On Weighted Bivariate Geometric Distribution
H. Najarzadegan ,∗ M. H. Alamatsaz ,† I. Kazemi ‡ Debasis Kundu §
Abstract
Discrete bivariate distributions play important roles for modeling bivariate life- time count data. Recently a weighted geometric distribution has been introduced in the literature, and it is observed that it is more flexible than the classical geometric distribution. In this article we develop a new weighted bivariate geometric distribu- tion with univariate weighted geometric distribution as the marginals. It is observed that the proposed weighted bivariate geometric distribution is more flexible than the classical bivariate geometric distribution and the later can be obtained as a special case of the proposed model. We develop different properties of the proposed distri- bution. An interesting characterization also has been provided. We further develop both the classical and Bayesian inference of the unknown parameters. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations have been conducted to see the performances of the differ- ent methods. Finally the analysis of a data set has been presented for illustrative purposes.
Keywords: Bivariate probability mass function, Estimation, Simulation, Moment, Moment generating function, Renyi entropy. AMS 2000 Subject Classification: Primary: 62F10, Secondary: 62H10.
1 Introduction
Azzalini [4] introduced a very powerful tool to incorporate an extra parameter to a normal distribution and named the new distribution as the skew-normal distri- bution. Since then, several new weighted distributions have been introduced in ∗Department of Statistics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran, e-mail: hnajarzade- [email protected] †Department of Statistics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran, Corresponding author: e-mail:
[email protected] (mh−[email protected]) ‡Department of Statistics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran, e-mail: [email protected] §Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur, India, e-mail: [email protected]
1 the literature based on Azzalini [4]’s method, see for example the monograph on the skew-elliptical distributions by Genton [8], weighted exponential distribution by Gupta and Kundu [9], two-parameter weighted exponential (TWE) distribu- tion by Shakhatreh [19] and generalized weighted exponential (GWE) distribution by Kharazmi et al. [11], and the references cited therein. Although an extensive amount of work has been done on continuous univariate distributions, the amount of work on the discrete distribution is quite insignificant. Recently, Bhati and Joshi [6] introduced a weighted geometric (WGE) distribution and Najarzadegan and Ala- matsaz [16] provided a generalization of the weighted geometric distribution (GWG) based on the method of Azzalini [4]. A random variable X is said to have a WGE distribution with parameters α and λ, denoted by W GE(α, λ), if it has the following probability mass function (PMF) (1 − p)(1 − pλ+1) P (X = x) = px−1(1 − pλx), x ∈ N = {1, 2,...}, (1 − pλ) 1 where λ > 0 and 0 < p < 1. It is observed that the WGE provides a better fit than the classic geometric distribution and it has certain advantages over a discrete analogue of the generalized exponential distribution proposed by Nekoukhou et al.
[17]. It is further observed that when λ ∈ N1, then the WGE distribution can be constructed by using Azzalini [4]’s method on geometric (GE) distributions as follows.
Suppose that X1 and X2 are two independent and identically distributed geometric 1 random variabes with mean 1−p , then for λ ∈ N1 = {1, 2, ...} we have d X = X1 X2 < λX1 . where =d means equality in distribution. It can be easily shown that the PMF of the WGE distribution is unimodal for all values 0 < λ < ∞ and 0 < p < 1. The corresponding cumulative distribution function (CDF) and the hazard rate function (HRF) of the WGE distribution are 1 − pλ+1 − pλ([x]+1)(1 − p) F (x) = 1 − p[x] x ≥ 1, 1 − pλ where [.] is the integer function and (1 − p)(1 − pλ+1)px−1(1 − pλx) h(x) = , x = 1, 2,..., 1 − pλ+1 − pλ(x+1)(1 − p) px respectively. As we can see, the CDF and HRF have explicit forms, hence it can be used quite conveniently to analyze discrete univariate data. The discrete WGE
2 distribution has a non-decreasing HRF for all λ and p. It has also been observed that the shapes of the PMF of the WGE distribution are very similar to those of the PMFs of the discrete generalized exponential, discrete Weibull and discrete gamma distributions. The moment generating function (MGF) of WG(λ, p) can be obtained as (1 − p)(1 − pλ+1)et M (t) = , t ∈ (−∞, ∞). (1) X (1 − pet)(1 − pλ+1et) The mean and variance of a WGE distribution are given by
1 − pλ+2 p pλ+1 E(X) = and V ar(X) = + . (1 − p)(1 − pλ+1) (1 − p)2 (1 − pλ+1)2 Moreover, suppose that Z and W are two independent geometric random variables 1 pλ+1 with means 1−p and 1−pλ+1 , respectively, then from the MGF (1), it can be easily obtained that Z + W ∼ WG(λ, p). (2)
The above characterization (2) can be used quite conveniently to generate random sample from a WGE distribution. It can be used for other purposes also. For example, from (2) it easily follows that if X1,...,Xn are independent identically n X distributed (i.i.d.) WGE random variables then Xi can be written as the sum i=1 of two independent negative binomial random variables. For other mathematical properties and for different estimation procedures, one is referred to Bhati and Joshi [6]. Although, an extensive amount of work has been done in generalizing Azzalini’s method for different univariate distributions, and for multivariate symmetric distri- butions, not that much of work has been done for multivariate non-negative random variables. Recently, Al-Mutairi et al. [1, 2] developed bivariate/ multivariate dis- tributions with weighted exponential and weighted Weibull marginals, respectively. Jamalizadeh and Kundu [10] developed new weighted MarshallOlkin bivariate ex- ponential (WMOBE) distribution using the idea of Azzalini [4]. Interestingly, no work has been done in developing bivariate/ multivariate discrete models along this line. In real situations, sometimes we cannot measure the life length of a device on a continuous scale. It has been observed that Azzalini’s method provides a powerful tool in developing very flexible univariate and multivariate continuous distributions. However, there seems to have been not any attempt to construct discrete bivariate
3 distributions using the idea of Azzalini [4]. This paper is an attempt towards that direction. The aim of this article is to propose a new discrete weighted bivariate geometric (WBGE) distribution with WGE marginals, by implementing an idea that is similar to Azzalini,s method which was introduced by Jamalizadeh and Kundu [10]. The WBGE distribution can also be constructed as a hidden truncation model which was proposed by Arnold and Beaver [3]. In fact, this interpretation is one of the basic motivations of our proposed model. It is observed that the proposed WBGE has four parameters, and due to presence of one extra parameter, the joint PMF of a WBGE distribution is more flexible than the joint PMF of a bivariate geometric (BGE) distribution. Moreover, the BGE can be obtained as a limiting case of the WBGE distribution. We have derived several properties of the proposed model and provided several characteristics. We have also developed both classical and Bayesian inference of the unknown parameters. Extensive simulation experiments have been performed to see the performances of the different methods and one data analysis has been performed for illustrative purposes. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we define the proposed WBGE distribution. The PMF, CDF and some basic statistical properties of the WBGE distribution are provided in this section. In Section 3, we drive some other important properties and characteristics of a WBGE distribution. The maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) and the Bayes estimators of the model parameters are discussed in Section 4. In Section 5, we compare the performances of the different estimators based on extensive Monte Carlo simulations. In Section 6, we provide the analysis of a data set for illustrative purposes, and finally we conclude the paper in Section 7.
2 Definition and Basic Properties
The BGE distribution was originally introduced by Basu and Dhar [5]. A bi- variate random vector (Y1,Y2) is said to have a BGE distribution, denoted by
BGE(p1, p2, p3), if it has the joint PMF y2−1 y1−1 (1 − p1)(1 − p2p3)(p2p3) p , if y2 > y1, 1 y1−1 y2−1 fY1,Y2 (y1, y2) = (1 − p2)(1 − p1p3)(p1p3) p2 , if y1 > y2, (3) y−1 (1 − p1p3 − p2p3 + p1p2p3)(p1p2p3) , if y1 = y2 = y
4 where y1, y2 ∈ N1 and 0 < p1, p2, p3 < 1. It may be mentioned that Basu and Dhar [5] obtained the BGE distribution as follows:
d (Y1,Y2) = (min(V1,V3), min(V2,V3))
1 1 where V1, V2 and V3 are independent GE random variables with means , 1−p1 1−p2 and 1 , respectively. This is popularly known as the trivariate reduction technique 1−p3 and it was used by Marshall and Olkin [15] to construct the MOBE distribution. Now, following the idea proposed by Jamalizadeh and Kundu [10], we would like to define the WBGE distribution as follows. [13]
Definition 2.1. Suppose (Y1,Y2) is a BGE random vector with joint PMF (3) and
Y is a GE(1 − p4) random variable independent of (Y1,Y2) with the PMF
y−1 P (Y = y) = (1 − p4)p4 , y = 1, 2, 3,... (4)
where 0 < p4 < 1. Then, we say that a random vector (X1,X2) has a WBGE distribution if d (X1,X2) = (Y1,Y2) Y < min{Y1,Y2}. (5)
Hereafter, this is denoted by (X1,X2) ∼ W BGE(p1, p2, p3, p4).
Now, we obtain the joint PMF of a WBGE distribution in the following theorem.
Theorem 2.1. Suppose (X1,X2) ∼ W BGE(p1, p2, p3, p4), then the PMF of (X1,X2) is given by x2−1 x1−1 x1 K(1 − p1)(1 − p2p3)(p2p3) p (1 − p ), if x2 > x1, 1 4 x1−1 x2−1 x2 fX1,X2 (x1, x2) = K(1 − p2)(1 − p1p3)(p1p3) p2 (1 − p4 ), if x1 > x2, x−1 x K(1 − p1p3 − p2p3 + p1p2p3)(p1p2p3) (1 − p4), if x1 = x2 = x (6)
−1 1−p4 where K = and x1, x2 ∈ N1. 1−p1p2p3p4
Proof: See in the Appendix. Here in following theorem we shall establish that the WBGE distribution can be constructed as a hidden truncation model.
5 Figure 1: The plot of the joint PMF (6) when p1 = p2 = p3 = 0.9 and (a) p4 = 0.9 4 9 17 (b) p4 = 0.9 (c) p4 = 0.9 (d) p4 = 0.9
Theorem 2.2. Let V1, V2 and V3 be three dependent random variables with the following joint pmf (1 − p )(1 − p )(1 − p p )(p p )v2−1pv1−1pv3v1−1, if v > v , 4 1 2 3 2 3 1 4 2 1 v1−1 v2−1 v3v2−1 fV1,V2,V3 (v1, v2, v3) = (1 − p4)(1 − p2)(1 − p1p3)(p1p3) p2 p4 , if v1 > v2, v−1 v3v−1 (1 − p4)(1 − p1p3 − p2p3 + p1p2p3)(p1p2p3) p4 , if v1 = v2 = v (7) where v1, v2, v3 ∈ N1. Then the conditional random variables (V1,V2) V3 < 1 has WBGE distribution.