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Identifying Command, Control and Communication Networks from Interactions and Activities Observations Georgiy Levchuk, Ph.D., Aptima Inc. Yuri Levchuk, Ph.D., Aptima Inc. CCRTS, 2006 © 2006, Aptima, Inc. 1 Agenda Challenges of tactical operations Proposed integrated solution concept Focus of this research: adversary organization identification Technical approach Results and conclusions © 2006, Aptima, Inc. 2 3 Major Challenges of Tactical Operations Conflicts Trends Technology/Information Trends Adversary’s Trends 70 4500 Past 60 4000 Large-size forces of well-known 3500 50 organizational forms 3000 40 Current 2500 Main telephone lines 30 Small- to moderate-size militia 2000 Mobile cellular forces taking many less #, Millions subscribers 20 1500 Internet users organized forms # of US forces ops forces US # of 10 1000 Future: Adaptive Enemy 0 500 Almost unrestricted ability to 1946-1969 1970-1990 1991-2006 0 connect and coordinate 1992 1998 2004 2010 (est) Years Year Can change size and adapt Past Past structure Slow-time conflict Mainly hard-line communications Numbered engagements Current Internet traffic doubles/year Current 630,000 phone lines installed/week Tactical Planning Issues Asymmetric threats and 50,000 new wireless users/day changing missions 650M SIGINT cables generated High manpower needs (~0.001% to products) Takes long time Future: Increased # of Ops 34M voice mail messages/day High info gaps, complexity, Fast-paced engagements 7.7M e-mails sent/min overload Larger number of and Future: Data Explosion Biases of human decisions higher time criticality Data impossible to analyze manually © 2006, Aptima, Inc. 3 Solution: A System to Aid Battlefield CMDR to Design Effective Counteractions against Tactical Adversary Semi-automated System CMDR & planning staff Battlefield Execute attacks against enemy Gather intel INPUT PRODUCT •comm.
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