G-2: Total Primary Energy Supply
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Working Paper
WORKING PAPER The Value of Oil Price Projectiom Nebojsa Nakinnovic Leo SchrattenhoLzer October 1935 IQ-85-68 lnternrtionrl Institute tor -lid System, Anrlyth NOT FOR QUOTATION WITHOUT THE PERMISSION OF THE AUTHORS The Value of Oil Price Projections Nebo jsa Nakicenovic Leo SchrattenhoLzer October 1935 TW-85-68 Working Papers are interim reports on work of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis and have received only limited review. Views or opinions expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of the Institute or of its National Member Organizations. INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR APPLIED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS 2361 Laxenburg, Austria -ABSTRACT AND SUBXAXY The central theme of this paper is the development of the international price of crude oil. A short overview of oil price his6ry is followed by a discussion of the factors that were responsible for previous, sometimes erratic, changes. We con- clude that these factors are likely to maintain their influence in the future, thus giving the forecasts of oil prices a high uncertainty. This uncertainty is reflected in several reports containing oil price proje[ctions. We argue, therefore, that a question soieiy about future oil prices must remain unanswered. Tnis does not render the efforts to examine the future futile; it simpiy means that the question shouid be rephrased. We offer one possible problem formulation that explicitly accounts for the high uncertainty. This formulation requires that specific policy probiems and options for solving them be specified before oil prices are projected - a condition that does not always hold or, at least, that does not seem to be regarded as important enougn to be described in many reports on oil price studies. -
U.S. Energy in the 21St Century: a Primer
U.S. Energy in the 21st Century: A Primer March 16, 2021 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov R46723 SUMMARY R46723 U.S. Energy in the 21st Century: A Primer March 16, 2021 Since the start of the 21st century, the U.S. energy system has changed tremendously. Technological advances in energy production have driven changes in energy consumption, and Melissa N. Diaz, the United States has moved from being a net importer of most forms of energy to a declining Coordinator importer—and a net exporter in 2019. The United States remains the second largest producer and Analyst in Energy Policy consumer of energy in the world, behind China. Overall energy consumption in the United States has held relatively steady since 2000, while the mix of energy sources has changed. Between 2000 and 2019, consumption of natural gas and renewable energy increased, while oil and nuclear power were relatively flat and coal decreased. In the same period, production of oil, natural gas, and renewables increased, while nuclear power was relatively flat and coal decreased. Overall energy production increased by 42% over the same period. Increases in the production of oil and natural gas are due in part to technological improvements in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling that have facilitated access to resources in unconventional formations (e.g., shale). U.S. oil production (including natural gas liquids and crude oil) and natural gas production hit record highs in 2019. The United States is the largest producer of natural gas, a net exporter, and the largest consumer. Oil, natural gas, and other liquid fuels depend on a network of over three million miles of pipeline infrastructure. -
Primary Energy Use and Environmental Effects of Electric Vehicles
Article Primary Energy Use and Environmental Effects of Electric Vehicles Efstathios E. Michaelides Department of Engineering, TCU, Fort Worth, TX 76132, USA; [email protected] Abstract: The global market of electric vehicles has become one of the prime growth industries of the 21st century fueled by marketing efforts, which frequently assert that electric vehicles are “very efficient” and “produce no pollution.” This article uses thermodynamic analysis to determine the primary energy needs for the propulsion of electric vehicles and applies the energy/exergy trade-offs between hydrocarbons and electricity propulsion of road vehicles. The well-to-wheels efficiency of electric vehicles is comparable to that of vehicles with internal combustion engines. Heat transfer to or from the cabin of the vehicle is calculated to determine the additional energy for heating and air-conditioning needs, which must be supplied by the battery, and the reduction of the range of the vehicle. The article also determines the advantages of using fleets of electric vehicles to offset the problems of the “duck curve” that are caused by the higher utilization of wind and solar energy sources. The effects of the substitution of internal combustion road vehicles with electric vehicles on carbon dioxide emission avoidance are also examined for several national electricity grids. It is determined that grids, which use a high fraction of coal as their primary energy source, will actually increase the carbon dioxide emissions; while grids that use a high fraction of renewables and nuclear energy will significantly decrease their carbon dioxide emissions. Globally, the carbon dioxide emissions will decrease by approximately 16% with the introduction of electric vehicles. -
1 Potential Influences on the Prospect of Renewable Energy Development in OPEC Members Hanan Alsadi1 1. Introduction the Global
1 Potential Influences on the Prospect of Renewable Energy Development in OPEC Members Hanan Alsadi1 1. Introduction The global energy transitioning trend escalates due to the continuous growth of energy consumption and advancing climate change. While the total fossil fuel consumption is increasing twice as fast as the average rate over the last decade, making 70% of the global energy demand, the reckless use of fossil fuel is causing substantial damage to the environment (International Energy Agency, 2018; Šolc, 2013). An effective fix to the problem while dubious is to replace the energy source by alternatives. The renewable energy (RE) offers the most definite prospect for producing clean, sustainable power in substantial quantities, which arouses interest around the world. According to Gielen and Colleagues (2019), the RE’s share of global consumption energy would rise from 15% in 2015 to 63% in 2050. However, if this increasing trend in renewable energies would also prevail among Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), is subject to debate. They all have abundant potential to invest in renewable energy sources. Yet, some of the Middle Eastern and Arab Gulf OPEC members do not have or have a small amount of renewable energy sources. In contrast, other members have significant renewable energy sources. Researchers have studied some aspects of renewable energy and its relationship to the OPEC countries. For example, Wittmann (2013) looked at the potential for transitioning from petroleum exportation to renewable energy exportation among the OPEC countries. Still, Wittmann does not explain any specific transition strategies or plans for the Middle Eastern OPEC countries. -
2017 2030 a Forward Looking Primary Energy Factor for A
A forward looking Primary Energy Factor for a greener European Future What is the Primary Energy Factor and why does it exist? The Primary Energy Factor (PEF) connects primary and final energy. It indicates how much primary energy is used to generate a unit of electricity or a unit of useable thermal energy. It allows for comparison between the primary energy consumption of products with the same functionality (e.g. heating) using different energy carriers (particularly electricity vs. fossil fuels). Electricity is a final energy carrier, produced from different primary energy sources like fossil fuels (gas, coal), nuclear and renewables (hydro, wind, solar). Currently a PEF of 2.5 is used as a “conversion factor" to express electricity consumption/savings in primary energy consumption/savings, regardless of the type of energy source used to produce it (also when the electricity comes from renewables). The current conversion factor implies that 1 unit of electricity requires an input of 2.5 units of primary energy. This assumes all power generation in the EU to have a 40% efficiency (100 / 2.5 = 40) – even non-dispatchable renewables from which energy is harnessed without the combustion of fuel. A PEF of 2.5 is too high and does not reflect the reality of power generation. The need to update the PEF to 2.0 The Commission has decided to review the PEF value and methodology in the Energy Efficiency Directive to better reflect the EU energy mix, in particular today’s share of renewable energy in electricity generation and its strong increase in the near future . -
Case Study Report: Energiewende – Mission-Oriented R&I Policies
Mission-oriented R&I policies: In-depth case studies Case Study Report Energiewende Hanna Kuittinen, Daniela Velte January 2018 Mission-oriented R&I policies: In-depth case studies European Commission Directorate-General for Research and Innovation Directorate A – Policy Development and coordination Unit A6 – Open Data Policy and Science Cloud Contact Arnold Weiszenbacher E-mail [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] European Commission B-1049 Brussels Manuscript completed in January 2018. This document has been prepared for the European Commission however it reflects the views only of the authors, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein. More information on the European Union is available on the internet (http://europa.eu). Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2018 PDF ISBN 978-92-79-80159-4 doi: 10.2777/835267 KI-01-18-150-EN-N © European Union, 2018. Reuse is authorised provided the source is acknowledged. The reuse policy of European Commission documents is regulated by Decision 2011/833/EU (OJ L 330, 14.12.2011, p. 39). For any use or reproduction of photos or other material that is not under the EU copyright, permission must be sought directly from the copyright holders EUROPEAN COMMISSION Mission-oriented R&I policies: In-depth case studies Case Study Report: Energiewende Hanna Kuittinen Daniela Velte 2018 Directorate-General for Research and Innovation Table of Contents 1 Summary of the case study ................................................................................... 3 2 Context and objectives of the initiative ................................................................... 5 2.1 Origins of initiative and the main contextual factors ........................................ -
The Best Energy Mix and the Need for Comprehensive Viewpoints
IEEJ: April 2013 All Right Reserved The Best Energy Mix and the Need for Comprehensive Viewpoints Wednesday, November 16, 2011 Masakazu Toyoda The Institute of Energy Economics, Japan IEEJ: April 2013 All Right Reserved Contents 1. The Best Energy Mix from Comprehensive Viewpoints 2. Overall, There Is No Perfect Energy Option 3. Short- to Mid-Term Challenges to Achieving the Best Energy Mix 4. Mid- to Long-Term Challenges to Achieving the Best Energy Mix Unauthorized reproduction is prohibited. 2 IEEJ: April 2013 All Right Reserved 1. The Best Energy Mix from Comprehensive Viewpoints 1. When reviewing the energy mix, we must solve simultaneous equations with many variables. This requires objective and quantitative analyses. 2. The following variables are important: 1) S (safety) 2) Three Es (i) Energy security (ii) Economic efficiency (particularly in terms of cost) (iii) The environment (compatibility with mitigating global warming) 3) M (impacts on the macro economy) Unauthorized reproduction is prohibited. 3 IEEJ: April 2013 All Right Reserved 1. The Best Energy Mix from Comprehensive Viewpoints 1) S (safety) ● Safety is a prerequisite for energy policies and the activities of the energy industry itself. ● Safety is a measure of the overall competence in various areas including technology, appropriate regulatory framework, cooperation among national and local governments, and the allocation of responsibility among the national government, local governments and utilities. ● Since other energy options also have their advantages and disadvantages (in terms of supply stability, economic efficiency, global warming mitigation, etc.), completely phasing out nuclear power would incur significant risk. Japan must develop safer nuclear power, which is supported by people. -
A Holistic Framework for the Study of Interdependence Between Electricity and Gas Sectors
November 2015 A holistic framework for the study of interdependence between electricity and gas sectors OIES PAPER: EL 16 Donna Peng Rahmatallah Poudineh The contents of this paper are the authors’ sole responsibility. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies or any of its members. Copyright © 2015 Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (Registered Charity, No. 286084) This publication may be reproduced in part for educational or non-profit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgment of the source is made. No use of this publication may be made for resale or for any other commercial purpose whatsoever without prior permission in writing from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. ISBN 978-1-78467-042-9 A holistic framework for the study of interdependence between electricity and gas sectors i Acknowledgements The authors are thankful to Malcolm Keay, Howard Rogers and Pablo Dueñas for their invaluable comments on the earlier version of this paper. The authors would also like to extend their sincere gratitude to Bassam Fattouh, director of OIES, for his support during this project. A holistic framework for the study of interdependence between electricity and gas sectors ii Contents Acknowledgements .............................................................................................................................. ii Contents ............................................................................................................................................... -
2019 OUTLOOK for ENERGY: 2018 Outlook Fora Energy: PERSPECTIVE a View to 2040 to 2040
2019 OUTLOOK FOR ENERGY: 2018 Outlook forA Energy: PERSPECTIVE A View to 2040 TO 2040 David Khemakhem November 20, 2019 The Outlook for Energy includes Exxon Mobil Corporation’s internal estimates of both historical levels and projections of challenging topics such as energy demand, supply, and trends through 2040 based upon internal data and analyses as well as publicly available information from many external sources including the International Energy Agency. Separate from ExxonMobil’s analysis, we include a number of third party scenarios such as the EMF 27 scenarios and the IEA’s Sustainable Development Scenario. Third-party scenarios discussed in this report reflect the modeling assumptions and outputs of their respective authors, not ExxonMobil, and their use and inclusion herein is not an endorsement by ExxonMobil of their likelihood or probability. Work on the Outlook and report was conducted during 2018 and the first half of 2019. The report contains forward looking statements, including projections, targets, expectations, estimates and assumptions of future behaviors. Actual future conditions and results (including energy demand, energy supply, the growth of energy demand and supply, the impact of new technologies, the relative mix of energy across sources, economic sectors and geographic regions, imports and exports of energy) could differ materially due to changes in economic conditions, the ability to scale new technologies on a cost-effective basis, unexpected technological developments, the development of new supply sources, changes in law or government policy, political events, demographic changes and migration patterns, trade patterns, the development and enforcement of global, regional or national mandates, and other ‹#› factors discussed herein and under the heading “Factors Affecting Future Results” in the Investors section of our website at www.exxonmobil.com. -
Total Energy Consumption by Fuel, EU-27
EN26 Total Primary Energy Consumption by Fuel Key message Fossil fuels continue to dominate total energy consumption, but environmental pressures have been reduced, partly due to a significant switch from coal and lignite to relatively cleaner natural gas in the 1990s. The share of renewable energy sources remains small despite an increase in absolute terms. Overall, total primary energy consumption increased by an average of 0.6 % per annum during the period 1990-2005 (9.8 % overall) thus counteracting some of the environmental benefits from fuel switching. Rationale The indicator provides an indication of the environmental pressures originating from energy consumption. The environmental impacts such as resource depletion, greenhouse gas emissions, air pollutant emissions and radioactive waste generation strongly depend on the type and amount of fuel consumed. Fig. 1: Total energy consumption by fuel, EU-27 1800 1600 1400 1200 Renewables Nuclear 1000 Coal and lignite Gas 800 Oil 600 400 Million tonnes of oil equivalents 200 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Data source: EEA, Eurostat (historic data) 1. Indicator assessment Total primary energy consumption in the EU-27 increased by 9.8 % between 1990 and 2005. Over the same period, the share of fossil fuels, including coal, lignite, oil and natural gas, in primary energy consumption declined slightly from 83 % in 1990 to 79.0 % in 2005, although fossil fuel consumption increased in absolute terms (by more than 4 %). The use of fossil fuels has considerable impact on the environment and is the main cause of greenhouse gas emissions. -
All-Of-The-Above Energy Strategy As a Path to Sustainable Economic Growth
THE ALL-OF-THE-ABOVE ENERGY STRATEGY AS A PATH TO SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH Updated: July 2014 **Draft** The All-Of-The-Above Energy Strategy as a Path to Sustainable Economic Growth Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................2 I. Introduction: Elements of the All-of-the-Above Energy Strategy ...............................................5 II. The Energy Revolution and the Economic Recovery .................................................................9 The Energy Revolution in Historical Perspective ...................................................................................... 9 GDP, Jobs, and the Trade Deficit ............................................................................................................. 15 Energy Prices, Households, and Manufacturers ..................................................................................... 18 III. The Energy Revolution and Energy Security: A Macroeconomic Perspective ........................... 20 Trends in Oil Import Prices and Shares ................................................................................................... 21 Macroeconomic Channels of Oil Price Shocks ........................................................................................ 22 Empirical Analysis of Energy Price Shocks .............................................................................................. 24 The changing sensitivity of the U.S. economy to oil price -
California's Energy Future
California’s Energy Future: The View to 2050 Summary Report May 2011 Jane C. S. Long (co-chair) LEGAL NOTICE This report was prepared pursuant to a contract between the California Energy Commission (CEC) and the California Council on Science and Technology (CCST). It does not represent the views of the CEC, its employees, or the State of California. The CEC, the State of California, its employees, contractors, and subcontractors make no warranty, express or implied, and assume no legal liability for the information in this report; nor does any party represent that the use of this information will not infringe upon privately owned rights. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We would also like to thank the Stephen Bechtel Fund and the California Energy Commision for their contributions to the underwriting of this project. We would also like to thank the California Air Resources Board for their continued support and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory for underwriting the leadership of this effort. COPYRIGHT Copyright 2011 by the California Council on Science and Technology. Library of Congress Cataloging Number in Publications Data Main Entry Under Title: California’s Energy Future: A View to 2050 May 2011 ISBN-13: 978-1-930117-44-0 Note: The California Council on Science and Technology (CCST) has made every reasonable effort to assure the accuracy of the information in this publication. However, the contents of this publication are subject to changes, omissions, and errors, and CCST does not accept responsibility for any inaccuracies that may occur. CCST is a non-profit organization established in 1988 at the request of the California State Government and sponsored by the major public and private postsecondary institutions of California and affiliate federal laboratories in conjunction with leading private-sector firms.