Region Gender Age Income Education $50K- HS or Total Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Sample Size 807 341 157 184 152 74 50 190 392 415 233 307 267 231 261 162 332 242 233 Regional sample sizes are unweighted. All other sample sizes, including totals, are weighted to census data. Blank cells indicate zero responses were received. Cells containing "0%" are statistically zero, though at least one response was received. *Indicates small sample size

Q1. Which party's candidate are you yourself most likely to support in the provincial election expected on June 7?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Ontario Liberal Party 17% 18% 21% 15% 19% 15% 12% 15% 17% 16% 23% 13% 15% 18% 17% 18% 13% 17% 22%

Progressive Conservative 35% 35% 30% 39% 39% 35% 29% 33% 38% 31% 21% 38% 43% 33% 36% 39% 38% 34% 31% Party of Ontario

Ontario New Democratic 15% 13% 13% 13% 9% 16% 24% 18% 18% 11% 18% 15% 11% 16% 16% 13% 11% 17% 16% Party Other/Independent 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% Undecided /Can't Say 27% 28% 27% 30% 26% 27% 20% 25% 21% 32% 29% 27% 24% 22% 26% 26% 29% 24% 27% Will not vote 4% 4% 6% 2% 4% 2% 6% 4% 3% 4% 5% 4% 2% 6% 3% 3% 5% 4% 1% Rather not say 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 6% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1%

Q1/Q2 [Including Leaners] Likely to support Sample Size 762 323 145 178 145 71 45 182 377 385 216 290 256 212 251 157 304 230 228

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Ontario Liberal Party 21% 23% 29% 18% 23% 18% 16% 18% 21% 21% 29% 15% 19% 19% 21% 25% 16% 20% 27%

Progressive Conservative 42% 41% 35% 45% 47% 43% 36% 40% 44% 39% 26% 46% 50% 39% 42% 44% 46% 41% 37% Party of Ontario

Ontario New Democratic 19% 17% 17% 17% 10% 22% 31% 24% 21% 17% 23% 20% 15% 22% 19% 16% 16% 21% 20% Party Other/Independent 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% Undecided /Can't Say 28% 30% 29% 31% 27% 28% 23% 27% 22% 34% 31% 29% 25% 24% 27% 27% 31% 25% 27% Will not vote 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Rather not say 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% Q1/Q2 [Including Leaners-Decided Voters] Likely to support Sample Size 642 271 122 149 125 60 41 156 337 304 177 243 222 178 214 136 244 197 201

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Ontario Liberal Party 24% 27% 35% 22% 27% 21% 18% 21% 23% 26% 35% 19% 22% 23% 25% 28% 20% 23% 31%

Progressive Conservative 50% 50% 43% 54% 56% 50% 42% 47% 50% 49% 32% 55% 58% 46% 50% 50% 57% 48% 42% Party of Ontario

Ontario New Democratic 22% 20% 20% 21% 12% 25% 37% 28% 23% 21% 28% 23% 17% 26% 23% 19% 20% 24% 23% Party Other/Independent 4% 3% 2% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 3% 3% 5% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4%

Q3. [Top2box] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one? Sample Size 807 341 157 184 152 74 50 190 392 415 233 307 267 231 261 162 332 242 233

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Christine Elliott 37% 38% 34% 41% 38% 35% 38% 33% 37% 36% 20% 35% 53% 28% 39% 41% 33% 35% 44% Doug Ford 27% 32% 26% 36% 20% 30% 22% 21% 26% 27% 16% 33% 28% 28% 26% 27% 31% 27% 19% Caroline Mulroney 30% 28% 30% 26% 28% 27% 33% 37% 34% 27% 26% 31% 32% 30% 30% 32% 29% 29% 33% Tanya Granic Allen 12% 11% 13% 9% 12% 14% 13% 15% 14% 11% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 11% 13% 10% 14%

Q3. [Bottom2box] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Christine Elliott 17% 14% 17% 11% 20% 16% 20% 20% 23% 11% 22% 14% 16% 24% 17% 12% 19% 18% 13% Doug Ford 51% 50% 55% 46% 56% 44% 47% 53% 55% 47% 58% 44% 53% 45% 50% 60% 42% 49% 65% Caroline Mulroney 25% 24% 23% 25% 28% 28% 23% 24% 27% 23% 21% 24% 30% 27% 25% 26% 25% 27% 23% Tanya Granic Allen 35% 37% 37% 36% 34% 34% 33% 35% 41% 30% 30% 32% 44% 35% 34% 38% 33% 35% 39% Q3. [Christine Elliott] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Very favourable 14% 16% 14% 18% 14% 16% 6% 11% 16% 12% 3% 13% 24% 14% 13% 15% 15% 13% 12% Moderately favourable 23% 22% 20% 24% 24% 19% 33% 23% 21% 25% 16% 23% 29% 14% 27% 26% 18% 21% 32% Neither favourable nor 47% 48% 50% 47% 42% 50% 41% 47% 40% 52% 58% 51% 31% 48% 44% 47% 48% 48% 43% unfavourable

Moderately unfavourable 10% 8% 11% 6% 14% 9% 9% 13% 14% 7% 15% 8% 8% 13% 11% 9% 10% 11% 9% Very unfavourable 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 11% 7% 9% 4% 7% 5% 8% 10% 6% 3% 8% 7% 4% Top2box 37% 38% 34% 41% 38% 35% 38% 33% 37% 36% 20% 35% 53% 28% 39% 41% 33% 35% 44% Bottom2box 17% 14% 17% 11% 20% 16% 20% 20% 23% 11% 22% 14% 16% 24% 17% 12% 19% 18% 13%

Q3. [Doug Ford] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Very favourable 11% 13% 14% 13% 7% 10% 10% 10% 14% 8% 6% 13% 12% 11% 12% 11% 13% 9% 8% Moderately favourable 16% 18% 13% 23% 14% 20% 13% 11% 13% 19% 11% 19% 16% 17% 15% 15% 18% 18% 11% Neither favourable nor 23% 18% 18% 18% 23% 26% 31% 26% 19% 26% 26% 23% 20% 27% 24% 13% 26% 24% 16% unfavourable

Moderately unfavourable 17% 16% 14% 17% 19% 11% 21% 20% 17% 17% 23% 13% 17% 15% 18% 18% 16% 19% 17% Very unfavourable 34% 34% 41% 29% 37% 33% 26% 34% 37% 31% 35% 32% 35% 30% 32% 42% 27% 30% 48% Top2box 27% 32% 26% 36% 20% 30% 22% 21% 26% 27% 16% 33% 28% 28% 26% 27% 31% 27% 19% Bottom2box 51% 50% 55% 46% 56% 44% 47% 53% 55% 47% 58% 44% 53% 45% 50% 60% 42% 49% 65% Q3. [Caroline Mulroney] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Very favourable 7% 5% 6% 5% 6% 4% 11% 11% 8% 6% 9% 7% 5% 5% 7% 7% 9% 4% 6% Moderately favourable 23% 23% 24% 22% 23% 23% 23% 26% 26% 21% 18% 24% 27% 25% 23% 25% 20% 25% 27% Neither favourable nor 45% 48% 47% 49% 44% 45% 44% 39% 39% 50% 53% 45% 38% 43% 46% 42% 46% 45% 43% unfavourable

Moderately unfavourable 16% 16% 16% 16% 20% 13% 9% 14% 18% 14% 17% 14% 16% 15% 15% 19% 14% 17% 17% Very unfavourable 9% 8% 7% 8% 8% 15% 14% 10% 9% 10% 4% 9% 14% 12% 9% 7% 12% 9% 7% Top2box 30% 28% 30% 26% 28% 27% 33% 37% 34% 27% 26% 31% 32% 30% 30% 32% 29% 29% 33% Bottom2box 25% 24% 23% 25% 28% 28% 23% 24% 27% 23% 21% 24% 30% 27% 25% 26% 25% 27% 23%

Q3. [Tanya Granic Allen] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Very favourable 3% 3% 4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4% Moderately favourable 10% 8% 9% 8% 9% 11% 10% 12% 10% 10% 13% 8% 8% 9% 10% 8% 10% 9% 10% Neither favourable nor 52% 53% 50% 55% 54% 52% 54% 50% 45% 59% 54% 56% 46% 53% 53% 51% 54% 55% 46% unfavourable

Moderately unfavourable 16% 15% 13% 17% 16% 22% 14% 16% 19% 14% 18% 14% 17% 17% 18% 12% 17% 17% 15% Very unfavourable 19% 21% 24% 19% 17% 13% 19% 19% 22% 16% 12% 18% 27% 18% 16% 26% 16% 18% 24% Top2box 12% 11% 13% 9% 12% 14% 13% 15% 14% 11% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 11% 13% 10% 14% Bottom2box 35% 37% 37% 36% 34% 34% 33% 35% 41% 30% 30% 32% 44% 35% 34% 38% 33% 35% 39% Q4. [Christine Elliott] make you more or less likely to support Ontario Progressive Conservative Party in the upcoming Ontario provincial election scheduled for June 7.

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Less likely to support the Ontario Progressive 10% 8% 14% 4% 11% 10% 11% 11% 13% 6% 10% 10% 9% 10% 11% 8% 13% 10% 5% Conservative Party

No difference 66% 64% 59% 68% 65% 74% 64% 66% 60% 71% 76% 69% 53% 69% 65% 63% 66% 66% 65%

More likely to support the Ontario Progressive 25% 28% 27% 28% 24% 16% 26% 23% 27% 22% 14% 21% 38% 21% 25% 29% 21% 24% 30% Conservative Party

Q4. [Doug Ford] make you more or less likely to support Ontario Progressive Conservative Party in the upcoming Ontario provincial election scheduled for June 7.

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Less likely to support the Ontario Progressive 42% 42% 49% 36% 46% 31% 38% 44% 45% 38% 45% 38% 42% 32% 40% 54% 33% 37% 59% Conservative Party

No difference 39% 35% 29% 40% 41% 51% 46% 39% 35% 44% 44% 36% 40% 46% 39% 30% 45% 42% 29%

More likely to support the Ontario Progressive 19% 23% 21% 25% 13% 19% 16% 17% 20% 18% 11% 26% 18% 22% 20% 17% 22% 21% 13% Conservative Party Q4. [Caroline Mulroney] make you more or less likely to support Ontario Progressive Conservative Party in the upcoming Ontario provincial election scheduled for June 7.

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Less likely to support the Ontario Progressive 17% 18% 18% 18% 15% 19% 17% 14% 18% 15% 11% 18% 20% 18% 18% 14% 20% 14% 15% Conservative Party

No difference 62% 61% 60% 62% 60% 69% 61% 61% 61% 63% 67% 62% 58% 62% 63% 57% 62% 63% 61%

More likely to support the Ontario Progressive 22% 21% 21% 20% 25% 12% 23% 25% 22% 22% 22% 21% 22% 20% 19% 29% 19% 23% 24% Conservative Party

Q4. [Tanya Granic Allen] make you more or less likely to support Ontario Progressive Conservative Party in the upcoming Ontario provincial election scheduled for June 7.

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Less likely to support the Ontario Progressive 27% 30% 32% 29% 26% 22% 23% 24% 32% 21% 17% 26% 35% 22% 27% 34% 23% 25% 33% Conservative Party

No difference 65% 61% 60% 62% 66% 75% 65% 66% 60% 70% 69% 67% 59% 68% 64% 57% 69% 66% 58%

More likely to support the Ontario Progressive 9% 9% 8% 9% 8% 3% 12% 10% 8% 9% 15% 7% 6% 10% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% Conservative Party

Q5. [Ontario Liberal Party] In these recent provincial elections, how often have you yourself supported each of these provincial political parties?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Never/Not once 52% 46% 44% 48% 52% 63% 61% 57% 53% 52% 52% 53% 52% 53% 53% 50% 63% 44% 46% Once 20% 23% 24% 22% 16% 18% 24% 19% 19% 21% 23% 22% 16% 21% 21% 17% 17% 26% 18% More than once 14% 17% 14% 18% 12% 6% 8% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 13% 13% 16% 14% 7% 18% 19% Every recent election 14% 14% 18% 12% 21% 13% 7% 9% 14% 13% 12% 11% 18% 14% 9% 19% 13% 12% 17% Q5. [ Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario] In these recent provincial elections, how often have you yourself supported each of these provincial political parties?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Never/Not once 51% 51% 55% 48% 51% 47% 57% 51% 48% 54% 69% 47% 39% 56% 46% 51% 49% 51% 52% Once 13% 15% 16% 15% 9% 10% 15% 13% 14% 13% 15% 14% 11% 12% 15% 12% 10% 15% 16% More than once 13% 12% 10% 14% 14% 13% 9% 15% 13% 12% 5% 17% 15% 11% 15% 11% 15% 12% 11% Every recent election 23% 22% 20% 23% 27% 29% 19% 21% 25% 21% 11% 23% 34% 20% 24% 26% 26% 22% 20%

Q5. [Ontario New Democratic Party] In these recent provincial elections, how often have you yourself supported each of these provincial political parties?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Never/Not once 65% 67% 65% 68% 76% 56% 52% 61% 63% 67% 67% 61% 68% 64% 60% 71% 69% 60% 65% Once 18% 17% 18% 17% 12% 25% 28% 17% 19% 17% 21% 19% 15% 17% 23% 14% 15% 22% 18% More than once 11% 10% 10% 10% 7% 13% 13% 13% 11% 11% 10% 12% 9% 12% 11% 10% 10% 11% 11% Every recent election 6% 6% 7% 5% 4% 6% 7% 9% 7% 5% 2% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 6% 7% 6%

Q6. [Ontario Liberal Party] how likely is it that you yourself would consider supporting each of these parties in a future provincial election?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Definitely support them 7% 7% 9% 6% 11% 5% 5% 6% 5% 9% 9% 6% 7% 9% 6% 8% 6% 7% 9%

Certainly consider them 17% 18% 25% 13% 15% 17% 13% 19% 18% 16% 24% 14% 15% 10% 23% 20% 11% 19% 24% Maybe consider them 28% 31% 28% 32% 22% 33% 23% 26% 27% 28% 36% 27% 21% 30% 24% 26% 26% 25% 33% Definitely NOT even 48% 44% 38% 49% 52% 46% 60% 49% 49% 46% 31% 52% 57% 51% 47% 47% 56% 49% 34% consider them Top2box 24% 25% 34% 19% 26% 22% 18% 24% 24% 25% 33% 20% 22% 19% 29% 28% 17% 26% 33% Bottom2box 76% 75% 66% 81% 74% 78% 82% 76% 76% 75% 67% 80% 78% 81% 71% 72% 83% 74% 67% Q6. [Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario] how likely is it that you yourself would consider supporting each of these parties in a future provincial election?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Definitely support them 23% 23% 18% 26% 28% 28% 17% 21% 27% 20% 11% 24% 33% 24% 23% 28% 25% 25% 20%

Certainly consider them 20% 21% 19% 23% 22% 13% 15% 19% 19% 21% 19% 21% 19% 16% 19% 20% 23% 15% 21% Maybe consider them 32% 32% 36% 28% 22% 38% 41% 36% 30% 34% 40% 33% 25% 31% 33% 30% 29% 33% 36% Definitely NOT even 25% 24% 27% 22% 28% 21% 27% 25% 24% 26% 30% 22% 24% 29% 25% 21% 24% 28% 24% consider them Top2box 43% 44% 37% 49% 50% 41% 32% 40% 46% 41% 30% 45% 52% 40% 42% 49% 47% 39% 40% Bottom2box 57% 56% 63% 51% 50% 59% 68% 60% 54% 59% 70% 55% 48% 60% 58% 51% 53% 61% 60%

Q6. [Ontario New Democratic Party] how likely is it that you yourself would consider supporting each of these parties in a future provincial election?

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Definitely support them 8% 8% 9% 7% 4% 12% 12% 8% 9% 7% 8% 10% 5% 11% 6% 9% 7% 9% 8%

Certainly consider them 20% 19% 22% 17% 18% 15% 23% 26% 20% 20% 25% 20% 16% 19% 22% 16% 20% 21% 20% Maybe consider them 38% 37% 35% 39% 40% 37% 37% 40% 38% 39% 45% 37% 34% 35% 42% 37% 38% 38% 40% Definitely NOT even 34% 36% 34% 38% 38% 36% 28% 26% 34% 34% 22% 33% 44% 35% 30% 37% 35% 32% 33% consider them Top2box 28% 26% 31% 23% 22% 27% 35% 33% 28% 27% 33% 30% 21% 30% 28% 26% 27% 30% 27% Bottom2box 72% 74% 69% 77% 78% 73% 65% 67% 72% 73% 67% 70% 79% 70% 72% 74% 73% 70% 73%

LIB Voter Propensity

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Never 48% 44% 38% 49% 52% 46% 60% 49% 49% 46% 31% 52% 57% 51% 47% 47% 56% 49% 34% Maybe 20% 22% 19% 24% 11% 28% 20% 21% 19% 21% 31% 20% 12% 23% 17% 18% 20% 19% 23% Likely 20% 21% 27% 17% 21% 14% 14% 22% 21% 19% 26% 18% 18% 14% 26% 19% 14% 21% 27% Core 12% 13% 17% 10% 16% 13% 7% 8% 11% 13% 12% 11% 13% 13% 9% 16% 10% 11% 16% PC Voter Propensity

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Never 25% 24% 27% 22% 28% 21% 27% 25% 24% 26% 30% 22% 24% 29% 25% 21% 24% 28% 24% Maybe 28% 28% 32% 25% 19% 28% 35% 31% 26% 29% 38% 27% 19% 27% 28% 28% 23% 30% 32% Likely 20% 20% 18% 21% 22% 16% 19% 20% 19% 21% 18% 22% 19% 17% 19% 19% 24% 14% 20% Core 28% 28% 23% 31% 31% 35% 19% 25% 31% 25% 14% 29% 38% 26% 28% 32% 30% 28% 24%

NDP Voter Propensity

Region Gender Age Income Education

Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west

Never 34% 36% 34% 38% 38% 36% 28% 26% 34% 34% 22% 33% 44% 35% 30% 37% 35% 32% 33% Maybe 36% 34% 32% 36% 38% 34% 33% 38% 35% 37% 43% 35% 30% 32% 39% 35% 35% 36% 37% Likely 21% 21% 25% 18% 17% 15% 27% 25% 21% 22% 26% 21% 17% 20% 23% 18% 20% 22% 22% Core 9% 8% 9% 8% 6% 14% 12% 11% 11% 8% 8% 11% 8% 12% 8% 11% 9% 11% 8%