Joint Report: Syrian Archive & Bellingcat & Syrians for Truth and Justice
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Syrian War at the Crossroads
\ POLICY BRIEF 4 \ 2020 Syrian war at the crossroads Curbing arms flow, imposing a no-fly zone and opening al-Yarubiyah border crossing Lena Schellhammer, Marius Bales \ BICC Policy recommendations to EU member states \ Impose a comprehensive arms embargo \ Establish a UN-mandated no-fly zone in to secondary conflict parties northern Syria Suspend the transfer of weapons, ammunition and To stop the cycle of mass displacement and attacks military equipment to secondary conflict parties, such against civilians, a UN-mandated no-fly zone must be as Turkey and Saudi Arabia, to stop illegal re-transfers established in northern Syria. If a no-fly zone is not to the Syrian war zone. Existing national agreements successful in protecting civilians in northern Syria, a to suspend certain arms exports to Turkey (2019) by UN-mandated safe zone must also be considered and Norway, Finland, the Netherlands, France, the United ultimately implemented. Kingdom and Germany, as well as the export moratoria of limited duration for Saudi Arabia (2018), should be \ Extend humanitarian cross-border aid extended to a comprehensive, not time-limited EU (UNSCR 2165) and reopen the al-Yarubiyah arms embargo. border crossing EU member states must call on the UN Security Council \ Buy and destroy the still existing stocks to vote for continuing humanitarian cross-border aid of former Yugoslav weapons (UNSCR 2165) and to reopen the al-Yarubiyah border Many of the weapons that are re-exported to Syria are crossing with Iraq in north-eastern Syria to prevent old arms, produced in former Yugoslavian countries or the humanitarian situation from deteriorating further. -
The Precariousness of the De-Escalation Zones in Syria
The Precariousness of the De-Escalation Zones in Syria Mustafa Gurbuz May 10, 2017 Although the Russia-Turkey-Iran agreement on Given the fact that neither the Assad regime nor de-escalation zones in Syria was announced the Syrian opposition has signed the recent with boastful statements, ongoing clashes on agreement, maintaining the de-escalation zones the designated zones point to serious could be an arduous task. Three major problems impediments in implementing the ceasefire on arise (1) the Assad regime’s militaristic the ground. “We as guarantors…will do interpretation of the agreement and reluctance everything for this to work,” declared Russian to provide “rapid, safe and unhindered President Vladimir Putin in his meeting with humanitarian access” and “measures to restore Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who basic infrastructure facilities,” which are stated in turn said that the agreement will solve “50 as essential elements in the agreement, (2) the percent of the Syrian issue.” The Syrian opposition’s deep skepticism and internal opposition groups, however, criticized the divisions, and (3) the potential provocations by overall Astana process, noting that the de- Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and other al-Qaida escalation zones could result in partitioning affiliates to disrupt the process. These are “the country through vague meanings.” nestled among the rebels in all proposed de- escalation zones and are most powerful in the According to a statement from the Russian Idlib region and its surroundings—a critical Foreign Ministry, the agreement suggests that zone that could determine the fate of the the guarantor states—Russia-Turkey-Iran— agreement. -
UK Home Office
Country Policy and Information Note Syria: the Syrian Civil War Version 4.0 August 2020 Preface Purpose This note provides country of origin information (COI) and analysis of COI for use by Home Office decision makers handling particular types of protection and human rights claims (as set out in the Introduction section). It is not intended to be an exhaustive survey of a particular subject or theme. It is split into two main sections: (1) analysis and assessment of COI and other evidence; and (2) COI. These are explained in more detail below. Assessment This section analyses the evidence relevant to this note – i.e. the COI section; refugee/human rights laws and policies; and applicable caselaw – by describing this and its inter-relationships, and provides an assessment of, in general, whether one or more of the following applies: x A person is reasonably likely to face a real risk of persecution or serious harm x The general humanitarian situation is so severe as to breach Article 15(b) of European Council Directive 2004/83/EC (the Qualification Directive) / Article 3 of the European Convention on Human Rights as transposed in paragraph 339C and 339CA(iii) of the Immigration Rules x The security situation presents a real risk to a civilian’s life or person such that it would breach Article 15(c) of the Qualification Directive as transposed in paragraph 339C and 339CA(iv) of the Immigration Rules x A person is able to obtain protection from the state (or quasi state bodies) x A person is reasonably able to relocate within a country or territory x A claim is likely to justify granting asylum, humanitarian protection or other form of leave, and x If a claim is refused, it is likely or unlikely to be certifiable as ‘clearly unfounded’ under section 94 of the Nationality, Immigration and Asylum Act 2002. -
WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 15 June - 21 June 2020
WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 15 June - 21 June 2020 SYRIA SUMMARY • NORTHWEST| There were increased attacks against Turkish-backed opposition groups in the region. Turkish and Russian armed forces continued to patrol the M4 highway in Idlib Governorate. Hayyat Tahrir al- Sham arrested a commander of a rival armed opposition group in Idlib Governorate. Civilians continued to face violence in the region. • SOUTH & CENTRAL | Protests continued across southern Syria. An improvised explosive device (IED) killed Russian-backed 5th Corps fighters in Dara’a Governorate. Civilians continued to face targeted violence in Dara’a Governorate. • NORTHEAST | ISIS attacks in Deir-ez-Zor Governorate continued. Clashes erupted between Iranian-backed groups and Government of Syria armed forces in Deir-ez-Zor Governorate. Turkish-backed armed opposition groups continued to engage in property destruction and looting in Al- Hassakah Governorate. Artillery bombardments in the region increased from the previous week. Figure 1: Dominant actors’ area of control and influence in Syria as of 21 June 2020. NSOAG stands for Non-state Organized Armed Groups. Also, please see the footnote on page 2. Page 1 of 7 WEEKLY CONFLICT SUMMARY | 15 June – 21 June 2020 NORTHWEST SYRIA1 There were increased attacks against Turkish-backed armed opposition groups in the region during the reporting period. On 15 June, unidentified gunmen assassinated the commander of the Turkish-backed Saqour al-Sham opposition group in Benin, Idlib Governorate.2 The same day, Hayyat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) arrested a fighter of the Turkish-backed opposition’s National Liberation Front (NLF) at a checkpoint in Salqin, Idlib Governorate. The reason for the arrest was not revealed. -
Post-ISIS States by Dr
Background Report VII: September 5, 2017 - April 30, 2018 Post-ISIS States By Dr. Gina Lennox Kurdish Lobby Australia Email: [email protected] Website: www.kurdishlobbyaustralia.com ©2018 Kurdish Lobby Australia You are welcome to share this report but please do not make changes without permission from Kurdish Lobby Australia. 1 Table of Contents Table of Figures ............................................................................................................................ 3 Acronyms ........................................................................................................................................ 4 Summary ................................................................................................................................ 5 Why what is happening in the Middle East is relevant to Australia .......................... 9 What the Australian Government Can Do ........................................................................... 9 Overview ............................................................................................................................. 10 ISIS................................................................................................................................................... 10 Cost of War ................................................................................................................................... 11 Reconciliation and Reconstruction ..................................................................................... 14 -
How Al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings,And the Islamic State
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings,and the Islamic State THE NATURE OF THE CURRENT THREAT Aaron Y. Zelin, Editor “Al-Qaeda and its affiliate organizations never stopped being a primary terrorism concern for me, for the U.S. intelligence community, and for the broader counterter- rorism community. Not a day has gone by in my entire tenure at NCTC where our emphasis on al-Qaeda has been anything less than a top priority. That’s the beauty of working on terrorism issues. You get the privilege of having multiple top priorities.” —Nicholas Rasmussen Director, National Counterterrorism Center, comments at The Washington Institute March 1, 2017 How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings,and the Islamic State THE NATURE OF THE CURRENT THREAT Aaron Y. Zelin EDITOR THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY www.washingtoninstitute.org The opinions expressed in this Policy Focus are those of the authors and not necessarily those of The Washington Institute, its Board of Trustees, or its Board of Advisors. Policy Focus 153 First publication June 2017 All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopy, recording, or any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. © 2017 by The Washington Institute for Near East Policy The Washington Institute for Near East Policy 11111 19th Street NW, Suite 500 Washington, DC 20036 www.washingtoninstitute.org Design: 1000colors Contents ACKNOWLEDGMENTS | v ABOUT THE WORKSHOP | vi CONTRIBUTORS | viii KEY AL-QAEDA-RELATED EVENTS, 2009–17 | xii ■ OVERALL THREAT Introduction AARON Y. -
Export Search Result (PDF)
Peace Agreement Access Tool PA-X www.peaceagreements.org PA-X Peace Agreement Database 1915 agreements found. Resolution of Intra Afghan Peace Conference in Doha, Qatar (Doha Roadmap for Peace) 08/07/2019 Afghanistan Agreement between the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan and Hizb-e-Islami 22/09/2016 Afghanistan Agreement between the two campaign teams regarding the structure of the national unity 21/09/2014 government Afghanistan Tokyo Declaration Partnership for Self-Reliance in Afghanistan from Transition to Transformation 08/07/2012 (Tokyo Conference) Afghanistan Conclusions of the Conference on Afghanistan and the International Community: From Transition to 05/12/2011 the Transformation Decade (Bonn Conference) Afghanistan Istanbul Process on Regional Security and Cooperation for a Secure and Stable Afghanistan 02/11/2011 Afghanistan Renewed Commitment by the Afghan Government to the Afghan People and the International 22/07/2010 Community to Afghanistan (Kabul Conference Communique) Afghanistan The Resolution Adopted at the Conclusion of the National Consultative Peace Jirga 06/06/2010 Afghanistan Communiqué of the Conference on Afghan Leadership, Regional Cooperation, International 28/01/2010 Partnership (London Conference Communique) Afghanistan Statement of the International Conference on Afghanistan (Hague Conference) 31/03/2009 Afghanistan Declaration of the Special Conference on Afghanistan Convened under the Auspices of the Shanghai 27/03/2009 Cooperation Organization (Moscow Declaration) Afghanistan Declaration of the International -
To Read the Report in Full As a PDF
stj-sy.org Ongoing Violations Without Accountability: Islamic State Members in the Syrian National Army The present report provides detailed information on 27 IS leaders and fighters who joined the ranks of the SNA Page | 2 stj-sy.org Executive Summary The present report is concerned with the issue of Islamic State (IS) members joining the ranks of the Turkish-backed Syrian National Army (SNA) of the Syrian Interim Government (SIG), operating under the National Coalition for Syrian Revolutionary and Opposition Forces. In this report, Syrians for Truth and Justice (STJ) cites 27 names of former IS members now positioned in the SNA as 11 first and second-level leaders, 6 security officials, and 10 members of different ranks. We collected detailed information on these 27 individuals as part of a total of 65 former IS members currently active in the ranks of the SNA which we will share with UN bodies. STJ obtained evidence of violations committed by these individuals while they served in IS, and later in the SNA. Furthermore, we identified which SNA groups the individuals joined — many which recruited Syrian civilians and fighters to fight as mercenaries in Libya and Azerbaijan. While preparing this report, our team noted that the SNA concealed the identity of multiple leaders and fighters in member lists provided to the Turkish government. For this paper, STJ conducted 28 interviews with leaders and fighters within the SNA and their families, as well as witnesses acquainted with the individuals discussed. This report is a part of a wider effort to collect information on former IS members who are now active in the Syrian territories among various parties in the conflict. -
The Syrian National Army (SNA): Structure, Functions, and Three Scenarios for Its Relationship with Damascus Ömer Özkizilcik, SETA Foundation
Syria Transition Challenges Project Discussion Paper (24) The Syrian National Army (SNA): Structure, Functions, and Three Scenarios for its Relationship with Damascus Ömer Özkizilcik, SETA Foundation 1 The Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP) The Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP) is an international foundation established in 1995, with 53 member states, for the primary purpose of promoting peace, security and international cooperation through executive education, applied policy research and dialogue. The GCSP trains government officials, diplomats, military officers, international civil servants and NGO and private sector staff in pertinent fields of international peace and security. Syria Transition Challenges Project A multilateral dialogue and research project that aims to build bridges between the EU, Russia, Turkey, and the US on the three issues of Reform, Refugees Return, and Reconstruction. The project is run by the GCSP in collaboration with European University Institute (EUI), Syrian Centre for Policy Research (SCPR), and swisspeace. Editor: Abdulla Ibrahim, Project Lead Researcher Tamer Badawi, Research Assistant Author Ömer Özkizilcik Ömer Özkizilcik works at the Security Department of SETA Foundation. Between August 2017 and September 2018, Özkizilcik worked at the Middle East Foundation. Since 2016, he has been the editor in chief of Suriye Gündemi. Özkizilcik’s research focuses on the wider effects and repercussions of the Syrian conflict and the intra- and intergroup dynamics of local non-state actors in Syria. The ideas expressed are those of the author not the publisher or the author’s affiliation Published in October 2020 All rights reserved to GCSP 2 The Syrian National Army (SNA) is officially part of the Syrian Interim Government (SIG) and responds to the Ministry of Defense (MoD). -
SYRIA CRISIS WATCH International Strategic Studies Group (08-22 Dec 19)
© 2019 Beyond the Horizon SYRIA CRISIS WATCH International Strategic Studies Group (08-22 Dec 19) www.behorizon.org 6. At least 25,000 people fled Syria's Idlib for Turkey over two days - media. KEY EVENTS 22.12.2019 At least 25,000 civilians have fled Syria’s northwestern region of Idlib and headed towards Turkey over the past two days, Turkish state media said on Sunday, as Syrian and 1. Russian Military Opened Fire on an Israeli Aircraft. Russian forces intensified their bombardment of the region. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has 19.12.2019 Russia has allegedly opened fire on Israeli aircraft that entered Syria’s airspace vowed to recapture Idlib, pushing more people towards Turkey. On Thursday, Turkish President in the southwestern part of the country, the Hebrew-language website Channel 12 Tayyip Erdogan said 50,000 people were fleeing from Idlib towards Syria’s border with Turkey. reported. Citing the website Top War, the Channel 12 report said the Russian military (Reuters) https://reut.rs/36YWBIB opened fire on an Israeli unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) that was along the eastern axis of the occupied Golan Heights region. (The Syrian Observer) http://bit.ly/2PLSM3E 7. Lack of refugee aid forced Turkey into Syria operation : Erdogan. 17.12.2019 A lack of international assistance to Turkey to support millions of refugees on its soil 2. Russia & Syria Signal West With Joint Naval Drills, “Hundreds” Of Airstrikes pushed Ankara to launch operations in northeast Syria, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan On Idlib. said Tuesday. Despite broad international criticism, Turkish forces in October launched a major 22.12.2019 Multiple developments related to Russia's military role in Syria mean that the cross-border raid to clear a so-called safe-zone of Kurdish fighters, who Ankara considers years-long conflict could once again become front and center for Washington during 2020. -
The Fight for Control Within the Syrian Opposition
JULY AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUNE JULY AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC 2014 2015 2016 2016 1 THE FIGHT FOR CONTROL WITHIN Jabhat Ansar al-Din 40 88 92 94 101 120 128 130 HASI HASI 47 129 THE SYRIAN OPPOSITION 7 Suqour al-Sham Suqour al-Sham 36 57 60 11 22 41 46 62 69 126 A comprehensive timeline of the clashes and cooperation of JN 37 56 JN 18 48 58 68 74 ALEPPO 9 opposition powerbrokers in the Syrian Civil War between July Harakat Hazm 63 49 52 78 86 2014 and December 2016 Jaysh al-Mujahideen Sham Front Liwa al-Tawhid 28 59 64 14 YPG YPG 65 96 99 100 115 116 124 SDF SDF 114 119 OES OES 15 17 23 54 Jaysh al-Umma 38 42 84 103 104 107 108 111 117 125 127 131 Jaysh al-Islam Jaysh al-Islam 66 Ajnad al-Sham Ajnad al-Sham 16 43 71 75 89 2 95 DAMASCUS JN JN 10 85 109 HASI HASI 79 97 Faylaq ar-Rahman Faylaq ar-Rahman 3 HARD-LINE ISLAMISTS Islamic Front 24 MODERATES 21 U.S. BACKED MODERATES Harakat Hazm 121 12 19 25 29 31 32 SRF 4 44 61 67 72 76 80 110 50 JN IDLIB 27 13 81 90 105 118 122 123 39 70 HASI HASI 26 Jund al-Aqsa Jund al-Aqsa 33 53 73 82 93 102 HASI HASI 5 87 91 20 30 34 77 DERA’A JN JN 55 106 112 SF SF 45 8 Jund al-Aqsa Events compiled by Author from Institute for the Study of War Syria Updates and Syria Situation Reports between July 2014 and December 2016 Ajnad al-Sham HAMA 98 35 83 113 HASI HASI 6 JN JN 1. -
Al-Nusra Front (Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham)
Al-Nusra Front (Hayat Tahrir al-Sham) Name: Al-Nusra Front (Hayat Tahrir al-Sham) Type of Organization: Insurgent non-state actor terrorist transnational violent Ideologies and Affiliations: Al-Qaeda affiliated group Islamist jihadist Qutbist Salafist Sunni Place of Origin: Syria and Iraq Year of Origin: Formed 2011, declared January 2012 Founder(s): Abu Mohammad al-Golani, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi Places of Operation: Syria and Lebanon Overview Also Known As: 1 Al-Nusra Front (Hayat Tahrir al-Sham) • Al-Nusrah Front1 • Jabhat Fateh al-Sham23 • Al-Nusra Front to Protect the Levant2 • Jabhat Fath al Sham24 • Al Nusrah Front for the People of Levant3 • Jabhat Fath al-Sham25 • Al Nusrah Front for the People of the Levant4 • Jabhet al-Nusra26 • Al-Nusrah Front in Lebanon5 • Jabhet al-Nusrah27 • Ansar al-Mujahideen Network6 • Levantine Conquest Front28 29 • Assembly for Liberation of the Levant7 • Levantine Mujahideen on the Battlefields of Jihad30 • Assembly for the Liberation of Syria8 • Liberation of al-Sham Commission31 • Conquest of the Levant Front9 • Liberation of the Levant Organization32 • Fatah al-Sham Front10 • Support Front for the People of the Levant33 • Fateh al-Sham Front11 • Support Front for the People of Syria from the Mujahideen • Front for the Conquest of Syria12 of Syria in the Places of Jihad34 35 • Front for the Conquest of Syria / the Levant13 • Tahrir al-Sham36 • Front for the Liberation of the Levant14 • Tahrir al-Sham Hay’at37 • Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham15 16 • The Al Nusrah Front for the People of the Levant38 39 • Hay’et