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Roadmap and Recommendations Report L PO ICY GN I EN Y E LIG CGE R E L R O S E E EN F N T DEFE N I A RESPONSIBILITYOUS TO PREPARE ESTRENGTHENING H E NATIONAL AND HOMELANDECU SECURITY IN THE FACE OF A CHANGING S CLIMATERI IT ND TY H ROADMAP AND RECOMMENDATIONS FORL THEA U.S. GOVERNMENT W E February 26, M2018 O CHAIRED BY H in partnership with The Center for Climate and Security 1025 Connecticut Ave., NW ∙ Suite 1000 ∙ Washington, DC 20036 www.climateandsecurity.org - [email protected] Cover Photo: An ominous cloud of smoke from the Waldo Canyon fire rises from the south behind the Air Force Academy's Cadet Chapel as cadets head for a briefing on evacuation procedures June 27, 2012 CAROL LAWRENCE/U.S. AIR FORCE. CONTENTS THE CLIMATE AND SECURITY ADVISORY GROUP (CSAG) MEMBERS | 5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND TOPLINE RECOMMENDATIONS | 9 DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS I. ASSESS CLIMATE CHANGE RISKS TO NATIONAL AND HOMELAND SECURITY | 12 II. PREPARE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE RISKS TO NATIONAL AND HOMELAND SECURITY | 15 III. SUPPORT ALLIED AND PARTNER NATION RESILIENCE TO CLIMATE CHANGE RISKS | 19 APPENDIX A: RECOMMENDATIONS BY AGENCY | 22 DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE | 22 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL | 27 NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL | 28 DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY | 29 DEPARTMENT OF STATE | 31 U.S. AGENCY FOR INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT | 33 U.S. MISSION TO THE UNITED NATIONS | 34 The Center for Climate and Security 1025 Connecticut Ave., NW ∙ Suite 1000 ∙ Washington, DC 20036 3 www.climateandsecurity.org - [email protected] The Climate and Security Advisory Group (CSAG) is a voluntary, non-partisan group of U.S.-based military, national security, homeland security, intelligence and foreign policy experts from a broad range of institutions. The CSAG is chaired by the Center for Climate and Security in partnership with the George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs. See page 5 for a full list of participants. Organizational affiliations are listed for identification purposes only. The Center for Climate and Security 1025 Connecticut Ave., NW ∙ Suite 1000 ∙ Washington, DC 20036 4 www.climateandsecurity.org - [email protected] I. THE CLIMATE AND SECURITY ADVISORY GROUP (CSAG) MEMBERS Admiral Frank L. Bowman, US Navy (Ret) Vice Admiral Dennis McGinn, US Navy (Ret) Former Director, Naval Nuclear Propulsion Program Former Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Energy, Advisory Board Installations and Environment The Center for Climate and Security Advisory Board The Center for Climate and Security General Paul J. Kern, US Army (Ret) Former Commanding General of the Army Materiel Major General Richard T. Devereaux, US Air Command Force (Ret) Former Director of Operational Planning, Policy, & General Ronald E. Keys, US Air Force (Ret) Strategy Former Commander, Air Combat Command US Air Force Chairman, CNA Military Advisory Board Advisory Board Rear Admiral Len Hering, US Navy (Ret) The Center for Climate and Security Former Commander, Navy Region Southwest Past President, Center for Sustainable Energy Advisory Board Admiral Samuel J. Locklear III, US Navy (Ret) The Center for Climate and Security Former Commander, US Pacific Command Advisory Board The Center for Climate and Security Rear Admiral Ann C. Phillips, US Navy (Ret) Former Commander, Expeditionary Strike Group TWO Former Director of Surface Warfare Division Lieutenant General John G. Castellaw, US US Navy Marine Corps (Ret) Former Chief of Staff, US Central Command Advisory Board Advisory Board The Center for Climate and Security The Center for Climate and Security Rear Admiral David W Titley, US Navy (Ret) Former Oceanographer of the Navy Vice Admiral Lee Gunn, US Navy (Ret) Former Inspector General, US Department of the Navy Professor of Practice in Meteorology, Penn State Vice Chairman University CNA’s Military Advisory Board Professor, Penn State School of International Affairs Advisory Board The Center for Climate and Security Lieutenant General Arlen D. Jameson, US Air Force (Ret) Former Deputy Commander-in-Chief, US Strategic Command Advisory Board The Center for Climate and Security The Center for Climate and Security 1025 Connecticut Ave., NW ∙ Suite 1000 ∙ Washington, DC 20036 5 www.climateandsecurity.org - [email protected] Brigadier General Joseph R. “Bob” Barnes, US Lieutenant Commander Oliver-Leighton Army (Ret) Barrett, U.S. Navy (Ret) Former Deputy Legal and Legislative Counsel to the Senior Fellow Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff The Center for Climate and Security Senior Advisor The Center for Climate and Security Esther Babson Program Manager, Climate Security Brigadier General Stephen A. Cheney, US The American Security Project Marine Corps (Ret) Former Commanding General, Parris Island Marine Neil Bhatiya Corps Recruit Depot Research Associate Chief Executive Officer Energy, Economics, and Security Program American Security Project Center for a New American Security Brigadier General Gerald Galloway Jr., US Joe Bryan Army (Ret) Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Former Dean of the Academic Board Energy West Point Principal Professor of Engineering, University of Maryland Muswell Orange, LLC Advisory Board The Center for Climate and Security Joshua W. Busby Associate Professor Captain James Goudreau, SC, US Navy (Ret) Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs Former Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy University of Texas at Austin (Energy) Sweta Chakraborty Colonel Lawrence B. Wilkerson, USA (Ret) Policy and Communications Fellow Distinguished Adjunct Professor of Government and The Center for Climate and Security Public Policy College of William and Mary Elizabeth L. Chalecki, PhD Asst Professor, International Relations Captain Stephanie “Steve” L. Wright, US Navy Department of Political Science (Ret) University of Nebraska - Omaha Former Assistant Deputy Director Strategic Plans and Policy Nancy Colleton Office of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff President Institute for Global Environmental Strategies Commander David M. Slayton, U.S. Navy (Ret) Research Fellow Taylor Dimsdale Co-Chair and Executive Director Head of Research Arctic Security Initiative E3G Hoover Institution, Stanford University Advisory Board Francesco Femia The Center for Climate and Security Co-Founder and President The Center for Climate and Security The Center for Climate and Security 1025 Connecticut Ave., NW ∙ Suite 1000 ∙ Washington, DC 20036 6 www.climateandsecurity.org - [email protected] Leon Fuerth Dr. Geoffrey Kemp Former National Security Advisor to the Vice President Former Special Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs (1981-1985) Sherri Goodman Senior Director, Regional Security Former Deputy Undersecretary of Defense Center for the National Interest (Environmental Security) Founder and former Executive Director, CNA Military Dr. Marcus D. King Advisory Board Director, Master of Arts Senior Fellow for International Security Associate Professor The Center for Climate and Security The Elliott School of International Affairs George Washington University Deborah Gordon Advisory Board Director, Energy and Climate Program The Center for Climate and Security Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Chris Kurowski Lukas Haynes Senior National Security Analyst Executive Director Johns Hopkins University/Applied Physics Laboratory The David Rockefeller Fund Heather Messera Dr. Cullen S. Hendrix Senior Fellow for Government Affairs Associate Professor, Josef Korbel School of The Center for Climate and Security International Studies University of Denver David Michel Nonresident Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for Nonresident Fellow International Economics The Stimson Center Senior Fellow The Center for Climate and Security Ahley McIlvain Moran State Fragility Initiative Director Andrew Holland Robert Strauss Center for International Security & Law Director of Studies The University of Texas at Austin Senior Fellow for Energy and Climate American Security Project Dr. Janne E. Nolan International Affairs Professor Rachael Jonassen, PhD George Washington University Director, Climate Change Advisory Board Environmental & Energy Management Institute The Center for Climate and Security Associate Research Professor College of Professional Studies Christine Parthemore The George Washington University Former Senior Advisor to the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear, Chemical and Biological Defense Dr. Colin P. Kelley Director, Climate-Nuclear-Security Program Associate Research Scientist The Center for Climate and Security The International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University Wilson Rickerson Senior Research Fellow Principal The Center for Climate and Security Converge Strategies, LLC Policy Fellow The Center for Climate and Security The Center for Climate and Security 1025 Connecticut Ave., NW ∙ Suite 1000 ∙ Washington, DC 20036 7 www.climateandsecurity.org - [email protected] Constantine Samaras Stacy D. VanDeveer Assistant Professor Professor & PhD Program Director, Global Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Governance & Human Security Carnegie Mellon University Dept. of Conflict Resolution, Human Security & Global Governance Nathan Sermonis McCormack Graduate School of Policy & Global Executive Director Studies Partnership for a Secure America University of Massachusetts Boston Varun Sivaram, Ph.D. Caitlin E. Werrell Philip D. Reed Fellow for Science and Technology Co-Founder and President Council on Foreign Relations The Center for Climate and Security
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