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Ten-Year Gas Transmission Network Development Plan for the 2018 − 2027 Period

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Ten-Year Gas Transmission Network Development Plan for the 2018 − 2027 Period TEN-YEAR GAS TRANSMISSION NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN FOR THE 2018 − 2027 PERIOD September 2017 Plinovodi d.o.o, Cesta Ljubljanske brigade 11b, PO box 3720, 1001 Ljubljana; Tel.: +386 (0)1 582 07 00 Fax: +386 (0) 1 582 07 01; Email: [email protected]; VAT Reg No: SI31378285 Ten-Year Gas Transmission Network Development Plan for the 2018 - 2027 Period TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface .................................................................................................................................................................................... 3 Summary ................................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................................ 5 1 Definitions ...................................................................................................................................................................... 6 2 Consultations .................................................................................................................................................................. 6 2.1 TSO's consultations with stakeholders .................................................................................................................................. 6 2.2 Activities of the Energy Agency in relation to network development .................................................................................... 6 3 Supply and demand for transmission capacity of Slovenian natural gas transmission system and natural gas supply ...... 7 3.1 Current situation of the natural gas transmission system ..................................................................................................... 7 3.2 Domestic market ................................................................................................................................................................... 8 3.2.1 Supply of natural gas to Slovenia and access to natural gas sources ..................................................................... 8 3.2.2 Slovenian Energy Concept − orientations ............................................................................................................... 9 3.2.3 Existing supply of transmission capacity as of 1 January 2017 ............................................................................. 10 3.2.4 Infrastructure standard and compliance with Regulation 994/2010/EU ............................................................. 12 3.2.5 Supply and demand for transmission capacity – territorial coverage .................................................................. 15 3.2.6 Comparison of the role of natural gas in Slovenia and Europe ............................................................................ 17 3.2.7 Natural gas consumption in the country in the 2008 – 2016 period .................................................................... 20 3.2.8 Demand and anticipated supply of transmission capacity ................................................................................... 21 3.2.9 Forecast of natural gas consumption and booking of transmission capacity for the 2018 – 2027 period ........... 24 3.3 Cross-border transmission capacity and booking ................................................................................................................ 26 3.3.1 Demand for booking at cross-border interconnection points .............................................................................. 27 3.3.2 Booking of transmission capacity at cross-border interconnection points in 2016 .............................................. 28 3.3.3 Booking forecast and estimates ........................................................................................................................... 31 4 Set of planned gas infrastructure for the 2018 − 2027 period ........................................................................................ 34 4.1 Projects to increase operational security............................................................................................................................. 34 4.1.1 "Management Centre" project ............................................................................................................................. 36 4.2 Connection projects ............................................................................................................................................................. 38 4.3 Development of interconnection points with the neighbouring transmission systems ....................................................... 41 4.4 Projects in preparation and planning in the 2018 − 2020 period and projects in implementation ..................................... 45 4.5 Assessment of options for the increase of energy efficiency ............................................................................................... 47 5 European dimension of natural gas supply .................................................................................................................... 50 5.1 Development of exchanges with other countries ................................................................................................................ 50 5.2 Supply of natural gas to EU countries and access to natural gas sources ........................................................................... 51 5.3 REGULATION (EU) No. 347/2013 on guidelines for trans-European energy infrastructure ................................................. 52 5.3.1 PCI 2015 list .......................................................................................................................................................... 53 5.4 ENTSOG ............................................................................................................................................................................... 54 5.4.1 TYNDP ................................................................................................................................................................... 55 5.4.2 GRIP CEE and GRIP Southern Corridor .................................................................................................................. 56 ANNEXES ............................................................................................................................................................................... 57 Abbreviations ........................................................................................................................................................................ 77 2 Ten-Year Gas Transmission Network Development Plan for the 2018 - 2027 Period Preface This is the material of the tenth Gas Transmission Network Development Plan for the ten-year period, for the 2018 – 2027 period. It was developed in coordination with the European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas (ENTSOG) and in the process of two regional development plans. Moreover, we are considering the development of neighbouring transmission systems and neighbouring gas markets, we pay special attention to the domestic gas market, the development of natural gas consumption in the country, and thus the necessary development of the transmission system. Moreover, we are continuing with the in-depth analyses of natural gas consumption in the future. The gas market is becoming more and more dynamic and insecure, natural gas flows in the transmission system and the natural gas consumption show growth, while the directions of natural gas flows have become increasingly unpredictable. We have recently used the term "dynamic market" only to describe the growing number of transmission contracts concluded for periods that began to shorten, and now this concept has expanded to all areas of our operations. The vibrancy of the market affects the scope of our work, business operations, and the planning of what the transmission system needs for its operation. The concern for reliable, safe and economical operation of the transmission system is at the forefront and properly covered in this document. We have analysed the presented projects, prioritised them and determined their implementation time line, using the prescribed procedures and tools. Our guiding principles were our assessments of the role and opportunities of natural gas as an environmentally- friendly energy product at the national level and in individual areas of the country. Marjan Eberlinc General Manager Sarah Jezernik Deputy General Manager 3 Ten-Year Gas Transmission Network Development Plan for the 2018 - 2027 Period Summary The Slovenian gas transmission system is part of the energy infrastructure of national importance that is present in 108 of the total 212 Slovenian municipalities. In the energy balance sheet of the Republic of Slovenia for the year 2016 it was estimated that in the final energy consumption structure the share of petroleum products will stand out with 46.5%, followed by electricity with 22.5%, renewable energy sources with 13.8%, natural gas with 12.1%, heat with 3.7%, industrial waste with 0.8% and solid fuels with 0.7%. As an energy product, compared to the European average, natural gas has a much more modest representation in the national energy balance sheet, with the exception of industrial consumers sector. The transmission
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