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Scotland: the Social Movement for Independence and the Crisis of the British State Neil Davidson

Published by rs21, November 2014

Preface by rs21 Introduction The referendum If, in 2011, you had asked members of the was one of the most important political radical left to identify a sequence of events events of recent years. Faced with the that might lead to a crisis of the British possible break-up of the UK, the British state, most would have probably ruling class panicked in a way we’ve not nominated a combination and escalation of seen for decades. The No victory has the struggles then current: public sector done nothing to bolster the mainstream strikes in defence of services and pay, riots parties which supported the union – the in communities subject to police violence, resignation of as leader and student demonstrations against tuition of has only highlighted fees, perhaps set against the backdrop of the decline of the Labour Party in opposition to yet another imperialist war . After almost all of the radical in the Middle East. A referendum on left campaigned for a Yes vote, Scottish independence is unlikely to have discussions continue about how to the featured high on the list. Yet within three left should organise – the Radical years such a referendum had momentarily Independence Campaign conference, in rendered the actual end of the British state on Saturday 22 November, will a realistic prospect and, for two weeks in be an important part of that process. September, the campaign for a Yes vote had reduced the British ruling class to a panic One sign of the referendum’s impact unparalleled since the early stages of the has been the levels of recruitment to Miner’s Strike of 1984-5 and, in terms of political parties since. Figures from 12 public visibility, since the industrial November show that SNP membership struggles of the early 1970s. has more than trebled, from 25,000 to Obviously this was contrary to the pieties over 84,000; the have of the Approved Left Strategies Playbook. done the same, going from 2,000 to According to conventional wisdom, a 7,500 members; and Scottish Socialist referendum would at best only encourage Party membership has more than constitutional illusions, at worst lead to doubled from 1,500 to 3,500. national divisions among the British Meanwhile the Scottish Labour Party has working class. Typical exponents of this grown by only a fraction, from 12,500 type of thinking were representatives of to 13,500 – fewer recruits than the SSP. the Red Paper Collective, a reformist think- tank uniting trade union officials and This analysis of these events was written Labour-supporting academics, who asked by Scottish historian and activist Neil for ‘a better use of the labour movement’s Davidson in the two weeks after the time and resources than signing up to be vote. 1 foot-soldiers in one or other of the is sweeping Europe, and the UK is not bourgeois campaigns currently vying for immune. The SNP surge is part of this 1 phenomenon. The characteristics are putting attention.’ the nation and its needs and aspirations above other calls on . The suggestion that abstention was the appropriate response is rather I pause only to draw attention to the fact disingenuous, since everyone associated that this call for solidarity was being issued with this group opposed Scottish in the pages of the Daily Mail, before noting independence and supported the McTernan’s claim that there is a ‘clear 2 continuing unity of the British state. But populism of the Centre-Right–UKIP and the even leaving that aside, the approach was SNP in the UK.’ Phillip Stephens of the in any case totally misguided. Financial Times wrote that Salmond ‘has reawakened the allegiance of the tribe’, In a capitalist society, all politics is by before also comparing the SNP with the definition ‘bourgeois’ unless working-class racist xenophobes of UKIP: ‘Mr Salmond is interests are forced onto the agendas to Scotland what Nigel Farage, the leader of which would otherwise exclude them. the UK Independence party, is to England.’4 Some areas of political life are obviously The Observer’s Will Hutton saw Scottish more susceptible to working-class independence as heralding the Decline of intervention than others, and some will Western Civilization: always have greater priority, but none can be dismissed as entirely irrelevant. As the If Britain can't find a way of sticking together, it late Daniel Bensaïd wrote, in his attempt to is the death of the liberal enlightenment before capture the essence of Leninism: the atavistic forces of and ethnicity–a dark omen for the 21st century. Britain will cease as an idea. We will all be If one of the outlets is blocked with particular diminished.5 care, then the contagion will find another, sometimes the most unexpected. That is why we cannot know which spark will ignite the fire. Scottish novelist C. J. Sansom at least allowed that the intentions of Yes In this conception, which I endorse, the supporters were commendable: watchword is: ‘“Be ready!” Ready for the improbable, for the unexpected, for what Some, certainly, will be thinking about voting 3 yes on Thursday, not from nationalism, but in happens.’ Improbable as it may at first the hope of social change. Yet they will not get appear, the Scottish independence it, because, like it or not, they are voting for a referendum became one of Bensaïd’s nationalist outcome… And the SNP, who will be ‘outlets’. victors and negotiators of Scotland’s future, are not socialist, but classic populists who over the years have swithered around the political Metropolitan fantasies and spectrum to gain votes for nationalism.6 Scottish realities But those who do not wish to talk about Anyone who relied on commentaries by the British nationalism should also remain Labour-supporting metropolitan liberal- silent about Scottish nationalism. Michael left to understand events in Scotland might Keating points out, in a comment that well be puzzled by this conclusion. For, might have been written with these whether out of conscious dishonesty or commentators in mind: ‘Some of those who simply catastrophic levels of ignorance, the condemn minority nationalism as inhabitants of this milieu chose to portray necessarily backward frame this as a the Yes campaign as an essentially ethnic condemnation of all nationalism, ignoring movement. John McTernan, a former the implicit nationalism underlying their Labour Special Adviser, wrote on the day of own position and confusing their own the referendum:

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Metropolitan chauvinism with a betrayal of the revolution. … The essential unity cosmopolitan outlook.’7 of the UK must be maintained till the working classes of all Britain are ready.10 In fact, for most Yes campaigners the movement was not primarily about Nairn is often regarded as simply being supporting the SNP, but nor was it even premature in his assessment, and his point about Scottish nationalism in a wider about the ‘unexpected form’ of the threat to sense. ‘For me’, writes Billy Bragg, ‘the the British state is certainly relevant; but most frustrating aspect of the debate on nevertheless ‘neo-nationalism’ is not the Scottish independence has been the failure gravedigger, for reasons well expressed by of the English left to recognise that there is the Irish writer Fintan O’Toole: 8 more than one kind of nationalism.’ The Scottish referendum is…a symptom of a Bragg’s support was welcome, particularly much broader loss of faith in the ability of in the pages of the Guardian, which in most existing institutions of governance to protect respects played an abysmal role during the people against unaccountable power. This why referendum campaign, but these comments the campaign is not particularly nationalistic… confuse the issue. As a political ideology, The demand for independence just happens, nationalism–any nationalism, relatively for historical reasons, to be the form in which progressive or absolutely reactionary– Scots are expressing a need that is felt around the developed world, the urgent necessity of a involves two inescapable principles: that 11 the national group should have its own new politics of democratic accountability. state, regardless of the social Independence has therefore become the consequences; and that what unites the demand of socialists, environmentalists national group is more significant than and feminists. The sections of the Scottish what divides it, above all the class divide. radical left who actively supported a Yes Neither of these principles was dominant vote–the overwhelming majority, bar some in the Yes campaign. One right-wing, but fossilised sectarians–were therefore right relatively level-headed No supporter to throw themselves into the campaign observed: and, in doing so, took part in one of the Those out canvassing don’t report encountering greatest explosions of working class self- more blood-and-soil types than before. Instead, activity and political creativity in Scottish they say that what is driving people is a variant history, far greater in depth and breadth of the anti-politics mood that is roiling politics 9 than those around the Make Poverty across the UK. History/G8 Alternatives mobilisations in More precisely, Yes campaigners saw 2005, the Stop the War Coalition in 2002-3 establishing a Scottish state, not as an or even the Anti- campaign on eternal goal to be pursued in all 1987-90. The level of participation and circumstances, but as one which offered relative closeness of the outcome, for better opportunities for equality and social which the left can claim much of the credit, justice in our current condition of are two measure of this. Yet when the neoliberal austerity–in other words as a campaign began, early in 2012, there was way of conducting the class struggle, not no indication that it would take this form. denying its existence. Writing in New Left Review in 1977, Tom Nairn said: Shadow plays, double-bluffs, miscalculations The fact is that neo-nationalism has become the gravedigger of the old state in Britain, and as From 2000 onwards the SNP included in its such the principal factor making for a political electoral manifestos a commitment to carry revolution of some sort in England as well as out a referendum on independence, if it the small countries. Yet because this process achieved a majority in the Scottish assumes an unexpected form, many on the Parliament. Once that majority was metropolitan left solemnly write it down as a 3 achieved in May 2011 a referendum of simple enough: he wanted to decisively some sort was inevitable. Under the defeat the latter, if not for all time, then at Scotland Act (1998) all constitutional least for the foreseeable future, without issues relating to the 1707 Treaty of Union allowing voters an opt-out. The risks between England and Scotland are involved seemed small–he was as familiar reserved to Westminster. The question was with polls showing minority support for therefore whether the referendum would independence as Salmond, after all. We be an ‘unofficial’ one conducted by the should not imagine, however, that Cameron (similar to one was therefore opposed to devo max. On the scheduled to be held in Catalonia on 9 contrary, in a speech in Edinburgh on 16 November), or one in which the process February he offered further measures of was legitimated and the result devolution if voters rejected independence. consequently recognised by the UK For tactical reasons Salmond affected to government. Prime Minister and believe this was a ruse to lull the Scots into Conservative leader David Cameron took voting for the status quo, after which the the initiative on 8 January 2012 by promise would be quietly forgotten; but announcing that Westminster would while there are historical precedents for legislate for a referendum to be held, but doubting the veracity of Conservative there were conditions; above all, there promises, in this case I believe they were would only be one question. In other perfectly genuine, for reasons which, as we words, there would not be an option to shall see, have now acquired urgent vote for Maximum Devolution, or ‘devo political importance. Cameron was max’, as it has come to be known. however prepared to pay a high price for a one-question referendum. He eventually Devo max was the option overwhelmingly conceded to the SNP leader his demands supported by most Scots, perhaps as many for the enfranchisement of 16-and 17year as 71%, at this point. Although there are olds, the right to decide on the date and the different conceptions of what exactly this nature of the question, thus enabling might involve, the most complete version Salmond to frame it as a positive (unlike, would have left the in ‘should Scotland remain part of the UK?’, control of all state functions (including for example) and campaign for an upbeat taxation) with the exception of those Yes rather than a recalcitrant No. These controlled by the Foreign Office, the were all confirmed by the Edinburgh Ministry of Defence and the Bank of Agreement, signed by Cameron and England. The bulk of the SNP leadership Salmond for their respective governments, recognised that there was not–or at any at St Andrews House on 15 October 2012. rate, not yet–a majority for independence. Devo max was therefore what the SNP Even though devo max was absent from the hoped to achieve–and more importantly, ballot paper, the version of independence what they thought they could achieve–in promoted by the SNP closely resembled it, the short-to medium-term. Scottish First retaining as it did the Monarchy, Minister and SNP leader Alex Salmond membership of NATO and the pound would therefore have preferred devo max through a currency union with the Rest of to be included on the ballot paper, since he the UK (RUK). The intention here was would have been able to claim victory if the clearly to make the prospect of result was either independence (unlikely) independence as palatable as possible to or devo max (most probable). the unconvinced through the continued presence of these institutions, so that Cameron refused to play ball. His reason independence involved the fewest changes for insisting on a stark alternative between to the established order, compatible with the status quo and independence was actual . However, as became clear 4 during the campaign, most Scots voting for President of the USA and his likely Yes wanted their country to be as different Democrat successor; the Commission of the from the contemporary UK as possible, so EU; and the rulers of all nation-states with this approach hampered the official Yes insurgent minority national movements. In campaign from the start. Moreover, the short, behind the three Unionist parties issue of the currency placed a weapon in stood the representatives and the hands of the No campaign which they spokespersons of the British and were to use remorselessly until the very international capitalist class, supporters of end. the current imperial ordering of the world system, and reactionaries and fascists of The official Yes campaign, ‘’ every description. Finding oneself in this was launched on 25 May, and was company, anyone on the left might unsurprisingly dominated by the SNP with, reasonably ask themselves whether it was in supporting roles, the Scottish Green conceivable that these people and Party and the Scottish Socialist Party. Its organisations could all have misunderstood rival, ‘Better Together’ followed on 25 June, their own class interests, which, one uniting the Scottish Tories, the Scottish assumes, do not include preserving the Liberal Democrats and the Scottish Labour unity of the British labour movement. Party–the latter providing both the campaign’s front man in the shape of The Yes campaign as a social former Chancellor Alasdair Darling and the movement bulk of its activists on the ground. Early in the campaign some Labour activists To understand the nature of the Yes attempted to nullify their embarrassment campaign as it developed, especially in the at being in league with the Conservative last 6 months, it is instructive to compare enemy by pretending that the entire with the two previous referendums on business was simply a tiresome distraction Scotland’s constitutional position. Monitors involving equivalent cross-class alliances in 1979 reported ‘no activity; no cars to on both sides. Pauline Bryan of Labour polls; no literature; really pathetic. … Campaign for and the Red Paper Political activity during the referendum Collective wrote: campaign was significantly absent.’ Similar reports were made in 1997: ‘Apart from In Scotland we can see that the SNP and the media you would not have known there particularly the Yes campaign are a broad was a referendum. … The campaign was alliance across the , and the almost non-existent. No opposing referendum has resulted in the better together 13 campaign which has the support of the Tories, campaign at all was evident.’ Now Lib Dems and Scottish Labour. It takes the contrast these dismal scenarios with the politics out of politics.12 following picture, drawn by Scottish journalist Paul Hutcheon in 2014: This is simply an evasion. The most obvious difference between the two sides Rather than consisting of activists manning can be seen if we list those forces which jumble sales, the Yes movement was on its way stood behind the No campaign: the to creating the 300 local community groups, 50 sectoral organisations and dozens of other spin- supposedly neutral institutions of the offs that would flood the country with pro- British state, in particular the Treasury and independence activity. Tens of thousands of the BBC; most British capitalists; UKIP and people across the country were now involved: the British National Party; the Orange from self-generated local Yes groups, to Order; the entire press with the sole and the left-wing Radical Independence Campaign (RIC); from individuals exception of the Glasgow Sunday Herald manning Yes cafes, to new recruits running (and the more right-wing–i.e. the Express drop in centres. Yes staffers knew the grass- and the Mail–they were the more rabidly roots campaign was working when they learned Unionist they also tended to be); the of large community debates they had not 5

organised, run by local groups they did not members described part of the operation in know existed. Yes Scotland was now almost RS21: redundant - it had become a ’central services’ resource for groups, providing literature, The mass canvass took place in over 40 merchandise and email updates. By May 30 this localities. We are now reaching into all major year, the formal starting point of the settlements in Scotland. But because we referendum campaign, Yes was the biggest recognised that the poorest, most densely - grass-roots political movement Scotland had populated communities must bear the most seen. votes and the most ready support for a decisive political and social change, we canvassed these Hutcheon writes of ‘two campaigns’, one areas the hardest. RIC is also concerned with a traditional and led by the suits, arguing in scheme for voter registration and for the conventional media set piece debates, the recording areas of greatest Yes support–for other a ‘ground war’, ‘one-to-one’, door-to- remobilisation closer to the vote. We recognised 14 early that those voters who would buck the door, intentionally bypassing the media’. polling trend would be those voters who don’t It was this ‘other’ campaign, which drew in talk to pollsters and hate politicians; those the previously marginalised housing voters who have told our activists: ‘You are the schemes. In his research into the so-called only people to ever ask me what I think about 16 ‘missing million’ of Scots who either politics.’ unregistered or choose not to vote, Willie It would be wrong to credit RIC with all Sullivan points out that their reasons are activities of this type –in the north and west of not those they are commonly assumed to Edinburgh, for example, groups like Craigmillar be: Yes also conducted mass registration and canvassing drives, but it gave the campaign an One key point…is that they are not apathetic initial push toward the left, not least by about where they live, or about the desire for it articulating what socialist demands might be to be better. Any suggestion that non-voters are uninterested and broadly disengaged beyond achieved by independence. But initiative and voting was not borne out by the research. creativity also emerged independently of any organised group and in the most unlikely On the contrary, they had perfectly rational places. Yes supporter Lesley Riddoch gives the reasons for political disengagement: example of a woman from the village of Farr ‘Participants recognised that they have a near Inverness who came to one of her meetings in Aberdeen. [Note to non-Scots: this choice in voting, but options arising involves a round trip of 225 miles.] through voting are set by others who are unlike them, and none of those options are She went home and chatted to another mum as 15 felt to make much sense.’ they watched their children at the playground. Neither had organised a political event before Much of the credit for beginning the but they enlisted like-minded friends to process of involving these Scots must go to produce hundreds of posters, laminate and nail the Radical Independence Movement (RIC). them onto every road junction within a 10-mile Starting as a conference in November 2012 radius of the village hall, and replace them up attended by 800 people, it had grown by to four times to cope with rain and naysayers. the following year’s event to 1,200 and it On the night, the women organised a PA was from this point that it began to operate system, got badges, stickers and books, produced food and drink…and opened the as an actual part of the campaign, rather night with a fabulous, local all-women band. than simply as a forum for discussion. Around 250 people packed into Farr's tiny Essentially a united front, involving remote hall and the ensuing talk and discussion members of the existing left parties lasted almost four hours.17 (including the Scottish Greens) and the left- wing of the SNP, it helped initiate one of Even unionist opinion-makers in the the most important aspects of the overall London press felt obliged to report the campaign–the voter registration drives in packed public meetings, the debates in working-class communities. Two founder pubs and on street corners, the animation 6 of civic life.18 One comparison for the mood their everyday scope. What facilitates such in in Scotland as Referendum Day drew experiences is the focusing of energy and attention on a new collective project, the near might be with General Election night concentrated 'investment' of cognitive and on 2 May 1997. Kenyon Wright recalled the emotional resources in pursuing a collective atmosphere in Edinburgh after the New decision. … New conjunctures, incidents and Labour victory: discoveries are liable to alter the appeal or resonance of various 'frames' and 'ideologies'. The city seemed alive with new hope. The sun New possibilities and opportunities may shone: birds sang in the flowering cherry trees disclose themselves, along with new measures in the gardens; above all every face seemed to of salience of commitments and social relations. wear a smile that conveyed a mixture of relief, Former patterns of obligation, loyalty and surprise and joy. Strangers stopped to shake my antagonism, may be recast. Previous cognitive, hand, or give an ecstatic hug. Everything had ethical and pragmatic assessments may be re- changed. The long night was over. Scotland’s apprehended. The sequence of new incidents, day had dawned at last.19 actions and experiences provides actors with new materials against which to measure That blissful dawn faded quickly enough, as existing understandings, with which to confirm or refute arguments, and to assess competing it became clear that intended arguments. Collective action, in its short-term to maintain the neoliberal regime by other and long-term results, provides 'live' materials means, but my point here is a different one. for altering the social and cultural context of The atmosphere of joy and recognition on 2 meanings, for remodelling the comprehension May 1997 is, from Wright’s description, of structures and totalities. What was formerly desirable may now seem irrelevant or clearly recognisable as same one which insufficient, what was previously impossible permeated Yes gatherings large and small now becomes an issue to be actively pursued.20 in the final months of the campaign–but with this difference: where participation in The closest comparisons with the Yes the 1997 General Election was essentially campaign are therefore not to be found in passive, confined to the act of voting and Scottish history, but in contemporary then of celebrating the scale of the Tory Europe, as is suggested in this assessment defeat, the Yes campaign was an active by George Kerevan: process, marking the ballot paper merely the final moment in months of public The Scottish Labour leadership, abetted by the metropolitan media, wrongly tarred proponents meetings, canvassing, rallies and on-line of independence as tartan romantics–or even discussion. This is why Yes Scotland needs anti-English bigots. The reality is that, by the to be seen as a social movement, not end, the Yes campaign had morphed into the merely another political campaign. In Colin beginnings of a genuine populist, anti-austerity Barker’s discussion of ‘collective movement like the ‘Indignant Citizens’ in Greece or the May 15 Movement in Spain. Put another effervescence’ (a term borrowed from way, it was class politics–not old-style Emile Durkheim) he describes patterns of nationalism–that fired the Yes campaign.21 behavioural change which many participants in the Yes campaign will But now we must leave these scenes of recognise from their own experience: mass political radicalisation – at least for the moment – and turn to the Dark Side. Participants in collective action regularly report that they 'discover' aspects of their selves, and their capacities, which they had not previously and the Ruling Class tested: speaking publicly, organizing, taking Offensive initiatives which, before the event, they would not have imagined themselves doing. As a Occasionally, writers have to resort to what result, they felt 'more alive'. These experiences, might be called historically-informed which might be termed 'empowerment', result speculation about the collective attitude of from the necessity, imposed by the exigencies of political actors. For the British ruling class collective action, of taking responsibility for new demands of speech and action which were, in the referendum crisis, however, no in their former pattern of existence, outside speculation is necessary since its 7 representatives have been admirably clear These are not simply the twilight ravings of about their reasons for opposing Scottish a Labour buffoon. The SNP is committed independence. It is obviously not because removing nuclear weapons from Scotland secession would pose an immediate threat and there are virtually no other deep water to the existence of capitalism. Indeed, bases on the UK coastline where the withdrawal from the EU following an ‘in- submarines which carry them can be out’ referendum of the sort proposed by docked. To construct an alternative would UKIP and supported by the Conservative involve massive expenditure – the Ministry right would actually involve far greater of Defence calculated the potential cost of problems for British business. The real relocating Trident from the Clyde to the concerns are geopolitical, and were well south of England, at £35 billion–and will expressed, 6 months before the provoke resistance from the populations referendum, by a Labour figure: George now expected to live with next to them. The Robertson. Foreign and Commonwealth Office regularly expressed fears that the UK might Robertson has a career path characteristic be removed as one of the five permanent of certain kind of reformist politician. A members of the UN Security Council–with Scottish MP from 1978, opposition defence the power of veto which this position spokesperson from 1992, Minister for confers–as the result of an Argentinean Defence in the Labour Government from conspiracy backed by other Latin American 1997 and Secretary General of NATO from states and India, which would be well- 1999, he was finally rewarded for his placed to inherit the position of its former services to Western imperialism with a colonial master.23 Serious organs of ruling seat in the in 2004: arise, class opinion made similar judgements in Baron Robertson of Port Ellen. In a the final weeks of the campaign. ‘Unionists hysterical speech to the Brookings elsewhere in the UK should admit more Institution in Washington on 7 April, than a modicum of self-interest’, wrote Robertson asked who would cheer in the Phillip Stephens in the Financial Times: event of a Yes vote: ‘The loss of Scotland would diminish Britain in almost every dimension one can Not the nearly half of the Scottish population think of.’24 The Economist agreed: who might oppose separation. Not the English who would find themselves in a country that is minus a third of its landmass, without 10 The rump of Britain would be diminished in percent of its GNP, and losing five million of its every international forum: why should anyone heed a country whose own people shun it? Since population. And this would be for them a much diminished country whose global position Britain broadly stands for free trade and the would be open to question. maintenance of international order, this would be bad for the world.25 Leave aside the implication that Scotland In other words, Scottish secession would at belongs to England; the key words here are the very least make it more difficult Britain ‘global position’: to play its current role in ‘the international The loudest cheers for the breakup of Britain order’, if only by reducing its practical would come from our adversaries and from our importance for the USA. enemies. For the second military power in the West to shatter this year would be cataclysmic Finally, in this connection, the British in geopolitical terms. ruling class were also aware that an immediate consequence of a vote for The only beneficiaries, Robertson intoned, Scottish independence would be to place a would be ‘the forces of darkness’, by which question mark over the existential viability he appeared to include the national of Northern Ireland, since the Union has movements in Catalonia, the Basque always been with Britain, not England, as country and Flanders.22 8

Ulster Unionists of all varieties were least some of the leadership is now largely perfectly well aware. This is not because rhetorical. Scottish independence would Sinn Fein and the SDLP are particularly destabilise the situation in ways that no- enthusiastic for Scottish independence: one could foresee, thus threatening the ‘While the unionist parties have repeatedly Good Friday settlement. Nevertheless, it is called for an independent Scotland to be difficult to see how they could avoid calling rejected, the nationalist parties have for a referendum on unification, however remained quiet despite their backing for unwillingly, without losing significant independence’, noted the Belfast Telegraph: levels of support, even though it would not ‘Both Sinn Fein and the SDLP have over the be in conditions or to a timetable of their last two years taken an effective vow of choosing. And so potentially the rump of silence on the issue–even though they the British state could be reduced still continue to campaign for a united Ireland.’ further. The article then quotes Sinn Fein's Fermanagh and South Tyrone MLA Phil These geopolitical considerations did not, Flanagan expressing general support for of course, feature strongly in the Scottish self-determination, before adding: arguments of Better Together. As the Scottish historian Colin Kid correctly But it is not for us to lecture the people of noted: ‘The welfare state apart, Britishness Scotland on how they should vote. It is not for inspires acquiescence rather than vocal anyone to cross the Irish Sea and tell the people of Scotland what their own decision should be; commitment among “No” supporters. we are all the better if we leave this in their Anxiety predominates.’ Kidd shared these hands.26 anxieties: ‘[Salmond] is taking major risks– on EU membership, cross-border pensions These comments express more than schemes, the currency, and an economy political discretion, as James Maxwell geared for centuries to an integrated points out: British market.’28 It was these issues on which the No campaign focussed, Darling Despite [Sinn Fein] being the largest nationalist even letting slip that the name which most party at the Stormont Assembly for nearly a decade and steadily increasing its share of the aptly summarised the objectives of Better vote at Irish parliamentary elections, support Together was ‘Project Fear’, the essence of for a 32-county Ireland remains remarkably which was to terrorise the population with low. The most recent Northern Ireland Life and threats to jobs, pensions and services.29 Times Survey, an authoritative account of political attitudes in the north, shows that 73 per cent of the Ulster electorate as a whole On 13 February 2014 Conservative wants to remain part of the UK, with 52 per cent Chancellor George Osborne came to of Catholic voters content to maintain the union Edinburgh to announce that all three with Britain. (The figure for Protestants is 96 Unionist parties agreed Scotland would not per cent.) A number of factors have eroded be allowed to join a currency union with republican sentiment in recent years: economic crisis and austerity in the south, the growing Rest of the UK (RUK) in the event of a Yes indifference of the Dublin political class to the vote. Salmond was widely mocked for his all-Ireland project, the emergence of a northern unwillingness, in the first of his televised Catholic middle-class, much of which is debates with Darling on 5 August, to say employed in a public sector widely assumed to 27 what Plan B for the currency would involve be dependent on British state subsidies. if RUK refused to agree to a currency union. Sinn Fein have established themselves in a In fact, as he pointed out subsequently, governing-party niche from which – quite there were another three options–using the like the SNP in this respect – they pursue a pound as a floating currency, adopting the social neoliberal agenda (which has also Euro or establishing a Scottish currency– entrenched religious-‘ethnic’ divisions) in but his core position was that refusal which the former left republicanism of at would be irrational and self-defeating for 9

RUK. That may well have been the case, left in and labour movement in Scotland, although faced with a challenge from the decimated by decades of right by UKIP it is unwise to rely on the deindustrialisation and defeats, are capitalist rationality of the Tories, currently too weak to shape a new Scottish otherwise we would not now be looking at state’, wrote Seamus Milne: ‘Instead the a referendum on EU membership and SNP and its business friends would be departure from the European Court of likely to do that–a neoliberal world where Human Rights; but from the perspective of small states are at the mercy of corporate the socialist left, the problem with power without an exceptionally Salmond’s position was precisely that RUK determined political leadership.’31 Ben would have agreed to a currency union. A Jackson was similarly depressed: nominally independent Scotland would have remained under the tutelage of the If left-nationalists to something more radical than a social-democratic Labour Bank of England, which would have government, then they are of course correct to underwritten Scottish banks and financial suppose that no such agenda will be institutions, and the Treasury, which would forthcoming from any British government in the have underwritten Scotland’s historical foreseeable future. But they are wrong to if they debt and issued any new debt. As their think that such an agenda will emerge in an price, the Bank of England-Treasury nexus independent Scotland. There is insufficient popular support in Scotland for such radical would have require a fiscal compact setting policies, just as there is insufficient popular a limit on the size of Scotland’s structural support for it elsewhere in the United deficit relative to a fixed percentage of GDP. Kingdom.32 If either the structural deficit or the ratio of debt to GDP were above that fixed The nature of the Yes campaign itself percentage at the point when the currency refutes these claims. What was perhaps union was established, then the Scottish most dispiriting about the arguments for Government would be required to No was the utter feeling of helplessness implement a regime of cuts to reduce them and despair which they engendered. As we to the agreed levels: failure to do so would have seen, the movement for Yes was trigger the end of the end of the currency occasionally referred to as an example of union. This was a recipe for permanent anti-politics, but this is actually more true subjection to the neoliberal regime. of the No side, in the sense that it did not argue on political grounds at all, but simply The arguments of No supporters therefore pretended that inescapable economic facts oscillated between two claims. One meant that the choice to secede was involved the SNP deliberately imposing irrational and self-destructive. ‘Do you neoliberal policies as a matter of choice, the honestly think that a UK company is going key evidence for this being the Salmond’s to situate in a more socialist Scotland when aim of cutting corporation tax by 3%. This the Tory government had created the was indeed an odious policy and one perfect low tax, low regulation, low wage 33 opposed by Yes campaigners outside the capitalist environment?’ Thus George SNP, but it was scarcely convincing coming Galloway, the Respect MP, on his speaking from supporters of a Labour Party that had tour against independence; but consider actually cut corporation tax by 5%: the the utterly defeatist implications of his Scottish Labour manifesto in 2001 even statement: if financial markets and boasted that the New Labour government capitalist investment strategies would had ‘lowered corporation tax rates to their prevent an independent Scotland moving ever lowest level’.30 The other was that the leftwards, they would also do the same to SNP might wish to deliver reforms, but that the UK. Socialism in a single country, the would be helpless in the face of UK no less than Scotland, is certainly international capital. ‘The reality is that the impossible, but these arguments–if taken 10 seriously rather than as a stick with which Aberdeen and Shetland; then a stream of to beat the Yes campaign–would mean banks and financial institutions including there was no point in even beginning to the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Lloyds initiate radical change of any sort. This is to Banking Group, Standard Life and Tesco capitulate to bourgeois political economy; Bank announced contingency plans for the there is no understanding of how a Yes departure of their headquarters from vote, achieved on the basis of a mass left- Edinburgh to London; finally Asda, John wing insurgency would immediately Lewis, and Marks and Spencer and change the balance of forces and open up a threatened the price rises that would new field of possibilities. follow. Many of these companies wrote to individual staff members highlighting the The moment of crisis threat to their continued employment in the event of independence–a none-too- Complacent and assured of victory for the subtle hint about how they were expected majority of the campaign, the British ruling to behave in the polling booth and a class were seized by sudden panic as it genuine example of intimidation, although entered the penultimate week. A YouGov it was of course not reported in that poll published in the Sunday Times on 7 context. The example of the RBS is September put Yes in the lead for the first particularly interesting in relation to the time with 51%. The reaction was well unity of state and capital in this operation. captured by a headline in the Financial On the evening of Wednesday, while the Times: ‘Ruling elite aghast as union RBS Board were discussing whether to wobbles’.34 This is sometimes treated as a announce to its shareholders a plan to ‘rogue’ poll, but it was not quite as isolated move its registered office to London, as is sometimes represented. Two days officials at the Treasury already were later the Guardian reported: ‘The [new] emailing the BBC about decision, forty-five poll by TNS found that support for minutes before it had actually been made, independence has jumped by six points in although the BBC reported it immediately the last month, putting the yes vote at 38% as established fact.37 and the no vote at 39%, wiping out a 12- point lead for the pro-UK campaign led by 35 These manoeuvres were in most respects former chancellor Alistair Darling’. simply an amplification of existing According to Ashcroft’s data, only 48% of components of Project Fear, but now Yes voters had made their minds up before voiced by representatives of Capital the final month of campaigning and it is at themselves. The panic of 6 September least conceivable that this was reflected in however also resulted in a new theme YouGov’s findings. being introduced into the rhetoric of Better Together. The possibility of a Yes victory What happened next was instructive about arose because of shifts in attitude among how the British ruling class operates. two groups: former non-voters who were Downing Street held a reception for registering in order to vote Yes, and Labour business leaders: ‘“He left us in no doubt voters who were disregarding their we should speak out”, said one chief instructions to vote No. Whether these executive who attended.’ Campaign leaders shifts would have been enough to actually from the Unionist parties made calls: deliver victory it is impossible to say; it ‘“Those phone calls can be very may have been that the distance which the persuasive”, said one figure familiar with campaign had to make up was simply too the operation.’36 And, by Thursday 11 great. Nevertheless, the British ruling class September, businesses were competing to genuinely believed that it was possible and warn of the dangers of Scottish the burden of responsibility which weighed independence. First the oil companies Shell on the Scottish Labour Party to save the and BP claimed that jobs were at risk in 11

Union was therefore immense. The theme summon up the blood of the waverers, but with which it sought to do so was not he had other admirers. Tory intellectual exactly Hope–which is always a dangerous Allan Massie called Brown’s speech ‘the emotion to arouse if your intention is rhetorical highpoint of the debate. It gave ultimately to bury it beneath new waves of renewed heart to Unionists of all parties’. austerity–but Vaguely Uplifting if Tory MSP Murdo Fraser spoke of how there Unspecific Sentiments about Our Shared had been ‘an urgent need for the No Past, Present and Future. One figure was campaign to stop the this leakage of Labour absolutely central to this endeavour: support and who better to address this but . Gordon Brown’, whose ‘late intervention and his powerful case for keeping the UK Immediately prior to the referendum, John together’ was, according to Fraser, Curtice of Strathclyde University told The ‘undoubtedly very significant in meaning Economist: ‘The truth is that David Labour supporters fell behind the No Cameron is reliant on Gordon Brown to vote’.41 save his skin.’38 He certainly did his best. During a speech at a Labour rally in Anyone inclined to give Brown the benefit on the eve of the poll Brown of the doubt should contrast his marked strutted and fretted his hour upon the reluctance to show solidarity with any stage, impressing metropolitan journalists actual workers in struggle with his – apparently unfamiliar with the rhetorical eagerness to please the City of London. In techniques deployed by any half-way his last Mansion House speech prior to competent speaker at a trade union becoming Prime Minister, in June 2007, conference or left-wing meeting – with his Brown made his tenth and final obeisance ‘passion’: ‘And what we’ve built together to the assembled Masters of the Universe with solidarity and sharing, let no narrow (London Branch): nationalism split asunder.’ are always ‘narrow’, unless the subject is Brown congratulated himself for presiding over a light-touch system of regulation and asked British nationalism, which now apparently them to applaud him for ‘resisting pressure’ for encompasses the dreams and wishes of the a crackdown. Moving to his peroration, he entire global population, since at one point smothered them with more unction. ‘Britain Brown claimed that, ‘through our needs more of vigour, ingenuity and inspiration membership of the UK’ ‘we’ would be able that you already demonstrate’. He extolled the City for inventing ‘the most modern to fight for ‘our dream…our demand’: ‘A instruments of finance’–the very instruments world not of a separate state, but a world of that would soon afterwards bring the entire 39 social justice people can believe in.’ As Western banking system to the edge of George Monbiot justly remarked: destruction.42

There’s another New Labour weasel word to Brown often invokes his father, a Church of add to its lexicon (other examples include Scotland minister. At St Bryce’s Kirk in reform, which now means privatisation; and Kirkcaldy, where John Ebenezer Brown partnership, which means selling out to big business). Once solidarity meant used to preach, there is now a food bank: making common cause with the exploited, the welcome to the Britain we have built 43 underpaid, the excluded. Now, to these cyborgs together with solidarity and sharing. in suits, it means keeping faith with the banks, the corporate press, cuts, a tollbooth economy 40 Brown’s most important intervention in and market fundamentalism. relation to the outcome was actually made on 8 September when he–a backbench The overblown and barely coherent Opposition MP–announced a fast-track verbiage with which Brown treated his timetable for further devolution, beginning audience was mainly for internal Labour on 19 September, in the event of a No vote. consumption, to stiffen the sinews and In doing this he was merely consolidating 12 the desperate promises made by all three reintroduction of devo max as the actual of the Unionist party leaders after the alternative to independence was enough to YouGov poll showing Yes in the lead. And, sway a sufficient number of voters into sure enough, on 16 September, Cameron, retreating from their recent conversion. Clegg and Miliband all appeared on the The very success of the Yes campaign had front of the Labour’s loyal Scottish tabloid, pushed the political leadership of the the Daily Record, their signatures adorning British state into side-lining Better a mock-vellum parchment headed ‘The Together and offering their only remaining Vow’, confirming that the Scottish inducement: constitutional change short of Parliament would indeed be granted independence. It is, however, almost further powers if only the Scots would certain that the Unionist parties would consent to stay within the Union. It is have offered this anyway. worth pausing for a moment to consider the meaning of this episode. Cameron, On 11 September sixty English and Welsh remember, had been so anxious to exclude Labour MPs arrived at Glasgow Central a third option of further devolution from Station on the so-called ‘Love Train’ or the ballot paper that he gave Salmond ‘Save the Union Express’. They were met, everything else he demanded in order to not only by their Scottish colleagues, but by ensure this outcome. Now, facing the Yes supporter Matt Lygate, who unthinkable, he and the other Unionists accompanied them along Buchanan Street had effectively changed the nature of the on a rickshaw with a sound system playing question within a fortnight of the ballot ‘The Imperial March’ from Star Wars and taking place. From being a choice between declaiming through a loudhailer: ‘Our the status quo and independence it had imperial masters have arrived!’ and ‘People effectively become a choice between devo of Glasgow! Welcome your imperial max and independence, even though tens masters!’ One notably humourless of thousands had already used their postal response to this comedic highpoint of the vote, unaware that the terms of the campaign complained: ‘The implication is referendum had shifted. that Scotland, like Kenya or India, is just another colony, at last seeking its rightful On the basis of Ashcroft’s polling, the independence.’45 In fact, most Yes majority of No voters (72%) had already supporters are perfectly aware that decided on their position before the final Scotland is not a colonised or oppressed month of campaigning and had done so on nation. On the contrary, one of the main the basis of concerns about the pound socialist reasons for independence is (57%), pensions (37%), the NHS (36%) precisely because, as part of the UK, and defence and security (29%).44 What the Scotland is itself an oppressor and one, in Vow seems to have done was shift the No relation to its size and population, with a vote at the margins of the undecided and disproportionately important role in both give some existing No voters, particularly the British Empire and in the in the Labour Party, a justification for contemporary nuclear strategy of US voting No that was not simply based on imperialism.46 The point was more about fear. I noted earlier that, when the Labour’s attitude towards its supporters; referendum was first announced, the the assumption that they could simply be majority position was for devo max. What summoned to vote in obedience with the happened in the course of the campaign leadership’s wishes, than with Scotland’s was that, having no way of expressing their position in the world order. But there is a position in the ballot, voters in the devo sense in which to describe Labour as max camp polarised, with the majority ‘imperial masters’ is wrong, because it is of opting for independence as being closer to course not the master but the ever-eager their desired outcome. The late servant of Empire. What better way for 13

Labour to celebrate the centenary of the different effect. ‘Last Monday…I saw people Social Democracy’s great betrayal of queuing up–and it was not a short queue, August 1914, than with another affirmation [it was] a long queue–in to register that its primary loyalty lies, not with the to vote, almost reminiscent of the scenes in working class, but with maintaining the South Africa when some of a certain age territorial integrity of the British state? remember 20 years or so ago people queued to vote in the first free elections.’48 Participation and outcome Salmond was not, of course, comparing the Scots with the victims of Apartheid. This By the time the electoral roll closed on 2 most astute of contemporary bourgeois September 2014, 97% (4,283,392) of the politicians can legitimately be accused Scottish population had registered to vote- many things, but not of being an imbecile; 330,000 for the first time, including he was simply drawing attention to the 109,000 of the 16- and 17-year-olds currently quite uncharacteristic popular specially enfranchised for the occasion. enthusiasm being displayed for the This was the highest level of voter political process. Whatever else might be registration in Scottish or British history said about the outcome of the referendum, since the introduction of universal suffrage, no-one could claim that it was determined with 118,000 people registering in August by a minority in conditions of generalised alone. By the time the ballot closed at 10.00 apathy. pm on 18 September, 84.6% (3,619,915) had actually voted, compared with 63.8% Yet the nature of the outcome cannot be in the 2010 British General Election and evaded. For, after these extraordinary 50.4% in the 2011 Scottish Parliamentary levels of voter registration and only election. The most recent General Election marginally less impressive levels of voter with comparable levels of Scottish voter turnout, the Scots ultimately opted against participation to 2014 was 1950, the first to establishing their own state by 55.3% follow the Second World War and the (2,001,926) to 44.7% (1,617,989). Only 4 establishment of the Welfare State, when regions out of 32 voted Yes although, as we 83.9% of those registered voted. But shall see, their location and composition is turnout in 2014 was also significantly up highly significant. Other than the number from the 60.4% who voted in the 1997 of votes for each side, and their breakdown referendum what led to the establishment to regional and constituency levels, what of the Scottish Parliament. Shortly after else do we know about the result? Here a that event, Eric Hobsbawm said: ‘We would certain amount of impressionism is have thought it impossible, twenty years unavoidable. Two opinion polls were ago, that only 60 per cent of the citizens carried out during and immediately after would vote in the first election for a the referendum: one was by the polling Scottish parliament in three hundred years, organisation of Conservative peer Michael an election supposed to realise the Ashcroft, the other by YouGov which historical ambition of the people of that accurately predicted the result.49 Beyond country.’ He went on the contrast the these, I have had to rely on a combination behaviour of the Scots unfavourably with of personal participant observation, that of black South Africans in 1994, before information from others involved in the drawing this general conclusion: ‘Elections campaign and media reports. In spite of the in the West are increasingly events difficulties, a number of tendencies are managed by minorities, which do not relatively clear. involve majorities, at the cost of the 47 integrity of the political process.’ In 2014, Age: over-45s were most likely to oppose Salmond could also draw on the South independence, particularly the over-65s, African comparison, but now to quite among who between two thirds and three

14 quarter voted No; young voters (16-24) Unionist press precisely because of their were almost evenly split and, while irrelevance. Ashcroft’s claim that 71% of the newly enfranchised 16 and 17-year olds voted Yes Close examination of ’s declared member list shows that the group has are unsustainable because of the smallness only a tiny handful of members who employ of his sample, it is nevertheless clear that significant numbers of Scots, and literally none they did not form the anti-independence with a substantial cross-border trade. In other bloc that initially appeared possible. The words, it could scarcely be less representative only age cohort with an unambiguous of the industries that provide the majority of Scotland’s private-sector jobs and which, majority for independence was 25-39-year according to the No campaign, are at risk from a olds, although (since the polls measure Yes vote. … The Yes side’s 200, not all of whom overlapping age-ranges) this may also be are declared members of BfS, include just three true of 40-54-year olds. identified as active directors of public limited companies. The vast majority are small Gender and ethnicity: between 3% and 9% businesspeople such as guesthouse and shopkeepers, or sole traders such as more women voted No than men, though consultants, designers and accountants.52 that may partly reflect female predominance in the older age groups and The contrast between them and the the extent of female opposition to businesses supporting No–including Keith independence in any case reduced over the Cochrane of Weir Group, James Lithgow of course of the campaign. Based on pre- Lithgow’s or Ian Wood of Wood Group– referendum polling, as many as two thirds could not be more stark.53 of Scots of Asian origin may have voted Yes–a fact of some significance in Glasgow The middle classes were also largely united where this group has long been regarded in voting No, with their bohemian and by Labour as voting fodder for the Sarwar cultural wings the main source of dissent. dynasty.50 The working class–still the overwhelming majority of the Scottish population–was, Class: Data compiled by John Mellon in June however, deeply divided: support for Yes 2014 shows the level of support for came most strongly from the poorest and independence to be highest among most precarious communities, often in the supervisors, small business owners and peripheral housing schemes–indeed, it was routine workers (e.g. assembly line from this group that most of the new voters workers, waiters and cleaners), with emerged; support for No tended to be intermediate workers (e.g. secretaries and based among more securely employed and computer operators) and senior managers organised sections of the class, as is showing the lowest support for suggested by personal testimony from one 51 independence. As this suggests, the Yes campaigner in Edinburgh on the day of Scottish bourgeoisie was overwhelmingly the referendum: against independence. With a handful of exceptions, notably Brian Souter of I visited 2 areas to get the Yes vote out. The first Stagecoach and Jim McColl of Clyde one was Dryden Gardens [in ] which was Blowers Capital, large-scale capital was made up of mainly well-paid workers and pensioners living in terraced houses. On the committed to the Union: Yes-supporting knocker half of them had changed their vote [to businesses tended to be small- or medium- No] or were not prepared to share their sized concerns on the borderline with the intentions with me. I remember being petty bourgeoisie proper, relying on local thoroughly depressed by the experience. markets and suppliers. Yes-supporting Following this, I walked round the corner to some Housing Association flats that were more employers, mostly grouped in Business for blue-collar with a large number of migrant Scotland [BfS], were criticised in the families. Every Yes voter I spoke to had held firm and had already voted or were waiting on

15

family to go and vote together. It was very result was therefore a great achievement 54 uplifting. for the Yes campaign, but it is also important, if only for future reference, to It is important to keep in mind, however, record the greatest omission from its that these were tendencies, not an absolute strategy. division; but Edinburgh, where the vote was 61.10% (194,638) for No, 38.90% If the strengths of the Yes campaign were (123927) and for Yes, was illustrative of breadth and diversity, one key weakness these class trends. Of all major cities in the was a complete absence of focus on skilled UK, the Scottish capital has both the lowest and organised workers at their actual percentage of total working age residents workplaces, although this is a common claiming Jobseeker's Allowance and, problem among European social outside of London, the highest average movements which emerged since 2011. Of gross annual earnings per resident. It has the trade unions, only ASLEF, the CWU, both a disproportionately large middle Community, the remnants of the NUM and class and a working class employed in the USDAW openly supported a No vote. sectors supposedly threatened by Similarly, only the Scottish areas of the independence, including higher education RMT and the Prison Officer’s Association, (the University of Edinburgh is the city’s and the habitually rebellious Edinburgh, third biggest employer) and finance (RBS, Stirling, Fife and Falkirk branch of the CWU Lloyds and Standard Life are respectively (the second-biggest in Scotland) supported the fourth, fifth and sixth biggest a Yes vote. Some, notably the PCS, followed employers). the lead of the Scottish TUC and tried to present both sides of the argument for One striking feature of the working-class their members to decide. It was clear, Yes vote was that it was concentrated in however, that even when unions could not what were formerly the great heartlands of formally endorse a No vote, the attitude of Labour support. In Dundee and Glasgow many full-time officials and lower levels of the Yes vote was respectively 57.35% the bureaucracy were hostile to Yes. The (53,629) and 53.49% (194,779), with case of Unite is particularly interesting. similar results recorded in North Support for No was impossible, if only Lanarkshire and ; because more of the union’s members Inverclyde came within 87 votes of a Yes voted for the SNP than Labour in the majority. These five regions alone Scottish Parliamentary elections in 2011 accounted for over a quarter of the Yes (not in itself necessarily a vote for votes. Partly because of these shifts in the independence, of course); but in local Labour heartlands, the final result for the branches the picture was different. It was Yes side was better than had seemed only to be expected that BAE Systems possible when the campaign began in 2012. Director Ian King would write to workers Of the 51 polls conducted between 1986 at the shipyard warning of the and 2012, 39 showed support between 30 dangers posed by independence to their and 39%, only 3 showed it above 40%, jobs and pensions; but in aerospace and while 9 showed it below 30%, but crucially, shipbuilding more widely, senior Unite the majority of the latter were conducted representatives actively courted Tory after the establishment of the Scottish ministers and Labour No MPs for meetings Parliament in 1999 – in other words, the to ‘defend the defence industry’. In some lowest polling was chronologically nearest workplaces CEO's and managers organised to the decision to hold the referendum.55 As 'employee briefings', which were in effect recently as May 2013 two pollsters mass meetings to agitate for a No vote in associated with Ipsos Mori claimed that, which the union organisation was with two thirds of voters intending to vote effectively on the same side as the No, the outcome was not in doubt.56 The 16 employer. It is not possible to assess how he had averted what one Telegraph widespread or successful these columnist described as ‘the biggest 'partnerships' of employer and union constitutional crisis in the nation’s history’, actually were, but it certainly added to the a crisis which would have engulfed, not overall momentum of Project Fear. Against merely the Coalition Government, but the this the Yes campaign had no answer. entire British political system.58 Nor was Unorganised or precarious workers could the relief felt only in the UK itself. Ulster be reached in their communities; but Loyalists relaxed. In Washington, Obama where workers were faced with an alliance and Clinton could rest easy in the of employers and unions arguing for No, as knowledge that their nuclear arsenal would was the case in defence-related industries, remain safely ensconced on the Clyde, than a response was required to challenge twenty-five miles from one of the largest these position on the shop floor, even if this population centres in Western Europe. had to be mounted from outside. The Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy and failure to reach, let alone convince, the Chinese Premier Li Keqiang no longer organised sections of the working class at worried that nationalist movements in least contributed towards the victory of the Catalonia and Xinjiang province would be No camp. able to draw sustenance from the Scottish example. Defeat in victory, victory in defeat Despite these manifestations of international ruling class satisfaction with I quoted earlier the concerns of Scottish the result, some No supporters continued historian Colin Kidd to the prospect of a to delude themselves as to the progressive Yes vote. It is only fair, therefore, to quote nature of the outcome. Stephen Low, a his response to its removal: Labour member of the Red Paper Collective, noted: ‘Scotland’s membership The relief was visceral… coming to at 4.00am I experienced a calm I hadn’t felt for months. I of the UK has been transformed from being sensed that the nationalists (sic) had lost. Total the work of a “parcel o’ rogues” in the silence: the sound of the quiet Unionist majority eighteenth century to being the freely celebrating.57 expressed view of significant majority of Scotland’s people in the twenty first.’59 But His relief was widely shared, and only by what exactly have the Scots endorsed? Not this silent majority. No sooner was the some notion of Britishness dating back to result beyond dispute than markets began the dawn of the eighteenth century, but a to rally: the value of stocks in Scottish very specific contemporary one. For one financial companies, which had been in consequence of the No victory has been to freefall during the final stages of the undercut the admittedly self-satisfied claim campaign, soared by £2 billion with RBS that Scotland as a nation had never and Lloyds at the forefront. The FTSE 100 accepted ‘Thatcherism’, as index rose 18.6 points to 6837.9. Even still tends to be described here. In fact, that Sterling reached a two-year high against is exactly what we have done. In future, the Euro and a two-week high against the anyone attempting to claim that we did not Dollar, before falling back to more realistic vote for privatisation or austerity will levels. According to Cameron the monarch simply be told by our rulers that we had purred with delight on being told the our chance to vote for an alternative and result. The Prime Minister himself knew refused to do so, thereby implicitly that he would not now go down in history accepting the neoliberal order, to which all as the modern Lord North, responsible for three Unionist parties are deeply ‘losing’ Scotland as his predecessor has committed. If the Scots will accept ‘lost’ America, but more importantly that anything, so why should the Coalition or 17 any future Tory government hold back? dutiful No voters is matched only by his During the Conservative Annual hatred and rage at the campaign which Conference early in October George destabilised what he evidently regards as Osborne announced policies which the natural order in Scotland: ‘high minded included a 2-year benefits freeze and twaddle’–this is what Labour figures denying housing benefit to 18-21 year olds: actually think about democracy, if it the fact that these will affect around a involves anything other than voting for million Scottish families gives some their party every 5 years. There had been a indication of the levels of poverty which Labour for Independence group–a heroic already exist and which will now be made endeavour under the circumstances, which even worse.60 But perhaps the first action was widely derided by the leadership and of the UK parliament after the referendum received relatively little publicity. Allan was the most symbolic of the geopolitical Grogan, one of the co-convenors, resigned imperatives which lay behind the No from the party after the referendum and campaign. After allowing a decent interval made this, I think accurate, assessment: for the Labour Party Annual Conference to conclude without embarrassment, MPs The irony is that with a ‘yes’ vote we would have seen a return to a real Labour Party which voted by 524 to 43 to resume bombing most people would have voted for in Scotland. Iraq. Britain, the USA and murderous The party, particularly in this nation [i.e. fundamentalist Saudi Arabian regime: Scotland] is in deep decline, and I fear it may be together. permanent.63

As the counts were declared Labour We need not accept the myth of Labour’s activists had exulted alongside their Golden Past to recognise that supposedly hated Conservative enemies. independence would potentially have The Observer’s Scottish columnist Kevin allowed the party to formulate a politics McKenna quoted a conversation with his unimpeded by the rightward stampede of daughter Clare, who had become a Yes the London leadership – although whether activist during the campaign: ‘So many on they would have accepted the opportunity the side of the rich and powerful must have is of course another question. been cheering themselves hoarse about the no vote and there were Labour people, our The cheering and dancing among very own, cheering and dancing with Conservative and Labour activists did not them.’61 Labour’s attack-dogs were now last for long. Will Hutton initially sighed quite uninhibited in expressing their with relief that the threatened ethnic contempt for the whole process. ‘The quiet holocaust had been avoided: ‘Millions of people have spoken and no amount of English – and two million Scots – find Saltire-waving can spin that story any ourselves delighted that the noxious, other way’, wrote former Labour MP and destructive division of our island has not arch-Unionist Brian Wilson: ‘What happens happened.’ But there is a shadow clouding next is important but also distinctly their delight – unthinkably, the Tories are using the constitutional issue for party secondary to the result we already know.’ 64 Throughout the campaign No supporters advantage! At 7.00 am on 19 September had to intone through gritted teeth and Cameron had given a brief speech outside frozen smiles how marvellous the carnival Downing Street in which he said, amongst of democracy was, how excellent for the other things, that further powers for country, whatever the result. But now the Scotland would be devolved and a suitably rictus grin could be removed: ‘We are distinguished crossbench peer–Lord Smith awash with high-minded twaddle about of Kelvin–would be appointed to set up a what a civilised exercise in democracy it Commission to investigate the options in was.’62 Wilson’s approval of the quiet, due course. However, he also intimated 18 that the issue would be tied to that of what Save the Queen’, waving Union Jacks, has come to be called English Votes for burning Saltires, throwing Nazi salutes and English Laws (EVEL). In plain language, the howling homophobic, racist and sectarian Tories were now going to use the situation abuse: the poisonous pus seeping from the to force a final solution to the West Lothian wounded, fever-ridden body of the Question by excluding Scottish MPs – the threatened state; the monstrous Id of overwhelming majority of whom are British nationalism awaked by the menace Labour – from voting on so-called ‘English’ of Scottish self-determination. issues. As Murray Pittock wrote of EVEL, long before the campaign began: What happened the following day was an ‘Enthusiasm for it is evidence that extraordinary moment of grace. In devolution is still seen in England not as response to the violence of Friday night, fundamental change to the government of Yes-supporting father and son Andrew and the UK, but as a sop to the Scots, and that Darren Carnegie of the food share project, any further developments must punish Glasgow’s Needy, began to make speeches Scotland not reform England.’65 calling for unity, peace and reconciliation. Over the next two days the Square began to New dawn fades? fill with boxes and bags of food, over 2,000 in the end from as far afield as Aberdeen, Early in the evening of 19 September I took requiring eight vans and 11 cars to part in the first of many discussions about transport them. But was this display of the future of the Scottish left following the human solidarity with the poverty stricken referendum. I had to catch an early train and state-sanctioned (immediately home and, after leaving comrades in a café denounced by disgraced Falkirk Labour MP on Ingram Street in Glasgow’s Merchant Eric Joyce as ‘poverty porn’) also an elegiac City, I wandered into George Square, which farewell to the activism unleashed by in the weeks prior to the vote had been the campaign? Would the inhabitants of site of daily mass gatherings of Yes housing schemes such as Northfield in supporters – not to listen to formal Aberdeen, Fintry in Dundee, Craigmillar in speeches or participate in rallies, but to Edinburgh and in Glasgow, so meet, discuss, sing or simply to make recently awakened to political life, now be visible the size and diversity of the returned to the silence and oblivion which movement. It was as if people who were has been their usual lot before the canvassing, leafleting or flyposting – referendum campaign? activities which tend to be carried out in small groups – had to return to the Square In fact, precisely the opposite happened. to refresh themselves in a public space Membership of all the pro-independence over which they had regularly taking parties massively increased immediately collective control. It was in these days that after the referendum. By Saturday 27 Glasgow most resembled the Greek and September, that of the SSP had risen from Spanish cities during the Movement of the 1,000 to 3,600; of the Scottish Greens from Squares–to a far greater extent than in 1,720 to 6,235, and of the SNP from 25,642 relatively small-scale Scottish to 68,200. (Labour has not reported any manifestations of Occupy. rise in membership, although there have been unquantified reports of resignations.) But on this evening Yes supporters were This growth was replicated in the local RIC scattered and few and most overcome with meetings: in Edinburgh RIC, which had grief. Instead, the Square was filling with around 20 regular attendees shot up to 137 triumphant Orange Lodge members, sans in the week after the ballot. A series of regalia, alongside the outright fascists of demonstrations and rallies took place, Britain First and the Scottish Defence including one of around 3,000 people League singing ‘Rule, Britannia’ and ‘God 19 outside the Scottish Parliament. The First, it depends on assumptions about conference on both the middle classes and the working Saturday 4 October in Perth attracted class which involve massively 1,000. Over 7,000 people indicated on overestimating the size of former and Facebook that they were ‘attending’ the RIC equally massively underestimating that of conference on 22 November in Glasgow. the latter. Taken together, the three components of the middle classes – the For many Yes supporters, particularly petty bourgeoisie, the professions and the those who have only recently become technical-managerial New Middle Class active and have not yet become (NMC) – constitute at most 25% of the accustomed to the experience of defeat, Scottish population. Victory in any future their feelings of incomprehension, rage and referendum will only be secured by humiliation could lead them into the trap of winning over, not these classes, but those blaming those Scots who voted No and to working-class people who feared for their write them off as participants in any pensions and jobs – scarcely surprising further attempt to shape the future. ‘Hell given the conditions of crisis and austerity mend them’, as the Scottish phrase goes. under which most of us live – and those Understandable though these feelings are – others who believed that voting no was the I confess I shared them in the dark dawn of genuinely internationalist or solidaristic 19 September – they should be resisted. course. I believe the latter group were This is why the slogan of ‘we are the 45%’, mistaken, but Yes supporters have to raised in the immediate aftermath of the convince them of this, not denounce them: result, is deeply unhelpful: unlike ‘we are the achievement of independence, let alone the 99%,’ it enshrines minority status any concrete moves towards socialism, will rather than seeking to overcome it. There only be achieved alongside those working- are of course limits to how large a majority class people who voted No. can ever be, although not, apparently, for Gerry Hassan: Second, even in relation to the middle classes, the divisions are too great for A traditional left approach of embracing ‘the appeals to ‘one Scotland’ to cut much ice. ghetto’ or minority ‘rainbow coalition’ will not deliver a majority to Yes. This is something For some middle-class Scots, voting no was many on the left and left nationalists have not a perfectly rational decision based on an understood over the last three or four decades: accurate assessment of – and here I namely, that a political contest carried out by apologise for using such a terribly old- constant retreat and conducted defensively, fashioned term – their class interests. only results in defeat and demoralisation. The politics of Scotland’s future has to entail getting Others, notably those in certain categories into the heads and hearts of the middle classes of financial, managerial and administrative with all their varieties and different sub-parts, employment which previously had the from the well-heeled and affluent, to the doing greatest security are now become more comfortably, and struggling to keep up vulnerable, not least because of the extent appearances. … We are one Scotland. Not 45%, of corporate rationalisation and or 55%, or even 99%.66 downsizing that tended to follow the Leaving aside the totalitarian implications acquisitions and mergers boom of the of ‘the 100%’ or ‘one Scotland’–the idea 1990s and 2000s. The public sector jobs that there could ever be complete which their University educated children agreement among the Scots is not only would once have found waiting in impossible but, given the class divisions graduation are decreasingly available, within Scottish society, undesirable–there while Starbucks beckons. In terms of are two problems with this line of seeking alliances then, the independence argument. movement is unlikely to find them in those sections of the professions and the private 20 sector NMC which still have a material SNP fatally, because they will have to interest in preserving the capitalist system. implement them, and will undermine There are, however, far greater Labour by reducing its public sector client possibilities among the petty bourgeoisie base.’67 But even further tax powers bring and the public sector and liberal NMC. As their own problems. As The Observer’s always, the very indeterminacy and business editor notes: volatility of middle class attitudes means that their ultimate direction will depend on And what if devo max includes some control of corporation tax, national insurance, VAT, capital the availability of a persuasive alternative, gains tax or air passenger duty? Following the not vapid rhetoric which seeks to smooth Irish example, which Salmond was keen to do, over fundamental class differences. regional politicians with the right to vary tax will offer huge tax inducements to win a factory Against Devo Max or warehouse, creating a deep financial hole with the promise of taxpaying jobs in the future In the aftermath, Yes campaigners are to bail them out. It is the same on the global understandably also concerned to ensure stage, where countries outbid each other for the that the promises of greater devolution investment of multinationals. So whatever structure of regional government can be agreed emphasised in the final panic-stricken in the wake of the referendum in Scotland (and stages of the No campaign should be there is no reason to be optimistic that an honoured. It is understandable because of a agreement is possible), the freedom on offer is one that provides councils with little more than healthy distrust of these parties, given their 68 record of being (in Brown’s typically the tools to undercut their neighbours. pompous phrase) ‘promise breakers’ over What this seems to suggest is that only the the NHS, student fees and rail most complete form of devo max would renationalisation, to name but a few. constitute a viable solution. Devo max in However, although voters were originally this sense means, as Brown has said on asked to choose between the status quo numerous occasions, ‘as close to a federal and the potentially threatening alternative state as you can be in a country where one of independence, the status quo was never nation is 85 per cent of the population’.69 going to be an option. The panic of 6 The current enthusiasm for federalism September pressurised the Unionist parties stretches from the reformist left to the into bringing forward their existing plans; centre-right.70 However, it is no more it did not generate them and it would be a attractive a proposition. terrible mistake for the radical left to become fixated with the extent of new I wrote earlier that Cameron was not devolved powers or the length of time it opposed to devo max in this ‘federal’ sense, will take to introduce them. quite the contrary. If the essential integrity of the British state was maintained at the The parties made different if overlapping military-diplomatic level, then further offers about the new powers that were devolution, even to the point of outright coming to Holyrood over taxation. Labour, federalism, would be an acceptable the ability to set and control income tax by outcome for the majority of the British up to 15p in the pound; the Tories and Lib ruling class. On 11 July 2011 John Major Dems, to set and control all Scottish income gave an interesting speech to the Ditchley tax. The latter sounds attractive, but as Iain Foundation in which he asked these MacWhirter has pointed out, it is a trap. If rhetorical questions: the Scottish government is left in control over income tax, without corporation tax, Why not devolve all responsibilities except inheritance tax, VAT and the rest, there will foreign policy, defence and management of the still be a £4 billion deficit: ‘What the Tories economy? Why not let Scotland have wider tax- hope is this: the financial squeeze will force raising powers to pay for their policies and, in return, abolish the present block-grant radical service cuts that will damage the 21

settlement, reduce Scottish representation in want to close. Consequently, devo max is the Commons, and cut the legislative burden at not just an inadequate, but still desirable Westminster?71 alternative to independence: it is a means The Scottish Constitutional Commission, of preserving the British state and the which is not noted for being sympathetic to neoliberal order. As expected the SNP have Tory ideas, proposed a very similar now come out for the most complete form of devo max–one reason why socialists arrangement, called ‘Secure Autonomy’: ‘It 73 would deliver most of the proposed cannot simply call for an SNP vote. Far advantages of independence while from shifting attention from independence preserving the security, economic, military to devo max, the radical left should reject and diplomatic advantages commonly the latter completely except in so far as it attributed to the Union by its supporters.’72 involves the greater democratisation of There are serious dangers here, at least for Scottish society rather than ‘powers’ for any approach to independence which sees the Scottish sub-state. it as opening up possibilities for socialist change. What next? The main impetus for the Yes campaign The meaning of devolution has changed was not nationalism, but a desire for social over the decades. Previously, it was a way change expressed through the demand for of meeting popular aspirations without self-determination. The danger is that it threatening the economic order; now it will now become nationalist in orientation, also potentially useful to further particularly if the movement simply implanting social neoliberalism. The more becomes an electoral support-group for the politics is emptied of content, the more SNP. The thousands of mainly working- social neoliberal regimes need to prove class people who have joined that that democracy is still meaningful–not of organisation will change its inner course by extending the areas of social life dynamics, but they are unlikely to change under democratic control, but by its overall character as a mildly reformist multiplying the opportunities for citizen- party on the left wing of the social consumers to take part in elections for neoliberal spectrum. local councillors, mayors, Police and Crime Commissioners, members of the Welsh and The way in which campaigners flooded into London Assemblies, and the Scottish, the three main independence-supporting European and British Parliaments. Here, parties is indicative of a deeply-felt need to responsibility for implementing anti- find a form of political expression, which reforms is spread beyond governing none of them will be able to fully provide. parties and central state apparatuses to RIC can only do so in part. Existing on the elected bodies whose policy options are borderland between a campaign and a severely restricted both by statute and–as social movement, it faces the problem of in the case of local councils–reliance on the how to continue campaigning for the goals central state for most of their funding. In which it sought to achieve through the case of the devolved nations the independence when the prospect of assumption is that the people most likely to independence is no longer on the participate in local decision-making will be immediate agenda. Can it do so without members of the middle-class, who can be simply fragmenting into multiple adjuncts expected to behave, en masse, in ways to existing campaigns? This is the main which will impose restrictions on local question which confronts it as third and taxation and public spending, and thus most important conference looms. RIC at maintain the neoliberal order with a any rate exists: the second issue is the supposedly popular mandate: atomised absence from the Scottish political scene of citizens voting for which services they a party of the left, large and serious enough 22 to stand for election, but also committed to rightly be seen as a breach with the order activity in the streets and workplaces. As a of capital. Working towards that will united front involving existing parties, RIC involve not only necessary defensive cannot become that kind of party, but the struggles against austerity, war and unaffiliated individuals, who were the basis environmental destruction, but for the of its mass support and that of the wider democratisation of Scottish society, in campaign, will have to be the basis of its readiness for when the moment of membership. independence becomes a possibility again.

All of the existing left groups contain That may not take as long as some imagine. militants and activists who would make a I noted earlier that, in the eyes of the ruling valuable contribution to any new class, the No vote effectively amounted to formation; but simply attempting to an endorsement of the neoliberal project. recombine these groups, with all their Working-class No voters obviously did not inherited historic divisions and internal intend this, and no-one on either side was membership structures, whether as consciously inviting an escalation of ‘platforms’ or permanent factions, would austerity, but that is what is happening, be fatal to this enterprise, as would a with Labour abetting or endorsing the recapitulation of the cult of personality, the attacks. Resistance should be conducted on politics of celebrity, which helped destroy an UK-wide basis wherever possible, but as the SSP. Podemos in Spain, which also the attacks deepen, the question for the emerged from an actual movement, is Scots of whether there is more ‘risk’ perhaps the closest to what is required, but involved in remaining in the UK than it too has problems, not least those breaking with it will come to the fore again, stemming from the attempt to position especially if the 2015 General Election itself as ‘beyond left or right’–anti-politics produces another Tory-led government. in this sense being precisely what Scotland The British state is unlikely to allow does not need right now. There no exact another ‘official’ referendum, especially models and we will consequently have to one which our rulers think they will lose, build our own. Politically, such a formation so an ‘unofficial’ manifestation along will certainly require a revolutionary Catalan lines will be necessary and that current, but part of a process in which new situation, the question will become who is activists can actually find out what the stronger, the social movement or the state. terms reform and revolution currently One of the advisers to the No campaign, mean, and where they stand in relation to Adam Tompkins of the University of them. In terms of the programme for an Glasgow, wrote in the aftermath: independent Scotland, some elements are obvious: withdrawal from NATO and the The Union was not saved on Thursday; it won a reprieve. … I have long thought that the Union EU, establishment of a republic and a could withstand the threat of Scottish Scottish currency unencumbered by the separation, once. But if circumstances were to Bank of England, renationalisation of bring us to a second independence referendum services and utilities, and the repeal of the any time soon, I would place a large sum on the 74 anti-trade union laws. Nationalisation of outcome being very different. the oil industry will be an urgent task, not I would also make that bet. least to pay for the social reconstruction required after the devastations of neoliberalism and austerity. These are not in themselves revolutionary demands–that 1 Red Paper Collective, ‘The Question Isn’t Yes or they seem so is an indication of how far No’, Scottish Left Review 73 (November/December right politics has moved in the last 40 2012), [2]. years–but in the current context they will 23

2 Beyond politics, the prospect of an end to the British 13 David Denver, James Mitchell, Charles Pattie and state seemed to infuse some No voters–particularly Hugh Bochel, Scotland Decides: the Devolution Issue activists on the Unionist left–with a sense of existential and the Scottish Referendum (London: Routledge, dread and ontological uncertainty. 2000), 116-119.

3 Daniel Bensaïd, ‘Leaps! Leaps! Leaps!’, International 14 Paul Hutcheon, ‘The Growth of the Yes Movement’, Socialism, second series, 95 (Summer 2002), 77; Lenin The Sunday Herald (21 September 2014). Reloaded: Towards a Politics of Truth, edited by Sebastian Budgen, Stathis Kouvelakis and Slavoj Žižek 15 Willie Sullivan, The Missing Scotland: Why over a (Durham, North Carolina: University of North Million Scots Choose Not to Vote and What it Means Carolina, 2007), 153. for Our Democracy (Edinburgh: Luath Books, 2014), 19-20. 4 John McTernan, ‘Political success? Just climb onto your soapbox…’, Scottish Daily Mail (19 September 16 Suki Sangha and David Jamieson, ‘The Radical 2014); Phillip Stephens, ‘The World is Saying No to Independence Campaign’, RS21 2 (Autumn 2014), 29. Scottish Separation’, Financial Times (12 September 2014). For a definitive refutation of these idiotic 17 Lesley Riddoch, ‘A Radial and Unexpected Shift comparisons, by two founders of the Radical Place in Scots has Taken Place…Perhaps as Significant Independence Campaign, see James Foley and Pete as the Big Vote Itself. People Power has Triumphed’, Ramand, Yes: the Radical Case for Scottish The Sunday Herald (14 September 2014). Independence (London: Pluto Press, 2014), 38-40. 18 See, for example, Jonathan Freedland, ‘If Britain 5 Will Hutton, ‘We have 10 Days to Find a Settlement Loses Scotland it Will Feel Like an Amputation’, The to Save the Union’, The Observer (7 September 2014). Guardian (5 September 2014).

6 C. J. Sansom, ‘Saying No will Arrest the Rise of 19 Kenyon Wright, The People Say Yes; the Making of Populist Nationalism’, The Guardian (15 September Scotland’s Parliament (Glendaruel: Argyll Press, 2014). See also ‘Historical Note’, in Dominion 1997), 263. (London: Mantle, 2012), 590-592 where Sampson actually compares the SNP to the inter-war fascist 20 Colin Barker, ‘Empowerment and Resistance: parties. “Collective Effervescence” and Other Accounts’, in Transforming Politics: Power and Resistance, edited 7 Michael Keating, Nations against the State: the New by Paul Bagguley and Jeff Hearn (Houndmills: Politics of Nationalism in Quebec, Catalonia and Palgrave Macmillan, 1999), 25, 26. Scotland (Second edition, Houndmills: Palgrave, 2001), 24. 21 George Kerevan, ‘Vote’s Biggest Loser is Scottish Labour’, The Scotsman (20 September 2014). 8 Billy Bragg, ‘Voting Nationalist in Scotland isn’t an Act of Class Betrayal’, The Guardian (17 September 22 Fred Dews, ‘Lord George Robertson: “Forces of 2014). Darkness Would Love Scottish Split from United Kingdom”’, Brookings Now, 9 James Forsyth, ‘The Unionists Have Been Too Afraid http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/brookings- to Make a Proper Case’, The Spectator (13 September now/posts/2014/04/lord-george-robertson-forces-of- 2014). darkness-love-scottish-split-from-united-kingdom

10 Tom Nairn, ‘The Twilight of the British State’, New 23 See, for example, Simon Johnson, ‘Britain's Enemies Left Review I/101-2 (February-April 1977), 59-60; The Will “Exploit Scottish Independence to Cut UK Break-Up of Britain: Crisis and Neo-nationalism Power’'’, The Telegraph (17 October 2012). (Second edition, London: Verso, 1981), 89-90. 24 Stephens, ‘The World is Saying No to Scottish 11 Fintan O’Toole, ‘Forget Braveheart, Kilts and Tribal Separation’. Nationalism, This is about Democracy’, The Guardian (13 September 2014). 25 ‘UK RIP?’, The Economist (13 September 2014).

12 Pauline Bryan, ‘Powers for Political Change’, Class, 26 Noel McAdam, ‘Sinn Fein Sympathy for Scottish Nation and Socialism: the Red Paper on Scotland Yes Vote, but It Won't Take Sides’, Belfast Telegraph 2014, edited by Pauline Bryan and Tommy Kane (2 September 2014). (Glasgow: Glasgow Caledonian University Archives, 2013), 193. 27 James Maxwell, ‘Scottish Independence: the View from Belfast’, 2 July 2012, 24

http://www/newstatesman.com/blogs/politics/2012/07/s 38 ‘Rise of the Ayes’, The Economist (13 September cottish-independence-view-belfast 2014), 30.

28 Colin Kidd, ‘Reflections on the Independence 39 Magnus Gardham, ‘Brown’s Plea: Vote No for the Referendum’, London Review of Books (11 September Sake of Our Children’, The Guardian (18 September 2014), 14. The way in which the Kidd personalises the 2014); Nicholas Watt, ‘A Scottish Plea and Scottish Yes argument as an expression of Salmond’s will is Play as Brown takes to Stage’, The Herald (18 typical of No supporters. ‘Meanwhile, the English, September 2014). even those who are inclined to support the Union, are increasingly wondering if they want to tolerate much 40 George Monbiot, ‘A Yes Vote in Scotland would more of this [i.e. Salmond’s behaviour]’, harrumphed Unleash the Most Dangerous Thing of All–Hope’, The Ed Smith: ‘Salmond may wink at the gallery and get a Guardian (9 September 2014). laugh–but would you trust his judgement in a crisis?’, 41 Allan Massie, ‘In Truth, the SNP were Lamentable’; New Statesman (5-11 September 2014), 52. Andrew Whitaker, ‘Labour’s Big Beasts “Hauled No Camp Back from Brink”’; both in The Scotsman (20 29 Tom Gordon, ‘One Year on: Will Better Together September 2014). Change Their Tactics?’, The Sunday Herald (23 June 2013). 42 Andrew Rawnsley, The End of the Party: the Rise and Fall of New Labour (London: Allen Lane, 2010), 30 The Labour Party in Scotland, Ambition for Scotland 476. (Glasgow: Scottish Labour Party, 2001), 11. 43 Tim Adams, ‘“It Wasn’t a Raucous Crowd at Gretna 31 Seamus Milne, ‘Salmond’s Scotland won’t be an Green. Then Again, Silent Majorities Rarely Are”’, Escape from Britain’, The Guardian (11 September The Observer (21 September 2014). 2014). See also Aditya Chakraborty, ‘A Go-Alone Scottish Economy Would be Viable but Would it be 44 Comparable figures for Yes voters were: disaffection Any Better?’, The Guardian (16 September 2014). with Westminster politics (74%), the NHS (54%), tax Similar arguments were made by one of the few and public spending (33%) and oil (20%). Marxist political economists to address the issue. See Michael Roberts, ‘Scotland: Yes or No?’, 45 Sam Wetherell, ‘Exit Stage Right: the Case Against Scottish Independence’, Jacobin, https://www.jacobinmag.com/2014/09/exit-stage-right- http://thenextrecessuion.wordpress.com.2014/09/04/sco the-case-against-scottish-independence/ tland-yes-or-no/ 46 Neil Davidson, The Origins of Scottish Nationhood 32 Ben Jackson, ‘The Break-up of Britain: the Left and (London: Pluto Press, 2000), 90-127. Scottish Nationalism’, Renewal, vol. 22, nos 1/2 (2014), 20-21. 47 Eric J Hobsbawm in conversation with Antonio Polito, The New Century, (London: Abacus, 2000), 33 George Galloway, ‘Just Say Naw…’: an Evening 115. For a detailed discussion of ‘majority with George Galloway (Glasgow: Respect, 2014), [3]. disengagement’, see Peter Mair, Ruling in the Void: the Hollowing of Western Democracy (London: Verso, 34 Tim Shipman and Jason Allardyce, ‘Yes Leads in 2013), 17-44 Scots Poll Shock’, The Sunday Times (7 September 2014); Sarah Neville and Clive Cookson, ‘Ruling Elite 48 Ewen MacAskill, ‘Buoyant Salmond Compares Vote Aghast as Union Wobbles’, Financial Times (12 to South Africa’s Freedom Election’, The Guardian September 2014). (10 September 2014).

35 Severin Carrell, ‘Scottish Independence: TNS Poll 49 lordashcroftpolls.com/2014/09/scotland-voted/; finds Single Point Separates Yes and No’, The Guardian (8 September 2014). http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads /document/rj4q1bcwo6/Final_Prediction_140918_Final 36 Kiran Stacey, George Parker, Mure Dickie and Beth _Website_Rebasing_W.pdf Rigby, ‘Scottish Referendum: How Complacency Nearly Lost a United Kingdom’, Financial Times (19 50 Jessica Elgot, ‘Why Are So Many Scots From Ethnic September 2014). Minorities Voting Yes?’, The Huffington Post (14 June 2014), 37 Judith Duffy, ‘An Explosive Breach of the Rules: http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2014/06/12/scotland- Salmond Blasts Treasury as its BBC Email is independence-referendum_n_5488582.html Exposed’, The Sunday Herald (14 September 2014). 25

51 John Mellon, ‘Class Divisions and the Scottish interests of the British capitalist class). In fact, the Referendum’, British state is one of the most brilliantly successful, http://futureukandscotland.ac.uk/blog/class-divisions- endlessly adaptive states in the history of capitalism–as and-scottish-referendum. it has just reminded us yet again.

52 Andrew Gilligan, ‘Small Firms Making Big Claims 65 Murray J. Pittock, The Road to Independence? for Scottish Independence’, The Telegraph (31 August Scotland since the Sixties (London: Reaktion Books, 2014). 2008), 87.

53 It is also worth noting that Labour-supporting 66 Gerry Hassan, ‘We Are One Scotland: Anatomy of a commentators fawned over leading capitalists, Referendum’, One Kingdom (27 September 2014), particularly Wood, who criticised the Yes campaign. https://www.opendemocracy.net/ourkingdom/gerry- See, for a particularly egregious example of this type of hassan/we-are-one-scotland-anatomy-of-referendum grovelling, see Catherine McLeod, ‘There is Only One Real Team Scotland’, The Herald (10 September 67 Iain MacWhirter, ‘Trouble if Austerity is Heaped on 2014). Austerity’, The Herald (30 September 2014).

54 Personal communication (9 October 2014). 68 ‘The More Power in Britain is Devolved, the Faster Tax Revenues Race to the Bottom’, The Observer (20 55 Mark Diffley and Christopher McLean, ‘35 Years of September 2014). Scottish Attitudes towards Independence’, The Times 69 See, for example, Andrew Whitaker, ‘Gordon Brown (15 March 2012). backs Federalism in Event of No Vote’, The Scotsman (15 August 2014). 56 Robert Worcester and Mark Diffley, ‘Why it Hard to See Much Hope for Salmond and His Political Dream’, 70 Timothy Garten Ash, ‘We Need a Federal Britain in The Times (9 May 2013). a Confederal Europe’, The Guardian (22 September 2014); Bryan, ‘Powers for Political Change’, 194-197; 57 Colin Kidd, ‘After the Referendum’, London Review David Torrance, Britain Rebooted: Scotland in a of Books, vol. 36, no. 19 (9 October 2014), 20. Federal Union (Edinburgh: Luath Press, 2014).

58 Mick Brown, ‘After Scotland Votes No, the 71 ‘Sir John Major’s Ditchley Foundation Speech–the Kingdom is still United, but uneasily so’, The Sunday Full Transcript on Devolution’, Telegraph (20 September 2014). http://www.betternation.org/2011/07/sir-john-majors- 59 Stephen Low, ‘Remember “Class over Nation”’, ditchley-foundation-speech-the-full-transcript-on- Scottish Left Review 83 (October 2014), 14. devolution/ Thanks to Jim Slaven for bringing this speech to my attention. 60 Iain S Bruce, ‘United Against a War on the Poor’, The Sunday Herald (5 October 2014). 72 W. Elliot Bulmer, ‘Scotland’s Future After the Referendum’, Herald Scotland, 27 September 2014, 61 Kevin McKenna, ‘How Can You Console a Heartbroken and Angry Daughter? You Can’t’, The http://www.heraldscotland.com/comment/columnists/s Observer (21 September 2014). cotland-s-future-after-the-referendum-by-w-elliot- bulmer.1411845938 62 Brian Wilson, ‘Labour Must Fight on the Social Issues’, The Scotsman (20 September 2014). 73 Magnus Gardham, ‘Sturgeon sets out SNP Stall with Demand for Devo Max’, The Herald (11 October 63 Allan Brogan, ‘Out with the Old: in with the New?’, 2014). Scottish Left Review 83 (October 2014), 7. 74 Adam Tomkins, ‘The Union can’t Withstand English 64 Will Hutton, ‘After the Scottish Referendum–David nationalism’, New Statesman (26 September–2 October Cameron's Attempt to Manipulate the Constitution is 2014), 52. crudely Cynical’, The Observer (21 September 2014). Apparently the Tories fail to realise what the ‘real problem at the heart of British government’ is: ‘the British state, feudal in its origins, remain feudally centralised even in the 21st century’. The myth that the British state is some peculiarly archaic formation involves confusing form (the Monarchy, the House of Lords, etc.) and content (how well it actually serves the 26