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A Joint World Bank-QEODStudy
Migration in West Africa
Demographic Aspects
A Joint World Bank-OECD Study With the assistance of Bonnie Lou Newlon and contributions by Chike S. Okoye M. L. Srivastava N. K. Nair Eugene K. Campbell Kenneth Swindell Remy Clairin Michele Fieloux K. C. Zachariah and Julien Conde
Migration in West Africa
Demographic Aspects
Published for the World Bank Oxford University Press Oxford University Press NEW YORK OXFORD LONDON GLASGOW TORONTO MELBR(OURNEWELLINGTON HONG KONG TOKYO KUALA LUMPUR SINGAPORE JAKARTA DELHI BOMBAY CALCUTTA MADRAS KARACHI NAIROBI DAR ES SALAAM CAPE TOWN
© 1981 by the InternationalBank for Reconstructionand Development/ The WorldBank 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington,D.C. 20433 U.S.A. All rights reserved.No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system,or transmitted in any form or by any means,electronic, mechanical, photocopying,recording, or otherwise,without the prior permissionof Oxford UniversityPress. Manufactured in the United Statesof America.
The viewsand interpretationsin this book are the authors' and should not be attributed to the OECD or the World Bank, to their affiliatedorganizations, or to any individual acting in their behalf. The maps have been prepared for the convenienceof readers of this book;the denominationsused and the boundaries showndo not imply, on the part of the OECD, the World Bank, and their affiliates,any judgment on the legal status of any territory or any endorsementor acceptance of such boundaries.
Library of Congress Catalogingin PublicationData Zachariah,Kunniparampil Curien, 1924- Migration in West Arica. Bibliography:p. Includes index. 1. Migration,Internal-Africa, West. 2. Africa West-Emigration and immigration.3. Rural-urban migration-Africa, West. 1. Conde, Julien, joint author. 11. InternationalBank for Reconstruction and Development.111. Organization for Economic Cooperationand Development.IV. Title. HB2125.5.A3Z32 804.8'2' 0966 80-21352 ISBN 0-19-520186-8 ISBN 0-19-520187-6(pbk.) Contents
Preface xi
Acknowledgments xiii
1. Introduction 3 The Scope and Purpose of the Study 3 The Region 4 International Migration 5 Internal Migration 8 Demographic and Socioeconomic Characteristics 9 National Effects of Migration 10
2. Demographic Background 15 Population Growth by Main Natural Regions 17 National Demographic Characteristics 18
3. International Migration 31 Historical Background 31 Recent Trends 34 Consequences of External Migration 44 Causes of Migration 53 Prospects for Migration in West Africa in the 1980s 53
4. Internal Migration 57 Migration between Natural Regions 58 Interregional Internal Migration 58 Principal Areas of In- and Out-migration 59 Characteristics of Internal Migrants 66
5. Rural-Urban Migration 79 Urban Population 80 Rural-Urban Migration: Regional Picture 81 Conclusions 96
Statistical Appendix 99
Bibliography 124
Index 127
v Figures, Maps, and Tables
Figures 1. Percentage of Non-Ivoriansamong Total Workersin the Ivory Coast by Age, Sex,and Urban or Rural Residence, 1975 48 2. Ghana: Age Distributionof In-Migrantsto and Out-Migrants from Accra and Volta Regions,1970 68 3. Age Distributionof In-Migrantsto Brong-AhafoRegion in Ghana, 1970, and Gagnoa Department in the Ivory Coast, 1975 69 4. Togo:Net Migration to Urban Areas by Age and Sex, 1960-70 92 Maps (appear in a section following page 18) 1. West Africa 2. Ghana: Population Density by Local Authorities,1970 3. Ivory Coast: Population Densityby Departments, 1975 4. Upper Volta:Population Density by Department, 1975 5. Liberia: Population Density by County, 1974 6. Togo:Population Density by Region, 1970 7. Senegal:Population Densityby Region, 1976 8. Sierra Leone: PopulationDensity by District, 1974 9. The Gambia: PopulationDensity by Local Government Area, 1973 10. Ivory Coast:Lifetime Immigrants by Country of Birth and Region of Enumeration, 1975 11. Ghana: Foreign Nationalsin Ghana by Country of Origin, 1970 12. Senegal:Lifetime Immigrants in 1971 of African Origin in Senegalby Region of Residence 13. West Africa: Principal External Migration Streams,circa 1975 14. Ghana: Lifetime Interregional Migration to Accra and BrongAhafo,1960 and 1970 15. Ivory Coast:Principal Inmigration Streamsto Abidjan Department, 1975 16. Ivory Coast:Principal Outmigration Streamsfrom Bouake Department, 1975 17. Ivory Coast:Departments in Which Lifetime Immigrants Are in Excessof Lifetime Inmigrants, 1975 18. Liberia: Net Lifetime Migration Streams, 1962 19. Liberia: Net Lifetime Migration Streams, 1974 20. Sierra Leone: MigrationStreams to the Western Area from the Districts, 1975 21. Ivory Coast:Total Population.and ProportionUrban by vi Major Regions,1975 Figures, Maps, and Tables vii 22. Ivory Coast: Departments Accordingto Average Distance Movedby Migrants, 1975 Tables 1. Recent Population Censusesin West Africa 4 2. Demographic Indicators of Nine West African Countries 15 3. Trends in DemographicIndicators, 1950-75 16 4. Population by Natural Region, 1975 17 5. Ghana: Population Growth, 1921-70 19 6. Ghana: RegionalDistribution of the Population, Percentage Increase, and Density, 1960-70 19 7. The Ivory Coast: PopulationGrowth, 1920-75 20 8. The Ivory Coast: PopulationGrowth by Region, 1965-75 21 9. Upper Volta:Population Growth, 1961-75 22 10. Upper Volta: Population Distributionand Density by Ethnic Region, 1960-75 23 11. Upper Volta:Resident Population Growth by Ethnic Region, 1960-75 24 12. Liberia: Spatial Distribution,Growth of Population, and Density, 1962-74 25 13. Togo:Resident Population, 1960 and 1970 26 14. Senegal:Total Populationby Region and Density, 1976 27 15. Sierra Leone: Total Population by AdministrativeDistrict, 1963 and 1974 28 16. The Gambia: Total Population as Reported in the Censuses, 1901-73 29 17. The Gambia: Population in Local Government Areas, 1963 and 1973 29 18. Upper Volta:Emigration by Year of Departure and Country of Destination,Retrospective Data Collectedin 1960-61 32 19. Ghana: TogoNationals Born and Enumerated in Ghana, 1905-60 33 20. Foreign Nationalsby Country of Residence,circa 1975 34 21. Foreign Nationalsby Country of Nationality and Country of Enumeration, circa 1975 35 22. Foreign-bornPersons by Country of Birth, circa 1975 36 23. The Ivory Coast: Percentageof Immigrants by Region, 1975 37 24. Ghana: Distributionof Foreign National Immigrants by Region of Enumeration, 1960 and 1970 39 25. Senegal:Lifetime African Immigrants by Region of Residence,1971 40 26. Foreign Nationalsby Country of Nationality,circa 1975 41 27. Principal External Migration Streams,circa 1975 44 28. Net Migration Estimate, circa 1965-75 45 29. Sex Ratiosof Lifetime Immigrants by Age, circa 1975 46 30. Sex Ratiosof Migrants and Total Populationof WorkingAge, circa 1975 46 31. Age Selectivityof Immigrants,circa 1975 47 32. Percentage of Lifetime Immigrants in Total Population by Age Group, circa 1975 48 33. Employment Ratios by MigrationStatus and Sex,Ghana and the Ivory Coast Combined,circa 1975 49 34. Employed Immigrants Aged Fifteen Years and Over by Country of Residenceand Sex,circa 1975 50 35. The Ivory Coast: Percentageof Non-Ivoriansby Occupation, Sex,and Rural or Urban Residence, 1975 51 viii Migration in West Africa
36. The Ivory Coast: Employed Ivorians and Non-Ivorians by Department, 1975 52 37. Workers' Remittances in Selected West African Countries, 1970-74 53 38. Demographic Consequences of External Migration in Selected West African Countries, 1975-85 54 39. Areal Units Used to Define Internal Migration 57 40. Migration between Savanna and Coastal Regions, circa 1975 58 41. Interregional Internal Lifetime Migration, circa 1975 59 42. Principal Areas of Lifetime In-migration and Out-migration 60 43. Internal and External Migration Rates by Groups of Countries, circa 1975 60 44. Ghana: Lifetime Interregional Migration, 1960 and 1970, and Net Period Migration, 1960-70 61 45. The Ivory Coast: Lifetime Internal and External Migration, 1975 62 46. Liberia: Net Gain from Exchange of Population (Both Sexes) between Counties, 1974 62 47. Senegal: Lifetime Interregional Migrants, 1960 and 1971, and Net Migration, 1960-71 63 48. Senegal: Rates of Interregional Period Migration, 1960-71 63 49. Upper Volta: Number and Percentage of Interdepartmental Lifetime Migrants, 1975 64 50. Upper Volta: Net Interdepartmental Exchange of Lifetime Migration, Both Sexes, 1975 64 51. Togo: Lifetime Migrants among the Resident Population by Region of Residence, 1970 65 52. Sierra Leone: Net Migration by Administrative Area, 1963-74 65 53. The Gambia: Lifetime Internal Migration, 1963 and 1973 66 54. Percentage Age Distribution of Migrants and Nonmigrants in Five West African Countries, circa 1975 67 55. Age Distribution of Intraregional and Interregional Migrants and Nonmigrants: Ghana, 1970, and the Ivory Coast, 1975 68 56. Sex Ratios of Migrants and Nonmigrants by Age: Ghana, 1970, and the Ivory Coast, 1975 69 57. Upper Volta: Proportion of Single Male and Female Migrants by Age and Type of Migrant, 1975 70 58. Ghana: Index of Educational Attainment of Male Migrants and Nonmigrants, 1960 and 1970 71 59. Ghana: Index of Educational Attainment of Male Migrants and Nonmigrants by Urban or Rural Birthplace, 1960 71 60. Ghana: Index of Educational Attainment of Male Adult Migrants and Nonmigrants by Region of Birth, 1960 72 61. Ghana: Educational Attainment of Male Migrants and Nonmigrants by Duration of Residence and Rural or Urban Origin and Destination, 1960 72 62. Togo: Percentage Distribution of the Resident Population Aged Twelve Years and Over by Sex, Education, and Migration Status, 1970 73 63. Togo: Percentage Distribution of the Resident Population Aged Twelve Years and Over in Lome Commune by Sex, Educational Level, and Migration Status, 1970 74 64. Internal Migrant Workers Aged Fifteen Years and Over by Country and Sex, circa 1975 75 Figures, Maps, and Tables ix
65. Employed Persons Aged Fifteen Years and Over by Migration Status, circa 1975 75 66. Ghana: Percentage of Migrants and Nonmigrants in Nonagricultural Sectors, 1960 and 1970 76 67. Ghana: Percentage Distribution of Migrants and Nonmigrants by Major Industrial Group, 1960 and 1970 76 68. Togo: Percentage Distribution of the Resident Population Aged Twelve Years and Over by Sex, Occupation, and Migration Status, 1970 77 69. Proportion of Urban Population in Africa by Region, 1975 79 70. Urban Population by National Definition, West Africa, circa 1975 79 71. Population of Cities of 100,000 or More in West Africa, circa 1975 80 72. Distribution of Urban Localities by Population Size, circa 1975 81 73. Annual Growth Rate of Urban Population and Total Population, Most Recent Intercensal Period, circa 1965-75 81 74. Net Rural-Urban Migration, Intercensal Period, circa 1965-75 82 75. Urban Growth by Components, Varied Periods, 1960-76 82 76. Ghana: Urban Localities and Urban Population, 1948, 1960, and 1970 83 77. Ghana: Adult Lifetime Migrants by Rural or Urban Origin and Destination, 1960 and 1970 83 78. Ghana: Net Migration to Urban Areas by Region Compared with Net Migration between Regions, 1960-70 84 79. Ghana: Net Migration to Urban Areas by Age, 1960-70 85 80. Ghana: Index of Educational Attainment of Male Adult Migrants and Nonmigrants by Urban or Rural Birthplace and Place of Enumeration, 1960 and 1970 86 81. Ghana: Percentage Distribution of Migrants and Nonmigrants by Major Occupational Category, 1960 87 82. Ivory Coast: Composition of Urban and Rural Growth, 1965-75 88 83. The Ivory Coast: Percentage of Immigrants and Internal Migrants in Rural and Urban Areas by Department of Enumeration, 1975 89 84. The Ivory Coast: Percentage of In-migrants to Abidjan Ville and Bouake Ville by Department of Origin, 1975 90 85. Senegal: Lifetime Migration to Urban, Semi-urban, and Rural Areas, 1971 91 86. Togo: Net Migration to Communes, 1960-70 91 87. Upper Volta: Percentage Distribution of Urban Population by Department and Place of Birth, 1975 94 88. Upper Volta: The Composition of Growth of Ouagadougou and Bobo-Dioulasso, 1960-75 95 89. The Gambia: Population of Banjul, 1901-73 96 I Preface
Migrationpatterns acrossand within national boundaries affect the distribution of resources-especially human capital. When, as in West Africa, there is a large number of people involved, the economic and social effects of migration are significantfor the developmentof both the countriesof origin and the countries of destination. Data from the 1960 and 1970 series of censusesand surveys in West Africaindicate the magnitude of the flow. From 1965to 1975six countries (the Ivory Coast,Senegal, Sierra Leone,Togo, Liberia, and the Gambia)had a net gain of 1.3 million people from migration alone, while three countries (Upper Volta, Ghana, and Mali) experienceda net lossof 1.2 million. About4.4 million people migrated within their respective countries. For both international and internal movements, the direction of the flow-from the interior toward the coast and from rural to urban areas-affects the regional development of the individual countries and contributesto the problems of urban growth. For these reasons the World Bank and the Organisation for Economic Co- operation and Development(OECD) agreed in 1975 to sponsora research project to investigateregional migration patterns and trends in West Africa. It was the first such study ever attempted in this area, where migration is of great impor- tance to national development. The project was originallydesigned as an ambitious two-part study. The first part was to deal with the demographicdimensions and characteristicsof migra- tion, and the second part was to lookat the causesand consequencesof migration in three countriesin West Africa-namely, Ghana, the Ivory Coast, and Upper Volta.The demographic aspect was to be studied from data existingat that time and from populationcensuses that were soon to be available.The analytical part was to be based on data espeeially collected for the purpose through sample surveys in selected eco-regionsin the three countries.' Plans for these sample surveyswere abandoned,however, because of disagreementon the arrangements with potential collaboratingorganizations in the region.The proposalto go ahead with the demographicelement of the project was approved by the WorldBank's Research Committee in 1975, and the OECD agreed to provide the part-time services of a francophone demographer. Within a few weeks the study was initiated with analysis of the census data for Ghana, but the project was pro- longed for two and a half years because two of the principal countries,the Ivorv Coast and Upper Volta, took their first census in 1975,and these data were not available until May 1977. Separate reports were prepared under this project for each of the nine coun- tries covered. Each report contains sectionson the national demographicback- ground, international migration, rural-urban and interregional migration, and the socioeconomiccharacteristics of the migrants in the specificcountry. These
1. An eco-regionis a geographicallylimited area with a commonsystem of economicproduction or base of natural resources,or both; that is, with a shared economicand ecologicalbase. Xi xii Migration in West Africa reports are available in the series of World Bank Staff Working Papers.2 The present volume is based largely on the data contained in the country-specific reports and summarizes their findings. This first study of the distribution of population in the region as a whole is essentially descriptive of the demographic aspects of migration there. It discusses the volume and direction of external and internal migration in the selected countries and presents the socioeconomic characteristics of migrants and non- migrants that are apparent from the available data. Although there is some attempt to point out how recent migratory flows represent changes from histori- cal trends and reflect current patterns of economic opportunity and political stability, the purpose of this study is not to analyze the causes and consequences of migration, and any statement here on these issues is incidental to the primary concern. The book does, however, provide a necessary base for further research into the underlying reasons for migration and its social and economic effects. It is hoped that the findings will also be an asset to researchers and planners of economic and social policy in the countries considered.
2. World Bank, Development Economics Department, Population and Human Resources Division, Demographic Aspects of Migration in West Africa, vol. 1, The English-Speaking Countries (Ghana, Sierra Leone, Liberia, and the Gambia), World Bank Staff Working Paper no. 414; vol. 2, The French- Speaking Countries (the Ivory Coast, Upper Volta, Senegal, and Togo), World Bank Staff Working Paper no. 415 (Washington, D.C., 1980). Acknowledgments
Many people and institutions have contributed to the fulfillment of this study. The Ivory Coast Department of Statistics, Ministry of Finance; the Togo Depart- ment of Statistics; the Liberia Ministry of Planning and Economic Affairs; the Gambia Central Statistics Division, Ministry of Economic Planning and Indus- trial Development; and Georges Sanogoh, director of the Upper Volta Service de la Statistique et de la Mecanographie, provided us with unpublished results from their latest censuses. In addition, E. A. Colecraft, head of the Demographic and Social Statistics Division, Ghana, Central Bureau of Statistics, and B. G. Garbrah, research fellow at the Regional Institute of Population Studies, Legon, gave us tabulations of data from the two most recent censuses in Ghana. Needless to say, this study would not have been possible without these data and the generosity and interest of the governments of the countries of West Africa. The resident representative of the World Bank in Abidjan, the Ivory Coast, Paul Geli, was most helpful in arranging for our meetings with the Ivory Coast Ministry of Finance, so that we could explain our interest in obtaining data. Similarly, L. Maaroufi, the resident representative of the Bank in Ouagadougou, Upper Volta, at the time we began our study, coordinated our receipt of data from that government's statistical office. This assistance helped us greatly in planning and carrying out the research. Many researchers worked on the data of specific countries, writing reports from which our regional study was developed. These include Chike S. Okoye (on Sierra Leone) and Eugene K. Campbell (Western Area, Sierra Leone); M. L. Srivastava (on Liberia); Michele Fieloux (Mali); N. K. Nair (on Senegal, Togo, and Ghana); and Kenneth Swindell (on the Gambian migrant farmers). Remy Clairin kindly provided historical background on migration in the region. Readers in the World Bank and other institutions shared with us their expertise on the countries we studied, giving us their insightful criticisms and suggestions for improvement of the manuscript. These have minimized our errors and added a depth to our findings and conclusions that we could not have achieved otherwise. Among the Bank staff, we would like to thank Johan de Leede, Althea Hill, Michael Lav, David Bovet, and Dean Jamison, in particular. R. Mansell Prothero of the University of Liverpool, Department of Geography; K. T. de Graft-Johnson, deputy chief, Statistics Division, the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa; and N. 0. Addo of the University of Ghana, were most kind in giving their time and knowledge in this regard. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD),the Government of Upper Volta, and the World Bank jointly sponsored a seminar in Ouagadougou on the findings of our research. Its eighty-three participants repre- sented statistical offices and research institutes in the region, as well as concerned international organizations. The criticisms and comments of the participants on our research provided many ideas for improving our analyses, especially the interpretation of our findings, for which we are most grateful. xiii xiv Migration in West Africa Our warmest thanks are offered to the government of Upper Volta for their cosponsorshipof the migationseminar in West Africa. The many kindnessesof the people and officialsof that country shown toward the participants were largely responsiblefor the successof the conference. Florent Agueh,the World Bank resident representative in Ouagadougou,was most generous in providing the servicesof his officeand staff to thoseof us attending as representativesof the Bank, We are personallygrateful for these kindnesses.In addition, his participa- tion in the conferencewas most welcome for he underscored the World Bank's interest in present and future research on the topic. Nancy Birdsall,Smithsonian Interdisciplinary Population Project, and Robert Lucas,Economics Department, BostonUniversity, provided knowledgeable assis- tance in the preparation of the research proposal.We are very appreciative of their efforts and interest. We also wish to thank MichaelOwoeye and James F. Kaye for providing research assistanceon the Liberian data. Bonnie Newlon providedresearch and editorialassistance for the regionaland nine country reports prepared under this researchproject. She participated in the seminar and revised the manuscript on the basis of the commentsreceived there, as well as thosefrom other readers.We are extremely thankful for her substantive and editorial contributions. The administrative staff of the World Bank have given us inestimable assis- tance throughout the project. We would particularly like to thank Ulrich P. Boegli, Louis J. Valenti, and Pilar Garcia for producing the maps. Typography for the book was by Joseph F. Malloy, V. Clare Warren, and M. Jean Seleno. Raphael Blow prepared the figures; and design and productionwas handled by Joyce C. Eisen,and supervisedby Brian J. Svikhartand Elizabeth Dvorscak.Jane H. Carroll edited the final manuscript for publication. Subathra Thavamoney provided secretarial assistance,as the many drafts of the country and regional reports were produced. Her enthusiasmand attention to detail were an asset to our research. We are deeply grateful to Timothy King, chief of the Population and Human ResourcesDivision, Development Economics Department, for his personalinitia- tive, interest, and concern in presenting our project proposal to the Research Committee of the WorldBank for funding, as well as his help and encouragement throughout. To the many who have contributed, our sincere thanks. We alone, of course, are responsiblefor any errors contained herein.
K. C. Zachariah and Julien Conde Migration in West Africa
Demographic Aspects I CHAPTER 1 Introduction
West Africa is one of the few regions of the world where relatively large-scale free movement of people across international boundaries still takes place. Where once movement was compulsory because of wars, the slave trade in the precolo- nial period, and forced labor during the early colonial period, it has become, in recent years, a free migration of individuals and families as part of an effort to better their living conditions. The number of people involved in these move- ments is relatively large, and their economic and social consequences are substan- tial. Around 1975, there were 2.8 million foreign nationals in the nine countries of West Africa included in this study, constituting 7 percent of the total population. Another 4.4 million people were internal migrants in these countries. In the Ivory Coast, 30 percent of the male population aged fifteen to sixty-four years were foreign nationals, 24 percent were interdepartmental internal migrants, 11 per- cent were intradepartmental migrants, and only 35 percent were living in the localities in which they were born. In two of the countries, migration in recent periods was numerically larger than natural increase. The economic impact of this movement is most evident from the size of the migrant labor force in the destination countries and the amount of migrant workers' remittances sent to their countries of origin. About 1.3 million out of about 12 million workers in the region were immigrants; 2.1 million were inter- nal migrants. External remittances during 1970-74 from the nine countries were US$709 million, an annual average of US$177 million that represents 7.4 percent of the average annual export earnings of these countries. Over the years, the workers' remittances have increased considerably. During 1967-69 the average remittance was only US$81 million a year or less than half the average for the following four years.
The Scope and Purpose Nine countries were selected for inclusion in this study, four anglophone coun- of the Study tries-Ghana, Liberia, Sierra Leone, and the Gambia-and five francophone countries-the Ivory Coast, Upper Volta, Senegal, Mali, and Togo. The most populous country in the region, Nigeria, was excluded because of the controversy regarding its recent census data, particularly those concerning its total population and geographic distribution. Niger, Benin, Guinea, and Guinea Bissau are ex- cluded mainly because of the lack of recent data and the unavailability of schol- ars familiar with the migration situation in these countries. Nevertheless, a great deal of information on emigration from Guinea is presented. Until the early 1970s statistical information on migration in West African countries came mainly from sample surveys, typically encompassing selected regions of countries that were known to be affected by heavy emigration or immigration. Most countries have now conducted population censuses that col- lected information on migration, both internal and external. Table 1 gives the year of enumeration of all the recent censuses of the countries included in this study, and the type of migration questions asked. Although many of the tabula- tions from these censuses have been published, most have not, notably those from 4 Migration in West Africa
Table 1. Recent PopulationCensuses in West Africa
Yearof census Questionsrelated to migration Country enumeration in the census
Gambia 1973, Nationality,place of birth 1963 (countryor districtwithin the Gambia) Ghana 1970, Nationality,place of birth 1960 (countryor region within Ghana) IvoryCoast 1975 Nationality,place of birth (countryor district within Ivory Coast) Liberia 1974 Nationality,place of birth (countryor countywithin Liberia) 1962 Nationality,place of birth (countryor district,city, or townwithin Liberia) Mali 1976 Nationality,place of birth (regionor cercle[administra- tive unit]within Mali) Senegal 1976, Nationality,place of birth 1970,a (countryor regionwithin 1960a Senegal) SierraLeone 1974, Nationality,place of birth 1963 (districtand chiefdomwithin SierraLeone) Togo 1970 Country of birth, born in the sameregion or anotherregion withinTogo (region of birth in Togo not specified) UpperVolta 1975 Placeof birth (countryor de- partmentwithin Upper Volta)
a. Nationalsample surveys. the 1976 censuses of Senegal and Mali. This study is based mainly on the pub- lished and unpublished results of the 1970 series of population censuses in the selected West African countries. For several countries in the region, the recent census is also the first one, and thus demographic data at a national level is available for the first time. One of the objectives of this study, therefore, is to describe very briefly some of the demo- graphic features of the region. The principal objective, however, is to analyze the new census data concerning migration, compare national and regional data, and reinterpret the migration data collected in earlier surveys using the emerging national and regional demographic framework. The census and survey data are used to derive estimates of migration between countries of the West African region and within them, from one region to another, and from rural to urban areas, and to analyze the socioeconomic characteristics of the migrants. Although the causes and consequences of migration in the region are sometimes suggested, it is difficult to draw any conclusions from these limited descriptive data, and a definitive analysis of these issues is not the purpose of this book.
The nine West African countries included in the study had a total population The Region of about 40 million in 1975. They vary in size and growth rate, but are fairly homogeneous with respect to fertility rates, mortality rates, and the rate of Introduction 5
natural increase. The total area of each country varies from 11,300 square kilo- meters in the Gambia to 1,240,000 square kilometers in Mali. Ghana has the largest population with 10.8 million in 1978, and the Gambia the smallest with 0.6 million people. The range of the growth rates was from 1.7 percent in Upper Volta to 6.0 percent in the Ivory Coast. These differences are caused by migra- tion; the rate of natural increase varied in a narrow range (2.0 to 3.0 percent). The birth rate was quite high everywhere at about 49 per thousand population, and the death rate was moderate, averaging 26 in the interior countries and 22 in the coastal countries. The nine countries fall in two natural regions, the savanna in the interior, and the forest on the coast. Of the total of 40 million people, 15 million were living in the savanna and the balance of 25 million were in the coastal forest region. The rate of population growth in the savanna was 1.7 percent, only half that in the forest region (3.4 percent). The difference is explained mostly by migration between the regions; natural increase may account for a maximum difference of 0.4 percentage points. The region is more urbanized than East Africa, but less urbanized than other regions of Africa. The proportion of urban population varies from about one third in Ghana, Senegal, the Ivory Coast, and the Gambia to one-sixteenth in Upper Volta. There is no city with more than a million people, but there are fourteen cities with an estimated population of 100,000 or more. Altogether, 314 towns had a population exceeding 5,000, of which 135 were in Ghana and 96 in the Ivory Coast. The total urban population in 1975 was estimated at 8.9 million, growing at about 514,000 persons or 5.8 percent a year. These countries are as heterogeneous with respect to economic growth as they are with respect to population growth. In 1973 the highest gross national product (GNP) per capita (US$380) and the highest population growth were in the Ivory Coast, while the lowest GNP per capita (US$70) and the lowest population growth were in Upper Volta. The Ivory Coast, Liberia, Ghana, and Senegal are relatively rich, with a GNP per capita of US$280-US$380; Upper Volta and Mali are the poorest. The GNP per capita in the remaining countries in 1973 fell between US$130 and US$180. Recent economic growth rates show even sharper differ- ences among these countries. Togo had the highest annual growth rate of per capita GNP (4.4 percent during 1960-73), and Senegal had the lowest (-1.8 per- cent). Togo, the Gambia, the Ivory Coast, and Liberia headed the list with rates ranging between 2.2 and 4.4 percent. Senegal, Upper Volta, and Ghana were at the bottom of the list with no growth or negative growth rates. Mali and Sierra Leone fell in between with growth rates of 1.0 and 1.6 percent respectively. The economic differences between countries largely explain the migration pattern between them.
International Migration The volume of international migration in the region has been quite high in recent years, as measured in several ways. The total number of foreign nationals living in these countries was 2.8 million around 1975, about 7 percent of the total population of the nine countries. This measure gives an upper limit of the demo- graphic consequences of external migration, because it includes not only persons who have actually moved from one country to another at some time in their lives, but also children born to them in their country of adoption. The number who have ever moved (lifetime external migration) from one country to another is 2.2 million or 5.6 percent of the total population. Even this figure does not satisfacto- rily describe the extent of external migration in the region. Among lifetime migrants the period of migration is unknown and could have been anytime since birth. Data on yearly migration between these countries are simply not available. The best available indicator of current migration is net migration figures for the intercensal periods. For the period around 1965 to 1975, three countries together had a net loss of 1.15 million migrants and the other six countries had a net gain 6 Migration in West Africa of 1.27 million migrants. The difference of 120,000 is the net immigration to these nine countries from other parts of the world. Historically, the principal recipients of migration were Ghana and the Ivory Coast. Ghana started attracting immigrants very early in the century. Togo nationals living in Ghana during 1925-29 are estimated to have numbered 75,000, reaching a peak of 280,000 around 1960. In 1969 Ghana expelled a large number of aliens under the Alien Compliance Order, and by 1970 the number of Togo nationals had declined to 245,000.1 During 1960-70 there was a net emigra- tion (return migration) of 83,000 persons from Ghana to Togo, and for the first time in this century the migration tide between the two countries turned in favor of Togo. Upper Volta was the second major exporter of emigrant labor to Ghana. In 1928 British sources in Ghana estimated that 60,000 Upper Volta nationals en- tered Ghana. An estimate for 1934 was 34,000-a decline caused by the world- wide economic depression and its repercussions on cocoa prices. By 1960 the number of Upper Volta nationals in Ghana had increased to 195,000, but as with Togo nationals, the number decreased after 1960 and reached 159,000 in 1970. There was probably an emigration of about 64,000 Upper Volta nationals from Ghana during that decade. Other countries that sent migrants to Ghana are Nigeria, the Ivory Coast, and Mali, but their individual contributions were not very large. Nigeria sent the most (192,000 in 1960), but as a result of the Alien Compliance Order the number decreased to 56,000 in 1970, the largest decline for any migrant group. Net emigration of Nigerian nationals from Ghana during 1960-70 was about 133,000. In the same decade, for the first time in this century, Ghana experienced net emigration. The net lossto all countries together is estimated to be about 400,000, principally foreign nationals returning to their place of origin. The Ghanaians were, and still are, nonmigratory; very few have migrated to other countries in the region for economic reasons, though some live in neighboring countries for family reasons, such as marriage to a foreign national. Since 1960 the Ivory Coast has replaced Ghana as the principal recipient of immigration in the region. In 1975 there were 1.43 million foreign nationals in the country, of which 726,000 or nearly half were Upper Volta nationals, 349,000 were Mali nationals, and 106,000 were Guineans. Unlike the situation in Ghana, the migration trend has not reversed in the Ivory Coast, and the number of immigrants continues to increase. In the early years of the century, migration to the Ivory Coast was not volun- tary, but compulsory, and most migrants came from Upper Volta. In 1936 the plantations in the Ivory Coast employed about 20,000 migrant workers from Upper Volta. Though forced labor was formally abolished during the latter half of the 1930s, it was reintroduced during World War II. From 1940 to 1944 about 277,000 migrants entered the Ivory Coast from Upper Volta, of whom 171,000 were forced laborers. Between 1952 and 1959 about 163,000 Upper Volta labor- ers were recruited for work in the Ivory Coast. By 1965 the number of Upper Volta nationals living in the Ivory Coast increased to between 300,000 and 500,000. About 1.054 million foreign-born persons were living in the Ivory Coast in 1975, indicating that about 372,000 foreign nationals had been born there. In the past, migration to the Ivory Coast was temporary; migrants came in for one or more years, returned to their native land, and then came back again sometime later. Such migrations continue to take place, but the large number of foreign nationals born in the Ivory Coast and the increasing proportion of females and
1. The Alien Compliance Order was issued in November 1969 in an effort to stimulate the employment of Ghana's nationals. All foreign workers were required to obtain a valid residence permit or to leave the country within two weeks of the publication of the order. Introduction 7 other dependents among the migrants indicate that they are staying for longer periods and that more and more of them are settling down permanently in the host country. Senegal is the only other country with numerically significant immigration. In 1975 it had about 355,000 foreign nationals, nearly half from across its southern borders (Guinea and Guinea Bissau); 46,000 from the Gambia, which is sur- rounded on all sides by Senegalese territory; and 29,000 from Mali. The Guineans are refugees who left their country for political reasons, and the duration of their stay is therefore uncertain. Those from the Gambia are mainly temporary mi- grants who move back and forth between the two countries fairly frequently. A large number of Senegalese nationals are also in the Gambia. Many are "Strange Farmers," rural migrants from the Gambia, Senegal, Mali, and Guinea who have been coming into the Senegambian groundnut basin to cultivate groundnuts annually from April to December since the beginning of the nineteenth century when this crop was first exported.2 The principal country of emigration has been and still is Upper Volta. In the beginning of the century Upper Volta was a fairly rich agricultural country, but it is now the poorest of the nine countries. Over the years, several thousand Upper Volta workers were taken out of the country to work on plantations and in construction in the Ivory Coast and Mali, and several thousand more moved voluntarily to these countries and to Ghana. Whether the present poverty in the country and the large-scale emigration of workers over this extended period have any connection is debatable. Around 1975 the number of Upper Volta nationals abroad was 956,000 (17 percent of the native population of the country), of whom 726,000 were in the Ivory Coast, 159,000 in Ghana, and 48,000 in Mali. Most of the emigration has been for short periods, but recently the length of residence has increased consid- erably. A rough estimate of migration turnover is that during 1970-75 about 350,000 emigrated from Upper Volta, while 185,000 returned, leaving a net loss of about 165,000. Mali, Guinea, and Togo are other important countries of emigration. Around 1975 about 420,000 Mali nationals were living in other countries of West Africa. Of these, 349,000 were in the Ivory Coast, 29,000 in Senegal, and 22,000 in Upper Volta. The Togo nationals were concentrated in just one country, Ghana, where 94 percent of the emigrants from Togo were living. The Guinea emigrants were more spread out: 180,000 in Senegal, 106,000 in the Ivory Coast, 41,000 in Sierra Leone, 25,000 in Liberia, and so on. The average length of residence abroad among emigrant groups was highest for Guinea nationals; they also had the highest proportion of dependents. Togo is no longer a country of emigration; several thousand of its nationals have returned from abroad in recent years for a net gain of 70,000 persons between 1960 and 1970. Guinea and Mali continue to lose migrants; the loss from Guinea is of a more permanent nature, while that from Mali is only beginning to include an increasing proportion of permanent emigrants. Immigration to Sierra Leone and Liberia exceeded emigration from these countries, for a net marginal gain. Most of the immigrants came from Guinea, 41,000 out of a total of 79,000 to Sierra Leone and 25,000 out of a total of 56,000 to Liberia. Emigration from these two countries was mostly an exchange of Liberians going to Sierra Leone and Sierra Leone nationals going to Liberia. Although numerically small, immigrants from outside the continent formed an economically significant component of the immigrants in both countries.
2. See Kenneth Swindell, "A Report on Migrant Farmers in the Gambia," an annex to K. C. Zachariah, '"Migration in the Gambia,' in Demographic Aspects of Migration in West Africa, vol. 1, The English-Speaking Countries, World Bank Staff Working Paper no. 414 (Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 1980). 8 Migration in West Africa
There were 162,000 nationals of non-African countries living in these nine countries; most of them were French, Lebanese, British, and U.S. nationals. Of these, 123,000 (82 percent) were living in French-speaking countries: 63,000 in the Ivory Coast and 50,000 in Senegal. About 39,000 were living in English- speaking countries, of whom 16,000 were in Ghana and 12,000 in Liberia.
The total volume of internal migration for the nine countries was 4.4 million, Internal Migration double the volume of external migration. In general, internal migration is an extension of external migration. The overall direction was the same: from the interior parts of a country to the coastal areas. There is an overall negative relation between emigration and internal migration, and a positive relation be- tween immigration and internal migration. The internal migration rate was low in Upper Volta and Togo where lifetime emigration rates were high; it was high in Ghana, the Ivory Coast, and Senegal where the emigration rate of nationals was relatively low. The positive correlation between the lifetime immigration rate of countries and internal population mobility is shown by the rank correla- tion +0.55 for the sample excluding Mali. A similar pattern is observed within countries. For the twenty-eight departments in the Ivory Coast, the correlation coefficient between in-migration and immigration was +0.56; in Ghana and the Gambia, too, areas with a high in-migration rate had a high immigration rate. The principal areas of in-migration were commonly the departments or re- gions in which the capital city is located: Accra Region in Ghana, Abidjan De- partment in the Ivory Coast, Montserrado County in Liberia, Cap-Vert Region in Senegal, Western Area in Sierra Leone, and Kombo St. Mary Area in the Gambia. Thus, much of the internal migration in these countries was also cityward. This was not true, however, in the two major countries of emigration, Upper Volta and Togo. Central Department in Upper Volta, where Ouagadougou is located, was only third among the ten departments with respect to in-migration. Maritime Region in Togo, where Lome is located, was the fourth among the five regions. Internal migration to the capital city areas of the countries has two general characteristics. The first is that none of these principal areas of in-migration had net losses through migration to any other region or department in the country. Thus Accra had net gains from all the other regions in the country, Abidjan had net gains from the other twenty-seven departments in the Ivory Coast, and so on. A second general characteristic is that although there is usually a secondary area of in-migration in each country, migration to the secondary center was very small compared with migration to the principal center. Net migration to Accra Region during 1960-70 was 196,000 while that to Brong-Ahafo, the only other region which had a gain through migration, was only 45,000. In the Ivory Coast, South Region had a net lifetime gain of 333,000 in 1975, while the gain in the Center- West Region was only 75,000, and no other region had net in-migration. Cap- Vert Region in Senegal had a net in-migration of 124,000 during 1960-70, while the combined net gain of Senegal-Oriental and Thies regions was only 21,000. In Liberia lifetime net migration in Montserrado County was 201,000 in 1974; the other eight counties had net losses through migration. Thus, secondary centers of in-migration were generally few, and migration to them was relatively insignifi- cant. Almost the entire gain in population. from internal migration in West African countries occurred in capital cities and their suburbs. Out-migration in each country was generally from the interior of the coun- try-usually far away from the capital city. In Ghana, for example, the principal regions of out-migration are Upper and Northern regions on the Upper Volta border; in the Ivory Coast, it is North Region, again on the Upper Volta-Mali border; in Liberia, it is Lofa County. Unlike in-migration, which was directed to one area, out-migration was shared by many areas. In Ghana the net loss from lifetime migration in 1970 was fairly evenly distributed among the losing regions: 186,000 in Northern (including Upper) Region, 169,000 in Volta Region, 100,000 Introduction 9
in Eastern Region, and so on. A similar pattern is observed in most countries. Thus, while the origins of internal migrants are widely scattered, their major destination is usually a single node. Between 1965 and 1975 net rural-urban migration in the region was 1.7 mil- lion. The total growth of the urban populationduring the period was3.6 million or about 5.8 percent a year. A little less than half the growth was from rural- urban migration, and the balance (52 percent) was from natural increase. The proportionof urban growth attributable to rural-urban migration varied from 28 percent in Ghana to about 65 percent in the Gambia and Sierra Leone. The largest city in a country attracted most of the rural-urban migrants, and the smaller towns sometimeshad net losses.In Ghana, the city of Accra had a net gain of 200,000 out of a total rural-urban migration of 226,000,while towns below 10,000population had a net lossof 152,000. Net migration to urban areas is a balance of a large rural-urban in-migration and some urban-rural out-migration. Among older people net migration to big citieswas generally negative and the return to rural areas more commonthan at younger ages. Asa result, the distributionof net migration by age indicatesvery sharp increasesat youngerages and sharp decreasesat older ages. Rural-urbanmigrants fall at one end of the socioeconomicspectrum. They are better educated and occupy higher status occupations than all other migrants, internal or external. The only exceptionsare urban-urban migrants who occupy as high a positionif not higher than rural-urban migrants.
Demographic and The demographic characteristics of migrants in West African countries are Socioeconomic more or lesssimilar to those found in other parts of the world. Migrantsinclude a Characteristics relatively high proportion of young adults of working age; short-distancemi- grants include more females than males while long-distancemigrants include more males. Becausethe age differential generallyincreases with the distanceof the move, international migrants have the maximum differential and intrare- gional migrants have the minimum differential.These patterns are fairly univer- sal in all countries. One notable exception is immigration or in-migration to predominantly emigrating countries or out-migrating regions. These migrants include a very high proportion of children of former emigrants. The sex ratio of migrants,internal and external,tends to increasewith age; that is, the proportion of males is higher at older ages than at younger ages. One reason for this pattern is that recent migrants have a higher proportion of fe- males, and since most migration takes place at younger ages, younger migrants include a higher proportion of females. Anotherreason is the relatively higher return migration of females at older ages. As a migrant cohort advances in age, relatively more of the females are lost through return migration and conse- quently the proportion of males increases. The dependency ratios of migrant groups in West African countries are in- creasing with time, and the average length of residence of migrants at destination is also increasing. These factors are evidence of an increasing tendency for mi- grants to settle permanently in the host country or area of in-migration within a country. The propensity to migrate, within a country or outside, was higher among the unmarried than among the ever-married. Among the ever-married, migration propensities were higher among the divorced. Literacy and educational attainment are relatively low in West African coun- tries. Within the low range of educational attainment, there were significant differences between nonmigrants and migrants and among migrants themselves. On the one hand, external migrants have a lower educational level than nonmi- grants in destination countries. On the other hand, internal migrants have a higher educational level than nonmigrants at origin and sometimes at destination also. Among the internal migrants, rural-urban migrants and urban-urban mi- grants have the most education. The scanty data that are available for Ghana 10 Migration in West Africa seem to indicate that the relatively higher educational attainment of rural-urban migrants is decreasing. A relatively higher proportion of illiterates and persons with fewer years of schooling are migrating into towns than before 1960. On the whole, employment rates were higher among migrants than nonmi- grants. Among females, however, the proportion employed was lower among migrants. This difference is not entirely explained by differences in the age composition of the two groups; practically every adult male immigrant was employed (97 percent) while only 40 percent of the female immigrants found work. Agriculture is the principal economic sector in all the West African countries and was naturally the principal employment sector for migrants. A smaller pro- portion of the immigrants and internal migrants was employed in agriculture than among the indigenous population. The deficit of agricultural workers is particularly large among males. The other major immigrant-employing sectors were mining, commerce, and services in Ghana; services, commerce, and non- agricultural production in the Ivory Coast. The occupational status of the immigrant group is not the same in all countries. In Ghana, immigrants tend to be overrepresented in low-status occupations. Among those classified as farmers and fishermen, nearly 40 percent of the immi- grants were actually farm workers, compared with 11 percent among the Gha- naians. Among craftsmen and production-process workers, 45 percent of the immigrants were "laborers not elsewhere classified." In contrast, nearly two- thirds of the specialized service workers in the Ivory Coast were immigrants, and nearly half the sales workers were non-Ivorians. In several other West African countries, but especially in the Ivory Coast, immigrants are indeed holding vital positions in the economic life of the host country. Among the nine countries, internal migrants and particularly rural-urban mi- grants tend to occupy relatively higher status occupations than do nonmigrants. Relatively fewer of them were employed in agriculture. The principal migrant- employing occupations were in services among males and commerce among females. Although the data available for this study are grossly inadequate for analyzing the determinants and consequences of migration, a few preliminary observations may be made on the basis of the covariance of migration rates and the differen- tial characteristics of migrants. There is a general positive relation between the economic status of a country and the rate of lifetime immigration. Immigration rates are high in countries such as the Ivory Coast where economic conditions are relatively good, and immigration rates are low in countries such as Upper Volta where economic conditions are unfavorable. The rank correlation between the GNP per capita in 1973 and the lifetime immigration rate is +0.67. A similar positive relation between regional economic condition and rate of in-migration is observable in all countries. In Ghana, for example, the rank correlation between the in-migration rate and per capita gross value added by region was + 0.66. The corresponding coefficient for the departments in the Ivory Coast was +0.43 (statistically significant at the 5 percent level). Emigration rates and out-migration rates were negatively correlated with the economic condition of the country or area. At the country level, the rank correla- tion coefficient was -0.52. For the seven regions in Ghana the correlation was -0.62, and for the twenty-eight departments in the Ivory Coast it was -0.34. Together with the differentials in age-sex composition and labor force participa- tion rates between migrants and nonmigrants, these correlation coefficients sug- gest that, in broad terms, economic factors play a major role in determining the extent and direction of migration, both external and internal.
It is even more difficult to analyze the economic consequences of migration National Effects of than to determine the causes with available data, but some of the direct conse- Migration quences (intervening factors in socioeconomic change) can be estimated from the Introduction 11 volumeand characteristicsof the migrants.The mostobvious consequence of migrationis, of course,on populationgrowth. The growthrate of the savanna regionwas reducedby 1.1 percentagepoints and that of the forestregion was increasedby 0.6 percent.At the countrylevel, migration increased the national growthrate by 79 percent(above the rate of naturalincrease) in the IvoryCoast, 30 percent in the Gambia,and decreasedit by 26 percent(below the rate of naturalincrease) in UpperVolta and 25 percentin Mali.Internal migration and interinationialmigration together have createdpockets of extremelylow ratesof populationgrowth side by sidewith pocketsof very rapid growthrates. On an average,nearly half the growthrate in urbanareas was contributed by migration. In citiessuch as Abidjan,where the growthrate was10 percenta year,migration playedan evengreater role. Some of the majorpockets of lowgrowth rates are in Upper Voltaand the interiorregions of the IvoryCoast. Migrationinfluences population growth indirectly through its impacton the birth rate and death rate. This comesabout becauseof the differentialage compositionof migrantsand the effect of migrationon fertilityand mortality rates. Since the individualeffects work in oppositedirections, the net effect appearsto be small:the birth and death rates at the regionallevel are slightly reduced,with evenless change in the rate of naturalincrease. Becauseof the differentialnature of migration,countries of emigrationand areasof out-migrationhave a higherproportion of femalesand a lowerpropor- tionof youngmen of workingage. The oppositesituation prevails in countriesof immigrationand areas of in-migrationwithin countries. The dependencyratio was106 in Upper Voltawhile it wasonly 93 in the IvoryCoast. A similarcontrast is observedbetween the dependencyratio of NorthernRegion (105) and Accra Region (82) in Ghana. Migrationhas reducedthe averagelevel of educationof countriesof immigra- tion and, althoughstatistics are not available,possibly that of the countriesof emigrationas well.In the IvoryCoast, where 28 percentof the Ivorianssix years and older and only 13 percent of the immigrantswere literate,immigration reducedthe averagelevel of literacyfrom 28 to 25 percent.A similardecline couldhave happened in UpperVolta, where emigrants may be moreliterate than natives.In Ghanathose born in rural areas had an averageof 2.08 years of schoolingin 1960.With the exodusof relativelybetter educated individuals to urbanareas, the averageschooling of the rural nonmigrantgroup was reduced to 1.55years. The averagefor the urbanpopulation was 3.97 years compared with 4.02years for the migrantsfrom urban areas. When the bettereducated migrants left, the urban nonmigrantsremaining had an averageof only 3.91 years.In general,migration tends to reduce the averageeducational attainment at both destinationand origin,but thispattern may not holdfor urbanto ruralmigrants. The mostdirect economic consequence of migrationis the redistributionof the workingpopulation among countries and amongregions within countries and fromrural to urban areas.The migrants'contribution to the laborsupply is not strictlyproportional to their totalnumber because the age-sexlabor force partici- pationrates are higheramong migrants than amongthe indigenouspopulation, and the migrantshave a higherproportion in the workingages. The estimatedtotal employmentaround 1975in eight of the West African countries(excluding Mali) was 11.54 million. Of these,1.28 million were immi- grants(foreign nationals), and 2.09million were lifetimeinternal interregional migrants.Thus, excluding short-distance migrants within countries,about 3.37 millionworkers or almost30 percentof the laborforce in the eightWest African countrieswere migrants. The impact of migrationon laborsupply was very much larger in the Ivory Coast. Amongmales aged fifteento sixty-fouryears, 30 percentwere immigrants, 24 percentwere interdepartmental migrants, and 11 percentwere intradepartmental migrants, leaving a balanceof only35 percentas nonmigrants.In someof the industrialsectors, immigrants alone constituted more than 50 percentof the total employedpersons (for example,in the specialized 12 Migration in West Africa service sector and in administrative, executive, and managerial occupations). The effects of migration on employment in the Ivory Coast are indeed all-pervasive. In Ghana and most other countries, interregional migrants have a much greater impact on employment than do external migrants, not only because of the numbers involved, but also because of their occupations. While about 66 percent of nonmigrants were employed in agriculture, only 40 percent of interregional migrants were employed in this sector. Among nonagricultural sectors, service was the principal migrant-employing sector in 1970; ten years earlier, it had been commerce. For countries of emigration (and regions of out-migration), one of the benefi- cial consequences of migration is the remittances received from the migrants. Very little is known about remittances within countries, about the transfer of money and goods through unofficial channels, friends, and relatives, or about what the migrants carry with them when they visit their place of origin. Avail- able information on remittances through official channels indicates that during 1970-74, US$705 million was sent out of the seven countries while US$232 million was received. Thus, a substantial portion of the remittances (US$473 million) went outside the region. It is very doubtful that the cost of bringing up migrants to working age in Upper Volta and other countries of emigration is being recovered from the remittances and other resource transfers from the countries of immigration. What do all these facts add up to for the migrants and for the countries affected by migration? Numerous studies have shown that migration improves the well-being of the migrants. After a review of several such studies, Yap con- cluded that "migrants who stay in cities seem to be better off, on average, than people who remain in the place of origin."3 A study of the "Strange Farmers" in the Gambia indicates that despite social disruption, migration brought tangible benefits to the migrants.4 How do the emigrating countries fare? Emigration has been a fact of life for much of this century in Upper Volta, Mali, and Togo, where it has kept down the rate of population growth and somewhat eased population pressures on local resources. There is little doubt that the migrants transferred a considerable amount of money and consumer goods back to these countries from their coun- tries of immigration. In spite of this, emigrating countries remain at the bottom of the economic scale. Upper Volta has the longest tradition of migration and remains the poorest among the poor. The transfer of money and goods and the temporary easing of population pressures have not developed the country in any way. In the beginning, migration was forced and externally induced; now it has become voluntary and offers an easier way for the young to make a living than does the local economy. The more the young and the dynamic have moved out, the less the local economy seems to have developed. The recent experience of Togo and Ghana is instructive. When, as a result of Ghana's Alien Compliance Order in 1969, about 80,000 Togo nationals had to return home, this was a blessing in disguise. The Togo economy has not suffered as a result of this influx. On the contrary, cocoa production has increased from an average of 13,600 metric tons during 1960-63 to 22,800 metric tons during 1970-73. It is likely that the reversal of the migration trend between Togo and Ghana in the long run will work in favor of Togo. Among the aliens expelled from Ghana in 1969 were a considerable number of cocoa and other farm laborers. A study of cocoa farming areas in Ghana conducted after the Alien Compliance Order indicated an acute shortage of farm workers.' The reversal of the migra-
3. Lorene Y. L. Yap, Internal Migration in Less Developed Countries: A Survey of the Litera- tore," World Bank Staff Working Paper no. 215 (Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 1975). 4. Swindell, "Migrant Farmers in the Gambia." 5. Nelson 0. Addo, "Employment and Labour Supply on Ghana's Cocoa Farms in the Past-and Pre-Alien Compliance Order Era," Economic Bulletin of Ghana, vol. 2, no. 4 (1972). Introduction 13 tion trend may not be the main cause of the recent economic deterioration in Ghana, but the sudden exodus of essential farm workers seems to have accentu- ated it. The deterioration of the economy in turn precipitated further emigration. Migration is at the same time a cause and consequence of economic change. In the Ivory Coast, large-scale immigration does not seem to have retarded economic growth, but may have accelerated it. Non-Ivorian employment in 1975 was 719,000 (26 percent) out of a total of 2.8 million employed persons in the country. In some of the critical employment sectors, aliens outnumbered natives. Workers' remittances sent out of the country through official channels were US$100 million a year during 1970-75. In spite of this influx of foreign workers, population pressure on food, housing, and employment seems to be much less in the Ivory Coast than in Upper Volta or Mali. The per capita GNP in the Ivory Coast increased by 3.0 percent a year during 1965-73 while that in Upper Volta decreased by 1.1 percent. If today the Upper Volta workers, Mali workers, and Guineans were to leave the Ivory Coast as they did from Ghana in 1969, the economic consequences would be disastrous. If, as Songre and his coauthors contend, an employer in the Ivory Coast makes a profit of US$1.20 to US$2.30 a day on the labor of an immigrant worker, the Ivory Coast gains about US$250 million to US$450 million a year from its immigrants.6 Over the long term, migration in West Africa appears to have been of greater economic benefit to the countries of immigration than to the countries of emigration.
6. AmbroiseSongre, Jean-Marie Sawadogo, and GeorgesSanogoh, "Realites et Effetsde l'Emigra- tion Massivedes Voltaiquesdans le Contextede I'AfriqueOccidentale," in SamirAmin, ed., Modern Migrationsin Western Africa (London:Oxford UniversityPress for the InternationalAfrican Insti- tute, 1974),pp. 384-406. I I CHAPTER 2 Demographic Background
According to the United Nations' grouping of countries, West Africa includes sixteen countries with a 1975 total population of 115 million. Some countries, such as Nigeria, which has more than half the regional population, have very few reliable demographic data and lack migration data in particular. For eight coun- tries, recent information on emigration and immigration is available, and for a ninth, Mali, there is substantial information on emigration alone. For the pur- poses of this book, these nine countries constitute West Africa (see table 2 and map 1).
Table 2. DemographicIndicators of Nine West African Countries
Estimated vital rates Recent 1970-75 Estimnated intercensal population growth rates Rate of in 1975 natural Birth Death Country (thousands) Period Percent increase rate rate
Gambia 522 1963-73 4.5a 2.0 50 30 Ghana 9,868 1960-70 2.4 2.7 49 22 Ivory Coast 6,770 1965-75 5.2 2.9 50 21 Liberia 1,572 1962-74 3.4 3.2 50 18 Mali 5,859 1965-75 1 .8b 2.4 50 26 Senegal 4,973 1960-70 2.7 2.6 48 22 Sierra Leone 2,792 1963-74 1.9 2.4 45 21 Togo 2,272 1960-70 3.0 2.7 50 23 Upper Volta 5,232C 1961-75 1.7 2.3 49 26 All countries 39,860 2.8 2.6 49 23
a. About1.9 percentagepoints are attributableto the relative underenumerationin the 1963census. b. Roughestimate c. Based on the residentpopulation present and enumeratedin the 1975census. Sources:World Bank estimatesbased on recent populationcensuses and surveyresults of each country;and United Nations,Population Division, Department of Economicand SocialAffairs, Selected World Demographic Indicatorsby Countries,1950-2000, ESA/P/WP.55 (New York,1975).
The nine countries had a combined population of 40 million in 1975.' The largest one is Ghana with nearly 10 million people and the smallest is the Gambia with only half a million. The yearly population growth for all countries together is about 1.1 million, and the average rate of growth during recent periods (table 2) was about 2.8 percent a year. The growth rates varied considerably from one country to another. The Ivory Coast had the highest rate, about 5.2 percent a year
1. The mid-1980 estimate is 46.6 million (K. C. Zachariah and My Thi Vu, "Population Projec- tions, 1980-2000, and Long-term Stationary Population" [Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, Development Economics Department, 1980; restricted circulation document], table 3; hereafter cited as Zachariah and Vu). 15 16 Migration in West Africa during 1965-75 and 6.0 percent during 1970-75; and the lowest rate was ob- served in Upper Volta, 1.7 percent a year during 1965-75. Such large variation is a reflection of the different effect of external migration on these populations. The vital rates were fairly uniform in all these countries. For most, the birth rate was close to 50 per thousand population. One exception is Sierra Leone, where the birth rate was reported to be 45. The death rates varied between a low of 18 in Liberia and a high of 30 in the Gambia, both of which are in the coastal forest region. With the exception of the Gambia, the death rates were more or less the same in all the coastal countries but were slightly higher in the interior countries, Upper Volta and Mali. The average rate of natural increase for the nine countries was about 2.6 percent, which was close to the rate of population growth.2 Much of the international migration in these countries therefore appears to have been between countries within the region. If Guinea were also included, the region would have a more or less closed population, with natural increase equaling the rate of population growth, and net migration for the region as a whole approaching zero. Thus, while population movements within the region were substantial, there was very little net migration between West Africa and other parts of the world.
Table 3. Trends in DemographicIndicators, 1950-75
Population (thousands) Birth rate Death rate
Country 1950 1975 1950-55 1970-75 1950-55 1970-75
Ghana 5,024 9,868 51 49 28 22 Upper Volta 3,769 5,232 50 49 33 26 Mali 3,426 5,859 50 50 33 26 Ivory Coast 2,822 6,770 46 50 27 21 Senegal 2,600 4,973 48 48 29 22 Sierra Leone 1,779 2,792 45 45 27 21 Togo 1,201 2,272 51 50 31 23 Liberia 1,066 1,572 45 50 29 18 Gambia 347 522 42 50 30 30 All countries 22,034 39,860 49 49 30 23
Sources: UnitedNations, Selected WoTrd Demographic Indicators by Countries, 1950-2000; and estimates based on recent population censuses and surveys in the countries.
The region had a fairly rapid population growth during the last quarter cen- tury. According to estimates made by the United Nations, the total population of these nine countries was only about 22 million in 1950, when the annual rate of population growth was about 1.9 percent. During the following twenty-five years the average growth rate was 2.4 a year, which is relatively high in view of the high mortality during the period. In 1950 Ghana had the largest population, and the order of the others is shown in table 3. In 1975 Ghana was still on top, but the ranks of Upper Volta, Mali, and the Ivory Coast had changed. In 1950 the population of the Ivory Coast was only 56 percent of the population of Ghana, 75 percent of that of Upper Volta, and 82 percent of that of Mali. At the end of the twenty-five-year period, the Ivory Coast's population increased to 69 percent of the population of Ghana and surpassed the total population of both Upper Volta (129 percent) and Mali (116 percent). If the present growth rates continue, the population of the Ivory Coast will exceed that of all the other countries in the region by 1990.
2. The periods for which these two sets of rates are shown are different. If they are adjusted for the same period, the difference between the rates of population growth and natural increase may be slightly larger. Demographic Background 17
Birth rates were not very much different twenty-five years ago, but the death rates were higher. The average birth rate was the same in 1950-55 (49) as in 1975. The crude death rate was about 30 in 1950-55, an excess of about seven points over the 1970-75 death rate. Reliable data on the rate of population growth in these countries were not available for 1950. For several of them, the growth rate and rate of natural increase were very close, but for others, such as Ghana, they were quite different. It is reasonable to conclude that intercountry differences in the growth rate have widened during the twenty-five-year period. The underlying factor is the in- creased tempo of migration across international borders. As a result of the impact of migration, the demographic situation in the various countries of the region and areas within countries has changed considerably in recent years. These distin- guishing characteristics are discussed in the following section.
Population Growth West African countries, and areas within countries, can be classified into two by Main Natural Regions main natural regions according to climate, vegetation, and distance from the coast. Of the nine countries in this study, three are completely in the coastal forest region, two are completely in the interior savanna, and four lie partly in both these natural regions. Table 4 shows which countries and areas within countries lie in each region by total population.
Table 4. Populationby Natural Region, 1975
Forest Savanna Country region region Total
Gambia 522 - 522 Liberia 1,572 - 1,572 Sierra Leone 2,792 - 2,792 Upper Volta - 5,232 5,232 Mali - 5,859 5,859 Togo 1,716 556a 2,272 Senegal 4,177 7 96 b 4,973 Ivory Coast 5,683 1,087e 6,770 Ghana 8,035 1 ,83 3 d 9,868 Total 24,497 15,363 39,860
a. Savanesand Kara regionsonly. b. Fleuveand Senegal-Orientalregions only. c. Northern Region, parts of Central Region(the departments of Dabakala and Katiola only), and Bouna Departmentin Eastern Region. d. Northernand Upper regionsonly Sources:Estimates based on recent populationcensuses and surveysin the countries.
The total population in the savanna is about 15 million, or 39 percent of the total population of the nine countries. The entire population of Mali and Upper Volta live in the savanna, while the entire population of the Gambia, Sierra Leone, and Liberia live in the coastal region. In the Ivory Coast and Senegal about 16 percent of the population live in the savanna; in Ghana and Togo the corresponding proportions are slightly higher, 19 percent and 24 percent respectively. It is difficult to separate the rate of growth of the savanna population or their vital rates from those of the coastal inhabitants. Rough estimates of the average annual rates for 1965-75 are (in percent):
Region Growthrate Birth rate Death rate Savanna 1.7 49 26 Coastal 3.4 49 22 Both regions 2.8 49 23 18 Migration in West Africa
The average growth rate of the savanna region is approximately half the rate in the coastal region. But there is no reason to believe that the rate of natu- ral increase would be very much different in the two regions; a maximum difference of 0.4 or so might be expected because of a slightly higher death rate in the savanna. Thus, a substantial proportion (about 25 percent) of the natural increase of the savanna was lost to the coastal region through emigration and out- migration.
Although Ghana has the largest population of the nine countries, with about National Demographic 10.8 million people in 1978, it may not keep this supremacy for long." If the Characteristics present trend continues, the Ivory Coast will overtake Ghana by 1990. Economi- cally also Ghana has lost ground in relation to some of its neighbors. In 1950 Ghana Ghana had the highest per capita income in the region, but in 1973 it was behind both the Ivory Coast and Liberia. During 1960-73 per capita GNP in Ghana did not increase at all, while its eastern neighbor, Togo, enjoyed a growth rate of 4.4 percent a year and that of the Ivory Coast to the west was 3.1 percent. Ghana still keeps its supremacy in social development. Literacy is highest and educational and health facilities are probably the best in the region. In 1970 primary enrollment in Ghana was 89 percent compared with 56 percent in Togo and 77 percent in the Ivory Coast. Ghana's demographic and socioeconomic conditions are better documented than those of the other West African countries. Although several population censuses have been taken since its first in 1891, Ghana did not have a reasonably detailed and accurate description of its population until 1960, when the first census under self-government was taken. Its latest census was taken ten years later in 1970. The 1970 population census enumerated 8,559,000 persons. With a land area of 92,100 square miles this gives a density of 93 persons per square mile (36 persons per square kilometer). During 1960-70 Ghana's population grew at the rate of 2.4 percent a year.4 The birth rate was estimated to be above 50, and the average death rate during 1960-70 was probably around 23. Net emigration from the country reduced a potential rate of growth (natural increase) of about 2.7 or 2.8 percent to the observed rate of 2.4 percent. The current growth rate should be close to the rate of natural increase since net migration would be negligible. Between 1965 and 1980 the death rate should have declined by three or four units. With a relatively constant birth rate, this should cause the annual rate of natural increase to rise to about 3.0 percent. The corresponding vital rates are a birth rate of 49 and a death rate of 19 per thousand population. Census results for earlier periods reflect a higher rate of population growth than in recent years (table 5). The growth rates shown in the table for the period since 1948 have been challenged on the basis of enumeration errors, and some analysts believe a truer pattern of growth would be an annual rate of 2.7 percent for 1948-60 and 2.6 percent for 1960-70. As reflected by the censuses, however, the average rate of growth during 1921-60 was about 2.8 percent a year-a relatively high rate of growth for the period. Given the high death rate that prevailed in the region during this time, it could not have been sustained except through immigration. The population of Ghana is unevenly distributed; the density and rate of population growth vary greatly by geographic region (table 6). The country was divided into seven administrative regions in 1960 (see map 2), but after 1960 Western Region was split into Western and Central regions, and Northern Region
3. The mid-1980estimate is 11.7 million(Zachariah and Vu). 4. Someanalysts believe this growth rate is too low for Ghana and prefer to use 2.6 percent (see note a to table 5). Map I IBRD13598 o' RPAAT 4 I - 2;CP JUNir1977
_30WEST AFRklA: C 0 V 0_rt ; S; OiJ . y >5:: :^ '0 i A f R I C A ( For r) j \ L I B Y A -' A StISH~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~,-P h. b.- -_ db h ,IZ AR\ iZ, B/V -f f ^:.: ! ~~~ ~~~ ~~ ~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~i -- l. ,, -d NOUAKCHOTT ! /IS 5 ENEGALN Il(. t7 _t8 7*< }AKEA.{ o W 9 s; ;va ) <\ e 2ag {5erniG / R t AJ.-a o X 1,-> c o ^,tsA th /J WaL >lo1(AAEY .0 800/\) Mog tp A 21 i e 4t w\ f 9 oj CERANTLA FR| CA LOETEHN x~~~~~~~~~~~K ;- \ B SH gL_rbA e CR 8NGI.\0. sE :: \ \{E < s / ._ r aNt, <~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~30 cS C ,;, ::,: : :: : t : q X YAOuNDe\_zAIR E{q~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~1 I" ~~zUI,K_) : Gb : EuATRA B~~~ ~~ ~ ~ I c OUAGADOUiGOU' C N' GAMN0MILES\ U P P E R V 0 L T A .,Lj, GHANA j POPULATIONDENSITY BYLOCAL AUTHORITIES 1970 Persons Pe, Square Md. 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Co N T Y / .S~~~~~~anniquelilie Ifl/I// 7- By County 1974X <~~~a' .) .* . < X GRAND GEDEH Popuioton~ y7,. ,///!t /7'j'i'K' G/arga I, M A \, 0 7 . AIE Ar8Fzc10.5-20.5 < SINOE COUNTY "\ Zer LtBERIA POPULATIONDENSITY Bcaa CountyCapitcis | tnVlile ,< Cocis(,:ry By County,; 1974 0 2 0 eGRANDGEDEH b~ ~ ~~~C NTYnitoio 0 -10.5/ 10,5-20.5 A FL AN TI C SINOE COUNTY 20.5 - 30.5 >60 ~~~~OCEAN . ® CountyCapitcls 4Greenville7 * National Capitot --- County Boundories N International Boundaries/ 0 40 20 0 80 l I MARYLAND a 20 40 60toto I N, AL EMA SPA(Nf, SHWHAR4' 1 f-, LTOYA 116. M A U R I T N I A / MAURkTANIA MALI SENEGAL a Ii.ME-11-A R E G I 0 N POPULATIONDENSITY GLAWA8 NIOERIA By Region,1976 0 77' ,77, SIERRA N A 7z AIVTIC Ea. X, OCEA A/ 12 60 60 100 0 2? z- . 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