Lm-Scm 2016 Xiv. International Logistics and Supply Chain Congress
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LM-SCM 2016 XIV. INTERNATIONAL LOGISTICS AND SUPPLY CHAIN CONGRESS PROCEEDINGS 1-2 December 2016 Izmir, TURKEY Editors: Ural Gökay ÇİÇEKLİ Yunus KAYMAZ Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences © XIV. International Logistics and Supply Chain Congress December 01-02, 2016, Izmir, TURKIYE ISBN: 978-605-338-186-0 SCIENTIFIC ADVISORY BOARD Aleksandra Laskowska-Rutkowska, Lazarski University, Poland Ali Ihsan Ozdemir, Epoka University, Albania Alok Choudhary, University of Sheffield, UK Alp Üstündag, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Alptekin Erkollar, University of Klagenfurt, Austria Altan Ozkil, Atilim University, Turkey Anna Saniuk, University of Zielona Góra, Poland Artur Swierczek, University of Economics in Katowice, Poland Avni Zafer Acar, Piri Reis University, Turkey Aydın Kocak, Ege University, Turkey Ayhan Ozgur Toy, Bilgi University, Turkey Bart Jourquin, Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium Bernd Noche, Duisburg-Essen University, Germany Birdogan Baki, Karadeniz Technical University, Turkey Bulent Catay, Sabanci University, Turkey Burak Capraz, Ege University, Turkey Burcu Aracıoğlu, Ege University, Turkey Cengiz Kahraman, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Christoph Glock, University of Wuerzburg, Germany Dagmar Caganova, Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava, Slovakia Danuta Kirsperska-Moron, Karol Adamiecki University, Poland Deniz Türsel Eliiyi, Yaşar University, Turkey Dilay Celebi, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Dimitrios V. Lyridis , National Technical University of Athens, Greece Dorota Burchart-Korol, Central Mining Institute, Poland Enver Yucesan, Insead, France Erdal Nebol, Yeditepe University, Turkey Esther Alvarez, University Of Deusto, Spain Fabrizio Dallari, Università C. Cattaneo, Italy Farouk Yalaoui, University of Technology of Troyes, France Fatih Tasgetiren, Yasar University, Turkey Ferhan Cebi, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Frank Straube, Technical University of Berlin, Germany Frank Witlox, Ghent University, Belgium Fusun Ulengin, Sabancı University, Turkey © XIV. International Logistics and Supply Chain Congress December 01-02, 2016, Izmir, TURKIYE Gokalp Yıldız, Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey Gulcin Buyukozkan, Galatasaray University, Turkey Guler Bilen Alkan, Istanbul University, Turkey Gulgun Kayakutlu, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Güner Gürsoy, Okan University, Turkey Haluk Soyuer, Ege University, Turkey Hans Otto Guenther, Seoul National University, Korea Helena Vidova, Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava, Slovakia Hür Bersam Bolat, İstanbul Technical University, Turkey Huseyin Basligil, Yildiz Technical University, Turkey Ilker Murat Ar, Karadeniz Technical University, Turkey Ismail Capar, Texas A&M University, USA Joanna Nowakowska-Grunt, Czestochowa University of Technology, Poland Joanna Zarebska, University of Zielona Gora, Poland Jorgen Kristiansen, Aalborg University, Denmark Katarzyna Cheba, West Pomeranian University of Technology, Poland Keti Ventura, Ege University, Turkey Krzysztof Witkowski, University of Zielona Gora, Poland Lenny Koh, University of Sheffield, UK Levent Kandiller, Yaşar University M. Cemali DİNÇER, Yaşar University Maja Kiba-Janiak, Wroclaw University of Economics, Poland Mariusz Szuster, Poznan University of Economics, Poland Martin Straka, Technical University of Kosice, Slovakia Mathieu Van Vyve, Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium Mehmet Sakir Ersoy, Beykoz University, Turkey Mehmet Tanyas, Maltepe University, Turkey Mesut Yavuz, University of Alabama, USA Michael Grabinski, Neu-Ulm University, Germany Michal Balog, Technical University of Kosice, Slovakia Milos Cambal, Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava, Slovakia Mine Omurgonulsen, Hacettepe University, Turkey Murat Baskak, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Murat Kocamaz, Ege University, Turkey N. Elif Kongar, Bridgeport University, USA Nelson Oly Ndubisi, Griffith University, Malaysia Nezih Altay, DePaul University, USA Okan Tuna, Dokuz Eylül University, Turkey Omer Ozturkoglu, Yasar University, Turkey Onur Ozveri, Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey Ozalp Vayvay, Marmara University, Turkey © XIV. International Logistics and Supply Chain Congress December 01-02, 2016, Izmir, TURKIYE Ozgur Kabadurmus, Yasar University, Turkey Ozgur Kabak, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Pawel Kuzdowicz, University of Zielona Gora, Poland Per Agrell, Catholic University of Louvain, Belgium Radim Lenort, Skoda Auto University, Czech Republic Rainer Leisten, University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany Rene De Koster, Erasmus University, Netherland Sebastian Saniuk, University of Zielona Gora, Poland Semra Birgün, Beykent University Serpil Erol, Gazi University, Turkey Seyda Serdar Asan, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Stefan Seuring, Kassel University, Germany Soner Esmer, Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey Tolga Bektas, Southampton University, UK Turan Paksoy, Selcuk University, Turkey Ugur Ozcan, Gazi University, Turkey Umut R. Tuzkaya, Yildiz Technical University, Turkey Ural Gökay Cicekli, Ege University, Turkey Urszula Bąkowska-Morawska, Wroclaw University of Business, Poland Vahap Tecim, Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey Vedat Verter, Mcgill University, Canada Y. Ilker Topcu, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey Yiğit Kazançoğlu, Turkey Yildirim Omurtag, Robert Morris University, USA Yucel Ozturkoglu, Yasar University, Turkey Zahir Irani, Brunel University, UK © XIV. International Logistics and Supply Chain Congress December 01-02, 2016, Izmir, TURKIYE HONORARY CHAIR OF THE CONGRESS Prof. Dr. Cüneyt Hoşcoşkun Rector of Ege University CONGRESS CHAIR Prof. Dr. Haluk SOYUER Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences Departments of Business Administration CONGRESS CO-CHAIR Prof. Dr. Mehmet TANYAŞ Logistics Association - LODER © XIV. International Logistics and Supply Chain Congress December 01-02, 2016, Izmir, TURKIYE ORGANIZING COMMITTEE Prof. Dr. Haluk Soyuer Prof. Dr. Mehmet Tanyaş Prof. Dr. Gülçin Büyüközkan Assoc. Prof. Dr. Murat Kocamaz Assist. Prof. Dr. Aydın Koçak Assist. Prof. Dr. Ural Gökay Çiçekli LOCAL ORGANIZING COMMITTEE Assoc. Prof. Dr. Keti Ventura Assist. Prof. Dr. Burcu Aracıoğlu Res. Assist. Dr. Ali Erhan Zalluoğlu Res. Assist. Fatma Demircan Keskin Res. Assist. Yunus Kaymaz Res. Assist. İnanç Kabasakal CHAIR OF THE ORGANIZATION COMMITTEE Assoc. Prof. Dr. Murat Kocamaz © XIV. International Logistics and Supply Chain Congress December 01-02, 2016, Izmir, TURKIYE WHICH LOGISTICS PERFORMANCE INDICATOR INFLUENCE EXPORT MOST? A SCENARIO ANALYSIS BASED APPROACH Özgür Kabak1, Şule Önsel Ekici2, Füsun Ülengin3 Abstract ⎯ This study aims to investigate the relationship between logistics performance and exports and attempts to answer the question of which logistics indicators especially influence the country’s export level. For this purpose, a scenario analysis-based approach is proposed to analyze the relationships between exports and the six indicators of the logistics performance index reported by World Bank every two years: customs, infrastructure, international shipments, logistics quality and competence, tracking and tracing, and timeliness. A novel mathematical model is proposed in order to find an eligible number of scenarios, and the results of this proposed model are used to determine the most important logistics performance indicators that influence the export level of the country. Finally, Turkey is selected as a case study, and possible scenarios are investigated for Turkey to suggest policy proposals in order to improve its export. Keywords ⎯ Export, Logistics Performance, Scenario Analysis INTRODUCTION As the backbone of international trade, logistics encompasses freight transportation, warehousing, border clearance, payment systems and many other functions that are mostly performed by private service providers for private traders and owners of goods. However, logistics is also important for the public policies of national governments and regional and international organizations [1]. If a country can obtain a competitive advantage in terms of logistics performance, then there will be an increase in its international trade, helping to open new markets and encouraging business. Country-based logistics performance evaluation will also help understand the relative position of the country and provide a guide on deciding which areas to focus on, such as infrastructure, services, procedures and regulations, to improve the logistics performance level. Companies with access to high-quality cost-efficient logistical capabilities can often outsource certain logistics tasks and devote fewer internal resources to these tasks. The development of the logistics sector is expected to have a positive impact on increasing production, consumption and trade and thus stimulating the economic growth. Better infrastructure will also contribute to attracting foreign direct investment [2]-[5]. A number of studies have been conducted to identify the impact of logistics on increasing international trade. Gupta el al. [6] use a series of semi-structured interviews with 35 logistics and related firms operating in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Their analysis reveal that the custom authorities of some countries require a large number of documents which increases the inefficiency in the documentation process at the customs and, thus, result with custom-related barrier to international trade. Inconsistency