Singapore Industrials 1 August 2017 Singapore Aviation Initiation: leveraging on global aircraft additions We highlight the aircraft maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) segment as a bright spot within the Asian aviation industry Valuations might look stretched, but we see consolidation among the players in Singapore as a key catalyst for further rerating Royston Tan Initiating on STE (Buy [1]) and SIAEC (Outperform [2]); maintaining (65) 6321 3086 Hold (3) on SATS and Underperform (4) on Singapore Airlines
[email protected] Investment case: We initiate on the Singapore Aviation sector with a Key stock calls Positive view, and favour the maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) New Prev. players over Singapore Airlines (SIA). With Airbus forecasting the global Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) Rating Underperform Underperform aircraft fleet to almost double over the next 20 years, we expect aviation Target 9.060 9.060 service providers to benefit from increased air/ground traffic and higher Downside q 12.8% volumes of after-market MRO work. Hence, we believe the time is ripe for a SATS (SATS SP) consolidation of Singapore’s MROs, which we flag as a possible catalyst for a Rating Hold Hold further rerating of the MRO segment. Target 5.050 5.050 Upside p 4.6% Catalysts: aircraft growth to drive demand for aviation services. Singapore Technologies Engineering (STE SP) Rating Buy Airbus’ forecast for the global aircraft fleet suggests a supportive Target 4.460 environment for aviation service providers, with services such as ground Upside p 18.3% handling and inflight catering seeing demand rise in step with regional air SIA Engineering (SIE SP) travel.