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LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR a DAILY PUBLICATION of the DIALOGUE Wednesday, October 5, 2016

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LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR a DAILY PUBLICATION of the DIALOGUE Wednesday, October 5, 2016 LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR A DAILY PUBLICATION OF THE DIALOGUE www.thedialogue.org Wednesday, October 5, 2016 BOARD OF ADVISORS FEATURED Q&A TODAY’S NEWS Diego Arria Director, Columbus Group POLITICAL Devry Boughner Vorwerk Why Is Bolivia’s Senior Policy Advisor At Least 11 Killed Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld, LLP as Hurricane Joyce Chang Global Head of Research, Foreign Direct Strikes Caribbean JPMorgan Chase & Co. Hurricane Matthew pounded W. Bowman Cutter Former Partner, Investment Falling? Haiti and Cuba and then churned E.M. Warburg Pincus toward north toward the Bahamas, Dirk Donath leaving a path of destruction in Senior Partner, its wake. Catterton Aimara Page 2 Marlene Fernández Corporate Vice President for Government Relations, BUSINESS Arcos Dorados Peter Hakim Citi Investing President Emeritus, Inter-American Dialogue $1 Billion in Donna Hrinak Mexico Unit President, Boeing Latin America Citigroup said the investment Jon Huenemann would improve the bank’s branch- Vice President, U.S. & Int’l Affairs, Philip Morris International Bolivia’s central bank, led by Marcelo Zabalaga Estrada, said foreign direct investment is es, ATMs and digital tools. The expected to decline this year for the third year in a row. // File Photo: Bolivian Government. bank is also renaming the unit James R. Jones Chairman, ManattJones Citibanamex, said Chief Executive Global Strategies Offi cer Mike Corbat Bolivia’s central bank said Sept. 19 that foreign direct Craig A. Kelly Page 3 Director, Americas International investment declined by 73 percent in the fi rst quarter of this Gov’t Relations, Exxon Mobil year as compared to the same period in 2015. Net FDI over John Maisto Q POLITICAL the fi rst three months of this year reached $73 million, while Director, U.S. Education Colombia Cease- Finance Group last year Bolivia received $272 million of FDI during that period. The Nicolás Mariscal Fire to End Oct. 31 Chairman, data projects that 2016 will be the third consecutive year of decline in Grupo Marhnos FDI for Bolivia. Why has FDI been on a downward trend for Bolivia? What Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos said his government’s Thomas F. McLarty III measures has the government already taken to halt the decline, and Chairman, cease-fi re with the FARC rebels McLarty Associates what more should the government be doing? What is the trend’s effect would end on Oct. 31, following Carlos Paz-Soldan on the economy? voters’ rejection of the country’s Partner, peace accord. Government and DTB Associates, LLP FARC representatives met in Cuba Beatrice Rangel Ronald MacLean-Abaroa, former Bolivian minister of fi nance to resume talks. Director, AMLA Consulting LLC and former mayor of La Paz: “The government’s statistics Page 2 José Antonio Ríos are now highly unreliable, and one would have to look behind Chief Executive Offi cer, Vadium Technology Inc. A the numbers to explain this dramatic decline in FDI. Repeated Gustavo Roosen past nationalizations, and threats of more nationalization are not condu- Chairman of the Board, Envases Venezolanos cive to FDI. Indeed, there have been cases of divestment where foreign in- Andrés Rozental vestors are selling their Bolivian assets to apparently local investors with President, Rozental & Asociados and Senior allegedly foreign fronts. In fact, a number of foreign direct investments Policy Advisor, Chatham House in local companies were acquired by a Venezuelan investor, very close to Shelly Shetty Head, Latin America the highest offi ce of the government, and in many cases, their directors Sovereign Ratings, Fitch Inc. are current Venezuelan government offi cials, including a Venezuelan Roberto Sifon-Arevalo ambassador. Chinese commitments to invest in Bolivia would have to be Managing Director, Americas Sovereign & Public Finance Ratings, verifi ed, and many investments, especially in mining, seem to have specu- Standard & Poor’s lative purposes, fl oating shares in Canadian and other commodity stock exchanges. Other than questionable FDI, Bolivia has not been able to lure Santos // File Photo: Colombian Government. Continued on page 3 COPYRIGHT © 2016, INTER-AMERICAN DIALOGUE PAGE 1 LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR Wednesday, October 5, 2016 POLITICAL NEWS sort of limbo, that is risky and can wash away NEWS BRIEFS the entire process,” Santos said, the Voice of At Least 11 Killed America reported. Government and FARC repre- Brazil’s Temer sentatives met in Cuba on Tuesday to resume Introduces Measure to as Matthew Plows talks to try to save the peace deal. Santos’ announcement was met with skepticism on Cap Public Spending Through Caribbean the part of rebel leader Rodrigo Londoño, also Brazilian President Michel Temer’s government known as Timochenko. After Santos said the on Tuesday introduced legislation that would At least 11 deaths are attributed to powerful cease-fi re would be extended just to the end cap public spending to the rate of infl ation for Hurricane Matthew, which roared toward the of the month, Londoño said in a posting on as long as 20 years, Reuters reported. The Te- Bahamas this morning after leaving a trail of Twitter, “And after that the war continues?” mer administration is hoping that the measure, destruction in Haiti. Matthew, the most pow- Santos will also meet with former President a constitutional amendment, will win the ap- erful hurricane to hit the Caribbean in nearly Álvaro Uribe, who spearheaded the opposition proval of a congressional committee this week a decade, packed winds of up to 145 miles an campaign to the peace deal. Uribe said in a ra- and receive a vote next week in the Chamber of hour as it slammed into Haiti’s western edge dio interview that he is willing to provide input Deputies. The measure is designed to address on Tuesday and then churned past eastern into how the negotiations should move forward a budget defi cit that last year amounted to 10 Cuba before taking aim at the Bahamas, so that the country could reach an end to its percent of Brazil’s gross domestic product. The Washington Post reported. As of 8 a.m. protracted civil war. [Editor’s note: See related Eastern Time today, the center of the storm Q&A in Tuesday’s Advisor.] was located about 45 miles east-northeast of Barrick Resumes Cabo Lucretia, Cuba and 115 miles south of Long Island in the Bahamas, according to the BUSINESS NEWS Operations at U.S. National Hurricane Center. The hurricane Argentina Mine was moving north-northwest at 10 miles a Barrick Gold Corp. said Tuesday that it had hour with maximum sustained winds of 115 Peru Pipeline to resumed normal operations at its Veladero miles an hour, the Hurricane Center added. The Resume Operations mine in Argentina after the company received 11 deaths blamed on the hurricane included approval to do so from local authorities, victims in Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Early Next Year following repairs after the spill of a processing The full extent of the damage and casualties solution containing cyanide last month, Reuters was unclear this morning, particularly in Haiti, Peruvian state-owned energy company reported. Operations had been suspended where the storm took down communications Petroperú’s president, Augusto Baertl, said at the mine since Sept. 15 after falling ice in some areas, The Washington Post reported. Monday that the company’s pipeline should damaged a pipe and caused it to spill crushed “What we know is that many, many houses resume operations in four to fi ve months ore saturated by the solution. The spill was the have been damaged,” said Haitian Interior Min- after repairs are completed, Reuters reported second of its kind for Veladero in slightly more ister François Anick Joseph, The Post reported. late Monday. The government had previously than a year. said that it would take at least a year for the pipeline to resume operations, following its Colombia Cease- shutdown in February after it leaked oil in the Fire Will End Amazon. This year, more than 7,000 barrels of Antofagasta Reaches Wage oil spilled in the Amazon over the course of Deal With Supervisors Oct. 31: Santos at least seven leaks, due to poor maintenance Chilean copper mine Antofagasta Minerals or vandalism, according to data from environ- said Tuesday it had reached a 36-month wage Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos mental regulator Oefa. Petroperú blames the agreement with unionized supervisors at its said Tuesday that his government’s cease-fi re several leaks this year on vandalism, and Baertl Los Pelambres mine, Reuters reported. The with the Revolutionary Armed Forces, or FARC, on Monday said the oil company will ask local company said in a statement that the contract rebels will end on Oct. 31, as the two sides communities to help protect the pipeline from “meets the expectations of both parties, as struggle to determine the next steps following further damage as the company works to repair it addresses our supervisors’ main concerns voters’ narrow rejection of the country’s peace it. He added that local residents may have cut and is within the long-term possibilities of Los accord on Sunday. “Time is very important. We the pipeline with the goal of bringing cleanup Pelambres.” The terms of the agreement were can’t prolong this process and this dialogue jobs to more remote towns often neglected by not given. for a long time because we’re in a gray zone, a authorities. In order to prevent further damage, COPYRIGHT © 2016, INTER-AMERICAN DIALOGUE PAGE 2 LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR Wednesday, October 5, 2016 FEATURED Q&A / Continued from page 1 Petroperú needs to improve relations with local communities, especially those through which any serious international group to invest. De- elsewhere, but Bolivia could do much more the pipeline runs, Baetrl said.
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