Setting the scene: The European market CONNECT – Vilnius Monday 14 March 2016 Ralph Anker Chief Analyst anna.aero
[email protected] What’s coming up … • Developments in Europe 2014-2016 • Passenger demand by country 2015 • European trends in S16 • Baltic states and airBaltic • LCC trends • easyJet, Ryanair and Wizz Air • Exchange rates • GDP forecasts • Conclusions 2 Developments in Europe 2014 • Legacy carriers still struggling for profitability • Etihad’s involvement in European carriers – Aer Lingus, Air Serbia, airberlin, Alitalia (pending) • Ryanair opens new bases including Athens (ATH), Brussels (BRU), Lisbon (LIS) and Rome (FCO) • easyJet opens new bases in Hamburg and Naples • Vueling grows outside of Spain (turns 10 on 1 July) • Norwegian’s long-haul expansion with 787s • germanwings completing Lufthansa network transfer • Wizz Air up to 20 bases (10th birthday celebrated) • Turkish Airlines still growing at IST – Growing secondary hub at SAW (taking on Pegasus) 3 Developments in Europe 2015 • Cheap fuel!!! • Many legacy carriers still struggling for profitability • Alitalia rescue by Etihad Airways approved • Lufthansa/germanwings/Eurowings evolution • IAG trying to acquire Aer Lingus • Gone: Cyprus Airways, eurolot, Air Lituanica, Estonian Air • Mixed response to growth of MEB3 carriers • Ryanair new bases in Berlin SXF, Bratislava, Copenhagen and Ponta Delgado • easyJet new bases in Amsterdam, Porto • Wizz Air new bases in Debrecan, Kosice, Lublin • Turkish Airlines still growing – over 240 routes 4 Developments in Europe