Cross-Border Barriers to the Development of HSR Projects: Analysis of the Singapore- Kuala Lumpur High Speed Rail Link
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Cross-border Barriers to the Development of HSR Projects: Analysis of the Singapore- Kuala Lumpur High Speed Rail Link by Iori Mori B.S., Mechanical Engineering Keio University, 2005 M.S., School of Integrated Design Engineering Keio University, 2007 Submitted to the Engineering Systems Division in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Technology and Policy at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology June 2014 © 2014 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. All rights reserved Signature of Author ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Technology and Policy Program, Engineering Systems Division May 22, 2014 Certified by ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Joseph M. Sussman JR East Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Engineering Systems Thesis Supervisor Accepted by ____________________________________________________________________________________________________ Dava J. Newman Professor of Aeronautics and Astronautics and Engineering Systems Director, Technology and Policy Program Cross-border Barriers to the Development of HSR Projects: Analysis of the Singapore- Kuala Lumpur High Speed Rail Link by Iori Mori Submitted to the Engineering System Division on May 22, 2014, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Technology and Policy Abstract It is widely recognized that the benefits of High Speed Rail (HSR) such as a driving force of the economy, helps us to reshape the activities of people and business. These benefits were brought to light for its reliability, safety, punctuality and environmentally sustainability compared to other transport alternatives. Given this myriad of advantages, there is a question why there are only small numbers of border crossing HSR exists in Europe and Southeast Asia though both areas place great emphasis on further integration of the region. The objectives of this research are two-fold: 1) From the European cross-border HSR cases, find what the cross-border “effect” is. How could we overcome this situation and how could we learn a lesson from the existing projects? 2) Cross-border HSR project between Singapore and Malaysia has been proposed in 2013 and expecting to start the operation by 2020 but still has not made their final proposal with number of uncertainties. What could be their current “hesitation”, or future “barrier” for not making progress? This research has developed a framework for understanding the viability of cross-border rail projects as well as presenting what each stakeholders needs to make this cross-border HSR project happen. This outcome will help understand whether this will be a viable project to pursue and to what extent will this be beneficial between the two countries when it makes progress. Expected outcome of this research is to propose a “road-map” and a supporting tool for all the actors involved in this project to clearly understand what the current state of this complex system is, and use it as a tool to see how the potential alternatives might affect the system. Assuming the project will make progress if all the “barriers” are removed, it is important to let them visually understand what the current “barriers” are, what are ways to be removed out and what could be the tools or methods to support this project to make progress. As we have more diverse actors being involved, it is reasonable to think that visualization is important to have people intuitively understand other’s intention. Thesis Supervisor: Joseph M. Sussman Title: JR East Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Engineering Systems -3- Acknowledgements -人生、何事をもなさぬにはあまりに長いが何事かをなすにはあまりに短い - 中島敦・小説家 -Life is too long to do nothing, but too short to achieve something- A.Nakajima, Novelist My two years at MIT went past by my side too quick. But every day, what I saw, heard, said, felt and every single second I have experienced at MIT made my life more valuable. As 「人」 (Hito, means “a person” in Kanji-character) illustrates a person supporting another person, I was truly supported by number of people for this miraculous journey at MIT. First and foremost, my sincere gratitude goes to my thesis advisor, Professor Joseph Sussman. It was such a valuable time having an opportunity to work with you. A strong support by your generosity and kindness with your intelligence has made me go this far. I personally loved your open-minded vision and how you show interest to people’s talk. I would like to extend my special thanks to East Japan Railway Company for all the support for providing me this tremendous opportunity. These two years of studying was totally an eye-opener and without any doubt, these valuable days have expanded my horizons. Thank you to TPP staff, Ms. Barbara De La Barre, Dr. Frank Field, Prof. Joel Clark and Prof. Dava Newman and Mr. Ed Ballo for this two years of support. And to all my classmates who made my two years at TPP unforgettable. Greatest thanks to the members of Regional Transportation Planning and High-Speed Rail Research Group; Joel Carlson, Soshi Kawakami, Ryan Westrom, Maite Peia-Alcaraz, Sam Levy, Rebecca Heywood and Andrés F. Archila. Each one of you made my 2 years of journey exciting, splendid and unforgettable. Another big thanks to all of the people who have participated in my experiment (see Chapter 3): to my generous friends and to our research group members for spending substantial time for my experiment. The results came out fabulous with tremendous amount of good insights, which made my Chapter 3 interesting. ~~ Last but not least, to my loving family; Natsuko and Ryuma, who made my everyday life so special. -4- Table of Contents Cross-border Barriers to the Development of HSR Projects: Analysis of the Singapore- Kuala Lumpur High Speed Rail Link -Table of Contents - Abstract ································································································································· 3 Acknowledgements ················································································································ 4 Chapter 1 Introduction ··························································································· 11 1.1. High-speed Rail throughout the World ································································· 11 1.2. High Speed Rail in Europe ··················································································· 11 1.3. The Benefits of HSR ···························································································· 13 1.4. Motivation ········································································································· 15 1.4.1. Increase in demand but still low in numbers ······················································ 15 1.4.2. Domestic HSR VS Cross-border HSR ··································································· 17 1.5. Objective of this thesis ························································································ 19 1.6. The structure of thesis ························································································· 20 Chapter 2 Transportation and Borders: Are borders a barrier or a system of classification? ···················································································· 21 2.1. What is a border? ································································································ 21 2.2. History of borders ······························································································· 21 2.3. Purpose of borders ······························································································ 22 2.3.1. In the past ······································································································· 22 2.3.2 Borders in today’s world ···················································································· 23 2.4. How might barriers to entry be lowered? ····························································· 23 2.5. Birth of Union ····································································································· 26 2.5.1. Birth of the European Union ············································································· 26 2.5.1.1. Germination of unifying Europe ············································································ 26 2.5.1.2. After World War II ································································································· 26 2.5.1.3. European Community to European Union ···························································· 27 2.5.1.4. The purpose of EU ·································································································· 27 2.5.1.5. How did the EU happen? ······················································································· 27 2.5.2. Schengen Treaty to lower the bars ···································································· 28 2.6 Conclusion ··········································································································· 28 - 5 - Table of Contents Chapter 3 Structuring the Problem - Application of KJ Method ································ 31 3.1. Objective of this Chapter ····················································································· 31 3.2. Problem Structuring by applying KJ-Method ························································