"The Macroeconomics of Happiness." (Pdf)
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Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
1 SECTION Gross Domestic Product ross domestic product (GDP) is a measure of a country’s economic output. GDP per capita and GDP Gper employed person are related indicators that provide a general picture of a country’s well-being. GDP per capita is an indicator of overall wealth in a country, and GDP per employed person is a general indicator of productivity. 8 CHARTING INTERNATIONAL LABOR COMPARISONS | SEPTEMBER 2012 U.S. BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS | www.bls.gov Gross domestic product, selected countries, in U.S. dollars, 2010 United States China Japan CHART India 1.1 Germany Gross domestic United Kingdom France product (GDP) Brazil was more Italy than 14 trillion Mexico dollars in the Spain South Korea United States Canada and exceeded Australia 4 trillion Poland dollars in only Netherlands Argentina three other Belgium countries: Sweden China, Japan, Philippines and India. Switzerland Austria In addition to China Greece Singapore and India, other large Czech Republic emerging economies, Norway such as Brazil and Portugal Mexico, were among the Israel 10 largest countries in Denmark terms of GDP. Hungary Finland The GDP of the United Ireland States was roughly 5 New Zealand times larger than that of Slovakia Germany, 10 times larger Estonia than that of South Korea, 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Trillions of 2010 U.S. dollars and 40 times larger than that of the Philippines. NOTE: GDP is converted to U.S. dollars using purchasing power parities (PPP). See section notes. SOURCES: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and The World Bank. -
The Neoclassical Synthesis
Department of Economics- FEA/USP In Search of Lost Time: The Neoclassical Synthesis MICHEL DE VROEY PEDRO GARCIA DUARTE WORKING PAPER SERIES Nº 2012-07 DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, FEA-USP WORKING PAPER Nº 2012-07 In Search of Lost Time: The Neoclassical Synthesis Michel De Vroey ([email protected]) Pedro Garcia Duarte ([email protected]) Abstract: Present day macroeconomics has been sometimes dubbed as the new neoclassical synthesis, suggesting that it constitutes a reincarnation of the neoclassical synthesis of the 1950s. This has prompted us to examine the contents of the ‘old’ and the ‘new’ neoclassical syntheses. Our main conclusion is that the latter bears little resemblance with the former. Additionally, we make three points: (a) from its origins with Paul Samuelson onward the neoclassical synthesis notion had no fixed content and we bring out four main distinct meanings; (b) its most cogent interpretation, defended e.g. by Solow and Mankiw, is a plea for a pluralistic macroeconomics, wherein short-period market non-clearing models would live side by side with long-period market-clearing models; (c) a distinction should be drawn between first and second generation new Keynesian economists as the former defend the old neoclassical synthesis while the latter, with their DSGE models, adhere to the Lucasian view that macroeconomics should be based on a single baseline model. Keywords: neoclassical synthesis; new neoclassical synthesis; DSGE models; Paul Samuelson; Robert Lucas JEL Codes: B22; B30; E12; E13 1 IN SEARCH OF LOST TIME: THE NEOCLASSICAL SYNTHESIS Michel De Vroey1 and Pedro Garcia Duarte2 Introduction Since its inception, macroeconomics has witnessed an alternation between phases of consensus and dissent. -
A Better Measure of Economic Growth: Gross Domestic Output (Gdo)
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ISSUE BRIEF JULY 2015 A BETTER MEASURE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH: GROSS DOMESTIC OUTPUT (GDO) The growth of total economic output affects our assessment of current well-being as well as decisions about the future. Measuring the strength of the economy, however, can be difficult as it depends on surveys and administrative source data that are necessarily imperfect and incomplete. The total output of the economy can be measured in two distinct ways—Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which adds consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports; and Gross Domestic Income (GDI), which adds labor compensation, business profits, and other sources of income. In theory these two measures of output should be identical; however, they differ in practice because of measurement error. With today’s annual revision, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) began publishing a new measure of U.S. output—the “average of GDP and GDI”—which the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) will refer to as Gross Domestic Output (GDO).1 This issue brief describes GDO, reviews its recent trends, and explains why it can be a more accurate measure of current economic growth and a better predictor of future economic growth than either GDP or GDI alone. What is Gross Domestic Output (GDO)? The first estimate of quarterly GDP is released nearly a month after each quarter’s end. Owing to data lags, GDI What we are calling “GDO” is the average of two existing is generally first released nearly two months after series, the headline Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and quarter’s end, along with the second estimate of GDP.2 its lesser-known counterpart, Gross Domestic Income As a result, with today’s advance GDP release, GDI and (GDI). -
The History of Macroeconomics from Keynes's General Theory to The
The History of Macroeconomics from Keynes’s General Theory to the Present M. De Vroey and P. Malgrange Discussion Paper 2011-28 The History of Macroeconomics from Keynes’s General Theory to the Present Michel De Vroey and Pierre Malgrange ◊ June 2011 Abstract This paper is a contribution to the forthcoming Edward Elgar Handbook of the History of Economic Analysis volume edited by Gilbert Faccarello and Heinz Kurz. Its aim is to introduce the reader to the main episodes that have marked the course of modern macroeconomics: its emergence after the publication of Keynes’s General Theory, the heydays of Keynesian macroeconomics based on the IS-LM model, disequilibrium and non-Walrasian equilibrium modelling, the invention of the natural rate of unemployment notion, the new classical attack against Keynesian macroeconomics, the first wave of new Keynesian models, real business cycle modelling and, finally, the second wage of new Keynesian models, i.e. DSGE models. A main thrust of the paper is the contrast we draw between Keynesian macroeconomics and stochastic dynamic general equilibrium macroeconomics. We hope that our paper will be useful for teachers of macroeconomics wishing to complement their technical material with a historical addendum. Keywords: Keynes, Lucas, IS-LM model, DSGE models JEL classification: B 22, E 10, E 20, E 30 ◊ IRES, Louvain University and CEPREMAP, Paris. Correspondence address : [email protected] The authors are grateful to Liam Graham for his comments on an earlier version of the paper. 1 Introduction Our aim in this paper is to introduce the reader to the main episodes that have marked the course of macroeconomics. -
Income, Expenditures, Poverty, and Wealth
Section 13 Income, Expenditures, Poverty, and Wealth This section presents data on gross periodically conducts the Survey of domestic product (GDP), gross national Consumer Finances, which presents finan- product (GNP), national and personal cial information on family assets and net income, saving and investment, money worth. The most recent survey is available income, poverty, and national and at <http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs personal wealth. The data on income and /oss/oss2/scfindex.html>. Detailed infor- expenditures measure two aspects of the mation on personal wealth is published U.S. economy. One aspect relates to the periodically by the Internal Revenue National Income and Product Accounts Service (IRS) in SOI Bulletin. (NIPA), a summation reflecting the entire complex of the nation’s economic income National income and product— and output and the interaction of its GDP is the total output of goods and major components; the other relates to services produced by labor and prop- the distribution of money income to erty located in the United States, valued families and individuals or consumer at market prices. GDP can be viewed in income. terms of the expenditure categories that comprise its major components: The primary source for data on GDP, GNP, personal consumption expenditures, national and personal income, gross gross private domestic investment, net saving and investment, and fixed assets exports of goods and services, and gov- and consumer durables is the Survey of ernment consumption expenditures and Current Business, published monthly by gross investment. The goods and services the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). included are largely those bought for final A comprehensive revision to the NIPA use (excluding illegal transactions) in the was released beginning in July 2009. -
3. GDP Per Capita
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) 3. GDP per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita is a core indicator needed in interpretation, for example Luxembourg and, to a of economic performance and commonly used as a broad lesser extent, Switzerland have a relatively large number of measure of average living standards or economic well- frontier workers. Such workers contribute to GDP but are being; despite some recognised shortcomings. excluded from the population figures, which is one of the For example average GDP per capita gives no indication of reasons why cross-country comparisons of income per how GDP is distributed between citizens. Average GDP per capita based on gross or net national income (GDI and NNI) capita may rise for example but more people may be worse are often preferred, see second chapter on Income. (See also off if income inequalities also increase. “Reader’s guide”, relating to PPP based comparisons.) Equally, in some countries (see Comparability), there may be a significant number of non-resident border or seasonal Source workers or indeed inflows and outflows of property income • OECD (2012), National Accounts of OECD Countries, OECD and both phenomena imply that the value of production Publishing, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/2221433x. differs from the income of residents, thereby over or under- stating their living standards. Online database A full discussion of these issues can be found in the Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report (see “Further reading”). • OECD (2012), “Aggregate National Accounts: Gross domestic product”, OECD National Accounts Statistics (database), http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/data-00001-en. Definition Further reading The definition for GDP is described in Section 1 and • Lequiller, F. -
Hungary (24 June 2021)
Coronavirus response in 2021: building back better Update on Hungary (24 June 2021) Covid-19 policy response EBRD assessment of transition qualities (ATQs), 20201 • The authorities implemented a major policy response in 2020, amounting to around 18 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), focused on income support for vulnerable individuals, liquidity Competitive Inclusive support for businesses and budgetary support for the health sector. Well-governed Resilient • Covid-19-related fiscal measures in 2021 are projected at 12 per cent of GDP, with continued spending on pandemic protection and support for the economic recovery, including a value-added Green Integrated tax cuts on new housing, more money for the pandemic control fund and a wage hike for doctors. • Substantial European Union (EU) funds will help boost the short-term recovery. Hungary is 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 2 4 6 8 10 expected to receive about €41 billion in total from the bloc’s regular multiannual financial Hungary EBRD Advanced comparators framework (MFF) and an extraordinary Covid-19 recovery fund. Building back better: key ongoing initiatives Macroeconomic indicators (%) The government is adding HUF 30 billion (around €86 million) to its existing Competitive competitiveness programme for companies that maintain employment at current levels. 2018 2019 2020 Short-term indicators The government is supporting investments in residential solar power systems and the Green electrification of residential heating systems. EBRD GDP growth forecast (June 2021) GDP growth 5.4 4.6 -5.0 Water management reform is set to boost Hungary's resilience to climate change and to 2021: 5.5%; 2022: 4.8% Resilient Annual inflation (end-year) -0.4 0.3 0.3 improve the conditions of drought-prone ecosystems. -
National Income Per Capita
PRODUCTION AND INCOME • INCOME, SAVINGS AND INVESTMENTS NATIONALPRODUCTIONIncome, savings AND and INCOME investments INCOME PER CAPITA While per capita gross domestic product is the indicator Depreciation, which is deducted from GNI to obtain NNI, is most commonly used to compare living standards across the decline in the market value of fixed capital assets – countries, two other measures are preferred by many dwellings, buildings, machinery, transport equipment such analysts. These are per capita gross national income (GNI) as physical infrastructure, software, etc. – through wear and and net national income (NNI). tear and obsolescence. Definition Comparability GNI is defined as GDP plus net receipts from abroad of Both income measures are compiled according to the wages and salaries and property income. definitions of the 1993 System of National Accounts. There are, Wages and salaries from abroad are those that are earned by however, practical difficulties in measuring international residents, i.e. by persons who essentially live and consume flows of wages and salaries and property income and inside the economic territory of a country but work abroad depreciation. Because of these difficulties, GDP per capita is (this happens in border areas on a regular basis) or by the most widely used indicator of income despite being persons that live and work abroad for only short periods theoretically inferior to either GNI or NNI. (seasonal workers). Guest-workers and other migrant Note that data for Australian and New Zealand refer to fiscal workers who live abroad for one year or more are considered years. to be resident in the country where they are working. -
Macroeconomics and Politics
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1988, Volume 3 Volume Author/Editor: Stanley Fischer, editor Volume Publisher: MIT Press Volume ISBN: 0-262-06119-8 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/fisc88-1 Publication Date: 1988 Chapter Title: Macroeconomics and Politics Chapter Author: Alberto Alesina Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c10951 Chapter pages in book: (p. 13 - 62) AlbertoAlesina GSIACARNEGIE MELLON UNIVERSITY AND NBER Macroeconomics and Politics Introduction "Social planners" and "representative consumers" do not exist. The recent game-theoretic literature on macroeconomic policy has set the stage for going beyond this stylized description of policymaking and building more realistic positive models of economic policy. In this literature, the policy- maker strategically interacts with other current and/or future policymakers and with the public; his behavior is derived endogenously from his preferences, incentives and constraints. Since the policymakers' incentives and constraints represent real world political institutions, this approach provides a useful tool for analyzing the relationship between politics and macroeconomic policy. This paper shows that this recent line of research has provided several novel, testable results; the paper both reviews previous successful tests of the theory and presents some new successful tests. Even though some pathbreaking contributions were published in the mid-1970s, (for instance, Hamada (1976), Kydland-Prescott (1977), Calvo (1978)) the game-theoretic literature on macroeconomic policy has only in the last five years begun to pick up momentum after a shift attributed to the influential work done by Barro and Gordon (1983a,b) on monetary policy. -
Gross National Happiness-Based Economic Growth Recommendations for Private Sector Growth Consistent with Bhutanese Values
Gross National Happiness-Based Economic Growth Recommendations for Private Sector Growth Consistent with Bhutanese Values Allen Koji Ukai 2016 Master in Public Policy Candidate Submitted March 29th, 2016 Updated May 30th, 2016 Submitted to: Ryan Sheely, Faculty Advisor/Seminar Leader Harvard Kennedy School Kesang Wangdi, Deputy Secretary General Bhutan Chamber of Commerce This Policy Analysis Exercise (PAE) reflects the views of the author and should not be viewed as representing the views of the PAE's external client (the Bhutan Chamber of Commerce & Industry), its interviewees, nor those of Harvard University or any of its faculty. It is submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master in Public Policy Table of Contents List of Acronyms ........................................................................................................................................... 2 Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 3 Economic Development According to Gross National Happiness ................................................................ 4 Gross Domestic Product, Its Implications, and Its Shortcomings .............................................................. 4 Gross National Happiness and Its Impact within Bhutan .......................................................................... 5 Bhutan’s Underdeveloped Private Sector ..................................................................................................... -
An Introduction to Macroeconomics with Household Heterogeneity
An Introduction to Macroeconomics with Household Heterogeneity Dirk Krueger1 Department of Economics University of Pennsylvania March 6, 2018 1I wish to thank Orazio Attanasio, Richard Blundell, Juan Carlos Conesa, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Robert Hall, Tim Kehoe, Narayana Kocherlakota, Felix Kubler, Fabrizio Perri, Luigi Pistaferri, Ed Prescott, Victor Rios-Rull and Thomas Sargent for teaching me much of the material presented in this manuscript. c by Dirk Krueger. All comments are welcomed, please contact the author at [email protected]. ii Contents I Introduction 1 1 Overview over the Monograph 3 2 Why Macro with Heterogeneous Households (or Firms)? 7 3 Some Stylized Facts and Some Puzzles 9 3.1 Household Level Data Sources . 9 3.1.1 CEX . 9 3.1.2 SCF . 10 3.1.3 PSID . 10 3.1.4 CPS . 11 3.1.5 Data Sources for Other Countries . 11 3.2 Main Findings . 12 3.2.1 Organization of Facts . 12 3.2.2 Aggregate Time Series: Means over Time . 12 3.2.3 Means over the Life Cycle . 16 3.2.4 Dispersion over the Life Cycle . 18 3.2.5 Dispersion (Inequality) at a Point in Time . 19 3.2.6 Changes in Dispersion over Time . 19 3.2.7 Other Interesting Facts (or Puzzles) . 19 4 The Standard Complete Markets Model 23 4.1 Theoretical Results . 25 4.1.1 Arrow-Debreu Equilibrium . 25 4.1.2 Sequential Markets Equilibrium . 34 4.2 Empirical Implications for Asset Pricing . 39 4.2.1 An Example . 48 4.3 Tests of Complete Consumption Insurance . -
Gross National Happiness
Gross National Happiness The Himalayan nation of Bhutan has been a leader in development decide to put something as ephemeral as devising and promoting an alternative development happiness fi rst? paradigm called gross national happiness. The king’s Th e king’s statement signaled that Bhutan’s develop- statement “Gross National Happiness is more impor- ment process would grow out of its own cultural context, tant than Gross National Product” arose from including its ancient Vajrayana Buddhist traditions, rather Buddhism, which recognizes the transitory nature of than being imposed by foreign experts. Development material satisfactions. This view, together with the fi nd- would need to support the Buddhist quest for enlighten- ings of positive psychology, is encouraging Western ment for the good of all sentient beings—a quest associ- nations to measure the full spectrum of human ated with the development of enduring equanimity, well-being. compassion, and spiritual inspiration at the individual and collective levels. n 1972, the fourth king of the Himalayan nation of I Bhutan, King Jigme Singye Wangchuk, proclaimed, Buddhist Roots “Gross National Happiness is more important than Gross National Product”—a statement that challenged In articulating gross national happiness (GNH), the king prevailing economic development theories around the drew on Bhutan’s deep well of compassion for and non- world. violence toward all sentient beings, based in its 1,200- Th e proclamation was especially bold because tiny, year history of Buddhism. His statement connected with mountainous Bhutan, wedged between India and China, previous policies, also grounded in Buddhism. A 1675 was—at that time—one of the world’s least-developed Buddhist equivalent of a social contract declared that and most-isolated nations.