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Comprehensive Transport and Trade System Development Master Plan in the United Republic of Tanzania

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Comprehensive Transport and Trade System Development Master Plan in the United Republic of Tanzania Ministry of Transport, The United Republic of Tanzania Comprehensive Transport and Trade System Development Master Plan in the United Republic of Tanzania – Building an Integrated Freight Transport System – Final Report Volume 4 Pre-Feasibility Studies March 2014 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY PADECO Co., Ltd. Nippon Koei Co. Ltd. International Development Center of Japan Incorporated EI JR 14-068 Note: In this study, the work for Master Plan Formulation and Pre-Feasibility Study was completed at the end of 2012 and a Draft Final Report was issued. This final report incorporates comments on the draft final report received from various concerned parties. In accordance with Tanzanian Laws, the process of Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) was carried out after the issuance of the Draft Final Report in order to allow for the study to be officially recognized as a Master Plan. The results of the one year SEA have been incorporated in this report. The report contains data and information available at the end of 2012 and does not reflect changes which have taken place since then, except for notable issues and those related to the SEA. Comprehensive Transport and Trade System Development Final Report Master Plan in the United Republic of Tanzania Volume 4 Pre-Feasibility Studies Contents Chapter 1 Introduction ......................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Selection of Projects Subject to Pre-Feasibility Study ................................................ 1 1.1.1 Selection Criteria ................................................................................................. 1 1.1.2 Selected Projects ................................................................................................. 1 Chapter 2 Railway Rehabilitation ....................................................................................... 2 2.1 Background ................................................................................................................. 2 2.2 Description of Candidate Projects for Pre-Feasibility Study ...................................... 2 2.2.1 Overhaul and Re-Manufacturing of Diesel-Electric Locomotives ...................... 3 2.2.2 Rehabilitation of Bridges and Culverts on the Central Line between Tabora and Kigoma ........................................................................................... 12 2.2.3 Re-laying of Track on the Central Line between Tabora and Kigoma in Heavier Rail....................................................................................................... 12 2.3 Railway Traffic Forecasts for Central Line ............................................................... 12 2.3.1 Forecast Methodology ....................................................................................... 12 2.3.2 Requirements of Locomotives and Wagons ...................................................... 13 2.3.3 Freight Volume Forecast for the Central Line ................................................... 16 2.4 Operating Plan ........................................................................................................... 17 2.4.1 Key Operating Assumptions .............................................................................. 17 2.4.2 Wagon and Train Flow Forecasts ...................................................................... 19 2.4.3 Requirement of Locomotives for Future Services on the Central Line ............. 19 2.4.4 Requirements of Wagons for Future Services on the Central Line ................... 20 2.5 Results of Structure Condition Survey between Tabora and Kigoma ....................... 21 2.5.1 Survey Schedule and Method ............................................................................ 21 2.5.2 Summary of the Structure Condition Survey .................................................... 21 2.6 Project Capital Cost Estimates .................................................................................. 24 2.6.1 Restoration of Diesel Locomotives ................................................................... 24 2.6.2 Rehabilitation of Bridges and Structures ........................................................... 25 2.6.3 Track Rehabilitation .......................................................................................... 47 2.7 Project Operating Cost and Revenue Projections ...................................................... 48 2.7.1 Forecasts of Train Unit Operating Costs Relative to Unit Revenue .................. 48 2.7.2 Forecasts of Annual Revenues and Operating Costs ......................................... 50 2.8 Financial Analysis ..................................................................................................... 52 2.8.1 Purpose and Methodology ................................................................................. 52 2.8.2 Assumptions and Conditions ............................................................................. 53 2.8.3 Analysis ............................................................................................................. 54 2.9 Conclusions and Recommendations .......................................................................... 62 2.9.1 Suggestions for TRL Operation and Management ............................................ 62 2.9.2 Improvements in Morogoro Workshop ............................................................. 63 Chapter 3 Refurbishment of Kigoma Port ........................................................................ 64 3.1 Selection of Short-term Refurbishment Plan ............................................................. 64 3.1.1 Refurbishment of Kigoma Port ......................................................................... 64 3.2 Preliminary Design of Facilities for Kigoma Port ..................................................... 66 3.2.1 Present Situation of Facilities at Kigoma Port .................................................. 66 i Comprehensive Transport and Trade System Development Final Report Master Plan in the United Republic of Tanzania Volume 4 Pre-Feasibility Studies 3.2.2 Construction of the Extension of the Quay Facility for the Container Cargo ................................................................................................................. 68 3.2.3 Refurbishment of the Existing Quay for the Container Cargo Marshalling Yard ................................................................................................................... 71 3.2.4 Refurbishment of the Existing Container Cargo Marshalling Yard ................... 71 3.2.5 Others ................................................................................................................ 76 3.3 Provision of Container Handling Equipment ............................................................ 76 3.4 Implementation Schedule .......................................................................................... 76 3.4.1 Overall Implementation Schedule for Kigoma Port Refurbishment ................. 76 3.5 Cost Estimate ............................................................................................................ 76 3.5.1 Total Cost for the Development of Kigoma Port ............................................... 76 3.5.2 Basic Costs of Materials, Equipment, and Labour ............................................ 77 3.5.3 Cost Estimate of Project Components ............................................................... 79 3.6 Financial Analysis ..................................................................................................... 82 3.6.1 Purpose and Methodology ................................................................................. 82 3.6.2 Assumptions and Conditions ............................................................................. 83 3.6.3 Analysis ............................................................................................................. 84 Chapter 4 Result of Scoping Study on Subjected Pre-F/S Projects ................................ 89 4.1 Scoping Result of Kigoma Port Refurbishment Project ............................................ 89 4.2 Scoping Result of Central Line Rehabilitation of Bridges and Culverts; and Track Relay in Heavier Rail (Kigoma–Tabora) Project ............................................ 94 Appendices Appendix 1 Maintenance Examination and Overhaul Details for the Mainline Locomotives ...................................................................................................... A-1 Appendix 2 Morogoro Workshop .......................................................................................... A-2 ii Comprehensive Transport and Trade System Development Final Report Master Plan in the United Republic of Tanzania Volume 4 Pre-Feasibility Studies Figures Figure 2.1 Effect of Locomotive Restoration on Daily Availability ........................................ 11 Figure 2.2 Forecast of Freight Tonnage Carried on the Central Line between Online O/Ds .......................................................................................................................16 Figure 2.3 Type of Existing Structures ....................................................................................21 Figure 2.4 Summary of Structure Condition Survey Result ....................................................22 Figure 2.5 Breakdown of Grade D Structures .........................................................................22
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