11/30/19 WYOMING WYOMING is 6-4 SU & 10-0 ATS vs. AIR FORCE since 2009

2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 STONY BROOK 38-0 W -15 W 58.5 U 9/8/18 at Fla Atlantic 27-33 L 7. 5 W 59.5 O 9/22/18 at Utah St 32-42 L 9 L 60.5 O 9/29/18 NEVADA 25-28 L -4 L 62.5 U 10/6/18 NAVY 35-7 W 2 W 47 U 10/12/18 at San Diego St 17-21 L 11 W 42.5 U 10/19/18 at UNLV 41-35 W -9.5 L 54.5 O 10/27/18 BOISE ST 38-48 L 10 T 57 O 11/3/18 at Army 14-17 L 4.5 W 41.5 U 11/10/18 NEW MEXICO 42-24 W -14 W 55.5 O 11/17/18 at Wyoming 27-35 L 3 L 43 O 11/22/18 COLORADO ST 27-19 W -15 L 63.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 6.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL After back-to-back fve-win seasons, the Falcons seem to be prepared for another winning year under Troy Calhoun. Air Force brings back 14 starters this season, two of which are quarterbacks that made 10 starts between them a season ago. Even better for this offense is the return of six of eight leading rushers, led by Kadin Remsberg. The offensive line loses just one member, an All-Conference guard, and has enough back to help maintain the streak of fve straight seasons with over 400 yards per game. An offense that averaged 30.3 points per game could actually improve this season. Calhoun gets two starters back along his three-man front on defense, and two return at linebacker as well. The front seven was an absolute strength for Air Force in 2018, giving up only 117 yards per game on the ground and just 3.5 yards per carry. With such a manageable schedule, and production on both sides of the ball, contending for a Mountain West title is in the cards for Air Force. Three diffcult road trips stand out on the schedule: Boise State, Hawaii and Navy. The home schedule has Utah State and Army on consecutive weeks, which is a huge challenge as well. Eight wins is likely Air Force’s best season when looking at this schedule, but it is clearly attainable. The lean is to the over.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 208 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION AIR FORCE FALCONS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29.5 48 Points Per Game 28.1 65 Yards Per Point 14.2 64 Yards Per Point 13.8 76 Plays Per Game 73 58 3rd Down Conv. % 43.9% 103 Time of Possession 33:48 6 Total Yards Per Game 386.9 50 3rd Down Conv. % 41.6% 41 Yards Per Play 6.1 106 Total Yards Per Game 419.8 40 Rush Yards Per Game 124.8 21 Yards Per Play 5.8 47 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 24 Rush Attempts Per Game 57.8 2 Completion % 63.1% 101 Rush Yards Per Game 279.2 3 Passing Yards Per Game 262.1 109 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 34 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.4 126 Pass Attempts Per Game 14.5 126 Sacks 1.5 107 Completion % 56.9% 88 Turnovers 1.1 110 Passing Yards Per Game 140.6 122 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.7 4 Turnovers 1.2 30 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS

Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-6 10-3 5-7 5-7 28-23 (55%) 55 Overall ATS 9-5 6-7 5-7 6-5 26-24 (52%) 55 Over-Under 10-4 8-5 8-4 6-6 32-19 (63%) 2 at Home ATS 5-1 3-3 2-4 3-2 13-10 (57%) 20 Road/Neutral ATS 4-4 3-4 3-3 3-3 13-14 (48%) 75 Conference ATS 6-3 2-6 2-6 2-5 12-20 (38%) 118 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 4-1 3-1 4-0 14-4 (78%) 4 Favorite ATS 5-3 4-7 2-6 2-3 13-19 (41%) 106 Underdog ATS 4-2 2-0 3-1 4-2 13-5 (72%) 8 After SUW ATS 6-2 6-3 2-2 2-1 16-8 (67%) 2 After SUL ATS 2-3 0-3 2-5 3-4 7-15 (32%) 120 STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 38.5 12.2 0.55 3.2 5-QB 33.9 6.08 13.16 6 21.8 5.53 15.5 2017 37 6 -0.47 3.6 6 35.1 5.91 12.73 1 29.1 6.37 12.67 2016 44 11.1 0.61 -3.5 5-QB 34.4 6.18 13.57 9 23.3 5.58 15.41 2015 41.5 14.9 1.42 0.2 7-QB 36.2 6.69 13.06 4 21.3 5.26 15.21

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• AIR FORCE is 18-7-1 ATS (S2000) on ROAD - 1000 or more travel miles

• AIR FORCE is 0-10 ATS (L10G) - VS WYOMING

• AIR FORCE is 13-2 OVER (L15G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a conference SU loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 209 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION WYOMING COWBOYS Location: Laramie, WY STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium 34.5 Head Coach: Craig Bohl - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 6-6 3.25 / 0 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 5 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Brent Vigen SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jake Dickert 35.83 (#83 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 MISSOURI 9/7/19 at Texas St Univ HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of WYO-TSU series 9/14/19 IDAHO WYOMING is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 games vs. IDAHO 9/21/19 at Tulsa HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of WYO-TLS series 9/28/19 UNLV OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of UNLV-WYO series at WYOMING 10/12/19 at San Diego St HOME TEAMS are 13-9 SU & 14-6 ATS in SDS-WYO series since 1993 10/19/19 NEW MEXICO NEW MEXICO is 12-8 SU & 13-7 ATS vs. WYOMING since 1999 10/26/19 NEVADA WYOMING is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. NEVADA 11/9/19 at Boise St UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of WYO-BSU series at BOISE ST 11/16/19 at Utah St FAVORITES are 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS in WYO-UTS series since 2003 11/23/19 COLORADO ST ROAD TEAMS are 15-12 SU & 17-10 ATS in WYO-CSU series since 1992 11/30/19 at Air Force WYOMING is 6-4 SU & 10-0 ATS vs. AIR FORCE since 2009 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/25/18 at New Mexico St 29-7 W -5.5 W 46.5 U 9/1/18 WASHINGTON ST 19-41 L 3 L 45 O 9/8/18 at Missouri 13-40 L 19.5 L 52.5 O 9/15/18 WOFFORD 17-14 W -13.5 L 47.5 U 9/29/18 BOISE ST 14-34 L 15 L 46.5 O 10/6/18 at Hawaii 13-17 L -3 L 51.5 U 10/13/18 at Fresno St 3-27 L 17.5 L 44 U 10/20/18 UTAH ST 16-24 L 13 W 50.5 U 10/26/18 at Colorado St 34-21 W -3 W 47.5 O 11/3/18 SAN JOSE ST 24-9 W -17.5 L 39.5 U 11/17/18 AIR FORCE 35-27 W -3 W 43 O 11/24/18 at New Mexico 31-3 W -7 W 42.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 5.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Defense has been the strength of Wyoming the last two seasons under Craig Bohl. However, this season it is hard to see how this unit will be anything like the ones bettors of Mountain West football knew. The defensive line returns just on starter, and while the linebackers get their top two back the depth consists of mostly underclassmen. The secondary, which has always been opportunistic and is big reason why Wyoming plus-31 in the turnover category the last three seasons combined, loses a massive piece in Andrew Wingard. Wyoming returns two quarterbacks with starting experience, but the passing offense was pedestrian in 2018, with averages of 132 passing yards per game and 5.1 yards per play. To make matters worse, the Cowboys lose their leading rusher and top two receivers. Similar to the linebacking corps on defense, most of the depth is underclassmen. At running back, there are four true freshman in the rotation. They open play against Missouri, and have road trips to San Diego State, Boise State, Utah State and Air Force. That leaves what are essentially coin-fip spots against UNLV, Nevada and Colorado State at home as spots in which the Cowboys need wins to surpass their win total. Wyoming has a brutal schedule, a lack of depth and underwhelming quarterbacks in 2019. There is no case in which an over looks like a feasible option.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 210 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION WYOMING COWBOYS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 21 110 Points Per Game 22.7 29 Yards Per Point 15.9 95 Yards Per Point 14.5 58 Plays Per Game 65.5 124 3rd Down Conv. % 39.5% 64 Time of Possession 30:05 59 Total Yards Per Game 329.1 17 3rd Down Conv. % 35.9% 94 Yards Per Play 4.7 20 Total Yards Per Game 333.1 115 Rush Yards Per Game 121.2 19 Yards Per Play 5.1 96 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.6 19 Rush Attempts Per Game 42.3 25 Completion % 61.2% 82 Rush Yards Per Game 210.2 26 Passing Yards Per Game 207.9 40 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 26 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6 15 Pass Attempts Per Game 21.3 124 Sacks 1.5 110 Completion % 47.0% 128 Turnovers 1.1 109 Passing Yards Per Game 122.9 126 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.8 120 Turnovers 0.9 7 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 2-10 8-6 8-5 6-6 24-27 (47%) 81 Overall ATS 6-6 9-5 8-5 5-7 28-23 (55%) 27 Over-Under 4-8 9-5 3-10 5-7 21-30 (41%) 108 at Home ATS 2-4 6-1 4-3 2-4 14-12 (54%) 38 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 3-4 4-2 3-3 14-11 (56%) 44 Conference ATS 4-4 7-2 6-2 4-4 21-12 (64%) 11 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-3 2-3 1-3 7-11 (39%) 105 Favorite ATS 0-2 2-4 5-2 4-3 11-11 (50%) 74 Underdog ATS 6-4 7-1 3-3 1-4 17-12 (59%) 39 After SUW ATS 1-0 4-4 5-2 2-3 12-9 (57%) 30 After SUL ATS 5-5 4-1 3-2 2-4 14-12 (54%) 45

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 40 8.3 1.26 5 9 24.3 5.66 14.93 8 16 4.4 18.69 2017 40.5 8.4 0.43 -1.6 6 24 4.88 12.44 8-DC 15.6 4.45 20.57 2016 39 10.5 0.53 1.5 9-QB 39.4 6.67 12.07 8 28.9 6.14 14.92 2015 21.5 -8.3 -0.15 18 5 21.4 5.88 17.98 4 29.7 6.02 13.38

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• WYOMING is 10-0 ATS (L10G) - [vs OPP] Head coach - CALHOUN

• WYOMING is 3-14-1 ATS (L18G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• WYOMING is 6-0-1 OVER (L7G) at HOME - VS UNLV

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 211 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION Location: Albuquerque, NM STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Dreamstyle Stadium 26.5 Head Coach: Bob Davie - 8th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 3.25 / 0 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 2 Offensive Coordinator: Joe Dailey * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jordan Peterson * 34.54 (#97 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 SAM HOUSTON ST 9/14/19 at Notre Dame 9/21/19 NEW MEXICO ST ROAD TEAMS are 12-9 SU & 15-6 ATS in NM-NMS series since 1998 9/28/19 at Liberty 10/5/19 at San Jose St SAN JOSE ST is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. NEW MEXICO 10/12/19 COLORADO ST HOME TEAMS are 8-4 SU & 9-2 ATS in NM-CSU series since 2007 10/19/19 at Wyoming NEW MEXICO is 12-8 SU & 13-7 ATS vs. WYOMING since 1999 10/26/19 HAWAII ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of HAW-NM series 11/2/19 at Nevada UNDER the total is 4-1 in L5 games of NM-NEV series 11/9/19 AIR FORCE OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of NM-AF series 11/16/19 at Boise St ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of BSU-NM series 11/30/19 UTAH ST 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 INCARNATE WORD 62-30 W -35.5 L 63.5 O 9/8/18 at Wisconsin 14-45 L 36 W 58 O 9/15/18 at New Mexico St 42-25 W -3 W 60.5 O 9/29/18 LIBERTY 43-52 L -7 L 65 O 10/6/18 at UNLV 50-14 W 9 W 63 O 10/13/18 at Colorado St 18-20 L -1 L 61.5 U 10/20/18 FRESNO ST 7-38 L 14.5 L 52 U 10/27/18 at Utah St 19-61 L 19 L 65.5 O 11/3/18 SAN DIEGO ST 23-31 L 12.5 W 45.5 O 11/10/18 at Air Force 24-42 L 14 L 55.5 O 11/16/18 BOISE ST 14-45 L 22 L 61.5 U 11/24/18 WYOMING 3-31 L 7 L 42.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL After consecutive three-win seasons, the Lobos have two new coordinators and a plethora of returning production on offense. The issue is that some of that returning production was abysmal in 2018, namely at quarterback. New Mexico signal-callers combined to complete just 53 percent of passes while throwing 17 interceptions last season. Tevaka Tuioti and Sherirron Jones return, and they add a JUCO transfer into the mix as well. It cannot get much worse at the position, and it does not help that the Lobos lose their top two rushers as well. Not all is lost on offense. The offensive line does return four starters, which should help offset the lack of experience at the running back position. Only two starters return on defense, and New Mexico is relying on many JUCO transfers to fll the holes at linebacker and defensive back. This unit allowed 357 rush yards per game over its last three contests in 2018, and could be just as bad in 2019. If there is a saving grace for this team it is a schedule that is completely manageable. Bettors can chalk up the road trip to South Bend as a loss, and the Lobos will be a sizable underdog on the road against Boise State. After that, the remaining road games will be winnable: Liberty, San Jose State, Wyoming and Nevada. The home games are very quality opponents, but they do avoid Fresno State and San Diego State this season. This is an under play on the win total.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 212 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION NEW MEXICO LOBOS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 23.4 97 Points Per Game 36.7 113 Yards Per Point 12.8 25 Yards Per Point 12.7 108 Plays Per Game 66.3 112 3rd Down Conv. % 44.2% 108 Time of Possession 26:51 122 Total Yards Per Game 464.6 113 3rd Down Conv. % 36.7% 85 Yards Per Play 6 101 Total Yards Per Game 298.2 126 Rush Yards Per Game 214.6 103 Yards Per Play 4.5 124 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 87 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.9 53 Completion % 58.6% 59 Rush Yards Per Game 138.1 98 Passing Yards Per Game 250 94 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.5 116 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.5 109 Pass Attempts Per Game 23.9 115 Sacks 2.1 62 Completion % 52.5% 113 Turnovers 1.8 26 Passing Yards Per Game 160.1 115 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.7 99 Turnovers 2.2 120 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 9-4 3-9 3-9 22-28 (44%) 91 Overall ATS 7-6 6-7 4-8 4-8 21-29 (42%) 103 Over-Under 6-7 10-3 3-9 8-4 27-23 (54%) 30 at Home ATS 4-4 3-4 2-4 1-5 10-17 (37%) 108 Road/Neutral ATS 3-2 3-3 2-4 3-3 11-12 (48%) 82 Conference ATS 4-4 4-4 3-5 2-6 13-19 (41%) 108 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 2-3 1-3 2-2 8-10 (44%) 86 Favorite ATS 2-3 3-4 0-5 1-3 6-15 (29%) 125 Underdog ATS 5-3 3-3 4-3 3-5 15-14 (52%) 65 After SUW ATS 2-5 3-5 1-2 1-2 7-14 (33%) 123 After SUL ATS 4-1 2-2 3-5 3-5 12-13 (48%) 68

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 25 -2.5 -0.56 13.7 7-OC 29.3 5.37 12.12 6 31.8 5.92 13.96 2017 26.5 -5.2 0.09 9.4 7 22.8 5.86 16.81 3 28 5.78 13.39 2016 39 8.2 0.97 1.9 5 37 7.16 13.04 10 28.8 6.19 13.46 2015 34 2.9 -0.03 17.4 7 27.4 5.87 13.88 7 24.5 5.9 17.56

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NEW MEXICO is 14-4 ATS (L18G) - Before playing COLORADO ST

• NEW MEXICO is 1-7 ATS (L8G) at HOME - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• NEW MEXICO is 6-0-2 UNDER (L8G) at HOME - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 213 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION COLORADO ST RAMS Location: Fort Collins, CO STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Field at Canvas Stadium 28.5 Head Coach: - 5th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 3 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 5 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Dave Johnson SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: John Jancek 38.23 (#73 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 vs. Colorado ROAD TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of COL-CSU series 9/7/19 W ILLINOIS 9/14/19 at Arkansas 9/21/19 TOLEDO 9/28/19 at Utah St HOME TEAMS are 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in L7 games of CSU-UTS series 10/5/19 SAN DIEGO ST ROAD TEAMS are 15-6 SU & ATS in CSU-SDS series since 1993 10/12/19 at New Mexico HOME TEAMS are 8-4 SU & 9-2 ATS in NM-CSU series since 2007 10/26/19 at Fresno St HOME TEAMS are 6-4 SU & 8-2 ATS in FRS-CSU series since 1996 11/2/19 UNLV COLORADO ST is 6-0 SU & ATS in its L6 games hosting UNLV 11/16/19 AIR FORCE OVER the total is 7-0 in L7 games of CSU-AF series at COLORADO ST 11/23/19 at Wyoming ROAD TEAMS are 15-12 SU & 17-10 ATS in WYO-CSU series since 1992 11/30/19 BOISE ST FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of BSU-CSU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/25/18 HAWAII 34-43 L -17 L 57.5 O 8/31/18 vs. Colorado 13-45 L 7 L 65 U 9/8/18 ARKANSAS 34-27 W 14 W 70 U 9/15/18 at Florida 10-48 L 21.5 L 59.5 U 9/22/18 ILLINOIS ST 19-35 L -4.5 L 58.5 U 10/6/18 at San Jose St 42-30 W -3 W 60 O 10/13/18 NEW MEXICO 20-18 W 1 W 61.5 U 10/19/18 at Boise St 28-56 L 23.5 L 61.5 O 10/26/18 WYOMING 21-34 L 3 L 47.5 O 11/10/18 at Nevada 10-49 L 14 L 62 U 11/17/18 UTAH ST 24-29 L 29.5 W 66.5 U 11/22/18 at Air Force 19-27 L 15 W 63.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 3.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL In three of his four seasons in Fort Collins, Mike Bobo has led Colorado State to winning records. After a disappointing three-win campaign in 2018 it looks like there could be some improvement coming. First, the quarterback position seems to be in good hands. Collin Hill is back after making four starts a year ago, and he will battle with Nebraska transfer Patrick O’Brien for the job. The offense loses its leading rusher and receiver, but returns the two primary backups at running back and they add Auburn transfer Nate Craig-Meyers to the receiving corps. This crew is talented and experienced, and should resemble the offenses of Bobo’s second and third year that averaged over 30 points per game. The losses in the front seven are signifcant with the top tacklers at linebacker needing to be replaced. However, seven of nine return along the defensive line and two starters are back in the secondary where there is a wealth of experience. The schedule is not the easiest, with road trips to Arkansas, Utah State and Fresno State included. The Rams even draw Boise State and Air Force at home, along with nonconference opponent Toledo. However, if Colorado State can show the improvement expected this season, then four wins should be an attainable goal.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 214 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST MOUNTAIN DIVISION COLORADO ST RAMS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 23.2 99 Points Per Game 36.9 114 Yards Per Point 17.8 125 Yards Per Point 12 120 Plays Per Game 76.8 23 3rd Down Conv. % 39.7% 68 Time of Possession 31:16 37 Total Yards Per Game 444.5 96 3rd Down Conv. % 43.1% 30 Yards Per Play 6.6 121 Total Yards Per Game 412.5 52 Rush Yards Per Game 216 106 Yards Per Play 5.4 76 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 119 Rush Attempts Per Game 32.7 119 Completion % 64.7% 116 Rush Yards Per Game 103.3 124 Passing Yards Per Game 228.5 63 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.2 124 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.1 123 Pass Attempts Per Game 41.5 5 Sacks 1.5 114 Completion % 61.1% 45 Turnovers 1.1 108 Passing Yards Per Game 309.3 11 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 59 Turnovers 1.8 98 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 7-6 7-6 3-9 24-27 (47%) 81 Overall ATS 6-6 10-3 4-9 5-7 25-25 (50%) 69 Over-Under 7-6 7-6 7-6 4-8 25-26 (49%) 52 at Home ATS 4-2 5-1 1-5 3-3 13-11 (54%) 31 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 5-2 3-4 2-4 12-14 (46%) 87 Conference ATS 4-5 7-1 2-6 4-4 17-16 (52%) 56 Non-Conf. ATS 2-1 3-2 2-3 1-3 8-9 (47%) 78 Favorite ATS 4-3 4-2 3-7 1-2 12-14 (46%) 86 Underdog ATS 2-3 6-1 1-2 4-5 13-11 (54%) 53 After SUW ATS 3-4 6-1 2-5 1-2 12-12 (50%) 65 After SUL ATS 2-2 4-1 1-4 4-4 11-11 (50%) 59

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 28 -4.8 -0.23 15 4-OC 26.7 6.02 16.81 5-DC 31.5 6.25 13.22 2017 40 10.9 1.11 -1.3 6 35.3 7.03 14.83 9 24.4 5.92 16.71 2016 44.5 14.6 1.46 -4 6 36.5 7.02 13.35 4-DC 21.9 5.56 17.12 2015 Yes 35.5 3.9 0.29 7. 5 7-QB, OC 30.3 5.99 13.86 8-DC 26.4 5.7 14.82

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• COLORADO ST is 8-2 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• COLORADO ST is 0-6-1 ATS (L7G) at NEUT - with Head coach - BOBO

• COLORADO ST is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) at NEUT - Revenging a loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 215 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION FRESNO ST BULLDOGS Location: Fresno, CA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Bulldog Stadium at Jim Sweeney Field 43.5 Head Coach: Jeff Tedford - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 12-2 4 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 9 - Offense: 3 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Ryan Grubb * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Bert Watts 34.08 (#101 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at USC 9/7/19 MINNESOTA 9/21/19 SACRAMENTO ST 9/28/19 at New Mexico St UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of NMS-FRS series 10/12/19 at Air Force HOME TEAMS are 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of FRS-AF series 10/19/19 UNLV ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of FRS-UNLV series 10/26/19 COLORADO ST HOME TEAMS are 6-4 SU & 8-2 ATS in FRS-CSU series since 1996 11/2/19 at Hawaii UNDERDOGS are 10-15 SU but 15-10 ATS in FRS-HAW series since 1994 11/9/19 UTAH ST UNDERDOGS are 2-8 SU but 7-3 ATS in UTS-FRS series since 2005 11/16/19 at San Diego St UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of SDS-FRS series 11/23/19 NEVADA ROAD TEAMS are 11-10 SU & 15-6 ATS in NEV-FRS series since 1998 11/30/19 at San Jose St HOME TEAMS are 13-8 SU & 12-8 ATS in SJS-FRS series since 1997 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 IDAHO 79-13 W -24.5 W 50 O 9/8/18 at Minnesota 14-21 L -1 L 50.5 U 9/15/18 at UCLA 38-14 W -2.5 W 52.5 U 9/29/18 TOLEDO 49-27 W -10.5 W 61.5 O 10/6/18 at Nevada 21-3 W -16.5 W 59 U 10/13/18 WYOMING 27-3 W -17.5 W 44 U 10/20/18 at New Mexico 38-7 W -14.5 W 52 U 10/27/18 HAWAII 50-20 W -23.5 W 59.5 O 11/3/18 at UNLV 48-3 W -27 W 59.5 U 11/9/18 at Boise St 17-24 L -2 L 55 U 11/17/18 SAN DIEGO ST 23-14 W -10 L 42 U 11/24/18 SAN JOSE ST 31-13 W -31.5 L 52 U 12/1/18 at Boise St 19-16 W 2 W 51 U 12/15/18 vs. Arizona St 31-20 W -6 W 54.5 U JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 8 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Jeff Tedford enters his third season at Fresno, and the frst two could not have gone any better. The Bulldogs won 22 games, appeared in two Mountain West title games and won it last season. Tedford faces another big challenge in 2019, as his offense is stripped of experience and talent. Gone is quarterback Marcus McMaryion who fnished seventh in completion percentage in 2018, and replacing him is a group that has thrown just 12 passes at this level. Fresno State will be without KeeSean Johnson, their career receiving leader, and four starting offensive linemen depart as well. It will be almost impossible to replicate the 34.6 points per game posted by the Bulldogs last season. On defense, the losses are not as stark. Six of seven are back along the defensive line, and four of the top six return in the secondary. The biggest strength is at linebacker, where three starters return and this group will likely be the backbone of the defense. With so many questions on offense though, is it reasonable to expect nine wins in 2019? They have two Power Five opponents to open the season, at Southern California and home against Minnesota, and the schedule lightens up after that. Fresno must travel to Air Force, Hawaii and San Diego but their home schedule is workable. Having said that, with the loss of so much production on offense it seems that eight wins will be the perfect season for Tedford and the ‘Dogs, so play this under.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 216 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION FRESNO ST BULLDOGS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 31.2 35 Points Per Game 14.2 3 Yards Per Point 13.4 41 Yards Per Point 22.7 1 Plays Per Game 67.4 106 3rd Down Conv. % 34.7% 24 Time of Possession 30:37 46 Total Yards Per Game 322.8 14 3rd Down Conv. % 43.3% 26 Yards Per Play 4.6 14 Total Yards Per Game 417 45 Rush Yards Per Game 134.5 29 Yards Per Play 6.2 15 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 26 Rush Attempts Per Game 34.8 107 Completion % 52.4% 5 Rush Yards Per Game 148.3 87 Passing Yards Per Game 188.2 18 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 70 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.9 11 Pass Attempts Per Game 31.6 63 Sacks 1.8 93 Completion % 68.1% 6 Turnovers 1.5 73 Passing Yards Per Game 268.7 24 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.5 16 Turnovers 1.1 17 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 1-11 9-5 12-2 25-27 (48%) 77 Overall ATS 3-8 7-4 10-3 10-4 30-19 (61%) 8 Over-Under 9-3 5-6 4-10 3-11 21-30 (41%) 108 at Home ATS 2-3 5-0 4-2 4-2 15-7 (68%) 2 Road/Neutral ATS 1-5 2-4 6-1 6-2 15-12 (56%) 47 Conference ATS 3-5 6-2 7-1 6-3 22-11 (67%) 8 Non-Conf. ATS 0-3 1-2 3-2 4-1 8-8 (50%) 60 Favorite ATS 0-0 0-0 4-2 9-4 13-6 (68%) 1 Underdog ATS 3-8 7-4 6-1 1-0 17-13 (57%) 44 After SUW ATS 0-3 0-1 7-1 8-3 15-8 (65%) 6 After SUL ATS 3-5 7-2 2-2 1-1 13-10 (57%) 38

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 54.5 29 2.26 -13 7-QB 37.9 6.71 11.95 7-DC 8.9 4.46 34.16 2017 Yes 45 16.5 1.65 -1.9 10- OC 30.2 6.25 13.75 6-DC 13.7 4.59 21.89 2016 19 -6.2 -0.39 16.8 7-QB 19.5 4.99 18.03 5 25.7 5.38 15.16 2015 23 -8.1 -0.69 19.4 6-QB 25.5 4.92 13.25 5 33.7 5.6 12.41

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - [vs OPP] After a conference SU win

• FRESNO ST is 2-8 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] Less than 6 days rest

• FRESNO ST is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) on ROAD - with Head coach - TEDFORD

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 217 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION SAN DIEGO ST AZTECS Location: San Diego, CA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: SDCCU Stadium 42 Head Coach: - 9th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 2.75 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Jeff Horton SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Zach Arnett 35.04 (#94 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 WEBER ST 9/7/19 at UCLA FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in L7 games of UCLA-SDS series 9/14/19 at New Mexico St 9/21/19 UTAH ST SAN DIEGO ST is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 games vs. UTAH ST 10/5/19 at Colorado St ROAD TEAMS are 15-6 SU & ATS in CSU-SDS series since 1993 10/12/19 WYOMING HOME TEAMS are 13-9 SU & 14-6 ATS in SDS-WYO series since 1993 10/19/19 at San Jose St SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. SAN JOSE ST 10/26/19 at UNLV SAN DIEGO ST is 13-4 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. UNLV since 2002 11/9/19 NEVADA HOME TEAMS are 6-1 SU & ATS in L7 games of NEV-SDS series 11/16/19 FRESNO ST UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of SDS-FRS series 11/23/19 at Hawaii SAN DIEGO ST is 13-3 SU & 12-3 ATS vs. HAWAII since 1992 11/30/19 BYU BYU is 13-2 SU & 11-4 ATS vs. SAN DIEGO ST since 1995 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 at Stanford 10-31 L 14.5 L 48.5 U 9/8/18 SACRAMENTO ST 28-14 W -25 L 58.5 U 9/15/18 ARIZONA ST 28-21 W 5.5 W 48 O 9/22/18 E MICHIGAN 23-20 W -10.5 L 48.5 U 10/6/18 at Boise St 19-13 W 13 W 50.5 U 10/12/18 AIR FORCE 21-17 W -11 L 42.5 U 10/20/18 SAN JOSE ST 16-13 W -25 L 46 U 10/27/18 at Nevada 24-28 L -2 L 46.5 O 11/3/18 at New Mexico 31-23 W -12.5 L 45.5 O 11/10/18 UNLV 24-27 L -24 L 51.5 U 11/17/18 at Fresno St 14-23 L 10 W 42 U 11/24/18 HAWAII 30-31 L -19 L 53.5 O 12/19/18 vs. Ohio U 0-27 L 2 L 47.5 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 8 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Health was a huge issue for the Aztecs a season ago, as they lost. both their starting quarterback and running back in 2018. Juwan Washington is a dynamic talent at running back, and returns to the backfeld for this season after rushing for 999 yards over eight starts. San Diego State loses Christian Chapman at quarterback, but the argument can, and has been made, that Ryan Agnew is an upgrade. Agnew started seven games last season, in place of Chapman, completing just over 50 percent of his passes and throwing 10 touchdowns. He is more mobile, and a better passer which means a passing attack that has been anemic the last two years should have more production. The backend of this defense is in much better shape than the front, with two starting safeties and six of seven defensive backs returning. The linebackers get their top tackler back, but lose two starters, and only one starting member is back on the defensive line. This should be a much better year for the Aztecs than a season ago, which still ended with seven wins and a bowl bid. San Diego State does not face Boise State, and they get both Utah State and Fresno State at home. The Aztecs could roll through conference play on their way to surpassing their win total.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 218 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION SAN DIEGO ST AZTECS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 20 116 Points Per Game 22.8 31 Yards Per Point 17.1 115 Yards Per Point 15 49 Plays Per Game 65.7 121 3rd Down Conv. % 42.0% 92 Time of Possession 29:49 68 Total Yards Per Game 343 23 3rd Down Conv. % 33.5% 111 Yards Per Play 5 34 Total Yards Per Game 342.2 112 Rush Yards Per Game 108 9 Yards Per Play 5.2 88 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.1 7 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.5 57 Completion % 60.4% 71 Rush Yards Per Game 162 71 Passing Yards Per Game 235 70 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 82 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 69 Pass Attempts Per Game 23.7 117 Sacks 1.9 81 Completion % 52.5% 114 Turnovers 1.2 94 Passing Yards Per Game 180.2 103 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 47 Turnovers 1.3 48 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 11-3 11-3 10-3 7-6 39-15 (72%) 12 Overall ATS 9-5 7-6 8-5 3-10 27-26 (51%) 68 Over-Under 6-8 8-6 5-7 4-9 23-30 (43%) 100 at Home ATS 4-3 3-2 3-4 1-6 11-15 (42%) 87 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 4-4 5-1 2-4 16-11 (59%) 32 Conference ATS 8-1 5-4 6-2 2-6 21-13 (62%) 14 Non-Conf. ATS 1-4 2-2 2-3 1-4 6-13 (32%) 119 Favorite ATS 6-3 6-6 5-5 0-8 17-22 (44%) 95 Underdog ATS 3-2 1-0 3-0 3-2 10-4 (71%) 10 After SUW ATS 8-2 6-4 7-3 2-5 23-14 (62%) 14 After SUL ATS 1-2 1-2 1-1 1-4 4-9 (31%) 124

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 41 7. 7 1.25 -2.3 7-QB 25.5 5.91 14.85 7 17.8 4.66 17.29 2017 43 17.8 1.77 1.6 5 31.9 6.57 13.65 6-DC 14.1 4.79 20.06 2016 49.5 17.1 1.85 -8 7-QB 34.6 6.63 12.4 7 17.5 4.79 17.85 2015 46.5 15.7 1.14 -3 6-QB, OC 31.8 5.77 12.04 8 16.1 4.63 17.69

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• SAN DIEGO ST is 7-1 ATS (L8G) on ROAD - After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• SAN DIEGO ST is 2-12-1 ATS (L15G) at HOME - Nonconference VS NON-POWER 5

• SAN DIEGO ST is 9-0-1 UNDER (L10G) at HOME - Favorite of more than 20 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 219 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION NEVADA WOLFPACK Location: Reno, NV STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Mackay Stadium 36 Head Coach: - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3.5 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Matt Mumme SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jeff Casteel 35.52 (#91 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 PURDUE 9/7/19 at Oregon 9/14/19 WEBER ST 9/21/19 at Utep ROAD TEAMS are 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS in L3 games of UTEP-NEV series 9/28/19 HAWAII UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of NEV-HAW series 10/12/19 SAN JOSE ST HOME TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of SJS-NEV series 10/19/19 at Utah St UNDERDOGS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of UTS-NEV series 10/26/19 at Wyoming WYOMING is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. NEVADA 11/2/19 NEW MEXICO UNDER the total is 4-1 in L5 games of NM-NEV series 11/9/19 at San Diego St HOME TEAMS are 6-1 SU & ATS in L7 games of NEV-SDS series 11/23/19 at Fresno St ROAD TEAMS are 11-10 SU & 15-6 ATS in NEV-FRS series since 1998 11/30/19 UNLV HOME TEAMS are 11-10 SU & 14-7 ATS in UNLV-NEV series since 1998 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 PORTLAND ST 72-19 W -28 W 71 O 9/8/18 at Vanderbilt 10-41 L 10 L 60 U 9/15/18 OREGON ST 37-35 W -4 L 67 O 9/22/18 at Toledo 44-63 L 11 L 67.5 O 9/29/18 at Air Force 28-25 W 4 W 62.5 U 10/6/18 FRESNO ST 3-21 L 16.5 L 59 U 10/13/18 BOISE ST 27-31 L 14 W 58 T 10/20/18 at Hawaii 40-22 W 1.5 W 66.5 U 10/27/18 SAN DIEGO ST 28-24 W 2 W 46.5 O 11/10/18 COLORADO ST 49-10 W -14 W 62 U 11/17/18 at San Jose St 21-12 W -14.5 L 58.5 U 11/24/18 at UNLV 29-34 L -14 L 61 O 12/29/18 vs. Arkansas St 16-13 W -1 W 57 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 6.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Yet another team in the Mountain West that must replace a long-time starter at quarterback, Reno moves on from Ty Gangi, their ffth ranked passer in program history. The position is not devoid of talent though, as former Florida State quarterback Malik Henry is now a member of the Wolfpack, and the two primary backups from last season return. Regardless, the quarterback gets a backfeld littered with talent because all fve of the team’s primary rushers are back. In fact, the skill positions are in great shape with just McLane Mannix counted as the lone loss at wide receiver. The biggest question on defense is the backend, which loses two starting safeties and a cornerback from a season ago. The schedule presents quite a few speed bumps on the road to a second consecutive winning record under Jay Norvell. Nevada will likely start the season 0-2 straight up with games against Purdue and at Oregon. The Wolfpack will travel to Utah State, San Diego State and Fresno State as well in conference play. Those are three defenses that bring back quite a bit of production, and Nevada will need to win at least one of those games to push for seven wins. They also get three opponents who will be coming off of a bye week into their meeting with the Wolfpack. Play the under, as Nevada takes a step back in 2019.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 220 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION NEVADA WOLFPACK 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.7 66 Points Per Game 27.6 63 Yards Per Point 15 76 Yards Per Point 14.2 66 Plays Per Game 73.3 54 3rd Down Conv. % 32.0% 13 Time of Possession 29:38 71 Total Yards Per Game 390.8 56 3rd Down Conv. % 31.8% 122 Yards Per Play 5.1 39 Total Yards Per Game 413.9 50 Rush Yards Per Game 144.9 41 Yards Per Play 5.6 58 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 30 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.2 115 Completion % 60.7% 72 Rush Yards Per Game 146.9 90 Passing Yards Per Game 245.9 87 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 56 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 57 Pass Attempts Per Game 38.8 13 Sacks 2.6 35 Completion % 59.6% 59 Turnovers 1.8 32 Passing Yards Per Game 267 25 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 90 Turnovers 2.2 123 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 5-7 3-9 8-5 23-27 (46%) 86 Overall ATS 8-5 4-8 6-6 7-6 25-25 (50%) 71 Over-Under 4-9 5-7 5-7 5-7 19-30 (39%) 120 at Home ATS 3-3 2-4 4-2 4-2 13-11 (54%) 31 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 2-4 2-4 3-4 12-14 (46%) 87 Conference ATS 6-3 3-5 5-3 5-3 19-14 (58%) 25 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 1-3 1-3 2-3 6-11 (35%) 113 Favorite ATS 4-3 1-3 2-1 3-3 10-10 (50%) 66 Underdog ATS 4-2 3-5 4-5 4-3 15-15 (50%) 68 After SUW ATS 3-3 1-3 1-1 2-5 7-12 (37%) 119 After SUL ATS 5-1 3-4 4-5 4-1 16-11 (59%) 22

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 40.5 10.8 1.66 2 7-QB 34.1 6.61 13.79 7 23.4 4.95 15.27 2017 Yes 32.5 2.2 0.69 10.5 5- OC 30.5 6.37 14.17 9-DC 28.2 5.68 15.47 2016 30 -1.6 -0.89 17.8 10- OC 24.5 5.63 15.89 5 26.1 6.51 17.16 2015 32.5 1.4 0.02 10.2 6-QB 26.6 5.56 14.54 5 25.1 5.55 15.35

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• NEVADA is 8-2 ATS (L10G) at HOME - On Friday

• NEVADA is 2-13 ATS (L15G) - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• NEVADA is 8-1 UNDER (L9G) at HOME - VS UNLV

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 221 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS Location: , HI STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Aloha Stadium 35 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-6 2.25 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 18 - Offense: 9 QB - Defense: 9 Offensive Coordinator: Brian Smith SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Corey Batoon 37.77 (#75 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/24/19 ARIZONA 9/7/19 OREGON ST UNDERDOGS are 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in L5 games of HAW-ORS series 9/14/19 at Washington HOME TEAMS are 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS in L3 games of HAW-WAS series 9/21/19 C ARKANSAS 9/28/19 at Nevada UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of NEV-HAW series 10/12/19 at Boise St FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of BSU-HAW series 10/19/19 AIR FORCE HAWAII is 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. AIR FORCE 10/26/19 at New Mexico ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of HAW-NM series 11/2/19 FRESNO ST UNDERDOGS are 10-15 SU but 15-10 ATS in FRS-HAW series since 1994 11/9/19 SAN JOSE ST SAN JOSE ST is 8-14 SU but 14-8 ATS vs. HAWAII since 1996 11/16/19 at UNLV OVER the total is 8-2 in UNLV-HAW series since 2009 11/23/19 SAN DIEGO ST SAN DIEGO ST is 13-3 SU & 12-3 ATS vs. HAWAII since 1992 11/30/19 ARMY HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of ARM-HAW series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/25/18 at Colorado St 43-34 W 17 W 57.5 O 9/1/18 NAVY 59-41 W 14 W 62.5 O 9/8/18 RICE 43-29 W -17 L 70 O 9/15/18 at Army 21-28 L 6.5 L 62 U 9/22/18 DUQUESNE 42-21 W -39 L 69.5 U 9/29/18 at San Jose St 44-41 W -9 L 64 O 10/6/18 WYOMING 17-13 W 3 W 51.5 U 10/13/18 at BYU 23-49 L 10.5 L 57 O 10/20/18 NEVADA 22-40 L -1.5 L 66.5 U 10/27/18 at Fresno St 20-50 L 23.5 L 59.5 O 11/3/18 UTAH ST 17-56 L 17.5 L 73 T 11/17/18 UNLV 35-28 W -6.5 W 72.5 U 11/24/18 at San Diego St 31-30 W 19 W 53.5 O 12/22/18 LOUISIANA TECH 14-31 L 1 L 61 U JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 5.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL It seemed all was lost for Hawaii a season ago. An exodus of talent at multiple positions left them with just eight returning starters and questions at key positions like quarterback. However, head coach Nick Rolovich did a tremendous job and led the Rainbow Warriors to eight wins and a bowl bid. This season, Hawaii is packed with returning experience, getting 18 starters back from last year’s team. Breakout quarterback Cole McDonald leads the offense yet again, and this team should likely improve on its 30.8 points and 420 yards per game from last season. McDonald has two All-Conference receivers to throw to as well, in Jojo Ward and Cedric Byrd, giving Hawaii arguably the most dynamic receiving corps in the Mountain West. The defense is deep as well, despite the loss of a starting defensive lineman, and a second-round draft choice at linebacker. The only thing that will limit the Rainbow Warriors is a schedule that is very daunting. Hawaii opens up on a tour of the Pac-12, with home games against Arizona and Oregon State before making a trip to the Pacifc Northwest to meet Washington. They draw all of the conference contenders in Boise State, Air Force, Fresno State and San Diego State, but only have to make the trip to Boise. The lean with Hawaii is to the Over, as they do have a tough schedule, but they get eight home games to get there.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 222 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29.9 44 Points Per Game 36.2 111 Yards Per Point 13.8 50 Yards Per Point 12.7 104 Plays Per Game 71.5 71 3rd Down Conv. % 43.4% 100 Time of Possession 28:58 88 Total Yards Per Game 460.8 109 3rd Down Conv. % 32.1% 120 Yards Per Play 6.3 115 Total Yards Per Game 412.6 51 Rush Yards Per Game 218.6 109 Yards Per Play 5.8 46 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 107 Rush Attempts Per Game 29.2 128 Completion % 62.0% 84 Rush Yards Per Game 99.5 125 Passing Yards Per Game 242.2 83 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 120 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.6 110 Pass Attempts Per Game 38.8 12 Sacks 2.1 67 Completion % 58.6% 74 Turnovers 0.8 124 Passing Yards Per Game 313.2 9 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.1 25 Turnovers 1.5 64 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-10 7-7 3-9 8-6 21-32 (40%) 105 Overall ATS 3-10 6-7 2-10 5-9 16-36 (31%) 129 Over-Under 7-6 9-4 6-6 7-6 29-22 (57%) 17 at Home ATS 1-6 2-4 1-5 3-5 7-20 (26%) 130 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 4-3 1-5 2-4 9-16 (36%) 122 Conference ATS 1-7 3-5 0-8 4-4 8-24 (25%) 128 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 3-2 2-2 1-5 8-12 (40%) 103 Favorite ATS 0-4 0-4 1-2 1-4 2-14 (13%) 129 Underdog ATS 3-6 6-3 1-8 4-5 14-22 (39%) 113 After SUW ATS 1-1 3-3 1-2 3-5 8-11 (42%) 101 After SUL ATS 1-9 2-4 0-8 1-4 4-25 (14%) 128

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 32.5 3.6 0.82 9.8 4 36.3 6.72 12.79 5 32.7 5.91 12.62 2017 24.5 -5.4 -0.31 12.3 8- OC 24.5 6.08 17.43 6-DC 29.9 6.39 14.5 2016 Yes 29 -3.6 0.45 11. 5 9- OC 28.1 6.34 14.62 6-DC 31.8 5.9 13.43 2015 17.5 -11.7 -0.08 19.3 8- OC 21.2 5.17 15.83 6-DC 32.9 5.25 12.88

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• HAWAII is 7-0 ATS (L7G) - First game of the season

• HAWAII is 3-19 ATS (L5Y) - After a conference SU loss

• HAWAII is 22-6 OVER (L28G) at HOME - Nonconference VS NON-POWER 5

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 223 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION UNLV REBELS Location: Las Vegas, NV STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Sam Boyd Stadium 31.5 Head Coach: Tony Sanchez - 5th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 4-8 2.25 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Barney Cotton SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Tim Skipper 36.5 (#80 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 S UTAH 9/7/19 ARKANSAS ST 9/14/19 at Northwestern 9/28/19 at Wyoming OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of UNLV-WYO series at WYOMING 10/5/19 BOISE ST ROAD TEAMS are 1-3 SU but 4-0 ATS in L4 games of BSU-UNLV series 10/12/19 at Vanderbilt 10/19/19 at Fresno St ROAD TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of FRS-UNLV series 10/26/19 SAN DIEGO ST SAN DIEGO ST is 13-4 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. UNLV since 2002 11/2/19 at Colorado St COLORADO ST is 6-0 SU & ATS in its L6 games hosting UNLV 11/16/19 HAWAII OVER the total is 8-2 in UNLV-HAW series since 2009 11/23/19 SAN JOSE ST HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of UNLV-SJS series 11/30/19 at Nevada HOME TEAMS are 11-10 SU & 14-7 ATS in UNLV-NEV series since 1998 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at USC 21-43 L 24.5 W 60 O 9/8/18 UTEP 52-24 W -22.5 W 54 O 9/15/18 PRAIRIE VIEW 46-17 W -31.5 L 67 U 9/22/18 at Arkansas St 20-27 L 7. 5 W 66 U 10/6/18 NEW MEXICO 14-50 L -9 L 63 O 10/13/18 at Utah St 28-59 L 27 L 65 O 10/19/18 AIR FORCE 35-41 L 9.5 W 54.5 O 10/27/18 at San Jose St 37-50 L -1 L 56.5 O 11/3/18 FRESNO ST 3-48 L 27 L 59.5 U 11/10/18 at San Diego St 27-24 W 24 W 51.5 U 11/17/18 at Hawaii 28-35 L 6.5 L 72.5 U 11/24/18 NEVADA 34-29 W 14 W 61 O

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON UNDER 4 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The potential of UNLV begins and ends with the health of quarterback Armani Rogers. In fve starts last season Rogers totaled 1,100 yards both passing and rushing, threw 10 touchdowns and led the Rebels to a victory over in-state rival Nevada. However, he’s made just 14 starts over his two seasons at quarterback, so counting on Rogers to start every game is not something bettors can count on. Rogers will have a bounty of weapons to work with, should he remain healthy, as the top six pass-catchers return for UNLV. The backfeld takes a huge blow with the departure of Lexington Thomas, but Tony Sanchez landed his former running back at Gorman and Cal transfer Biaggio Ali- Walsh. It’s par for the course to say this UNLV offense should be effective. The question every year is, can this defense fnally stop a nosebleed? The defense is coming off of its worst season under Sanchez, as they allowed 37.3 points and 454 yards per contest. The Rebels have added a large amount of JUCOs to fll out the depth this season, but until they show they can perform defensively it is wise to expect another subpar effort. With that, it is hard to see a fve-win season for the Rebels. Boise State, Fresno State and San Diego State are all on the schedule, as are road trips to meet Northwestern and Vanderbilt. It is under, or pass, with UNLV this season.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 224 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION UNLV REBELS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.2 71 Points Per Game 39.1 122 Yards Per Point 14.2 65 Yards Per Point 12 121 Plays Per Game 76.1 31 3rd Down Conv. % 43.1% 97 Time of Possession 29:42 69 Total Yards Per Game 470.2 118 3rd Down Conv. % 37.7% 74 Yards Per Play 6.6 119 Total Yards Per Game 386.4 72 Rush Yards Per Game 199.9 92 Yards Per Play 5.1 97 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 110 Rush Attempts Per Game 43.6 18 Completion % 62.4% 93 Rush Yards Per Game 216.2 21 Passing Yards Per Game 270.3 121 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 29 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.7 113 Pass Attempts Per Game 29.7 80 Sacks 1.5 113 Completion % 51.1% 119 Turnovers 1.5 57 Passing Yards Per Game 170.2 110 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.7 122 Turnovers 1.5 61 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 4-8 5-7 4-8 16-32 (33%) 114 Overall ATS 5-7 6-6 7-5 6-6 24-24 (50%) 73 Over-Under 9-3 9-3 5-7 7-5 30-18 (63%) 4 at Home ATS 2-4 3-3 2-4 3-3 10-14 (42%) 90 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 3-3 5-1 3-3 14-10 (58%) 35 Conference ATS 2-6 4-4 5-3 3-5 14-18 (44%) 96 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 2-2 2-2 3-1 10-6 (63%) 14 Favorite ATS 2-2 2-4 2-2 1-3 7-11 (39%) 112 Underdog ATS 3-5 4-2 5-3 5-3 17-13 (57%) 44 After SUW ATS 1-2 2-2 2-3 1-2 6-9 (40%) 110 After SUL ATS 3-5 3-4 5-1 4-4 15-14 (52%) 54

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 30.5 -2.4 -0.61 15.6 7-QB 31.4 5.58 13.21 7-DC 33.8 6.18 12.81 2017 30.5 1.1 0.4 11. 3 9 30.4 6.44 14.46 3 29.3 6.04 15.05 2016 25.5 -2.1 0.42 8 6-QB 32.7 6.13 12.72 8 34.9 5.71 12 2015 Yes 25 1.3 0.08 13.7 5- OC 31.3 5.96 13.72 5-DC 30 5.88 14.4

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• UNLV is 11-4 ATS (L5Y) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 7 points

• UNLV is 0-7 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - Favorite of 7 or less points

• UNLV is 8-0 OVER (L8G) at HOME - After a close SU loss 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 225 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION SAN JOSE ST SPARTANS Location: San Jose, CA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: CEFCU Stadium 25 Head Coach: - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 1-11 2.75 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Kevin McGiven SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Derrick Odum 36.46 (#81 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 N COLORADO 9/7/19 TULSA HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of SJS-TLS series 9/21/19 at Arkansas 9/28/19 at Air Force HOME TEAMS are 4-0 ATS in L4 games of AF-SJS series 10/5/19 NEW MEXICO SAN JOSE ST is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. NEW MEXICO 10/12/19 at Nevada HOME TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of SJS-NEV series 10/19/19 SAN DIEGO ST SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. SAN JOSE ST 10/26/19 at Army 11/2/19 BOISE ST FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of BSU-SJS series 11/9/19 at Hawaii SAN JOSE ST is 8-14 SU but 14-8 ATS vs. HAWAII since 1996 11/23/19 at UNLV HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of UNLV-SJS series 11/30/19 FRESNO ST HOME TEAMS are 13-8 SU & 12-8 ATS in SJS-FRS series since 1997 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 CAL DAVIS 38-44 L -3 L 69 O 9/8/18 at Washington St 0-31 L 30.5 L 63.5 U 9/15/18 at Oregon 22-35 L 41.5 W 68.5 U 9/29/18 HAWAII 41-44 L 9 W 64 O 10/6/18 COLORADO ST 30-42 L 3 L 60 O 10/13/18 vs. Army 3-52 L 17.5 L 50.5 O 10/20/18 at San Diego St 13-16 L 25 W 46 U 10/27/18 UNLV 50-37 W 1 W 56.5 O 11/3/18 at Wyoming 9-24 L 17.5 W 39.5 U 11/10/18 at Utah St 24-62 L 31 L 62.5 O 11/17/18 NEVADA 12-21 L 14.5 W 58.5 U 11/24/18 at Fresno St 13-31 L 31.5 W 52 U

JONATHAN VON TOBEL’S SEASON OVER 2.5 WIN TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Brent Brennan’s third season at San Jose should bring some positive changes, although it could be argued anything is positive after a 1-11 campaign in 2018. The Spartans seem to have their quarterback in Josh Love. This will be Love’s third season in the system, and he’s shown improvement each year. Last season, in just eight starts, he threw for nearly 2,000 yards with a 14 touchdown to nine interception ratio. He also gets three of his top four rushers from last season back, including San Jose’s leader Tyler Nevens. While the wide receivers lose three of the top fve, top wideout Tre Walker is back to give Love a reliable target he’s worked with for years. The linebacking corps for San Jose could really impress once the season begins, as fve have starting experience, and they return their top two at the position. The secondary will get its starting safeties back as well, which could mean an improvement on the 13.5 yards per pass allowed by the Spartans last season. This should be a look to the over for bettors on San Jose State. Contests against Northern Colorado and New Mexico at home will be rare spots in which the Spartans should be favored. That gives them 10 other opportunities to steal just one more game to surpass the win total posted. If San Jose improves as they should, then even four wins is something that is more than possible.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 226 2019 MOUNTAIN WEST WEST DIVISION SAN JOSE ST SPARTANS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 19.7 117 Points Per Game 35.9 108 Yards Per Point 15.5 86 Yards Per Point 13.6 83 Plays Per Game 68.3 97 3rd Down Conv. % 41.9% 90 Time of Possession 26:21 126 Total Yards Per Game 486.7 121 3rd Down Conv. % 32.1% 121 Yards Per Play 6.1 109 Total Yards Per Game 305.7 125 Rush Yards Per Game 217.5 108 Yards Per Play 4.5 125 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 88 Rush Attempts Per Game 28.9 129 Completion % 59.6% 66 Rush Yards Per Game 54.3 130 Passing Yards Per Game 269.2 119 Yards Per Rush Attempt 1.9 130 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.2 103 Pass Attempts Per Game 36.1 28 Sacks 0.8 127 Completion % 57.9% 80 Turnovers 1.7 33 Passing Yards Per Game 251.5 42 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7 87 Turnovers 1.5 60 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 4-8 2-11 1-11 13-37 (26%) 122 Overall ATS 8-5 5-6 5-7 7-5 25-23 (52%) 54 Over-Under 7-5 5-6 6-7 6-6 24-24 (50%) 48 at Home ATS 4-2 3-2 3-2 3-2 13-8 (62%) 15 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 2-4 2-5 4-3 12-15 (44%) 100 Conference ATS 4-4 5-3 3-4 6-2 18-13 (58%) 23 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 0-3 2-3 1-3 7-10 (41%) 98 Favorite ATS 6-1 1-2 1-0 0-1 8-4 (67%) 2 Underdog ATS 2-4 4-4 4-7 7-4 17-19 (47%) 81 After SUW ATS 2-3 1-2 0-1 1-0 4-6 (40%) 109 After SUL ATS 5-2 4-3 4-6 6-4 19-15 (56%) 40

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 27 -2.3 -0.08 17.1 8-QB, OC 26.8 5.47 13.72 6 29.1 5.55 15.2 2017 Yes 15.5 -18.4 -0.77 26 7-QB, OC 20.1 4.99 17.13 8-DC 38.5 5.76 12.04 2016 26.5 -2.6 -0.32 17.8 8 25.9 5.73 15.69 7-DC 28.5 6.06 14.25 2015 33.5 5.7 0.82 7 10- OC 30.8 6.19 14.19 6 25.1 5.37 13.95

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• SAN JOSE ST is 8-2 ATS (L10G) at HOME - Nonconference VS NON-POWER 5

• SAN JOSE ST is 10-23-1 ATS (S2000) on ROAD - More than 6 days rest

• SAN JOSE ST is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) - Revenging a loss vs - NEVADA

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 227 PAC-12 CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY MATT YOUMANS - @MATTYOUMANS247

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's NORTH DIVISION WASHINGTON 56.5 4 0.75 45.31 39 9.3 2.7 6.7 2.3 OREGON 56 2.75 -0.5 45.46 36 8.6 3.4 6.3 2.7 STANFORD 51.5 3.5 0.25 48.38 8 7. 0 5.0 5.4 3.6 WASHINGTON ST 52 4 0 42.33 59 7. 9 4.1 5.1 3.9 CALIFORNIA 46 3.75 -0.5 47.63 16 5.4 6.6 3.4 5.6 OREGON ST 35 2.75 -0.75 47.96 14 2.4 9.6 1.0 8.0 SOUTH DIVISION UTAH 56 3 0.75 43.56 51 9.2 2.8 6.6 2.4 USC 51 3.25 -0.5 50.50 2 6.2 5.8 4.7 4.3 ARIZONA ST 48.5 3.25 -0.5 43.10 54 6.9 5.1 4.7 4.3 UCLA 49 2 -0.75 49.48 4 5.8 6.2 4.4 4.6 ARIZONA 46.5 3 -1 46.10 30 5.7 6.3 3.4 5.6 COLORADO 43 3.25 0 48.13 11 4.4 7. 6 2.4 6.6

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME NORTH DIVISION WASH WASH WASH WASH WASH WASH WASH WASH CHAMPION SOUTH DIVISION ARIZONA UTAH USC UTAH UTAH UCLA UTAH UTAH CHAMPION ST PAC-12 WASH WASH WASH UTAH UTAH WASH WASH WASH CHAMPIONSHIP

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 228 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITES Washington and Utah Elite coaches and star quarterbacks will be the primary themes for the Pac-12 this season, and only Washington checks both boxes. Chris Petersen is king of the coaching hill after winning two of the past three conference title games. The Huskies have lost a lot of talent to the NFL in recent years, but have no fear because Petersen is here to reload. His best recruiting move was convincing 6-foot-6 quarterback Jacob Eason to transfer home after getting benched at Georgia. Eason was a five-star recruit out of high school and Petersen will put him back on track to be a first-round draft pick. The schedule sets up favorably for the Huskies, who host USC, Oregon, Utah and Washington State. Bet on Washington winning at least 10 games. The best QB in the conference for now is Ducks senior Justin Herbert, who can make a strong case to be the NFL’s No. 1 pick. Oregon might have a more talented team on paper, but coach remains a big-game question mark. Cristobal needs to prove he can do it at this level; Petersen has proven it for a long time. While Washington gets the nod in the North, Utah is the obvious pick in the South. can win big without an NFL prospect at quarterback. The Utes, who return senior dual-threat QB Tyler Huntley, appear headed for another nine-win season and a second straight trip to the league championship game. Believe it or not, the Pac-12 is coming back. The league hit rock bottom with a 1-8 bowl record after the 2017 season. A 3-4 bowl mark after last season was nothing to brag about, but this league is getting better top to bottom. LIVE DOGS UCLA and Colorado Chip Kelly’s first year in Westwood was a train wreck until a surge in November. The Bruins figured to peak in the second half of the season. UCLA’s offense averaged only 17 points in the first four games and 31.3 points per game in the final four. Kelly has a promising young QB, sophomore Dorian Thompson-Robinson, and punishing running back Joshua Kelley to lead his offense. The Bruins could spring an early upset or two (or cash point-spread covers) against Cincinnati, Oklahoma and Washington State. Colorado is everyone’s pick for the South basement, but new coach Mel Tucker will put a more competitive team on the field than most expect. The Buffaloes will unveil an up-tempo offense with senior QB Steven Montez and big- time wideout Laviska Shenault. Opponents visiting Boulder should be on upset alert. DEAD MONEY Oregon State It will be tough for the beleaguered Beavers to top last year’s 2-10 finish. Oregon State will be favored only once all season, against Cal Poly on Sept. 14. The Beavers did pull off a stunner last year, when they beat Colorado as 25-point road ‘dogs. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Oregon vs. Auburn, Aug. 31 game is sandwiched between road trips to The Tigers are 3-point favorites in Arlington, BYU and Washington. Texas, and the Ducks could make a major statement by beating one of the SEC’s top USC at Notre Dame, Oct. 12 teams. It’s also a chance for Justin Herbert to After a bye, the Trojans will hunt for revenge launch his Heisman campaign. against the Irish, who won the past two meetings by scores of 24-17 and 49-14. Oklahoma at UCLA, Sept. 14 How far has Chip Kelly come in a year? This Oregon at Washington, Oct. 19 rematch is a measuring stick for the Bruins, A high-stakes game with North title who were whipped 49-21 last year in Norman. implications. But that Sooners team was led by Kyler Murray, and Kelly was just getting started. UCLA at Utah, Nov. 16 If Kelly’s rebuilding process is on the fast Utah at USC, Sept. 20 track, the Bruins could arrive in Salt Lake City The South’s top two teams collide on a Friday as live ‘dogs and as the surprise team of the night in L.A. The home team has won six conference. straight in this series. For the Trojans, this

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 229 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION WASHINGTON HUSKIES Location: Seattle, WA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium 56.5 Head Coach: Chris Petersen - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-4 4 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 9 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 2 Offensive Coordinator: Bush Hamdan SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Pete Kwiatkowski / Jimmy Lake 45.31 (#39 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 E WASHINGTON 9/7/19 CALIFORNIA UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of WAS-CAL series at WASHINGTON 9/14/19 HAWAII HOME TEAMS are 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS in L3 games of HAW-WAS series 9/21/19 at BYU HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L6 games of BYU-WAS series 9/28/19 USC UNDERDOGS are 4-6 SU but 8-2 ATS in WAS-USC series since 2005 10/5/19 at Stanford OVER the total is 12-8 in WAS-STA series since 1992 10/12/19 at Arizona HOME TEAMS are 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS in WAS-ARI series since 2007 10/19/19 OREGON FAVORITES are 14-2 SU & 13-3 ATS in WAS-ORE series since 2003 11/2/19 UTAH UNDERDOGS are 3-4 SU but 5-2 ATS in L7 games of WAS-UTA series 11/8/19 at Oregon St ROAD TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of ORS-WAS series 11/23/19 at Colorado WASHINGTON is 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS vs. COLORADO since 1996 11/29/19 WASHINGTON ST WASHINGTON is 5-0 SU & ATS in its L5 games vs. WASHINGTON ST 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Auburn 16-21 L 1.5 L 50.5 U 9/8/18 N DAKOTA 45-3 W -45.5 L 57 U 9/15/18 at Utah 21-7 W -4 W 45.5 U 9/22/18 ARIZONA ST 27-20 W -18 L 54 U 9/29/18 BYU 35-7 W -18.5 W 47.5 U 10/6/18 at UCLA 31-24 W -21.5 L 53.5 O 10/13/18 at Oregon 27-30 L -3.5 L 58.5 U 10/20/18 COLORADO 27-13 W -18.5 L 49.5 U 10/27/18 at California 10-12 L -11.5 L 45.5 U 11/3/18 STANFORD 27-23 W -8.5 L 44 O 11/17/18 OREGON ST 42-23 W -32 L 58.5 O 11/23/18 at Washington St 28-15 W 3 W 50 U 11/30/18 vs. Utah 10-3 W -4 W 45.5 U 1/1/19 vs. Ohio St 23-28 L 4.5 L 54.5 U MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 9 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS Jacob Eason, once targeted to be Georgia’s quarterback of the future, is turning back the clock. A fve-star recruit from Lake Stevens, Wash., Eason has come home to star for the Huskies. He transferred after two years at Georgia, where he lost the starting job to Jake Fromm. The 6-foot-6 Eason’s right arm is a rife and he throws with accuracy on the run. The Huskies’ top three wideouts — Aaron Fuller, Andre Baccellia and Ty Jones — return along with top tight end Hunter Bryant. There is depth at running back and experience on the offensive line, so Washington’s frepower should increase even after the departure of QB Jake Browning. Cynics will cite only two returning starters on defense, but coach Chris Petersen pulled in another stellar recruiting class highlighted by stud defensive linemen. The offense could be great, the defense will mature and the schedule breaks just right for the Huskies. The other Pac-12 powers — USC, Oregon, Utah and Washington State — pay visits to Seattle. Washington might go off as the favorite in all 12 games. The Huskies won nine, 10 and 11 regular-season games the past three years. Bet on the Pac-12’s best coach winning 10 or more.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 230 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION WASHINGTON HUSKIES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 24.9 88 Points Per Game 17.4 6 Yards Per Point 16 98 Yards Per Point 17.8 10 Plays Per Game 70.3 78 3rd Down Conv. % 39.8% 70 Time of Possession 32:26 20 Total Yards Per Game 309.6 10 3rd Down Conv. % 44.7% 22 Yards Per Play 4.6 15 Total Yards Per Game 397.9 64 Rush Yards Per Game 112.7 12 Yards Per Play 5.7 56 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 15 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.8 37 Completion % 65.6% 122 Rush Yards Per Game 174.8 52 Passing Yards Per Game 196.9 25 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 67 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6 16 Pass Attempts Per Game 27.7 98 Sacks 1.7 100 Completion % 64.7% 19 Turnovers 1.5 74 Passing Yards Per Game 223.1 71 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.1 27 Turnovers 1.2 24 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 12-2 10-3 10-4 39-15 (72%) 12 Overall ATS 8-5 7-7 7-6 4-10 26-28 (48%) 81 Over-Under 5-8 8-5 7-6 3-11 23-30 (43%) 100 at Home ATS 4-3 3-4 5-2 1-5 13-14 (48%) 62 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 4-3 2-4 3-5 13-14 (48%) 75 Conference ATS 4-5 5-5 6-3 3-7 18-20 (47%) 74 Non-Conf. ATS 4-0 2-2 1-3 1-3 8-8 (50%) 73 Favorite ATS 6-2 7-6 7-5 3-8 23-21 (52%) 45 Underdog ATS 2-3 0-1 0-1 1-2 3-7 (30%) 125 After SUW ATS 3-3 6-6 6-4 4-6 19-19 (50%) 75 After SUL ATS 4-2 0-1 1-1 0-3 5-7 (42%) 96

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 58.5 27.2 3.11 -16.5 8-QB, OC 35.8 7.14 13.47 9 8.6 4.03 30.5 2017 62.5 36.1 3.75 -21.4 7 41.9 7.44 11.32 6 5.9 3.68 41.68 2016 65 41.7 4.12 -24.2 8 49.1 8.16 11.12 7 7. 4 4.04 37.92 2015 54.5 27.8 2.62 -8.5 5-QB 34.9 6.87 13.05 4 7.1 4.24 42.97

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• WASHINGTON is 7-1 ATS (L8G) - VS COLORADO

• WASHINGTON is 0-10 ATS (L10G) - After playing USC

• WASHINGTON is 9-1 OVER (L10G) on ROAD - After playing STANFORD

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 231 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION OREGON DUCKS Location: Eugene, OR STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Autzen Stadium 56 Head Coach: Mario Cristobal - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 2.75 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 17 - Offense: 10 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: / Keith Heyward * 45.46 (#36 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Auburn 9/7/19 NEVADA 9/14/19 MONTANA 9/21/19 at Stanford OVER the total is 14-6 in ORE-STA series since 1993 10/5/19 CALIFORNIA OREGON is 5-0 SU & ATS in its L5 games hosting CALIFORNIA 10/11/19 COLORADO OREGON is 6-1 SU & ATS in its L7 games vs. COLORADO 10/19/19 at Washington FAVORITES are 14-2 SU & 13-3 ATS in WAS-ORE series since 2003 10/26/19 WASHINGTON ST WASHINGTON ST is 4-5 SU but 9-0 ATS in its L9 games vs. OREGON 11/2/19 at USC FAVORITES are 9-2 SU & ATS in USC-ORE series since 2002 11/16/19 ARIZONA UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of ORE-ARI series 11/23/19 at Arizona St OREGON is 11-1 SU & 8-3 ATS vs. ARIZONA ST since 2005 11/30/19 OREGON ST OVER the total is 7-0 in L7 games of ORE-ORS series at OREGON 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 BOWLING GREEN 58-24 W -33.5 W 69.5 O 9/8/18 PORTLAND ST 62-14 W -49 L 81 U 9/15/18 SAN JOSE ST 35-22 W -41.5 L 68.5 U 9/22/18 STANFORD 31-38 L 3 L 59 O 9/29/18 at California 42-24 W -2.5 W 57.5 O 10/13/18 WASHINGTON 30-27 W 3.5 W 58.5 U 10/20/18 at Washington St 20-34 L 3 L 69.5 U 10/27/18 at Arizona 15-44 L -8.5 L 66 U 11/3/18 UCLA 42-21 W -10.5 W 59 O 11/10/18 at Utah 25-32 L 6 L 50.5 O 11/17/18 ARIZONA ST 31-29 W -3.5 L 66 U 11/23/18 at Oregon St 55-15 W -18 W 71 U 12/31/18 vs. Michigan St 7-6 W 1.5 W 47.5 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 8.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE It’s tempting to pick the Ducks, who return 17 starters and reeled in the league’s top-ranked recruiting class, to win the Pac-12. However, the crystal ball gets cloudy when looking at coach Mario Cristobal, whose team faces a rough conference road schedule. The Ducks travel to play Stanford, Washington, USC and Arizona State, and that’s after opening the season away from home against Auburn. Cristobal’s track record of dubious game-management decisions is cause for concern. Still, the schedule does have some soft spots and the talent level is elite, so stay optimistic about Oregon. Senior quarterback Justin Herbert is a Heisman Trophy contender and potential No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft. The 6-foot-6 Herbert passed for 44 touchdowns with 13 interceptions the past two seasons, and Oregon’s offense has scored 39.4 points per game in his 27 starts. Herbert is surrounded by skilled running backs and receivers and the Ducks’ offensive line is the most experienced in the nation with a combined 153 career starts. The defense returns seven starters and features a few big-time playmakers. The Ducks are loaded. It’s now or never for Cristobal.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 232 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION OREGON DUCKS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 32.6 30 Points Per Game 26.3 53 Yards Per Point 12.8 27 Yards Per Point 15.3 41 Plays Per Game 74 49 3rd Down Conv. % 37.4% 46 Time of Possession 28:02 105 Total Yards Per Game 402 67 3rd Down Conv. % 41.6% 40 Yards Per Play 5.2 46 Total Yards Per Game 417.6 43 Rush Yards Per Game 153.4 47 Yards Per Play 5.6 59 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4 42 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.9 52 Completion % 57.1% 41 Rush Yards Per Game 171.2 59 Passing Yards Per Game 248.6 91 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 66 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 41 Pass Attempts Per Game 32.3 58 Sacks 2 76 Completion % 57.5% 87 Turnovers 1.9 16 Passing Yards Per Game 246.3 47 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 46 Turnovers 1.4 51 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 4-8 7-6 9-4 29-22 (57%) 49 Overall ATS 7-6 2-9 6-7 6-7 21-29 (42%) 103 Over-Under 9-4 7-5 6-7 5-8 27-24 (53%) 35 at Home ATS 2-5 1-5 5-2 3-4 11-16 (41%) 94 Road/Neutral ATS 5-1 1-4 1-5 3-3 10-13 (43%) 103 Conference ATS 6-3 2-7 4-5 4-5 16-20 (44%) 94 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 0-2 2-2 2-2 5-9 (36%) 110 Favorite ATS 3-6 1-6 5-3 4-4 13-19 (41%) 106 Underdog ATS 4-0 1-3 1-4 2-3 8-10 (44%) 88 After SUW ATS 5-4 0-3 2-5 3-5 10-17 (37%) 118 After SUL ATS 2-1 2-5 3-2 2-2 9-10 (47%) 73

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 52 22.4 1.93 -11.6 7-QB 43.2 6.78 11. 61 7 20.8 4.85 16.89 2017 Yes 53.5 25.5 3.13 -10 8- OC 42.5 7.46 12.81 9-DC 17 4.33 18.18 2016 44 11. 9 2.41 -6.5 6-QB, OC 42.3 7.92 13.9 5-DC 30.4 5.51 14.65 2015 57.5 22.9 3.19 -13.5 6-QB 48.7 8.47 13.19 6 25.8 5.28 16.22

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• OREGON is 10-0 ATS (L10G) - Before playing USC

• OREGON is 0-7 ATS (L7G) - [vs OPP] Head coach - LEACH

• OREGON is 7-0 OVER (L7G) at HOME - After a close SU loss 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 233 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION STANFORD CARDINAL Location: Stanford, CA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Stanford Stadium 51.5 Head Coach: David Shaw - 9th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 3.5 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 9 - Offense: 4 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Tavita Pritchard SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Lance Anderson 48.38 (#8 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 NORTHWESTERN 9/7/19 at USC OVER the total is 16-8 in USC-STA series since 1995 9/14/19 at Ucf 9/21/19 OREGON OVER the total is 14-6 in ORE-STA series since 1993 9/28/19 at Oregon St FAVORITES are 17-3 SU & 13-7 ATS in ORS-STA series since 1998 10/5/19 WASHINGTON OVER the total is 12-8 in WAS-STA series since 1992 10/17/19 UCLA STANFORD is 6-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L6 games vs. UCLA 10/26/19 ARIZONA FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of ARI-STA series 11/9/19 at Colorado ROAD TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of COL-STA series 11/16/19 at Washington St UNDER the total is 8-0 in L8 games of WASU-STA series at WASHINGTON ST 11/23/19 CALIFORNIA ROAD TEAMS are 13-14 SU but 19-7 ATS in STA-CAL series since 1992 11/30/19 NOTRE DAME UNDERDOGS are 4-16 SU but 13-7 ATS in ND-STA series since 1999 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 SAN DIEGO ST 31-10 W -14.5 W 48.5 U 9/8/18 USC 17-3 W -4.5 W 53 U 9/15/18 CAL DAVIS 30-10 W -30 L 66.5 U 9/22/18 at Oregon 38-31 W -3 W 59 O 9/29/18 at Notre Dame 17-38 L 4.5 L 54.5 O 10/6/18 UTAH 21-40 L -4 L 44.5 O 10/18/18 at Arizona St 20-13 W -1.5 W 57.5 U 10/27/18 WASHINGTON ST 38-41 L -2.5 L 55.5 O 11/3/18 at Washington 23-27 L 8.5 W 44 O 11/10/18 OREGON ST 48-17 W -25 W 61.5 O 11/24/18 at UCLA 49-42 W -7 T 60.5 O 12/1/18 at California 23-13 W -3 W 45.5 U 12/31/18 vs. Pittsburgh 14-13 W -3.5 L 53 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS Supporters of David Shaw always point to his coaching record, and for good reason. Shaw has won 40 games in the past four years. But he’s too conservative with his offenses and does not get the most out of Stanford’s abundant talent. Now that the talent level has slipped, Shaw will really get tested. The Cardinal return only nine starters after losing most of their top players to the NFL. One bright spot will be junior quarterback K.J. Costello, who threw for 29 touchdowns and led the Pac-12 in passing effciency last year. Costello will miss his two favorite targets, wideout JJ Arcega-Whiteside and tight end Kaden Smith. Injuries forced Bryce Love’s college career to fzzle at the end, and the Cardinal running attack suffered, but Cameron Scarlett and a talented stable of runners return. How good will Costello be without Arcega-Whiteside and Smith? He should be OK. More concerns shadow what was a weak Stanford defense. The September schedule is brutal on paper, yet the Cardinal’s toughest games — Oregon, Washington and Notre Dame — are at home. Most signs point to Shaw’s team taking a step back to 7-5. He’s rarely an overachiever.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 234 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION STANFORD CARDINAL 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.2 59 Points Per Game 24 41 Yards Per Point 13.6 46 Yards Per Point 17.4 12 Plays Per Game 63.6 127 3rd Down Conv. % 39.2% 61 Time of Possession 29:51 66 Total Yards Per Game 418.6 78 3rd Down Conv. % 41.0% 46 Yards Per Play 5.6 66 Total Yards Per Game 383.5 76 Rush Yards Per Game 154.1 48 Yards Per Play 6 23 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 47 Rush Attempts Per Game 29.2 127 Completion % 62.2% 89 Rush Yards Per Game 105.5 120 Passing Yards Per Game 264.5 113 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.6 109 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 88 Pass Attempts Per Game 32.5 57 Sacks 2.9 19 Completion % 65.1% 17 Turnovers 1.2 102 Passing Yards Per Game 278 22 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.6 15 Turnovers 1.1 18 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 12-2 10-3 9-5 9-4 40-14 (74%) 9 Overall ATS 10-4 6-6 7-6 7-5 30-21 (59%) 10 Over-Under 8-6 5-8 7-7 7-6 27-27 (50%) 49 at Home ATS 5-2 1-4 4-2 3-3 13-11 (54%) 31 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 5-2 3-4 4-2 17-10 (63%) 23 Conference ATS 8-2 5-4 4-5 6-2 23-13 (64%) 10 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 1-2 3-1 1-3 7-8 (47%) 83 Favorite ATS 9-4 5-5 3-5 6-4 23-18 (56%) 27 Underdog ATS 1-0 1-1 4-1 1-1 7-3 (70%) 13 After SUW ATS 8-3 4-5 3-5 3-4 18-17 (51%) 60 After SUL ATS 2-0 2-1 3-1 3-1 10-3 (77%) 3

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 52.5 24.3 2.65 -10.6 9-QB, OC 39.6 7.55 12.02 6 15.3 4.9 23.21 2017 58 28.9 2.91 -16 8 39.1 7.89 12.13 8 10.2 4.99 33.23 2016 54.5 25.6 2.57 -13.8 5-QB 34.1 7.12 13.34 6 8.5 4.56 36.56 2015 61 31.1 2.73 -18.3 9 43.9 7.66 11.73 4 12.8 4.94 25.42

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• STANFORD is 10-0 ATS (L10G) - After a close SU loss 3 points or less

• STANFORD is 1-6 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Revenging a loss vs - NOTRE DAME

• STANFORD is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) on ROAD - After playing ARIZONA

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 235 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION WASHINGTON ST COUGARS Location: Pullman, WA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 52 Head Coach: Mike Leach - 8th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 11-2 4 / 0 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Mike Leach SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Tracy Claeys 42.33 (#59 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 NEW MEXICO ST 9/7/19 N COLORADO 9/13/19 vs. Houston 9/21/19 UCLA UNDERDOGS are 1-4 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of WASU-UCLA series 9/28/19 at Utah WASHINGTON ST is 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in its L7 games vs. UTAH 10/12/19 at Arizona St HOME TEAMS are 10-6 SU & 13-3 ATS in AZS-WASU series since 2001 10/19/19 COLORADO FAVORITES are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of WASU-COL series 10/26/19 at Oregon WASHINGTON ST is 4-5 SU but 9-0 ATS in its L9 games vs. OREGON 11/9/19 at California ROAD TEAMS are 7-9 SU but 12-4 ATS in CAL-WASU series since 2001 11/16/19 STANFORD UNDER the total is 8-0 in L8 games of WASU-STA series at WASHINGTON ST 11/23/19 OREGON ST OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of WASU-ORS series 11/29/19 at Washington WASHINGTON is 5-0 SU & ATS in its L5 games vs. WASHINGTON ST 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Wyoming 41-19 W -3 W 45 O 9/8/18 SAN JOSE ST 31-0 W -30.5 W 63.5 U 9/15/18 E WASHINGTON 59-24 W -20.5 W 64.5 O 9/21/18 at USC 36-39 L 4.5 W 50.5 O 9/29/18 UTAH 28-24 W 1 W 50.5 O 10/6/18 at Oregon St 56-37 W -18.5 W 65 O 10/20/18 OREGON 34-20 W -3 W 69.5 U 10/27/18 at Stanford 41-38 W 2.5 W 55.5 O 11/3/18 CALIFORNIA 19-13 W -7 L 51.5 U 11/10/18 at Colorado 31-7 W -5 W 58.5 U 11/17/18 ARIZONA 69-28 W -10.5 W 63 O 11/23/18 WASHINGTON 15-28 L -3 L 50 U 12/28/18 vs. Iowa St 28-26 W -2.5 L 56 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 8 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Mike Leach turned preseason critics into fools in 2018, when he had only 10 returning starters and a major question mark at quarterback. Gardner Minshew had all the answers as he passed for 4,779 yards and 38 touchdowns en route to 11 wins. Minshew and his mustache are gone, replaced by another grad transfer, Gage Gubrud, who threw for 474 yards to lead Eastern Washington to a 45-42 upset of Washington State in 2016. The Cougars were 27-point favorites in that game. Gubrud, who was a freshman, passed for 9,984 yards at the FCS level. Leach’s prolifc offense appears to be in good hands with seven starters back. Senior safety Jalen Thompson leads an above-average defense. Leach averaged nine regular- season wins the past three years. With conference road games against Utah, Arizona State, Oregon, California and Washington, nine wins would seem unrealistic this year. Washington State is probably headed for a 7-5 or 8-4 fnish, and while it was wrong to doubt Leach last year, try it one more time. Leach is a coach who tends to overachieve due to his offense, but the Minshew magic will be tough to duplicate.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 236 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION WASHINGTON ST COUGARS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 35.8 16 Points Per Game 23.2 36 Yards Per Point 12.4 19 Yards Per Point 15.4 39 Plays Per Game 73.8 50 3rd Down Conv. % 34.8% 27 Time of Possession 32:17 22 Total Yards Per Game 357.2 37 3rd Down Conv. % 43.9% 25 Yards Per Play 5.3 49 Total Yards Per Game 443.1 26 Rush Yards Per Game 141.5 34 Yards Per Play 6 25 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 53 Rush Attempts Per Game 21.9 130 Completion % 61.1% 81 Rush Yards Per Game 82.1 129 Passing Yards Per Game 215.8 48 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 100 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 63 Pass Attempts Per Game 51 1 Sacks 3 17 Completion % 69.8% 2 Turnovers 1.6 51 Passing Yards Per Game 361 2 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 84 Turnovers 1.2 38 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 8-5 9-4 11-2 37-15 (71%) 16 Overall ATS 10-3 6-7 7-6 10-3 33-19 (63%) 5 Over-Under 5-8 7-5 6-7 7-6 25-26 (49%) 53 at Home ATS 4-2 4-3 5-2 5-2 18-9 (67%) 4 Road/Neutral ATS 6-1 2-4 2-4 5-1 15-10 (60%) 30 Conference ATS 8-1 4-5 6-3 7-2 25-11 (69%) 5 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-2 1-3 3-1 8-8 (50%) 73 Favorite ATS 4-2 3-5 4-3 7-3 18-13 (58%) 16 Underdog ATS 6-1 3-2 3-3 3-0 15-6 (71%) 12 After SUW ATS 6-2 4-4 5-4 8-2 23-12 (66%) 4 After SUL ATS 4-0 2-2 2-1 1-1 9-4 (69%) 7

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 56 29.3 2.36 -13.4 4 46.6 7.13 11.36 6-DC 17.3 4.77 17.67 2017 48.5 23 2.28 -12.4 7 37.1 6.62 14.25 9 14.1 4.34 19.29 2016 53.5 29.9 2.08 -11 8 45.5 7.42 12.95 6 15.5 5.33 23.24 2015 46.5 18.8 1.87 -6.8 8-QB 37 6.96 14.96 6-DC 18.2 5.09 20.45

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• WASHINGTON ST is 7-0 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - After playing a game that went into overtime

• WASHINGTON ST is 1-12 ATS (L13G) at NEUT - [vs OPP] Non-ranked team

• WASHINGTON ST is 20-2 OVER (L22G) on ROAD - Underdog of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 237 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION Location: Berkeley, CA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: California Memorial Stadium 46 Head Coach: Justin Wilcox - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3.75 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 4 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Beau Baldwin SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Tim DeRuyter / Peter Sirmon 47.63 (#16 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 CAL DAVIS 9/7/19 at Washington UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of WAS-CAL series at WASHINGTON 9/14/19 NORTH TEXAS 9/21/19 at Ole Miss 9/27/19 ARIZONA ST HOME TEAMS are 12-6 SU & 13-5 ATS in CAL-AZS series since 1995 10/5/19 at Oregon OREGON is 5-0 SU & ATS in its L5 games hosting CALIFORNIA 10/19/19 OREGON ST FAVORITES are 14-6 SU & 12-8 ATS in ORS-CAL series since 1999 10/26/19 at Utah HOME TEAMS are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of CAL-UTA series 11/9/19 WASHINGTON ST ROAD TEAMS are 7-9 SU but 12-4 ATS in CAL-WASU series since 2001 11/16/19 USC UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of USC-CAL series 11/23/19 at Stanford ROAD TEAMS are 13-14 SU but 19-7 ATS in STA-CAL series since 1992 11/30/19 at UCLA UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of UCLA-CAL series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 NORTH CAROLINA 24-17 W -7 T 57.5 U 9/8/18 at BYU 21-18 W 2 W 47.5 U 9/15/18 IDAHO ST 45-23 W -37.5 L 58.5 O 9/29/18 OREGON 24-42 L 2.5 L 57.5 O 10/6/18 at Arizona 17-24 L -1.5 L 57 U 10/13/18 UCLA 7-37 L -7 L 53.5 U 10/20/18 at Oregon St 49-7 W -9.5 W 57.5 U 10/27/18 WASHINGTON 12-10 W 11. 5 W 45.5 U 11/3/18 at Washington St 13-19 L 7 W 51.5 U 11/10/18 at USC 15-14 W 4.5 W 45 U 11/24/18 COLORADO 33-21 W -11.5 W 44.5 O 12/1/18 STANFORD 13-23 L 3 L 45.5 U 12/26/18 vs. TCU 7-10 L 2.5 L 38.5 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 6 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA The Golden Bears improved from 5-7 in coach Justin Wilcox’s frst year to 7-6 last year, which ended with a hideous 10-7 overtime loss to Texas Christian in the Cheez-It Bowl. In one of the worst bowls ever played, Cal quarterbacks tossed fve of the game’s nine interceptions. The QB position is slightly more stable but a lackluster passing attack could again be a problem. Chase Garbers will compete with UCLA transfer Devon Modster for the top job, and neither is the next Aaron Rodgers. Cal’s offense ranked near the bottom of college football in red-zone effciency and turnovers. Wilcox is a defensive wizard, so the Bears will bank on success on that side of the ball. Cal’s scoring defense improved from 42.6 points per game in 2016 (pre-Wilcox) to 28.4 in 2017 to 20.4 last year. Seven starters return for what should be another rock-solid defense. The Bears were fortunate in close games by upsetting BYU (21-18), Washington (12-10) and USC (15-14). Some of that luck might run out this year, when the Bears face Washington, Oregon, Utah, Stanford and UCLA on the road. Cal is likely headed for fve wins, with six as the ceiling.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 238 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 19.6 118 Points Per Game 20.2 17 Yards Per Point 17 113 Yards Per Point 15.7 32 Plays Per Game 72.2 66 3rd Down Conv. % 36.2% 33 Time of Possession 30:21 51 Total Yards Per Game 317 13 3rd Down Conv. % 35.0% 101 Yards Per Play 4.4 8 Total Yards Per Game 332 116 Rush Yards Per Game 142.5 37 Yards Per Play 4.6 119 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 25 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.1 78 Completion % 57.1% 42 Rush Yards Per Game 153.1 81 Passing Yards Per Game 174.5 8 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 79 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.8 6 Pass Attempts Per Game 32.5 56 Sacks 2.2 54 Completion % 58.7% 72 Turnovers 2.2 6 Passing Yards Per Game 178.9 104 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.5 126 Turnovers 2.4 129 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 5-7 5-7 7-6 25-25 (50%) 70 Overall ATS 6-7 5-7 8-4 6-6 25-24 (51%) 60 Over-Under 5-8 8-4 5-7 3-10 21-29 (42%) 106 at Home ATS 3-3 4-2 5-1 2-4 14-10 (58%) 17 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 1-5 3-3 4-2 11-14 (44%) 101 Conference ATS 3-6 3-6 6-3 5-4 17-19 (47%) 75 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 2-1 2-1 1-2 8-5 (62%) 16 Favorite ATS 5-3 0-2 1-1 2-3 8-9 (47%) 81 Underdog ATS 1-4 5-5 7-3 4-3 17-15 (53%) 59 After SUW ATS 4-3 1-3 4-1 4-3 13-10 (57%) 32 After SUL ATS 1-4 4-3 3-3 2-3 10-13 (43%) 89

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 46 15.9 1.59 -8.1 10-QB 29.3 5.73 13.82 8 13.4 4.14 21.11 2017 Yes 47 18.3 1.45 -0.7 6-QB, OC 34.1 6.35 13.86 8-DC 15.8 4.9 22.96 2016 44.5 14.2 1.57 -0.5 4-QB, OC 44.3 7.26 14.14 5 30.1 5.69 14.61 2015 50 25 3.07 -11.6 8 43 8.26 14.69 9 18.1 5.19 21.55

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• CALIFORNIA is 13-2 ATS (L15G) at HOME - After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• CALIFORNIA is 3-12 ATS (L15G) - [vs OPP] After playing a game that went into overtime

• CALIFORNIA is 21-4 UNDER (L25G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a conference SU win

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 239 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION OREGON ST BEAVERS Location: Corvallis, OR STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Reser Stadium 35 Head Coach: Jonathan Smith - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 2-10 2.75 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 9 Offensive Coordinator: Brian Lindgren SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Tim Tibesar 47.96 (#14 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 OKLAHOMA ST 9/7/19 at Hawaii UNDERDOGS are 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS in L5 games of HAW-ORS series 9/14/19 CAL POLY SLO 9/28/19 STANFORD FAVORITES are 17-3 SU & 13-7 ATS in ORS-STA series since 1998 10/5/19 at UCLA UCLA is 9-3 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. OREGON ST since 2001 10/12/19 UTAH UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of UTA-ORS series 10/19/19 at California FAVORITES are 14-6 SU & 12-8 ATS in ORS-CAL series since 1999 11/2/19 at Arizona FAVORITES are 14-6 SU & ATS in ARI-ORS series since 1996 11/8/19 WASHINGTON ROAD TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of ORS-WAS series 11/16/19 ARIZONA ST HOME TEAMS are 16-5 SU & 14-6 ATS in AZS-ORS series since 1994 11/23/19 at Washington St OVER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of WASU-ORS series 11/30/19 at Oregon OVER the total is 7-0 in L7 games of ORE-ORS series at OREGON 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Ohio St 31-77 L 39 L 62 O 9/8/18 S UTAH 48-25 W -12.5 W 70 O 9/15/18 at Nevada 35-37 L 4 W 67 O 9/22/18 ARIZONA 14-35 L 4 L 72.5 U 9/29/18 at Arizona St 24-52 L 22 L 64.5 O 10/6/18 WASHINGTON ST 37-56 L 18.5 L 65 O 10/20/18 CALIFORNIA 7-49 L 9.5 L 57.5 U 10/27/18 at Colorado 41-34 W 26 W 59 O 11/3/18 USC 21-38 L 15.5 L 64.5 U 11/10/18 at Stanford 17-48 L 25 L 61.5 O 11/17/18 at Washington 23-42 L 32 W 58.5 O 11/23/18 OREGON 15-55 L 18 L 71 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 2 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS It would be diffcult for any power conference team with Cal Poly on its schedule to win fewer than two games. The beleaguered Beavers, who fnished 2-10 last year and 1-11 in 2017, are capable of pulling off the feat. Their most likely result is another two-win season. But with Over 2 offered at +130 at Caesars, let’s try to be positive. On a list of the most undesirable jobs, Oregon State football coach ranks somewhere (but not far) above driving a garbage truck and managing a sewage treatment facility. Jonathan Smith is back for his second season, and optimists might point to his 16 returning starters. Of course, those players started for an awful team. The Beavers’ defense allowed 45.7 points per game. Is it good news that nine starters return? There is hope on the offensive side with 6-foot-7 senior quarterback Jake Luton and sophomore running back Jermar Jefferson, who rushed for 1,380 yards and 12 touchdowns. Oregon State has Oklahoma State and Hawaii on its nonconference schedule, but the Beavers will be favored only once all season (against Cal Poly). Three wins is an attainable dream, yet it’s not worth a bet.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 240 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE NORTH DIVISION OREGON ST BEAVERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 24.1 93 Points Per Game 47.5 129 Yards Per Point 15.9 96 Yards Per Point 11. 4 124 Plays Per Game 80.5 6 3rd Down Conv. % 51.1% 126 Time of Possession 30:29 47 Total Yards Per Game 541.4 129 3rd Down Conv. % 36.2% 90 Yards Per Play 7. 5 128 Total Yards Per Game 382.5 78 Rush Yards Per Game 294.2 129 Yards Per Play 4.7 114 Yards Per Rush Attempt 7 129 Rush Attempts Per Game 40 50 Completion % 63.6% 106 Rush Yards Per Game 137 100 Passing Yards Per Game 247.2 89 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 119 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.5 108 Pass Attempts Per Game 36.3 26 Sacks 1.2 120 Completion % 60.2% 54 Turnovers 0.7 130 Passing Yards Per Game 245.5 49 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 96 Turnovers 1.5 79 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 2-10 4-8 1-11 2-10 9-39 (19%) 129 Overall ATS 3-9 9-3 3-9 4-8 19-29 (40%) 123 Over-Under 6-6 5-7 9-3 8-4 28-20 (58%) 11 at Home ATS 1-5 6-1 2-4 1-5 10-15 (40%) 96 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 3-2 1-5 3-3 9-14 (39%) 115 Conference ATS 2-7 7-2 3-6 2-7 14-22 (39%) 113 Non-Conf. ATS 1-2 2-1 0-3 2-1 5-7 (42%) 97 Favorite ATS 1-2 1-1 0-2 1-0 3-5 (38%) 113 Underdog ATS 2-7 8-2 3-7 3-8 16-24 (40%) 109 After SUW ATS 0-2 3-0 0-1 1-1 4-4 (50%) 71 After SUL ATS 3-6 5-3 3-7 3-6 14-22 (39%) 108

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 30 -1.5 0.02 9.5 7-OC 34.9 6.38 13.92 8-DC 36.4 6.36 12.64 2017 31.5 -4.5 0.66 2.7 7 26.6 6.28 15.19 8 31.1 5.62 12.94 2016 43 12.6 1.63 4.6 7-QB, OC 32.5 6.57 13.27 6-DC 19.9 4.94 18.6 2015 Yes 30.5 -0.4 0.59 7. 7 8-QB, OC 26.5 6.13 15.2 2-DC 26.9 5.54 15.38

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• OREGON ST is 9-1 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - After playing WASHINGTON ST

• OREGON ST is 2-8 ATS (L10G) at HOME - Before playing ARIZONA ST

• OREGON ST is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 241 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION UTAH UTES Location: Salt Lake City, UT STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Rice-Eccles Stadium 56 Head Coach: Kyle Whittingham - 15th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-5 3 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Andy Ludwig * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Morgan Scalley 43.56 (#51 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 at BYU ROAD TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of BYU-UTA series 9/7/19 N ILLINOIS 9/14/19 IDAHO ST 9/20/19 at USC HOME TEAMS are 7-1 SU & ATS in L8 games of USC-UTA series 9/28/19 WASHINGTON ST WASHINGTON ST is 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in its L7 games vs. UTAH 10/12/19 at Oregon St UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of UTA-ORS series 10/19/19 ARIZONA ST 10/26/19 CALIFORNIA HOME TEAMS are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of CAL-UTA series 11/2/19 at Washington UNDERDOGS are 3-4 SU but 5-2 ATS in L7 games of WAS-UTA series 11/16/19 UCLA ROAD TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of UCLA-UTA series 11/23/19 at Arizona HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of UTA-ARI series 11/30/19 COLORADO UNDERDOGS are 1-7 SU but 6-2 ATS in L8 games of COL-UTA series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 WEBER ST 41-10 W -30.5 W 49.5 O 9/8/18 at N Illinois 17-6 W -13 L 46.5 U 9/15/18 WASHINGTON 7-21 L 4 L 45.5 U 9/29/18 at Washington St 24-28 L -1 L 50.5 O 10/6/18 at Stanford 40-21 W 4 W 44.5 O 10/12/18 ARIZONA 42-10 W -13.5 W 54 U 10/20/18 USC 41-28 W -6.5 W 48.5 O 10/26/18 at UCLA 41-10 W -10.5 W 54 U 11/3/18 at Arizona St 20-38 L -7.5 L 55 O 11/10/18 OREGON 32-25 W -6 W 50.5 O 11/17/18 at Colorado 30-7 W -7 W 48 U 11/24/18 BYU 35-27 W -10.5 L 45 O 11/30/18 vs. Washington 3-10 L 4 L 45.5 U 12/31/18 vs. Northwestern 20-31 L -6.5 L 44 O MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 8.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET Kyle Whittingham is a bet-on coach in a South division full of coaching riddles. Whittingham pushed the Utes over last year’s win total of 7 (9-3 in the regular season) even after starting 0-2 in conference play and eventually losing his quarterback and star running back to injuries. Utah was short-handed when it fell to Washington in the Pac-12 title game and Northwestern in the . Thanks to the returns of senior dual-threat QB Tyler Huntley and Zack Moss, who topped 1,000 rushing yards each of the past two years, the Utes are clearly the team to beat in their half of the league. Whittingham gets seven starters back on each side of the ball. The defense, again strong up front, features end and cornerback Jaylon Johnson. Anae had eight sacks last season and headlines the “Sack Lake City” pass-rush attack. Utah, which opens with its rivalry game at BYU, faces USC and Washington on the road. Aside from those potential potholes, the Utes should coast through a majority of the schedule and win at least nine games, making this a best bet. With some injury luck, Whittingham has a team capable of winning the Pac-12.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 242 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION UTAH UTES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 27.1 73 Points Per Game 20.2 16 Yards Per Point 14.1 58 Yards Per Point 16.7 20 Plays Per Game 71 73 3rd Down Conv. % 35.3% 29 Time of Possession 29:13 78 Total Yards Per Game 336.3 20 3rd Down Conv. % 37.8% 73 Yards Per Play 4.7 19 Total Yards Per Game 381.7 81 Rush Yards Per Game 105.5 8 Yards Per Play 5.4 75 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3 6 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.5 40 Completion % 59.9% 68 Rush Yards Per Game 173.8 53 Passing Yards Per Game 230.8 64 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 68 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.7 34 Pass Attempts Per Game 28.2 94 Sacks 2.5 37 Completion % 61.2% 41 Turnovers 1.6 46 Passing Yards Per Game 207.8 89 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 64 Turnovers 1.7 90 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 9-4 7-6 9-5 35-18 (66%) 25 Overall ATS 6-7 7-6 9-3 7-7 29-23 (56%) 23 Over-Under 7-6 6-7 6-7 8-6 27-26 (51%) 43 at Home ATS 2-5 3-3 4-2 4-2 13-12 (52%) 43 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 4-3 5-1 3-5 16-11 (59%) 32 Conference ATS 3-6 6-3 5-3 6-4 20-16 (56%) 35 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 1-3 4-0 1-3 9-7 (56%) 34 Favorite ATS 4-5 4-6 7-3 6-5 21-19 (53%) 42 Underdog ATS 2-2 3-0 2-0 1-2 8-4 (67%) 20 After SUW ATS 5-4 4-4 4-1 4-5 17-14 (55%) 42 After SUL ATS 0-3 3-1 4-2 2-2 9-8 (53%) 48

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 52.5 28.4 2.98 -10.4 8-QB 39.5 6.94 12.09 6 11.1 3.96 24.34 2017 53 19.7 2.1 -12.4 4-QB, OC 34 6.66 14.23 5 14.3 4.56 21.69 2016 49.5 21.6 1.72 -9 6-QB 35.6 6.68 13.96 7-DC 14 4.97 24.11 2015 51 25.2 1.68 -12.1 7- OC 36.4 6.21 12.22 7-DC 11. 2 4.53 28.34

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• UTAH is 15-3 ATS (L18G) - Underdog of 10 or more points

• UTAH is 1-6 ATS (L7G) - VS WASHINGTON ST

• UTAH is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - After playing USC

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 243 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION USC TROJANS Location: , CA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum 51 Head Coach: - 5th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3.25 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Clancy Pendergast 50.5 (#2 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 FRESNO ST 9/7/19 STANFORD OVER the total is 16-8 in USC-STA series since 1995 9/14/19 at BYU 9/20/19 UTAH HOME TEAMS are 7-1 SU & ATS in L8 games of USC-UTA series 9/28/19 at Washington UNDERDOGS are 4-6 SU but 8-2 ATS in WAS-USC series since 2005 10/12/19 at Notre Dame HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of USC-ND series 10/19/19 ARIZONA ROAD TEAMS are 12-10 SU & 15-7 ATS in ARI-USC series since 1994 10/25/19 at Colorado HOME TEAMS are 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in L8 games of COL-USC series 11/2/19 OREGON FAVORITES are 9-2 SU & ATS in USC-ORE series since 2002 11/9/19 at Arizona St FAVORITES are 21-4 SU & 17-8 ATS in USC-AZS series since 1992 11/16/19 at California UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of USC-CAL series 11/23/19 UCLA UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of USC-UCLA series at USC 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 UNLV 43-21 W -24.5 L 60 O 9/8/18 at Stanford 3-17 L 4.5 L 53 U 9/15/18 at Texas 14-37 L 3 L 47.5 O 9/21/18 WASHINGTON ST 39-36 W -4.5 L 50.5 O 9/29/18 at Arizona 24-20 W -3 W 62 U 10/13/18 COLORADO 31-20 W -7 W 57.5 U 10/20/18 at Utah 28-41 L 6.5 L 48.5 O 10/27/18 ARIZONA ST 35-38 L -3 L 52 O 11/3/18 at Oregon St 38-21 W -15.5 W 64.5 U 11/10/18 CALIFORNIA 14-15 L -4.5 L 45 U 11/17/18 at UCLA 27-34 L -3 L 55 O 11/24/18 NOTRE DAME 17-24 L 14 W 55 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET Every preseason list of coaches on the proverbial “hot seat” will include Clay Helton, who is feeling the heat after a 5-7 fasco in his third year. Helton hired Kliff Kingsbury as his offensive coordinator, only to immediately lose him to the NFL. The backup plan was Graham Harrell, a former Texas Tech quarterback and OC at North Texas. The bottom line is Helton and Harrell need to develop sophomore QB JT Daniels in a hurry. The Trojans have plenty of receiver and running back talent to support Daniels, who completed only 59.5 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 10 picks. A defense that allowed 27 points per game returns only fve starters. In a rarity, not one player left USC early for the NFL Draft — a negative statement about the program’s talent level, but also a positive for this season. USC’s frst six games (Fresno State, Stanford, at BYU, Utah, at Washington, at Notre Dame) should leave Helton at 3-3, and then it’s make- or-break time. The win total (6½ at PointsBet and 7 at other books) is on the money, as this team projects to 7-5. But the Trojans have some NFL talent and, if Daniels develops, this team should win seven or eight.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 244 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION USC TROJANS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 26.1 78 Points Per Game 27 60 Yards Per Point 14.7 73 Yards Per Point 14.4 62 Plays Per Game 68.2 98 3rd Down Conv. % 39.7% 67 Time of Possession 28:49 91 Total Yards Per Game 388.1 53 3rd Down Conv. % 37.1% 82 Yards Per Play 5.2 44 Total Yards Per Game 382.9 77 Rush Yards Per Game 164.8 63 Yards Per Play 5.6 61 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 63 Rush Attempts Per Game 32.5 120 Completion % 58.7% 62 Rush Yards Per Game 133.8 104 Passing Yards Per Game 223.2 56 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 80 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.6 30 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.5 52 Sacks 2.4 43 Completion % 60.7% 49 Turnovers 0.8 125 Passing Yards Per Game 249.1 44 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 63 Turnovers 1.6 81 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-6 10-3 11-3 5-7 34-19 (64%) 33 Overall ATS 6-8 8-5 4-10 4-8 22-31 (42%) 111 Over-Under 6-7 4-9 7-6 6-6 23-28 (45%) 86 at Home ATS 4-3 5-1 2-5 2-4 13-13 (50%) 58 Road/Neutral ATS 2-5 3-4 2-5 2-4 9-18 (33%) 128 Conference ATS 4-6 6-3 4-6 3-6 17-21 (45%) 93 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-2 0-4 1-2 5-10 (33%) 118 Favorite ATS 6-5 7-2 4-8 3-5 20-20 (50%) 71 Underdog ATS 0-3 1-3 0-2 1-3 2-11 (15%) 130 After SUW ATS 2-6 6-3 3-8 2-3 13-20 (39%) 111 After SUL ATS 3-2 2-1 1-1 2-4 8-8 (50%) 67

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 50 16.9 2.3 -6.1 7 34.8 6.91 13.13 6 17.9 4.61 18.63 2017 57.5 27 3.4 -15.6 5 41 8.18 14.62 7 14 4.78 24.43 2016 63.5 31 3.37 -23 10-QB, OC 41.4 7.78 13.82 5-DC 10.4 4.41 29.22 2015 54.5 29.4 2.88 -15.7 7 41.4 7.72 13.31 7 12.1 4.84 28.02

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• USC is 14-3 ATS (L17G) at HOME - VS lower ranked team

• USC is 2-13 ATS (L15G) on ROAD - as AP top 5

• USC is 13-2 UNDER (L15G) - VS CALIFORNIA

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 245 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION ARIZONA ST SUN DEVILS Location: Tempe, AZ STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Sun Devil Stadium, Field 48.5 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 3.25 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 8 - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Rob Likens SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 43.1 (#54 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 KENT ST 9/6/19 SACRAMENTO ST 9/14/19 at Michigan St 9/21/19 COLORADO HOME TEAMS are 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of COL-AZS series 9/27/19 at California HOME TEAMS are 12-6 SU & 13-5 ATS in CAL-AZS series since 1995 10/12/19 WASHINGTON ST HOME TEAMS are 10-6 SU & 13-3 ATS in AZS-WASU series since 2001 10/19/19 at Utah 10/26/19 at UCLA UCLA is 12-8 ATS vs. ARIZONA ST since 1994 11/9/19 USC FAVORITES are 21-4 SU & 17-8 ATS in USC-AZS series since 1992 11/16/19 at Oregon St HOME TEAMS are 16-5 SU & 14-6 ATS in AZS-ORS series since 1994 11/23/19 OREGON OREGON is 11-1 SU & 8-3 ATS vs. ARIZONA ST since 2005 11/29/19 ARIZONA HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in L7 games of ARI-AZS series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 TX-SAN ANTONIO 49-7 W -17 W 52 O 9/8/18 MICHIGAN ST 16-13 W 4.5 W 53 U 9/15/18 at San Diego St 21-28 L -5.5 L 48 O 9/22/18 at Washington 20-27 L 18 W 54 U 9/29/18 OREGON ST 52-24 W -22 W 64.5 O 10/6/18 at Colorado 21-28 L 2 L 64 U 10/18/18 STANFORD 13-20 L 1.5 L 57.5 U 10/27/18 at USC 38-35 W 3 W 52 O 11/3/18 UTAH 38-20 W 7. 5 W 55 O 11/10/18 UCLA 31-28 W -12.5 L 65.5 U 11/17/18 at Oregon 29-31 L 3.5 W 66 U 11/24/18 at Arizona 41-40 W -1 T 66 O 12/15/18 vs. Fresno St 20-31 L 6 L 54.5 U

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 7 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS While the other teams in the South division are obviously improved, that’s not obvious with the Sun Devils. The offense’s big three — quarterback Manny Wilkins, running back Eno Benjamin and wideout N’Keal Harry — has been reduced to one. Wilkins (Green Bay, undrafted) and Harry (New England, frst round) are off to the NFL. It’s hard to imagine Arizona State will top the 7-6 mark from coach Herm Edwards’ frst year. Benjamin, who carried 300 times for 1,642 yards and 16 TDs, is a stud and the focal point. The Devils have plenty of receiver talent and the line is experienced, but the QB spot is up in the air with junior Dillon Sterling-Cole trying to fend off hyped freshman Jayden Daniels. Edwards built a better defense, improving the numbers to 25.5 points and 404 yards per game, and seven starters return. Arizona State has three September home games (Kent, Sacramento State, Colorado) it should win before the schedule stiffens. The Devils lost to Fresno State in the . Another bowl trip is likely but, mostly because of inexperienced QBs, 6-6 is a much better bet than 8-4 so look under the total.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 246 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION ARIZONA ST SUN DEVILS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29.9 43 Points Per Game 25.5 47 Yards Per Point 13.9 52 Yards Per Point 15.9 27 Plays Per Game 70.2 82 3rd Down Conv. % 41.6% 87 Time of Possession 29:31 74 Total Yards Per Game 405.4 69 3rd Down Conv. % 41.7% 39 Yards Per Play 5.6 65 Total Yards Per Game 416.9 46 Rush Yards Per Game 171.5 72 Yards Per Play 5.9 29 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 65 Rush Attempts Per Game 38.4 67 Completion % 60.3% 70 Rush Yards Per Game 184.2 47 Passing Yards Per Game 233.8 68 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 38 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 75 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.5 72 Sacks 2.2 55 Completion % 62.2% 34 Turnovers 1.6 45 Passing Yards Per Game 232.7 65 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 45 Turnovers 0.8 6 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 5-7 7-6 7-6 25-26 (49%) 71 Overall ATS 6-7 6-6 7-5 7-5 26-23 (53%) 45 Over-Under 6-7 7-5 6-7 6-7 25-26 (49%) 52 at Home ATS 3-4 5-1 4-3 4-2 16-10 (62%) 16 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 1-5 3-2 3-3 10-13 (43%) 103 Conference ATS 5-4 4-5 7-2 5-3 21-14 (60%) 18 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 2-1 0-3 2-2 5-9 (36%) 110 Favorite ATS 3-3 2-2 2-2 2-2 9-9 (50%) 56 Underdog ATS 3-4 4-4 5-3 5-3 17-14 (55%) 49 After SUW ATS 3-3 2-3 3-4 3-4 11-14 (44%) 99 After SUL ATS 3-3 3-3 4-0 3-1 13-7 (65%) 11

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 49.5 20.9 2.24 -6.8 8-QB, OC 40.3 7.17 12.31 4-DC 19.4 4.94 18.13 2017 47.5 18.9 1.52 -5.3 7- OC 37.5 6.86 13.87 8-DC 18.6 5.34 20.35 2016 38 11. 6 0.21 -2.1 4-QB, OC 38 6.26 12.36 6 26.4 6.05 16.89 2015 49.5 18.1 1.54 -7.7 7-QB 39.3 6.81 14.23 9 21.2 5.26 18.29

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• ARIZONA ST is 16-5 ATS (L5Y) at HOME - On Saturday

• ARIZONA ST is 1-6 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - Before playing UCLA

• ARIZONA ST is 12-2-1 UNDER (L15G) - 1000 or more travel miles

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 247 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION UCLA BRUINS Location: Pasadena, CA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Rose Bowl Stadium 49 Head Coach: Chip Kelly - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 2 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 19 - Offense: 9 QB - Defense: 10 Offensive Coordinator: Justin Frye * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jerry Azzinaro 49.48 (#4 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 at Cincinnati 9/7/19 SAN DIEGO ST FAVORITES are 7-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in L7 games of UCLA-SDS series 9/14/19 OKLAHOMA OVER the total is 3-0 in L3 games of OKL-UCLA series 9/21/19 at Washington St UNDERDOGS are 1-4 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of WASU-UCLA series 9/28/19 at Arizona FAVORITES are 17-4 SU & 14-6 ATS in ARI-UCLA series since 1996 10/5/19 OREGON ST UCLA is 9-3 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. OREGON ST since 2001 10/17/19 at Stanford STANFORD is 6-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L6 games vs. UCLA 10/26/19 ARIZONA ST UCLA is 12-8 ATS vs. ARIZONA ST since 1994 11/2/19 COLORADO COLORADO is 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. UCLA 11/16/19 at Utah ROAD TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in L8 games of UCLA-UTA series 11/23/19 at USC UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of USC-UCLA series at USC 11/30/19 CALIFORNIA UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of UCLA-CAL series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 CINCINNATI 17-26 L -14 L 63 U 9/8/18 at Oklahoma 21-49 L 30.5 W 65.5 O 9/15/18 FRESNO ST 14-38 L 2.5 L 52.5 U 9/28/18 at Colorado 16-38 L 9.5 L 57.5 U 10/6/18 WASHINGTON 24-31 L 21.5 W 53.5 O 10/13/18 at California 37-7 W 7 W 53.5 U 10/20/18 ARIZONA 31-30 W -9 L 57.5 O 10/26/18 UTAH 10-41 L 10.5 L 54 U 11/3/18 at Oregon 21-42 L 10.5 L 59 O 11/10/18 at Arizona St 28-31 L 12.5 W 65.5 U 11/17/18 USC 34-27 W 3 W 55 O 11/24/18 STANFORD 42-49 L 7 T 60.5 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN OVER 5.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET In four years at Oregon, Chip Kelly fnished with a record of 46-7. He was no wizard in his frst year in Westwood while going 3-9. There are signs of unrest within the program — some players are not crazy about the gruff coach and his methods — but winning would silence the grumbling. With 19 returning starters, the Bruins are in a position to win. Sophomore quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson is a good ft for Kelly’s system. Joshua Kelley, who rushed for 1,243 yards and 12 TDs as a junior, is a punishing runner who ripped off 289 yards in a victory over USC. The Bruins’ offense averaged only 312 yards and 17 points in last season’s frst four games, compared to 31.3 points per game in the fnal four. That was the type of improvement that was anticipated under Kelly. The offensive line is stronger, and a defense that surrendered 445 yards per game is now a veteran unit. The Bruins are 3½-point ‘dogs in their season opener at Cincinnati before returning home to face San Diego State and Oklahoma. UCLA does avoid North division favorites Washington and Oregon on the schedule, so bet on Kelly at least getting to 6-6 with a good shot at seven wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 248 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION UCLA BRUINS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 24.6 91 Points Per Game 34.1 100 Yards Per Point 16 99 Yards Per Point 13.1 99 Plays Per Game 73.8 51 3rd Down Conv. % 48.0% 123 Time of Possession 27:32 112 Total Yards Per Game 445.6 97 3rd Down Conv. % 37.7% 75 Yards Per Play 5.9 94 Total Yards Per Game 393 69 Rush Yards Per Game 200.1 93 Yards Per Play 5.3 79 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 83 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.5 73 Completion % 60.9% 78 Rush Yards Per Game 155.2 77 Passing Yards Per Game 245.5 86 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 78 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 9 100 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.6 51 Sacks 1.2 122 Completion % 59.3% 61 Turnovers 1.5 69 Passing Yards Per Game 237.8 57 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 83 Turnovers 1.4 54 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 4-8 6-7 3-9 21-29 (42%) 98 Overall ATS 5-7 4-7 4-9 5-6 18-29 (38%) 125 Over-Under 4-8 4-8 8-5 6-6 22-27 (45%) 90 at Home ATS 1-4 2-4 3-3 2-4 8-15 (35%) 115 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 2-3 1-6 3-2 10-14 (42%) 111 Conference ATS 4-5 4-5 3-6 4-4 15-20 (43%) 102 Non-Conf. ATS 1-2 0-2 1-3 1-2 3-9 (25%) 128 Favorite ATS 4-5 2-4 3-5 0-2 9-16 (36%) 115 Underdog ATS 1-2 2-3 1-4 5-4 9-13 (41%) 104 After SUW ATS 3-5 0-3 2-4 0-2 5-14 (26%) 125 After SUL ATS 2-2 4-3 2-4 5-3 13-12 (52%) 53

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 44.5 12.6 1.93 -2.5 5-OC 36.5 6.92 13.48 7-DC 23.9 4.98 15.46 2017 46.5 17.9 2.86 -7.3 9- OC 39.9 8.05 14.66 6 22.1 5.19 18.39 2016 45 16.2 2.42 -13 4- OC 32.6 6.56 14.08 9 16.4 4.14 19.93 2015 53.5 24.5 3.1 -12.6 10-QB 38.5 7. 34 14.5 8-DC 14 4.25 24.3

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• UCLA is 8-2 ATS (L10G) at HOME - [vs OPP] AP top 10

• UCLA is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - as AP top 10

• UCLA is 9-1 UNDER (L10G) - After playing OREGON ST

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 249 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION ARIZONA WILDCATS Location: Tucson, AZ STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Arizona Stadium 46.5 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3 / -1 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Noel Mazzone SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Marcel Yates 46.1 (#30 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/24/19 at Hawaii 9/7/19 N ARIZONA HOME TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of ARI-NAU series 9/14/19 TEXAS TECH 9/28/19 UCLA FAVORITES are 17-4 SU & 14-6 ATS in ARI-UCLA series since 1996 10/5/19 at Colorado OVER the total is 7-1 in L8 games of COL-ARI series 10/12/19 WASHINGTON HOME TEAMS are 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS in WAS-ARI series since 2007 10/19/19 at USC ROAD TEAMS are 12-10 SU & 15-7 ATS in ARI-USC series since 1994 10/26/19 at Stanford FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in L6 games of ARI-STA series 11/2/19 OREGON ST FAVORITES are 14-6 SU & ATS in ARI-ORS series since 1996 11/16/19 at Oregon UNDER the total is 6-0 in L6 games of ORE-ARI series 11/23/19 UTAH HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & ATS in L7 games of UTA-ARI series 11/29/19 at Arizona St HOME TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in L7 games of ARI-AZS series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 BYU 23-28 L -10.5 L 58.5 U 9/8/18 at Houston 18-45 L 3.5 L 71 U 9/15/18 S UTAH 62-31 W -24 W 71.5 O 9/22/18 at Oregon St 35-14 W -4 W 72.5 U 9/29/18 USC 20-24 L 3 L 62 U 10/6/18 CALIFORNIA 24-17 W 1.5 W 57 U 10/12/18 at Utah 10-42 L 13.5 L 54 U 10/20/18 at UCLA 30-31 L 9 W 57.5 O 10/27/18 OREGON 44-15 W 8.5 W 66 U 11/2/18 COLORADO 42-34 W -3.5 W 56.5 O 11/17/18 at Washington St 28-69 L 10.5 L 63 O 11/24/18 ARIZONA ST 40-41 L 1 T 66 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE The combination of an ankle injury and mysterious play-calling turned Khalil Tate’s junior year into a lost cause. The dual-threat quarterback was no longer a running threat, picking up only 224 yards on the ground after rushing for 1,411 the previous year. The Wildcats tailed off from 7-6 in 2017 to 5-7 in coach Kevin Sumlin’s disappointing frst season. Tate has improved as a passer but his wheels are the key to a bounce-back year because he’s a dynamic playmaker when healthy. Arizona returns seven offensive starters, including four on the line, and 1,434-yard rusher J.J. Taylor. The defense was weak last season but returns eight starters and should be stronger. Arizona has talent similar to USC and UCLA, and Tate could boost the Wildcats to a better record, but Sumlin made some poor decisions in close games, including one-point losses to UCLA and Arizona State. Many analysts will pencil in Arizona for wins against Hawaii and Texas Tech, yet both opponents will be sneaky good this year. If Tate is spectacular, the Wildcats can top their win total, but the Pac-12 schedule is tough and this has the look of a 6-6 team.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 250 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION ARIZONA WILDCATS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.5 55 Points Per Game 32.7 91 Yards Per Point 15.5 85 Yards Per Point 13.1 97 Plays Per Game 76.5 26 3rd Down Conv. % 40.5% 81 Time of Possession 28:44 97 Total Yards Per Game 429.2 85 3rd Down Conv. % 42.5% 32 Yards Per Play 5.7 75 Total Yards Per Game 442.4 27 Rush Yards Per Game 159.7 58 Yards Per Play 5.8 45 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 61 Rush Attempts Per Game 41.4 29 Completion % 64.1% 111 Rush Yards Per Game 196.5 36 Passing Yards Per Game 269.5 120 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 41 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 76 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.4 53 Sacks 1.9 83 Completion % 54.8% 101 Turnovers 1.3 91 Passing Yards Per Game 245.9 48 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 67 Turnovers 1.6 86 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 3-9 7-6 5-7 22-28 (44%) 91 Overall ATS 6-7 2-10 6-7 6-5 20-29 (41%) 112 Over-Under 10-3 7-5 9-4 5-7 31-19 (62%) 5 at Home ATS 3-3 2-5 4-2 4-2 13-12 (52%) 42 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 0-5 2-5 2-3 7-17 (29%) 130 Conference ATS 4-5 2-7 4-5 5-3 15-20 (43%) 102 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 0-3 2-2 1-2 5-9 (36%) 110 Favorite ATS 4-3 0-2 4-3 3-1 11-9 (55%) 30 Underdog ATS 2-4 2-8 2-4 3-4 9-20 (31%) 123 After SUW ATS 3-3 1-1 2-5 2-3 8-12 (40%) 107 After SUL ATS 3-3 1-8 3-2 4-1 11-14 (44%) 85

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 46 12.4 2.03 -2.8 7-QB, OC 37 7.13 14.15 9 24.6 5.09 15.61 2017 49.5 21.6 2.85 -11.7 7 45.5 8.16 12.54 7 23.9 5.32 17.08 2016 36 5.3 2.16 2.1 7 33.6 7.36 14.9 8-DC 28.3 5.2 14.15 2015 47.5 15.8 2.08 -5.4 7 42.1 7.33 13.56 6 26.3 5.25 15.53

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• ARIZONA is 6-1 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Before playing UCLA

• ARIZONA is 7-18 ATS (L10Y) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After SU win

• ARIZONA is 7-0 OVER (L7G) - Favorite of more than 20 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 251 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION COLORADO BUFFALOES Location: Boulder, CO STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Folsom Field 43 Head Coach: Mel Tucker - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3.25 / 0 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: Jay Johnson * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Tyson Summers * 48.13 (#11 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/30/19 vs. Colorado St ROAD TEAMS are 2-3 SU but 5-0 ATS in L5 games of COL-CSU series 9/7/19 NEBRASKA COLORADO is 5-11 SU but 12-4 ATS vs. NEBRASKA since 1996 9/14/19 AIR FORCE 9/21/19 at Arizona St HOME TEAMS are 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of COL-AZS series 10/5/19 ARIZONA OVER the total is 7-1 in L8 games of COL-ARI series 10/11/19 at Oregon OREGON is 6-1 SU & ATS in its L7 games vs. COLORADO 10/19/19 at Washington St FAVORITES are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of WASU-COL series 10/25/19 USC HOME TEAMS are 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in L8 games of COL-USC series 11/2/19 at UCLA COLORADO is 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. UCLA 11/9/19 STANFORD ROAD TEAMS are 4-0 SU & ATS in L4 games of COL-STA series 11/23/19 WASHINGTON WASHINGTON is 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS vs. COLORADO since 1996 11/30/19 at Utah UNDERDOGS are 1-7 SU but 6-2 ATS in L8 games of COL-UTA series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/31/18 vs. Colorado St 45-13 W -7 W 65 U 9/8/18 at Nebraska 33-28 W 3 W 62 U 9/15/18 NEW HAMPSHIRE 45-14 W -37.5 L 54 O 9/28/18 UCLA 38-16 W -9.5 W 57.5 U 10/6/18 ARIZONA ST 28-21 W -2 W 64 U 10/13/18 at USC 20-31 L 7 L 57.5 U 10/20/18 at Washington 13-27 L 18.5 W 49.5 U 10/27/18 OREGON ST 34-41 L -26 L 59 O 11/2/18 at Arizona 34-42 L 3.5 L 56.5 O 11/10/18 WASHINGTON ST 7-31 L 5 L 58.5 U 11/17/18 UTAH 7-30 L 7 L 48 U 11/24/18 at California 21-33 L 11. 5 L 44.5 O

MATT YOUMANS’ SEASON WIN UNDER 4.5 TOTAL PREDICTION POINTSBET Basically every prognosticator is picking the Buffaloes to fnish last in the division, but they are not bad. It’s just a team on a seven-game losing streak with a demanding schedule and a frst-time head coach. Mel Tucker, the former defensive coordinator at Georgia and previously an assistant at Alabama, takes over for Mike MacIntyre, who went 10-4 in 2016 before suffering back-to-back 5-7 seasons. Colorado opened last year 5-0 before the wheels fell off. Tucker is a high-energy disciplinarian, a change that should help the Buffaloes rebound. Colorado will show off a more up-tempo offense directed by senior QB Steven Montez, who will target big-time wideout Laviska Shenault, a name to remember in the next NFL Draft. Eight starters return on offense, and Tucker can be counted on to rebuild a solid defense. The Buffaloes should pick up wins against Mountain West opponents Colorado State and Air Force, but those are not gimmes, and the Pac-12 schedule offers no breaks and no Oregon State. Expect Tucker to feld a competitive team and while winning fve games is not out of the question, this is a lean to 3-9 or 4-8 because of the schedule.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 252 2019 PAC-12 CONFERENCE SOUTH DIVISION COLORADO BUFFALOES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25.5 83 Points Per Game 28.5 71 Yards Per Point 15.1 79 Yards Per Point 13.7 77 Plays Per Game 75.3 35 3rd Down Conv. % 37.4% 47 Time of Possession 29:21 75 Total Yards Per Game 390.6 55 3rd Down Conv. % 36.3% 87 Yards Per Play 5.2 45 Total Yards Per Game 383.6 75 Rush Yards Per Game 155.4 51 Yards Per Play 5.1 95 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 39 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.5 89 Completion % 58.4% 56 Rush Yards Per Game 127.7 109 Passing Yards Per Game 235.3 72 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.5 114 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 55 Pass Attempts Per Game 36 30 Sacks 2.2 58 Completion % 64.1% 25 Turnovers 1.1 104 Passing Yards Per Game 255.9 37 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 78 Turnovers 1.5 77 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 4-9 10-4 5-7 5-7 24-27 (47%) 81 Overall ATS 5-7 10-4 3-9 5-7 23-27 (46%) 90 Over-Under 4-9 5-9 5-6 4-8 18-32 (36%) 126 at Home ATS 2-4 4-2 1-5 2-4 9-15 (38%) 106 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 6-2 2-4 3-3 14-12 (54%) 55 Conference ATS 4-5 7-3 2-7 3-6 16-21 (43%) 101 Non-Conf. ATS 1-2 3-1 1-2 2-1 7-6 (54%) 47 Favorite ATS 1-2 6-3 2-4 3-2 12-11 (52%) 46 Underdog ATS 4-5 4-1 1-5 2-5 11-16 (41%) 106 After SUW ATS 1-2 7-3 0-5 3-2 11-12 (48%) 81 After SUL ATS 4-4 2-1 2-4 1-5 9-14 (39%) 107

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 39.5 14.6 1.63 -2.5 4-QB 35.4 6.25 12.83 6 20.7 4.61 16.16 2017 41 11. 5 0.92 -2.9 9-QB 30 6.34 16.03 3-DC 18.4 5.41 21.64 2016 54.5 31.8 2.74 -14.1 9 40.9 6.74 13.23 9 9.1 4 30.67 2015 39.5 9.8 0.66 2.8 7 28.8 5.79 15.6 9-DC 18.9 5.13 19.76

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• COLORADO is 8-2 ATS (L10G) - Before playing NEBRASKA

• COLORADO is 5-20 ATS (L25G) - [vs OPP] AP top 10

• COLORADO is 10-0 UNDER (L10G) at NEUT - As favorite

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 253 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY DAVE TULEY - @VIEWFROMVEGAS

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's EAST DIVISION GEORGIA 67.5 2.25 0.5 48.00 13 10.4 1.6 6.7 1.3 FLORIDA 62 3 -0.25 48.48 7 8.8 3.2 5.2 2.8 MISSOURI 55.5 3 -0.5 46.23 29 8.5 3.5 4.9 3.1 SOUTH CAROLINA 53 2.5 0.25 52.17 1 5.7 6.3 3.1 4.9 KENTUCKY 49 2.5 0.5 45.50 35 6.7 5.3 3.1 4.9 TENNESSEE 51.5 2.5 0.5 48.15 10 6.5 5.5 2.9 5.1 VANDERBILT 44.5 2.25 0 48.50 6 4.7 7. 3 1.7 6.3 WEST DIVISION ALABAMA 72 3 1 44.27 44 11.1 0.9 7.1 0.9 LSU 63 3 0.25 47.92 15 9.2 2.8 5.6 2.4 MISSISSIPPI ST 57.5 3.5 0 46.71 23 8.3 3.7 4.5 3.5 TEXAS A&M 58 2.75 0.25 48.94 5 7. 3 4.7 4.2 3.8 AUBURN 58.5 3 0 50.33 3 7. 5 4.5 3.9 4.1 OLE MISS 45.5 3 -0.75 48.31 9 4.9 7.1 2.1 5.9 ARKANSAS 41.5 2.25 -0.25 46.44 25 4.7 7. 3 1.1 6.9

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME EAST DIVISION FLORIDA GEORGIA GEORGIA FLORIDA GEORGIA FLORIDA GEORGIA GEORGIA CHAMPION WEST DIVISION ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA CHAMPION SEC ALABAMA GEORGIA GEORGIA ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA ALABAMA CHAMPIONSHIP

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 254 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITES Alabama and ‘The Field’ Alabama is the odds-on favorite in Vegas from -140 at Circa to -190 at William Hill. Georgia, expected to be the class of the SEC East, is the distant second choice around 3/1 with Florida at 8/1 and LSU 10/1. However, if you’re looking to fade Alabama, I don’t think trying to pinpoint the team to knock off Alabama in the SEC West or knock them off in the SEC Championship Game is the way to go. The better play is to find a prop with the “Field” vs. Alabama. At around +150, I think that would be a fair price as Alabama doesn’t always go undefeated, so the Tide could stumble along the way (and I fear with QB Tua Tagovailoa being injury prone that Bama could miss Jalen Hurts after the way he bailed it out last year). Besides, Alabama has also shown it can still make the College Football Playoff without having to win the SEC. LIVE DOGS Texas A&M, Mississippi State and Missouri It’s not likely that any team outside those top 4 will threaten to steal the conference title, but plenty of teams in this deepest of leagues are capable of pulling upsets on any given Saturday. Texas A&M won’t be an underdog often, but should be considered live when it is. Mississippi State’s defense should keep it in any game and Missouri will be a tempting dog with former Clemson QB Kelly Bryant used to performing on the big stage. And even if they’re not expected to win many games outright, Arkansas and Vanderbilt could cover some big spreads if they continue to improve. DEAD MONEY Arkansas and Vanderbilt Arkansas and Vanderbilt also fit in this category, especially if expecting them to rack up a lot of straight-up wins, but I’d actually consider Mississippi (with it’s terrible defense that allowed 36.2 points per game last season), Tennessee (with its supbar offensive and defensive lines in a conference where you have to be strong in the trenches) and Kentucky (which lost so much talent from its 10-win squad, especially Benny Snell and Josh Allen) to be harder to make a case for on a weekly basis. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Oregon vs. Auburn, Aug. 31 two teams are head-and-shoulders above the The Tigers are 3-point favorites in Arlington, rest of the division. Texas, and the Ducks could make a major statement by beating one of the SEC’s top LSU at Alabama, Nov. 9 teams. Auburn coach defeated This is expected to be the Crimson Tide’s another Pac-12 team, Washington, in a biggest test in the SEC West race, though it’s neutral-field opener last year. still a 16-point favorite in the Games of the Year at the Westgate. Notre Dame at Georgia, Sept. 21 This is Georgia’s only real nonconference Alabama at Auburn, Nov. 30 test. The Bulldogs were 5-point ‘dogs in a Bama is just a 13-point favorite in the annual 20-19 win at ND in 2017. That was Georgia Iron Bowl vs. its biggest rival, which is why the quarterback Jake Fromm’s first road start. The line is shorter than its game vs. LSU (plus it’s Irish are 11-point road ‘dogs in the rematch. on the road as opposed to home).

Mississippi State at Auburn, Sept. 28 SEC Championship Game, Dec. 7 Can any team challenge Alabama in the SEC The matchup and line is to be determined, but East besides LSU? We’ll likely have the answer the SEC title game is always expected to have after this late September matchup. LSU is a College Football Playoff implications. 9-point home favorite at Westgate.

Georgia vs. Florida (at Jacksonville), Nov. 2 The annual World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party is the de facto SEC East title game for a berth in the SEC Championship Game as these

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 255 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION Location: Athens, GA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Sanford Stadium 67.5 Head Coach: Kirby Smart - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 11-3 2.25 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: James Coley SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: * 48 (#13 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Vanderbilt HOME TEAMS are 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in VAN-GEO series since 2009 9/7/19 MURRAY ST 9/14/19 ARKANSAS ST 9/21/19 NOTRE DAME 10/5/19 at Tennessee UNDERDOGS are 7-17 SU but 15-8 ATS in TEN-GEO series since 1994 10/12/19 SOUTH CAROLINA UNDER the total is 15-6 in SC-GEO series since 1996 10/19/19 KENTUCKY FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of GEO-KEN series 11/2/19 vs. Florida FAVORITES are 19-6 SU & 16-9 ATS in FLA-GEO series since 1994 11/9/19 MISSOURI MISSOURI is 1-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. GEORGIA 11/16/19 at Auburn HOME TEAMS are 13-7 SU & 14-6 ATS in GEO-AUB series since 1999 11/23/19 TEXAS A&M 11/30/19 at Georgia Tech GEORGIA is 9-1 SU & 10-0 ATS in its L10 games at GEORGIA TECH 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 AUSTIN PEAY 45-0 W -48.5 L 59.5 U 9/8/18 at South Carolina 41-17 W -8.5 W 52.5 O 9/15/18 MIDDLE TENN ST 49-7 W -33.5 W 59.5 U 9/22/18 at Missouri 43-29 W -14.5 L 68 O 9/29/18 TENNESSEE 38-12 W -30.5 L 55 U 10/6/18 VANDERBILT 41-13 W -25.5 W 55.5 U 10/13/18 at LSU 16-36 L -6.5 L 50 O 10/27/18 vs. Florida 36-17 W -7 W 53.5 U 11/3/18 at Kentucky 34-17 W -9.5 W 48 O 11/10/18 AUBURN 27-10 W -13.5 W 52.5 U 11/17/18 MASSACHUSETTS 66-27 W -41.5 L 67.5 O 11/24/18 GEORGIA TECH 45-21 W -17 W 60.5 O 12/1/18 vs. Alabama 28-35 L 11. 5 W 62.5 O 1/1/19 vs. Texas 21-28 L -13.5 L 60 U DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 10.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA Several books have Georgia’s Over/Under at 11 wins, but shop around for a 10.5. The Bulldogs are fully loaded and ready to make another run at the SEC title and national championship. QB Jake Fromm runs the offense, which averaged 38 points per game last year, and is protected by one of the best offensive lines in college football. Georgia always seems to have a stud running back and now it’s D’Andre Swift’s turn at stardom. The defense isn’t full of All-Americans like the offense, but it still ranked No. 2 in the SEC in total defense behind Mississippi State last year. Notre Dame (Sept. 21) is the only obstacle in the early part of Georgia’s schedule, and the key game is the annual clash with Florida in Jacksonville on Nov. 2. If the Bulldogs get past that game, they have a great shot at an undefeated regular season. But even if they lose, they can still get to 11 wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 256 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION GEORGIA BULLDOGS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 37.3 13 Points Per Game 20.7 20 Yards Per Point 12.4 20 Yards Per Point 15.8 29 Plays Per Game 67.8 101 3rd Down Conv. % 35.4% 30 Time of Possession 31:50 30 Total Yards Per Game 326.8 16 3rd Down Conv. % 47.7% 9 Yards Per Play 4.9 29 Total Yards Per Game 462.9 17 Rush Yards Per Game 137.3 32 Yards Per Play 6.8 5 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 49 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.9 34 Completion % 61.0% 79 Rush Yards Per Game 235.8 13 Passing Yards Per Game 189.5 20 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.8 7 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.1 18 Pass Attempts Per Game 25.4 110 Sacks 1.8 84 Completion % 67.0% 11 Turnovers 1.2 99 Passing Yards Per Game 227.2 69 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.9 10 Turnovers 1 14 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 8-5 13-2 11-3 42-13 (76%) 7 Overall ATS 6-7 6-7 11-4 8-6 31-24 (56%) 18 Over-Under 3-10 5-7 7-8 7-7 22-32 (41%) 113 at Home ATS 3-4 2-4 3-3 4-3 12-14 (46%) 70 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 4-3 8-1 4-3 19-10 (66%) 10 Conference ATS 3-5 4-4 7-3 6-3 20-15 (57%) 29 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 2-3 4-1 2-3 11-9 (55%) 42 Favorite ATS 6-6 3-5 9-4 7-6 25-21 (54%) 33 Underdog ATS 0-1 3-2 2-0 1-0 6-3 (67%) 16 After SUW ATS 4-5 1-6 9-4 7-4 21-19 (53%) 56 After SUL ATS 1-2 4-1 1-0 1-1 7-4 (64%) 17

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 65.5 39.7 4.48 -24 8-QB 48.6 8.72 11.86 5 8.9 4.24 29.72 2017 69 39.6 4.4 -24.3 7 44 8.19 11. 94 10 4.4 3.79 51.92 2016 Yes 49 13.9 1.46 -8.6 8-QB, OC 31.8 6.16 13.8 6-DC 17.9 4.7 16.27 2015 53.5 21.5 2.62 -11.7 7-QB, OC 34.4 6.86 12.43 6 13 4.24 20.74

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• GEORGIA is 9-0 ATS (L9G) on ROAD - VS GEORGIA TECH

• GEORGIA is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Before playing FLORIDA

• GEORGIA is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) - After playing KENTUCKY

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 257 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION FLORIDA GATORS Location: Gainesville, FL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: -Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffn Stadium 62 Head Coach: Dan Mullen - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-3 3 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 5 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: / SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 48.48 (#7 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/24/19 vs. Miami Fl MIAMI FL is 5-1 SU & ATS in its L6 games vs. FLORIDA 9/7/19 TENN-MARTIN 9/14/19 at Kentucky ROAD TEAMS are 13-10 SU & 15-8 ATS in KEN-FLA series since 1996 9/21/19 TENNESSEE ROAD TEAMS are 9-2 ATS in TEN-FLA series since 2007 9/28/19 TOWSON 10/5/19 AUBURN AUBURN is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. FLORIDA 10/12/19 at LSU UNDER the total is 15-8 in FLA-LSU series since 1994 10/19/19 at South Carolina ROAD TEAMS are 2-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in L7 games of SC-FLA series 11/2/19 vs. Georgia FAVORITES are 19-6 SU & 16-9 ATS in FLA-GEO series since 1994 11/9/19 VANDERBILT ROAD TEAMS are 13-10 SU & 15-6 ATS in FLA-VAN series since 1996 11/16/19 at Missouri MISSOURI is 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in its L7 games vs. FLORIDA 11/30/19 FLORIDA ST FAVORITES are 19-2 SU & 17-4 ATS in FSU-FLA series since 1998 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 CHARLESTON SOUT 53-6 W -43 W 51.5 O 9/8/18 KENTUCKY 16-27 L -13.5 L 52 U 9/15/18 COLORADO ST 48-10 W -21.5 W 59.5 U 9/22/18 at Tennessee 47-21 W -4 W 46.5 O 9/29/18 at Mississippi St 13-6 W 6.5 W 51 U 10/6/18 LSU 27-19 W -1 W 44 O 10/13/18 at Vanderbilt 37-27 W -10 T 51 O 10/27/18 vs. Georgia 17-36 L 7 L 53.5 U 11/3/18 MISSOURI 17-38 L -6.5 L 57 U 11/10/18 SOUTH CAROLINA 35-31 W -6.5 L 54 O 11/17/18 IDAHO 63-10 W -41 W 59 O 11/24/18 at Florida St 41-14 W -8 W 52 O 12/29/18 vs. Michigan 41-15 W 4 W 51 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 8.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA Some other books have Florida’s win total at 9, and the Gators might exceed that, but the safer bet is to go Over 8.5 at Circa at reasonable price of -135. I’m not the biggest fan of QB Feleipe Franks, but he did lead the offense to an average of 35 points a game last year and, assuming he improves, the offense should have the Gators right there with Georgia for the SEC West title as he has his top six receivers back along with leading rusher Lamical Perine. And the defense should be among the SEC’s best. The Gators have a tough nonconference opener against Miami-Fla. in Orlando on Aug. 24. It gets easier from there against Tennessee-Martin, Kentucky, Tennessee and Towson before SEC crossover games vs. Auburn and at LSU. The Gators’ biggest game, as usual, is vs. Georgia (Nov. 2, in Jacksonville), which should be the de facto SEC West title game to determine who faces Alabama in the conference championship game. It says here that Florida should already be Over 8.5 wins before having to face Florida State in the regular- season fnale on Nov. 30.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 258 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION FLORIDA GATORS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 30.8 37 Points Per Game 22.2 24 Yards Per Point 13.3 37 Yards Per Point 16.2 24 Plays Per Game 69.1 91 3rd Down Conv. % 40.4% 77 Time of Possession 30:13 55 Total Yards Per Game 359.2 38 3rd Down Conv. % 42.1% 34 Yards Per Play 5.1 37 Total Yards Per Game 409.3 56 Rush Yards Per Game 154.6 49 Yards Per Play 5.9 32 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 52 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.9 35 Completion % 57.1% 43 Rush Yards Per Game 215.1 22 Passing Yards Per Game 204.5 35 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.3 19 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.8 40 Pass Attempts Per Game 26.7 104 Sacks 2.9 21 Completion % 56.8% 90 Turnovers 1.9 18 Passing Yards Per Game 194.2 96 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 71 Turnovers 1.2 28 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-4 9-4 4-7 10-3 33-18 (65%) 31 Overall ATS 7-6 5-7 2-8 8-4 22-25 (47%) 88 Over-Under 6-8 4-9 6-4 8-5 24-26 (48%) 64 at Home ATS 2-4 2-2 2-3 4-3 10-12 (45%) 79 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 3-5 0-5 4-1 12-13 (48%) 79 Conference ATS 6-2 4-4 1-6 3-4 14-16 (47%) 83 Non-Conf. ATS 1-4 1-3 1-2 5-0 8-9 (47%) 78 Favorite ATS 5-3 4-4 2-3 6-3 17-13 (57%) 21 Underdog ATS 2-3 1-3 0-5 2-1 5-12 (29%) 126 After SUW ATS 4-5 4-4 1-2 6-2 15-13 (54%) 48 After SUL ATS 2-1 1-2 1-5 1-2 5-10 (33%) 117

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 60 28.6 2.67 -18.8 10-QB, OC 43.6 7.13 11.26 9-DC 15 4.46 19.91 2017 43 13 1.45 -3.8 9 31.7 6.31 12.88 5-DC 18.7 4.87 15.82 2016 56 23.3 2.04 -15.8 6-QB 32.8 6.14 12.54 5 9.5 4.1 26.95 2015 Yes 52.5 24.5 2.11 -12.3 4- OC 34.5 6.01 11.55 7-DC 10 3.9 25.64

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS (L7G) at NEUT - [vs OPP] Non-ranked team

• FLORIDA is 1-6 ATS (L7G) - Before playing MISSOURI

• FLORIDA is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - [vs OPP] After a close SU loss 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 259 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION MISSOURI TIGERS Location: Columbia, MO STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium 55.5 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Derek Dooley SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Ryan Walters 46.23 (#29 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Wyoming 9/7/19 WEST VIRGINIA WEST VIRGINIA is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. MISSOURI 9/14/19 SE MISSOURI ST 9/21/19 SOUTH CAROLINA UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of SC-MIZ series 10/5/19 TROY HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MIZ-TRO series 10/12/19 OLE MISS FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MIZ-MIS series 10/19/19 at Vanderbilt UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of MIZ-VAN series 10/26/19 at Kentucky ROAD TEAMS are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in L4 games of MIZ-KEN series 11/9/19 at Georgia MISSOURI is 1-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. GEORGIA 11/16/19 FLORIDA MISSOURI is 4-3 SU & 5-2 ATS in its L7 games vs. FLORIDA 11/23/19 TENNESSEE FAVORITES are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of MIZ-TEN series 11/30/19 at Arkansas HOME TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of MIZ-ARK series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 TENN-MARTIN 51-14 W -35.5 W 59.5 O 9/8/18 WYOMING 40-13 W -19.5 W 52.5 O 9/15/18 at Purdue 40-37 W -5.5 L 67 O 9/22/18 GEORGIA 29-43 L 14.5 W 68 O 10/6/18 at South Carolina 35-37 L 1 L 62.5 O 10/13/18 at Alabama 10-39 L 28 L 72 U 10/20/18 MEMPHIS 65-33 W -9 W 70.5 O 10/27/18 KENTUCKY 14-15 L -7.5 L 54 U 11/3/18 at Florida 38-17 W 6.5 W 57 U 11/10/18 VANDERBILT 33-28 W -14.5 L 65 U 11/17/18 at Tennessee 50-17 W -6 W 57.5 O 11/23/18 ARKANSAS 38-0 W -24 W 58.5 U 12/31/18 vs. Oklahoma St 33-38 L -10 L 72 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 8 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS Some books have Missouri’s win total at 8.5, but better to go Over 8 to get the push if the Tigers land on the number. Missouri lost star QB Drew Lock to the NFL, but replace him with former Clemson QB Kelly Bryant. The fan base hopes for more good news with the school’s appeal to have its postseason ban lifted. Regardless, the Tigers should be competitive again this season as Bryant has fve of Lock’s top seven receivers to work with, along with 1,200- yard rusher Larry Rountree (plus Bryant adds to the running game with his skills). The early part of Missouri’s schedule is relatively soft, though it faces West Virginia (Sept. 7) and opens the SEC schedule vs. South Carolina (Sept. 21). A split of those should have the Tigers on the way to at least 8 wins. If they’re going to challenge for the SEC West title, the key stretch is against Georgia (Nov. 9) and Florida (Nov. 16). But even if they drop those two games, they close with winnable games vs. Tennessee (Nov. 23) and at Arkansas (Nov. 30).

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 260 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION MISSOURI TIGERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 35.4 17 Points Per Game 26.4 54 Yards Per Point 13.4 42 Yards Per Point 15.1 48 Plays Per Game 78.2 13 3rd Down Conv. % 34.7% 26 Time of Possession 30:41 45 Total Yards Per Game 397.8 64 3rd Down Conv. % 45.8% 17 Yards Per Play 5.6 67 Total Yards Per Game 475.4 12 Rush Yards Per Game 129.2 24 Yards Per Play 6.1 20 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 31 Rush Attempts Per Game 42.4 24 Completion % 55.7% 26 Rush Yards Per Game 205.6 28 Passing Yards Per Game 268.6 118 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 33 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 91 Pass Attempts Per Game 34.8 40 Sacks 2 74 Completion % 61.9% 39 Turnovers 1.2 96 Passing Yards Per Game 269.8 23 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 38 Turnovers 1.2 35 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 4-8 7-6 8-5 24-26 (48%) 78 Overall ATS 3-9 5-7 7-6 7-6 22-28 (44%) 100 Over-Under 1-11 6-6 7-5 7-6 21-28 (43%) 104 at Home ATS 1-5 5-2 3-4 5-2 14-13 (52%) 49 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 0-5 4-2 2-4 8-15 (35%) 125 Conference ATS 2-6 3-5 5-3 4-4 14-18 (44%) 96 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 2-2 2-3 3-2 8-10 (44%) 86 Favorite ATS 1-4 3-2 5-5 5-4 14-15 (48%) 76 Underdog ATS 2-5 2-5 2-1 2-2 8-13 (38%) 114 After SUW ATS 0-5 1-2 4-3 4-4 9-14 (39%) 112 After SUL ATS 3-3 4-4 3-2 2-2 12-11 (52%) 52

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 58 31.2 2.52 -14.8 9-QB, OC 46.6 7.33 12.12 7 15.4 4.8 21.02 2017 51.5 20 3.11 -6.7 10 46.6 8.22 12.47 5 26.6 5.11 14.26 2016 Yes 39 10.9 1.55 1.6 4- OC 37.9 7.05 14.7 8-DC 26.9 5.49 16.15 2015 43 12.7 1.28 -3.2 6 22.4 5.08 14.59 6-DC 9.7 3.8 27.33

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MISSOURI is 6-1 ATS (L7G) - After playing KENTUCKY

• MISSOURI is 2-8 ATS (L10G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a conference SU win

• MISSOURI is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) - After playing SOUTH CAROLINA

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 261 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS Location: Columbia, SC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Williams-Brice Stadium 53 Head Coach: Will Muschamp - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-6 2.5 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Bryan McClendon SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Travaris Robinson 52.17 (#1 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. North Carolina UNDER the total is 3-0 in L3 games of UNC-SC series 9/7/19 CHARLESTON SOUT 9/14/19 ALABAMA UNDERDOGS are 2-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in L7 games of SC-ALA series 9/21/19 at Missouri UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of SC-MIZ series 9/28/19 KENTUCKY KENTUCKY is 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in its L6 games vs. SOUTH CAROLINA 10/12/19 at Georgia UNDER the total is 15-6 in SC-GEO series since 1996 10/19/19 FLORIDA ROAD TEAMS are 2-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in L7 games of SC-FLA series 10/26/19 at Tennessee ROAD TEAMS are 9-14 SU but 17-4 ATS in TEN-SC series since 1996 11/2/19 VANDERBILT SOUTH CAROLINA is 23-4 SU & 16-9 ATS vs. VANDERBILT since 1992 11/9/19 APPALACHIAN ST 11/16/19 at Texas A&M ROAD TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of TAM-SC series 11/30/19 CLEMSON SOUTH CAROLINA is 5-1 ATS in its L6 games hosting CLEMSON 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 COASTAL CAROLINA 49-15 W -30.5 W 55 O 9/8/18 GEORGIA 17-41 L 8.5 L 52.5 O 9/22/18 at Vanderbilt 37-14 W -1.5 W 53 U 9/29/18 at Kentucky 10-24 L 1 L 52.5 U 10/6/18 MISSOURI 37-35 W -1 W 62.5 O 10/13/18 TEXAS A&M 23-26 L 2.5 L 49.5 U 10/27/18 TENNESSEE 27-24 W -10.5 L 53 U 11/3/18 at Ole Miss 48-44 W 2.5 W 69 O 11/10/18 at Florida 31-35 L 6.5 W 54 O 11/17/18 CHATTANOOGA 49-9 W -29.5 W 49.5 O 11/24/18 at Clemson 35-56 L 25.5 W 59 O 12/1/18 AKRON 28-3 W -28 L 56.5 U 12/29/18 vs. Virginia 0-28 L -3.5 L 53.5 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 5.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE South Carolina isn’t currently among the SEC’s elite, so that makes its schedule (which is typically hard in the SEC) especially brutal. QB Jake Bentley is OK and some of his 14 INTs last year can be blamed on a lack of protection, but it’s not like the offensive line and support from the running game are going to be any better this season. Oh, and the defense is also sub-par by SEC standards. South Carolina opens with North Carolina (Aug. 31) and a later game against Appalachian State (Nov. 9) will make it tough to run the nonconference slate. And then there’s the SEC portion with road games at Missouri (Sept. 21), Georgia (Oct. 12), Tennessee (Oct. 26) and Texas A&M (Nov. 16). Even if the Gamecocks run the table with their home games (which will be tough to even have a winning record at home as they host Alabama on Sept. 14 and Florida on Oct. 19), their chance at bowl eligibility might come down to the season fnale vs. Clemson (Nov. 30). Ouch!

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 262 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.5 56 Points Per Game 28.8 74 Yards Per Point 14.5 67 Yards Per Point 15.1 47 Plays Per Game 68.8 94 3rd Down Conv. % 39.8% 69 Time of Possession 24:29 130 Total Yards Per Game 434.3 88 3rd Down Conv. % 41.1% 43 Yards Per Play 5.5 60 Total Yards Per Game 412.3 53 Rush Yards Per Game 207.6 99 Yards Per Play 6 26 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 79 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.2 116 Completion % 63.4% 104 Rush Yards Per Game 147.1 89 Passing Yards Per Game 226.8 61 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 55 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 54 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.9 44 Sacks 1.8 95 Completion % 59.7% 58 Turnovers 1.1 113 Passing Yards Per Game 265.2 28 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 35 Turnovers 1.8 93 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 6-7 9-4 7-6 25-26 (49%) 71 Overall ATS 6-6 6-6 8-4 7-6 27-22 (55%) 25 Over-Under 4-7 4-8 5-8 7-6 20-29 (41%) 111 at Home ATS 3-3 4-3 2-4 3-4 12-14 (46%) 70 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 2-3 6-0 4-2 15-8 (65%) 15 Conference ATS 3-5 4-3 6-1 4-4 17-13 (57%) 30 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 2-3 2-3 3-2 10-9 (53%) 54 Favorite ATS 3-2 2-2 1-3 4-3 10-10 (50%) 69 Underdog ATS 3-4 4-4 7-1 3-3 17-12 (59%) 39 After SUW ATS 1-2 2-3 4-3 3-4 10-12 (45%) 91 After SUL ATS 4-4 3-3 3-1 3-2 13-10 (57%) 38

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 48.5 22.5 2.73 -7.9 8-QB 42.1 7. 57 12.38 6 19.6 4.84 18.72 2017 49.5 19.7 1.96 -10.9 10 31.8 6.54 12.77 6 12.1 4.58 26.71 2016 Yes 40 7. 6 0.76 0.4 4-QB, OC 25.5 5.74 15 4-DC 17.9 4.98 20.25 2015 43.5 11 1.38 -1.1 4-QB 33.2 6.62 12.85 8 22.2 5.24 16.84

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• SOUTH CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (L10G) - Underdog of more than 14 points

• SOUTH CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - [vs OPP] After a close SU win of 3 points or less

• SOUTH CAROLINA is 9-1 UNDER (L10G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a conference SU win

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 263 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION KENTUCKY WILDCATS Location: Lexington, KY STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Kroger Field at C.M. Newton Grounds 49 Head Coach: - 7th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-3 2.5 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 10 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: Eddie Gran / Darin Hinshaw SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brad White * 45.5 (#35 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 TOLEDO 9/7/19 E MICHIGAN 9/14/19 FLORIDA ROAD TEAMS are 13-10 SU & 15-8 ATS in KEN-FLA series since 1996 9/21/19 at Mississippi St HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of MSS-KEN series 9/28/19 at South Carolina KENTUCKY is 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in its L6 games vs. SOUTH CAROLINA 10/12/19 ARKANSAS 10/19/19 at Georgia FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of GEO-KEN series 10/26/19 MISSOURI ROAD TEAMS are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in L4 games of MIZ-KEN series 11/9/19 TENNESSEE TENNESSEE is 25-2 SU & 20-7 ATS vs. KENTUCKY since 1992 11/16/19 at Vanderbilt UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of KEN-VAN series 11/23/19 TENN-MARTIN 11/30/19 LOUISVILLE ROAD TEAMS are 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in L7 games of KEN-LOU series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 C MICHIGAN 35-20 W -17 L 50.5 O 9/8/18 at Florida 27-16 W 13.5 W 52 U 9/15/18 MURRAY ST 48-10 W -41 L 56.5 O 9/22/18 MISSISSIPPI ST 28-7 W 10 W 56 U 9/29/18 SOUTH CAROLINA 24-10 W -1 W 52.5 U 10/6/18 at Texas A&M 14-20 L 5.5 L 49 U 10/20/18 VANDERBILT 14-7 W -10 L 44.5 U 10/27/18 at Missouri 15-14 W 7. 5 W 54 U 11/3/18 GEORGIA 17-34 L 9.5 L 48 O 11/10/18 at Tennessee 7-24 L -5 L 43 U 11/17/18 MIDDLE TENN ST 34-23 W -16.5 L 48.5 O 11/24/18 at Louisville 56-10 W -16 W 53 O 1/1/19 vs. Penn St 27-24 W 4.5 W 48 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS Kentucky was one of the feel-good stories in college football last year with a 10-win season, but the Wildcats lost a lot of talent, most notably workhorse RB Benny Snell and All-American pass rusher Josh Allen to the NFL. Their Over/Under win total refects that as it’s been dropped to 6.5 and it’s going to be tough for this team to exceed that. QB Terry Wilson was serviceable but can he carry this team now without Snell to turn to? It’s hard to imagine there also not being a dropoff with the defense, which not only loses Allen but four of the fve top tacklers from last season. The Wildcats’ nonconference schedule starts with Toledo (Aug. 31) and Eastern Michigan (Sept. 7), but those won’t be gimmes. And then it really gets tough with SEC games vs. Florida (Sept. 14) and at Mississippi State (Sept. 21). A slow start could make it tough for Kentucky to even get to bowl eligibility at 6 wins. The latter part of the schedule does get easier in November with winnable games against similar competition vs. Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Tennessee-Martin and Louisville, but even if the Wildcats get 6 wins to go bowling, I don’t see them getting to 7.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 264 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION KENTUCKY WILDCATS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 24.8 89 Points Per Game 17.4 7 Yards Per Point 14 53 Yards Per Point 19.3 3 Plays Per Game 65.4 125 3rd Down Conv. % 36.5% 37 Time of Possession 30:13 56 Total Yards Per Game 335.8 19 3rd Down Conv. % 38.7% 66 Yards Per Play 5 32 Total Yards Per Game 347.7 109 Rush Yards Per Game 148.9 44 Yards Per Play 5.3 81 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 48 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.8 36 Completion % 58.5% 58 Rush Yards Per Game 196.3 37 Passing Yards Per Game 186.8 17 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 37 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.7 32 Pass Attempts Per Game 22.1 123 Sacks 3.1 10 Completion % 64.2% 24 Turnovers 1.6 55 Passing Yards Per Game 151.3 120 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 91 Turnovers 1.5 69 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 7-6 7-6 10-3 29-22 (57%) 49 Overall ATS 3-9 7-6 4-9 6-7 20-31 (39%) 124 Over-Under 6-6 7-6 6-7 6-7 25-26 (49%) 52 at Home ATS 2-6 3-4 1-6 2-5 8-21 (28%) 127 Road/Neutral ATS 1-3 4-2 3-3 4-2 12-10 (55%) 49 Conference ATS 2-6 6-2 3-5 4-4 15-17 (47%) 78 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 1-4 1-4 2-3 5-14 (26%) 125 Favorite ATS 2-2 2-3 0-6 2-5 6-16 (27%) 126 Underdog ATS 1-7 5-3 4-3 4-2 14-15 (48%) 79 After SUW ATS 1-4 5-2 2-5 6-3 14-14 (50%) 68 After SUL ATS 2-4 2-3 2-3 0-3 6-13 (32%) 121

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 53.5 25 2.03 -10.8 7 34.5 6.55 12.26 8 9.5 4.53 30.16 2017 44.5 11. 8 1.02 -4.9 8 32.6 6.49 12.55 9-DC 20.8 5.47 17.9 2016 44.5 12.8 1.82 -4 9-QB, OC 36.9 7.28 13.16 4 24.1 5.46 16.3 2015 39.5 9.4 1.15 2.3 7- OC 34 6.15 12.28 7 24.7 5 14.39

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS (L10G) - VS SOUTH CAROLINA

• KENTUCKY is 0-7 ATS (L7G) - After playing MISSOURI

• KENTUCKY is 12-3 UNDER (L15G) on ROAD - Underdog of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 265 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS Location: Knoxville, TN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Neyland Stadium 51.5 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 2.5 / 0.5 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 10 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Jim Chaney * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: / Chris Rumph * 48.15 (#10 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 GEORGIA ST 9/7/19 BYU 9/14/19 CHATTANOOGA 9/21/19 at Florida ROAD TEAMS are 9-2 ATS in TEN-FLA series since 2007 10/5/19 GEORGIA UNDERDOGS are 7-17 SU but 15-8 ATS in TEN-GEO series since 1994 10/12/19 MISSISSIPPI ST FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of TEN-MSS series 10/19/19 at Alabama ROAD TEAMS are 14-12 SU & 20-6 ATS in TEN-ALA series since 1993 10/26/19 SOUTH CAROLINA ROAD TEAMS are 9-14 SU but 17-4 ATS in TEN-SC series since 1996 11/2/19 UAB UAB is 0-4 SU but 4-0 ATS in its L4 games at TENNESSEE 11/9/19 at Kentucky TENNESSEE is 25-2 SU & 20-7 ATS vs. KENTUCKY since 1992 11/23/19 at Missouri FAVORITES are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of MIZ-TEN series 11/30/19 VANDERBILT VANDERBILT is 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in its L7 games vs. TENNESSEE 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. West Virginia 14-40 L 10 L 59.5 U 9/8/18 E TENN ST 59-3 W -38 W 51.5 O 9/15/18 UTEP 24-0 W -33.5 L 51.5 U 9/22/18 FLORIDA 21-47 L 4 L 46.5 O 9/29/18 at Georgia 12-38 L 30.5 W 55 U 10/13/18 at Auburn 30-24 W 15.5 W 47.5 O 10/20/18 ALABAMA 21-58 L 29 L 58 O 10/27/18 at South Carolina 24-27 L 10.5 W 53 U 11/3/18 CHARLOTTE 14-3 W -21 L 46 U 11/10/18 KENTUCKY 24-7 W 5 W 43 U 11/17/18 MISSOURI 17-50 L 6 L 57.5 O 11/24/18 at Vanderbilt 13-38 L 3 L 52.5 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Tennessee should go bowling at 6 wins, but it has far too many question marks to be considered an SEC contender this season. Will Michigan transfer DL Aubrey Solomon be ruled eligible by the NCAA? Will OL Trey Smith be cleared health-wise? Is QB Jarrett Guarantano good enough to improve an offense that was last in the SEC in both rushing yards and passing effciency? Tennessee returns all 11 starters on offense, but that’s not always a good thing with stats like that. Even if the Volunteers get off to a 3-0 start (not a guarantee with nonconference games vs. Georgia State, BYU and Tennessee-Chattanooga), they open the SEC schedule at Florida (Sept. 21), then host Georgia (Oct. 5) and Mississippi State (Oct. 12) before having to travel to Alabama (Oct. 19). Good luck with that gauntlet! After that, it should just be a battle to get to bowl eligibility.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 266 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 19.5 119 Points Per Game 30.2 81 Yards Per Point 16.4 108 Yards Per Point 13.1 98 Plays Per Game 61.1 129 3rd Down Conv. % 41.7% 89 Time of Possession 29:01 85 Total Yards Per Game 394.8 61 3rd Down Conv. % 38.1% 70 Yards Per Play 5.7 73 Total Yards Per Game 318.5 121 Rush Yards Per Game 157.9 55 Yards Per Play 5.2 87 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.2 54 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.6 112 Completion % 65.1% 119 Rush Yards Per Game 124.5 114 Passing Yards Per Game 236.9 74 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 105 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.1 102 Pass Attempts Per Game 25.5 109 Sacks 2.2 56 Completion % 58.7% 71 Turnovers 1.1 107 Passing Yards Per Game 193.9 97 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 51 Turnovers 1.5 63 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 9-4 4-8 5-7 27-23 (54%) 58 Overall ATS 8-4 6-7 3-9 5-7 22-27 (45%) 97 Over-Under 7-6 9-4 5-7 5-7 26-24 (52%) 38 at Home ATS 3-4 3-4 1-6 2-5 9-19 (32%) 122 Road/Neutral ATS 5-0 3-3 2-3 3-2 13-8 (62%) 25 Conference ATS 5-2 3-5 2-6 4-4 14-17 (45%) 90 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 3-2 1-3 1-3 8-10 (44%) 86 Favorite ATS 6-3 5-6 1-5 1-2 13-16 (45%) 91 Underdog ATS 2-1 1-1 2-4 4-5 9-11 (45%) 86 After SUW ATS 4-3 4-4 1-3 1-4 10-14 (42%) 102 After SUL ATS 3-1 2-2 2-5 4-2 11-10 (52%) 51

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 40.5 13.6 1.75 -5.5 6-QB, OC 33 6.59 11.93 6-DC 19.4 4.84 16.63 2017 35.5 6.2 0.45 1.1 7-QB, OC 27.3 5.62 12.57 7 21 5.16 17.06 2016 55 22.7 2.3 -14.7 9 46.9 7.48 10.91 8-DC 24.2 5.19 16.62 2015 54 30.3 2 -13.6 10- OC 45.2 6.62 11.03 8 15 4.62 21.46

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TENNESSEE is 8-2 ATS (L10G) - VS KENTUCKY

• TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS (L7G) at HOME - as AP top 10

• TENNESSEE is 10-2 UNDER (L12G) at HOME - After a close SU loss 3 points or less

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 267 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION VANDERBILT COMMODORES Location: Nashville, TN STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Vanderbilt Stadium 44.5 Head Coach: Derek Mason - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 6-7 2.25 / 0 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Gerry Gdowski * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Jason Tarver 48.5 (#6 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 GEORGIA HOME TEAMS are 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in VAN-GEO series since 2009 9/7/19 at Purdue 9/21/19 LSU ROAD TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-0 ATS in L5 games of LSU-VAN series 9/28/19 N ILLINOIS 10/5/19 at Ole Miss VANDERBILT is 9-11 SU but 14-6 ATS vs. OLE MISS since 1999 10/12/19 UNLV 10/19/19 MISSOURI UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of MIZ-VAN series 11/2/19 at South Carolina SOUTH CAROLINA is 23-4 SU & 16-9 ATS vs. VANDERBILT since 1992 11/9/19 at Florida ROAD TEAMS are 13-10 SU & 15-6 ATS in FLA-VAN series since 1996 11/16/19 KENTUCKY UNDER the total is 6-1 in L7 games of KEN-VAN series 11/23/19 E TENN ST 11/30/19 at Tennessee VANDERBILT is 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in its L7 games vs. TENNESSEE 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 MIDDLE TENN ST 35-7 W -3 W 56 U 9/8/18 NEVADA 41-10 W -10 W 60 U 9/15/18 at Notre Dame 17-22 L 13.5 W 53 U 9/22/18 SOUTH CAROLINA 14-37 L 1.5 L 53 U 9/29/18 TENNESSEE ST 31-27 W -28.5 L 51.5 O 10/6/18 at Georgia 13-41 L 25.5 L 55.5 U 10/13/18 FLORIDA 27-37 L 10 T 51 O 10/20/18 at Kentucky 7-14 L 10 W 44.5 U 10/27/18 at Arkansas 45-31 W 1 W 52 O 11/10/18 at Missouri 28-33 L 14.5 W 65 U 11/17/18 OLE MISS 36-29 W -3 W 73 U 11/24/18 TENNESSEE 38-13 W -3 W 52.5 U 12/27/18 vs. Baylor 38-45 L -4.5 L 56.5 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 4.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE Vandy might be subpar by SEC standards, but it has enough talent that it should be able to get Over this low win total. QB Riley Neal comes in from Ball State and is expected to win the starting job and has a top runner in Ke’Shawn Vaughn and some decent receivers to pick up where left off. The defense needs help after allowing 31 or more points in fve games last season, but should be good enough to post a winning record in the Commodores’ nonconference schedule: at Purdue (Sept. 7), home vs. Northern Illinois (Sept. 29), home vs. UNLV (Oct. 12) and home vs. East Tennessee State (Nov. 23). The SEC schedule is rough, of course, especially having to open vs. Georgia on Aug. 31, but Vandy should have some winnable conference games, especially late in the season against other lower-level SEC teams like South Carolina (Nov. 2), Kentucky (Nov. 16) and Tennessee (Nov. 30).

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 268 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION VANDERBILT COMMODORES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.2 60 Points Per Game 26.6 57 Yards Per Point 14.1 60 Yards Per Point 16.7 19 Plays Per Game 67.2 108 3rd Down Conv. % 45.2% 114 Time of Possession 31:09 39 Total Yards Per Game 444.4 94 3rd Down Conv. % 35.8% 96 Yards Per Play 6 100 Total Yards Per Game 399.5 63 Rush Yards Per Game 202.2 95 Yards Per Play 5.9 30 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 106 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.2 117 Completion % 60.7% 73 Rush Yards Per Game 160.2 72 Passing Yards Per Game 242.2 82 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 36 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 77 Pass Attempts Per Game 32.2 61 Sacks 1.8 88 Completion % 61.1% 42 Turnovers 1.8 22 Passing Yards Per Game 239.2 54 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 61 Turnovers 1 13 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 4-8 6-7 5-7 6-7 21-29 (42%) 98 Overall ATS 6-5 7-6 4-7 8-4 25-22 (53%) 43 Over-Under 1-10 6-7 7-5 4-9 18-31 (37%) 123 at Home ATS 3-2 4-2 2-5 4-2 13-11 (54%) 32 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 3-4 2-2 4-2 12-11 (52%) 62 Conference ATS 5-3 5-3 1-6 5-2 16-14 (53%) 44 Non-Conf. ATS 1-2 2-3 3-1 3-2 9-8 (53%) 49 Favorite ATS 1-1 1-2 2-2 4-2 8-7 (53%) 40 Underdog ATS 5-4 6-4 2-5 4-2 17-15 (53%) 59 After SUW ATS 1-3 3-3 1-3 4-2 9-11 (45%) 96 After SUL ATS 5-2 4-2 2-4 3-2 14-10 (58%) 31

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 46.5 19.5 2.03 -1.1 7-QB, OC 36.1 7.17 13.05 5-DC 16.6 5.14 21.96 2017 38.5 7. 5 1.38 1.4 9 31.9 6.51 12.77 7 24.4 5.13 14.11 2016 44 15.3 0.9 -1.7 8 30.1 6.13 13.75 7 14.8 5.23 24.54 2015 38.5 10 0.74 2.6 9- OC 24.1 5.26 15.88 9-DC 14.1 4.52 21.76

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• VANDERBILT is 12-3 ATS (L15G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a conference SU loss

• VANDERBILT is 2-8 ATS (L10G) - [vs OPP] AP top 5

• VANDERBILT is 20-5 UNDER (L25G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After a conference SU loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 269 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION Location: Tuscaloosa, AL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Bryant–Denny Stadium 72 Head Coach: Nick Saban - 13th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 14-1 3 / 1 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 6 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 44.27 (#44 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Duke 9/7/19 NEW MEXICO ST 9/14/19 at South Carolina UNDERDOGS are 2-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in L7 games of SC-ALA series 9/21/19 SOUTHERN MISS ALABAMA is 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS in its L10 games hosting SOUTHERN MISS 9/28/19 OLE MISS UNDER the total is 11-6 in MIS-ALA series since 2001 10/12/19 at Texas A&M 10/19/19 TENNESSEE ROAD TEAMS are 14-12 SU & 20-6 ATS in TEN-ALA series since 1993 10/26/19 ARKANSAS OVER the total is 13-8 in ALA-ARK series since 1995 11/9/19 LSU UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of LSU-ALA series 11/16/19 at Mississippi St UNDER the total is 14-6 in ALA-MSS series since 1993 11/23/19 W CAROLINA 11/30/19 at Auburn UNDER the total is 13-8 in AUB-ALA series since 1997 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Louisville 51-14 W -22.5 W 60 O 9/8/18 ARKANSAS ST 57-7 W -35.5 W 62.5 O 9/15/18 at Ole Miss 62-7 W -21.5 W 70.5 U 9/22/18 TEXAS A&M 45-23 W -23.5 L 58 O 9/29/18 LA LAFAYETTE 56-14 W -48 L 69 O 10/6/18 at Arkansas 65-31 W -34.5 L 58.5 O 10/13/18 MISSOURI 39-10 W -28 W 72 U 10/20/18 at Tennessee 58-21 W -29 W 58 O 11/3/18 at LSU 29-0 W -13.5 W 51.5 U 11/10/18 MISSISSIPPI ST 24-0 W -22 W 51 U 11/17/18 THE CITADEL 50-17 W -53.5 L 62.5 O 11/24/18 AUBURN 52-21 W -26 W 53 O 12/1/18 vs. Georgia 35-28 W -11.5 L 62.5 O 12/29/18 vs. Oklahoma 45-34 W -15 L 80.5 U 1/7/19 vs. Clemson 16-44 L -5 L 57.5 O DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 11.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE I could make the case for either Under 11.5 or Over 11 (available at Circa in Las Vegas), but it’s more fun to fnd a way to fade Nick Saban and his Alabama Dynasty II. The “safer” bet is probably Over 11 as the obvious thought it that Alabama might get upset once during the regular season but it’s very unlikely to happen twice, so the worst-case scenario can be seen as a push. But with the Under 11.5, we just need that one loss to happen and it’s a winner. Granted, Bama is going to be a huge favorite in every game it plays, but we’ve seen the Tide have plenty of scares over the years and the SEC schedule is always harder than an American Ninja Warrior obstacle course. It would be a shock if Alabama was to lose before November, but a visit from LSU on Nov. 9 and a trip to Mississippi State on Nov. 16 are a couple of landmines. In fact, if every SEC West team loses three conference games like they did last year, Alabama could even lose to rival Auburn in the regular-season fnale and still play in the SEC Championship Game.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 270 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 45.3 3 Points Per Game 18.1 10 Yards Per Point 11. 5 3 Yards Per Point 17.8 9 Plays Per Game 69.7 87 3rd Down Conv. % 34.0% 22 Time of Possession 30:57 41 Total Yards Per Game 323.5 15 3rd Down Conv. % 51.9% 3 Yards Per Play 4.7 21 Total Yards Per Game 519.2 5 Rush Yards Per Game 111.1 11 Yards Per Play 7. 4 2 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 14 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.1 60 Completion % 52.7% 6 Rush Yards Per Game 199 33 Passing Yards Per Game 212.4 47 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 24 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 29 Pass Attempts Per Game 29.4 83 Sacks 3.1 9 Completion % 68.0% 7 Turnovers 1.4 79 Passing Yards Per Game 320.2 7 Yards Per Pass Attempt 10.9 2 Turnovers 0.9 12 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 14-1 14-1 13-1 14-1 55-4 (93%) 1 Overall ATS 8-7 10-5 6-8 8-7 32-27 (54%) 33 Over-Under 6-9 7-8 6-8 10-5 29-30 (49%) 50 at Home ATS 2-5 4-3 3-4 4-3 13-15 (46%) 67 Road/Neutral ATS 6-2 6-2 3-4 4-4 19-12 (61%) 27 Conference ATS 5-4 6-3 3-6 6-3 20-16 (56%) 35 Non-Conf. ATS 3-3 4-2 3-2 2-4 12-11 (52%) 57 Favorite ATS 7-7 10-5 6-8 8-7 31-27 (53%) 39 Underdog ATS 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 (100%) 1 After SUW ATS 7-6 9-5 4-8 7-7 27-26 (51%) 62 After SUL ATS 0-1 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-1 (50%) 57

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 77 49.4 5.27 -34.8 7-QB, OC 56.5 9.21 10.86 3-DC 7.1 3.94 36.31 2017 71 43 4.58 -26.4 6- OC 46.6 8.09 11.68 5 3.6 3.51 61.75 2016 73 46.9 4.56 -32.5 6-QB 49.6 7. 94 11. 4 5-DC 2.8 3.39 76.75 2015 67.5 37.8 3.37 -25 3-QB 44.2 6.91 11.42 7 6.4 3.54 34.62

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• ALABAMA is 9-1 ATS (L10G) - After playing ARKANSAS

• ALABAMA is 8-17 ATS (S2000) at HOME - After SU loss

• ALABAMA is 20-5 UNDER (L25G) at HOME - [vs OPP] More than 6 days rest

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 271 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION LSU TIGERS Location: Baton Rouge, LA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Tiger Stadium 63 Head Coach: Ed Orgeron - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-3 3 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 8 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Steve Ensminger SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 47.92 (#15 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 GA SOUTHERN 9/7/19 at Texas 9/14/19 NORTHWESTERN ST 9/21/19 at Vanderbilt ROAD TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-0 ATS in L5 games of LSU-VAN series 10/5/19 UTAH ST 10/12/19 FLORIDA UNDER the total is 15-8 in FLA-LSU series since 1994 10/19/19 at Mississippi St LSU is 24-3 SU & 19-8 ATS vs. MISSISSIPPI ST since 1992 10/26/19 AUBURN HOME TEAMS are 16-4 SU & 13-7 ATS in LSU-AUB series since 1999 11/9/19 at Alabama UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of LSU-ALA series 11/16/19 at Ole Miss UNDERDOGS are 7-15 SU but 15-7 ATS in MIS-LSU series since 1997 11/23/19 ARKANSAS ARKANSAS is 8-14 SU but 14-8 ATS vs. LSU since 1997 11/30/19 TEXAS A&M LSU is 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in its L8 games vs. TEXAS A&M 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/2/18 vs. Miami Fl 33-17 W 3 W 47.5 O 9/8/18 SE LOUISIANA 31-0 W -40 L 57.5 U 9/15/18 at Auburn 22-21 W 10.5 W 45.5 U 9/22/18 LOUISIANA TECH 38-21 W -18.5 L 51.5 O 9/29/18 OLE MISS 45-16 W -11 W 59 O 10/6/18 at Florida 19-27 L 1 L 44 O 10/13/18 GEORGIA 36-16 W 6.5 W 50 O 10/20/18 MISSISSIPPI ST 19-3 W -6 W 45 U 11/3/18 ALABAMA 0-29 L 13.5 L 51.5 U 11/10/18 at Arkansas 24-17 W -13 L 49.5 U 11/17/18 RICE 42-10 W -41.5 L 51.5 O 11/24/18 at Texas A&M 72-74 L 3 W 46.5 O 1/1/19 vs. Ucf 40-32 W -7 W 58 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 9 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA The Tigers’ win total looks just about right at 9, and that’s what I found at every book I looked at (Circa offered lowest vig at even money on the Over). Like most major programs, they have 7 wins you can pretty much mark down in pen and their Over/Under comes down to how they fare in those 5 games against top competition (at Texas on Sept. 7, home vs. Florida on Oct. 12, at Mississippi State on Oct. 19, home vs. Auburn on Oct. 26 and at Alabama on Nov. 9). If LSU goes 3-2 or better in those games, they go Over, 2-3 they push on 9 wins, and it would take a disaster at 1-4 to stay Under. I think the 10-2 record is more likely than 8-4. The Tigers’ defense will be tough with eight starters back and Joe Murrow proved adequate after transferring from Ohio State and should improve with the experience gained last year. His top six receivers are back and the LSU is loaded at running back per usual. The Tigers are going to be competitive with anyone, and if Murrow takes a big leap forward, they could be in the running for the conference and national championship.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 272 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION LSU TIGERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 32.5 32 Points Per Game 23.6 39 Yards Per Point 12.5 23 Yards Per Point 14.7 54 Plays Per Game 76.9 21 3rd Down Conv. % 36.9% 40 Time of Possession 32:23 21 Total Yards Per Game 345.8 25 3rd Down Conv. % 40.2% 52 Yards Per Play 4.8 24 Total Yards Per Game 407.7 58 Rush Yards Per Game 144.8 40 Yards Per Play 5.3 83 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 51 Rush Attempts Per Game 43.7 17 Completion % 48.2% 1 Rush Yards Per Game 172.8 56 Passing Yards Per Game 201 30 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4 87 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.8 8 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.6 70 Sacks 2.3 49 Completion % 58.3% 77 Turnovers 1.8 23 Passing Yards Per Game 234.9 60 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 7 43 Turnovers 1.1 19 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-3 8-4 9-4 10-3 36-14 (72%) 14 Overall ATS 6-6 6-6 7-4 7-6 26-22 (54%) 34 Over-Under 7-5 2-10 5-8 8-5 22-28 (44%) 96 at Home ATS 5-2 3-4 3-2 3-4 14-12 (54%) 38 Road/Neutral ATS 1-4 3-2 4-2 4-2 12-10 (55%) 49 Conference ATS 4-4 4-4 6-1 5-3 19-12 (61%) 15 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 2-2 1-3 2-3 7-10 (41%) 98 Favorite ATS 6-4 6-5 5-4 3-4 20-17 (54%) 34 Underdog ATS 0-2 0-1 2-0 4-2 6-5 (55%) 51 After SUW ATS 5-3 3-4 5-3 4-5 17-15 (53%) 51 After SUL ATS 1-2 3-1 1-1 2-1 7-5 (58%) 26

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 57.5 28.7 2.27 -15.2 5-OC 41.2 6.45 11.26 5 12.5 4.18 23.72 2017 59.5 25.2 3.13 -17.8 6- OC 36.1 7.45 13.55 5 10.9 4.32 24.74 2016 64 31.7 4.19 -23.5 8 38.4 8.31 13.54 8-DC 6.7 4.12 40.9 2015 54.5 25.3 3.24 -17.3 9 39.3 7. 7 12.86 6-DC 14 4.46 20.95

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• LSU is 8-0 ATS (L8G) - VS TEXAS A&M

• LSU is 1-7 ATS (L8G) - Before playing TEXAS A&M

• LSU is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After SU loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 273 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION MISSISSIPPI ST BULLDOGS Location: Starkville, MS STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field 57.5 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3.5 / 0 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: Joe Moorhead * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: 46.71 (#23 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. LA Lafayette 9/7/19 SOUTHERN MISS 9/14/19 KANSAS ST 9/21/19 KENTUCKY HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in L6 games of MSS-KEN series 9/28/19 at Auburn UNDER the total is 14-6 in MSS-AUB series since 1992 10/12/19 at Tennessee FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of TEN-MSS series 10/19/19 LSU LSU is 24-3 SU & 19-8 ATS vs. MISSISSIPPI ST since 1992 10/26/19 at Texas A&M HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of TAM-MSS series 11/2/19 at Arkansas OVER the total is 11-4 in MSS-ARK series since 2000 11/16/19 ALABAMA UNDER the total is 14-6 in ALA-MSS series since 1993 11/23/19 ABILENE CHRISTIAN 11/28/19 OLE MISS ROAD TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MSS-MIS series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 STEPH F AUSTIN 63-6 W -47.5 W 53 O 9/8/18 at Kansas St 31-10 W -6.5 W 51.5 U 9/15/18 LA LAFAYETTE 56-10 W -34.5 W 63 O 9/22/18 at Kentucky 7-28 L -10 L 56 U 9/29/18 FLORIDA 6-13 L -6.5 L 51 U 10/6/18 AUBURN 23-9 W 3 W 45 U 10/20/18 at LSU 3-19 L 6 L 45 U 10/27/18 TEXAS A&M 28-13 W -1 W 42.5 U 11/3/18 LOUISIANA TECH 45-3 W -23 W 48.5 U 11/10/18 at Alabama 0-24 L 22 L 51 U 11/17/18 ARKANSAS 52-6 W -22 W 49 O 11/22/18 at Ole Miss 35-3 W -12.5 W 61 U 1/1/19 vs. Iowa 22-27 L -7 L 40.5 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE This is a case with a team that should end up right around its season win total and we have the opportunity to shop for the best price. Plenty of books (Westgate and Caesars in Las Vegas, PointsBet in New Jersey) have the Rebels Over/Under 7.5 with Circa offering 8. The Rebels’ defense, which allowed an SEC-best 13.2 points per game last year, should be just and good and I don’t see how they won’t won less than 7.5 games, so going Over 7.5 would be the play. However, without a bonafde No. 1 QB in place (Keytaon Thompson was the starter coming out of spring drills, but then Tommy Stevens transferred from Penn State, where he was formerly coached by current MSU coach Joe Moorhead), I’m not sure they can get to 9 wins, so Under 8 also looks like a safe bet. The Rebels should roll through nonconference games vs. Louisiana, Southern Miss and Kansas State, but then the always tough SEC slate looms, starting with a crossover game vs. Kentucky (Sept. 21) and then a brutal stretch at Auburn (Sept. 28), at Tennessee (Oct. 12), home vs. LSU (Oct. 19) and at Texas A&M (Oct. 26). The back end of the schedule is easier, except for a visit by Alabama (Nov. 16).

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 274 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION MISSISSIPPI ST BULLDOGS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25.7 80 Points Per Game 13.8 2 Yards Per Point 14.8 74 Yards Per Point 19.2 4 Plays Per Game 65.9 117 3rd Down Conv. % 27.5% 4 Time of Possession 31:12 38 Total Yards Per Game 263.9 1 3rd Down Conv. % 40.3% 50 Yards Per Play 4 1 Total Yards Per Game 379 84 Rush Yards Per Game 96.7 3 Yards Per Play 5.7 48 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3 5 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.8 55 Completion % 56.8% 34 Rush Yards Per Game 223.9 19 Passing Yards Per Game 167.2 6 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.6 10 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.6 2 Pass Attempts Per Game 24.1 113 Sacks 3.1 12 Completion % 51.9% 116 Turnovers 1.6 53 Passing Yards Per Game 155.1 119 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.4 105 Turnovers 1.1 20 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 6-7 9-4 8-5 32-20 (62%) 39 Overall ATS 8-5 4-8 8-5 8-5 28-23 (55%) 27 Over-Under 6-7 7-6 3-10 4-9 20-32 (38%) 122 at Home ATS 4-3 2-4 5-2 6-1 17-10 (63%) 12 Road/Neutral ATS 4-2 2-4 3-3 2-4 11-13 (46%) 91 Conference ATS 5-3 4-4 4-4 4-4 17-15 (53%) 45 Non-Conf. ATS 3-2 0-4 4-1 4-1 11-8 (58%) 27 Favorite ATS 5-2 1-6 5-3 7-3 18-14 (56%) 24 Underdog ATS 3-3 3-2 3-2 1-2 10-9 (53%) 63 After SUW ATS 5-3 2-3 5-3 4-4 16-13 (55%) 38 After SUL ATS 3-1 2-4 2-2 3-1 10-8 (56%) 41

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 63 32.8 3.75 -20.4 9-QB, OC 37.6 7. 37 12.47 8-DC 4.8 3.62 49 2017 55 27.4 1.99 -13.8 7 40 6.53 12.41 6-DC 12.6 4.54 20.76 2016 45 15.4 1.85 -2.1 5-QB 41 7.23 12.98 5-DC 25.6 5.38 15.6 2015 53.5 26.9 2.91 -13.8 4 41.2 7.52 12.92 3-DC 14.3 4.62 23.55

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• MISSISSIPPI ST is 13-2 ATS (L15G) at HOME - [vs OPP] More than 6 days rest

• MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-9 ATS (L9G) on ROAD - VS higher ranked team

• MISSISSIPPI ST is 5-0 UNDER (L2Y) on ROAD - with Head coach - MOORHEAD

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 275 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION TEXAS A&M AGGIES Location: College Station, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 58 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 9-4 2.75 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 11 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 4 Offensive Coordinator: SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Mike Elko 48.94 (#5 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 TEXAS ST UNIV 9/7/19 at Clemson UNDERDOGS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of TAM-CLM series 9/14/19 LAMAR 9/21/19 AUBURN OVER the total is 5-2 in L7 games of AUB-TAM series 9/28/19 vs. Arkansas 10/12/19 ALABAMA 10/19/19 at Ole Miss UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of TAM-MIS series 10/26/19 MISSISSIPPI ST HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of TAM-MSS series 11/2/19 TX-SAN ANTONIO 11/16/19 SOUTH CAROLINA ROAD TEAMS are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of TAM-SC series 11/23/19 at Georgia 11/30/19 at LSU LSU is 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in its L8 games vs. TEXAS A&M 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 NORTHWESTERN ST 59-7 W -46 W 64.5 O 9/8/18 CLEMSON 26-28 L 11. 5 W 49 O 9/15/18 LA MONROE 48-10 W -28 W 65.5 U 9/22/18 at Alabama 23-45 L 23.5 W 58 O 9/29/18 vs. Arkansas 24-17 W -19 L 56.5 U 10/6/18 KENTUCKY 20-14 W -5.5 W 49 U 10/13/18 at South Carolina 26-23 W -2.5 W 49.5 U 10/27/18 at Mississippi St 13-28 L 1 L 42.5 U 11/3/18 at Auburn 24-28 L 3.5 L 46.5 O 11/10/18 OLE MISS 38-24 W -13 W 67.5 U 11/17/18 UAB 41-20 W -16.5 W 46.5 O 11/24/18 LSU 74-72 W -3 L 46.5 O 12/31/18 vs. Nc State 52-13 W -7.5 W 58 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE In my mind, this is the “What If” team of 2019. What if RB Tryveon Williams, TE Jace Sternberger and C Erik McCoy didn’t leave early for the NFL? What if QB Nick Starkel didn’t transfer to Arkansas? Seriously, I think A&M would be in the national title conversation. As it is, their season win Over/Under has been set at 7.5, but I there’s enough talent left in the cupboard for coach Jimbo Fisher to still get this team to at least 8 wins and go Over. I would prefer Starkel, but QB Kellen Mond was adequate last year and should improve on his 57 percent completion rate, 24 TD passes (6 came in the 7OT win over LSU) and 9 INTs. He can also helped the ground game, but the Aggies should be fne in replacing Williams. The defense also will be tough and aided by a top recruiting class, though the best pro prospect might be All-American punter Braden Mann. The big obstacle for A&M is a brutal schedule that includes a trip to defending national champ Clemson on Sept. 7, though the Aggies get Alabama (Oct. 12) and Mississippi State (Oct. 26) at home. Unless it loses all those tough games, A&M might already be Over the 7.5-win total by the time it has to close the regular season at Georgia (Nov. 23) and at LSU (Nov. 30).

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 276 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION TEXAS A&M AGGIES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 34.1 22 Points Per Game 26.8 59 Yards Per Point 13.1 31 Yards Per Point 13.3 93 Plays Per Game 76.2 28 3rd Down Conv. % 32.0% 12 Time of Possession 33:57 4 Total Yards Per Game 356.5 35 3rd Down Conv. % 39.0% 63 Yards Per Play 5.5 62 Total Yards Per Game 447.8 23 Rush Yards Per Game 101.4 6 Yards Per Play 5.9 38 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.3 9 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.6 56 Completion % 61.6% 83 Rush Yards Per Game 195.3 38 Passing Yards Per Game 255.1 99 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.9 31 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.3 104 Pass Attempts Per Game 33.9 45 Sacks 3.2 8 Completion % 56.8% 91 Turnovers 0.9 120 Passing Yards Per Game 252.4 40 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 60 Turnovers 1.3 43 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 8-5 7-6 9-4 32-20 (62%) 39 Overall ATS 5-8 4-9 7-4 9-4 25-25 (50%) 71 Over-Under 4-9 5-8 7-6 7-6 23-29 (44%) 94 at Home ATS 2-5 2-5 2-3 6-1 12-14 (46%) 70 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 2-4 5-1 3-3 13-11 (54%) 51 Conference ATS 3-5 2-6 4-3 4-4 13-18 (42%) 105 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 2-3 3-1 5-0 12-7 (63%) 11 Favorite ATS 5-4 3-7 3-2 7-2 18-15 (55%) 32 Underdog ATS 0-4 1-2 4-2 2-2 7-10 (41%) 101 After SUW ATS 4-4 3-5 3-3 6-2 16-14 (53%) 50 After SUL ATS 0-4 0-4 3-1 2-2 5-11 (31%) 122

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 58.5 27.8 2.34 -15.2 8-QB, OC 45.2 7.39 12.54 8-DC 17.3 5.04 17.37 2017 49 17.5 1.57 -7 5-QB 37.3 6.37 12.24 7 19.8 4.8 17.08 2016 54 25.6 2.5 -14 6-QB, OC 42 7.35 12.78 7 16.4 4.85 23.96 2015 51 22.7 2.01 -10 8 36.5 6.59 13.55 8-DC 13.8 4.58 23.24

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TEXAS A&M is 6-1 ATS (L2Y) at HOME - with Head coach - FISHER

• TEXAS A&M is 0-8 ATS (L8G) - VS LSU

• TEXAS A&M is 7-0 OVER (L7G) - Before playing MISSISSIPPI

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 277 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION AUBURN TIGERS Location: Auburn, AL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Field at Jordan–Hare Stadium 58.5 Head Coach: Gus Malzahn - 7th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3 / 0 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Kenny Dillingham * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: / Travis Williams 50.33 (#3 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Oregon 9/7/19 TULANE 9/14/19 KENT ST 9/21/19 at Texas A&M OVER the total is 5-2 in L7 games of AUB-TAM series 9/28/19 MISSISSIPPI ST UNDER the total is 14-6 in MSS-AUB series since 1992 10/5/19 at Florida AUBURN is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its L5 games vs. FLORIDA 10/19/19 at Arkansas FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of AUB-ARK series 10/26/19 at LSU HOME TEAMS are 16-4 SU & 13-7 ATS in LSU-AUB series since 1999 11/2/19 OLE MISS AUBURN is 15-4 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. OLE MISS since 2000 11/16/19 GEORGIA HOME TEAMS are 13-7 SU & 14-6 ATS in GEO-AUB series since 1999 11/23/19 SAMFORD 11/30/19 ALABAMA UNDER the total is 13-8 in AUB-ALA series since 1997 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Washington 21-16 W -1.5 W 50.5 U 9/8/18 ALABAMA ST 63-9 W -61.5 L 69.5 O 9/15/18 LSU 21-22 L -10.5 L 45.5 U 9/22/18 ARKANSAS 34-3 W -29.5 W 58.5 U 9/29/18 SOUTHERN MISS 24-13 W -27.5 L 50.5 U 10/6/18 at Mississippi St 9-23 L -3 L 45 U 10/13/18 TENNESSEE 24-30 L -15.5 L 47.5 O 10/20/18 at Ole Miss 31-16 W -5.5 W 63.5 U 11/3/18 TEXAS A&M 28-24 W -3.5 W 46.5 O 11/10/18 at Georgia 10-27 L 13.5 L 52.5 U 11/17/18 LIBERTY 53-0 W -30.5 W 65.5 U 11/24/18 at Alabama 21-52 L 26 L 53 O 12/28/18 vs. Purdue 63-14 W -3.5 W 58.5 O

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 8 TOTAL PREDICTION CIRCA Auburn fans seems to have a love/hate relationship with coach Gus Malzahn and he’s on the hot seat after an 8-4 season. Optimism is high with a pair of “freshman” quarterbacks battling for the starting job in red-shirt freshman Joey Gatewood (who reminds people of Cam Newton) and true freshman Bo Nix (a fve-star recruit and son of former Auburn QB ). No matter which one wins the job (or if they share it), the question is if maybe they’re a year away from taking this team to the next level. Regardless, there’s too much talent, especially on the offensive and defensive lines to see this team going 7-5, so it’s more likely to go 9-3 and Over its win total. The Tigers face a big test early Aug. 31 vs. Oregon. They should roll through nonconference games vs. Tulane and Kent State before getting into SEC play at Texas A&M (Sept. 21) and home vs. Mississippi State (Sept. 28). We should truly have the answers by then as to if Auburn is back to being a top contender.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 278 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION AUBURN TIGERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.2 61 Points Per Game 20 15 Yards Per Point 13.3 38 Yards Per Point 18.4 7 Plays Per Game 70.2 81 3rd Down Conv. % 36.5% 36 Time of Possession 28:15 100 Total Yards Per Game 368.4 42 3rd Down Conv. % 37.9% 72 Yards Per Play 5.1 38 Total Yards Per Game 375.2 86 Rush Yards Per Game 143.8 39 Yards Per Play 5.3 78 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 40 Rush Attempts Per Game 37.8 70 Completion % 56.2% 28 Rush Yards Per Game 145.7 91 Passing Yards Per Game 224.6 58 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.9 94 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 43 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.6 71 Sacks 2.8 24 Completion % 61.3% 40 Turnovers 1.4 80 Passing Yards Per Game 229.5 66 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 5 56 Turnovers 0.8 3 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 7-6 8-5 10-4 8-5 33-20 (62%) 37 Overall ATS 3-9 9-4 5-7 6-7 23-27 (46%) 90 Over-Under 5-7 4-9 7-7 5-8 21-31 (40%) 114 at Home ATS 0-6 6-2 3-3 3-4 12-15 (44%) 80 Road/Neutral ATS 3-3 3-2 2-4 3-3 11-12 (48%) 82 Conference ATS 2-5 5-3 5-2 3-5 15-15 (50%) 62 Non-Conf. ATS 1-4 4-1 0-5 3-2 8-12 (40%) 103 Favorite ATS 2-4 6-3 3-5 6-5 17-17 (50%) 57 Underdog ATS 1-5 3-1 2-2 0-2 6-10 (38%) 115 After SUW ATS 1-5 5-3 4-4 1-6 11-18 (38%) 117 After SUL ATS 2-3 3-1 1-2 4-1 10-7 (59%) 24

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 59 24.3 1.8 -15.8 6-QB 36.7 6.38 11.85 7 12.4 4.58 25.54 2017 62.5 39.9 4.35 -23.6 8- OC 44.5 8.1 13.11 7 4.6 3.75 55.8 2016 57.5 32.1 3.01 -17.1 6-QB 40.2 7.28 12.99 6-DC 8.1 4.27 37.79 2015 50 18.4 1.71 -7.7 4-QB 36.1 6.45 12.24 8-DC 17.7 4.74 20.4

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• AUBURN is 6-0-1 ATS (L7G) - Before playing TEXAS A&M

• AUBURN is 3-12 ATS (L15G) - OU line of 40 or less

• AUBURN is 13-2 OVER (L15G) - [vs OPP] After a conference SU loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 279 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION OLE MISS REBELS Location: Oxford, MS STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Vaught–Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field 45.5 Head Coach: Matt Luke - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 3 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 3 - Defense: 10 Offensive Coordinator: * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Mike MacIntyre * 48.31 (#9 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Memphis HOME TEAMS are 6-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in L8 games of MEM-MIS series 9/7/19 ARKANSAS UNDERDOGS are 5-3 SU & 8-0 ATS in L8 games of MIS-ARK series 9/14/19 SE LOUISIANA 9/21/19 CALIFORNIA 9/28/19 at Alabama UNDER the total is 11-6 in MIS-ALA series since 2001 10/5/19 VANDERBILT VANDERBILT is 9-11 SU but 14-6 ATS vs. OLE MISS since 1999 10/12/19 at Missouri FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MIZ-MIS series 10/19/19 TEXAS A&M UNDER the total is 5-0 in L5 games of TAM-MIS series 11/2/19 at Auburn AUBURN is 15-4 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. OLE MISS since 2000 11/9/19 NEW MEXICO ST 11/16/19 LSU UNDERDOGS are 7-15 SU but 15-7 ATS in MIS-LSU series since 1997 11/28/19 at Mississippi St ROAD TEAMS are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 games of MSS-MIS series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 vs. Texas Tech 47-27 W -2.5 W 72 O 9/8/18 S ILLINOIS 76-41 W -27.5 W 65.5 O 9/15/18 ALABAMA 7-62 L 21.5 L 70.5 U 9/22/18 KENT ST 38-17 W -28.5 L 76 U 9/29/18 at LSU 16-45 L 11 L 59 O 10/6/18 LA MONROE 70-21 W -24 W 76 O 10/13/18 at Arkansas 37-33 W -6.5 L 67.5 O 10/20/18 AUBURN 16-31 L 5.5 L 63.5 U 11/3/18 SOUTH CAROLINA 44-48 L -2.5 L 69 O 11/10/18 at Texas A&M 24-38 L 13 L 67.5 U 11/17/18 at Vanderbilt 29-36 L 3 L 73 U 11/22/18 MISSISSIPPI ST 3-35 L 12.5 L 61 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN UNDER 5 TOTAL PREDICTION WESTGATE It’s not often that the biggest offseason news for a college program is the hiring of offensive and defensive coordinators, but coach Luke May brought in former West Virginia and Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez as his offensive coordinator and former Colorado coach Mike MacIntyre as his defensive coordinator. Rodriguez could have success right away with QB Matt Corral, plus RB Scottie Phillips and a stable of running backs, but they’re playing behind an inexperienced offensive line and lost three top targets to the NFL. However, that’s nothing compared to the work cut out for MacIntyre as the Rebels’ defense allowed an SEC-worst 36.2 points per game last season and needs a major overhaul and infux of talent. Even if the Rebels coast through their nonconference schedule (Memphis and Cal along with Southeast Louisiana and New Mexico State), it’s going to be hard to fnd wins on the SEC slate. Ole Miss would have to get wins over Arkansas (Sept. 7) and Vanderbilt (Oct. 5) to have a chance to go Over its win total and even then it’s no guarantee. Five wins looks like the ceiling, though the Rebels’ future looks brighter with the coaching changes.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 280 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION OLE MISS REBELS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 30.1 41 Points Per Game 35.7 107 Yards Per Point 16.6 109 Yards Per Point 13.1 96 Plays Per Game 74.9 41 3rd Down Conv. % 40.4% 80 Time of Possession 27:24 116 Total Yards Per Game 469.2 116 3rd Down Conv. % 33.3% 113 Yards Per Play 6.1 107 Total Yards Per Game 498.2 9 Rush Yards Per Game 219 110 Yards Per Play 6.7 10 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.1 104 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.2 101 Completion % 63.4% 105 Rush Yards Per Game 163.8 67 Passing Yards Per Game 250.2 96 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 45 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 9 99 Pass Attempts Per Game 36.9 23 Sacks 2 71 Completion % 63.6% 31 Turnovers 1.1 111 Passing Yards Per Game 334.4 5 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.1 9 Turnovers 1.3 39 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 10-3 5-7 6-6 5-7 26-23 (53%) 61 Overall ATS 8-4 4-8 4-7 3-9 19-28 (40%) 114 Over-Under 4-9 7-5 9-3 6-6 26-23 (53%) 32 at Home ATS 5-2 3-4 2-5 2-5 12-16 (43%) 85 Road/Neutral ATS 3-2 1-4 2-2 1-4 7-12 (37%) 121 Conference ATS 4-3 3-5 3-4 0-8 10-20 (33%) 124 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 1-3 1-3 3-1 9-8 (53%) 49 Favorite ATS 7-4 2-5 2-4 3-3 14-16 (47%) 83 Underdog ATS 1-0 2-3 2-3 0-6 5-12 (29%) 126 After SUW ATS 4-4 3-2 1-4 1-4 9-14 (39%) 112 After SUL ATS 3-0 1-5 3-2 1-5 8-12 (40%) 104

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 44.5 15 3.01 -6.6 8 41.9 8.46 14.46 7 26.9 5.45 15.49 2017 Yes 48.5 12.2 2.57 -3.9 5-QB, OC 40 7.99 13.39 6-DC 27.8 5.42 14.57 2016 46 19.1 2.39 -15.3 5 44.6 7.59 12.81 5 25.5 5.2 15.25 2015 59.5 33.1 3.9 -18.7 9-QB 47.4 8.17 12.65 7 14.3 4.27 23.76

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• OLE MISS is 6-1 ATS (L7G) - [vs OPP] 1000 or more travel miles

• OLE MISS is 2-13 ATS (L15G) on ROAD - Favorite of 7 or less points

• OLE MISS is 8-0 UNDER (L8G) - VS lower ranked team

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 281 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS Location: Fayetteville, AR STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium 41.5 Head Coach: Chad Morris - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 2-10 2.25 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 12 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Joe Craddock SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: John Chavis 46.44 (#25 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 PORTLAND ST 9/7/19 at Ole Miss UNDERDOGS are 5-3 SU & 8-0 ATS in L8 games of MIS-ARK series 9/14/19 COLORADO ST 9/21/19 SAN JOSE ST 9/28/19 vs. Texas A&M 10/12/19 at Kentucky 10/19/19 AUBURN FAVORITES are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of AUB-ARK series 10/26/19 at Alabama OVER the total is 13-8 in ALA-ARK series since 1995 11/2/19 MISSISSIPPI ST OVER the total is 11-4 in MSS-ARK series since 2000 11/9/19 W KENTUCKY 11/23/19 at LSU ARKANSAS is 8-14 SU but 14-8 ATS vs. LSU since 1997 11/30/19 MISSOURI HOME TEAMS are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in L5 games of MIZ-ARK series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 E ILLINOIS 55-20 W -34.5 W 60.5 O 9/8/18 at Colorado St 27-34 L -14 L 70 U 9/15/18 NORTH TEXAS 17-44 L -5 L 63 U 9/22/18 at Auburn 3-34 L 29.5 L 58.5 U 9/29/18 vs. Texas A&M 17-24 L 19 W 56.5 U 10/6/18 ALABAMA 31-65 L 34.5 W 58.5 O 10/13/18 OLE MISS 33-37 L 6.5 W 67.5 O 10/20/18 TULSA 23-0 W -7 W 53.5 U 10/27/18 VANDERBILT 31-45 L -1 L 52 O 11/10/18 LSU 17-24 L 13 W 49.5 U 11/17/18 at Mississippi St 6-52 L 22 L 49 O 11/23/18 at Missouri 0-38 L 24 L 58.5 U

DAVE TULEY’S SEASON WIN OVER 5.5 TOTAL PREDICTION CAESARS Season 1 didn’t go as planned under coach Chad Morris as his offense never got untracked and the defense wasn’t any better as the Razorbacks went a woeful 2-10. There’s renewed hope with transfer QBs Ben Hicks (from Morris’ former school at SMU) and Nick Starkel (from Texas A&M) along with redshirt freshman Connor Noland. Whoever wins the job should have plenty of young weapons to work with as they all learn Morris’ system. The schedule works in favor of a successful start to this season by opening vs. Portland State and then facing Mississippi (Sept. 7) in a chance to stay out of the SEC basement. Even if the Razorbacks suffer a loss in the conference opener, they still have winnable games vs. Colorado State and San Jose State before returning to league play. Even though they’re not expected to compete with the likes of Auburn, Alabama and Mississippi State (who they face in succession on Oct. 19, 26 and Nov. 2), the Razorbacks put scares into Texas A&M, Ole Miss and LSU last year and should be more capable of a few upsets this season to get to bowl eligibility at 6 wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 282 2019 SOUTHEASTERN CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 18.6 123 Points Per Game 36.1 110 Yards Per Point 17.5 121 Yards Per Point 11. 6 123 Plays Per Game 70.5 76 3rd Down Conv. % 39.0% 58 Time of Possession 29:55 63 Total Yards Per Game 418.3 77 3rd Down Conv. % 29.4% 127 Yards Per Play 6 96 Total Yards Per Game 326.7 118 Rush Yards Per Game 171.5 73 Yards Per Play 4.6 117 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.3 62 Rush Attempts Per Game 36.6 86 Completion % 62.9% 97 Rush Yards Per Game 149.1 85 Passing Yards Per Game 246.7 88 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.1 84 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.8 118 Pass Attempts Per Game 31 69 Sacks 2.2 57 Completion % 53.1% 110 Turnovers 1 118 Passing Yards Per Game 177.6 105 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.7 121 Turnovers 2.4 128 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 8-5 7-6 4-8 2-10 21-29 (42%) 98 Overall ATS 8-5 5-8 4-8 6-6 23-27 (46%) 90 Over-Under 6-7 6-7 7-5 5-7 24-26 (48%) 64 at Home ATS 3-4 3-4 2-5 5-2 13-15 (46%) 67 Road/Neutral ATS 5-1 2-4 2-3 1-4 10-12 (45%) 97 Conference ATS 6-2 3-5 4-4 4-4 17-15 (53%) 45 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 2-3 0-4 2-2 6-12 (33%) 115 Favorite ATS 4-4 1-3 0-4 2-3 7-14 (33%) 120 Underdog ATS 4-1 4-5 4-4 4-3 16-13 (55%) 48 After SUW ATS 4-3 2-5 0-4 0-2 6-14 (30%) 124 After SUL ATS 3-2 3-2 4-3 5-4 15-11 (58%) 33

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 36 4.9 0.8 -1.3 9-OC 30.2 5.94 13.29 8-DC 25.3 5.15 14.02 2017 40 8.7 1.05 -0.6 7 35.8 6.64 12.39 6-DC 27.1 5.59 14.01 2016 48 15.6 1.07 -8 5-QB 37.9 7.13 13.45 9 22.3 6.06 16.82 2015 56.5 25.5 2.75 -13.3 9- OC 43.3 8.01 12.61 6 17.8 5.26 19.51

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• ARKANSAS is 12-3 ATS (L15G) - After playing AUBURN

• ARKANSAS is 0-8 ATS (L8G) on ROAD - Favorite of more than 7 points

• ARKANSAS is 9-1 OVER (L10G) on ROAD - as AP top 25

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 283 SUN BELT CONFERENCE PREVIEW

WRITTEN BY BRUCE MARSHALL FROM THE GOLD SHEET - @BRUCEAMARSHALL

2019 WIN PROJECTIONS AND STANDINGS

2019 Home Road Schd S.S. ALL GAMES CONFERENCE Team SM PR Field Field Strg Rank PrjW's PrjL's PrjW's PrjL's EAST DIVISION APPALACHIAN ST 46 3 0.75 31.98 116 9.5 2.5 6.9 1.1 TROY 39.5 2.5 0.75 31.27 121 8.0 4.0 5.5 2.5 GA SOUTHERN 38 3.5 0.25 35.46 92 6.9 5.1 5.1 2.9 GEORGIA ST 26.5 2.25 0.75 35.58 88 3.5 8.5 2.5 5.5 CSTL CAROLINA 27 2.25 0.25 30.65 123 4.6 7. 4 2.3 5.7 WEST DIVISION ARKANSAS ST 38 3.75 0.25 32.71 110 7. 9 4.1 5.7 2.3 LA MONROE 32 2 -0.5 35.52 90 5.0 7. 0 3.8 4.2 LA LAFAYETTE 33.5 2.25 -0.25 32.19 113 5.8 6.2 3.8 4.2 TEXAS ST 29 2 -0.75 35.79 84 4.3 7. 7 3.1 4.9 S ALABAMA 21 2.75 -0.75 34.44 98 2.4 9.6 1.2 6.8

VSiN CONFERENCE PREDICTIONS WES DAVE MATT MATT TULEY BRENT BRUCE POWER RATINGS YOUMANS REYNOLDS MARSHALL VON TOBEL VON JONATHAN CONSENSUS MUSBURGER GAME EAST DIVISION APP ST APP ST APP ST TROY APP ST APP ST APP ST APP ST CHAMPION WEST DIVISION ARKANSAS ARKANSAS LA ARKANSAS ARKANSAS ARKANSAS ARKANSAS ARKANSAS CHAMPION ST ST LAFAYETTE ST ST ST ST ST SUN BELT APP ST APP ST APP ST TROY APP ST APP ST APP ST APP ST CHAMPIONSHIP

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 284 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE PREVIEW

THE FAVORITES Appalachian State and Arkansas State Though what are perhaps the two best teams in the loop (App State and Troy) live in the same East Division, we suspect it will be the Mountaineers and Red Wolves squaring off for the Belt title in December. One possible advantage for Ark State is stability; HC Blake Anderson, though having opportunities to move up from Jonesboro is recent years, has decided to stay put for the time being, while both App State and Troy are experiencing one of the realities of the “top tier” of low-major football, as their successful coaches have moved up the college food chain (App’s Scott Satterfeld to Louisville, Troy’s Neal Brown to West Virginia). On the surface, the Mountaineers should be a heavy favorite in the East, with almost all (nine starters) of an offense, including versatile QB Zac Thomas (21 TDP in 2018) and most of his complementary weapons, back from scoring over 37 ppg last year for Satterfeld, plus many pieces of a nationally-ranked defense. New HC Eli Drinkwitz, most recently the OC at NC State, has been on the fast track to a head coaching spot for a few years. Meanwhile, Ark State looks the class of the West as it shoots for a ninth straight bowl, though it will be replacing several key cogs, including multi-year starting QB Justice Hansen. The Red Wolves also get expected top West contender Louisiana at home on Oct. 17 in what looms as another West showdown. LIVE DOG Texas State Unless you’re driving between San Antonio and Austin on I-35, and notice Bobcat Stadium out to the west, Texas State probably doesn’t cross your conscious thought. And no wonder, as the Bobcats have yet to reach a bowl game since jumping up to the FBS ranks earlier in the decade, and just moved out HC after his three-year experiment in San Marcos netted just 7 wins. But the Bobcats were a bit more competitive a year ago than in the previous two years for Withers, at least until the offense went into eclipse down the stretch, landing on seven points in each of three losses to close the season. Enter Jake Spavital, one of the young (33) whippersnapper generation of coaches weaned on the spread offense at Texas A&M, Cal, and West Virginia. And while he’s yet to be a head coach, his background on offense would seem to be what the doctor ordered for a Bobcat offense ranked near the bottom of FBS stats. The recruitment of vet coach and “jet sweep” guru Bob Stitt as OC looks a shrewd move, as was adding Stitt’s old QB Gresch Jensen as a transfer from Montana. Ten starters are also back from a defense that more than held its own for Withers and includes the two top returning tacklers in the Belt. Before the offense cratered last November, TSU was offering good value as a dog and at one stage covered four numbers in a row. Assuredly offered at a deep discount, at least early in the season, the Bobcats might provide decent value. DEAD MONEY Coastal Carolina Sometimes new entries into the FBS ranks can make noise for a while before reality sets in and the losses begin to mount. So it goes at Coastal Carolina, which has held its own while transitioning to FBS the last two seasons but now with most of a roster added since its last days of success in FCS. Moreover, there’s a new coach, Jamey Chadwell, promoted from OC after Joe Moglia surprisingly retired in January. Chadwell is a familiar face with the Chants, as he served as interim HC when Moglia was out on medical leave two years ago, and recently the OC, but there is some NCAA baggage left from his previous stop at Charleston Southern, which has created a few extra concerns in Conway. Spring work suggested neither of the new QBs, sophs Fred Payton or Bryan Carpenter (who have each had previous brief looks with the Chants), could claim the job, suggesting Chadwell might be rotating QBs, often an awkward approach. The defense was soft a season ago and one of the worst in the nation against the rush. In a transition year at Myrtle Beach, and competing in the tougher East half of the loop, Coastal might be far adrift in the Belt. BIG GAMES ON THE BOARD Georgia Southern at LSU, Aug. 31 to midseason, we can assume both of these sides will It’s not a Sun Belt game, but it’s the highest-profle have been able to fgure out the QB positions that intersectional involving a conference team. And the were left open by graduation. Note that the home underrated Eagles, the only Belt team to beat App team has won and covered fve straight meetings in State last season and off of a 10-3, bowl-winning this series. campaign, might catch the Tigers at the right time, as LSU could be excused for keeping a few Appalachian State at Troy, Nov. 30 things under wraps and looking ahead before the No surprise here if the winner claims the crown in showdown at Texas the following week. Remember, the East, which was the case a year ago when the Troy famously went into Baton Rouge two years ago Mounties’ 21-10 win at Boone provided the tie- and pulled a 24-21 upset, so it’s not unheard of for breaker to give App the East title. Both of the new a Belt team to pull a major surprise against the SEC. coaches (Eli Drinkwitz for the Mounties, Chip Lindsey with the Trojans) have been decorated offensive Louisiana at Arkansas State, Oct. 17 coordinators in recent years. And since each fgures This clash decided the West title a year ago, as the to have a chance in their nonconference games as Ragin’ Cajuns pulled out a wild 47-43 verdict in well (especially App State), there’s a possibility of Lafayette that gave them the tie-breaker over the ramifcations for the Group of 5’s “New Year’s Six” Red Wolves for the West crown. This year’s rematch, bid as well. however, comes in Jonesboro, and by the time we get

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 285 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION APPALACHIAN ST MOUNTAINEERS Location: Boone, NC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Stadium 46 Head Coach: Eliah Drinkwitz - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 11-2 3 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 16 - Offense: 10 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Eliah Drinkwitz * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Ted Roof * 31.98 (#116 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 E TENN ST 9/7/19 CHARLOTTE 9/21/19 at North Carolina 9/28/19 COASTAL CAROLINA 10/9/19 at LA Lafayette ROAD TEAMS are 1-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of APST-LAL series 10/19/19 LA MONROE OVER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of APST-LAM series 10/26/19 at S Alabama HOME TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of APST-USA series 10/31/19 GA SOUTHERN FAVORITES are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of GSU-APST series 11/9/19 at South Carolina 11/16/19 at Georgia St FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of APST-GAST series 11/23/19 TEXAS ST UNIV UNDER the total is 3-0 in L3 games of APST-TSU series 11/30/19 at Troy TROY is 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. APPALACHIAN ST 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Penn St 38-45 L 24.5 W 53.5 O 9/8/18 at Charlotte 45-9 W -14.5 W 48.5 O 9/22/18 GARDNER WEBB 72-7 W -44.5 W 56 O 9/29/18 S ALABAMA 52-7 W -26 W 56 O 10/9/18 at Arkansas St 35-9 W -9.5 W 59.5 U 10/20/18 LA LAFAYETTE 27-17 W -25 L 64.5 U 10/25/18 at Ga Southern 14-34 L -11 L 47.5 O 11/3/18 at Coastal Carolina 23-7 W -13.5 W 53 U 11/10/18 at Texas St Univ 38-7 W -19.5 W 46.5 U 11/17/18 GEORGIA ST 45-17 W -27 W 55.5 O 11/24/18 TROY 21-10 W -12 L 45 U 12/1/18 LA LAFAYETTE 30-19 W -17.5 L 55 U 12/15/18 vs. Middle Tenn St 45-13 W -6.5 W 49 O

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 9 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL The Mounties have not won fewer than nine games the past four seasons and doubt that trend ends in 2019. Of course, App is proceeding minus wildly-successful HC Scott Satterfeld, who has moved to Louisville, and the Mounties went outside of the program to fnd his successor in Eli Drinkwitz, who has made his mark in recent years as an OC at Boise State and NC State. The one possible concern is that Drinkwitz offenses have always been pass-oriented, as opposed to the run-heavy Satterfeld approach, but with nine starters back on offense, including dual-threat QB Zac Thomas, can expect Drinkwitz to marry some of the best of the Satterfeld offense with some of his more progressive concepts that saw his Wolfpack offense rank in the top 20 in pass attempts and top 10 in completions the past two seasons. It could be a potent brew in Boone, especially with most of the skill-position weapons still in the fold, including slashing RB Darrynton Evans (1187 YR in 2018) and almost all of the receiving corps, led by deep threat Corey Sutton. Meanwhile, new, and veteran, DC Ted Roof (recently at Georgia Tech) is not going to tinker too much with a defense that ranked sixth nationally a year ago and will continue to align in 3-4 looks, featuring established playmakers at every level. App’s only serious non-Belt tilt is at Mack Brown’s rebuilding North Carolina, and the Mounties fgure to be favored in all of their 12 games except perhaps at Chapel Hill, and maybe at Troy in the regular-season fnale.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 286 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION APPALACHIAN ST MOUNTAINEERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 34.4 21 Points Per Game 16.2 4 Yards Per Point 11. 9 9 Yards Per Point 18.5 6 Plays Per Game 66.7 111 3rd Down Conv. % 32.2% 14 Time of Possession 30:18 52 Total Yards Per Game 299 6 3rd Down Conv. % 41.0% 47 Yards Per Play 4.4 7 Total Yards Per Game 409.2 57 Rush Yards Per Game 133.9 28 Yards Per Play 6.1 17 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.6 21 Rush Attempts Per Game 41 33 Completion % 57.1% 39 Rush Yards Per Game 224.4 18 Passing Yards Per Game 165.1 5 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.5 13 Yards Per Pass Attempt 5.9 9 Pass Attempts Per Game 24.3 112 Sacks 2.1 65 Completion % 60.3% 53 Turnovers 1.8 31 Passing Yards Per Game 184.8 100 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 6 49 Turnovers 1.4 57 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 11-2 10-3 9-4 11-2 41-11 (79%) 5 Overall ATS 6-7 7-6 6-7 9-4 28-24 (54%) 41 Over-Under 6-7 5-8 6-7 7-6 24-28 (46%) 81 at Home ATS 2-4 1-5 4-2 3-3 10-14 (42%) 90 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 6-1 2-5 6-1 18-10 (64%) 18 Conference ATS 4-4 3-5 4-4 5-4 16-17 (48%) 68 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 4-1 2-3 4-0 12-7 (63%) 11 Favorite ATS 6-6 6-4 4-6 8-4 24-20 (55%) 31 Underdog ATS 0-1 1-2 2-1 1-0 4-4 (50%) 66 After SUW ATS 3-7 4-5 4-4 6-4 17-20 (46%) 88 After SUL ATS 2-0 2-1 2-2 2-0 8-3 (73%) 4

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 48.5 22 2.17 -5.5 6 37.2 6.49 11. 61 5-DC 15.2 4.31 18.28 2017 42 10.4 0.88 1.6 7 31.4 6.39 13.82 7 21 5.51 17.26 2016 46.5 15.3 1.68 -6 6 30.3 6.4 14.58 9 15 4.72 21.12 2015 41.5 17.8 1.95 -4.2 10 34.6 6.74 13.45 10 16.7 4.79 19.24

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• APPALACHIAN ST is 7-0 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a conference SU win

• APPALACHIAN ST is 2-8 ATS (L10G) at HOME - [vs OPP] After SU win

• APPALACHIAN ST is 8-2 UNDER (L10G) on ROAD - More than 6 days rest

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 287 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION TROY TROJANS Location: Troy, AL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium at Field 39.5 Head Coach: Chip Lindsey - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-3 2.5 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 6 Offensive Coordinator: Ryan Pugh * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Brandon Hall * 31.27 (#121 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 CAMPBELL 9/14/19 SOUTHERN MISS 9/21/19 at Akron 9/28/19 ARKANSAS ST ARKANSAS ST is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. TROY 10/5/19 at Missouri HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of MIZ-TRO series 10/16/19 S ALABAMA ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of TRO-USA series 10/26/19 at Georgia St 11/2/19 at Coastal Carolina 11/9/19 GA SOUTHERN GA SOUTHERN is 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in its L5 games vs. TROY 11/16/19 at Texas St Univ 11/23/19 at LA Lafayette TROY is 5-1 ATS in its L6 games at LA LAFAYETTE 11/30/19 APPALACHIAN ST TROY is 1-2 SU but 3-0 ATS in its L3 games vs. APPALACHIAN ST 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 BOISE ST 20-56 L 8.5 L 48.5 O 9/8/18 FLORIDA AM 59-7 W -34 W 59.5 O 9/15/18 at Nebraska 24-19 W 10 W 55 U 9/22/18 at La Monroe 35-27 W -4.5 W 58.5 O 9/29/18 COASTAL CAROLINA 45-21 W -14 W 56 O 10/4/18 GEORGIA ST 37-20 W -17 T 55.5 O 10/13/18 at Liberty 16-22 L -10.5 L 62 U 10/23/18 at S Alabama 38-17 W -12 W 54.5 O 11/3/18 LA LAFAYETTE 26-16 W -7 W 64 U 11/10/18 at Ga Southern 35-21 W -2.5 W 44.5 O 11/17/18 TEXAS ST UNIV 12-7 W -22.5 L 47.5 U 11/24/18 at Appalachian St 10-21 L 12 W 45 U 12/22/18 vs. Buffalo 42-32 W 2.5 W 52 O

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL It looks to us like the oddsmakers are reading an awful lot into the departure of successful HC Neal Brown (to West Virginia) and anticipating a worst-case scenario for the Trojans in a potentially tricky non-league slate. But there are plenty of Belt insiders who believe that new HC Chip Lindsey, formerly Gus Malzahn’s OC at Auburn and hired off of the new Les Miles staff at Kansas, is a very good ft at the school that sits off of George Wallace Drive in Southeastern Bama, especially considering Chip’s deep ties in the region. One of last year’s QBs, Sawyer Smith, transferred to Kentucky in summer, but Lindsey still has Kalen Barker, who was completing a school- record 73 percent of his passes last season before getting injured. (Smith relieved Barker in the rousing bowl win over Buffalo.) The top three receivers from last year have graduated, but juco additions Reggie Todd and Khalil McClain are well regarded. Still, preventing a steep decline should be what fgures to be another robust defense that has keyed much of the recent success and ranked 28th nationally in scoring last season, not bad for a Belt entry. Lindsey also promoted a holdover from Brown’s staff, Brandon Hall, as the new DC, suggesting valuable continuity with schemes and familiarity with personnel. Yes, there are some potential banana peels in the non-league slate against Southern Miss and at Missouri, plus a road game at Akron, but remember, the Trojans have won 31 games the past three years, won games at Nebraska and LSU, and posted a .795 winning mark, matching UCF”s over the same span as the best of any non-Power 5 program. Considering some of the soft spots in the Belt schedule, getting to at least 7 wins seems quite reasonable.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 288 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION TROY TROJANS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.3 58 Points Per Game 23.2 37 Yards Per Point 13.5 43 Yards Per Point 15.2 46 Plays Per Game 66.8 109 3rd Down Conv. % 39.9% 73 Time of Possession 29:53 65 Total Yards Per Game 353 32 3rd Down Conv. % 38.3% 67 Yards Per Play 4.9 26 Total Yards Per Game 382.1 80 Rush Yards Per Game 133.8 27 Yards Per Play 5.7 51 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.4 11 Rush Attempts Per Game 37 81 Completion % 58.8% 63 Rush Yards Per Game 164.2 66 Passing Yards Per Game 219.2 51 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 53 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 67 Pass Attempts Per Game 27.8 96 Sacks 3 16 Completion % 67.7% 8 Turnovers 2.2 7 Passing Yards Per Game 217.8 75 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 34 Turnovers 1.8 95 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 4-8 10-3 11-2 10-3 35-16 (69%) 23 Overall ATS 7-5 6-7 6-6 9-3 28-21 (57%) 15 Over-Under 6-5 5-6 4-9 8-5 23-25 (48%) 69 at Home ATS 2-3 2-4 1-5 3-2 8-14 (36%) 109 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 4-3 5-1 6-1 20-7 (74%) 2 Conference ATS 4-4 4-4 4-4 6-1 18-13 (58%) 23 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 2-3 2-2 3-2 10-8 (56%) 37 Favorite ATS 3-2 4-7 5-6 6-2 18-17 (51%) 50 Underdog ATS 4-3 2-0 1-0 3-1 10-4 (71%) 10 After SUW ATS 2-1 4-5 5-5 6-2 17-13 (57%) 31 After SUL ATS 5-3 2-1 1-1 3-0 11-5 (69%) 8

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 40 10.2 1.08 0.9 7-OC 30 6.02 13.03 6 19.9 4.94 17.16 2017 42.5 12 1.27 1.8 8 31.2 6.18 13.25 6 19.2 4.91 17.85 2016 39.5 12.4 0.79 1 6 34.3 5.82 12.81 7 21.8 5.03 16.66 2015 Yes 30 4.2 0.58 12.3 7 28.9 5.61 12.9 6-DC 24.7 5.03 15.21

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TROY is 7-0 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - Conference games

• TROY is 1-13-1 ATS (L15G) at HOME - In October

• TROY is 14-1 OVER (L15G) on ROAD - VS SEC

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 289 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION Location: Statesboro, GA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Allen E. Paulson Stadium 38 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 10-3 3.5 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Bob DeBesse SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Scot Sloan 35.46 (#92 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at LSU 9/7/19 MAINE 9/14/19 at Minnesota 9/28/19 LA LAFAYETTE 10/3/19 at S Alabama GA SOUTHERN is 5-0 SU & ATS in its L5 games vs. S ALABAMA 10/19/19 COASTAL CAROLINA 10/26/19 NEW MEXICO ST ROAD TEAMS are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of GSU-NMS series 10/31/19 at Appalachian St FAVORITES are 4-1 SU & ATS in L5 games of GSU-APST series 11/9/19 at Troy GA SOUTHERN is 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in its L5 games vs. TROY 11/16/19 LA MONROE 11/23/19 at Arkansas St 11/30/19 GEORGIA ST 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 S CAROLINA ST 37-6 W -27.5 W 46.5 U 9/8/18 MASSACHUSETTS 34-13 W -1.5 W 60.5 U 9/15/18 at Clemson 7-38 L 32 W 49.5 U 9/29/18 ARKANSAS ST 28-21 W 3 W 53 U 10/6/18 S ALABAMA 48-13 W -12 W 56.5 O 10/11/18 at Texas St Univ 15-13 W -16.5 L 51.5 U 10/20/18 at New Mexico St 48-31 W -10 W 52.5 O 10/25/18 APPALACHIAN ST 34-14 W 11 W 47.5 O 11/3/18 at La Monroe 25-44 L -7.5 L 60.5 O 11/10/18 TROY 21-35 L 2.5 L 44.5 O 11/17/18 at Coastal Carolina 41-17 W -7 W 53.5 O 11/24/18 at Georgia St 35-14 W -10 W 58.5 U 12/15/18 vs. E Michigan 23-21 W -2.5 L 45.5 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 6.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL As is often the case, the Sun Belt fgures to be a case of haves and have-nots once again in 2019, and worth noting that three teams from the East half all reached double-digit wins last season (helped each by an extra win in a bowl game). While few were paying attention last fall, Georgia Southern was one of those double- digit winners, which marked quite a turnaround from 2017’s 2-10 mark. Chad Lunsford had been promoted late in 2017 to succeed the out-of-depth Tyson Summers as HC, and Lunsford knew all along that the Eagles ought to return to their roots from the Paul Johnson, Jeff Monken, and Willie Fritz eras and start running the option once again. Which GSU did a year ago, unleashing skittery QB Shai Werts, who gained over 900 YR and almost ran for more yards than he passed, as the Eagles would rank tops in the Belt and 7th nationally on the ground (266 ypg). The fip side to the Navy-look also means that GSU rarely passes the ball (ranking 129th thru the air), but the option runs so well for vet coordinator Bob DeBesse (who moved last year from New Mexico, where rushing numbers subsequently dropped off the map), so GSU remains a very awkward matchup in a world of spread offenses and Air Raids in the Belt. Enough playmakers also return from a defense that allowed only 3.9 yards per carry and ranked a respectable 37th nationally vs. the run that a big dropoff from last season seems unlikely, even with Werts having to rely upon mostly new weapons in the other skill positions for the O. A worst-case scenario that concedes losses at LSU, Minnesota, App State (which GSU beat in 2018), and Troy still gives the Eagles some wiggle room to exceed 6.5 wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 290 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 29.9 45 Points Per Game 22.8 32 Yards Per Point 11. 6 4 Yards Per Point 16.4 23 Plays Per Game 59.4 130 3rd Down Conv. % 38.9% 57 Time of Possession 31:57 28 Total Yards Per Game 374.3 46 3rd Down Conv. % 37.2% 80 Yards Per Play 5.5 58 Total Yards Per Game 345.7 111 Rush Yards Per Game 142.3 35 Yards Per Play 5.8 43 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4 46 Rush Attempts Per Game 48.8 5 Completion % 63.0% 100 Rush Yards Per Game 262.5 7 Passing Yards Per Game 232 65 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.4 15 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 70 Pass Attempts Per Game 9.2 128 Sacks 1.9 78 Completion % 59.1% 65 Turnovers 2.1 13 Passing Yards Per Game 83.2 128 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.1 8 Turnovers 0.4 1 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 5-7 2-10 10-3 26-24 (52%) 66 Overall ATS 9-4 3-9 5-7 9-4 26-24 (52%) 55 Over-Under 6-7 5-6 7-5 6-7 24-25 (49%) 58 at Home ATS 4-2 1-4 2-3 5-1 12-10 (55%) 30 Road/Neutral ATS 5-2 2-5 3-4 4-3 14-14 (50%) 68 Conference ATS 5-3 2-6 4-4 5-3 16-16 (50%) 63 Non-Conf. ATS 4-1 1-3 1-3 4-1 10-8 (56%) 37 Favorite ATS 6-2 1-6 0-2 6-3 13-13 (50%) 60 Underdog ATS 3-2 2-3 5-5 3-1 13-11 (54%) 53 After SUW ATS 5-3 1-3 1-1 6-3 13-10 (57%) 32 After SUL ATS 4-0 2-5 3-6 2-1 11-12 (48%) 70

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 38.5 10.8 0.66 4.4 9-QB, OC 31 6.01 11.22 9-DC 20.2 5.35 17.7 2017 25 -6.2 -1.26 19.5 5-QB, OC 23.3 5.03 15.09 5 29.5 6.28 13.25 2016 Yes 31.5 3.3 -0.39 12.3 7- OC 29.3 5.4 13.34 6-DC 26.1 5.79 14.82 2015 40.5 14.1 1.19 -1.2 5 33.7 6.5 12.67 8 19.7 5.31 16.63

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• GEORGIA SOUTHERN is 8-2 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - Underdog of more than 20 points

• GEORGIA SOUTHERN is 1-6 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] More than 6 days rest

• GEORGIA SOUTHERN is 12-3 UNDER (L15G) - In September

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 291 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION GEORGIA ST PANTHERS Location: Atlanta, GA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Georgia State Stadium 26.5 Head Coach: Shawn Elliott - 3rd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 2-10 2.25 / 0.75 Returning Starters: 14 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Brad Glenn * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Nick Fuqua 35.58 (#88 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Tennessee 9/7/19 FURMAN 9/14/19 at W Michigan 9/21/19 at Texas St Univ OVER the total is 4-1 in L5 games of GAST-TSU series 10/5/19 ARKANSAS ST 10/12/19 at Coastal Carolina 10/19/19 ARMY 10/26/19 TROY 11/9/19 at LA Monroe UNDERDOGS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of LAM-GAST series 11/16/19 APPALACHIAN ST FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in L5 games of APST-GAST series 11/23/19 S ALABAMA GEORGIA ST is 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. S ALABAMA 11/30/19 at Ga Southern 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 KENNESAW ST 24-20 W -2.5 W 43 O 9/8/18 at NC State 7-41 L 25 L 56 U 9/14/18 at Memphis 22-59 L 29 L 63.5 O 9/22/18 W MICHIGAN 15-34 L 9.5 L 61 U 9/29/18 LA MONROE 46-14 W 5.5 W 65 U 10/4/18 at Troy 20-37 L 17 T 55.5 O 10/18/18 at Arkansas St 35-51 L 12 L 57 O 10/27/18 COASTAL CAROLINA 34-37 L 2.5 L 60 O 11/3/18 TEXAS ST UNIV 31-40 L -7.5 L 52.5 O 11/10/18 at La Lafayette 22-36 L 13.5 L 68 U 11/17/18 at Appalachian St 17-45 L 27 L 55.5 O 11/24/18 GA SOUTHERN 14-35 L 10 L 58.5 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 3.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL One of the youngest teams in FBS ranks last season, Georgia State predictably tailed off in 2018, all of the way to 2-10. But if there’s a bounce-back candidate in the Belt, it could be the Panthers. Remember, GSU sits in the best recruiting hotbed of the Belt, Atlanta, and while the Panthers don’t go head-to-head with Georgia and Auburn for recruits, there are plenty of FBS-caliber preps within an easy drive of the “Showcase City of the South” and Turner Field, former home of the Braves and now GSU’s lair. So, if third-year Panther HC Shawn Elliott can coach a little (which we believe he can) the downturn shouldn’t last long. Besides, Elliott expected to take lumps last year as plenty of frst-year players got their baptism under fre, as GSU has resisted a full-scale quick-fx via the juco ranks, looking to develop four-year players. New OC Brad Green is familiar with Elliott from their time together on past staffs (including App State), and early reports have been positive for senior QB Dan Ellington, who welcomes many skill-position players from a year ago who helped post a decent 5.6 yards per play (ranking in the middle of the pack nationally). But it’s on defense where upgrades should be noticeable, as the stop unit featured many of those newcomers thrown into the mix and learning on the fy last season. With a year under their belts, numbers should improve. If GSU can beat Furman on Sept. 7, as it should, fnding three wins within the Belt does not seem to be mission impossible.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 292 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION GEORGIA ST PANTHERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 23.9 94 Points Per Game 39 120 Yards Per Point 16.1 101 Yards Per Point 12.8 102 Plays Per Game 70.1 83 3rd Down Conv. % 51.1% 127 Time of Possession 30:57 42 Total Yards Per Game 499.5 124 3rd Down Conv. % 39.9% 56 Yards Per Play 7. 8 129 Total Yards Per Game 383.9 74 Rush Yards Per Game 257.6 122 Yards Per Play 5.5 71 Yards Per Rush Attempt 7 128 Rush Attempts Per Game 38.6 66 Completion % 73.4% 130 Rush Yards Per Game 175.4 51 Passing Yards Per Game 241.9 81 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.5 49 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.4 127 Pass Attempts Per Game 29.5 82 Sacks 1.1 123 Completion % 57.7% 84 Turnovers 0.7 129 Passing Yards Per Game 208.5 88 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7.1 82 Turnovers 1.5 78 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 6-7 3-9 7-5 2-10 18-31 (37%) 110 Overall ATS 8-4 7-5 5-7 2-9 22-25 (47%) 88 Over-Under 4-9 4-8 3-9 7-5 18-31 (37%) 123 at Home ATS 2-3 3-3 1-4 2-4 8-14 (36%) 109 Road/Neutral ATS 6-1 4-2 4-3 0-5 14-11 (56%) 44 Conference ATS 6-1 5-3 3-5 1-6 15-15 (50%) 64 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 2-2 2-2 1-3 7-10 (41%) 98 Favorite ATS 1-1 2-2 2-4 1-1 6-8 (43%) 97 Underdog ATS 7-3 5-3 3-3 1-8 16-17 (48%) 78 After SUW ATS 5-1 2-1 2-4 0-1 9-7 (56%) 34 After SUL ATS 3-2 5-3 3-2 1-8 12-15 (44%) 84

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 24.5 -6.5 -1.28 16.2 6 26.3 5.98 15.42 5 32.8 7.26 13.98 2017 Yes 23 -5.4 -0.36 12.8 8- OC 20.3 5.44 19.01 6-DC 25.7 5.8 15.2 2016 25 -1.9 0.84 11. 2 7-QB 23.1 5.55 15.08 9 25.1 4.7 14.56 2015 30.5 0.3 1 17.8 8 25.1 6.37 18.07 9 24.8 5.37 16.65

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• GEORGIA ST is 8-1-1 ATS (L10G) on ROAD - In October

• GEORGIA ST is 2-12 ATS (L14G) at HOME - More than 6 days rest

• GEORGIA ST is 9-1 UNDER (L10G) at HOME - Revenging a loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 293 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS Location: Conway, SC STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Brooks Stadium 27 Head Coach: Jamey Chadwell - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 5-7 2.25 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 7 - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Willy Korn / Newland Isaac * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Marvin Sanders 30.65 (#123 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 E MICHIGAN 9/7/19 at Kansas 9/14/19 NORFOLK ST 9/21/19 at Massachusetts 9/28/19 at Appalachian St 10/12/19 GEORGIA ST 10/19/19 at Ga Southern 11/2/19 TROY 11/7/19 LA LAFAYETTE 11/16/19 at Arkansas St 11/23/19 at LA Monroe 11/30/19 TEXAS ST UNIV 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at South Carolina 15-49 L 30.5 L 55 O 9/8/18 UAB 47-24 W 8.5 W 55 O 9/12/18 at Campbell 58-21 W -30.5 W 57.5 O 9/22/18 at La Lafayette 30-28 W 3 W 62.5 U 9/29/18 at Troy 21-45 L 14 L 56 O 10/13/18 LA MONROE 20-45 L -6.5 L 66.5 U 10/20/18 at Massachusetts 24-13 W 2.5 W 75.5 U 10/27/18 at Georgia St 37-34 W -2.5 W 60 O 11/3/18 APPALACHIAN ST 7-23 L 13.5 L 53 U 11/10/18 ARKANSAS ST 16-44 L 6.5 L 61 U 11/17/18 GA SOUTHERN 17-41 L 7 L 53.5 O 11/23/18 at S Alabama 28-31 L -1.5 L 58.5 O

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN UNDER 4.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL Noting our previous “dead money” notes, expect the Chanticleers to have some issues in what looks like a transition year. Not as much because new HC Jamey Chadwell took over for the retired Joe Moglia in January; Chadwell is familiar with the operation at Myrtle Beach, having served as interim HC when Moglia sat out 2017 on medical leave, and was the OC last season. But the ranks were thinned in the offseason by several players entering the transfer portal, including QB Kilton Anderson (who had earlier transferred from Fresno State), and neither of the holdover QBs, Fred Payton or Bryce Carpenter, who both saw action when Anderson was hurt a year ago, impressed in spring, suggesting Chadwell might have no choice other than to use both and allow the competition to continue into live action in the fall. Sometimes that alternating QB scenario can backfre. It’s on defense, however, where the Chants might not have any answers, and among those transferring out in the offseason were All-Belt DE Jeffrey Gunter, who has landed at NC State, and one of the few playmakers on the platoon. Even with Gunter, Coastal still couldn’t stop the run last season, ranking 121st nationally, and was also far up the track in scoring (ranked 100th) and total (ranked 110th) defensive stats. Only one starter returns in the secondary as well. With those manpower issues exacerbated by the transfers, can also expect the same sort of attrition that sunk Coastal a year ago when it lost its last four games, and wasn’t within single digits in the process.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 294 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE EAST DIVISION COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 23.8 96 Points Per Game 34.3 101 Yards Per Point 15.2 80 Yards Per Point 13.5 84 Plays Per Game 68.3 96 3rd Down Conv. % 45.0% 113 Time of Possession 32:51 16 Total Yards Per Game 464.4 111 3rd Down Conv. % 40.7% 49 Yards Per Play 7. 4 127 Total Yards Per Game 362.1 95 Rush Yards Per Game 259 123 Yards Per Play 5.3 82 Yards Per Rush Attempt 6.8 127 Rush Attempts Per Game 42.7 22 Completion % 63.3% 103 Rush Yards Per Game 186.9 45 Passing Yards Per Game 205.4 37 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.4 61 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.8 117 Pass Attempts Per Game 22.5 122 Sacks 1.5 108 Completion % 61.1% 43 Turnovers 1.1 106 Passing Yards Per Game 175.2 108 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 8 36 Turnovers 1.5 76 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-3 10-2 3-9 5-7 27-21 (56%) 53 Overall ATS 0-0 0-0 5-7 5-7 10-14 (42%) 106 Over-Under 0-0 0-0 7-4 7-5 14-9 (61%) 7 at Home ATS 0-0 0-0 2-4 1-4 3-8 (27%) 129 Road/Neutral ATS 0-0 0-0 3-3 4-3 7-6 (54%) 54 Conference ATS 0-0 0-0 3-5 2-6 5-11 (31%) 127 Non-Conf. ATS 0-0 0-0 2-2 3-1 5-3 (63%) 13 Favorite ATS 0-0 0-0 0-1 2-2 2-3 (40%) 108 Underdog ATS 0-0 0-0 5-6 3-5 8-11 (42%) 97 After SUW ATS 0-0 0-0 1-1 3-2 4-3 (57%) 25 After SUL ATS 0-0 0-0 3-6 2-4 5-10 (33%) 117

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 24.5 -2.4 -1 12.3 7 28.3 6.06 13.95 5-DC 30.7 7.05 14.17 2017 23.5 -7.9 -0.24 19.8 4 23.6 5.66 14.98 6 31.5 5.9 12.73 2016 33 -0.5 -1.07 8.2 N/A 31.1 4.99 10.69 N/A 31.5 6.06 12.63 2015 28.5 0.5 -0.77 12.6 N/A 32.9 5.91 12.19 N/A 32.4 6.68 14.86

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• COASTAL CAROLINA is 5-2 ATS (L7G) - Nonconference VS NON-POWER 5

• COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS (L8G) at HOME - Conference games

• COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-1 OVER (L7G) - Underdog of 10 or more points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 295 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION ARKANSAS ST RED WOLVES Location: Jonesboro, AR STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Centennial Bank Stadium 38 Head Coach: Blake Anderson - 6th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 8-5 3.75 / 0.25 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 6 - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Keith Heckendorf * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: David Duggan * 32.71 (#110 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 SMU FAVORITES are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of SMU-AKS series 9/7/19 at UNLV 9/14/19 at Georgia 9/21/19 S ILLINOIS 9/28/19 at Troy ARKANSAS ST is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its L6 games vs. TROY 10/5/19 at Georgia St 10/17/19 LA LAFAYETTE HOME TEAMS are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of AKS-LAL series 10/26/19 TEXAS ST UNIV ROAD TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of AKS-TSU series 11/2/19 at LA Monroe ARKANSAS ST is 9-0 SU & ATS in its L9 games vs. LA MONROE 11/16/19 COASTAL CAROLINA 11/23/19 GA SOUTHERN 11/30/19 at S Alabama HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of USA-AKS series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 SE MISSOURI ST 48-21 W -32.5 L 58 O 9/8/18 at Alabama 7-57 L 35.5 L 62.5 O 9/15/18 at Tulsa 29-20 W 1.5 W 71 U 9/22/18 UNLV 27-20 W -7.5 L 66 U 9/29/18 at Ga Southern 21-28 L -3 L 53 U 10/9/18 APPALACHIAN ST 9-35 L 9.5 L 59.5 U 10/18/18 GEORGIA ST 51-35 W -12 W 57 O 10/27/18 at La Lafayette 43-47 L -3 L 68.5 O 11/3/18 S ALABAMA 38-14 W -14 W 62 U 11/10/18 at Coastal Carolina 44-16 W -6.5 W 61 U 11/17/18 LA MONROE 31-17 W -8.5 W 68.5 U 11/24/18 at Texas St Univ 33-7 W -14 W 49.5 U 12/29/18 vs. Nevada 13-16 L 1 L 57 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 7.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL In a nutshell, missing Belt East heavyweight App State on the schedule, and the likelihood the Red Wolves can win two (UNLV and Southern Illinois) and maybe three (SMU) non-Belt games, plus competes in the lesser Western half of the conference, makes us believe HC Blake Anderson can get to 8 wins or more for the fourth time in fve seasons. That Anderson has resisted the temptation of predecessors Hugh Freeze, Gus Malzahn, and Bryan Harsin (each of whom lasting only one season in Jonesboro) to make the jump up the FBS coaching ladder has done wonders for the continuity at ASU, but don’t think Anderson is satisfed, not after making several adjustments on his offensive staff, including removing himself from play-calling duties (Keith Heckendorf, who worked with Anderson when both were on staff at North Carolina, takes those reins) after the Red Wolves self-destructed in a hard-to-fathom, 13-6 Arizona Bowl, overtime loss to Nevada. Anderson is also breaking in a new QB after the decorated Justice Hansen graduated, but junior Logan Bonner is marinated in the Red Wolves system, having spent the past two seasons backing up Hansen, and regional sources believe he just needs a chance to show what he can do. The defense was also one of the Belt’s best a year ago, and despite some assistants being lured out of Jonesboro, new DC David Duggan (once the coordinator at Southern Miss) will not be altering the scheme, that will look to unleash a disruptive defensive front led by DT Kevin Thurmon. As mentioned earlier, getting Louisiana in a likely West showdown game at Jonesboro will help the Red Wolves get to the 8-win level.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 296 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION ARKANSAS ST RED WOLVES 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 28.8 53 Points Per Game 26 52 Yards Per Point 15.6 90 Yards Per Point 14.5 57 Plays Per Game 76.9 20 3rd Down Conv. % 37.6% 49 Time of Possession 30:23 49 Total Yards Per Game 376.6 47 3rd Down Conv. % 39.4% 61 Yards Per Play 5.4 53 Total Yards Per Game 449.3 21 Rush Yards Per Game 197.6 91 Yards Per Play 5.8 42 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 94 Rush Attempts Per Game 38.9 63 Completion % 56.5% 29 Rush Yards Per Game 185.8 46 Passing Yards Per Game 179 10 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.8 40 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.9 48 Pass Attempts Per Game 36 29 Sacks 2.5 41 Completion % 63.7% 30 Turnovers 1.7 37 Passing Yards Per Game 263.5 29 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 3 69 Turnovers 1.1 21 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 9-4 8-5 7-5 8-5 32-19 (63%) 35 Overall ATS 8-5 7-6 6-6 6-7 27-24 (53%) 49 Over-Under 10-3 3-10 5-7 4-9 22-29 (43%) 103 at Home ATS 4-2 4-2 2-3 3-3 13-10 (57%) 20 Road/Neutral ATS 4-3 3-4 4-3 3-4 14-14 (50%) 68 Conference ATS 6-2 6-2 5-3 5-3 22-10 (69%) 7 Non-Conf. ATS 2-3 1-4 1-3 1-4 5-14 (26%) 125 Favorite ATS 6-2 4-4 5-4 5-4 20-14 (59%) 13 Underdog ATS 2-3 3-2 1-2 1-3 7-10 (41%) 101 After SUW ATS 6-3 6-1 4-3 3-5 19-12 (61%) 17 After SUL ATS 2-1 1-4 1-3 3-1 7-9 (44%) 87

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 39 9 0.94 4.2 7-QB 32.2 6.5 14.92 5 23.3 5.56 15.7 2017 38.5 9.5 0.5 1.7 5 33.4 6.01 14.37 5 23.9 5.51 16.63 2016 40 6.7 0.58 0.9 6-QB, OC 28.6 5.66 14.1 7 21.9 5.09 16.82 2015 41 11.1 0.38 5 9 38.2 5.89 11. 61 6 27.1 5.51 14.78

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• ARKANSAS ST is 9-1 ATS (L10G) - After playing LA MONROE

• ARKANSAS ST is 4-13 ATS (L17G) on ROAD - [vs OPP] After a blowout SU win of 20 points or more

• ARKANSAS ST is 17-3 UNDER (L20G) at HOME - As underdog

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 297 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION LA MONROE WARHAWKS Location: Monroe, LA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: JPS Field at Malone Stadium 32 Head Coach: - 4th season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 6-6 2 / -0.5 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 7 QB - Defense: 8 Offensive Coordinator: Matt Kubik SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Mike Collins 35.52 (#90 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 GRAMBLING 9/7/19 at Florida St 9/21/19 at Iowa St 9/28/19 S ALABAMA 10/5/19 MEMPHIS 10/10/19 at Texas St Univ ROAD TEAMS are 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of LAM-TSU series 10/19/19 at Appalachian St OVER the total is 4-0 in L4 games of APST-LAM series 11/2/19 ARKANSAS ST ARKANSAS ST is 9-0 SU & ATS in its L9 games vs. LA MONROE 11/9/19 GEORGIA ST UNDERDOGS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of LAM-GAST series 11/16/19 at Ga Southern 11/23/19 COASTAL CAROLINA 11/30/19 at LA Lafayette ROAD TEAMS are 8-2 SU & 10-0 ATS in LAM-LAL series since 2009 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 8/30/18 SE LOUISIANA 34-31 W -21 L 74 U 9/8/18 at Southern Miss 21-20 W 6 W 67 U 9/15/18 at Texas A&M 10-48 L 28 L 65.5 U 9/22/18 TROY 27-35 L 4.5 L 58.5 O 9/29/18 at Georgia St 14-46 L -5.5 L 65 U 10/6/18 at Ole Miss 21-70 L 24 L 76 O 10/13/18 at Coastal Carolina 45-20 W 6.5 W 66.5 U 10/20/18 TEXAS ST UNIV 20-14 W -10.5 L 61 U 11/3/18 GA SOUTHERN 44-25 W 7. 5 W 60.5 O 11/10/18 at S Alabama 38-10 W -9 W 63 U 11/17/18 at Arkansas St 17-31 L 8.5 L 68.5 U 11/24/18 LA LAFAYETTE 28-31 L -1.5 L 71 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN PUSH 5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL There are a lot of “Power 5” members who aren’t challenging themselves in non-league play as are the Warhawks, who will have payday trips to Florida State and Iowa State and will also host explosive Memphis. That’s picking a lot more fghts than many of the “big boys” in nonconference competition. But it’s also why we’re a bit reluctant to forecast more than fve wins for the Warhawks, who could have a puncher’s chance most weekends for 4th-year HC Matt Viator, whose name sounds like it should be a super-hero in a comic strip and who did get ULM bowl-eligible with six wins (but no bowl invitation) a year ago. Senior Caleb Evans will be a third-year starting QB for Viator and has already posted back-to-back 2,800+-yard passing seasons, though his pick count doubled (form 6 to 12) a year ago. Mitigating the departure via transfer of last year’s top wideout R.J. Turner, Evans will at least welcome back sr. Xavier Brown, who missed most of 2018 with a shoulder injury but does have 65 career receptions. An OL that returns en masse with all fve starters back in the fold should be another plus. The defense, however, could use being more opportunistic after forcing just 11 takeaways last season, a big reason ULM ranked a lowly 125th in turnover margin. ULM also had the Belt’s worst pass defense a year ago. A seasoned QB like Evans will give ULM a chance in many of its games, but there look to be too many holes to project anything more than fve wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 298 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION LA MONROE WARHAWKS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 25.9 79 Points Per Game 31.8 86 Yards Per Point 15.5 88 Yards Per Point 13.5 86 Plays Per Game 66.1 114 3rd Down Conv. % 44.0% 105 Time of Possession 26:55 121 Total Yards Per Game 429.1 84 3rd Down Conv. % 38.2% 69 Yards Per Play 6 102 Total Yards Per Game 402.2 61 Rush Yards Per Game 192.7 87 Yards Per Play 6.1 19 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.6 78 Rush Attempts Per Game 33.7 110 Completion % 72.4% 129 Rush Yards Per Game 163.6 68 Passing Yards Per Game 236.4 73 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.9 32 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9 119 Pass Attempts Per Game 30.4 73 Sacks 2.8 23 Completion % 61.1% 44 Turnovers 0.9 122 Passing Yards Per Game 238.5 55 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 9 31 Turnovers 1.9 105 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 2-11 4-8 4-8 6-6 16-33 (33%) 115 Overall ATS 5-7 6-6 6-6 4-8 21-27 (44%) 101 Over-Under 8-5 9-3 7-5 3-9 27-22 (55%) 22 at Home ATS 2-3 2-3 2-3 1-4 7-13 (35%) 114 Road/Neutral ATS 3-4 4-3 4-3 3-4 14-14 (50%) 71 Conference ATS 2-6 4-4 4-4 3-5 13-19 (41%) 108 Non-Conf. ATS 3-1 2-2 2-2 1-3 8-8 (50%) 63 Favorite ATS 1-0 1-2 2-1 1-4 5-7 (42%) 103 Underdog ATS 4-7 5-4 4-5 3-4 16-20 (44%) 87 After SUW ATS 1-0 3-1 3-1 3-3 10-5 (67%) 3 After SUL ATS 4-6 2-5 2-5 1-4 9-20 (31%) 123

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 33 -1 0.39 8.7 9-QB 28 6.46 15.39 8 29 6.07 14.26 2017 28 -0.9 -0.05 13.5 7 35.6 6.79 13.73 8 36.5 6.84 13.74 2016 Yes 21 -9.6 -0.85 20.3 8- OC 26.7 5.43 14.84 3-DC 36.3 6.28 12.49 2015 18 -11.8 -0.79 22.5 6-QB 20.8 4.64 15.46 8-DC 32.6 5.43 12.54

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• LA MONROE is 6-1 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - VS LA LAFAYETTE

• LA MONROE is 2-8 ATS (L10G) at HOME - After a blowout SU loss 20 points or more

• LA MONROE is 9-0-1 OVER (L10G) - After playing a game that went into overtime

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 299 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION LA LAFAYETTE RAGIN’ CAJUNS Location: Lafayette, LA STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: 33.5 Head Coach: - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 7-7 2.25 / -0.25 Returning Starters: 15 - Offense: 8 - Defense: 7 Offensive Coordinator: Rob Sale SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Ron Roberts 32.19 (#113 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 vs. Mississippi St 9/7/19 LIBERTY 9/14/19 TEXAS SOUTHERN 9/21/19 at Ohio U 9/28/19 at Ga Southern 10/9/19 APPALACHIAN ST ROAD TEAMS are 1-5 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of APST-LAL series 10/17/19 at Arkansas St HOME TEAMS are 6-0 SU & ATS in L6 games of AKS-LAL series 11/2/19 TEXAS ST UNIV LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 SU & ATS in its L6 games vs. TEXAS ST UNIV 11/7/19 at Coastal Carolina 11/16/19 at S Alabama UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of USA-LAL series 11/23/19 TROY TROY is 5-1 ATS in its L6 games at LA LAFAYETTE 11/30/19 LA MONROE ROAD TEAMS are 8-2 SU & 10-0 ATS in LAM-LAL series since 2009 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 GRAMBLING 49-17 W -13.5 W 61 O 9/15/18 at Mississippi St 10-56 L 34.5 L 63 O 9/22/18 COASTAL CAROLINA 28-30 L -3 L 62.5 U 9/29/18 at Alabama 14-56 L 48 W 69 O 10/6/18 at Texas St Univ 42-27 W -3 W 57.5 O 10/13/18 NEW MEXICO ST 66-38 W -7.5 W 66.5 O 10/20/18 at Appalachian St 17-27 L 25 W 64.5 U 10/27/18 ARKANSAS ST 47-43 W 3 W 68.5 O 11/3/18 at Troy 16-26 L 7 L 64 U 11/10/18 GEORGIA ST 36-22 W -13.5 W 68 U 11/17/18 S ALABAMA 48-38 W -19.5 L 67 O 11/24/18 at La Monroe 31-28 W 1.5 W 71 U 12/1/18 at Appalachian St 19-30 L 17.5 W 55 U 12/15/18 vs. Tulane 24-41 L 3.5 L 60 O BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN PUSH 6 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL First, apologies to those at LSU and ULM that object to the Ragin’ Cajuns using “Louisiana” as their label; those in Baton Rouge and Monroe take umbrage and suggest “Louisiana-Lafayette” or “ULL” would be more appropriate. But we’ll respect the wishes of the Ragin’ Cajuns just like when Cassius Clay changed his name to Muhammad Ali; they can call themselves whatever they want in Lafayette. They can also call themselves a surprising bowl rep after last season’s unexpected run to the West crown in the Belt for frst-year HC Billy Napier, who among other previous stops in his career worked for Nick Saban at Bama and Dabo Swinney at Clemson. Napier might or might not struggle for an encore with almost the entirety of a chop-busting RB corps back in the fold; the trio of Trey Regas, Elijah Mitchell, and Raymond Calais accounted for over 3500 yards and 33 TDs a year ago and returns en masse. But Napier was also looking for a QB in spring after Levi Lewis, who played every fourth series a year ago, failed to wow ‘em in spring, which might open the door for newcomers like juco Jai’ave Magalei or true frosh Chandler Field to compete for snaps in the fall. Defense also remains an issue after ranking in the bottom half of the Belt in all relevant stat categories. Coupled with the questions at QB, not sure Napier gets beyond the 6 wins he recorded in the regular season a year ago, especially with East contenders App State, Troy, and Georgia Southern all on the schedule, plus SEC Mississippi State. Another six-win regular season looks a likely conclusion for “Napier II” in Lafayette.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 300 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION LA LAFAYETTE RAGIN’ CAJUNS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 30.6 38 Points Per Game 35.5 106 Yards Per Point 13.5 44 Yards Per Point 12.5 110 Plays Per Game 65.5 123 3rd Down Conv. % 45.9% 116 Time of Possession 28:30 99 Total Yards Per Game 445.8 98 3rd Down Conv. % 45.6% 18 Yards Per Play 6.3 113 Total Yards Per Game 414.3 49 Rush Yards Per Game 224.6 111 Yards Per Play 6.3 12 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5 100 Rush Attempts Per Game 39.1 61 Completion % 62.7% 94 Rush Yards Per Game 211.5 24 Passing Yards Per Game 221.2 52 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.4 14 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9 122 Pass Attempts Per Game 24.5 111 Sacks 1.7 101 Completion % 62.0% 37 Turnovers 1.2 103 Passing Yards Per Game 202.8 91 Yards Per Pass Attempt 8.3 19 Turnovers 1.2 34 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 4-8 6-7 5-7 7-7 22-29 (43%) 96 Overall ATS 4-7 8-5 4-7 9-5 25-24 (51%) 60 Over-Under 7-5 5-8 8-4 8-6 28-23 (55%) 24 at Home ATS 2-4 3-3 2-3 4-2 11-12 (48%) 64 Road/Neutral ATS 2-3 5-2 2-4 5-3 14-12 (54%) 55 Conference ATS 2-5 5-3 4-4 6-3 17-15 (53%) 45 Non-Conf. ATS 2-2 3-2 0-3 3-2 8-9 (47%) 78 Favorite ATS 2-4 4-2 1-3 4-2 11-11 (50%) 62 Underdog ATS 2-3 4-3 3-4 5-3 14-13 (52%) 64 After SUW ATS 0-3 4-2 1-4 4-3 9-12 (43%) 100 After SUL ATS 3-4 4-2 3-2 4-2 14-10 (58%) 25

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 33.5 5.4 1.12 7. 8 8-OC 36.2 7.14 12.83 3-DC 30.9 6.03 13.19 2017 21.5 -9.2 -0.48 14.6 6-QB, OC 26.6 5.93 15.35 7 35.8 6.41 13.41 2016 30 1 0.15 10.5 7-QB, OC 25.6 5.21 14.6 7 24.6 5.07 14.68 2015 23 -5.9 -0.53 15.9 6-QB 23.6 5.44 16.09 6-DC 29.4 5.97 14.34

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• LA LAFAYETTE is 13-2 ATS (L15G) on ROAD - After a conference SU loss

• LA LAFAYETTE is 1-6 ATS (L7G) at HOME - Underdog of 10 or more points

• LA LAFAYETTE is 7-0 OVER (L7G) at HOME - Favorite of more than 14 points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 301 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION TEXAS STATE BOBCATS Location: San Marcos, TX STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Field at Bobcat Stadium 29 Head Coach: Jake Spavital - 1st season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 2 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 19 - Offense: 9 QB - Defense: 10 Offensive Coordinator: Bob Stitt * SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Zac Spavital / Archie McDaniel * 35.79 (#84 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/29/19 at Texas A&M 9/7/19 WYOMING HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in L3 games of WYO-TSU series 9/14/19 at SMU 9/21/19 GEORGIA ST OVER the total is 4-1 in L5 games of GAST-TSU series 9/28/19 NICHOLLS ST 10/10/19 LA MONROE ROAD TEAMS are 2-4 SU but 5-1 ATS in L6 games of LAM-TSU series 10/26/19 at Arkansas St ROAD TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of AKS-TSU series 11/2/19 at LA Lafayette LA LAFAYETTE is 6-0 SU & ATS in its L6 games vs. TEXAS ST UNIV 11/9/19 S ALABAMA TEXAS ST UNIV is 3-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. S ALABAMA 11/16/19 TROY 11/23/19 at Appalachian St UNDER the total is 3-0 in L3 games of APST-TSU series 11/30/19 at Coastal Carolina 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 at Rutgers 7-35 L 16.5 L 47.5 U 9/8/18 TEXAS SOUTHERN 36-20 W -33.5 L 52.5 O 9/15/18 at S Alabama 31-41 L 10 T 48.5 O 9/22/18 at Tx-San Antonio 21-25 L 7 W 48.5 U 10/6/18 LA LAFAYETTE 27-42 L 3 L 57.5 O 10/11/18 GA SOUTHERN 13-15 L 16.5 W 51.5 U 10/20/18 at La Monroe 14-20 L 10.5 W 61 U 10/27/18 NEW MEXICO ST 27-20 W -1.5 W 57 U 11/3/18 at Georgia St 40-31 W 7. 5 W 52.5 O 11/10/18 APPALACHIAN ST 7-38 L 19.5 L 46.5 U 11/17/18 at Troy 7-12 L 22.5 W 47.5 U 11/24/18 ARKANSAS ST 7-33 L 14 L 49.5 U

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN OVER 4.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL As noted when promoting TSU as a “live dog” earlier in this presentation, we remain oddly curious about the Bobcats, who for a time last season seemed to be ready to turn the corner for HC Everett Withers. Withers, however, was a defensive coach by trade (if interested, note that Withers has since been hired by Pat Shurmur as DB coach for the NY Giants), and just didn’t have enough answers on the offensive side to get TSU over the hump. Offenses need a hook in places like San Marcos, and TSU is rolling the dice with a spunky 33-year-old, Jake Spavital, who has been weaned on the spread and will likely get the Bobcats looking like a modern offense this fall. And awkward to defend, too, as his hire of the sage Bob Stitt, regarded as the “guru of the jet sweep” from his long and successful run at the lower levels with Colorado School of Mines, as his OC, looks a good bit of business. Thus, TSU might just be able to keep opposing defenses guessing, especially if Spavital goes with Stitt’s QB from his one year at Montana, transfer Gresch Jensen. Almost the entirety (10 starters) of a defense that wasn’t so bad for Withers a year ago also returns, featuring the top two tacklers in the Sun Belt last season, LBs Bryan London II (not related to the long-ago boxer of similar name) and Nikolas Daniels. The schedule is a challenge, but we think there are enough available wins in the Belt, plus a nonconference game vs. the Colonels from Nicholls, to land the Bobcats right on 5 wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 302 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION TEXAS STATE BOBCATS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 18.3 125 Points Per Game 28.4 68 Yards Per Point 17 112 Yards Per Point 13.6 79 Plays Per Game 65.7 119 3rd Down Conv. % 39.7% 66 Time of Possession 27:19 117 Total Yards Per Game 386.9 51 3rd Down Conv. % 31.1% 125 Yards Per Play 5.2 42 Total Yards Per Game 309.7 124 Rush Yards Per Game 195.6 90 Yards Per Play 4.7 115 Yards Per Rush Attempt 4.7 84 Rush Attempts Per Game 35.8 94 Completion % 58.3% 55 Rush Yards Per Game 132.9 105 Passing Yards Per Game 191.3 22 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 104 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6 17 Pass Attempts Per Game 27.4 101 Sacks 1.2 121 Completion % 58.5% 75 Turnovers 1.5 59 Passing Yards Per Game 176.8 106 Yards Per Pass Attempt 6.5 104 Turnovers 2 110 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 3-9 2-10 2-10 3-9 10-38 (21%) 126 Overall ATS 3-9 5-7 5-7 6-5 19-28 (40%) 114 Over-Under 6-5 5-7 6-6 4-8 21-26 (45%) 93 at Home ATS 3-3 2-4 2-4 2-4 9-15 (38%) 106 Road/Neutral ATS 0-6 3-3 3-3 4-1 10-13 (43%) 104 Conference ATS 2-6 3-5 4-4 4-3 13-18 (42%) 105 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 2-2 1-3 2-2 6-10 (38%) 108 Favorite ATS 2-3 1-0 0-1 1-1 4-5 (44%) 92 Underdog ATS 1-6 4-7 5-6 5-4 15-23 (39%) 110 After SUW ATS 0-3 0-2 1-1 1-1 2-7 (22%) 129 After SUL ATS 3-5 4-5 4-5 5-3 16-18 (47%) 79

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 22 -9.2 -0.33 19.2 7 19.3 5.03 16.93 7-DC 28.4 5.37 13.65 2017 15.5 -14.8 -1.23 22.2 7-QB, OC 18 4.87 19.23 6 32.8 6.1 13.2 2016 Yes 10 -19.3 -1.52 27.7 4- OC 21 4.47 14.88 6-DC 40.3 5.99 11.29 2015 18 -8.4 -1.06 18.5 8 24.6 5.74 17.5 6 33.1 6.79 15.29

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• TEXAS ST is 5-1-1 ATS (L7G) on ROAD - VS SUNBELT

• TEXAS ST is 2-8 ATS (L10G) at HOME - OU line of 60 or more

• TEXAS ST is 19-5 UNDER (L5Y) - After a conference SU loss

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 303 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS Location: Mobile, AL STEVE MAKINEN’S POWER RATING Stadium: Ladd–Peebles Stadium 21 Head Coach: Steve Campbell - 2nd season HOME/ROAD FIELD RATINGS 2018 Record: 3-9 2.75 / -0.75 Returning Starters: 13 - Offense: 8 - Defense: 5 Offensive Coordinator: Kenny Edenfeld SCHEDULE STRENGTH Defensive Coordinator: Greg Stewart 34.44 (#98 OF 130)

2019 SCHEDULE Date Opponent Series Trend 8/31/19 at Nebraska 9/7/19 JACKSON ST 9/14/19 MEMPHIS 9/21/19 at Uab 9/28/19 at LA Monroe 10/3/19 GA SOUTHERN GA SOUTHERN is 5-0 SU & ATS in its L5 games vs. S ALABAMA 10/16/19 at Troy ROAD TEAMS are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in L7 games of TRO-USA series 10/26/19 APPALACHIAN ST HOME TEAMS are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in L3 games of APST-USA series 11/9/19 at Texas St Univ TEXAS ST UNIV is 3-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. S ALABAMA 11/16/19 LA LAFAYETTE UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games of USA-LAL series 11/23/19 at Georgia St GEORGIA ST is 4-0 ATS in its L4 games vs. S ALABAMA 11/30/19 ARKANSAS ST HOME TEAMS are 5-1 SU & ATS in L6 games of USA-AKS series 2018 SCHEDULE AND RESULTS Date Opponent Score SU FL ATS FT O/U 9/1/18 LOUISIANA TECH 26-30 L 11 W 53.5 O 9/8/18 at Oklahoma St 13-55 L 30.5 L 64.5 O 9/15/18 TEXAS ST UNIV 41-31 W -10 T 48.5 O 9/22/18 at Memphis 35-52 L 31.5 W 66 O 9/29/18 at Appalachian St 7-52 L 26 L 56 O 10/6/18 at Ga Southern 13-48 L 12 L 56.5 O 10/13/18 ALABAMA ST 45-7 W -27 W 55.5 U 10/23/18 TROY 17-38 L 12 L 54.5 O 11/3/18 at Arkansas St 14-38 L 14 L 62 U 11/10/18 LA MONROE 10-38 L 9 L 63 U 11/17/18 at La Lafayette 38-48 L 19.5 W 67 O 11/23/18 COASTAL CAROLINA 31-28 W 1.5 W 58.5 O

BRUCE MARSHALL’S SEASON WIN UNDER 2.5 TOTAL PREDICTION FANDUEL First, let it be said that we do have plenty of respect for second-year HC Steve Campbell, who has won titles at all of his previous career stops (Division II at Delta State, juco at Mississippi Guld Coast, Southland at Central Arkansas). But the transition period in Mobile fgures to last at least another year as Campbell inherited a fairly bare cupboard from predecessor Joey Jones, who exerted a lot of energy just to get the Jags competitive in the FBS ranks, but didn’t leave much behind. It won’t help USA that it fgures to be cannon fodder for the likes of Nebraska, Memphis, and probably UAB in nonconference play; we’ll give the Jags a win over Jackson State, but can they fnd two more wins in the Sun Belt? We’re not sure, especially since the defense looks like it will again be a liability after conceding nearly 39 ppg a year ago, ranking at the bottom of the Belt and a woeful 123rd nationally. Playmakers are badly needed, and only four starters return, which has forced Campbell to look hard to the juco ranks for a quick fx, but the platoon was a step too slow a year ago and could be overrun again. If we thought USA could outscore somebody we might be tempted to look “Over” but there are questions galore on the attack end, especially as USA starts a sixth different QB (raw 6-5 soph Cephus Johnson) in as many years. And aside from slot receiver Kawaan Baker, an interesting weapon who scored 13 TDs last year (nine of those on the ground), the receiving targets will be new. With a tough schedule and lots of holes to fll, we expect the Jags to only reach 2 wins.

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 304 2019 SUN BELT CONFERENCE WEST DIVISION SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS 2018 KEY STATISTICS AND RANKS Ofensive Statistics # Rank Defensive Statistics # Rank Points Per Game 22.3 106 Points Per Game 41.6 125 Yards Per Point 15.8 94 Yards Per Point 11. 3 125 Plays Per Game 70.1 84 3rd Down Conv. % 38.1% 50 Time of Possession 30:01 61 Total Yards Per Game 469.5 117 3rd Down Conv. % 32.7% 117 Yards Per Play 6.7 122 Total Yards Per Game 351.5 108 Rush Yards Per Game 213.7 102 Yards Per Play 5 100 Yards Per Rush Attempt 5.2 113 Rush Attempts Per Game 40.6 39 Completion % 65.5% 121 Rush Yards Per Game 149 86 Passing Yards Per Game 255.8 100 Yards Per Rush Attempt 3.7 107 Yards Per Pass Attempt 9.3 124 Pass Attempts Per Game 27.5 100 Sacks 1.5 109 Completion % 61.9% 38 Turnovers 1.6 41 Passing Yards Per Game 202.5 93 Yards Per Pass Attempt 7. 4 65 Turnovers 2 112 4-YEAR SITUATIONAL RECORDS Situation 2015 2016 2017 2018 4-Yr Total 4-Yr Rank Overall SU 5-7 6-7 4-8 3-9 18-31 (37%) 110 Overall ATS 4-8 3-10 6-6 5-6 18-30 (38%) 126 Over-Under 8-4 6-6 2-10 9-3 25-23 (52%) 36 at Home ATS 2-4 2-5 3-3 3-2 10-14 (42%) 90 Road/Neutral ATS 2-4 1-5 3-3 2-4 8-16 (33%) 126 Conference ATS 3-5 1-7 4-4 2-5 10-21 (32%) 125 Non-Conf. ATS 1-3 2-3 2-2 3-1 8-9 (47%) 78 Favorite ATS 1-3 0-5 2-3 1-0 4-11 (27%) 127 Underdog ATS 3-5 3-5 4-3 4-6 14-19 (42%) 96 After SUW ATS 1-4 1-5 1-3 1-1 4-13 (24%) 127 After SUL ATS 3-3 1-5 4-3 3-5 11-16 (41%) 100

STEVE MAKINEN’S EFFECTIVE STATISTICS

New Ef Of RS- Ef Of Ef Of Ef Of Def RS- Ef Def Ef Def Ef Def Year SM PR Ef Strg SM BR HC? YPP+/- New? PPG YPP YPPT New? PPG YPP YPPT 2018 Yes 21.5 -10.8 -0.99 18 6-QB, OC 25.7 5.47 14.38 7-DC 36.4 6.46 11. 9 2017 25 -4.2 -0.51 14.8 4 19.1 5.23 17.91 6 23.3 5.74 17.5 2016 26 -0.3 0.04 14 5-QB 26.2 5.65 15.02 5-DC 26.5 5.61 14.58 2015 23 -8.6 -0.44 17.7 3-QB, OC 25.3 5.37 14.75 2 33.9 5.82 11.88

TOP TRENDS FOR 2019

• S ALABAMA is 12-5 ATS (L17G) on ROAD - In September

• S ALABAMA is 2-12 ATS (L14G) on ROAD - In November

• S ALABAMA is 7-0 UNDER (L7G) at HOME - Favorite of 7 or less points

2019 VSiN COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING GUIDE 305

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