Delegation for Relations with the Mashreq Countries
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Presidential Elections in Lebanon: Consensus Or Conflagration? by David Schenker
MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 1299 Presidential Elections in Lebanon: Consensus or Conflagration? by David Schenker Nov 1, 2007 ABOUT THE AUTHORS David Schenker David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs. Brief Analysis n October 31, Saad Hariri, leader of the "March 14" majority bloc in the Lebanese parliament, met with O opposition leader Michel Aoun, head of the Hizballah-allied Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), the largest Maronite Christian party in Lebanon. Discussions focused on the September 25-November 25 presidential elections, which will decide whether Lebanon's next chief executive will align with the pro-Western, reform-minded March 14 coalition or follow the path of current president Emile Lahoud and align with Syria. Despite increasing pressures on the March 14 forces -- including an apparent Syrian-orchestrated assassination campaign -- a breakthrough agreement between the majority and the opposition remains unlikely. Meanwhile, Hizballah has warned the March 14 bloc that if it does not compromise on the choice of president, the opposition will adopt a "more direct" approach. Background In the aftermath of the February 2005 assassination of former Lebanese premier Rafiq Hariri, Syria was forced to withdraw its forces, and the March 14 bloc won the parliamentary elections and formed a government. The government coalition included Hizballah ministers, but differences quickly emerged, primarily over the prospective international tribunal to prosecute Hariri's killers. In November 2006, Hizballah's ministers essentially quit after Prime Minister Fouad Siniora requested UN assistance to establish the tribunal, and tensions have been high ever since. -
Hezbollah, the Hidden Side of the Coin the Untold Story of Hezbollah
Hezbollah, the Hidden Side of the coin The untold Story of Hezbollah Written by : Massoud Mohamed Table of Contents: Research Question: ........................................................................................................................... 2 Is the Media hiding the truth or rather is it mediatizing a carefully crafted Hezbollah message? ............................................................................................................................................. 2 I. How did the Media present Hezbollah? ................................................................................ 2 II. To what extend is that true? And how Hezbollah managed to take over?.................. 2 The Story of Hezbollah which was never told: ........................................................................... 2 “Hezbollah” Significant Name: ........................................................................................... 3 The Islamic State (Shii vergin): ........................................................................................... 3 Why this specific name Hezbollah? .................................................................................. 3 Hezbollah Objectives: ........................................................................................................... 4 Our Objectives: ....................................................................................................................... 4 III. Promoting Hezbollah: ........................................................................................................... -
Real Renewal Means No Lahoud Or Berri
Real renewal means no Lahoud or Berri By Chibli Mallat Commentary by Opinion, Tuesday, June 21, 2005 With the exception of the third round of voting two weekends ago, the results of Lebanon's parliamentary elections have been pretty much as expected. The opposition now has a significant majority, which is normal considering the massive upheaval that took place following the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri in February. We should now speak of an "indigenous-led" opposition, which includes those who opposed the Syrian presence "in the field," of which the two tragic icons are Hariri and the recently assassinated journalist Samir Kassir (not to forget Marwan Hamadeh's dead driver, Ghazi Boukaroum, and those many other innocents killed in the Hariri assassination); and we should distinguish this opposition from the "exile-led" opposition, epitomized by Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun. One can lament the split within the opposition (although thanks to Aoun's stand - some would say stubbornness - suspense was injected into the electoral process), but the remarkably non-violent revolution we have lived through can now be brought to fruition. That is why there must today be two paramount objectives: the departure of President Emile Lahoud, so we can at last reconcile ourselves with our mistreated Constitution; and the election of a new speaker of Parliament in lieu of Nabih Berri, so that a fresh spirit can infuse legislative matters. Let us first look at the numbers. The 15 or so seats won by Aounist candidates on June 12 rattled opposition expectations in the Jbeil-Kisirwan district and the Metn, because of the unmerited defeat of three leading exemplars of Lebanese decency: Carlos Edde, Fares Souaid and Nassib Lahoud. -
Political Party Mapping in Lebanon Ahead of the 2018 Elections
Political Party Mapping in Lebanon Ahead of the 2018 Elections Foreword This study on the political party mapping in Lebanon ahead of the 2018 elections includes a survey of most Lebanese political parties; especially those that currently have or previously had parliamentary or government representation, with the exception of Lebanese Communist Party, Islamic Unification Movement, Union of Working People’s Forces, since they either have candidates for elections or had previously had candidates for elections before the final list was out from the Ministry of Interior and Municipalities. The first part includes a systematic presentation of 27 political parties, organizations or movements, showing their official name, logo, establishment, leader, leading committee, regional and local alliances and relations, their stance on the electoral law and their most prominent candidates for the upcoming parliamentary elections. The second part provides the distribution of partisan and political powers over the 15 electoral districts set in the law governing the elections of May 6, 2018. It also offers basic information related to each district: the number of voters, the expected participation rate, the electoral quotient, the candidate’s ceiling on election expenditure, in addition to an analytical overview of the 2005 and 2009 elections, their results and alliances. The distribution of parties for 2018 is based on the research team’s analysis and estimates from different sources. 2 Table of Contents Page Introduction ....................................................................................................... -
Vins Du Liban
V ins du L iba n: ars L e business en bo u t e il l e LMa v ie:, c ’esi extra SEPTEMBRE 1996, 5000 L.L. N o 10. sept embre 1996 So m m a i r e VOICE OF AMERIKA: U NE PRESSE À DEUX TEMPS 24 D E VISU : VIVIR LA MU ERTE 26 VINS DU LIBAN: LE BU SI- NESS EN BOUTEILLE 32 Q U AND LA Ont contribué VILLE DORT 38 à ce n um éro LA CH AMBRE INTROU VABLE EXTRÊMES: DABKÉ, 5-22 Hanane Abboud, Ziad N. Abdelnour, Paul MONT-LIBAN: LES MAILLES DU FILET Achkar, Jamal Asmar, SEXE, FOLKLORE ET Médéa Azouri, Chris- tophe Ayad, Nabih FANTAISIE 44 METN: COMMENT LAH OU D A TRA- Badawi, Nadine Che- hadé, Mona Daoud, MIXED MEDIA: L’OF- VERSÉ LE MURR N ORD: U N POTEN- Sophie Dick, Jabbour Douayhi, Patrick Hen- FENSIVE DE ÉLÉ nebelle, Vincent T - TIEL D’INATTENDU BEYROU TH : LES Homer, Anthony IBAN LGO Karam, Houda Kas- L 50 A - RATÉS DU ROULEAU COMPRESSEUR satly, Mazen Kerbaj, Charif Majdalani, RITHME: LA VIE, Farouk Mardam-Bey, ENJEUX ET SURPRISES: SUD, BÉKAA Marie Matar, Nada C EST EXTRA Moghayzel Nasr, ’ 54 Nada Nassar Chaoul, Reina Sarkis, Farès GH ASSAN FAWA Z : D ANS LES RECOINS Sassine, Michèle Standjovski, Jade D’UNE MÉMOIRE BLESSÉE 64 POÉSIE Tabet, Fawaz Tra- boulsi, Michael POUR GOURMETS 67 BIRUNI: L’INDE Young EN ARABESQUES 70 SAVEURS: D U RAISIN L’O RIENT-EXPRESS, IMM. MEDIA C ENTRE, 78 CARTE POSTALE: ALEP LA BLANCH E ACCAOUI, B.P. -
U.S.-Lebanon Dialogue Program Lebanon's Upcoming Elections
U.S.-Lebanon Dialogue Program Lebanon’s Upcoming Elections Summary Lebanon’s democratic process is a complex system intended to ensure a balance of ethnic and religious representation at all levels of government. Because certain electoral districts must be represented by a set mix of ethno-religious representatives, the prospect of a single party winning a broad mandate for leadership is very low. The nature of the governing coalition depends heavily on how electoral alliances are stitched together in the days immediately before and after the elections. According to the most recent polls, the elections today are still too close to call. What does seem clear is that whoever wins will likely hold a very slim majority in parliament, quite possibly leading to a continuation of some form of the current power sharing arrangement. This would mean that there would be no radical shift in Lebanon’s regional orientation, but would likely continue to slow further reform efforts with the need to secure approval from all sides. March 14 leaders have consistently rejected this idea, however, leading to fears that if Hezbollah and its allies win a majority, they may have to govern alone and face the curtailment of essential international aid. The Lebanese Political System Lebanon’s three top national positions – president, prime minister and speaker of parliament – are reserved for Maronite Christians, Sunni Muslims, and Shia Muslims respectively. The deputy premiership and deputy speaker of parliament are reserved for the Greek Orthodox. The parliament and cabinet are apportioned along a 50-50 split between Muslims and Christians, with proportional representation of each sect within those two blocs. -
La République En Ballottage
La République en ballottage L es l ie u x de l ’été L e T ibe t À LA RECHERCHE DU S hâNGRILA PERDU AOÛT 1996, 5000 L.L. N o 9. ao û t 1996 So m m a i r e VOICE OF AMERIKA: LE BIBI SHOW 26 D E VISU : À LA RECHERCHE DU SHAN- GRILA PERDU 28 SHOW-OFF OU SHOW-BIZ 48 EXTRÊMES: TERRE EN Ont contribué SU RSIS RANCIS à ce n um éro 52 F LA RÉPUBLIQUE EN BALLOTAGE 5-24 Hanane Abboud, Ziad BACON: LA DERNIÈRE N. Abdelnour, Paul LE PARLEMENT DE 92: ŒUVRES COM- Achkar, Jamal Asmar, TENTATION DU CORPS Médéa Azouri, Chris- PLETES SIMON KARAM: POUR tophe Ayad, Nabih Badawi, Nadine Che- 60 SÉLIM BARAKAT, L’UNITÉ DES OPPOSITIONS 16 hadé, Mona Daoud, UE FAUT IL EN ATTENDRE SSAM Sophie Dick, Jabbour LE KU RDE ET LA Q - : I Douayhi, Anthony N AAMAN, MICHEL SAMAH A, BOU- Karam, Simon Karam, BALEINE 67 BONNES Houda Kassatly, TROS H ARB ENJEUX ET SURPRISES: Mazen Kerbaj, Charif Majdalani, Farouk FEU ILLES: LA CAVE MONT-LIBAN, BEYROU TH , NORD Mardam-Bey, Marie Matar, Nada Moghay- DU H O LID AY 68 zel Nasr, Nada Nas- LES LIEUX DE L’ÉTÉ sar Chaoul, Reina 34-46 Sarkis, Farès Sassine, H UGO PRATT: VENISE Michèle Standjovski, BROUMMANA: ETDIREQUEC’ÉTAIT Jade Tabet, Joëlle N ’EST PAS EN ITALIE Touma, Michael LA VILLE DE MON PREMIER AMOU R Young 76 SAVEURS: D E LA D ERNIER TANGO À SOFAR D HOUR- FIGU E 84 CARTE CHOUEIR: N OUS N’IRONSPLUSAU L’O RIENT-EXPRESS, BOIS KESROU AN: L’AU TARCIE IMM. -
Social Classes and Political Power in Lebanon
Social Classes This document has been produced with the financial assistance of the Heinrich Böll Stiftung - Middle East Office. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and can therefore in no way be taken to reflect the opinion of the Foundation. and Political Power in Lebanon Fawwaz Traboulsi Social Classes and Political Power in Lebanon Fawwaz Traboulsi This document has been produced with the financial assistance of the Heinrich Böll Stiftung - Middle East Office. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and can therefore in no way be taken to reflect the opinion of the Foundation. Content 1- Methodology ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 4 2- From Liberalism to Neoliberalism .................................................................................................................................... 23 3- The Oligarchy ................................................................................................................................................................................. 30 4- The Middle Classes............................................................................................................................... ..................................... 44 5- The Working Classes ................................................................................................................................................................. -
A Lebanon Political Primer May 2009
International Foundation for Electoral Systems A Lebanon Political Primer May 2009 Constitutional Positions By political agreement since Lebanese independence in 1943, the three key constitutional positions are reserved for citizens from specific confessional groups. President Prime Minister Parliamentary Speaker General Michel Sleiman Fouad Sinora Naibh Berri Maronite Christian Sunni Muslim Shiite Muslim No political alignment Future Movement Amal Movement Elected as President by Prime Minister since July 2005. Speaker since November 1992. Parliament on 25 May 2008. Standing as a candidate in Saida. Standing as a candidate in Formerly the Head of the Zahrany. Lebanese Armed Forces. Parliamentary Blocs The 128-seat Lebanese Parliament currently has two parliamentary blocs: the majority bloc (with 67 Deputies) consists of political parties and affiliated independents referred to as “March 14”. The other bloc (with 56 Deputies) consists of political parties and independents affiliated to two coalesced groups, the March 8 coalition and the Reform and Change alliance. At the time the June 7 elections were called, three Deputies are not affiliated to either bloc and there were two vacant seats. This chart refers to numbers of Deputies as of April 2009 and the confessional group to which the party is most closely linked. March 14 Parliamentary Bloc March 8 and Reform and Change Parliamentary Bloc 67 Deputies 56 Deputies Future Movement (FM) Hezbollah 27 Deputies 11 Deputies Leader: Saad Hariri Leader: Hassan Nasrallah Mostly Sunni Muslim Shiite Muslim Progressive Socialist Party (PSP) Amal Movement 6 Deputies 10 Deputies Leader: Walid Jumblatt Leader: Nabih Berri Druze Shiite Muslim Lebanese Forces (LF) Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) 5 Deputies 7 Deputies Leader: Dr. -
Stumbling Blocs in Auckland, New Zealand Just Returned from Mexico
The National Friday, May 1, 2009 www.thenational.ae 03 review th thethe big idea week the tangled web !!! The criminalisation of journalism Air France Flight 438, from Paris, was to land at Mexico City at 6pm on Saturday, April 18. Five hours before landing, the captain’s voice announced that US authorities had prohibited the plane from flying over US territory. The explanation: among the passengers aboard was a person who was not welcome in the United States for reasons of national security. A few minutes later, the same voice told the startled passengers that the plane was heading for Fort-de-France, Martinique, because the detour the plan needed to take to reach its destination was too long and the fuel was insufficient. The stopover in that French territory in the Caribbean would be only to refuel the plane. Exhaustion was becoming an issue among the passengers. But the central question, spoken in undertones, was the identity of the “terrorist” passenger, because if the “gringos” say it, “it must be because he must be a terrorist”. Looking at those of us sitting in the back of the plane, two passen- gers said no terrorist could be there because “nobody there looks like a Muslim”. Again in the air, and preparing for another four hours of travel, a man who identified himself as the co-pilot came to me. Trying to look discreet, he asked if I was “Mr Calvo Ospina”. I told him yes. “The captain wants to sleep, that’s why I came here,” he said, and he invited me to accompany him to the back of the plane. -
Lebanese American University from Michel Chiha To
LEBANESE AMERICAN UNIVERSITY FROM MICHEL CHIHA TO RAFIK HARIRI: CONTINUITY AND DISCONTINUITY IN THE PROCESS OF “LEBANONIZTION” By RIAD KOBAISSI A Thesis Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts in International Affairs School of Arts and Sciences February 2012 ii iii iv THESIS COPYRIGHT RELEASE FORM LEBANESE AMERICAN UNIVERSITY NON-EXCLUSIVE DISTRIBUTION LICENSE By signing and submitting this license, I Riad Kobaissi grants to Lebanese American University (LAU) the non-exclusive right to reproduce, translate (as defined below), and/or distribute your submission (including the abstract) worldwide in print and electronic format and in any medium, including but not limited to audio or video. You agree that LAU may, without changing the content, translate the submission to any medium or format for the purpose of preservation. You also agree that LAU may keep more than one copy of this submission for purposes of security, backup and preservation. You represent that the submission is your original work, and that you have the right to grant the rights contained in this license. You also represent that your submission does not, to the best of your knowledge, infringe upon anyone's copyright. If the submission contains material for which you do not hold copyright, you represent that you have obtained the unrestricted permission of the copyright owner to grant LAU the rights required by this license, and that such third-party owned material is clearly identified and acknowledged within the text or content of the submission. IF THE SUBMISSION IS BASED UPON WORK THAT HAS BEEN SPONSORED OR SUPPORTED BY AN AGENCY OR ORGANIZATION OTHER THAN LAU, YOU REPRESENT THAT YOU HAVE FULFILLED ANY RIGHT OF REVIEW OR OTHER OBLIGATIONS REQUIRED BY SUCH CONTRACT OR AGREEMENT. -
Lebanon's First Postwar Parliamentary Election, 1992: an Imposed Choice
PROSPECTS FOR LEBANON Lebanon 's First Postwar Parliamentary Election: An ~mposdChoice by Farid el Khazen -- -. -.--- ----- --- Centre for Lebanese Studies ---- -- -- -- - -- - 59 Observatory Street, Oxford OX2 6EP.Tel: 0 1865-558465 - -- Prospects for Lebanon 8 Lebanon's First Postwar Parliamentary Election, 1992: An Imposed Choice Farid el Khazen February 1998 Centre for Lebanese Studies - we--- - 59 Observatory Street, Oxford OX2 6EP.Tel: 01865-558465 O Centrefor Lebanese Studies Published by the Centrefor Lebanese Studies Oxford The Centrefor Lebanese Studies is a privately-funded, independent research institution devoted to the study of Lebanon, its history and the issues presently confronting it. Books in the Centre's series are published in the interest ofpublic information. They represent the free expression of their authors' opinions and do not necessarily indicate the judgement or opinion of the Centre. ISBN: 1 870552 74 1 ISSN: 0953-7341 Designed and Typeset by Oxford Publishing Services Printed in Great Britain by Oxonian Rewley Press Ltd. Contents Part One Pre- and Post-Ta'if Politics: What has Changed? 3 Reform as Political Bargaining Before and After Ta'if 5 Prior to Election Day 7 The Making of the Electoral Law 15 Electoral Constituencies: Last-Minute Bargains 18 The Political and Sectarian Implications of Uneven Multi-Member Constituencies 21 The 1992 Electoral Law: Who Elects Whom? 25 The Timing of the Elections: An Enigma! 28 Part Two The Electoral Process and the New Parliament Composing the Electoral Lists: Cho.osing