Region Gender Age Income Education $50K- HS or Total Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Sample Size 807 341 157 184 152 74 50 190 392 415 233 307 267 231 261 162 332 242 233 Regional sample sizes are unweighted. All other sample sizes, including totals, are weighted to census data. Blank cells indicate zero responses were received. Cells containing "0%" are statistically zero, though at least one response was received. *Indicates small sample size Q1. Which party's candidate are you yourself most likely to support in the provincial election expected on June 7? Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Ontario Liberal Party 17% 18% 21% 15% 19% 15% 12% 15% 17% 16% 23% 13% 15% 18% 17% 18% 13% 17% 22% Progressive Conservative 35% 35% 30% 39% 39% 35% 29% 33% 38% 31% 21% 38% 43% 33% 36% 39% 38% 34% 31% Party of Ontario Ontario New Democratic 15% 13% 13% 13% 9% 16% 24% 18% 18% 11% 18% 15% 11% 16% 16% 13% 11% 17% 16% Party Other/Independent 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 2% Undecided /Can't Say 27% 28% 27% 30% 26% 27% 20% 25% 21% 32% 29% 27% 24% 22% 26% 26% 29% 24% 27% Will not vote 4% 4% 6% 2% 4% 2% 6% 4% 3% 4% 5% 4% 2% 6% 3% 3% 5% 4% 1% Rather not say 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 6% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% Q1/Q2 [Including Leaners] Likely to support Sample Size 762 323 145 178 145 71 45 182 377 385 216 290 256 212 251 157 304 230 228 Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Ontario Liberal Party 21% 23% 29% 18% 23% 18% 16% 18% 21% 21% 29% 15% 19% 19% 21% 25% 16% 20% 27% Progressive Conservative 42% 41% 35% 45% 47% 43% 36% 40% 44% 39% 26% 46% 50% 39% 42% 44% 46% 41% 37% Party of Ontario Ontario New Democratic 19% 17% 17% 17% 10% 22% 31% 24% 21% 17% 23% 20% 15% 22% 19% 16% 16% 21% 20% Party Other/Independent 3% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% Undecided /Can't Say 28% 30% 29% 31% 27% 28% 23% 27% 22% 34% 31% 29% 25% 24% 27% 27% 31% 25% 27% Will not vote 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Rather not say 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% Q1/Q2 [Including Leaners-Decided Voters] Likely to support Sample Size 642 271 122 149 125 60 41 156 337 304 177 243 222 178 214 136 244 197 201 Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Ontario Liberal Party 24% 27% 35% 22% 27% 21% 18% 21% 23% 26% 35% 19% 22% 23% 25% 28% 20% 23% 31% Progressive Conservative 50% 50% 43% 54% 56% 50% 42% 47% 50% 49% 32% 55% 58% 46% 50% 50% 57% 48% 42% Party of Ontario Ontario New Democratic 22% 20% 20% 21% 12% 25% 37% 28% 23% 21% 28% 23% 17% 26% 23% 19% 20% 24% 23% Party Other/Independent 4% 3% 2% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 3% 3% 5% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% Q3. [Top2box] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one? Sample Size 807 341 157 184 152 74 50 190 392 415 233 307 267 231 261 162 332 242 233 Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Christine Elliott 37% 38% 34% 41% 38% 35% 38% 33% 37% 36% 20% 35% 53% 28% 39% 41% 33% 35% 44% Doug Ford 27% 32% 26% 36% 20% 30% 22% 21% 26% 27% 16% 33% 28% 28% 26% 27% 31% 27% 19% Caroline Mulroney 30% 28% 30% 26% 28% 27% 33% 37% 34% 27% 26% 31% 32% 30% 30% 32% 29% 29% 33% Tanya Granic Allen 12% 11% 13% 9% 12% 14% 13% 15% 14% 11% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 11% 13% 10% 14% Q3. [Bottom2box] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one? Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Christine Elliott 17% 14% 17% 11% 20% 16% 20% 20% 23% 11% 22% 14% 16% 24% 17% 12% 19% 18% 13% Doug Ford 51% 50% 55% 46% 56% 44% 47% 53% 55% 47% 58% 44% 53% 45% 50% 60% 42% 49% 65% Caroline Mulroney 25% 24% 23% 25% 28% 28% 23% 24% 27% 23% 21% 24% 30% 27% 25% 26% 25% 27% 23% Tanya Granic Allen 35% 37% 37% 36% 34% 34% 33% 35% 41% 30% 30% 32% 44% 35% 34% 38% 33% 35% 39% Q3. [Christine Elliott] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one? Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Very favourable 14% 16% 14% 18% 14% 16% 6% 11% 16% 12% 3% 13% 24% 14% 13% 15% 15% 13% 12% Moderately favourable 23% 22% 20% 24% 24% 19% 33% 23% 21% 25% 16% 23% 29% 14% 27% 26% 18% 21% 32% Neither favourable nor 47% 48% 50% 47% 42% 50% 41% 47% 40% 52% 58% 51% 31% 48% 44% 47% 48% 48% 43% unfavourable Moderately unfavourable 10% 8% 11% 6% 14% 9% 9% 13% 14% 7% 15% 8% 8% 13% 11% 9% 10% 11% 9% Very unfavourable 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 11% 7% 9% 4% 7% 5% 8% 10% 6% 3% 8% 7% 4% Top2box 37% 38% 34% 41% 38% 35% 38% 33% 37% 36% 20% 35% 53% 28% 39% 41% 33% 35% 44% Bottom2box 17% 14% 17% 11% 20% 16% 20% 20% 23% 11% 22% 14% 16% 24% 17% 12% 19% 18% 13% Q3. [Doug Ford] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one? Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Very favourable 11% 13% 14% 13% 7% 10% 10% 10% 14% 8% 6% 13% 12% 11% 12% 11% 13% 9% 8% Moderately favourable 16% 18% 13% 23% 14% 20% 13% 11% 13% 19% 11% 19% 16% 17% 15% 15% 18% 18% 11% Neither favourable nor 23% 18% 18% 18% 23% 26% 31% 26% 19% 26% 26% 23% 20% 27% 24% 13% 26% 24% 16% unfavourable Moderately unfavourable 17% 16% 14% 17% 19% 11% 21% 20% 17% 17% 23% 13% 17% 15% 18% 18% 16% 19% 17% Very unfavourable 34% 34% 41% 29% 37% 33% 26% 34% 37% 31% 35% 32% 35% 30% 32% 42% 27% 30% 48% Top2box 27% 32% 26% 36% 20% 30% 22% 21% 26% 27% 16% 33% 28% 28% 26% 27% 31% 27% 19% Bottom2box 51% 50% 55% 46% 56% 44% 47% 53% 55% 47% 58% 44% 53% 45% 50% 60% 42% 49% 65% Q3. [Caroline Mulroney] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one? Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Very favourable 7% 5% 6% 5% 6% 4% 11% 11% 8% 6% 9% 7% 5% 5% 7% 7% 9% 4% 6% Moderately favourable 23% 23% 24% 22% 23% 23% 23% 26% 26% 21% 18% 24% 27% 25% 23% 25% 20% 25% 27% Neither favourable nor 45% 48% 47% 49% 44% 45% 44% 39% 39% 50% 53% 45% 38% 43% 46% 42% 46% 45% 43% unfavourable Moderately unfavourable 16% 16% 16% 16% 20% 13% 9% 14% 18% 14% 17% 14% 16% 15% 15% 19% 14% 17% 17% Very unfavourable 9% 8% 7% 8% 8% 15% 14% 10% 9% 10% 4% 9% 14% 12% 9% 7% 12% 9% 7% Top2box 30% 28% 30% 26% 28% 27% 33% 37% 34% 27% 26% 31% 32% 30% 30% 32% 29% 29% 33% Bottom2box 25% 24% 23% 25% 28% 28% 23% 24% 27% 23% 21% 24% 30% 27% 25% 26% 25% 27% 23% Q3. [Tanya Granic Allen] Would you say you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of each one? Region Gender Age Income Education Total $50K- HS or Hamilton/ South $100K+ Coll/Tech Univ+ 416/905 416 905 East North Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ <$50K <$100K less Niagara west Very favourable 3% 3% 4% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4% Moderately favourable 10% 8% 9% 8% 9% 11% 10% 12% 10% 10% 13% 8% 8% 9% 10% 8% 10% 9% 10% Neither favourable nor 52% 53% 50% 55% 54% 52% 54% 50% 45% 59% 54% 56% 46% 53% 53% 51% 54% 55% 46% unfavourable Moderately unfavourable 16% 15% 13% 17% 16% 22% 14% 16% 19% 14% 18% 14% 17% 17% 18% 12% 17% 17% 15% Very unfavourable 19% 21% 24% 19% 17% 13% 19% 19% 22% 16% 12% 18% 27% 18% 16% 26% 16% 18% 24% Top2box 12% 11% 13% 9% 12% 14% 13% 15% 14% 11% 16% 12% 10% 12% 13% 11% 13% 10% 14% Bottom2box 35% 37% 37% 36% 34% 34% 33% 35% 41% 30% 30% 32% 44% 35% 34% 38% 33% 35% 39% Q4.