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Time-Varying Interactions Between Geopolitical Risks and Renewable Energy Consumption
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Cai, Yifei; Wu, Yanrui Working Paper Time-varying interactions between geopolitical risks and renewable energy consumption ADBI Working Paper Series, No. 1089 Provided in Cooperation with: Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Tokyo Suggested Citation: Cai, Yifei; Wu, Yanrui (2020) : Time-varying interactions between geopolitical risks and renewable energy consumption, ADBI Working Paper Series, No. 1089, Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), Tokyo This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/238446 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo/ www.econstor.eu ADBI Working Paper Series TIME-VARYING INTERACTIONS BETWEEN GEOPOLITICAL RISKS AND RENEWABLE ENERGY CONSUMPTION Yifei Cai and Yanrui Wu No. -
The 'Argentine Problem' : an Analysis of Political Instability in a Modern Society
THE 'ARGENTINE PROBLEM7: AN ANALYSIS OF POLITICAL INSTABILITY IN A MODERN SOCIETY Alphonse Victor Mallette B.A., University of Lethbridge, 1980 THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF ARTS @ Alphonse Victor Mallette 1986 SIMON FRASER UNIVERSITY June, 1986 All rights reserved. This work may not be reproduced in whole or in part, by photocopy or other means, without permission of the author. PARTIAL COPYRIGHT LICENSE I hereby grant to Simon Fraser University the right to lend my thesis, proJect or extended essay (the title of which is shown below) to users of the Simon Fraser University Library, and to make partial or single copies only for such users or in response to a request from the library of any other university, or other educational institution, on its own behalf or for one of its users. I further agree that permission for multiple copying of this work for scholarly purposes may be granted by me or the Dean of Graduate Studies. It is understood that copying or publication of this work for flnanclal gain shall not be allowed without my written permission. Title of Thesis/Project/Extended Essay Author: -. - rJ (date) -.-.--ABSTRACT This thesis is designed to explain, through political and historical analysis, a phenomenon identified by scholars of pol- itical development as the "Argentine Problem". Argentina is seen as a paradox, a nation which does not display the political stab- ility commensurate with its level of socio-economic development. The work also seeks to examine the origins and policies of the most serious manifestation of dictatorial rule in the nation's history, the period of military power from 1976 to 1983. -
A Marxist-Leninist Framework Part Two
Marxism-Leninism Currents Today 1 Kurdistan – A Marxist-Leninist Framework Part Two Preface The intersection of the four countries of Turkey, Iraq, Iran and Syria, lies in Kurdistan. As Kurdistan is within these borders, all these must be considered, in any sensible work on the Kurdish national movements. Iran and the Mahabad Republic, in relation to the Kurds, were discussed in Part One. Here in Part Two, we will focus upon Iraq and Turkey, highlighting history relevant to the Kurdish national movement. Part Three will focus upon Syria. In assessing the Kurdish struggles, it is impossible to avoid the details of what now makes up the entire Middle East battle-ground. This term - ‘battle-ground’ - is not hyperbole. For the Middle East now embroils both major imperialists (USA, Russia), and the hitherto client states. The latter are now capable of exerting their own agency to varying extents. Iran, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Gulf States, Turkey – while generally subservient to a dominant state (For most of these it is the USA, or in the case of Iran and Syria, it is a co-equal status with Russia) – also have their own separate interests that they pursue. Disentangling these knots is difficult. Hence any history of modern day Kurdish struggles – appears to drown in details of the “Middle East”. We saw in Part One of this work, that the years up to 1946 were bitter for Kurds. But they were to be no less bitter, in the remainder of the 20th century. The prior era set the Ottoman, Russian Imperial and British Empires upon the Kurds. -
Bowl Round 3
2017-2018 IHBB Beta Bowl 2017-2018 Bowl Round 3 Bowl Round 3 – Middle School First Quarter (1) During this war, Matthew Ridgeway replaced a general who masterminded a decisive landing at Inchon, Douglas MacArthur. A demilitarized zone was created after an armistice was signed, though there has still been no peace treaty to end this war. For ten points, name this 1950s conflict on an Asian peninsula. ANSWER: Korean War (2) This man survived an assassination attempt in which a blind musician struck out at him with a heavy lute. The ascension of this man marked the end of the Warring States period, and he was buried alongside thousands of terracotta warriors. For ten points, name this first emperor of the Qin dynasty. ANSWER: Qin Shi Huangdi (3) During this battle, one side’s housecarls made a stand on Senlac Hill until their leader was struck in the eye by an arrow. This battle arose out of a dispute over whom Edward the Confessor named as his successor. The Bayeux Tapestry depicts the death of Harold Godwinson in, for ten points, what battle that confirmed William the Conqueror’s rule over England in 1066? ANSWER: Battle of Hastings (4) In this nation, the captain of the Bounty, William Bligh, was deposed in the Rum Rebellion. An island in this country was first reached by Abel Tasman in 1642. At Botany Bay, convicts and Aborigines met in what became an English penal colony. For ten points, name this country where, in 1770, James Cook landed near what is now the city of Sydney. -
2018-2019 National History Bowl Round 2
NHBB C-Set Bowl 2018-2019 Bowl Round 2 Bowl Round 2 First Quarter (1) This group was the first target of Justinian's reconquest wars. These people, along with the Alans, were led by Genseric. These people captured Carthage in 439 AD, making it the capital of their North African empire. Pope Leo I was able to limit, but not stop, these people's 455 sack of Rome. For ten points, name this Germanic tribe whose name has become synonymous with defacing and destroying property. ANSWER: Vandals (2) In one scheme, this man attempted to negotiate a secret rebate with railroad companies by creating the South Improvement Company. A company founded by this man was subject of a muckraking expose by Ida Tarbell. This man grew his business through horizontal integration after establishing a series of refineries in Ohio, but his flagship company was eventually broken up by the Supreme Court in 1911. For ten points, name this founder of the Standard Oil company. ANSWER: John D. Rockefeller (3) In 2012, this country temporarily occupied the Heglig oil field of its northern neighbor. The President of this country has been known for his fondness for Stetson hats since he received one as a gift from George W. Bush in 2006. Civil war broke out in this country in 2013 shortly after Riek Machar was accused of plotting a coup d'etat by President Salva Kiir. For ten points, name this African country that declared its independence in 2011. ANSWER: Republic of South Sudan (do not accept or prompt on Sudan alone) (4) One holder of this position, John Lindsay, switched parties to mount a failed bid for the Democratic nomination for President in 1972. -
Detection and Geo-Temporal Tracking of Important Topics in News Texts
Detection and Geo-temporal Tracking of Important Topics in News Texts Erik Michael Leal Wennberg Dissertation for the achievement of the degree: Master in Information Systems and Computer Engineering Jury Chairperson: Prof. Antonio´ Manuel Ferreira Rito da Silva Supervisor: Prof. Bruno Emanuel da Graca Martins Co - supervisor: Prof. Pavel´ Pereira Calado Member of the Committee: Prof. David Manuel Martins de Matos November 2011 placeholder placeholder placeholder Abstract In our current society, newswire documents are in constant development and their growth has been increasing every time more rapidly. Due to the overwhelming diversity of concerns of each population, it would be interesting to discover within a certain topic of interest, where and when its important events took place. This thesis attempts to develop a new approach to detect and track important events over time and space, by analyzing the topics of a collection of newswire documents. This approach com- bines the collection’s associated topics (manual assigned topics or automatically generated top- ics using a probabilistic topic model) with the associated spatial and temporal metadata of each document, in order to be able to analyze the collection’s topics over time with time series, as well as over space with geographic maps displaying the geographic distribution of each topic. By examining each of the topic’s spatial and temporal distributions, it was possible to correlate the topic’s spatial and temporal trend with occurrence of important events. By conducting several experiments on a large collection of newswire documents, it was concluded that the proposed approach can effectively enable to detect and track important events over time and space. -
Computing Semantic Relatedness Using Wikipedia-Based Explicit Semantic Analysis
Computing Semantic Relatedness using Wikipedia-based Explicit Semantic Analysis Evgeniy Gabrilovich and Shaul Markovitch Department of Computer Science Technion—Israel Institute of Technology, 32000 Haifa, Israel {gabr,shaulm}@cs.technion.ac.il Abstract We propose a novel method, called Explicit Semantic Analysis (ESA), for fine-grained semantic representation of Computing semantic relatedness of natural lan- unrestricted natural language texts. Our method represents guage texts requires access to vast amounts of meaning in a high-dimensional space of natural concepts de- common-sense and domain-specific world knowl- rived from Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org), the edge. We propose Explicit Semantic Analysis largest encyclopedia in existence. We employ text classi- (ESA), a novel method that represents the mean- fication techniques that allow us to explicitly represent the ing of texts in a high-dimensional space of concepts meaning of any text in terms of Wikipedia-based concepts. derived from Wikipedia. We use machine learning We evaluate the effectiveness of our method on automatically techniques to explicitly represent the meaning of computing the degree of semantic relatedness between frag- any text as a weighted vector of Wikipedia-based ments of natural language text. concepts. Assessing the relatedness of texts in The contributions of this paper are threefold. First, we this space amounts to comparing the corresponding present Explicit Semantic Analysis, a new approach to rep- vectors using conventional metrics (e.g., cosine). resenting semantics of natural language texts using natural Compared with the previous state of the art, using concepts. Second, we propose a uniform way for computing ESA results in substantial improvements in corre- relatedness of both individual words and arbitrarily long text lation of computed relatedness scores with human fragments. -
Music for a Shadow Play)
Gamelan (Music for a Shadow Play) By Lawrence R. Tirino ©2013 To the good people who have been led astray by madmen, and especially to those who have suffered as a result. 1.Death in the Afternoon Chucha de tu madre! Que bestia!¨ Louis grumbled under his breath as he listened to the men on red scooters visiting all the small shopkeepers. ¨Chulqueros! ¨ He spat into the gutter. ¨Todo el pueblo anda chiro; ¨ - meaning of course that everyone‟s pockets held lint, or dust, or assorted garbage, but none of them held any money. They can‟t get credit cards, and banks won‟t lend them the small amounts that they needed to keep their business running, so they look for one of the countless street shysters that sit drinking coffee at beachfront restaurants in the afternoons when the sun has mellowed. These merchant bankers are the survivors who fled the brutality of their own countries; and although they now wear fine leather shoes and silk shits, the scent of decadence still clings to their pores. Last year they were charging twenty per cent of the principle on the first of the month. Nervous shopkeepers were easily confused into believing that they were paying the same rates as banks. Now it was even easier; a few dollars every day. But all the borrower ever pays is interest. One day the victim wakes up and realizes their mistake; and then they fold and disappear into the nighttime air. Or perhaps the back page of the morning paper. Sunday, the saddest day. -
GUERRA SUCIA DE ARGENTINA (1976) Chaired by Donghyun (Paul) Jeong
GUERRA SUCIA DE ARGENTINA (1976) Chaired by Donghyun (Paul) Jeong Session XXIII Guerra Sucia de Argentina (1976) Topic A: End of Peronismo in Argentina Topic B: Operation Condor Committee Overview government, have gathered in your first cabinet meeting to discuss the fate of La Guerra Sucia, which translates to Argentina as it navigates through the most “The Dirty War,” was a period of state- tumultuous period of its history. sponsored terrorism against perceived Throughout the committee, you will be dissidents and left-wing (“izquierdista”) faced with various crises, such as foreign activists that started in 1974 under President interference, economic failures, domestic Juan Perón and lasted until the fall of the uprising, and internal conflicts. military junta in 1983. Amidst economic failures and politically-incompetent leaders, far-right Parliamentary Procedure (“derechista”) military leaders were able to Parliamentary procedure for gain control of the nation after overthrowing specialized committees will be more relaxed the democratically-elected civilian with a focus on more moderated caucuses. government. The military junta now faces Delegates will represent influential problems from within and abroad. Will individuals during la Guerra Sucia with all Argentina revive itself from the worst portfolio powers that come with it. For more economic and political crisis in its history, or information on JHUMUNC parliamentary will the military junta collapse upon itself procedure, please note the last few pages of and push Argentina into destitution? the Conference guide or consult “Model UN It is now March 29, 1976, and the new Resources” under the “Resources” tab on military junta is the sole executor of our website, jhumunc.org. -
Appendix a the Stock Market Climbs a Wall of Worry the World Is a Scary Place
www.rebalance360.com Appendix A The Stock Market Climbs A Wall of Worry The world is a scary place. Every year, there are new things to worry about. But through it all – World Wars, violence, recessions, depressions, hurricanes, terrorist attacks and other catastrophes – the Global Stock Market has continued to grow over many decades. S&P 500 Year Events Total Returns* 1934 Massive Wall Street reforms passed; National Recovery Act price controls; Hitler declares himself Fuhrer -1% 1935 Italy invades Africa; Hitler rejects Versailles treaty; Dust Bowl; Social Security Act; NRA overturned 47% 1936 Hitler occupies Rhineland; Nazi appeasement; Spanish Civil War; top US tax bracket hits 79% 32% 1937 Short but sharp US recession - Capital spending & industrial production drop; Japan invades China -35% 1938 Nazis annex Austria and invade Czechoslovakia; New England hit by major hurricane 29% 1939 Germany & Italy sign military pact; Britain, France and Poland form alliance Poland invaded, beginning WWII -1% 1940 France falls to Hitler; Battle of Britain; top US income tax bracket over 81%; Wall Street regulations passed -11% 1941 Pearl Harbor; Germany invades USSR; US declares war on Japan, Italy & Germany -13% 1942 Wartime price controls; Battle of Midway; top US income tax bracket over 88% 19% 1943 US Meat & Cheese rationed; price & wage controls; major U-boat attacks; fed. deficit exceeds 30% of US GDP 25% 1944 Consumer goods shortages; Allies invade Normandy; top US income tax bracket hits record 94% 19% 1945 Post-war recession predicted; -
Political Violence in Argentina During the 1970S
UNLV Retrospective Theses & Dissertations 1-1-1997 Political violence in Argentina during the 1970s Arya Bardo Kazemi University of Nevada, Las Vegas Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalscholarship.unlv.edu/rtds Repository Citation Kazemi, Arya Bardo, "Political violence in Argentina during the 1970s" (1997). UNLV Retrospective Theses & Dissertations. 3330. http://dx.doi.org/10.25669/9vjm-01gt This Thesis is protected by copyright and/or related rights. It has been brought to you by Digital Scholarship@UNLV with permission from the rights-holder(s). You are free to use this Thesis in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s) directly, unless additional rights are indicated by a Creative Commons license in the record and/ or on the work itself. This Thesis has been accepted for inclusion in UNLV Retrospective Theses & Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Digital Scholarship@UNLV. For more information, please contact [email protected]. INFORMATION TO USERS This manuscript has been reproduced from the microfilm master. UMI films the text directly finm the original or copy submitted. Thus, some thesis and dissertation copies are in typewriter Ace, while others may be frt>m any type of con^niter printer. The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted. Broken or indistinct print, colored or poor quality Olustrations and photographs, print bleedthrough, substandard margins, and improper alignment can adversely affect reproduction. In the unlik^ event that the author did not send UMI a complete manuscript and there are missmg pages, these will be noted. -
Measuring Geopolitical Risk∗
Measuring Geopolitical Risk∗ Dario Caldaray Matteo Iacovielloz December 3, 2019 Abstract We present an indicator of geopolitical risk based on a tally of newspaper articles cov- ering geopolitical tensions, and examine its evolution and economic effects since 1985. The geopolitical risk (GPR) index spikes around the Gulf War, after 9/11, and in the 2003 Iraq invasion. High geopolitical risk reduces U.S. investment, employment, and the level of the stock market. When we decompose the index into threats and acts components, the adverse effects of geopolitical risk are mostly driven by the threat of adverse geopolitical events. We complement our aggregate measures with indicators of geopolitical risk at the level of individual firms. We show that investment drops more in industries that are positively ex- posed to aggregate geopolitical risk, and that firms reduce investment in response to higher idiosyncratic geopolitical risk. KEYWORDS: Geopolitical Risk; Economic Uncertainty; Business Cycles; Firm-level invest- ment; Textual Analysis; Earnings Calls. JEL CLASSIFICATION: C1. D80. E32. H56. Latest version at https://www2.bc.edu/matteo-iacoviello/gpr_files/GPR_PAPER.pdf ∗We thank Alessandra Bonfiglioli, Nick Bloom, Ricardo Correa, Steve Davis, Robert Engle, Chris Erceg, Colin Flint, Bo Sun, and seminar and conference participants at various venues. Joshua Herman, Lucas Husted, Andrew Kane, Erin Markiewitz and Patrick Molligo provided outstanding research assistance. All errors and omissions are our own responsibility. The views expressed in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or of anyone else associated with the Federal Reserve System.