National Tracking Poll 190867

National Tracking Poll Project: 190867 N Size: 1987 Registered Voters Margin of Error: 2% Topline Report August 23-25, 2019 Question Response Frequency Percentage P1 Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Direction 759 38% Wrong Track 1228 62% Q172 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Strongly Approve 467 24% Somewhat Approve 339 17% Somewhat Disapprove 235 12% Strongly Disapprove 878 44% Don’t Know / No Opinion 68 3% Q172NET Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Total Approve 806 41% Total Disapprove 1113 56% Don’t Know / No Opinion 68 3% P3 Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Economic Issues – like taxes, wages, jobs, 488 25% unemployment, and spending Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign policy, and 450 23% border security Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health care law, 295 15% Medicaid, other challenges Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social Security 312 16% Women’s Issues – like birth control, abortion, and equal 121 6% pay Education Issues – like school standards, class sizes, 107 5% school choice, and student loans Energy Issues – like carbon emissions, cost of 122 6% electricity/gasoline, or renewables Other: 92 5% Page | 1 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL1 How likely is it that you will vote in the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state? Absolutely certain to vote 1436 72% Very likely 275 14% About 50-50 172 9% Not too likely 48 2% Not likely at all 57 3% POL2 Now, thinking about the 2020 presidential primary or caucus in your state, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or are you not likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? (N=1,882) Vote in Democratic primary or caucus 842 45% Vote in Republican primary or caucus 695 37% Not likely to vote in primary or caucus 107 6% Don’t know / No opinion 238 13% POL3 Do you think the Republican party should nominate Donald Trump as the party’s candidate for president in 2020, or do you think the Republican party should nominate a different candidate for president in 2020? (N=695) Strongly support Trump’s nomination 478 69% Somewhat support Trump’s nomination 114 16% Somewhat support a different candidate’s nomination 33 5% Strongly support a different candidate’s nomination 51 7% Don’t know / No opinion 18 3% POL4 If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you denitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else or denitely vote for someone else? Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump 577 29% Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump 169 9% Probably vote for someone else 133 7% Definitely vote for someone else 944 48% Would not vote 35 2% Don’t know / No opinion 129 6% POL5 If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate 897 45% Republican candidate 736 37% Would not vote 37 2% Don’t know / No opinion 318 16% Page | 2 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6_1 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Democrats in Congress 776 39% Republicans in Congress 822 41% Don’t know / No opinion 389 20% POL6_2 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Democrats in Congress 783 39% Republicans in Congress 813 41% Don’t know / No opinion 391 20% POL6_3 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Democrats in Congress 935 47% Republicans in Congress 655 33% Don’t know / No opinion 398 20% POL6_4 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration Democrats in Congress 806 41% Republicans in Congress 795 40% Don’t know / No opinion 386 19% POL6_5 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment Democrats in Congress 1011 51% Republicans in Congress 496 25% Don’t know / No opinion 479 24% POL6_6 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy Democrats in Congress 871 44% Republicans in Congress 643 32% Don’t know / No opinion 473 24% POL6_7 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education Democrats in Congress 915 46% Republicans in Congress 616 31% Don’t know / No opinion 456 23% POL6_8 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security Democrats in Congress 710 36% Republicans in Congress 868 44% Don’t know / No opinion 408 21% POL6_9 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Sexual harassment and misconduct in the workplace Democrats in Congress 887 45% Republicans in Congress 513 26% Don’t know / No opinion 587 30% Page | 3 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL6_10 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Gun policy Democrats in Congress 812 41% Republicans in Congress 773 39% Don’t know / No opinion 403 20% POL6_11 Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Protecting Medicare and Social Security Democrats in Congress 944 48% Republicans in Congress 622 31% Don’t know / No opinion 420 21% POL7_1 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? The Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte stepping down A lot 90 5% Some 320 16% Not much 483 24% Nothing at all 1095 55% POL7_2 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Endo and Allergan, two pharmaceutical companies, paying a combined $15 million to settle lawsuits related to the opioid crisis A lot 96 5% Some 385 19% Not much 500 25% Nothing at all 1007 51% POL7_3 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Planned Parenthood’s announcement that it will no longer accept Title X family planning funding from the federal government A lot 264 13% Some 548 28% Not much 387 19% Nothing at all 788 40% POL7_4 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-Calif.) signing one of the country’s strictest laws on police use of deadly force as a result of recent deadly police encounters with unarmed black men A lot 195 10% Some 443 22% Not much 461 23% Nothing at all 888 45% Page | 4 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL7_5 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Donald Trump saying that Jewish Americans who vote for the Democratic Party show ’either a total lack of knowledge or great disloyalty’ A lot 566 28% Some 541 27% Not much 313 16% Nothing at all 566 29% POL7_POL7_6 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Widespread res in the Amazon rainforest in South America A lot 701 35% Some 611 31% Not much 283 14% Nothing at all 392 20% POL7_POL7_7 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Gov. Jay Inslee (D-Wash.) ending his campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination. A lot 251 13% Some 450 23% Not much 449 23% Nothing at all 837 42% POL7_POL7_8 How much have you seen, read, or heard about the following? Rep. Seth Moulton (D-Mass.) ending his campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination. A lot 172 9% Some 347 17% Not much 445 22% Nothing at all 1023 51% POL8 Do you approve or disapprove of Trump’s statements about Jewish Americans who vote for the Democratic Party either lacking knowledge or great disloyalty? Strongly approve 230 12% Somewhat approve 221 11% Somewhat disapprove 200 10% Strongly disapprove 972 49% Don’t know / No opinion 363 18% Page | 5 Question Response Frequency Percentage POL9_1 Now, on a different topic... When thinking about your vote for the Democratic primary for the 2020 presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way? The candidate supported or executed policies that lead to higher incarceration rates (N=768) Much more likely 62 8% Somewhat more likely 84 11% Somewhat less likely 115 15% Much less likely 258 34% Makes no difference either way 110 14% Don’t know / No opinion 138 18% POL9_2 Now, on a different topic... When thinking about your vote for the Democratic primary for the 2020 presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way? The candidate had supported the Iraq War (N=768) Much more likely 41 5% Somewhat more likely 46 6% Somewhat less likely 126 16% Much less likely 194 25% Makes no difference either way 214 28% Don’t know / No opinion 145 19% POL9_3 Now, on a different topic... When thinking about your vote for the Democratic primary for the 2020 presidential election, would each of the following make you more or less likely to support a candidate, or would it make no difference either way? The candidate had a history of mistreating women (N=768) Much more likely 33 4% Somewhat more likely 26 3% Somewhat less likely 40 5% Much less likely 566 74% Makes no difference either way 39 5% Don’t know / No opinion 63 8% POL9_4 Now, on a different topic..

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