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Iran Autos Report Q1 2010 Including 5-Year Industry Forecasts by BMI

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Iran Autos Report Q1 2010 Including 5-Year Industry Forecasts by BMI Q1 2010 www.businessmonitor.com IRAN AUTOS REPort INCLUDES 5-YEAR FORECASTS TO 2014 ISSN 1748-9962 Published by Business Monitor International Ltd. Iran Autos Report Q1 2010 Including 5-year industry forecasts by BMI Part of BMI’s Industry Report & Forecasts Series Published by: Business Monitor International Publication date: December 2009 Business Monitor International © 2009 Business Monitor International. Mermaid House, All rights reserved. 2 Puddle Dock, London, EC4V 3DS, All information contained in this publication is UK copyrighted in the name of Business Monitor Tel: +44 (0) 20 7248 0468 International, and as such no part of this publication Fax: +44 (0) 20 7248 0467 may be reproduced, repackaged, redistributed, resold in Email: [email protected] whole or in any part, or used in any form or by any Web: http://www.businessmonitor.com means graphic, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, taping, or by information storage or retrieval, or by any other means, without the express written consent of the publisher. DISCLAIMER All information contained in this publication has been researched and compiled from sources believed to be accurate and reliable at the time of publishing. However, in view of the natural scope for human and/or mechanical error, either at source or during production, Business Monitor International accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage resulting from errors, inaccuracies or omissions affecting any part of the publication. All information is provided without warranty, and Business Monitor International makes no representation of warranty of any kind as to the accuracy or completeness of any information hereto contained. Iran Autos Report Q1 2010 © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 2 Iran Autos Report Q1 2010 CONTENTS Executive Summary .........................................................................................................................................5 SWOT Analysis.................................................................................................................................................7 Iran Autos Sector SWOT........................................................................................................................................................................................ 7 Iran Political Swot................................................................................................................................................................................................. 8 Iran Economic Swot.............................................................................................................................................................................................. 9 Iran Business Environment Swot ......................................................................................................................................................................... 10 Regional Overview .........................................................................................................................................11 Change Ahead For The GCC............................................................................................................................................................................... 11 Trouble In South Africa And Turkey, Uncertainty In Iran.................................................................................................................................... 14 Impact On Production ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 15 Business Environment Ratings ....................................................................................................................16 Table: Middle East And Africa Business Environment Ratings............................................................................................................................ 18 Iran – Business Environment Ratings .................................................................................................................................................................. 19 Limits Of Potential Returns.................................................................................................................................................................................. 19 Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns........................................................................................................................................................... 20 Industry Forecast Scenario...........................................................................................................................21 Production And Sales........................................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Table: Iran Autos Sector – Historical Data And Forecasts ................................................................................................................................. 21 Trade ................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 23 Table: Iran Autos Sector – Historical Data And Forecasts ................................................................................................................................. 23 Macroeconomic Forecast Scenario..............................................................................................................25 Table: Iran – Economic Activity 2007-2014 ........................................................................................................................................................ 28 Competitive Landscape .................................................................................................................................29 Financial Issues................................................................................................................................................................................................... 29 New Fuel Technologies........................................................................................................................................................................................ 30 Quality Control.................................................................................................................................................................................................... 32 Trade Sanctions And The Iranian Car Industry ................................................................................................................................................... 33 Privatisation ........................................................................................................................................................................................................ 35 Industry Developments ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 36 IKCO’s Foreign Production ................................................................................................................................................................................ 38 Table: Samand’s Overseas Reach........................................................................................................................................................................ 40 Commercial Vehicles........................................................................................................................................................................................... 41 Table: Commercial Vehicle Production – Share Of Production By Segment And Manufacturer (%).................................................................. 42 Suppliers.............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 44 Regulation............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 44 Company Monitor...........................................................................................................................................47 Regional Case Study: Nissan Motor .................................................................................................................................................................... 47 Production ........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 47 Table: Nissan MEA Production Facilities ........................................................................................................................................................... 49 Sales ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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