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Minsk II a Fragile Ceasefire
Briefing 16 July 2015 Ukraine: Follow-up of Minsk II A fragile ceasefire SUMMARY Four months after leaders from France, Germany, Ukraine and Russia reached a 13-point 'Package of measures for the implementation of the Minsk agreements' ('Minsk II') on 12 February 2015, the ceasefire is crumbling. The pressure on Kyiv to contribute to a de-escalation and comply with Minsk II continues to grow. While Moscow still denies accusations that there are Russian soldiers in eastern Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin publicly admitted in March 2015 to having invaded Crimea. There is mounting evidence that Moscow continues to play an active military role in eastern Ukraine. The multidimensional conflict is eroding the country's stability on all fronts. While the situation on both the military and the economic front is acute, the country is under pressure to conduct wide-reaching reforms to meet its international obligations. In addition, Russia is challenging Ukraine's identity as a sovereign nation state with a wide range of disinformation tools. Against this backdrop, the international community and the EU are under increasing pressure to react. In the following pages, the current status of the Minsk II agreement is assessed and other recent key developments in Ukraine and beyond examined. This briefing brings up to date that of 16 March 2015, 'Ukraine after Minsk II: the next level – Hybrid responses to hybrid threats?'. In this briefing: • Minsk II – still standing on the ground? • Security-related implications of the crisis • Russian disinformation -
REGLUGERÐ Um Breyting Á Reglugerð Um Þvingunaraðgerðir Varðandi Úkraínu Nr
Nr. 745 9. júlí 2015 REGLUGERÐ um breyting á reglugerð um þvingunaraðgerðir varðandi Úkraínu nr. 281/2014, ásamt síðari breytingum. 1. gr. Þvingunaraðgerðir. Á eftir 33. tölul. 1. mgr. 2. gr. reglugerðar um þvingunaraðgerðir varðandi Úkraínu nr. 281/2014, ásamt síðari breytingum, komi eftirfarandi töluliðir sem hljóði svo: 34) Ákvörðun ráðsins 2014/933/SSUÖ frá 18. desember 2014 um breytingu á ákvörðun 2014/386/SSUÖ um þvingunaraðgerðir vegna ólöglegrar innlimunar Kríms og Sevastopol. 35) Ákvörðun ráðsins (SSUÖ) 2015/959 frá 19. júní 2015 um breytingu á ákvörðun 2014/386/SSUÖ um þvingunaraðgerðir vegna ólöglegrar innlimunar Kríms og Sevastopol. 36) Reglugerð ráðsins (ESB) nr. 1351/2014 frá 18. desember 2014 um breytingu á reglugerð (ESB) nr. 692/2014 um þvingunaraðgerðir vegna ólöglegrar innlimunar Kríms og Sevastopol. 37) Ákvörðun ráðsins 2014/801/SSUÖ frá 17. nóvember 2014 um breytingu á ákvörðun 2015/145/SSUÖ um þvingunaraðgerðir með tilliti til aðgerða sem grafa undan eða ógna landamærahelgi, fullveldi og sjálfstæði Úkraínu. 38) Ákvörðun ráðsins 2014/855/SSUÖ frá 28. nóvember 2014 um breytingu á ákvörðun 2015/145/SSUÖ um þvingunaraðgerðir með tilliti til aðgerða sem grafa undan eða ógna landamærahelgi, fullveldi og sjálfstæði Úkraínu. 39) Ákvörðun ráðsins (SSUÖ) 2015/241 frá 9. febrúar 2015 um breytingu á ákvörðun 2015/145/SSUÖ um þvingunaraðgerðir með tilliti til aðgerða sem grafa undan eða ógna landamærahelgi, fullveldi og sjálfstæði Úkraínu. 40) Ákvörðun ráðsins (SSUÖ) 2015/432 frá 13. mars 2015 um breytingu á ákvörðun 2015/145/SSUÖ um þvingunaraðgerðir með tilliti til aðgerða sem grafa undan eða ógna landamærahelgi, fullveldi og sjálfstæði Úkraínu. 41) Framkvæmdarreglugerð ráðsins (ESB) nr. -
Russia's Hybrid Warfare
Research Paper Research Division – NATO Defense College, Rome – No. 105 – November 2014 Russia’s Hybrid Warfare Waging War below the Radar of Traditional Collective Defence by H. Reisinger and A. Golts1 “You can’t modernize a large country with a small war” Karl Schlögel The Research Division (RD) of the NATO De- fense College provides NATO’s senior leaders with “Ukraine is not even a state!” Putin reportedly advised former US President sound and timely analyses and recommendations on current issues of particular concern for the Al- George W. Bush during the 2008 NATO Summit in Bucharest. In 2014 this liance. Papers produced by the Research Division perception became reality. Russian behaviour during the current Ukraine convey NATO’s positions to the wider audience of the international strategic community and con- crisis was based on the traditional Russian idea of a “sphere of influence” and tribute to strengthening the Transatlantic Link. a special responsibility or, stated more bluntly, the “right to interfere” with The RD’s civil and military researchers come from countries in its “near abroad”. This perspective is also implied by the equally a variety of disciplines and interests covering a 2 broad spectrum of security-related issues. They misleading term “post-Soviet space.” The successor states of the Soviet conduct research on topics which are of interest to Union are sovereign countries that have developed differently and therefore the political and military decision-making bodies of the Alliance and its member states. no longer have much in common. Some of them are members of the European Union and NATO, while others are desperately trying to achieve The opinions expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the this goal. -
Trafficking in Transnistria: the Role of Russia
Trafficking in Transnistria: The Role of Russia by Kent Harrel SIS Honors Capstone Supervised by Professors Linda Lubrano and Elizabeth Anderson Submitted to the School of International Service American University In partial fulfillment of the requirements for graduation with General University Honors Bachelor of Arts Degree May 2009 Abstract After declaring de facto independence from the Republic of Moldova in 1992, the breakaway region of Transnistria became increasingly isolated, and has emerged as a hotspot for weapons and human trafficking. Working from a Realist paradigm, this project assesses the extent to which the Russian government and military abet trafficking in Transnistria, and the way in which Russia uses trafficking as a means to adversely affect Moldova’s designs of broader integration within European spheres. This project proves necessary because the existing scholarship on the topic of Transnistrian trafficking failed to focus on the role of the Russian government and military, and in turn did not account for the ways in which trafficking hinders Moldova’s national interests. The research project utilizes sources such as trafficking policy centers, first-hand accounts, trade agreements, non-governmental organizations, and government documents. A review of the literature employs the use of secondary sources such as scholarly and newspaper articles. In short, this project develops a more comprehensive understanding of Russia’s role in Moldovan affairs and attempts to add a significant work to the existing literature. -
Ukraine Resolution on Mariupol.Pdf (23.08
DAV15155 S.L.C. 114TH CONGRESS 1ST SESSION S. RES. ll Expressing the sense of the Senate regarding the January 24, 2015, attacks carried out by Russian-backed rebels on the civilian population in Mariupol, Ukraine, and the provision of lethal and non-lethal military assistance to Ukraine. IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES llllllllll Mr. JOHNSON (for himself and Mrs. SHAHEEN) submitted the following resolution; which was referred to the Committee on llllllllll RESOLUTION Expressing the sense of the Senate regarding the January 24, 2015, attacks carried out by Russian-backed rebels on the civilian population in Mariupol, Ukraine, and the provision of lethal and non-lethal military assistance to Ukraine. Whereas Russian-backed rebels continue to expand their cam- paign in Ukraine, which has already claimed more than 5,000 lives and generated an estimated 1,500,000 refu- gees and internally displaced persons; Whereas, on January 23, 2015, Russian rebels pulled out of peace talks with Western leaders; DAV15155 S.L.C. 2 Whereas, on January 24, 2015, the Ukrainian port city of Mariupol received rocket fire from territory in the Donetsk region controlled by rebels; Whereas, on January 24, 2015, Alexander Zakharchenko, leader of the Russian-backed rebel Donetsk People’s Re- public, publicly announced that his troops had launched an offensive against Mariupol; Whereas Mariupol is strategically located on the Sea of Azov and is a sea link between Russian-occupied Crimea and Russia, and could be used to form part of a land bridge between Crimea and -
List of Persons and Entities Under EU Restrictive Measures Over the Territorial Integrity of Ukraine
dhdsh PRESS Council of the European Union EN List of persons and entities under EU restrictive measures over the territorial integrity of Ukraine List of Persons Name Identifying Reasons Date of listing information 1. Sergey Valeryevich DOB: 26.11.1972. Aksyonov was elected 'Prime Minister of Crimea' in the Crimean 17.3.2014 AKSYONOV, Verkhovna Rada on 27 February 2014 in the presence of pro-Russian POB: Beltsy (Bălţi), gunmen. His 'election' was decreed unconstitutional by the acting Sergei Valerievich now Republic of Ukrainian President Oleksandr Turchynov on 1 March 2014. He actively AKSENOV (Сергей Moldova lobbied for the 'referendum' of 16 March 2014 and was one of the co- Валерьевич signatories of the ’treaty on Crimea´s accession to the Russian AKCëHOB), Federation’ of 18 March 2014. On 9 April 2014 he was appointed acting Serhiy Valeriyovych ‘Head’ of the so-called ‘Republic of Crimea’ by President Putin. On 9 AKSYONOV (Сергiй October 2014, he was formally ‘elected’ 'Head' of the so-called 'Republic Валерiйович Аксьонов) of Crimea'. Aksyonov subsequently decreed that the offices of ‘Head’ and ‘Prime Minister’ be combined. Member of the Russia State Council. 1/83 dhdsh PRESS Council of the European Union EN Name Identifying Reasons Date of listing information 2. Rustam Ilmirovich DOB: 15.8.1976 As former Deputy Minister of Crimea, Temirgaliev played a relevant role 17.3.2014 TEMIRGALIEV in the decisions taken by the ‘Supreme Council’ concerning the POB: Ulan-Ude, ‘referendum’ of 16 March 2014 against the territorial integrity of Ukraine. (Рустам Ильмирович Buryat ASSR He lobbied actively for the integration of Crimea into the Russian Темиргалиев) (Russian SFSR) Federation. -
Citizens and the State in the Government-Controlled Territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk Regions Problems, Challenges and Visions of the Future
Citizens and the state in the government-controlled territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions Problems, challenges and visions of the future Funded by: This document has been produced with the financial assistance of the European Union through International Alert. The contents of this document are the sole responsibility of International Alert and UCIPR and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union. Layout: Nick Wilmot Creative Front cover image: A mother and daughter living in temporary accommodation for those displaced by the violence in Donetsk, 2014. © Andrew McConnell/Panos © International Alert/Ukrainian Center for Independent Political Research 2017 Citizens and the state in the government-controlled territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions Problems, challenges and visions of the future October 2017 2 CONTENTS 1. Introduction 3 2. Methodology 6 3. Findings 7 4. Statements from interviewees 22 5. Conclusions and recommendations 30 Citizens and the state in the government-controlled territories of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions 3 1. INTRODUCTION The demarcation line (the line of contact)1 and the ‘grey zone’ between the government-controlled2 and uncontrolled territories3 of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions separates the parties to the conflict in the east of Ukraine. The areas controlled by the Ukrainian authorities and bordering the ‘grey zone’ are very politically sensitive, highly militarised, and fall under a special governance regime that is different from the rest of the country. In the absence of a comprehensive political settlement and amid uncertain prospects, it is unclear how long this situation will remain. It is highly likely that over the next few years, Ukrainians in areas adjacent to the contact line will live under very particular and unusual governance structures, and in varying degrees of danger. -
Ukraine After Minsk II: the Next Level Hybrid Responses to Hybrid Threats?
Briefing 16 March 2015 Ukraine after Minsk II: the next level Hybrid responses to hybrid threats? SUMMARY One month after leaders from France, Germany, Ukraine and Russia reached a 13‐point peace agreement in Minsk on 12 February 2015 – Minsk II, a follow‐up to the September 2014 Minsk Protocol – the ceasefire is shaky, although it has at least reduced the number of deaths in combat, and the pressure on the international community to act continues. While Russia denies accusations that it has been sending troops and weapons to support separatists in Ukraine's east, the undeclared 'hybrid war' is developing on all fronts. In the face of a shaky ceasefire and Ukraine's crumbling economy, the EU, the US and major international actors are discussing possible political, military, and economic responses to the deteriorating crisis. At the same time, EU Member States and NATO are stepping up efforts to counter Russia's 'information warfare'. The on‐going crisis in Ukraine erupted after former President Viktor Yanukovych refused to sign an Association Agreement with the EU in November 2013 and sought closer ties to Russia. Russia's active role in the eastern Ukraine crisis has exposed divides in the EU and the international community on how to react to hybrid threats. It comes at a time when the effectiveness of the EU's Neighbourhood Policy, including the Eastern Partnership, is being questioned. This briefing is a follow‐up to the 12 February 2015 briefing 'Minsk peace agreement: still to be consolidated on the ground'. In this briefing: Minsk -
Putin's Frozen Conflicts and the Conflict in Ukraine
Antagonizing the Neighborhood: Putin’s Frozen Conflicts and the Conflict in Ukraine Testimony before Subcommittee on Europe, Eurasia, Energy, and the Environment Committee on Foreign Relations United States House of Representatives March 11, 2020 Stephen B. Nix, Esq. Eurasia Regional Director International Republican Institute A nonprofit organization dedicated to advancing democracy worldwide Stephen B. Nix, Esq. Congressional Testimony House Committee on Foreign Affairs March 11, 2020 Chairman Keating, Ranking Member Kinzinger, Members of the subcommittee, thank you for the opportunity to appear before you today. The conflicts imposed upon Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova by Vladimir Putin have created military, political and policy challenges in all these countries. In addition to providing factual and political analysis in all the countries, we hope to provide the subcommittee with policy recommendations as to how the U.S. might engage in all these situations. Ukraine – Crimea and Donbas Since assuming office, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has dramatically enhanced his government’s efforts to resolve the crisis posed by the Russian-occupied territories of Donbas and Crimea. In a few short months, the Ukrainian government has increased its level of engagement with Ukrainian citizens still residing in these territories, improved the quality of critical public services to address needs created by the conflict, and re-invigorated diplomatic efforts to increase international pressure on the Kremlin to allow for the reintegration of these territories. It is crucial that the United States does all it can to support the Ukrainian government in achieving these aims. Challenges The conflict has created a humanitarian crisis in Donbas as vital public infrastructure, such as airports, bridges, highways, apartment buildings, and power and water lines have been destroyed or severely damaged. -
40 Individuals 1 Viktor YANUKOVYCH(YANUKOVICH
(Attachment) 40 individuals 1 Viktor YANUKOVYCH(YANUKOVICH) Former President of Ukraine Date of birth:July 9, 1950 Place of birth:Yenakievo (Ukraine) 2 Sergey(Sergei) AKSYONOV(AKSENOV) “Acting Head of the Republic of Crimea” Date of birth:November 26, 1972 Place of birth:Balti (Republic of Moldova) 3 Vladimir KONSTANTINOV “Speaker of the State Council of the Republic of Crimea” Date of birth:November 19, 1956 Place of birth:Vladimirovca (Republic of Moldova) 4 Rustam TEMIRGALIEV Former “Deputy Chairman of the Council of Ministers of the Republic of Crimea” Date of birth:August 15, 1976 Place of birth:Ulan-Ude (Russian Federation) 5 Denis (Denys) BEREZOVSKIY(BEREZOVSKY/BEREZOVSKII) Deputy Commander of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Navy Date of birth:July 15, 1974 Place of birth:Kharkiv (Ukraine) 6 Aleksei(Alexey) CHALIY(CHALYY) Former “Governor of the City of Sevastopol” Date of birth:June 13, 1961 7 Petr(Pyotr) ZIMA Former Head of the Security Service of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea Date of birth:March 29, 1965 8 Yuriy (Yurii) ZHEREBTSOV “Counsellor of the Speaker of the State Council of the Republic of Crimea” Date of birth:November 19, 1969 9 Sergey(Sergei) TSEKOV Member of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation (from “the Republic of Crimea”) Date of birth:September 28, 1953 10 Mikhail MALYSHEV “Chairman of the Electoral Commission of the Republic of Crimea” Date of birth:October 10, 1955 11 Valery(Valeriy/Valerii) MEDVEDEV “Chairman of the Electoral Commission of the City of Sevastopol” Date of birth:August 21, -
The Kremlin's Irregular Army: Ukrainian Separatist Order of Battle
THE KREMLIN’S IRREGULARY ARMY: UKRAINIAN SEPARATIST ORDER OF BATTLE | FRANKLIN HOLCOMB | AUGUST 2017 Franklin Holcomb September 2017 RUSSIA AND UKRAINE SECURITY REPORT 3 THE KREMLIN’S IRREGULAR ARMY: UKRAINIAN SEPARATIST ORDER OF BATTLE WWW.UNDERSTANDINGWAR.ORG 1 Cover: A Pro-Russian separatist sits at his position at Savur-Mohyla, a hill east of the city of Donetsk, August 28, 2014. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov. Reproduced with permission. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing or from the publisher. ©2017 by the Institute for the Study of War. Published in 2017 in the United States of America by the Instittue for the Study of War. 1400 16th Street NW, Suite 515 | Washington, DC 20036 understandingwar.org 2 Franklin Holcomb The Kremlin’s Irregular Army: Ukrainian Separatist Order of Battle ABOUT THE AUTHOR Franklin Holcomb is a Russia and Ukraine Research Analyst at the Institute for the Study of War where he focuses on the war in Ukraine, Ukrainian politics, and Russian foreign policy in Eastern Europe. His current research focuses on studying the development of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Russian-backed separatist formations operating in Eastern Ukraine, as well as analyzing Russian political and military activity in Moldova, the Baltic, and the Balkans. Mr. Holcomb is the author of “The Order of Battle of the Ukrainian Armed Forces: A Key Component in European Security,” “Moldova Update: Kremlin Will Likely Seek to Realign Chisinau”, “Ukraine Update: Russia’s Aggressive Subversion of Ukraine,” as well as ISW’s other monthly updates on the political and military situation in Ukraine. -
Situation in Der Ukraine: Verordnung Vom 27
Federal Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research EAER State Secretariat for Economic Affairs SECO Bilateral Economic Relations Sanctions Version of 06.03.2015 Sanctions program: Situation in der Ukraine: Verordnung vom 27. August 2014 über Massnahmen zur Vermeidung der Umgehung internationaler Sanktionen im Zusammenhang mit der Situation in der Ukraine (SR 946.231.176.72), Anhänge 2, 3 und 4 Origin: EU Sanctions: Art. 8 (Verbot der Eröffnung neuer Geschäftsbeziehungen) Sanctions program: Situation en Ukraine: Ordonnance du 27 août 2014 instituant des mesures visant à empêcher le contournement de sanctions internationales en lien avec la situation en Ukraine (RS 946.231.176.72), annexes 2, 3 et 4 Origin: EU Sanctions: art. 8 (Interdiction de nouer de nouvelles relations d’affaires) Sanctions program: Situazione in Ucraina: Ordinanza del 27 agosto 2014 che istituisce provvedimenti per impedire l’aggiramento delle sanzioni internazionali in relazione alla situazione in Ucraina (RS 946.231.176.72), allegati 2, 3 e 4 Origin: EU Sanctions: art. 8 (Divieto di apertura di nuove relazioni d’affari) Individuals SSID: 175-30380 Name: Dremov Pavel Spelling variant: ДРЁМОВ Павел (Russian) DOB: 1976 POB: Stakhanov Good quality a.k.a.: Batya Justification: Commander of the "First Cossack Regiment", an armed separatist group involved in the fighting in eastern Ukraine. In this capacity, he has actively supported actions and policies which undermine the territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence of Ukraine and to further destabilise Ukraine. Modifications: Listed on 6 Mar 2015 SSID: 175-30388 Name: Milchakov Alexey Spelling variant: МИЛЬЧАКОВ Алексей (Russian) DOB: 1991 POB: St. Petersburg Good quality a.k.a.: a) Fritz b) Serbe Justification: Commander of the "Rusich" unit, an armed separatist group involved in the fighting in eastern Ukraine.