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The Long Red Thread How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to Republican Advantage in Us House of Representatives Elections, 1964
THE LONG RED THREAD HOW DEMOCRATIC DOMINANCE GAVE WAY TO REPUBLICAN ADVANTAGE IN U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ELECTIONS, 1964-2018 by Kyle Kondik A thesis submitted to Johns Hopkins University in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Baltimore, Maryland September 2019 © 2019 Kyle Kondik All Rights Reserved Abstract This history of U.S. House elections from 1964-2018 examines how Democratic dominance in the House prior to 1994 gave way to a Republican advantage in the years following the GOP takeover. Nationalization, partisan realignment, and the reapportionment and redistricting of House seats all contributed to a House where Republicans do not necessarily always dominate, but in which they have had an edge more often than not. This work explores each House election cycle in the time period covered and also surveys academic and journalistic literature to identify key trends and takeaways from more than a half-century of U.S. House election results in the one person, one vote era. Advisor: Dorothea Wolfson Readers: Douglas Harris, Matt Laslo ii Table of Contents Abstract…………………………………………………………………………………....ii List of Tables……………………………………………………………………………..iv List of Figures……………………………………………………………………………..v Introduction: From Dark Blue to Light Red………………………………………………1 Data, Definitions, and Methodology………………………………………………………9 Chapter One: The Partisan Consequences of the Reapportionment Revolution in the United States House of Representatives, 1964-1974…………………………...…12 Chapter 2: The Roots of the Republican Revolution: -
Vital Statistics on Congress 2001-2002
Vital Statistics on Congress 2001-2002 Vital Statistics on Congress 2001-2002 NormanJ. Ornstein American Enterprise Institute Thomas E. Mann Brookings Institution Michael J. Malbin State University of New York at Albany The AEI Press Publisher for the American Enterprise Institute WASHINGTON, D.C. 2002 Distributed to the Trade by National Book Network, 152.00 NBN Way, Blue Ridge Summit, PA 172.14. To order call toll free 1-800-462.-642.0 or 1-717-794-3800. For all other inquiries please contact the AEI Press, 1150 Seventeenth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 2.0036 or call 1-800-862.-5801. Available in the United States from the AEI Press, do Publisher Resources Inc., 1224 Heil Quaker Blvd., P O. Box 7001, La Vergne, TN 37086-7001. To order, call toll free: 1-800-937-5557. Distributed outside the United States by arrangement with Eurospan, 3 Henrietta Street, London WC2E 8LU, England. ISBN 0-8447-4167-1 (cloth: alk. paper) ISBN 0-8447-4168-X (pbk.: alk. paper) 13579108642 © 2002 by the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, Washington, D.C. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever without permission in writing from the American Enterprise Institute except in the case of brief quotations embodied in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. The views expressed in the publications of the American Enterprise Institute are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the staff, advisory panels, officers, or trustees of AEI. Printed in the United States ofAmerica Contents List of Figures and Tables vii Preface ............................................ -
September/October 1978
September/October 1978 Volume XIV, Number 7 Price $1 .50 RIPON fOR(JM COMMENTARY COMMENTARY The Beginnings of a Breakthrough 2 Hispanics and the GOP 3 Mid-Ternl Congressional Elec tions of 1978: The Beginnings REPUBLICAN PROSPECTS AND THE of a Breakthrough MODERATES' FUTURE 4 VIEW FROM HAWKINS U1 aside all the doleful forecasts about the future of GORE the Re publican Party. The old elephant is staging a Pcomeback. On election night 1978, if the projections TIle Tax Revolt in the Ripon State by State Eleclion Preview borne out, Symposium 7 RepUblicans will: Gain two sea ts in Ihe U.s. Sena te; '78 ELECTION Gain I S to 2S in the I-I ouse of Representatives; PR EVIEW Gain five to seven governorships; 9 Gain control of both houses of the state legislature in several states that will face critical reapportionment POLITICAL decisions in 198 1. POTPOUR RI 42 Perhaps the most significanl developments in strengthening the Republican Party's base will show up in the gubernatorial and Senatorial results. II is quite possible tha t Republicans will go into the 1980 elections controlling the chief execu· li ve posts in states which together contain a clear majority of the country's population. It is likely that Republican Gover KIPON fOK'JM nors, generally of a moderate to progressive outlook, will Editor: Arthur M. Hill 1/ control the majority of our ten most populous Slates. Tight Executive Editor: Steven D. Livengood races underway in New York, Pennsylvania , California, Art Dbcctor: Elizabeth Lee (The Graphic Tuna) Ohio, Michigan and Massachusetts could easily tip either TilE RIPON FORUM is published monthly by the Ri(XIn way. -
MS-603: Rabbi Marc H
MS-603: Rabbi Marc H. Tanenbaum Collection, 1945-1992. Series D: International Relations Activities. 1961-1992 Box 54, Folder 4, Airborne Warning and Control System [AWACS] to Saudi Arabia, 1981. 3101 Clifton Ave, Cincinnati, Ohio 45220 (513) 221-1875 phone, (513) 221-7812 fax americanjewisharchives.org WASHI.._ Ol'P'ICE1 1538 l..oNGWORTii Hausa Ol'P'ICll EIUlL.OlNO STEPHEN .J. SOLARZ WAS><INCJTOH. D.C. 20515 1S'nl D18TAICT', NEW v- (ZDZ) 225-2361 COMMITTUB, Qtongrtss of tfJt ltnittb ~tatts OIST'RtCT OFP'IC:ES: FOREIGN AFFAIRS 1628 KINGS HtGHWAY CHAIRMAN, SUBCOMM~ OH AFRICA 8ROCl(l..YN, NEW Y<mi< 11229 BUDGET ~ou1e of l\epreltntatibef (212.) 965-5100 :ZSS 8RtGHT'ON BEACH A VEJ«J'£ Udf)mgton. B.<C. 20515 BROOKLYN,N£WYOl'9< 11235 U12)96WI05 August 24, 1981 Dear Friend: As someone vitally concerned about the survival of the State of Israel, l don't.have to tell you how critica!Jy important it is to stop the sale of AWACS and other sophisticated weapons to Saudi Arabia. Just teday., the-Reagan Administration indiGated that it intends to go through with the Saudi sale by submitting its proposal to the Congress. A majority of both the Senate and the House must now vote to disapprove this palpably pernicious proposal in or.der to prevent it from going through. I must tell you that never before has an Administration-sponsored arms sale been rejecteQ by Congress. Consequently, while it is true that Israel has many" ·friends in Congress, the battle to stop this sale will only be won if we in. -
Candidates Speak out on Issues Food Service Options Under
The Rocket Urges All Students— VOTE Serving the Slippery Rock Community for 42 years Vol. 50, No. 9 Friday, October 29,1976 Candidates Speak Out on Issues by Janice Graham he had wanted to support some- represented by his brother, Ron Candidates running for various one straightforward and uprightpg . Myers. Myers stressed his broth- local offices and representatives Accordinrding to Fox, Ford will er's openness concerning cam- of those running on the federal keep the country militarily paign financing and the fact that level visited the CU MPR last strong, which cannot be done by he will not accept contributions Thursday, Oct. 21, when SG and cutting the defense budget indis- from corporate groups. the Association of Pennsylvania criminately, he said. Dr. Marc Selman, professor of State College and University Ford also plans to fight infla- political science and Butler Faculties (APSCUF) sponsored tion and unemployment concur- County Democratic Chairman, Candidates Day 76. rently. More jobs will be created, spoke for Eugene Atkinson, Dem- Barry Hammond, professor of Fox said, if private industry is al- ocratic candidate for Congress. political science, introduced the lowed to keep more of their prof- According to Selman, we need to speakers and directed audience its. This money will be invested elect a Congress who can work questions to the appropriate can- to improve technology and cre- with the President in office. didates. ate the needed jobs, he said. Selman said if voters want na- On the Presidential level, Don- Ross, speaking for Carter, said tional health care, public em- ald W. Fox, delegate to the Re- that Carter will work for the ployment and aid to higher publican National Convention, types of changes the common education, they should vote for spoke on behalf of President Ger- people want to see. -
Air Force Sergeants Association (1 of 2) Box: 41
Ronald Reagan Presidential Library Digital Library Collections This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections. Collection: Blackwell, Morton: Files Folder Title: Air Force Sergeants Association (1 of 2) Box: 41 To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ / {;.J-Q_ A ir Force Sergeants Association ' . ' ;)l, . i Int ernation al Head quarters, P. O. Box 31050, Washin gton , D.C. 2003 1 • Pho ne : (301) 899-35 00 ' . ' '··. _, +. ' ~. ~.... •- --. ~ 8 May 1981 Mr. Morton C. Blackwell Spec i al Assistant to the Presi dent for Public Liaison Room 191, Old Executive Office Building Washin~ton, D.C. 20500 Dear Mr. Blackwell: I wish to thank you for the support rendered to me in acqu1r1ng the very beautiful letter from President Reagan co mm emorating the 20th Anniversary of our Association and the dedication of our Intern ational Headquarters Airmen Me morial Building. It was a most appropriate letter, which will be occupying a prominent place in the Airmen Hall of Fame located on the first floor of our new building. As I stated during my visit to the White House, please find enclosed copies of the magazine containing the story 11 The Warmth of the Reagan White House 11 along with two copies of the special edition of our magazine developed primarily for our 20th Anniversary. Again, I thank you for all your kindness and courtesies extended to me as a representative for the 157,000 members of our Association and their dependents. -
Democratic National Committee Congressional Campaign Analysis
II. COng:=essional District At-1arg-e Seat - Rep. Jim Santini (D) (78%) - nay rml for Governor. If so, Lt. G:N. PDse will rml for this seat. 11-7-77 III. State of the Party '!he State Party will be effective in the grassroots aspect of ~gn. Did a good job of coordinating the phone banks, registration drives, etc., in 1916, will fill this role in 1978 rather than a major noney role. NEW HAMPSHIRE 1. Governor Meldrim Thompson R (58%) If he runs for reelection (instead of U.S. Senate) he may have liberal Republican primary opposition. The Democratic opposition so far: Hugh Gallen, automobile dealer, came in 3rd in the gubernatorial primary in 1974 and 1976, moderate Democrat; Silvio Dupuis, former mayor of Manchester, strongest in the field against Thompson, good candidate, but his family is STRONGLY opposed to his running; Clesson Blaisbell, State Senator, pro-state income tax platform, unknown; Dell Downing, · Senate: Minority leader, unknown; Bob Preston, State Senator, unknown; and Dick Stanton, mayor of Manchester, unknown. If Thompson doesn't run for reelection about 10 Republicans will run for his seat. If Thompson does run for reelection he must be considered a strong favorite. l 7/11/77 NEW HAMPSHIRE Thomas McIntyre (D) - is seeldng a fourth tenn. He has no clear cut opposition at this date but several Republicans are looking. McIntyre has strong labor support and has done his hom:work. He is perceived as low keyed and has not had a hard fought race in years. However, the DurkinlWyman race left its mark on all N.H. -
VOTE PRO LIFE Whether There Was a Conspiracy to Was Needed, the Swiss Court Said
Pittsburgh Catholic, Friday, October 29, 1982 — Page 9 Ladies of Charity plan annual appeal Since they established their Emergency Trust Fund for the elderly six years ago, the Ladies of Charity have collected an overall total of $107,772 through their annual appeal. These contributions aid the Ladies of Charity in helping the elderly poor meet the small, unexpected expenses that can prove traumatic on a small budget. Items such as utility bills, minor home repairs, rent emergencies, medication are provided for through the fund. In a report just issued to contributors Mrs. James P. (Mary) McArdle, chairman of the Committee of 100, which adminis ters the fund, explained that $32,936 was collected in last year’s effort. She wrote to the fund’s benefactors that ‘‘these funds were applied to help those people who other wise would have gone unaided. Because of your concern we were able to fill the gap that was left when the official agencies or government could not help." Of the future of the fund, she added "We know the road ahead will be harder. Because of cutbacks and the tremendous increase in costs of living there will be more to help. Now more than ever,” she Mrs. Mary McArdle, right, chairman of the the group’s annual Emergency Trust Fund for the explained, “ we need our friends." Committee of 100 of the Ladies of Charity, meets with Aged appeal. Mrs. Mary Kay Hampsey, left, a board member, and The annual appeal begins each Mrs. Hildegarde Schneider, co-chairman, to plan for year during the Christmas season, —Photo by John C. -
Congressional Party Switchers and Their Environments
THE VIEW FROM THE OTHER SIDE OF THE AISLE: Congressional Party Switchers and their Environments _______________________________________ A Dissertation presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School at the University of Missouri-Columbia _______________________________________________________ In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Doctor of Philosophy _____________________________________________________ by BENJAMIN L. HALL Dr. L. Marvin Overby, Dissertation Supervisor DECEMBER 2013 The undersigned, appointed by the dean of the Graduate School, have examined the dissertation entitled THE VIEW FROM THE OTHER SIDE OF THE AISLE: Congressional Party Switchers and their Environments presented by Benjamin L. Hall, a candidate for the degree of doctor of philosophy, and hereby certify that, in their opinion, it is worthy of acceptance. Professor L. Marvin Overby Professor Peverill Squire Professor John Petrocik Professor Mitchell McKinney For my parents and for Becky Winkler. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS There are so many people whose contributions made this project possible. I would like to thank Professor Marvin Overby for his indispensable guidance in this process. Without his advice and input this accomplishment would not have been possible. I also want to thank Professor Peverill Squire for his contributions. I drew on his considerable expertise in determining the appropriate direction of this research. I would also like to thank Professors John Petrocik, Mitchell McKinney, and Bill Benoit for their input and flexibility through this process. In crafting this dissertation I drew on the experiences of several former members of Congress. As such, I want to thank Representatives Michael Forbes, Virgil Goode, Peter Peyser, and Eugene Atkinson as well as Senator Harry Byrd, Jr. Thanks to all my fellow graduate students, especially Paul Bellinger, Nisha Mukherjee Bellinger, Jordan Crawford, and Susan Miller, for their support and encouragement. -
New Mexico Daily Lobo, Volume 087, No 53, 11/3/1982." 87, 53 (1982)
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by University of New Mexico University of New Mexico UNM Digital Repository 1982 The aiD ly Lobo 1981 - 1985 11-3-1982 New Mexico Daily Lobo, Volume 087, No 53, 11/ 3/1982 University of New Mexico Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/daily_lobo_1982 Recommended Citation University of New Mexico. "New Mexico Daily Lobo, Volume 087, No 53, 11/3/1982." 87, 53 (1982). https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/daily_lobo_1982/135 This Newspaper is brought to you for free and open access by the The aiD ly Lobo 1981 - 1985 at UNM Digital Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in 1982 by an authorized administrator of UNM Digital Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. .,?i:f ~ 7q~ NEW MEXICo---------.-------- (~FPr~·~u 1 v~h "'-' Qy.l Vt·;:_;~ ~----+--D_· y __ai_l Lobo Vol. 87 No.53· .Wednesday, November 3, 1982 Bingaman,Anaya Democrats say take their races; House victories high turnout break coalition From Staff and Wire Reports From Wire Reports New Mexico Attorney General The coalition of Republicans and Jeff Bingaman upset U.S. Sen. Har conservative Democrats that gave rison "Jack" Schmitt Tuesday, Reagan his greatest victories while former attorney general Toney apparently will be overshadowed by Anaya eeked out a win over former an influx of new Democruts, who state Sen. John Irick in an election were knocking off Reeublicans - that saw the heaviest voter turnout in veterans and freshmen alike. 20 years. The rash of early GOP upsets in· A complete breakdown of the vo eluded the youngest member of the ter turnout was not immediately House, outspoken Reagan supporter available. -
Vote Pro Life
Pittsburgh Catholic, Friday, October 22, 1982 — Page 11 Teaching as Jesus did St. Bede tops -O bituaries S t . C y r i l ------------ V atican II an d fa ith James Shaver ran for one Sr. M. Angeline F*r. J. Rupprecht Elesnor Unger FR. PATRICK O’BRIEN to reveal himself and to make known touchdown and again for a two-point Director lor Religious Education to us the hidden purpose of his will," conversion to lead St. Bede, Point Sister Mary Angeline (the former Fr. Jerome Rupprecht, O.S.B., A Mass of Christian burial was and that the proper response to God Breeze, to a 16-10 victory over St. Anna Stankiewicz), a member of the died Thursday. Oct. 14, at St. offered Wednesday, Oct. 20, in St.- Since the beginning of the Church Cyril of Alexandria, North Side, in Felician order for 49 years, died Vincent Archabbey, Latrobe. after a James Church. West End. for Mrs. nearly 2000 years ago, no two events who reveals is "the obedience of faith," by which one "entrusts his Section III varsity play of the Sunday, Oct. 17, in the infirmary at prolonged illness. Eleanor (Dimperfeld) Unger.' have more profoundly influenced its Catholic Grade School Football whole self freely to God, offering the St. Joseph Hall at the order's Fr. Jerome was born in Potter mother of Fr. John M. Unger, future than the Council of Trent and League last weekend. chaplain at the Divine Providence Vatican Council II. October 11 full submission of intellect and will Coraopolis motherhouse. -
July 23–28, 2012
33481 Nan Ath CVR_Layout 1 7/16/12 11:44 AM Page 2 July 23–28, 2012 Benjamin Millepied Artistic Director Friday, July 27th at 6:30 p.m. Saturday, July 28th at 6:30 p.m. Nantucket High School Mary P. Walker Auditorium 33481 Nan Ath CVR_Layout 1 7/16/12 11:44 AM Page 3 DANCE FESTIVAL COMMITTEE 2012 Jane A. Tyler Marcia P. Welch Dance Festival Co-Chairs Marion Martin, Honorary Chair Susan Ambrecht Kathleen Hay Samantha Sandler Mary Randolph Ballinger Kathryn Kay Denise Saul Maureen Bousa Barbara E. Jones Audrey K. Schuster Roxanne Casscells Orla Murphy-LaScola Randee Seiger Jeanne Cohane Curtis Livingston Catharine Soros Barbara G. Cohen John W. Loose Maria Spears Patti Deuster Judy Goyette MacLeod Esta-Lee Stone John Falk Bonnie F. McCausland Pamela Thomas Barbara J. Fife Mary Jane McLean Phoebe Tudor Al Forster Patricia Moran Cathy Weinroth Cosby George Jeanne C. Miller Mary Wolff Tim George Penny Nieroth Marcella Zimmerman Nan Geschke A. Steven Perelman Suzy Grote Gleaves Rhodes NANTUCKET ATHENEUM BOARDOF TRUSTEES Alice F. Emerson William G. Spears Chair Vice-Chair Marcia P. Welch Alan M. Forster Secretary Treasurer Susan Boardman Kathryn Kay David Ross William J. Charlton Jeanne Casey Miller Bernard L. Swain Barbara J. Fife Orla Murphy-LaScola Jane A. Tyler Timothy M. George Pamela J. Nieroth Jay M. Wilson Robert A. Greenspon A. Steven Perelman Ronald Winters William E. Hannum III Anne Phaneuf P. Rhoads Zimmerman Barbara Jones Chairman Emeritus Trustees Emeriti Executive Director John W. Loose Nan Geschke Molly C. Anderson Martha Groetzinger President Emeritus Nancy A.