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Nova Srbija, Novi NATO - Vizija Budućnosti Za XXI Vek

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Nova Srbija, Novi NATO - Vizija Budućnosti Za XXI Vek Nova Srbija, novi NATO - vizija budućnosti za XXI vek Zbornik tekstova transconflict FORUM ZA ETNIČKE ODNOSE FORUM FOR ETHNIC RELATIONS Beograd, 2011. “Nova Srbija, novi NATO - vizija budućnosti za XXI vek” Izdavači: TransConflict Serbia Forum za etničke odnose Klub 21 Urednici: Mirjana Kosić Milan Karagaća Prevod: Mirjana Kosić Lektorisanje i korektura: Ian Bancroft Vladimir Ninković Grafički dizajn i prelom: Digital Art Company Dizajn i štampa: Digital Art Company Tiraž: 500 ISBN 978-86-914589-0-4 Sadržaj Uvodne napomene Predgovor Mirjana Kosić ............................................................................................ 7 Uvod Milan Karagaća ......................................................................................... 9 Nova Srbija, novi NATO – vizija budućnosti za XXI vek Nj. E. Hana Hubačkova Nova Srbija, novi NATO – Vizija budućnosti za 21. vek ........................ 11 Ambasador Lawrence Rossin Nova Srbija, novi NATO – Vizija budućnosti za 21. vek ........................ 15 Julian Harston Novi Strateški koncept NATO-a i sistem globalne bezbednosti ................. 25 Matthew Rhodes Novi Strateški koncept NATO-a: Kontekst i značaj ................................. 35 Aleksandar Fatić Strateška dilema Srbije - Između NATO-a i Rusije ................................. 39 Jasminka Simić Misija NATO-a i Evropski bezbednosni i odbrambeni identitet (ESDI): komplementarnost ili takmičenje? ................................ 49 Filip Ejdus Republika Srbija i Zajednička beznednosna i odbrambena politika ....... 67 Mladen Nakić NATO nakonLisabona: Zapadni Balkan u Alijanci do 2020. godine ..... 83 Sanda Vučić Iskustvo Crne Gore na putu ka evroatlantskim integracijama ................ 93 Nano Ružin Zapadni Balkan nakon NATO samita u Lisbonu 2010 i usvajanja novog Strateškog koncepta ..................................................... 99 Armin Kržalić Bosna i Hercegovina i NATO – Značaj novog Strateškog koncepta ........ 113 Miloš Šolaja Bosna i Hercegovina i novi Strateški koncept NATO-a ................................ 127 Arshim Çela Uticaj novog Strateškog koncepta i Evropske bezbednosne i odbrambene politike na “Bezbednosnu arhitekturu jugoistočne Evrope” ....................................... 139 Milan Karagaća Budući bezbednosni koncept Srbije .......................................................... 147 Mihajlo Basara Novi NATO i nova Srbija: Šta sa neutralnošću? ...................................... 159 Predrag Simić Evroatlantizam i stvaranje “Bezbednosne zajednice” na Balkanu .......... 171 Table of Contents Introductory Remarks Foreword Mirjana Kosić ............................................................................................ 187 Introduction Milan Karagaća ......................................................................................... 191 New Serbia, New NATO: Future Vision for the 21st Century Hana Hubáčková Contribution to the conference „New Serbia, new NATO – Future Vision for the 21st Century“ .......................................................... 193 Lawrence Rossin New Serbia, new NATO – Future Vision for the 21st Century ................ 197 Julian Harston NATO’s new Strategic Concept and the System of Global Security .......... 207 Matthew Rhodes NATO’s New Strategic Concept: Context and Significance ...................... 217 Aleksandar Fatić Serbia’s Strategic Dilemma - Between NATO and Russia ........................ 221 Jasminka Simić The mission of NATO and European Security and Defence Identity (ESDI): complementarity or competition? .................................. 231 Filip Ejdus The Republic of Serbia and the Common Security and Defence Policy ...................................................................... 249 Mladen Nakić NATO after Lisbon: The Western Balkans in the Alliance by 2020 ............. 267 Sanda Vučić Experience of Montenegro on its path to Euro-Atlantic Integrations ...... 279 Nano Ružin The Western Balkans after NATO summit in Lisbon in 2010 and adoption of a new Strategic Concept ................................................. 285 Armin Kržalić Bosnia and Herzegovina and NATO - the importance of the new Strategic Concept ........................ ....................... ....................... 301 Miloš Šolaja Bosnia and Herzegovina and NATO’s new Strategic Concept ................. 317 Arshim Çela The Impact Of the new Strategic Concept and the European Security and Defence Policy on the “Security architecture of South East-Europe” ........................................... 331 Milan Karagaća The Future Security Concept of Serbia ..................................................... 339 Mihajlo Basara New NATO and New Serbia: What to do with neutrality? ..................... 353 Predrag Simić Euroatlanticism and Creation of “Security Community” in the Balkans ...................................................... 367 Nova Srbija, novi NATO - vizija budućnosti za XXI vek 7 Predgovor 2010. je bila godina obeležena ponovnim definisanjem i daljim razvijanjem uloge, svrhe i misije NATO-a u svetlu savremenih i budućih bezbednosnih pretnji i izazova. Po prvi put u svojoj istoriji, Alijansa je učinila taj proces otvo- renim i sveobuhvatnim ne samo kroz angažovanje vlada država članica NA- TO-a, već - što je gotovo još važnije – kroz konsultacije sa i uključivanjem različitih aktera širom sveta. Naglašavajući važnost partnerstava i globalne saradnje, NATO je pokrenuo novu fazu u međunarodnim odnosima, pri čemu su izbrisana mnoga neprija- teljstva i nekadašnje podele, dok je istovremeno otvoren novi prostor za uspo- stavljanje odnosa na osnovu uzajamnog savetovanja i saradnje, koji prevazila- ze postojeće okvire partnerstava. Ova odluka je posebno važna za Srbiju koja - kao članica programa Partnerstvo za mir (PzM) - još uvek nije u potpunosti istražila, niti iskoristila sve potencijale Partnerstva za mir, ali koji bi mogli po- nuditi obilje pogodnosti, posebno za odnedavno profesionalizovane oružane snage Srbije. Iako se novi Strateški koncept Alijanse nije fokusirao posebno na zapad- ni Balkan, zemlje ovog regiona koje trenutno teže ka punopravnom članstvu (Bosna i Hercegovina, Makedonija i Crna Gora), dočekale su najavu Alijanse o nastavljanju politike “otvorenih vrata” kao značajnu poruku i znak ohrabrenja. Dok kolektivna odbrana ostaje suštinski razlog postojanja NATO-a, novi Strateški koncept stavlja naglasak na član 4 Vašingtonskog ugovora, koji defi- niše Alijansu “kao jedinstven i suštinski transatlantski forum za konsultacije o svim pitanjima koja se tiču teritorijalnog integriteta, političke nezavisnosti i bezbednosti svojih članova”, čime je organizacija napravila određeni pomak ka svojoj političkoj dimenziji i nadležnostima. Svi ovi i mnogi drugi zaključci su analizirani i diskutovani na konferenciji “Nova Srbija, novi NATO - vizija budućnosti za 21. vek”, koja je održana 3.-4. decembra 2010. Usledivši svega dve nedelje nakon NATO Samita u Lisabonu, ova konferenciji je poslužila kao platforma za kritičko vrednovanje novog Stra- teškog koncepta NATO-a usvojenog nedugo pre toga, i otvorenu diskusiju o budućim kretanjima u oblasti bezbednosti – kako onima sa kojima se suočava NATO, tako i iz perspektive Srbije. 8 New Serbia, New NATO: Future Vision for the 21st Century Međutim, šest meseci nakon konferencije, mnogo toga se dogodilo na svet- skoj sceni što je na izvestan način testiralo neke od odredbi Koncepta, kao i spremnost Alijanse da odgovori na nove krize i izvore bezbednosnih pretnji. Talas nezadovoljstva i pobune koje su potresle afrički kontinent imali su domi- no efekat, što je kulminiralo građanskim ratom u Libiji. Odluka NATO-a da se uključi u sukob Libiji nije olako, niti brzo donesena. Iako se ovog puta NATO odlučio na intervenciju tek nakon poziva za pomoć od strane američkog pred- sednika - kada je Alijansa preuzela jedinstvenu komandu nad međunarodnim vazdušnim operacijama nad Libijom, u skladu sa Rezolucijama 1970 i 1973 Saveta bezbednosti UN – ovu intervenciju nisu u potpunosti podržale sve ze- mlje saveznice. Turska je izrazila ozbiljne primedbe na angažovanje NATO-a u Libiji, dok je Nemačka odlučila da ne učestvuje u vojnoj operaciji koja, kako je navedeno, “nema nikakve veze sa odbranom Evrope”. Iako je takav scenarij bilo teško predvideti pre šest meseci, učesnici u našoj konferenciji u decembru su ispravno procenili regionalne i globalne političke tokove, i stavili naglasak na određene izazove i slabosti na koje nije pronađen odgovor. Dok je libijska kriza trenutno veliki test za jedinstvo Alijanse, posebno u pogledu njene buduće svrhe i uloge u globalnoj bezbednosnoj areni, kao i njene političke ekspeditivnosti i moći, nadamo se da će ovaj zbornik tekstova svojim čitaocima obezbediti uvid u specifičnosti savremene bezbednosne arhi- tekture, ali i poslužiti kao polazna tačka za dalju analizu i proširivanje diskusije. Inače, konferencija je omogućena zahvaljujući podršci Ambasade Češke Republike u Beogradu i Balkanskog fonda za demokratiju, dok se njen ukupan uspeh mora pripisati isključivo našim izuzetnim gostima. Govori i diskusije predstavljeni na konferenciji skupljeni su u ovom zborniku, koji je ugledao svetlost dana zahvaljujući velikodušnoj podršci Fonda za otvoreno društvo; Fond je s pravom procenio važnost i blagovremenost ovakve diskusije u Srbiji, te im ovom prilikom izražavamo najdublju zahvalnost. Nadamo se da će ovaj zbornik tekstova biti primljen sa velikim interesova- njem, ne samo od strane organizacija civilnog društva, akademske i šire javno- sti u Srbiji, već i
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