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Supplemental Tables and Graphs Figure 1. New York's three "super-regions" 1) New York City 2) Eastern New York Long Island Hudson Valley Capital District 3) Western and Northern New York Mohawk Valley Central New York Southern Tier Finger Lakes Region Western New York North Country Super-region shares of New York State population, 2005 Eastern NY 31.8% New York City 42.3% Western & Northern NY 25.9% Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Figure 2. Population, employment, wages, and per capita income, New York State and "super-regions," 1995-2000 and 2000-2005 Average Annual Change, 1995-2000 Total Real Real Per-Capita Population Employment Wages Income New York State 0.5% 1.8% 4.7% 2.8% Eastern NY 0.6% 1.8% 3.7% 3.3% Western & Northern NY -0.3% 0.8% 1.6% 2.1% New York City 1.0% 2.2% 5.9% 2.6% Average Annual Change, 2000-2005 Total Real Real Per-Capita Population Employment Wages Income* New York State 0.3% -0.3% 0.1% 0.0% Eastern NY 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% -0.2% Western & Northern NY -0.1% -0.4% -0.5% 0.4% New York City 0.3% -0.7% -0.1% -0.1% * Real per-capita income is shown only for 2000-2004. For the state, the average annual change from 2000-2005 is +0.5%; 2005 regional data for personal income have not yet been released. Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census (population); U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (employment and wages); U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) (personal income) Figure 3. Employment changes in New York's regions, first half 2001 to first half 2006 Recession and downturn Recovery First half 2001 to First half 2003 to first half 2003 first half 2006 UNITED STATES -1.8% 3.8% New York State -2.9% 2.1% New York City -5.2% 2.9% Eastern New York -0.1% 2.4% Western & Northern New York -2.5% 0.5% Source: New York State Department of Labor; US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Not seasonally adjusted. See Appendix for details Figure 4. Manufacturing share of wages and employment, New York State and regions, 2005 Average Manufacturing share of manufacturing wage as total % of overall average employment total wages wage New York State 7% 7% 100% New York City 3% 2% 71% Eastern NY 7% 9% 131% Capital Region 6% 9% 134% Hudson Valley Region 7% 11% 153% Long Island Region 7% 8% 114% Western & Northern NY 13% 19% 143% Central Region 11% 16% 143% Finger Lakes Region 16% 23% 144% Mohawk Valley Region 12% 14% 115% North Country Region 9% 13% 143% Southern Tier Region 15% 21% 143% Western New York Region 13% 19% 144% Source: NYS DOL (Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages); analysis by FPI Employment is annual average employment Figure 5. Employment trends in manufacturing, New York State and metropolitan areas, 2000 to 2005 2005 Manufacturing employment manufacturing change 2000 to 2005 employment United States -17.6% 14,232,000 New York State -22.7% 580,100 Albany-Schenectady-Troy -18.9% 23,100 Binghamton -25.4% 17,300 Buffalo-Niagara Falls -23.4% 64,100 Elmira -31.0% 5,800 Glens Falls -9.2% 6,900 Ithaca -11.4% 3,900 Kingston -29.7% 4,500 Nassau-Suffolk -17.3% 87,300 Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown -20.8% 23,200 Rochester -25.6% 76,400 Syracuse -25.4% 33,200 Utica-Rome -26.6% 13,800 New York City -35.4% 114,300 Putnam-Rockland-Westchester -13.6% 32,300 14 metro areas -25.3% 506,100 All non-metro areas 0.5% 74,000 Source: BLS (Current Employment Survey series) Figure 6. Manufacturing output per worker, NY 160 150 140 New York 130 U.S. 120 1997=100 110 100 90 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Source: FPI analysis of BEA and BLS data. Figure 7. Changes in real median wages, 1999 - first half of 2006 5% Change 1999-2002 4% Change 2002-2005 3% Change 2004-5 to 2005-6* New York City 2% 1% New York State Balance of state 0% -1% % change in real median wage -2% -3% -4% Source: FPI analysis of Current Population Survey. People in workforce, ages 18-64. Wages deflated using CPI- U-RS. *J l 2004 J 2005 J l 2005 J 2006 Figure 8. New York State productivity-wage gap, 1995-2005 130 125 output per worker 120 115 110 average annual real wage 1995=100 105 100 95 90 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Source: FPI analysis of BEA data and QCEW data from BLS. Figure 9. Growth in real wage income, New York State, 1995-2003 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 50th pctile 80th pctile 90th pctile 95th pctile 99th pctile 99.5th pctile 99.9th pctile Source: NYS Dept. of Taxation and Finance, wage income for full-year resident returns, annual "Analysis of Personal Income Tax Returns" reports. Analysis by FPI. Share of private Figure 10. health insurance providedbyemployer. Source: CPSMarch supplements,1981-2006. AnalysisbyFPI.Peoplewho workatleast26weeksper year,atleast20hoursper we 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 1980 1981 1982 1983 - 1984 sector employees covered by 1985 U.S. 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 N ew Yor 1992 1993 k 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 ek, withatleast some 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 People withouthealthinsurancecoverage,1990-2005 Figure 11. Share of population 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% Source: U.S.CensusBureau(www.census.gov/hhes/www/hlthins/historic/hihistt4.html) 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 U.S. 1998 N 1999 ew Yor 2000 k 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Figure 12. Health insurance coverage, New York and the United States 100% 14.70% Uninsured 15.80% 80% Other private 60% 40.6% coverage 42.6% Private 40% Employer 12.5% Public employer 11.0% 20% 28.9% Public 25.7% 0% coverage* New York State residents, 2003-2004 U.S. residents, 2004 *Medicare, Medicaid, and other public Source: Kaiser Family Foundation (www.statehealthfacts.org) and FPI analysis of March, 2004 and March, 2005 CPS supplements more than50%overthelast30years,from15.375%to6.85%. N Figure 13. Top marginal tax rate ew YorkStatehascutitstoppersonalincometaxrateby Source: FPIreviewofofficialNYSgovernmentlawsandsupportingdocumentation 10% 12% 14% 16% 6% 8% 1976 Top rateonearnedincome 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 Top rateoninvestmentincome 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Temporary Increase 2003 2004 2006 Figure 14. The state personal income tax helps to balance out the regressivity of the rest of New York's state-local tax system. Taxes as % of family income before federal offset 16% 13.9% 14% Other Taxes Personal Income Tax 12% 10.6% 9.3% 10% 8.3% 8% 7.5% 6.0% 5.5% 6% 5.1% 4.5% 3.7% 3.1% 4% 2.6% 2% 0.8% 0% -2% -1.3% -4% Lowest 20% Second 20% Third 20% Fourth 20% Next 15% Next 4% Top 1% (Over (Less than ($15,000- ($17,000- ($44,000- ($74,000- ($160,000- $634,000) $15,000) $27,000) $44,000) $74,000) $160,000) $634,000) Top 20% Source: Institute on Taxation & Economic Policy, 2003. Chart shows 2002 tax law at 2000 income levels for nonelderly taxpayers. Figure 15. New York State's revenue sharing with local governments has fallen each decade Annual average payments to local As share of governments statutory ($millions) standard* FY 1980-1989 $919.7 66.1% FY 1990-1999 $608.9 25.9% FY 2000-2005 $559.7 17.8% *8% of state revenues Source: FPI analysis of state budget documents Source: StateEducationDepartment,AnalysisofSchoolDistrictFinancesinNYSDistricts,January2006. State aidasashareofpublicschoolbudgetsisat50-yearlow. Figure 16. 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% 1945 State shareoflocalschoolbudgets 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 Sources: MedicaidExpendituresfrom NYSDepartmentofHealth.FullvaluefromOfficeStateComptroller. $0 $1 $2 $3 $4 $5 $6 with weaktaxbasesrelativetotheirconcentrations ofneedyindividuals. N Figure 17. ew York'smethodoffinancingMedicaidplaces greatpressureoncounties Hamilton per $1000. Tax rateper$1000oftaxablefullvaluenecessarytocoverlocalshare Medicaidcosts,excludingNewYorkCityat$9.78 Putnam Suffolk Nassau Westchester Dutchess Essex Warren Saratoga Rockland Delaware Tompkins Columbia Ontario Greene Orange Wyoming Yates Ulster Albany Wayne Otsego Sullivan Schoharie Livingston Madison Herkimer Tioga Washington Genesee Seneca Franklin Lewis Rensselaer Schenectady Cayuga Niagara Schuyler Monroe Jefferson Onondaga Broome Steuben Clinton Erie Orleans Chautauqua Cattaraugus St. Lawrence Oswego Cortland Chenango Chemung Allegany Oneida Fulton Montgomery Figure 18. STAR (school tax relief payments to school districts) increases fiscal disparities rather than reducing them. $2,000 $1,875 $1,797 $1,800 $1,600 $1,476 $1,370 $1,400 $1,260 $1,176 $1,199 $1,200 $1,087 $1,044 STAR per pupil $1,000 $762 $800 $600 Decile 1 - Decile 2 Decile 3 Decile 4 Decile 5 Decile 6 Decile 7 Decile 8 Deciles 9 Decile 10 - Poorest Richest 10% of 10% of Districts CWR* Decile (excluding NYC) Districts (*Combined Wealth Ratio, the measure of a school district's ability to pay used to distribute state aid) Source: FPI analysis of data from NY State Education Department and Office of Real Property Services.
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