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Br HeartJ_ 1995;74:631-635 631 Interaction of ischaemia and encainide/ treatment: a proposed mechanism for the increased mortality in CAST I Br Heart J: first published as 10.1136/hrt.74.6.631 on 1 December 1995. Downloaded from

Henry M Greenberg, Edward M Dwyer Jr., Judith S Hochman, Jonathan S Steinberg, Debra S Echt, Robert W Peters

Abstract (Br Heart _J 1995;74:631-635) Objective-To determine whether an interaction between encainide or fle- cainide and intercurrent ischaemia could Keywords: antiarrhythmic drugs, ischaemia, CAST I, account for the observed increase in car- encainide/flecainide diac and sudden deaths in the study group in the Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Although ventricular tachycardia/ventricular Trial (CAST) I. fibrillation is a dominant mechanism of car- Design-CAST I was a randomised, dou- diac death in patients who have had a recent ble blind, placebo controlled study in myocardial infarction (< 1 year), and although which patients received the drug which the density of ventricular ectopy following suppressed at least 6 premature ventricu- shortly upon an acute infarction predicts sub- lar contractions per minute by 80% or sequent cardiac mortality, efforts to reduce episodes of non-sustained ventricular mortality by suppressing ventricular ectopy tachycardia by 90%. Arrhythmic sudden have failed.'-3 In the Cardiac Arrhythmia death or aborted sudden death were the Suppression Trial (CAST I)'2 the active drug study end points. Measured secondary groups had a higher cardiac and sudden death end points included recurrent myocardial mortality than the placebo group. infarction, new or increasing angina pec- In an earlier analysis mortality and morbidity toris, congestive heart failure, and syn- in CAST I Echt et al presented data suggesting cope. The CAST I database was analysed that the increase in mortality for the patients to determine which of three end points assigned to active drugs was associated with an occurred first-cardiac death or cardiac increase in angina pectoris and non-fatal rein- arrest, angina pectoris, or non-fatal farction in the placebo group.2 Because these recurrent infarction. They were regarded end points were not mutually exclusive, no as mutually exclusive end points. The conclusion could be drawn relating these two http://heart.bmj.com/ triad of cardiac or sudden arrhythmic observations, although Echt et al speculated death plus congestive heart failure and that an interaction might exist. Akiyama et al, syncope was similarly analysed. also in an analysis of CAST I data, showed Division of Cardiology, Results-It was assumed that recurrent that the 1 year mortality in patients with a St Luke's/Roosevelt non-fatal infarction and new or increas- non-Q wave myocardial infarction assigned to Hospital and Columbia ing angina pectoris were ischaemic in ori- the treatment group was markedly increased, University, New York, gin. The sum ofthese non-fatal ischaemic with a relative risk of nearly four times that of New York, USA on September 28, 2021 by guest. Protected copyright. H M Greenberg end points and sudden death were nearly the placebo group.4 Because of the enhanced J S Hochman identical in the placebo group (N = 129) ischaemic potential in the non-Q wave J S Steinberg and the treatment group (N = 131). The myocardial infarction, Akiyama et al postu- Division of Cardiology, one year event rate in each group was lated an ischaemia-drug interaction causing an University Hospital, and New Jersey 21%. However, the treatment group had a increased mortality in the treatment group. Medical School, much greater fatality rate (55 v 17; These two observations as well as the earlier Newark, New Jersey, P < 0.0001) than the placebo group. The suggestions made by the Task Force of the USA E M Dwyer same relation was found when the data Working Group on Arrhythmias of the were examined on the basis of drug expo- of led us to Division of Cardiology, European Society Cardiology,5 Vanderbilt University, sure rather than intention to treat. The evaluate the possibility that an interaction Memphis, Tennessee, temporal and circadian events were simi- between encainide/flecainide treatment and USA lar in each group and were consistent with ischaemia accounted for the excess mortality D S Echt an ischaemic pattern. No such patterns of the treatment group in CAST I. Division of Cardiology, Baltimore Department emerged from analysis of the presumed of Veterans Affairs non-ischaemic end points of congestive Hospital and heart failure and syncope. University of data that the and methods Maryland, Baltimore, Conclusions-These suggest Patients Maryland,USA interaction between active ischaemia and The CAST protocol has been described in R W Peters treatment with encainide or flecainide detail previously.'2 In brief, patients with at Correspondence to: may have been responsible for the least six premature ventricular depolarisations Dr H M Greenberg, Division of Cardiology, St Luke's increased mortality seen in the treatment per hour without ventricular tachycardia last- Roosevelt Hospital, 1000 group in CAST I. This conversion of a ing more than 15 beats at a rate of > 120 per 10th Avenue, New York NY 10019, USA. non-fatal to a fatal event emphasises the minute were eligible for enrolment after docu- Accepted for publication need for future antiarrhythmic drugs to mented myocardial infarction. Based on the 12 June 1995 be screened in ischaemic models. results of open label titration which demon- 632 Greenberg, Dwyer, Hochman, Steinberg, Echt, Peters

strated a predefined, high-level suppression of the significance of differences between the ventricular ectopy (80% ofpremature ventricu- curves. lar contractions and 90% of runs of non-sus-

tained ventricular tachycardia) patients were Br Heart J: first published as 10.1136/hrt.74.6.631 on 1 December 1995. Downloaded from randomly assigned to drug treatment or Results placebo. Holter electrocardiograms were We created two sets of data. One set used the obtained at 4 months and scheduled for 12 intention-to-treat data and the other the expo- months after the index myocardial infarction. sure-to-drug data censored three days after the The primary end point of the trial was start of individualised treatment. Figure lA-C arrhythmic death or cardiac arrest with resus- shows the intention to treat data. In each fig- citation, where these were presumed to be due ure the placebo and treatment groups are to ventricular arrhythmia. The site principal compared. When cardiac death and non-fatal, investigator classified each death and provided ischaemic end points of new/worsening angina a summary of the circumstances surrounding or non-fatal reinfarction were mutually exclu- the death. An events committee reviewed each sive end points, the estimated one year event death and differences were resolved by con- rate was 21% in both treatment and placebo sensus.6 There was an initial 86% concurrence groups (fig IA). Mortality was higher in between the events committee and the site the encainide/flecainide treatment group investigator. (P < 0-001) whereas non-fatal ischaemic end- In addition to the primary end point, all car- points were more frequent in the placebo diac deaths and secondary end points were group (P < 0 006) (figure 1B & C). The bar prospectively defined and tabulated.2 The sec- graph shows numerical data for the intention ondary end points included new or worsened to treat groups (fig 2). Increased mortality in angina pectoris; recurrent non-fatal myocar- the treatment group is balanced by the dial infarction; syncope, defined as unex- increased non-fatal ischaemic end points in pected, transient loss of consciousness not the placebo group. explained by physical trauma; and new or When patients were censored three days worsened congestive heart failure. Angina pec- after individualised treatment started, the toris was regarded as new if it was not present results were no different from the intention to at baseline and as worsened if the patient treat data. The censored data curves are deteriorated by at least one Canadian almost identical to the intention to treat curves Cardiovascular Society functional class. (not shown). One reason for the similarity of Congestive failure was regarded as new if the the two analyses may be that 34 of the 120 findings were not present at baseline and wors- patients in whom encainide/flecainide treat- ened if the patient's symptoms worsened by at ment (28%) was stopped were given another least one New York Heart Association func- primary antiarrhythmic drug. Nineteen of tional class. these 34 patients were given open label

We analysed the CAST I database to deter- encainide or flecainide. http://heart.bmj.com/ mine which of three end points occurred first, We assumed that non-fatal syncope and either cardiac death or cardiac arrest, or congestive heart failure were non-ischaemic angina pectoris, or non-fatal recurrent infarc- clinical end points. The estimated survival to tion. These were regarded as mutually exclu- these end points combined with the mortality sive end points. For this study patients were end point showed a higher mortality for the censored when they reached the first end treatment group, reflecting that group's higher point. Death which followed quickly upon a mortality. However, unlike the presumed reinfarction or change in the angina pattern ischaemic end points (when the data were cen- on September 28, 2021 by guest. Protected copyright. was regarded as a fatal end point; by definition sored for cardiac death), there was no differ- a patient who did not survive an admission to ence between the placebo and drug groups. hospital for angina pectoris or recurrent There was no evidence of an interaction myocardial infarction was considered to have between drug assignment and these non- reached a fatal end point. We performed a ischaemic end points. While congestive heart similar analysis for non-fatal syncope and con- failure can certainly be part of the ischaemic gestive heart failure, assuming that these end syndromes, the CAST I definition is centered points were non-ischaemic in origin. on chronic deterioration of pump function, Actuarial curves for this study were calcu- which is probably caused by a late remodelling lated by the Kaplan-Meier method.7 Analysis phenomenon or non-coronary mechanism. groups were initially determined by assign- Ischaemia-mediated ventricular arrhythmias ment at randomisation, according to the prin- severe enough to cause syncope were a central ciple of intention to treat. Kaplan-Meier concern in CAST I. However, the CAST I curves were calculated for the encainide/ definition of syncope as a transient loss of flecainide treatment group and from the consciousness excluded as much as possible placebo group for the combined end points ongoing ischaemic triggers and sustained ven- and separately, for the non-fatal end points tricular arrhythmias, a study end point in its and the cardiac death end point. Because the own right. hypothesis of this retrospective study is specifi- cally predicated upon exposure to drug and not treatment class, we reanalysed the data Discussion after censoring patients (N = 120) three days Earlier analyses of the CAST database showed after they had stopped taking the study drug. that the treatment and placebo groups could The log rank statistic was used to determine not be distinguished by numerous baseline Interaction ofischaemia and encainidelflecainide treatment: a proposed mechanism for the increased mortality in CAST I 633

A 100 When we combined the non-fatal ischaemic end points, (reinfarction and unstable angina) with cardiac mortality as mutually exclusive

90 end points there was no significant difference Br Heart J: first published as 10.1136/hrt.74.6.631 on 1 December 1995. Downloaded from in end point incidence between the -Encainid/fleca6nid encainide/flecainide treatment group and the 80 - placebo group (fig lA). The higher incidence of fatal cardiac events was counterbalanced by 2( 70 _- -Encainide/flecainide a reduction in the incidence of non-fatal Placebo ischaemic events (fig 2) in the encainide/fle- cainide treatment group. This suggested the 60 _ P = 0-997 possibility that the excess mortality in the encainide/flecainide treatment group may u reflect a conversion of a non-fatal ischaemic 0 6 12 event to a fatal event by the treatment drugs. Months The observation strengthens the suspicion Enc/flec 755 (100%) 463 (89%) 238 (79%) suggested by the earlier analysis of CAST I Placebo 743 (100%) 460 (89%) 225 (78%) deaths2 in which we first observed higher non- fatal ischaemic end points in the placebo B 100 group and higher mortality end points in the active treatment group. It also extends the observation and enhances the validity of the 90 report by Akiyama et al that showed a higher than anticipated mortality in patients with 0- non-Q wave myocardial infarction assigned to 80 active drug.4 L- In an elegant dog model developed by their . 70 _- group,8 in which the combination of ischaemia and alterations in the autonomic milieu can be studied, Schwartz et al showed that flecainide, H 60 P = 0-006 though anti-fibrillatory, favoured the occur- rence of sustained ventricular tachycardia dur- ing acute myocardial ischaemia.9 In an earlier - 0v 6 12 animal study with the , Months , Nattel et al noted an increase in Enc/flec 755 (100%) 463 (94%) 238 (87%) serious ventricular arrhythmias, including ven- Placebo 743 (100%) 460 (90%) 225 (81%) tricular fibrillation, if the antiarrhythmic agent was present before the onset of ischaemia.'0 http://heart.bmj.com/ c 100 w- Ischaemia has long been known to initiate ventricular arrhythmias, including ventricular fibrillation.8 9 11 12 Ischaemia can initiate ven- 90 r- "61.. tricular rhythm disorders at the onset of flow deprivation, even when this is only transient, or during the different recovery phases from 0- 80 H myocardial infarction.'314 Two canine models using conscious animals have been used to on September 28, 2021 by guest. Protected copyright. 70 H show this. In one model the circumflex artery was occluded in an animal 4-7 days after an anterior myocardial infarction with preserved 60 H P < 0.001 flow was created." The prior infarct, not

50 _ 0 6 12 Months _ Death Enc/flec 755 (100%) 463 (94%) 238 (90%) m Non-fatal Placebo 743 (100%) 460 (99%) 225 (97%) N= 131 Figure 1 (A) CAST I survival to newlworsened angina or recurrent, non-fatal N =1 29 myocardial infarction or cardiac deathlarrest. (B) Survival data to newlworsened angina or recurrent non-fatal myocardial infarction. These data are censoredfor deathlcardiac N =76 N 112 arrest. (C) Survival data to cardiac deathlarrest. These data are censoredfor new/worsened angina or recurrent, non-fatal myocardial infarction. A-C are censoredfor non-cardiac death and are based on the intention to treat.

clinical, historical, electrocardiographic, N=55 N 17 mechanical, and concurrent pharmacological characteristics. 1-2 Thus differences in the base- line risk profiles of the two groups at entry to E/F P cannot account for the observed dif- Figure 2 Total number of ischaemic endpoints for active the study treatment and placebo separated into fatal and non-fatal ferences in non-fatal ischaemic events. components. E/F, encainide/flecanide; P, placebo. 634 Greenberg, Dwyer, Hochman, Steinberg, Echt, Peters

merely the reduction in flow, dramatically Proarrhythmia, therefore, at least as tradition- enhanced the likelihood of a fatal ventricular ally defined, though present, cannot explain arrhythmia with the onset of an acute the increased rate of sudden death in the treat-

ischaemic insult." In a second model Schwartz ment group of CAST I. Br Heart J: first published as 10.1136/hrt.74.6.631 on 1 December 1995. Downloaded from et al showed that in the presence of a healed It is also well known that antiarrhythmic (one month) myocardial infarction, acute drugs, and encainide/flecainide in particular, ischaemia and enhanced sympathetic tone can cause potentially lethal ventricular tachy- reproducibly induced malignant ventricular cardia in non-ischaemic. settings.202' With arrhythmias.'2 encainide/flecainide there seem to be two dis- Since no evidence exists nor is there a basis tinct mechanisms. In addition to the tradi- for conjecture that antiarrhythmic treatment tional proarrhythmic increase in the density of will alter the natural course of the atheroscle- ventricular ectopy, even to the point of sus- rotic process or be prothrombotic, it seems tained ventricular tachycardia, class 1-C likely that the treatment drugs themselves are agents, including encainide/flecainide, cause a responsible for the changes in outcome coinci- prolonged, refractory, malignant ventricular dent upon an ischaemic event. The shape of tachycardia. Though uncommon, this is a dis- the Kaplan-Meier curve for the combined end tinct and identifiable entity that occurs shortly points (fig 1A) suggests that the underlying after the start oftreatment'9 26; it was not seen in atherosclerotic disease process progressed with CAST I. equal vigour in both the drug and placebo We believe the increased mortality in the groups. The mortality events are distributed group exposed to drug is, therefore, probably evenly over time. They occur with the same caused by an interaction that develops after temporal pattern as the non-fatal ischaemic ischaemia occurs. Unfortunately, there is no events. There were no temporal outcroppings obvious difference in the characteristics of the in the event curve for the treatment group to fatal rhythm disorder between the drug and suggest that another mechanism was operat- placebo groups.2 We presume that the mecha- ing. The recent analysis of the circadian pat- nism of death is a ventricular arrhythmia. tern of arrhythmic deaths in CAST'5 found Because this is a clinical observational study, that the peak incidences were within two hours we cannot make any assessment of the cellular of awakening or in the late afternoon; this is mechanism involved. As we have indicated, consistent with the pattern of ischaemic events the longitudinal and circadian patterns are found in an untreated population.'6 This is consistent with a mechanism of ischaemia trig- further supported by the observation that gering an arrhythmia. Strictly speaking, this more than half of the fatal events were accom- too, is a form of proarrhythmia. Because we panied by angina-like symptoms. The 21% postulate it is secondary to ischaemia and not a ischaemic event rate for this combined end primary (or idiopathic) event and because it is, point is consistent with other recent results in by definition, fatal, we are hesitant to combine

post-infarction cohorts.'7 18 it with the traditional categories of proarrhyth- http://heart.bmj.com/ Though antiarrhythmic drugs seem to exert mia. their beneficial effects by depressing or blocking conduction in reentrant circuits, proarrhyth- LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY mic aggravation of reentrant circuits by antiar- This study is a retrospective analysis of the rhythmic agents is well known.'9 Encainide data and is weakened by the lack of an a priori and flecainide reduce ventricular ectopy and hypothesis. However, the primary CAST I arrhythmia, but they have also been associated results were themselves unexpected and all with an increased rate of proarrhythmia in attempts to explain them will be compromised on September 28, 2021 by guest. Protected copyright. patients with compromised ventricular func- by retrospective review of the data with new, tion.202' Both encainide and flecainide have post-hoc hypotheses. Of more concern is the been shown to reduce the fibrillation threshold small degree of uncertainty introduced by the or to increase the likelihood of ventricular fib- techniques used to collect clinical end point rillation when blood flow is compromised.9 22 23 data. The mortality data were handled rigor- Proarrhythmia, which in the CAST I defini- ously by a prespecified set of criteria.2 Though tion included either or both enhanced ventric- prospectively defined, the secondary end ular ectopy and non-sustained ventricular points were not collected with the same rigour tachycardia,2 was uncommon in CAST I. At or review. The temporal distinctions between four months, proarrhythmia was found in 1 % a non-fatal and a fatal end point were not of patients on encainide, 3% of patients on fle- defined rigidly because the need to separate cainide, and 6% of patients on placebo. In fatal and non-fatal end points as mutually addition, suppression of ventricular ectopy by exclusive events was not anticipated. How- the study drug was maintained over the first ever, the clinical judgment exercised seems four months of CAST I (Salerno D et al, consistent and reasonable, and disparities are unpublished). Nearly two thirds of patients likely to be divided equally between treatment retained an 80% suppression rate and in three and placebo groups. quarters of the patients suppression exceeded a 60% suppression rate. Because of the prema- ture termination of CAST I, insufficient data Conclusions for analysis are available at one year. However, In the CAST I population of post-myocardial earlier studies with both encainide and infarction patients the sum of cardiac deaths flecainide24 25 have shown comparable sup- and non-fatal ischaemic events, either recur- pression rates for as long as two years. rent myocardial infarction or an increase in the Interaction ofischaemia and encainidelflecainide treatment: a proposed mechanism for the increased mortality in CAST I 635

severity of angina pectoris, were nearly identical 7 Kaplan EL, Meier P. Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. J Am Stat Assoc 1958;53: in those assigned to placebo or to encainide/ 457-81. flecainide. However, the mortality in the treat- 8 Schwartz PJ, Vanoli E, Zara A. The effect of antiarrhythmic drugs on life-threatening arrhythmias induced by the ment group was far higher than in the placebo interaction between acute myocardial ischemia and sym- Br Heart J: first published as 10.1136/hrt.74.6.631 on 1 December 1995. Downloaded from group whereas non-fatal ischaemic end points pathetic hyperactivity. Am HeartJ7 1985;109:937-48. 9 Stramba-Badiale M, Lazzarotti M, Facchini M, Schwartz were correspondingly more frequent in the PJ. Malignant arrhythmias and acute myocardial placebo group. Neither the temporal or circa- ischemia: interaction between flecainide and the auto- nomic nervous system. Am HeartJ7 1994;128:973-82. dian patterns of mortality were altered by drug 10 Nattel S, Pedersen PH, Zipes DP. Alterations in regional assignment. The interaction suggests that an distribution and arrhythmogenic effects of aprindine pro- duced by coronary artery occlusion in the dog. Cardiovasc ischaemic event is more likely to be fatal in the Res 1981;15:80-5. presence of encainide or flecainide and that 11 Patterson E, Holland K, Eller BT, Lucchesi BR. Ventricular fibrillation resulting from ischemia at a site this propensity is present throughout the time remote from previous myocardial infarction. Am J course of drug administration. Cardiol 1982; 50:1414-23. 12 Schwartz PJ, Billman GE, Stone HL, Autonomic mecha- The results of CAST I were a surprise to nisms in ventricular fibrillation induced by myocardial the investigators and the cardiology commu- ischemia during exercise in dogs with healed myocardial infarction. Circulation 1984;69:790-800. nity. In part, these results emerged because of 13 Wit AL, Bigger JT. Possible electrophysiological mecha- characteristics of the earlier studies. Virtually nisms for lethal arrhythmia accompanying myocardial ischemia and infarction. Circulation 1975;52:III 96-115. all of the initial studies with class 1-C drugs 14 Zipes DP. Electrophysiological mechanisms involved in had small numbers and were not controlled. ventricular tachycardia. Circulation 1975; 52:III 120-30. 15 Peters RW, Mitchell LB, Brooks MM, et al. Circadian None had the power to evaluate mortality. In Pattern of arrhythmic death in patients receiving addition, the studies excluded patients who encainide, flecainide or moricizine in the Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Trial (CAST). 1994;23:283-9. had sustained a recent myocardial infarction 16 Muller JE, Tofler GH, Stone PH. Circadian variation and and thus could not have identified or even triggers of onset of acute cardiovascular disease. Circulation 1989;79:733-43. pointed to an interaction with ischemia.2728 17 The Multicenter Post Infarction Research Group. Risk The pilot study for CAST I, the Cardiac stratification and survival after myocardial infarction. N EnglJ Med 1983;309:331-6. Arrhythmia Pilot Study,29 did study post- 18 Dwyer EM Jr., McMaster P, Greenberg H, and the infarction in patients but did not have the Multicenter Postinfarction Research Group. Nonfatal cardiac events and recurrent infarction in the year after power to assess mortality. Future preclinical acute myocardial infarction. J Am CoIl Cardiol 1984; and clinical studies with antiarrhythmic agents 4:695-702. 19 Stanton MS, Prystowsky EN, Fineberg NS, Miles WM, should be carried out in ischaemic models."I 12 Zipes DP, Heger JJ. Arrhythmogenic effects of anti- arrhythmic drugs: A study of 506 patients treated for This study was supported by contracts with the National ventricular tachycardia and fibrillation. J Am Coll Cardiol Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of 1989;14:209-15. Health, Bethesda, Maryland. 20 Morganroth J, Horowitz LN. Flecainide: its proarrhythmic effect and expected changes on the surface electrocardio- gram. AmJ Cardiol 1984;53:89B-94B. 21 Soyka LF. Safety of Encainide for the treatment of ventric- ular arrhythmias. Am 3 Cardiol 1986;58:96C-103C. 22 Kuo WH, Nelson SD, Lynch Jj, Montgomery PG, 1 The Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Trial (CAST) Di Carlo L, Lucchesi BR. Effect of flecainide acetate on

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