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AVALANCHE BULLETIN n.31 the 20 January 2020

Situation of 20 January 2020 edition of the hours 14-next update 22-01-2020 hours 14, forecaster: DM reliability: 80% Moderate danger in the Julian Alps and western due to the new snow presence.

1 Prealpi Carniche occ., Alpi Giulie

2 1800 NE 30 km/h

1 Alpi Carniche occ., Prealpi Carniche orient., Alpi Carniche orient., M. Thermal Zero: 700 m Canin, Prealpi Giulie T.average 1000: -3 °C 1800 T.average 2000: -8 °C Weather by OSMER - ARPA FVG: Clear or little cloudy skies. Wind form NE, 1 stronger and colder at altitude.

quota snow depth fresh snow Tmin Tmax 1 Station (m) (cm) (cm) (°C) (°C) RIFUGIO TAMAI - ZONCOLAN 1750 83 0 -8 -4 2 1 VARMOST M.TE SIMONE 1870 113 3 -10 -4 - LIVINAL LUNC 1837 257 3 -9 -6 PIANCAVALLO 1280 8 8 -7 0 800 7 0 -9 5

Snow cover conditions and avalanche danger: Last Saturday, a weak disturbance brought uneven snowfall in the mountain territory. Only in the western Carnic Prealps and in the Julian Alps about 10-20 cm fell, insignificant quantities elsewhere. In these areas the avalanche danger is 2 (moderate) due to the presence of some deposits of possible human triggered new snow even with low additional load, under the ridges and along the steepest slopes, exposed to the North. On the , Eastern Carnic Prealps, Canin and on the Julian Prealps, the danger is 1 (low) and small human triggered slabs can occur with high additional load only and at northern exposures. Everywhere, natural avalanche activity is minimal and limited to a few loose snow avalanches from the steepest sunny slopes. Pay attention to icy areas where it is possible to run into ruinous falls.

Forecast for Tuesday 21 January 2020, reliability: 80% Moderate danger in the Julian Alps and western Carnic Prealps due to small detachable slabs.

1 Prealpi Carniche occ., Alpi Giulie

2 1800 SE 25 km/h

1 Alpi Carniche occ., Prealpi Carniche orient., Alpi Carniche orient., M. Thermal Zero: 2300 m Canin, Prealpi Giulie T.average 1000: 0 °C 1800 T.average 2000: 1 °C Weather by OSMER - ARPA FVG: Clear or little cloudy skies. In the morning low clouds are dissolving on the Tarvisio. 1 Increase in freezing level.

1

2 1

Snow cover conditions and avalanche danger: On Tuesday the temperatures will be increasing again at altitude.On the western Carnic Prealps and Julian Alps, the avalanche danger will be 2 (moderate) due to small snow deposits under the ridges and the steepest gullies exposed to the North detachable even with low additional load. On the Carnic Alps, Eastern Carnic Prealps, Canin and on the Julian Prealps, the danger will be 1 (low) and small human triggered slabs can occur with high additional load only and at northern exposures on the steepest areas under ridges. Everywhere, natural avalanche activity will be minimal and limited to a few loose snow avalanches of small size from the steepest sunny slopes. Pay attention to icy areas where it is possible to run into ruinous falls.

5 Very high 4 High 3 Considerable 2 Moderate 1 Low No snow increase / decrease in danger day 1 / 2

AVALANCHE BULLETIN n.31 the 20 January 2020

Forecast for Wednesday 22 January 2020, reliability: 80% Moderate danger in the Julian Alps and western Carnic Prealps due to small detachable slabs.

1 Prealpi Carniche occ., Alpi Giulie

2 1800 W 20 km/h

1 Alpi Carniche occ., Prealpi Carniche orient., Alpi Carniche orient., M. Thermal Zero: 2700 m Canin, Prealpi Giulie T.average 1000: 4 °C 1800 T.average 2000: 4 °C Weather by OSMER - ARPA FVG: Clear skies, marked thermal inversion at night in the valleys with frosts; mild at 1 altitude.

1

2 1

Snow cover conditions and avalanche danger: On Wednesday, freezing level will increase up to 2700 m. On the western Carnic Prealps and Julian Alps, the avalanche danger will be 2 (moderate) due to small snow deposits under the ridges and the steepest gullies exposed to the North detachable even with low additional load. On the Carnic Alps, Eastern Carnic Prealps, Canin and on the Julian Prealps, the danger will be 1 (low) and small human triggered slabs can occur with high additional load only and at northern exposures on the steepest areas under the ridges. Everywhere, natural avalanche activity will be minimal and limited to a few loose snow avalanches of small size from the steepest sunny slopes. Pay attention to icy areas where it is possible to run into ruinous falls.

Forecast for Thursday 23 January 2020, reliability: 80% Presence of localized wind-drifted snow deposits on Julian Alps and Carnic Prealps.

1 Alpi Carniche occ., Prealpi Carniche occ., Prealpi Carniche orient., Alpi Carniche orient., Alpi Giulie, M. Canin, Prealpi Giulie 1 W 10 km/h 1800 1 Thermal Zero: 2700 m T.average 1000: 3 °C T.average 2000: 2 °C Weather by OSMER - ARPA FVG: Clear or little cloudy skies. 1

1

1 1

Snow cover conditions and avalanche danger: On Thursday, the freezing level will be still at 2700 m. Avalanche danger will be 1 (low) everywhere and the snowpack will bw mainly stable and well bonded. Only under the ridges areas exposed to the North it will be possible to cause small human triggered avalanches in deposit areas with high additional load. Furthermore, only small loose snow avalanches will be possible from the steepest sunny slopes during the hottest hours. Watch out for areas with ice where you can slip.

5 Very high 4 High 3 Considerable 2 Moderate 1 Low No snow increase / decrease in danger day 2 / 2