A Study on Economic Dimensions of India and China
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A Study on Economic Dimensions of India and China Sunil Kumar Das Bendi Modern Institute of Technology and Management, Bhubaneswar E-mail: [email protected] Tushar Kanta Pany HOD, School of Commerce, Ravenshaw University, Cuttack E-mail: [email protected] Abstract India and China are the two emerging economies of the world. They are the two most populous countries in the world who together account for more than a third of the world’s total population. A descriptive research study has been carried out for investigating the Gross Domestic Product of India and China in nominal and purchasing power parity basis. It also compares per capita gross domestic product and GDP growth rate of India and China. It also investigates the trends in the value of Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY) with Indian Rupee (INR). This paper also exhibits the market share in Foreign Direct Investment in Asia Pacific region in 2015. The dramatic rise not only enabled socio- economic upsurge of India and China but it also reshaped the regional and global trade trends. India replaced China as leading recipient of capital investment in Asia-Pacific with announced FDI of $63bn, as well as an 8 per cent increase in project numbers to 697. India faced various structural bottlenecks including delays in project approval, ill-targeted subsidies, a low manufacturing base and low agricultural productivity, difficulty in land acquisition, weak transportation and power networks, strict labour regulations and skill mismatches. Keywords : Foreign Direct Investment, Gross Domestic Product 1.0 Introduction Indo-China relations refer to international relations in 1978, China’s economic growth performance has been between the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and the truly dramatic. On the other hand, in India, the second Republic of India. The economic and diplomatic most populous country and largest democracy in the importance of India and China, which are the two most world, growth performance since the initiation of economic populous states and the world’s fastest growing major reform policies in 1991 has been relatively modest, falling economies, has in recent years increased the behind on many fronts relative to the Chinese significance of their bilateral relationship. Relations performance indicators. between China and India date back to ancient times. China and India are two of the world’s oldest civilizations Two major factors account for a country’s growing and have coexisted in peace for millennia. Trade relations integration with the global economy: trade and foreign via the Silk Road acted as economic contact between investment; expansion of exports, and foreign direct the two regions. investment (FDI). Growth of exports became a dominant source of industrial growth during the 1980s in most This is a comparative study of China and India, two of developing countries. Most of these countries including the most populous countries of the world, and which India and China, have replaced the old import-substitution combine to constitute nearly one-third of the world’s policy by an export promotion strategy. Both domestic population. Both India and China have undertaken fairly and international factors played an important role in the extensive economic reform policies during the past two shift of national policies to repay debts. The process of decades. Since the adoption of economic reform policies globalization already underway necessitated export Srusti Management Review, Vol -X, Issue - I, January-June 2017 37 orientation for improving technology, management Li and Liu (2004) find that it is an increasingly practices, marketing and international competitiveness. endogenous relationship between FDI and growth, especially since the mid-1980. Lee (2005) argues that The main difference between nominal and real values is foreign direct investment along with trade liberalization that real values are adjusted for inflation, while nominal is the answer for economic development. values are not. As a result, nominal GDP will often appear higher than real GDP. GDP is gross domestic product, Baharumshah and Thanoon (2006) by using dynamic the total economic output of a country, i.e., the amount panel models demonstrated the positive contribution of of money a country makes. GDP per capita is the total FDI on the growth process of East Asian economies. output divided by the number of people in the population, so you can get a figure of the average output of each 3.0 Objective of the Study person, i.e., the average amount of money each person makes. • To compare Gross Domestic Product (GDP) between India and China in Nominal and Purchasing The two most common ways to measure GDP per capita Power Parity basis are nominal and purchasing power parity (PPP). Nominal is an attempt at an absolute measure, a sort of • To compare GDP per capita and GDP growth rate immovable standard that remains the same from country between India and China to country. It is the original concept of GDP. In contrast, • To identify the trends in the value of Chinese Yuan PPP is an attempt at a relative measure, taking factors Renminbi (CNY) with Indian Rupee (INR) of each country into consideration in order to put a number on a person’s standard of living within that • To exhibit the market shares in Foreign Direct country. Investment (FDI) in Asia Pacific Region 2.0 Literature Review 4.0 Method of Study The relation between FDI and growth has drawn the This research is a descriptive study in nature. The attention of scholar quite lately than other research works. secondary data were collected from various journals, Chadee and Schlichting (1997) discuss some aspects magazines, and websites particularly from the of foreign direct investment in the Asia-Pacific Region International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook and conclude that FDI has made a positive contribution journal and Foreign Direct Investment Markets, etc. The to all the economies in that region. study is based on the time period from 1980-2015. Graphs and tables have also been used wherever required to Borensztein, etal. (1998) through a study of 69 developing depict statistical data of GDP, GDP per capita, value of countries confirm that the LDCs (Less Developed currency and FDI during the study period. Countries) do benefit from FDI, if they have the capabilities to absorb advanced technologies. 5.0 Data Analysis The World Investment Report UNCTAD (1999) also China and India are the two emerging economies of the describes some econometric models for determining the world. This is a comparative study of China and India, impact of FDI on growth, after analyzing the data from two of the most populous countries of the world, and 11 countries in East Asia and Latin America, using which combine to constitute nearly one-third of the econometric techniques such as unit root and co world’s population. India’s gross domestic product integration tests. advanced 7.3 per cent year-on-year in the third quarter Zhang (2001) provides evidence that FDI promotes of 2016, following 7.1 per cent expansion in the previous economic growth in countries with a liberalized trade period and missing market expectations of 7.5 per cent regime, and a workforce with higher job skills and growth. Private consumption expanded at a faster pace education. while government spending slowed down and fixed investment dropped further. GDP Annual Growth Rate in According to Ram and Zhang(2002), FDI provides ready India averaged 6.08 per cent from 1951 until 2016, reaching access to the world markets and acts as a conduit for an all time high of 11.40 per cent in the first quarter of the host country to participate in the globalization 2010 and a record low of -5.20 per cent in the fourth process. quarter of 1979. Using co-integration and an error-correction model to Table 1 shows the amount of Gross Domestic Product examine the link between FDI and economic growth in (GDP) of India and China both on Nominal and Purchasing India, Chakraborty and Basu (2002) suggest that GDP Power Parity (PPP) basis between 1980 - 2015. In 1980, in India is not Granger caused by FDI, and the causality the GDP of China was 309.06 billion $ whereas the GDP runs more from GDP to FDI. of India was 181.42 billion $ on nominal basis. From analysis we find that China GDP is 1.7 times more than Hsiao and Shen (2003) argue the two way relationship India GDP on nominal basis in the year 1980. In these between FDI and growth and support feedback 35 years, China GDP has grown 3 times more than India relationship between FDI and GDP using a panel data GDP. on 84 countries covering the period of 30 years from 1970 to 1999. In 1980, India GDP was298.397 billion $ and China GDP Srusti Management Review, Vol -X, Issue - I, January-June 2017 38 was 386.147 billion $ on PPP basis. We found that China basis. But gradually it increased to 2.37 times more than GDP is 1.29 times more than India GDP in 1980 on PPP India GDP in these 35 years. Table 1 : Comparison of Gross Domestic Product of India and China Under PPP and Nominal Basis Year Nominal GDP (billions $) PPP GDP (billions Int. $) Year India (Nominal) China (Nominal) India (PPP) China (PPP) 2015 2,308.02 11,211.93 7,996.62 18,975.87 2014 2,049.50 10,380.38 7,375.90 17,617.32 2013 1,875.16 9,469.13 6,783.66 16,173.27 2012 1,835.82 8,386.68 6,252.67 14,789.52 2011 1,843.02 7,314.48 5,845.36 13,482.08 2010 1,708.46 5,949.65 5,370.62 12,085.45 2009 1,365.37 5,105.77 4,812.08 10,813.81 2008 1,224.10 4,547.72 4,402.48 9,826.85 2007 1,238.70 3,504.61 4,156.08