National Tracking Poll 191009

National Tracking Poll

Project: 191009 N Size: 1991 Registered Voters Margin of Error: 2% Topline Report October 07-08, 2019 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten oﬀ on the wrong track? Right Direction 758 38% Wrong Track 1233 62% Q172 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 470 24% Somewhat Approve 338 17% Somewhat Disapprove 226 11% Strongly Disapprove 910 46% Don’t Know / No Opinion 49 2% Q172NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 807 41% Total Disapprove 1135 57% Don’t Know / No Opinion 49 2% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal oﬃces such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues – like taxes, wages, jobs, 488 24% unemployment, and spending Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign policy, and 407 20% border security Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health care law, 343 17% Medicaid, other challenges Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social Security 319 16% Women’s Issues – like birth control, abortion, and equal 120 6% pay Education Issues – like school standards, class sizes, 102 5% school choice, and student loans Energy Issues – like carbon emissions, cost of 121 6% electricity/gasoline, or renewables Other: 92 5%

Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL1 How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state? Absolutely certain to vote 1420 71% Very likely 251 13% About 50-50 200 10% Not too likely 49 2% Not likely at all 70 4% POL2 Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or are you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? (N=1,871) Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 885 47% Vote in Republican primary or caucus 728 39% Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 68 4% Don’t know / No opinion 191 10% POL3 Do you think the Republican party should nominate Donald Trump as the party’s candidate for president in 2020, or do you think the Republican party should nominate a diﬀerent candidate for president in 2020? (N=728) Strongly support Trump’s nomination 468 64% Somewhat support Trump’s nomination 143 20% Somewhat support a different candidate’s nomination 36 5% Strongly support a different candidate’s nomination 61 8% Don’t know / No opinion 20 3% POL4_1 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a healthcare reform bill A top priority 963 48% An important, but lower priority 597 30% Not too important a priority 181 9% Should not be done 73 4% Don’t know / No opinion 177 9% POL4_2 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to address climate change A top priority 734 37% An important, but lower priority 493 25% Not too important a priority 320 16% Should not be done 288 14% Don’t know / No opinion 156 8%

Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL4_3 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to reduce economic inequality A top priority 557 28% An important, but lower priority 569 29% Not too important a priority 347 17% Should not be done 301 15% Don’t know / No opinion 217 11% POL4_4 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an infrastructure spending bill A top priority 627 31% An important, but lower priority 782 39% Not too important a priority 261 13% Should not be done 49 2% Don’t know / No opinion 273 14% POL4_5 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Beginning impeachment proceedings to remove President Trump from oﬃce A top priority 710 36% An important, but lower priority 237 12% Not too important a priority 169 9% Should not be done 713 36% Don’t know / No opinion 160 8% POL4_6 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an immigration reform bill A top priority 770 39% An important, but lower priority 659 33% Not too important a priority 256 13% Should not be done 103 5% Don’t know / No opinion 202 10% POL4_7 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Constructing a wall along the U.S. / Mexico border A top priority 500 25% An important, but lower priority 304 15% Not too important a priority 273 14% Should not be done 768 39% Don’t know / No opinion 147 7%

Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL4_8 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill that grants young people who were brought to the United States illegally when they were children, often with their parents, protection from deportation A top priority 602 30% An important, but lower priority 568 29% Not too important a priority 263 13% Should not be done 365 18% Don’t know / No opinion 194 10% POL4_9 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reducing the federal budget decit A top priority 870 44% An important, but lower priority 702 35% Not too important a priority 199 10% Should not be done 40 2% Don’t know / No opinion 181 9% POL4_10 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing legislation placing additional restrictions on gun ownership A top priority 742 37% An important, but lower priority 423 21% Not too important a priority 240 12% Should not be done 437 22% Don’t know / No opinion 149 8% POL4_11 How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Regulation of tech companies A top priority 245 12% An important, but lower priority 700 35% Not too important a priority 603 30% Should not be done 159 8% Don’t know / No opinion 284 14% POL5 Do you support or oppose the current impeachment inquiry into President Trump? Strongly support 758 38% Somewhat support 238 12% Somewhat oppose 141 7% Strongly oppose 729 37% Don’t know / No opinion 125 6%

Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6_1 As you may know, the Constitution gives the House of Representatives the sole power to impeach the president. Once a president is impeached by the House of Representatives, the Senate has the sole power to legally try the president and, if convicted, remove the president from office. Would you support or oppose each of the following? The House of Representatives impeaching President Trump Strongly support 792 40% Somewhat support 207 10% Somewhat oppose 132 7% Strongly oppose 715 36% Don’t know / No opinion 145 7% POL6_2 As you may know, the Constitution gives the House of Representatives the sole power to impeach the president. Once a president is impeached by the House of Representatives, the Senate has the sole power to legally try the president and, if convicted, remove the president from office. Would you support or oppose each of the following? The Senate removing President Trump from office Strongly support 790 40% Somewhat support 205 10% Somewhat oppose 127 6% Strongly oppose 725 36% Don’t know / No opinion 143 7% POL7 If your representative was to vote in favor of impeaching President Trump, would you be more or less likely to vote for them in the next election? Much more likely 608 31% Somewhat more likely 202 10% No change 362 18% Somewhat less likely 97 5% Much less likely 605 30% Don’t know / No opinion 117 6% POL8 If your senator was to vote in favor of removing President Trump from office, would you be more or less likely to vote for them in the next election? Much more likely 600 30% Somewhat more likely 201 10% No change 362 18% Somewhat less likely 85 4% Much less likely 616 31% Don’t know / No opinion 127 6%

Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL9_1 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) canceling appearances and events as part of his presidential campaign following heart surgery A lot 618 31% Some 709 36% Not Much 307 15% Nothing at all 356 18% POL9_2 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? President Trump tweeting about the impeachment proceedings when he said: ’The Do Nothing Democrats should be focused on building up our Country, not wasting everyone’s time and energy on B*******, which is what they have been doing ever since I got overwhelmingly elected in 2016, 223-306. Get a better candidate this time, you’ll need it!’ A lot 589 30% Some 623 31% Not Much 354 18% Nothing at all 424 21% POL9_3 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) proposing a new tax on lobbying meant to discourage major corporations from spending more than $500,000 to lobby the government A lot 195 10% Some 456 23% Not Much 555 28% Nothing at all 784 39% POL9_4 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? President Trump urging China and Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son Hunter Biden in his remarks at the White House A lot 841 42% Some 640 32% Not Much 271 14% Nothing at all 239 12% POL9_5 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? A second whistleblower coming forward with allegations against President Trump (N=1,879) A lot 524 28% Some 659 35% Not Much 360 19% Nothing at all 335 18%

Page | 6 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL10_1 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A man Very important 140 7% Somewhat important 209 10% Not too important 488 24% Not important at all 912 46% Don’t know / No opinion 242 12% POL10_2 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A woman Very important 140 7% Somewhat important 284 14% Not too important 483 24% Not important at all 840 42% Don’t know / No opinion 244 12% POL10_3 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A person of color Very important 106 5% Somewhat important 249 13% Not too important 509 26% Not important at all 864 43% Don’t know / No opinion 263 13% POL10_4 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A female person of color Very important 109 5% Somewhat important 235 12% Not too important 487 24% Not important at all 887 45% Don’t know / No opinion 273 14% POL10_5 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A liberal Very important 230 12% Somewhat important 359 18% Not too important 370 19% Not important at all 709 36% Don’t know / No opinion 322 16%

Page | 7 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL10_6 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A moderate Very important 294 15% Somewhat important 596 30% Not too important 375 19% Not important at all 392 20% Don’t know / No opinion 334 17% POL10_7 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? Under the age of 70 Very important 386 19% Somewhat important 572 29% Not too important 396 20% Not important at all 402 20% Don’t know / No opinion 235 12% POL10_8 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? Under the age of 50 Very important 143 7% Somewhat important 328 16% Not too important 557 28% Not important at all 705 35% Don’t know / No opinion 258 13% POL10_9 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? Has decades of political experience Very important 354 18% Somewhat important 573 29% Not too important 435 22% Not important at all 389 20% Don’t know / No opinion 239 12% POL10_10 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A political outsider Very important 147 7% Somewhat important 318 16% Not too important 525 26% Not important at all 596 30% Don’t know / No opinion 405 20%

Page | 8 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL10_11 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A political insider Very important 154 8% Somewhat important 326 16% Not too important 496 25% Not important at all 645 32% Don’t know / No opinion 370 19% POL10_12 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A veteran Very important 192 10% Somewhat important 389 20% Not too important 531 27% Not important at all 604 30% Don’t know / No opinion 274 14% POL10_13 How important is it that the Democratic nominee for the 2020 presidential election be each of the following? A Christian Very important 389 20% Somewhat important 317 16% Not too important 338 17% Not important at all 723 36% Don’t know / No opinion 224 11% POL11 Do you think President Donald Trump uses Twitter… Too much 1438 72% Not enough 53 3% About the right amount 296 15% Don’t Know/No Opinion 203 10% POL12 And, do you think President Donald Trump’s use of Twitter is… A good thing 391 20% A bad thing 1240 62% Don’t Know/No Opinion 361 18% POL13_1 Generally, would you say President Trump’s use of Twitter helps or hurts each of the following, or does it not have much impact either way? National security Helps 248 12% Hurts 1003 50% Does not have much impact either way 488 25% Don’t know / No opinion 252 13%

Page | 9 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL13_2 Generally, would you say President Trump’s use of Twitter helps or hurts each of the following, or does it not have much impact either way? The Trump presidency Helps 343 17% Hurts 1165 59% Does not have much impact either way 268 13% Don’t know / No opinion 215 11% POL13_3 Generally, would you say President Trump’s use of Twitter helps or hurts each of the following, or does it not have much impact either way? Trump’s eﬀorts to be re-elected in 2020 Helps 362 18% Hurts 1003 50% Does not have much impact either way 356 18% Don’t know / No opinion 269 14% POL13_4 Generally, would you say President Trump’s use of Twitter helps or hurts each of the following, or does it not have much impact either way? Republicans in Congress up for re-election in 2020 Helps 306 15% Hurts 874 44% Does not have much impact either way 509 26% Don’t know / No opinion 302 15% POL13_5 Generally, would you say President Trump’s use of Twitter helps or hurts each of the following, or does it not have much impact either way? Democrats in Congress up for re-election in 2020 Helps 559 28% Hurts 582 29% Does not have much impact either way 543 27% Don’t know / No opinion 307 15% POL13_6 Generally, would you say President Trump’s use of Twitter helps or hurts each of the following, or does it not have much impact either way? The news media Helps 455 23% Hurts 878 44% Does not have much impact either way 388 19% Don’t know / No opinion 270 14% POL13_7 Generally, would you say President Trump’s use of Twitter helps or hurts each of the following, or does it not have much impact either way? U.S. standing in the world Helps 286 14% Hurts 1091 55% Does not have much impact either way 374 19% Don’t know / No opinion 240 12%

Page | 10 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL13_8 Generally, would you say President Trump’s use of Twitter helps or hurts each of the following, or does it not have much impact either way? The credibility of the presidency Helps 277 14% Hurts 1198 60% Does not have much impact either way 312 16% Don’t know / No opinion 204 10% POL14 Do you support or oppose the president of the United States encouraging foreign powers to investigate the business dealings of Americans? Strongly support 247 12% Somewhat support 347 17% Somewhat oppose 216 11% Strongly oppose 801 40% Don’t Know/No Opinion 381 19% POL15 As you may know, in recent remarks, President Trump publicly urged China and Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son Hunter Biden. Do you think it was inappropriate or appropriate for President Trump to say this? Very appropriate 328 16% Somewhat appropriate 234 12% Somewhat inappropriate 237 12% Very inappropriate 918 46% Don’t Know/No Opinion 274 14% POL16 Do you think it would be inappropriate or appropriate for foreign countries to investigate Joe Biden and his son Hunter Biden? Very appropriate 349 18% Somewhat appropriate 270 14% Somewhat inappropriate 273 14% Very inappropriate 778 39% Don’t Know / No Opinion 321 16% POL17 Do you support or oppose proposals to limit government lobbying? Strongly support 692 35% Somewhat support 497 25% Somewhat oppose 165 8% Strongly oppose 76 4% Don’t know / No opinion 561 28%

Page | 11 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL18 As you may know, all citizens and companies have the constitutional right to lobby the government to try to aﬀect public policy decisions. This right is protected by the First Amendment protection to petition the government.Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) recently proposed a new tax on lobbying that is meant to discourage major corporations from spending more than $500,000 per year to lobby the government in favor of their causes. Critics say the plan could be violating the First Amendment right to petition the government. Supporters believe it is an important step towards reigning in lobbying eﬀorts by major corporations. Based on what you know about the proposed tax, do you support or oppose it? Strongly support 461 23% Somewhat support 527 26% Somewhat oppose 206 10% Strongly oppose 244 12% Don’t know / No opinion 554 28% POL19_1 Do you support or oppose the following limits on government lobbying? A ban on lobbying by foreign governments, political parties and companies Strongly support 692 35% Somewhat support 478 24% Somewhat oppose 204 10% Strongly oppose 129 6% Don’t know / No opinion 489 25% POL19_2 Do you support or oppose the following limits on government lobbying? A ban on lobbyists making any political contributions Strongly support 518 26% Somewhat support 498 25% Somewhat oppose 303 15% Strongly oppose 158 8% Don’t know / No opinion 513 26% POL19_3 Do you support or oppose the following limits on government lobbying? A ban on lobbyists holding political fundraisers Strongly support 475 24% Somewhat support 509 26% Somewhat oppose 302 15% Strongly oppose 161 8% Don’t know / No opinion 543 27% POL20 How much inuence do you think lobbying has on politicians? A lot of influence 1036 52% Some influence 563 28% Not much influence 107 5% No influence at all 17 1% Don’t know / No opinion 268 13%

Page | 12 Question Response Frequency Percentage POLx_1 Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark ’Heard Of, No Opinion.’ If you have not heard of the person, please mark ’Never Heard Of.’Mitch McConnell Total Favorable 440 22% Total Unfavorable 903 45% Heard Of, No Opinion 428 22% Never Heard Of 221 11% POLx_2 Favorability for Nancy Pelosi Total Favorable 686 34% Total Unfavorable 1007 51% Heard Of, No Opinion 212 11% Never Heard Of 86 4% POLx_3 Favorability for Charles Schumer Total Favorable 490 25% Total Unfavorable 786 39% Heard Of, No Opinion 436 22% Never Heard Of 279 14% POLx_4 Favorability for Mike Pence Total Favorable 791 40% Total Unfavorable 890 45% Heard Of, No Opinion 222 11% Never Heard Of 88 4% POLx_5 Favorability for Donald Trump Total Favorable 806 41% Total Unfavorable 1112 56% Heard Of, No Opinion 61 3% Never Heard Of 11 1% POLx_6 Favorability for Republicans in Congress Total Favorable 708 36% Total Unfavorable 1056 53% Heard Of, No Opinion 172 9% Never Heard Of 56 3%

Page | 13 Question Response Frequency Percentage POLx_7 Favorability for Democrats in Congress Total Favorable 811 41% Total Unfavorable 978 49% Heard Of, No Opinion 149 7% Never Heard Of 53 3% POLx_9 Favorability for Kevin McCarthy Total Favorable 315 16% Total Unfavorable 516 26% Heard Of, No Opinion 614 31% Never Heard Of 546 27% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated for registered voters with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

Page | 14 National Tracking Poll #191009, October, 2019 Respondent Demographics Summary

Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

xdemAll Registered Voters 1991 100% xdemGender Gender: Male 932 47% Gender: Female 1059 53% N 1991 age5 Age: 18-29 307 15% Age: 30-44 496 25% Age: 45-54 278 14% Age: 55-64 448 22% Age: 65+ 463 23% N 1991 demAgeGeneration Generation Z: 18-22 85 4% Millennial: Age 23-38 543 27% Generation X: Age 39-54 451 23% Boomers: Age 55-73 776 39% N 1856 xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 777 39% PID: Ind (no lean) 532 27% PID: Rep (no lean) 682 34% N 1991 xpidGender PID/Gender: Dem Men 297 15% PID/Gender: Dem Women 480 24% PID/Gender: Ind Men 289 14% PID/Gender: Ind Women 243 12% PID/Gender: Rep Men 347 17% PID/Gender: Rep Women 336 17% N 1991 xdemIdeo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 580 29% Ideo: Moderate (4) 554 28% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 711 36% N 1845 xeduc3 Educ: < College 1252 63% Educ: Bachelors degree 471 24% Educ: Post-grad 268 13% N 1991 Continued on next page

Page | 15 Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xdemInc3 Income: Under 50k 1093 55% Income: 50k-100k 617 31% Income: 100k+ 280 14% N 1991 xdemWhite Ethnicity: White 1610 81% xdemHispBin Ethnicity: Hispanic 193 10% demBlackBin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 252 13% demRaceOther Ethnicity: Other 128 6% xdemReligion All Christian 982 49% All Non-Christian 73 4% Atheist 83 4% Agnostic/Nothing in particular 853 43% N 1991 xdemReligOther Religious Non-Protestant/Catholic 90 5% xdemEvang Evangelical 575 29% Non-Evangelical 710 36% N 1284 xdemUsr Community: Urban 473 24% Community: Suburban 980 49% Community: Rural 538 27% N 1991 xdemEmploy Employ: Private Sector 595 30% Employ: Government 98 5% Employ: Self-Employed 156 8% Employ: Homemaker 198 10% Employ: Retired 581 29% Employ: Unemployed 169 8% Employ: Other 132 7% N 1927 xdemMilHH1 Military HH: Yes 316 16% Military HH: No 1675 84% N 1991 xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 758 38% RD/WT: Wrong Track 1233 62% N 1991 Continued on next page

Page | 16 National Tracking Poll #191009, October, 2019 Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage

Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 807 41% Trump Job Disapprove 1135 57% N 1942 Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 470 24% Trump Job Somewhat Approve 338 17% Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 226 11% Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 910 46% N 1942 Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 806 41% Unfavorable of Trump 1112 56% N 1918 Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 469 24% Somewhat Favorable of Trump 337 17% Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 195 10% Very Unfavorable of Trump 917 46% N 1918 xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 488 24% #1 Issue: Security 407 20% #1 Issue: Health Care 343 17% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 319 16% #1 Issue: Women’s Issues 120 6% #1 Issue: Education 102 5% #1 Issue: Energy 121 6% #1 Issue: Other 92 5% N 1991 xsubVote18O 2018 House Vote: Democrat 806 41% 2018 House Vote: Republican 701 35% 2018 House Vote: Someone else 79 4% N 1587 xsubVote16O 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 743 37% 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 728 37% 2016 Vote: Other 169 8% 2016 Vote: Didn’t Vote 346 17% N 1985 xsubVote14O Voted in 2014: Yes 1393 70% Voted in 2014: No 598 30% N 1991 Continued on next page

Page | 17 Morning Consult Respondent Demographics Summary

Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Demographic Group Frequency Percentage xsubVote12O 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 846 42% 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 598 30% 2012 Vote: Other 80 4% 2012 Vote: Didn’t Vote 465 23% N 1988 xreg4 4-Region: Northeast 355 18% 4-Region: Midwest 457 23% 4-Region: South 743 37% 4-Region: West 435 22% N 1991 xdemPidLean Party: Democrat/Leans Democrat 907 46% Party: Republican/Leans Republican 801 40% N 1708 POLdem2 Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 885 44% Vote in Republican primary or caucus 728 37% Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 68 3% Don’t know / No opinion 191 10% N 1871 Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calcu- lated with demographic post-stratification weights applied.

Page | 18 National Tracking Poll #191009, October, 2019

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