Renrevista Econômica Do Nordeste

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Renrevista Econômica Do Nordeste ISSN impressa 0100-4956 ISSN eletrônica (on line) 2357-9226 Revista Econômica do Nordeste RENVolume 51 | Nº 03 | Julho - Setembro de 2020 3 BANCO DO NORDESTE DO BRASIL Conselho Editorial Presidente: Prof. Alexandre Alves Porsse Universidade Federal do Paraná - UFPR, Brasil Romildo Carneiro Rolim Profa. Ana Paula Macedo de Avellar Diretores: Universidade Federal de Uberlândia - UFU, Brasil Hailton José Fortes | Bruno Ricardo Pena de Sousa | Thiago Alves Prof. Augusto Mussi Alvim Nogueira | Haroldo Maia Júnior | Anderson Aorivan da Cunha Possa | Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul - PUCRS, Brasil Cornélio Farias Pimentel Prof. Carlos Roberto Azzoni Universidade de São Paulo - FEA/USP, Brasil ESCRITÓRIO TÉCNICO DE ESTUDOS Profa. Carmem Aparecida do Valle Costa Feijó ECONÔMICOS DO NORDESTE – ETENE Universidade Federal Fluminense - UFF, Brasil Revista Econômica do Nordeste – REN Profa. Cassia Kely Favoretto Costa Universidade Estadual de Maringá - UEM, Brasil Editor-Chefe: Dr. Guilherme Mendes Resende Luiz Alberto Esteves Conselho Administrativo de Defesa Econômica - CADE, Brasil Prof. Leonardo Bornacki de Mattos Editores Científicos: Universidade Federal de Viçosa - UFV, Brasil Dr. Alcido Elenor Wander, Embrapa Arroz e Feijão Prof. Livio Andrade Wanderley Prof. Alexandre Florindo Alves, Universidade Estadual de Maringá Universidade Federal da Bahia - UFBA, Brasil Dra Ana Flávia Machado, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais Prof. Jaylson Jair da Silveira Dr Cícero Péricles de Oliveira Carvalho, Universidade Federal de Alagoas Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina - UFSC, Brasil Profa. Francesca Bettio, Università di Siena Dr Gil Célio de Castro Cardoso, Universidade de Brasília Prof. Joaquim Bento de Sousa Ferreira Filho Universidade de São Paulo - Esalq/USP, Brasil Editor Executivo: Prof. José Angelo Costa do Amor Divino Luciano Feijão Ximenes Universidade Católica de Brasília - UCB, Brasil Prof. Luciano Dias Losekann Jornalista Responsável: Universidade Federal Fluminense - UFF, Brasil Evangelina Leonilda Aragão Matos Prof. Ricardo Antonio de Castro Pereira Comitê Editorial: Universidade Federal do Ceará - UFC, Brasil Prof. Ricardo Dathein Dr. Airton Saboya Valente Junior, Banco do Nordeste do Brasil S/A, Brasil Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul - UFRGS, Brasil Dr. Fernando Luiz Emerenciano Viana, Banco do Nordeste do Brasil S/A, Brasil Profa. Tatiane Almeida de Menezes Dr. Francisco Diniz Bezerra, Banco do Nordeste do Brasil S/A, Brasil Universidade Federal de Pernambuco - UFPE, Brasil Dr. Leonardo Dias Lima, Banco do Nordeste do Brasil S/A, Brasil Prof. Tomaz Ponce Dentinho Dr. Luciano Feijão Ximenes, Banco do Nordeste do Brasil S/A, Brasil Universidade dos Açores/GDRS-APDR, Portugal Dr. Luiz Fernando Gonçalves Viana, Banco do Nordeste do Brasil, Brasil Dr. Tibério Rômulo Romão Bernardo, Banco do Nordeste do Brasil Responsabilidade e reprodução: S/A, Brasil Os artigos publicados na Revista Econômica do Nordeste – REN são de inteira responsabilidade de seus autores. Os conceitos neles emiti- Secretária Executiva: dos não representam, necessariamente, pontos de vista do Banco do Nordeste do Brasil S.A. Permite-se a reprodução parcial ou total dos Márcia Melo de Matos artigos da REN, desde que seja mencionada a fonte. Revisão Vernacular: Endereço para correspondência Hermano José Pinho ETENE, Av. Silas Munguba, 5.700, bloco A2 térreo, Passaré, CEP: 60.743-902, Fortaleza, Ceará, Brasil. Fone: (85) 3251.5544, Projeto Gráfico: 3299.5544, 3299.3034. [email protected] Gustavo Bezerra Carvalho Indexação Portal: Dare Database – Unesco (Paris, França), Public Affairs Information Bruno Gabai Service – PAIS (New York, EUA), Citas Latinoamericanas en Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades – Clase (Coyoacan, México), Portal de Periódicos CAPES. Depósito legal na Biblioteca Nacional conforme a Lei No 10.994 de 14 de dezembro de 2004 Revista Econômica do Nordeste, v. 51, n. 3, jul./set., 2020 – Fortaleza: Banco do Nordeste do Brasil, 2020. v. 50: il.; 28 cm. Trimestral Primeiro título a partir de julho de 1969, sendo que, de julho de 1969 a janeiro de 1973, o título do periódico era Revista Econômica. Sumários em português e inglês. ISSN 0100-4956 (impressa) ISSN 2357-9226 (eletrônica) 1. Economia – Desenvolvimento Regional – Brasil. I. Banco do Nordeste do Brasil, Fortaleza, CE. CDD 330 SUMÁRIO ANÁLISE DO AVANÇO E RETRAÇÃO DE CULTIVOS AGRÍCOLAS NO EXTREMO SUL DA BAHIA, A PARTIR DO MODELO SHIFT-SHARE Analysis of the advance and retraction of agricultural crops in the extreme south of the state of Bahia, by shift-share model ........................................................................................................... 9 ANÁLISE DO USO E OCUPAÇÃO DAS TERRAS NO BAIXO SÃO FRANCISCO, A PARTIR DE TÉCNICAS ESTATÍSTICAS MULTIVARIADAS Analysis of the land use and occupation in the Baixo São Francisco, from multivariate statistical techniques .................................................................................................................................. 25 CONTRATOS JURÍDICOS NO AGRONEGÓCIO E SEUS FATORES DETERMINANTES: O CASO DA CASTANHA DE CAJU NO ESTADO DO CEARÁ Legal contracts in agribusiness and its determinant factors: the case of cashew nuts in the state of Ceará .......................................................................................................................................... 51 DINÂMICAS ESPACIAIS DA CRIMINALIDADE NO ESTADO DA BAHIA Space dinamycs of criminality in the state of Bahia ...................................................................... 69 ANÁLISE DAS EMISSÕES ATMOSFÉRICAS POR GÁS E SETORES ECONÔMICOS PARA O GRUPO DOS SETE E BRIC Analysis of atmospheric emissions by gas and economic sectors for the Group of Seven and BRIC ..... 89 VANTAGENS COMPETITIVAS DAS MICRORREGIÕES NORDESTINAS NO PERÍODO DE 2006 A 2017 Competitive advantages of northeast micro-regions in the period from 2006 to 2017 ..........................113 COMPLEMENTARIEDADE E SUBSTITUTABILIDADE NA ADOÇÃO DE AGRICULTURA DE PRECISÃO POR PRODUTORES DE SOJA EM GOIÁS E DISTRITO FEDERAL Complementarity and substitutability in the adoption of precision agriculture by soybean producers in Goiás and Federal District .....................................................................................................................145 DESEMPREGO E EMPREENDEDORISMO NOS ESTADOS BRASILEIROS: UMA ANÁLISE ATRAVÉS DE DADOS EM PAINEL ESPACIAL Unemployment and entrepreneurship in the Brazilian states: a spatial panel data analysis ....................161 DIVERSIFICAÇÃO PRODUTIVA E OCUPAÇÃO NO MEIO RURAL: UMA ANÁLISE DE INDICADORES PARA OS MUNICÍPIOS DO ESTADO DO MARANHÃO Productive diversification and occupation in rural areas: an analysis of indicators of Maranhão State’s municipalities .......................................................................................................................................177 CONHECIMENTO, PERCEPÇÃO CLIMÁTICA E COMPORTAMENTO PRÓ-AMBIENTAL NA AGRICULTURA Knowledge, climate perception and pro-environmental behavior in the agriculture ...............................193 EDITORIAL Em meio ao avanço nos casos de Covid-19 no The current situation is one of advancement in the Brasil e na Europa, da eleição nos EUA e eleições cases of Covid-19 in Brazil and in several Euro- municipais no Brasil, das queimadas nos biomas pean countries, of the presidential election in the brasileiros com repercussão mundial, parece não USA and municipal elections in Brazil, of the fires haver uma questão central de conjuntura, mas é in the biomes, but there seems to be no central is- fato que há esperança na chegada próxima da vaci- sue. It is a fact that increases the expectation of na contra o coronarívus, no qual o processo de a vaccine against coronarivus, in which the pro- produção pelos laboratórios tornou-se um reality duction process by the laboratories has become a show. É verdade também que o mundo aguardava reality show. It is also true that the world looked com ansiedade a eleição americana, e a vitória de forward to the American election and Biden’s vic- Biden sugere mudanças significativas nas relações tory suggests significant changes in diplomatic re- diplomáticas com outros países, nas questões soci- lations, social and environmental relations. ais e ambientais. The proximity of the vaccine also influences glob- A proximidade da vacina também pondera sobre a al economic activity, generating good prospects atividade econômica global, gerando boas perspec- for the resumption of sectors that are strongly tivas de retomada de setores fortemente impactos impacting and important in generating jobs, such e importantes na geração de empregos, como é o as the tourism sector. It is urgent to an economy caso de setor de turismo. É urgente a retomada da recovery, consequently, to collect taxes and gen- economia e, consequentemente a arrecadação de erate jobs, to mitigate social impacts and public impostos e a geração de empregos, para mitigação accounts. dos impactos sociais e nas contas públicas. However, the pandemic in Brazil is not over yet, Entretanto, a pandemia no Brasil ainda não aca- and the signal is a warning, especially in relation bou, e apresenta sinal de alerta, mas população to the health care capacity, but the Brazilian popu- brasileira é formada por um povo pacato e consci- lation is formed by a peaceful and conscious peo- ente, e que, apesar com cansaço e da necessidade, ple, despite tiredness and the need, for sure it will com certeza fará sua parte em prosseguir
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