US Election: the Complete Guide Follow the Race

Home , Ana Marie Cox, John Pienaar

26 * The Guardian | Tuesday 6 November 2012 The Guardian | Tuesday 6 November 2012 * 27 Big news, small screen US election: the complete guide Live election results and commentary m.guardian.co.uk ≥ Follow the race The battleground states Work out who is winning

Poll closes State How they voted Electoral college Election night 2012 on (GMT) 1988-2008 Votes Tally guardian.co.uk Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole | Live blog Wins, losses, too-close-to-calls, Indiana Bush | Bush | Obama 11 hanging chads — follow all the rollercoaster Bush Sr | Clinton | Clinton | action of election night as the results come Kentucky Bush | Bush | McCain 8 in with Richard Adams’s unrivalled live blog, 154 solid Democrat 29 likely to vote Democrat 18 leaning towards the Democrat 270 electoral college 11 leaning towards the Republicans 44 likely to vote Republican 127 solid Republican featuring dispatches from Guardian reporters votes needed to win and analysts across the US. Barack Obama and Democrats Wisconsin Mitt Romney and Republicans Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Clinton | 201 155 Michigan New Hampshire 182 Florida Bush | Bush | Obama Undecided 29 Live picture blog Our picture editors show Barack Obama & Democrats Mitt Romney & Republicans Undecided 1 Number of electoral college votes per state *Maine and Nebraska are the Bush Sr | Clinton | Dole | you the pick of the election images from both *Maine and Nebraska Georgia Bush | Bush | McCain 16 (+14) onlyare two the statestwo only that states allocate campaigns 55 theirthat electoral allocates college its votes Bush Sr | Clinton | Clinton | N Hampshire Bush | Kerry | Obama 4 Real time results Watch our amazing by electoralcongressional college district. votes by congressional interactive graphics of the presidential, senate, North Dakota Source: Real Clear Politics, Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole | Washington 50.4 46.2 district. Source: real S Carolina Bush | Bush | McCain 9 house and gubernatorial elections. See at a California Montana 49.2 45.4 49.7 47.7 Maine CD2* updated at 15:00, 05/11/12 Minnesota Obama Romney Obama Romney Obama Romney clear politics, updated glance how each state has voted, and with a at 15:00, 05/11/12 Bush Sr | Clinton | Clinton | 12 3 Vermont Gore | Kerry | Obama 3 single click view a 3D rendering of each state, 3 1 with the vote for each candidate broken down 10 Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole | Virginia Bush | Bush | Obama 13 county by county. View Senate and House Maine Pennsylvania results either by party or by region, revealing New Hampshire 4 the national trends. N Carolina Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole | Wisconsin 3 Bush | Bush | Obama 15 You choose the outcome Catch up with the South Dakota Vermont 3 Ohio Bush Sr | Clinton | Clinton | latest polls in our balloons game – pinch, pop Oregon Bush | Bush | Obama 18 and pull the balloons to show us how you 10 3 Dukakis | Clinton | Clinton | Idaho New York 29 W Virginia Bush | Bush | McCain think the election is going to turn out. Michigan 49.3 45.4 5 7 Wyoming Obama Romney US Election 2012: a graphic novel Follow Ohio and Florida are pivotal. If Romney fails to win the story of the road to the White House, told 4 either, the race is effectively over Iowa 16 Massachusetts 11 as a graphic novel, featuring innovative 3 (+16.7) storytelling with a vertical‑scrolling interface Nebraska Nebraska CD2* Alabama Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole | 38 Bush | Bush | McCain 9 and compelling illustrations. 6 Pennsylvania Rhode Island 4 Bush Sr | Clinton | Clinton | Pictures and video Key images from 4 1 Texas Connecticut Gore | Kerry | Obama 7 election day and night across America Illinois Ohio (+26.4 RealClearPolitics.com, average margin) Indiana Connecticut Bush Sr | Clinton | Clinton | Nevada 20 7 Delaware Gore | Kerry | Obama 3

(+1.4) Bush Sr |Clinton | Clinton |

(+2.9) Oklahoma Obama Romney Bush | Bush | McCain 7

Nolan, Rhod Sharp and John Pienaar 18

Poll analysis, including which polls to ignore 12 Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole |

11 Texas Bush | Bush | McCain

New Jersey 38 and which are significant (+25) (+7.5) (+9.5) 11 Virginia (+5.2)

realclearpolitics.com/elections (+4.2) (+20.7) 11 (+3) (+11.6) 48.8 45.8 11 Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole |

10 47.7 49.5 10

Analysis and polling facts 9

10 Arkansas Washington Bush | Bush | McCain Obama Romney Obama Romney 10 6 politico.com/2012-election (+0.6) Arizona Indiana Tennessee Massachusetts 9

45 42 9

(+9) 8 aljazeera.com/indepth/spotlight/us2012/ 6 (+1.5) 5 6 5 6 (+45) (+3.0) 4

(+36) Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole |

@buzzfeedben Ben Smith is the editor-in- Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole | chief of Buzzfeed. Follow Smith for rapid Virginia Ohio Florida New Hampshire Colorado Wisconsin Iowa Nevada Utah Bush | Bush | McCain 6 updates on election night. No state better represents the old v the No Republican has ever won the presi- George Bush won the state by 537 votes New Hampshire was the only state to Latinos, along with a growing highly No state is more partisan than Wiscon- This is where the primary season be- There may be no better example of If the race is still open by the time Iowa and Nevada declare then @feliciasonmez Felicia Sonmez is the new south. The northern part of the dency without winning Ohio. This year and with it the White House in 2000. vote for George Bush in 2000 and John educated white suburban population sin where a recall drive against the con- gins – and it likes to keep Americans the gathering Latino influence than in the election has gone down to the wire Election 2012 blogger for the Washington Post. state, surrounding Washington DC, is is not likely to be an exception. Obama Much of the northern two-thirds of Kerry in 2004. It supported Obama in around Denver, have shifted this once troversial Republican governor failed guessing. It’s a mix of old heartland the American south-west. Combined Bush Sr | Clinton | Clinton | California Gore | Kerry | Obama 55 Sonmez previously covered Congress and filled with highly educated Democrat is buffered by a large African-American the state is filled with residents whose 2008, but did a U-turn and voted three Republican stronghold into a state in June. Each candidate is locked in liberals in the east and conservative with Jewish retirees, black people, and blogged for the Post’s The Fix. supporters, while most of the rest of population around Cleveland as well as families have lived in Florida for gen- Republicans to the federal govern- where either party can win. Republi- with 47% of the vote, no matter what. evangelicals in the west. This was one white casino workers, Latinos form the Dukakis | Clinton | Clinton | Hawaii Gore | Kerry | Obama 4 @mollyesque Molly Ball is a politics writer the state’s white population is Repub- old, conservative Democrats along the erations. These folks are Romney’s ment in the 2010 midterms. The state cans still run strong in the exurbs Obama can count on Milwaukee with its of only two states that voted for Al Gore Democratic base in and around Las Ve- for the Atlantic. Follow her for a healthy mix lican. Obama also benefits from a large state’s eastern border. Romney benefits strength, along with Cubans in Miami. is nearly all white, yet has a unique mix (commuter towns) of Weld and the black population, socially liberal whites in 2000 and George Bush in 2004. No gas. Democrats led by Senate majority Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole | Idaho Bush | Bush | McCain 4 of commentary, news and sarcasm. African-American population in the from evangelical support in the more Obama will do very well with a growing of old-time libertarians, tax escapees strongly religious El Paso county, home around the University of Wisconsin, state has better mirrored the national leader Harry Reid have been register- south-east. Virginia had not voted for rural western and southern sections. non-Cuban Hispanic population around from Massachusetts (there’s no income to the Christian conservative group and old-time Democrats in the west. vote since 1992 than Iowa. Early voting ing voters at an incredible pace. Mitt Dukakis | Clinton | Clinton | Oregon Gore | Kerry | Obama 7 @sarah_boxer Sarah Boxer is a reporter and a Democrat for president since 1964, Romney’s strength with white working- Orlando, black people, and Jewish re- or sales tax in New Hampshire), and so- Focus of the Family. Jefferson county, Romney must crush in the Milwaukee suggests a tight race, while polling gives Romney is relying on a base in the rural producer for CBS News who has closely until it sided with Obama in 2008. The class voters has been diminished in tirees in the south-east. Look at the I-4 cial liberals on the state’s western edge. which is the basis for the comedy South suburbs, which are among the most Obama a small advantage. Obama won areas, including a large Mormon popu- Dukakis | Clinton | Clinton | Washington Gore | Kerry | Obama 12 covered Mitt Romney’s campaign. polls show the state to be dead even. Ohio because of Obama’s support of the (Interstate 4) corridor in the central part New Hampshire only has four electoral Park, is likely to mirror the state’s vote. conservative in the nation. The area his first victory outside of Illinois here lation. Washoe county in the north-west @LarrySabato Larry Sabato is a political Expect this race to take hours for the auto bailout and the president holds a of the state from Orlando to Tampa. votes; however, they could play a big Polling in the state indicates that the around Green Bay in the north-east and would like to win where his na- usually votes with the winner. Early Bush Sr | Bush Sr | Dole | scientist at the University of Virginia and networks to call as northern Virginia is small lead in the polls. Don’t expect the Whoever wins the I-4 will likely win the role in a number of electoral scenarios. race is a true toss-up. matches the word “swing” perfectly. If tional candidacy began. Iowa has histor- voting suggests that Obama will carry Alaska Bush | Bush | McCain 3 founder of Sabato’s Crystal Ball newsletter – usually the last to report. state to be called by the networks for at state. Polls give Romney a slight edge, The race here is too close to call, with Romney doesn’t win Ohio, he must win ically not been decided until very late the state and polling mostly predicts an often the source of pundits’ political news. least four hours after closing. although it is too close to call. perhaps a slight edge to Obama. here. Polls give Obama a small lead. in the evening. Obama win by a small margin.