Hagler 151014 FRA Rail Program Delivery Conf

2015 FRA Rail Program Delivery

NEC Future – Approach to Service Planning

Yoav Hagler

FRA Rail Program Delivery Conference, Washington D.C. October 13-15, 2015 Alternatives Development Process

INITIAL ALTERNATIVES

PRELIMINARY ALTERNATIVES

TIER 1 EIS ALTERNATIVES

PREFERRED INVESTMENT PROGRAM Market Analysis Market Analysis

Five Market Clusters on the NEC

NY & North

North NY & of NY South

South of NY Through NY

Northeast Region Market Analysis

nExisti g Ridership in Market Clusters

2.3 M

1 M 5.6 M

1.8 M 0.8 M

Northeast Region

South of New York - 70% 30% - North of NY Market Analysis

Existing Conditions: : 2.9 M 1) Market Size Providence: 1.3 M

New Haven: 1.2 M

: 12.4 M

Philadelphia: 3.9 M

Baltimore: 2.2 M : 3.6 M

Northeast RegionPopulation within 20 Miles of Station Market Analysis

Existing Conditions:

1) Market Size Springfield 4 38 2) Service - Quantity 42 New Haven

Harrisburg 91 19 Philadelphia 72

Northeast RegionDaily Intercity Trains

* Train count includes Acela Express, Northeast Regional, Keystone, Vermonter, and Pennsylvanian. Long distance trains excluded from count. Market Analysis

Existing Conditions:

1) Market Size

2) Service – Quantity New York - Boston 3) Service – Trip Time Distance: 231 Miles Trip Time: 3:30 Avg Speed: 66 MPH

New York – Washington Distance: 226 Miles Trip Time: 2:45 Avg Speed: 82 MPH

Northeast Region Market Analysis

Alternatives Development:

1) Markets

2) Service – Quantity

3) Service – Quality

Market Opportunities: Philadelphia What markets are underserved today?

What potential markets are not served at all?

Northeast Region What type of service is appropriate for each market? Potential NEC Network Connections Potential NEC Network Connections Potential NEC Network Connections Concepts Tested

• Metropolitan Service • Run-Through Service at Major Stations/Terminals • Coordinated Endpoint Connections • Commuter Express Service using new high-speed tracks • Investment in Station and Rail Infrastructure to Enable High- Quality Passenger Transfers • Simplified Operations – • Fewer stopping patterns • Fewer network branches • Timed transfers for branch line passengers at main line hub stations • Higher service frequencies for spine services • Slot Catalogue • Pulse Hub Operations Service Specifications Development Service Planning Approach

Purpose and Level of Detail

• Input Data – Network and Rolling Stock

• Service Specifications

• Pattern Analysis and Conflict Resolution

• Output Data, Interpretation and Analysis

15 Service Types – Intercity

NEC-Only Services NEC and Off-Corridor Services

Intercity Short Distance Long- Express Metropolitan Corridor Distance Boston Boston

Springfield Providence Vermont Springfield Canada

New Haven Albany Buffalo Albany Stamford

New York Chicago New York

Metropark Trenton Philadelphia Philadelphia Wilmington Wilmington Pittsburgh Baltimore Harrisburg Harrisburg Baltimore

Washington Washington

Alexandria Roanoke Newport News

Norfolk Chicago Charlotte

Intercity-Express Intercity-Corridor Service Service New Orleans Florida

Service Categories for Purposes of Ridership Estimation Service Types – Regional ServiceNEC FUTURE Specification Tier I DEIS – Service Planning PatternNEC FUTURE Analysis Tier I DEIS – Service and Planning Conflict Resolution

. Clockface schedules, repeating intervals . Priorities for resolving overtakes and coordinating timed transfers 1. Express and Metropolitan 2. Intercity Off-Corridor 3. Regional Rail . Track usage by service types › Express, Intermediate, Local . Standard peak hour basis for resolving train movement conflicts Slot Catalogue Slot Catalogue – Express Tracks

New York Penn Station

Newark Penn Station

Newark Airport

Metropark

North Brunswick SlotEnhanced Catalogue Service and Precision– Express Operations Tracks

New York Penn Station

Newark Penn Station

Newark Airport

Metropark

North Brunswick SlotEnhanced Catalogue Service and Precision– Express Operations Tracks

New York Penn Station

Newark Penn Station

Newark Airport

Metropark

North Brunswick SlotEnhanced Catalogue Service and Precision– Express Operations Tracks

New York Penn Station

Newark Penn Station

Newark Airport

Metropark

North Brunswick SlotEnhanced Catalogue Service and Precision– Express Operations Tracks

New York Penn Station

Newark Penn Station

Newark Airport

Metropark

North Brunswick SlotEnhanced Catalogue Service and Precision– Express Operations Tracks

New York Penn Station

Newark Penn Station

Newark Airport

Metropark

North Brunswick SlotEnhanced Catalogue Service and Precision– Express Operations Tracks

New York Penn Station

Newark Penn Station

Newark Airport

Metropark